Leakage

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3 papers in the last 28 days · 0.0% of indexed attention

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Period ending 2026-09-21

1 new paper

A weekly snapshot of new work published in Leakage.

Period ending 2026-09-14

1 new paper

A weekly snapshot of new work published in Leakage.

Period ending 2026-09-07

1 new paper

A weekly snapshot of new work published in Leakage.

49 papers

Latest in Leakage

Sep 16, 2026cs.LG

Machine-Learning Assessment of the Predictive Value of Inflammatory Biomarkers for Cognitive Impairment in an Older Hispanic Adult Cohort

Small clinical tabular datasets require interpretable machine learning because deep learning is often impractical and ensemble models can be difficult to inspect. A key pitfall is that statistical significance does not necessarily imply predictive utility. Using data from the Panama Aging Research Initiative--Health Disparities (PARI-HD) cohort (n=165), we implemented a leakage-safe threshold-likelihood Bernoulli/Categorical Naive Bayes (BNB/CNB) classifier. Within every training fold, each continuous predictor was reduced to a supervised chi-square-derived state, while income entered the model through a categorical likelihood. All data-dependent steps were performed within repeated stratified 10-fold cross-validation with 30 repeats. The demographic baseline achieved a ROC-AUC of 0.630 +/- 0.017. I-309 (CCL1) was the dominant incremental feature, increasing AUC by 0.110, with paired DeLong tests yielding p<0.05 in 100% of repeats. In the pre-specified primary analysis, I-309 produced a fixed-partition DeLong p=0.0018, with robustness assessed across 200 random partitions, where the median p-value was 0.0011. Within the exploratory family of 18 candidate markers, I-309 achieved a Benjamini-Hochberg-adjusted q=0.032 on the frozen partition and satisfied q<0.05 in 85% of random partitions, whereas no other marker demonstrated reliable incremental predictive value. Because the fitted model is an inspectable table of thresholds and class-conditional probabilities, these results identify I-309/CCL1 as an interpretable candidate feature for tabular prediction of cognitive impairment, pending external validation.
Antony Garcia, Gabrielle Britton, Alcibiades Villarreal +3
Sep 7, 2026cs.CR

AgentLeak: Cloning Stronger LLM Agent Capabilities onto Weaker Agents Beyond Skill Stealing

Large language model (LLM) agents increasingly achieve long-horizon tasks by combining foundation models with explicit skills and implicit procedural knowledge acquired through execution. The resulting task-solving capabilities have become valuable proprietary assets, raising a new security question: can a substantially weaker attacker-controlled agent acquire the capabilities of a stronger proprietary agent through limited black-box interaction? Existing skill-stealing attacks recover explicit skill artifacts, yet we show that artifact leakage does not necessarily transfer capability: a weaker agent may possess the same skills but still fail because it lacks procedural behaviors implicitly realized by the stronger agent. Our key insight is that the skill execution gap itself forms a leakage surface, where missing behaviors are exposed through observable differences between successful victim executions and failed attacker executions. Based on this, we present AgentLeak, a black-box capability-cloning attack that identifies capability-critical behaviors from these execution differences and incorporates them into attacker-side skills, while keeping the attacker's model, harness, and tools unchanged. Across 20 task scenarios comprising 600 instances, diverse agent systems, and multiple backbone models, AgentLeak improves task pass rates by over 40% compared with direct skill reuse and recovers more than 80% of the victim--attacker capability gap. Our findings reveal a confidentiality risk in LLM agents: protecting explicit artifacts alone is insufficient, as observable execution behavior can leak the procedural knowledge required to reconstruct proprietary task-solving capabilities in low-capability and attacker-controlled agents.
Xiaoting Lyu, Yuhong Wu, Yufei Han +6
Aug 31, 2026cs.LG

Self-Supervised Pretext Tasks for Infant Cry Analysis: A Controlled Comparison and a Cautionary Result on Donateacry

We compare six self-supervised pretext tasks for infant cry analysis under a fixed budget, meaning the same compact encoder of 1.17M parameters, the same 115 hours of license-verified public pretraining audio, and the same evaluation protocol for every candidate. On cry detection the reconstructive objectives dominate, and a linear probe over a masked-spectrogram encoder reaches 0.988 AUC with subject-wise splits even though the encoder never observed a cry during pretraining. On cry-reason classification over donateacry, the de facto public benchmark for cry reasons, every encoder performs at chance (0.38 to 0.54 macro AUC over 5 classes), and neither domain adaptation on 1.8 hours of real cries nor end-to-end fine-tuning moves the result. Since a frozen HuBERT-base with 80 times more parameters shows the same pattern, the bottleneck must sit in the labels and not in model capacity. We then reproduce the 90%+ accuracies of the donateacry literature on our own system by changing nothing but the evaluation protocol: clip-wise splits raise accuracy to 85.2% (barely above the 83.8% majority-class baseline), and applying augmentation before splitting raises it to 97.9%, matching the reported state of the art, from the same model that measures 0.49 macro AUC under subject-wise splits. Under leakage-free splits, a twentyfold augmentation of the labeled set (vocoder speaker perturbation and noise mixing, 21 hours) leaves cross-subject AUC unchanged: for this task the effective sample size is the number of infants. We release code, seeds and per-clip license manifests.
Luigi Simeone
Aug 19, 2026cs.AI

Verifiable abstention makes AI leak diagnosis accountable in urban water distribution networks

Leak localization is usually evaluated as forced-choice prediction, although sparse hydraulic observations may not justify excavation. Here, we quantify a pressure-information limit and use it to recast localization as selective, evidence-gated decision-making. A physics-grounded executor falsifies competing leak, demand, sensor and valve hypotheses in a hydraulic twin. Deterministic code computes every number and every acceptance predicate; an independent large language model auditor may add a rejection but never overturn a failed check. Forced retrieval placed only 95 of 300 leaks in the correct zone. Across 550 mixed events, the gate acted on 223 (214 correct); on a third-party 33-leak benchmark, all four accepted events were correct. In a replay of 194 audited City D repairs, the pressure tier authorized five excavation recommendations, three matching the repaired district, while the district-inflow tier returned the correct district for 85 events. Observability limits with machine-checkable abstention enable auditable utility intervention.
Tianwei Mu, Yue Wang, Mingzhe Yuan +8
Aug 13, 2026cs.CR

Labels Are Not Endpoints: Treatment Leakage and Construct Validity in MCP Agent Security Evaluation

Security evaluations of tool-using agents often equate stored labels with behavioral facts. We audit a preserved campaign by tracing 10,200 execution rows to 180 model-bound requests, 45 semantic requests, and 15 observable stimuli. Two schema treatments were delivered, but the planned external payload-family corpus was not. The historical grader exhibited direct treatment leakage: treatment metadata gated the ATTACK_SUCCESS class, so fixed behavior could change class under treatment relabeling. A treatment-blind reconstruction corrects 58 historical ATTACK_SUCCESS or HIJACK_ATTEMPT labels to authorized benign completions while preserving three verified protected-data transfers and one separate unauthorized-forwarding case. The locked v2 census contains exactly zero ATTACK_SUCCESS records, while the forwarding case remains a HIJACK_ATTEMPT at a semantic boundary concerning objective completion. A dual-reviewer blinded concordance review of all 96 requests deemed structurally interpretable by locked v2 produced identical reviewer-consensus classes but differed from the locked codebook on four construct-boundary cases. We contribute a seven-link Integrity Chain and an executable, scope-bounded endpoint-integrity linter. The result is a campaign-bounded measurement audit, not a population attack-rate, model-ranking, defense-efficacy, or causal estimate.
Rana Muhammad Ahmed, Sabahat Abbas
Aug 10, 2026stat.AP

Status Association Does Not Reliably Predict Decision Leakage

Bias evaluations often move too quickly from evidence that a model encodes a social association to claims that the same association will alter consequential decisions. We test whether that inference is warranted using Chilean surnames as controlled socioeconomic probes. We evaluate eight frozen model-provider cells on 1,032 prompts each, yielding 8,256 verified primary responses. The design separates forced latent association from matched consequential decisions across academic selection, professional hiring, research fellowship selection, and legal-aid intake. Elite-coded surnames received higher forced high-status probability mass than common surnames in seven of eight models and higher mass than rare-frequency controls in all eight. Yet elite-minus-common decision effects were close to zero for most systems. Five models were statistically equivalent within a predeclared (Plus-Minus)0.10 standard-deviation margin, while the remaining three were imprecise or borderline, with no consistent elite advantage. Association strength did not reliably predict decision leakage across models (r = 0.201, p = 0.633) or across frozen surname-pair-by-model cells (r = 0.065, p = 0.565). The central result is a measurement dissociation: latent social association and consequential treatment are empirically distinct constructs. Evaluations should measure the transition from association to action directly.
Abdullah X
Aug 7, 2026cs.AI

TRACE: A Multi-Layer Benchmark for Human AI Controller Coordination Under Drift and Failure

Modern cyber-physical and AI-assisted systems couple human operators, AI decision modules, and automated controllers in a single control loop, so trustworthiness depends on the whole loop, not any one model. Yet no standard benchmark captures time-aligned, multi-layer traces of how drift and failures propagate across these layers, so we cannot diagnose where coordination breaks down, why, or how to recover. This paper targets one facet of that gap: drift, a deviation that can originate in any stack layer and that conventional single-modality monitoring cannot localize to a layer or pin to an onset time. We construct a benchmark by injecting controlled drift into traces derived from ALFRED, a grounded-instruction benchmark for everyday household tasks, yielding 1,918 drifted traces. Each trace is a time-aligned sequence of per-step records across five execution layers (state, observation, decision, rules, control), labeled with the drift type, affected layer, onset time, responsible actor, and causal mechanism, and validated by independent raters with inter-annotator agreement reported. We pair the dataset with a leak-aware protocol that removes a near-perfect onset leak, and a baseline study across classical, recurrent, and attention-based model families. Under this honest protocol, drift is identifiable and attributable well above random and majority baselines across every family (affected layer macro-F1 near 0.70, responsible actor near 0.85, causal mechanism near 0.49), and heavy attention offers no advantage over simpler models on this symbolic benchmark.
Joshua Zuniga, Srinivasan Subramanian, Ramya Madhuri Narapureddy +1
Aug 5, 2026cs.LG

MGSB: Manifold Gated Signature Branch Pressure-Domain Baseline Architecture for Two-Phase Pipeline Flows Under Distributional Shift

Leak detection models for multiphase pipelines often degrade when deployed under flow regimes that differ from training. Existing evaluations typically assess performance under in-distribution operating conditions, masking failures caused by regime transitions such as bubble-to-slug flow. We propose the Manifold Gated Signature Bias (MGSB), a regime-aware architecture combining regime-conditioned feature fusion, a TT-RoughPath encoder, and Mean-Teacher consistency regularization to improve robustness under distribution shift. Under leave-one-group-out evaluation, MGSB achieves a detection F1 of 0.930 and an OOD F1 of 0.783, substantially outperforming CNN-LSTM and fully connected baselines under severe feature corruption. Ablations show the proposed architecture, not the training procedure, is the primary contributor to OOD robustness, while Mahalanobis-distance analysis confirms the held-out conditions are genuinely out-of-distribution. These results show that explicit regime-aware modelling is a practical path toward robust, sensor-agnostic leak detection in industrial multiphase pipelines.
Issah Suleiman, Sormeh Serpoosh, Nadine Elkholy +3
Jul 31, 2026cs.LG

Leak It: Per-Document Extraction Beyond Aggregate Membership Inference

Membership inference (MIA) on language models is usually summarised by aggregate ROC-AUC, but such evaluations are confounded: model-free blind baselines can separate members from non-members using surface text alone. Building on probabilistic discoverable extraction, we study black-box training-data leakage using N samples from p_theta(. | x), placing mean overlap, extreme-value overlap, and self-concentration on a common functional-estimation footing. On WikiMIA, a blind bag-of-words classifier reaches AUC 0.97 (TPR 0.90 at 5% FPR) while sampling adds nothing. On an IID Pile split (MIMIR), neither self-concentration nor gold-continuation recovery significantly exceeds a blind baseline in aggregate. Aggregate metrics hide the real harm: sampling verbatim-extracts training data for a tail of documents no blind attack can reach. On Pythia-6.9B, 16.6% of 500 Pile documents bearing a real identifier (83 documents; 21.3% of those bearing an email address) have that identifier reproduced and not reproduced under a mismatched-prefix control. Each leak is attributable to that document rather than a globally common string. This per-document disclosure is invisible to aggregate AUC. Risk is uneven: identifier leakage is about 3x stronger in code than prose, though prose remains positive and grows with capacity (4.0% to 12.1% from 410M to 6.9B); recovery of arbitrary held-out continuations is essentially confined to code (+0.44 member gap on GitHub vs at most +0.014 on prose). Temperature and nucleus sampling have minor effect, a 16-token prefix suffices, and the sample-budget relationship corroborates prior probabilistic-extraction results. We detect no reduction from deduplication. Privacy audits should report per-document extraction, not only aggregate membership, and motivate differential privacy as the mitigation. We release leakit, a black-box tool implementing this probe and its control.
Victor Maricato
Jul 28, 2026cs.AI

Agent Skills Matter: Inferring Proprietary Skills from Execution Trajectories

Agent skills package reusable procedures that improve downstream performance. Their lightweight, portable form enables marketplace monetization and private deployment behind cloud-hosted agent interfaces, giving providers incentives to keep high-value skills proprietary. Yet hiding the artifacts does not conceal their behavioral effects, which remain observable in execution trajectories and form a behavioral side channel. We define this exposure as Skill Leakage: reconstructing proprietary skills from trajectories elicited by benign queries, without reference answers or success labels. We introduce SigLeak, a black-box framework that exploits recurring skill signatures in agent behavior. It constructs diverse, decision-rich diagnostic tasks, contrasts matched skill-enabled and skill-disabled trajectories, and iteratively refines a reconstructed skill from the isolated patterns. Across five scenarios, three model families, and three agent frameworks, SigLeak outperforms or matches three baselines in nearly every setting. It raises the success rate by 6.88 percentage points over the skill-disabled reference on average and achieves the highest overall SkillSim, our metric for coarse- and fine-grained semantic similarity. These results show that benign execution trajectories can expose proprietary procedural knowledge. The code is available at https://anonymous.4open.science/r/SigLeak-D1DB.
Jianing Geng, Ruiqi He, Zekun Fei +6
Jul 28, 2026cs.CV

Leak-Free Cross-Validated Stacking with Per-Architecture Calibration for Sand-Boil Segmentation in Earthen Levees

Sand boils, points where water seeping beneath an earthen levee re-emerges at the surface, are early warnings of internal erosion, and deep segmentation networks are increasingly used to find them in inspection photographs. Annotated examples are scarce, and two common ways of working around that scarcity quietly inflate reported accuracy: tuning ensemble weights on the same images later used to score them, and training on synthetic images derived from the very photographs held out for testing. We present a sand-boil segmentation framework that closes both loopholes. Every synthetic image carries a pointer to its real parent, and a per-fold filter excludes any image whose parent is held out; five encoder-decoder backbones are trained under five-fold cross-validation, calibrated by one temperature scalar each, and combined by a per-pixel meta-learner fitted only on out-of-fold predictions. On the held-out test set the proposed Updated SandBoilNet reaches an intersection-over-union of 0.707 over three seeds, against 0.608 for the published original re-evaluated on the same split. Under the stacking protocol the calibrated stack reaches 0.681 against 0.694 for the strongest fold-averaged member, so it does not improve on the best single model; eight meta-learner families reproduce that outcome, which we trace to a mean pairwise error correlation of 0.894 among members. A synthetic pool filtered for label fidelity lifts the champion to 0.718 over three seeds against a 0.707 control. We also introduce a mask-conditioned synthesis route that makes the conditioning mask the label by construction, giving labelled training images at zero annotation cost.
Padam Jung Thapa, Anav Katwal, Ayon Dey +4
Jul 25, 2026cs.CV

Hold-Out Self-Validation Cannot Certify Photogrammetric Accuracy: Saturation and Blindness to Coherent Distortion

Internal self-consistency cannot certify the accuracy of a photogrammetric reconstruction, and the failure is structural rather than a matter of tuning. This matters because hold-out self-validation scores are increasingly offered as quality evidence for metric deliverables whose correctness is otherwise unknown without an external survey. We formalise a track-leakage-free hold-out protocol: a deterministic image subset is withheld, and each withheld view is re-localised against only those 3D points supported by two or more retained images, so no view is tested against structure it helped create. We evaluate it on five GNSS-referenced captures across four sites, 13 ETH3D scenes, a EuRoC flight and 30 IMC 2025 scenes. The protocol is well-posed but does not measure accuracy. It saturates: the internal confidence score stays pinned at 1.00 while true error swings 14.1x within one capture. It is blind to coherent distortion: fragmenting corruption is caught, but internally self-consistent, globally distorted models are not, and were wrong by 55-106 m at confidence 1.00 at three of four captures. On IMC 2025 it separates failed from successful reconstructions (rho = 0.68) yet ranks nothing among the successful (rho = 0.01). Track-leakage-free hold-out measures internal geometric consistency: a fragmentation warning, not a substitute for control-point accuracy assessment.
Behnam Asadi
Jul 24, 2026cs.LG

A Leakage-Free Stacked Ensemble Method for Multiclass Classification

Multiclass classification is a fundamental problem across a wide range of domains. It is still challenging due to possession of high inter-class similarity, class imbalance datasets, and variability in data distributions. Rule-based classifiers such as XGBoost often achieve stronger performance on structured features, but they are limited in capturing smooth functional relationships among variables. Similarly, neural network models can represent complex nonlinear interactions but frequently suffer from overfitting and generalization issues. To address these limitations, we propose LFS-FRAME, a Leakage-Free Stacked ensemble framework that integrates functional learning using Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KAN) and rule-based learning via XGBoost for robust multiclass classification. The proposed framework constructs unbiased meta-features by employing a strict out-of-fold stacking strategy to ensure complete isolation between training and validation data hence preventing performance leakage. By learning over probabilistic outputs from heterogeneous base learners, the meta-classifier effectively exploits both global functional patterns and sharp decision boundaries present in the complex data. Experimental evaluations on multi-class datasets demonstrate that LFS-FRAME improves performance metrics, and overall accuracy is 89.85% in identifying major families and 81.74% in identifying sub-families relative to strong single-model baselines. These results highlight the effectiveness of leakage-free functional and rule-based stacking for reliable and generalizable multiclass classification.
S. P. Sharmila, Aruna Tiwari
Jul 21, 2026cs.CR

Data Leakage Prevention in Agentic Applications via Preemptive Hardening

Agentic systems integrate LLM driven planning with interfaces to external tools, making data leakage and tool misuse feasible via instruction/data boundary failures and prompt injection attacks. Enforcing required controls consistently is particularly challenging in workflows spanning many codebases and heterogeneous agents. To address this challenge in multi agentic systems, we present a pre-deployment pipeline for scanning, hardening, and validation of agentic applications. The pipeline analyzes prompt templates, tool interfaces, and tool-invocation code to identify leakage-enabling patterns and generate actionable patches. The hardened application is then validated through adversarial prompt injection attacks and benign input variations ensuring that mitigations do not disrupt intended behavior. In the hardening stage, high-risk tools are prioritized, and minimally invasive mitigations are applied, including schema tightening, boundary sanitization, allowlist-based tool gating, and least-privilege checks. In the validation stage, the pipeline automatically generates attack inputs that mimic jailbreaks, instruction overrides, and tool-targeted manipulation, along with benign task variants, to confirm that the functionality of the hardened application is preserved after remediation. We evaluated the pipeline on five real-world agentic applications, as well as on the AgentDojo benchmark. Across all applications, the proposed pipeline identified recurring leakage-enabling patterns and generated patches that can be integrated without disrupting the intended application behavior. The resulting modifications of application code were shown to eliminate leaks when targeted by basic jailbreak and instruction-override attacks, achieving a 100% reduction in leakage, and reduce leaks by 91% under conditions of stress-induced manipulation, without the need of continuous runtime policy enforcement.
Akansha Shukla, Emily Bellov, Parth Atulbhai Gandhi +2
Jul 21, 2026cs.LG

BRIDGE: Bottleneck-Aware Regulator-Set Inference and Diagnosis for Cooperative Gene Regulatory Recovery

Cooperative gene regulation often depends on groups of regulators acting jointly, but most gene regulatory network (GRN) inference methods output pairwise regulator-target rankings. We introduce Bottleneck-Aware Regulator-Set Inference and Diagnosis (BRIDGE), a framework for complete regulator-set recovery, and Targeted Recovery Attribution for Cooperative Evaluation (TRACE), a diagnostic suite that attributes failures to retrieval, set-level scoring, decoding, and evaluation bottlenecks. TRACE includes a leak-free mechanism-mismatch cooperativity stress test in which cooperative targets are generated by random nonlinear mechanisms rather than product interactions. This design avoids feature-mechanism circularity: Residual higher-order set scoring (Residual HOS2) operates on raw expression vectors without handcrafted product-correlation features. Across 30 matched seed-cooperativity settings, Residual HOS2 improves Jaccard similarity from 0.382 to 0.460, recall from 0.522 to 0.597, and exact recovery from 0.053 to 0.113 over a decomposable pairwise set scorer (PairS2), although exact recovery remains low. On SERGIO DS3, oracle retrieval and TRACE show that candidate coverage is necessary but insufficient because set-level misranking remains the dominant source of exact-recovery failure. PairS2 proposal followed by Residual HOS2 reranking reduces HOS2-scored candidate sets by 94-97% while largely preserving exact-recovery behavior. These results distinguish edge ranking, candidate retrieval, set-level scoring, and exact cooperative regulator-set recovery as separate objectives.
Maryam Rahimimovassagh, Clayton Thomas Barham, Ivan Garibay +1
Jul 14, 2026cs.CV

Auditing Data Leakage in Whole-Slide Image Multimodal Benchmarks

Recent vision-language models (VLMs) for computational pathology report striking zero-shot performance on whole-slide image (WSI) visual question answering (VQA) benchmarks. We audit these claims and find them fundamentally compromised by data leakage at two hierarchical levels: patient-level leakage, where slides from the same case appear in both training and test folds, and institutional-level leakage, where different cases nonetheless share staining-batch and scanner signatures through a common Tissue Source Site (TSS). By tracing canonical slide, case, and TSS identifiers across major public resources, we document case level train test overlaps of 92.3~100% on TCGA-derived benchmarks, together with near-complete TSS overlap. We further demonstrate that both leakage levels are linearly decodable from foundation-model feature space, that they induce a measurable accuracy gap between leaked and audit-clean cases on a published checkpoint, and that across multiple published WSI VLMs, peak reported accuracies concentrate on the most heavily contaminated benchmarks. Therefore, the current WSI VQA evaluation cannot distinguish genuine multimodal reasoning from nearest-neighbor retrieval over memorized institutional and patient-specific artifacts. Finally, we outline concrete recommendations for contamination-free evaluation. By addressing benchmark construction, provenance disclosure, and automated overlap auditing, we aim to guide future research toward verifiable claims of progress.
Wenhao Zhang, Zhongliang Zhou, John Kang +1
Jul 13, 2026cs.CV

The Devil Is in the Leakage: A Disentangled Dual-Purification Framework for High-Fidelity Hairstyle Transfer

Hairstyle transfer aims to synthesize a photorealistic portrait by transplanting the hairstyle from a reference image onto a source subject while preserving the source identity. Recent foundation models show strong generative capability, but they struggle with the zero-shot disentanglement required for precise local editing, often entangling the reference hairstyle with its original identity and pose. Existing diffusion-based pipelines typically decompose the task by first generating a "bald" image from the source and then injecting hairstyle features from the reference. However, we show that this paradigm suffers from a fundamental leakage problem. Identity Leakage in Hairstyle occurs when hairstyle features retain reference identity or pose information, while Flaw Leakage in Bald arises when residual artifacts in the bald image are propagated into the final synthesis. To address both issues, we propose the Dual-Purification Framework (DPF), which introduces two complementary training-time regularizers. Adversarial Hairstyle Purification (AHP) purifies hairstyle features by suppressing identity predictability under a mutual-information-inspired adversarial objective. Contrastive Geometric Purification (CGP) regularizes the ControlNet pathway with a contrastive objective, reducing the model's reliance on geometric artifacts in the bald condition. By jointly purifying the hairstyle representation and geometric pathway, DPF achieves high-fidelity, identity-preserving hairstyle transfer and state-of-the-art performance on diverse benchmarks.
Jijie Li, Jiankuo Zhao, Xiangyu Zhu +1
Jul 13, 2026cs.LG

When the Reward Suite Is Leaky: A Preregistered Causal Contrast of Natural Verifier False Positives in RLVR

The test suites used as RLVR rewards for code have natural false positives: per-task, persistent, asymmetric errors that accept the same wrong programs every time they appear, unlike the symmetric or resampled noise assumed by existing noise-robustness analyses. We run a preregistered two-arm causal contrast on a deployed suite: GRPO on identical MBPP tasks, seeds, and compute, rewarded by the original MBPP tests (leaky) versus the MBPP+ extra tests (hardened). Two further families replicate the design under a preregistration frozen before their data existed. [C] The average held-out effect is bounded: non-inferior under a preregistered 1.5-pt margin (gap 0.20 pt, one-sided 95% upper bound 0.75 pt). [C] Rewarded false-positive mass tracks a cheap static leakiness audit computed before training (Spearman 0.80), and the registered train-side test puts the leak-stratum FP share +43.8 pt above clean tasks. [E] Auditing every rewarded FP under signed, human-adjudicated rules finds a large residual of verified genuinely wrong code: 47.57% record-weighted; both replication families reproduce a large share. The reward paid for real bugs, not merely suite artifacts. [E] Mechanism evidence is consistent with selection of pre-existing error modes rather than learned exploitation: FP incidence does not grow within our horizon, and untrained base models already produce the same wrong outputs under the leaky filter. We then turn the same instrument on the frontier judges themselves: on their own false positives they self-assess only weakly, a same-author test is unresolved, and even the highest-scoring reader we probe stays far below its score on a weaker policy's errors -- two subjects on MBPP, licensing nothing about frontier models in general. A cheap static audit locates exposure before training; hardening the reward removes the measurement inflation, though here it buys little capability.
Chuyifei Zhang
Jul 12, 2026cs.LG

Evaluating Reliability in Machine Learning Models for Early Chronic Kidney Disease Prediction: A Systematic Review of Data Leakage and Predictor Stability

The early detection of Chronic Kidney Disease using machine learning has attracted significant interest in healthcare-related computer science. Despite rapid advancements in this field, many reported studies remain inconsistent and potentially misleading. A significant drawback is the lack of organized evaluation regarding methodological concerns. Key issues include data leakage, limited access to temporal patient records and inconsistency in reported clinical indicators. This research offers a systematic literature review of existing CKD prediction studies using interpretable machine learning techniques, where nineteen relevant studies were selected via systematic searches across major academic databases. To assess methodological reliability, this study introduces a structured taxonomy of information leakage and a quantitative leakage scoring framework to systematically evaluate reliability across CKD prediction studies. The analysis reveals a strong relationship between leakage and inflated performance. Here, High leakage-studies report an average accuracy of 95.48%, compared to 80.2% for leakage-free studies, reflecting an increase of approximately 15.28%. Furthermore, a cross-study feature stability analysis shows that only a small subset of predictors is consistently reproducible, with over 80% lacking reliability. Overall, the findings suggest that many reported performance improvements stem from methodological limitations rather than true predictive capability.
Mashrul Hossain, Nafesa Kibria, Fahim Shahriar
Jun 30, 2026cs.CV

No Prompt, No Leaks: A Robust Generative Steganography Framework via Prompt-Free Diffusion

Generative image steganography synthesizes stego images directly from secret information to achieve inherent security advantages. Latent Diffusion Models (LDMs) have recently emerged as a fundamental image steganography framework that modulates secret latent representations with text prompts. Limited by the inflexibility of text prompts, these methods still struggle to generate high-quality stego images and accurately recover secret images. In this work, we propose a prompt-free diffusion image steganography framework that integrates style semantic priors to control more robust and reliable stego image generation. Specifically, a Cascaded Affine Coupling Module (CACM) establishes a bijective, deterministic mapping between a secret image and its latent representation. Then, style semantics are integrated into the diffusion process to control latent representation and ensure visual imperceptibility in the generated stego images. To mitigate trajectory deviations stemming from the unconditioned reverse process, a predictor-corrector mechanism is introduced to iteratively refine the generation trajectory via feedback from the current and predicted next states. Extensive experimental results show that the proposed method achieves competitive performance compared to state-of-the-art methods in terms of security, secret image reconstruction accuracy and controllability.
Jingwen Cai, Fen Xiao, Shuhua Deng +1
Jun 25, 2026cs.LG

When Does Quality-Aware Multimodal Fusion Matter? A Leakage-Safe Diagnostic for Decision-Level Dependence

Many multimodal systems estimate the reliability of each modality and weight their contributions to the final prediction. However, it remains unclear whether these scores influence model decisions or merely correlate with performance. We propose a simple diagnostic to test whether reliability information is used during inference. After training, the model and inputs are fixed while reliability scores are permuted across test examples. If predictions depend on these scores, performance should degrade. Experiments on StressID for stress recognition and CMU-MOSEI for sentiment analysis show that permuting reliability scores leaves performance unchanged despite substantial potential gains from selecting the best modality per example. In positive controls where reliability signals identify the correct modality, the same frozen fusion rules yield significant improvements, indicating that reliability signals influence fused decisions only when they reliably predict unimodal correctness.
Jaden Moon, Arvind Pillai, Andrew Campbell
Jun 24, 2026cs.LG

Leaking Circuit Secrets: Gradient Leakage Attacks on Graph Neural Networks

As graph neural networks (GNNs) become standard tools for critical tasks in circuit design and analysis, their security and privacy risks require careful attention. Here, we present the first comprehensive evaluation of gradient leakage attacks (GLAs) on GNNs in circuit-design and hardware-security tasks, a practical threat that has been largely overlooked. We assess state-of-the-art (SOTA) GNNs, including GraphSAGE, GCN, GIN, and GAT, trained on standard netlist benchmarks (ISCAS'85, EPFL, and TrustHub), for their fundamental vulnerability to GLAs. We find that GLAs can expose sensitive information, such as gate types and distinctive properties of hardware Trojans, which may assist adversaries in analyzing logic locking schemes or evading Trojan detection mechanisms. Our analysis shows that these risks are influenced by architectural features, with attention mechanisms (GAT) exacerbating leakage, while injective aggregation (GIN) provides comparatively stronger resilience. We further evaluate several SOTA defense techniques, including differential privacy, gradient clipping, secure aggregation, model compression with quantization, and adversarial training. We find that these techniques improve resilience only in specific settings and can also compromise model performance. Overall, our work provides key insights toward privacy-preserving GNNs and highlights the need for more robust and efficient defenses. We release our full methodology and artifacts.
Rupesh Raj Karn, Johann Knechtel, Ozgur Sinanoglu
Jun 22, 2026cs.CV

FedOT: Ownership Verification and Leakage Tracing via Watermarks for Federated LDMs

Training Latent Diffusion Models (LDMs) within Federated Learning (FL) has attracted increasing attention due to its ability to combine the powerful generative capacity of LDMs with the privacy-preserving properties of FL. However, FL requires sharing the global model with multiple participants, which risks unauthorized model distribution or resale by malicious clients. While an intuitive approach is to adopt existing VAE-based watermarking techniques for LDMs in FL, this strategy falls short in addressing such threats due to two fundamental challenges: (1) Existing methods support ownership verification but lack the ability to trace model leakage to a specific malicious client; (2) VAE-based watermarks are vulnerable, as they can be removed simply by replacing the decoder with a clean counterpart. In this paper, we propose FedOT, the first framework for ownership verification and leakage tracing in federated LDMs. Specifically, to address the first challenge, we design a chunked watermark, where the first part is for ownership verification, and the second part is used for client identification. Furthermore, to overcome the second challenge and secure the model against VAE replacement attack, we introduce Latent Vector Transformation (LVT), which strengthens the connection between the VAE and U-Net latent spaces by modifying the original latent distribution of the VAE. Consequently, any attempt to replace the VAE for watermark removal leads to significant image quality degradation, making the LDM model unusable. Extensive experiments demonstrate that FedOT achieves superior performance in both ownership verification and traceability. Project page: https://spyzixuan.github.io/FedOT/.
Wenlong Cheng, Yuan Gan, Yunqiu Xu +1
Jun 21, 2026q-fin.ST

Leakage-Aware Benchmarking of LLM Forecasting: Real-Time Nowcasts as the Decision-Time Input for Macro Factor Ranking

Forecasting benchmarks for retrieval-augmented LLMs routinely confound model capability with information leakage: features labeled with a target's timestamp are often not observable at the system's decision time. We study leakage-controlled equity factor ranking with a retrieval-augmented 7B open-source LLM forecaster. At each month-end from 2023-04 to 2026-03, the forecaster observes only decision-time information: lag-shifted FRED macro variables, recent macro-event summaries, and the Cleveland Fed's archived daily CPI nowcast for unreleased current-month inflation. A macro-analog retrieval module selects historical states, a critic LLM compresses them into one tactical rule, and an actor LLM maps the current state and recent rules into scores for seven U.S. equity style factors. The full pipeline obtains a median monthly Spearman rank IC of +0.154, with positive means across three non-overlapping contiguous 12-month subwindows; the mean IC remains statistically underpowered, with a bootstrap 95% confidence interval that includes zero. Non-LLM baselines under the same decision-time constraint demonstrate that a kNN macro-analog model recovers a comparable median IC, indicating that real-time inflation information and macro-similar retrieval explain much of the median signal. The LLM pipeline retains higher mean IC and a stronger long-short allocation sanity check, suggesting that any marginal benefit is concentrated in the extreme rankings that drive long-short portfolio formation. A descriptive audit of the 36 critic rules and per-month case studies appears in the appendix.
Mao Guan, Qian Chen
Jun 17, 2026cs.CR

TRAP: Benchmark for Task-completion and Resistance to Active Privacy-extraction

Agents are increasingly deployed in document-intensive workflows where sensitive private information is not an edge case but a routine input, e.g., an agent booking a flight needs passport numbers. In such settings, the agent must use private information to complete tasks accurately while never exposing it in its responses, because it cannot verify who is actually at the keyboard. These two obligations are in fundamental tension. A model capable enough to use private information for task completion can, by the same capability, be induced to reveal it. To evaluate the trade-off of task accuracy and privacy leakage, we introduce Task-completion and Resistance to Active Privacy-extraction (TRAP). Each scenario includes a document containing private information, a task query that requires the agent to invoke the correct tool using private fields, and an attack query that attempts to elicit the same information in natural language. Evaluating 22 models spanning frontier proprietary and open-source models at multiple scales, we find that all model families exhibit non-trivial leakage, and that instruction-following ability correlates with leakage rate. Existing prompt-based defenses reduce leakage but at significant cost to task accuracy. Prompt optimization fails to escape this trade-off. We demonstrate that this failure is not incidental. For any softmax-based model, no soft-constraint defense, e.g., prompt-based defenses, can jointly achieve high task success with zero leakage probability. Motivated by this impossibility result, we propose structural private field isolation, which replaces private fields with hash keys before they reach the model. This approach largely prevents leakage while keeping task accuracy.
Moon Ye-Bin, Nam Hyeon-Woo, Baek Seong-Eun +2
Jun 14, 2026cs.CR

GAS-Leak-LLM: Genetic Algorithm-Based Suffix Optimization for Black-Box LLM Jailbreaking

Large Language Models (LLMs) constitute pivotal components within the AI-dominated information technology ecosystem. To mitigate risks associated with harmful or policy-violating outputs, commercial systems employ advanced alignment strategies and multi-layered content moderation mechanisms. Despite these safeguards, recent research has demonstrated that LLMs remain vulnerable to adversarial manipulation, particularly through jailbreaking and prompt injection techniques. In this work, we propose GAS-Leak-LLM a novel jailbreaking attack based on a genetic algorithm that systematically evolves adversarial suffix to bypass safety constraints. Operating in a strict black-box setting, our method requires no access to model parameters or internals, thereby reflecting realistic threat scenarios in deployed systems. Through the iterative application of selection, mutation, and crossover heuristics, the framework systematically explores the discrete prompt space to identify high-fitness adversarial suffixes. Empirical findings reveal critical shortcomings in existing safety enforcement mechanisms and confirm the effectiveness and practical viability of the proposed attack.
Aman Anifer, Vignesh Kumar Kembu, Vishnu M +4
Jun 9, 2026cs.LG

In Defense of Information Leakage in Concept-based Models

Concept-based models (CMs), deep neural networks that ground their predictions on representations aligned with human-understandable concepts (e.g., "round", "stripes", etc.), have been shown to learn representations that leak concept-irrelevant information. As the traditional narrative goes, this leakage is undesirable and should be eradicated as it leads to uninterpretable models. In this paper, we posit that this conventional view of leakage in CMs is not only ill-posed, as the evidence of how leakage makes a model less interpretable is often inconclusive, but also bound to lead to impractical CMs under common real-world constraints. Specifically, we argue that in real-world settings where concept incompleteness is the norm, some leakage is often necessary for constructing accurate and intervenable CMs. To this end, we propose that there is such a thing as benign leakage and show that, by optimizing a reframing of the typical CM training objective, CMs can encourage and exploit this form of leakage without sacrificing accuracy or intervenability.
Mateo Espinosa Zarlenga
Jun 9, 2026cs.LG

A prior-free blind detection of information leakage from model predictions

Data leakage -- contamination of a model with information unavailable at baseline -- is the dominant reproducibility failure in machine-learning-based science, yet detection tools require training code, external data, or domain expertise. None operates on the artifact an auditor most often holds: the model's output. We ask what can be decided about leakage from predictions and outcomes alone. We give a decision-theoretic framework in which leakage diagnostics are functionals of the predicted-risk/outcome law, parameterized by a threshold-weighting linked to proper scoring rules and decision-curve analysis. We prove a sharp impossibility: a recalibrated leak matching an honest model's calibration and discrimination is indistinguishable from honest performance by \emph{any} function of the predictions, so the broad class is detectable only against an externally supplied ceiling on achievable discrimination. We then prove what leakage cannot hide: a near-deterministic subgroup -- the signature of a near-label leak -- produces a sustained unit-purity head that no legitimate predictor of a non-deterministic outcome can manufacture, yielding a prior-free test. These results organize leakage into a trichotomy -- miscalibrated, broad-calibrated, and deterministic -- each with a matched detector and failure mode. We validate on UK Biobank using time-windowed comorbidity leakage with known, graded severity, measuring a detection floor of Δ\cstar0.007Δ\cstar \approx 0.007 on this endpoint, below which residual leakage is undetectable from output and too small to alter conclusions. The numerical floor is cohort- and endpoint-specific; the structural lesson is general: output-only detection fails where residual leakage is indistinguishable from an honestly stronger predictor. The test returns a verdict on a prediction vector in under a second on commodity hardware.
Laurence A. Jacobs
Jun 8, 2026cs.CR

SecureClaw: Clawing Back Control of LLM Agents

Tool-using large language model (LLM) agents face two distinct security failures: unauthorized external actions and exposure of sensitive plaintext inside the runtime before any final output check can intervene. Existing defenses usually protect one boundary, either the planner/runtime or the action sink, and therefore do not by themselves secure both surfaces. We present SecureClaw, a dual-boundary architecture that places authorization at the effect sink and plaintext confinement at the read boundary. Sensitive reads pass through a trusted gateway that replaces raw values with opaque handles and, in the evaluated deployment, bounded summaries as an explicit declassification interface. Writes that change external state follow a PREVIEW\rightarrowCOMMIT protocol in which only a trusted executor may commit the exact canonical request authorized by policy. The runtime can still plan over summaries and symbolic references, but cannot directly dereference secrets or perform side effects. Across AgentDojo, AgentLeak, and Agent Security Bench (ASB), SecureClaw is the only defense we evaluate in a common harness that simultaneously retains usable task utility and achieves 0% attack success rate (ASR) on ASB, 0.64% ASR on AgentDojo, and 3.23% overall leak on AgentLeak's attacked parity lane, which measures final-output and internal-relay leakage.
Yuhan Ma, Stefan Schmid
Jun 8, 2026cs.CR

Pretrained, Frozen, Still Leaking: Auditing Cross-Encoder Attribute Transfer in EEG Foundation Models

EEG foundation-model releases are usually audited one endpoint at a time: raw-reconstruction, membership inference, identity linkage, or DP-SGD on the downstream head. We audit the same released embeddings under all four endpoints jointly, on BIOT, LaBraM, and EEGPT, and show that each single-endpoint audit clears releases that still leak spectral attributes. The decisive evidence is a cross-encoder transfer audit: a single ridge attribute decoder learned from one frozen encoder transfers, via a fitted linear bridge, to held-out-subject test splits of every other encoder, with subject-disjoint matched-control 95% CI lower bound at least 0.081 across all six BIOT/LaBraM/EEGPT directions. We prove a sufficient condition: two encoders sharing a nontrivial attribute-coordinate projector overlap beta admit a chained ridge bridge attacker with centered-gain lower bound sqrt(beta/(1+tau^2)) - eps_br - rho_0, and back-solve beta in [0.008, 0.198]. To turn the joint audit into a deployment-readable decision rule we introduce an audit-endpoint disagreement score (AEDS), prove sufficient conditions for its positivity, and bootstrap-calibrate it per cell; AEDS is positive in all eight matched-CI cells (BIOT/LaBraM/EEGPT on EEGMMI; LaBraM on Sleep-EDF, 54-channel LIMO, CHB-MIT pediatric scalp EEG) with p<0.001, while a head-level Carlini LiRA membership audit reaches AUC only 0.50-0.70. Standard defenses fail under audit: a Wiener-style noise-aware adaptive attacker, the LiRA audit, and DP-SGD at every utility-preserving epsilon in {4,8} leave the attribute channel essentially unchanged. The contribution is an audit framework that turns scattered single-endpoint defenses into a joint release decision, supported by a cross-encoder bridge theorem and adaptive-attacker, LiRA, and DP-SGD baselines; the audit licenses release-blocking, not raw-waveform exfiltration or held-out-subject identity recovery.
Jianwei Tai
Jun 7, 2026cs.CL

PerspectiveGap: A Benchmark for Multi-Agent Orchestration Prompting

Real-world LLM applications are moving beyond single-agent workflows toward orchestrated multi-agent systems, yet current models still struggle to determine what each sub-agent needs to know. To measure this, we introduce PerspectiveGap, a benchmark for evaluating LLMs' ability to compose orchestration prompts for multi-agent systems. PerspectiveGap contains 110 scenarios, each evaluated through two distractor-mixed task formats: role-fragment assignment and free-form prompt writing. These scenarios are organized into 10 topologies, which are distilled from the authors' real-world engineering practice and framed by the Prompt Economy principle: building loop-centered orchestrations that maximize utility with minimal role and engineering overhead. In experiments with 33 commercial models from 10 companies, GPT-5.5 substantially outperforms all competitors, whereas Opus 4.8 shows a notable weakness in orchestration prompting despite its strong coding performance. Nevertheless, PerspectiveGap remains challenging: the evaluated models achieve an average combined pass rate of only 17.2% (GPT-5.5 62.0%) and an average overall leakage rate of 217.9% (a per-scenario information leak-event count, not a proportion; GPT-5.5 49.1%). These findings suggest that multi-agent orchestration prompting is a distinct and under-evaluated capability, and PerspectiveGap provides a foundation for measuring and improving it systematically.
Youran Sun, Xingyu Ren, Kejia Zhang +2
Jun 7, 2026cs.SE

AI-Augmented Closed-Loop Quality Engineering: A Reference Architecture for Continuous Software Quality Intelligence

The quality of software engineering is still under a challenge due to disjointed processes between requirements, testing, and production, which hinders the opportunity to implement quality strategies in consecutive releases. Existing approaches tend to be fixed-model or single-optimization approaches and lack production feedback learning mechanisms. The paper at hand proposes a closed-loop reference architecture of continuous software quality intelligence with AI enhancements. The model synthesizes requirement feature mining, risk-based test prioritization, defect prediction, and production incident analysis as an element of a feedback-based pipeline. A limited feedback learning model is introduced that is used to propagate the production signal-based on defect severity and incident impact- to the following release to ensure stability, and the time. The method is evaluated using a semi-synthetic test dataset of 4,500 requirements, 27,049 test cases, 13,089 defects and 7,841 incidents in six release cycles. The experimental results show that the proposed system reduces the defect leakage by 0.19 to 0.13, increases the effectiveness of the detection system to 0.72 to 0.84, and shortens the test execution by up to 35 percent compared to the non-adaptive baselines. The changes are stable release to release. The findings indicate that through the integration of feedback-based learning in a closed-loop architecture, it can be continued to enhance quality process, which offers practical foundation of adaptive quality engineering of software.
Dimple Bajaj
Jun 2, 2026cs.NE

Quadratic integrate-and-fire neurons exhibit less fragmented loss landscapes and outperform leaky integrate-and-fire neurons in spike-based gradient descent

The ability to train spiking neural networks is essential for modeling biological neural networks as well as for neuromorphic computing. However, for the extensively used leaky integrate-and-fire (LIF) neurons, arbitrarily small parameter changes can induce spike (dis)appearances that disrupt subsequent activity, leading to unstable neural representations and permanently silent neurons during exact spike-based gradient descent. Recent work shows that a class of neuron models, which includes the quadratic integrate-and-fire (QIF) neuron, avoids these discontinuities and enables continuous and even smooth spike-based gradient descent. However, it remains unclear whether these advantages translate into practice. Here, we demonstrate that they do so via a controlled comparison between networks of LIF and QIF neurons on the popular Spiking Heidelberg Digits dataset. Specifically, in a first step, we perform a thorough hyperparameter search to optimize both models, revealing a clear performance advantage of QIF neurons. In a second step, we visualize the loss and gradient landscapes. Consistent with their inferior performance, we find that the loss landscapes of LIF neurons, which are discontinuous, appear more fragmented and the related gradients more erratic. An analysis of the landscapes of single samples indicates that these features arise from changes in the temporal order of spikes, which often cause disruptive spike (dis)appearances. Overall, our results advocate replacing LIF neurons with neuron models exhibiting continuous spiking dynamics, such as QIF neurons, for gradient descent training.
Carlo Wenig, Raoul-Martin Memmesheimer, Christian Klos
Jun 2, 2026stat.AP

Trans GAN-WT: A Feature Extraction and Interactive Learning-Based Anomaly Detection Model for Wind Turbine Time Series Data

With the increasing scale and number of wind farms, wind turbines' daily operation and maintenance costs are increasing. To reduce operation and maintenance costs and enhance the reliability of wind turbine and system operation data before reaching catastrophic failures, monitoring the operating status of the equipment and detecting failures at an early stage is crucial. It is of great practical significance to utilize the working condition data for abnormal assessment of the operating status of wind turbines to realize abnormal monitoring of the operating status of wind turbines. However, the existing anomaly detection methods can neither perform effective relational modeling in data filled with a large amount of redundant information nor reasonably utilize the valuable anomaly data. For this reason, this paper proposes an anomaly detection model that fuses a Transformer and a generative adversarial network. Firstly, it reduces the leakage detection rate of minor deviation anomalies by amplifying the reconstruction error. Secondly, it uses autoregressive inference to extract multimodal features to enhance the stability and generalization ability of training. Finally, the temporal feature extraction module is constructed to promote the interactive learning between features of different time scales and effectively reduce the time redundancy. The results of multiple sets of experiments conducted on real WTG datasets show that TransGAN-WT achieves an average F1 score of 96.10% across multiple wind turbine datasets, which is 5.84% and 2.89% higher than several other state-of-the-art baseline methods. It also realizes a false positive rate (FPR) of 0.06%, and is verified by the Wilcoxon signed-rank test to have achieved a statistically significant performance enhancement compared to the state-of-the-art baseline methods, effectively ensuring the stable operation of wind turbines.
Jingzhe Kang
Jun 1, 2026cs.LG

RobustModelMaker: Coupling Bootstrap Stability Selection with Leakage-Safe Nested Cross-Validation for Scientific Machine Learning

Small-to-medium scientific datasets place machine learning pipelines under two compounding pressures. Single-run feature selection produces feature sets that change substantially under small perturbations of the training data, and any procedure that uses the same data for selection, tuning, and evaluation produces optimistically biased performance estimates. The two failure modes are routinely treated as separable, but in the regimes where scientific data live, they interact: an unstable selection inflates the variance of an already-optimistic score, and standard remedies for one rarely address the other. RobustModelMaker is a Python framework that couples bootstrap stability selection with strict nested cross-validation, performs all preprocessing and selection inside each fold, and produces a stability-tested feature subset together with a leakage-safe performance estimate. The framework supports nine algorithms across binary classification, multiclass classification, and regression. Behaviour is verified by a deterministic test suite spanning unit, performance, and reproducibility checks on three real scientific datasets comparing to three alternative selectors (ANOVA F-test, recursive feature elimination with cross-validation, and Boruta) on both predictive score and a Jaccard measure of selection stability. RobustModelMaker is competitive in score with the best alternative selector on each dataset, and occupies a position on the joint score-stability frontier that none of the alternatives match across all three task types. Two example applications, ovarian cancer biomarker discovery from the PLCO Trial and critical-temperature regression on the UCI Superconductivity Data, illustrate how the framework is used in practice and what trade-offs become visible when stability is treated as a first-class deliverable rather than an emergent property.
Amanda S Barnard
May 28, 2026cs.LG

NumLeak: Public Numeric Benchmarks as Latent Labels in Foundation Models

Public numeric benchmarks appear in pretraining, so an evaluation that conditions on a date may be measuring memorized recall rather than out-of-sample skill. We introduce NumLeak, a measurement framework that combines API-boundary probes on production models with a white-box controlled validation on an open causal LM. Top-tier frontier LLMs recall the Fama-French market excess return at 3-seed pooled Pearson r=0.97-0.99 while staying within 0.15 within-25bps on the five sibling factors; comparable fidelity appears on U.S. unemployment, CPI inflation, and NOAA temperature. On a recent-release holdout, parse rate collapses to 21-57% but r stays at approximately 0.99 on months answered, the refuse-or-recall asymmetry a memorized channel predicts. The white-box experiment reproduces the dose-response, and logprob ranking detects memorization that open-ended generation misses, implying closed-API black-box probes understate the channel. A Sonnet "date to market-sentiment" regression that correlates with true Mkt-RF at r=0.74 collapses to r=0.02 once the model's own recall is residualized out. A one-line system-prompt defense blocks 99.8% of a non-adaptive single-turn suffix attack set at near-zero utility cost on conceptual and historical-narrative queries
Anany Kotawala
May 26, 2026cs.MM

MinhwaNet: Faithful but Insufficient Object Grounding in Korean Folk Painting

Korean folk painting (minhwa) is built from a small vocabulary of auspicious symbols, a tiger for protection, a pair of birds for marital harmony, a peony for wealth, that recur across many of its painted genres. This suggests an obvious computational approach, identify which symbols appear in a painting and read the genre from the inventory. Working with a public corpus that pairs whole paintings, eight-field bilingual curatorial captions, and a separate set of expert object crops, we find that this approach does not work. A model given only a list of which symbols a painting contains predicts the genre far worse than a model that fuses the image with the curatorial text, and forcing the genre representation to be object-grounded actively hurts accuracy. The visual evidence on which the genre prediction rests is nonetheless localized and inspectable. A leakage-safe object evidence map projected from a part-level detector is spatially faithful to where curators isolated symbolic objects and to a patch-based surrogate's own gradient saliency. We name this configuration a faithful-but-insufficient dissociation. The part-level explanation is honest about what the part-level model sees, yet the genre target turns on how symbols are arranged rather than on which ones appear. The same lens separates a content label that survives transfer to held-out source institutions, genre, from a style label that does not, era, a prediction we confirm on two further labels in the corpus. We release the multimodal system, a worked-example reading of one painting's evidence map against its catalogue, and a set of evaluation cautions that recur in long-tailed heritage collections.
Joonhyung Bae
May 25, 2026cs.AI

When Can We Trust Early Warnings? Leakage-Excluded Early Outcome Prediction from LMS Interaction Logs

Early-warning models built from Learning Management System (LMS) logs aim to predict end-of-course outcomes early enough to enable timely learner support. However, reported "early" performance is often inflated by temporal leakage. This occurs when the pipeline uses information that would not yet be available at the time of prediction. We formalize cutoff-based early outcome prediction under a temporal availability constraint and introduce LEAP (Leakage-Excluded Early-Availability Protocol), which enforces cutoff-first truncation prior to joins and aggregation and audits feature provenance to prevent post-cutoff evidence from entering the benchmark. We instantiate LEAP on the public Open University Learning Analytics Dataset (OULAD) as a multi-step protocol for leakage-controlled evaluation across weekly cutoffs. Using several standard learning methods, we evaluate performance using ROC-AUC, PR-AUC, Brier score, and F1@0.5. Results show improving performance as the observation window expands, with a marked gain around week~3; Random Forest performs best at the earliest cutoffs, while Gradient Boosting dominates thereafter. Leakage ablations further show that temporal violations, especially through assessment information, can inflate apparent "early" performance.
Ngoc Luyen Le, Marie-Hélène Abel, Bertrand Laforge
May 20, 2026cs.CR

An Application-Layer Multi-Modal Covert-Channel Reference Monitor for LLM Agent Egress

A large language model (LLM) agent that sends messages can leak data inside them. Destination allowlists and content scanners do not police whether an otherwise-benign payload is itself a covert channel: a compromised agent encodes bits in zero-width characters, homoglyphs, whitespace, base64, JavaScript Object Notation (JSON) key ordering, message timing or size -- and, in binary egress, in least-significant-bit (LSB) pixel planes, per-image mean luminance, inter-image sequence permutation, ultrasonic tones, or audible-band sonified data. Our egress reference monitor has three contributions. (i) A text pipeline of ten capacity-reducing stages, a per-sink leaky-bucket capacity ledger, and a staged posture that enforces lossless stages from day one. (ii) Two media scramblers (a Fourier-domain audio band-limiter and a red-green-blue (RGB) image bit-depth and mean-luminance bucketer) gated by a boot-time cryptographic legitimacy attestation: an auditor publishes at boot the trusted Ed25519 keys and {kind, data-class} pairs; only payloads with a verifying signature for an authorized class are exempt. The attestation sidesteps the intractable content-based discrimination between real media and data sonified or rasterized as a carrier; unsigned media is suspect by default; a content-addressed canonicalizer closes the inter-image permutation channel. (iii) Residual capacity is the Miller--Madow corrected mutual information between embedded and recovered bits (zero when destroyed), measured by an adversarial ensemble of fifteen working encoders across text, image and audio. The reference implementation drives residual capacity to zero on every destroyable channel and to a stated bound on the one (per-image mean luminance) that cannot be destroyed without ruining the image.
Alfredo Metere
May 18, 2026cs.LG

Shaping the Prior: How Synthetic Task Distributions Determine Tabular Foundation Model Quality

What determines the quality of a tabular foundation model? Unlike language or vision, tabular foundation models acquire their inductive biases almost entirely from synthetic pretraining distributions, yet the design of these distributions remains poorly understood. Standard synthetic priors are too well-behaved: they omit the irregularities and failure modes that determine deployment robustness. We introduce O'Prior, a compositional realism prior built around four coupled components: a hierarchical SCM meta-generator spanning diverse functional families; a modular realism engine covering heterogeneous marginals, missingness, and target transforms; an explicit stress module injecting confounding and support-query mismatch; and a curriculum-governed, leakage-safe generation protocol. To isolate prior design as the scientific variable, we hold architecture, optimizer, and compute budget fixed and vary only the synthetic task distribution. O'Prior yields consistent and substantial improvements in downstream accuracy and robustness across real tabular benchmarks, with gains concentrated in regimes characterized by distributional irregularities. Ablations confirm that mechanism diversity, realism composition, and shift-aware stress each contribute independently, their effects are not interchangeable. These results establish synthetic prior construction as a first-order and largely overlooked determinant of tabular foundation model quality
Mohamed Bouadi, Nassim Bouarour, Varun Kulkarni +3
May 14, 2026cs.AI

Teaching Large Language Models When Not to Know: Learning Temporal Critique for Ex-Ante Reasoning

Large language models (LLMs) often fail to reason under temporal cutoffs: when prompted to answer from the standpoint of an earlier time, they exploit knowledge that became available only later. We study this failure through the lens of ex-ante reasoning, where a model must rely exclusively on information knowable before a cutoff. Through a systematic analysis of prompt-level interventions, we find that temporal leakage is highly sensitive to cutoff formulation and instruction placement: explicit cutoff statements outperform implicit historical framings, and prefix constraints reduce leakage more effectively than suffix constraints. These findings indicate that prompting can steer models into a temporal frame, but does not endow them with the ability to verify whether a response is temporally admissible. We further argue that supervised fine-tuning is insufficient, since ex-ante correctness is not an intrinsic property of an answer, but a relation between the answer and the cutoff. To address this gap, we propose TCFT, a Temporal Critique Fine-Tuning framework that trains models to acquire cutoff-aware temporal verification. Given a query, a cutoff, and a candidate response, TCFT teaches the model to identify post-cutoff leakage, explain temporal boundary violations, and judge temporal admissibility. Experiments with Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct and Qwen2.5-14B-Instruct show that TCFT consistently outperforms prompting and SFT baselines, reducing average leakage by 41.89 and 37.79 percentage points, respectively.
Chenlu Ding, Jiancan Wu, Yanchen Luo +3
May 11, 2026cs.CR

Can You Keep a Secret? Involuntary Information Leakage in Language Model Writing

Language models are deployed in settings that require compartmentalization: system prompts should not be disclosed, chain-of-thought reasoning is hidden from users, and sensitive data passes through shared contexts. We test whether models can keep prompted information out of their writing. We give each model a secret word with instructions not to reveal it, then ask it to write a story. A second model tries to identify the secret from the story in a binary discrimination test. The secret word never appears literally in any output, but all five frontier models we test leak it thematically -- through topic choice, imagery, and setting--6hy-at rates significantly different from chance, up to 79%. When told to actively hide the secret, models write \emph{away from} it, and this avoidance is itself detectable. The leakage is cross-model readable, scales sharply with model size within two model families, and disappears entirely for short-form writing like jokes. Giving the model a decoy concept to ``focus on instead'' partially redirects the leakage from the real secret to the decoy. Attending to a secret appears to open up an information channel that frontier LLMs cannot close, even when instructed to.
Ari Holtzman, Peter West
May 11, 2026cs.AI

PRISM: Generation-Time Detection and Mitigation of Secret Leakage in Multi-Agent LLM Pipelines

Multi-agent LLM systems introduce a security risk in which sensitive information accessed by one agent can propagate through shared context and reappear in downstream outputs, even without explicit adversarial intent. We formalise this phenomenon as propagation amplification, where leakage risk increases across agent boundaries as sensitive content is repeatedly exposed to downstream generators. Existing defences, including prompt-based safeguards, static pattern matching, and LLM-as-judge filtering, are not designed for this setting: they either operate after generation, rely primarily on surface-form patterns, or add substantial latency without modelling the generation process itself. To resolve these issues, we propose PRISM, a real-time defence that treats credential leakage as a sequential risk accumulation problem during generation. At each decoding step, PRISM combines 16 signals spanning lexical, structural, information-theoretic, behavioural, and contextual features into a calibrated risk score, enabling per-token intervention through green, yellow, and red risk zones. Our central observation is that credential reproduction is often preceded by a measurable shift in generation dynamics, characterised by entropy collapse and increasing logit concentration. When combined with text-structural cues such as identifier-pattern detection, these temporal signals provide an early warning of leakage before a secret is fully reconstructed. Across a 2,000-task adversarial benchmark covering 13 attack categories and three pressure levels in a heterogeneous four-agent pipeline, PRISM achieves F1 = 0.832 with precision = 1.000 and recall = 0.712, while producing no observed leakage on our benchmark (0.0% task-level leak rate) and preserving output utility of 0.893. It substantially outperforms the strongest baseline, Span Tagger, which achieves F1 = 0.719 with a 15.0% task-level leak rate.
Riya Tapwal, Abhishek Kumar, Carsten Maple
May 7, 2026cs.CR

LeakDojo: Decoding the Leakage Threats of RAG Systems

Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) enables large language models (LLMs) to leverage external knowledge, but also exposes valuable RAG databases to leakage attacks. As RAG systems grow more complex and LLMs exhibit stronger instruction-following capabilities, existing studies fall short of systematically assessing RAG leakage risks. We present LeakDojo, a configurable framework for controlled evaluation of RAG leakage. Using LeakDojo, we benchmark six existing attacks across fourteen LLMs, four datasets, and diverse RAG systems. Our study reveals that (1) query generation and adversarial instructions contribute independently to leakage, with overall leakage well approximated by their product; (2) stronger instruction-following capability correlates with higher leakage risk; and (3) improvements in RAG faithfulness can introduce increased leakage risk. These findings provide actionable insights for understanding and mitigating RAG leakage in practice. Our codebase is available at https://github.com/yeasen-z/LeakDojo.
Maosen Zhang, Jianshuo Dong, Boting Lu +4
May 1, 2026cs.LG

Metric-Normalized Posterior Leakage (mPL): Attacker-Aligned Privacy for Joint Consumption

Metric differential privacy (mDP) strengthens local differential privacy (LDP) by scaling noise to semantic distance, but many machine learning (ML) systems are consumed under joint observation, where model-agnostic, per-record guarantees can miss leakage from evidence aggregation. We introduce metric-normalized posterior leakage (mPL), an attacker-aligned, distance-calibrated measure of posterior-odds shift induced by releases, and show that for single or independent releases, uniformly bounding mPL is equivalent to mDP. Under joint observation, however, satisfying mDP may still leave mPL high because learned aggregators compound evidence across correlated items. To make control practical, we formalize probabilistically bounded mPL (PBmPL), which limits how often mPL may exceed a target budget, and we operationalize it via Adaptive mPL (AmPL), a trust-and-verify framework that perturbs, audits with a learned attacker, and adapts parameters (with optional Bayesian remapping) to balance privacy and utility. In a word-embedding case study, neural adversaries violate mPL under joint consumption despite per-record mDP perturbations, whereas AmPL substantially lowers the frequency of such violations with low utility loss, indicating PBmPL as a practical, certifiable protection for joint-consumption settings.
Gaoyi Chen, Minghao Li, Weishi Shi +4
May 1, 2026cs.CL

Most Current Model Organisms Are Leaky: Perplexity Differencing Often Reveals Finetuning Objectives

Finetuning can significantly modify the behavior of large language models, including introducing harmful or unsafe behaviors. To study these risks, researchers develop model organisms: models finetuned to exhibit specific known behaviors for controlled experimentation, such as evaluating methods for identifying them. We show that a simple perplexity-based method can reveal the finetuning objectives of model organisms by exploiting a widespread tendency to overgeneralize finetuned behaviors beyond intended contexts. We generate diverse completions from the finetuned model using short random prefills from general corpora, rank them by the perplexity difference between the finetuned model and the pre-finetuning checkpoint, and inspect the top-ranked completions. These surface the finetuning objective for the vast majority of the model organisms we consider (N=\nMos, ranging from 0.5 to 70B parameters), including backdoored models, models finetuned to internalize false facts, and models with hidden concerning behaviors they were adversarially trained to conceal. We find this method to be particularly effective on models trained via synthetic document finetuning or to reproduce a specific target string verbatim, and to remain reliable without access to the pre-finetuning checkpoint, as trusted reference models from other families serve as viable substitutes. Finally, we show that on AuditBench, an investigator agent equipped with a tool returning the top-ranked completions achieves state-of-the-art success at detecting hidden behaviors.
Mohammed Abu Baker, Luca Baroni, Dan Wilhelm
Apr 29, 2026cs.CL

Path-Lock Expert: Separating Reasoning Mode in Hybrid Thinking via Architecture-Level Separation

Hybrid-thinking language models expose explicit think and no-think modes, but current designs do not separate them cleanly. Even in no-think mode, models often emit long and self-reflective responses, causing reasoning leakage. Existing work reduces this issue through better data curation and multi-stage training, yet leakage remains because both modes are still encoded in the same feed-forward parameters. We propose Path-Lock Expert (PLE), an architecture-level solution that replaces the single MLP in each decoder layer with two semantically locked experts, one for think and one for no-think, while keeping attention, embeddings, normalization, and the language-model head shared. A deterministic control-token router selects exactly one expert path for the entire sequence, so inference preserves the dense model's per-token computation pattern and each expert receives mode-pure updates during supervised fine-tuning. Across math and science reasoning benchmarks, PLE maintains strong think performance while producing a substantially stronger no-think mode that is more accurate, more concise, and far less prone to reasoning leakage. On Qwen3-4B, for example, PLE reduces no-think reflective tokens on AIME24 from 2.54 to 0.39 and improves no-think accuracy from 20.67% to 40.00%, all while preserving think-mode performance. These results suggest that controllable hybrid thinking is fundamentally an architectural problem, and separating mode-specific feed-forward pathways is a simple and effective solution.
Shouren Wang, Wang Yang, Chuang Ma +7
Apr 20, 2026cs.CR

Understanding Secret Leakage Risks in Code LLMs: A Tokenization Perspective

Code secrets are sensitive assets for software developers, and their leakage poses significant cybersecurity risks. While the rapid development of AI code assistants powered by Code Large Language Models (CLLMs), CLLMs are shown to inadvertently leak such secrets due to a notorious memorization phenomenon. This study first reveals that Byte-Pair Encoding (BPE) tokenization leads to unexpected behavior of secret memorization, which we term as \textit{gibberish bias}. Specifically, we identified that some secrets are among the easiest for CLLMs to memorize. These secrets yield high character-level entropy, but low token-level entropy. Then, this paper supports the biased claim with numerical data. We identified that the roots of the bias are the token distribution shift between the CLLM training data and the secret data. We further discuss how gibberish bias manifests under the ``larger vocabulary'' trend. To conclude the paper, we discuss potential mitigation strategies and the broader implications on current tokenizer design.
Meifang Chen, Zhe Yang, Huang Nianchen +4
Oct 29, 2025cs.LG

From Leakage to Fidelity: Reliable Benchmarking for Temporal Cascade Prediction

Temporal cascade prediction is widely studied, yet its empirical foundations remain fragile. Most existing works report results under random cascade splits that mix past and future signals, rely on datasets with limited features and no downstream conversion labels, and compare increasingly complex models without systematically examining whether benchmark conclusions are protocol-dependent. This paper argues that the field should move from leakage-prone evaluation toward fidelity-aware benchmarking. We introduce a protocol suite and renewed evaluation standard for temporal cascade prediction, centered on the Full Temporal protocol, overlap-based leakage diagnostics, and analyses of performance inflation and temporal drift. To broaden the scope of benchmark tasks, we also present Taoke, a real-world e-commerce cascade dataset with rich promoter/product features and observed purchase conversions, enabling both first-stage popularity forecasting and second-stage conversion forecasting under a shared benchmark asset. Finally, we include CasTemp as a lightweight reference method and additionally probe a larger same-task internal extension to verify that this pipeline remains operational at substantially greater scale. Together, these components turn cascade prediction from a protocol-sensitive leaderboard exercise into a more reliable analysis and benchmarking problem, while still providing a practical reference pipeline for large-scale evaluation and conversion-aware modeling.
Jie Peng, Rui Wang, Qiang Wang +4