Conformal Prediction

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Conformal Prediction

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Conformal Calibration

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Finite-Sample Coverage Guarantees

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Conformal Risk Control

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Conformal Inference

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Nonconformity Scores

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Dual-Channel Tensor Neural Networks: Finite-Sample Theory and Conformal Structure Selection
May 18, 2026Elynn Chen, Jiayu Li, Zheshi Zheng +1Tensor Finite-Sample
Conformal Prediction via Transported Beta Laws
May 18, 2026Thiago R. Ramos, Helton Graziadei, Luben M. C. CabezasConformal Prediction Conformal Calibration
SAGA: A Sequence-Adaptive Generative Architecture for Multi-Horizon Probabilistic Forecasting with Adaptive Temporal Conformal Prediction
May 18, 2026Gustav Olaf Yunus Laitinen-Fredriksson Lundström-Imanov, Hafize Gonca CömertConformal Prediction Conditional Distribution
Decoupled Conformal Optimisation: Efficient Prediction Sets via Independent Tuning and Calibration
May 18, 2026Fanyi Wu, Lihua Niu, Samuel Kaski +1Finite-Sample Coverage Guarantees Bayesian Optimization
Concise and Logically Consistent Conformal Sets for Neuro-Symbolic Concept-Based Models
May 18, 2026Samuele Bortolotti, Emanuele Marconato, Andrea Pugnana +2Neuro-Symbolic Framework Conformal Prediction
Online Conformal Prediction for Non-Exchangeable Panel Data
May 18, 2026Daohong Tu, Kay GieseckeConformal Prediction Conformal Calibration
Anytime PAC-Bayes for Constrained Density-Ratio Networks under Covariate Shift
May 17, 2026Paulo Akira F. Enabe, Rodrigo ProvasiCovariate Shift Distribution Shifts
Skew-adaptive conformal prediction
May 15, 2026Paulo C. Marques F., Helton GraziadeiConformal Prediction Quantile Regression
Efficient Online Conformal Selection with Limited Feedback
May 14, 2026Sreenivas Gollapudi, Kostas Kollias, Kamesh Munagala +1Conformal Inference Learning-Augmented Algorithms
On the Burden of Achieving Fairness in Conformal Prediction
May 14, 2026Ziang Gao, Pengqi Liu, Archer Yi Yang +3Conformal Prediction Conformal Calibration
Pause and Reflect: Conformal Aggregation for Chain-of-Thought Reasoning
May 13, 2026Yu Gu, Zijun Yu, Vahid Partovi Nia +1Chain-of-Thought Reasoning Self-Consistency
Conformal Anomaly Detection in Python: Moving Beyond Heuristic Thresholds with 'nonconform'
May 13, 2026Oliver Hennhöfer, Maximilian Kirsch, Christine PreisachAnomaly Score Anomaly Detection
Vision-Based Runtime Monitoring under Varying Specifications using Semantic Latent Representations
May 13, 2026Bardh Hoxha, Oliver Schön, Hideki Okamoto +2Runtime Enforcement Partial Observability
Asymptotically Optimal Ergodic Coverage on Generalized Motion Fields
May 13, 2026Christian Hughes, Yilang Liu, Yanis Lahrach +6Finite-Sample Coverage Guarantees Autonomous Underwater Vehicles
Ergodic Trajectory Design by Learned Pushforward Maps: Provable Coverage via Conditional Flow Matching
May 13, 2026Ehsan Aghazadeh, Masoud Malekzadeh, Ahmad Ghasemi +1Trajectory Optimization Finite-Sample Coverage Guarantees
Local Conformal Calibration of Dynamics Uncertainty from Semantic Images
May 13, 2026Luís Marques, Dmitry BerensonCalibrated Uncertainty Conformal Calibration
Adaptive Conformal Prediction for Reliable and Explainable Medical Image Classification
May 13, 2026One Octadion, Novanto Yudistira, Lailil MuflikhahMedical Image Classification Conformal Prediction
Online Conformal Prediction: Enforcing monotonicity via Online Optimization
May 12, 2026Eduardo Ochoa Rivera, Ambuj TewariConformal Prediction Quantile Regression
Multi-Variable Conformal Prediction: Optimizing Prediction Sets without Data Splitting
May 12, 2026Laura Lützow, Simone Garatti, Marco C. Campi +2Conformal Prediction Finite-Sample Coverage Guarantees
Fair Conformal Classification via Learning Representation-Based Groups
May 12, 2026Senrong Xu, Yanke Zhou, Yuhao Tan +5Fairness-Aware Learning Conformal Inference
PASC: Pipeline-Aware Conformal Prediction with Joint Coverage Guarantees for Multi-Stage NLP and LLM Pipelines
May 12, 2026Varun KotteLarge Language Model Pipelines Conformal Prediction
Partial Model Sharing Improves Byzantine Resilience in Federated Conformal Prediction
May 12, 2026Ehsan Lari, Reza Arablouei, Stefan WernerByzantine Attacks Conformal Prediction
RareCP: Regime-Aware Retrieval for Efficient Conformal Prediction
May 9, 2026Manuel Heurich, Maximilian Granz, Tim LandgrafConformal Prediction Rare Events
CONTRA: Conformal Prediction Region via Normalizing Flow Transformation
May 8, 2026Zhenhan Fang, Aixin Tan, Jian HuangConformal Prediction Normalizing Flows
Learning Polyhedral Conformal Sets for Robust Optimization
May 8, 2026Shuyi Chen, Wenbin Zhou, Shixiang ZhuRobust Optimization Finite-Sample Coverage Guarantees
Conformal Path Reasoning: Trustworthy Knowledge Graph Question Answering via Path-Level Calibration
May 8, 2026Shuhang Lin, Chuhao Zhou, Xiao Lin +5Knowledge Graphs Conformal Calibration
GRAPHLCP: Structure-Aware Localized Conformal Prediction on Graphs
May 8, 2026Peyman Baghershahi, Fangxin Wang, Debmalya Mandal +1Graph Neural Networks Conformal Prediction
The Limits of AI-Driven Allocation: Optimal Screening under Aleatoric Uncertainty
May 8, 2026Santiago Cortes-Gomez, Mateo Dulce Rubio, Carlos Patino +1Screening Finite-Sample Coverage Guarantees
Aggregation in conformal e-classification
May 8, 2026Vladimir VovkConformal Prediction Conformal Calibration
Probabilistic Object Detection with Conformal Prediction
May 8, 2026Christopher Ries, Moussa Kassem Sbeyti, Nicolas Bianco +1Conformal Prediction Object Detection
TRACE: Transport Alignment Conformal Prediction via Diffusion and Flow Matching Models
May 8, 2026Zhenhan Fang, Aixin Tan, Jian HuangConformal Prediction Nonconformity Scores
Accelerated Relax-and-Round for Concave Coverage Problems
May 7, 2026Matthew Fahrbach, Mehraneh Liaee, Morteza ZadimoghaddamApproximation Algorithms Semidefinite Programming
Conformal Agent Error Attribution
May 7, 2026Naihe Feng, Yi Sui, Shiyi Hou +2Multi-Agent Systems Visual Attribution
Inductive Venn-Abers and related regressors
May 7, 2026Ivan Petej, Vladimir VovkConformal Prediction Binary Classification
Estimate Level Adjustment For Inference With Proxies Under Random Distribution Shifts
May 7, 2026Steven Wilkins-Reeves, Alexandra N. M. Darmon, Deeksha SinhaConformal Inference Random
Risk-Controlled Post-Processing of Decision Policies
May 7, 2026Sunay Joshi, Tao Wang, Hamed Hassani +1Conformal Risk Control Post-Processing
When Does Trimming Help Conformal Prediction? A Retained-Law Diagnostic under Calibration Contamination
May 7, 2026Congye WangContamination Conformal Prediction
Confidence is the key: how conformal prediction enhances the generative design of permeable peptides
May 7, 2026Laura van Weesep, Sunay Chankeshwara, Leonardo De Maria +3Cyclic Peptides Conformal Prediction
Online Localized Conformal Prediction
May 6, 2026Yuheng Lai, Garvesh RaskuttiConformal Prediction Conformal Inference
Delving into Non-Exchangeability for Conformal Prediction in Graph-Structured Multivariate Time Series
May 6, 2026Ruichao Guo, Xingyao Han, Luo Wenshui +3Conformal Prediction Multivariate Time Series Forecasting
Improving FMQA via Initial Training Data Design Considering Marginal Bit Coverage in One-Hot Encoding
May 6, 2026Taiga Hayashi, Yuya Seki, Kotaro Terada +3Quantum Approximate Optimization Algorithm Exploratory Factor Analysis
Multimodal Learning on Low-Quality Data with Conformal Predictive Self-Calibration
May 5, 2026Xun Jiang, Yufan Gu, Disen Hu +5Robust Multimodal Learning Conformal Prediction
Training-Free Probabilistic Time-Series Forecasting with Conformal Seasonal Pools
May 5, 2026Valery ManokhinMultivariate Forecasting Conformal Prediction
Differentiable Optimization Layered Safety-Critical Control for Risk-Aware Navigation via Conformal Prediction
May 5, 2026Jinyang Dong, Shizhen Wu, Yongchun FangObstacle Avoidance Control Barrier Functions
Conformalized Percentile Interval: Finite Sample Validity and Improved Conditional Performance
May 4, 2026Ran Zou, Wanrong Zhu, Bin NanConformal Prediction Quantile Regression
Binary Rewards and Reinforcement Learning: Fundamental Challenges
May 4, 2026Marc DymetmanReinforcement Learning With Verifiable Reward Kullback-Leibler Divergence
Weight Clipping for Robust Conformal Inference under Unbounded Covariate Shifts
May 3, 2026James Wang, Surbhi GoelConformal Inference Conformal Prediction
Robust Conditional Conformal Prediction via Branched Normalizing Flow
May 3, 2026Rui Xu, Xingyuan Chen, Wenxing Huang +4Conformal Prediction Conformal Calibration
Stable Localized Conformal Prediction via Transduction
May 2, 2026Yinjie Min, Liuhua Peng, Changliang ZouConformal Prediction Localization Methods
Reconstructing conformal field theoretical compositions with Transformers
May 1, 2026Haotian Cao, Garrett Merz, Kyle Cranmer +1Transformer Architectures Conformal Calibration
Optimal Spatio-Temporal Decoupling for Bayesian Conformal Prediction
May 1, 2026Yu-Hsueh Fang, Chia-Yen LeeConformal Prediction Bayesian
Conformalized Quantum DeepONet Ensembles: Towards Scalable Operator Learning with Distribution-Free Guarantees
May 1, 2026Purav Matlia, Christian Moya, Guang LinQuantum Neural Networks Probabilistic Operator Learning
Adaptive Geodesic Conformal Prediction for Egocentric Camera Pose Estimation
Apr 30, 2026Aishani Pathak, Hasti SeifiConformal Prediction Egocentric Vision
SPLICE: Latent Diffusion over JEPA Embeddings for Conformal Time-Series Inpainting
Apr 30, 2026Arnaud ZinflouMultivariate Time Series Imputation Electricity Price Forecasting
Geometry-Calibrated Conformal Abstention for Language Models
Apr 30, 2026Rui Xu, Yi Chen, Sihong Xie +1Large Language Model Uncertainty Abstention
CRC-Screen: Certified DNA-Synthesis Hazard Screening Under Taxonomic Shift
Apr 30, 2026Najmul HasanDna Conformal Risk Control
ConformaDecompose: Explaining Uncertainty via Calibration Localization
Apr 29, 2026Fatima Rabia Yapicioglu, Meltem Aksoy, Alberto Rigenti +4Conformal Prediction Explainability
VLM Judges Can Rank but Cannot Score: Task-Dependent Uncertainty in Multimodal Evaluation
Apr 28, 2026Divake Kumar, Sina Tayebati, Devashri Naik +2Multimodal Evaluation Large Language Model Judges
Machine-Learning-Based Classification of Radio Frequency Building Loss
Apr 27, 2026Jiayi Tan, Neelabhro Roy, James Gross +2Radio Frequency Finite-Sample Coverage Guarantees
EndoGov: A knowledge-governed multi-agent expert system for endometrial cancer risk stratification
Apr 26, 2026Weiye Dai, Liyun Shi, Zanxiang He +4Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Conformal Risk Control

May 18, 2026 · stat.MLJ/K move · Enter open · S save

Dual-Channel Tensor Neural Networks: Finite-Sample Theory and Conformal Structure Selection

Elynn Chen, Jiayu Li, Zheshi Zheng, Jian Pei

Tensor-valued data arise naturally in neuroimaging, genomics, climate science, and spatiotemporal networks, where multilinear dependencies across modes carry information that is destroyed under vectorization. Existing approaches either impose a single low-rank structure, which can miss localized signal, or treat the tensor as a long vector, which discards its multiway geometry. We propose a Dual-Channel Tensor Neural Network (DC-TNN) that decomposes each tensor input into a low-rank core and a sparse refinement, and processes the two components through coupled neural channels. The framework is structure-agnostic and accommodates CP, Tucker, and tensor-train cores within a single architecture. For estimation, we establish non-asymptotic risk bounds for the DC-TNN estimator that decompose into network approximation, core estimation, and refinement-selection terms, and show that the effective dimension is determined jointly by the core rank and refinement sparsity rather than by the ambient tensor size. For inference, we develop a structure-aware conformal ROC procedure that calibrates within the core-refinement latent space and produces ROC and AUC confidence bands with finite-sample, distribution-free coverage. Building on this, we propose a conformal structure selector that, to our knowledge, is the first distribution-free procedure for choosing among candidate tensor decompositions with finite-sample validity. Simulations and an analysis of a protein dataset demonstrate competitive predictive accuracy, reliable uncertainty quantification, and consistent recovery of the tensor structure.

Tensor Finite-Sample Conformal Calibration Area Under The Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve Theoretical Foundations

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