Learning-Augmented Algorithms

We propose a scalable method for training prediction (machine learning) models in the predict-then-optimize paradigm, where model outputs serve as coefficients for a subsequent linear optimization task. Directly minimizing the empirical decision regret is intractable for linear programming and combinatorial optimization since the decision mapping is piecewise constant, and the gradients are zero almost everywhere. While existing methods address this by smoothing the differentiation process, they suffer from scalability issues, since a computationally expensive solver call is required for every gradient evaluation. To address this, we propose a decision-focused learning pipeline based on a measure transformation principle, which yields a new surrogate loss that is completely optimization-solver-free during training. We establish theoretical guarantees, including Fisher consistency and excess risk bounds. Empirically, our method achieves decision quality competitive with state-of-the-art methods while reducing training time by orders of magnitude.

The field of learning-augmented algorithms has demonstrated that machine-learned predictions can bypass worst-case lower bounds across a wide range of problems. So far, however, the focus has been almost exclusively on polynomial-time algorithms, where predictions improve competitive ratios, approximation guarantees, or running times. In this paper, we raise the question of whether predictions can push the frontier of exact exponential-time algorithms for NP-hard problems. We answer this question affirmatively by proposing a general approach that augments an entire family of state-of-the-art exact algorithms for a variety of subset selection problems. We show that a noisy predictor that is only marginally better than random guessing suffices to provably reduce the search space, and that the resulting runtime speedup scales smoothly with the prediction quality. Importantly, our algorithms require only pairwise independence of predictions or, alternatively, do not require the knowledge of the predictor's accuracy - both strictly weaker and more realistic settings than typically assumed.

Offline reinforcement learning is typically analyzed under process-level reward supervision, yet many sequential decision datasets record only trajectory-level outcomes. We develop a statistical theory for offline policy optimization from such outcome-level supervision. We first study the canonical setting where the target remains the expected cumulative reward, but each offline trajectory provides only a scalar label whose conditional mean is the cumulative return. We propose OPAC, a pessimistic actor-critic algorithm that learns a latent reward model and optimizes a policy from trajectory-level labels. We prove a high-probability guarantee of order $\widetilde O(H^2\sqrt{C_{sa}(π^\star)/n})$ and a matching lower bound, characterizing the sharp statistical cost of replacing process-level rewards with one trajectory-level label. We then extend the principle to preference-based feedback, preserving the leading horizon and concentrability dependence up to preference-model constants. Finally, we study generalized outcome-based offline RL, where both the supervision and the objective are trajectory-level quantities induced by a nonlinear aggregation of latent per-step rewards. This problem is not learnable in general: for all-success objectives, any offline learner may require $Ω(2^H)$ trajectories even with deterministic transitions and constant concentrability. We then identify a tractable regime through two structural coefficients, $κ_μ(σ)$ and $χ_μ(σ)$, capturing information loss in outcome aggregation and generalized Bellman updates, under which generalized OPAC achieves polynomial sample complexity. Together, our results delineate when outcome-level supervision enables sample-efficient offline control and when missing process-level rewards create fundamental statistical barriers.

Data acquisition is a major bottleneck for learning in real-time streams: analysts must decide on the fly which labels to purchase while respecting a rolling budget. However, existing online active learning rarely unifies pricing, information gain, and rolling budget constraints under concept drift. We introduce QueryMarket, a market-inspired framework that queries each incoming data point based on its estimated utility to the model and its price. Within this framework, we propose OVBAL (online variance-based active learning), which integrates data pricing with information-driven selection by estimating each sample's marginal utility via a D-optimality criterion with exponential forgetting and executing cost-aware purchases under rolling budget constraints. OVBAL yields a simple, fully online decision rule that adapts to nonstationary streams and heterogeneous label costs. Experiments on synthetic data and a real-world solar power generation forecasting task show that OVBAL is particularly effective under seller-centric pricing and yields a more favorable long-run error-cost trade-off in the real-world task under both pricing schemes.

Empirical risk minimization on massive datasets naturally exhibits a nested double finite-sum structure, where $N=nm$ total samples are logically or physically partitioned into $n$ blocks of size $m$ (e.g., in pooled data silos, out-of-core learning, or deliberate stratification). While variance-reduced methods achieve optimal oracle complexities for nonconvex objectives, they suffer from severe scaling bottlenecks in this centralized regime. Recursive estimators, such as PAGE, require periodic global full-gradient refreshes over all $nm$ samples, which are computationally expensive. Conversely, single-loop methods, such as SILVER, avoid such refreshes but require an impractical $\mathcal{O}(nm)$ memory footprint to store a control variate for every sample. In this paper, we propose SILAGE, a variance-reduced algorithm that addresses this trade-off. By actively exploiting the double-sum structure, SILAGE eliminates periodic global full-gradient refreshes over all $nm$ components (evaluating at most one local group gradient per iteration) while requiring only $\mathcal{O}(n)$ memory. Furthermore, we provide a tight convergence analysis that avoids pessimistic worst-case Lipschitz constants. Instead, SILAGE's complexity natively adapts to the underlying data geometry via nested functional similarities: across-group ($δ_1$) and within-group ($δ_2$) heterogeneity. Our results improve existing state-of-the-art bounds in several practically relevant regimes.

Recently, Antoniadis et al. (ICLR 2025) proposed a framework for incorporating predictions to approximate NP-hard selection problems. Despite its simplicity, this approach tightly matches theoretical lower bounds, making its generalization highly compelling. We address an open question raised in the work of Antoniadis et al., concerning the extension of this approach to other important problems outside the class of selection problems, such as scheduling. We develop a learning-augmented algorithm for the makespan minimization problem on unrelated machines, denoted by $R\|C_{\max}$. By using predictions of heavy job assignments, we achieve a polynomial-time $(1+\varepsilon)$-approximation for accurate predictions that smoothly degrades to a worst-case 2-approximation as the error increases. We conclude our work with an empirical analysis of our method.

We study the problem of learning a drifting concept in the presence of Massart noise. In this framework, an online learner has access to a history of independent samples whose labels are noisy versions of a target concept that may change from round to round. The goal is to output, in each round, a hypothesis with small prediction error. We study the complexity of this learning problem for the fundamental class of margin-separable linear classifiers (halfspaces). On the positive side, we give a computationally efficient learner achieving error $η+ \tilde O(Δ^{1/3}/γ)$, where $η$ upper bounds the Massart noise rate, $Δ$ is the drift rate, and $γ$ is the margin. Interestingly, in the realizable setting, an adaptation of our techniques yields an efficient learner with an improved error rate over prior work. On the lower-bound side, we provide formal evidence of an information-computation tradeoff, strongly suggesting that our algorithm's performance is essentially optimal. Specifically, while the information-theoretically optimal error scales with $Δ^{1/2}$, we prove that $Δ^{1/3}$-scaling is unavoidable for low-degree polynomial tests, even in the special case of random classification noise.

Decision-focused learning has shown great promise for addressing predict-then-optimize problems, particularly in the presence of under-specified models. However, its practical deployment is often hindered by high computational costs and limited scalability, as it requires solving a constrained optimization problem for each training instance at every iteration. To address these challenges, we propose a novel framework that incorporates Lagrangian decomposition into the decision-focused learning paradigm. Specifically, we introduce a new surrogate objective along with two loss functions for evaluating and training the underlying prediction model. We further propose two variants of our approach, which offer different trade-offs between computational efficiency and solution quality. Our framework can be seamlessly integrated with standard decision-focused learning methods, including Smart Predict-then-Optimize (SPO+) and Implicit Maximum Likelihood Estimation (IMLE). Through experiments on two standard benchmarks, the multi-dimensional knapsack problem and quadratic portfolio optimization, we demonstrate that our approach achieves competitive performance while remaining amenable to parallelization. In particular, it consistently outperforms traditional decision-focused learning methods on large-scale instances, involving up to eight times more variables than those typically considered in related work. The implementation is available at https://github.com/corail-research/DFL-LD.

In many real-world settings, data streams are nonstationary and arrive sequentially, requiring learning systems to adapt continuously without retraining from scratch. Continual learning (CL) addresses this challenge by incorporating new tasks while mitigating catastrophic forgetting, where learning new information degrades performance on previously acquired knowledge. We introduce a control-theoretic perspective on CL that explicitly regulates the evolution of forgetting, framing adaptation as a controlled process subject to long-term stability constraints. We focus on replay-based CL, where a finite memory buffer stores representative samples from prior tasks. We propose COntinual Learning with Drift-Plus-Penalty (COLD), a continual learning framework based on the Drift-Plus-Penalty (DPP) principle from stochastic optimization. To facilitate analysis, we also consider an oracle variant, COLD-ORACLE, as a reference benchmark. At each task, both methods minimize the current task loss while maintaining a virtual queue that tracks deviations from long-term stability on previously learned tasks, capturing the stability-plasticity trade-off as a regulated dynamical process. We establish stability and convergence guarantees that characterize this trade-off through a tunable control parameter. Experiments on standard benchmarks demonstrate that COLD consistently outperforms a broad range of state-of-the-art CL methods while providing competitive and controllable forgetting behavior through explicit regulation of stability and plasticity.

Stochastic constrained decision-making requires optimizing performance objectives while enforcing statistical requirements such as safety or fairness. However, standard primal--dual methods struggle to update multipliers robustly under stochastic mini-batch feedback, as the noise of mini-batch gradients and constraint estimates can be directly accumulated into the multiplier memory. To address this issue, we propose Residual-Controlled Multiplier Learning (RCML), which reformulates multiplier updating as projected-pressure feedback. The central idea is to decompose the projected multiplier into an effective pressure signal for primal descent and a pressure-memory residual for finite-gain multiplier tracking. To handle heterogeneous and noisy observations, we further augment this residual-integral backbone with modular stochastic stabilization components. For the convex-affine backbone, we establish finite-gain convergence, derive a stochastic residual bound under mini-batch feedback, and show that the residual feedback law admits a local KKT-residual interpretation near regular KKT points of nonconvex problems. Experiments across optimization, allocation, and fair-ranking tasks show that RCML improves feasibility control and multiplier stability while maintaining competitive objective performance. Code is released at https://anonymous.4open.science/r/RCML-3114/.

Deployed large language model agents must adapt to distribution shift in dynamic environments. Ideally, adaptation can be performed from accumulated agent experiences and retain prior capabilities while transferring to future tasks. However, agent actions and environmental transitions can only be sampled once per scenario, as real-world environments cannot be trivially reset. To this end, we investigate an experiential and online continual learning setting in which agents learn from a stream of scenarios. We propose continual learning as-a-service (CLaaS), a system which enables agents to improve during deployment, abstracted behind a chat API. To increase sample efficiency, CLaaS stores rollouts in an experience replay buffer for gradient reuse during asynchronous training. We evaluate CLaaS on an adversarial task, demonstrating that parametric updates lead to superior forward transfer and less forgetting than in-context learning, with replay being a critical choice for sample efficiency.

We present learning-augmented algorithms for two general classes of online minimization problems: metrical task systems and laminar set cover. Both algorithms achieve improved theoretical guarantees using machine-learned predictions of an optimal solution to the dual linear program. Unlike optimal primal solutions, which can change drastically under tiny instance perturbations, these dual solutions are much more stable, which ensures the existence of good (and learnable) predictions for families of similar instances. While previous work has used dual predictions in offline settings and for online maximization problems, our algorithms are, to the best of our knowledge, the first demonstration that such dual predictions can be effective for online minimization. Our theoretical results are complemented by experiments on the $k$-server problem and the parking permit problem.

This paper investigates non-stationary online learning using the metric of interval regret, which requires an online algorithm to perform well over every time interval. We propose the first online learning algorithm that achieves an interval regret bound scaling with gradient variation, a fundamental measure of the cumulative change in online function gradients, which relates to various problem-dependent quantities and is closely connected to stochastic optimization and other problems. Our method employs a simple and efficient two-layer online ensemble structure that achieves strong theoretical guarantees. Specifically, it enjoys a regret bound that simultaneously adapts to various problem-dependent quantities while also preserving the minimax-optimal rate in the worst case. Moreover, recognizing the challenge of hyperparameter tuning, we introduce a Lipschitz- and smoothness-agnostic variant that automatically adapts to these potentially unknown constants. This is primarily enabled by a novel Lipschitz-adaptive meta algorithm, which may be of independent interest. Beyond interval regret, our method also yields broader implications: it provides versatile bounds for interval dynamic regret, a stronger measure that competes with changing comparators over any interval, and yields the first piecewise characterization for stochastic extended adversarial optimization. Theoretical findings are validated by experiments.

Learning-augmented paging has been extensively studied in recent years. A key advantage over naive ML-based approaches is \emph{bounded robustness}, which guarantees worst-case performance even when predictions are inaccurate, making these algorithms valuable for real-world systems. Prior work achieves robustness bounds of $2H_k + O(1)$ in the randomized setting, leaving a gap to the optimal competitive ratio $H_k$. In this paper, we study how to close this gap. We begin by reviewing online optimality and proving a new property of the latest $H_k$-competitive algorithm, which facilitates our analysis in the learning-augmented setting. Then, we review existing learning-augmented paging algorithms and introduce a unifying primitive, the \emph{relative prediction budget}, which captures the essence of establishing robustness and reveals that prior algorithms either overuse or underutilize predictions. Guided by the above analysis, we develop a new framework that achieves the best-possible robustness up to an additive constant for learning-augmented paging: $H_k + O(1)$. Experiments further demonstrate strong practical performance.

Strategic classification studies settings in which agents respond to a deployed classifier by modifying observable features at a cost. Classical models typically treat such responses as cosmetic: features may change, but true labels remain fixed. We study an improvement-aware variant in which strategic responses can induce genuine changes in outcome-relevant features. Agents choose post-deployment feature vectors strategically, and labels are then generated according to a stable conditional outcome law that preserves the relationship between features and outcomes. We formalize this problem for linear classifiers under a single-index qualification model and linear-decomposable costs. We show that the strategic-optimal classifier is obtained by a parallel shift of the Bayes-optimal decision boundary, and that it provides a better surrogate for the improvement-aware objective than the Bayes classifier. Since improvement-aware learning requires post-deployment labels, which are typically unavailable before deployment, we provide PAC-style guar- antees under an oracle model, propose a practical plug-in algorithm, establish its generalization bound, and evaluate it on synthetic and real-world datasets.

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is critical for the deployment of machine learning predictors in real-world scenarios where the data distribution may shift over time (i.e., data may not be exchangeable). Online conformal prediction (OCP) methods address this issue at the expense of either (i) group-wise error control or (ii) learning-rate independent implementation. Group-conditional coverage is essential for fairness across different collections of data points and for providing finer UQ guarantees. Parameter-free optimization is crucial for robustness to adversarial and unknown data shifts. We propose a parameter-free algorithm for group-conditional OCP and demonstrate that it achieves the best group-conditional coverage guarantees. We evaluate our algorithm on synthetic and real-world data, demonstrating that our method not only improves the reliability of existing parameter-free OCP methods but also provides prediction intervals that are comparable in size to well-tuned group-conditional approaches. By unifying group-conditional coverage with parameter-free online algorithms, our work lays a foundation for fair and robust uncertainty quantification in shifting environments.

InfoNCE is the standard contrastive learning objective, but its softmax form is not only a computational convenience: it also encodes a statistical assumption about how the top-scoring example is selected. Using extreme value theory, we show that this assumption is often misaligned with the normalized embedding setting used in modern contrastive learning. Motivated by this mismatch, we propose \textsc{WEINCE}, a simple modification of InfoNCE that uses anchor-wise online batch statistics to blend the usual softmax logits with an endpoint shortfall correction, adding no trainable parameters. Across five vision benchmarks, \textsc{WEINCE} yields consistent improvements in frozen-feature evaluation. These results show that a more faithful statistical treatment of hard negatives can improve contrastive objectives.

Bagging-based ensembles, most notably Adaptive Random Forests, are among the strongest performers for learning from data streams. A common denominator across these methods is their reliance on Hoeffding Trees as base learners, which grow decision trees incrementally by testing whether a candidate split is significantly better than its alternatives using concentration inequalities. Despite their empirical success, existing variants lack valid statistical guarantees. Current analyses rely on fixed-sample concentration bounds, while split decisions are made using data-dependent stopping rules, which invalidates their guarantees and can drive the probabilty of incorrect splits to one. We introduce a principled alternative based on anytime-valid inference. Our method provides: (i) anytime-valid control of false splits under arbitrary data streams, including non-stationary settings; (ii) finite commitment time under a predictive advantage; and (iii) under stationary i.i.d. data, risk is monotone decreasing and strictly improves at every split. Empirically, we evaluate both standalone trees and their use within Adaptive Random Forests on non-stationary streams. Our method improves performance while producing substantially smaller trees.

Inferring continuous probability paths from sparse snapshots is a fundamental challenge in domains like single-cell biology, where high-fidelity data acquisition is often destructive and constrained by prohibitive sequencing costs. This motivates the need for active learning strategies to strategically select optimal measurement times. However, designing active learning policies for this setting remains an open problem: the target objects reside on the infinite dimensional Wasserstein space where standard Euclidean metrics are ill-defined, and current interpolation methods lack epistemic uncertainty quantification. We introduce a framework which extends active experimentation to the space of measures. By leveraging Linearized Optimal Transport (LOT), we map distributional snapshots into a tangent space amenable to Gaussian Process modeling, allowing us to construct a tractable probabilistic surrogate for the underlying probability path. This yields an acquisition policy that iteratively selects measurement times to minimize uncertainty. Empirical results demonstrate that our strategy outperforms uncertainty-agnostic baselines on both synthetic and real-world datasets.

We consider the problem of universal transductive online classification with a possibly unbounded label space. This setting considers online learning, with the sequence of instances (without labels) known to the learner in advance. We say a concept class $\mathcal{H}$ is learnable if there is a learning algorithm $\mathcal{A}$, such that for every realizable sequence, the number of mistakes made by $\mathcal{A}$ grows at most sublinearly with the number of predictions. We characterize the learnability of this setting and show that there are only two possible optimal rates for the learnable classes: either bounded or increasing logarithmically. We introduce a new combinatorial structure, called ``Level-Constrained-Littlestone-Littlestone (LCLL) tree'', which, along with the indifference property, characterizes the learnability. We also extend the learnability result to the agnostic case and the case where only the stochastic process that generates the instance sequence is known.

We study stochastic decision-theoretic online learning with full information and event-level pure differential privacy. A COLT open problem of Hu and Mehta asks to determine the optimal gap-dependent regret rate for stochastic decision-theoretic online learning under pure event-level differential privacy. For $K$ actions, losses in $[0,1]$, and a unique best action separated from the second-best action by gap $Δ_{\min}$, the known lower bound is of order $\frac{\log K}{\min\{Δ_{\min},\varepsilon\}},$ or equivalently, up to universal constants, of order $$\frac{\log K}{Δ_{\min}}+\frac{\log K}{\varepsilon}.$$ We give a horizon-free pure-DP algorithm and prove the explicit regret bound $$\operatorname{Reg}_T \le 1000 \cdot \left(\frac{\log K}{Δ_{\min}}+\frac{\log K}{\varepsilon}\right)$$ for every horizon $T$. The numerical constant is not optimized. The algorithm partitions time into blocks of exponentially increasing size, plays a single action throughout each block, and chooses the next action by an exponential mechanism applied to a data-independent random prefix of the previous block. The random prefix converts block regret into a sum, over all prefix lengths, of softmax selection errors. A single entropy-potential argument controls all privacy-dominated large-gap actions at cost $\log K/\varepsilon$.

Irregular multivariate time series forecasting is critical in many real-world applications, where time series are irregularly sampled and exhibit dynamically evolving missingness patterns. Although existing methods perform well in offline settings, they often suffer from significant performance degradation when deployed online due to dynamic shifts in data distribution. Maintaining forecasting capability in such dynamic scenarios typically necessitates online adaptation techniques. Since irregular sampling fundamentally undermines temporal continuity and periodicity, we cannot leverage these widely studied characteristics from regular MTS for online learning. To this end, we study the problem of online IMTS forecasting and propose Under-Cali, an uncertainty-driven dual-expert calibration framework consisting of three core components: an uncertainty estimator, a dual-expert calibration module, and an adaptive routing module. We design an uncertainty estimator that serves as the core control signal to jointly manage inference and adaptation processes. In our framework, the uncertainty estimator first assesses uncertainty for each incoming batch. The adaptive routing module then directs samples with high uncertainty to the unreliable expert for calibration, while low uncertainty samples remain with the reliable expert. Subsequently, the system updates the reliable expert and the uncertainty estimator using well-calibrated reliable samples, and updates the unreliable expert with challenging samples, enabling stable and efficient online learning. Under-Cali keeps the source forecasting model frozen and performs adaptation only through a lightweight, model-agnostic calibration module, enabling efficient adaptation. Extensive experiments on IMTS benchmarks demonstrate consistent improvements with low computational cost. Our code is available at https://github.com/HaonanWen/Under-Cali.

In large-scale benchmarking of stochastic optimization algorithms, the key challenge is no longer whether repeated runs are needed for reliability, but how to determine when sufficient evidence has been collected without incurring unnecessary computational cost. We study a learning-based extension of a recent empirical online heuristic that adaptively estimates the required number of runs using outlier handling and skewness-based symmetry checks. Using annotated outcomes from 132{,}000 Nevergrad runs on COCO (24 problems in 20 dimensions, 10 instances each, 11 optimizers), we train classifiers on 23 statistical, energy-free, and shape and stability features to predict whether a run-number estimate is reliable, prioritizing detection of incorrect estimates via minority-class recall. We evaluate reliability prediction using a within-configuration learning setup, where models are trained and tested on data sharing the same optimizer. The results show that run-number reliability can be learned in a within-configuration scenario, enabling detection of unreliable estimates with high minority-class recall, although performance remains limited by the restricted data diversity within fixed configurations.

We study decentralized online convex optimization when agents communicate over a graph and messages may be compressed. Classical decentralized online methods typically require learning-rate choices that depend on the horizon, comparator scale, or other problem parameters, while compressed communication introduces additional disagreement that must be controlled. We propose DECO-EF (DEcentralized COin-betting with Error Feedback), a decentralized parameter-free online learning algorithm that combines coin-betting predictions with compressed difference-based gossip. Each agent maintains a clean accumulated state and a compressed tracker, and communicates only compressed state differences during gossip steps. The method is parameter-free in the online-learning sense: it does not tune to the horizon, the comparator norm, or the learning rate. We prove expected comparator-adaptive network-regret bounds for DECO-EF under compressed communication. To the best of our knowledge, this gives the first expected sublinear network-regret guarantees for parameter-free decentralized online learning under compressed communication.

Maintaining predictive accuracy in non-stationary environments requires online model selection to adapt autonomously to unknown distribution shifts. However, existing tuning-free algorithms face a fundamental trade-off between robustness and agility. Specifically, to ensure dynamic regret bounds, they must restrict learning rates to small constants (e.g., $O(1)$). This restriction inevitably causes significant adaptation lag during abrupt changes. To resolve this, we propose a novel optimistic online mirror descent that utilizes safeguarded large learning rates up to $Θ(T)$, where $T$ is the number of rounds. Our key technical contribution is a post-hoc penalty mechanism that dynamically monitors unstable updates and excludes learning rates incurring excessive regret, eliminating the need for restrictive a priori constraints. We show that the cumulative penalty remains $O(\log T)$, allowing our algorithm to match near-optimal worst-case guarantees while achieving superior rates in benign cases. Empirical evaluations on three synthetic and eleven diverse real-world datasets demonstrate that our approach reduces the adaptation lag from hundreds of rounds to a few rounds, consistently outperforming tuning-free baselines.

Learning-augmented algorithms have received significant attention in recent years, particularly in the context of online optimization. Motivated by the high computational cost of generating predictions, a growing line of work studies the tradeoff between performance guarantees and the number of predictions used in learning-augmented algorithms for problems such as caching and metrical task systems. In this paper, we extend this line of research to online metric matching by developing parsimonious learning-augmented algorithms and establishing lower bounds on their performance. Our approach extends the Follow-the-Prediction framework to the parsimonious setting by filling in a virtual prediction in the absence of an actual prediction, using an online metric matching algorithm that maintains good intermediate matchings throughout its execution. We complement our theoretical results with an empirical evaluation, demonstrating the practical effectiveness of our approach.

Federated edge learning (FEEL) has recently emerged as a promising paradigm for achieving edge intelligence (EI) via enabling collaborative model training across edge devices while protecting data privacy. In this paper, we put forth an online optimization framework that jointly manages federated training and inference on resource-constrained edge devices. We introduce a tandem-queue-inspired conversion mechanism that bridges inference requests and training data, and further incorporate both data and model freshness into the accuracy formulation to capture temporal dynamics in real-world environments. To maximize inference accuracy while minimizing latency and energy consumption, the mode selections, communication, and computation resource allocations of edge devices are jointly optimized. We formulate this optimization as a multi-objective optimization problem, which is NP-hard and further complicated by the online setting. To address these challenges, we transform the problem into a multi-objective Markov decision process (MOMDP) and develop a \underline{c}onstrained \underline{m}ulti-\underline{o}bjective \underline{p}roximal \underline{p}olicy \underline{o}ptimization (C-MOPPO) algorithm. Specifically, C-MOPPO first learns a set of policies with different preferences across three objectives, then leverages constrained policy optimization to enrich the Pareto front and obtain high-quality, dense solutions. Extensive experiments demonstrate that C-MOPPO achieves well-balanced trade-offs among objectives and significantly outperforms baselines under various system configurations.

Distribution shift in imitation learning refers to the problem that the agent cannot plan proper actions for a state that has not been visited during the training. This problem can be largely attributed to the inherently narrow state-action coverage provided by expert demonstrations over the full environment. In this paper, we propose a robust offline to adaptive online imitation learning framework that handles the distribution shift problem in a lifelong, multi-phase scheme. In the offline learning phase, we leverage supplementary demonstrations to broaden the state-action coverage of the policy by utilizing a discriminator to effectively train the policy with supplementary demonstrations, thereby enhancing the robustness of the policy to distribution shift. In the subsequent online inference phase, our framework detects the occurrence of distribution shift and conducts self-supervised imitation learning from online experiences to adapt the policy to the online environments. Through extensive evaluations in MuJoCo environments, we demonstrate that our method exhibits better robustness to distribution shift and better adaptation performance to online environments than the baseline algorithms, which indicates superior performance of our framework against the distribution shift.

Recent advances in learning-based model predictive control (MPC) have leveraged neural networks for online model learning, achieving strong performance when nonstationary system dynamics deviate from nominal models. However, existing approaches primarily address specific or relatively structured forms of dynamical variation, leaving more general, unknown, and unpredictable time-varying dynamics insufficiently handled. To tackle this challenge, we propose T2S-MPC, a framework that adaptively learns a residual dynamics model online and integrates it with the nominal model within the MPC framework to enable fast-evolving online planning. To make the model time-aware, we explicitly encode temporal information through a structured time embedding and employ a two-timescale update scheme, allowing the controller to capture nonstationary dynamics while balancing rapid adaptation with stable learning. We evaluate the proposed method on a 2D quadrotor across stabilization and trajectory tracking tasks under diverse time-varying disturbances, including linear drifting and periodic perturbations. Experimental results show that T2S-MPC consistently outperforms classical MPC, neural MPC, and ablated variants in control performance, while also demonstrating strong robustness across a wide range of disturbance conditions without additional tuning. The source code is publicly available at https://github.com/Zeyuu0920/T2S_MPC

Streaming reinforcement learning has emerged as an online learning paradigm that conforms to the restrictions of natural learning agents that process data incrementally, i.e. with a batch size of 1 and no replay buffer. While streaming RL has recently been shown to scale with deep function approximation with full observability, partially observable settings have remained out of reach. Truncated backpropagation through time collapses to a one-step gradient horizon under the streaming setting, and exact real-time recurrent learning is prohibitively expensive. We close this gap using recurrent trace units, a diagonal recurrent architecture that enables exact RTRL with linear time and memory complexity in the parameter count, and show that they integrate cleanly into existing streaming algorithms across both discrete and continuous control. On a MemoryChain diagnostic with chain lengths from 2 to 128, our method sustains performance where streaming TBPTT(1) baselines using feedforward, GRU, and RTU networks collapse. On five POPGym tasks and on partially observable MuJoCo continuous control, the streaming approach is competitive with batched PPO on POPGym and recovers a substantial fraction of batched performance on masked MuJoCo, despite using no replay buffer or batched updates.

Learning-augmented algorithms have emerged as a powerful paradigm to surpass traditional worst-case lower bounds by integrating potentially noisy predictions. While this framework has seen success in online scheduling, existing work primarily optimizes job latency while relying on frequent, ``blind'' preemptions. This ignores the fundamental trade-off between algorithmic performance and preemption complexity. We provide the first systematic study of learning-augmented scheduling that curbs preemption while optimizing latency. We establish that the gap between theoretical latency bounds and preemption overhead can be bridged with solid analytical foundations. Our results include $O(1)$-competitive algorithms for single and unrelated parallel machines with only $O(1)$ preemptions per job under accurate predictions, with overhead scaling logarithmically with the prediction error. By providing the first bounded-preemption guarantees for unrelated and malleable machines, we extend the theoretical reach of the learning-augmented framework to more constrained and realistic settings. Finally, our algorithms are validated through experiments.

To better serve users' demands in mobile applications (e.g., navigation), mobile crowdsourcing platforms can iteratively align large language model (LLM)-generated content (e.g., AI-generated traffic condition predictions) with human feedback collected from crowdsourcing workers (e.g., mobile users). However, workers may strategically misreport their online preference feedback to maximize their influence or payment. Existing pipelines in mobile crowdsourcing (e.g., EM-based weight estimation) fail to identify the most accurate worker in this online setting, resulting in a linear regret $\mathcal{O}(T)$ over $T$ time slots. In this paper, we study truthful online preference aggregation for LLM fine-tuning in mobile crowdsourcing. We formulate a new dynamic Bayesian game to model the multi-agent online learning process between the platform and strategic mobile workers. We propose a novel online weighted aggregation mechanism that dynamically adjusts each worker's weight in the preference aggregation according to their feedback accuracy. We prove that our mechanism ensures truthful feedback from strategic workers and achieves a sublinear regret $\mathcal{O}(\sqrt{T})$ over $T$ time slots. We further extend our mechanism to a challenging scenario with limited worker feedback per time slot, still guaranteeing a sublinear regret $\mathcal{O}(\sqrt{T})$. Experiments on LLM fine-tuning with real-world datasets further demonstrate significant performance gains of our mechanisms over benchmark schemes.

In learning-augmented online algorithms, predictions are usually valued for what they say: a value estimate, a solution, or an algorithmic recommendation. This paper shows that predictions can also be valuable solely due to their arrival time. We study the fundamental secretary problem augmented with a stochastic precursor: a content-free signal that is guaranteed to arrive no later than the best item, but is otherwise stochastically timed. The signal does not carry any additional information; nevertheless, its timing alone changes the structure of optimal stopping. We characterize optimal policies in the random-order and adversarial-order models. In random order, a single uniformly timed precursor already gives success probability at least $\frac12$, improving on the classic $\frac1e$ benchmark. With increasingly late precursors, the success probability approaches $1$. In adversarial order, for which traditional models do not admit strong guarantees, sufficiently concentrated precursors recover constant success guarantees. Our results show that such novel forms of asynchronous temporal information are a distinct and powerful form of advice in online decision making and may also be effective for other problems.

Firms increasingly rely on dynamic pricing to respond to evolving customer demand, yet in many applications they observe only the revenue generated by a single posted price in each period. At the same time, market conditions may shift gradually or abruptly due to changes in customer preferences, competition, or external shocks. These features create two intertwined challenges: learning the revenue--demand relationship from limited feedback and adapting pricing decisions to a changing environment. We study how a seller can learn and earn effectively under these constraints, without assuming a specific parametric form for demand. We develop a learning framework that updates prices using revenue-based gradient approximations constructed from one observation per period. To address environmental changes, we incorporate a restarting mechanism that periodically refreshes the learning process so that outdated information is discounted. When the degree of nonstationarity is unknown, we further introduce a meta-learning layer to adaptively hedge across multiple restarting schedules. We provide performance guarantees for our approach, showing how cumulative revenue loss relative to a fully informed benchmark depends on both the time horizon and the magnitude of market variation. Simulation experiments using synthetic and real-world data illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed procedures.

We study constrained online convex optimization with adversarial time-varying constraints. At each round the learner acts before observing the loss and constraint, and is compared with the best fixed action satisfying all constraints in hindsight. The goal is to obtain minimax-optimal regret while controlling cumulative constraint violation (CCV). Prior algorithms achieved $O(\log T)$ regret with $O(\sqrt{T\log T})$ CCV for strongly convex losses, and $O(\sqrt{T})$ regret with $O(\sqrt{T}\log T)$ CCV for convex losses. We propose NP-OGD, an iterated nested-projection algorithm. For strongly convex losses it achieves $O(\log T)$ regret and $O(\log T)$ CCV; for convex losses it achieves $O(\sqrt{T})$ regret and $O(\sqrt{T})$ CCV. The analysis relies on a geometric movement bound: after lifting the nested projected-gradient trajectory to one higher dimension, the lifted path is self-contracted under a nonstandard norm, so a finite-length theorem for self-contracted curves controls the total projection movement. We also prove complementary lower bounds using layered sphere packings. For strongly convex losses, any online algorithm with polynomially sublinear regret can incur CCV at least $Ω((\log T)^{(d-1)/(d+1)}/\log\log T)$. For convex losses, we prove CCV lower bounds $Ω(T^{(d-1)/(2(d+3))})$ for weakly adaptive algorithms and $Ω(T^{(d-1)/(2d)})$ for NP-OGD. Finally, for the constrained experts special case over $N$ experts, an active Hedge algorithm attains $O(\sqrt{T\log N})$ regret and $O(N)$ CCV, with a matching minimax CCV lower bound for sufficiently large horizons.

Modern artificial intelligence systems require calibrated uncertainty estimates that remain reliable in sequential and non-stationary environments. Online conformal prediction (OCP) addresses this challenge through adaptively updated prediction sets that provide deterministic long-run miscoverage guarantees. These guarantees, however, hinge on the assumption of perfect feedback about the coverage of past prediction sets. In practice, the observed miscoverage indicator may be corrupted by noise, communication failures, or adversarial manipulation, which can severely degrade OCP's calibration guarantees. In this paper, we study OCP under corrupted feedback. We first model feedback corruption as an arbitrary binary flip sequence, and analyze how feedback corruption affects and degrades the miscoverage performance of standard OCP. We then propose two robust schemes: robust OCP via filtering, which leverages the structural properties of the predicted threshold to filter corrupted feedback, and robust OCP via active compensation, which incorporates an active compensation mechanism to mitigate the effect of corrupted feedback. For both methods, we establish explicit miscoverage guarantees, which are further specialized for an independent stochastic flip model and for an arbitrary error model with memory bounds. Experiments on real-world datasets validate the proposed approach, showing markedly improved calibration and significantly smaller prediction sets compared with baseline OCP methods under corrupted feedback.

In Online Continual Learning (OCL), a neural network sequentially learns from a non-stationary data stream in a single-pass with access only to a limited memory replay buffer. This contrasts sharply with off-line continual learning where training is multiple epoch dependent on large datasets. The main challenge faced by OCL is to overcome catastrophic forgetting of past tasks (stability) while learning new ones efficiently (plasticity). Existing methods counter forgetting via replay-based rehearsal, output level distillation, fixed regularization, or meta-learning on the current data. However, these methods have limitations: rehearsal introduces a stored sample bias; distillation operates on output-distributions without modulating parameter updates; fixed-regularization penalizes parameters irrespective of sensitivity; stream-only meta-learning lacks a feedback controlled parameter update. We propose Meta-Adaptive Network Gradient Optimization (MANGO), an OCL framework that balances stability-plasticity via gradient-gating and meta-learned regularization. Gradient-gating scales parameter updates based on sensitivity, preventing destructive updates. Meta-learned regularization adapts stability coefficients, evaluating the effect of parameter update on replay. In MANGO, replay acts as both a training signal and a forgetting evaluator. We evaluated our method on three standard OCL benchmark datasets. MANGO outperforms strong baselines, achieving state-of-the-art results with consistent performance across replay sizes. In domain incremental learning on CLEAR-10 and class incremental learning on CIFAR-100 and Tiny-ImageNet, it achieves highest accuracy among all baselines and achieves positive Backward Transfer, overcoming forgetting on CLEAR-10.

Lagrangian Relaxation (LR) is a powerful technique for solving large-scale Mixed Integer Linear Programming (MILP), particularly those with decomposable structures, such as vehicle routing or unit commitment problems. By relaxing the coupling constraints, LR enables parallel subproblem solving and often yields tighter dual bounds than standard linear programming relaxations, which is crucial for efficient branch-and-bound pruning. While recent empirical work has shown promising results using machine learning to predict these multipliers, a theoretical understanding of such methods remains an open question. In this work, we bridge this gap by analyzing the problem of learning LR through the lens of Data-driven Algorithm Design, i.e., a statistical learning problem over a distribution of problem instances. Our contributions are as follows: first, we derive a generalization bound of $\mathcal{O}(s^{1.5}/\sqrt{N})$ for the learned multipliers, where $s$ is the number of coupling constraints and $N$ is the sample size. Second, we provide a minimax lower-bound of $Ω(s/\sqrt{N})$, proving that a linear dependency is unavoidable. Third, we constructively close this theoretical gap by proving that Stochastic Gradient Ascent (SGA) with averaging achieves the minimax optimal rate $Θ(s/\sqrt{N})$. Finally, we extend our framework to the learning-to-warm-start setting, proving that it achieves a fast, minimax-optimal rate of $Θ(s/N)$ and establishing a theoretical advantage over direct multiplier prediction.

Offline reinforcement learning struggles with distributional shift and constrained performance due to static dataset limitations, while online RL demands prohibitive environment interactions. The recent advent of hybrid offline-to-online methods bridges these domains but suffers from distribution drift during transitions and catastrophic forgetting of offline knowledge. We introduce COOPO (Cyclic Offline-Online Policy Optimization), a generalized framework that repeatedly cycles between constrained offline training and online fine-tuning. Each cycle first anchors the policy to the dataset via KL-regularized advantage-weighted offline updates to minimize distributional shift and then fine-tunes it online using any policy optimization for stable exploration. Crucially, periodically returning to offline training eliminates forgetting and drift while maximizing dataset reuse. The cyclic behavior also helps reduce the online environment interactions. Theoretically, COOPO achieves better online sample efficiency, surpassing pure online RL, with guaranteed monotonic improvement under standard coverage assumptions. Extensive D4RL benchmarks demonstrate COOPO reduces online interactions versus state-of-the-art hybrids while improving final returns, maintaining robustness across diverse offline algorithms and online optimizers. This looped synergy sets new efficiency and performance standards for adaptive RL.

Randomized linear algebra (RLA) algorithms are a modern class of numerical linear algebra techniques that play an essential role in scientific computing and machine learning, with broad and growing adoption. However, their discovery remains mostly a manual process that requires deep expert knowledge and inspiration. While Reinforcement Learning (RL) offers a pathway to automation, standard approaches struggle with sparse reward landscapes and vast search spaces inherent to high-performing RLA algorithms. In this paper, we present RL4RLA, a general RL framework that automates the discovery of interpretable, symbolic RLA algorithms. Unlike black-box approaches, our method builds explicit algorithms from basic linear algebra primitives, ensuring verifiable and implementable representations. To enable efficient discovery, we introduce: (1) a numerical curriculum that progressively increments problem difficulty to encode inductive bias specific to the RLA domain; (2) Monte Carlo Graph Search, which optimizes exploration by identifying and merging equivalent partial algorithms. We demonstrate that RL4RLA rediscovers state-of-the-art methods, including sketch-and-precondition solvers, Randomized Kaczmarz, and Newton Sketch, and can be targeted to produce algorithms optimized for specific trade-offs between accuracy, speed, and stability. Code is available at https://github.com/Tim-Xiong/RL4RLA.

New item growth is critical for maintaining a healthy ecosystem in large-scale e-commerce platforms. However, existing systems tend to prioritize presenting users with already popular items, a phenomenon often referred to as the "Matthew effect". In the context of search retrieval, current cold-start models suffer from the misalignment between training objectives and online business metrics, and they lack effective mechanisms to measure an item's growth potential. In this paper, we propose a Multi-Value-Aware retrieval framework tailored for e-commerce search, designed to better align with the cascaded online values across different stages of the search system while balancing immediate conversion and long-term item growth. Our framework GrowthGR consists of two key components: an Item Long-term Transaction Value Prediction (ItemLTV) module and a Multi-Value-Aware Generative Retrieval (MultiGR) module. First, in the ItemLTV module, we employ counterfactual inference to quantify the long-term value increment attributable to a single user interaction. Second, in the MultiGR module, building upon a semantic-ID-based generative retrieval architecture, we leverage structured samples with the search cascade signals and adopt a Multi-Value-Aware Policy Optimization (MoPO) training paradigm to align with multi-stage online values, while explicitly balancing short-term transactional value and long-term growth potential estimated by ItemLTV. We successfully deployed GrowthGR on Taobao's production platform, achieving a substantial 5.3% lift in new item GMV while delivering a non-trivial 0.3% gain in overall search GMV. Extensive online analysis and A/B testing demonstrate its positive impact on the overall ecosystem value.

We formulate machine unlearning for online L-BFGS as a counterfactual state-alignment problem. Given an actual event stream and a deletion-edited counterfactual stream, the target of unlearning is the optimizer state that would have arisen had the deleted samples never been processed. We introduce state-aware metrics that separately measure parameter error, memory-operator error, combined state error, and update-direction error. The memory metric compares the inverse-Hessian actions induced by the o-L-BFGS memory, rather than treating curvature pairs as of finite influence. Under convexity assumptions, we derive a recursive bound on counterfactual state deviation. We then evaluate a state-aware benchmark of deletion interventions, including memory-only and parameter-only corrections, against an counterfactual oracle model. These results show that unlearning for online L-BFGS is not merely a parameter-correction problem: it requires alignment with a realizable counterfactual optimizer state.

We address the problem of conformal selection, where an agent must select a minimal subset of options to ensure that at least one success'' is identified with a pre-specified target probability $φ$. While traditional online conformal prediction focuses on maintaining validity for the observed sequence, minimizing the resource cost (efficiency) of such selections, especially under limited feedback, remains a significant challenge. In this work, we consider settings with the most limited bandit'' feedback, and demonstrate that the simple Adaptive Conformal Inference (ACI) update rule, when applied to the appropriate control parameter or dual variable, is both adversarially valid, ensuring the success target is met on average for any input sequence (and hence under distribution shifts), and stochastically efficient, achieving sublinear efficiency regret for $i.i.d.$ inputs against an appropriate stochastic benchmark. We show such guarantees under canonical models capturing bandit and semi-bandit feedback to the agent via a unifying algorithmic technique, and analytic framework involving Lyapunov functions. Our approach handles more complex settings than prior work, while requiring significantly less feedback, and our results provide a new theoretical bridge between efficient online learning with limited feedback and distribution-free uncertainty quantification.

Offline-to-online reinforcement learning harnesses the stability of offline pretraining and the flexibility of online fine-tuning. A key challenge lies in the non-stationary distribution shift between offline datasets and the evolving online policy. Common approaches often rely on static mixing ratios or heuristic-based replay strategies, which lack adaptability to different environments and varying training dynamics, resulting in suboptimal tradeoff between stability and asymptotic performance. In this work, we propose Reinforcement Learning with Optimized Adaptive Data-mixing (ROAD), a dynamic plug-and-play framework that automates the data replay process. We identify a fundamental objective misalignment in existing approaches. To tackle this, we formulate the data selection problem as a bi-level optimization process, interpreting the data mixing strategy as a meta-decision governing the policy performance (outer-level) during online fine-tuning, while the conventional Q-learning updates operate at the inner level. To make it tractable, we propose a practical algorithm using a multi-armed bandit mechanism. This is guided by a surrogate objective approximating the bi-level gradient, which simultaneously maintains offline priors and prevents value overestimation. Our empirical results demonstrate that this approach consistently outperforms existing data replay methods across various datasets, eliminating the need for manual, context-specific adjustments while achieving superior stability and asymptotic performance.

Learning-to-Defer (L2D) methods route each query either to a predictive model or to external experts. While existing work studies this problem in batch settings, real-world deployments require handling streaming data, changing expert availability, and shifting expert distribution. We introduce the first online L2D algorithm for multiclass classification with bandit feedback and a dynamically varying pool of experts. Our method achieves regret guarantees of $O((n+n_e)T^{2/3})$ in general and $O((n+n_e)\sqrt{T})$ under a low-noise condition, where $T$ is the time horizon, $n$ is the number of labels, and $n_e$ is the number of distinct experts observed across rounds. The analysis builds on novel $\mathcal{H}$-consistency bounds for the online framework, combined with first-order methods for online convex optimization. Experiments on synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate that our approach effectively extends standard Learning-to-Defer to settings with varying expert availability and reliability.

Streaming decision trees are natural candidates for open-world continual learning, as they perform local updates, enjoy bounded memory, and static decision boundaries. Despite these, they still fail in online class-incremental learning due to two coupled miscalibrations: (i) their split criterion grows unreliable as the class count K expands, and (ii) the absence of knowledge transfer at split time. Both failures share a common root: the range of Information Gain intrinsically scales with log2 K. Consequently, any Hoeffding-style confidence radius derived from it must inevitably grow with the class count, making a K-independent split criterion structurally impossible, taking away the potential benefits of applying streaming decision trees to continual learning. To fix this issue, we present MIST (McDiarmid Incremental Streaming Tree), which resolves both failures through three integrated components: (i) a tight, K-independent McDiarmid confidence radius for Gini splitting that acts as a structural regulariser; (ii) a Bayesian inheritance protocol that projects parent statistics to child nodes via truncated-Gaussian moments, with variance reduction guarantees strongest precisely when splitting is most conservative; and (iii) per-leaf KLL quantile sketches that support both continuous threshold evaluation and geometry-adaptive leaf prediction from a single data structure. On standard and stress-test tabular streams, MIST is competitive with global parametric methods on near-Gaussian benchmarks and uniquely robust on non-Gaussian geometry where SOTA benchmarks collapse.

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a widely used framework for optimizing expensive black-box functions, commonly based on Gaussian process (GP) surrogate models. Its effectiveness relies on uncertainty quantification that is both sharp (informative) and well-calibrated along the BO trajectory. In practice, GP kernel hyperparameters are unknown and are refit online from sequentially collected (non-i.i.d.) data, which can yield miscalibrated or overly conservative uncertainty and lies outside the fixed-kernel assumptions of standard BO regret theory. We propose Online Sharp-Calibrated Bayesian Optimization (OSCBO), a BO algorithm that adaptively balances GP sharpness and calibration by casting hyperparameter selection as a constrained online-learning problem. We also show that OSCBO preserves sublinear regret bounds by leveraging the theoretical guarantees of the underlying online learning algorithm. Empirically, OSCBO performs competitively across synthetic and real-world benchmarks, ranking among the strongest methods in final simple regret while maintaining robust cumulative-regret behavior.

Offline-to-online learning aims to improve online decision-making by leveraging offline logged data. A central challenge in this setting is the distribution shift between offline and online environments. While some existing works attempt to leverage shifted offline data, they largely rely on UCB-type algorithms. Thompson sampling (TS) represents another canonical class of bandit algorithms, well known for its strong empirical performance and naturally suited to offline-to-online learning through its Bayesian formulation. However, unlike UCB indices, posterior samples in TS are not guaranteed to be optimistic with respect to the true arm means. This makes indices constructed from purely online and hybrid data difficult to compare and complicates their use. To address this issue, we propose sample-mean anchored TS (Anchor-TS), which introduces a novel median-based anchoring rule that defines the arm index as the median of an online posterior sample, a hybrid posterior sample, and the online sample mean. The median anchoring systematically corrects bias induced by distribution shift by mitigating over-estimation for suboptimal arms and under-estimation for optimal arms, while exploiting offline information to obtain more accurate estimates when the shift is small. We establish theoretical guarantees showing that the proposed algorithm safely leverages offline data to accelerate online learning, and quantifying how the degree of distribution shift and the size of offline data affect the resulting regret reduction. Extensive experiments demonstrate consistent improvements of our algorithm over baselines.

We consider the problem of learning an unknown subset $N_\text{target}$ of a domain in an online setting. In each round $t$, the learner predicts a set of items ${N}_t$ and receives one of two types of feedback, each with equal probability: precision feedback, in which a randomly chosen item from the predicted set $N_t$ is revealed and the learner is told whether it belongs to $N_\text{target}$ (incurring a reward if it does), or recall feedback, in which a randomly chosen item from the target set $N_\text{target}$ is revealed and the learner is told whether it belongs to $N_t$ (incurring a reward if it does). The goal is to maximize the cumulative reward over time. This simple online set learning problem abstracts a variety of learning scenarios with precision- and recall-type feedback. We show that a hypothesis class (a family of subsets of the domain) is learnable in this setting if and only if it has finite Vapnik-Chervonenkis (VC) dimension, mirroring the classical PAC characterization. However, the resulting algorithmic structure is markedly more intricate: in contrast to standard Probably Approximately Correct (PAC) learning -- where the algorithmic landscape is governed by the simple principle of Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM) -- our partial feedback model can invalidate ERM and even all proper learning rules. We develop algorithms to address the dependencies induced by the feedback, obtaining regret guarantees in both the realizable and agnostic settings. Our results provide a qualitative characterization of learnability in this model, addressing its most basic question, while pointing to a range of natural and intriguing open questions, including the determination of optimal regret rates.

We propose FAR-SIGN (Fully Asynchronous Robust optimization via SIGNed directional projections) for adversary-resilient learning in parameter-server--worker systems. FAR-SIGN achieves robustness through sign-based updates along carefully designed directions and mitigates the resulting bias via a two-timescale mechanism. It admits both first-order and zeroth-order implementations and enables fully asynchronous execution without requiring a private reference dataset at the server. We establish almost-sure convergence of FAR-SIGN to the set of stationary points for smooth, nonconvex objectives. Moreover, we prove the near-optimal rate of $O(n^{-1/4+ε})$ in the first-order setting and the standard $O(n^{-1/6+ε})$ in the zeroth-order setting, where $n$ is the iteration count and $ε>0$ can be chosen arbitrarily small. Experiments on MNIST show that FAR-SIGN outperforms robust aggregation-based methods in both accuracy and wall-clock time.

We study online multicalibration beyond the worst-case. We give a single, efficient algorithm which dynamically interpolates between benign and worst-case sequences by adaptively refining a dyadic grid of prediction values. Its error is controlled by the number of leaves in the refinement tree. Our analysis recovers the known $\widetilde O(T^{2/3})$ worst-case-optimal rate for online multicalibration, while simultaneously automatically adapting to easier instances: in the marginal stochastic setting it obtains a rate of $\widetilde O(\sqrt T)$, and for piecewise-stationary means with $J$ segments its rate is $\widetilde O(\sqrt{JT})$. More generally, the rate depends on a threshold-complexity measure of the predictable mean process relative to the group family. We show that this dependence is tight up to logarithmic factors.

In machine learning, a critical class of decision-related problems concerns preventing predicted undesirable outcomes, referred to as the \textit{avoiding undesired future} (AUF) problem. To address this, the \textit{rehearsal learning} framework has been proposed to model influence relations for effective decisions. However, existing rehearsal methods rely on restrictive parametric assumptions such as linear systems or additive noise, limiting their practical applicability. In this paper, we propose the first non-parametric rehearsal learning approach for AUF without assuming specific functional forms of data generation processes. Specifically, we use kernel machinery to reformulate the AUF objective into a unified representation that disentangles desirability modeling from action-induced distributional changes. To handle the discontinuity of desirability indicator, we present a smooth Probit surrogate and provide an approximation error bound. Meanwhile, we capture the action-induced changes via conditional mean embeddings, and develop a kernel ridge regression based nested estimator for AUF objective with consistency guarantees. Such a formulation naturally accommodates nonlinear systems and non-additive noise, and empirical results on synthetic and real-data-derived semi-synthetic benchmarks demonstrate the effectiveness and flexibility of our approach.

Online learning from a stream of data is a defining feature of intelligence, yet modern machine learning systems often struggle in this setting, especially under distributional shift. To understand its basic properties, we study the relationship between online and offline learning in the context of kernel regression. We derive a closed-form expression for the function learned by online kernel regression, revealing that online kernel regression is equivalent to offline regression with shifted, inaccurate target outputs. Conversely, we show that by compensating for this effective shift in the teaching signal through target correction, online kernel-based learning can provably learn the same predictor as its offline counterpart. We derive both a closed-form expression for this target correction and an iterative form that can be applied sequentially. Applying this framework to image classification tasks on CIFAR-10 and CORe50, we show that online stochastic gradient descent with iteratively corrected targets outperforms learning with the true targets in continual learning settings. This work therefore provides a basic framework for analyzing and improving online learning in non-stationary environments.

Decentralized machine learning often relies on outsourcing computations, such as gradient evaluations, to untrusted worker nodes. Existing robust aggregation methods can mitigate malicious behavior under honest-majority assumptions, but may fail when adversaries control a majority of the workers. We study this adversary-dominated setting through an incentive-oriented framework in which reports are accepted and rewarded only when they are mutually consistent up to a threshold. This turns the adversary from a pure saboteur into a rational agent that trades off increasing estimation error against the risk of rejection and loss of reward. We consider iterative optimization under this model. Unlike one-shot computation, iterative learning requires long-horizon decisions: permissive acceptance rules enable faster early progress but admit more adversarial corruption, while strict rules improve estimation accuracy but cause frequent rejections. We propose \mathsf{VISTA}, an adaptive algorithm that tunes the acceptance threshold using the optimization history. Numerical results show that \mathsf{VISTA} improves convergence over static thresholds. We also provide a rigorous convergence analysis showing that, with suitable incentive-aware adaptation, adversary-dominated decentralized learning can retain the asymptotic convergence behavior of standard SGD without relying on an honest majority.

A key strategy for balancing performance and cost in modern machine learning systems is to dynamically route queries to either a low-cost model or a more expensive oracle (such as a large pretrained model or human expert), an approach known as model routing. In this work we present a new uncertainty-aware router that (1) avoids unnecessary oracle calls on inherently ambiguous queries, and (2) adapts dynamically to different loss functions and cost parameters through simple hyperparameter changes, without retraining. Our method, applicable to any classification setting where multiple independent annotations per input are available, is based on decomposing total uncertainty into irreducible and reducible components using higher-order predictors [Ahdritz et al., 2025]. This enables a unified approach to both routing and abstention: predict with the weak model when uncertainty is low, route to the oracle when reducible uncertainty is high, and abstain when irreducible uncertainty is high. Our router comes with strong theoretical guarantees bounding regret relative to optimal task-specific routers. We conduct experiments on both synthetic and real-world datasets that demonstrate the benefits of our approach in suitable regimes -- in particular, whenever reducible and irreducible uncertainty are not too correlated.

Agnostic online learning is classically solved via a reduction to the realizable setting, utilizing Littlestone's Standard Optimal Algorithm (SOA) as a base learner. However, the SOA is computationally intractable to execute even for a single round. To overcome this barrier, recent work in oracle-efficient online learning replaces the SOA with a realizable base learner that accesses the concept class exclusively through an offline empirical risk minimization (ERM) oracle. While such agnostic learners achieve near-optimal expected regret, they suffer from a doubly-exponential oracle complexity of $O\big(T^{2^{O(d_\mathrm{LD})}}\big)$, where $d_\mathrm{LD}$ is the Littlestone dimension and $T$ is the number of rounds. In this work, we significantly improve this oracle complexity while relying on an even weaker primitive: a weak-consistency oracle, which merely decides whether a given labeled dataset is realizable. At the core of our approach is an adaptive and dynamic agnostic-to-realizable reduction that actively prunes non-realizable label sequences on the fly. By using the VC dimension ($d_\mathrm{VC}$) to bound the number of dynamically maintained active paths, our algorithm reduces the total query complexity down to $O(T^{d_\mathrm{VC}+1})$ while perfectly preserving near-optimal expected regret. Crucially, this dynamic pruning also yields a memory reduction over the standard reduction. Furthermore, we formally quantify the regret--oracle complexity tradeoff, providing upper bounds that smoothly interpolate between restricted query budgets and attainable expected regret. We complement these with lower bounds proving that any learner restricted to $Q = o(\sqrt{T})$ queries must suffer an expected regret of $Ω(T/Q)$.

We study online prediction under distribution shift, where inputs arrive chronologically and outcomes are revealed only after prediction. In this setting, predictors must remain stable in quiet regimes yet adapt when regimes shift, and the right adaptation memory is unknown in advance. We propose MELO (Memory-hedged Exponentially Weighted Least-Squares Online aggregation), a model-agnostic method that hedges across adaptation scales: it wraps any non-anticipating base-predictor pool with exponentially weighted least-squares (EWLS) adaptation experts at multiple forgetting factors, and aggregates raw and EWLS-adapted forecasts with MLpol, a parameter-free online aggregation rule. Under boundedness conditions, we establish deterministic oracle inequalities showing that it competes with both the best raw predictor and the best bounded, time-varying affine combinations of the base predictions, up to a path-length-dependent tracking cost and a sublinear aggregation overhead. We evaluate MELO on French national electricity-load forecasting through the COVID-19 lockdown using no regime indicators, lockdown dates, or policy covariates. MELO reduces overall RMSE by 34.7% relative to base-only MLpol and achieves lower overall RMSE than a TabICL reference supplied with an external COVID policy-response covariate. Moreover, MELO requires only lightweight per-step recursive updates without model retraining.

Incorporating prior data into online reinforcement learning accelerates training but typically forces a difficult trade-off between high computational costs and long, multi-stage training pipelines. While fixed-length stabilization phases are significantly more computationally efficient than static update schedules, they require task-dependent manual tuning, risking either the waste of prior knowledge or severe overfitting. To address this, we propose SOPE, an algorithm that uses an actor-aligned Off-Policy Policy Evaluation (OPE) signal as an automated early-stopping mechanism to dynamically control the length of offline training phases. By evaluating the critic on a held-out validation split under the current policy's action distribution, SOPE halts gradient updates exactly when out-of-distribution benefits saturate, eliminating the need for manual schedule tuning. Evaluated on 25 continuous control tasks from the Minari benchmark suite, SOPE improves baseline performance by up to 45.6% while reducing the required TFLOPs by up to 22x, thus balancing the tradeoff between sample and computational efficiency. These findings demonstrate that adaptive, evaluation-driven update schedules are more effective than relying on static, exhaustive update schedules.

Conformal prediction is a framework that provides valid uncertainty quantification for general models with exchangeable data. However, in the online learning and time-series settings, exchangeability is not satisfied. Existing online conformal methods, such as adaptive conformal inference (ACI), can achieve long-run validity, yet they remain inefficient under covariate heterogeneity because they rely on global calibration. We propose \emph{Online Localized Conformal Prediction (OLCP)}, which combines online adaptation with covariate-dependent localization to better reflect heterogeneity. To reduce sensitivity to the localization bandwidth, we further develop \emph{OLCP-Hedge}, which performs bandwidth selection as an online expert aggregation problem using a constrained online convex optimization framework. Importantly, we provide coverage guarantees for both algorithms and demonstrate through simulations and real-data experiments that the proposed methods attain valid long-run coverage with narrower prediction sets than existing baselines.

Behavior Cloning (BC) has emerged as a highly effective paradigm for robot learning. However, BC lacks a self-guided mechanism for online improvement after demonstrations have been collected. Existing offline-to-online learning methods often cause policies to replace previously learned good actions due to a distribution mismatch between offline data and online learning. In this work, we propose Q2RL, Q-Estimation and Q-Gating from BC for Reinforcement Learning, an algorithm for efficient offline-to-online learning. Our method consists of two parts: (1) Q-Estimation extracts a Q-function from a BC policy using a few interaction steps with the environment, followed by online RL with (2) Q-Gating, which switches between BC and RL policy actions based on their respective Q-values to collect samples for RL policy training. Across manipulation tasks from D4RL and robomimic benchmarks, Q2RL outperforms SOTA offline-to-online learning baselines on success rate and time to convergence. Q2RL is efficient enough to be applied in an on-robot RL setting, learning robust policies for contact-rich and high precision manipulation tasks such as pipe assembly and kitting, in 1-2 hours of online interaction, achieving success rates of up to 100% and up to 3.75x improvement against the original BC policy. Code and video are available at https://pages.rai-inst.com/q2rl_website/