Early Layers

Clinically useful early detection requires validated pre-recognition lead time. Yet event-based evaluations of longitudinal clinical AI can treat recognition-mediated care-process signals as shortcuts and recognition-dependent endpoints as reference standards, inflating apparent performance and lead time while undermining cross-center transport. Such results may serve prognosis without establishing detection before recognition. We define an interval-censored pre-recognition transition, an independent as-of reference standard, and a prespecified recognition proxy to make the claim testable.

Deceptive online job advertisements have emerged as a primary pathway into forced labour, yet systematic detection methods remain underdeveloped due to data scarcity and absence of empirically validated indicators. We formalise this detection challenge as a classification problem under signalling theory, where exploiters transmit costless signals mimicking legitimate communications across textual, visual, and structural dimensions. Using 464 verified cases (164 deceptive, 300 legitimate) collected through anti-slavery charities across nine origin countries and 21 industries, we develop multimodal detection models combining computer vision, natural language processing, and semantic embeddings. Through systematic feature ablation experiments and repeated stratified cross-validation, we demonstrate that individual modalities achieve substantial discriminatory power (ROC-AUC: 0.87--0.97), whilst their integration yields modest further gains. SHAP-based analysis reveals that text quality and domain-specific risk language are the primary discriminators, with readability indices, risk keyword density, and visa sponsorship mentions ranking highest, followed by visual colour and texture features. These production quality gaps reflect resource constraints that prevent exploiters from maintaining professional standards across all communication channels simultaneously. We operationalise findings through a proof-of-concept decision support system providing interpretable risk scores for practitioners. This work demonstrates how rigorous analytical frameworks can address complex humanitarian operations challenges characterised by information asymmetry and limited ground-truth data.

Recent advances in angiographic imaging have enabled longitudinal visualization of the microvasculature. Image processing pipelines based on vessel graphs are able to resolve subtle temporal changes at the level of individual blood vessels. However, current strategies for graph extraction, refinement, and matching are highly sensitive, with even minuscule differences in the underlying segmentation map resulting in substantially different vessel graphs. These artifacts severely inhibit the ability to accurately match sequential vessel graphs of the same subject over time. To address this problem, we propose a strategy that matches graphs before jointly refining them. Specifically, we perform an early matching after basic graph extraction before removing spurious bulges and merging junctions in both graphs using joint information. In experiments with complex retinal vessel graphs, we demonstrate that this strategy results in a higher matched area without graph fragmentation compared to separate or no refinement, respectively.

Intelligence under time constraints requires deciding not only how much to compute, but when computation is worth starting. We study this problem in streaming interactions, where evidence arrives incrementally and may be revised. Early computation has more time to finish but rests on incomplete evidence; waiting improves information while shrinking computational slack. We call this the information-slack dilemma. We take the evidence-dependent computational job as the unit of analysis: when to start it, what supports its result, and when that result can be committed. Advance computation is valuable only insofar as its benefits survive the costs of verification, invalidation, and recovery. This applies to grounded incremental processing and reusable preparation as well as future-dependent speculation. We propose a research agenda on computation under evolving evidence, prioritizing selective recovery under controlled evidence revisions. Evaluation should separate earlier-execution effects, deployment value against a full-input alternative, and the added value of predictive policies, while accounting for shared-resource costs. The objective is not maximal advance computation, but more trustworthy, on-time responses within a declared resource envelope.

Bi-temporal remote-sensing disaster change captioning often needs to identify sparse and spatially localized changes across large pre- and post-event scenes and then translate them into coherent, factual descriptions. However, existing change captioning methods always follow an autoregressive decoding paradigm to generate the change description and thus an early misinterpretation of the changed object, event, or spatial relation becomes an irreversible premise for subsequent text, amplifying visual ambiguity into cascading factual errors. To address this limitation, we propose EchoChange, a multimodal discrete diffusion language model that formulates change captioning as iterative masked-token denoising rather than left-to-right generation. By repeatedly revising the entire caption while conditioning on the image pair, EchoChange can reconsider uncertain content and correct imperfect intermediate predictions. We further introduce draft-aware dual-pass training, a progressive masking curriculum, and confidence-guided remasking to align training with iterative inference. Extensive experiments on the RSCC benchmark show that EchoChange substantially outperforms both general-purpose and remote-sensing-specific baselines across lexical and semantic metrics. The EchoChange Project is at https://github.com/sundongwei/EchoChange_Project

Communication allows large language model agents to pool evidence, but it also creates paths along which an erroneous claim can spread. We formulate a correction-aware network model that tracks susceptible, exposed, infectious, and corrected agents and derive its early-invasion condition for heterogeneous communication networks. We then couple this propagation model to an analytic majority-vote benchmark in which a clean-task reliability target imposes a minimum connectivity requirement. Under fixed exposure per communication edge, reliability and error control impose opposing graph constraints. We characterize when their intersection is empty and when it contains an intermediate connectivity range, and identify regular graphs that attain the smallest invasion factor within the reliable graph class when such graphs exist. Under a fixed sender budget, the homogeneous first-order threshold is independent of network density, showing that the communication-budget convention determines whether added edges increase early propagation risk. Finite-network simulations on 21,000 trajectories illustrate these directional predictions. A controlled grok-4.3 experiment then evaluates three six-node topologies on 36 new closed-world tasks, with a balanced 12-task subset continued to full cascades. Mean first-generation offspring increased from 0.667 to 1.333 and 1.667 as degree increased from 2 to 4 and 5, while the adoption fraction among exposed neighbours remained 0.333. Mean non-seed erroneous adoption in the full-cascade subset was 0.200, 0.333, and 0.333. Together, these results provide a tractable basis for selecting connectivity under explicit reliability and propagation constraints.

Agentic coding tools are increasingly capable of generating and submitting pull requests (PRs) to software projects, introducing new forms of human-agent collaboration in software development. While prior studies have examined PR-level outcomes of agent-generated contributions, less is known about how agentic coding tools are adopted and managed at the project level. In this paper, we analyze 25,264 agentic PRs from 2,361 popular GitHub repositories to investigate (1) the adoption of agentic coding tools, (2) project-level agentic PR productivity, and (3) human-agent collaboration patterns. Our results show that the median repository generates only one to two agentic PRs during a three-month period, indicating that intensive adoption remains concentrated in a small subset of projects. At the same time, small projects (1-5 contributors) exhibit higher participation ratios and average levels of agentic PR activity than medium-sized and large projects. We also observe substantial variation in project-level agentic PR productivity. While a small number of projects exceed an industry-reported estimate of 36 PRs per participant during the three-month observation period, most projects remain below this threshold. Finally, human-agent collaboration is dominated by a single-human oversight model, in which one developer reviews and/or modifies the agent's contributions, while multi-human collaboration patterns remain uncommon. These findings provide early empirical evidence on how open-source projects organize human oversight around agentic coding tools and suggest that successful integration of agent-generated contributions depends not only on advances in agent capabilities but also on the human and organizational processes that govern their use. Because this study captures an early snapshot of agent adoption, future work should continue to track how adoption patterns evolve over time.

Large language model (LLM) agents often waste inference compute by continuing multi-step trajectories that are already doomed to fail. We study early failure prediction and inference-time early stopping for LLM agents using hidden-state probes. Lightweight linear probes on internal activations predict eventual task failure from the first interaction round, substantially earlier than agent-monitoring methods based only on observable behavior. We turn this signal into a recall-controlled abort cascade for reducing LLM agent inference costs. The cascade applies a distribution-free calibrated failure detector at each early interaction round and jointly optimizes per-round recall budgets. This design ensures that eventually successful episodes survive all early-stopping gates at a user-specified global recall rate. After selection, the cascade is frozen and certified on independent data, providing an exact post-selection recall guarantee. We evaluate the method on TextCraft and WebShop with Qwen-2.5-7B, Llama-3.2-3B, and Qwen3-1.7B. The proposed LLM agent early-stopping cascade outperforms the best single-gate baseline in every model-environment pair, saving 1.5-8.8 times more compute at a 90% recall target. Achieved recall remains within one standard deviation of its target in all 24 configurations. The strongest settings reduce generated tokens by 60.2% on TextCraft and 54.9% on WebShop at 90% recall, while retaining savings of 45.0% and 41.5% at 95% recall. Behavior-only monitoring is consistently weaker, and adding behavioral features to hidden-state probes provides no further gain. We also characterize the sample complexity required to certify high-recall early-stopping policies. The code will be released soon.

Alzheimers disease (AD) is a brain disorder that develops slowly and mainly affects memory, thinking, language, and daily activities. It is one of the most common causes of dementia and creates many difficulties for patients as well as their families. In the early stage, the symptoms are often mild and may look like normal ageing. For this reason, many people are diagnosed late, when the disease has already progressed. At present, there is no complete cure for AD. Still, early detection can help doctors manage the condition better and take suitable steps at the right time. In this study, a machine learning model is proposed to detect the early stages of Alzheimers disease using clinical details, neuropsychological test scores, and neuroimaging-related measures. The data used in this work is collected from the Alzheimers Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI). As the dataset has missing values, iterative imputation is applied to fill them. The dataset also has class imbalance, which is handled using Borderline SVM-SMOTE. After that, feature selection is carried out using wrapper-based and embedded methods so that only important features are used for training. The selected features are divided into training and testing sets, and feature scaling is applied. A stacking ensemble model is developed using Logistic Regression, Extra Trees, Bagging KNN, and LightGBM as base classifiers. Along with this, an artificial neural network is also trained on the same dataset. The performance of these models is compared using precision, recall, F1-score, and AUC-ROC. This study aims to find the best classifier and also identify important biomarkers that may help in the early diagnosis of Alzheimers disease.

How many days of early behavior suffice for subscription churn prediction? In the public KKBox dataset, the early indicator of churn is typically an indicator of someone's contract status; however, when looking in the heavily churned manual-renewal segment, having access to early behavior creates a substantial increase in prediction for that specific segment (PR +0.10 at 120 days). A nine-window sufficiency curve shows diminishing returns; descriptive inflection detectors place a knee between 30 and 120 days depending on the metric and model class. Stress-testing over three cohort/task designs shows that this curve is singular to the design being tested; for example, in our test with a moving target, the curve inverts and can shift depending on the feature set used. Therefore, any window-sufficiency claim should state its cohort construction, target definition, and feature families. A survival-filtered replication on educational-attrition data (OULAD) confirms the rising-curve shape in one behavior-dominated setting (floor ROC 0.56 vs. 0.88), though signal composition inverts.

We introduce a pre-registered screening rule that decides, before any implementation, whether an evolutionary / population / lifecycle outer loop over neural-network parameters or structure is worth building. Such outer loops cost 10^2-10^3x their gradient inner loop, yet whether they beat a cheap single-shot alternative is usually discovered only after the expense is paid. Our rule computes, at a Phase-0 gate, a single number: the recovery R = s/G, the best single-shot gradient/curvature statistic's gain s divided by the best gain G of any cheap method evaluated, and prescribes skipping the outer loop when R >= 90%. We validate the rule on a within-lab series of pre-registered outer-loop bets (two analyzed cases plus a disclosed file drawer): in both analyzed cases a static or single-shot computation captured the effect on the project's own metric, the gate fired (R approximately 1.0 in both cases; approximately 0.95 under a stricter metric on one), and the outer loop was abandoned, including one case where a companion factorial decomposition localizes the apparent win to a static substrate change with the evolutionary lifecycle contributing no detectable gain. On one project the gate cost about 50-70 GPU-hours and screened out an estimated 400+ GPU-hours (first cell only) plus weeks of implementation, a 6-8x saving. The rule is prospectively falsifiable: a task with R < 90% where the outer loop still fails to beat single-shot would refute it.

Multi-head attention conventionally partitions the hidden dimension equally across all heads at every layer, enforcing an identical representational subspace dimension (dh = dmodel/h) throughout the models depth. In this work, we identify this uniform allocation as a fundamental structural bottleneck: due to their restricted dimensional space, early-layer heads are unable to faithfully capture complex, high-dimensional contextual patterns. To resolve this, we introduce the Prism Transformer, a novel architectural paradigm that replaces the static, uniform head configuration with a progressive head schedule. By monotonically increasing the head count across layers, the Prism Transformer naturally establishes a local-to-global representational hierarchy: early layers leverage fewer, exceptionally wide heads to capture complex, local compositional patterns, while deep layers deploy many, narrow heads to decompose these patterns into specialized linguistic features. Crucially, this structural shift is parameter-neutral, compute-neutral, and introduces zero training or inference overhead, preserving identical weight matrices and FLOP budgets as the standard Transformer. Across three model scales (124M, 354M, and 757M), the Prism Transformer consistently outperforms uniform baselines, achieving consistent reductions in validation loss alongside consistent gains on downstream zero-shot benchmarks (including PIQA, HellaSwag, ARC-Easy, and WinoGrande). Our findings demonstrate that non-uniform subspace allocation unlocks latent capacity within the standard Transformer budget, enabling more effective use of model capacity.

Early identification of speech sound errors in children is often limited by access to specialists, motivating lightweight screening tools that can operate outside the clinic. We present a screening pipeline for Polish-speaking children focused on sibilant substitutions, coupling a wav2vec2-based CTC token recognizer with alignment-based error typing and a template-grounded caregiver assistant for screening, not diagnosis. On a held-out test set of 10 unseen children comprising 559 utterances, the recognizer achieves 88.7 percent exact sequence match. As a conservative screening proxy, we flag a mismatch when the system emits substitution-evidence bracketed tokens at the target segment, yielding 72.9 percent precision, 61.4 percent recall, F1 = 0.67, and a 2.7 percent false-alarm rate on target-correct items. We describe the assistant's safety boundaries and outline a clinician-in-the-loop validation plan for future deployment.

We ask whether the geographic origin of Tang-dynasty poets leaves a detectable linguistic trace in their work. Aggregating every poem attributed to each author in the Complete Tang Poems (Quan Tang Shi) and linking poets to their administrative circuit of origin via the China Biographical Database (CBDB), we build a poet-level corpus of 357 poets across the ten Tang circuits and frame origin prediction as multi-class classification. Using character $n$-gram TF-IDF together with interpretable domain features (imagery, season, and allusion), classical and neural models predict a poet's broad region (South vs.\ North) at $0.69$ accuracy, well above the $0.53$ majority baseline, and finer circuit-level origin above chance. Beyond classification, three findings emerge. (i) Linguistic distance between circuits grows with geographic distance (Mantel $r=0.40$, $p\approx0.09$ over nine circuits), evidence of a distance-decay effect in poetic language. (ii) The signal interacts with time: South/North separability is at chance in the High Tang and strongest in the Late Tang, consistent with court-driven homogenization at the empire's height followed by regional divergence. (iii) The model's confident errors are historically meaningful -- in the Early Tang, every misclassification is a southern poet read as northern, reflecting the prestige of the northern court idiom. We further show that, when given the whole corpus through a hierarchical frozen-encoder representation, a classical-Chinese transformer (GuwenBERT) only matches -- not beats -- simple TF-IDF, and that combining them adds nothing, indicating that character $n$-grams already capture the regional signal. Our results position interpretable machine learning as a hypothesis generator for literary history.

Short pretraining runs can reduce experimental cost, but they can also over-promote configurations that only look strong at tiny budgets. We study an auditable staged-promotion protocol for a fixed micro-pretraining runner on two heterogeneous host blocks: Windows A100 and Linux L40S. Starting from twelve prior-screened configurations, we use staged budgets of 2 minutes, 5 minutes, 10 minutes, 60 minutes, and 12 hours, with frozen promotion rules before expensive continuations. The early screens are intentionally treated as unstable: the 5- and 10-minute rankings are host-sensitive, and the eventual 12-hour top-ranked condition is not the mean-best condition at the replicated 10-minute gate. Because seed ranges differ across stages, these changes are operational promotion evidence, not within-seed curves. A replicated 60-minute gate keeps the Staged Factorial Screening bridge reference in the promoted set, where it ranks first in all four 60-minute host-seed cells. In the final 12-hour confirmation package, the bridge condition ranks first in all four host-seed cells across two seeds; the greedy comparator does not meet the frozen 0.010 val_bpb near-equivalence rule; and the cheaper d8/ar48 (depth-8, aspect-48) sentinel does not meet the frozen 0.020 mean-gap rule. The executed 12-hour branch spends 144 GPU-hours, and the full staged protocol records 169.2 training GPU-hours including screening stages. Continuing all four 60-minute candidates would spend 192 GPU-hours, while continuing all nine replicated 10-minute candidates would spend 432 GPU-hours. The latter numbers are accounting counterfactuals for unrun continuations, not evidence that skipped candidates could not have overtaken the reference. The result is a bounded cost-allocation finding, not a claim of global optimality, capacity-normalized superiority, or superiority over adaptive hyperparameter optimization methods.

We study whether pretrained video foundation models encode intuitive-physics information in their frozen representations, and how this information varies across model families, layers, and probe types. Using frozen-feature probing on IntPhys2 and Minimal Video Pairs (MVP), we compare predictive joint-embedding models (V-JEPA), masked reconstruction models (VideoMAE), and a diffusion-based video generator (LTX-Video). V-JEPA achieves the strongest overall results across benchmarks, especially with probes that model temporal dynamics, while VideoMAE remains competitive and LTX-Video recovers weaker but non-trivial signal. Layerwise analyses show that physics-relevant information is weakest in early layers and becomes most accessible at intermediate-to-late depth, and temporal controls show that disrupting frame order substantially reduces performance, especially on MVP. Together, these results suggest that intuitive-physics knowledge emerges reliably in pretrained video representations, but its accessibility depends strongly on pretraining paradigm, representational depth, and readout mechanism.

Multi-agent large language model (LLM) systems are rapidly emerging, yet transparency, a cornerstone of responsible AI, remains under-defined in these distributed architectures, which have complexities of inter-agent coordination and orchestration. In this paper, we present one of the first empirical study of how early adopters of multi-agent LLM systems, who are both the builders and users, understand and practice transparency. We conducted semi-structured interviews with 13 early adopters in [Large Technology Organization] and applied thematic analysis to identify recurring patterns. Participants articulated divergent yet complementary framings of transparency, including reproducibility, debugging, boundary-setting, visualization, and auditing. These perspectives spanned questions of what transparency entails, why it matters, and how it is achieved. We synthesize these into a multidimensional framework, which is developer, user, and governance-focused positioning transparency as a situated socio-technical practice that informs future HCI and AI design and research around aligning expectations and capacities of their intended audiences.

Generating executable tool plans requires selecting appropriate subsets from tool libraries, a combinatorial search problem with an exponentially large solution space. However, we identify a critical misalignment in predominant approaches: standard autoregressive (AR) decoding suffers from early commitment, where initial token choices rigidly constrain the search trajectory. A controlled study shows that masked denoising raises Pass@10 solution coverage from 0.320 to 0.943 over AR sampling under matched compute. Motivated by this, we propose DiG-Plan, a framework that decouples combinatorial exploration from structural refinement. DiG-Plan employs a diffusion-based proposer to generate diverse tool sets via iterative refinement, followed by an AR refiner for dependency prediction. On TaskBench, DiG-Plan improves over AR baselines by a 10% relative margin, with the largest gains on complex compositional tasks; API-Bank results show that the propose-refine-select design remains effective across domains. Code is available at https://github.com/puddingyeah/DiG-Plan.

Early failure alerting requires deciding, while a dialog or agent trajectory is still unfolding, whether to flag it as likely to fail. This is challenging because supervision is typically available only as a trajectory-level success/failure label while alerts must be raised from partial interactions. Prior early-classification methods often bridge this gap by assigning the terminal label to every prefix, treating every turn as failure evidence. We hypothesize that this prefix-label assumption is poorly matched to multi-turn language interactions, where evidence of eventual failure is sparse and often delayed. In this paper, we introduce a two-stage approach that learns from this sparse evidence structure and uses the resulting risk estimates for controllable early alerting. Specifically, our attention-based failure predictor learns sparse turn-level failure evidence from trajectory labels and uses it to estimate failure risk from partial histories. We then pair this predictor with $α$-STOP, a single preference-conditioned stopping policy that selects an accuracy-earliness operating point at inference time rather than training a separate trigger for each preference. Across five benchmarks spanning customer support, task-oriented dialog, persuasion, tool use, and planning, we first show that high-relevance failure evidence occupies only 4.7-11.3% of turns and first appears after 59.0-83.6% of trajectories on average. We further show that the attention-based predictor improves Pareto-frontier quality (hypervolume) by 1-10% over naive prefix supervision, and that the full system improves frontier quality by 3-42% over state-of-the-art trigger policies while reducing training cost per operating point by 1-3 orders of magnitude.

This article situates large language models (LLMs) within the longer history of computational approaches to concept analysis in the history, philosophy, and sociology of science (HPSS). We examine what LLMs add to existing methods, how they inherit longstanding problems, and review recent case studies that employ them. In the first part, we reconstruct computational conceptual history before LLMs by bringing together three strands of work: early digital methods in HPSS, distributional approaches from digital history and related research, and lexical semantic change detection. We provide an overview of the main challenges and opportunities, focusing on corpus construction, operationalization and modelling choices, and evaluation and interpretation. In the second part, we turn to the era of LLMs, starting with a short introduction to LLMs before reviewing LLM-based work on lexical semantic change detection and relevant case studies in HPSS. We then revisit the earlier methodological questions, showing how issues of corpus construction, model choice and training data, operationalization trade-offs, and evaluation and interpretation play out in LLM-based workflows.

AI is being used by people globally, but not everyone is using it in the same ways. Using a large-scale dataset of anonymized, de-identified, and privacy-scrubbed interactions with a widely available and free AI chatbot, we empirically characterize differences in early adopters' usage across countries. Schooling is the most common domain of use in most countries, particularly low-income countries, with a strong inverse association evident between schooling and country-level GDP. Leisure-related use, by contrast, is positively associated with country-level income. Language, we find, also shapes use: English-language interactions are overrepresented in places where the predominant languages were not well-served by existing models during the period of the study. Improving performance across languages may be a key factor, our work suggests, in whether this technology expands digital divides or enables leapfrogging.

Early-warning models built from Learning Management System (LMS) logs aim to predict end-of-course outcomes early enough to enable timely learner support. However, reported "early" performance is often inflated by temporal leakage. This occurs when the pipeline uses information that would not yet be available at the time of prediction. We formalize cutoff-based early outcome prediction under a temporal availability constraint and introduce LEAP (Leakage-Excluded Early-Availability Protocol), which enforces cutoff-first truncation prior to joins and aggregation and audits feature provenance to prevent post-cutoff evidence from entering the benchmark. We instantiate LEAP on the public Open University Learning Analytics Dataset (OULAD) as a multi-step protocol for leakage-controlled evaluation across weekly cutoffs. Using several standard learning methods, we evaluate performance using ROC-AUC, PR-AUC, Brier score, and F1@0.5. Results show improving performance as the observation window expands, with a marked gain around week~3; Random Forest performs best at the earliest cutoffs, while Gradient Boosting dominates thereafter. Leakage ablations further show that temporal violations, especially through assessment information, can inflate apparent "early" performance.

Long chains of thought (CoT) from current language models frequently contain logical gaps and unjustified leaps, limiting the gains from additional test-time compute. Improving reasoning quality directly would require process reward models, but the step-level annotations needed to train them are expensive and scarce. We find such a signal in how the model's confidence evolves during reasoning: premature confidence, the tendency to commit to an answer early and use the remaining tokens to rationalize it, strongly predicts flawed reasoning across tasks and model scales. We exploit this in progressive confidence shaping, a reinforcement learning objective that trains models to update their confidence as they reason rather than commit early -- rewarding gradual confidence growth and penalizing early commitment, with no external labels or reward models. The method improves accuracy and reasoning quality from 1.5B to 8B parameters across arithmetic (Countdown), math (DAPO, AIME), and science (ScienceQA): on Countdown, accuracy improves 3.2x (+42.0pp) and flawed reasoning drops 48pp; on AIME, Pass@64 improves 6.6pp. Consistent with this mechanism, the method also improves faithfulness: on a safety benchmark, our models more transparently surface misleading content in their reasoning traces rather than concealing it. Controlled experiments reveal that the problem and its remedy scale together: premature confidence grows with model size and task difficulty, and so do the gains from addressing it.

Agentic text-simulation systems write in sequence, with each item becoming possible context for later steps. That makes uncertainty path-dependent: an early ambiguity can affect later outputs. This paper studies this problem with HawkesLLM, a framework that separates temporal influence modeling from text generation. We represent the cascade as a network whose nodes are text-generating agents. A multivariate Hawkes process models how these nodes activate over time and which earlier node outputs should influence later prompts. A language model then writes each new event from the compact memory selected by this temporal model. We evaluate the framework on a held-out Global Database of Events, Language, and Tone (GDELT) news-cascade case study. The diagnostics track semantic alignment with local held-out references and separate local drift from global drift. In this setting, HawkesLLM improves late-stage semantic alignment under a compact prompt-memory budget.

Accurate selection of bovine embryos is a challenging task, as current practice relies on a single expert assessment on the seventh day after insemination, resulting in high rates of pregnancy loss. Time-lapse videomicroscopy provides detailed information on early development, but is difficult to exploit because of complex motion patterns and time-consuming analysis. We propose TransFACT, a transformer-based framework for modeling early developmental stages and embryo transferability using 2D time-lapse videos from the first four days of development. TransFACT combines frame-level temporal features with stage-level representations, using developmental stages as auxiliary supervision to predict transferability on day four. Our experiments demonstrate that TransFACT, by leveraging an existing method designed for action recognition, achieves superior performance than its competitor in predicting embryo transferability.

Instruction-based image editing exhibits heterogeneous difficulty not only across cases but also across regions of an image, motivating refinement approaches that allocate correction to where the model struggles. Existing refinement signals arrive late, after a fully generated image or a completed denoising step. We ask whether such a signal can act within an ongoing forward pass. To investigate this, we probe a frozen image-editing model and find that although generation capability emerges only in the last few layers, the error pattern is already set in early layers (rank correlation \r{ho} = 0.83 with the final-layer error map). Based on this, we introduce Inline Critic, a learnable token that critiques a frozen model's predictions at its intermediate layers and steers its hidden states to refine generation during the forward pass. A three-stage recipe is proposed to stabilize the training from learning how to critique to steering generation. As a result, we achieve state of the art on GEdit-Bench (7.89), a +9.4 gain on RISEBench over the same backbone, and the strongest open-source result on KRIS-Bench (81.92, surpassing GPT-4o). We further provide analyses showing that the critic genuinely shapes the model's attention and prediction updates at subsequent layers.

How can we train models whose post-trained capabilities survive subsequent fine-tuning? Rather than focusing on downstream interventions to mitigate forgetting of upstream capabilities, we study how upstream training choices - that is, the manner in which a capability is acquired - shape how robustly that capability is retained. We investigate this question in a controlled three-stage language-model pipeline: pretraining, post-training to acquire a target capability, and downstream fine-tuning on a new objective. Across 135M and 1B models, two post-training domains, and two downstream fine-tuning tasks, we find that immediate post-training performance does not reliably predict retention after subsequent fine-tuning: training recipes that look equivalent immediately after post-training can retain the target capability very differently after subsequent fine-tuning. In particular, early exposure - mixing post-training data into pretraining - consistently improves the frontier between retained upstream performance and downstream performance. In compute-matched experiments, where the target data must be allocated between pretraining and post-training, we find that the optimum lies at neither extreme. Together with our other empirical and theoretical findings, this supports the view that post-training drives immediate specialization while early exposure improves robustness to later forgetting. Replay and dropout, typically used to mitigate forgetting as it occurs during fine-tuning, provide complementary gains to early exposure when applied during post-training. Our findings suggest that robustness to subsequent fine-tuning should be treated as a first-class objective of upstream training, addressed preventatively through choices like early exposure rather than reactively during fine-tuning itself.

Smartphone scams are increasingly prevalent and typically manifest as multi-stage, cross-application processes with gradually emerging intent. Effective intervention thus requires anticipating scams before the intent becomes explicit. This is inherently challenging, as decisions must rely on partial trajectories with temporally distributed evidence. In this paper, we propose \textbf{ORACLE} Online Reasoning for Anticipating Cross-temporal Latent thrEats, the first agentic framework for early scam anticipation from \textit{streaming app-usage} trajectories. To support this setting, we curate a real-world long-horizon benchmark of streaming app-usage trajectories, covering 12 scam types, spanning extended periods (15 days on average), involving diverse applications (95 apps), and interleaving normal and scam behaviors. To address fragmented evidence, we introduce a self-evolving context manager that adaptively consolidates entity-centric interactions over time, enabling more effective reconstruction of cross-temporal evidence from partial observations. To enhance sensitivity to latent early-stage signals, we propose an on-policy self-distillation scheme in which a teacher model, conditioned on summarized anti-scam reflections and clues by skills, supervises a student model without access to such reflections. This scheme thereby distills evidence-informed knowledge and improves recognition of emerging fraud patterns from partial trajectories. Experiments show that \method{} consistently improves early scam anticipation, yielding timely warnings while reducing false alerts in realistic streaming scenarios.

The extent to which Artificial Intelligence (AI) technologies can trigger generalized paradigm shifts in science is unclear. Although these technologies have revolutionized data collection and analysis in specific fields, their overall impact depends on the scope and ways of adoption. We analyze over 227 million scholarly works from the OpenAlex collection (1960-2024) spanning four scientific domains and 46 fields. To distinguish the use of AI as research method (AI adoption) from mentioning AI-related terms (AI engagement), we developed a two-step AI-assisted semantic classification pipeline, validated through human coding of 911 abstracts and a robustness check on 348,000 full-text articles (PLOS One). We document differences in the timing and extent of AI adoption across domains, with generalized exponential growth after 2015. The transformative nature of this growth, however, is less apparent. AI-supported research is confined to a few topics with strong ties to Computer Science and conventional statistical frameworks, suggesting limited epistemological transformation. It is also associated with an unwarranted citation premium and substantially higher retraction rates than non-AI-supported. Geographically, while wealthy countries lead in AI publications per capita, global South countries in a belt from Indonesia to Algeria lead in AI adoption relative to their national output, signaling a distinctive resource concentration pattern. The transformative capacity of AI in science thus remains untapped, and its rapid adoption underlines challenges in research openness, transparency, reproducibility, and ethics. We discuss how best research practices could boost the benefits of AI adoption and highlight areas that warrant closer scrutiny.

A brain tumor is a medical disorder faced by individuals of all demographics. Medically, it is described as the spread of non-essential cells close to or throughout the brain. Symptoms of this ailment include headaches, seizures, and sensory changes. This research explores two main categories of brain tumors: benign and malignant. Benign spreads steadily, and malignant expresses growth, making it dangerous. Early identification of brain tumors is a crucial factor for the survival of patients. This research provides a state-of-the-art approach to the early identification of tumors within the brain. We implemented the SegResNet architecture, a widely adopted architecture for three-dimensional segmentation, and trained it using the automatic multi-precision method. We incorporated the dice loss function and dice metric for evaluating the model. We got a dice score of 0.84. For the tumor core, we got a dice score of 0.84; for the whole tumor, 0.90; and for the enhanced tumor, we got a score of 0.79.

Several recent Transformer architectures expose later layers to representations computed in the earliest layers, motivated by the observation that low-level features can become harder to recover as the residual stream is repeatedly transformed through depth. The cheapest among these methods add static value residuals: learned mixing coefficients that expose the first-layer value projection V_1 uniformly across tokens and heads. More expressive dense or dynamic alternatives recover finer-grained access, but at higher memory cost and lower throughput. The usefulness of V_1 is unlikely to be constant across tokens, heads, and contexts; different positions plausibly require different amounts of access to early lexical or semantic information. We therefore treat early-representation reuse as a retrieval problem rather than a connectivity problem, and introduce Selective Access Transformer (SATFormer), which preserves the first-layer value pathway while controlling access with a context-dependent gate. Across models from 130M to 1.3B parameters, SATFormer consistently improves validation loss and zero-shot accuracy over the static value-residual and Transformer baselines. Its strongest gains appear on retrieval-intensive benchmarks, where it improves over static value residuals by approximately 1.5 average points, while maintaining throughput and memory usage close to the baseline Transformer. Gate analyses suggest sparse, depth-dependent, head-specific, and category-sensitive access patterns, supporting the interpretation that SATFormer learns selective reuse of early representations rather than uniform residual copying. Our code is available at https://github.com/SkyeGunasekaran/SATFormer.

This paper compares agency in humans with potential agency in AI programs. Human agency takes many years to develop, as the frontal lobe is activated. Early attempts to endow LLMs agency have met serious obstacles. Progress requires a new architecture where actions and plans are formulated jointly with the human actors in each real world setting.

Budget-constrained micro-pretraining often requires triaging many candidate recipes on a shared accelerator before larger search budgets are spent. We study whether a staged fractional-factorial workflow can recover stable early effect structure in this setting. On a fixed autoresearch-derived single-GPU training loop, we run 613 experiments across pilot and follow-up screens at 2, 5, and 10 minutes; full 16-condition seeded reruns at 5 and 10 minutes; targeted seeded anchor checks; same-host greedy and matched-cost random baselines; a 60-minute bridge package; and bounded Windows A100 and Linux L40S anchor continuations through 24 hours. Main penalties from total batch, depth, and width are largest at short budgets and relax as budget increases. Within the predeclared seeded full-screen families, D, A, B, and C retain non-zero estimates at 5 and 10 minutes after within-budget Benjamini-Hochberg correction, while E does not. Random search can reach strong incumbents in this 32-condition space, but repeatedly in the same low-penalty region and without factor attribution. The 60-minute bridge anchor has the lowest mean, although that package does not separate workflow refinement from the larger bridge model's capacity advantage. In bounded 12-hour and 24-hour three-anchor continuations on both hosts, the bridge has the lowest sample mean while the non-bridge ordering stays host-sensitive. We therefore present a bounded methods result: use short designed screens to identify high-penalty directions, confirm promising anchors under repeated runs, and refine locally inside the reduced space. The evidence supports a bridge-centered recommendation through 24 hours on two hosts, not hardware-invariant ranking or general hyperparameter-optimization superiority.

Young children demonstrate early abilities to understand their physical world, estimating depth, motion, object coherence, interactions, and many other aspects of physical scene understanding. Children are both data-efficient and flexible cognitive systems, creating competence despite extremely limited training data, while generalizing to myriad untrained tasks -- a major challenge even for today's best AI systems. Here we introduce a novel computational hypothesis for these abilities, the Zero-shot World Model (ZWM). ZWM is based on three principles: a sparse temporally-factored predictor that decouples appearance from dynamics; zero-shot estimation through approximate causal inference; and composition of inferences to build more complex abilities. We show that ZWM can be learned from the first-person experience of a single child, rapidly generating competence across multiple physical understanding benchmarks. It also shows progressive, staged emergence of capacities during learning and builds brain-like internal representations. Our work presents a blueprint for efficient and flexible learning from human-scale data, advancing both a computational account of children's early physical understanding and a path toward data-efficient AI systems.

Transformers have achieved remarkable successes across a wide range of applications, yet the theoretical foundation of their model efficiency remains underexplored. In this work, we investigate how the model parameters -- mainly attention heads and head dimensions -- should be allocated across layers to balance expressivity and efficiency. We first provide mathematical analysis on the role of early layers in information extraction from an approximation perspective, with a theoretical characterization on the trade-off between the number of heads and head dimension under a fixed parameter budget. In addition, we uncover and prove the \emph{saturation} behavior of softmax activations: Continuously increasing head dimensions can lead to diminishing returns in learning errors, particularly for long sequences. Supported by both theory and experiments, this saturation pattern suggests that later layers can operate more efficiently with reduced parameters. Combining these insights, we propose principled strategies for allocating attention heads and dimensions across Transformers' layers, shedding light on theoretically-grounded model efficiency of Transformer-based architectures.

The rapid emergence of new entities -- driven by cultural shifts, evolving trends, and personalized user data -- poses a significant challenge for existing Speech Large Language Models (Speech LLMs). While these models excel at general conversational tasks, their static training knowledge limits their ability to recognize domain-specific terms such as contact names, playlists, or technical jargon. Existing solutions primarily rely on prompting, which suffers from poor scalability: as the entity list grows, prompting encounters context window limitations, increased inference latency, and the "lost-in-the-middle" phenomenon. An alternative approach, Generative Error Correction (GEC), attempts to rewrite transcripts via post-processing but frequently suffers from "over-correction", introducing hallucinations of entities that were never spoken. In this work, we introduce LOGIC (Logit-Space Integration for Contextual Biasing), an efficient and robust framework that operates directly in the decoding layer. Unlike prompting, LOGIC decouples context injection from input processing, ensuring constant-time complexity relative to prompt length. Extensive experiments using the Phi-4-MM model across 11 multilingual locales demonstrate that LOGIC achieves an average 9% relative reduction in Entity WER with a negligible 0.30% increase in False Alarm Rate.