Conformal Prediction

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Period ending 2026-09-21

7 new papers

A weekly snapshot of new work published in Conformal Prediction.

Period ending 2026-09-14

8 new papers

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Period ending 2026-09-07

9 new papers

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278 papers

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  1. RouteNLP: Closed-Loop LLM Routing with Conformal Cascading and Distillation Co-Optimization

    Apr 26, 2026Dongxin Guo, Jikun Wu, Siu Ming YiuLarge Language Model RoutingInference Cost

  2. Conformalized Super Learner

    Apr 24, 2026Zhanli Wu, Fabrizio Leisen, Miguel-Angel Luque-Fernandez +1Conformal PredictionConformal Inference

  3. Learning Coverage- and Power-Optimal Transmitter Placement from City Maps: A Comparative Study of Direct and Indirect Neural Approaches

    Apr 23, 2026Çağkan YaparHigh-Fidelity Radio Map ConstructionOptimal Sensor Placement

  4. Bounding the Black Box: A Statistical Certification Framework for AI Risk Regulation

    Apr 23, 2026Natan Levy, Gadi PerlArtificial Intelligence SafetyConformal Risk Control

  5. A Kernel Nonconformity Score for Multivariate Conformal Prediction

    Apr 23, 2026Louis Meyer, Wenkai XuNonconformity ScoresConformal Prediction

  6. Safe Control using Learned Safety Filters and Adaptive Conformal Inference

    Apr 20, 2026Sacha Huriot, Ihab Tabbara, Hussein SibaiSafety FiltersAdaptive Controller

  7. Conformal Robust Set Estimation

    Apr 20, 2026Alejandro Cholaquidis, Emilien Joly, Leonardo MorenoConformal PredictionConformal Calibration

  8. Online Conformal Prediction with Adversarial Semi-bandit Feedback via Regret Minimization

    Apr 20, 2026Junyoung Yang, Kyungmin Kim, Sangdon ParkConformal PredictionFinite-Sample Coverage Guarantees

  9. ReconVLA: An Uncertainty-Guided and Failure-Aware Vision-Language-Action Framework for Robotic Control

    Apr 17, 2026Lingling Chen, Zongyao Lyu, William J. BeksiExecutable Robot BehaviorConformal Prediction

  10. Beyond Surface Statistics: Robust Conformal Prediction for LLMs via Internal Representations

    Apr 17, 2026Yanli Wang, Peng Kuang, Xiaoyu Han +2Large Language Model UncertaintyConformal Prediction

  11. Diagnosing LLM Judge Reliability: Conformal Prediction Sets and Transitivity Violations

    Apr 16, 2026Manan Gupta, Dhruv KumarLarge Language Model JudgesJudges

  12. Vision-Based Safe Human-Robot Collaboration with Uncertainty Guarantees

    Apr 16, 2026Jakob Thumm, Marian Frei, Tianle Ni +2Human-Robot CollaborationHuman Motion Prediction

  13. Hybrid Decision Making via Conformal VLM-generated Guidance

    Apr 16, 2026Debodeep Banerjee, Burcu Sayin, Stefano Teso +1Large Language Model Decision-MakingDecisions

  14. Differentially Private Conformal Prediction

    Apr 16, 2026Jiamei Wu, Ce Zhang, Zhipeng Cai +4Differential PrivacyConformal Prediction

  15. VISTA: Validation-Informed Trajectory Adaptation via Self-Distillation

    Apr 13, 2026Eli Corn, Daphna WeinshallFinite-Sample Coverage GuaranteesTrajectory Prediction

  16. Beyond Fixed False Discovery Rates: Post-Hoc Conformal Selection with E-Variables

    Apr 13, 2026Meiyi Zhu, Osvaldo SimeoneFalse Discovery RateConformal Calibration

  17. Resilient Decentralized Ergodic Coverage for Scalable Multi-Robot Systems in Unknown Time-Varying Environments

    Apr 5, 2026Maria G. Mendoza, Victoria Marie Tuck, Chinmay Maheshwari +1Multi-Robot SystemsFinite-Sample Coverage Guarantees

  18. From Actions to Understanding: Conformal Interpretability of Temporal Concepts in LLM Agents

    Mar 27, 2026Trilok Padhi, Ramneet Kaur, Krishiv Agarwal +9Large Language Model AgentsConformal Inference

  19. Contrastive Conformal Sets

    Mar 27, 2026Yahya Alkhatib, Wee Peng TayContrastive LearningConformal Prediction

  20. Efficient Federated Conformal Prediction with Group-Conditional Guarantee

    Mar 15, 2026Haifeng Wen, Osvaldo Simeone, Hong XingConformal PredictionTrustworthy Artificial Intelligence

  21. Partial Causal Structure Learning for Valid Selective Conformal Inference under Interventions

    Mar 2, 2026Amir Asiaee, Kavey Aryan, James P. LongCausal InferencesConformal Inference

  22. Conformal Policy Control

    Mar 2, 2026Drew Prinster, Clara Fannjiang, Ji Won Park +4Conformal Risk ControlSafety Constraints

  23. Communication-Efficient Byzantine-Robust Federated Conformal Prediction via Partial Sharing

    Feb 20, 2026Ehsan Lari, Reza Arablouei, Stefan WernerFederated LearningConformal Prediction

  24. Conformal Prediction Sets for Instance Segmentation

    Feb 10, 2026Kerri Lu, Dan M. Kluger, Stephen Bates +1Conformal PredictionMultiple Instance Learning

  25. Approximate full conformal prediction in an RKHS

    Jan 19, 2026Davidson Lova Razafindrakoto, Alain Celisse, Jérôme LacailleConformal PredictionApproximation

  26. Multi-Distribution Robust Conformal Prediction

    Jan 6, 2026Yuqi Yang, Ying JinConformal PredictionFinite-Sample Coverage Guarantees

  27. Online conformal inference with retrospective adjustment for faster adaptation to distribution shift

    Nov 6, 2025Jungbin Jun, Ilsang OhnConformal InferenceConformal Prediction

  28. Adaptive Conformal Inference through the Lens of Blackwell Approachability

    Oct 17, 2025Guillaume Principato, Gilles StoltzConformal InferenceBayesian

  29. Fair Minimum Labeling: Efficient Temporal Network Activations for Reachability and Equity

    Oct 4, 2025Lutz Oettershagen, Othon MichailMaximum Independent SetFinite-Sample Coverage Guarantees

  30. Efficient Conformal Prediction for Regression Models under Label Noise

    Sep 18, 2025Yahav Cohen, Jacob Goldberger, Tom TirerConformal PredictionConfidence Intervals

  31. Conformal and kNN Predictive Uncertainty Quantification Algorithms in Metric Spaces

    Jul 21, 2025Gábor Lugosi, Marcos MatabuenaPredictive UncertaintyConformal Calibration

  32. Conformalized Regression for Continuous Bounded Outcomes

    Jul 18, 2025Zhanli Wu, Fabrizio Leisen, F. Javier RubioConformal PredictionQuantile Regression

  33. CertDW: Towards Certified Dataset Ownership Verification via Conformal Calibration

    Jun 16, 2025Ting Qiao, Yiming Li, Jianbin Li +5WatermarksVerifier

  34. Optimal Conformal Prediction under Epistemic Uncertainty

    May 25, 2025Alireza Javanmardi, Soroush H. Zargarbashi, Santo M. A. R. Thies +3Conformal PredictionEpistemic Uncertainty

  35. Adaptive Cumulative Mass Calibration with Conformal Prediction

    May 21, 2025Daniil Kazantsev, Eric Moulines, Maxim Panov +2Conformal PredictionMulticalibration and Calibration

  36. From Uncertain to Safe: Conformal Adaptation of Diffusion Models for Safe PDE Control

    Feb 4, 2025Peiyan Hu, Xiaowei Qian, Wenhao Deng +8Reliable Uncertainty QuantificationConformal Calibration

  37. Uncertainty measurement for complex event prediction in safety-critical systems

    Nov 2, 2024Maria J. P. Peixoto, Akramul AzimPredictive UncertaintyInput Uncertainties

  38. Conformal Predictive Programming for Chance Constrained Optimization

    Feb 12, 2024Yiqi Zhao, Xinyi Yu, Matteo Sesia +2Conformal PredictionQuantile Regression

  39. SafeImpute: Reliable Clinical Data Imputation via Conformal Selection

    Date pendingXinrui He, Mengting Ai, Junting Wang +2Multivariate Time Series ImputationImputation

  40. Benchmarking non-conformity score functions in conformal prediction

    Date pendingSol Erika BomanNonconformity ScoresConformal Prediction