Neural Scaling Laws

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Period ending 2026-09-21

6 new papers

A weekly snapshot of new work published in Neural Scaling Laws.

Period ending 2026-09-14

6 new papers

A weekly snapshot of new work published in Neural Scaling Laws.

Period ending 2026-09-07

7 new papers

A weekly snapshot of new work published in Neural Scaling Laws.

233 papers

Latest in Neural Scaling Laws

Jul 2, 2026cs.AI

Scaling with Confidence: Calibrating Confidence of LLMs for Adaptive Test Time Scaling

Training large language models (LLMs) with reinforcement learning (RL) has significantly advanced their performance on reasoning and question-answering tasks. However, prevailing RL reward designs typically prioritize response correctness, neglecting to incentivize models to express their confidence accurately. This leads to a critical problem: performance gains are often accompanied by poor calibration between confidence and accuracy, misleading models to overconfidently hallucinate when uncertain. To address this limitation, we propose C\textbf{C}orrectness and C\textbf{C}onfidence C\textbf{C}alibration R\textbf{R}einforcement L\textbf{L}earning (C3RL\textbf{C3RL}), a novel RL algorithm integrating correctness, calibration and dataset-informed reference accuracy rewards together. Comprehensive evaluation across 8 text and multimodal datasets demonstrates that C3RL enhances calibration without sacrificing accuracy, outperforming the current state-of-the-art method in both performance and calibration metrics. Utilizing the well-calibrated verbalized confidence from C3RL, we further introduce C\textbf{C}onfidence-based A\textbf{A}daptive Test Time S\textbf{S}caling (CAS\textbf{CAS}), an adjustable inference-time strategy that allocates computational resources based on response confidence. Experiments show that CAS surpasses majority voting on both in-domain and out-of-domain datasets while reducing the inference budget by up to 12.33 times. We believe the synergy of C3RL and CAS paves the way for deploying more reliable and resource-efficient LLMs. The code, data and models will be released.
Xuqing Yang, Yi Yuan, Shanzhe Lei +1
Jul 1, 2026cs.LG

How to Allocate Your Tokens? Scaling Laws with Training Steps and Batch Size

We propose a scaling law that takes into account model size and training data while explicitly splitting the latter into training steps and batch size (called three-term law). Fitting the proposed law on a large set of training runs, we find that it correctly recovers the scaling of the optimal batch size. Moreover, because it makes use of training runs with suboptimal batch size, our proposed law can be robustly fit with a significantly smaller amount of training runs. We further show that the three-term law can be used to derive scaling laws for suboptimal batch sizes, and that it matches previous empirical findings related to the critical batch size.
Fabian Schaipp
Jul 1, 2026cs.CL

Comparing Architectures for Supervised Political Scaling

Text scaling, the task of positioning political actors on an ideological scale, is a fundamental task in political analysis. To ease the need for manual analysis, various NLP methods have been proposed for this task, including classification- and regression-based approaches, showing successes as well as limitations. The goal of our paper is to consolidate the state of the art in this area. We ask two questions: (a) Can the performance of scaling methods be improved by predicting scales not individually but jointly? (b) Is there a middle ground between classification and regression?
Anna Golub, Sebastian Padó
Jul 1, 2026cs.LG

Scaling Laws for Grid-Based Approximate Nearest Neighbor Search in High Dimensions

Grid-based approaches to approximate nearest neighbor (ANN) search have been absent from modern scaling analyses. We present a systematic characterization of a multiprobe grid algorithm with respect to dataset size NN and dimensionality dd. Our experiments reveal a previously unreported dd-scaling crossover on the GloVe embedding family, in which multiprobe grid search maintains an approximately constant dimensional scaling exponent while other graph-, tree-, and partitioning-based methods exhibit degrading throughput. The advantage comes with near-linear query scaling in NN, but also with lower indexing cost than competing ANN methods. Our results suggest that grid-based methods such as multiprobe grid may be competitive in rebuild-heavy or high-dimensional settings where indexing cost and dimensional robustness dictate performance. More broadly, recent work has formalized self-attention as an ANN operation. Thus, the NN- and dd-scaling properties of ANN algorithms may guide cost analysis of efficient transformer architectures. Code is available at: https://github.com/weiz345/MultiProbeANN.
Matthew J Liu, Wei Hang Zheng, Vidhan Purohit +4
Jul 1, 2026stat.CO

Optimal scaling of MCMC algorithms: the Hamiltonian approach

We present a simple, yet general approach to study the scaling properties as the dimensionality of Metropolised MCMC sampling algorithms increases. The study relies on the symmetries of the Hamiltonian formalism and ultimately on the symmetry of the Metropolis-Hastings formula. Our findings contain, as particular cases, many known results for the Random Walk Metropolis, MALA and other algorithms. In addition, they provide, in an easy way, new optimal scaling results for a variety of proposal mechanisms, including implicit proposals and proposals generated with the help of differential equation integrators. The analysis applies to targets that are products of a given, not necessarily univariate distribution, and also to cases where the different terms in the product are scaled differently. We show how to construct gradient-based MALA-like proposals where the variance of the proposal as the dimension dd increases may be taken as O(1/dμ)O(1/d^μ), with μ>0μ>0 arbitrarily small, to be compared with the values μ=1μ= 1 for Random Walk Metropolis and μ=1/3μ=1/3 for MALA.
P. Dobson, J. M. Sanz-Serna, K. C. Zygalakis
Jun 30, 2026cs.RO

ELASTIC: Efficiently Learning to Adaptively Scale Test-Time Compute for Generative Control Policies

Generative control policies (GCPs), such as diffusion policies and flow-based vision-language-action models, enable test-time scaling in robot control. Test-time compute can be allocated along two axes: sequential scaling, which increases denoising steps to refine actions, and parallel scaling, which samples multiple candidate actions to search across modes of the policy distribution. However, the optimal allocation of sequential and parallel compute is hard to know a priori as it is state-, task-, and policy-dependent. For example, early stages of a grasp may benefit from broader parallel exploration, while near-contact phases may require more sequential refinement for precision. We present ELASTIC, an algorithm that learns state-dependent test-time compute schedules for GCPs. We formulate compute allocation as a meta-Markov Decision Process in which a meta-policy interacts with a frozen pretrained robot policy and selects sequential steps and parallel samples at each denoising iteration to maximize task success while minimizing compute. Using reinforcement learning, this meta-policy also learns adaptive compute schedules without access to the GCP's training data. Across simulated manipulation benchmarks with diffusion policies, ELASTIC Pareto-dominates fixed and single-axis scaling baselines at matched compute budgets. On real-world robot manipulation with the π0.5π_{0.5} vision-language-action model, ELASTIC matches best-of-1010 success while reducing wall-clock latency by 34%.
Andrew Zou Li, Gokul Swamy, Yonatan Bisk +1
Jun 29, 2026cs.CL

Scaling the Horizon, Not the Parameters: Reaching Trillion-Parameter Performance with a 35B Agent

We introduce Agents-A1, a 35B Mixture-of-Experts Agentic Model that reaches trillion-parameter-level performance by scaling the agent horizon. We investigate agent-horizon scaling from two perspectives: scaling long-horizon trajectories and scaling heterogeneous agent abilities. To support this goal, we build a long-horizon knowledge-action infrastructure that connects external knowledge, actions, observations, and verifier outcomes, producing agentic trajectories with an average length of 45K tokens. Based on this, we train Agents-A1 with a three-stage recipe. First, we perform full-domain supervised fine-tuning to align the base model with broad agentic behaviors. Second, we train domain-level teacher models to capture specialized expertise in each domain. Third, we propose a multi-teacher domain-routed on-policy distillation with salient vocabulary alignment to improve knowledge transfer efficiency across different domains, unifying six heterogeneous domains into one deployable student model. Agents-A1 achieves strong and broad performance for long-horizon agent benchmarks. Compared with 1T-parameter model such as Kimi-K2.6 and DeepSeek-V4-pro, Agents-A1 achieves leading results on SEAL-0 (56.4), IFBench (80.6), HiPhO (46.4), FrontierScience-Olympiad (79.0), and MolBench-Bind (56.8), and remains highly competitive on SciCode (44.3), HLE (47.6) and BrowseComp (75.5). We hope this work provides the community with a practical path for scaling the horizon using a 35B agent that can reach or match the performance of 1T models on long-horizon tasks.
Lei Bai, Zongsheng Cao, Yang Chen +50
Jun 28, 2026cs.CV

ScAle: Attention Head Scaling as a Minimal Adapter for Spatial Reasoning in Vision Language Models

Spatial reasoning remains a persistent challenge for many vision language models (VLMs), and improving it typically requires fine-tuning with substantial additional parameters. Our preliminary analysis reveals that rescaling activations in selected transformer layers-without modifying pretrained weights-can significantly influence downstream performance. Motivated by this observation, we propose ScAle, an ultra-lightweight adaptation method that learns a small set of scalar coefficients to modulate last-token attention and MLP activations in a fully frozen backbone. We evaluate our method on the synthetic spatial reasoning benchmark SpatialEval and on real-world VQA datasets (COCOQA and VGQA) across multiple model families. Our method, ScAle, achieves up to 134.1% relative accuracy gains using only 1K trainable parameters without requiring millions of trainable parameters as in standard PEFT methods such as LoRA. Despite its extreme compactness, our approach recovers a substantial fraction of standard PEFT performance while preserving strong non-spatial VQA accuracy. These results demonstrate that bounded activation reweighting provides a simple, architecture-agnostic, and highly parameter-efficient alternative for adapting pretrained VLMs.
Rahul Chowdhury, Timothy A Rupprecht, Xuan Shen +2
Jun 28, 2026cs.CV

Pointer-CAD v2: Plan-Then-Construct CAD Generation with Dimension-Aware Parametric Precision

Computer-aided design (CAD) plays a fundamental role in modern manufacturing by providing the high precision required for industrial production. Recent large language model based approaches formulate CAD generation as a sequence prediction problem and have achieved promising results. However, existing methods and evaluation protocols primarily emphasize visual similarity, while overlooking precise geometric parameters and correct metric scale. Small numerical deviations that are negligible at the shape-level may still violate industrial tolerance requirements, a problem further compounded by current autoregressive paradigms that utilize command sequence representations, aggressively quantize numerical parameters to ease LLM prediction. In this work, we present Pointer-CAD v2. Compared with v1 (arXiv:2603.04337), this version directly predicts continuous values, bypassing the need for quantized numerical parameters and thereby eliminating quantization errors. Specifically, we propose a unified framework that decouples parameter reasoning from geometric construction through a Plan-Then-Construct paradigm. Our method first produces a structured design plan with explicit metric scale parameters. These parameters are organized into a dictionary and directly referenced during sequence generation via a pointer mechanism, eliminating discretization errors and ensuring dimensionally consistent execution. In addition, we construct a new large-scale dataset with plan-level annotation and introduce three hierarchical geometry accuracy metrics to evaluate parametric fidelity at the vertex, edge, and face levels. Extensive experiments demonstrate that Pointer-CAD v2 consistently outperforms existing baselines and achieves substantial improvements in geometric accuracy, enabling reliable CAD generation for precision-critical engineering applications.
Dacheng Qi, Chenyu Wang, Jingwei Xu +2
Jun 28, 2026cs.CV

ScaleErasure: Inference-Time Minimal Intervention for Precise Concept Erasure in Next-Scale Autoregressive Image Generation

Concept erasure aims to prevent image generative models from producing unsafe content while preserving their general generative capability. Meanwhile, next-scale autoregressive (AR) image generation has recently emerged as a new generative paradigm characterized by next-scale prediction, for which concept erasure remains largely unexplored. In this paradigm, semantic information is highly compressed at early scales, leading to severe entanglement between unsafe and unrelated semantics. In this paper, we propose ScaleErasure, an inference-time concept erasure method that performs minimal intervention. ScaleErasure precisely selects and guides predicted logits that are most relevant to the unsafe concept, thereby enabling effective erasure under severe semantic entanglement. Specifically, ScaleErasure performs two additional forward passes conditioned on the unsafe concept and the corresponding safe concept, and leverages their outputs to guide the target logits away from unsafe concepts toward safe concepts. To enable precise and minimal intervention, logits selection and guidance are conducted across three dimensions: scales, tokens, and bit channels. Experiments demonstrate that ScaleErasure outperforms adapted baselines in the next-scale AR paradigm, achieving more precise concept erasure while largely preserving general generative capability. The code is available at https://github.com/coziiizz/ScaleErasure.
Cong Wang, Haiyu Wu, Zhiwei Jiang +4
Jun 28, 2026cs.LG

On the Nonlinearity of Learning Rate Scaling for LLM Training

Learning-rate transfer can reduce the cost of training large language models: instead of sweeping learning rates at target scale, practitioners extrapolate from smaller runs. Existing approaches often assume that the optimal learning rate follows a log-linear scaling law in data scale and model size. We carefully examine and evaluate this scaling law. In our empirical study of GPT-2--style models from 22M to 707M parameters trained on 5B to 100B tokens, the optimal learning rate develops upward curvature at larger scales, leading to inaccurate extrapolation. We find that this curvature largely disappears when learning rates are replaced by effective learning rate (the step size in normalized weight space), and when data DD extrapolation is used instead of model size NN extrapolation. Next, we explain nonlinearity in scaling: weight-norm converges to equilibrium slower when optimal learning is small, requiring a larger step size to reduce the transient phase. Experiments with AdamH, which directly controls the effective learning rate, further support this explanation.
Zaiwen Yang, Huaqing Zhang, Jing Xu +1
Jun 28, 2026cs.AI

Flow Reasoning Models: Turning Flows Into Efficient Recurrent Reasoners

Structured reasoning requires making and revising interdependent decisions to reach a globally consistent solution. Existing architectures struggle with this: autoregressive models commit sequentially and cannot revise earlier decisions, while masked diffusion models often require careful decoding schemes to coordinate interdependent predictions. We introduce Flow Reasoning Models (FRMs), a novel framework for structured reasoning that adapts continuous flows over discrete structured outputs with a simple recurrent refinement mechanism. By self-conditioning a flow model on its own past outputs, we turn one-shot denoising into iterative solution refinement. This lets FRMs make and revise decisions in parallel, efficiently coordinating interdependent choices across solutions. Yet conventional self-conditioning becomes unreliable at greater recurrent depth due to exposure bias between one-step training predictions and recursively generated inference states. We address this mismatch with Fixed-Point Forcing (FPF), which trains FRMs on states produced by their own inference dynamics while preserving the standard flow-matching objective. FRMs achieve solve rates of 99.5%99.5\%, 100.0%100.0\%, and 99.9%99.9\% on Sudoku-Extreme, Zebra, and Maze-Unique, respectively. On Sudoku-Extreme, FRMs achieve higher peak accuracy than the evaluated masked-diffusion and specialized reasoning baselines while remaining highly compute-efficient, matching the next-best method's 98.7%98.7\% peak solve rate with 44×44\times fewer inference FLOPs.
Alec Helbling, Andrey Bryutkin, Mauro Martino +3
Jun 27, 2026cs.CV

On Test-Time Scaling for Vision-Language Models

Test-time scaling is a paradigm where large models use additional compute at inference to achieve better performance, without changing model weights. While it has been widely studied for Large Language Models (LLMs), its applicability to Large Vision-Language Models (LVLMs) remains less explored and analyzed, with limited analysis of whether, when, and to what extent these approaches transfer to LVLMs. In this work, we ask a simple but fundamental question: can conventional test-time scaling methods developed for LLMs be directly applied to LVLMs? We present the first comprehensive study of test-time scaling for LVLMs, spanning multiple models and model sizes, nine test-time scaling methods, and six diverse benchmarks. Our main findings is that 1) different from previous findings, small, well-performing models benefit the most from test-time scaling, enabling performance improvements of up to around 30%, reaching large models performance, and often outperforming them, 2) LVLMs lose focus when given more compute than necessary, and 3) Visual information is encoded early in the reasoning chain, after which the chain is dominated by text-only reasoning and the contribution of image tokens drops significantly. Finally, we also provide a global and fine-grained analysis on the quality and information sufficiency of the reasoning chains produced. Overall, our findings and analysis provide practical guidance and insights into LVLMs and their deployment in research and industry.
Fawaz Sammani, Tzoulio Chamiti, Nikos Deligiannis
Jun 26, 2026cs.LG

How Width and Data Shape Generalization Scaling Laws in Quadratic Neural Networks

Understanding how performance scales jointly with model size and data is a central problem in modern machine learning. Existing theoretical works on scaling laws typically describe generalization as a function of data or compute, often in fixed-feature or infinite-width regimes and for online SGD. Here, we instead study how generalization scales with the number of trainable parameters and the number of samples in a feature-learning model. We analyze ℓ2\ell_2-regularized empirical test error minimization in a quadratic two-layer network in a finite-sample setting with structured data. This setting allows for an explicit characterization of the generalization error as a function of the number of samples, model width, and regularization. Our results reveal a phase diagram with distinct scaling regimes as the number of parameters varies. In particular, the generalization error follows data-dependent power laws controlled by the spectral structure of the target. We further characterize the transitions between regimes, including the onset of interpolation, and their impact on generalization.
Julius Girardin, Emanuele Troiani, Yizhou Xu +3
Jun 26, 2026cs.RO

Unleashing Infinite Motion: Scaling Expressive Quadrupedal Motion via Generative Video Priors

Quadruped robots have achieved remarkable locomotion, yet their behavioral repertoire remains confined to a few gaits--far from the expressive, companion-like presence long envisioned for them. Attempts to import the humanoid recipe of large-scale motion data have inherited one tacit assumption: that robot motion must first pass through an animal body, making data collection dependent on cooperative animals, reconstruction fragile across species, and retargeting ill-posed across incompatible morphologies. We propose Uni-Mo, a fully automated pipeline that removes the animal from the loop by reframing data scarcity as a generation problem: an LLM proposes motion prompts, a video diffusion model synthesizes the corresponding robot behaviors, and the generated videos are lifted into 3D reference trajectories used to train tracking policies deployed on a real Unitree Go2. To make naively-drifting generations reliably extractable, we introduce an Identity Consistency Loss that enforces appearance coherence across frames. We release Quad-Imaginarium at https://github.com/Amap-Robotics/Quad-Imaginarium, the resulting open-source dataset of 7,488 language-annotated quadruped motions (18.5 hours) spanning acrobatic and performative behaviors. We validate 392 randomly sampled motions on a real Unitree Go2 with a 96.7% deployment success rate, complemented by a 97.6% success rate across the full dataset in simulation.
Youzhi Liu, Li Gao, Yifei Qian +3
Jun 26, 2026cs.LG

MixTTA: Low-Rank Cross-Channel Mixing for Reliable Test-Time Adaptation

Test-Time Adaptation (TTA) methods commonly update the affine parameters of normalization layers to adapt deployed models under distribution shifts. However, per-channel affine parameters perform axis-aligned scaling and shifting, making them geometrically incapable of correcting cross-channel structural changes induced by distribution shift. To address this limitation, we propose MixTTA, a lightweight plug-in module that equips normalization layers with a low-rank cross-channel transformation, enabling inter-channel mixing at each layer. To ensure that the low-rank branch captures only cross-channel interactions, we also propose Decoupling Projection that enforces strict separation from the diagonal affine path, along with Spectral Projection that prevents rank-1 collapse under non-stationary test streams. MixTTA can be seamlessly integrated into any existing normalization-based TTA method. Experiments in both standard and wild TTA settings show consistent improvements over strong baselines while mitigating adaptation failure under challenging conditions. The source code is publicly available at https://github.com/delta6189/MixTTA.
Mansoo Jung, Youngwook Kim, Jungwoo Lee
Jun 26, 2026cs.CL

Mitigating Position Bias in Transformers via Layer-Specific Positional Embedding Scaling

Large Language Models (LLMs) still struggle with the ``lost-in-the-middle'' problem, where critical information located in the middle of long-context inputs is often underrepresented or lost. While existing methods attempt to address this by combining multi-scale rotary position embeddings (RoPE), they typically suffer from high latency or rely on suboptimal hand-crafted scaling strategies. To overcome these limitations, we introduce a layer-specific positional embedding scaling~(LPES) method that assigns distinct scaling factors to each layer. LPES achieves a more balanced attention distribution without fine-tuning model parameters or increasing inference delay. A specially designed genetic algorithm is employed to efficiently select the optimal scaling factors for each layer by incorporating Bézier curves to significantly reduce the search space. Extensive experiments demonstrate that LPES effectively mitigates positional attention bias and delivers consistent improvements across multiple long-context benchmarks, yielding up to an 11.211.2% accuracy gain on the key-value retrieval dataset.
Changze Lv, Zhenghua Wang, Yiran Ding +9
Jun 24, 2026cs.SD

Sarashina2.2-TTS: Tackling Kanji Polyphony in Japanese Speech Generation via Data Scaling and Targeted Data Synthesis

While large language model (LLM)-based text-to-speech (TTS) systems have achieved high-quality speech synthesis, most existing systems focus on English and Chinese. Japanese, however, remains under-explored, and its unique linguistic challenges, such as widespread context-dependent kanji polyphony, have yet to be adequately tackled. Here we introduce Sarashina2.2-TTS (https://github.com/sbintuitions/sarashina2.2-tts), a Japanese-centric LLM-TTS system that tackles these challenges through a dual approach: data strategy and evaluation methodology. First, we scale training to approximately 361k hours of speech, incorporating a balanced mix of Japanese and English data. Furthermore, we design a targeted data augmentation pipeline covering all 2,136 Joyo (regular-use) kanji designated by Japan's Agency for Cultural Affairs to efficiently address kanji polyphony disambiguation. Second, we introduce the Joyo Kanji Yomi Benchmark (https://github.com/sbintuitions/JoyoKanji-Yomi-Benchmark), covering all 2,136 Joyo kanji and their 4,378 readings. Alongside this benchmark, we propose Kana-CER, a metric that compares synthesized speech against reference readings in the kana space, eliminating orthographic variations to directly measure pronunciation correctness. Experiments demonstrate that our targeted data augmentation significantly improves reading accuracy. Overall, Sarashina2.2-TTS achieves state-of-the-art kanji-level reading accuracy and matches top baselines on general sentence-level pronunciation, while delivering the highest speaker similarity in zero-shot Japanese speech synthesis. Furthermore, cross-lingual evaluation reveals that Sarashina2.2-TTS is the only system that maintains stable Japanese pronunciation regardless of the prompt language, confirming that our balanced training approach improves cross-lingual robustness.
Lianbo Liu, Shiao Zhu, Kai Washizaki +10
Jun 23, 2026stat.ML

Model selection with proper scoring rules on data sets of time series: prefer the mean scaled score

We study the problem of model selection among probabilistic forecasting models evaluated on datasets of multiple time series. The performance of a model on a single time series is quantified by the average value (score) of a proper scoring rule over a test set, but extending model selection to data sets of time series requires aggregating these scores. Common approaches either rely on scaling scores and averaging them (mean scaled score) or avoid scaling by using alternative statistics such as mean ranks or win rates. However, these approaches can yield conflicting conclusions. We show that such discrepancies arise from the skewness of the distribution of the scores, which is particularly pronounced when test sets are short. The skewness can cause non-mean criteria (e.g., mean rank, median, win rate) to select misspecified models. In contrast, the mean score is immune from this problem. We further show that, as the size of the test sets increases, all aggregation criteria converge to the same model selection decision, mitigating these discrepancies. Our experiments on intermittent demand time series, including data from the M5 competition, highlight the importance of sufficiently large test sets; the mean scaled score appears to be the more reliable approach, also because empirically we found its decision to remain consistent when different scaling factors are adopted.
Giorgio Corani, Stefano Damato, Dario Azzimonti +1
Jun 23, 2026cs.AI

SAFARI: Scaling Long Horizon Agentic Fault Attribution via Active Investigation

As autonomous agents tackle increasingly complex multi-step, multi-agent tasks, their execution trajectories have scaled beyond the constraints of even the largest context windows. Current methods for effectively diagnosing agent failures load the full trajectory into an LLM's context window, which suffers from attention dilution and fails when agentic traces inevitably exceed context limits. To address this, we introduce SAFARI (Scaling long-horizon Agentic Fault AttRibution via active Investigation), a framework that replaces linear context loading with a tool-augmented diagnostic loop. By equipping LLMs with a specialized toolbox to read and search trajectory segments alongside a persistent Short-Term Memory (STM) for cross-turn reasoning, SAFARI effectively decouples diagnostic accuracy from architectural context limits. Our experiments demonstrate that SAFARI outperforms state-of-the-art results by 20% on the Who&When dataset within a 1M token budget, and by 19% on TRAIL GAIA subset on a 25K token budget. Most significantly, SAFARI maintains a 0.58 precision even when the target fault resides 5x beyond the model's native context window, a scenario where traditional evaluators fail entirely.
Chenyang Zhu, Jiayu Yao, Kushal Chawla +10
Jun 23, 2026cs.AI

On the Smallness of the Large Language Models Scaling Exponents

We discuss reasons why the scaling exponents of current Large Language Models (LLMs) applications are indicating an unsustainable regime in terms of energy resources. We further show that attributing the smallness of such exponents to a numerical bias due to the neglect of a non-zero value of the loss function in the limit of infinite data (``pedestal effect") does not remove the unsustainability issue. Finally, the effects of the smoothness (roughness) of the data on the scaling exponents is commented upon based on an analogy with phenomenological models of fluid turbulence.
Sauro Succi, Peter V. Coveney, Alex Hansen
Jun 23, 2026cs.AI

ReM-MoA: Reasoning Memory Sustains Mixture-of-Agents Scaling

Mixture-of-Agents (MoA) architectures improve inference-time scaling by organizing multiple LLM agents into layered reasoning pipelines. However, existing MoA variants fail to sustain gains as depth increases, exhibiting degradation, early plateauing, or saturation. We propose ReM-MoA, a memory-augmented MoA framework that sustains scaling through two mechanisms: (1) a Ranked Reasoning Memory that persistently stores and ranks reasoning traces from all layers using a comparative Reviewer Agent, and (2) a Curated Diversified Memory Routing scheme that exposes different agents to distinct combinations of successful and failed traces, preserving exploration diversity while propagating high-quality reasoning. We further introduce an optional multi-domain Reviewer distillation pipeline that improves ranking quality through frontier-model supervision. Across five reasoning benchmarks spanning math, formal logic, code, knowledge, and commonsense, ReM-MoA consistently outperforms prior MoA variants across both depth and width scaling, and its advantage widens with depth, establishing structured cross-layer reasoning memory as a key missing mechanism for scalable multi-agent inference.
Heng Ping, Arijit Bhattacharjee, Peiyu Zhang +5
Jun 22, 2026cs.LG

Scaling Linear Mode Connectivity and Merging to Billion Parameter Pretrained Transformers

Linear mode connectivity (LMC) provides a promising foundation for understanding and merging independently trained neural networks, but existing methods typically optimize the interpolation path from only one model endpoint, limiting their scalability and effectiveness for large pretrained transformers. We propose a novel and scalable framework for enabling LMC-based model merging to {\em billion-parameter pretrained transformers}. Our method applies properly parameterized functionality-preserving weight transformations to align functionally equivalent solutions, and introduces a dual learning procedure in which both models jointly learn their corresponding transformations toward a shared linear interpolation path. This bidirectional optimization substantially reduces interpolation barriers and enables more reliable merging across large-scale architectures. Empirically, we show that our approach achieves near-zero loss barriers on WikiText for language models with medium-sized parameters, representing, to our knowledge, the first demonstration of near-barrier-free linear connectivity at this scale. In the vision domain, ViT-L maintains above 69% ImageNet top-1 accuracy throughout the interpolation path, while modern billion-parameter LLMs exhibit only small loss barriers. These results suggest that properly resolving parameter symmetries enables large pretrained Transformers to be connected and merged through simple linear paths with substantially improved interpolation performance. Code: https://github.com/VILA-Lab/Dual-Learned-Matching .
Tianyi Li, Zhiqiang Shen
Jun 22, 2026cs.LG

Solve for the Hyperparameter, Skip the Search: Kolmogorov-Optimal Scaling Laws for Spline Regression

Hyperparameter tuning almost always means search: fit the model at every value on a grid, score each by cross-validation, and keep the winner. For spline regression that search is unnecessary. The optimal resolution can be solved for in closed form, to the accuracy an exhaustive search reaches, at a fraction of the compute. Three ingredients make this possible: classical approximation theory pins the squared bias to a known power of the resolution G, exactly the Kolmogorov n-width of the smoothness class; the basis dimension is an explicit polynomial in G; and leave-one-out error follows from a single fit via the PRESS identity. Balancing the two known curves gives the minimizer analytically. We extend this calculus to many coordinates by replacing ambient input dimension with interaction order, the number of active low-order components in an ANOVA decomposition, yielding a scaling law in which the optimal resolution and error are power functions of the effective density (sample size per active component), with input dimension absent from the exponent. The law becomes an algorithm. KORE (Kolmogorov-optimal Order-aware Resolution Estimation) fits two pilot resolutions, solves a leverage-calibrated 2x2 system for the bias and noise scales, and evaluates the closed-form plug-in resolution with a tiny leave-one-out certificate: about a dozen fits instead of a full grid sweep, with a consistency guarantee as the sample grows. Across additive and sparse pairwise targets up to 80 input dimensions, KORE matches exhaustive 3-fold cross-validation and the full classical ladder (GCV, Mallows' Cp, AIC, BIC) while fitting roughly 8x fewer models; on 36 real tabular datasets it ranks first among 21 methods in accuracy per unit of compute, ahead of tuned boosters and kernel machines. When complexity lives in low interaction order, solving for the resolution beats searching for it.
Yong Yi Bay, Kathleen A. Yearick
Jun 22, 2026cs.AI

VeriEvol: Scaling Multimodal Mathematical Reasoning via Verifiable Evol-Instruct

Scaling reinforcement learning for visual mathematical reasoning requires more than generating harder questions: as data volume grows, the reward labels themselves must remain reliable. Yet existing data pipelines scale supervision while trusting the labeller, and policy-side methods assume the underlying answers are already correct. We instead treat scaling as a verifiable data-construction problem and decouple two axes before any policy update: prompt difficulty, expanded by route-specific evolution operators, and answer reliability, enforced by offline hypothesis-test falsification. We instantiate this as VeriEvol, an iterative framework with two extensible components: a type-aware evolution module that rewrites low-difficulty image-question seeds into harder, image-grounded prompts; and HTV-Agent, a verifier that accepts an answer only after multi-source counter-evidence has failed to refute it. The resulting verified data scales in volume, extends by adding evolution routes or verifier channels, and plugs directly into existing GRPO-style RL recipes. On a five-benchmark visual-math suite, scaling evolved SFT data from 10K to 250K samples raises the mean accuracy from 35.42 to 54.73; then, with backbone, SFT initialization, and GRPO recipe held fixed, VeriEvol adds a cumulative +3.88 over an un-evolved RL baseline, of which +1.82 comes from evolved prompts and +2.06 from the HTV-Agent verifier. We release the prompts, data, models, code, and the full verifier trace of every sample, so that downstream work can scale and audit the pipeline rather than only inspect its outputs.
Haoling Li, Kai Zheng, Jie Wu +4
Jun 22, 2026cs.CV

Scaling State-Space Models from Lines to Paragraphs: An Ablation of Mamba-based OCR

End-to-end OCR increasingly relies on autoregressive sequence models, where the quadratic cost of Transformer attention limits efficient transcription of long, paragraph-level text. State-Space Models (SSMs) such as Mamba offer linear-time decoding and have recently been shown to match Transformer accuracy on printed historical lines, but their behavior as sequences grow from short lines to full paragraphs, and their generalization to handwriting, remain poorly understood. We study how a Mamba-based OCR recognizer scales from lines to paragraphs. We first conduct a systematic exploration of its four core hyperparameters (decoder depth, state dimension, expansion factor, and connector depth) on synthetic paragraphs from 100 to 1,000 characters, identifying the recurrent state dimension and the expansion factor as the dominant levers for long-sequence accuracy. We then compare the recognizer against a Transformer baseline trained under an identical protocol. On clean synthetic paragraphs, both models stay below 1% CER at every length while the SSM runs 1.4 to 4.5 times faster, the speedup growing with sequence length. On real handwriting, however, the SSM lags clearly behind: it reaches 8.2% CER on IAM lines and 10.0% on IAM paragraphs, against 4.2% and 3.5% for the Transformer baseline. Through controlled experiments we show that a substantial part of this gap stems from data scarcity rather than from an intrinsic architectural limit: the autoregressive SSM decoder is markedly data-hungry on long sequences. Our study clarifies when SSMs are a practical choice for large-scale document transcription and when they are not.
Merveilles Agbeti-Messan, Pierrick Tranouez, Stéphane Nicolas +2
Jun 21, 2026cs.AI

Grounded Scaling: Why Agentic AI Needs Deterministic Environments

Long-chain agent execution fails exponentially in environments designed for human tolerance: with per-step determinism δ<1δ< 1, kk-step chain success degrades as δkδ^k. The AGI-to-ASI scaling debate (Genewein et al., 2026) has so far framed progress as a race between compute growth and a list of frictions (data wall, abstraction barrier, embodied bottleneck, multi-agent trust); we argue that environment determinism is a complementary binding axis cutting across all four, for the broad class of agentic AI tasks whose outcomes are verifiable economically, physically, or through multi-party settlement. Three formal results pin down the regime: a Determinism-Efficiency Bound on chain-task success, a Verifier-Goodharting Floor on flywheel ceilings under imperfect rewards, and a convergence condition for environment-side skill evolution. We operationalise the framework as a Supply Certainty Index (SCI) over five measurable properties, a five-level Determinism Maturity Model (DMM) as adoption ladder, and a falsifiable open-question programme (OQ1-OQ5) with explicit null results that would force retraction. The position is platform-agnostic. We engage three competing positions: sim-to-real sufficiency, alignment sufficiency, and AI-as-normal-technology.
Liang Ding, Xintong Wang
Jun 20, 2026cs.IR

The Pitfall of Scaling Up: Uncovering and Mitigating Popularity Bias Amplification in Scaling Transformer-based Recommenders

We identify a critical pitfall in scaling transformer-based sequential recommenders: while increasing model size improves recommendation accuracy, it simultaneously amplifies popularity bias. This bias drives systems to over-recommend popular items at the expense of niche ones, which not only undermines fairness but also degrades the broader ecosystem by reinforcing the Matthew effect and filter bubbles. Consequently, this bias amplification emerges as a fundamental obstacle to sustainable model scaling. Through comprehensive theoretical and empirical analyses, we uncover the root cause of this amplification. Our findings reveal that as model depth increases, the two core components of the transformer architecture, i.e., attention aggregation and feed-forward projections, synergistically induce severe spectral collapse in model predictions, which directly translates to the amplification of popularity bias. To address this challenge, we propose SPRINT (Scalable Popularity Regularization IN Transformers), which mitigates spectral collapse during scaling by constraining (i) the maximum column-sums of the attention score matrices and (ii) the spectral norms of the feed-forward parameters. Extensive experiments demonstrate that SPRINT significantly improves both accuracy and long-tail fairness. Crucially, it yields more favorable scaling behaviors when expanding model sizes from 0.05M to 0.34B parameters. The code is available at https://github.com/Tiny-Snow/GenRec.
Weiqin Yang, Yue Pan, Chongming Gao +4
Jun 20, 2026cs.CL

Fixed RAG Compression Collapses Measured Reader Scaling

Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) compression papers often evaluate a compressor on one to three readers and treat the compressed evidence layer as evaluation-neutral. We show this assumption is false: fixed compression can raise average accuracy while hiding reader upgrades and reversing model rankings. Across 20 readers and ten domain-method settings over four QA benchmarks and one summarization benchmark, compression gain decreases with reader baseline (nine of ten settings significant, p < 0.05). Generic summarization flips 31% of pairwise model rankings on LongMemEval-S, and a fixed HotpotQA compressor hides 80% of the raw upgrade from Qwen 7B to GPT-4.1-mini. Two opposing forces explain this paradox: compression rescues weak readers by removing noise they cannot filter, and harms strong readers by dropping details they would have used. The pattern appears across structured compilation, generic summarization, three trained compressor families, query-focused summarization, and an external audit of nine published compression papers. We release ragscale, a toolkit built on 177,000 row-level compression transitions, so any compression paper can audit reader scaling with three readers in one day.
Sugam Panthi, Rabab Abdelfattah
Jun 18, 2026stat.ML

Statistical Properties of Training & Generalization

Deep learning has managed to evade numerous intuitions from classical statistics to achieve unprecedented performance on a number of real-world tasks. In this article, we investigate the key features and surprises of deep learning from a physics-informed perspective, taking care to point out and justify where possible the many choices inherent in constructing a deep learning model. In particular, we review the phenomenon of neural scaling laws and discuss their interplay with the constraints and inductive biases which may be present when applying machine learning to problems in physics.
Itay Lavie, Noam Levi, Yonatan Kahn
Jun 18, 2026cs.LG

Self-Adaptive Scale Handling for Forecasting Time Series with Scale Heterogeneity

Current time series forecasting (TSF) research predominantly focuses on scale-homogeneous data, where different time series share similar numerical magnitude ranges. However, in real-world industrial scenarios such as financial product sales, different time series often differ by orders of magnitude (scale heterogeneity). Since these series share similar temporal patterns, joint modeling is desirable for better data utilization, yet existing scaling methods either compress low-scale signals (global normalization) or destroy semantic discriminability and amplify inverse-scaling errors (window-based scaling). This paper proposes a self-Adaptive Scale-handling (AS) module that learns adaptive scale factors tailored to each input, preserving semantic discriminability while reducing inverse-scaling errors. AS consists of Scale Calibrating (SC), which calibrates prior mean scaling factors through neural networks, and Scaling Selection (SS), which decides whether to apply calibration or retain the original factor, avoiding over-calibration. Experiments on real-world fund sales datasets from Ant Fortune and Alipay show that AS seamlessly integrates into popular TSF models and consistently improves their performance. The code and dataset are available at the link https://github.com/Meteor-Stars/ASTSF.
Xu Zhang, Zhengang Huang, Yunzhi Wu +6
Jun 18, 2026hep-ex

Towards Engineering Scaling Laws with Pretraining Data Composition

Neural scaling laws describe how model performance improves as a power law in compute, model size, and dataset size. While well-established for large language models, these relationships are emerging for large models in particle physics. As with language, empirical studies show that the performance scales as a power law. However, unlike natural language or image domains, fundamental physics has high-fidelity simulators that produce synthetic data cheaply. This favors scaling regimes where additional data is cheaper than additional parameters, and allows the pretraining dataset itself to be engineered to influence the scaling. For the task of classifying hadronic jets produced in collisions of high-energy particle beams, we show that the scaling behavior can be engineered towards requiring more data rather than larger models by inclusion of pretraining data which is more diverse and better aligned with the downstream classification task.
Jan-Lucas Uslu, Kevin Greif, Daniel Whiteson +1
Jun 17, 2026cs.SE

CAPRA: Scaling Feedback on Software Architecture Deliverables with a Multi-Agent LLM System

Automated assessment in software engineering education has advanced significantly for code grading and essay scoring. However, reviewing software architecture deliverables, which requires analyzing structural completeness and requirements traceability, has not yet been fully automated. Applying Large Language Models (LLMs) to this task requires robust architectures to ensure technical feedback is accurate and reliable for students. This paper presents CAPRA (Configurable Architecture Proficiency Report Assessment), a multi-agent LLM system that analyzes software architecture deliverables to generate personalized, template-compliant LaTeX feedback. As a core design choice, CAPRA coordinates multiple specialized agents and employs a Python-based microservice for multi-modal document extraction, utilizing PyMuPDF and vision-enabled LLMs (specifically gpt-4o) to parse text and UML diagrams. To ensure educational reliability and mitigate hallucinations, CAPRA introduces a deterministic Evidence Anchoring step using fuzzy matching via normalized Levenshtein distance, along with a ConsistencyManager agent that cross-verifies, deduplicates, and merges findings. System performance is assessed using a structured eight-criterion binary evaluation taxonomy covering: (i) extraction completeness, (ii) feature validation, (iii) issue grounding and severity detection, (iv) recommendation specificity and traceability, and (v) template and tone compliance. A preliminary empirical evaluation on 10 student reports shows that CAPRA satisfied 88.8% of the evaluated criteria under a strict two-rater aggregation rule, achieved moderate inter-rater agreement with human evaluators (kappa = 0.582), and processed each report in slightly over 4 minutes. While these results support the viability of LLM-supported architectural feedback, human oversight remains essential for subjective assessment dimensions.
Marco Becattini, Niccolò Caselli, Matteo Minin +2
Jun 17, 2026cs.LG

REVES: REvision and VErification--Augmented Training for Test-Time Scaling

Test-time scaling via sequential revision has emerged as a powerful paradigm for enhancing Large Language Model (LLM) reasoning. However, standard post-training methods primarily optimize single-shot objectives, creating a fundamental misalignment with multi-step inference dynamics. While recent work treats this as multi-turn reinforcement learning (RL), conventional approaches optimize over the multi-step trajectories directly, failing to further exploit the high-quality mistakes in intermediate steps that model can learn from correcting them. We propose a two-stage iterative framework that alternates between online data/prompt augmentation and policy optimization. By converting the intermediate steps (``near-miss'' answers) in the successful recovery trajectories into decoupled revision and verification prompts, our approach concentrates training on both effective answer transformation and error identification. This approach enables efficient off-policy data generation and reduces the computational overhead of long-horizon sampling compared to standard multi-turn RL. On LiveCodeBench, using publicly available test cases as feedback, we observe gains of +6.5 points over the RL baseline and +4.0 points over standard multi-turn training. Beyond coding, our approach matches the previously reported SOTA result on circle packing while using the smallest base model (4B) and far fewer rollouts than the much larger evolutionary search systems. Math results under ground-truth verification further confirm improved correction ability. It also generalizes to out-of-distribution constraint-satisfaction puzzles such as n_queens and mini_sudoku, where correctness is defined entirely by problem constraints. Code is available at https://github.com/yxliu02/REVES.git.
Yuanxin Liu, Ruida Zhou, Xinyan Zhao +6
Jun 17, 2026cs.LG

Scaling Learning-based AEB with Massive Unlabeled Data

This paper studies how to scale learning-based automatic emergency braking (AEB) with massive unlabeled fleet data under production constraints. Our approach is based on meta-feedback semi-supervised learning (MF-SSL), where a teacher generates pseudo labels for unlabeled driving data and is updated using a small labeled anchor set as safety-critical feedback. In production, anchor ambiguity and labeled-unlabeled mismatch can amplify systematic pseudo-label errors, leading to spurious triggers. We propose a stabilized MF-SSL framework with (i) Noise-Aware Decoupling, which removes ambiguity-prone anchors from the teacher's supervised update path, and (ii) kinematics-gated pseudo-labeling with a teacher conflict penalty to suppress mismatch-induced risk hallucinations on unlabeled data while maintaining broad coverage. Extensive experiments show consistent gains as unlabeled data scale from 1M to 1B windows, improving safety while keeping comfort stable. The 1B-trained student model is deployed to hundreds of thousands of vehicles and validated over $10^9$ km of driving, achieving a positive-to-false activation ratio exceeding 100:1 and a 35% improvement in accident-free driving mileage over a production rule-only baseline.
Xiangyu Wang, Yang Zhan, Mengxiang Hao +9
Jun 16, 2026cs.CL

Variable-Width Transformers

Scaling model size, specifically depth and width, has driven significant progress in transformer-based language models. However, most architectures maintain a constant width across all layers, allocating a fixed parameter and computation budget evenly despite different layers potentially playing distinct computational roles. In this work, we empirically investigate nonuniform capacity allocation across network depth by proposing a ×\times-shaped > <former architecture. This design maintains wider early and late layers while narrowing the middle layers, utilizing a parameter-free residual resizing mechanism. Across decoder-only language models ranging from 200M to 2B parameters (dense) and 3B parameters (MoE), our > <former consistently outperforms parameter-matched uniform baselines on language modeling loss. By reducing the average layer width, this architecture also requires fewer overall FLOPs (22% reduction under fitted loss-matched scaling curves) and smaller KV cache memory and I/O cost (15% reduction). In analysis, we show that this bottleneck structure results in qualitatively different representations in residual streams. Overall, our results demonstrate that nonuniform width allocation can result in more resource-optimal scaling of language models.
Zhaofeng Wu, Oliver Sieberling, Shawn Tan +3
Jun 16, 2026cs.LG

LoopCoder-v2: Only Loop Once for Efficient Test-Time Computation Scaling

Looped Transformers scale latent computation by repeatedly applying shared blocks, but sequential looping increases latency and KV-cache memory with the loop count. Parallel loop Transformers (PLT) alleviate this cost through cross-loop position offsets (CLP) and shared-KV gated sliding-window attention, making loop count a practical design choice. We therefore study PLT loop-count selection through a gain--cost view: an extra loop may refine representations, but CLP also introduces a positional mismatch at each loop boundary. We instantiate this study by training LoopCoder-v2, a family of 7B PLT coders with different loop counts, from scratch on 18T tokens, followed by matched instruction tuning and evaluation. Empirically, the two-loop variant delivers broad gains over the non-looped baseline across code generation, code reasoning, agentic software engineering, and tool-use benchmarks, improving SWE-bench Verified from 43.0 to 64.4 points and Multi-SWE from 14.0 to 31.0 points. In contrast, variants with three or more loops regress, revealing a strongly non-monotonic loop-count effect. Our diagnostics show that loop 2 provides the main productive refinement, while later loops yield diminishing, oscillatory updates and reduced representational diversity. Because the CLP-induced mismatch remains roughly fixed as refinement gains shrink, the offset cost increasingly dominates. This gain--cost trade-off explains PLT's saturation at two loops and provides diagnostics for loop-count selection.
Jian Yang, Shawn Guo, Wei Zhang +16
Jun 16, 2026cs.LG

Recursive Scaling in Masked Diffusion Models

Masked diffusion models (MDMs) have recently emerged as a promising paradigm for sequence generation. Scaling MDMs is conventionally achieved by increasing the parameter count or the number of denoising steps. We introduce Recursive Masked Diffusion Models (R-MDMs), which add recursive depth as a third scaling axis by repeatedly applying the same denoising transformer within each diffusion step. Recursion enables iterative refinement of the output through parameter reuse, increasing effective model depth without increasing parameter count. Across structured generation tasks, including Sudoku and Countdown, we show that R-MDMs achieve substantially improved parameter efficiency: a model with LL recursive iterations often matches the performance of non-recursive baselines with roughly L×L\times more parameters. Moreover, recursive refinement can partially substitute for additional denoising steps, allowing recursive models to reach the same generation quality with fewer forward passes at inference time. These results suggest that recursive depth is a practically useful scaling mechanism for MDMs, improving both parameter efficiency and the allocation of test-time compute.
Alba Carballo-Castro, Julianna Piskorz, Paulius Rauba +2
Jun 16, 2026cs.RO

Qwen-RobotManip Technical Report: Alignment Unlocks Scale for Robotic Manipulation Foundation Models

Foundation models in language and multimodality achieve strong generalization by aligning heterogeneous data under a unified formulation and training at scale. In this report, we investigate whether this scaling recipe can be applied to robotic manipulation to achieve genuine generalization. This is challenging because, unlike text, manipulation data is heterogeneous by nature, expensive to collect, and narrow in diversity, making alignment and scale simultaneously difficult. We present Qwen-RobotManip, a generalizable Vision-Language-Action foundation model built on Qwen-VL. Qwen-RobotManip introduces a unified alignment framework across the representation, motion, and behavioral dimensions of manipulation, making large-scale multi-source training coherent rather than conflicting. This alignment capability in turn enables Qwen-RobotManip to absorb manipulation data at a scale that prior training regimes could not sustain. A human-to-robot synthesis pipeline converts egocentric hand demonstrations into robot trajectories across 15 platforms, and a rigorous curation pipeline harmonizes heterogeneous datasets. Using only open-source datasets and human videos without proprietary data collection, Qwen-RobotManip constructs a ~38,100-hour pretraining corpus and exhibits emergent generalization capabilities, including zero-shot instruction following, robustness to perturbations, reactive error recovery, and cross-embodiment transfer. We find that standard benchmarks fail to capture pretraining quality and instead adopt OOD settings including RoboCasa365, LIBERO-Plus, EBench, RoboTwin-Clean2Rand, RoboTwin-IF, and RoboTwin-XE. Qwen-RobotManip substantially outperforms prior state-of-the-art models, including ππ0.5, across all OOD settings, ranks 1st in RoboChallenge with a 20% relative improvement, and is validated on real-robot platforms including AgileX ALOHA, Franka, UR, and ARX.
Haoqi Yuan, Zhixuan Liang, Anzhe Chen +20
Jun 15, 2026cs.CL

Revisiting LLM Adaptation for 3D CT Report Generation: A Study of Scaling and Diagnostic Priors

Recent advances in multimodal learning, including large language models (LLMs) and vision-language models (VLMs), have demonstrated strong adaptability to natural images. However, extending their use to the medical domain, particularly for volumetric (3D) images, is challenging due to high computational complexity, volumetric dependencies and the semantic gap between visual features and clinical terminology. Naively fine-tuning LLMs on limited medical data often leads to overfitting and clinical hallucination, where linguistic fluency is prioritized over clinical factuality. In this study, we investigate parameter-efficient adaptation strategies for volumetric CT report generation and introduce RAD3D-Prefix, a lightweight diagnostic-prior conditioning framework that minimizes the need for extensive parameter training. This module integrates image embeddings with multi-label diagnostic classification logits, preserving critical clinical details while bridging the semantic gap. By keeping the LLM frozen, our method requires minimal trainable parameters and mitigates the risk of overfitting on small, domain-specific datasets. Through a systematic study spanning LLMs from 96.1M to 1.6B parameters, we find that fine-tuning is most beneficial for smaller LLMs, whereas freezing larger (~1B+ LLMs and training only lightweight projection layers provides a superior trade-off between performance, generalization, and computational efficiency. Across multiple automatic metrics and a clinical reader study, RAD3D-Prefix outperforms comparable parameter-efficient baselines and demonstrates strong out-of-domain generalization while using substantially fewer trainable parameters than fully fine-tuned alternatives.
Vanshali Sharma, Andrea M. Bejar, Halil Ertugrul Aktas +4
Jun 15, 2026cs.RO

Training and Evaluating Diffusion Policies with Long Context Lengths

Imitation learning has enabled highly-dexterous robotic manipulation from RGB observations. Policies trained with these methods, however, typically condition robot actions on only a short history of observations. These policies cannot solve tasks that require memory and can get stuck repeatedly executing the same failing motions. In this work, we first benchmark policy performance as context length is incrementally increased from short to long, across a spectrum of tasks with varying local stability and memory requirements, and in multiple data regimes. To our knowledge, this is the first study to investigate context length for Diffusion Policies at this level of detail. Our results challenge prior claims: naively scaling context length is not as brittle as advertised in literature. With an appropriate conditioning method and denoising backbone (UNet+Cross-Attention), single-task policies achieve high success rates on many tasks in the usual data regime even with naive scaling. Next, we propose a training algorithm to jointly train policies at multiple context lengths, further reducing the sample complexity of long-context learning. Finally, we apply our findings to re-evaluate some previously proposed solutions to long-context imitation learning.
Abhinav Agarwal, Adam Wei, Taylan Kargin +6
Jun 15, 2026cs.LG

Scaling Adaptive Depth with Norm-Agnostic Residual Networks

Residual architectures are ubiquitous in deep learning, but they suffer from a subtle structural limitation: the norm of the residual stream can grow rapidly with depth. As a result, updates from later layers become small relative to the accumulated residual state. This reduces their impact on the representation and limits the benefits of scaling models in depth. To address this, we introduce NAG, a norm-agnostic residual architecture that separates magnitude from directional information in the residual stream, preserving meaningful layer contributions throughout depth and preventing later updates from being systematically suppressed by residual-norm growth. Importantly, NAG introduces only a negligible number of additional parameters and relies on simple operations that are easily kernel-fusible, preserving training efficiency in practice. We show that this architecture outperforms baseline Transformers, with gains that increase substantially as depth grows, enabling effective training of much deeper models. The norm-agnostic formulation also leads to an interpretable Mixture-of-Depths (MoD) mechanism that adaptively skips both attention and MLP layers. Beyond serving as a post-training accuracy-compute tradeoff, this mechanism can be used as a pretraining-time scaling strategy: under iso-FLOP training, compute saved by reducing per-token forward-pass cost can be reinvested into training on more tokens while keeping the total parameter count and KV-cache budget fixed. In our experiments, moderate Mixture-of-Depths rates of approximately 20%-25% match full-depth baseline performance under equal training compute while substantially reducing the number of executed layer parameters and forward-pass FLOPs. These results identify sparsity in depth as a new scaling axis for fixed-compute training, enabling very deep yet FLOP-efficient models.
Tomás Figliolia, Beren Millidge
Jun 11, 2026cs.LG

LoRA-Muon: Spectral Steepest Descent on the Low-Rank Manifold

Low-Rank Adaptation (LoRA) significantly reduces compute and memory costs for finetuning Deep Learning models but is often harder to tune than dense training: when using factor-wise optimizers such as AdamW, it is sensitive to initialization choices, its optimal learning rates transfer poorly across ranks, and it often fails to beat dense baselines. We derive LoRA-Muon by applying the Muon optimizer's spectral steepest-descent rule to the low-rank setting. Along with our split weight-decay rule, our main claim is that LoRA-Muon is a good low-rank proxy for full-rank Muon and Shampoo-family optimizers. Its optimal learning rates transfer across rank, width, depth, and factor-rescaling. In our compute-matched TinyShakespeare study, a rank-22 proxy recovers the dense best tested learning rate, and a rank-3232 LoRA-Muon run attains lower mean validation loss than the dense baseline in the seed-averaged sweep. We further show that the Spectron optimizer depends on arbitrary factor scaling, so it would likely be a poor fit when finetuning starts from badly imbalanced factors, and that LoRA-RITE's simplified QR-coordinate core implements the same spectral update. LoRA-Muon computes that update without QR-decomposition and avoids storing second moments, making it more accelerator-friendly and memory-efficient.
Franz Louis Cesista, Katherine Crowson, Cédric Simal +1
Jun 11, 2026cs.AI

The Hidden Power of Scaling Factor in LoRA Optimization

In Low-Rank Adaptation (LoRA), the scaling factor αα is often treated as a mere complement to the learning rate, yet its role in optimization remains poorly understood. In this paper, we reveal that the scaling factor αα and the learning rate function differently, with αα emerging as the dominant driver of effective optimization, delivering gains that cannot be replicated by learning rate scaling alone. Through the synergy of extensive empirical analysis and a theoretical Signal-Drift framework, we uncover three findings into LoRA's scaling mechanism: First, LoRA's spectral suppression smooths the optimization landscape, rendering standard hyperparameters overly conservative and creating an optimization gap. Second, when leveraging this smoothness to accelerate convergence, αα outperforms the learning rate by amplifying the task signal without increasing the drift ratio. Third, the optimal scaling factor follows a sublinear relationship with the rank, well characterized by a square-root law with an unexpectedly large coefficient, revealing the insufficient scaling of existing rank-tied heuristics. Based on these insights, we propose LoRA-αα, a minimalist framework that restores αα to its principled regime, making LoRA compatible with standard small learning rates. Extensive evaluations across diverse tasks demonstrate that LoRA-αα consistently improves performance while streamlining hyperparameter search, unleashing the learning potential of LoRA.
Zicheng Zhang, Haoran Li, Jiaxing Wang +10
Jun 10, 2026cs.MA

Smarter Saboteurs, Better Fixers: Scaling & Security in Linear Multi-Agent Workflows

As LLM-based multi-agent systems (MAS) are deployed in the wild, the resilience of their collaboration structures against adversarial compromise becomes a critical safety concern. Attackers may leverage prompt-injection or jailbreaking to sabotage individual agents within MAS workflows, but the interaction between model scaling and system-level resilience remains poorly understood. This paper investigates how model scale affects the security of linear multi-agent workflows. Our experiments across scales of two open-weight model families on the HumanEval benchmark reveal a compliance-correction symmetry: larger models are far more likely to faithfully execute malicious instructions, with the control-to-malicious performance drop reaching 53.7pp at 27B in uncorrected pipelines. However, appending a lightweight terminal Fixer stage collapses this to 0.6pp and restores statistical parity with control-level performance, demonstrating that strictly linear collaboration structures can be viable and resilient to adversaries at this scale, and suggesting that the brittleness previously attributed to linear topology may stem from a lack of correction.
Timothy McAllister, Sina Abdidizaji, Ivan Garibay +1
Jun 10, 2026cs.CV

AVIS: Adaptive Test-Time Scaling for Vision-Language Models

Modern Vision-Language Models (VLMs) benefit from chain-of-thought prompting and test-time scaling, but these gains often come with prohibitive inference cost due to large visual contexts and long decoding chains. We view this cost through two coupled axes: Visual Context Scaling (VCS), which controls how much visual evidence is passed to the language model, and Visual Reasoning Scaling (VRS), which controls how much inference-time reasoning search is performed. Existing methods typically optimize one axis at a time, leaving the joint allocation of compute across these axes underexplored. We introduce Adaptive Visual Inference Scaling (AVIS), a lightweight policy that adapts both VCS and VRS per query. AVIS realizes VCS through Key Diversity Visual (KDV) pruning, a training-free O(N)O(N) key-based rule for removing redundant visual tokens before prefilling, and realizes VRS through adaptive self-consistency, using a learned difficulty predictor to select the number of reasoning rollouts. AVIS is deployment-friendly and compatible with shared-prefill inference, where all rollouts reuse a single prefilling pass and KV cache. Across diverse image and video reasoning benchmarks, AVIS improves the accuracy--compute trade-off relative to VCS-only and VRS-only baselines, and remains effective on top of RL post-trained VLMs while keeping compute and latency low.
Ahmadreza Jeddi, Minh Ngoc Le, Amirhossein Kazerouni +8
Jun 7, 2026cs.LG

Intrinsic Selection and Particle Resampling for Inference-Time Scaling Beyond Domain Verifiability

Inference-Time Scaling (ITS) has largely succeeded in verifiable domains like math and coding, where cheap verification enables scalable output selection. However, extending ITS to tasks prone to systematic failure - driven by faulty initial assumptions or unmet multidimensional constraints - typically relies on costly external solvers or brittle, model-based verifiers. Our key insight is that the intrinsic statistics of parallel sample sets, specifically length-adjusted tail entropy, provide a robust discriminative signal for solution quality without access to ground truth. Crucially, these statistics serve as a difficulty gate for adaptive compute allocation, dynamically routing problems across scaling regimes. First, Intrinsic Selection (iS) ranks candidates post-hoc, matching consensus-based algorithms across three domains and improving engineering design selection by 20% over pass@1 baselines. Second, Intrinsic Particle Filtering (iPF) generalizes this to step-level resampling, guiding generation toward high-confidence reasoning trajectories to improve pass@1 by 6.1 points on average on hard math problems. Finally, Particle Distillation (dPF) injects privileged guidance via early logit blending and KL-guided resampling, steering generation past systematic reasoning errors to satisfy expert rubrics, yielding up to 26.5% gains on complex clinical responses. Our pipeline applies seamlessly across broad-purpose, domain-specialized, and multimodal architectures, successfully extending ITS to open-ended domains without requiring trained reward models or exact ground-truth verification.
Giorgio Giannone, Mustafa Eyceoz, Shabana Baig +5
Jun 7, 2026cs.LG

Scaling Decision-Focused Learning to Large Problems with Lagrangian Decomposition

Decision-focused learning has shown great promise for addressing predict-then-optimize problems, particularly in the presence of under-specified models. However, its practical deployment is often hindered by high computational costs and limited scalability, as it requires solving a constrained optimization problem for each training instance at every iteration. To address these challenges, we propose a novel framework that incorporates Lagrangian decomposition into the decision-focused learning paradigm. Specifically, we introduce a new surrogate objective along with two loss functions for evaluating and training the underlying prediction model. We further propose two variants of our approach, which offer different trade-offs between computational efficiency and solution quality. Our framework can be seamlessly integrated with standard decision-focused learning methods, including Smart Predict-then-Optimize (SPO+) and Implicit Maximum Likelihood Estimation (IMLE). Through experiments on two standard benchmarks, the multi-dimensional knapsack problem and quadratic portfolio optimization, we demonstrate that our approach achieves competitive performance while remaining amenable to parallelization. In particular, it consistently outperforms traditional decision-focused learning methods on large-scale instances, involving up to eight times more variables than those typically considered in related work. The implementation is available at https://github.com/corail-research/DFL-LD.
Stéphane Eilles-Chan Way, Hugo Percot, Quentin Cappart +2
Jun 6, 2026cs.CV

Empowering Feed-Forward Reconstruction Models with Metric Scale via Satellite Images

Feed-forward 3D reconstruction models have recently shown strong generalization across diverse scenes, yet most of them recover geometry only up to an unknown global scale. This scale ambiguity limits their use in applications that require metric understanding of the environment. Existing metric reconstruction methods commonly rely on large-scale metric annotations or accurate camera calibration, both of which are costly or unreliable in many real-world settings. We propose a satellite-guided framework for resolving scale ambiguity in feed-forward 3D reconstruction. The key idea is to use readily available satellite imagery as a global metric reference. Given a coarse camera pose, our method retrieves a local satellite patch and integrates it with a feed-forward reconstruction backbone through bidirectional cross-view interaction. By enforcing consistency between the reconstructed scene and the satellite reference, the model infers absolute scale, refines scene geometry, and estimates camera pose in a metric coordinate frame. Experiments on KITTI, nuScenes, and Oxford RobotCar show consistent improvements in metric depth estimation, multi-view point-cloud reconstruction, and cross-view camera localization, while preserving strong generalization across datasets and geographic regions.
Xianghui Ze, Yongjian Luo, Mengjun Chao +3
Jun 6, 2026cs.SD

Exploring the Scale and Diversity of Speech Anti-spoofing Datasets: Experiments and Analysis

The scale of speech anti-spoofing datasets has grown exponentially over the past decade, driven by the assumption that larger data leads to better performance. However, it remains unclear whether indiscriminate scaling commensurately improves model generalization. This study challenges the "scale-first" paradigm by decoupling the impacts of training data scale versus diversity. Through experiments on representative datasets, we report two key findings: (1) Larger is not always better. Expanding data scale excessively under fixed generation methods yields negligible returns and may even degrade cross-domain generalization due to overfitting.(2) Diversity outweighs scale. A smaller composite training set featuring diverse attacks significantly outperforms larger-scale datasets with limited diversity in cross-dataset evaluations. We conclude that future dataset construction should prioritize the diversity of generation methods over scale to effectively enhance model generalization.
Zhuolin Yi, Jun Xue, Yanzhen Ren +5
Jun 4, 2026cs.RO

Accelerating and Scaling MPC-Guided Reinforcement Learning for Humanoid Locomotion and Manipulation

In humanoid motion control, model predictive control (MPC) offers physically grounded prediction and constraint handling, while reinforcement learning (RL) enables robust whole-body skills through large-scale simulation. However, using MPC inside RL often requires time-consuming problem construction or excessive training overhead, making such frameworks difficult to justify in practice. This work studies efficient training-time MPC guidance for humanoid locomotion and manipulation, termed MPC-RL. We introduce a centroidal-dynamics MPC reward formulation that leverages guidance from MPC trajectories in training time. To make this practical in massively parallel RL, we develop πnπ^nMPC, a parallel-in-horizon and construction-free batched GPU MPC solver that operates directly on time-varying dynamics to avoid high memory usage and pre-compilation. Through a variety of comparative studies and hardware validations, we have found that MPC-RL achieves superior performance in locomotion and manipulation skills. The code base is available at https://github.com/junhengl/mpc-rl.
Junheng Li, Liang Wu, Sergio A. Esteban +3
Jun 4, 2026cs.CV

Synthetic Benchmarks Overstate Forward-Forward Scaling: Real-Data Limits of Layer-Local Training

Forward-Forward (FF) learning [Hinton, 2022] replaces backpropagation with strictly layer-local goodness updates. Recent FF-CNN work has narrowed the gap to BP on 32x32 benchmarks, raising the question of whether layer-local training is becoming a viable alternative at realistic scale. To probe this rigorously, we develop DTG-FF -- dynamic temperature goodness, decoupled normalization, and multi-layer fusion -- as an instrument that sets FF-family state of the art across nine real-data benchmarks (91.8% CIFAR-10 and the first FF baseline at ImageNet-100 224x224), and use it to audit how far layer-local training actually scales. (1) Real-data scaling. Under identical recipe and backbone, an architecture-matched BP-DeepSup baseline beats DTG-FF by 2.40/5.93 pp on CIFAR-10/CIFAR-100, and the gap widens with class count. At 224x224 the same instrument reaches only 49.4% -- the first FF baseline at this scale, versus typical BP above 75% [Tian et al., 2020] -- exposing a real-data ceiling invisible at 32x32. (2) Synthetic vs. real K-conflict. DTG-FF increasingly outperforms BP as class count K grows on synthetic teacher-student tasks, yet on real images the FF-BP gap reverses sign and widens with K. A within-dataset CIFAR-100 coarse vs. fine probe isolates label-hierarchy from image distribution: synthetic K-sweeps confound output dimensionality with fine-grained discrimination difficulty and thereby overstate FF transferability. (3) Systems audit. FF can be implemented without storing depth-wide activations, but on commodity 8 GB hardware standard BP+gradient-accumulation reaches 4.18 GB / 157 imgs/s versus DTG-FF's 7.90 GB / 138 imgs/s, so a memory-based justification for FF at this scale is not supported under fair baselines.
Yucheng Chen
Jun 3, 2026cs.RO

HORIZON: Recoverability-Governed Curriculum for Physical-Domain Scaling

Scaling robust robot policies requires more than broader randomization, because physical-domain experience must remain organized and learnable throughout training. We study when a policy can benefit from harder physics and identify recoverability as a central constraint in on-policy physical-domain scaling. In on-policy training, new dynamics are useful only insofar as they remain close enough to the current policy to generate corrective on-policy data, rather than collapsing rollouts into unrecoverable failures. Using quadruped locomotion as a physically demanding benchmark for embodied generalization, we introduce HORIZON, a checkpointed frontier curriculum that expands physical domains only within the current policy's recoverable boundary. HORIZON uses rollback and boundary refinement to govern each expansion step, turning fixed randomization into a continual process of physical-domain growth. Experiments reveal three regularities of physical-domain expansion. First, direct domain widening is uneven across physical axes and often unlearnable without staged ordering. Second, domain composition is non-monotonic, and adding more domains beyond a compact core can dilute recoverable joint samples and reduce overall robustness. Third, offline distillation of isolated experts cannot substitute for the joint interaction generated by on-policy curriculum. Together, these results frame physical-domain generalization as a continual growth problem for embodied control, with recoverability as the organizing principle for on-policy expansion.
Chenhao Bai, Liqin Lu, Kaijun Wang +5
Jun 3, 2026cs.LG

Test-Time Compute Scaling for ASR with Depth-Conditioned Looped Transformers

End-to-end ASR systems typically use fixed-depth acoustic encoders at inference, making it difficult to trade additional test-time computation for improved recognition without training a larger model. A natural approach is to reuse a shared Transformer block recurrently, but we find that naive looping does not fully exploit additional recurrent compute. We introduce LARM, a depth-conditioned looped Transformer that turns recurrent encoder depth into a controllable test-time compute axis. LARM combines sparse CTC checkpoints, supervision-clock embeddings, FiLM depth conditioning, and delayed soft-posterior feedback. These components structure the loop into recognition checkpoints separated by latent refinement phases and allow shared weights to specialize across recurrent steps. On LibriSpeech, LARM improves WER as the number of inference loops increases and achieves performance competitive with deeper unshared-parameter baselines. Our results show that test-time compute scaling can extend beyond autoregressive language-model reasoning to continuous non-autoregressive speech recognition.
Yacouba Kaloga, Shashi Kumar, Shakeel A. Sheikh +3
Jun 3, 2026eess.IV

Scaling Datasets for Multi-Sensor, Multi-Agent, and Multi-Domain Learning in Autonomous Systems

Existing datasets cannot support large-scale learning in multi-agent, multi-sensor, or multi-domain autonomy, where diversity and coordination are essential. We present a modular dataset generation pipeline that creates terabyte-scale, ground-truth-labeled data for ground, aerial, and infrastructure-based systems using the AVstack framework and CARLA simulator. Supporting single- and multi-agent configurations with flexible sensor suites, the pipeline enables controllable experimentation across challenging conditions. Representative perception and fusion studies show how generated data can support application-specific training and collaborative autonomy.
R. Spencer Hallyburton, David Hunt, Miroslav Pajic
Jun 2, 2026cs.RO

Humanoid-GPT: Scaling Data and Structure for Zero-Shot Motion Tracking

We introduce Humanoid-GPT, a GPT-style Transformer with causal attention trained on a billion-scale motion corpus for whole-body control. Unlike prior shallow MLP trackers constrained by scarce data and an agility-generalization trade-off, Humanoid-GPT is pre-trained on a 2B-frame retargeted corpus that unifies all major mocap datasets with large-scale in-house recordings. Scaling both data and model capacity yields a single generative Transformer that tracks highly dynamic behaviors while achieving unprecedented zero-shot generalization to unseen motions and control tasks. Extensive experiments and scaling analyses show that our model establishes a new performance frontier, demonstrating robust zero-shot generalization to unseen tasks while simultaneously tracking highly dynamic and complex motions.
Zekun Qi, Xuchuan Chen, Dairu Liu +10
Jun 2, 2026cs.CL

Sample-Size Scaling of the African Languages NLI Evaluation

African languages have very little labelled data, and it is unclear if augmenting the quantity of annotation data reliably enhances downstream performance. The study is a systematic sample-size scaling study of natural language inference (NLI) on 16 African languages based on the AfriXNLI benchmark. Under controlled conditions, two multilingual transformer models with roughly 0.6B parameters XLM-R Large fine-tuned on XNLI and AfroXLM-R Large are tested on sample sizes of between 50 and 500 labeled examples and average their results across random subsampling runs. As opposed to the usual belief of monotonic increase with increased data, we find a strongly language sensitive and often non-monotonic scaling behavior. Some languages show early saturation or decrease in performance with sample size as well as high variance in low resource regimes. These results indicate that the volume of data is not enough to guarantee stable profits to African NLI, creating the necessity of language sensitive datasets creation and stronger multi-lingual modelling strategies.
Anuj Tiwari, Oluwapelumi Ogunremu, Terry Oko-odion +2
Jun 2, 2026cs.MM

Inference-Time Scaling for Joint Audio-Video Generation

Joint audio-video generation aims to synthesize realistic audio-video pairs that are both semantically aligned with text prompts and precisely synchronized. While existing joint audio-video generation models often require substantial training resources to improve fidelity, Inference-Time Scaling (ITS) has recently emerged as a promising training-free alternative in single-modality domains. However, extending ITS from a single modality to multimodal domains is non-trivial, as it requires balancing multiple heterogeneous objectives. In this paper, we present the first comprehensive study of ITS for joint audio-video generation. We first demonstrate that a multi-verifier framework is essential to address the limitations of single-objective guidance, including asymmetric performance trade-offs and verifier hacking. Through systematic analysis, we then identify an optimal multi-verifier combination that yields balanced improvements across all quality dimensions. Finally, to effectively aggregate diverse reward signals, we propose Adaptive Reward Weighting (ARW), a novel test-time optimization algorithm. ARW treats reward aggregation as an online optimization problem, utilizing learnable parameters to calibrate reward variances without requiring prior knowledge of reward distributions, thereby ensuring robust multi-objective selection. Experimental results on VGGSound and JavisBench-mini benchmarks demonstrate that our framework significantly enhances semantic alignment, perceptual quality, and audio-visual synchronization of generated outputs. Synthesized samples and code are available on the project page: https://jung-jaemin.github.io/ITS-AVGen-Proj.
Jaemin Jung, Kyeongha Rho, Inkyu Shin +1
Jun 1, 2026cs.LG

On the Scaling of PEFT: Towards Million Personal Models of Trillion Parameters

Parameter-efficient fine-tuning (PEFT) is usually treated as a cheaper alternative to full fine-tuning. We study a broader role: small trainable adapters as persistent local state on top of strong shared foundation models. In this framing, the base model provides shared competence while adapters carry instance-specific behavior such as preferences, skills, tool habits, and memory-like updates. We organize the problem around three scaling axes: Scale Up, where stronger shared priors make small local updates more useful; Scale Down, where we study how small adapters can be while remaining reliable; and Scale Out, where many persistent adapted instances coexist. MinT provides one infrastructure example for managing adapter identity, revision, provenance, evaluation, and serving residency. Together, the results suggest that PEFT can be a compact substrate for persistent personal models rather than only a budget substitute for full fine-tuning.
Mind Lab, :, Vin Bo +64
Jun 1, 2026cs.CL

DFlare: Scaling Up Draft Capacity for Block Diffusion Speculative Decoding

Block diffusion speculative decoding accelerates LLM inference by predicting all tokens within a block simultaneously for the target model to verify in parallel. Predicting an entire block at once requires a sufficiently capable draft model and effective utilization of the target model's internal knowledge. However, the state-of-the-art method DFlash constrains all draft layers to share a single fused representation derived from only a few target layers, limiting per-layer expressiveness and hindering further scaling of draft capacity. In this paper, we present \modelname, which flares out the narrow conditioning bottleneck of DFlash through a lightweight layer-wise fusion mechanism: each draft layer attends to its own learnable combination of a broad set of target layers at negligible overhead, simultaneously injecting richer target knowledge and providing every draft layer with a distinct input. This enhanced per-layer expressiveness enables scaling the draft model to deeper architectures with consistent gains. We further scale training data from 800K to 2.4M samples to fully exploit the enlarged capacity. On six benchmarks spanning mathematical reasoning, code generation, and conversation, \modelname attains average wall-clock speedups of 5.52x on Qwen3-4B, 5.46x on Qwen3-8B, and 3.91x on GPT-OSS-20B, improving over DFlash by roughly 11%, 8%, and 5% respectively. Our code is available at https://github.com/Tencent/AngelSlim.
Jiebin Zhang, Zhenghan Yu, Song Liu +9