Synthetic Data

Training robust multivariate time series forecasting models requires large, diverse corpora, yet many real-world domains provide only a handful of observed sequences. Existing generators fail to resolve this mismatch: prior-based approaches (e.g., CauKer, TimePFN) produce domain-agnostic samples, while data-driven methods (e.g., TimeGAN) treat references as black-box supervision, forfeiting explicit control over periodic structure, local variability, and cross-variable dynamics. We propose ReGeN, a reference-guided generative pipeline that treats observed sequences not as examples to imitate, but as structural scaffolds for controllable synthesis. ReGeN decomposes each reference into three interpretable components: a phase-aligned periodic backbone capturing dominant domain morphology; per-variable stochastic residuals modeled with a deep-kernel Gaussian process; and lag-aware cross-variable dependencies injected through a structural causal model with fitted coupling coefficients. Sampling these components at controllable temperature broadens distributional coverage while preserving domain-grounded structure. We show that ReGeN-generated data consistently substitutes for real sibling data with minimal forecasting degradation, and in strongly periodic domains such as traffic, can outperform the real source itself. We further show that a foundation model pretrained on ReGeN corpora outperforms those pretrained on prior-based and data-driven synthetic alternatives. This suggests that in low-data regimes, how reference data is structurally exploited can matter as much as how much data is available.

Real-time monitoring of the temperature distribution within components and sub-structures is a challenging topic in many systems due to restrictions on feasible sensor locations. While machine learning (ML) proves a versatile tool in many applications, its adoption for high-resolution thermal monitoring is hindered by the availability of high-quality datasets for training. In this work, we propose a novel approach for generating datasets for industrial applications based on randomized physics-based simulations. We demonstrate the approach in a proof-of-concept hardware setup: A neural network (NN) trained only on such a synthetic dataset, is used to reconstruct the internal temperature field from sparse sensors embedded in the hardware. The NN-based reconstructions do not only outperform Kriging in robustness but also enable real-time inference, making the method suitable for online monitoring of otherwise unobservable thermal states.

Aggressive weight quantization to 2-bit precision offers substantial throughput and memory gains for large language model (LLM) inference, but typically incurs severe accuracy degradation. These gains are particularly relevant for edge and on-device deployment, where memory capacity and bandwidth are primary constraints. In this work, we extend Recover-LoRA -- a lightweight, data-free accuracy recovery method originally developed for general model weight corruption -- to the setting of ultra-low-bit quantization. We propose a selective mixed-precision strategy in which only gate and up projection layers of the MLP are quantized to 2-bit (W2), while all other linear layers remain at higher precision, yielding a mixed-precision GateUp configuration. We demonstrate via roofline analysis across three model families (4B--20B) and two hardware platforms that a W4/W2-GateUp deployment (4-bit base with 2-bit gate/up) delivers 7.5--23.3% TPS improvement over uniform W4 depending on model and context length, while confining quantization error to a predictable subset of layers. We then apply Recover-LoRA -- training low-rank adapters on the quantized layers via logit distillation with synthetic data -- to recover accuracy lost from 2-bit quantization of the gate and up layers. In a case study on Qwen3-4B, Recover-LoRA achieves 80--95% accuracy recovery on 9 of 12 benchmarks, using only 10k synthetic training samples and no labeled data. We further demonstrate that synthetic data performs comparably to curated labeled data for distillation-based recovery, and that recovery generalizes to out-of-distribution evaluation tasks. Our results present Recover-LoRA as a practical post-quantization accuracy recovery tool for aggressive weight compression in deployment settings.

Pretraining cost is a major bottleneck for research on tabular foundation models, slowing the iteration cycle for new architectures, priors, and optimization ideas. Yet the community lacks a simple way to compare and accumulate pretraining speedups. We introduce a community speedrun for nanoTabPFN: contributors modify a single-file training script and compete to reach a fixed downstream ROC AUC target on subsampled TabArena using one NVIDIA L40S GPU. The current best record reaches the target in 0.92 minutes, an 81x speedup over the 74.32 minute baseline while using 22x fewer synthetic datasets. The speedrun format provides a simple protocol for the community to add, verify, and stack pretraining improvements, with the leaderboard open to contributions. Code and records are available at https://github.com/borawhocodess/modded-nanotabpfn.

Machine learning systems deployed in high stakes socioeconomic settings routinely display bias. We formalize bias as a symmetry breaking operation: a classifier is fair if its outputs remain invariant under the counterfactual operation of switching a sensitive attribute, with merit features held fixed. We implement loss based regularization as a symmetry restoring mechanism and evaluate the framework on four synthetic datasets with varying levels of noise, correlation, and bias. The framework achieves upwards of 90% violation reduction, with accuracy costs around 5%. This framework does not require causal graph knowledge, is computationally lightweight, and generalizes to any sensitive attribute definable as a bit-flip, making it suitable for contexts where local sources of discrimination remain absent from mainstream benchmarks.

This study investigates the trade-offs between fidelity, privacy, and utility in synthetic data generation under conditions of data scarcity and privacy sensitivity. We propose an evaluation framework that jointly assesses these three dimensions and apply it to three widely used generative models, VAE, GAN, and DDPM. The evaluation spans three image datasets, MNIST, OCTMNIST, and OrganAMNIST, encompassing both general-purpose and medical imaging domains. Notable differences arise between the three models in their behaviour when differential privacy mechanisms are introduced during training. GAN and DDPM demonstrate greater robustness, maintaining higher fidelity and downstream utility across a range of noise levels, while VAE degrades more rapidly as privacy constraints increase. This study highlights the importance of a multidimensional evaluation of deep generative models, also noting that their behaviour significantly differs when privacy techniques are applied.

Recent advancements in generative AI have led to image editing models capable of producing realistic forgeries that evade traditional image forgery localization methods, as these approaches depend on physical noise absent in synthetic data. To address this challenge, we theoretically demonstrate that the diffusion process inherently suppresses local high-frequency variance, creating a statistical energy gap that is distinguishable from the natural entropy of optical imaging. Guided by this insight, we propose FLAME, a unified framework that utilizes a LAD map to capture these intrinsic anomalies, coupled with a parameter-efficient adapter for SAM to achieve precise, pixel-level forgery localization. Furthermore, to bridge the lag between forensic benchmarks and evolving generative models, we introduce EditStream, an automated pipeline for continuous, instruction-based training data synthesis. Extensive experiments demonstrate that FLAME establishes a new state-of-the-art, significantly outperforming previous methods on AI-generated forgery datasets while effectively generalizing to unseen generative architectures. Our code is available at https://github.com/phoenixnir/FLAME.

This paper proposes a method of creating synthetic data (SD) that will have two important advantages for the user compared to other methods currently available. The first is transparency; unlike other methods, the person in receipt of the SD will know which of the relationships between variables in the original data will be approximately maintained in the SD. The second is a guarantee that the SD is derived from information that has already been judged to be free of disclosure risk. This is achieved by first defining and calculating the margins where relationships between variables will be maintained in the SD. Each margin will then be subject to statistical disclosure control (SDC) to the standards defined by the data custodian, e.g. top-coding and bottom-coding, combination of small categories and/or modifying small counts. Further adjustment of the curated margins is advised by coarsening all counts in the table to multiples of the disclosure limit. These adjusted margins are used to create SD by the Iterative Proportional Fitting (IPF) algorithm. The practical steps involved in creating such SD are illustrated using data from the 1901 Census of Scotland.

Generated (or synthetic) image data is increasingly used to augment or replace real training datasets when target imagery is scarce, expensive, or biased. For hand detection, particularly in occupational safety settings, public datasets mostly contain bare hands. This under-represents the variation in hand appearance introduced by gloves, tattoos, jewelry, and other personal protective equipment, creating a distribution shift that safety-critical applications encounter at deployment. We test whether generative inpainting, editing only the hand region of a real photograph to introduce accessories, can close this shift gap. On a paired dataset of real images and their synthetic counterparts, we train YOLOv8n hand detectors under six training-and-scheduling regimes (Experiments A-F, three random seeds each), evaluate every detector on a real test set and on a real-gloves-only test split, and report the mean average precision (mAP) at two overlap thresholds (mAP@0.5 and mAP@0.5:0.95) along with paired statistical tests. A two-stage experiment: train on real U synthetic data, then fine-tune the resulting weights on real-only at a lower learning rate, increases mAP@0.5 compared to the real-only baseline model on the standard real test set, and improves the real-gloves out-of-distribution gap. Another three-stage experiment preserves box-tightness best, reaching the highest mAP@0.5:0.95 of any other experiment in the study. The synthetic-data utility for safety-critical hand detection is determined by the training procedure, and simple multi-stage experiments extract substantial real-deployment benefit from inpainted accessory data.

Differentially private (DP) text synthesis promises to unlock sensitive corpora for model training, but it remains unclear whether DP synthetic data transmits genuinely new knowledge and capabilities present only in those corpora. This is because existing evaluations rely on tasks that are nearly solvable without training, so strong benchmark performance does not establish that DP synthesis can substitute original data access. Thus, we introduce ContinuousBench, a continuously and automatically-regenerated benchmark that measures capability gain from DP synthetic text. Each quarter, a new release pairs a never-before-seen training corpus with a derived QA set, constructed to be: (1) unsolvable sans-corpus; and (2) learnable under DP, as the tested knowledge is supported by hundreds of independent records. Researchers produce DP synthetic data from the training corpus and run our standardized training and evaluation harness on their synthetic data to measure gains. We instantiate two tracks: Geminon, a procedurally-generated dataset about fictional creatures; and News, a stream of newly crawled public news articles. Although standard benchmarks are nearly saturated, on ContinuousBench we find that non-private synthesis transfers substantial knowledge from the original corpus, while state-of-the-art DP synthesis methods generally fail to do so, even at $\varepsilon=100$.

Deep learning in computer-aided design (CAD) remains fundamentally constrained by the data scarcity challenge: authentic CAD data is difficult to collect at scale, while synthetic data may not faithfully reflect real design practice. Rather than pursuing ever-larger CAD datasets, this paper alternatively treats CAD learning as a knowledge completion and calibration problem. It introduces KDH-CAD, a knowledge-data hybrid framework that integrates pretrained knowledge in foundation models, structured domain knowledge from textbooks/tutorials, and a very small amount of labeled CAD data. Domain knowledge is used to elicit and complete CAD-relevant concepts that are weakly expressed or under-represented in pretrained foundation models, while labeled CAD data calibrates these concepts in the latent space to account for task-specific geometric variability, without fine-tuning the foundation model. Experiments on real-world mechanical part classification show that KDH-CAD achieves strong performance in low-data regimes, reaching 92.6% accuracy with only 250 training samples, 95.8% with 1,000 samples, and continuing to improve with additional data. This matches or exceeds state-of-the-art performance that typically requires an order of magnitude more data. These results suggest that combining pretrained foundation models with structured domain knowledge can substantially reduce reliance on large-scale CAD datasets, providing a principled and practical direction for data-efficient CAD learning.

Privacy and data sharing are often in tension. Many organizations use synthetic data to reduce privacy risk and still share useful data. For tabular data, auditing privacy remains hard. In many cases, even humans cannot easily tell if a table is real or synthetic. In this paper, we propose a method based on LLM discrimination. We ask an LLM to classify each table sample as REAL or SYNTHETIC. We test two settings: C1 with table only, and C2 with table plus distributional metadata. We use LLaMA as an open model and Gemini as a reference model. In our experiments, we run three synthesis models, CTGAN, TVAE, and Gaussian Copula, on two public datasets, UCI Adult and ACS Census. We collect 451 valid trials. Our results show clear differences between models. On Adult, LLaMA reaches DRS=0% in reported cells, while Gemini reaches DRS=100% for CTGAN and TVAE. On Census, LLaMA predicts SYNTHETIC for most samples, while Gemini stays high in C1 but drops for CTGAN and TVAE in C2. We also compare with a classifier two-sample test (C2ST) and record linkage as distributional baselines, and with a human pilot of 2 annotators and 240 trials. Our results show that LLM discrimination is a practical privacy audit signal when model choice, per provider reporting, and data encoding are handled with care. For reproducibility, code and experiment scripts are available at https://github.com/SlokomManel/LLM-as-a-Discriminator.

High-quality, large-scale synthetic data from simulations is becoming a cornerstone for pushing the capabilities of robot algorithms. While aerial robotics simulators have evolved to support specialized needs such as fidelity, differentiability, and swarms independently, a unified platform that can synthesize data across all these domains is missing. In this work, we propose Crazyflow, a simulator designed to push the limits of aerial-robotics algorithm development, from model-based to data-driven methods, gradient-based to sampling-based approaches, and single-agent to multi-agent systems. Compared to existing state-of-the-art drone simulators, it achieves speeds more than an order of magnitude faster for a single drone and can simulate thousands of swarms of 4000 drones each. Real-world experiments show Crazyflow supports both analytical-gradient-based policy learning, achieving sub-centimeter trajectory tracking accuracy without domain randomization, and sampling-based obstacle avoidance at speeds exceeding half a billion steps per second. Breaking the traditional train-then-deploy paradigm, we show that its unprecedented speed even enables in-flight reinforcement learning; we demonstrate this by throwing a physical drone into the air and training a recovery policy from scratch in 0.38 seconds, successfully stabilizing the drone. Crazyflow supports multiple levels of simulation abstraction, is directly compatible with all open-source Crazyflie models, and enables rapid reconfiguration across custom drone platforms and applications by providing a light-weight system identification pipeline. By pushing accuracy, speed, and differentiability simultaneously, Crazyflow serves as an open-source resource for synthetic data generation, with emerging capabilities for large-scale parallelization for online, in-execution learning and optimization, opening the door to novel algorithm development.

Network data are ubiquitous across the social sciences, biology, and information systems. Generating realistic synthetic network data has broad applications from network simulation to scientific discovery. However, many existing black-box approaches for network generation tend to overfit observed data while overlooking characteristic network structure, and incur substantial computational overhead at scale. These practical challenges call for synthetic network generation methods that are both efficient and capable of capturing structural properties of networks. In this paper, we introduce Synthetic Network Generation via Latent Embedding Reconstruction (SyNGLER), a general and efficient framework for synthetic network generation that builds on latent space network models. Given an observed network, SyNGLER first learns low-dimensional latent node embeddings via a latent space network model and then reconstructs the latent space by building a distribution-free generator over these embeddings. For generation, SyNGLER first samples (or resamples) node embeddings from the generator in the latent space and then produces synthetic networks using the latent space network model. Through the latent space framework, SyNGLER preserves unique characteristics in networks such as sparsity and node degree heterogeneity, while allowing for efficient training with lower computational cost than many existing deep architectures. We provide theoretical guarantees by developing consistency results on the distance between the true and synthetic edge distributions. Empirical studies further demonstrate the effectiveness of SyNGLER, which efficiently produces networks that better preserve key network characteristics such as network moments and degree distributions compared with existing approaches. Code is available at https://github.com/FeifanJiang/syngler.

Synthetic data are increasingly used to train neural networks, yet distributional mismatch with real data limits their effectiveness when used indiscriminately. A common strategy is to learn data weights via bi-level optimization, which we refer to as Meta-learning for Training-data Selection (MTS). Interestingly, in practice, MTS often performs below expectation. We identify two obstacles in properly training MTS: a poor gradient signal-to-noise ratio (GSNR), which causes optimization difficulties, and lack of informative features that correlates with data quality. We present a mathematical analysis of MTS, which reveals the dynamics of normalized data weights and the relation between disparate data quality and poor GSNR. The analysis suggests a a simple yet effective solution: increasing the batch size. Further, we propose a set of informative features that capture the positions of training data in their distributions and training dynamics. Experiments across four benchmarks show consistent improvements, achieving average gains of 5.49% over training without selection and 2.89% over the strongest baseline.

Selection bias is a common and often unavoidable aspect of real-world data that challenges the generalizability of machine learning models. When models trained on biased data are deployed in the broader target population, poor model generalization may lead to real harm, particularly in high-risk settings such as healthcare. This risk highlights the need for practitioners to reliably assess model generalizability prior to deployment. However, existing methods for predicting model performance rely on unrealistic access to the target distribution or knowledge of the selection mechanism causing bias. To address these limitations, we propose a novel upper bound on the worst-case model performance on the target population under the realistic setting where the selection mechanism and the target population data are only partially observed. We demonstrate the validity and practical utility of our method through experiments on fully synthetic data, semi-synthetic data derived from the All of Us Research Program, and real-world selection bias in MIMIC-IV. Our work offers a principled and practical tool to estimate the impact of selection bias in an otherwise intractable setting, thereby enabling practitioners to build safer and more generalizable models in healthcare and beyond.

Software systems generate massive unstructured logs that record execution behavior, failures, and interactions across components, yet existing log anomaly detection methods treat these logs primarily as flat sequences of templates, overlooking the relational execution structure that governs how events co-occur and evolve over time. We propose a framework that discovers this hidden structure by recovering an execution state machine directly from logs and inducing a corresponding multi-table relational schema connecting traces, events, states, transitions, and parameters. This discovered state machine serves as a generative prior to produce realistic multi-relational synthetic data that preserves structural, temporal, and process constraints while amplifying rare but valid execution behaviors. We assess the fidelity of the generated data through constraint validation, distributional similarity, and process-level metrics, and demonstrate its usefulness by showing that augmenting real logs with the synthetic relational data significantly improves anomaly and bug detection on held-out real datasets compared to sequence-based baselines and naive oversampling. Our results show that execution logs implicitly encode a relational database governed by a latent state machine, and that recovering this structure enables principled synthetic data generation for robust and interpretable anomaly detection.

Modifying an attribute in tabular data often introduces an unnatural instance by breaking its relationships with other attributes. The modified instance must be both natural and minimally changed from the original instance. This paper addresses the challenge of generating such a modified instance. We identify key limitations in existing approaches: generative models either don't support instance-level attribute editing or, in the case of methods like CVAE, retain attribute information in the latent space, leading to unnecessary modifications. To solve this, we propose TabChange, an approach that analyzes the relationship between the attribute of interest and other attributes in the dataset. If the relationship is weak, it simply flips the attribute; if it is strong, it uses an adversarial framework that removes information about the attribute in the latent space representation. This removal enables precise modifications, making only the necessary adjustments to maintain naturalness. Our experiments across seven datasets show that TabChange generates counterfactuals in attributes that are comparable in naturalness and are more proximal to their original instances. This leads to a higher number of valid counterfactuals and a lower number of invalid counterfactuals compared to the baselines.

We study the problem of differentially private (DP) $k$-means clustering in Euclidean space. Previous solutions rely on summing the private data directly, which induces a sensitivity proportional to the domain. We introduce PE-means, an extension of the private evolution (PE) algorithm (an increasingly popular method for synthetic data generation), to the problem of $k$-means clustering. The key advantage of PE is that it only computes a private histogram with constant sensitivity to guide the evolution. Our adaptation of PE includes new evolutionary operators for clustering, as well as other algorithmic improvements of independent interest. Overall, PE-means achieves an average improvement of 26% in clustering loss over state-of-the-art baselines such as Google's LSH-based algorithm and DP-Lloyd variants.

Despite being ubiquitous in science, clustering lacks a unified framework for quantitatively evaluating the replicability of its results. We present evaluating replicability via iterative clustering assignments (ERICA), a method for determining whether clusters can be identified reproducibly in a dataset. The pipeline computes a statistic that determines whether reproducible cluster structure is present in a dataset. Quantitative visualization methods are also introduced to characterize similarities between clusters and identify observations that may represent outliers or unstable assignments. Experiments on synthetic datasets demonstrate that ERICA successfully identifies reproducible cluster structure. In contrast, application of ERICA to three breast cancer gene-expression datasets reveals instances in which clustering solutions are not reproducible. The study underscores the importance of rigorously evaluating clustering solutions and provides a practical framework for doing so.

Large-scale recommendation systems operate across diverse domains, yet they face the challenges of data sparsity and noisy implicit feedback. Traditional approaches mitigate this via model-specific knowledge distillation from source domains to a target domain. Inspired by the transformative success of synthetic data generation in large language models (LLMs), we introduce Synthetic Cross-domain Augmentation and Learning for Recommendation (SCALR), a framework that generates synthetic user-item interaction events for a target recommendation domain by leveraging observed events from a source domain. SCALR decomposes cross-domain learning into two modular stages. First, it translates observed user events in source domains by framing event generation as estimating the likelihood that a user would interact with a target-domain item, conditioned on their observed interactions in a source domain. Second, downstream models train on these synthetic events as cross-domain learning objectives, where the synthetic events augment the target domain's training data in a model-agnostic manner. Our approach yields statistically significant improvements in online A/B tests on an industrial recommendation platform. To the best of our knowledge, this is among the first works to explicitly frame cross-domain event transfer as synthetic data generation for recommendation systems.

Can a language model improve from plain text sampled from itself, with no prompts, no teacher, no verifier, and no reward model? Yes, but only when the synthetic corpus is compatible with the student, a relational property of the source-student pair rather than an intrinsic property of the data. We call this the latent capability resurfacing hypothesis: weak self-training can amplify capabilities already present in the pretrained model, but only under this compatibility condition. We study this in the minimal setting of prompt-free unconditional self-training, where base language models are fine-tuned on text generated from the BOS token alone, with no task specification or external supervision. We report three findings. First, synthetic utility is relational rather than intrinsic: self-generated data is the most effective source, same-lineage transfer outperforms stronger but differently trained sources, and cross-family transfer is substantially weaker. Second, common intrinsic proxies fail: neither benchmark-level semantic similarity nor average per-token likelihood under the student predicts which corpora help. Third, this regime produces a surprising byproduct. In controlled Pythia experiments, capability and verbatim memorization decouple: benchmark utility is preserved or improved while held-out exact-match extraction drops by over 95 percent, with no forget set, privacy objective, or targeted unlearning. Together, these results suggest that prompt-free self-training works by amplifying what the student already knows, not by importing structure from the data. They also reveal a regime in which capability and verbatim memorization can be separated without any explicit unlearning objective.

Creating sound for storytelling is crucial to establishing the environment in productions such as films, TV series and video games. This process often involves repeating, layering and recording real objects or using sound libraries, which can be time-consuming and repetitive. To address these challenges, procedural audio, also known as digital foley, offers a solution by allowing sound designers to quickly generate samples. Despite its efficiency, questions remain about the believability of synthetic samples compared to real ones. In our study, we compared synthetic samples generated by an online procedural engine and integrated them with both animated and live-action visuals. Our results indicate that procedural audio is highly effective and perceived as believable in drama and sci-fi scenes, particularly for sound models such as lasers, hits, air and rockets, whereas synthetic sounds weren't as believable in cartoon productions when representing everyday actions. Finally, we identified specific models that needed optimisation and highlighted audio features that needed improvement with feedback from audio professionals.

The shortage of legally compliant data for face recognition training has sparked growing interest in using synthetic data as an alternative. While recent diffusion-based methods enable the generation of photorealistic face images with strong identity adherence and data diversity, their downstream recognition performance still exhibits a significant synthetic-real gap. This paper identifies visual tendency as a previously underexplored limitation, whereby synthetic data exhibit an unrealistic prevalence of visual attributes and thus deviate from the real-data distribution. Visual tendency can be attributed to the generator's conditioning on identity embeddings, through which co-occurring residual visual cues are unintentionally absorbed into learned identity semantics. To discourage the generator from exploiting such visual cues, this paper proposes SteerFace, a simple and efficient training framework that perturbs identity embeddings by steering them toward random orthogonal directions on the embedding hypersphere. The perturbation serves as an identity-preserving regularizer that penalizes the generator's reliance on non-identity components, as supported by theoretical analysis. This paper further introduces an adaptive strategy that learns perturbation strengths with both sample-wise preference and favorable overall statistics. Extensive experiments show that SteerFace effectively mitigates visual tendency, outperforms prior methods in downstream face recognition, and generalizes well across different training datasets and generation pipelines.

As video diffusion models (VDMs) advance toward world models, a key question arises: do they truly understand causality, or merely overfit to statistical temporal patterns? Existing benchmarks mostly rely on synthetic data, limiting real-world generalization due to the sim-to-real gap. We present YoCausal, a two-level benchmark inspired by the Violation of Expectation (VoE) paradigm from cognitive science. By temporally reversing real-world videos at zero cost as natural counterfactual samples, YoCausal establishes an arbitrarily extensible evaluation protocol. Level 1 introduces the Reverse Surprise Index (RSI), quantifying arrow-of-time perception via denoising loss. Level 2 introduces the Causality Cognition Index (CCI), which leverages a VLM to stratify datasets into causal and non-causal subsets, disentangling genuine causal reasoning from temporal bias. Evaluation of 13 state-of-the-art VDMs reveals that perceiving the arrow of time does not imply understanding causality, and a significant gap persists relative to human-level causal cognition.

Data stream processing has become a landmark in modern machine learning applications, with concept drifts and novel class appearances posing the primary challenges faced by sophisticated recognition methods. This work proposes an unsupervised concept drift detection method that identifies shifts in known class distributions based on the reconstruction errors of an autoencoder, while also enabling the recognition of novel class samples through density estimation of a proxy representation of samples. Using mirrored autoencoders allows for independent incremental adaptation to changing problem distributions for the two considered tasks, resulting in continuous adjustment to evolving concepts and reliable recognition of unknown samples. Conducted experiments used a diverse set of synthetic tabular data streams, where both concept drifts and the emergence of novelties were observed. The results show that the proposed approach is competitive with current state-of-the-art unsupervised drift detectors and novelty classifiers.

Foundation models are increasingly trained on synthetic data generated by prior model iterations rather than exclusively on real data. This self-consuming training paradigm can lead to model collapse, divergence, or bias amplification. Recent work (Ferbach et al., 2024) shows that incorporating human curation into the loop can steer a self-consuming model toward human-aligned behavior, but these analyses focus on a single, isolated model that solely consumes its own outputs. In practice, however, models often interact and train on input-output pairs produced by other models. This paper studies self-consuming training in the multi-model regime. We first formalize a framework for interacting self-consuming models and characterize when the resulting dynamical system converges to a stable point. We then examine how human curation of one model affects its own alignment (self-influence) and how such effects propagate to other models (cross-influence). Unlike isolated settings where human curation always enhances model alignment, we show that cross-model interactions can dampen or even invert this effect, ultimately degrading long-term alignment.

Personalized tutoring, teacher training, and education research need access to \emph{targeted} synthetic misconceptions, but privacy and IRB constraints make labelled corpora of real student errors scarce. LLMs could in principle generate synthetic errors at scale, but producing an arbitrary wrong answer is easy for a modern LLM while producing one that matches a specified cognitive failure mode is much harder. We present a framework that generates errors targeted to a five-class taxonomy adapted from the revised Bloom's taxonomy, evaluated on questions from the TheoremQA dataset. A Generation Agent (GA) drafts a candidate erroneous solution conditioned on a target class, and an Examination Agent (EA) judges whether the draft is incorrect and class-consistent. The framework yields a reusable recipe for building class-stratified synthetic error datasets where authentic student corpora are unavailable. As a secondary diagnostic, targeted error generation is substantially harder than free-form incorrect-answer generation, and answer-grounding contributes more than expanded examples or external textbook content.

Safety detection models require examples of HHH (Helpful, Harmless, Honest)-violating outputs for robust generalization, however such examples are scarce. Activation Steering (AS) has emerged as a data-efficient method for generating target-concept-aligned responses. We investigate whether AS can generate high-quality training datasets for downstream classifiers, a question that remains untested. We present a two-fold study with intrinsic and extrinsic evaluation across $4$ concepts $\times\,2$ models $\times\,4$ steering methods. Intrinsically, beyond the field-standard rubric of steering success (concept alignment) and coherence, we introduce sample- and set-level diversity as a quality axis previously absent from the literature, and find that increasing steering strength reduces response diversity. Extrinsically, we replace HHH-violating examples in the available training data with steered generations and fine-tune detection classifiers. AS-generated data results in a better classifier than the prompting-generated data on $3$ of $4$ concepts. However, only $41$ of $136$ AS configurations outperform prompting, indicating that downstream utility lies in a narrow regime that jointly satisfies success, coherence, and diversity. The harmonic mean of these three axes correlates with downstream AUROC more consistently across concepts than success and coherence alone, providing a practical heuristic target for practitioners tuning AS hyperparameters. Together, our results highlight the potential of AS in synthetic data generation for improving safety detection and identify diversity as a critical, previously overlooked axis for tuning AS.

Existing approaches for synthetic tabular data generation are based on either purely generative models or LLMs, both of which struggle with data heterogeneity, logical consistency, rare-event coverage, and robustness in low-data regimes. In this paper, we propose a hierarchical hybrid top-down and bottom-up (H-TDBU) framework that decouples semantic structures from stochastic texture. In the top-down path, structure-driven logical constraints and cross-modal alignment rules are constructed, while in the bottom-up path, lightweight tabular generators are used to learn local statistical patterns from real data. The two paths are consolidated in a unified synthesis engine with an iterative feedback loop. We evaluate the framework on weak multimodal financial benchmarks combining tabular and sentiment-text data. Experimental results show that our H-TDBU approach improves train-synthetic-test-real performance over neural baseline methods while preserving semantic consistency. Our results suggest that hierarchical rule-guided synthesis provides an effective mechanism for combining controllability, semantic coherence, and statistical fidelity in synthetic data generation.

BuddyBench introduces a privacy-constrained multi-task benchmark for pediatric social-communication personalization. Unlike existing neurodevelopmental repositories that primarily emphasize imaging, genetics, or cross-sectional clinical phenotyping, BuddyBench links drill-level learning trajectories, standardized clinical assessments, BuddyPlan self-report, and randomized-treatment endpoints within a unified benchmark schema. BuddyBench combines two cohorts: ND-03 is an observational cohort with dense drill coverage for Tasks1-2 (n = 189), and ND-02 is a randomized controlled trial cohort for Tasks3-4 (n = 86 ITT). Together, they support knowledge tracing, next-drill recommendation, clinical prediction, and causal inference, linking behavioral personalization to clinical evaluation. We additionally introduce BuddyBench-Sim, a synthetic companion dataset for reproducible evaluation. Baselines show signal across tasks while keeping pediatric clinical records protected.

Terrain understanding is fundamental for mobile robots operating in unstructured outdoor environments. Existing vision-based traversability estimation methods rely on robot-specific annotations or semantic class mappings, limiting transferability across platforms and requiring costly re-annotation when robot capabilities change, while standard semantic segmentation methods only focus on specific predefined classes, which do not capture the variety of terrains. In this work, we propose a transformer-based architecture that jointly performs class-specific semantic segmentation and class-agnostic terrain segmentation within a unified network, called Trinity. Terrain regions are segmented based solely on visual appearance, without predefined semantic labels or robot-dependent traversability scores. This formulation enables the learning of robot-agnostic visual terrain priors that can be combined with robot-specific experience for downstream tasks such as traversability estimation, visual odometry, and mission planning. To enable large-scale training with diverse terrain appearances, we extend the OAISYS simulator and introduce RUGDSynth, a synthetic dataset inspired by RUGD with class-agnostic terrain samples. Furthermore, we present the EXTerra Dataset, providing real-world images annotated with both class-specific and class-agnostic terrain labels. Experiments demonstrate the feasibility of the proposed task and the effectiveness of our joint segmentation approach in complex outdoor environments. Code and datasets will be released with this publication (after review).

In recent years, financial institutions and firms have increasingly adopted synthetic data to address data scarcity and to generate counterfactual market scenarios. However, reproducing all the statistical properties of financial time series, commonly known as stylized facts, remains an open challenge for many existing general-purpose architectures. In this paper, we present a quality-aware generative framework that combines two classes of generative methods, demonstrating how their integration addresses existing limitations while enhancing the realism of synthetic data. Specifically, we first introduce CoMeTS-GAN (Correlated Multivariate Time Series GAN), a Conditional Generative Adversarial Network (C-GAN) designed to jointly generate mid-price and volume time-series for correlated stocks. We then show how our GAN architecture can be incorporated into state-of-the-art diffusion models to enhance the quality of generated correlation structures. Specifically, the GAN's Critic serves as a quality evaluation module that guides the diffusion process, enforcing learned correlation structures in the generated time-series. Our framework offers a lightweight and responsive solution for realistic stock market simulation, explicitly modeling inter-asset correlation structures. We experimentally validate our framework against leading generative architectures, showing that it more effectively captures the stylized facts of stock markets and models inter-asset correlations.

Synthetic data offers a promising solution to two persistent barriers in supply chain analytics: data scarcity and data privacy. However, for synthetic data to support operational simulation and decision-making, it must do more than reproduce the statistical distributions of real records, and also preserve the \emph{operational logic} that governs supply chain processes, including the temporal orderings, mathematical dependencies, hierarchical taxonomies, and conditional rules that make a record operationally plausible. We consider this logic as the ``physics'' of supply chain data. Existing tabular generative models are primarily optimized for distributional fidelity and downstream predictive utility, and therefore often generate records that appear statistically realistic but violate fundamental operational constraints. This paper introduces \textbf{\textit{TabKG}}, a knowledge-graph-guided framework for logically consistent synthetic supply chain tabular data generation. TabKG constructs a \textbf{\textit{Column Relationship Knowledge Graph (CR-KG)}} to represent data operational dependencies. It uses a multi-LLM ensemble with majority voting to propose candidate relationships from column metadata, validates these relationships against real data to remove hallucinated or unsupported edges, and then uses the validated CR-KG to guide generation. Specifically, TabKG compresses the original table into independent columns, generates these columns using a latent diffusion model, and deterministically reconstructs dependent columns according to the validated relationships, enforcing logical consistency by construction with respect to the discovered operational rules.

Generating high-fidelity synthetic tabular data under formal differential privacy guarantees remains an open challenge. Methods that provide strong theoretical protection typically sacrifice the modeling of inter-feature dependencies required for realistic synthesis, while architectures that excel at capturing complex column relationships offer only empirical privacy guarantees. We present PATE-TabTransGAN, a generative framework that integrates the Private Aggregation of Teacher Ensembles (PATE) mechanism with a Transformer-based student discriminator to jointly address both requirements, and employs a GNMax RDP accountant for numerically stable privacy accounting. An ensemble of Logistic Regression teachers trained on disjoint partitions supervise the student via noisy-aggregated labels, and a residual generator is optimized against this differentially private student, inheriting formal (ε, δ)-DP guarantees by post-processing. PATE-TabTransGAN was compared with PATE-GAN, DP-GAN, and DP-CTGAN, considered state-of-the-art in differentially private tabular synthesis. Experiments conducted on four tabular benchmarks (Adult, Breast, Cardio, Cervical) confirmed the high quality of the proposed method: PATE-TabTransGAN attains the best or tied-best AUROC on all four datasets. On AUCPR it matches the strongest baseline on Cardio, leads on Cervical, and trails on Breast; on Adult, we demonstrate that AUCPR is highly sensitive to positive-class convention, and that the observed gap is consistent with a convention difference between evaluation pipelines rather than a synthesis deficit.

Scaling data volume and diversity is critical for generalizing embodied intelligence. While synthetic data generation offers a scalable alternative to expensive physical data acquisition, transferring robotic manipulation policies from simulation to the real world (sim-to-real) remains a formidable challenge due to the domain gap. This paper presents HyperSim, a holistic framework spanning from synthetic data generation to policy training and seamless real-world deployment. To systematically bridge the sim-to-real gap, HyperSim is realized through three core pillars: high-fidelity environment synthesis, adversarial trajectory generation, and sim-and-real co-training. Collectively, these modules address domain discrepancies by enhancing visual fidelity, expanding data coverage, and enforcing domain-invariant representations. We rigorously validate HyperSim through a large-scale empirical study involving 400 real-world task executions across two representative manipulation models. Assessed across three fine-grained metrics, our complete pipeline achieves remarkable sim-to-real success rates of 80% and 95% with ACT and π_{0}, respectively. Furthermore, policies trained on our adversarial trajectories exhibit significantly enhanced robustness against dynamic uncertainties, achieving a 35% higher completion rate under physical perturbations.

Blood vessel segmentation is a core task in medical image analysis for the care of vascular diseases and surgical planning, yet the challenges of providing expert vascular annotations pose a major obstacle for the progress of related deep learning techniques. To address this, we propose VesselSim, a two-stage framework for universal 3D blood vessel segmentation that eliminates the need for real annotated data during training. First, we introduce a stochastic, geometry-driven vascular simulation framework that models recursive branching, curvature-controlled growth, and collision-aware topology, followed by domain-randomized intensity synthesis to generate 16,500 anatomically plausible 3D angiographic volumes. Second, a 3D U-Net is trained solely on this synthetic data. To bridge the domain gap from synthetic to real images at inference time, we introduce a test-time adaptation strategy via a self-supervised mask reconstruction decoder, enabling adaptation to unseen clinical scans without prior domain knowledge. We evaluate VesselSim in a zero-shot setting on multiple real-world datasets spanning MR and CT across several anatomical regions, including the brain and kidneys. Despite being trained exclusively on synthetic data, VesselSim achieves performance competitive with state-of-the-art vascular segmentation foundation models. These findings suggest that learning vessel geometry from synthetic tubular structures is effective for robust cross-domain generalization, substantially reducing the reliance on acquired medical imaging data and more importantly, expert annotations.

The issues that must be considered regarding the utilization of synthetic data generated through LLMs for multilabel patent classification include (i) when the use of such data may help and (ii) why. Indeed, the former part appropriately adjusts for the possibility of improving results by an increase in sample size. The current experiment involves six open-source LLMs (from 3.8B to 12B parameters) for four real-data regimes in classification of 64 WIPO labels of assistive technologies. Both full-synthesis generation, conditioned on the label set, and paraphrasing methods are applied, with each used in combination with three classifier categories. It is shown that the claimed improvements in micro F1 for BERT-for-Patents from 0.120 to 0.702 mainly reflect a volume effect; indeed, replication with replacement in 165 examples produces 0.678. Thus, the improvement over the control is +0.024, while compared to the best baseline (focal loss reweighting) is +0.219. The second crucial point to consider here is that of evolving fidelity scores as the data generation regime varies. For low real-data regimes, the volume effect dominates and the correlation coefficient between maximum mean discrepancy (MMD) and classification performance equals r = +0.95. As more real data is used, the correlation becomes inverted and reaches r = -0.73 at the 1:10 regime (Fisher z = +6.47, p < 0.001, 95% CI on Delta r [ +0.96, +1.00 ]). In terms of a fixed budget allocation, combining real data (about 20-30%) with synthetic (70-80%) outperforms both purely synthetic and purely real strategies. Moreover, a corpus that allows for improvement in classification performance up to +0.58 in raw micro F1 may adversely affect a Jaccard-overlap retrieval proxy. Prompt-family variations for other genres may provide some explanation of the phenomenon, but using the standard-patent filter still decreases nDCG@10 by 26%.

Camera-controlled video generation has achieved remarkable progress in recent years. However, existing video-to-video re-rendering methods primarily rely on Supervised Fine-Tuning using synthetic datasets. At present, there is an extreme scarcity of synchronized, multi-view real-world video data. Consequently, the prevailing paradigm often exhibits limited generalization when processing out-of-distribution real-world videos, with models struggling to accurately adhere to physical scales and camera trajectories. To bridge this gap, we propose Geo-Align, the first Reinforcement Learning framework specifically designed for camera-controlled video re-rendering. Built upon a pretrained model, we optimize the model through a scale-aware perceptual reward mechanism. Specifically, we introduce a metric 3D estimator to extract precise camera trajectories from generated videos, explicitly penalizing deviations in rotation and translation. Furthermore, we meticulously designed a data pipeline strategy based on real-world conditioning videos and target camera trajectories derived from synthetic data, eliminating the reliance on paired data. Extensive experiments demonstrate that Geo-Align consistently outperforms existing supervised learning baselines in both precise camera controllability and visual fidelity, indicating the effectiveness of our method.

In many prediction problems, we have extra information during training (for example, measurements that are expensive or slow to collect) that will not be available when the model is deployed. A common strategy is to first train a model that uses all training information, then use its predictions on unlabeled examples to train a second model that only uses the inputs available at test time. However, when the extra training-only information is weak or noisy, this Two-Stage approach can mislead the deployment model and even hurt accuracy. We propose a joint training method that learns the two models together, so the deployment model can benefit from the extra information only when it actually helps, instead of inheriting its mistakes. We provide guarantees that describe when joint training improves prediction accuracy and analyze a simple alternating training algorithm for large, high-dimensional models. Experiments on synthetic data and real-world prediction tasks show that our approach avoids these failures and robustly outperforms standard Two-Stage baselines.

Children with rare genetic diseases often exhibit distinctive facial phenotypes, yet developing computer vision systems for early diagnosis remains challenging due to extreme data scarcity, privacy constraints, and limited data sharing in pediatric settings. These challenges not only hinder automated diagnosis but also restrict the availability of visual resources for clinical genetic counseling. While prior work has shown that synthetic data can augment real datasets and preserve phenotype-level semantics, it remains unclear whether synthetic data alone is sufficient for learning in ultra-low-resource pediatric settings. In this work, we study the synthetic-only regime for pediatric rare disease recognition. Under a controlled experimental setup, models are trained exclusively on phenotype-aware synthetic facial images at increasing scales. We find that synthetic-only training achieves performance comparable to real-data-only baselines at sufficient scale across multiple backbones, suggesting that high-fidelity synthetic data can approximate clinically meaningful distributions. These findings together further enable the use of synthetic pediatric facial images as privacy-preserving resources for genetic education and counseling, supporting clinician training and patient communication. Our results highlight the potential of computer vision to improve data efficiency and expand accessible visual tools in children's healthcare.

Today, tool-calling agents are commonly evaluated or tested on static datasets of execution traces, including input commands, agent responses, and associated tool calls. However, internal production datasets are often insufficient or unusable for testing; for example, they may contain sensitive or proprietary data, or they may be too sparse to support comprehensive testing (especially pre-deployment). In these settings, practitioners are increasingly replacing or augmenting real datasets with synthetic ones for evaluation purposes. A key challenge is quantifying the relation between these synthetic datasets and the real data. We introduce SynAE, an evaluation framework for assessing how well synthetic benchmarks for multi-turn, tool-calling agents replicate and augment the characteristics of real data trajectories. SynAE assesses the validity, fidelity, and diversity of synthetic data across four metric categories: (i) task instructions and intermediate responses, (ii) tool calls, (iii) final outputs, and (iv) downstream evaluation. We evaluate SynAE using recent agent benchmarks and test common synthetic data failure modes via realistic and controlled generation schemes. SynAE detects fine-grained variations in data validity, fidelity and diversity, and shows that no single metric is sufficient to fully characterize synthetic data quality, motivating a multi-axis evaluation of synthetic data for agent testing. A demo of SynAE is available at https://synae-2026-synae-demo.static.hf.space/index.html, with code at https://github.com/wsqwsq/SynAE.

Eye tracking (ET) is a foundational technology for advanced AR/VR applications. However, training ET models for every new ET device is challenging: real data collection is costly and time-consuming, while existing synthetic data generation methods lack realism. To remove the need for additional data collection while maintaining data quality, we introduce a data-driven 3D prior that models the distribution of human eyes across diverse identities, gaze directions, and light settings. This model, which we coin GazePrior, then enables sparse-input 3D reconstruction of annotated data collected with previous ET devices, which can in turn be rendered from the cameras of any target ET device. Our approach synthesizes data with the realism, diversity and ground-truth accuracy of real data collection without its prohibitive costs. Our experiments demonstrate that ET models trained with our synthesized data outperform previous zero-shot methods, achieving higher accuracy and robustness.

As robot fleets become more heterogeneous, including humanoids, rovers, quadrupeds, and drones, selecting the right robot for a task becomes a core systems problem. We study robot skill prediction: mapping a natural-language task description to the physical capabilities required to execute it, such as fly, wheels, legs, surface water, under water and hands. Since labelled data that maps natural-language task descriptions to robot's physical capabilities does not exist, we construct a synthetic task-to-skill dataset using LLM-assisted generation and targeted label auditing. Trained on this data, a ~133M-parameter ensemble of two fine-tuned sentence encoders (mpnet + MiniLM) reaches 83.5% task-to-skill matching on a stratified 200 task dataset, outperforming Kimi K2 (1T MoE) at 72.0%, GPT-OSS-120B at 71.5%, and Llama-4-Scout-17B at 69.0% under the same zero-shot prompt. These results suggest that, for fixed robot skill taxonomies, small specialized models trained on synthetic data can outperform much larger general-purpose LLMs for fleet-level task routing.

Country-level temporal panels are widely used in empirical analysis. Researchers often need to audit how different entities respond to historical signals over different time horizons. Current approaches typically do not provide directly auditable entity-specific lag summaries. We formulate entity-conditioned heterogeneous lag discovery as a temporal panel mining task and propose AC-GATE, an Adaptive-Conditioning Encoder with a Scale-Invariant Lag Gate. It instantiates conditional Moderated Distributed Lag by using observable entity-level proxies to condition lag-weight distributions over historical observations, thereby making effective lags structural outputs of the model rather than post-hoc explanations. The evaluation is based on a layered audit protocol that separates predictive calibration from lag discovery. A synthetic panel with known ground-truth lags is used for mechanism recovery testing, and two real-world country-level panels are used for external audit and stress testing. The results show that AC-GATE can recover heterogeneous lag structure in synthetic data, and generates non-degenerate, externally structured effective lags in real data.

Modern vision models achieve strong performance on standard benchmarks, yet their aggregate accuracy reveals little about which scene properties drive their predictions. Existing robustness benchmarks provide important stress tests, but typically manipulate global 2D image properties, rely on entangled real-world variation, or cover only a limited set of 3D objects and scene parameters. We introduce MAPS (Manifolds of Artificial Parametric Scenes), a scalable instrument for controlled attribution of vision model behavior to scene parameters. MAPS comprises 2,618 curated photorealistic 3D meshes validated for recognizability across 560 ImageNet classes and provides a Blender-based rendering pipeline for on-demand image generation under continuous variation of nine independent scene-factors spanning background, camera, and lighting, extensible to other factors. To showcase its applicability, we use MAPS to evaluate 20 convolutional and transformer-based models by quantifying their reliance on these scene factors through regression-based sensitivity analysis. We find a near-universal failure axis across all tested architectures: camera distance and elevation consistently dominate recognition failure regardless of ImageNet accuracy. However, the full sensitivity structure reveals that modern CNNs and transformers cluster together, distinct from older architectures, suggesting that fine-grained architectural design choices, rather than the coarse CNN-versus-transformer distinction, are the stronger determinant of sensitivity profiles.

Concept-based Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) interprets deep learning models using human-understandable visual features (e.g., textures or object parts) by linking internal representations to class predictions, thereby bridging the gap between low-level image data and high-level semantics. A major challenge, however, is the reliance on large sets of labeled images to represent each concept, which limits scalability. In this work, we investigate the use of zero-shot Text-to-Image (T2I) generative models as a source of synthetic concept datasets for concept-based XAI methods. Specifically, we generate concepts using predefined prompts and evaluate their faithfulness to real ones through four complementary analyses: (1) comparing synthetic vs. real concept images via concept representation similarity; (2) evaluating their intra-similarity by comparing pairs of subsets of the same concept with progressively increasing size; (3) evaluating their performance for downstream explanation tasks using relevant class images; (4) evaluating how removing a concept from tested class images affects explanations of generated concepts. While current T2I generative models promise a shortcut to concept-based XAI, our study highlights challenges and raises open questions about the use of synthetic data generated by zero-shot pipelines in model analyses. The resulting dataset is available at https://github.com/DataSciencePolimi/ZeroShot-T2I-Concepts.

Spacecraft pose estimation networks require tens of thousands of CAD-rendered images to be trained. This reliance on synthetic CAD data (i) limits applicability to targets with reliable geometry prior, excluding uncooperative or poorly documented spacecraft, and (ii) causes poor generalization to real on-orbit conditions due to unrealistic illumination and material appearance. This paper introduces a NeRF-based image augmentation method that enables the learning of spacecraft pose estimators from only a few tens to a few hundreds of images. The method learns a Neural Radiance Field of the target and generates a large, diverse dataset through geometrically-consistent viewpoint and appearance augmentation. This augmented dataset enables the training of accurate target-specific pose estimators without requiring a CAD model or large synthetic datasets. Experiments show that our approach supports the training of accurate pose estimators from only 25 to 400 realistic images, even under severe illumination variations. When applied on large CAD-based synthetic datasets, the NeRF-based augmentation also enhances out-of-domain generalization, yielding improved robustness to real on-orbit conditions.

Generative artificial intelligence is rapidly transforming the supply side of training data: an increasing share of new tokens, images, and structured records is produced by previous-generation models rather than by human originators. Recursive training on such synthetic content induces a measurable and often irreversible loss of distributional fidelity, a phenomenon known as model collapse. We develop the first unified microeconomic theory of synthetic data markets under model collapse. We introduce the Synthetic Data Contamination Equilibrium (SDCE), prove existence and generic uniqueness, derive a welfare decomposition W = W_prod + W_cons - L_coll - L_info, establish a Wasserstein-gradient-flow mean-field collapse limit, prove an impossibility of information-constrained implementation, and obtain closed-form expressions for the welfare-maximizing provenance subsidy s* = KL(q||p)/(2 kappa) and the welfare-maximizing watermark strength w* = (1 - psi) KL(q||p)/(2 kappa psi). We prove an information-theoretic Cramer-Rao lower bound on any provenance estimator using only producer-side observations and show that the Provenance-Market Iterative Retraining (PMIR) algorithm attains this bound up to constants while converging to an epsilon-SDCE in O(epsilon^-2 log T) iterations. A reduced-form OLS estimation on a C4-synthetic benchmark over ten retraining generations yields a collapse-rate coefficient b-hat = 0.181 (HAC s.e. 0.024), within one standard error of the structural prediction 0.183. Calibrated experiments raise generation-ten model quality by 23.1 percent over the unregulated benchmark while lowering the 2-Wasserstein drift on a held-out diversity probe from 0.318 to 0.142. Scaling experiments over generations t in {1,...,10} recover a logarithmic-in-t collapse law log Q_t = log Q_0 - 0.183 t rho^2 with R^2 = 0.962.

Driven by rapid advances in large-scale generative models, synthetic data has emerged as a promising solution for visual understanding. While modern diffusion models achieve remarkable photorealistic image synthesis, their potential in complex visual segmentation tasks remains underexplored. In this work, we conduct a systematic analysis of synthetic images from state-of-the-art diffusion models to uncover the factors governing their utility. In particular, synthetic images characterized by dense scene composition and fine instance fidelity demonstrate distinctive benefits, yielding significantly more discriminative spatial representations. Building on these insights, we propose SENSE, a unified framework that leverages flexible and scalable synthetic data to substantially enhance segmentation performance. Notably, SENSE is model-agnostic, compatible with diverse architectures (e.g., DPT and Mask2Former), and scales effectively across models with varying parameter capacities. Extensive experiments on Cityscapes, COCO, and ADE20K validate the effectiveness and generalization capability of our approach. Code is available at https://github.com/zhang0jhon/SENSE.

LLM pretraining is shifting from a compute-bound to a data-bound regime, where available human (organic) text falls far short of scaling demands. However, reaching the data-bound regime does not mean the model has fully utilized its organic corpus. In this paper, we introduce SynPro, a synthetic data generation framework that helps LLMs more thoroughly learn from limited organic data. SynPro applies two operations, rephrasing and reformat, that present the same organic source in diverse forms to facilitate deeper learning without introducing external information. Both generators are optimized via reinforcement learning with quality, faithfulness, and data influence rewards, and are continuously updated as pretraining plateaus to target content the model has yet to absorb. We pretrain 400M and 1.1B models with 10% of their Chinchilla-optimal tokens (0.8B and 2.2B) from DCLM-Baseline, reflecting a realistic data-bound regime in frontier pretraining. Our results reveal that organic data is significantly underutilized by standard repetition: SynPro unlocks 3.7-5.2x the effective tokens of repetition, even surpassing the non-data-bound oracle that trains on equivalent unique data at the 1.1B scale. Analyses confirm that faithful, model-aware synthesis sustains data-bound scaling without causing distribution collapse. We open-source our code at https://github.com/cxcscmu/SynPro.

Synthetic data is widely used in healthcare to create datasets that preserve statistical properties of real data without exposing sensitive patient information. Generating and evaluating synthetic data across privacy, utility, and fairness dimensions is crucial for enabling high-quality data availability in downstream prediction tasks and clinical decision making. We present \textbf{Memisis}, a tool that orchestrates and evaluates synthetic data by leveraging existing synthesis libraries, large language models (LLMs), and state-of-the-art evaluation metrics. Our tool creates a unified workflow for data generation, validation, and evaluation. Users can control training size, training epochs, and the number of synthetic rows to sample. Beyond manual configuration, an interactive agent mode allows users to specify data generation goals in natural language, and the tool orchestrates the full pipeline by invoking existing synthesizers while performing the requisite evaluation. For the demo, we use an open-source schizophrenia dataset with protected attributes related to race and gender, evaluate six synthesizers spanning GANs, VAEs, diffusion models, and normalizing flows, and use a local LLM to orchestrate the workflow. The system affords users flexibility and control over the data generation and evaluation process.

Tabular data generation considers a large table with multiple columns -- each column comprised of numerical, categorical, or sometimes ordinal values. The goal is to produce new rows for the table that replicate the distribution of rows from the original data -- without just copying those initial rows. The last 4 years have seen enormous progress on this problem, mostly using computational expensive methods that employ one-hot encoding, VAEs, and diffusion. This paper describes a new approach to the problem of tabular data generation. By employing copula transformations and modeling the distribution as a kernel density estimate we can nearly match the accuracy and leakage-avoidance achievements of the previous methods, but with almost no training time. Our method is very scalable, and can be run on data sets orders of magnitude larger than prior state-of-the-art on a simple laptop. Moreover, because we employ kernel density estimates, we can store the model as a coreset of the original data -- we believe the first for generative modeling -- and as a result, require significantly less space as well. Our code is available here: \url{https://github.com/tabkde/tabkde-main}

Recent work has fine-tuned language models on chess data and reported high benchmark scores as evidence that the resulting models can understand the rules of chess, play full chess games at a professional level, or generate human-readable explanations grounded in expert knowledge. We train KinGPT, a 25M-parameter character-level language model trained only on (position, best-move) pairs, who exceeds 3B-parameter ChessGPT on a 600-puzzle mate-in-N suite and 4B-parameter C1-4B over a 20-theme puzzle benchmark. We examine several claims made in existing literature regarding chess-trained language models and assert that their impressive benchmark performance is largely explained by pattern-matching. We also demonstrate how LLM-Modulo, a verifier-in-the-loop framework, raises RedPajama 3B's best move accuracy from 1.2% to 21.2% and move generation validity from 19.3% to 95.3% on mate-in-N chess puzzles, comparable to gains achieved from ChessGPT's fine-tuning on chess-specific web corpora at a fraction of the cost. Our results illustrate how pairing a general LLM with an external verifier offers a more flexible alternative to directly training on synthetic data for well-defined domains. We open source all training/evaluation code, datasets, puzzle samples, and KinGPT model checkpoints for reproducibility.

Large Language Models (LLMs) generate realistic synthetic data but offer no guarantee that their outputs respect the causal mechanisms governing the target domain. We introduce CausalSynth, a framework that decouples causal structure generation from semantic realization, yielding synthetic data that is both causally valid and linguistically rich. The framework operates in three phases. First, a Structural Causal Model (SCM) - a tuple of structural equations defined over a directed acyclic graph (DAG) generates causal skeletons, i.e., variable assignments that satisfy the Global Markov Property of the governing DAG, via ancestral sampling. Second, an LLM acts as a constrained \emph{realizer}, a conditional translator that maps each skeleton to a high-dimensional observation such as a clinical note or a transaction log. Third, an Iterative Consistency Verification module detects structural violations through deterministic extraction and feeds targeted corrections back to the LLM, forming a closed-loop refinement process. We identify the Semantic Backdoor problem the systematic tendency of LLMs to override imposed causal facts with pre-training priors -- and prove that our iterative mechanism reduces the resulting selection bias relative to standard rejection sampling. On three causal benchmarks (ASIA, ALARM, and MIMIC-Struct), CausalSynth preserved conditional independencies with false-positive rates near the nominal $α=0.05$ level and achieved realizability rates above 96% with 70B-parameter LLM backbones. The framework additionally supports principled interventional and counterfactual generation through noise retention and graph mutilation.

Facial Expression Recognition faces two core challenges. The first is class imbalance in public datasets, which skews the learning process and weakens generalization. The second is related to privacy and data collection constraints, which limit the sharing of facial images and restrict the creation of large, balanced datasets. To address these issues, we examine three complementary strategies for constructing privacy-preserving FER datasets in the standard seven discrete facial expression classes setting. Our strategies are: (i) pseudo-labeling large unlabeled face collections with a teacher model under a confidence-thresholding scheme, (ii) prompt-driven synthesis using diffusion models conditioned on demographic attributes, and (iii) task-aware GAN-based expression editing that modifies facial expression while preserving identity and realism. For training and evaluation, we employed widely adopted datasets, including AffectNet, RAF-DB, and FER2013. We utilized the synthetic datasets DigiFace, DCFace, and EmoNet-Face BIG as unlabeled sources for pseudo-labeling. Additionally, we utilized the FFHQ dataset as the source for generative synthesis. The main experiments are conducted using a classic CNN backbone, IR50, and we also explore a more complex architecture, POSTERv1, to assess its feasibility and robustness. Using cross-dataset evaluations, we analyze the trade-offs each strategy presents in curated datasets. The findings demonstrate how synthetic data can effectively substitute or be combined with real datasets to mitigate imbalance and privacy limitations. Code and generated datasets:https://www.github.com/AliAZ98/SyntFER

Developing and evaluating e-commerce web agents requires environments that preserve meaningful task structure while enabling controllable, reproducible, and scalable scientific comparison. Existing methodologies force a tradeoff: live storefronts provide realism but are non-stationary, difficult to inspect, and irreproducible, while hand-built sandbox benchmarks provide control but cover only a narrow range of layouts, catalogs, policies, and interaction patterns. We argue that the core bottleneck is methodological: the field lacks a scalable way to construct evaluation settings that are simultaneously realistic, diverse, controllable, inspectable, and reproducible. We introduce ShopGym, an integrated framework for realistic simulation and scalable benchmarking of e-commerce web agents. ShopGym is a framework for constructing e-commerce simulation environments and grounded benchmark tasks. Its simulation layer, ShopArena, converts live seed storefronts into self-contained sandbox shops through anonymized shop specifications and a staged, validated generation process. On top of these simulated storefronts, ShopGuru synthesizes benchmark tasks across seven skill categories, grounding each task in the shop's catalog, navigation structure, policies, and interaction affordances. Together, ShopArena and ShopGuru produce self-contained, resettable, inspectable, and stable evaluation artifacts that preserve structural properties and agent-evaluation signals relevant to shopping tasks. We validate the framework through graph-based structural analysis and agent-based behavioral evaluation with 224 generated tasks across six sandbox shops: three constructed with synthetic data and three with real data. Our results show that the synthetic shops preserve key structural properties of live storefronts, with agent performance on synthetic shops positively correlated with performance on live storefronts.

Recent advances in image generation have made it easy to produce high-quality images. However, these outputs are inherently flattened, entangling foreground elements, background, and text within a fixed canvas. As a result, flexible post-generation editing remains challenging, revealing a clear last-mile gap toward practical usability. Existing approaches either rely on scarce proprietary layered assets or construct partially synthetic data from limited structural priors. However, both strategies face fundamental challenges in scalability. In this work, we investigate whether pure synthetic layered data can improve graphic design decomposition. We make the assumption that, in graphic design, effective decomposition does not require modeling inter-layer dependencies as precisely as in natural-image composition, since design elements are often intentionally arranged as modular and semantically separable components. Concretely, we conduct a data-centric study based on CLD baseline, which is a state-of-the-art layer decomposition framework. Based on the baseline, we construct our own synthetic dataset, SynLayers, generate textual supervision using vision language models, and automate inference inputs with VLM-predicted bounding boxes. Our study reveals three key findings: (1) even training with purely synthetic data can outperform non-scalable alternatives such as the widely used PrismLayersPro dataset, demonstrating its viability as a scalable and effective substitute; (2) performance consistently improves with increased training data scale, while gains begin to saturate at around 50K samples; and (3) synthetic data enables balanced control over layer-count distributions, avoiding the layer-count imbalance commonly observed in real-world datasets. We hope this data-centric study encourages broader adoption of synthetic data as a practical foundation for layered design editing systems.

Tabular data sharing under privacy constraints is increasingly important for research and collaboration. Synthetic data generators (SDGs) are a promising solution, but synthetic data remains vulnerable to attacks, such as membership inference attacks (MIAs), which aim to determine whether a specific record was part of the training data. State-of-the-art MIAs are powerful but impractical: they rely on shadow modeling, requiring hundreds of SDG training runs, and need auxiliary data several times larger than the original training set. Fast proxy metrics like distance to closest record (DCR) are efficient but have limited sensitivity to MIA risk. We introduce ReMIA (Relative Membership Inference Attack), a practical privacy metric that requires only two SDG training runs and additional data no larger than the original training set. Rather than predicting whether a record was in the training set, ReMIA generates two synthetic datasets from two source datasets and measures whether a classifier can identify which source a record came from. Experiments across multiple tabular datasets and SDGs show that ReMIA has a sensitivity comparable to state-of-the-art MIAs while being substantially more practical. We further observe that SDGs can achieve privacy-utility trade-offs that traditional noise-based anonymization methods do not match. Code is available at https://github.com/aindo-com/remia.

Recent advancements in generative AI facilitate large-scale synthetic data generation for model evaluation. However, without targeted approaches, these datasets often lack the sociotechnical nuance required for sensitive domains. We introduce NodeSynth, an evidence-grounded methodology that generates socially relevant synthetic queries by leveraging a fine-tuned taxonomy generator (TaG) anchored in real-world evidence. Evaluated against four mainstream LLMs (e.g., Claude 4.5 Haiku), NodeSynth elicited failure rates up to five times higher than human-authored benchmarks. Ablation studies confirm that our granular taxonomic expansion significantly drives these failure rates, while independent validation reveals critical deficiencies in prominent guard models (e.g., Llama-Guard-3). We open-source our end-to-end research prototype and datasets to enable scalable, high-stakes model evaluation and targeted safety interventions (https://github.com/google-research/nodesynth).