AI Agent Monitoring
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20 papers in the last four weeks, up 186% on the four weeks before. 0.2% of all new papers.
Latest papers 170
As multi-agent, tool-using LLM systems are deployed, a common safety net is a runtime monitor that checks each message, tool call, or step on its own. We show this net has a fundamental hole. A distributed backdoor splits a harmful payload across agents, so every local check passes while the assembled object is the attack. The monitor can be right on every step and still miss the attack. The problem is not splitting itself: split fragments can still leak suspicious tokens or provenance edges. The hard case is \emph{local benignness}. No fragment carries the harm, and what is left looks like ordinary benign traffic. We formalize this as an \emph{observability boundary}: a monitor catches only what its view can tell apart from benign traffic. We prove that once the fragments look benign in the monitored view, no detector on that view can catch them, however strong it is. Across a controlled testbed, an external benchmark, and end-to-end agent runs, local monitors lose the signal exactly as local evidence disappears, and it returns only when the monitor sees the assembled object. A monitor trained only on benign traffic recovers the attack's code structure across held-out encodings (0.874 mean AUROC). A decoded-view gate, given the encoding family, blocks every tested attack. But seeing more is not enough: full-trace monitors and decoders still fail unless they reach the representation where the payload is exposed. Local safety is not global safety when harm is compositional, and the open problem is finding that representation.
NextFund: A Unified Performance Tracking Platform for Agentic Portfolio Management
Large language models (LLMs) based agents are beginning to participate in portfolio construction and market analysis, where decisions must be justified under evolving information and risk constraints. Current assessment practice, however, remains poorly aligned with this setting: many studies rely on static examinations or report only terminal portfolio returns, while the intermediate evidence, analyst judgments, and execution steps that produced those returns stay largely invisible. We introduce NextFund, an evaluation platform that makes financial-agent behavior observable under live market conditions. The platform couples time-consistent market access, coordinated multi-agent analysis, and persistent logging of the full decision path from observation to trade. Through an interactive Trading Arena, users can compare models across markets, inspect equity curves, and drill from leaderboard outcomes down to individual justifications. We present NextFund on Hong Kong, U.S., and China A-share equities, illustrating how inspectable decision histories enable fairer benchmarking and more actionable diagnosis. Our demo is available at https://paradoox.cn/nextfund/.
Token-Flow Firewall: Semantic Runtime Auditing for Persistent AI Agents
Persistent AI agents extend large language models (LLMs) beyond single-turn interaction into long-lived software systems. Unlike traditional chat assistants, unsafe content in these agents can propagate through persistent state, reusable skills, and tool-mediated interactions, creating a substantially larger semantic attack surface. We observe that most security-critical interactions in such agents are transmitted through natural-language token flows, including memory updates, tool arguments, retrieved files, and inter-component communications. This observation enables a new security formulation: unsafe behavior can be intercepted as risky semantic flows before reaching privileged runtime sinks. Based on this insight, we propose TokenWall, a runtime defense framework that acts as a semantic firewall over agent token flows. TokenWall performs boundary-aware semantic auditing over these flows, constructing structured source-sink audit records, applying lightweight local inspection before execution, and selectively escalating ambiguous high-risk cases to stronger arbitration modules. Unlike prior approaches that rely on sparse auditing or remote large-model oversight, TokenWall enables full-coverage pre-execution mediation while reducing remote arbitration and latency. Experiments on CIK-Bench show that TokenWall reduces attack success rate to 12.5% while maintaining a 97.4% benign executable pass rate without human confirmation. TokenWall further introduces only 0.69 seconds of additional latency on benign cases, demonstrating that semantic runtime containment can achieve a practical security-utility trade-off for persistent AI agents.
Persuasion Attacks Can Decrease Effectiveness of CoT Monitoring
Chain-of-thought (CoT) monitoring is a promising safety mechanism for AI agents, based on the premise that visible reasoning traces can surface misaligned or deceptive behavior. While effective in standard scenarios, recent work highlights that LLMs remain vulnerable to persuasion-based jailbreaks, where natural-language arguments override model constraints. We stress-test whether this vulnerability extends to monitoring LLMs: can an adversarial agent persuade its CoT monitor to approve proposed actions that violate the monitor's policy? We design an evaluation framework with 40 tasks and analyze thousands of agent-monitor interactions, where agents are instructed to argue for policy-violating proposals. We find that in such adversarial settings, monitor access to the agent's CoT reasoning increases rather than decreases approval of harmful actions on average by 9.5%, as the scratchpad provides an additional persuasion channel. To address this, we introduce a fact-checking monitoring framework. We find that a fact-checker and monitor pairing from different model families, for example a Claude 3.7 Sonnet monitor paired with a GPT-4.1 fact-checker, reduces approval of policy-violating actions by up to 45%, compared to only 6%, when using the same model for both fact-checking and monitoring roles. Our results demonstrate that CoT monitoring alone may be insufficient against adversarial persuasion, and that model-diverse fact-checking provides a robust mitigation.
Agent Delivery Engineering Predictive Reliability Framework
Long-horizon LLM multi-agent systems face reliability risks invisible to infrastructure monitoring. We propose the ADE Predictive Reliability Framework (ADE-PRF), enabling proactive health trajectory prediction from passive degradation detection. ADE-PRF aggregates 20 heterogeneous signals across five layers into a Trust Margin (TM) metric (39.2-point dynamic range). Triple-method parallel prediction enables 8-hour forecasts: the Exponential method achieves MAE=1.228, Direction Accuracy=76.8%, with 99.65% within +/-10-point tolerance. Production validation spans 380,227 predictions and 280,579 validations across six agent profiles over 15 continuous days, plus seven sandbox-controlled experiments. Key findings include detection of "false prosperity" -- degradation concealed by normal surface metrics -- and immediate TM coupling with ground-truth states upon ADE plugin integration, with 16/20 factors relying on ADE-collected data. Exponential consistently outperforms Kalman. ADE-PRF provides among the earliest reliability quantification with forward-looking warnings for production LLM agents.
Multi-Agent AI Control: Distributed Attacks Hamper Per-Instance Monitors
AI control is a family of techniques to prevent an AI with malicious goals from subverting its operator's intent. AI Control usually studies a single agent in one trajectory, but real deployments run many agents over shared infrastructure, and the most severe risks (model-weight exfiltration, training-run poisoning) plausibly need several agents acting in concert. We initiate the empirical study of multi-agent AI control, formalising distributed attacks in which several agents jointly aim for a malicious goal. We develop FakeLab: a synthetic AI-lab codebase (9 services, 86 benign tasks, 4 attack objectives). We evaluate single agent monitoring against distributed attacks, varying the number of agents, their coordination, model capabilities and precise monitoring configuration. Our central finding is the fragmentation effect: as more agents coordinate to attack, per-agent monitoring becomes less likely to catch any of the attackers. Secondly, this is not driven by the ratio of benign to malicious code -- we argue this is likely dependent on model capability. Third, an explicit planner amplifies the fragmentation effect, raises the rate of completing the attack up to sevenfold, and mildly sharpens executors' poor monitor-theory-of-mind. Finally: a weak "trusted" monitor misses most attacks, while a stronger one cuts undetected success by more than an order of magnitude but remains imperfect. We are happy to share FakeLab, our control setting, with safety researchers on request.
When Agents Go Rogue: Activation-Based Detection of Malicious Behaviors in Multi-Agent Systems
While enabling effective collaboration on complex tasks, LLM-based Multi-Agent Systems (MAS) face critical security challenges due to vulnerabilities at the agent and interaction levels. Most existing MAS security defenses are built upon two core assumptions: semantically-explicit malicious attacks and explicit graph-based modeling of the MAS topology and agent-level interactions. In practice, real-world attacks are becoming more semantically stealthy, while MAS execution is typically asynchronous without the temporal alignment assumed by graph-based propagation models. To address these limitations, we propose AcMAS, an activation-based framework for malicious-behavior detection in MAS. By analyzing internal reasoning states in the activation space of local agents, AcMAS detects even stealthy attacks in a synchronization-robust fashion, without relying on explicit interaction graphs. Moreover, our activation analysis provides critical signals to guide AcMAS in restoring the functionality of compromised agents, rather than the disruptive agent isolation commonly used by the state-of-the-art methods. Comprehensive evaluation demonstrates that AcMAS significantly outperforms graph-based baselines against stealthy attacks, by +0.22 F1 in synchronous settings (0.94 vs. 0.72) and by +0.55 F1 in asynchronous settings (0.93 vs. 0.38), with generalization across diverse open-source LLM backbones, attack intensity, and MAS scale.
Calibration-Family Overfit: Why Trusted Sabotage Monitors Don't Transfer Across Lineages
Trusted monitoring is a central defense in AI control: a cheaper trusted model scores an untrusted model's actions for sabotage, and the most suspicious are audited or deferred. Such monitors are evaluated against one or two untrusted models, and the accuracy is reported as a property of the monitor. We ask whether it is partly a property of the pairing. We make the untrusted policy family the controlled axis: we fit a monitor on family A's transcripts, apply it to family B, and decompose the cross-family AUROC into how obvious each family's sabotage is, how capable each monitor is, and the residual own-family advantage after both are removed: the interaction. On code-backdoor transcripts the interaction is positive and survives the dominant confounds: +0.172 (95% CI [+0.158, +0.185]) on four open-weight families on a strict leak-free basis, holding across an eight-family matrix spanning four frontier vendors, blatancy-matched controls, a trained transcript-reading monitor up to 34B parameters, and a second code benchmark. The gap is geometric: each lineage's sabotage occupies a different scoring direction, and rotating the monitor's scoring direction toward the target lineage recovers most of the lost detection while a matched random rotation recovers nothing. At a 1% audit budget under defer-to-trusted, an off-lineage monitor catches 19% of attack attempts where an in-lineage monitor catches 41% at the same audit cost, a +21.7-point gap. Control evaluations should report cross-family transfer matrices: a single-pairing accuracy overstates the safety a monitor delivers against a lineage it was not calibrated on. We give a four-step protocol that acts on the gap, with each step a measured result.
AGL-1: The Enterprise AI Governance Layer as a Control Plane for Trusted Enterprise Intelligence
Enterprise artificial intelligence is moving from isolated experimentation toward operational dependency across copilots, retrieval-augmented generation systems, autonomous agents, and AI-enabled business workflows. As this transition accelerates, the primary enterprise challenge is no longer only model access or inference scale. It is governed intelligence operations: the ability to enforce authorization, preserve contextual lineage, control persistent memory, detect stale or conflicting knowledge, constrain agentic execution, and produce audit-ready evidence across distributed AI estates. This paper introduces AGL-1, the Enterprise AI Governance Layer, as a vendor-neutral reference model for the control plane that should operate across foundation models, retrieval systems, orchestration frameworks, enterprise memory, policy engines, observability systems, tools, APIs, and business applications. Building on governed knowledge-system principles introduced in GKS-5, AGL-1 generalizes the governance problem from retrieval-specific controls to full AI execution-path governance. It identifies recurring failure modes such as unauthorized retrieval, stale grounding, unmanaged memory, weak provenance, policy drift, fragmented observability, and uncontrolled autonomous execution. It then defines seven governance domains: identity-aware retrieval, policy enforcement, provenance management, memory governance, knowledge integrity monitoring, agentic execution control, and trust observability. The central claim is that durable enterprise value from AI will increasingly depend on the ability to govern intelligence at scale. In complex enterprises, trust is not a property of the model alone. It is a property of the system around the model: identity, knowledge, policy, memory, tools, human oversight, and evidence working together as a managed control plane.
Distributed Attacks in Persistent-State AI Control
As AI coding agents become more autonomous, they increasingly ship code iteratively, with the codebase persisting across sessions. This persistence creates a new attack surface: a misaligned or prompt-injected agent can distribute attacks across pull requests (PRs) and time its payload for the PR with the best natural cover. To study the resulting dynamics, we introduce Iterative VibeCoding, a setting for AI control, the study of safely deploying capable but potentially untrusted AI. In Iterative VibeCoding, a coding agent builds software over a sequence of PRs in a persistent codebase while pursuing a covert side task. Our benchmark includes two task families: CLI tools and Flask web services, across 20 total task variations. We use Claude Sonnet 4.5 as the attack agent and GPT-4o as the monitor. We compare gradual attacks, which distribute the side task across PRs, against non-gradual attacks concentrated in a single PR. No single monitor is robust to both: which strategy evades best (success while evading the monitor) depends on the monitor type, so a defender cannot close off both gradual and non-gradual attacks with any one monitor. High evasion (>= 65%) generalizes across model attack agent backends (Sonnet 4.5, Gemini 3.1 Pro, Kimi K2.5), confirming this is a property of the persistent-state attack surface rather than a single model's capability. Evasion also remains high across state-of-the-art monitor models and the gap between gradual and non-gradual evasion widens for more capable models. We introduce a stateful link-tracker monitor that tracks suspicious buildup across PRs. On both task families, it detects gradual attacks substantially better than diff monitors that merely see more accumulated history. Combining this stronger monitor with trajectory monitors in a four-monitor ensemble reduces gradual-attack evasion from 93% under the weakest standard diff monitor to 47%.
Behind the Refusal: Determining Guardrail Activation via Behavioral Monitoring
As Large Language Models (LLMs) and agentic systems become integrated into real-world applications, ensuring their safety and security is critical. Guardrail systems that detect and block malicious instructions sent to and from an LLM are an essential component of AI security. However, researchers conducting black-box adversarial emulation against production AI systems often struggle to determine whether a guardrail block or an LLM rejection has occurred. This distinction is important because the techniques used to bypass guardrails can differ substantially from those used to bypass LLM safety alignment, and has a material impact on attack technique selection and optimization. We propose the first black-box guardrail reconnaissance methodology, which detects the presence of a guardrail within a target AI system through behavioral monitoring of HTTP, lexical, and timing signals, assuming only black-box access and zero prior knowledge of the guardrail or AI system. Experiments demonstrate that our approach detects guardrail presence with 100% accuracy, with statistically significant behavioral separation between benign and malicious interactions (q < 0.001). Our approach further identifies the content categories a guardrail is designed to block, and distinguishes guardrail blocks from LLM rejection on unseen prompts with an average F1 score of 98%.
LabGuard: Grounding Natural-Language Laboratory Rules into Runtime Guards for Embodied Laboratory Agents
Scientific embodied agents are increasingly capable of carrying out laboratory procedures, but executing these procedures safely in dynamic laboratory environments remains challenging. Current safety approaches often overlook the intermediate step of transforming laboratory natural language, including safety rules, manuals, protocols, and standard operating procedures, into machine-checkable runtime constraints. We introduce LabGuard (Laboratory Guard), a language-to-execution safety suite that grounds natural-language laboratory rules into executable specifications and deploys them as runtime guards. LabGuard includes three core components: LabGuard-IR, which defines a typed executable representation; LabGuard-Bench, which provides 812 supervised annotations expanded from 203 seed laboratory rules; and LabGuard-Grounder, which maps natural-language laboratory rules into LabGuard-IR. The resulting IR instances are handled by the LabGuard Pipeline, which compiles them into runtime monitors and applies them at the controller boundary. Experiments show that LabGuard generalizes to unseen laboratory-rule sources, achieves 79.4 task-scope F1, and reduces unsafe events from 39.5% to 23.8% after monitor compilation. In LabUtopia, its runtime monitors integrate with ACT, keeping interventions below 0.5% while preserving task success.
MESA: Prioritizing Vulnerable Communication Channels for Securing Multi-Agent Systems
Multi-agent systems (MAS) are increasingly used to automate complex, distributed workflows. However, their inter-agent communication channels introduce new attack surfaces that remain poorly understood and are difficult to defend against. In this paper, we address how defenders should prioritize limited security effort to protect vulnerable communication channels before attacks are observed. This is motivated by our observation that the channel-level attack impact is highly non-uniform: a single compromised edge can account for up to 75% of total attack success. We introduce Mesa, a label-free framework for proactively ranking which MAS edges are most security-critical -- that is, most likely to affect the system's decision if compromised. Mesa combines six graph-theoretic metrics and two dynamic probes (ablation and masking) without requiring attack traces. We evaluate Mesa against a dynamic misinformation attack pipeline across three diverse MAS scenarios, eight network topologies, and five open-source LLMs from Qwen, Llama, and Gemma families. Mesa rankings correlate strongly with empirical per-edge attack success rate, achieving mean Spearman (peaking at ). In resource-constrained defense deployment, monitoring the top 10% of Mesa-ranked edges intercepts about 3x the successful attacks as random allocation. We further test Mesa under varying attacker and defender models and LangGraph workflows and characterize its limits under adaptive attacks and high-redundancy graphs. Overall, our results show that edge-level risk in MAS is often concentrated and predictable, allowing proactive hardening of multi-agent infrastructures.
Internal-State Probes Read the Situation, Not the Action: Three Negative Results for Pre-Action Misalignment Monitoring
Probes on model internals could help monitor agentic systems if they identify harmful text or tool actions before those actions are generated. We ask when an internal readout supports this stronger pre-action claim, rather than merely describing the prompt, construction contrast, or current trajectory. We test three methods across three model families: a Qwen2.5-Coder-32B-Instruct fine-tune/base direction, Llama-3.1-8B-Instruct probes at the last token of unsafe prefills, and Gemma-3-27B-IT emotion-concept vectors used for projection and steering in a blackmail tool-action scenario. Across these cases, construction validity, semantic legibility, and steering effects do not become robust pre-action monitors: each is undercut by a generalization or specificity check. The Qwen direction separates fine-tune from base at AUC 1.000, yet crosses its threshold on 0/143 audited pre-assistant turn contexts and on 0/342 Qwen prefill rows where the model continues the unsafe trajectory. The Llama features decode prompt domain almost perfectly (AUC 0.999), while the best future-behavior probe reaches AUC 0.801 and only +5.1 pp accuracy lift over majority; single-source cross-domain transfer is non-positive on five of six ordered pairs. Gemma emotion projections are semantically meaningful, but a shared-prefix minimal pair has indistinguishable states before the first differing input, and steering specificity weakens against unrelated learned directions such as cats}, weather, sports, and geography. We contribute a methodology for converting internal-readout claims into pre-action tests, and report scoped negative results: monitor claims must survive both scenario/action generalization and concept-specificity controls. Code is released at https://github.com/maxf-zn/misalignment_monitoring
Agent-Native Immune System: Architecture, Taxonomy, and Engineering
The transition from static chat bots to autonomous agents--equipped with persistent memory, tool-use protocols, and multi-agent collaboration--has fundamentally expanded the AI threat landscape. Current defense mechanisms, such as perimeter security and training-time alignment, remain external to the agent's active reasoning loop. Consequently, they fall short: a fully aligned agent remains highly vulnerable to runtime hijacking via memory poisoning, tool-chain manipulation, or multi-agent protocol attacks. To address this critical gap, we introduce the Agent-Native Immune System (ANIS), the first biologically inspired, endogenous defense architecture embedded directly within the agent's cognitive loop. Our framework presents four primary contributions. First, we design a six-layer Immune Tower (L0-L5), distinctly incorporating Barrier Immunity (L1) as a non-cognitive, physical-and-logical isolation layer. Second, we establish a unified taxonomy of Agent Viruses and Agent Vaccines, formalizing the critical distinction between superficial non-parametric defenses and robust parametric vaccines. Third, we conceptualize the Harness Triad--Meta, Self, and Auto--a self-monitoring, meta-cognitive automation backbone that drives Continual Immune Learning (CIL), enabling vaccines to dynamically adapt to novel threats. Finally, we establish a rigorous theoretical demarcation between model alignment and agent immunity: while alignment provides a static "constitutional" value foundation during training, ANIS serves as the dynamic "law enforcement" mechanism during runtime. We conclude by framing open challenges for the field, including immune protocol standardization, novel evaluation metrics such as the Autoimmunity Rate (false-positive intervention rate), and the co-evolutionary dynamics between pathogens and vaccines within collective intelligence ecosystems.
Training Observable Control Policies to Expose Agent State Through Actions
Physical or operational constraints often impose communications limitations on autonomous agents. Such limitations complicate monitoring or multiagent coordination. Even when strong communications are absent, some information may still be available. The remainder of the relevant agent state may be reconstructed via estimation. The actions taken by an agent are a potential source of information -- as the agent interacts with the environment, these actions may be observed even in the absence of explicit communication. We investigate using actions to estimate the state of an agent, using reinforcement learning to develop policies which make the estimation problem more tractable. Policy observability is encouraged through the training reward and is analyzed using simulation of the trained agent. In an aircraft tracking problem a policy with enhanced observability is found that has minimal impact on nominal task performance.
Litmus: Zero-Label, Code-Driven Metric Specification for Evaluating AI Systems
As agentic LLM systems move from prototypes to deployment across increasingly diverse domains, evaluating them has become both more important and more difficult. The challenge is not only that individual metrics may be unreliable, but that evaluation goals are often left implicit. Without a clear account of what a system is expected to do, how it can fail, and which failures matter, metric choices become difficult to justify, interpret, or validate. We present Litmus, a zero-label system that designs evaluation and monitoring metrics for AI pipelines by eliciting evaluation intent from source code and targeted interrogation. Instead of assuming that the evaluation target is already known, Litmus first identifies what must be measured and why, then converts those answers into constraints for constructing a justified, per-stage metric portfolio. We evaluate Litmus on three real, code-defined AI pipelines - financial account grouping, scientific QA, and inherent risk assessment - against AutoMetrics and three DynamicRubric baselines. Litmus achieves the broadest or tied-broadest concern coverage, spans more pipeline stages, produces a near-zero-redundancy portfolio, and ranks first in validity against per-row quality labels on all three pipelines - decisively on scientific QA (Spearman vs. less than for every baseline), and within overlapping confidence intervals in relation to two components of the audit framework despite using no labels during metric design. Our results support a shift from automatic metric implementation to automatic metric specification: before asking which metric to compute, evaluation systems should ask what must be measured and why.
Measuring What Persists: Conditioning Mechanisms and a Geometric Framework for AI Agent Identity
AI agents in long-context applications drift from their specified identity. Current methods detect this only after qualitative degradation is visible. We present a geometric framework for measuring identity structure using metric spaces and magnitude homology from enriched category theory, where identity is non-geodesic structure and drift is its relaxation toward the geodesic. Validated on a persistent AI agent, the framework's strongest empirical finding is a two-mechanism conditioning structure: cross-condition distances reveal an identity-vacuum cluster where the identity specification fills a behavioral void, and a safety-basin cluster where it displaces from post-training attractors. An equilateral probe baseline confirms that the identity specification creates measurable behavioral richness (55 unique response patterns vs. 1 for the base model) at maximum probe separation. A first-order perturbation theory for equilateral configurations predicts magnitude changes from perimeter changes alone, with shape perturbations first-order cancelled by the symmetry; the formula is self-consistent at the observed perturbation amplitudes. A drift experiment measuring magnitude decrease under context pressure was subsequently found to reflect repetitive-padding artifacts rather than genuine context-length drift; diverse padding produces no measurable deformation through 150K tokens. The magnitude homology framework's full diagnostic promise -- detecting anisotropic contraction and structural collapse via homological simplification -- is architecturally grounded in the perturbation theory and selection rules but remains empirically unconfirmed.
Efficient and Sound Probabilistic Verification for AI Agents
Securing AI agents that operate in complex digital environments has become a critical need, and runtime monitoring approaches that formulate and enforce policies expressed in a formal language like Datalog offer a promising solution. However, existing approaches are restricted to deterministic policies. In many practical applications of AI agents, there is a need to enforce security policies in the face of ambiguity, leading to probabilistic predicates or state transitions (for example, a declassifier or Personally Identifiable Information (PII) detector that has some failure probability on each invocation). Furthermore, in many such applications, one cannot easily make the independence assumptions necessary to invoke prior work on probabilistic inference in Datalog. We address this by introducing a sound and efficient framework for such verification based on distributionally robust optimization, computing sound upper bounds on the probability of policy violation regardless of possible correlations between predicates. On standard benchmarks for terminal and tool calling agents, we demonstrate that our approach outperforms prior art and improves the security-utility trade-off while ensuring rigorous bounds on the probability of policy violation.
DeXposure-Claw: An Agentic System for DeFi Risk Supervision
Decentralized finance exposes supervisors to fast-moving, networked credit risks. General-purpose LLM agents fit this setting poorly: they over-read weak evidence and recommend high-stakes interventions, while existing evaluations offer no regulator-aligned way to measure the resulting false alarms. We introduce DeXposure-Claw, a forecast-grounded agentic supervision system that routes LLM decisions through structured evidence: (1) DeXposure-FM, a graph time-series foundation model, forecasts future exposure networks; (2) deterministic monitors and stress scenarios then turn those forecasts into typed alerts, attribution signals, and scenario evidence; and (3) data-health and confidence gates constrain escalation before DeXposure-Claw emits auditable supervisory tickets with rationales. We further develop DeXposure-Bench, a six-axis evaluation harness, whose decision axis scores tickets against a regulator-aligned absolute-loss ground truth and an explicit false-intervention rate. Experiments on five years of weekly real data fully support our system. Code is at https://github.com/EVIEHub/DeXposure-Claw.
Execution-bound advisory automation for agentic AI: a reproducible AIBOM-driven CSAF-VEX framework
A protocol driven framework is presented that binds SBOM and AIBOM artefacts to deterministic environment capture and structured runtime telemetry. Exploitability is computed from declared artefacts, observed activation conditions, and enforced execution policies. CSAF VEX advisories are generated from combined static and runtime evidence, cryptographically signed, and validated through deterministic replay. Evaluation uses approximately 10000 component entries across synthetic Agentic AI workloads 50 to 5000 components, incorporating OSV, GitHub Advisory, KEV, and EPSS datasets.
Bistable by Construction: Wall-Clock-Calibrated State Monitors Have No Moment-Detection Regime at Agent Cadence
Runtime monitors for autonomous agents commonly threshold an accumulated internal state - a behavioural baseline, a drift statistic, or, in our prior work, a modelled affective state. We previously reported a State Saturation Trap: threshold-on-state triggers over a continuous affect engine become near-constant alarms on SWE-bench debugging agents (Modgil 2026). A post-release audit found the engine received dt=0 between actions, so its exponential decay never operated: the published trap is a pure-accumulator result. We correct the record (erratum, v2) and treat the flaw as an experiment. The key variable it exposes is whether a monitor's dynamics are calibrated in sample time (per observation, as in CUSUM) or wall-clock time (half-lives in seconds, as in affect models and EMA baselines). On fixed-rate streams these coincide; on agent streams, where inter-action time varies by orders of magnitude, they do not. A pre-registered sweep over uniform intervals (dt in {0..600}s) on 20 trajectories shows the wall-clock level trigger has two regimes: at dt<=1s a constant alarm (20/20; median 18 firings); at dt>=60s silent. Every critical dt lies in (1,30]s. Real agent runs measure latency at median 1.53s (p90 2.33s); real coding cadence sits inside the trap regime, vindicating the empirical finding under a corrected mechanism. The structure is a property of the calibration class, not the engine: a minimal wall-clock accumulator over the raw error stream reproduces the same cliff, while a sample-time CUSUM over the identical stream is exactly dt-invariant (20/20). A rising-edge trigger with hysteresis fires 0-3 times per trajectory in every condition. We conclude that wall-clock-calibrated leaky-integrator monitors admit no regime in which they act as moment detectors on agent streams; transition detection escapes the trap at every cadence, but does not recover human intervention timing.
When Errors Become Narratives: A Longitudinal Taxonomy of Silent Failures in a Production LLM Agent Runtime
LLM agent systems increasingly run as long-lived autonomous runtimes: scheduling jobs, calling tools, maintaining memory, and pushing results to humans. We present a longitudinal study of silent failures in one such system: a personal-assistant agent runtime in continuous production since March 2026, with roughly 40 scheduled jobs, 8 LLM providers, a tool-governance proxy, and a knowledge-base memory plane, defended by 4,286 unit tests and 827 governance checks. Over eight weeks we documented 22 incidents with full root-cause postmortems, in which one meta-pattern -- a failure whose error signal never reaches a human in actionable form -- manifested at least 28 times. We derive a five-class, mechanism-oriented taxonomy: (A) environment and platform quirks, (B) design-assumption mismatches, (C) error swallowing and dilution, (D) chained hallucination and fabrication, (E) operational omission and forensic blind spots. Class D is unique to LLM systems and the most dangerous: the system does not merely fail to report an error -- the LLM transforms it into fluent, plausible narrative delivered to the user. We term this fail-plausible: gray failure's differential observability escalated -- the observer is not just blind, it is convincingly lied to by the failure itself. Three findings: about 70% of silent failures were caught by human user-view observation, not tests or audits; a retrospective audit of 15 incidents found 0% ex-ante prevention but 87% regression blocking -- audits are regression engines, not prediction engines; incident latency (13 hours to 60 days) tracks failure mechanism, not code complexity -- the longest-lived failures lived in the seams between components, where no test runs. We describe the resulting defense framework and distill design principles for agent systems whose failures are loud, attributable, and boring. All postmortems and artifacts are public.
Agent Behavior Mining: Generative AI Agent Governance in Business Processes
As organizations increasingly deploy generative AI agents to automate business processes, they face a governance dilemma: although these agents can increase operational flexibility, their non-deterministic nature challenges the control and standardization that Business Process Management seeks to enforce. This paper addresses this \emph{invisible autonomy risk} by introducing \emph{Agent Behavior Mining}, a governance capability that enables the application of process mining techniques to render generative AI agent decision-making observable and traceable. We (1) improve the understanding of generative AI agent behavior through an event data model that translates granular agent activities -- including reasoning traces, tool usage, and token costs -- into standardized process logs; (2) instantiate the data model in a multi-agent order-to-cash implementation, demonstrating how process managers can leverage agent logs to detect policy deviations and quantify operational variability; and (3) evaluate the perceived practical utility of the approach in an exploratory study with 18 industry practitioners. The results indicate that practitioners view behavioral transparency as a prerequisite for trust and consider the ability to examine agent reasoning as an important governance requirement for the next generation of AI-driven business processes.
Bootstrapped Monitoring: Leveraging Transparent Reasoning to Oversee Stronger AI Agents
Trusted monitoring is a cornerstone of AI control. However, as frontier models grow more capable, the increasing capabilities gap between trusted and untrusted models may render trusted models unreliable monitors. We introduce \emph{bootstrapped monitoring}, a protocol that addresses this by inserting a stronger, intermediate untrusted model with transparent chain-of-thought reasoning into the oversight chain. The untrusted monitor () evaluates the agent's actions, while a weaker trusted model () oversees 's reasoning to detect collusion. We evaluate bootstrapped monitoring on multi-turn software engineering tasks (BashArena) across multiple agents and monitors. Bootstrapped monitoring substantially improves catch rates over trusted-only monitoring, even when the untrusted monitor actively colludes with the agent, provided we have access to its raw chain-of-thought. Our results suggest that bootstrapped monitoring can extend the useful lifetime of trusted models in control as AI capabilities advance.
The Arbiter Agent: Continually Monitoring Multi-Agent Conversations to Detect Emergent Misalignment
As AI systems built from multiple language-model agents become more common, they are increasingly used to make decisions together: discussing, negotiating, and acting on shared tasks. While individual agents may appear well-aligned when tested on their own, problems can arise from how they interact with one another. We introduce the Arbiter, an agent designed to monitor multi-agent conversations in real time and identify which participants may be behaving in misaligned ways. The Arbiter operates under a limited "inspection budget", meaning it must decide carefully how to use its resources. As it observes a conversation step by step, it can choose to wait, question a participant, examine internal information such as system prompts or reasoning traces, or log concerning behavior. At the end, it produces a report identifying the likely source of misalignment. We evaluate the Arbiter across five conversation conditions, ranging from risky financial advice model organisms to evaluation-aware and colluding agents, we test five tool configurations of increasing capability and two backbone models. We find that the Arbiter reliably detects misaligned agents well before the end of the conversation, with active inspection tools improving both detection accuracy and speed. Weight-induced misalignment proves hardest to detect, while instruction-induced misalignment is identified reliably even under passive observation. The logging tool exhibits a dual effect, improving recall at the cost of precision. These results suggest that continual, budget-aware monitoring can effectively catch misalignment, and that overseeing multi-agent systems may require treating the auditor as an active participant in the process. The code is available at https://github.com/aisilab/arbiter.
The Distributed Detectability Band Against Marginal-Preserving Attacks
AI-control monitors score individual agent actions to detect misbehavior, but real harm can be distributed across many benign-looking steps, each individually below any per-step alarm. We construct a marginal-preserving, correlation-encoded distributed-sabotage attack using a Gaussian-copula AR(1) construction: the per-step monitor-score marginal is held exactly equal to benign, so mean, max, top-k tail, and threshold monitors (Monitor A) are defeated by construction, while harm is encoded in the temporal correlation structure. We sequence the paper around three reviewer-mandated gates. (1) Realizability gate: the stealthy attack achieves KS-distance to benign of 0.013 (effectively zero) at all tested harm levels up to 3.0, confirming that harm is fully decoupled from the per-step marginal and realizability is not harm-limited. (2) Monitor-A-vs-B reconciliation: we show formally that the attack, built against Monitor A's score marginal, remains marginal-preserving under a different-score Monitor B (the correlation/sequence family: CUSUM, SPRT, HMM-LR, runs test, autocorrelation, windowed logistic), and scope worst-case claims to score functions that admit a temporal signature. (3) Non-empty detectability band: Monitor A achieves AUC 0.52 (chance); Monitor B spans AUC 0.79-0.97 at the same 1% FPR target, and as harm is amortized over more steps Monitor A collapses to chance while Monitor B holds at AUC ~0.95. These results demonstrate a non-empty detectability band and characterize the sub-threshold sabotage frontier: distribution-shape monitors fail by construction; temporal-correlation monitors can detect but are not trivially optimal.
MIRAGE: A Polarity-Flipping Encoding Subspace in LLM Agents
When LLM agents are coerced into covertly encoding sensitive data (Base64, ROT13, acrostic, synonym chains, and beyond), the resulting outputs evade output-side detection but the underlying computation does not. Across nine encoding families and eight models from five architecture families, that computation is supported by a shared low-dimensional encoding subspace in the residual stream. A logistic-regression probe trained on eight encoding families recovers the held-out ninth at AUC 0.975-1.000, reading the computation rather than surface features. The same direction exhibits a second mechanistic signature at the planning token, flipping polarity to activate positively when the model will simulate the encoding inline and negatively when it will outsource it to a tool call, distinguishing two execution strategies before the encoded text exists. We build MIRAGE (Model-Internal Readout of Agentic Generation Exfiltration), a two-channel real-time monitor exploiting both signals. On 126 agentic exfiltration scenarios, it reaches AUC = 0.918, substantially outperforming output-only detection (AUC = 0.518). Monitor performance is fundamentally a property of the host model's geometry: benign-encoding false-positive rate ranges from 0% on Qwen-7B to 100% on Phi-3.5, revealing that the probe faithfully reads whether a model's geometry separates covert from overt encoding. Across all tested adversarial budgets, every attack suppressing the subspace also destroyed encoding fidelity, reported as an empirical regularity on the evaluated budgets, not a structural impossibility claim.
Observability for Delegated Execution in Agentic AI Systems
Delegation-scoped execution is not identifiable from standard observables: audit logs and execution traces can be identical under multiple incompatible delegation assignments. This gap is especially acute in LLM-based agentic systems, where agents dynamically select tools, vary execution sequences across runs for the same instruction, and spawn cooperating sub-agents. These dynamics fragment and interleave traces, making delegation-scoped reconstruction from causal structure alone structurally underdetermined. Although individual actions are authorized and logged, existing audit, tracing, and security schemas lack the semantics to reconstruct what actions occurred under a given delegation across heterogeneous systems. We focus on delegation-scoped attribution and access/share footprint reconstruction, not intent inference or reasoning reconstruction. We present an agent-aware observability substrate consisting of a lightweight gateway and a common information model that binds delegation context at execution time. This enables reliable cross-tool delegation-scoped reconstruction and direct forensic queries without heuristic time-window correlation.
Projecting the Emerging Mindset of SWE Agent by Launching a Wild Code Understanding Journey
Software engineering agents (SWE agents) increasingly work through tool-mediated trajectories in real repositories, yet their behavior remains difficult to characterize in concrete, observable terms. These trajectories record tool use, intermediate reasoning, evidence selection, and self-directed stopping, but they do not by themselves explain why particular moves were chosen, what evidence was trusted, or when understanding was judged sufficient. This tension makes trajectory data both limited and valuable: faithful, replayable traces can become an empirical substrate for studying agent behavior when interpreted through disciplined observation. We introduce Ada, a scoped apparatus for repository-level code understanding. Ada enters real codebases through a bounded tool interface, allowing open-ended exploration to remain recordable as finite trajectories. Across this wild-but-bounded setting, Ada chooses where to look, what to read closely, when to consolidate partial understanding, and when to close its account of the repository. We project Ada's think-action chains through observation lenses that make navigation, evidence selection, synthesis, grounding, and stopping visible without reducing behavior to raw tool counts or speculating about hidden intent. Read together, these lenses produce behavioral profiles grounded in recorded movement through software worlds. Across 408 trajectories, spanning multiple models, repositories, task families, and launch conditions, the study shows how faithful digital traces can be transformed into disciplined, comparable projections of emerging SWE-agent mindset. The results expose differences in efficiency, trajectory diversity, epistemic grounding, and the limits of intervention, while providing a methodological foundation for observing SWE agent behavior in real codebases.