Clinical Decision Support

Momentum

14 papers in the last four weeks, up 100% on the four weeks before. 0.1% of all new papers.

Jul 13Week of Sep 28

Latest papers 156

Jul 30, 2026q-bio.QM

GRAIN: Molecules Are Not the Right Granularity -- Active-Ingredient Modeling for Safe Medication Recommendation

Medication recommendation from electronic health records must balance predictive accuracy against the risk of adverse drug-drug interactions (DDIs) under polypharmacy. Existing safety-aware recommenders operate at one of two granularities: the drug code, which treats each medication as an indivisible token, or the molecular substructure, which is finer than pharmacological interaction knowledge is actually organized. We argue that the active ingredient is the missing granularity, and introduce GRAIN, a medication recommendation framework built around it. GRAIN encodes longitudinal patient trajectories (diagnoses, procedures, past medications) with a selective state space backbone that handles long, irregular visit sequences in linear time. On top of it we introduce a joint objective unifying three knowledge sources aligned to a common medication vocabulary: a drug-level DDI graph, an ingredient-level DDI graph obtained by normalizing medication codes to active ingredients via RxNorm, and an EHR-derived co-prescription graph. A proportional controller adapts the accuracy-safety trade-off to the observed validation DDI rate rather than fixing it a priori. Under strictly matched settings -- identical preprocessing, cohort, vocabulary, split, and evaluation code -- GRAIN improves over a re-implemented MambaHealth baseline on MIMIC-IV across all standard multi-label metrics (Jaccard 0.4488 to 0.4983, PRAUC 0.6911 to 0.7485, F1 0.5989 to 0.6453) while reducing the drug-level DDI rate from 0.1875 to 0.0948. We further define an ingredient-level DDI rate, a safety measure invisible to drug-code-level evaluation. The results indicate that ingredient-level normalization recovers predictive signal erased by code-level aggregation, and that it is complementary to, rather than in competition with, accurate sequence modeling.
Jul 30, 2026cs.CL

The MADRS Pipeline: Supporting Depression Assessment in Clinical Trials

Depression is a major mental disorder for which diagnosis relies primarily on clinical assessments. Automated methods to support its detection via the psychiatric MADRS scale are getting more and more attention. While existing solutions primarily focus on detecting the disorder from different text sources (e.g., online text, social media), there is still limited support for clinical trials, where clinical assessments are conducted through structured interviews based on standard guidelines such as SIGMA. In this work, we develop a LLM pipeline specifically designed to support clinicians in supporting the assessment of depression in patients enrolled in clinical trials. Our pipeline converts audio interviews into transcripts, maps them into the ten MADRS symptom items, estimates their severity, and identify problematic clinical ratings associated with them. Evaluation on real clinical interviews shows a strong overall correlation of 0.867 with expert ratings, providing interpretable support for future assessments in clinical trials.
Jul 29, 2026physics.med-ph

Rethinking Artificial Intelligence in Medical Imaging: Assumptions, Reality, and Reframing

Medical imaging has served as primary proving ground for clinical artificial intelligence (AI), yet a decade of intense research has not translated into proportionate bedside impact. We argue that this gap is not primarily a product of insufficient algorithmic performance, inadequate regulation, or limited explainability. Rather, it reflects a structural misalignment, between how AI systems are designed and evaluated, and how clinical decisions are made. This Perspective identifies six interconnected dimensions of this misalignment: the dominance of pixel-only models in a multimodal clinical world; the erosion of physician trust through opaque and inflexible systems; the unfulfilled promise of foundation models in data-sparse medical domains; the persistent bottleneck of non-shareable, under-curated datasets; the gap between validated algorithms and deployable clinical platforms; and the failure of prediction-centric AI to generate actionable clinical guidance. For each dimension, we reframe the problem and propose a path forward, culminating in a vision of agentic, physician-aligned AI that extends, rather than replaces, clinical judgment.
Jul 29, 2026cs.AI

Reasoning in Real World Clinical Care: Why Large Language Models Are Not Yet Safe for Autonomous Clinical Decision Support

LLM now pass medical licensing examinations and, in curated cases, can rival physicians at diagnostic reasoning. These developments have accelerated the use of LLMs for symptom assessment and clinical decision support in diagnostic and treatment guidance, administrative documentation, and rules-based alert enhancement. This Perspective concerns the most consequential of these applications: the autonomous triage of self-presenting, undifferentiated patients, with little or no clinician in the loop. For that task, the evidence of safety does not yet exist. The gap is not in medical knowledge but in the fidelity of clinical evaluation: a model optimized to continue the most probable text is not optimized to act safely when the safe answer is the improbable must-not-miss diagnosis. Safe triage is not the selection of the most likely diagnosis; it is a sequential decision under asymmetric cost, in which the single catastrophic miss outweighs many false alarms, and the decisive signal may be one the patient has not volunteered - and that the model has not been trained to seek. The core deficit is therefore one of information gathering under uncertainty. Under incomplete histories, LLM systems may fail to show the behaviors safe triage requires: broadening the differential; seeking the missing red flag; lowering the threshold for escalation; deferring judgement until sufficient information is obtained; and escalating concern where high-harm diagnoses remain unexcluded. These modes of failure for LLMs can be difficult to detect considering that evaluations to date often use complete, well-curated, confidence-gated simulations. The application of LLMs under these conditions may be amplified by assistant-like behaviors and positive bias, including credulity, agreeableness, and miscalibration - when these are not constrained by clinical triage logic.
Jul 28, 2026cs.AI

GuideSkill: Evolving Executable LLM Agent Skills for Guideline-Grounded Clinical Reasoning

Clinical practice guidelines (CPGs) encode diagnostic criteria, but LLM systems typically retrieve guideline text or absorb it through training rather than execute its rules. We introduce GuideSkill, an external reasoning layer that compiles disease-specific criteria into executable functions returning ordinal diagnostic-support scores. GuideSkill-Zero is initialized from guidelines, while GuideSkill-Evo uses case--diagnosis pairs to refine covered skills and add missing diagnoses. At inference, an LLM proposes a differential diagnosis, grounds the features required by each matched skill, and fuses its ranking with the executed skill scores. Across four benchmarks and four backbones, GuideSkill-Zero improves macro-average accuracy over guideline RAG by 13.45% on average. GuideSkill-Evo achieves the highest macro-average for every backbone, improves over direct inference by 18.49% relatively, and increases gold-label skill coverage from 56.5% to 99.5%. On Qwen3.5-9B, it also exceeds the strongest parameter-update baseline by 11.16% without updating the backbone. Expert evaluation further indicates that GuideSkill produces clinically sound and broadly acceptable skills, suggesting that its initialized and evolved rules are reliable and practically meaningful. These results support executable skills as a model-agnostic mechanism for combining guideline-derived procedures with case-derived diagnostic patterns.
Jul 28, 2026cs.AI

Cardiologent: Multi-Agent Clinical Decision Support for Patient-Level Arrhythmia Assessment, Urgency, and Management

The same episode of atrial fibrillation is a minor finding in a healthy adult and grounds for anticoagulation in an elderly patient with hypertension: identical signal, opposite decision. Naming the rhythm is only the start; what determines a patient's outcome is the judgement that follows -- what the arrhythmia is across the whole record, what it means for this patient, and what should be done about it. Recent work pairing large language models with the ECG stops short of this, reading one recording without assembling a patient-level finding; and agentic systems built around it either receive the arrhythmia a device has already detected or target a different diagnostic task, stopping before the decision this task requires. We formulate patient-level arrhythmia decision support as a task and present Cardiologent, a multi-agent system that spans it from detection to decision. An agent for each signal -- a single ECG lead and the photoplethysmogram a wearable acquires -- grounds its window reading in measured features rather than a bare label; the readings are assembled into the patient's rhythm profile and, with the patient's own data, reasoned against clinical guidelines retrieved for the case, with a critic checking each conclusion against the guideline it cites. We evaluate the clinical decision rather than the report, across integrated diagnosis, clinical significance, and urgency and management. Cardiologent scores highest on every axis, first on every patient-level task under both cardiologists and an at-scale LLM judge -- whose agreement with the cardiologists (ICC 0.74, 0.66) matches theirs with each other (0.67). Because each conclusion traces to a cited guideline and is validated against expert cardiologists, it yields decisions a clinician can audit rather than act on blindly -- a step toward use in continuous monitoring.
Jul 27, 2026cs.IR

Grounded in Consensus, In Step With Emerging Science: A Consensus-Anchored Multi-Corpus Clinical Chatbot for Long COVID

Long COVID (LC) poses a challenge for clinical decision support because relevant evidence is distributed across sources with different update cycles, evidentiary roles, and levels of clinical maturity. We present a clinician-facing chatbot that organizes four sources within a retrieval-augmented workflow: expert-curated consensus guidance, current PubMed literature, registered interventional trials, and evidence from living systematic reviews. Consensus guidance is always included to frame responses, while the remaining sources are retrieved in parallel when selected by the user. In an exploratory automated evaluation on 50 clinician-facing questions, our chatbot showed comparable mean ratings to OpenEvidence, with numerically higher scores and lower score variability in an LLM-judged comparison.
Jul 23, 2026cs.IR

Improving Rare Medication Recommendation with Counterfactual Data Augmentation and Large Language Models

AI-based medication recommendation systems have attracted substantial attention due to their potential to enhance patient safety and therapeutic outcomes. Despite the clinical importance of accurately recommending rarely prescribed medications (rare-meds), we observe that most existing methods show significantly lower predictive performance for rare-meds. We attribute this issue to two intrinsic limitations: (a) the inherent scarcity of data for rare-meds and (b) limited consideration of co-recommended medications. To address these limitations, we propose GenRxR, a novel framework based on large language models (LLMs). GenRxR leverages the medical knowledge and clinical reasoning capability of LLMs to generate counterfactual medical data, mitigating the data scarcity issue for rare-meds. It also integrates an LLM into the medication recommendation process to model relationships among co-recommended medications. To further enhance the clinical reasoning, we introduce an instruction tuning step that aligns the LLM's capability with the recommendation task, enabling better handling of clinical context, including rare-meds cases. In our experiments, we show that GenRxR outperforms 14 (including 5 LLM-based) baselines in most cases. Specifically, it achieves up to 30.9% higher predictive performance for rare-meds than the strongest baseline.
Jul 22, 2026cs.LG

Bayesian uncertainty estimation improves clinical decision making in medical AI agents

Machine learning models for medical image analysis typically lack a reliable measure of confidence, limiting their use in ambiguous or atypical cases. Here we show that Monte Carlo dropout, applied to a multi-task chest-radiograph classifier (eight thoracic findings, 137,593 training images), provides an epistemic uncertainty signal that tracks generalisation across training-set scales and flags confident yet error-prone predictions. Adding this signal to the point prediction raised error-detection AUROC from 0.74 to 0.77 (ΔΔAUROC +0.023, 95% CI [+0.014, +0.033]). In a controlled 2x2 factorial experiment, a clinical-decision-support agent exploited this uncertainty only when it was delivered as a binary error-risk flag rather than as raw scores, cutting confident misdiagnoses on unreliable findings from 8.5% to 2.7%. Epistemic uncertainty estimation thus carries decision-relevant information beyond point predictions, but its value for downstream agents depends on how it is communicated.
Jul 21, 2026math.OC

From Operations to Elderly Care Outcomes: A Thematic Review of Industrial Engineering and Decision-Support Approaches

The rapid growth of the global aging population presents severe challenges to healthcare systems, necessitating efficient, equitable, and patient-centered care models. While Industrial Engineering and Operations Research (OR) provide robust optimization and decision-support tools to address these multidimensional complexities, current applications often remain fragmented. This paper presents a thematic review of 30 seminal studies at the intersection of OR and elderly care, categorizing the literature into home healthcare operations, polypharmacy management, and clinical chronotherapy. Our analysis highlights a significant methodological evolution from static, deterministic models toward dynamic and stochastic frameworks integrated with artificial intelligence (AI). Despite these advancements, a critical translational gap persists: the current OR literature is heavily dominated by process-level optimizations, such as staff routing, and struggles to translate these operational efficiencies into measurable clinical outcomes. Furthermore, holistic models bridging the transition between hospital and community care remain critically underexplored. To develop resilient and smart healthcare systems, this study proposes a conceptual framework that shifts the research focus from isolated operational tasks to integrated, multi-level decision-making. We emphasize the critical need for robust systems analysis, human-inclusive design, and the smartification of care through emerging digital technologies - including digital twins and large language models - to successfully bridge the gap between theoretical operational metrics and tangible patient-level health outcomes.
Jul 21, 2026cs.LG

Biological Amnesia in ICU Time-Series Prediction: A Drift-Adaptive Two-Stream Architecture with Temporal Retrieval

Background: Clinical decision support systems degrade silently as treatment protocols evolve, yet standard adaptation methods treat models as monolithic blocks, unable to distinguish stable patient physiology from shifting institutional practice. Methods: We propose an adaptive clinical intelligence architecture for ICU intervention prediction that structurally decouples physiological from treatment representations, confining parameter updates to the treatment stream upon a dual distributional and accuracy trigger. Automated audit logs record which treatment features drove each adaptation event and how their importance shifted. At inference, an attribution-driven Temporal RAG module grounds each prediction in patient-specific, era-matched PubMed evidence anchored to the patient's dominant physiological features. Experiments used 84,792 MIMIC-IV stays (2008-2022) under strict chronological split. Results: Drift localised entirely to the treatment stream, validating the structural prior. Selective adaptation improved vasopressor and septic shock discrimination and calibration over the static source model. A fully retrained baseline yielded marginally higher aggregate discrimination but missed 26 septic shock cases the framework correctly identified, with none in the reverse direction; retrieval consistency with the pre-adaptation source model was preserved by the framework but degraded substantially in the retrained baseline. Conclusions: Structurally constraining adaptation to drifting components while preserving stable physiological representations enables clinical AI to evolve with practice without distorting learned patient biology. This architecture offers a template for governable, interpretable deployment of adaptive models in high-stakes clinical environments.
Jul 18, 2026cs.LG

Enhancing Personalized Bladder Cancer Treatment Through Reinforcement Learning: A Recurrent Patient State Transition Decision Support Framework

Bladder cancer treatment requires personalized and adaptive decision-making, particularly for recurrent disease, where treatment effectiveness changes across successive clinical episodes. Conventional clinical decision support systems typically rely on static treatment guidelines or single-step predictive models, limiting their ability to capture disease progression over time. This paper presents a recurrent patient state-transition simulation framework for bladder cancer treatment planning that integrates predictive state-transition modeling with a Markov Decision Process (MDP) and a Deep Q-Network (DQN) reinforcement learning environment. The predictive module estimates changes in tumor characteristics following treatment, while the reinforcement learning agent sequentially optimizes treatment decisions by interacting with simulated patient trajectories. This framework enables dynamic, patient-specific treatment planning by continuously adapting recommendations to evolving clinical states. It also generates interpretable treatment trajectories and detailed simulation logs to improve transparency and support clinical decision-making. The proposed framework was evaluated against existing reinforcement learning-based treatment planning approaches. It achieved a cumulative reward of 63,918.87, an average training loss per episode of 0.0056, and a policy improvement score of 6.62%, demonstrating effective sequential learning and robust treatment optimization in a simulated recurrent treatment environment. These findings highlight the potential of recurrent patient state-transition simulation with reinforcement learning as a flexible decision-support framework for personalized bladder cancer treatment planning and AI-assisted precision oncology.
Jul 14, 2026cs.AI

Aletheia: An Offline-First Clinical Decision Support System for Differential Diagnosis in Low-Resource Healthcare Settings

Access to specialist clinical expertise remains severely limited across sub-Saharan Africa, where physician-to-patient ratios can fall below 1:25,000 in rural settings. Existing AI-assisted diagnostic tools predominantly require reliable internet connectivity and high-specification hardware, rendering them impractical for frontline healthcare workers in district hospitals and health centres. This paper presents Aletheia, an offline-first clinical decision support system designed for low-resource healthcare contexts across sub-Saharan Africa. Aletheia is built upon Qwen2.5-3B-Instruct, fine-tuned using Quantised Low-Rank Adaptation (QLoRA) on a curated dataset of 27,000 clinical reasoning samples spanning 50 disease conditions with elevated prevalence in East Africa. Evaluation demonstrates a Top-1 diagnostic accuracy of 80% (8 of 10 cases; 95% CI 49.0-94.3%), Top-3 accuracy of 100% (10 of 10; 95% CI 72.2-100%), BERTScore-F1 of 0.909, and METEOR of 0.467. These diagnostic figures are computed over a deliberately small set of ten representative clinical case categories, one case each, and are therefore indicative rather than statistically robust; the wide confidence intervals should be read alongside them. The system achieves an Expected Calibration Error (ECE) of 0.275 and passes the Africa Deep Tech Challenge 2026 (ADTC 2026) memory budget constraint of 7,168 MB, achieving a peak inference RAM of approximately 3,630 MB on the standardised benchmark laptop. These results demonstrate the feasibility of deploying large language model-based clinical reasoning at the primary care level in resource-constrained settings without cloud infrastructure.
Jul 14, 2026cs.AI

Evidence-Grounded AI for Musculoskeletal Care

Musculoskeletal diseases are among the leading causes of disability worldwide and create the greatest global need for rehabilitation. Because recovery, remodelling and degeneration often unfold over months to years, musculoskeletal care requires longitudinal management that repeatedly integrates evolving patient evidence, external medical knowledge and stage-specific functional goals. In routine practice, this evidence is fragmented across visits, departments and hospital systems, limiting individualized, evidence-based care. Here we report OrthoPilot, a clinical artificial intelligence system powered by a large language model that integrates hospital data streams with authoritative external knowledge for continuous musculoskeletal management. OrthoPilot autonomously retrieves real-time imaging, laboratory, pathology and order data and converts evolving patient states into evidence-based decisions from admission diagnosis to rehabilitation planning. We established a specialist-validated benchmark from real-world electronic health records spanning 1,000 disease codes. In a reader study across the complete care pathway, OrthoPilot was compared with 81 orthopaedic physicians and surpassed experts with 25 years of experience in diagnostic reasoning, clinical decision-making and management planning. It also outperformed all evaluated intelligent systems across 60 external clinical centres. In a prospective study of 1,870 complex cases, OrthoPilot increased full-chain management success by 10.6%. During an 8-month randomised deployment involving 8,240 inpatients, it increased cumulative cases per bed by 9.7% and improved patient-reported access to health information. These results move clinical AI from predicting isolated events toward executing longitudinal management across complete musculoskeletal care pathways.
Jul 13, 2026eess.IV

Calibrated Selective Prediction Using Deep Ensembles for ROI-Based Thyroid Nodule Ultrasound Classification Under Dataset Shift: A Retrospective Evaluation

Background: Deep learning models can classify thyroid nodules on ultrasound, but reliable clinical decision support also requires calibrated probabilities, uncertainty estimation, and selective referral, particularly under dataset shift. Methods: We developed a calibrated deterministic five-member deep ensemble for ROI-based thyroid nodule classification and selective image-based triage. TN5000 was used for model development, five-fold cross-validation, member-wise vector-scaling calibration, and fold-specific threshold selection. TN3K served as an independent external dataset-shift evaluation. The framework used ConvNeXt-Tiny with squeeze-and-excitation attention, ensemble-mean malignancy probability, and mutual information (MI) as an ensemble-disagreement score. A three-tier policy assigned images to No-FNA suggestion, FNA recommendation, or radiologist review. Results: On pooled out-of-fold TN5000 predictions, the ensemble achieved AUC-ROC 0.9395, AP 0.9715, ECE 0.0088, and Brier score 0.0813. At 50% nominal MI retention, 7.2% of cases received a No-FNA suggestion, 39.9% an FNA recommendation, and 52.9% radiologist review, with 98.3% No-FNA NPV and 99.83% malignancy capture. On TN3K, AUC-ROC decreased to 0.7870, AP to 0.7254, ECE increased to 0.1899, and Brier score to 0.2281. The frozen TN5000 policy assigned 83.7% to review, 1.0% to No-FNA, and 15.3% to FNA recommendation. No malignant image entered the No-FNA pathway, but FNA-recommendation PPV fell to 76.6%. Conclusion: The framework showed strong internal discrimination and calibration, but limited external threshold transportability. Selective prediction may help identify images unsuitable for automated triage, but local recalibration, threshold validation, and prospective clinical evaluation are required before deployment.
Jul 13, 2026cs.CL

Agentic systems for breast cancer treatment recommendations

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly being explored for clinical decision support, but their reliability in complex oncology treatment planning remains unclear. We evaluated agentic LLM systems for breast cancer treatment recommendation generation using 72 real clinical cases across stages I to IV and 1,147 case-specific rubrics generated through Asymmetric Information Rubric Generation (AIRG), in which the rubric generator had access to real clinical decisions unavailable to the evaluated models. Seven pipelines were compared, including single-LLM baselines, tool-augmented systems, and multi-agent architectures with fact checking and autonomous subagent spawning. The best-performing configuration, Claude Opus 4.8 with the D&C+SA pipeline, achieved a global score of 0.594 ±\pm 0.025. Tool use and increased agent autonomy had mixed effects, improving performance in some settings but degrading it in others. Performance varied by clinical domain and disease stage, and oncologist-led error analysis revealed persistent clinically relevant failures, including incorrect or missing recommendations, flawed justifications, citation errors, outdated claims, and overconfidence. These findings suggest that agentic LLM systems can generate clinically relevant breast cancer recommendations, but remain insufficient for unsupervised clinical use.
Jul 12, 2026cs.LG

Policy-Driven CT-Agent: Modeling Phase-Aware Diagnostic Control for Clinically Consistent CT Reasoning

Computed Tomography (CT) diagnosis often relies on dynamic selection of imaging phases, such as non-contrast, arterial, or venous phases, based on preliminary findings, clinical suspicion, and diagnostic guidelines. This phase-wise decision process is critical for reducing unnecessary radiation exposure while supporting timely staging and treatment planning. However, phase-selection protocols can vary across hospitals, regions, and guidelines, while most existing CT-based AI methods assume that all phases are available and focus on static tasks under a fixed imaging phase, failing to model whether additional phases are required. This limitation stems from heterogeneous multi-phase representations, the need for knowledge-guided phase control beyond visual cues, and the lack of supervision for phase-sufficiency decisions in existing datasets. To address these challenges, we propose Policy-Driven CT-Agent (PD-CTAgent) for clinically consistent CT phase selection and diagnostic reasoning. PD-CTAgent introduces a Clinical Structure Abstraction Module (CSAM) to harmonize heterogeneous CT phases into a unified, phase-aware evidence representation. Based on this representation, a Knowledge-Guided Diagnostic Control Model (KDCM) evaluates phase sufficiency and iteratively requests additional phases when necessary. The policy-driven agent design further allows PD-CTAgent to flexibly follow different institutional, regional, or guideline-specific diagnostic protocols. Together, PD-CTAgent bridges static CT analysis and real-world clinical workflows. Experiments on two public datasets, LIDC and MCT-LTDiag, and one private dataset demonstrate its effectiveness and clinical consistency. Code will be made public upon acceptance.
Jul 10, 2026cs.AI

SAGEAgent: A Self-Evolving Agent for Cost-Aware Modality Acquisition in Multimodal Survival Prediction

Does every cancer patient truly need a complete diagnostic workup for accurate survival prediction? In multimodal clinical oncology, diagnostic modalities follow a clinically mandated order of escalating burden -- from demographics collected at intake to genomic profiling requiring specialized tissue analysis. Current multimodal survival methods either assume all modalities are available or passively handle missing data, but none actively reason about whether acquiring the next modality is justified for a given patient along this ordered workflow. We formulate this as a sequential decision problem and propose SAGEAgent (Sequential Acquisition Guided by Experience), a self-evolving LLM-based clinical agent that decides which diagnostic modalities to acquire for each patient, balancing predictive accuracy against clinical invasiveness. SAGEAgent reasons about each patient's evolving diagnostic state through clinical tools that translate numerical predictions into text, an episodic memory that retrieves similar past cases, and a semantic memory that accumulates reusable decision patterns from experience. Experiments on a glioma cohort combining TCGA-LGG, TCGA-GBM, and BraTS with four diagnostic modalities demonstrate that SAGEAgent achieves competitive survival prediction accuracy while reducing average acquisition burden by 55%.
Jul 9, 2026cs.AI

Towards Precision Therapy in Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Clinical-Reasoning LLM for Risk Stratification and Treatment Guidance

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a common malignancy and a leading cause of cancer-related mortality. Current guidelines and staging systems provide coarse categories, but often miss within-stage heterogeneity and the clinical context in electronic medical records (EMRs). We present HCC-STAR (Hepatocellular Carcinoma Staging, Treatment And pRognosis), a clinically aligned large language model that reads routine EMR narratives and jointly outputs risk score-based staging, ranked guideline-consistent treatments with evidence-based rationales, and individualized survival estimates. We curated about 30,000 HCC cases from SEER and expanded them into EMR-style narrative training data using a clinician-validated, prompt-based augmentation workflow. On this corpus, we developed a knowledge-aligned reasoning framework optimized with a step-verifiable composite reward, moving beyond text-level memorization of clinical guidelines. In a multi-center cohort of 6,668 patients from 12 hospitals in China, HCC-STAR achieved state-of-the-art performance in treatment recommendation and risk stratification compared with clinical guidelines and competitive models, including GPT-5 and Gemini-2.5 Pro. Hypothetical overall-survival analysis showed a median survival of 51 months under adherence to HCC-STAR recommendations, compared with 29 and 32 months under BCLC and CNLC. In clinician-centric evaluations, blinded hepatobiliary specialists rated HCC-STAR's reasoning and evidence-based justifications as trustworthy. The model surpassed resident and attending physicians in treatment accuracy and helped physicians make more accurate decisions faster when used as an assistant. These findings support HCC-STAR as a reliable and verifiable decision-support system for risk stratification and precision therapy in HCC.
Jul 9, 2026cs.LG

MLPTR-CC: Multi-label Pathology Test Recommendation using Classifier Chains and SHAP

Diagnostic decision making often relies on a sequence of pathology tests that bridge patient symptoms and final disease diagnosis. Existing clinical decision-support systems typically focus on predicting single diseases and do not explicitly recommend sets of intermediate tests or model dependencies among them. In this paper, we formulate pathology test recommendation as a multi-label classification problem where each case is associated with multiple, interdependent tests. We propose an AI-based framework that applies classifier chains with logistic regression, decision trees, random forests, and their ensemble to capture label dependencies between tests. Experiments on an expert-curated dataset from a private pathology laboratory show that classifier-chain models outperform their independent counterparts, improving F1-score and reducing Hamming loss while maintaining high accuracy across common and rare tests. To enhance trust and transparency, we integrate SHAP-based explainable AI, providing symptom-level attributions that align with established clinical reasoning in most cases. The results demonstrate that classifier chains combined with SHAP offer an effective and interpretable approach for multi-label pathology test recommendation, with potential to support clinicians in selecting appropriate diagnostic tests at an early stage.
Jul 9, 2026cs.AI

A safety-oriented hypothetico-deductive framework for AI-assisted differential diagnosis

Diagnostic error is a major threat to patient safety, yet current large language model (LLM) systems often treat diagnosis as a one-shot prediction task, lacking safeguards against missed high-risk alternatives or rigorous verification of their reasoning. Here, we present AegisDx, a safety-oriented framework for hypothetico-deductive clinical reasoning. AegisDx coordinates specialized LLM components through role-specific contracts, structured intermediate outputs, evidence-retrieval interfaces, and verification gates to generate broad differential diagnoses, enforce explicit screening for dangerous "must-not-miss" conditions, verify reasoning against grounded medical evidence, and structure actionable next steps. We evaluated AegisDx across three layers. On literature-derived case reports from NEJM and JAMA, with GPT-oss-120B as the shared backbone, Top-3 diagnostic accuracy was 59.9% versus 52.1% for the standalone LLM on JAMA cases and 62.7% versus 51.4% on NEJM cases. On cases from Annals of Emergency Medicine, Top-3 accuracy was 85.7% versus 68.6%; against physician-consensus must-not-miss diagnosis sets, AegisDx captured at least one such condition among its top three diagnoses in 78.0% of cases versus 52.0%. In a blinded physician evaluation of 43 real-world emergency department notes from the Yale New Haven Health System compared against GPT-5, AegisDx improved the physician-rated composite safety score from 4.31 to 4.55 on a 5-point scale (adjusted p = 2.1x10^-4), with qualitative gains in must-not-miss identification and reasoning safety. Our findings suggest that engineering diagnostic AI as a safety-oriented reasoning framework, rather than optimizing raw predictive accuracy alone, can provide a safer, more transparent, and clinically meaningful layer of bedside decision support for acute care workflows.
Jul 7, 2026cs.AI

The Large Cancer Assistant (LCA): A Model-Agnostic Orchestration Framework for Scalable Clinical Decision Support in Oncology

  • Objective: Multimodal deep learning models in oncology are currently limited by monolithic designs that rigidly couple data ingestion, clinical routing, and artificial intelligence (AI) inference. To address this inflexibility, we propose the Large Cancer Assistant (LCA), a model-agnostic, post-hoc orchestration framework designed for scalable clinical decision support. - Methods: The LCA is mathematically formalized as a 7-tuple architecture grounded in the principle of Algorithmic Impermeability, ensuring the orchestration logic remains strictly independent of underlying black-box AI models. We introduce the Entry Theory, leveraging Geometric Deep Learning (GDL) to standardize multimodal patient data along distinct structural and medical axes. The system dynamically orchestrates data via a Cancer Switching Module and intentionally isolates the core AI execution from volatile hospital IT infrastructures by outputting a Standardized Intermediate Payload (SIP). - Results: A Proof of Concept (PoC) validated the orchestration logic across four technical scenarios. The framework executed a nominal flow with negligible orchestration overhead. It empirically demonstrated algorithmic impermeability by maintaining an invariant routing projection during AI model swaps, and it validated strict failure-safety by achieving a 100% recall rate in generating targeted Supplementary Data Requests (SDR) under injected data anomalies. Multi-protocol execution capability was also successfully verified. - Conclusion: By structurally decoupling multimodal ingestion from feature inference, the LCA provides a highly adaptable and modular orchestration foundation. The SIP establishes a clear architectural boundary, natively setting the stage for downstream Electronic Medical Record (EMR) interoperability as an independent future paradigm.
Jul 6, 2026cs.AI

Medi-Gemma: A Hybrid Clinical Decision Support System Integrating Deterministic EMR Analytics and Retrieval-Augmented Generation

Deploying Large Language Models (LLMs) in high-stakes clinical settings remains limited by structural hallucinations, weak deterministic reasoning over tabular patient data, and omissions in vector retrieval. This paper presents the architecture and validation of Medi-Gemma, a Clinical Decision Support System (CDSS) for wound pathology triage and workflow automation. The platform introduces a decoupled framework that separates clinical perception from data orchestration while preserving traceable reasoning. Medi-Gemma uses a multi-stage pipeline coordinated by a centralized ClinicalOrchestrator. Data requests are handled without generative inference by a DataManager that cleans unstructured Electronic Medical Record (EMR) files through type coercion. Natural language queries are processed by a hierarchical IntentRouter, which routes requests to deterministic analytics paths executed by a PandasQueryEngine or to patient-specific reasoning managed by a ClinicalRAGEngine using a CPU-optimized vector store. A key contribution is the Ground Truth Injection Module, which intercepts patient-specific queries, extracts numeric identification tokens, queries the structured dataframe via Pandas, retrieves the latest validated clinical state, and embeds this snapshot as an overriding context block in the LLM prompt before generation. Safety compliance is enforced by a deterministic ProtocolManager that maps clinical terminology to fixed evidence-based risk pathways, while a SafetyVerifier phrase filter prevents output rule violations. Validation shows that this architecture eliminates semantic context drift, prevents database compilation crashes, and improves factual adherence to backend clinical repositories. These results support Medi-Gemma as a safer pattern for LLM-based clinical decision support where structured data fidelity, retrieval grounding, and deterministic safeguards are essential.
Jun 29, 2026cs.CL

CaresAI at CT-DEB26: Detecting Dosing Errors In Clinical Trials Using Domain-Specific Transformer Embeddings and Classification Models

Medication errors, particularly dosing errors in clinical trials (CT), can lead to patient harm, adverse drug events and worse patient outcomes. Dosing errors are preventable, and early identification can improve trial integrity and mitigate subsequent clinical and financial burden. This study aims to detect dosing errors within CT protocols by evaluating text representations of trial information using transformer-based language models trained on biomedical corpora. CT textual data was encoded using several models, including ClinicalBERT, PubMedBERT, BioBERT, and MedCPT, and integrated with categorical features. These text embeddings were used as input to classical machine learning models and neural network architectures within an experimental framework. Performance was primarily assessed using ROC-AUC with respect to predicting dosage error. Under a logistic regression baseline, BioBERT consistently outperformed alternative encoders, achieving an ROC-AUC of 0.794, a 3.95% improvement over the ClinicalBERT baseline. Combining multiple embeddings did not yield improvements, indicating that domain alignment outweighs representational stacking. Gradient boosting models, support vector classifiers, logistic regression, and residual neural networks achieved the strongest performance for predicting dosage error, achieving ROC-AUCs: 0.821 to 0.853. Overall, the integration of domain-specific transformer embeddings with structured metadata enables discrimination of trials meeting a predefined elevated dosing error risk criterion, advancing safety monitoring and supporting informed regulatory decision-making.
Jun 27, 2026cs.AI

Expert Evaluation of Clinical AI Tools on Real Point-of-Care Clinical Queries

Physicians now pose millions of clinical questions to AI tools each week, yet these tools are evaluated largely on hypothetical or exam-style questions, not those actually asked in practice. We report a blinded evaluation built on 620 Real-world Point-Of-Care Queries (Real-POCQi) submitted to the OpenEvidence (OE) platform by physicians spanning 30 specialties, as well as 187 questions from HealthBench. 149 practicing physicians across 36 states made head-to-head comparisons between answers from three frontier general-purpose models (Claude Opus 4.8, Gemini 3.1 Pro, and GPT-5.5) and a specialized clinical tool (OE), with graders matched to each question's specialty. When comparing answers along five dimensions relevant to clinical decision support -- accuracy, clinical utility, source quality, verifiability, & completeness -- physicians scored the specialized tool highest on all axes; in the primary analysis on Real-POCQi, win differences (margins between win and loss rates) ranged from 25 to 39 percentage points (p<0.001). Results remained consistent in sensitivity analyses stratifying by citation display, answer length, OE-user status, and Real-POCQi versus HealthBench. In parallel, LLM judges were found to systematically differ from expert judges, though both generally agreed on the best model. These findings underscore two conclusions: (i) AI tool evaluations should reflect real-world query distributions and use expert judges that mirror the specialization defining modern medicine and (ii) the consistent advantage of the specialized tool over general-purpose models does not necessarily mean that the latter cannot serve similar purposes, but that targeted engineering and customization can yield meaningful gains in performance for its users. We release Real-POCQi as a public benchmark, as well as the prespecified statistical analysis for reproducing results of this study.
Jun 25, 2026cs.AI

Clinical Harness for Governable Medical AI Skill Ecosystems

Medical AI remains organized around isolated models, whereas care requires accountable capabilities that persist across time. We define clinical AI skills and propose the Clinical Harness, a runtime governance architecture that registers, orchestrates, constrains and monitors them. Using osteoporosis as an exemplar, we show how knowledge-driven, data-driven and physics-enhanced skills can support lifecycle care and provide a governed substrate for future medical agents.
Jun 23, 2026cs.AI

The Clinician's Veto: Navigating Trust, Liability, and Uncertainty in Autonomous AI Prescribing

Autonomous AI systems are transitioning from advisory to autonomous roles for medication prescriptions. Recent United States bill H.R. 238 and Utah's prescription-renewal pilot both authorize AI to prescribe medications in an agentic capacity. While some regulatory guidelines suggest aggregate model performance metrics for clearance, they do not require i) calibrated per-prediction confidence for action-gated thresholds, ii) differentiated communication of uncertainty arising from model ignorance (epistemic) versus genuine clinical ambiguity (aleatoric), and iii) inferential transparency at the moment of decision that allows for liability allocation. Here, we present a regulatory and technical argument (tested with a survey of 136 U.S. prescribing clinicians) positioning these as minimum architectural requirements for safe autonomous prescribing. Our results suggest prescribing clinicians i) would not permit autonomous prescribing without a calibrated confidence-based escalation mechanism, ii) preferred a competing-options summary when uncertainty was aleatoric but shifted to abstention when uncertainty was epistemic, and iii) were only willing to accept additional liability when inferential transparency enabled a substantive judgment under acknowledged uncertainty. These findings indicate our recommended architectural features would encourage higher rates of clinician adoption, largely through collapsing much of what "autonomy" conventionally means. A system meeting these requirements would function less as an autonomous agent and more as a heavily supervised decision-support tool. As legislation and state pilots proceed, our technical argument backed by clinician perspectives provides opportunities for regulation to constrain the degree of autonomy ethically granted to AI in prescribing while aligning liability with the institutional actors who control system design and deployment.
Jun 23, 2026cs.AI

A specialized reasoning large language model for accelerating rare disease diagnosis: a randomized AI physician assistance trial

Rare diseases affect millions of individuals worldwide, yet timely diagnosis remains a major public health challenge due to scarcity of specialized clinical expertise. While large language models (LLMs) show promise to support rare disease diagnosis, current models are constrained by insufficient clinical deployability, limited clinically grounded evidence, and scarcity of training data. Here we present RaDaR (Rare Disease navigatoR), an open-source, compact reasoning LLM (32B parameters) for rare disease diagnosis. RaDaR was trained with 49,170 publicly available free-text cases and 104,666 synthetic cases with reasoning-enhanced training. RaDaR showed the strongest performance among evaluated open-source models, including the 671B DeepSeek-R1, across public benchmarks and four external validation centers. In a retrospective cohort, RaDaR prioritized the final diagnosis before documented clinical suspicion in 61.06 percent of cases, corresponding to a potential lead time of 1.87 months and 50.18 percent of the within-center interval. In a randomized physician-assistance trial, RaDaR assistance improved physicians' rare-disease diagnostic accuracy by 21.44 percentage points compared with internet search alone. Synthetic-data ablations suggested that phenotype-anchored narratives provide useful training signal for long-tail rare diseases, with a monotonic scaling trend within the tested data range. Together, RaDaR and its development and validation framework provide a deployable rare-disease reasoning model and a reproducible development framework for diagnostic AI under data scarcity.
Jun 23, 2026cs.AI

ATRIA: Adaptive Traceable ECG Reporting with Iterative Agents

Existing ECG report generation is tightly coupled -- interpretation and reporting fused end-to-end, so errors propagate without stage-level recourse -- while agent-based systems decouple tasks but remain single-pass, never revisiting earlier outputs. Clinical ECG reporting instead unfolds iteratively, requiring progressive context integration and bidirectional editing. We present \textsc{ATRIA}, a multi-agent ECG reporting system that mirrors the clinician's iterative workflow: it binds every report claim to its supporting evidence, flags statements unsupported by that evidence, incorporates additional context mid-session, and lets clinicians verify and revise individual findings rather than accept one opaque output. Because its agents use ECG analysis models already in clinical use, the underlying findings are clinically trustworthy; and as a cloud-based web service, \textsc{ATRIA} is ready for immediate deployment. We demonstrate \textsc{ATRIA} through four interaction cases, with a live demo and video available.
Jun 23, 2026cs.AI

T2D-Bench: Evidence-Gated Evaluation of LLM Outputs for Type 2 Diabetes Using a Multi-Layer Clinical-Lifestyle Knowledge Graph

Large language models (LLMs) can produce clinically fluent recommendations for type 2 diabetes while failing to satisfy guideline constraints or explicitly justify lifestyle-related glycemic claims. We present T2D-Bench, a reproducible benchmark and evidence-gated evaluation framework for testing whether LLM outputs satisfy explicit, graph-checkable evidence requirements. T2D-Bench is built on a multi-layer clinical-lifestyle knowledge graph that combines a biomedical spine (UMLS, DrugBank, SIDER), computable ADA Standards of Care rules, and lifestyle knowledge connected through a mechanistic bridge to glycemic laboratory effects. Across 100 structured vignettes spanning diagnosis, medication safety, and adversarial lifestyle conflicts, baseline outputs failed benchmark-defined evidence-path checks in 35% of cases for GPT-4o-mini and 33% for GPT-4o. The evidence gate detects unsupported omissions and uses constrained revision to bring outputs into verifier-level compliance with benchmark-defined evidence requirements. These results show that computable evidence constraints can make unsupported clinical omissions explicit, measurable, and correctable in diabetes-focused LLM outputs.