Travel Time

Automated material handling systems in semiconductor fabs are operated by a material control system (MCS) that must schedule a relay route for every transport command online, before execution. This is a data-driven scheduling problem in which route cost is dominated in the upper tail by queueing at heterogeneous, partially observable relay equipment, so route selection requires estimating both delivery time and congestion risk at the decision moment. This paper proposes a transport-network-aware dynamic congestion representation (TN-DCR). Built on a static directed transport graph induced by historically observed relay segments, TN-DCR combines structural route priors, multi-window network-wide congestion context, route-level bottleneck exposure, and an inductive graph-aware route embedding, all constructed under a prediction-time-safety invariant that admits only information observed strictly before the prediction moment. The representation feeds separate queue- and transfer-time regressors and an ordinal multi-label classifier producing calibrated multi-threshold exceedance scores, with an empirical-Bayes stock-key residual correction reducing systematic queue-time underprediction. The predictions serve as costs in a risk-constrained route-scheduling rule that minimizes predicted delivery time subject to a bound on extreme-congestion probability, embedding the learned predictors within a lightweight operations-research decision model. In a controlled closed-loop evaluation, mean delivery time falls by 16.4% and internal resource waiting time by 22.6% while throughput remains essentially unchanged.

Autonomous robot navigation requires rapid construction of obstacle-points-separated convex regions for trajectory planning. When obstacles are represented as point clouds from LiDAR or depth cameras, these regions must be constructed directly from finite obstacle samples while providing suitable constraints for downstream optimization. However, existing corridor-generation methods often struggle to meet real-time, sensor-rate computational requirements. To address this bottleneck, we introduce RISP, a randomized algorithm that constructs convex polytopes from finite point-cloud data, and PathCover, which chains these polytopes along a reference path to form an overlapping corridor. We prove finite termination, sequential intersection, and complete path coverage with respect to the supplied finite point set. Under a probabilistic elimination condition, the sampling-and-elimination stage of RISP has expected O(n) time and unconditional worst-case O(n^2) time. Extensive benchmarks on synthetic and real-world LiDAR datasets demonstrate an order-of-magnitude speedup over state-of-the-art methods in both corridor generation as well as trajectory optimization, while closed-loop quadrotor simulation and a physical quadruped traversal demonstrate integration with downstream motion planners. These results establish corridor separation from the supplied point-cloud representation and practical implementation feasibility. Source code of the entire pipeline is available at https://github.com/kunalnk123690/PathCover.

Estimated Time of Arrival (ETA) prediction is a core component of intelligent transportation systems. As traffic congestion patterns become increasingly dynamic in large cities, maintaining high prediction accuracy poses a major challenge for ride-hailing platforms. Existing methods either fail to adapt to irregular traffic patterns and sudden congestion, or suffer from new distributions without disentangling long-term trends from short-term fluctuations, thereby degrading model performance in real-world scenarios. To address this challenge, we propose DSETA, an incrementally updated Dual-Stage ETA prediction framework. Specifically, the continual learning process is divided into \textit{inter-day} and \textit{intra-day} stages. We first design the \textit{intra-day} learning stage, which relies entirely on real-time data to enable dynamic adaptation to short-term traffic patterns caused by events like holidays or accidents. Next, we develop the \textit{inter-day} learning stage, which leverages aggregated historical data from a short time window to capture knowledge of long-term distribution shifts, such as seasonal trends and traffic network evolution. Subsequently, to prevent catastrophic forgetting and preserve knowledge of regular patterns, we explore a \textit{Historical Traffic Knowledge Consolidation} module. Finally, we validate DSETA's effectiveness and robustness through extensive offline and online experiments conducted on real-world datasets from DiDi's platform. Online A/B tests across three major cities including Beijing, Wuhan, and Xi'an consistently demonstrated performance gains, achieving MAE reductions of 6.62%, 0.73%, and 2.40% respectively. This framework has been successfully deployed in DiDi's production environment, processing hundreds of millions of daily requests and validating its strong performance in industrial applications.

Generating safe corridors is essential for collision-free robotic motion planning, yet most existing methods rely on predefined reference paths, which bias corridor geometry and implicitly limit the homotopy classes that can be explored. We propose a reference-path-free corridor generation framework on graphs of convex sets (GCS) that constructs corridors directly as sequences of convex sets, allowing corridor structure to emerge from the free-space representation rather than from a guiding path. To reason about similarity among corridors, we extend visibility-based deformation from paths to convex-set sequences, enabling the fusion of topologically redundant corridors while preserving distinct alternatives. To overcome the limited adaptability of existing GCS methods based on static global decompositions, we further develop an adaptive multi-scale GCS, in which a sampling-based fine-scale graph supports localized updates and a visibility-based coarse-scale graph enables compact global exploration. The two levels maintain topological consistency, allowing incremental updates without full graph reconstruction under environmental uncertainty. Numerical experiments characterize GCS construction, corridor generation, homotopy-aware exploration, and local updates, showing efficient graph construction, stable trajectory-level performance, and shorter-duration homotopy-aware trajectories than existing baselines. Hardware experiments on ground and aerial robots, including deployment with onboard localization, further validate the framework under translated and previously unknown obstacles.

This work presents a motion planning framework for UAV navigation in non-convex urban air corridors. The planner is based on a mixed-integer tracking model predictive control formulation that enforces corridor feasibility and dynamic consistency within a single optimization problem. To guarantee convergence to the target and mitigate the occurrence of local minima induced by non-convex geometry, a shortest-path-based offset cost with feasibility constraints is embedded directly into the planning problem. Numerical simulations show that the proposed formulation generates dynamically valid trajectories that satisfy the corridor constraints and converge to the target without relying on external global planning stages.

Time-dependent routing recognizes that the same journey can take a different time depending on when it begins. Under duration minimization, even the departure time of each vehicle becomes a decision. Exact methods for this setting exist in the literature, but researchers and practitioners have lacked a ready-to-use open solver that combines rich piecewise-linear travel times, early feasible solutions and optimality claims. KAYROS fills this gap with two modes on one checker-consistent engine: an Iterated Local Search that streams improving solutions and a Branch-Price-and-Cut method that can issue computational optimality certificates under explicit arithmetic and search assumptions. It installs with one command and has no proprietary dependency. The public MAMUT-routing store currently contains 704 KAYROS certificates under a four-solve publication protocol, which has also led to the retraction and repair of invalid earlier claims. The report presents two complementary benchmark contributions to MAMUT-routing. The first integrates Blauth2024, a benchmark from the literature whose travel times derive from measured Uber speeds, for which KAYROS provides new best-known solutions on all 40 instances. The second proposes Poryos2026, a new benchmark of 1,080 paired static and time-dependent instances built from OpenStreetMap road networks and controlled synthetic traffic. Finally, the report describes the intensive human-AI collaboration behind this work and the verification practices that kept its outputs independently verifiable.

The Vehicle Routing Problem (VRP) and its variants represent some of the most practically consequential optimization challenges in modern logistics and urban mobility. In this study, we address a dynamic, online variant combining elements of the VRP and the Orienteering Problem (OP), in which a fleet of vehicles must maximise cumulative reward collected within a fixed time horizon while continuously replanning as new tasks arrive. We propose and evaluate a reward-density heuristic for dynamic multi-vehicle assignment, referred to as the Efficiency heuristic. We evaluate this formulation across two application domains: autonomous drone task allocation and urban taxi dispatch, across multiple fleet sizes and task scales. The proposed method is compared with four classical construction heuristics and three metaheuristic algorithms (Adaptive Large Neighbourhood Search, Genetic Algorithm, and Simulated Annealing), all evaluated under identical conditions. Across all tested configurations, the Efficiency heuristic matches the solution quality of the best metaheuristic algorithms while requiring two to three orders of magnitude less planning time, establishing Pareto dominance over all competing methods on the reward-versus-compute frontier. These findings suggest a practical design principle for real-time allocation and dispatch systems: in dynamic, time-constrained routing environments, carefully designed greedy heuristics can match the output of sophisticated search procedures at a fraction of the computational cost, making them preferable for online deployment.

Individual level daily activity schedules are essential for a wide range of applications, including infectious disease control, urban transportation planning, and policy design. In practice, such schedules are typically generated by combining population data with travel survey data. These data sources are used because they are often publicly available, whereas observed individual activity schedules are difficult to obtain due to privacy concerns. However, because of the complexity of mobility modelling, it is difficult to generate realistic activity schedules that also preserve travel times consistent with those reported in travel surveys. To address this issue, we propose a framework for generating activity schedules that iteratively applies a dynamic programming method to allocate activity locations based on simulated travel times. Numerical experiments with dummy data show that the proposed method reduces the discrepancy between simulated travel times and those reported in travel surveys by 52.2% relative to the first iteration through iterative refinement.

The use of dedicated corridors for Advanced Air Mobility (AAM) traffic is one of the most commonly proposed pathways to integrating them into existing airspace operations. Most prior research has focused on the design of networks of AAM corridors and conflict resolution for aircraft within corridors. It is also generally believed that while attractive from an implementation perspective, corridor-based operations may be inefficient, especially in the absence of centralized traffic management. In this paper, we show that contrary to this belief, it is possible for autonomous aircraft to learn to self-organize into corridor flows in decentralized settings. We illustrate our approach using scenarios in which fixed-wing aircraft need to safely and efficiently traverse (1) a single corridor with metering after the exit, (2) a sequence of two consecutive corridors, and (3) a corridor that splits into two. We find that in decentralized settings with only local information, the aircraft are able to conform to the corridor boundaries more than 94% of the time and reach their goal in a relatively efficient manner. Furthermore, tactical interventions to handle violations of the separation minimum are needed only infrequently in low- and medium-density settings. However, such tactical interventions become more frequently necessary only when traffic density is high.

As autonomous aircraft are introduced at scale and traffic density increases, centralized management becomes insufficient to coordinate the large numbers of crewed and uncrewed aircraft. Dedicated Advanced Air Mobility (AAM) corridors have therefore been proposed for organizing high-density autonomous traffic flows. The desire to scalably provide autonomous aircraft flexibility in trajectory planning motivates the development of decentralized approaches to traffic management in AAM corridors. In this work, we extend a multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) approach to address the challenge of decentralized traffic flow management in air corridor networks. We test policies trained in a single-corridor setting on increasingly complex multi-corridor networks with combinations of merges and splits in a zero-shot manner. Experimental results demonstrate that learned behaviors transfer well to scenarios with varying traffic density, network geometry, and heterogeneous vehicle performance, without needing centralized coordination or model retraining. We evaluate system-level performance in terms of conformance to corridor boundaries, completion rates, average speeds, distance traveled, and maintenance of inter-aircraft separation. We find that although our policies require only locally coordinated entry, traversal, and exit behaviors, they collectively produce desirable traffic flows through the corridor network.

Ambulance response is time-critical in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA), where dispatchers must balance timely arrivals with limited fleet capacity. Static territories and deterministic travel-time estimates are vulnerable to dynamic congestion, while always-dual dispatch adds redundancy but consumes fleet capacity. We propose IDEAL (Intelligent Dual dispatch of Emergency AmbuLances), a selective dual-dispatch framework that sends a second ambulance only when the optimistic gap between primary and secondary paths exceeds a threshold. IDEAL learns context-specific edge travel times from trip-level dispatch records, including unobserved routes, using a weakly supervised bilevel representation network. We train the nonsmooth model with mini-batch conservative gradients and prove an asymptotic convergence guarantee. IDEAL models uncertainty via Burg-divergence perturbations to a shared metric in the learned representation space, thereby inducing correlated changes in edge travel times and learning context-specific radii from historical underprediction errors. For real-time decisions, IDEAL casts optimistic-gap computation as a difference-of-convex program and derives an efficient oracle with complexity guarantees. In collaboration with the Hong Kong Fire Services Department, we evaluate IDEAL using historical OHCA records and real-time adaptive simulations. The results achieve a stronger response-time/resource trade-off relative to all region-based and Google-based baselines.

Advanced Air Mobility (AAM) operations are expected to significantly increase aerial traffic in urban airspace, requiring autonomous traffic management systems to ensure collision-free operations in highly congested environments. In this paper, we propose a multi-agent coordination framework that uses minimum time-to-reach (TTR) as a unifying metric for priority assignment, temporal separation, and safety filtering. We focus on the problem of coordinating multiple aerial vehicles merging into an air corridor while maintaining safe separation between vehicles. Vehicles are assigned arrival-consistent priority based on TTR, and target TTR values are used to enforce temporal spacing that induces spatial separation. A priority-consistent safety filtering layer based on Hamilton-Jacobi reachability value functions ensures collision avoidance while minimally modifying the reference guidance. Simulation results in a highly congested corridor merging scenario show that the proposed method improves safety, fairness, and efficiency compared to time-optimal guidance and priority-agnostic safety filtering.

Accurate vessel estimated-time-of-arrival forecasts are critical for port operations and decarbonization, yet global-scale travel-time prediction remains difficult without costly contextual data. Herein, I present a methodology for constructing a historical maritime knowledge graph using only Automatic Identification System (AIS) data. First, segmented trajectories are extracted from noisy AIS data using a Gaussian-mixture-model-based preprocessing pipeline. The graph is then constructed by iteratively processing the trajectories and storing speed distributions stratified by vessel type, time of travel, and direction of travel; the resulting global graph comprises 5,433 geohash-3 nodes and 12,334 edges. The graph can be queried to retrieve travel-time predictions between any two location via a hierarchical, priority-based system that uses historical statistics with principled fallback. On a temporally held-out test set, median RMSE is 22.75 min (segment-level) and 30.90 min (trajectory-level), with 69.1% of trajectories within 20% of actual arrival time. On a second external test set, median RMSE is 27.36 min (segment-level) and 37.46 min (trajectory-level), with 62.1% of trajectories within 20%. These results corroborate the promise of our method, enabling global travel-time prediction and providing a strong foundation for just-in-time arrival planning and emissions reduction.

Previous methods that predict system-wide travel time, predominantly grounded in graph neural networks, remain limited to typical and recurring demand patterns. While they successfully predict future congestion following daily commute, they inherently approximate a single demand realisation and fail to capture varying route choices. In this work, we propose a Generalised Travel Time Predictor (GenTTP) that successfully differentiates route choices and offers accurate flow and travel time predictions. Our framework learns to uncover complex spatiotemporal traffic patterns and microscopic relationships between route choices and the resulting travel times. This addresses a critical gap: the lack of travel time prediction models that generalise across varying route assignments, where the same demand can produce substantially different network-wide outcomes depending on how travellers are distributed over available paths.

Inefficient driving behaviors, such as overly conservative yielding, remain a key obstacle to deployment of autonomous vehicles (AVs). Instantaneous driving efficiency metrics are crucial for self-driving decision-making because they affect real-time performance evaluation and control optimization. However, commonly used indicators, including speed, relative speed, and inter-vehicle distance, are limited in capturing traffic context and in ensuring consistency between instantaneous outputs and travel-level outcomes. This study proposes the Projected Attainable Speed Space (PASS) model, a unified framework for driving efficiency assessment across instantaneous and travel-level analyses by integrating kinematic and spatial traffic information. PASS characterizes instantaneous driving efficiency with two coupled elements: potential for speed improvement (available acceleration space) and response to that potential (utilization of available acceleration space). Available acceleration space is referenced to projected attainable speed, derived from an idealized catch-up maneuver using relative speed and spacing to the leading vehicle; utilization is represented by the temporal change in available acceleration space. To ensure cross-scale consistency, time-aggregated PASS is defined as a travel-level efficiency metric. Trajectory data from a driving simulation experiment are used for parameter calibration to maximize agreement between time-aggregated PASS and observed travel times. Across 10 lane-change events, results show strong consistency, with an average coefficient of determination of 0.913, validating PASS for consistent efficiency evaluation across instantaneous and travel-level temporal scales. This study provides a unified, physically grounded framework that supports real-time decision-making and long-term performance analysis in autonomous driving.

Coordinating the motions of multiple autonomous vehicles (AVs) requires planning frameworks that ensure safety while making efficient use of space and time. This paper presents a new approach, termed variable-time-step spatio-temporal corridor (V-STC), that enhances the temporal efficiency of multi-vehicle coordination. An optimization model is formulated to construct a V-STC for each AV, in which both the spatial configuration of the corridor cubes and their time durations are treated as decision variables. By allowing the corridor's spatial position and time step to vary, the constructed V-STC reduces the overall temporal occupancy of each AV while maintaining collision-free separation in the spatio-temporal domain. Based on the generated V-STC, a dynamically feasible trajectory is then planned independently for each AV. Simulation studies demonstrate that the proposed method achieves safe multi-vehicle coordination and yields more time-efficient motion compared with existing STC approaches.

Motion planning through narrow passages remains a core challenge: sampling-based planners rarely place samples inside these narrow but critical regions, and even when samples land inside a passage, the straight-line connections between them run close to obstacle boundaries and are frequently rejected by collision checking. Decomposition-based planners resolve both issues by partitioning free space into convex cells -- every passage is captured exactly as a cell boundary, and any path within a cell is collision-free by construction. However, the number of candidate corridors through the cell graph grows combinatorially with environment complexity, creating a bottleneck in corridor selection. We present GNN-DIP, a framework that addresses this by integrating a Graph Neural Network (GNN) with a two-phase Decomposition-Informed Planner (DIP). The GNN predicts portal scores on the cell adjacency graph to bias corridor search toward near-optimal regions while preserving completeness. In 2D, Constrained Delaunay Triangulation (CDT) with the Funnel algorithm yields exact shortest paths within corridors; in 3D, Slab convex decomposition with portal-face sampling provides near-optimal path evaluation. Benchmarks on 2D narrow-passage scenarios, 3D bottleneck environments with up to 246 obstacles, and dynamic 2D settings show that GNN-DIP achieves 99--100% success rates with 2--280 times speedup over sampling-based baselines.