Majority Voting

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10 papers in the last four weeks, up 25% on the four weeks before. 0.1% of all new papers.

Jul 6Week of Sep 21

Latest papers 105

Oct 1, 2026cs.CL

What Wins a Vote? Formatting, Length, and Lexical Diversity in the French Compar:IA LLM Arena

LLM arenas turn pairwise human preferences into model rankings. Those preferences may reflect how an answer is presented as well as what it says. We take a stylometric approach to 137,293 decisive French-language votes from the July 2026 Compar:IA release; the primary formatting analysis includes 137,113 battles across 116 models, and the joint estimates use the 127,092 battles with all required measurements. For each battle, we reconstruct the response visible when the user voted. We then compare the raw ranking with rankings adjusted for formatting, length, readability, vocabulary variety, and sentence structure. Presentation is associated with winning, but length, bold text, and lists tend to occur together, making their individual contributions hard to separate. Across the measured features, two associations change least across specifications: bold usage (+11.0% win odds per standard deviation in the joint model) and moving-average type-token ratio (MATTR), a measure of vocabulary variety that is less sensitive to answer length (+16.8%). The bold association is substantially smaller in observed multi-turn conversations, whereas the MATTR association changes little; because users choose whether to continue, this difference is descriptive rather than causal. The full adjustment moves 36 of 116 models by at least ten ranks. Yet comparisons with external benchmarks do not show that adjusted rankings better measure capability. We therefore recommend publishing raw and adjusted rankings side by side as a transparent sensitivity analysis.
Oct 1, 2026cs.AI

From Discovery to Decision: Finite-Budget Recoverability in LLM Voting

Voting over multiple LLM responses is a common primitive in test-time scaling and ensemble inference. Collecting more responses can expand the candidate pool and increase the chance that a correct answer is discovered. Under a fixed call budget, a discovered answer still needs to accumulate enough support within the remaining calls to become the final plurality winner, creating a discovery-to-decision gap. In this work, we characterize this gap through the realized vote state and remaining call budget. We derive a sharp recoverability threshold and show that, as sampling proceeds, the observed candidate set can only expand while the set of reachable endpoint winners can only contract, inducing a candidate-level conversion window. Under a specified iid response law, the same state yields exact finite-horizon endpoint probabilities. We further show that merging wrong-answer identities preserves single-call correctness and cannot improve plurality accuracy, and that the effect of redistributing wrong-answer probability depends on the realized vote state. Singleton reachability yields a gold-free exact locking certificate. For a known answer universe, its first trigger is the earliest prefix at which all admissible continuations yield the same fixed-budget output. Empirically, most discovered-but-unselected correct answers lose reachability only after discovery. In a controlled Word16 study, input permutation improves raw-plurality accuracy by 21.1 points with essentially unchanged single-call correctness. Exact locking saves 28-30% of calls at a 16-call budget while preserving every fixed-budget output.
Oct 1, 2026cs.LG

Adapter Thickets: Splitting an RLVR Budget Beats Concentrating It

Majority voting over sampled completions is the workhorse of test-time scaling, and reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards (RLVR) is the workhorse for making each completion better. The standard pipeline composes the two: train one policy with RLVR, then sample it many times and vote. We show that this composition is lossy. A vote can only overturn mistakes that its voters do not share, and RLVR sharpens a policy so that its samples increasingly make the same mistakes. With every method drawing exactly 160160 completions per problem, training a single LoRA adapter on the full RLVR budget raises single-sample accuracy on every model we test (1.51.5B-88B). Yet on three of four models it leaves the majority vote below that of the untrained base model, by up to 4.84.8 points. The damage builds during training: voter errors grow steadily more correlated, and the majority vote accuracy peaks early before falling by up to 7.07.0 points. The cause is concentration, not RLVR itself. We split the same data and training budget across KK LoRA adapters, each trained on its own random disjoint shard, and call the result an adapter thicket. Thickets out-vote the fully trained adapter in all 1616 (model, KK) settings, and for K≥4K{\geq}4 they stay within 0.80.8 points of the base model or above it. A single adapter stopped early, at a thicket member's step count, is a strong control that matches thickets for small KK. For K≥8K{\geq}8, thickets keep more of RLVR's single-sample gain and out-vote this control in six of eight settings. The cost of concentration also grows with the number of votes: from 1616 to 160160 votes, the thicket's lead over the fully trained adapter widens from 1.31.3 to 3.33.3 points. When the plan is to sample and vote, an RLVR budget is better spent broad than deep.
Sep 30, 2026cs.GT

Outer Diversity of Condorcet Domains

A Condorcet domain is a set of rankings over a given candidate set, such that every election that consists only of (an odd number of) votes from the domain has a transitive majority relation. We study outer diversity of Condorcet domains, i.e., a measure that quantifies expected swap distance from a random vote to a closest one in the domain. We numerically analyze outer diversity for maximal Condorcet domains with few candidates, and then we establish its asymptotic behavior for several special domains, mostly obtaining theoretical results.
Sep 30, 2026cs.DS

Query-efficient winner prediction in district-based elections

In a district-based election, N voters are partitioned into k districts, and each voter votes for one of m candidates. Each district elects a winner using the plurality rule (i.e. the candidate getting the largest number of votes is declared the winner, breaking ties as per some fixed rule), and the overall winner is determined by applying plurality to the district winners; we assume that there is a unique winner amongst the district winners. The margin of victory of such an election is the minimum number of votes that must be altered so that the current winner ceases to be the unique district winner. We study the problem of predicting the winner of a district-based election in the query complexity model, where one has query access to individual votes. The objective is to minimise the number of queries. This setting captures exit polling, where queries correspond to interviewing voters, and is closely related to problems in query complexity and property testing. Assuming that the margin of victory of the election is at least eps N, Dey, Kar and Sanyal (AAMAS 2023) gave algorithms for the case of two candidates with error probability del and query complexity tilde{O}(1/eps^6 log^2 1/del), which improves to tilde{O}(1/eps^4 log^2 1/del) under the additional assumption that district populations are balanced. Our main result is an adaptive randomised algorithm that, for an arbitrary district-based election and any error parameter del, with probability at least 1-del, predicts the winner correctly using tilde{O}(1/eps^2 log m/del log 1/del) queries. In particular, we improve the bounds of Dey et al. for arbitrary district populations and extend their results to any number of candidates. Furthermore, for constantly many candidates, our algorithm nearly matches a lower bound of Omega(1/eps^2 log 1/del) on the query complexity that holds even for two candidates and a single district.
Sep 30, 2026cs.LG

Self-Repulsive Sampling for Diffusion Language Models

Sampling several responses and voting over their answers can improve a language model's accuracy, but repeated answers limit the benefit of additional samples. Raising temperature increases diversity at a potential cost to per-sample accuracy. We introduce Self-Repulsion (SR), a sampler for masked diffusion language models that uses peer commitments to diversify the pool. At each penalized denoising step, each path lowers a token's logit according to how many peers have committed that token at the same position. Paths share a batched forward pass and then commit in sequence, so later paths observe choices made earlier in the same step. This coupling requires no training or additional forward or backward pass and can produce distinct paths even at temperature zero. When all paths commit a position together from identical logits, the update exactly maximizes total logit minus a convex duplication cost. On LLaDA-8B-Instruct with ten paths and 128 denoising steps, deterministic SR reaches 80.38% plurality accuracy on GSM8K, compared with 70.17% for the unpenalized greedy decoder. At temperature 0.6 and matched model-evaluation budgets, the count penalty improves over self-consistency by 2.06 percentage points in blocks of 32 and 14.50 under pure diffusion. Experiments on GSM8K, MATH and TruthfulQA show that voting gains arise mainly from higher coverage of correct answers, with gains that vary by benchmark and decoding regime.
Sep 30, 2026cs.AI

Budget Boundary Effects in Test-Time Mathematical Reasoning

A cumulative token cap can fall inside a mathematical derivation, forcing a test-time controller to choose between stopping at the cap (strict) and allowing the current attempt to finish (advisory). We measure this boundary choice with paired offline replays of 19,200 public traces: 120 AIME, BrUMO and HMMT problems and two archive configurations of one model. Candidate order and a 16-attempt cap are fixed, and answer selection is blind to reference answers and correctness labels. Three findings emerge. First, at the 4k cap, most advisory accuracy gains replace abstention with a correct answer; strict stopping pays for an unfinished prefix that the completed-only selector cannot use. Second, comparisons along realized cost differ from same-cap comparisons: advisory 4k in low has higher accuracy than strict 8k at comparable mean completion cost, while in high its observed accuracy is 0.42 points below strict 32k using 59% of its mean tokens. These aggregate comparisons do not establish equal-compute superiority or accuracy equivalence. Third, increased candidate coverage does not guarantee higher answer accuracy: a log-probability selector loses accuracy while coverage rises, including after a source-grade consistency repair. Same-cap majority-accuracy differences shrink below 1.3 percentage points at 32k. Budget curves should jointly state the cap, realized cost, eligible candidates, stopping rule and selector information.
Sep 29, 2026physics.soc-ph

Multi-agent discussion gains less when dissent is withheld

Multi-agent systems of LLMs add discussion to majority voting and are therefore expected to be more capable. However, empirical reports conflict on whether discussion improves accuracy or leads to an incorrect consensus. Here, we introduce a parsimonious model that explains when discussion improves accuracy and when it ends in an incorrect consensus, built from four behaviors repeatedly observed in LLM agents: (1) withholding dissent, (2) internalizing a stated answer, (3) reconsidering after seeing dissent, and (4) correcting toward the correct answer. The model shows that discussion can overturn an incorrect initial majority only when the withholding rate cc is below a critical rate c∗=γ/(γ+a)c^* = γ/(γ+ a), set by the net correction rate γγ and the internalization rate aa. We estimate these rates from conversation logs with a Bayesian method and place LLM teams relative to c∗c^*. As the model predicts, the gain from discussion shrinks as withholding rises, across LLMs and on a hidden profile benchmark, HiddenBench, and MedEInst. Instructing agents not to withhold dissent increases this gain. Turning reasoning off also increases the gain, because reasoning raises the internalization rate aa and keeps agents from reconsidering a minority answer. These findings reconcile the conflicting reports and identify when discussion outperforms majority voting.
Sep 29, 2026cs.GT

Social Choice Foundations for Simulation-Augmented Generation

Simulation-augmented generation (SAGE) is a recent technical proposal in which models simulate individuals' viewpoints at inference time in order to provide more representative answers to contentious user queries. A core challenge for SAGE is making inference-time simulation efficient without sacrificing representation quality. We introduce the first formalization of this problem, based upon an axiom from proportional clustering known as metric proportional justified representation+ (mPJR+) which is the strongest proportionality axiom known to always be satisfiable by centroid-based clustering. We prove that to proportionally represent the viewpoints of a population of nHn_H humans on a given prompt, we need only create simulations of n≪nHn \ll n_H individuals, and at inference time, need only dynamically route to k≪nk \ll n of those simulations based upon the prompt. This twofold reduction still yields approximate proportional representation guarantees for the entire population. Empirically, across two domains-political questions and personal advice-our proposed routing algorithm achieves higher mPJR+ satisfaction rates than kk-means-based or random selection baselines.
Sep 28, 2026cs.GT

Reverse Sequential Proportional Approval Voting Rule: Proportionality and Approximation Guarantees

We study the Reverse Sequential Proportional Approval Voting Rule (RevSeqPAV) in approval-based committee elections. Despite its historical prominence and practical use, its properties and guarantees are much less understood than those of Sequential PAV. We analyze it along two dimensions: proportional representation (measured by Extended Justified Representation, its approximations, and proportionality degree) and approximation of the maximum PAV score of instances. We first establish strong negative results for general, unrestricted election instances and then identify settings in which the rule provides meaningful fairness and optimization guarantees.
Sep 28, 2026cs.CL

Nürnberg NLP at ChildSafeAds 2026: Structurally Dissimilar Voter Ensembles under Four Levels of Data Access

We describe the Nürnberg NLP system for ChildSafeAds 2026. The shared task asks what a monitoring system for commercial content in child-facing YouTube videos can achieve at a given level of data access. We answer with per-subtask ensembles of nine voters, organised into three branches that differ in backbone, adaptation method and class scope. Selection rests on channel-disjoint cross-validation, with the development set as a transfer check. The system wins two of the three subtasks. Its product-category score (ST2, 0.8243) and its compliance-flag score (ST3, 0.6530) are the best of the 22 final entries, and it places third on the task mean (0.7079). We further compare four access levels and report the cost at test-set scale.
Sep 24, 2026cs.GT

Costly Voting in the Hotelling-Downs Model

We study a partial-participation variation of the Hotelling-Downs model. Voters each have a cost to vote, and only vote when the comparative gain from their preferred candidate exceeds the cost. Under this model the median voter theorem breaks, and we study the extent of polarization under equilibria in different voters and cost distributions. We find that the main predictor of polarization is the reverse-hazard-rate of the cost distribution, indicating that the driver of polarization under our model is the willingness of voters to respond to changes in positions of candidates. We then extend the model by adding parameters governing alienation and candidate competitiveness, showing that our results are robust even when taking into account other realistic factors.
Sep 15, 2026cs.CL

Vroom-Vroom at SHROOM-Visions: A Multi-Judge Committee for Detecting Hallucinated Spans in Vision-Language Outputs

This paper describes our submission to the SHROOM-Visions shared task on detecting and classifying hallucinated character spans in vision-language model outputs across four languages. We employ several fine-tuned vision-language models as independent annotators and combine their span predictions through character-level majority voting, and additionally explore activation probes. The approach ranks first in three of four languages and places on the podium in every language and metric. Our analysis indicates that disagreement among diverse models tracks disagreement among human annotators.
Sep 15, 2026cs.MA

Multi-Agent Learning with Cooperation-Driven Optimization Dynamics

Multilayer Artificial Neural Networks trained via backpropagation are the basic blocks of many, more complex, classification algorithms. Their strength lies in the possibility of realizing, with arbitrary precision, any function. This result comes at the cost of the large number of involved parameters to be optimized. In this work, we propose a mechanism for cooperation, i.e., information exchange among several artificial neural networks, with the goal of reducing model complexity while maintaining performance. More precisely, we consider several "small" agents, i.e., containing fewer parameters than a reference "large" one, that during training share their predictions by incorporating this information into the loss function and thus directly influence weight updates. We consider several strategies for implementing cooperation, e.g., the voter model, majority model, and weighted average model based on an agent's confidence in its prediction. We numerically compare the accuracy of those strategies on several standard benchmarks. Our results support the claim that several small agents can outperform a single large model on a given classification task; the shared signals affect each agent's optimization algorithm by modulating both the descent direction and the step size, converging toward a global consensus. The proposed proof-of-concept significantly reduces the number of parameters to be trained while preserving comparable performance, thereby limiting computational resource usage.
Sep 15, 2026stat.ML

On the disintegration of the stochastic majority vote: From PAC-Bayesian bounds to a self-bounding algorithm

Weighted majority votes are central to many successful ensemble methods. PAC-Bayesian theory provides tight generalization guarantees for such models by analyzing the expected risk of stochastic classifiers, while analyzing the risk of deterministic majority votes relies on surrogate bounds. To avoid these surrogates, Zantedeschi et al. ( 2021) introduced guarantees for stochastic majority votes, but the resulting models remain randomized. In this paper, we propose a derandomization framework for stochastic majority votes. To do so, we apply recent advances in disintegrated PAC-Bayesian theory directly to the space of majority vote weight vectors, transforming stochastic guarantees into certificates for a single deterministic majority vote. We derive two families of high-probability generalization bounds, covering both data-independent and data-dependent constructions of the ensemble, which naturally lead to a self-bounding learning algorithm optimizing deterministic majority vote guarantees.
Sep 8, 2026cs.CV

Boundary Voting Network for Ambiguity-Aware Timestamp-Supervised Action Segmentation

Timestamp-supervised action segmentation aims to segment and classify actions in untrimmed videos with a random frame annotated per action. Precisely localizing action boundaries from timestamp annotations is crucial for this setting, as it enables generating framewise pseudo-labels and applying the well-explored fully-supervised training. However, prevailing methods struggle with intrinsic uncertainty in boundary localization due to less discriminative features in action-transiting regions. This imprecise boundary estimation significantly reduces the stability and reliability of the generated pseudo-labels in ambiguous action-transiting regions, consequently resulting in performance deterioration of the trained segmentation models. In our paper, we introduce the boundary voting network that mitigates feature ambiguity by hierarchically propagating video-level global prior knowledge into local action-transiting regions. By generating key action representations as votes throughout the video and targeting action-transiting regions, all votes collaboratively contribute to action-transiting feature enhancement and boundary localization refinement. Extensive experiments demonstrate the effectiveness of our method on GTEA, 50Salads, and Breakfast datasets.
Sep 4, 2026cs.CV

LetOccVote: Learning Weakly Supervised 3D Occupancy through Consensus

Weakly supervised 3D occupancy prediction reduces the reliance on costly 3D annotations by learning from 2D pseudo-labels generated by vision foundation models. However, existing methods typically use these imperfect pseudo-labels directly as supervision, making occupancy learning vulnerable to erroneous geometric and semantic targets. We observe that agreement across repeated observations provides an inexpensive and reliable cue for assessing pseudo-label reliability. Based on this observation, we propose \textbf{LetOccVote}, a weakly supervised Gaussian-based occupancy framework that leverages cross-frame voting to improve both geometric and semantic supervision. For geometry, Depth Vote exploits cross-frame geometric agreement to refine supported pseudo depth and reject contradictory estimates before volumetric lifting and depth supervision. For semantics, Semantic Vote aggregates pseudo-semantic observations in a shared 3D space to identify reliable and contested evidence, strengthening reliable semantic supervision while filtering unreliable pseudo-label segments. The entire framework is trained solely with 2D pseudo-label supervision without requiring 3D occupancy annotations. On Occ3D-nuScenes, LetOccVote achieves 53.27 IoU and 20.39 mIoU, establishing state-of-the-art performance among methods with 2D pseudo-label supervision.
Sep 3, 2026cs.CL

Beyond Majority Vote: Multi-Perspective Adjudication for Medical Hallucination Detection

Understanding the frequency of factual errors in chatbot-generated text and evaluating systems that detect these errors is critical for determining chatbot safety. Yet factual-error detection is often treated as a single-pass, single-annotator labeling problem. In long-form chatbot responses, factual errors can be subtle and embedded within mostly correct text. We develop a multi-perspective annotation study of medically relevant chatbot responses, combining first-pass annotation, LLM-as-a-Judge (LaJ) candidate discovery, and two forms of adjudication: medical-expert and evidence-based fact-checking. First-pass annotators frequently miss factual errors later validated by adjudicators. LaJ improves candidate discovery, but is insufficient on its own: It misses factual errors that annotators catch. We also find disagreement among adjudicators, suggesting that adjudication over multiple candidate sources can improve benchmark completeness, but does not eliminate the need to apply judgment and expertise. Applied to an existing benchmark, this technique reveals a similar pattern of missing annotations. Together, these results suggest that in the settings examined here, single-pass hallucination benchmarks may achieve scale at the cost of undercounting factual errors. Multi-pass adjudication can improve coverage, but inferences drawn from the benchmarks are still sensitive to the judgment, expertise, and evidence used to determine error presence.
Sep 1, 2026cs.LG

When Metropolis and Hastings Meet Bradley and Terry: Exact MCMC From Preference Voting

Sampling from distributions conditioned on desired semantic properties is an emerging challenge in modern generative modeling. Metropolis-Hastings (MH) provides a principled route to conditional sampling, but requires access to exact pointwise target-density evaluations, which are not available in generative settings. Meanwhile, pairwise comparisons by humans or model "judge" are highly accessible and have proved valuable across diverse applications. We introduce Pref-MH, a general exact MH sampler for judge-induced conditional distributions using only stochastic binary pairwise comparisons. Our key observation is that the MH unnormalized density ratio matches the preference odds of the Bradley-Terry (BT) choice model. The central challenge is that while MH requires precise ratio computation, BT judges provide only sampled binary feedback. To this end, we develop a valid accept/reject rule whose resulting Markov chain provably converges to the target distribution. We further show that, for a fixed proposal kernel and budget, Pref-MH is optimal in the Peskun-Tierney sense among this class of exact reversible acceptance rules. Experiments on text generation and molecular design with LLM judges, as well as image generation with VLM judges, demonstrate that Pref-MH provides a practical and flexible approach to conditional sampling when comparative feedback is relatively easy to obtain.
Aug 31, 2026cs.AI

OntoAligner-Ensemble: Voting-Based Fusion across Heterogeneous Ontology Alignment Techniques

Ontology alignment (OA) has evolved through several methodological paradigms, ranging from lexical and structural aligners to knowledge graph embedding (KGE) models and, more recently, Large Language Model (LLM)-based approaches. Although modern OA frameworks provide unified ecosystems for deploying these heterogeneous aligners, mechanisms for systematically reconciling their complementary and sometimes conflicting predictions remain relatively underexplored. We present OntoAligner-Ensemble, a modular and aligner-agnostic framework that combines candidate correspondences through a configurable two-stage process comprising voting-based fusion strategies followed by post-fusion selection policies. The framework supports any aligner implemented within OntoAligner that produces candidate correspondences, enabling diverse alignment paradigms to be integrated through a unified decision process. To demonstrate its effectiveness, we instantiate the framework using representative lightweight string-aligner, KGE-based, and Retrieval-Augmented Generation aligners powered by both open-weight and API-based LLMs. We evaluate individual aligners and ensemble configurations across eight benchmark tasks from five OAEI tracks spanning biomedical to beyond-equivalence. The results show that ensemble fusion consistently improves the balance between precision and recall and frequently outperforms standalone aligners across diverse domains. Furthermore, our analysis reveals that ensemble composition directly affects the precision-recall trade-off: heterogeneous cross-paradigm ensembles generally improve precision, whereas homogeneous LLM ensembles more often achieve higher overall F1-scores. These findings demonstrate that systematic ensemble learning offers a robust and reproducible strategy for OA while providing practical guidance for selecting ensemble compositions under different alignment scenarios.
Aug 31, 2026stat.ME

Aggregate Disambiguation Systems

Natural-language tasks can elicit different verdicts from protocol-following evaluators that receive the same declared information. We study aggregate disambiguation systems (ADSs). Given a task and a candidate solution, each evaluator casts a binary vote on whether the solution should be accepted, and the system aggregates the votes of a finite panel. The target is protocol reproducibility relative to an explicitly declared evaluator reference, not semantic truth. We separate fixed finite censuses, probabilistic evaluator populations, and growing-census limits, since their endpoint laws and guarantees are not interchangeable. In the population setting, we use finite samples to estimate how often a finite panel reaches the same decision as the declared evaluator population. We provide a lower confidence bound on the fraction of candidate solutions for which the disagreement probability is at most a chosen tolerance. The calculation accounts separately for sampling candidate solutions and sampling evaluators. The construction permits arbitrary dependence among columns induced by shared evaluator rows and uses exact binomial intervals at the evaluator layer and an exact one-sided binomial inversion at the generator layer. Simulations check the implementation against known population coverages and expose power limitations.
Aug 12, 2026cs.AI

Jagged Judges: Epistemic Stability Under Silence, Pressure, and Persistence

LLM judges have become central infrastructure for model evaluations, online grading, and reward modeling. Judges are typically validated by accuracy on golden data, but accuracy says little about whether they are stable under re-prompting, challenge, or sustained pushback. We introduce the \emph{Wiggle Framework}, a unified stress test for epistemic stability in LLM judges. The framework decomposes judge robustness along three dimensions: Mechanical Consistency (stability under re-prompting and reframing), Single-turn Conviction (stability under a single challenge), and Multi-turn Persistence (stability under sustained or adaptive pressure). We use the framework to study 9 frontier models across 14 judging tasks spanning safety, toxicity, AI writing detection, and political-response evaluation. Every model exhibits substantial wiggle as a judge --- flipping verdicts 25--71% of the time under static pushback, and 62--91% with an adversarial LLM persuader. Critically, we find that pressure that succeeds in changing a judge's verdict is almost always net-corrupting with respect to ground truth. Beyond the framework itself, we identify baseline jury majority strength as the most effective single-shot signal for anticipating which items wiggle. Taken together, this is the first apples-to-apples cross-dataset comparison of mechanical, conformity, and persuadability tests in a judging context.
Aug 11, 2026cs.AI

When Self-Consistency Backfires: Majority Vote Hurts the Majority of Hard Science Problems for Small LLMs

Self-consistency (SC) via majority vote is a widely used way to spend inference-time compute: sample N chains of thought, return the plurality answer. On the full GPQA Diamond benchmark (198 graduate-level science questions), majority voting reduces per-problem accuracy on a majority of problems for two instruction-tuned models from different families: 56.6% of problems for Qwen2.5-7B and 65.7% for Llama-3-8B, with Qwen the primary demonstration and Llama corroborating the direction from a near-chance baseline. The effect was pre-registered on a 151-problem confirmatory split after being observed on 47 exploratory problems, and all four confirmatory hypotheses passed. A grid oracle that routes each problem to the best N across {1, 2, 4, 8, 16, 32, 64} marks a theoretical upper bound 14 accuracy points above N = 1 for Qwen and 17 for Llama, an oracle bound requiring ground truth rather than a deployable method. No verifier-free gate reaches it: neither a plurality-agreement gate nor a token-entropy gate moves accuracy more than 0.002 from fixed-budget voting at N = 64. The mechanism is direct: confidence does not track correctness on these problems. In the highest-agreement bin the plurality answer is correct about half the time for Qwen, and for Llama that bin is less accurate than its lowest-agreement bin. We pre-register and confirm these findings on small instruction-tuned models; we do not test reasoning-native models, which we flag as the central open question.
Aug 11, 2026math.PR

Scaling Laws for Majority-based Opinion Dynamics in the Presence of Stubborn Agents

In a multi-agent system, there are often stubborn followers of specific opinions or beliefs. Motivated by this observation, in this paper, we aim to understand how stubborn agents affect the distribution of opinions in a network where both stubborn and non-stubborn agents interact with each other. To do so, we assume that all agents have an opinion in the set {0,1}\{0,1\} and each non-stubborn agent updates its opinion according to the 2k2k\textit{-choices rule}, where the agent samples 2k2k neighbours (including both stubborn and non-stubborn neighbours) uniformly at random and adopts the majority opinion among the sampled group of neighbours and itself. We assume that a proportion of agents, γiγ_i, are stubborn followers of opinion i∈{0,1}i\in \{0,1\}. It is natural to expect that the steady-state distribution of the opinions in the network will be dominated by the opinion with the larger proportion of stubborn followers. We show that while this is true, the time to reach steady-state depends heavily on the values of the parameters γ0γ_0 and γ1γ_1. When the individual values of these parameters, as well as their difference, are small, it can take an exponentially long time (in the network size) to reach the steady-state. In sharp contrast, when at least one of the parameters γ0γ_0 and γ1γ_1 is large, the network reaches the steady-state in a time that is only logarithmic in the network size. Hence, there exists a sharp phase transition in the network dynamics based on the proportions of stubborn agents. We also characterise the behaviour of the system when the parameters γ0γ_0 and γ1γ_1 lie on the boundary of the phase transition. In this boundary region, we show using Stein's method that the dynamics are driven by a diffusion process which takes polynomial time to mix.
Aug 9, 2026cs.GT

Voting Method Synthesis on an Infinite Domain: A Possibility Theorem for Positive Involvement

A common problem in social choice is to determine whether there is a social choice procedure, such as a voting method, satisfying some desired criteria. Computer-aided methods such as SAT solving can sometimes answer these questions. However, under typical encodings, a SAT solver may only synthesize a voting method on a finite domain, while we may want one on an infinite domain, such as the domain of all preference profiles for a fixed number of candidates but any finite number of voters. In this paper, we use an approach based on reasoning with constrained Horn clauses and computation with polyhedra to synthesize a voting method on an infinite domain. We then use SMT and Lean to verify its properties. Our main result is a possibility theorem about four well-known criteria from voting theory: the Condorcet winner and loser criteria, positive involvement, and resolvability. Previous work has shown that for five or more candidates, there is no voting method satisfying these axioms, and that for four candidates, there is no method satisfying these core axioms plus one more invariance axiom. Here we show that for four candidates, there does exist a method satisfying the core axioms and more.
Aug 7, 2026cs.AI

Blind to the Pivotal Vote: Aggregate Independence Metrics Miss Where Verification Actually Helps

LLM judge panels are a standard evaluation tool, but prior work reports highly correlated panel errors: nine judges provide roughly the effective information of two independent ones, and aggregation closes only a small fraction of the gap. A natural remedy--a signal from a different evidence source, e.g., executing a test suite--produced no distinguishable change in the panel's effective-vote count at scale (-0.04, 95% CI [-0.10, +0.02]). Aggregate dependence and conditional decision utility are different questions. Elementary majority arithmetic fixes the affected set for single-ballot substitution: only decisions with a one-vote margin can change. The empirical question is whether panel error rates rise and useful substitutions concentrate there. They do: the entire accuracy gain concentrates on these pivotal queries, where it is large (+10.4 to +23.3 percentage points across three headline configurations), and is exactly zero elsewhere. We confirm the pattern across three code benchmarks and four panel sizes (a 9-judge extension and 56 dependent subsampling checks, gain +6.5 to +16.1 percentage points). On HumanEval+/MBPP+, a majority-side replacement rule raises overall accuracy from 82.44% to 85.62% while invoking the signal on 16.2% of queries; signal-only remains stronger at 87.60%. Thus population-level dependence diagnostics and margin-stratified utility are complementary, and the affected-set characterization yields a call-reduction rule for any specified single-ballot substitution policy.
Aug 5, 2026cs.CL

Social Pressure Breaks Majority Voting in LLM Safety Panels

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used to detect unsafe content. A common approach is to combine judgments from a panel of models to correct individual mistakes, but this benefit may disappear when every model sees the same misleading context before voting. We study this risk in a controlled two-round experiment. Each model first judges an item alone, then judges it again after six simulated peers either assert the wrong label or abstain. We combine the final judgments by majority vote. Across six open-weight LLMs and six datasets, we find that the wrong-label peer message raises the average reviewer false-alarm rate from 56.5% under silent peers to 87.5%, and majority voting raises the panel false-alarm rate to 100%. Without an asserted label, the same panel outperforms its average member. The effect is strongly asymmetric: reviewers follow pushes toward "unsafe" far more than pushes toward "safe" (about 75% versus 17%), so the panel's false-alarm rate rises sharply while its harmful-miss rate changes little. The proprietary-model probe shows substantial variation across models. These results identify susceptibility to shared social cues as a failure mode of safety panels and provide a simple pre-deployment diagnostic.
Aug 4, 2026cs.CL

Learning Sexism Detection Using Multi-Agent Perspectivist Preference Optimization

When people label text for sexism, they often disagree, and not because some of them are wrong: they genuinely perceive sexism differently. Most NLP systems discard this disagreement by collapsing it into a majority vote. We propose the Multi-Agent Perspectivist Preference Optimization (MAP-PO) framework to keep these different perspectives. On the EXIST 2024 dataset of labeled English and Spanish tweets, we first cluster annotators by their labeling behavior rather than their demographic attributes. We then fine-tune one Large Language Model agent per cluster to reproduce that cluster's annotation behavior, and coordinate the agents with preference optimization that combines individual and team-level rewards. We evaluate MAP-PO in four settings defined by two languages and two backbone language models, asking whether each agent reproduces the annotations of its own cluster and whether the agents together reproduce the majority label. Two findings hold in all four settings. First, without fine-tuning the agents behave almost identically, so cluster-specific training is necessary. Second, we show that training each agent only on the labels of its own cluster pushes the agents far beyond the clusters they should represent, while adding a shared team-level training signal consistently keeps each agent calibrated to its cluster.
Aug 3, 2026cs.AI

Conformity Mitigations in Large Language Models Lie on a Single Resistance-Receptivity Frontier

Recent advances in language models have enabled collaborative settings in which multiple models leverage one another's capabilities, iteratively improving, transforming, and extending each other's outputs. Each agent sees what the others assert before it answers, so peer opinion competes with the model's own parametric knowledge, and a wrong majority can overturn an answer the model would otherwise get right. We measure that displacement in 23 open-weight models, 19 conditions, and three datasets, yielding more than a million graded responses. A unanimous wrong majority reverses 22.8% of a model's correct MMLU answers, 54.8% on GPQA and 71.0% on SimpleQA, and 84-89% of the reversed answers match the peers' answers. Existing mitigations aim to increase Resistance, the rate at which a model keeps its correct answer under this pressure, which is only half of what a collaborating agent needs. We pair it with Receptivity, the rate at which a model adopts a correct peer answer after initially answering incorrectly. We score six methods on both axes, four drawn from prior work and two of our own. Each gains Resistance only by losing Receptivity, and their means fall on a single Resistance-Receptivity frontier with R2R^2 between 0.80 and 0.90. Reflection, the strongest published method, gains 7.9 points of MMLU Resistance and gives up 15.3 of Receptivity. Reasoning is the one exception. On GPQA and SimpleQA it trades like the rest, but on the MMLU subjects whose answers a model can derive for itself it raises Resistance by 7.2 points and Receptivity by 9.6 at once, the only intervention we find that improves both.
Aug 2, 2026cs.CV

It's the Decoding Format, Not the Perturbation: Auditing Consistency-Based Selection for Vision-Language Test-Time Scaling

Test-time scaling lifts large language model reasoning by sampling many candidate solutions and selecting among them, yet the same recipe transfers poorly to vision-language models (VLMs): recent work shows that simple majority voting beats selection methods built on the model's own self-verification, apparently because at the selection layer an image-grounded answer and a confident guess from the language prior look the same. A natural fix is to make the selection signal one that cannot be computed without the image. We study Perturbation Grounded Selection (Pgs), a label-free, training-free rule that scores each candidate by whether the model re-derives it under label-preserving perturbations of the input (cropping, background masking, mild photometric or geometric jitter); Pgs recovers majority voting when the perturbation set is empty. The decisive question is not whether Pgs beats chain-of-thought only majority voting, but whether the perturbation term adds anything once decoding format and budget are controlled. We therefore introduce a format-matched control (MatchedCtrl): the same short, no-CoT draws spent on the original image. Across TextVQA, MATH-Vision, MMMU, and ViLP, with a Qwen headline (three-seed means) and LLaVA-OneVision coverage in matched-budget selector tables, Pgs appears to beat plain majority voting by up to +31.8 points on TextVQA (Qwen), but MatchedCtrl tracks or exceeds Pgs within noise on every benchmark, including the vision-required ViLP; no Qwen category shows a significant gain over this control. The stability gap is real and image-dependent (up to +0.48), yet does not predict per-instance wins. The result is negative and diagnostic: perturbation consistency is at best a partial diagnostic of visual dependence and, on its own, not a usable selection signal once format is controlled; gains reported against CoT-only majority voting overstate such methods.
Jul 30, 2026cs.GT

Algorithms for Structured Elections under Thiele Voting Rules

We study the computational complexity of winner determination problems in approval-based committee elections under Thiele voting rules. These form a class of rules parameterized by a fixed weight vector that specifies how a voter's satisfaction depends on the number of approved candidates elected. We first analyze the structure of optimal solutions based on the sets of voters who approve each candidate---that is, how voters' approval ballots induce dependencies between candidates---revealing constraints on a winning committee under any fixed Thiele voting rule. Using this, we design FPT algorithms for Proportional Approval Voting (PAV) and other Thiele rules on a natural restricted domain known as the Voter Interval (VI) domain---that is, after a suitable ordering of voters, each candidate is approved by a consecutive interval of voters. In particular, we show that every Thiele rule on VI is FPT with respect to a parameter for which the problem is NP-hard on general instances, even when the parameter takes constant values. Our results advance the understanding of the computational complexity of PAV on Voter Interval instances, which remains one of the central open questions in this area. We further resolve two open questions from the literature on PAV (and other Thiele voting rules) by providing a polynomial-time algorithm for instances where each candidate is approved by at most two voters, and an FPT algorithm parameterized by the total score of a winning committee.
Jul 28, 2026cs.SE

Multi-Agent Debate Strategies: Survey, Taxonomy, and Challenges

Multi-Agent Debate (MAD) is a promising paradigm for improving the accuracy and robustness of Large Language Model (LLM)-based agentic systems. It enables multiple agents to exchange arguments, critique each other's outputs, and iteratively converge towards a solution. However, research remains fragmented, with inconsistent terminology and no rigorous synthesis of MAD design dimensions. We present a systematic literature review characterizing 141 primary studies on MAD. We derive a three-dimensional taxonomy covering debate participants, the interaction mechanisms structuring the exchange, and the agreement protocols governing debate resolution, supported by formal notations to render MAD configurations. Our analysis reveals that the field has implicitly converged on a narrow design pattern - static, fully connected topologies, verbatim exchange, short-term memory and voting resolution strategies - adopted by convention rather than systematic comparison, while promising alternatives remain marginal. Because any MAD setting reflects roughly a dozen interacting design decisions, cross-study comparison is unreliable when these are left implicit. We position the taxonomy as a descriptive map of the research landscape, a framework for controlled benchmarking, and potentially as a schema for machine-readable MAD specifications. As future work, we propose formalizing it into an executable specification, enabling cost-aware benchmarking and automated tuning of debate configurations.
Jul 28, 2026cs.CL

Polistemics: Evaluating LLMs as Information Mediators in Politics & Elections

As LLMs increasingly shape the political information citizens rely on, no standard exists to assess whether they do so responsibly. We introduce Polistemics, a theory-grounded diagnostic benchmark for evaluating LLMs as mediators of political information in elections. Prior work has treated this task as reproduction rather than mediation, leaving its epistemic dimensions and interaction with imperfect information unaddressed. We ground the evaluation in Epistemic Modesty, a normative standard derived from citizens' epistemic agency, and test it across controlled settings that vary the clarity, noise, and consistency of the available evidence. Applying the benchmark to three state-of-the-art LLMs across the 2025 German and Dutch elections, we find that high aggregate scores mask systematic failures. Models mediate reliably under clear evidence but break down when it is absent, vague, or contradictory, while flattening the intensity of political language throughout. These failures point to party priors, shifting with party labels and output language. Reliable mediation appears achievable, but no model delivers it consistently.
Jul 25, 2026cs.LG

Exploration of the generative capabilities of Boltzmann machines applied to social systems under the majority rule

We study the generative capabilities of Boltzmann machines to recover systems governed by the majority rule under critical conditions. To this end, we train deep belief networks (DBNs) with different configurations, where the first layer can use Gaussian visible units with more than two states (i.e., non-binary units). We then allow the DBN to "dream" samples conditioned on visible units that we keep fixed, and we measure the deviation of this dreamed system from the real one. We also corroborate, using a discrete thermometer based on a convolutional network, that the reconstructions remain in a critical state. Across several training sessions with different architectures, we show that, despite the complexity of the problem, the DBN can recover samples that remain critical even under input noise, with a gradual degradation of physical observables relative to the original sample.
Jul 22, 2026cs.CL

Are Diversity Metrics Measuring Diversity? A Capability-Controlled Audit of Majority-Vote Gain in LLM Ensembles

Majority voting over LLMs is widely assumed to benefit from diversity, and diversity measures are used to choose which models to combine. We ask whether five such measures track diversity or mainly re-express capability, auditing them as predictors of majority-vote gain over the best member across 31,900 subsets of 30 LLMs on MMLU-Pro (29 on TruthfulQA) under explicit capability controls. Three findings emerge. First, latent complementarity is ubiquitous: oracle gain is positive in 100% of subsets, yet simple voting beats the strongest member in only 9.98% of all canonical size-3 subsets (18.71% with held-out best selection); the pooled size-2-4 rate is 1.27%, partly reflecting deterministic even-size voting behavior. Second, a joint-correctness proxy (strict diversity) is nearly collinear with one minus mean accuracy (size-3 Spearman rho = +0.991 / +0.988); raw diversity-gain associations are strongly capability-entangled and, with one exception, unstable under control. Third, three linear contingency-table statistics are algebraically non-separable; after capability control, the empirically stable remainder is a modest residual pairwise co-failure association in which more shared error corresponds to lower gain. This direction is robust, but its magnitude is configuration-dependent. Joint rawspace linear regressions treating strict diversity, disagreement, and double-fault as independent predictors are rank-deficient by construction.
Jul 17, 2026cs.CL

On the Structure of Address in Multi-Party Dialogue: From Discrete Labels to Continuous Levels

In multi-party dialogues between a dialogue system and multiple users, identifying to whom an utterance is addressed is a key challenge. Prior work has typically treated addressee detection as a multi-class classification task, selecting a single label representing an individual participant or the group. This formulation assumes that address is inherently discrete and has primarily been used for predicting turn-taking. In this paper, we revisit this assumption by analyzing address as a continuous phenomenon. Using a multi-party human dialogue corpus annotated by multiple annotators, we construct both binary address labels derived from majority-vote addressee labels and continuous address levels inferred from annotator judgments using a latent-variable model. We then examine how these representations relate to turn-taking as well as listener behaviors, including gaze and backchannels. Our results show that, in addition to turn-taking, both gaze and backchannels are associated with address. Furthermore, models using continuous address levels achieve better predictive fit than those using discrete labels, suggesting that address may exhibit graded structure. Finally, we discuss the future directions of addressee detection research based on the findings of this study.
Jul 9, 2026cs.CV

HAT Super-Resolution and a PARSeq+CLIP4STR Voting Ensemble for Extreme In-the-Wild License Plate Recognition

We describe our entry to the ICIP 2026 Grand Challenge on Extreme In-the-Wild License Plate Super-Resolution (XLPSR), which scored 9.73 wECR on the public validation leaderboard. The system pairs a Hybrid Attention Transformer super-resolution (HAT) front-end with an ensemble of two scene-text recognisers (PARSeq-S and CLIP4STR-B) and a confidence-weighted character-voting scheme that abstains on uncertain positions. We treat XLPSR as a recognition task gated by image legibility: the SR step exists to lift characters out of sub-pixel territory, and the asymmetric scoring rule (+2 / -1 / 0) is exploited explicitly through abstention. Our pipeline runs in 1.7 s per sequence on RTX 3090 (max 2.7 s, p99 2.4 s), well under the 60 s/sequence Docker budget.
Jul 9, 2026cs.LG

Secure Decentralized Federated Learning via Gossip and Virtual Voting

Decentralized federated learning (DFL) removes the central server by letting nodes exchange model updates through peer-to-peer gossip, but existing gossip-based methods often lack provenance finality and resilience to Byzantine or lazy participants. Ledger-assisted federated learning (FL) improves auditability, yet blockchains, shards, or settlement committees can reintroduce global coordination costs that conflict with DFL locality. This paper proposes \emph{gspDAG-FL}, a secure DFL framework that derives consensus from the same gossip history used to disseminate models. Nodes exchange model payloads only with neighbors, while full nodes collect event certificates and receiver-endorsed accepted gossip proofs, reconstruct a compact Topology directed acyclic graph (DAG), and run Hashgraph-style virtual voting followed by compact full-node certificates. Finality is over unique model-origin tuples, not identical local parameter states. To improve resilience, gspDAG-FL combines payload validation, accepted-proof validation, and private semantic audit before aggregation. We formalize the adversarial setting, prove safety and conditional liveness of the control plane, and give a convergence guarantee for certified perturbed gossip under time-varying effective mixing. Experiments on MNIST classification and Penn Treebank language modeling, using fair held-out validation/audit data and networks up to N=100N=100, show that gspDAG-FL achieves learning quality close to validation-based ledger FL while reducing coordination bottlenecks, improving throughput, and maintaining high invalid-origin detection under mixed Byzantine and lazy participation.
Jul 9, 2026cs.AI

When LLMs Agree, Are They Right? Auditing Self-Consistency and Cross-Model Agreement as Confidence Signals

LLM-as-judge (Zheng et al., 2023) is increasingly the default for evaluating AI systems in enterprise pipelines, often scaled to ensembles (Verga et al., 2024) or "mixture-of-experts" (Shazeer et al., 2017) panels of judges. These systems share a key assumption: that consistency -- agreement among judges, or among a model's own samples -- indicates correctness. We show this assumption is unreliable. Agreement is not accuracy: a model can agree with itself, and different models can agree with each other, out of shared bias, a memorized heuristic, or an option-position prior rather than truth. We ask when agreement is nonetheless a usable proxy, in a large-scale cross-runner study: 53 runners drew K=50 samples for assigned overlapping cases across comparisons of model tier, prompting, and scale on GPQA Diamond and AIME -- 265,000 samples. Using majority-correctness as the deployment label and a hierarchical runner-clustered bootstrap, agreement is a positive but weak predictor (rho 0.20-0.59, all positive under item-clustered resampling) whose usefulness is regime-dependent: best for unsaturated mid-tier models and for allocating compute, and worst -- over-confident yet no more accurate -- for the most consistent frontier model (agreement >=0.8 on 77% of GPQA case-result entries, 48% of those wrong). An exploratory cross-family check on three Claude tiers shows the same frontier over-confidence, with confident errors recurring across providers above a marginal-preserving null. Self-consistency is thus a conditional proxy for correctness, not a standalone confidence score. We publicly release the de-identified per-run rows and answer distributions.
Jul 7, 2026cs.CL

From Voting to Agent Collaboration: Answer-Type-Aware LLM Pipelines for BioASQ 14b

Biomedical question answering requires not only accurate extraction of information from scientific literature but also reliable integration of evidence across multiple documents. This study presents a question-type-specific large language model (LLM) framework for BioASQ 14b Task B, designed to improve answer robustness and evidence grounding in biomedical question answering. Rather than applying a single prompting strategy to all questions, the framework selects different inference procedures for yes/no, factoid, and list questions according to their distinct reasoning and evaluation requirements. For yes/no questions, snippet shuffling and self-reflection are used to reduce sensitivity to evidence ordering and improve decision stability. For factoid questions, full-snippet input is combined with chain-of-thought-based in-context learning to support accurate biomedical entity identification. For list questions, a multi-agent architecture is employed, in which evidence extraction, candidate generation, answer verification, and final aggregation are handled collaboratively. Preliminary experiments on BioASQ 13b were used to identify effective inference strategies for each question type, and the resulting framework was subsequently evaluated in the official BioASQ 14b Task B challenge. In the official evaluation, our framework showed competitive performance across multiple batches and achieved first place in the factoid subtask of Batch 4. These results demonstrate the effectiveness of combining question-type-specific inference, ensemble prediction, and agent-based verification for reliable biomedical question answering.
Jul 6, 2026cs.LG

Choosing a parallel heterogeneous ensemble method for tabular classification

Parallel ensemble methods were compared on 5656 small-to-medium tabular classification tasks drawn from OpenML CC18. A set of ``best practice'' recommendations on the use of ensemble methods was derived from these observations. It was later validated on 28 additional tasks using TabArena's precomputed data, where the recommendation set significantly outperformed Single Best and matched or exceeded individual ensemble methods. Two key observations were made. First, Blending and Stacking are inconsistent, but their inconsistencies are independent and happen on different tasks. Second, while Hard Voting's probabilistic classification is rather weak, a consequence of using vote proportions as posterior estimates, Robust Soft Voting's probabilistic classification is particularly successful, especially in the multiclass case.
Jun 30, 2026cs.CL

LV-ROVER-MLT: Low-Resource Maltese OCR by Multi-Stream Voting

Maltese, although a low-resource language, has its own text corpora and pretrained language models, but we are aware of only one real labelled PDF corpus for OCR training, 57 pages, far below what paragraph-level training needs. With no real corpus to train on at scale, we built a synthetic training pipeline and a 5-stream Tesseract ensemble voted under a lexicon-anchored, ROVER-style scheme adapted for a low-resource setting. We call the Maltese submission LV-ROVER-MLT: an engineered adaptation of LV-ROVER's voting algorithm, not a new one, submitted to the DocEng 2026 competition. All results below are dev-set figures from the competition's own benchmark; the held-out real test CER is unknown at the time of writing and this paper does not claim one. We report results on a 422-paragraph benchmark against a fine-tuned Tesseract baseline with a character error rate of 0.0234. Ensemble recognition alone, scored under the same label convention as the baseline, improves character error rate by 44 percent to 0.01317. A post-processing chain that aligns Tesseract's straight-quote and dash output to the benchmark's curly-quote convention, plus one stage that recovers misread diacritics, brings the full pipeline to a character error rate of 0.00700, a 70 percent reduction. We also tested the same method, unchanged, on Hungarian and Luxembourgish: a bootstrap and permutation audit confirms a 33.7 percent character error rate improvement on Luxembourgish, while the Hungarian margin, 0.8 percent, is not statistically significant.
Jun 30, 2026cs.AI

TreeAgent: A Generalizable Multi-Agent Framework for Automated Bias Labeling in Forestry via Compiled Expert Rules and Vision-Language Models

Human-labeled data are widely used as reference annotations in ML, despite known variability across annotators in many expert-driven domains. In addition, expert annotation is slow, inconsistent, and remains a major bottleneck for scaling tasks like tree height bias classification in forestry remote sensing. We propose a multi-agent system (MAS) that orchestrates expert decision trees with Vision-Language Models (VLMs), treating the decision tree as a structural prior while VLMs perform localized semantic perception at individual nodes, with multi-agent voting to mitigate VLM stochasticity. We formalize a Decoupled Declarative Decision (D3) Framework that enables zero-modification generalization across diverse expert-defined decision structures. On a tree bias classification testbed, our framework outperforms supervised ML baselines and reduces the amount of expert labeling effort required. These results suggest that agentic orchestration of VLMs with expert priors can reproduce expert-defined labeling procedures at substantially lower annotation cost while maintaining interpretability.
Jun 28, 2026cs.MA

Minority Sentinel: When to Overturn Majority Voting in Multi-Agent LLM Debates

Multi-Agent Debate (MAD) with Majority Voting is a dominant paradigm for improving LLM reasoning, yet its effectiveness rests on the Condorcet Jury Theorem's assumption of independent errors. Because contemporary LLMs share similar pretraining corpora, their errors are strongly correlated, causing the majority to systematically suppress correct minority opinions, a phenomenon we term Minority Truth. Through debates among three heterogeneous LLM agents on six benchmarks, we find that roughly one in four divergent cases has the minority holding the correct answer, yielding a 10-percentage-point theoretical recovery margin. We propose Minority Sentinel, a lightweight meta-classifier that extracts a multi-dimensional debate fingerprint from debate logs and trains a LightGBM model to decide when to overturn majority voting. Minority Sentinel achieves a stable Flip Precision of 81.2% with positive Net Gain across all six datasets and all 20 random seed trials, demonstrating that debate logs contain sufficient behavioral signals for a non-LLM classifier to reliably recover suppressed minorities without degrading system accuracy. The LLM-as-Judge baseline yields negative Net Gain despite higher recall, confirming that flip safety, not recovery volume, determines intervention value.
Jun 27, 2026cs.CL

Majority Vote Silences Minority Values: Annotator Disagreement at the Hate/Offensive Boundary in HateXplain

Hate speech annotation pipelines routinely collapse annotator disagreement into majority vote labels before training. We show that this aggregation is not neutral: 42.6% of all annotator disagreement in HateXplain concentrates specifically at the hate/offensive boundary, a pattern consistent with annotators applying different thresholds for where hate begins (chi-squared = 135.199, df = 2, p < 0.0001). Both a hard-label BERT model (Model A) and a soft-label model (Model B) drop 22 percentage points in accuracy from agreed posts (~80%) to disagreement posts (~58%), confirmed at p < 0.0001. A per-annotator multi-head model (Model C) widens this gap further to 28 points while collapsing offensive disagreement accuracy to 0.245. Critically, Model A expresses significantly higher confidence on boundary case errors than Model C (0.710 vs. 0.495, p < 0.0001), meaning standard evaluation metrics will not detect the failure. Three downstream interventions of increasing sophistication all fail to recover boundary accuracy. We argue the problem is structural. Majority vote presents a contested judgment as ground truth, and models inherit that false certainty. The intervention must be upstream in annotation design.
Jun 24, 2026econ.TH

Measurable Majorities Are Not Finitely Axiomatizable

This theoretical note studies the finite axiomatizability of strict majority reasoning in finite social decision frames. Moss and Pedersen (2026) <doi: 10.48550/arXiv.2606.23853> introduce a coherence criterion that characterizes exactly when qualitative majority judgments are representable by a finitely additive measure. The question addressed here is whether that coherence criterion can be replaced, in the finite setting, by any bounded finite fragment. We prove that it cannot. For every k≥1k\ge 1, we construct a maximal standard frame whose shortest coherence violation has length exactly 2k+22k+2. Hence there is no uniform finite bound on the incoherence index of social decision frames, resolving Conjecture 5.7 stated by Moss and Pedersen (2026). The construction is geometric, in the sense that it proceeds via orthogonality and dimension in rational vector spaces, and self-contained: it isolates a symmetric family of half-sized voting blocs and extends it to a maximal frame in which every shorter balanced obstruction is excluded. Along the explicit infinite sequence of universe sizes obtained in the construction, this also establishes the middle-layer family predicted by Conjecture B.25 by Moss and Pedersen (2026). Together with the soundness and completeness theorem for the Moss-Pedersen minimal logic for strict majorities, this establishes that measurable social decision frames are not finitely axiomatizable in that language.
Jun 22, 2026econ.TH

The Measurable Majority

This paper studies strict majority reasoning in finite electorates using so-called social decision frames\textit{social decision frames}: finite sets of voters equipped with distinguished families of coalitions interpreted as those voting blocs evaluated to form a strict majority. A coherence criterion for qualitative majority judgments is identified and shown to give an exact characterization for representability of strict majorities by finitely additive measures. In addition, a minimal natural logic for reasoning about strict majorities is shown to be sound and complete. These developments motivate examination of associated combinatorial questions concerning incoherence in finite families of sets; partial results and a conjecture are given. Finally, the results of this paper are applied to correct a classical representation theorem for weak qualitative probability structures due to Patrick Suppes and to establish a May-type characterization for ordinary strict majority rule for social decision frames.
Jun 19, 2026cs.CL

Quality and Agreement in Multilabel Emotion Annotation: A Case Study and Evaluation Framework

Emotion annotation is inherently subjective, yet most NLP pipelines still assume "gold" labels, typically produced by majority voting, and treat annotator variation as noise. In this paper, we present a multilabel emotion annotation case study and use it to examine how annotator behavior and aggregation choices affect both agreement estimates and downstream emotion classifiers. Rather than collapsing disagreement into a single label, we represent targets as soft vote-share labels (including an intensity-weighted variant) and evaluate models using both thresholded metrics (macro-/micro-F1) and probabilistic alignment (Bernoulli cross-entropy SoftBCE), alongside data-derived disagreement diagnostics. Across annotation regimes, we show that disagreement is structured and leaves measurable traces in model behavior: hard labels may maximize F1 metrics, while soft supervision yields predictions that better reflect empirical annotator variance and uncertainty. Our results provide practical guidance for designing, aggregating, and evaluating multilabel emotion datasets when multiple interpretations are plausible.
Jun 12, 2026cs.CV

Mask Proposal Voting Based on Geodesic Framework for Robust Image Segmentation

Despite great advances, finding accurate segmentation remains a challenging task, especially in scenarios with cluttered backgrounds, complex intensity variations and topology appearance. Minimal path models have exhibited their strong ability in addressing image segmentation tasks. However, the performance of minimal paths-based segmentation approaches is heavily influenced by model initialization, hence limiting their application scope in practice. In this work, we propose a novel mask proposal voting framework that overcomes the major drawback of classical approaches, allowing robust segmentation even in complicated scenarios. Firstly, we introduce an efficient method for constructing adaptive domain cuts as a constraint for initializing the region-based min-cut evolution, by which diverse and reliable mask proposal candidates can be generated, substantially increasing the possibility of accurately covering the objective region by these proposals. Secondly, we propose a new mask voting scheme to build a voting score map encoding the final segmentation information. In contrast to classical path voting methods, our model allows incorporating priors to assign different importance to each individual mask. As a consequence, the proposed segmentation model is capable of accurately delineating object boundaries under complex scenarios, and is insensitive to initialization. Experiments demonstrate that our method consistently outperforms state-of-the-art minimal path-based approaches in both accuracy and robustness.
Jun 11, 2026stat.ML

Majority-of-Three is Optimal

We give a short proof that the majority vote of three independent consistent classifiers is an optimal learner in the realizable PAC setting. This proves optimality for the simplest voting scheme, while simplifying both the algorithmic structure and the probabilistic analysis of previous voting learners, including the algorithm of S. Hanneke and the analysis of bagging by K. Green Larsen.
Jun 11, 2026cs.AI

Confidence Composition for Multiagent Language Model Systems

Multiagent language model systems, such as collaborative reasoning and debate, produce multiple correlated candidate answers and confidence signals. However, these signals are usually calibrated only at the individual agent level, and provide no principled confidence estimate for the system's final answer. We formulate this as a confidence composition problem where combining confidence across agents and reasoning stages while preserving both selective utility and probabilistic reliability. We study confidence-aware routing and log-odds pooling protocols that select among candidate answers and output a system-level confidence. Across five benchmarks, 30 heterogeneous and homogeneous model pairs, and two confidence estimators, our gated-fusion methods improve AUARC and reduce Brier score over single agent, standard debate, and selective debate baselines, while retaining competitive weighted F1-score as a correctness metric. We further show that our log-odds fusion is overconfident due to correlated intermediate signals. We propose a shared dependence discount that substantially improves reliability while preserving predictions.
Jun 11, 2026cs.CV

A Multi-Modal Framework with Cross-Subject Pseudo-Labeling and Semantic Alignment for Micro-Gesture Recognition

Micro-gestures (MGs) are spontaneous and subtle body movements that frequently convey hidden human emotions. Recognizing MGs in untrimmed videos remains highly challenging due to their extremely low signal-to-noise ratio, severe long-tailed class distribution, and the inherent domain shift encountered in cross-subject evaluation scenarios. In this paper, we propose a comprehensive multi-modal framework for Track 1 of the 4th MiGA-IJCAI Challenge. To capture fine-grained representations, we design a saliency-guided multi-modal extraction pipeline integrating 68-keypoint skeleton joint coordinates, 3D heatmap volumes, and high-resolution RGB visual features. We introduce a gentle square-root smoothed weighting mechanism paired with an Orthogonal Semantic Embedding Loss to protect tail classes without compromising overall recognition capabilities. More importantly, to bridge the cross-subject generalization gap, we propose a Cross-Modal Pseudo-Labeling (CMPL) strategy for unsupervised domain adaptation, which significantly boosts single-modal robustness. A temperature-scaled soft-voting mechanism is finally utilized to alleviate overconfidence during late fusion. Extensive experiments demonstrate that our framework achieves a competitive F1-score of 68.13%, securing the 4th place.
Jun 11, 2026cs.AI

MARS: Margin-Adversarial Risk-controlled Stopping for Parallel LLM Test-time Scaling

Parallel test-time scaling samples many reasoning traces and majority-votes their answers, improving LLM accuracy but requiring traces to run to completion, incurring substantial computational overhead. We observe that probing partial traces at intermediate checkpoints can extract current answers without disrupting generation, revealing an evolving aggregate vote. Based on this observation, we introduce MARS, a margin-adversarial stopping rule that estimates which active traces are likely to change their answers and stops once the leader remains safe under a conservative bound on future vote movement. The rule separates two sources of uncertainty. It learns the trace-level switch probabilities that determine how much of the current margin is likely to be retained, while handling the harder question of where switching traces land through an adversarial bound calibrated from warmup traces. With true switch probabilities, MARS guarantees with high probability that the early-stopped answer matches the full-budget vote. In practice, a five-feature logistic model closely matches oracle switching behavior. Across three reasoning models and three competition-math benchmarks, MARS saves 25-47% of self-consistency tokens and 14-29% on top of DeepConf Online, a strong confidence-weighted baseline that already filters and truncates weak traces, while matching the accuracy of the corresponding full-budget baselines.
Jun 10, 2026cs.CY

Evaluation of Alternative-Based Information Systems for Deliberative Polling using an Agentic Simulator

Deliberative polling promises to improve collective decision-making by exposing shareholders to a broad range of arguments before they vote. Yet ensuring that every voter encounters a representative sample of the reason space, the coverage problem, remains an open challenge, particularly at scale and in adversarial or strategically motivated electorates. This paper introduces a way of evaluating solutions using the LLM-based Agentic Bipolar Argumentation Simulator, grounded in a framework which formalises a poll as a six-tuple <Jend, Jopp, Ratt, Renh, VA, VR> of endorsing and opposing justifications, attack and enhance relations, and shareholder- and relation-weights. ABAS simulates N autonomous shareholder agents, each assigned a latent opinion according to desired distributions in [-1, 1], who sequentially vote, choose or author justifications, and optionally submit argumentation-graph links. The simulator implements recommendations that rank existing justifications by their observable endorsement mass. It evaluates the mechanism's success by coverage, namely the fraction of the corpus reason-tag set represented in the K recommendations presented to each shareholder, as a solution to the NP-hard Subsuming Justification Problem. Reported experiments characterise how creativity rate (pown), recommendation size (K), argumentation density (plinks), and population size (N) affect coverage and corpus diversity. In an authenticated electorate where Sybil attacks are impossible and only the relation graph is gameable, we stress-test the scoring with coordinated strategic voting attacks: a tag-flood attack collapses coverage, while author-count relation weighting through a reversed-PageRank rule resists the flood markedly better than uniform weights.
Jun 7, 2026cs.CL

TeamHerald@CHIPSAL 2026: Hate Speech Detection and Sentiment Analysis of Nepali Memes using Transformer-based Architectures and Ensemble Learning

The analysis of internet memes in the Nepali language is complicated by frequent code-mixing and a lack of established baseline resources. While memes inherently combine visual and textual elements, this study focuses on a text-centric approach by extracting embedded text using an OCR layer and modeling it with Transformer-based architectures. We evaluate six distinct models and investigate the comparative effectiveness of Hard and Soft Voting ensemble strategies across two tasks: binary hate speech detection and three-class sentiment analysis. Experimental results show that a standalone decoder-only model achieved the highest performance for binary classification, whereas the Soft Voting ensemble performed best for the multi-class sentiment task, yielding a 15.8% relative improvement in Macro F1-score over the strongest standalone baseline. These findings suggest that ensemble strategies behave differently across binary and multi-class tasks, highlighting the importance of selecting aggregation methods suited to the classification objective.
Jun 6, 2026cs.AI

When Does Delegation Beat Majority? A Delegation-Based Aggregator for Multi-Sample LLM Inference

Majority voting is the default unsupervised aggregator for multi-sample LLM inference, but it discards two signals: within-group answer entropy and between-group reasoning geometry. We aggregate by delegation instead (Propagational Proxy Voting, PPV): each group of samples keeps weight on its own answer in proportion to its entropy-based confidence (When) and routes the rest to peers by reasoning-embedding similarity (Whom); the stationary distribution of the resulting delegation matrix picks the consensus answer. This requires neither gold labels nor training. On MMLU-Pro with 128 samples per question, delegation beats majority by +1.5 pp overall and +2.24 pp on non-trivial questions (McNemar p ~ 1.0e-14, n = 8,099), overturning wrong majorities whose answer cluster is geometrically incoherent while the correct minority is tight. We then characterize exactly when delegation overturns majority: a two-option model gives a closed-form flip condition on each option's confidence and the weight it routes to the other, with a do-no-harm corollary for near-unanimous questions. The condition calls the realized winner on 96.5% of non-trivial questions, and its predicted mass gap tracks the realized gap at r = 0.97. We did not find any other unsupervised ensemble methods that close the oracle gap.
Jun 6, 2026cs.MA

Voting Protocols as Coordination Mechanisms for Role-Constrained Multi-Agent Tutoring Systems

Agentic tutoring systems introduce a coordination challenge: multiple agents may propose different but reasonable interventions, yet only one response can be delivered to the learner. In this paper, we study how voting protocols shape cooperation among four role-constrained pedagogical agents responsible for scaffolding, misconception, motivation, and metacognition. We compare four voting protocols -- simple, ranked, cumulative, and approval voting -- across two simulated tutoring environments on SciQ and HumanEval benchmarks. Rather than using voting as a simple aggregation step, we use it to analyze how collective decision rules shape coordination under partial pedagogical conflict. Across 1,200 simulated interactions, we find that agent deliberation and voting protocol type frequently change which response ultimately wins, showing that both meaningfully shape the collective decision. Different voting rules also produce distinct coordination behaviors, and even brief tutoring turns show measurable learning gains in simulated students. Overall, we show that protocol choice is associated with distinct coordination patterns among role-specialized pedagogical agents.
Jun 2, 2026cs.SI

What Makes Majority Illusion Easy to Detect?

Majority illusion is an undesirable phenomenon in social networks in which agents incorrectly perceive a minority opinion as dominant. This can severely distort collective behavior and decision-making. We study the fundamental question of detecting whether a social network allows for a majority illusion. Formally, in the qq-Majority Illusion problem, we ask whether there exists a binary labeling of agents in which at least a qq-fraction of agents have the majority of neighbors with the minority label. We investigate how various structural properties of the underlying social network influence the tractability of this question, and provide a detailed map of its computational complexity.
Jun 1, 2026cs.GT

Democracy on Rugged Landscapes: Phase Transitions in Optimal Voting Rules

Laws and institutions shape individual outcomes through complex interactions with citizens' diverse circumstances, yet how different voting methods navigate this coupled landscape remains poorly understood. We model collective governance as optimization on NK fitness landscapes, where shared bits (laws) are updated by voting while individual bits (personal traits) remain fixed. A cross-dependency parameter αα controls how legislation's effects depend on individual circumstances. We compare eight standard voting methods and a generalized scoring family across landscape ruggedness K∈{1,…,20}K \in \{1,\ldots,20\} and α∈[0,1]α\in [0,1] with 1000 runs per configuration. Under direct democracy, the optimal voting method undergoes sharp phase transitions as a function of landscape complexity: cardinal score voting dominates on smooth landscapes, ordinal scoring with p=0.35p=0.35 at low-to-moderate ruggedness, Borda count across a wide middle range, and STAR voting at the highest complexity. A two-parameter empirical formula reduces the (K,α)(K, α) plane to a single complexity axis for visualization. Borda count achieves the highest mean fitness and lowest variance across most of the parameter space. We further introduce a representative democracy model parameterized by identity weight ββ and candidate self-interest pselfp_{\mathrm{self}}. Representation reshapes the complexity-dependent structure even under favorable conditions: cardinal score voting dominates across most regimes, with plurality emerging as the top method at high ββ and low-to-moderate pselfp_{\mathrm{self}}.
May 31, 2026cs.CY

AGORA: Can Deliberation and Governance Gates Absorb Participation Bias in Transit Planning?

Transit network design depends not only on the optimization algorithm but also on who shows up to the public hearing. Current practice often collects one-directional comments from self-selected attendees, leaving participant mix as an uncontrolled source of outcome variation. We present AGORA, a framework that holds the network, demand, and solver fixed while systematically varying meeting composition through stakeholder agents, structured deliberation, and governance gates. Across two standard benchmark networks at different scales, we find that (i) aggregate outcomes vary little across compositions, but on tail risk and fairness disparity, representative sampling still tends to outperform skewed compositions; (ii) without deliberation, composition produces no variation at all, showing that deliberation is the mechanism through which who attends affects outcomes; and (iii) governance gates compress cross-profile variance without shifting the average outcome on Mandl, but low acceptance on Mumford0 shows thresholds require instance-specific calibration. These findings reframe participation bias from an uncontrollable input to a process-design problem: even without guaranteed representative attendance, well-structured deliberation and governance criteria can substantially reduce how much outcomes depend on who is in the room.