Interpretable ML

ML: Machine Learning

Overview

Interpretable machine learning aims to make predictions understandable enough for people to inspect, challenge, and use, especially in high-stakes decisions and scientific discovery. Approaches include inherently transparent decision trees, rule sets, additive models, and symbolic formulas, as well as concept- and prototype-based models that connect predictions to human-readable ideas or examples. Other methods explain complex models after training with feature attributions, local surrogates, or analyses of internal representations, while newer work also builds in uncertainty, domain knowledge, and opportunities for human intervention. A central challenge is balancing predictive accuracy with explanations that are faithful, stable under changes in data, and meaningful to the people relying on them; evaluation increasingly tests these qualities rather than treating a plausible explanation as sufficient.

Latest papers

310 papers26 papers in the last four weeks, level with the four weeks before. 0.2% of all new papers.

Apr 22, 2026

Interpretable Quantile Regression by Optimal Decision Trees

The field of machine learning is subject to an increasing interest in models that are not only accurate but also interpretable and robust, thus allowing their end users to understand and trust AI systems. This paper presents a novel method for learning a set of optimal quantile regression trees. The advantages of this method are that (1) it provides predictions about the complete conditional distribution of a target variable without prior assumptions on this distribution; (2) it provides predictions that are interpretable; (3) it learns a set of optimal quantile regression trees without compromising algorithmic efficiency compared to learning a single tree.
Apr 22, 2026

Improving clinical interpretability of linear neuroimaging models through feature whitening

Linear models are widely used in computational neuroimaging to identify biomarkers associated with brain pathologies. However, interpreting the learned weights remains challenging, as they do not always yield clinically meaningful insights. This difficulty arises in part from the inherent correlation between brain regions, which causes linear weights to reflect shared rather than region-specific contributions. In particular, some groups of regions, including homologous structures in the left and right hemispheres, are known to exhibit strong anatomical correlations. In this work, we leverage this prior neuroanatomical knowledge to introduce a whitening approach applied to groups of regions with known shared variance, designed to disentangle overlapping information across correlated brain measures. We additionally propose a regularized variant that allows controlled tuning of the degree of decorrelation. We evaluate this method using region-of-interest features in two psychiatric classification tasks, distinguishing individuals with bipolar disorder or schizophrenia from healthy controls. Importantly, unlike PCA or ICA which use whitening as a dimensionality reduction step, our approach decorrelates anatomically informed pairs of neuroanatomical regions while retaining the full input signal, making it specifically suited for feature interpretation rather than feature selection. Our findings demonstrate that whitening improves the interpretability of model weights while preserving predictive performance, providing a robust framework for linking linear model outputs to neurobiological mechanisms.
Apr 22, 2026

Mechanistic Interpretability Tool for AI Weather Models

Artificial Intelligence (AI) weather models are improving rapidly, and their forecasts are already competitive with long-established traditional Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP). To build confidence in this new methodology, it is critical that we understand how these predictions are generated. This is a huge challenge as these AI weather models remain largely black boxes. In other areas of Machine Learning (ML), mechanistic interpretability has emerged as a framework for understanding ML predictions by analysing the building blocks responsible for them. Here we present an open-source, highly adaptable tool which incorporates concepts from mechanistic interpretability. The tool organises internal latent representations from the model processor and allows for initial analyses, including cosine similarity and Principal Component Analysis (PCA), enabling the user to identify directions in latent space potentially associated with meteorological features. Applying our tool to the graph neural network GraphCast, we present preliminary case studies for mid-latitude synoptic-scale waves and specific humidity. These demonstrate the tool's ability to identify linear combinations of latent channels that appear to correspond to interpretable features.
Apr 22, 2026

Clinically Interpretable Sepsis Early Warning via LLM-Guided Simulation of Temporal Physiological Dynamics

Timely and interpretable early warning of sepsis remains a major clinical challenge due to the complex temporal dynamics of physiological deterioration. Traditional data-driven models often provide accurate yet opaque predictions, limiting physicians' confidence and clinical applicability. To address this limitation, we propose a Large Language Model (LLM)-guided temporal simulation framework that explicitly models physiological trajectories prior to disease onset for clinically interpretable prediction. The framework consists of a spatiotemporal feature extraction module that captures dynamic dependencies among multivariate vital signs, a Medical Prompt-as-Prefix module that embeds clinical reasoning cues into LLMs, and an agent-based post-processing component that constrains predictions within physiologically plausible ranges. By first simulating the evolution of key physiological indicators and then classifying sepsis onset, our model offers transparent prediction mechanisms that align with clinical judgment. Evaluated on the MIMIC-IV and eICU databases, the proposed method achieves superior AUC scores (0.861-0.903) across 24-4-hour pre-onset prediction tasks, outperforming conventional deep learning and rule-based approaches. More importantly, it provides interpretable trajectories and risk trends that can assist clinicians in early intervention and personalized decision-making in intensive care environments.
Apr 21, 2026

Diagnosable ColBERT: Debugging Late-Interaction Retrieval Models Using a Learned Latent Space as Reference

Reliable biomedical and clinical retrieval requires more than strong ranking performance: it requires a practical way to find systematic model failures and curate the training evidence needed to correct them. Late-interaction models such as ColBERT provide a first solution thanks to the interpretable token-level interaction scores they expose between document and query tokens. Yet this interpretability is shallow: it explains a particular document--query pairwise score, but does not reveal whether the model has learned a clinical concept in a stable, reusable, and context-sensitive way across diverse expressions. As a result, these scores provide limited support for diagnosing misunderstandings, identifying irreasonably distant biomedical concepts, or deciding what additional data or feedback is needed to address this. In this short position paper, we propose Diagnosable ColBERT, a framework that aligns ColBERT token embeddings to a reference latent space grounded in clinical knowledge and expert-provided conceptual similarity constraints. This alignment turns document encodings into inspectable evidence of what the model appears to understand, enabling more direct error diagnosis and more principled data curation without relying on large batteries of diagnostic queries.
Apr 20, 2026

ParamBoost: Gradient Boosted Piecewise Cubic Polynomials

Generalized Additive Models (GAMs) can be used to create non-linear glass-box (i.e. explicitly interpretable) models, where the predictive function is fully observable over the complete input space. However, glass-box interpretability itself does not allow for the incorporation of expert knowledge from the modeller. In this paper, we present ParamBoost, a novel GAM whose shape functions (i.e. mappings from individual input features to the output) are learnt using a Gradient Boosting algorithm that fits cubic polynomial functions at leaf nodes. ParamBoost incorporates several constraints commonly used in parametric analysis to ensure well-refined shape functions. These constraints include: (i) continuity of the shape functions and their derivatives (up to C2); (ii) monotonicity; (iii) convexity; (iv) feature interaction constraints; and (v) model specification constraints. Empirical results show that the unconstrained ParamBoost model consistently outperforms state-of-the-art GAMs across several real-world datasets. We further demonstrate that modellers can selectively impose required constraints at a modest trade-off in predictive performance, allowing the model to be fully tailored to application-specific interpretability and parametric-analysis requirements.
Apr 20, 2026

PRISMA: Preference-Reinforced Self-Training Approach for Interpretable Emotionally Intelligent Negotiation Dialogues

Emotion plays a pivotal role in shaping negotiation outcomes, influencing trust, cooperation, and long-term relationships. Developing negotiation dialog systems that can recognize and respond strategically to emotions is, therefore, essential to create more effective human-centered interactions. Beyond generating emotionally appropriate responses, interpretability - understanding how a system generates a particular emotion-aware response, is critical for fostering reliability and building rapport. Driven by these aspects, in this work, we introduce PRISMA, an interpretable emotionally intelligent negotiation dialogue system targeting two application domains, viz. job interviews and resource allocation. To enable interpretability, we propose an Emotion-aware Negotiation Strategy-informed Chain-of-Thought (ENS-CoT) reasoning mechanism, which mimics human negotiation by perceiving, understanding, using, and managing emotions. Leveraging ENS-CoT, we curate two new datasets: JobNego (for job interview negotiation) and ResNego (for resource allocation negotiation). We then leverage these datasets to develop PRISMA by augmenting self-training with Direct Preference Optimization (DPO), guiding agents toward more accurate, interpretable, and emotionally appropriate negotiation responses. Automatic and human evaluation on JobNego and ResNego datasets demonstrate that PRISMA substantially enhances interpretability and generates appropriate emotion-aware responses, while improving overall negotiation effectiveness.
Apr 20, 2026

Federated Rule Ensemble Method in Medical Data

Machine learning has become integral to medical research and is increasingly applied in clinical settings to support diagnosis and decision-making; however, its effectiveness depends on access to large, diverse datasets, which are limited within single institutions. Although integrating data across institutions can address this limitation, privacy regulations and data ownership constraints hinder these efforts. Federated learning enables collaborative model training without sharing raw data; however, most methods rely on complex architectures that lack interpretability, limiting clinical applicability. Therefore, we proposed a federated RuleFit framework to construct a unified and interpretable global model for distributed environments. It integrates three components: preprocessing based on differentially private histograms to estimate shared cutoff values, enabling consistent rule definitions and reducing heterogeneity across clients; local rule generation using gradient boosting decision trees with shared cutoffs; and coefficient estimation via ℓ1\ell_1-regularized optimization using a Federated Dual Averaging algorithm for sparse and consistent variable selection. In simulation studies, the proposed method achieved a performance comparable to that of centralized RuleFit while outperforming existing federated approaches. Real-world analysis demonstrated its ability to provide interpretable insights with competitive predictive accuracy. Therefore, the proposed framework offers a practical and effective solution for interpretable and reliable modeling in federated learning environments.
Apr 18, 2026

Tree of Concepts: Interpretable Continual Learners in Non-Stationary Clinical Domains

Continual learning aims to update models under distribution shift without forgetting, yet many high-stakes deployments, such as healthcare, also require interpretability. In practice, models that adapt well (e.g., deep networks) are often opaque, while models that are interpretable (e.g., decision trees) are brittle under shift, making it difficult to achieve both properties simultaneously. In response, we propose Tree of Concepts, an interpretable continual learning framework that uses a shallow decision tree to define a fixed, rule-based concept interface and trains a concept bottleneck model to predict these concepts from raw features. Continual updates act on the concept extractor and label head while keeping concept semantics stable over time, yielding explanations that do not drift across sequential updates. On multiple tabular healthcare benchmarks under continual learning protocols, our method achieves a stronger stability-plasticity trade-off than existing baselines, including replay-enhanced variants. Our results suggest that structured concept interfaces can support continual adaptation while preserving a consistent audit interface in non-stationary, high-stakes domains.
Apr 17, 2026

Prototype-Grounded Concept Models for Verifiable Concept Alignment

Concept Bottleneck Models (CBMs) aim to improve interpretability in Deep Learning by structuring predictions through human-understandable concepts, but they provide no way to verify whether learned concepts align with the human's intended meaning, hurting interpretability. We introduce Prototype-Grounded Concept Models (PGCMs), which ground concepts in learned visual prototypes: image parts that serve as explicit evidence for the concepts. This grounding enables direct inspection of concept semantics and supports targeted human intervention at the prototype level to correct misalignments. Empirically, PGCMs achieve similar predictive performance as state-of-the-art CBMs while substantially improving transparency, interpretability, and intervenability.
Apr 17, 2026

Discovering quantum phenomena with Interpretable Machine Learning

Interpretable machine learning techniques are becoming essential tools for extracting physical insights from complex quantum data. We build on recent advances in variational autoencoders to demonstrate that such models can learn physically meaningful and interpretable representations from a broad class of unlabeled quantum datasets. From raw measurement data alone, the learned representation reveals rich information about the underlying structure of quantum phase diagrams. We further augment the learning pipeline with symbolic methods, enabling the discovery of compact analytical descriptors that serve as order parameters for the distinct regimes emerging in the learned representations. We demonstrate the framework on experimental Rydberg-atom snapshots, classical shadows of the cluster Ising model, and hybrid discrete-continuous fermionic data, revealing previously unreported phenomena such as a corner-ordering pattern in the Rydberg arrays. These results establish a general framework, which constitutes an important step toward the autonomous discovery of physical descriptors from diverse quantum datasets. All methods are available through qdisc, an open-source Python library designed to make these tools accessible to the broader community.
Apr 17, 2026

EVIL: Evolving Interpretable Algorithms for Zero-Shot Inference on Event Sequences and Time Series with LLMs

We introduce EVIL (EVolving Interpretable algorithms with LLMs), an approach that uses LLM-guided evolutionary search to discover simple, interpretable algorithms for dynamical systems inference. Rather than training neural networks on large datasets, EVIL evolves pure Python/NumPy programs that perform zero-shot, in-context inference across datasets. We apply EVIL to three distinct tasks: next-event prediction in temporal point processes, rate matrix estimation for Markov jump processes, and time series imputation. In each case, a single evolved algorithm generalizes across all evaluation datasets without per-dataset training (analogous to an amortized inference model). To the best of our knowledge, this is the first work to show that LLM-guided program evolution can discover a single compact inference function for these dynamical-systems problems. Across the three domains, the discovered algorithms are often competitive with, and even outperform, state-of-the-art deep learning models while being orders of magnitudes faster, and remaining fully interpretable.
Apr 17, 2026

An Interpretable Framework Applying Protein Words to Predict Protein-Small Molecule Complementary Pairing Rules

Despite the high accuracy of 'black box' deep learning models, drug discovery still relies on protein-ligand interaction principles and heuristics. To improve interpretability of protein-small molecule binding predictions, we developed the PWRules framework, which applies binding affinity data to identify privileged small molecule fragments and subsequently defines complementary pairing rules between these fragments and protein words (semantic sequence units) through an interpretability module. The resulting word-fragment rules are then ranked by the PWScore function to prioritize active compounds. Evaluations on benchmark datasets show that PWScore achieves competitive performance comparable to the physics-based model (Glide) and the deep learning model (PSICHIC) and shows broad applicability for protein targets outside the training dataset, e.g., SARS-CoV-2 main protease. Notably, PWScore captures complementary interaction information, yielding superior enrichment performance when integrated with these established methods. Structural analysis of protein-ligand complexes indicates that learned word-fragment rules are significantly enriched near ligand-binding pockets, despite training without explicit structural guidance. By extracting and applying complementary pairing rules, PWRules provides an interpretable framework for drug discovery.
Apr 16, 2026

Structural interpretability in SVMs with truncated orthogonal polynomial kernels

We study post-training interpretability for Support Vector Machines (SVMs) built from truncated orthogonal polynomial kernels. Since the associated reproducing kernel Hilbert space is finite-dimensional and admits an explicit tensor-product orthonormal basis, the fitted decision function can be expanded exactly in intrinsic RKHS coordinates. This leads to Orthogonal Representation Contribution Analysis (ORCA), a diagnostic framework based on normalized Orthogonal Kernel Contribution (OKC) indices. These indices quantify how the squared RKHS norm of the classifier is distributed across interaction orders, total polynomial degrees, marginal coordinate effects, and pairwise contributions. The methodology is fully post-training and requires neither surrogate models nor retraining. We illustrate its diagnostic value on a synthetic double-spiral problem and on a real five-dimensional echocardiogram dataset. The results show that the proposed indices reveal structural aspects of model complexity that are not captured by predictive accuracy alone.
Apr 16, 2026

xFODE: An Explainable Fuzzy Additive ODE Framework for System Identification

Recent advances in Deep Learning (DL) have strengthened data-driven System Identification (SysID), with Neural and Fuzzy Ordinary Differential Equation (NODE/FODE) models achieving high accuracy in nonlinear dynamic modeling. Yet, system states in these frameworks are often reconstructed without clear physical meaning, and input contributions to the state derivatives remain difficult to interpret. To address these limitations, we propose Explainable FODE (xFODE), an interpretable SysID framework with integrated DL-based training. In xFODE, we define states in an incremental form to provide them with physical meanings. We employ fuzzy additive models to approximate the state derivative, thereby enhancing interpretability per input. To provide further interpretability, Partitioning Strategies (PSs) are developed, enabling the training of fuzzy additive models with explainability. By structuring the antecedent space during training so that only two consecutive rules are activated for any given input, PSs not only yield lower complexity for local inference but also enhance the interpretability of the antecedent space. To train xFODE, we present a DL framework with parameterized membership function learning that supports end-to-end optimization. Across benchmark SysID datasets, xFODE matches the accuracy of NODE, FODE, and NLARX models while providing interpretable insights.
Apr 16, 2026

Expert-Guided Class-Conditional Goodness-of-Fit Scores for Interpretable Classification with Informative Missingness

We study a classification problem with three key challenges: pervasive informative missingness, the integration of partial prior expert knowledge into the learning process, and the need for interpretable decision rules. We propose a framework that encodes prior knowledge through an expert-guided class-conditional model for one or more classes, and use this model to construct a small set of interpretable goodness-of-fit features. The features quantify how well the observed data agree with the expert model, isolating the contributions of different aspects of the data, including both observed and missing components. These features are combined with a few transparent auxiliary summaries in a simple discriminative classifier, resulting in a decision rule that is easy to inspect and justify. We develop and apply the framework in the context of seismic monitoring used to assess compliance with the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty. We show that the method has strong potential as a transparent screening tool, reducing workload for expert analysts. A simulation designed to isolate the contribution of the proposed framework shows that this interpretable expert-guided method can even outperform strong standard machine-learning classifiers, particularly when training samples are small.
Apr 16, 2026

CI-CBM: Class-Incremental Concept Bottleneck Model for Interpretable Continual Learning

Catastrophic forgetting remains a fundamental challenge in continual learning, in which models often forget previous knowledge when fine-tuned on a new task. This issue is especially pronounced in class incremental learning (CIL), which is the most challenging setting in continual learning. Existing methods to address catastrophic forgetting often sacrifice either model interpretability or accuracy. To address this challenge, we introduce ClassIncremental Concept Bottleneck Model (CI-CBM), which leverage effective techniques, including concept regularization and pseudo-concept generation to maintain interpretable decision processes throughout incremental learning phases. Through extensive evaluation on seven datasets, CI-CBM achieves comparable performance to black-box models and outperforms previous interpretable approaches in CIL, with an average 36% accuracy gain. CICBM provides interpretable decisions on individual inputs and understandable global decision rules, as shown in our experiments, thereby demonstrating that human understandable concepts can be maintained during incremental learning without compromising model performance. Our approach is effective in both pretrained and non-pretrained scenarios; in the latter, the backbone is trained from scratch during the first learning phase. Code is publicly available at github.com/importAmir/CI-CBM.
Apr 15, 2026

Enhancing the interpretability of spatially variable N2O model predictions with soft sensors during wastewater treatment

Model-based solutions for nitrous oxide (N2O) emissions from wastewater treatment plants (WWTP) are informed by operational datasets designed to control nutrient levels in liquid waste, coupled with dedicated campaigns for N2O measurements. We analysed how machine learning (ML) models predict disturbances to WWT operation and spatially variable N2O emissions. A real dataset was investigated to validate the modelling framework from N2O emissions predicted by four ML models (R2 = 0.79 - 0.89). Monitoring campaigns for N2O were simulated with a plant-wide mechanistic model to include additional sensors, site-level N2O datasets, and wastewater disturbances (n = 16). ML models were highly accurate (0.97 +- 0.02, n = 80), but the feature importance depended on the model, the scenario and the N2O measurement scale (reactor vs. WWTP). We argue that N2O soft sensor model predictions are limited to the measuring location and the methodological uncertainty of the dataset, which affect the interpretability of the model. Lastly, the analysis of the mechanistic model structure exposed interactions between autotrophic and heterotrophic pathways over nitric oxide which can overestimate aerobic nitrite production and bias the N2O pathway contributions.
Apr 14, 2026

LLM-Guided Semantic Bootstrapping for Interpretable Text Classification with Tsetlin Machines

Pretrained language models (PLMs) like BERT provide strong semantic representations but are costly and opaque, while symbolic models such as the Tsetlin Machine (TM) offer transparency but lack semantic generalization. We propose a semantic bootstrapping framework that transfers LLM knowledge into symbolic form, combining interpretability with semantic capacity. Given a class label, an LLM generates sub-intents that guide synthetic data creation through a three-stage curriculum (seed, core, enriched), expanding semantic diversity. A Non-Negated TM (NTM) learns from these examples to extract high-confidence literals as interpretable semantic cues. Injecting these cues into real data enables a TM to align clause logic with LLM-inferred semantics. Our method requires no embeddings or runtime LLM calls, yet equips symbolic models with pretrained semantic priors. Across multiple text classification tasks, it improves interpretability and accuracy over vanilla TM, achieving performance comparable to BERT while remaining fully symbolic and efficient.
Apr 13, 2026

Interpretable DNA Sequence Classification via Dynamic Feature Generation in Decision Trees

The analysis of DNA sequences has become critical in numerous fields, from evolutionary biology to understanding gene regulation and disease mechanisms. While deep neural networks can achieve remarkable predictive performance, they typically operate as black boxes. Contrasting these black boxes, axis-aligned decision trees offer a promising direction for interpretable DNA sequence analysis, yet they suffer from a fundamental limitation: considering individual raw features in isolation at each split limits their expressivity, which results in prohibitive tree depths that hinder both interpretability and generalization performance. We address this challenge by introducing DEFT, a novel framework that adaptively generates high-level sequence features during tree construction. DEFT leverages large language models to propose biologically-informed features tailored to the local sequence distributions at each node and to iteratively refine them with a reflection mechanism. Empirically, we demonstrate that DEFT discovers human-interpretable and highly predictive sequence features across a diverse range of genomic tasks.
Apr 8, 2026

LaScA: Language-Conditioned Scalable Modelling of Affective Dynamics

Predicting affect in unconstrained environments remains a fundamental challenge in human-centered AI. While deep neural embeddings dominate contemporary approaches, they often lack interpretability and limit expert-driven refinement. We propose a novel framework that uses Language Models (LMs) as semantic context conditioners over handcrafted affect descriptors to model changes in Valence and Arousal. Our approach begins with interpretable facial geometry and acoustic features derived from structured domain knowledge. These features are transformed into symbolic natural-language descriptions encoding their affective implications. A pretrained LM processes these descriptions to generate semantic context embeddings that act as high-level priors over affective dynamics. Unlike end-to-end black-box pipelines, our framework preserves feature transparency while leveraging the contextual abstraction capabilities of LMs. We evaluate the proposed method on the Aff-Wild2 and SEWA datasets for affect change prediction. Experimental results show consistent improvements in accuracy for both Valence and Arousal compared to handcrafted-only and deep-embedding baselines. Our findings demonstrate that semantic conditioning enables interpretable affect modelling without sacrificing predictive performance, offering a transparent and computationally efficient alternative to fully end-to-end architectures
Apr 8, 2026

Energy-Regularized Spatial Masking: A Novel Approach to Enhancing Robustness and Interpretability in Vision Models

Deep convolutional neural networks achieve remarkable performance by exhaustively processing dense spatial feature maps, yet this brute-force strategy introduces significant computational redundancy and encourages reliance on spurious background correlations. As a result, modern vision models remain brittle and difficult to interpret. We propose Energy-Regularized Spatial Masking (ERSM), a novel framework that reformulates feature selection as a differentiable energy minimization problem. By embedding a lightweight Energy-Mask Layer inside standard convolutional backbones, each visual token is assigned a scalar energy composed of two competing forces: an intrinsic Unary importance cost and a Pairwise spatial coherence penalty. Unlike prior pruning methods that enforce rigid sparsity budgets or rely on heuristic importance scores, ERSM allows the network to autonomously discover an optimal information-density equilibrium tailored to each input. We validate ERSM on convolutional architectures and demonstrate that it produces emergent sparsity, improved robustness to structured occlusion, and highly interpretable spatial masks, while preserving classification accuracy. Furthermore, we show that the learned energy ranking significantly outperforms magnitude-based pruning in deletion-based robustness tests, revealing ERSM as an intrinsic denoising mechanism that isolates semantic object regions without pixel-level supervision.
Apr 7, 2026

Toward Aristotelian Medical Representations: Backpropagation-Free Layer-wise Analysis for Interpretable Generalized Metric Learning on MedMNIST

While deep learning has achieved remarkable success in medical imaging, the "black-box" nature of backpropagation-based models remains a significant barrier to clinical adoption. To bridge this gap, we propose Aristotelian Rapid Object Modeling (A-ROM), a framework built upon the Platonic Representation Hypothesis (PRH). This hypothesis posits that models trained on vast, diverse datasets converge toward a universal and objective representation of reality. By leveraging the generalizable metric space of pretrained Vision Transformers (ViTs), A-ROM enables the rapid modeling of novel medical concepts without the computational burden or opacity of further gradient-based fine-tuning. We replace traditional, opaque decision layers with a human-readable concept dictionary and a k-Nearest Neighbors (kNN) classifier to ensure the model's logic remains interpretable. Experiments on the MedMNIST v2 suite demonstrate that A-ROM delivers performance competitive with standard benchmarks while providing a simple and scalable, "few-shot" solution that meets the rigorous transparency demands of modern clinical environments.
Apr 7, 2026

From Large Language Model Predicates to Logic Tensor Networks: Neurosymbolic Offer Validation in Regulated Procurement

We present a neurosymbolic approach, i.e. combine symbolic and subsymbolic artificial intelligence, to validating offer documents in regulated public institutions. We employ a language model to extract information and then aggregate it with an LTN (Logic Tensor Network) to make an auditable decision. In regulated public institutions, decisions must be made in a manner that is both factually correct and legally verifiable. Our neurosymbolic approach allows existing domain-specific knowledge to be linked to the semantic text understanding of language models. The decisions resulting from our pipeline can be justified by predicate values, rule truth values, and corresponding text passages. Our experiments on a real corpus show that the proposed pipeline achieves performance comparable to existing models, but its key advantage lies in its interpretability, modular predicate extraction, and explicit support for XAI (Explainable AI).
Apr 6, 2026

The Infinite-Dimensional Nature of Spectroscopy and Why Models Succeed, Fail, and Mislead

Machine learning (ML) models have achieved strikingly high accuracies in spectroscopic classification tasks, often without a clear proof that those models used chemically meaningful features. Existing studies have linked these results to data preprocessing choices, noise sensitivity, and model complexity, but no unifying explanation is available so far. In this work, we show that these phenomena arise naturally from the intrinsic high dimensionality of spectral data. Using a theoretical analysis grounded in the Feldman-Hajek theorem and the concentration of measure, we show that even infinitesimal distributional differences, caused by noise, normalisation, or instrumental artefacts, may become perfectly separable in high-dimensional spaces. Through a series of specific experiments on synthetic and real fluorescence spectra, we illustrate how models can achieve near-perfect accuracy even when chemical distinctions are absent, and why feature-importance maps may highlight spectrally irrelevant regions. We provide a rigorous theoretical framework, confirm the effect experimentally, and conclude with practical recommendations for building and interpreting ML models in spectroscopy.
Apr 6, 2026

Explainable Machine Learning for Sepsis Outcome Prediction Using a Novel Romanian Electronic Health Record Dataset

We develop and analyze explainable machine learning (ML) models for sepsis outcome prediction using a novel Electronic Health Record (EHR) dataset from 12,286 hospitalizations at a large emergency hospital in Romania. The dataset includes demographics, International Classification of Diseases (ICD-10) diagnostics, and 600 types of laboratory tests. This study aims to identify clinically strong predictors while achieving state-of-the-art results across three classification tasks: (1)deceased vs. discharged, (2)deceased vs. recovered, and (3)recovered vs. ameliorated. We trained five ML models to capture complex distributions while preserving clinical interpretability. Experiments explored the trade-off between feature richness and patient coverage, using subsets of the 10--50 most frequent laboratory tests. Model performance was evaluated using accuracy and area under the curve (AUC), and explainability was assessed using SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP). The highest performance was obtained for the deceased vs. recovered case study (AUC=0.983, accuracy=0.93). SHAP analysis identified several strong predictors such as cardiovascular comorbidities, urea levels, aspartate aminotransferase, platelet count, and eosinophil percentage. Eosinopenia emerged as a top predictor, highlighting its value as an underutilized marker that is not included in current assessment standards, while the high performance suggests the applicability of these models in clinical settings.
Apr 6, 2026

Interpretation of Crystal Energy Landscapes with Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks

Characterizing crystalline energy landscapes is essential to predicting thermodynamic stability, electronic structure, and functional behavior. While machine learning (ML) enables rapid property predictions, the "black-box" nature of most models limits their utility for generating new scientific insights. Here, we introduce Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KANs) as an interpretable framework to bridge this gap. Unlike conventional neural networks with fixed activation functions, KANs employ learnable functions that reveal underlying physical relationships. We developed the Element-Weighted KAN, a composition-only model that achieves state-of-the-art accuracy in predicting formation energy, band gap, and work function across large-scale datasets. Crucially, without any explicit physical constraints, KANs uncover interpretable chemical trends aligned with the periodic table and quantum mechanical principles through embedding analysis, correlation studies, and principal component analysis. These results demonstrate that KANs provide a powerful framework with high predictive performance and scientific interpretability, establishing a new paradigm for transparent, chemistry-based materials informatics.
Apr 5, 2026

Learning an Interpretable Risk Scoring System for Maximizing Decision Net Benefit

Risk scoring systems are widely used in high-stakes domains to assist decision-making. However, existing approaches often focus on optimizing predictive accuracy or likelihood-based criteria, which may not align with the main goal of maximizing utility. In this paper, we propose a novel risk scoring system that directly optimizes net benefit over a range of decision thresholds. The model is formulated as a sparse integer linear programming problem which enables the construction of a transparent scoring system with integer coefficients, and hence, facilitates interpretation and practical application. We also establish fundamental relationships among net benefit, discrimination, and calibration. Specifically, we derive bounds relating the area under the net benefit curve to a ROC functional, both evaluated on a fixed threshold grid, and show that post-processing can achieve moderate calibration on the training data without decreasing the area under the net benefit curve on that grid. We evaluated our method on multiple public datasets as well as on a large-scale credit risk dataset. This computational study demonstrated that our interpretable method can effectively achieve high net benefit while maintaining competitive discrimination and calibration performance.
Apr 4, 2026

Adaptive Alarm Threshold Prediction in 4G Mobile Networks: A Percentile-Guided Deep Learning Framework with Interpretable Outputs

In mobile telecommunications, alarms act as early warning signals. They are triggered when a cell, the basic unit of radio coverage, shuts down or behaves abnormally. This signals a degradation in service quality, which directly affects the customer experience. To fix the issue, operators rely on preset thresholds to decide when an engineer should be sent out. In practice, these thresholds are set manually and remain fixed regardless of the time of day, traffic levels, or overall network conditions. This often leads to serious faults slipping through during busy hours, while minor issues can cause unnecessary callouts when the network is quiet. This paper presents a machine learning framework that automatically predicts four alarm thresholds, audit window duration, inactive time limit, total fluctuation count, and per hour fluctuation limit, from live network behavior. Since no ground truth labels exist for thresholds, we introduce a percentile guided label derivation strategy and evaluate four models on an anonymized dataset of 10,648 cells across three vendors and nine regions from a real 4G network, comprising a Gradient Boosted Trees baseline, a CNN-BiLSTM with attention, the proposed PCTN, and an iTransformer. PCTN performs the best overall with respect to three of the four targets, outperforming a state-of-the-art iTransformer while using 83 percent fewer parameters. Its mixed output heads and dynamic alpha mechanism produce thresholds that are both accurate and interpretable, allowing operators to inspect and adjust the learned policy without retraining. All comparisons are statistically significant at p < 0.001. The framework undergoes daily retraining using new data, which enables the thresholds to constantly adjust to changes in the network.
Mar 31, 2026

PASM: Population Adaptive Symbolic Mixture-of-Experts Model for Cross-location Hurricane Evacuation Decision Prediction

Accurate prediction of evacuation behavior is critical for disaster preparedness, yet models trained in one region often fail elsewhere. Using a multi-state hurricane evacuation survey, we show this failure goes beyond feature distribution shift: households with similar characteristics follow systematically different decision patterns across states. As a result, single global models overfit dominant responses, misrepresent vulnerable subpopulations, and generalize poorly across locations. We propose Population-Adaptive Symbolic Mixture-of-Experts (PASM), which pairs large language model guided symbolic regression with a mixture-of-experts architecture. PASM discovers human-readable closed-form decision rules, specializes them to data-driven subpopulations, and routes each input to the appropriate expert at inference time. On Hurricanes Harvey and Irma data, transferring from Florida and Texas to Georgia with 100 calibration samples, PASM achieves a Matthews correlation coefficient of 0.607, compared to XGBoost (0.404), TabPFN (0.333), GPT-5-mini (0.434), and meta-learning baselines MAML and Prototypical Networks (MCC ≤\leq 0.346). The routing mechanism assigns distinct formula archetypes to subpopulations, so the resulting behavioral profiles are directly interpretable. A fairness audit across four demographic axes finds no statistically significant disparities after Bonferroni correction. PASM closes more than half the cross-location generalization gap while keeping decision rules transparent enough for real-world emergency planning.