Clinical Decision Support
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Latest papers 156
We present BEACON-SP, an ontology-grounded Graph Retrieval-Augmented Generation (GraphRAG) framework for clinician-facing decision support in behavioral health settings such as suicide prevention, where effective assessment requires integrating heterogeneous clinical, behavioral, social, and temporal evidence. BEACON-SP combines patient knowledge graphs with ontology-guided retrieval to support multi-hop reasoning across diagnoses, medications, risk and protective factors, life events, and temporal relationships. The framework is enabled by a comprehensive suicide prevention ontology that integrates the Three-Step Theory, the Integrated Motivational-Volitional Model, and the Suicide Social Determinants of Health Ontology into a unified representation of patient risk factors. We construct ontology-grounded patient knowledge graphs and evaluate BEACON-SP for clinician-facing question answering. Compared with a vector-based retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) baseline on a 1,500-query benchmark spanning 15 clinical categories and 100 patients, BEACON-SP improves completeness, clinical relevance, and evidence grounding under a corrected comparative evaluation protocol, with a small gain on factual accuracy. In paired criterion-level comparisons, GraphRAG is preferred in 76.4% of cases. These results demonstrate the potential of ontology-guided GraphRAG to provide structured, contextualized patient evidence for clinical decision support.
Proof-Grounded Patient-Specific Clinical Explanations from Knowledge-Graph Reasoning
Clinical decision-support outputs can lack an au- ditable link between patient observations, encoded knowledge, conclusions, and recommendations. We present the CKG Clinical Explanation Engine, a downstream layer for a frozen, training-free clinical knowledge-graph reasoner that converts patient inference states and disease knowledge into typed facts, explicit rule-application traces, provenance-linked conclusions, and policy-licensed recommendations. The design separates measurement availability, representation completeness, and disease-specific activation; consequently, observed zero-activation evience is not treated as missing and partial representation is distinct from unobserved evidence. Optional language generation is restricted to symbolically licensed content. Across five usable workbooks (6,720 patients; 20,160 patient-disease traces; 1,021,440 feature-evidence rows), IG-range validity and knowledge provenance were 100%, numerical cross-sheet fidelity was 100% (120,960/120,960), and exported logical/report trace completeness was 100% (20,160/20,160). Availability representation consistency was 99.7028% (1,018,404/1,021,440); all 3,036 disagreements were confined to three systematic feature-cohort patterns. The corpus contained 86,783 observed zero-activation and 139,949 observed partially represented instances. A separate seeded 25-patient end-to-end audit completed without execution failure and passed all pre-specified trace, licensing, provenance, and state-consistency checks. These results establish structural and implementation auditability, not clinical correctness or utility.
OpenMTB-Audit: Exposing Over-Refusal and Clinical Expert Perspectives in LLM-Based Molecular Tumor Board Safety Evaluation
Molecular tumor boards integrate genomic findings, clinical context, and therapeutic evidence to support precision oncology. As AI enters this workflow, a key safety challenge is distinguishing truly unsupported recommendations from evidence-supported options that still require oncologist review because of incomplete information, poor ECOG performance status, or other clinical caveats. We introduce OpenMTB-Audit, an open-source benchmark of 500 synthetic non-small cell lung cancer cases spanning five adversarial error categories and four safety labels: Supported, Partially Supported, Unsupported, and Insufficient Information. Across eight large language model configurations, we identify pervasive over-refusal: all LLM configurations failed to retain the Partially Supported label in 83.3-100% of true Partially Supported cases, achieving high aggregate safety scores through label collapse rather than clinically calibrated reasoning. To address this limitation, we developed MTB-AuditAgent, a deterministic seven-module framework separating evidence verification, missing-information detection, safety classification, and abstention. It reduces over-refusal to 6.7% and achieves 91.2% accuracy (95% CI: 88.6-93.6%). A two-oncologist annotation study found disagreement concentrated at the boundary between information sufficiency and treatment optimization, underscoring the need to preserve clinically meaningful distinctions.
HADRec: A Hierarchy-Aware Drug Recommendation Framework by Fusing Molecular Knowledge and Electronic Health Record
Accurate medication recommendation is central to clinical decision-making, directly determining therapeutic efficacy and patient safety. However, existing methods suffer from two key limitations: drugs are often abstracted as discrete tokens, ignoring their molecular structures and pharmacological mechanisms, and the commonly used "flat" recommendation paradigm fails to leverage the hierarchical logic of the internationally standardized Anatomical Therapeutic Chemical (ATC) classification system. To address these issues, we propose HADRec, a Hierarchy-Aware Drug Recommendation framework that integrates molecular knowledge with electronic health records (EHRs). HADRec employs LLaMA-7B to encode clinical notes for rich patient representations and ChemBERTa to encode drug Simplified Molecular Input Line Entry System strings, building a global molecular knowledge base. A cross-attention mechanism then performs deep multimodal fusion between patient states and drug features. The framework further incorporates a hierarchical predictor and a novel consistency constraint loss to enforce strict adherence to ATC logical dependencies. Extensive experiments on MIMIC-III demonstrate that HADRec achieves state-of-the-art performance across Jaccard, F1, and PR-AUC. External validation on MIMIC-IV confirms strong generalization under distribution shifts, and calibration analysis shows well-calibrated predictive confidence on MIMIC-IV with ECE = 0.04, and Brier = 0.06. Counterfactual evaluation reveals clinically aligned reasoning, disentangling disease-specific treatments from general care. Together, these results establish HADRec as a high-performance, interpretable, and clinically grounded pathway toward safe and reliable AI-driven medication recommendation.
RareDx: Controlled Knowledge Integration and Graph-Grounded Policy Optimization for Rare-Disease Diagnosis
Rare-disease diagnosis is a long-tail reasoning problem: phenotypes are incomplete, individual disorders are sparsely documented, and relevant evidence is distributed across ontologies, gene annotations, and biomedical text. Language models consequently favor common conditions, miss rare candidates, or produce plausible but invalid names. We introduce RareDx, which couples controlled evidence use with knowledge-graph-grounded policy optimization. RareDx-Harness normalizes heterogeneous records into one ranked-diagnosis task and compares direct inference, static retrieval, adaptive tools, and structured phenotype-gene-disease reasoning over a shared knowledge layer. The training pipeline combines Top-10 post-training with RareDx-KGPO, our knowledge-graph-grounded policy optimization method. Its reward projects predictions into a canonical disease graph and integrates curated graded relevance, ontology proximity, biomedical similarity, and phenotype consistency. Vocabulary and output-budget constraints prevent dense partial credit from rewarding fabricated or overlong differentials. Across eight benchmarks, the complete RareDx system centered on Qwen3.5-9B reaches 38.34 macro Hit@10, 1.60 points above GPT-5.5 under the archived protocol; a disjoint validation-selection audit retains a 6.80-point routing gain over Direct on held-out cases. The 27B system reaches 23.53/36.56/40.76 at Hit@1/5/10. Controlled ablations show that retrieval is not uniformly helpful and that controlled routing is central to the gain. These results indicate that structured medical knowledge can turn a compact model into a competitive diagnostic ranker across heterogeneous long-tail settings in clinical practice.
Unknown is not normal: separating language-model extraction from rule-based decision logic for clinical risk scores
Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used to compute clinical risk scores from free-text notes. Notes are often incomplete, and treating undocumented findings as normal can silently misclassify patients. We test whether separating three-state extraction (present, absent or unknown, by an LLM) from decision logic (deterministic code computing score bounds over unknown inputs) lets a system ask only questions that can change the decision. On 1,200 synthetic emergency cases across six calculators (HEART, CURB-65, qSOFA, PERC, Wells, Cockcroft-Gault), with a simulated clinician answering questions, we compared this bounds policy with asking for every missing input, a missing-equals-normal schema, and an end-to-end LLM agent (Claude Opus 5.5). With Claude Haiku 4.5 as extractor, the bounds policy matched ask-all accuracy (99.4% vs 99.4%) with half the questions (0.92 vs 1.78 per case) and no irrelevant ones. Treating missing as normal dropped accuracy to 91.2% and under-triaged 8.5% of patients (95% CI 7.1-10.2), and under-triage persisted under messy notes and a noisy clinician. The agent was equally accurate under ideal conditions (99.6%) but 9.5% of its questions were irrelevant; with a noisy clinician it was less accurate than the bounds policy (83.5% vs 87.0%, p<0.001) and committed prematurely in 2.7% of cases (bounds: 0%). A 9B local model as extractor reached oracle-level accuracy (99.8%). In 584 real case reports from MedCalc-Bench, only 52% contained enough information to determine the category (HEART 13%). Routing decisions through code that reasons explicitly about unknowns avoids premature commitment and irrelevant questions, halves the questions asked, and works with small local models.
AnesTRACE: Benchmarking Intraoperative Anesthesia from Multimodal Perception to Multi-step Decision-Making
Intraoperative anesthesia requires systems to interpret evolving multimodal evidence, recommend timely management, and revise decisions as patient states change, yet existing benchmarks usually isolate perception or single-point reasoning. We introduce AnesTRACE, an evaluation suite comprising AnesTRACE-Bench and AnesTRACE-Eval. Built from public perioperative datasets with anesthesiologist annotation, AnesTRACE-Bench evaluates Intraoperative Perception, Single-point Anesthesia Decision-Making, and Multi-step Anesthesia Decision-Making. AnesTRACE-Eval assesses open-ended responses through anesthesiologist-defined criteria for Clinical Correctness, Evidence Grounding, Task Completeness, and Safety, with Temporal Consistency for multi-step decisions; its domain-specific evaluator is trained by supervised fine-tuning and preference alignment on expert-reviewed judgments. Across more than 30 models, fine-grained visual grounding and intervention selection remain difficult: the leading model reaches only 32.2 mIoU for TEE visual grounding and retains a 17.5% Major/Critical Safety Error Rate in multi-step management. Evaluator alignment with anesthesiologists improves across both training stages, while the best decision quality is accompanied by a 74.3-second P95 Latency. These results show that aggregate performance alone does not establish safe, timely longitudinal decision-making. We release our code at https://zjudbxai.github.io/AnesTRACE/.
An auditable conditional-strategy framework for open-ended decision-making in complex lung cancer
Complex lung cancer decisions can involve several defensible pathways whose eligibility, sequencing and safety depend on unresolved information. Effective support must make explicit how patient conditions govern pathway eligibility, deferral and redirection. MedGPT Clinical Explorer (MCE) organizes alternatives, decision-changing unknowns, safety constraints and fallback into a conditional strategy for clinician review. To evaluate this representation in physician-authored strategies, multidisciplinary experts established case-specific references for 40 cases within a purposive 100-case corpus, and 250 physicians from 98 institutions produced 2,250 strategies under unaided, retrieval-reference and MCE-assisted conditions. MCE-assisted strategies expressed more applicable clinical requirements, measured by the Admissible Pathway Attainment Score (APAS; 0-100), than unaided strategies (adjusted difference, 12.87; 95% CI, 11.18-14.55) and retrieval-reference strategies (5.22; 3.52-6.93). With the same knowledge base available in the retrieval-reference and MCE-assisted conditions, the additional content centered on candidate pathways, decision-critical information and safety constraints. Physicians' whole-strategy acceptability judgments correlated with APAS (Spearman's rho = 0.671), while a complementary relationship audit assessed whether candidates, conditions and subsequent actions were coherently connected. Together, these findings identify two complementary dimensions of open-ended decision support: coverage of clinically relevant content and coherent links among pathways, conditions and subsequent actions. MCE provides a shared decision object that makes consequential omissions and pathway contingencies visible before action; prospective studies should evaluate its effects on clinical workflow and patient outcomes.
SynSeq: End-to-End SYNTAX Score Prediction from Coronary Angiography Videos
The SYNTAX score is an established tool for assessing coronary artery disease and guiding revascularization treatment decisions. However, its manual estimation from coronary angiography videos by clinical experts is time-consuming and subject to inter-reader variability. While machine learning has shown promise in automating this process, prior work has primarily focused on lesion detection, characterization, or binary disease classification, leaving direct SYNTAX score prediction relatively unexplored. We propose SynSeq, a video-based method for direct SYNTAX score prediction. It combines targeted preprocessing with a tailored training strategy using a zero-inflation-aware loss and linear target scaling. Evaluated on the public CardioSyntax dataset, SynSeq significantly outperforms previous state-of-the-art methods, improving by 0.55, reducing prediction bias by 93.1% and achieving more consistent performance across annotations from three independent expert graders. In addition, SynSeq achieves a weighted -score of 0.80 for revascularization treatment recommendations, slightly below inter-expert agreement. These results demonstrate the potential of SynSeq to provide consistent, automated SYNTAX score assessment and reliable decision support for coronary revascularization planning.
A Federated Artificial Intelligence Framework for Optimizing Pancreatic Cancer Treatment - Strategy Update
While a centralized approach involving patient consent to collect and analyze data centrally would theoretically offer the best data quality and predictive performance, it is not always feasible in practice. Federated Learning (FL) architectures have shown to be a very promising approach to use and access distributed disease related resources within the GDPR boundaries. In a previous case report, we described the preconditions at the participating sites and necessary administrative and process related steps to prepare data, people and infrastructure for improving subtype identification and assessing treatment options in pancreatic cancer. We update this report sharing our experience in tackling the challenges and show preliminary results of the actual federated learning AI pipelines. At the participating sites, we have to identify and annotate the data being accessible after extraction and transformation in a local FL hub - in our case a centrally developed and distributively deployed Docker container. This container comprises the FL scripts generating local models. We apply a newly developed FL algorithm considering all local features, including partial overlapping features specific to the local sites. Theoretically, an annotation in a cancer setting should succeed using the German oncology core data set (oBDS), which is already utilized for mandatory reporting to cancer registries, and can be sustained in the FL setting. The FL algorithms deal robustly with partially overlapping features as we showed with public data sets. Major roadblocks including straightening operational concepts for the infrastructures, ethics approval for such novel architectures and support for every site have been addressed. However, scaling up this approach in the future faces hurdles; while including broader multi-modal data sets should be feasible, large-scale deployment to more sites remains challenging.
Interpretable Multi-Instance Learning Enables Early Prediction of Key Molecular Alterations from Routine Flow Cytometry in Acute Myeloid Leukemia
Background: Molecular testing for NPM1 and FLT3-ITD mutations guides critical early treatment decisions in acute myeloid leukemia (AML), but results can take weeks, long after these decisions must be made. Flow cytometry, already performed within hours of admission as part of routine care, may carry enough signal to predict these mutations directly, without added cost or delay. Methods: We developed an interpretable multi-instance learning classifier based on a decision tree, in which each patient sample is modeled as a collection of individual cells and mutation status is inferred from cell-level predictions. The model was benchmarked against a random forest trained on clinical variables and a deep convolutional neural network adapted for multitube flow cytometry data. Performance was assessed by cross-validation on a discovery cohort of 197 patients and tested on an independent cohort of 161 patients, using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and positive predictive value. Results: In cross-validation on the discovery cohort, the MIL model achieved mean AUROCs of 0.96 (SD=0.05) for NPM1 and 0.86 (SD=0.10) for FLT3-ITD, outperforming the clinical baseline and matching deep learning approaches. The model then successfully generalized to the independent test cohort of 161 patients, reaching AUROCs of 0.90 (NPM1) and 0.82 (FLT3-ITD), with positive predictive values of 0.87 and 0.68, respectively. Cell-level interpretation recovered established immunophenotypic signatures (CD33 /CD34___ for NPM1-mutated cases, CD33 /low side-scatter for FLT3-ITD), directly linking model predictions to known biology. Conclusions: These results show that an interpretable model applied to data already collected in routine care can predict AML molecular status within hours, offering a practical route to earlier, biology-informed treatment decisions.
HPOQuest: A Rare-Disease Diagnostic Agent Using Active Phenotype Acquisition
More than 300 million people worldwide are affected by one of over 7,000 known rare diseases, yet diagnosis remains difficult because patients initially present with incomplete and heterogeneous phenotypes. We present HPOQuest, a training-free framework for sequential phenotype acquisition in rare-disease diagnosis. Starting from a small set of observed patient phenotypes, HPOQuest maintains a probabilistic disease ranking and iteratively selects informative follow-up questions to support clinicians during patient assessment. Confirmed phenotypes update the disease ranking, while all responses update the candidate question set. Across four benchmark cohorts, HPOQuest substantially improves diagnosis from sparse initial phenotypes, with gains of up to 30% points at Recall@1 and 45% points at Recall@5. These results demonstrate that sequential phenotype acquisition can substantially improve rare-disease diagnosis from limited initial clinical evidence.
Assessment of Non-Institutional AI Tool Usage Among Clinicians
Generative artificial intelligence (AI) tools are increasingly accessible and have the potential to improve efficiency across clinical workflows. However, clinicians may also use non-institutional AI tools that are not provided, managed, or governed by their healthcare institutions, creating potential concerns related to privacy, security, accuracy, and clinician-AI interaction. Little is known about how clinicians currently use these tools for work-related tasks. We conducted a descriptive survey of clinicians recruited from the University of Arizona College of Medicine-Tucson and Banner University Medical Center-Tucson between May 20 and June 26, 2026. Participants reported their use of AI tool categories and the frequency with which they used AI for specific tasks across five workload categories: administrative work, clinical work, research, studying/continued education, and teaching. Forty-four respondents completed the survey. Forty-three respondents reported using AI for at least one work-related task during the preceding 6 months. Conversational AI and clinical decision support/diagnostic AI were the most used tool categories, each reported by 28 respondents. Administrative and clinical tasks demonstrated the most frequent use. AI was also used for higher-risk activities, including diagnostic assistance and clinical decision support. Non-institutional AI use was common among surveyed clinicians and extended across a broad range of work-related activities, including tasks with potential implications for clinical reasoning and patient care. Further research is needed to characterize how clinicians use these tools, how they evaluate AI-generated outputs, and how AI can be safely and effectively integrated into clinical workflows.
Auditable Emergency Triage for Maternal and Newborn Care in India
At Noora Health, our nurses answer more than 50,000 medical queries per month on our WhatsApp-based service that provides caregivers with on-demand support. Their most time-critical task is emergency triage: deciding which queries need immediate in-person attention. To support them, we built a system that uses a large language model (LLM) to classify whether a message is an emergency and provide a rationale for interpretability. But the system was opaque: analyzing mistakes meant reading reasoning chains for each message, which is infeasible at our scale. Prompt changes meant re-running a full evaluation to prevent regressions, which was both costly and operationally challenging. Clinicians follow a decision tree to make this call, but it was never documented or passed to the model, which relied on a flat list of danger signs. To address these issues, we decomposed triage into two steps: an LLM extracts canonical symptoms and patient context from the query using a clinician-authored vocabulary, and a deterministic rule engine captures the scenarios that indicate an emergency. We show that the new system raised recall from 0.565 to 0.810 and F1 from 0.606 to 0.702, with structured rules driving most of the accuracy gains while the decomposition provides auditability: clinical experts can inspect each stage of the new system to see whether the query was mistranslated, symptoms were incorrectly extracted, patient context was wrongly inferred, or the necessary rules were missing. They can add new rules independently without causing regressions and avoid running costly evaluations. Since deployment, the new system has triaged 152,421 patient queries and flagged 28,535 (18.7%) as emergencies. The over-escalation rate has been 17.8%, without any increase in missed emergencies. Clinicians have also added 48 new rules since deployment, evidence of the faster correction loop we set out to build.
Emergency Department Revisit Quality Review Screening: Exploring Human Decision-Making and Artificial Intelligence Support
Background: Emergency Department (ED) return visits are commonly reviewed for quality assurance, but are often limited (e.g., to revisits within 48-72 hours) to increase actionable finding yield while minimizing chart review burden. Those limitations may lead to missed quality improvement opportunities. Methods: We conducted an exploratory, retrospective study of randomly selected ED visits to a multihospital health system having an ED revisit within 1-14 days to the same health system. Given only each visit's primary diagnosis, raters (2-3 clinicians and GPT-4 large language model [LLM]) assessed characteristics of the diagnosis pairs, including the "target": whether a pair warranted further assessment. Informed by rater response analyses, an algorithm leveraging an LLM-populated knowledge graph ("KGA") was created to automatically screen for potentially concerning pairs, then preliminarily assessed. Results: 99 diagnosis pairs were included. GPT-4 responses poorly correlated to clinician raters, rating nearly all (94%) pairs as warranting follow-up (4.4-13.3 times more than clinicians). However, prompt engineering was minimal. Among clinician raters, revisit medical gravity was consistently significantly associated with the target, while a differential diagnosis/complication composite was significantly associated on unadjusted, but not adjusted (though less powered) analysis. The KGA achieved 83-100% positive predictive value for at least one clinician rater determining further assessment was warranted based on the diagnosis pair. Conclusion: These results can inform next steps for improving screening with LLMs like ChatGPT. Further research is warranted to validate this preliminary work's finding that the KGA may enable enhancing the scope and yield of screening without substantially increasing reviewer workload.
Automated Chest CT Protocol Selection via Large Language Model Derived Text Embeddings from Imaging Request Text
Purpose: Accurate CT protocol selection is critical for diagnostic quality and patient safety, yet the current process is manual, time-consuming, and prone to inconsistencies. Prior Machine Learning methods using keywords or bag-of-words lack contextual understanding and perform poorly on rare protocols. We propose a decision support system using large language model (LLM) features to recommend protocols from free-text clinical indications, capturing clinical nuance and phrasing variation for more consistent, efficient selection. Methods: In this REB-approved retrospective study, 285,123 chest CT imaging requests from a large academic medical center (2017-2024) were split into training (228,099, 80%) and held-out test (57,024, 20%) sets. Each request included procedure names, clinical indication, HIS comments, and the selected protocol. Clinical text was embedded using a fine-tuned LLM, Meta's LLaMA-3.1-70B; these features input a logistic regression classifier predicting 18 protocol labels (e.g., PE, LDCT). Results: The pipeline achieved a weighted precision of 0.84, weighted F1-score of 0.81, and overall accuracy of 79% across 18 CT protocols. On 300 independent cases with expert consensus, the LLM reached an overall accuracy of 80% versus 83% for radiologists, with no significant difference (p = 0.263). Performance was comparable across most classes, with the LLM exceeding radiologists for some challenging categories, and entropy analyses indicated more balanced protocol use, suggesting reduced variability. Conclusion: An LLM-based recommendation system can leverage general knowledge from a large natural-text corpus to accurately assign chest CT protocols from free-text imaging requests, and may serve as a viable foundation for protocol recommendation tools where inputs require language understanding.
Towards AI-Assisted Clinical Trial Matching: Practical Considerations, Multicenter Evaluation, and Real-World Deployment
Clinical trials are essential for advancing cancer care and drug development, but many fail because of insufficient patient enrollment. While there is growing interest in using AI to support patient recruitment, existing systems largely perform eligibility assessment alone and have rarely been evaluated in real-world oncology workflows. Here we present TrialGPT 2.0, an AI-assisted clinical trial recommendation system designed for real-world deployment. Rather than asking only whether a patient may qualify, the system also assesses which trials warrant further consideration given the patient's current clinical needs and local workflow priorities, and provides structured, inspectable explanations for expert review. Importantly, we evaluated TrialGPT 2.0 retrospectively and prospectively across multiple oncology-focused settings, spanning government, academic cancer-center, patient-advocacy, and NIH referral workflows. In retrospective multicenter cohorts comprising 288 cases, TrialGPT 2.0 retrieved at least one clinician-recommended trial in its top 10 recommendations for approximately 91% of cases while reducing clinician screening time by 55.0%. In a six-month prospective evaluation embedded in an active precision oncology tumor board, TrialGPT 2.0 contributed additional trial opportunities missed by the routine workflow, expanding patient access to clinical trial participation by 90.9%. To support scientific reproducibility, we also introduce NIH-TrialBench, a clinician-authored dataset comprising 126 diverse synthetic patient vignettes and matching scenarios from 11 NIH Institutes and Centers. Together, these results support the value of AI to assist clinical trial matching by improving clinician efficiency and identifying frequently overlooked trial opportunities, ultimately helping to expand and accelerate accrual to cancer trials.
DIASENTINEL: An Auditable Multi-Agent System for Guideline-Grounded Diabetes Risk Screening
Large language models (LLMs) offer promising clinical decision support but remain vulnerable to hallucinated facts, unsupported recommendations, and citation errors. We present DIASENTINEL, a fully on-premise multi-agent system for one-year type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) risk screening and guideline-grounded report generation from electronic health records (EHRs). The system integrates calibrated risk prediction, deterministic clinical signal extraction, Reciprocal Rank Fusion over American Diabetes Association (ADA) guidelines, and a hybrid verification layer combining rule-based checks with LLM entailment. The demonstration provides a real-time batch-screening dashboard and an interactive patient report interface with cited recommendations, verification results, and raw EHR comparison. DIASENTINEL demonstrates a practical framework for reliable, auditable, and privacy-preserving LLM-based clinical decision support.
Automatic Conversion of NICE Guidelines to an Executable Computational Model Using Large Language Models
Introduction: NICE guidelines provide evidence-based recommendations for clinical care but remain largely in unstructured natural language. Existing approaches to converting them into computable representations often focus on individual diseases, require substantial manual encoding, and do not scale. Large language models (LLMs) may enable much of this translation to be automated. Methods: We present an end-to-end approach that converts textual clinical guidelines into executable models capable of generating explainable, patient-specific recommendations. A stepwise LLM-based transformation with in-context examples produces human-inspectable intermediate artifacts. We apply the approach to NICE pancreatic and lung cancer guidelines, use expert review to assess rule alignment, and evaluate the executable pancreatic cancer model on 20 patient vignettes. Results: Expert review showed strong alignment between the source guidelines and generated executable models. Most discrepancies were partial omissions rather than incorrect logic, while hallucinated or fundamentally incorrect rules were rare. On the patient vignettes, the executable model achieved an F1 score of 82.5%. Conclusion: LLMs can transform natural-language NICE guidelines into interpretable, executable models that preserve guideline structure, support transparent inspection and modification, and generate patient-specific recommendations. These findings demonstrate the feasibility of scalable automated generation of computable clinical guidelines.
Development and Feasibility Evaluation of an Edge AI as Medical Device System for Breast Cancer Multidisciplinary Team Meetings
Breast Cancer Multidisciplinary Team (MDT) meetings manage increasingly complex cases under considerable time pressure, and documentation requirements can reduce clinical efficiency and decision quality. Existing AI based MDT workflows rely on cloud-based processing, limiting their use because patient discussions contain identifiable information. We developed a fully on-device AI pipeline using open-source Automatic Speech Recognition (ASR) and Large Language Models (LLMs) that transcribes breast cancer MDT discussions, structures clinical information, and generates treatment recommendations using retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) grounded in National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) guidance. The pipeline runs on a single NVIDIA Jetson AGX Orin, ensuring that patient audio, transcripts, and outputs remain within institutional infrastructure. Evaluation included two recorded simulated MDT discussions, ten clinically validated synthetic discussions, and 1,270 acoustically augmented recordings. Optimisation of Whisper large-v3 reduced word error rate by 20.7% and 24.4% on the recorded discussions and achieved performance within 0.58% WER and 1.58% word information lost of a commercial clinical ASR benchmark on augmented audio. MedGemma-RAG identified 2.3 times more MDT-concordant interventions than a proprietary cloud comparator (p = 0.020), with no significant difference in overall accuracy. Stakeholders identified automated documentation, treatment recommendation support, and case triage as the most credible near-term applications while highlighting workflow integration, governance, and clinician trust as key implementation challenges. These findings demonstrate the feasibility of privacy-preserving, fully on-device AI for MDT documentation and guideline-informed decision support, providing a foundation for prospective clinical evaluation.
Auditable agentic AI for evidence-grounded thyroid ultrasound diagnosis and reporting
Thyroid ultrasound diagnosis requires coordinated lesion localization, measurement, risk stratification and reporting, yet most AI systems address these tasks in isolation and provide limited support for clinical review. We present ThyroidXAgent, a clinician-interactive agentic AI system that coordinates specialized diagnostic tools and stores their outputs as an auditable case-level evidence record. The system was developed using OpenThyroidDB, a multicentre, multitask resource integrating approximately 0.3 million ultrasound images and 24,000 paired reports, and was evaluated on 28,458 non-overlapping test cases, including 8,721 cases from 35 centres in the private NHC-MISD-TUS cohort. Across heterogeneous datasets, ThyroidXAgent achieved a mean Dice score of 87.21 percent for nodule segmentation and a mean AUROC of 0.9466 for benign-malignant classification. The same workflow supported lymph-node metastasis prediction and follicular versus papillary thyroid carcinoma classification, with AUROCs of 0.864 and 0.805, respectively. For report generation, evidence-grounded assembly outperformed multimodal language-model baselines across three cohorts. ThyClinScore, a lesion-level clinical semantic metric introduced here, showed the strongest correlation with a location-aware language-model judge. ThyroidXAgent improved physician classification accuracy, increased report diagnostic consistency from 70.3 percent to 86.2 percent, and reduced segmentation and reporting time by 35.9 percent and 27.4 percent, respectively. These findings support auditable, clinician-correctable agentic AI for thyroid ultrasound diagnosis and reporting.
ConfTriage: A Calibration-Aware LLM Triage Framework for Pulmonary Nodule Malignancy with Selective Specialist Deferral
Pulmonary nodule malignancy prediction typically depends on image-trained specialist deep learning (DL) models that require substantial annotated imaging data and task-specific training. We investigate whether a generalist large language model (LLM), reading only a faithful natural-language rendering of standard nodule attributes, can serve as a calibrated triage layer. We propose ConfTriage, a confidence-calibrated method built on three pillars: language as the modality, calibration as the safety mechanism, and a selective specialist DL backstop for low-confidence cases. We prove two guarantees: a finite-sample combined-error bound yielding an explicit per-threshold operational certificate, and an oracle inequality showing that excess risk over the Bayes-optimal deferral classifier is controlled by the L1 calibration error of the LLM probability. A controlled seven-way input ablation across five frontier LLMs on LIDC-IDRI shows that natural-language descriptions dominate the diagnostic signal, while low-level image statistics are essentially diagnostically vacuous. ConfTriage achieved an F1 score of 88.22% and an AUC of 0.92, resolving 76.5% of cases using zero-shot LLM inference alone and referring only uncertain cases to the specialist DL backstop. These results demonstrate that clinically meaningful diagnostic information can be captured through structured radiological descriptions and leveraged by calibrated LLMs for selective referral. The framework suggests a practical pathway for combining generalist LLM prediction with specialist AI models in medical decision-support systems. Source code is publicly available at https://github.com/rabiul-ai/ConfTriage.
Locally Deployable Small Language Models for Emergency Department Decision Support: A Systematic Benchmark of Fine-Tuning Strategies
Deploying large language models (LLMs) for decision support in emergency departments (EDs) faces two major challenges: privacy risks of transmitting patient data to closed-source commercial LLMs and the lack of systematic evaluation of fine-tuning strategies for locally deployable open-source small language models (SLMs). We benchmarked eight open-source SLMs using zero-shot prompting, prefix tuning, Low-Rank Adaptation (LoRA), and full fine-tuning on three ED tasks: triage level prediction, specialist referral recommendation, and diagnosis prediction. Using 2,083 MIMIC-IV-ED cases and Claude Haiku 4.5 and Claude Sonnet 4.5 as baselines, we found that LoRA fine-tuned open-source SLMs outperform commercial baselines on triage level prediction and specialist referral recommendation, while diagnosis prediction remains challenging for open-source SLMs. Confusion matrix analysis further shows that fine-tuned open-source SLMs can detect highest-severity patients missed by the commercial baselines. These results demonstrate that locally deployable SLMs can achieve clinically competitive performance for ED decision support.
MiGHT-EHR: A Multi-task Graph Transformer for Heterogeneous Temporal Electronic Health Records
Learning from Electronic Health Records (EHRs) has gained significant attention due to its potential to improve clinical prediction. However, effective learning remains challenging because EHRs encode heterogeneous, temporally ordered clinical interactions. In particular, EHRs contain: (i) heterogeneous clinical entities, including patients, visits, diagnoses, prescriptions, and procedures, together with their heterogeneous interactions, (ii) longitudinal patient trajectories across hospital visits and (iii) shared statistical dependencies across related clinical prediction tasks. Existing EHR learning methods capture only a subset of these properties. To bridge this gap, we propose Multi-task Graph transformer for Heterogeneous Temporal EHRs (MiGHT-EHR), which jointly models all three within a unified representation learning method. MiGHT-EHR constructs a heterogeneous graph from EHRs in which nodes represent clinical entities and edges connect statistically associated entities identified via normalized point-wise mutual information. Across MIMIC-III and MIMIC-IV datasets, MiGHT-EHR outperforms state-of-the-art methods on average across four tasks: drug recommendation, prediction of length-of-stay, mortality, and readmission, with particularly strong improvements in mortality and readmission prediction. Furthermore, a post-hoc analysis of the learned representations reveals that patient neighborhoods are organized by clinical outcomes, salient medical concepts are recoverable as linear directions in the representation space, and task probabilities are well calibrated. Collectively, these findings demonstrate that MiGHT-EHR representations support diverse prediction tasks while preserving clinically interpretable structure.
Adaptive Arena-based Contestable Argumentative Network-of-Experts for Open-Ended Care Plan Coordination
Care plan coordination demands synthesizing heterogeneous clinical, functional, and psychosocial information across multiple professional disciplines, where monolithic LLM pipelines cannot perform in a transparent or safe manner. We present CANOE (Contestable Argumentative Network-of-Experts), a multi-agent neuro-symbolic framework that addresses these limitations through five modules: complexity assessment, adaptive team recruitment, role-based argumentative computation via an Arena-based Quantitative Bipolar Argumentation Framework (A-QBAF), human-in-the-loop contestation, and care-plan synthesis. Role-specialized agents generate supporting and attacking arguments for candidate interventions; conflicts are resolved through arena-based clash resolution before acceptability scores propagate across the argumentation graph. Care planners may accept, reject, edit, or add arguments, and the framework will deterministically recompute the final plan. Evaluation on Discharge Me! and MedicalRAG using ROUGE-L, AlignScore, MEDCON F1, FKGL, and LLM-as-a-judge shows that medically fine-tuned models achieve the strongest clinical correctness and safety, while CANOE's argumentative structure provides faithful explanation and human contestability.
Agents Catching Agents: Shortcut Cascades and Benchmark Gaming in Clinical Multi-Agent Systems
Clinical decision support is moving toward committees of language-model agents deliberating on a shared workspace. We ask whether such committees can be gamed by shortcuts, cues a benchmark rewards but a clinician would ignore. Across seven cohorts on six public datasets spanning text (MedQA-USMLE, MedMCQA, MIMIC-CXR reports), imaging (NIH ChestX-ray14, MIMIC-CXR-JPG, CheXpert) and tabular ICU records (SUPPORT2), Gemini committees resist these cues in isolation (flip 5-16%), yet a socially plausible shortcut spreads: when two peers assert the same wrong answer, the holdout under test adopts it in 38% of cases, as does a false "pre-screen" system flag, on both capability tiers. Of three oversight agents, a gate cannot separate adoption from honest agreement (false-positive rate 100%); a same-lineage judge reading only the transcript flags adoption on text (precision 100%, recall 93%) but collapses onto the gate in imaging; a referee that privately re-queries the holdout transfers to imaging (77-88% precision, 13-21% false-positive rate). Tripling a cue's visual salience does not move contagion, whereas a second peer voice raises it by half again. Gaming a hidden rubric is near-silent: only 1/10 text and 1/134 imaging drifters name the rubric they moved toward. What games a committee is social plausibility, and only a referee independent of self-report catches it. Code: https://github.com/criticaldata/benchmaxxing
TumorBoard: Evidence-Grounded Multi-Agent Decision Support for Longitudinal Neuro-Oncology
Neuro-oncology decisions require coordinated interpretation of serial MRI, pathology, molecular markers, treatment history, performance status, and evolving guidelines. We present TumorBoard, a multi-agent decision-support system built around a shared longitudinal case state and an auditable claim-evidence ledger. Specialist agents for radiology, neuropathology, molecular diagnosis, guidelines, and therapy planning produce atomic claims with provenance. An adversarial critic exposes contradictions, and a safety governor releases, qualifies, or defers recommendations according to evidence sufficiency and temporal validity. On a 360-case hidden benchmark at a matched token budget, TumorBoard achieved an action F1 of 0.772 and evidence entailment of 0.914. It exceeded the strongest typed-council baseline by 3.1 percentage points (95% CI: 1.6 to 4.7, adjusted p = 0.0012), while recommendation-to-evidence coverage reached 0.927. Under evidence deletion, the system deferred 84.2% of unsafe cases and limited harmful recommendations to 5.8%. The safety governor reduced harmful release by 7.8 percentage points at a false-deferral cost of 4.3 percentage points. Ablation studies of the ledger, critic, and governor produced the predicted failure patterns, establishing structured coordination as the source of the measured multi-agent advantage.
Evaluating Counterfactual Sensitivity to Patient Information in Medication-Safety Reasoning
Applying a valid medication-safety rule when its patient-specific conditions are not met can produce an incorrect decision. Existing medical evaluations largely use isolated and fixed scenarios. A model may therefore answer correctly by recalling a drug-risk association without showing that it used patient information to decide whether the rule applies. To address this gap, we introduce MedPIC-Bench, a benchmark of source-verifiable recommendations and expert-validated questions for patient-specific medication-safety reasoning. It combines guideline-following questions with paired counterfactual questions in which a controlled change in patient information changes whether a rule applies. The benchmark contains 467 questions annotated along six clinical and reasoning dimensions. Across 28 medical-specific, general, and proprietary LLMs, every model performs worse on counterfactual questions, with mean accuracy falling from 63.6% to 45.1%. Models perform well when an explicit patient attribute directly signals a familiar contraindication, but struggle when patient information must narrow or withdraw a safety warning. Model rationales often acknowledge the changed patient information, yet the final answers retain the previous safety judgment. This vulnerability persists among medical-specific LLMs, whose average CF performance trails that of general LLMs. MedPIC-Bench therefore makes conditional rule application measurable and highlights the limitations of static medication-safety accuracy for assessing patient-specific reliability.
MedUPS: Towards Diagnostic Assistance in Uncommon Medical Cases with Large Language Models
Uncommon and off-guideline cases are difficult for clinical decision support, because physicians must make a series of management decisions under diagnostic uncertainty and rarely see the full case at once. Most large language model (LLM) benchmarks for medicine score only the final diagnosis, yet much of clinical care turns on the next appropriate action: the next test to order, the imaging study to obtain, the specialist to involve, or the differential to pursue. We introduce MedUPSQA, a dataset of 21,874 mid-stream clinical decision points built from 5,535 real case reports, and MedUPS, an alignment framework that supervises models on these intermediate decisions as they unfold along a patient's trajectory. We segment free-text case presentations into chronologically ordered, accumulating clinical chunks and align models to predict the next step with reinforcement learning (GRPO), using an external LLM-as-a-Judge reward. This objective mirrors how clinicians actually meet patients, reasoning forward from accumulating evidence toward the next decision, rather than committing to a final label. Across three backbones, mid-stream alignment raises next-step accuracy from 55.2 to 66.7 for Qwen3.6-27B, from 47.2 to 57.8 for Qwen3.5-9B, and from 37.8 to 44.4 for HuatuoGPT-3-8B, with 95% CI. In several model scales we test the objective improves accuracy more than scale, with smaller models surpassing larger, frontier models we evaluate. We further train supervised fine-tuning (SFT) baselines on the mid-stream task, SFT improves all backbones above base, indicating the target framwork carries signal independently of the optimizer. We release the dataset, code, and aligned checkpoints.
Large language models improve physician accuracy but lead to false reliance
Retrieval-augmented large language models (LLMs) promise source-linked clinical support, but their value depends on whether displayed evidence guides rather than distorts physician reliance. We developed CORA, an agentic retrieval-augmented LLM, to investigate how source-linked assistance affects physician decision-making. CORA maintained benchmark performance and achieved larger gains on cases published after the models' training-data cutoffs. In a study of 46 physicians, accuracy increased from 70.8% unaided to 82.6% with CORA. Supporting citations predicted correct answers (87.7% vs 65.5%), but citations created an important asymmetry: perceived support increased adoption of correct advice from 34% to 76.9% but when an incorrect LLM answer appeared citation-supported, physician resistance to it fell from 92% to 34.8%. These findings show that source-linked LLM assistance can improve physician accuracy while introducing a grounding-dependent safety risk.