Change

Remote sensing change detection (CD) from bi-temporal imagery is critical for applications such as urban monitoring, disaster assessment, and environmental management, yet robust localization remains challenging under sparse changes, noisy labels, and appearance variations. In this paper, we propose Context Sampling Attention (CoSA), a lightweight decoder-side refinement module that explicitly leverages bi-temporal feature correlation as a control signal for adaptive change-aware feature enhancement. This differs from conventional attention mechanisms that rely on implicit feature weighting without explicit temporal control. In the implemented FC-Siam setting, CoSA computes normalized same-location cross-correlation between paired decoder features, converts low correlation into a change gate, and injects the resulting gated residual at native 1/8 and 1/16 feature scales through learnable residual scaling. This design enables effective discrimination between stable and ambiguous regions without relying on computationally expensive global attention. Extensive experiments on four benchmark datasets (LEVIR-CD, S2Looking, DSIFN, and CLCD) demonstrate consistent improvements over strong baselines, achieving 1.5-2.6% gains in changed-class F1 while introducing negligible parameter overhead. Ablation studies confirm that multiscale placement and learnable residual gating are both important for peak performance. These results indicate that CoSA establishes a practical and effective refinement paradigm for enhancing temporal discriminability in Siamese change detection frameworks.

Unlike traditional remote sensing change detection that relies on predefined categories, Open-Vocabulary Change Detection (OVCD) identifies land cover changes flexibly using arbitrary text prompts. However, most existing OVCD methods rely on instance-level matching for stable correspondence but may overlook fine-grained variations (e.g., partial building extensions). Dense pixel-level comparison is more flexible, yet direct semantic comparison often produces unreliable candidate changes due to semantic ambiguity and spatial inconsistency. To this end, we propose ReA-OVCD, an efficient training-free framework that revisits pixel-level OVCD from a reliability assessment perspective. It first derives candidate change regions from pixel-wise semantic discrepancies to retain flexible localization. Instead of directly trusting these candidates, ReA-OVCD applies a two-stage semantic-spatial reliability assessment. The semantic stage evaluates whether a label discrepancy is supported by meaningful distributional and response-level changes, while the spatial stage validates whether a candidate region contains stable interior evidence rather than only boundary-induced responses. Extensive experiments across LEVIR-CD, WHU-CD, DSIFN, and SECOND show that the proposed framework improves the reliability of pixel-level OVCD and consistently outperforms state-of-the-art approaches, achieving $\mathrm{F}_{1}^{C}$ improvements of 3.54% to 8.45% while maintaining superior computational efficiency. The code is available at \href{https://github.com/Funny0101/ReA-OVCD}{https://github.com/Funny0101/ReA-OVCD}.

We investigate turn-taking in multimodal multi-party conversations using large language models (LLMs). We construct an evaluation framework for three tasks: addressee detection, turn-change prediction, and next speaker prediction. We compare supervised models trained for these tasks, text-based LLMs, multimodal LLMs (MM-LLMs), and human subjects. Experiments on the AMI corpus showed that LLMs outperformed supervised models and humans in next speaker prediction, despite not being trained on the target domain and without access to audio or visual information. An MM-LLM performed better than text-based LLMs on addressee detection and turn-change prediction but remained below human performance, indicating difficulty leveraging raw audio-visual signals. Ablation analyses revealed that conversational context was critical, particularly for next speaker prediction. We observed that human and LLM prediction patterns were similar, and intervals with frequent turn changes were difficult for both.

Automatic semantic change detection aims to identify how word meanings shift over time, offering insights into both linguistic and societal change. Despite recent progress in computational lexical semantic change (LSC), existing benchmarks and methods struggle to capture bi-directional semantic change, particularly cases where words simultaneously gain and lose senses. This problem is especially challenging for words that have both slang and standard meanings. To address these gaps, we introduce two complementary benchmark datasets. The Bi-Directional Lexical Semantic Change (BD-LSC) dataset captures sense gain, sense loss, and stability across three time periods, enabling the study of complex semantic trajectories. The SlangTrack Word Sense Disambiguation (ST-WSD) dataset provides fine-grained, instance-level sense annotations for words combining slang and standard usages, supporting systematic benchmarking of WSD and semantic change detection models. Using these benchmarks, we systematically evaluate models across different methodological families: unsupervised clustering using contextualised embeddings, supervised machine learning, transformer-based models, and state-of-the-art large language models. Among the evaluated systems, the few-shot GPT-4o model achieved the strongest aggregate performance on Exact Sense Match (ESM) and multi-label accuracy; however, Macro-F1 scores near 0.5 across all systems show that rare slang senses remain difficult, which we identify as the central open challenge.

The increasing availability of large-scale textual corpora has opened new possibilities for data-driven, quantitative approaches to historical analysis using Natural Language Processing (NLP). However, diachronic corpora with historical relevance from the pre-digital era remain scarce and often incomplete. We present a quantitative approach to historical analysis based on the reconstruction and exploration of a diachronic corpus of around 600,000 articles from the Italian newspaper "La Repubblica", covering all the articles published from the 1st of January 1985 to the 31st of December 2000 - a period of major political, social, and geopolitical change in Italy and globally. Using NLP techniques, we analyze the text at both lexical and semantic levels; we then apply tools from complex systems and statistical physics to trace shifts in media discourse over time. This allows us to detect key transition periods, such as the transition from the First Republic to the Second Republic in Italy, or major international conflicts like the Gulf War or the Kosovo War, without relying on prior labeling. The results show how combining computational linguistics with ideas from complex systems can offer new quantitative insight into historical changes, opening up new paths for studying the dynamics of media and society through large-scale textual data.

Software engineering tools increasingly rely on LLM based agents to localize files to change to resolve a software issue. Most AI agents explore repositories linearly, that is, visiting one directory or file per step. We postulate that this is a structural mismatch for changes that span several subsystems. We compare linear sequential exploration against non-linear, domain-scoped parallel agentic exploration. Using SWE Bench Pro as initial benchmark, we focus on ansible as an exemplar. We construct an approach for persistent-session evaluation of GitHub issues anchored at a single base commit. We compare our non-linear domain-agent file traversal system against a base LLM without direct repository access, a single agent Recursive Language Model (RLM) baseline with a persistent Python REPL and an external CLI baseline using Codex 5.5 High. Domain scoped parallel agent spawning with a small Haiku-class model achieves the highest micro F1 among Haiku class models by a large margin. Domain-agents is the second highest behind only the much larger Codex 5.5 High on our own expanded benchmark including over more recent PRs from 2025 and 2026. On the original, curated, 2020 SWE-bench Pro benchmark, a larger Sonnet plain LLM baseline attains higher micro F1 by predicting few files, leading to higher precision, but at significantly lower all gold recall. We also present three additional findings. First, documentation evolution is a latent dependency unresolved by any approach. Second, naive file system access can degrade localization driven by test-file over prediction. Lastly, forced multi-agent consultation does not measurably help and raises token cost substantially.

Circulating-tumour DNA (ctDNA) carries evidence of drug resistance months before imaging shows it, but the earliest evidence lives below the assay's limit of detection (LoD): a nascent subclone is detected only intermittently, producing a flickering sequence of faint detects and non-detects. Commercial liquid biopsies treat each draw as an independent snapshot and a non-detect as nothing. We argue a non-detect is a left-censored observation, and the pattern of non-detects and faint detects over time carries actionable evidence of growth before any single value is trustworthy. We introduce Span, a censored-Poisson Bayesian latent-growth change-point detector that models the binary detection process, accumulates a sequential generalised-likelihood-ratio statistic for an upward change-point in the per-variant detection rate, and raises a competing-risks alarm with calibrated false-alarm control. Span has no learned weights, so there is nothing to overfit. On a synthetic cohort of HR+/HER2- metastatic breast cancer on first-line CDK4/6-inhibitor plus endocrine therapy, at a matched 10% false-alarm rate, Span roughly doubles the fraction of impending progressions caught three months ahead (indolent regime: 25% vs 11% for the snapshot), with a falsifiable dose-response: large for indolent emergence, vanishing for fast emergence. A value-trajectory baseline performs identically to the snapshot, isolating the gain to the censored detection model. The survival backbone matches a Cox baseline on real breast-cancer data (GBSG-2, n=686; C-index 0.67 vs 0.68), and on a real longitudinal cohort with clean biomarkers (PBC2, n=312) the same pipeline correctly declines to win, a falsifiable boundary test confirming the mechanism is regime-specific. All ctDNA trajectories are synthetic.

Token-level hallucination detectors are evaluated as classifiers, by AUC over all tokens, yet a streaming monitor is judged by its reaction time: the number of tokens that pass between the onset of a hallucination and the alarm. We formulate hallucination onset detection as a quickest change detection problem. A first-order Markov model of the latent faithful/hallucinated state, validated on RAGTruth, places the task inside classical change-point theory and yields Lorden's lower bound on detection delay: about 1.3 tokens at a false-alarm rate of 0.01. We then show that a causal recurrent labeler acts as a CUSUM with a learned increment. Among the onsets it catches it detects in 11-13 tokens, against 31 for a linear per-token baseline, though at this false-alarm budget every detector catches under a third of onsets and the recall-honest delay is 56-66 tokens: low-false-alarm onset detection is hard. A controlled decomposition attributes the speed advantage mostly to a better per-token score rather than to temporal accumulation. An information-rate optimality theorem of Donsker-Varadhan type explains the remaining order-of-magnitude gap: the learned score realizes only 1/4.5 of the divergence the features carry, a deficit that recalibration cannot remove, with the remainder a finite-horizon effect. Classification metrics conceal this delay structure; sequential analysis makes it measurable.

Unsupervised building change detection aims to learn building-change masks from unlabeled bi-temporal remote sensing images. Existing label-free methods often follow a discrepancy-to-mask paradigm, directly using temporal differences, frozen foundation-model responses, prompt-based outputs, or post-processing results as final change maps. Although these strategies provide annotation-free cues, they do not learn a task-specific building-change detector and remain vulnerable to the gap between generic temporal discrepancies and building-defined structural changes. In practice, such discrepancies are often noisy and task-irrelevant, as appearance shifts, registration errors, and non-building modifications can produce strong but misleading responses. To address this problem, we propose SST-CD, a spatially selective self-training framework that reformulates fully label-free building change detection as end-to-end detector learning under noisy pseudo supervision. SST-CD uses temporal discrepancies as candidate pseudo labels and trains the detector only on spatially reliable pixels, whose reliability is estimated by a local consistency criterion that filters inconsistent regions from supervision. To further stabilize noisy self-training, a lightweight feature adapter recalibrates bi-temporal features, while a prototype-based decoder produces compact change and no-change representations. Experiments on LEVIR-CD, WHU-CD, and DSIFN-CD show that SST-CD achieves F1 scores of 83.08%, 91.69%, and 86.60%, respectively, outperforming existing unsupervised and label-free baselines.

As one of the most destructive natural disasters, earthquakes have struck many countries around the world in recent years, causing serious economic losses. Change detection (CD) can be applied to post-earthquake damage assessment as it can infer destroyed change regions from multi-temporal remote sensing images. Furthermore, the CD with short imaging interval will better satisfy the needs of the emergency rescues after earthquakes. However, the capability of current methods built on deep neural networks is limited because the dataset with short imaging interval is absent. To meet post-disaster immediate relief, we create a CD dataset, Turkey earthquake CD dataset (TUE-CD), for the evaluation of building damage in the short term after an earthquake. Because of the short acquisition interval of the post-event images, the imaging angle is different for different temporal images, which leads to some side-looking problems. To deal with these challenges, we present a multi-scale feature interaction network (MSI-Net) for efficient interaction between bi-temporal features, as well as mitigating the effect of side-looking problems. Specifically, the proposed MSI-Net consists of joint cross-attention (JCA) modules, multi-scale offset calibration (MOC) modules, and feature integration (FeI) modules. The JCA module unifies channel cross-attention and spatial joint attention for sufficient feature interaction. The MOC module further estimates the offsets to align the bi-temporal image with the multi-scale features. Finally, calibrated features and multi-scale features are fused by FeI modules for the prediction of changed areas. Experiments on the WHU-CD, CLCD, and the constructed TUE-CD dataset indicate that the proposed MSI-Net provides better results than considered state-of-the-art CD methods.

The integration of spatial and spectral information is beneficial to the improvement of change detection performance. However, existing methods cannot efficiently suppress the influences of spatial and spectral differences in unchanged areas. To address these issues, in this paper we propose a content-guided spatial-spectral integration network (CSI-Net) for the fusion of global spatial details and spectral difference information. Specifically, the proposed CSI-Net is composed of a spatial reasoning (SR) module, a spectral difference (SD) module, and a content-guided integration (CGI) module. In the SR module, the spatial information is learned by cascaded graph convolution blocks for global modeling. The SD module is responsible for the extraction of spectral features, by calculating the means and variances of features to reduce the impact of spectral differences in unchanged regions. In addition, in order to integrate the spatial-spectral features efficiently, we design a CGI module to further take advantage of their complementary information. In this module, high-level content information is introduced as a guide for a proper interaction. Due to the efficient spatial-spectral fusion, the proposed CSI-Net can learn the changed features better while achieving a suppression of spectral differences. Experimental results on LEVIR-CD, WHU-CD, and CLCD datasets demonstrate that the proposed CSI-Net produces better performance compared to state-of-the-art methods, and is applicable to different scenarios

Semantic change detection (SCD) aims to simultaneously locate land-cover changes and identify semantic categories before and after transition. However, existing methods suffer from insufficient cross-temporal alignment, weak multi-scale representation, and poor robustness to pseudo-changes caused by illumination, season, and registration noise. To address these issues, we propose a novel end-to-end semantic change detection network named SemDINO, which integrates a dual-branch encoder, multi-scale temporal interaction, semantic purification, change enhancement, and decoupled multi-task prediction into a unified framework. Specifically, we construct a dual-branch encoder that combines a CNN backbone and frozen DINOv3 features via gated pyramid fusion, enabling rich multi-scale semantic representation. Then, a multi-scale temporal bidirectional transformer interaction (M-TBTT) module is proposed to achieve global cross-temporal feature alignment and information interaction. To further enhance genuine changes and suppress pseudo-variations, we introduce semantic purification (SCP), bidirectional change enhancement (BiChangeEnhance), and multi-scale change enhancement (MCE) modules collaboratively. Finally, a multi-branch CD prediction head is designed to jointly output binary change mask, bi-temporal semantic maps, and edge constraint. Extensive experiments on public remote sensing CD datasets demonstrate that SemDINO achieves superior performance and generalization ability against state-of-the-art methods, especially in complex scenarios with interference factors.

Change detection and scene recognition techniques have been widely applied to Street View Imagery (SVI) to understand changes in scenes across the years. However, metadata alone is often insufficient to reliably find visually aligned image pairs. This study introduces the PairWise image finder, a tool that integrates feature detection and matching, supported by semantic segmentation masks to quantify the visual alignment of two images of varying time periods. The tool outputs the share of matched key features, the matched feature distance and coverage, and the alignment of semantic masks, which enables the user to filter image pairs depending on the alignment quality and use case. The visually aligned pairs derived from the tool can be used to accurately study explicit longitudinal change and help reduce manual effort for perception studies. The usability of the tool is demonstrated through a comparison of longitudinal changes, highlighting the importance of perspective when quantifying changes. The proposed method provides a scalable and open tool for researchers and stakeholders to find high-quality image pairs for urban analysis, perception and related applications.

AI-powered agents are increasingly embedded in continuous integration and continuous delivery/deployment (CI/CD) pipelines to autonomously review pull requests (PRs), triage issues, and maintain codebases. These agents ingest untrusted content while operating with elevated repository permissions, making them a natural target for prompt injection attacks with supply chain consequences. We present GitInject, an open-source framework for evaluating prompt injection vulnerabilities in real, live GitHub workflows, a widely deployed instance of CI/CD pipelines. Unlike prior agent security benchmarks that simulate tool calls, GitInject provisions ephemeral repositories and triggers actual workflow runs, so that sandbox constraints, credential handling, and permission boundaries behave exactly as in production. Using GitInject, we study workflow configurations across four AI providers and document eleven named attacks spanning config-file injection, credential exfiltration, judgment manipulation, and availability. We find that all tested providers are susceptible to at least one attack class in their default configuration, and that the most critical vulnerabilities are structural: they arise from how CI/CD infrastructure handles credentials and configuration files, not from any specific model's behavior. For each confirmed attack class, we identify the minimum-cost workflow-level countermeasure and analyze its coverage and limitations. GitInject is released publicly to facilitate further research in this direction.

Detecting transient chaos from scalar observations without governing equations represents a fundamental challenge in nonlinear dynamics. We propose a geometry-guided machine learning framework that unifies predictive trajectory divergence with macroscopic attractor morphology to track abrupt regime shifts. The methodology extracts a local instability scale via out-of-sample k-nearest neighbor forecast errors to establish the ML-FTLE estimator, subsequently mapping this temporal divergence onto a structural closeness matrix derived from a minimal dictionary of Poincare occupancy grids. By employing partial least squares regression, we extract a latent geometric component calibrated directly to the empirical finite-time Lyapunov spectrum, yielding the Poincare-based geometric-guided FTLE. Validation against analytical QR-FTLE baselines confirms that fusing topological state spaces with predictive divergence systematically improves continuous transition tracking. The Structural Similarity Index optimally resolves gradual damping, while Hausdorff Distance exhibits extreme resilience during abrupt phase-space collapses. Furthermore, macroscopic spatial discretization acts as a robust topological regularizer against additive Gaussian noise, preserving deterministic signatures even at moderate signal thresholds. This equation-free framework provides a highly accurate, noise-resilient diagnostic for monitoring structural transitions in complex non-stationary systems.

Traditional change point detection in dynamic networks assumes abrupt transitions between stationary states, overlooking scenarios of continuous evolution which arise in most real-world applications, such as social networks or physical systems. We address this gap by formally defining regimes as periods of coherent dynamics in temporal graphs, which we characterize as trajectories along geodesics in a suitably defined graph space. This original perspective allows us to define regime changes as significant drifts in dynamics, either toward new trajectories or with pace changes. We leverage graph regression methods to measure the cumulative distance of sequences of observed graphs from the estimated geodesics between their endpoints, in the relevant graph space, which we can combine with change point detection algorithms. We present experiments on dynamic networks, with changing trajectories and varying speeds, in which we outperform state of the art change point detection models. Then, we analyse mobility data during the Covid-19 pandemic, and show that our assumptions on regular network evolution lead to change points that are more aligned to external events compared to the outcomes of baseline methods. Our work is the first to model and detect changes between evolving regimes in graph space, providing a realistic and powerful tool for analyzing complex temporal graph data.

Lane changing entails simultaneous longitudinal and lateral motions that affect driving comfort and mobility efficiency. Because these motions are tightly coupled and subject to substantial inter-vehicle variability, trajectory planning for lane-change maneuvers is characterized by a highly personalized nature. This study proposes a neural network-driven planner that integrates a third-order polynomial trajectory generator with a learning module that infers optimal trajectory parameters across diverse driving conditions. Using a shared backbone with dual heads, one head ensures all-condition operational guarantees, while the other captures driver-specific preferences for comfort or mobility efficiency. A head-gated switching mechanism, realized through a statistical gate based on error-winner logistic regression, adaptively selects the appropriate head under varying driving conditions, which enables context-aware lane-change trajectory planning. Representative cases and Monte Carlo simulations show that the proposed planner achieves personalized comfort and mobility during lane changes, while the baseline ensures feasible trajectories under driving conditions where personalized data are insufficient or inaccessible.

We study finite-sample change detection for one-dimensional noisy dynamical systems using partition-based empirical approximations of stationary behaviour. Given observations from an interval-valued process, we partition the state space, estimate a finite transition matrix from observed transitions between partition elements, and apply a small Doeblin-type regularisation to ensure a unique stationary distribution. From an initial reference segment, we compute a baseline empirical stationary distribution $\widehatπ_{0,ρ}$. For each later sliding window, we compute $\widehatπ_{t,ρ}$ and define the score $$S_t=\|\widehatπ_{t,ρ}-\widehatπ_{0,ρ}\|_1.$$ Large values of $S_t$ indicate a change in stationary behaviour relative to the baseline. The statistic detects changes in invariant density or stationary law, but not all possible changes in transition dynamics. Under explicit assumptions on empirical transition concentration, finite-state stationary distribution stability, partition approximation, regularisation bias, and noise stability, we derive a finite-sample bound for the empirical stationary density. The bound separates sampling error, regularisation bias, partition approximation error, and noise bias. We then obtain a single-window false-alarm guarantee and a sufficient detection condition when the invariant density changes by more than the estimation error. We illustrate the method on synthetic noisy beta-map change-point experiments.

Hate moderation is often evaluated as classification on clean English inputs, but deployed systems must route content to actions such as ALLOW, FLAG, or REVIEW. We study how this workflow changes under code-mixed inputs using a paired evaluation setting where the same underlying content is expressed as clean English and Tamil-English code-mix. Under thresholds tuned on clean English development data, code-mixed inputs produce substantial action instability, with a paired clean- to-code-mix decision flip rate of 0.265. The main workflow effects are increased review burden and increased false-flagging of non-hateful content: review rate rises from 0.138 to 0.297 and non-hate false-flag rate rises from 0.069 to 0.104. Tamil-only inputs show stronger degradation overall, suggesting a broader language-coverage limitation rather than the same code-mixed instability pattern. A simple disagreement-based deferral rule reduces automatic errors on stressed inputs, but only by increasing review load. These results show that workflow-level evaluation reveals moderation failures that standard classification summaries can miss.

Vision-Language-Action (VLA) models have achieved remarkable success in language-conditioned robotic manipulation. However, deploying these models in open-ended environments requires continuously acquiring novel skills, a process that inevitably triggers severe catastrophic forgetting of previously learned behaviors. While experience replay (ER) serves as a standard mitigating strategy, naive uniform sampling fundamentally misaligns with the temporal characteristics of manipulation trajectories. It systematically under-samples brief but causally critical sub-skills, leading to phase starvation, and completely overlooks the varying degrees of forgetting across historical tasks. To overcome these limitations, we introduce PHASER, an architecture-agnostic continual learning framework. PHASER employs a phase-centric capacity allocation to guarantee equal memory support for all sub-skills, coupled with a multi-modal interference routing strategy that dynamically prioritizes historical phases at high risk of forgetting. Furthermore, to enable fully autonomous lifelong adaptation, we integrate Auto-PC, a lightweight pipeline combining unsupervised action-signal change-point detection with VLM-based semantic verification to extract temporal boundaries without intensive manual supervision. Evaluated across three VLA backbones on LIBERO continual learning suites, PHASER yields substantial empirical improvements, increasing Average Success Rate (ASR) by up to 31% over matched-budget ER and achieving an 87.8% final ASR on the LIBERO-Goal CL setting.

Remote sensing change detection for real-world monitoring often relies on imperfect heterogeneous observations, where pre- and post-event images may be asynchronous, cross-sensor, or affected by illumination, seasonal, and modality shifts. This setting is especially challenging for EO-SAR disaster mapping, where nuisance variation can resemble structural damage. We propose FAF-CD, a frequency-aware hybrid framework with a DINOv3-pretrained ConvNeXt encoder and a linear-complexity VMamba-based decoder. Its rectification-aware tri-branch fusion module combines deformable spatial alignment with Fourier and Haar-wavelet comparisons, using adaptive gating to aggregate complementary cues across scales. On BRIGHT validation, a matched heterogeneous EO-SAR adaptation improves clean and perturbed tc-mIoU/tc-mAP over NeXt2Former-CD. FAF-CD also generalizes to binary optical CD, achieving 0.924 cF1 on LEVIR-CD and 0.955 cF1 on WHU-CD, and obtains the best average perturbed cIoU/cF1 on both binary datasets among M-CD and NeXt2Former-CD under pseudo-change-aligned stress tests. It further reduces cost by approximately 24 GFLOPs relative to NeXt2Former-CD while maintaining or improving accuracy.

This paper investigates the entropy dynamics of Chain-of-Thought (CoT) and uncovers a consistent two-phase structure: an Uncertainty Region of exploration transitioning sharply to a Confidence Region of convergence. We demonstrate that the Confidence Region possesses two critical properties: 1) High Reliability -- answers in the confidence region become highly accurate and stable, and 2) High Redundancy -- models generate unnecessary tokens long after reaching the correct answer. These properties unlock more efficient and reliable inference strategies: 1) Early Exit leverages reliability and redundancy to terminate computation safely when returns diminish, and 2)Test-Time Scaling uses the Confidence Region signal to prioritize converged trajectories. To operationalize these insights, we formulate Confidence Region detection as a sequential change-point detection problem, being the first to apply classical change-point methods to monitor CoT reasoning. Using the Cumulative Sum (CUSUM) algorithm, a statistically optimal change-point detector, we develop a training-free framework for real-time inference control. Experiments show our approach establishes a superior Pareto-frontier for early exit. CUSUM achieves 63.06% accuracy with 11.1% token reduction, outperforming DEER and Dynasor by 3.28% and 4.36% in accuracy respectively. For test-time scaling, CUSUM-weighted voting consistently outperforms self-consistency.

This paper introduces a distribution-free framework for constructing post-detection confidence sets for changepoints after stopping a sequential change detection procedure. It is well known that conformal test martingales can be used to sequentially detect changes in distribution, but by themselves provide no inference for the time at which a proclaimed change occurred. Past work on post-detection inference requires pre- and post-change classes of distributions to be known, but this paper accomplishes localization of the changepoint without any distributional assumptions. We establish finite-sample coverage guarantees (conditional on correct detection). We provide non-asymptotic bounds on the conditional expected size of the confidence sets. Under suitable asymptotic regimes, we prove that the conditional expected size of the confidence set remains uniformly bounded and demonstrate strong empirical performance on simulated and real data. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first general distribution-free framework for sequential changepoint localization with valid post-detection coverage.

Modifying an attribute in tabular data often introduces an unnatural instance by breaking its relationships with other attributes. The modified instance must be both natural and minimally changed from the original instance. This paper addresses the challenge of generating such a modified instance. We identify key limitations in existing approaches: generative models either don't support instance-level attribute editing or, in the case of methods like CVAE, retain attribute information in the latent space, leading to unnecessary modifications. To solve this, we propose TabChange, an approach that analyzes the relationship between the attribute of interest and other attributes in the dataset. If the relationship is weak, it simply flips the attribute; if it is strong, it uses an adversarial framework that removes information about the attribute in the latent space representation. This removal enables precise modifications, making only the necessary adjustments to maintain naturalness. Our experiments across seven datasets show that TabChange generates counterfactuals in attributes that are comparable in naturalness and are more proximal to their original instances. This leads to a higher number of valid counterfactuals and a lower number of invalid counterfactuals compared to the baselines.

Machine learning models on microcontroller-class devices (TinyML) face a fundamental challenge: post-deployment distribution change undermines static models. On-device learning (ODL) addresses this by running the learning process directly on the device. The existing literature has not characterized how distribution change occurs or how different change types require different solutions. Approximately 70 ODL works are surveyed under one principle: the distribution change regime. The survey analyzes how different types of distribution change influence the applications addressable on-device, the hardware employed, and the structure of the solutions. A persistent gap between methodological benchmarks and real-world deployment scenarios is also identified.

The Linear Ordering Problem (LOP) is a fundamental combinatorial optimization problem with important applications in areas such as economics, social choice, and machine learning. Its most prominent use is the triangulation of economic input-output tables, which helps identify critical industries in an economy. Most existing algorithms have been evaluated on benchmarks derived from outdated macroeconomic data, which no longer reflect the structure of contemporary economies. Furthermore, LOP instances often exhibit many distinct global optima that can differ substantially from one another, creating challenges for applications that rely on a single solution. To address these limitations, we introduce a novel benchmark suite derived from up-to-date real-world economic data and an algorithmic scheme that leverages state-of-the-art LOP metaheuristics to generate diverse sets of high-quality solutions, together with metrics for assessing both quality and diversity. Experiments were conducted to report results on the proposed benchmark suite under both the traditional single-solution setting and the newly introduced multi-solution scenario

Change detection (CD) in remote sensing is vital for applications such as urban monitoring and disaster assessment, yet traditional methods struggle with generalization across diverse scenarios. We present OmniCD, a foundational framework that unifies and enhances remote sensing CD through multimodal semantic guidance. OmniCD incorporates image and text prompts -- such as textual descriptions, semantic maps, and geospatial metadata -- into a unified architecture, supporting tasks from binary CD to zero-shot semantic change understanding. The framework integrates a hierarchical scene retrieval module and a change detection module, reinforced by a style disentanglement mechanism for improved cross-domain robustness. We further introduce RSITCD, a large-scale multimodal dataset with 300K+ annotated image-text pairs. Extensive experiments show that OmniCD achieves state-of-the-art performance across benchmarks, demonstrating strong adaptability and setting a solid foundation for general-purpose CD systems in remote sensing.

In an era where climate change aggravates environmental uncertainties, the identification and detection of event precursors are becoming crucial to mitigate the impacts of disastrous natural hazards. While classical sensors such as interferometric lasers or seismometers are reliable, their widespread deployment is often hindered by logistical and economic barriers, leaving numerous blind spots. Time-lapse cameras, which already provide cost-effective, high-resolution visual context to such sensors, present a promising alternative. However, processing their output automatically faces significant challenges, notably linked to extreme shape and lighting variations. Overcoming those issues is essential to deploy them at large-scale as a monitoring tool. This paper introduces a novel sub-task of change detection, namely volumetric change detection, applied to time-lapse cameras and slope instabilities. We conduct a comprehensive review of state-of-the-art change detection methods and related tasks, analyze their core components and assess their applicability to this context. To that end, we introduce the new dataset SeracFallDet, which contains serac fall annotations and has been thoroughly annotated to meet the latter demand. Through generalization experiments, we demonstrate that dense and semi-dense feature matching, although not trained specifically for this task, exhibit robust performance. Alternatively, supervised approaches struggle with data scarcity and annotation imbalance. This suggests that hybrid methods may offer a path forward by leveraging the strengths of both tasks. These findings highlight the potential of feature matching techniques and the need for further innovation to overcome the challenges of real-world deployment in environmental monitoring.

Time series anomaly detection is critical for maintaining the reliability of mission-critical systems. While Transformer-based models like PatchTST have shown remarkable performance, their $\mathcal{O}(L^2)$ computational complexity severely limits deployment in resource-constrained environments. In this paper, we propose Patched-DeltaNet, a novel architecture combining time-series patching with Gated Delta Networks. By integrating these paradigms, we hypothesize and demonstrate the emergence of token-level event-driven memory, whereby the patching mechanism extracts local semantic chunks, while the error-driven DeltaNet updates its recurrent state exclusively when significant physical changes, defined as deltas, occur. This synergy effectively filters out background noise and captures sudden anomalous drifts. Our rigorous experiments on the Server Machine Dataset (SMD) benchmark demonstrate the structural superiority and sample efficiency of Patched-DeltaNet. By strictly outperforming recent architectures under unified evaluation constraints and identical compute budgets, our model yields an ROC-AUC of 0.957 and PA-F1 of 0.822, while drastically reducing computational complexity to the theoretical minimum of $\mathcal{O}(L/P)$.

Legal reasoning requires distinguishing changes that matter from those that do not. Legal AI should remain stable under legally irrelevant perturbations, but should change when perturbations alter legally material points. We formulate this requirement as a legal-relevance-sensitive evaluation problem: LLMs should only be sensitive to the legally relevant change. We introduce a unified evaluation suite covering should-change and should-not-change evaluation across judicial fairness, robustness, and statute-confusion scenarios. Our evaluation shows that existing legal LLMs are systematically sensitive to legally irrelevant variations and often fail to distinguish related legal elements and statutory rules. To mitigate these failures, we present LexGuard, an adversarial multi-agent framework grounded in formal reasoning. LexGuard formalizes statutes into executable constraints, uses adversarial agents to extract competing fact-statute arguments, and invokes SMT solvers to verify legal satisfaction and logical consistency. Experiments show that LexGuard improves legal reasoning reliability by reducing vulnerability to manipulative framing, improving disambiguation among similar statutes, limiting the influence of legally irrelevant attributes, and increasing consistency under benign reformulations. We show that legal trustworthiness requires not only accuracy, but calibrated sensitivity to legally material changes.

We present DreamerNLplus, a hybrid framework for modeling mental health dynamics from social media timelines in the CLPsych 2026 shared task. Our system addresses three tasks: psychological state modeling, temporal change detection, and sequence-level summarization. For Task 1, we combine LLM-based data augmentation, DeBERTa classification, and Random Forest regression for structured state prediction. For Task 2, we use few-shot prompting with a locally deployed Llama 3.1 model to detect Switch and Escalation events using short-term temporal context. For Task 3.1, we explore both a deterministic rule-based summarization pipeline and a few-shot LLM-based approach, ranking \textbf{2nd} officially. Our RAG-based method achieves strong performance in Task 3.2, ranking \textbf{1st} for Improvement and \textbf{3rd} for Deterioration, demonstrating its ability to capture recurrent psychological change patterns across timelines. Our analysis reveals key challenges, including the mismatch between classification and regression performance, the difficulty of modeling temporal transitions, and the disagreement between semantic and similarity-based evaluation metrics. These findings highlight the complexity of modeling mental health dynamics and motivate future work on unified evaluation frameworks. We share our code and prompts at https://github.com/4dpicture/CLPsych2026

In this work, we address the challenge of Scene Change Detection (SCD), where the goal is to identify variations between two images of the same location captured at different times. Existing SCD models often overlook the varying importance of features across layers, employ single-step decoders that confine refinement, and provide limited insight into encoder pretraining strategies. We propose TERDNet, a Transformer Encoder-Recurrent Decoder Network designed to overcome these limitations. TERDNet consists of a transformer-based encoder that extracts multi-level representations, a feature fusion module that integrates correlation volumes with these features, a recurrent 3-gate-GRU decoder that performs iterative refinement, and a combined convolution-interpolation upsampler that restores fine-grained resolution. Extensive experiments on four public benchmarks show that TERDNet consistently outperforms prior approaches and produces more accurate and detailed change masks. Ablation studies confirm the benefit of segmentation-based pretraining and the effectiveness of our fusion design. In addition, robustness tests under viewpoint misalignment confirm TERDNet's potential for deployment in real-world robotic systems, where reliable perception is critical. Our code is available at https://github.com/AutoCompSysLab/TERDNet.

Detecting what has changed in an environment is essential for long-term autonomy, yet most change detection settings assume fixed viewpoints, mild misalignment, or only a few changed objects. We introduce Video-based Scene Change Detection (VSCD), which predicts a pixel-wise change mask for each query frame, given a reference and a query RGB video of the same indoor space recorded at different times under unconstrained camera motion. The two videos are not temporally synchronized, and many object instances may appear or disappear. To study this setting, we build a large-scale benchmark with over 1.1 million frames annotated with pixel-accurate change masks, together with a real-world test set for evaluating transfer beyond simulation. We propose a query-centric multi-reference model that learns temporal matching implicitly from change-mask supervision, aligns candidate reference features to the query via local patch correspondence, and fuses per-candidate change features using frame-level and patch-level confidence before decoding a high-resolution mask once per frame. Our approach achieves state-of-the-art performance against strong image- and video-based baselines, and we validate its real-world impact by deploying it on a mobile robot for two downstream applications -- visual surveillance and object incremental learning.

Optimization-based adversarial suffixes can jailbreak aligned large language models (LLMs) while remaining fluent, weakening static and windowed perplexity-based detectors. We cast adversarial suffix detection as an online change-point detection problem over the token-level next-token entropy stream. Using the LLM system prompt to estimate a robust baseline, we standardize user-token entropies and apply a one-sided CUSUM statistic. The resulting detector, CPD Online (CPD), is model-agnostic, training-free, runs online, and localizes the adversarial suffix onset. On a benchmark of 1,012 optimization-based suffix attacks (GCG, AutoDAN, AdvPrompter, BEAST, AutoDAN-HGA) and 1,012 perplexity-controlled benign prompts, CPD improves F1 over the strongest windowed-perplexity baseline on all six open-weight chat models (LLaMA-2-7B/13B, Vicuna-7B/13B, Qwen2.5-7B/14B). On LLaMA-2-7B at the canonical CUSUM setting ($k=0$), CPD reaches AUROC $0.88$ and F1 $0.82$. Beyond prompt-level detection, CPD concentrates 79.6% of its triggers inside the adversarial suffix, versus 17-46% for windowed perplexity. Finally, when used as a lightweight gate for LLaMA Guard, CPD reduces guard calls by 17-22% on a high-volume, benign-dominated deployment while preserving guard-level detection quality

Has the style of scientific communication changed due to the growing use of large language models in the writing process? We address this question in the domain of Natural Language Processing by leveraging two data resources we create: a naturalistic corpus of over 37,000 papers from the ACL Anthology (2020-2024); and a synthetic dataset of 3,000 human-written passages and their LLM-generated improvements. We first implement a series of diachronic lexical analyses, showing that both word frequency and usage contexts have changed significantly over time, indicating semantic specialization in some cases and generalization in others. Broadening our perspective, we then model a range of more complex stylistic features and find that LLM-modified texts more frequently contain certain syntactic constructions, more complex and longer words and a lower lexical diversity. Finally, we connect these changes in writing practices to subjective reading experience through a pilot annotation study with 20 domain experts. They overall rate LLM-improved texts as more understandable and exciting, but also express negative qualitative attitudes towards LLMs, highlighting the strongly subjective effect of AI-assisted writing on reading experience.

Predictive models play a pivotal role in credit risk management, guiding critical decisions through accurate estimation of default probabilities and losses. Extensive research has introduced new modeling techniques, complemented by large-scale benchmarking studies consolidating the state-of-the-art. Today, quasi-standards such as gradient-boosting models paired with SHAP explainers have emerged, yet continuous improvement of risk models remains a top priority. Concurrently, rapid advancements in AI, most notably large language models, have disrupted predictive modeling paradigms. Foundation models, pretrained on extensive datasets from diverse domains, have demonstrated remarkable performance by leveraging prior knowledge. While prevalent in natural language processing and computer vision, foundation models for tabular data have only recently emerged. We conjecture that pretraining on out-of-domain data is particularly beneficial in small-data settings, such as SME lending or specialized corporate portfolios, and may help address longstanding challenges including low default portfolios and class imbalance. This paper benchmarks recently proposed tabular foundation models against a broad set of competitors, including established and advanced machine learning techniques, across two core tasks: PD and LGD modeling. Our evaluation encompasses various datasets, performance indicators, and experimental conditions. We find that tabular foundation models generally perform best across datasets and tasks. Moreover, they offer significant improvement in predictive performance as dataset size shrinks. These results are remarkable given that the models are tested out-of-the-box, without hyperparameter tuning, ensuring ease of use and mitigating computational costs.

Regime shifts in financial markets reorganise the joint dynamics of asset prices and macro variables, breaking any single-regime calibration. They are nonetheless difficult to detect reliably because the data signal is noisy and heavily multicollinear, while the contemporaneous text that announces them is unstructured. Standard regime shift detection methods rely solely on structured time-series data and ignore policy communications, even though these texts often signal shifts before they materialise in observed prices. We propose a text-enhanced regime shift detection pipeline that combines large language model (LLM) reasoning over central-bank communications with statistical validation on multivariate financial time series. The framework is detector-agnostic: text-proposed candidates are validated using a bootstrap likelihood-ratio test on a vector autoregression (VAR), while data-driven candidates from arbitrary regime detectors are ratified through a lenient LLM text check. We evaluate the framework on 2010-2024 FOMC minutes paired with a 14-variable U.S. Treasury and macroeconomic panel, using four interchangeable data-driven detectors. The proposed pipeline achieves F1 = 0.82 against a verified anchor list of monetary-policy regime shifts, with same-day modal detection latency and consistently stronger performance than pure data-driven baselines. The results demonstrate that combining unstructured policy text with statistical structural-break detection improves the robustness and interpretability of regime shift identification in financial markets.

3D change detection from multi-view images is essential for urban monitoring, disaster assessment, and autonomous driving. However, existing methods predominantly operate in the 2D domain, where viewpoint variations are mistaken for physical changes and depth is unavailable. While visual geometry foundation models like VGGT rapidly produce dense point clouds from unposed images, independent per-epoch reconstruction encounters fundamental obstacles: unpredictable inter-epoch scale ambiguity, registration-change paradox where scene changes corrupt alignment, and pervasive edge-flying noise. To address these challenges, we present VGGT-CD, a training-free pipeline decoupling cross-temporal registration from dynamic-change interference. In the Coarse Stage, sparse keyframe joint inference establishes a unified metric space and yields an initial Sim(3) prior. In the Fine Stage, dense reconstructions are purified by isolating static-background correspondences. A closed-form centroid alignment refines the translation while locking scale and rotation, using a residual self-check to mathematically guarantee non-degradation. Evaluated on an 11-scene benchmark from the World Across Time dataset, VGGT-CD reduces Absolute Trajectory Error by 44% outdoors and 59% indoors. It completes registration over 6 times faster, producing high-purity 3D change maps without task-specific training.

Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) have been extensively and successfully applied to the task of synthetic aperture radar (SAR) image change detection. However, conventional convolutional layers are inherently limited by their local receptive fields, which mainly capture spatially localized patterns while neglecting the global context that is often crucial for accurately distinguishing subtle or large-scale changes in SAR imagery. To address these limitations, we propose a novel Global Dynamic Context-Aware Network (GDNet) specifically tailored for SAR image change detection. At the core of our approach lies a novel global dynamic convolution module, which adaptively modulates convolution kernel weights according to the global semantic information extracted from the input features. By dynamically incorporating long-range dependencies, this mechanism enables the network to integrate both local detail and global context, thus improving its ability to detect diverse change patterns. In addition, we introduce a carefully designed two-stage Mixup strategy for model training. Unlike conventional single-stage Mixup, our two-stage design generates more diverse and informative training samples, effectively regularizing the model and yielding more stable and reliable classification results even under limited data scenarios. Extensive experiments on three SAR datasets demonstrate the superiority of the proposed GDNet compared to other state-of-the-art methods. These findings highlight the potential of global dynamic modeling and advanced data augmentation strategies for advancing SAR image interpretation. Source codes are available at \url{https://github.com/oucailab/GDNet}.

Real-world control systems frequently operate under \emph{piecewise stationary} conditions, where dynamics remain stable for extended periods before undergoing abrupt regime changes. Standard robust RL methods face a fundamental dilemma: a globally conservative policy wastes performance during stable periods, while a locally adaptive policy risks catastrophic failure when the regime changes undetected. We propose \textbf{BAPR} (Bayesian Amnesic Piecewise-Robust SAC), which unifies Bayesian Online Change Detection (BOCD) with robust ensemble RL. The BAPR operator -- a convex combination of mode-conditional Bellman operators weighted by a frozen belief distribution -- is a $γ$-contraction. A complementary counterexample, machine-verified in Lean4, establishes a \emph{sharp boundary}: when beliefs depend on the Q-function, the contraction factor becomes $γ+ λΔ$ (where $Δ$ is the mode reward gap), and contraction fails exactly when $γ+ λΔ\geq 1$. We derive a \emph{component-wise} formal error budget for the abstract operator -- every component machine-verified -- bounding post-switch recovery; the budget applies to the abstract mode-mixture operator and inherits to the implemented shared-critic algorithm only through the frozen-parameter design intuition. All results are formally verified with no \texttt{sorry} (1,145 lines across 3 Lean4 files, 22 machine-verified theorems). BOCD drives an adaptive conservatism mechanism: the policy becomes maximally conservative after detected change-points and smoothly relaxes as confidence grows, with detection delay $O(\log(1/δ))$. A context-conditioning module trained via RMDM loss provides mode-aware representations from simulator-provided mode IDs at training time and requires no mode labels at deployment.

Many complex systems can be modeled by temporal networks, whose organization often evolves through distinct structural phases. Detecting the change points that delimit these phases is both important and challenging. In this work, we extend the conditional entropy of heat diffusion from static graphs to temporal networks and study its properties. We provide an upper bound and explain how discrepancies from it arise from the presence of asymmetric temporal paths. Moreover, we show that this quantity is monotone in time, yielding an information-theoretic analog of the second law of thermodynamics for inhomogeneous diffusion on temporal networks. We then introduce a local version of conditional entropy, designed to probe diffusion over finite temporal windows, and show that it provides an informative signal for change-point detection in continuous-time temporal networks. We evaluate the proposed methodology on synthetic benchmarks, including comparative experiments with existing nonparametric baselines in the snapshot setting, and then apply it to a real-world temporal contact network from a French primary school. Finally, we show how to use detected change points to perform community detection on targeted sub-intervals, improving the quality and interpretability of the clustering results.

Modern deep learning models for change detection (CD) often struggle to explicitly represent task-relevant semantic differences. This paper proposes the Latent Difference Guidance (LDGuid) framework that explicitly learns and injects semantic differences into CD models. LDGuid deploys adversarial autoencoding to implement a difference embedding (DE) module. The DE module is pretrained via the information bottleneck method, restricting it to learn only task-relevant differences between pre- and post-event samples. The learned latent difference is then used as an explicit guidance signal in the CD model. We validate LDGuid by integrating it into U-Net, BIT, and AERNet baselines for CD and evaluating it on LEVIR-CD, WHU-CD, SVCD, and CaBuAr datasets. Experimental results show that LDGuid enhances segmentation performance across all benchmarks, with particularly remarkable gains in challenging settings affected by spectral noise. The results further highlight the ability of LDGuid in incorporating domain knowledge, such as task-specific spectral indices. Our findings suggest that semantic difference learning can drastically enhance the robustness of CD in remote sensing.

Remote sensing change detection (RSCD) aims to localise changes between two images of the same geographic region. In practice, change masks often follow region-level annotation conventions rather than purely local appearance differences, making them context-dependent and occasionally ambiguous. Most state-of-the-art methods utilise per-pixel discriminative classification, which produces a single prediction per input and fails to explicitly model the changed region as a coherent whole. A natural alternative is generative formulation, which can model a distribution of plausible masks, enabling sampling to capture ambiguity and encourage global consistency. However, existing generative RSCD approaches typically lag behind strong discriminative baselines due to the high computational cost of pixel-space generation and the complexity of their conditioning mechanisms. To address the limitations of prior discriminative and generative methods, we propose ChangeFlow, a generative framework that reformulates change detection as the synthesis of a change mask in latent space via rectified flow. ChangeFlow is guided by a structured yet lightweight conditioning signal, and its stochastic design naturally supports sampling-based prediction ensembling. Namely, aggregating multiple predicted change masks improves robustness, while sample agreement provides a practical confidence estimation that highlights ambiguous regions. Across four benchmarks, ChangeFlow achieves an average F1 of 80.4%, improving by 1.3 points on average over the previous best method, while maintaining inference speed comparable to recent strong baselines. Project page: https://blaz-r.github.io/changeflow_cd

Function calling, also known as tool use, is a core capability of modern LLM agents but is typically constrained by synchronous execution semantics. Under these semantics, LLM decoding is blocked until each function call completes, resulting in increasing end-to-end latency. In this work, we introduce AsyncFC, a pure execution-layer framework that decouples LLM decoding from function execution, enabling overlap between model decoding and function execution as well as inter-function parallelism when dependencies permit. AsyncFC layers over existing models and unmodified function implementations, requiring no fine-tuning or changes to the standard synchronous function-calling protocol. Across standard function-calling benchmarks and adapted software engineering benchmarks, AsyncFC significantly reduces end-to-end task completion time while preserving task accuracy. Furthermore, these results reveal that LLMs possess a native capability to reason over symbolic futures that represent unresolved execution results, enabling an asynchronous paradigm for model-tool interaction.

We study multiple change point localization under bandit feedback. An unknown piecewise-constant function on a compact interval can be queried sequentially at adaptively chosen inputs, and each query returns a noisy evaluation of the function. The goal is to identify a prescribed number of discontinuities, known as change points, within a target precision $η$ and confidence level $1-δ$, while using as few samples as possible. We propose an adaptive algorithm that first detects intervals likely to contain change points and then refines their locations to precision $η$. We establish non-asymptotic upper bounds on its sample budget, together with corresponding lower bounds. Prior work shows that jump magnitudes alone determine the asymptotic sample complexity as $δ\to 0$. We reveal that this picture is incomplete beyond this regime. We demonstrate, both empirically and theoretically, that for general $δ$ and $η$, the complexity is jointly governed by the jumps and the relative positions of the change points.

Farmland Semantic Change Detection (SCD) is essential for cultivated land protection, yet existing benchmarks and models remain insufficient for fine-grained farmland conversion monitoring. Current datasets often lack dedicated "from-to" annotations, while visual change detection models are easily disturbed by phenology-induced pseudo-changes caused by crop rotation, seasonal variation, and illumination differences. To address these challenges, we construct HZNU-FCD, a large-scale fine-grained farmland SCD benchmark with a unified five-class farmland-to-non-farmland annotation protocol. It contains 4,588 bitemporal image pairs with pixel-level labels for practical farmland protection. Based on this benchmark, we propose a large-small collaborative SCD framework that integrates a task-driven small visual model with a frozen large vision-language model. The small model, Fine-grained Difference-aware Mamba (FD-Mamba), learns dense change representations for boundary preservation and small-region localization. The large-model pathway, Cross-modal Logical Arbitration (CMLA), introduces CLIP-based textual priors for prompt-guided semantic arbitration and pseudo-change suppression. To enable effective collaboration, we design a hard-region co-training strategy that supervises the CMLA semantic score map only on low-confidence pixels. Experiments show that our method achieves 97.63% F1, 96.32% IoU, and 96.35% SCD_IoU_mean on HZNU-FCD with only 6.65M trainable parameters. Compared with the multimodal ChangeCLIP-ViT, which leverages vision-language information for change detection, our method improves F1 by 10.19 percentage points on HZNU-FCD. It also achieves 91.43% F1 and 84.21% IoU on LEVIR-CD, and 93.85% F1 and 88.41% IoU on WHU-CD, demonstrating strong robustness and generalization. The code is available at https://github.com/Lovelymili/FD-Mamba.

Image hashing provides compact representations for efficient storage and retrieval but is inherently limited to global comparison and cannot reason about where changes occur. This limitation prevents hashing from being directly applicable to scene change detection, where spatial localization is essential. In this work, we revisit hashing from a scene change detection perspective and propose HashSCD, a patch-wise hashing framework that enables both efficient global change detection and localized change identification. HashSCD encodes spatially aligned patches into compact hash codes and aggregates them through an XOR-like operation, allowing change detection and localization to be performed directly in the Hamming space without repeated inference on previous images. The model is trained in an unsupervised manner using contrastive learning at both patch and global levels. Experiments demonstrate that HashSCD achieves competitive performance compared to state-of-the-art unsupervised hashing and scene change detection methods, while significantly reducing computational cost and storage requirements.

We propose non-parametric estimators for the average run length (ARL) and average detection delay (ADD) in quickest changepoint detection (QCD) under finite and irregular sequence lengths. Although ARL and ADD are widely used as optimality criteria in theoretical and simulation studies, their application to real-world datasets is hindered by limited and irregular sequence lengths. To address this issue, we propose non-parametric estimators for the ARL and ADD, termed KM-ARL and KM-ADD, by drawing an analogy between QCD and survival analysis to model detection probabilities under sequence truncation. We derive estimation bias bounds and prove that they are asymptotically unbiased unless extrapolation is required. Experiments on simulated and real-world datasets demonstrate their practical utility, enhancing robustness against limited and irregular sequence lengths, improving interpretability, and facilitating empirical, intuitive model selection. Our Python code is provided at https://github.com/TaikiMiyagawa/Kaplan-Meier-Average-Run-Length, offering ready-to-use implementations for practitioners.

Philosophical accounts of persuasion often assume that shared evidence and rational argumentation should lead to a convergence of views between peers, yet everyday discourse often suggests otherwise. In this study, we use large language models to analyze a corpus of debates on Reddit's r/ChangeMyView, where belief revision is publicly signaled. Large language models were asked, halfway through each discussion, to forecast whether such an acknowledgement would arise; their probabilistic estimates serve as a conversational baseline. Each reply was then coded, through a hybrid machine-assisted procedure, for ten familiar rhetorical strategies -- concession, empathy, logical challenge, credibility appeals, and so forth. Adding these strategic features markedly improves predictive power and yields a consistent pattern: moves that express concession or empathetic alignment substantially increase the prospect of belief change, whereas frontal refutation, credibility attacks, and topic deflection diminish it. The findings indicate that effective public reasoning depends as much on relational framing as on evidential content, and they invite a refinement of normative accounts of rational dialogue.

Scene change detection methods built on Gaussian splatting universally follow a render-then-compare paradigm: the pre-change scene is rendered into 2D and compared against post-change images via pixel or feature residuals. This change detection problem with Gaussian Splatting has been treated as a question about pixels; we treat it as a question about primitives. We provide direct evidence that native primitive attributes alone -- position, anisotropic covariance, and color -- carry sufficient signal for scene change detection. What makes primitive-space comparison hard is the under-constrained nature of Gaussian splatting representation: independent optimizations yield primitive solutions whose count, positions, shapes, and colors differ even where nothing has changed. We address this challenge with anisotropic models of geometric and photometric drift, complemented by a per-primitive observability term that reflects the extent to which each Gaussian is constrained by the camera geometry. Operating directly on primitives gives our method, GD-DIFF, two properties that distinguish it from render-then-compare methods. First, change maps are multi-view consistent by construction, where prior work had to learn this through an additional optimization objective. Second, geometric and appearance changes are scored separately, identifying not just where but what kind of change occurred, distinguishing structural changes (e.g., an added object) from surface-level ones (e.g., a color change) without supervision or external model dependencies. On real-world benchmarks, GS-DIFF surpasses the prior state-of-the-art approach by $\sim$17% in mean Intersection over Union.

Remote sensing change detection is pivotal for urban monitoring, disaster assessment, and environmental resource management. Yet, unimodal deep learning methods frequently confuse genuine semantic changes with visually similar but irrelevant variations. Recent multimodal approaches incorporate text as auxiliary supervision, but their descriptions are either semantically coarse and unstructured or model-generated and thus noisy. Critically, all of them overlook a simple fact: fine-grained change semantics are already implicitly encoded in the ground-truth mask labels that come standard with every change detection dataset. These masks know where the change happened, what the land-cover types were before and after, how the transition occurred, and how many objects were involved. In this paper, we propose S2M, a framework that obtains structured textual features directly from change labels at zero additional annotation cost. Specifically, each change region is automatically transcribed into a semantic quadruple (where, what, how, how many) and converted into several fixed-template text descriptions, providing precise, dense, and noise-free multimodal supervision. We adopts a two-stage training strategy to fine-tune on remote sensing imagery firstly for robust domain-specific representation, after which a multimodal decoder with a bi-directional contrastive loss is introduced to achieve deep alignment between visual features and structured textual embeddings. To validate our method, we construct Gaza-Change-v2, a new multi-class change detection (MCD) dataset about the Gaza Strip. On this MCD dataset, S2M achieves a Sek of 17.80% and an F$_{\text{scd}}$ of 66.14%, notably surpassing even multimodal methods that leverage large language models. Our work demonstrates that masks can indeed talk. They tell us exactly what, where, how, and how many changes have occurred.

Urban spatial evolution is manifested not only through horizontal expansion but also through vertical structural changes. Consequently, jointly capturing 2D semantic changes and 3D height changes is essential for urban morphology analysis and emergency management. In practical scenarios, collecting 3D observations is often constrained by high acquisition costs and the inability to support frequent updates. The multi-temporal cross-modal input consisting of pre-event Digital Surface Model (DSM) and post-event imagery provides a practical solution for 3D change detection in high-frequency urban monitoring, disaster assessment, and emergency response scenarios. However, this setting remains challenging as imagery and DSM data exhibit significant spectral-geometric representation gaps. Moreover, modality differences may be confused with actual changes, and robust change detection requires effective fusion of semantic and geometric features from multi-temporal data. In this paper, we propose DPG-CD, a depth-prior-guided multi-temporal cross-modal fusion framework for joint 2D semantic and 3D height change detection. Specifically, an estimated depth prior is introduced into the imagery to mitigate the modality gap with DSM. A gated fusion mechanism then selectively injects geometric cues from depth prior while preserving discriminative spectral representations. Subsequently, a multi-stage cross-temporal cross-modal feature fusion architecture is employed to extract change-aware features. Finally, a multi-task decoder jointly predicts 2D semantic changes and 3D height changes, complemented by an auxiliary DSM prediction task to improve structural consistency and height estimation accuracy. Experiments on two public datasets, Hi-BCD and 3DCD, and a new dataset, NYC-MMCD, demonstrate that DPG-CD outperforms state-of-the-art methods on both 2D and 3D change detection tasks.

Bayesian model calibration is central to digital twins and computer experiments, as it aligns model outputs with field observations by estimating calibration parameters and correcting systematic model bias. Classical Bayesian calibration introduces latent parameters and a discrepancy function to model bias, but suffers from parameter--discrepancy confounding and is typically formulated as an offline procedure under a stationary data-generating assumption. These limitations are restrictive in modern digital twin applications, where systems evolve over time and may exhibit gradual drift and abrupt regime shifts. While data assimilation methods enable sequential updates, they generally do not explicitly model systematic bias and are less effective under abrupt changes. We propose Bayesian Recursive Projected Calibration (BRPC), an online Bayesian calibration framework for streaming data under simulator mismatch and nonstationarity. BRPC extends projected calibration to the online setting by separating a discrepancy-free particle update for calibration parameters from a conditional Gaussian process update for discrepancy, preserving identifiability while enabling bias-aware adaptation under gradual system evolution. To handle abrupt changes, BRPC is integrated with restart mechanisms that detect regime shifts and reset the calibration process. We establish theoretical guarantees for both components, including tracking performance under gradual evolution and false-alarm and detection behavior for restart mechanisms. Empirical studies on synthetic and plant-simulation benchmarks show that BRPC improves calibration accuracy under gradual changes, while restart-augmented BRPC further improves robustness and predictive performance under abrupt regime shifts compared to sliding-window Bayesian calibration and data assimilation baselines.

Majority voting is one of the few black-box interventions that can improve a fixed stochastic predictor: repeated access can be cheaper than changing a high-capability model. Classical fixed-competence theory makes this intervention look monotone -- more votes help above the majority threshold and hurt below it. We show that this picture is fundamentally incomplete. Under the de Finetti representation for exchangeable repeated correctness, voting is governed by a latent distribution of per-example correctness probabilities. Even simple latent mixtures can generate sharply different voting curves, including nonmonotone behavior and, in an explicit construction, infinitely many trend changes. The full latent law determines the curve, but the curve does not determine the law. The exact object recovered by voting is a signed voting signature: at each binomial variance scale, it records excess latent mass above rather than below the majority threshold. Our main theorem proves that the complete odd-budget curve and this signature are equivalent: the curve increments are signed Hausdorff moments, and the full curve recovers the signature uniquely. This viewpoint explains shape phenomena, branch-symmetric nonidentifiability, realizability, variation, and endpoint rates. It also separates estimation regimes: direct per-example success-probability information targets the full signature, whereas fixed-depth grouped labels reveal only a finite prefix.

A central challenge in dynamic network analysis is to represent temporal evolution in a way that is both geometrically meaningful and statistically identifiable. One approach embeds a sequence of network snapshots as trajectories in a Euclidean space and relates these trajectories to node embeddings. In multilayer and unfolded spectral constructions, however, node embeddings and their underlying latent positions are identifiable only up to general linear transformations. Although this ambiguity preserves edge probabilities, it can distort geometry and invalidate distance based temporal comparisons at both the trajectory and node-levels. We develop Multiscale Euclidean Network Trajectories (MENT), a framework for multiscale temporal trajectories based on second-moment geometry. By imposing an isotropic normalization on the anchor latent positions, we reduce the relevant ambiguity to orthogonal transformations and prevent distortion of the second-moment geometry. In this canonical representation, we define a trace variation distance and mode-wise variation distances along orthogonal directions, and use multidimensional scaling to obtain low-dimensional trajectories of time points at both global and mode-wise levels. The resulting trajectories support interpretation and inference. They admit mode-wise decompositions, support attribution of global and mode-wise temporal changes to nodes, and enable change point detection through 1D trajectories. We prove consistency of the proposed unfolded spectral embedding and of the induced temporal trajectories. Experiments on two synthetic and two real dynamic networks illustrate stable and interpretable recovery of temporal structure and show strong performance against existing change point detection baselines.

The rise of large language models (LLMs) has created an urgent need to distinguish between human-written and LLM-generated text to ensure authenticity and societal trust. Existing detectors typically provide a binary classification for an entire passage; however, this is insufficient for human--LLM co-authored text, where the objective is to localize specific segments authored by humans or LLMs. To bridge this gap, we propose algorithms to segment text into human- and LLM-authored pieces. Our key observation is that such a segmentation task is conceptually similar to classical change point detection in time-series analysis. Leveraging this analogy, we adapt change point detection to LLM-generated text detection, develop a weighted algorithm and a generalized algorithm to accommodate heterogeneous detection score variability, and establish the minimax optimality of our procedure. Empirically, we demonstrate the strong performance of our approach against a wide range of existing baselines. The python implementation of our proposal is available at https://github.com/Mamba413/DetectLLMSegmentation.

Monitoring archaeological sites at scale is vital for protecting cultural heritage, yet pinpointing when disturbances occur remains difficult because visual cues are subtle and ground-truth data are sparse. We introduce WATCH, a framework for month-level change-event localization over PlanetScope satellite mosaics (2017-2024, 4.7 m/px) that supports three complementary scoring approaches: (i) Temporal Embedding Distance (TED), a training-free method that scores month-to-month deviations from a local temporal reference; (ii) Self-Supervised Change Detection (SSCD), an ensemble of reconstruction, forecasting, and latent-novelty signals; and (iii) a Weakly Supervised (WS) temporal localization model trained with sparse event-month labels. We benchmark WATCH on 1,943 archaeological sites in Afghanistan using embeddings from six foundation models (CLIP, GeoRSCLIP, SatMAE, Prithvi-EO-2.0, DINOv3, and Satlas-Pretrain) alongside a handcrafted spectral and texture baseline, and assess cross-regional generalization on sites in Syria, Turkey, Pakistan, and Egypt. The unsupervised approaches (TED, SSCD) consistently outperform the weakly supervised alternative. TED with SatMAE achieves the highest exact-month recall (55% at m=0), while TED with GeoRSCLIP, CLIP, or Satlas-Pretrain reaches 92.5% within a three-month tolerance (m=3). Handcrafted features remain competitive for exact-month detection under weak supervision. Our directional margin analysis reveals systematic temporal biases: SSCD paired with GeoRSCLIP or Prithvi-EO-2.0 exhibits the strongest early-warning profile, detecting anomalies before the recorded event, while TED favors confirmation-oriented detection after a change has materialized. These results show that satellite imagery combined with foundation-model embeddings enables scalable, decision-relevant heritage monitoring. Code: https://github.com/microsoft/WATCH

This discussion paper reflects on how quantitative approaches to historical linguistics interact with dataset properties. Drawing on two worked examples, we examine English data using quad-based concept modelling of Early Modern English discourse in EEBO-TCP (c. 1470s-1690s; 765M words) alongside SynFlow analysis of scientific writing in Royal Society Corpus 6.0.4 (1750-1799; drawn from a 78.6M-token open corpus). Through parallel comparison, the paper explores how each approach operationalises concepts, the data assumptions they entail, and the diachronic interpretations they support. We argue that comparative methodological reflection clarifies the limits of purely lexical, frequency-based approaches and highlights how dataset structure shapes the kinds of semantic change that quantitative methods can reliably detect.

Statistical change point (CP) detection methods typically rely on likelihood-based inference and ignore contextual information about plausible CP locations beyond the observed sequence. Although informative priors provide a natural way to incorporate such information, general and computationally efficient methods for doing so are lacking, especially for multiple CP detection. To address this gap, we propose a prior-informed CP detection algorithm (Pi-Change) that incorporates prior information on CP locations through a time-varying penalty term. We prove that the proposed penalty can be embedded in the Pruned Exact Linear Time framework while preserving the dynamic programming recursion and pruning rule required for efficient multiple CP detection. Across simulation studies and three time-series applications, Pi-Change discourages spurious CPs unsupported by prior information, remains robust to prior misspecification, and improves detection accuracy. More broadly, Pi-Change extends multiple CP detection beyond purely data-driven fitting by incorporating partial prior knowledge in a computationally efficient and interpretable way. It is particularly useful when CPs arise from heterogeneous mechanisms or are associated with known external events, helping quantify the delay between an event and the resulting structural change.

Semantic segmentation and change detection are two fundamental challenges in remote sensing, requiring models to capture either spatial semantics or temporal differences from satellite imagery. Existing deep learning models often struggle with temporal inconsistencies or in capturing fine-grained spatial structures, require extensive pretraining, and offer limited interpretability - especially in real-world remote sensing scenarios. Recent advances in diffusion models show that Gaussian noise can be systematically leveraged to learn expressive data representations through denoising. Motivated by this, we investigate whether the noise process in diffusion models can be effectively utilized for discriminative tasks. We propose Noise2Map, a unified diffusion-based framework that repurposes the denoising process for fast, end-to-end discriminative learning. Unlike prior work that uses diffusion only for generation or feature extraction, Noise2Map directly predicts semantic or change maps using task-specific noise schedules and timestep conditioning, avoiding the costly sampling procedures of traditional diffusion models. The model is pretrained via self-supervised denoising and fine-tuned with supervision, enabling both interpretability and robustness. Our architecture supports both tasks (SS and CD) through a shared backbone and task-specific noise schedulers. Extensive evaluations on the SpaceNet7, WHU, and xView2 buildings damaged by wildfires datasets demonstrate that Noise2Map ranks on average 1st among seven models on semantic segmentation and 1st on change detection by a cross-dataset rank metric (average F1 primary, IoU tie-break). Ablation studies highlight the robustness of our model against different training noise schedulers and timestep control in the diffusion process, as well as the ability of the model to perform multi-task learning.