Regression Prediction Intervals

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8 papers in the last four weeks, against 1 the four weeks before. 0.1% of all new papers.

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  1. Conformal Prediction for Spatially Dependent Data via Sequential Whitening

    Oct 7, 2026Ayush Baran Sen, Arkajyoti SahaConformal PredictionRegression Prediction Intervals

    Indian Statistical Institute, Kolkata, India · Department of Statistics, University of California, Irvine

  2. Adaptive Conformal Prediction for Image Regression Models with Application to an Inertial Confinement Fusion Emulator

    Sep 30, 2026Carrie J. Lei-Cramer, Michael S. Jones, Laura J. WendelbergerUncertainty QuantificationConformal Prediction

    Department of Statistics, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX, USA. · Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, USA.

  3. Conformal Prediction and Conditional Coverage for Tabular Foundation Models

    Sep 28, 2026Sungwoo Park, Sunghee Park, Won ChangTabular Foundation ModelsGroup-Conditional Conformal Prediction

    Department of Statistics Seoul National University Seoul, Republic of Korea

  4. Probabilistic electrical power demand forecasting with uncertainty quantification

    Sep 28, 2026Mahesh Neupane, Pragya Dhungana, Pradip Khatri +2Uncertainty QuantificationProbabilistic Forecasting

    Interconnection and Numbering Section Nepal Telecommunications Authority Kathmandu, Nepal · Nepal Electricity Authority Kathmandu, Nepal · Department of Global Public Health and Primary Care University of Bergen Bergen, Norway +1

  5. PICPIs: Prediction-Interval-Conditional Prediction Intervals

    Sep 21, 2026Xuelin Yang, Baihe Huang, Yilong Hou +2Probability CalibrationConformal Prediction

    University of California, Berkeley · Stanford University · Inria Paris

  6. Conformalized Quantile Regression and Minimax Limits of Fixed-Score Calibration under Known Covariate Shift

    Sep 21, 2026Rustam Isaev, Anton Conrad, Denis Belomestny +2Conformal PredictionCovariate Shift

    Faculty of Computer Science, HSE University, Moscow, Russia · Faculty of Computational Mathematics and Cybernetics, Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, Russia · Laboratoire de Recherche d’EPITA, Le Kremlin-Bicêtre, France +2

  7. Beyond Point Prediction: Artificial Representative Trees with Uncertainty

    Sep 21, 2026Lea L. Mairhöfer, Silke Szymczak, Björn-Hergen Laabs +1Interpretable MLConformal Prediction

    Institute of Medical Biometry and Statistics, University of Luebeck, Ratzeburger Allee 160 V24, 23562, Lübeck, Germany. · Department of Medical Statistics, University Medical Center Göttingen, Göttingen, Germany. · CAIMed, Lower Saxony Center for Artificial Intelligence and Causal Methods in Medicine, Göttingen, Germany. +1

  8. TEMPER: Temporal Encoder-Masked Probabilistic Ensemble Regressor for Time-Series Forecasting

    Sep 20, 2026Giancarlo VercellinoTime Series ForecastingProbabilistic Time Series Forecasting

    Independent researcher

  9. Split Conformal Prediction with Label-Shift-Adjusted Bayesian Scores

    Sep 14, 2026Hyeonsu Lee, Juyeon Kim, Erkhembayar Jadamba +2Label ShiftConformal Prediction

    MOGAM Institute for Biomedical Research, Korea · CROID Research and aSSIST University, Korea

  10. Retrieval-Corrected Conformal Prediction for Time Series

    Aug 11, 2026Sangjin Jin, Kangmin Kim, Junhyeong Lee +1Time Series ForecastingConformal Prediction

    Ulsan National Institute of Science and Technology Ulsan, Republic of Korea

  11. PATH: Next-Interval Prediction via Autoregressive Tree Hierarchy on Tabular Data

    Aug 8, 2026Pengxiang Cai, Wanchen Lian, Chenyang Liu +4Regression Prediction IntervalsTabular Regression

    The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (Guangzhou) · Ant Group

  12. Conformal Calibration for Multi-Modal Regression with Missing Modalities

    Aug 7, 2026Ilia AziziGroup-Conditional Conformal PredictionModel Calibration

    Department of Operations, HEC Lausanne, University of Lausanne, Switzerland · BegooAI, Switzerland

  13. KReF: Training-Free Retrieval for Long-Term Time-Series Forecasting and Predictive Uncertainty

    Aug 7, 2026Yang Zhang, Rui SuLong-Term Time Series ForecastingRetrieval-Augmented Time Series Forecasting

  14. Distribution-Free Conformal Prediction for Steel Fatigue Strength: Marginal Validity Is Not Enough

    Aug 5, 2026Irene BoruahConformal PredictionMaterials Property Prediction

    Department of Mechanical Engineering, Dibrugarh University Institute of Engineering and Technology, Dibrugarh, 786004, Assam, India.

  15. Probabilistic Deep Learning for Drought Forecasting: Role of Internal Climate Variability

    Aug 3, 2026Henri Funk, Cornelia Gruber, Göran Kauermann +2Climate ScienceTime Series Forecasting

    Department of Statistics, LMU Munich, Munich, Germany · Department of Geography, LMU Munich, Munich, Germany

  16. A Multi-Cohort Validation of Censoring-Aware Conformal Lower Predictive Bounds for Pathology Survival Models

    Jul 23, 2026Mingi HongComputational PathologyCancer Survival Prediction

    Independent Researcher

  17. Interval and fuzzy physics-augmented neural networks (iPANN and fPANN) for uncertainty quantification and propagation in constitutive modeling

    Jul 22, 2026Somesh Pratap Singh, Govinda Anantha Padmanabha, Jingye Tan +4Uncertainty QuantificationHyperelasticity

    Sibley School of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, Cornell University, Ithaca, 14853, NY, USA · Ecole Polytechnique Federale de Lausanne (EPFL), 1015, Lausanne, Switzerland · Department of Aerospace and Mechanical Engineering, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, 90007, CA, USA +2

  18. Isotonic Conformal Prediction

    Jul 18, 2026Daniel Bensimon, Sean Xiang Yu, Eric D. Kolaczyk +1Conformal PredictionUncertainty Calibration

    Department of Mathematics and Statistics, McGill University; Mila · Eli Lilly and Company

  19. Climate-Invariant Conformal Prediction Intervals for Multi-Horizon Solar and Wind Forecasting

    Jul 13, 2026Shreedhar Gangwar, Abhinav Bains, Banalaxmi BrahmaGroup-Conditional Conformal PredictionTime Series Forecasting

    B. R. Ambedkar National Institute of Technology, Jalandhar, India · Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Dr. B.R. Ambedkar National Institute of Technology Jalandhar, India

  20. Uncertainty Quantification for EO Regression Tasks: Building Height, Tree Canopy Height and Above-ground Biomass Estimation

    Jul 13, 2026Ritu Yadav, Andrea Nascetti, Yifang BanUncertainty QuantificationRemote Sensing

    Ritu Yadav, Andrea Nascetti and Yifang Ban is with Division of Geoinformatics, KTH Royal Institute of Technology, Sweden.

  21. TSCoNet: A Two-Stage Copula CNN-LSTM for Uncertainty-Aware Spatio-Temporal Forecasting

    Jul 11, 2026Jongwook Kim, Jong-Min KimMultivariate Time Series ForecastingCopula Models

    Statistics Discipline, Division of Science and Mathematics, University of Minnesota-Morris

  22. Heckman-Corrected Epistemic Uncertainty: Selection on Unobservables Defeats Importance Weighting

    Jul 7, 2026Gunner Levi HoweSelection BiasUncertainty Calibration

    Independent Researcher

  23. Robust Bayes-Assisted Conformal Prediction

    Jul 5, 2026Kianoosh Ashouritaklimi, Stefano Cortinovis, François CaronDistribution Shift RobustnessConformal Prediction

    Department of Statistics, University of Oxford

  24. Weighted Conformal Prediction for Lab-to-Track Thermal Transfer in EV Motorsport Powertrains

    Jul 2, 2026Varshith Roy KotlaWeighted Conformal PredictionDomain Adaptation

    Department of CSE, Faculty of Science and Technology, The ICFAI Foundation for Higher Education, Hyderabad, India

  25. Neural Network-Based Estimation of Time-Dependent Parameters in AR(p) Processes

    Jul 1, 2026Agnieszka Kopeć, Paweł Przybyłowicz, Martyna WiącekParameter EstimationProbabilistic Forecasting

  26. Accelerating Conformal Prediction via Approximate Leave-One-Out

    Jun 30, 2026Jiachen Cong, Jingbo LiuConformal PredictionStatistical Learning Theory

    Department of Statistics, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, Champaign, IL, 61820, USA

  27. On Optimal Data Splitting for Split Conformal Prediction

    Jun 30, 2026Sayan Das, Bahram Yaghooti, Todd A. Kuffner +1Conformal PredictionStatistical Learning Theory

    Department of Statistics and Data Science, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, MO 63130, USA · Department of Electrical and Systems Engineering, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, MO 63130, USA

  28. Accelerometry-Derived Digital Biomarkers for Cardiometabolic Risk: A Population-Representative Tabular Benchmark with Uncertainty Quantification

    Jun 29, 2026Federico FelizziAlgorithmic FairnessWearable Health Monitoring

    SIIAM, Rome, Italy · enGene Statistics, Basel, Switzerland.

  29. Do Time Series Foundation Model Benchmarks Hide Regime-Dependent Failures? Evidence from Traffic Speed Forecasting

    Jun 16, 2026Yingshuo Wang, Xian Sun, Lingdong Kong +4Time Series ForecastingForecasting Benchmarks

    University of California, Berkeley, CA, USA · Duke University, Durham, NC, USA · National University of Singapore, Singapore +3

  30. Simulation-Augmented Multi-Step Split Conformal Prediction for Aggregated Forecasts

    Jun 15, 2026Andro SabashviliUncertainty QuantificationTime Series Forecasting