Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction

Pedestrian-count forecasting supports pedestrian-oriented Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS), including crowd monitoring, pedestrian-traffic staffing and routing, and proactive risk mitigation during surges. Recent time-series foundation models (FMs) report strong zero-shot accuracy on heterogeneous forecasting benchmarks, but it remains unclear whether these gains transfer reliably to pedestrian sensing deployments. We benchmark seven univariate forecasting approaches spanning four paradigms: Seasonal Naive, gradient-boosted trees (LightGBM, CatBoost), deep learning models (N-HiTS, PatchTST), and two pretrained FMs (TimesFM, Chronos-2). Experiments cover two complementary regimes: (i) a five-day special event dataset SAIL2025 at 3-minute resolution with limited in-domain history; and (ii) Melbourne pedestrian sensors as a multi-year hourly dataset (2010--2017) with strong seasonality. We compare the MAE and RMSE results per sensor across datasets and multiple forecast horizons. Results show three consistent findings. First, with limited historical data, Seasonal Naive remains a strong baseline for long-horizon forecasting on high-volume sensors, while trained models can degrade when the next day differs substantially from prior days. Second, boosted trees can be competitive on lower-volume sensors but exhibit higher sensitivity on high-volume sensors under event-driven shift. Third, FMs excel in the seasonal and data-rich regime under long-context configuration. The findings highlight the importance of choosing pedestrian forecasting models based on both the underlying data conditions and the forecasting horizon.

The pedestrian crossing intention task involves predicting whether pedestrians are likely to cross the road from the point of view of an autonomous vehicle. We introduce TrajFusionNet+, a novel transformer-based model for pedestrian crossing intention prediction. TrajFusionNet+ combines sequential and visual representations of pedestrian trajectory with a graph-based representation of the scene context in order to predict pedestrian crossing intention. The proposed architecture builds upon our previous model, TrajFusionNet, and comprises three branches: a Sequence Attention Module (SAM), which processes a sequential representation of past and predicted pedestrian trajectories; a Visual Attention Module (VAM), which utilizes a visual representation of the pedestrian trajectories by overlaying observed and predicted bounding boxes onto scene images; and a Graph Attention Module (GAM), which extracts pedestrian-centric graphs from segmented scene images and captures the relational dependencies between pedestrians and traffic elements. TrajFusionNet+ achieves improved state-of-the-art performance on the two most widely used pedestrian crossing intention datasets, PIE and JAAD. Furthermore, we introduce a new evaluation protocol in which models are trained jointly on the PIE and JAAD datasets but evaluated separately on each. Under this setting, TrajFusionNet+ demonstrates superior generalization compared to existing approaches.

Many pedestrian trajectory prediction algorithms have been proposed to improve the safety of navigation for mobile robots working in human-robot coexistence environments. Some pedestrian trajectory prediction algorithms extract information about obstacles near pedestrians from top-down view images to improve the accuracy of trajectory prediction. However, mobile robots typically create local occupancy maps using LiDAR, rather than top-down view images. Meanwhile, the vision sensors on board robots provide egocentric view images, which contain fine-grained behavioral information about the pedestrians near the robot. To better use the information collected by LiDAR and on-board vision sensors, we propose MamMA, a Mamba-based pedestrian trajectory prediction algorithm considering occupancy maps and pedestrian awareness states. MamMA divides the occupancy map by patches and extracts obstacle features from each patch to create map features. Pedestrian awareness states are divided and considered, as some studies show that awareness states affect the perception and speed of pedestrians. Furthermore, a Mamba-based model is proposed to predict the future trajectories of pedestrians based on different types of features. Experiments on the STCrowd, SiT, JRDB, ETH, and UCY datasets show that MamMA achieves better average displacement error and final displacement error than the state-of-the-art algorithms.

In real-world applications, pedestrian trajectory prediction models rely on inputs from detection and tracking systems. Prior trajectory prediction benchmarks either contain relatively sparse pedestrian interactions, assume perfect tracking inputs, or rely on overhead viewpoints that minimize occlusion and perspective distortion, limiting evaluation in realistic dense-crowd scenarios. We present CrowdTraj, a benchmark for pedestrian trajectory prediction in natural dense crowd scenes. Unlike previous datasets, CrowdTraj supports end-to-end evaluation from detection through tracking to trajectory prediction under severe occlusion in CCTV views. It also captures diverse, natural pedestrian behaviours, including abrupt directional changes rarely observed in existing benchmarks. CrowdTraj includes five diverse scenes, with an average of 1,146 unique pedestrians per scene, maximum frame-level densities ranging from 114 to 372 pedestrians, and over 3.2 million annotated head bounding boxes. CrowdTraj provides pixel and real-world coordinates via per-scene homography matrices for physically meaningful analysis. Our experimental results show that tracking accuracy (IDF1) drops to 0.68 to 0.70 in the densest scenes, compared with approximately 0.90 in less crowded scenes. Trajectory prediction training also becomes substantially more computationally expensive in dense scenes, with training times increasing by up to 8 times. These findings show that CrowdTraj exposes limitations in current trajectory prediction pipelines that remain hidden on existing sparse-crowd benchmarks, particularly in robustness to tracking noise and computational scalability.

Vision cues are available and informative for pedestrian action prediction, but obtaining stable target-centric representations from video frames remains challenging without frame-level external perception cues. Thus, most methods rely on additional perception modules or multi-source information fusion, leaving the reliability of vision-centric setting an open question. To this end, we propose ViCross, a vision-centric pedestrian crossing action prediction framework powered by multimodal large language models, which maintains target-centric reasoning from video frames without additional perception modules beyond first-frame target initialization. While multimodal large language models exhibit strong visual understanding, applying them directly to vision-centric action prediction faces two challenges. First, accurately perceiving target pedestrians often requires high resolution inputs and dense visual tokenization, making full-frame encoding computationally prohibitive. ViCross tackles this with Variable Resolution Patch Mapping module for efficient token allocation while preserving key pedestrian details. Second, missing spatiotemporal priors hinder consistent cross frame reasoning. ViCross mitigates this with a Spatial Constraint Enhancement Strategy that captures past motion, future locations, and action semantics for training-time proactive spatial rectification. Extensive experiments show that ViCross delivers clear gains in vision-centric prediction settings and is competitive with multi-source fusion approaches in several settings. Code is available at https://github.com/2tianyao1/ViCross.git.

Local pedestrian-vehicle forecasting spans heterogeneous physical scales: pedestrians combine root locomotion with articulated motion, whereas vehicles are rigid bodies described by kinematic state and oriented extent. Existing road-agent forecasters typically omit pedestrian articulation, while pose forecasters leave vehicle futures outside the learned rollout. We introduce PV-WM, a history-only world model over structured post-perception tracks. It recurrently advances pedestrian root motion, 15-joint articulation, and learned vehicle states within a synchronized heterogeneous state. The generated pedestrian and vehicle chunks supply the next recurrent boundary; vehicle boxes are reconstructed from predicted center and heading with observed extent, and P-V geometry is recomputed after every transition. Relative to a matched one-shot complete-state predictor, recurrent execution reduces Root ADE by 12.7% and MPJPE by 14.8%. Feedback interventions show that later predictions depend on the content, temporal order, and pedestrian identity of generated articulation. Across 824 aligned Waymo contexts, with 797 providing valid future vehicle support, PV-WM reduces Root ADE by 5.2%, MPJPE by 7.6%, P-V distance error by 11.9%, and oriented-box closest-approach error by 5.8% relative to a validation-selected Modular Specialist. The single-network model uses 57.1% fewer parameters, 96.5% lower average FLOPs per local scene, and 25.5% lower measured p95 latency. PV-WM unifies this heterogeneous future state while preserving type-specific pedestrian and vehicle dynamics.

Safe robot navigation in crowded spaces requires planning that accounts for where people will be, not only where they are now. Model Predictive Path Integral (MPPI) control is an effective sampling-based planner, but many implementations encode humans as static point obstacles at their current positions, underestimating risk in dynamic scenes. We propose Predictive Gaussian Interaction Fields (PGIF), a spatiotemporal cost formulation that propagates pedestrian predictions forward over the full planning horizon and encodes them as anisotropic Gaussian repulsive fields aligned with each pedestrian's direction of motion. The forward spread of each field grows with the pedestrian's speed, creating a motion cone danger zone that penalises robot trajectories entering the pedestrian's path of travel more strongly than those approaching from behind. The formulation is closed-form and fully parallelisable across rollouts, adding no measurable computational overhead. Evaluated over 300 randomised crowd scenarios at three density levels, PGIF-MPPI achieves a 0% collision rate at every density level, compared with up to 82% for vanilla MPPI, while maintaining real-time planning performance.

Understanding how robots and humans move in shared spaces is essential for designing effective social robot navigation policies and predicting human behavior. However, existing datasets often lack the diversity needed to capture differences in culture, geography, and human-robot interaction-factors that strongly shape appropriate social behavior. To address this gap, we introduce ACME: A Cross-cultural, Multi-Embodiment dataset for social navigation. A large-scale data collection effort across 8 sites in 5 countries, using 7 robot embodiments, ACME is a large and diverse multi-modal dataset aimed at advancing social navigation research, providing 29.35 hours of onboard robot data and 43.5 hours of overhead pedestrian tracking data. Unlike prior datasets, it focuses on capturing goal-driven social navigation behavior in complex social scenarios with explicit robot-crowd interaction through robot speech. To facilitate learning navigation policies and predicting pedestrian trajectories, ACME provides 3D and 2D scene features, odometry, interaction information, and human-annotated pedestrian trajectory labels. We make ACME easy to use by providing both human-readable data for each sensor modality as well as raw binary data. Our qualitative and quantitative analyses show that our dataset captures more challenging scenarios and a broader distribution of pedestrian behavior than previous datasets.

Managing massive crowds during infrequent special events requires reliable real-time pedestrian-flow forecasting to ensure public safety and operational efficiency. However, supervised forecasting methods face limitations in these contexts due to scarce historical data, heterogeneous data distributions, and short in-event observation windows. To effectively support operational decision-making, forecasts should provide not only accurate point estimates but also informative predictive uncertainty. Probabilistic uncertainty quantification plays a critical role in this aspect, particularly capturing sudden volatility and tail risks. This paper investigates pretrained time series foundation models as a lightweight approach for zero-shot probabilistic forecasting without extensive local retraining. Using decision-oriented metrics tailored to short events, we conduct a comprehensive assessment of two time series foundation models on crowd forecasting, with the SAIL2025 event as a use case. We then distill practical insights for crowd managers, specifying when zero-shot forecasts remain operationally reliable.

Predicting pedestrian crossing intention is a safety-critical task for autonomous driving, yet existing approaches often rely on single-modal inputs or dense multimodal fusion strategies that inadequately capture complementary visual and kinematic information while introducing redundant inter-modal interactions. We propose ADAPT (Adaptive Domain-Aware Pedestrian Crossing Transformer), a multimodal framework that jointly models local and global visual context together with temporal motion dynamics for accurate pedestrian crossing intention prediction. ADAPT processes four spatially aligned visual modalities, including RGB images, local depth maps, global semantic maps, and global depth maps, together with ego-vehicle speed, pedestrian bounding boxes, and skeleton pose information through five specialized modules: a weight-shared Swin Transformer V2 backbone for visual feature extraction, a Cross-Modality Guided Attention module for hierarchical visual fusion, a Mamba-based Motion Feature Encoding module for efficient temporal modeling, a Sparse Cross-Modal Attention module that selectively preserves the most informative inter-modal interactions, and a Vision Transformer-based Temporal Feature Fusion module for sequence-level prediction. Extensive experiments on the JAAD and PIE benchmark datasets demonstrate that ADAPT consistently outperforms existing state-of-the-art methods while maintaining low computational complexity. On JAAD, the proposed method achieves an AUC of 0.73 on JAADbeh and 0.85 on JAADall, while on PIE it achieves an accuracy of 0.92 and an AUC of 0.90. Furthermore, ADAPT performs inference in only 17.23 ms per sample, offering an effective balance between predictive accuracy and real-time deployment efficiency for intelligent transportation and autonomous driving applications.

Accurate pedestrian trajectory prediction in crowded environments remains challenging due to the multimodal uncertainty of human motion and the variable complexity of motion dynamics across different scene contexts. Existing goal-conditioned models rely on static displacement structures that assign equal weight to all historical time steps, standard graph attention mechanisms, and fixed-capacity motion decoders that cannot adapt to local prediction complexity. To address these limitations, we propose TSCA-Net, a trajectory prediction framework built upon three complementary modules. The Temporal-Spatial Clique Attention (TSCA) module introduces learnable temporal gating into clique-based goal-history interaction, enabling time-aware modulation of historical observations relative to each candidate goal. The Cross-Pedestrian Clique Potential (CPCP) module models asymmetric pairwise agent relationships through a dynamic clique potential framework with a time-varying social graph. The Adaptive KAN Grid Refinement (AKGR) mechanism dynamically adjusts the B-spline grid resolution of a Kolmogorov-Arnold Network-augmented LSTM decoder based on per-agent goal distribution entropy, balancing model expressiveness against overfitting across varying motion complexities. Extensive experiments on the ETH/UCY and Stanford Drone Dataset benchmarks demonstrate that TSCA-Net achieves state-of-the-art performance, with average ADE/FDE of 0.13/0.20 m on ETH/UCY and 6.95/10.43 pixels on SDD. Comprehensive ablation studies confirm the complementary contributions of all three proposed modules.

Pedestrian-level wind prediction is essential for urban design and wind-comfort assessment, but high-fidelity simulations such as LES remain computationally expensive for rapid evaluation. This study develops a two-stage U-Net framework for efficient prediction of time-averaged pedestrian-level wind speed over realistic urban morphologies. The model is trained and evaluated using the UrbanTALES dataset, which contains realistic city configurations under different approaching wind directions. In the first stage, a baseline U-Net model (M1) predicts wind fields patch-by-patch from normalised building height and fetch information. This formulation allows application to urban domains of arbitrary size, but independent patch inference can introduce discontinuities at patch boundaries. To address this, a second U-Net model (M2) is introduced as an inpainting-based refinement model. M2 uses a larger contextual window containing the initial M1 prediction and local morphology to reduce discontinuities using neighbouring flow information. During full-field inference, M2 is applied iteratively using a Gauss-Seidel scheme until convergence. Results show that M1 captures the main spatial distribution of pedestrian-level wind speed and performs well in low- and moderate-velocity regions, although high-velocity peaks are less accurate. M2 substantially reduces patch-boundary artefacts and improves spatial coherence. Across unseen urban cases, the framework reproduces mean velocity and spatial variability reasonably well, while maximum velocities remain underestimated. Overall, the proposed framework provides an efficient and flexible surrogate model for high-resolution pedestrian-level wind prediction across realistic urban morphologies.

The robustness of trajectory prediction models is crucial for developing safe autonomous driving systems. Adversarial attacks on trajectory prediction can significantly impair the accuracy of predicted trajectories, leading to hazardous driving behaviors. While heuristic defense strategies have been implemented to enhance the robustness of trajectory prediction models, these measures often fail against more sophisticated, targeted adversarial attacks. Hence, there is a pressing need to establish verifiable safety assurances for trajectory prediction models. In this paper, we extend the traditional Randomized Smoothing framework to "TrajRS", which provides a certified robust radius for smoothed trajectory predictors. We clarify and expand the formal definitions of robustness in trajectory prediction and tailor the practical TrajRS scheme specifically to "robustness for the optimal prediction" and "robustness for all possible predictions". An extensive set of experiments demonstrates that TrajRS effectively achieves robustness certification for all smoothed pedestrian trajectory predictors in this work.

Pedestrian trajectory prediction requires modeling temporal dynamics, multimodal cues, and social interactions in crowded environments. Existing methods often address these factors separately or entangle them in costly attention blocks, limiting scalability, flexibility, and interpretability. We propose a three-step hierarchical Transformer that explicitly separates temporal encoding, multimodal fusion, and scene-level interaction reasoning. Lightweight GRU summaries enable efficient cross-modal attention, while social attention over time--agent tokens captures inter-pedestrian influences at manageable cost. Experiments on JTA, JRDB, and the Pedestrians and Cyclists in Road Traffic dataset show state-of-the-art performance on real-world datasets (JRDB, Urban) and competitive results on JTA. Ablation and qualitative analyses confirm the contribution of each stage and the model's ability to anticipate complex behaviors such as early turning.

Autonomous mobile service robots are often required to complete tours that require navigating through a set of locations in an environment. Example domains include guiding people through a shopping mall, delivering packages in a fulfilment centre, or giving guided tours in a museum. However, in crowded environments, the presence of people may negatively impact robot performance. For example, humans will activate robot collision avoidance manoeuvres that slow the robot down. Crowds move stochastically and vary throughout the day. In this paper we present a probabilistic tour planner for crowded environments which explicitly reasons over human congestion. We learn circular linear flow field (CLiFF) maps which predict human trajectories given an initial observation. We then use these predictions to build and solve a Markov decision process online which efficiently routes the robot through the environment. Our approach is scalable enough to re-plan as new people are observed. We evaluate our approach on a real-world crowd dataset in a shopping mall.

Pedestrian trajectory prediction from an ego-centric camera is challenging since it depends on complex interactions with vehicles and scene context, as well as the intention of the pedestrian. By modelling correlation and intent from the historical and future trajectories of the pedestrian, it will usually result in a multimodal (i.e. multiple modes) distribution. Existing stochastic predictors often sample multiple futures from a single unimodal distribution, which can yield sub-optimal 'mixed-mode' trajectories that lie between distinct motion patterns and become implausible in real scenes. In this paper, we propose MMPM, a mode-aware framework that separately models future trajectory distributions into semantically meaningful modes based on the pedestrian's crossing behavior. MMPM consists of two modules: behavior-aware Pedestrian Interaction Module (PIM) that jointly captures pedestrian-vehicle and pedestrian-environment interactions by introducing gaze, head and hand gesture, and a CVAE-based Mode-aware Trajectory Predictor (MTP) module to model the future trajectory distributions on two modes, crossing and non-crossing the road, separately. A query-based decoder further enforces mode consistency during decoding. Experiments on PIE and JAAD datasets show that our method surpasses state-of-the-art baselines. Our proposed MTP is model-agnostic, which can be integrated into existing frameworks such as BiTrap-NP and SGNet-ED to further improve future trajectory prediction performance. We additionally introduce a data-driven validation protocol that matches predictions to spatio-temporally consistent ground-truth trajectories, demonstrating improved frame-wise displacement errors over previous work.

Long-term human path forecasting in crowds is critical for autonomous moving platforms (like autonomous driving cars and social robots) to avoid collision and make high-quality planning. Although the current research take into account social interactions for prediction, they don't reveal the exact kinds of social interactions happened among people and how the social interactions affect the decision-making process of pedestrians, which further limits its robustness. Social interactions in pedestrian walking are intuitively massive and hard to label and quantify. In this paper, we explore creatively to quantify and interpret how pedestrians interact with others by proposing Learn to Cluster. Our clustering social interactions is probabilistic latent variable generative, learning directly from sequential trajectory observations, scalable to arbitrary number of pedestrians. Learn to cluster is label-free and can be naturally integrated into the training process of the prediction model. The latent variables will then serve as 'labels' to categorize social interactions. Extensive experiments over several trajectory prediction benchmarks demonstrate that our method is able to learn the patterns of social interactions and effectively integrate the patterns to pedestrian trajectory prediction.

Current end-to-end autonomous driving systems predominantly rely on frame-based sensors, which suffer from inherent perception latency and motion blur during highly dynamic encounters, specifically sudden pedestrian crossings. To address this critical safety vulnerability, we propose DeepIPCv3, a novel multi-modal autonomous navigation framework that synergizes the dense 3D spatial geometry of LiDAR point clouds with the microsecond-level asynchronous event streams of a Dynamic Vision Sensor (DVS). We introduce a Transformer-inspired cross-modal attention mechanism to dynamically correlate these distinct modalities, allowing the network to instantaneously prioritize high-speed dynamic updates without sacrificing structural scene awareness. The fused latent representations are then mapped to safe local waypoints and executable control commands via a hybrid policy network that blends heuristic trajectory tracking with direct neural predictions. Due to the severe physical risks associated with live testing of these sudden crossing scenarios, the framework is rigorously evaluated offline using a custom multi-modal dataset collected across both well-illuminated noon and challenging evening conditions. Extensive comparative and ablation studies demonstrate that DeepIPCv3 achieves state-of-the-art predictive performance. By effectively eliminating exposure failures and motion blur, the proposed LiDAR and DVS fusion yields the lowest trajectory and control command errors, enabling highly reactive, mathematically bounded evasive maneuvers regardless of ambient illumination. To support future research, we will release the codes to our GitHub repo at https://github.com/oskarnatan/DeepIPCv3.

Accurate pedestrian trajectory prediction is essential for safe navigation in autonomous driving and intelligent transportation systems. Despite substantial progress made by recent methods, most existing approaches are limited in fully exploiting diverse observations and often overlook the scale dependency of future motion, treating multiscale features uniformly regardless of underlying motion dynamics. This limits their robustness across diverse pedestrian behaviors. To address these challenges, we propose a Predicted-MUltiSCale-Aware Network (MUSCLE-NET) for Pedestrian Trajectory Forecasting that integrates complementary multimodal cues with scale-adaptive prediction mechanisms. The proposed framework is built upon a Multiscale Multimodal Feature Extraction (MMFE) module, which combines multiscale representation, modality-aware recalibration, and directional cross-modal fusion to construct semantically aligned representations from bounding boxes, velocities, and pose information. Building on these features, a Multiscale Enhanced Hierarchical Prediction (MEHP) module performs prediction-aware future-motion refinement via a probabilistic coarse predictor, scale-aligned fusion, and progressive refinement, adaptively selecting scale-relevant cues to mitigate spatial drift. Extensive experiments on the JAAD and PIE benchmarks demonstrate that the proposed MUSCLE-Net achieves competitive performance and consistent gains compared with state-of-the-art trajectory prediction methods.

Crowd movement simulation is essential for pedestrian safety management and facility layout optimization. Data-driven models enhance trajectory prediction accuracy under Euclidean metrics, yet they suffer from excessively high collision rates, especially in bidirectional and multidirectional flows. In this paper, we establish a novel data-driven crowd simulation model that incorporates the pedestrian collision mechanism into the loss function to reduce collisions. A new lateral-acceleration-based collision loss function and a Voronoi-based motion feature extraction approach are proposed. The model is based on a Generative Adversarial Network (GAN) architecture and is termed CPGAN (Collision-Penalized GAN). We evaluate CPGAN in bidirectional flow scenarios, which involve frequent collision avoidance behaviors. Results show that the proposed lateral-acceleration-based collision loss significantly reduces opposite-direction pedestrian collision rates to levels comparable with controlled experiments. CPGAN effectively simulates bidirectional flow, reproducing lane formation and N-t curves. The research outcomes can provide inspiration for integrating pedestrian dynamics mechanisms into loss functions in data-driven crowd simulation.

We present ARCANE-PedSynth, an open-source CARLA-based software framework for generating synthetic multi-pedestrian datasets with dense behavioural annotations for pedestrian crossing prediction in autonomous driving. The framework overcomes CARLA's native 9% crossing rate through a hybrid AI-manual pedestrian control architecture, enabling configurable target rates up to 75%. A 12-state behavioural finite state machine with five character archetypes produces diverse crossing behaviours. The framework generates synchronised RGB, LiDAR, and DVS data with per-frame crossing labels, behavioural states, and estimated 2D pose keypoints. We demonstrate ARCANE-PedSynth through PedSynth++, an example dataset generated with the framework, comprising 533 multi-pedestrian clips across 12 weather conditions with RGB, LiDAR, and DVS streams. ARCANE-PedSynth is fully reproducible via CLI parameterisation and Docker containerisation.

Pedestrian intention and trajectory prediction are critical for the safe deployment of autonomous driving systems, directly influencing navigation decisions in complex traffic environments. Recent advances in large vision-language models offer a powerful new paradigm for these tasks by combining high-capacity visual understanding with flexible natural language reasoning. In this work, we introduce PedestrianQA, a large-scale video-based dataset that formulates pedestrian intention and trajectory prediction as question-answering tasks augmented with structured rationales. PedestrianQA expresses richly annotated pedestrian sequences, in natural language, enabling VLMs to learn from visual dynamics, contextual cues, and interactions among traffic agents while generating concise explanations of their predictions without needing specialized architectures tailored for each task. Empirical evaluations across PIE, JAAD, TITAN, and IDD-PeD show that finetuning state-of-the-art VLMs on PedestrianQA significantly improves intention classification, trajectory forecasting accuracy, and the quality of explanatory rationales, demonstrating the strong potential of VLMs as a unified and explainable framework for safety-critical pedestrian behavior modeling.

Cycling delivers significant public-health and environmental benefits, yet its uptake in cities is often limited by perceived safety. When street environments appear unsafe, individuals are less likely to cycle, making perception a key barrier to adoption. Recent work has shown that pairwise comparisons of street-view images provide a scalable way to learn subjective safety judgments. However, existing approaches do not explicitly model human visual attention, which plays a central role in how humans perceive safety. We propose an Eye-Tracking-Guided Perceived Cycling Safety framework (EG-PCS) that integrates gaze data into a pairwise learning pipeline based on vision transformers. By supervising the model's attention mechanism with eye-tracking signals, we encourage alignment between learned attention maps and human fixation patterns. Experiments show that gaze-guided models achieve similar ranking performance compared to state-of-the-art approaches while producing attention maps that more accurately reflect human visual attention behavior. Our results demonstrate that incorporating eye-tracking information enhances both predictive accuracy and interpretability in perception-based urban analytics.

Accurate pedestrian trajectory prediction is crucial for autonomous systems operating in complex environments, such as modular buses and delivery robots in suburban or semi-structured areas. Social Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Neural Networks (Social-STGCNN) have shown strong performance by modeling social interactions; however, producing diverse and well-calibrated future trajectories remains challenging. In this work, we build on a Social-STGCNN backbone and introduce a Conditional Variational Autoencoder (CVAE)-based probabilistic formulation to explicitly model multimodal future trajectories. We evaluate the method on the ETH and UCY pedestrian trajectory datasets as well as on a real-world pedestrian dataset collected by a mobile robot. Results show moderate gains on public benchmarks, but more consistent endpoint accuracy and improved trajectory diversity across different crowd configurations. Evaluation on robot-collected data further demonstrates the approach's effectiveness beyond curated benchmarks and supports its applicability in practical deployments.

Autonomous Vehicles (AVs) must make reliable decisions in dense urban environments where pedestrian behavior is variable, sometimes abnormal, and often unseen during training. Reinforcement learning (RL)-based AV control systems perform well in structured traffic but struggle to generalize to unpredictable pedestrian interactions and out-of-distribution scenarios. Their reliance on handcrafted rewards and opaque decisions further limits their suitability for safety-critical, pedestrian-rich environments. To address these limitations, we introduce a Large Language Model (LLM)-based decision-making framework for pedestrian-aware behavioral planning. The system converts structured scene observations into natural-language reasoning prompts, enabling the LLM to infer pedestrian intent, anticipate risk, and generate cautious tactical driving decisions. These decisions are executed by a motion planner that ensures smooth, kinematically feasible control. We evaluate the framework in SUMO across multiple pedestrian-interaction scenarios, including unexpected jaywalking, turn-back crossing, hesitation, and bidirectional crossing. In zero-shot evaluation, the LLM-based agent achieves a 68% collision-free success rate, substantially outperforming deep RL baselines (17.7%). With few-shot episodic memory in a single-pedestrian scenario, performance increases to 96.0%, exceeding a custom DQN controller (82.0%). Cross-behavior evaluation further shows that memory derived from turn-back interactions transfers to unseen hesitation and bidirectional crossing scenarios, achieving 82.0% and 90.0% success, respectively. The system consistently initiates earlier responses, maintains wider safety buffers, and produces interpretable, human-aligned decisions.

Traditional Simultaneous Localization and Mapping (SLAM) algorithms rely heavily on the static environment assumption, which severely limits their applicability in real-world spaces populated by moving entities, such as pedestrians. In this work, we propose DynoSLAM, a tightly-coupled Dynamic GraphSLAM architecture that integrates socially-aware Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) directly into the factor graph optimization. Unlike conventional approaches that use rigid constant-velocity heuristics or deterministic single-agent neural priors, our framework formulates pedestrian motion forecasting as a stochastic World Model. By utilizing Monte Carlo rollouts from a trained GNN, we capture the multimodal epistemic uncertainty of human interactions and embed it into the SLAM graph via a dynamic Mahalanobis distance factor. We demonstrate through extensive simulated experiments that this stochastic formulation not only maintains highly accurate retrospective tracking but also prevents the optimization failures caused by the deterministic "argmax problem". Ultimately, extracting the empirical mean and covariance matrices of future pedestrian states provides a mathematically rigorous, probabilistic safety envelope for downstream local planners, enabling anticipatory and collision-free robot navigation in densely crowded environments.

Recent advances in autonomous driving have motivated research on pedestrian intention prediction, which aims to infer future crossing decisions and actions by modeling temporal dynamics, social interactions, and environmental context. However, existing studies remain constrained by oversimplified multi-agent interaction patterns, opaque reasoning logic, and a lack of global consistency in behavioral predictions, which compromise both robustness and interpretability. In this work, we propose ESIA (Energy-based Spatiotemporal Interaction-Aware framework), a novel Conditional Random Field (CRF)-based paradigm. We cast the intention prediction task as a structured prediction problem over a unified graph-based representation, treating pedestrians and the environment as spatiotemporal nodes. To characterize their distinct roles, we assign unary potentials to nodes to capture individual intentions, and pairwise potentials to edges to encode social and environmental interactions. These potentials are integrated into a unified global energy function to ensure scene-level consistency across behavioral predictions. To further constrain inference without ground-truth supervision, we introduce structural consistency terms to penalize logical contradictions. This optimization is efficiently solved via a novel Unary-Seeded Simulated Annealing (U-SSA) algorithm, which leverages high-confidence unary priors to rapidly converge to a high-quality solution. Extensive experiments on standard benchmarks demonstrate that ESIA achieves state-of-the-art performance with improved interpretability over existing methods.

Dense 3D semantic occupancy perception is critical for mobile robots operating in pedestrian-rich environments, yet it remains underexplored compared to its application in autonomous driving. To address this gap, we present MobileOcc, a semantic occupancy dataset for mobile robots operating in crowded human environments. Our dataset is built using an annotation pipeline that incorporates static object occupancy annotations and a novel mesh optimization framework explicitly designed for human occupancy modeling. It reconstructs deformable human geometry from 2D images, then refines and optimizes it using associated LiDAR point data. Using MobileOcc, we establish benchmarks for two tasks: i) Occupancy prediction and ii) Pedestrian velocity prediction, using different methods, including monocular, stereo, and panoptic occupancy, with metrics and baseline implementations for reproducible comparison. Beyond occupancy prediction, we further assess our annotation method on 3D human pose estimation datasets. Results demonstrate that our method exhibits robust performance across different datasets. Our code and dataset are released at https://autonomousrobots.nl/paper_websites/mobileocc