Learning-Augmented Algorithms

Wireless edge caching networks typically consist of many independent Base Stations (BSs), each facing its own request rate and content popularity profile. Training a Reinforcement Learning (RL) caching agent from scratch at every BS forces each agent to relearn, through slow trial and error, a decision problem that is structurally identical across the network. Meta-reinforcement learning removes this redundancy by learning a shared initialization that adapts to any BS in a few local updates; however, meta-training itself becomes the bottleneck at scale: the meta-gradient must be estimated from a small subset of BSs at each meta-iteration, and sampling this subset uniformly at random yields a high-variance estimate, an issue existing meta-RL caching frameworks leave unaddressed. This paper proposes a meta-reinforcement learning framework for caching across independent, non-overlapping BSs that directly targets this bottleneck. Each BS runs a local Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO) agent, formulated as a Semi-Markov Decision Process (SMDP) over content popularity, size, lifetime, and importance, while a shared meta-policy is learned via a Model-Agnostic Meta-Learning (MAML)-style loop. To scale meta-training and accelerate convergence, we introduce gradient-based clustering, which groups BSs by local gradient similarity and draws from every cluster, in proportion to its size, at each meta-iteration. We prove, via an Analysis of Variance (ANOVA)-style decomposition of gradient variance, that this strategy yields a strictly lower-variance meta-gradient estimator than uniform random sampling under BS heterogeneity.

We develop an exact almost-sure learning theory for smooth parametric models trained by regularly weighted empirical risk minimization on long-range dependent data. The training observations are generated from a fixed finite window of a stationary Gaussian sequence, and the sample weights are regularly varying. If the loss gradient at the population minimizer has Wiener-chaos rank $m$ and a nonzero low-frequency coefficient, then, in the long-memory interior regime, the finite-lag score reduces on the iterated-logarithm scale to a single weighted Hermite chaos. This yields an almost-sure Bahadur representation, an exact limsup law for the learned parameter, and, for $m\ge2$, the functional cluster set of the complete learning trajectory. The polynomial learning exponent is determined by the memory parameter and the chaos rank and is invariant under the admissible power weighting, whereas the sharp pathwise constant and cluster geometry depend on the weights. In the rank-one case, global optimization over the admissible power exponents shows that every optimizer is positive. Time-series prediction and classification examples illustrate the results.

Algorithmic stability refers to the property of an algorithm being insensitive to perturbations of the input data, where the type of perturbation may vary depending on the setting. In this work, we develop a general framework to quantify the extent to which any ensembling strategy defined via averaging can yield stability guarantees for any type of data perturbation. Our main theoretical result is a guarantee on the stability of this ensembled algorithm, given in terms of the norm of a certain covariance operator that describes the ensembling process. We show how our general framework yields interpretable and intuitive insights in several examples of perturbations of practical interest, and provides much sharper guarantees than those obtained from privacy considerations.

Online gradient descent is usually studied through external regret, where the learner competes with fixed alternatives. Recent work shows that first-order methods control richer action-dependent deviations. We ask for a geometric characterization of the deviations with respect to which online gradient descent, mirror descent, and follow-the-regularized-leader (FTRL) achieve no regret. We identify exactness as the common principle. Exactness means that the relevant displacement field is generated by a scalar potential, or equivalently that the associated one-form is exact in the geometry used by the algorithm. This geometry depends on the algorithm. For gradient descent it is Euclidean geometry, for mirror descent it is the geometry induced by the regularizer, and for FTRL it is the cumulative dual state. Under mild regularity conditions, exactness yields sublinear regret, while nonzero circulation provides the complementary obstruction and leads to linear regret. This gives a unified geometric framework for understanding the deviation classes controlled by these algorithms and reveals that different first-order methods can control genuinely different classes of deviations. These deviation classes have direct consequences for learning, particularly in games. We study the equilibrium notions induced by exact-form deviations and introduce conservative correlated equilibrium, reflecting both the conservative geometry of the underlying displacement fields and the restricted family of deviations available to the players. We characterize its relation to correlated equilibrium, determine when the resulting equilibrium notions coincide and when they separate, and show how these relationships depend on the geometry and the learning algorithm. Overall, this work gives a unified geometric account of what first-order online learning algorithms are no-regret with respect to, beyond fixed comparators.

Timely delivery of delay-sensitive information over dynamic, heterogeneous networks is essential for NextG interactive applications, yet providing strict End-to-End (E2E) peak latency guarantees remains an open challenge. Two obstacles limit the adoption of learning-based network control in this setting: traditional volume-based routing metrics, while highly effective for general traffic management, are not designed to capture traffic urgency; and Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) controllers trained from scratch suffer from sample inefficiency, long training times, and early-stage exploration volatility. This paper introduces a deployment-focused network control framework that addresses both obstacles. First, we present Effective Congestion (EC), a deadline-aware metric family that quantifies interface congestion by packet urgency and proactively filters non-viable traffic, coupled with a Uniform Path Grouping (UPG) distribution heuristic promoting robust load-balancing; the resulting policies are embedded into Multi-Agent Deep Reinforcement Learning Effective Congestion ($p^*$) (MADRL EC ($p^*$)), a hybrid architecture combining a distributed scheduler with a centralized RL-based router. Second, we introduce a unified training objective that generalizes existing policy-learning paradigms---behavioral cloning, offline Reinforcement Learning (RL), online RL, and offline-to-online schemes---as special cases, combining a live-reward term, a pre-collected-reward term, and a policy-imitation term. From this objective, we derive the Model-Guided Annealed Reinforcement Learning (MGA-RL) protocol, instantiated on a Deep Deterministic Policy Gradient (DDPG) backbone: a deployment-oriented, demonstration-driven training approach that generalizes conventional Offline-to-Online (O2O) schemes, in which trajectories from a lightweight [...]

Modern supply chain operations can require coordinating replenishment across thousands of heterogeneous items under correlated stochastic demand, heterogeneous lead times, and shared fixed ordering costs, yielding observation spaces exceeding $10^4$ dimensions. At this scale, rolling-horizon stochastic mixed-integer linear programs (MILPs) become prohibitively slow, while standard reinforcement learning (RL) methods face increasingly challenging credit assignment in high-dimensional action spaces. We introduce OR-Transformer, a deep reinforcement learning framework for joint replenishment under stochastic demand, with an item-permutation-equivariant Transformer architecture and pathwise-gradient training through the inventory dynamics. Across problem sizes up to 1,024 inventory items, OR-Transformer increasingly outperforms learning-based and rolling-horizon MILP baselines as scale grows. It also reduces online decision-making time by over 4 million times relative to MILP solvers, enabling real-time, large-scale deep RL in supply chain operations.

We study online probabilistic forecasting of binary outcomes chosen by an adaptive adversary. Given an online learning algorithm for a weak hypothesis class $H$, we would like to efficiently obtain two incomparable guarantees that existing online boosting techniques provide separately. Online gradient boosting competes in Brier score with the best predictor induced by the span of $H$ on every sequence, but promises nothing when the span does not contain an accurate predictor. Online weak-to-strong boosting drives classification error to zero under a weak-learning condition, but promises little when that condition fails. We give a simple defensive forecasting algorithm, the Defensive Booster, that obtains both guarantees. On every adaptive sequence, its Brier score is competitive with the best prediction induced by the span of $H$ at the same rate as online gradient boosting; simultaneously, whenever the realized transcript satisfies the smooth weak-learning condition, its Brier score and randomized classification error satisfy the same rate guarantee as online classification boosting. This is achieved by operationalizing the "dual view" of boosting: When the algorithm's randomized classification error is persistently high, its mistake weights form a smooth reweighting on which every weak hypothesis has low edge, yielding an ex-post hard-core certificate that the weak-learning condition fails. We also develop a strongly adaptive variant, which satisfies both guarantees on every time interval. The Defensive Booster is very efficient: it accesses just one weak-class learner, whereas the prior online boosting methods we compare against maintain large weak-learner ensembles. Experiments on synthetic and real data streams demonstrate its strong predictive performance (sometimes substantially improving over all prior baselines) coupled with orders-of-magnitude faster runtime.

Allocating limited computation among concurrent learning tasks is difficult when each task must reach a target loss before a deadline but its required training effort is unknown. Existing approaches combine online loss prediction with adaptive resource allocation, yet commonly treat computation as continuously divisible throughput. We instead study a practical setting in which tasks arrive over time and computation is provided by discrete nodes. This setting introduces both uncertain demand and constrained sequential decisions. We propose MARA, which predicts future loss trajectories with conditional flow matching and coordinates compute nodes through a cooperative multi-agent autoregressive policy. A potential-based progress reward supplies intermediate training feedback while preserving the undiscounted task-completion objective. Across in-distribution, reinforcement-learning, and vision workloads, flow matching reduces remaining-resource prediction error relative to weighted least squares. At the scheduler's training load, MARA completes 63.46% of tasks on average, 8.54 percentage points above strong baseline Learning with Adaptive Resource Allocation (LARA), and remains ahead under unseen heavier workloads.

Uncertainty quantification is essential when deploying machine learning models in safety-critical applications. Online conformal prediction (OCP) provides theoretically principled uncertainty quantification for arbitrary black-box classifiers and non-i.i.d. data streams by constructing prediction sets that are guaranteed to contain the true label at a user-specified frequency. OCP usually updates prediction sets using feedback from previously deployed predictions. We instead study an OCP setting beyond feedback: on each round, the learner can either output a prediction set or query the correct label, but not both. Thus, no deployed prediction is ever evaluated directly. We reduce this problem to a partial monitoring game in which prediction actions return no observation and a separate query action reveals the label. The reward function is constructed in a way that encourages the learner to output small prediction sets while ensuring that the correct label is covered with a sufficiently high probability. To solve this game, we develop OCP with queries (OCPQ) by adapting the label efficient forecaster of Cesa-Bianchi, Lugosi, and Stoltz (2004) to our setting. For any black box classifier and any (non-i.i.d.) oblivious data stream of length $T$, OCPQ has $O(T^{2/3})$ expected regret and expected coverage at least $β-O(T^{-1/3})$ for a user-defined $β$, while querying only an expected $T^{-1/3}$ fraction of rounds. This provides coverage comparable to bandit-based OCP methods while requiring no feedback from deployed prediction sets. Experiments on real-world datasets further demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach.

The development and testing of advanced aerial robots require experiments in controlled environments with tailored airflow profiles. This paper presents an online learning algorithm for controlling the complex airflow field in a multi-fan vertical wind tunnel. Our method combines a simplified physical model with iterative, measurement-based learning, enabling sample-efficient convergence to desired airflow distributions. We demonstrate the method's versatility by generating complex airflow, such as uniform, Gaussian, and parabolic profiles. Crucially, we show that our algorithm can produce an airflow profile specifically designed for passive soaring, greatly enhancing flight performance of a soaring robot. Variability, practical utility, and robustness of our approach are further highlighted by successful operation with a varying number of fans.

Achieving continual learning (CL) with deep neural networks requires balancing stability and plasticity while enabling knowledge transfer. In this work, we focus on offline learning algorithms under the constraints: (I) no access to training data from prior tasks (II) no access to task-id at inference time. We introduce a novel measure, the relative parameter-importance, which measures the relative importance of each parameter with respect to both the current and past tasks. Parameters with high relative importance are interpreted as more important for maintaining past-task stability and thus heavily regularised, whereas parameters with low relative-importance are allowed to be more freely updated. Unlike existing methods, our approach allows the update of parameters with high past-task importance when they have low relative-importance, thus enabling backward knowledge transfer in addition to tackling the stability-plasticity trade-off. We demonstrate improvements against state-of-the-art CL methods on both class-incremental and domain-incremental learning text classification problems and provide insights for extending our method to text generation problems. Code available at: https://github.com/itsmemala/LACL

A routing decision can be revised at the next transaction, but a latched source exclusion persists across later decisions. We ask what evidence should authorize these unequal-persistence actions when finite-population auditing and learning share a budget. ALIVE (Action-Layered Intervention via Evidence) is an auditable control layer: one randomized without-replacement prefix supplies cached evidence, heuristic warnings drive non-latching floor-bounded routing, and only two fresh simultaneous certificate separations may latch an exclusion request subject to capacity-feasible activation. Conditional on fixed support and labels under an ideal uniform audit permutation, any predictable controller preserving this interface inherits an anytime familywise bound of δon acting against a source that fails the pre-fixed absolute or relative strict-majority-disagreement predicate. With a published known-size, all-strict-majority PPR engine, median evidence count fell from 304 to 96 identities in e40 and from 171 to 62 in e60, while both engines used 48 in e80. In the matched CIFAR controller, the persistent-action layer added +0.1935 accuracy-AUBC percentage points over routing-only in all ten paired seed clusters. The +0.1954-point full-system contrast against CBR was also positive but did not meet the predeclared multiplicity-adjusted criterion (conditional Holm-adjusted sign-flip reference value =.097656). On a fixed natural panel, exploratory PPR used a median closure prefix of 95 rather than 105 for exploratory Serfling/FPC, but still exposed 88.0% of the panel and had no downstream task. Together these results map a restraint--power--cost--utility boundary: the action contract controls a defined persistent decision, while net value depends on evidence margin, audit cost, and budget regime.

The online three-dimensional bin packing problem (3D-BPP) is a longstanding challenge in logistics and industrial palletizing. Recent learning-based methods use a learned policy to select among feasible candidate placements. Performance depends on the candidate generator and representation, especially in industrial settings where packings must be space-efficient, stable, compact, and balanced. However, prior work has mainly optimized the policy, while candidate generation and representation remain largely geometry-driven. We address this gap with OPAL, an operationally guided placement-aware learning framework for industrial online 3D-BPP which combines an Operationally Guided Empty-Maximal-Space generator (OG-EMS), an operational representation for each candidate placement, and a masked ranking policy trained with proximal policy optimization. OG-EMS evaluates multiple anchors within each free-space region and prioritizes low, well-supported, compact, and spatially diverse placements. An xLSTM-based Placement Encoder models dependencies among geometric and operational candidate attributes, while a lightweight recurrent core combines the resulting embeddings with the current item and pallet state to rank feasible actions. On the BED-BPP benchmark, OPAL achieves a mean space utilization of 0.49, with improvements of 15.1% from operationally guided candidate generation and 6.3% from learned ranking, while maintaining robust inference-time performance.

E-commerce platforms must allocate fixed marketing budgets across multiple channels to maximize business utility. However, standard predict-then-optimize (PTO) paradigms fail in this compositional space due to observational confounding and severe extrapolation. We formulate this challenge as a simplex-constrained uplift decision problem and propose ReAlloc, a fast-slow causal framework. Specifically, an agile Orthogonal Teacher extracts unbiased local gradients from short-term logs, while an Explanation-Guided Student distills them into a structured marginal field over long-term horizons. This design enables support-aware, conservative decisions that capture cross-channel substitutions. Extensive simulations and large-scale online A/B tests on Taobao platform demonstrate that ReAlloc achieves simultaneous lifts in both pay order and income.

Machine learning for combinatorial optimization typically relies on neural constructors trained via reinforcement learning on large offline datasets for a fixed problem class-incurring high pretraining costs and generalizing poorly outside the training distribution. We propose an alternative: a metaheuristic framework that reformulates the randomized constructive phase of GRASP as an online imitation learning task, trained from scratch on each problem instance. A local search procedure acts as an expert oracle, while a decoder-only Transformer serves as the constructive policy. Unlike classical GRASP, which relies on static, myopic heuristic rules based on localized scalar costs, our approach is fully data-driven: the construction policy emerges from high-quality solutions discovered during the search itself, with no problem-specific feature engineering required. We instantiate this as LM-GRASP, a hybrid metaheuristic following an iterative learn-infer-improve cycle, training the policy online via behavioral cloning on a dynamic archive of elite trajectories-no external data or offline pretraining needed. The pipeline interfaces with the domain solely through the objective evaluator used by local search. Evaluated on the Taillard PFSP benchmark (ta51-ta60), the most discriminating block due to half its optima being unknown, LM-GRASP outperforms GPU-GRASP by 28.4 makespan units on average-comparable to the gain from GPU acceleration over sequential execution (27.2 units), though with overlapping standard deviations. This suggests instance-specific, online-trained language models are a promising, practical alternative to hand-engineered constructors, especially for landscapes resistant to classical greedy construction.

This paper studies learning-augmented and randomized online aggregation with delays on a line metric. We consider advice given as online suggested service lengths, and evaluate the algorithms in terms of robustness and consistency. For each $λ\in (0,1]$, we first propose a deterministic learning-augmented \textsc{Balance} algorithm that is $(4/λ+1/λ^2)$-robust and $(4+λ)$-consistent. We also propose a randomized algorithm for the problem in the classical adversarial model, which is $(e+1)$-competitive against an oblivious adversary, improving over the deterministic $5$-competitive \textsc{Balance} benchmark~\cite{bienkowski2013chain}. Notably, this competitive ratio is even lower than the lower bound of $4$ for deterministic online algorithms. Moreover, we establish a lower bound of $e$ on the competitive ratio of randomized online algorithms, improving the previous lower bound of $e/(e-1)$. Besides, we combine the two ideas and obtain a randomized learning-augmented algorithm that is $(e/λ+1/λ^2)$-robust and $(e+λ)$-consistent. Finally, we conduct numerical experiments to complement our theoretical analysis and evaluate the empirical performance of our algorithms.

Algorithmic news personalization in regional markets often fails because modern deep learning models require massive interaction data while real-world news has a short Time-to-Live (TTL < 48 h) and shallow article pools. This structural item cold-start deprives collaborative filtering of the data needed for robust modeling. This paper presents Project Kairos, a framework that bridges this data scarcity through a contextual online learning approach (LinUCB). To ensure numerical integrity for continuous operation, Kairos replaces error-prone Sherman-Morrison inversions with direct rank-1 updates of Cholesky factors. This preserves the positive definiteness of the covariance matrix even under ill-conditioned data scenarios. Simultaneously, Matryoshka Representation Learning (MRL) integration addresses inference latency. Empirical evaluations based on the Tagesschau API demonstrate that exploiting semantic redundancy in the feature space achieves a 4.85-fold efficiency gain without significantly compromising ranking precision. Kairos thus provides a blueprint for high-performance recommendation systems in resource- and data-constrained environments.

Adaptive conformal inference (ACI) of Gibbs and Cand{è}s and its variants are the standard approach to online conformal prediction under distribution shift, but they suffer from three fundamental limitations. First, their guarantees control only the \emph{signed} long-run coverage error: persistent miscoverage in one direction can be masked by compensating errors later, so a method can satisfy the theoretical guarantee while being badly wrong for extended periods. Second, existing guarantees say nothing about prediction-set size, so validity can be achieved trivially at the cost of unduly wide prediction sets. Third, the efficiency guarantees that do exist compare against a \emph{fixed} predictor chosen in hindsight, a benchmark that becomes increasingly less meaningful once the data-generating distribution shifts, since the very notion of an optimal threshold then changes over time. We consider a unified online learning framework that simultaneously controls absolute, non-cancelling coverage violation and prediction-set efficiency against a dynamically evolving benchmark for three important models. In the fully adversarial setting, exploiting the fact that the standard ACI update is exactly projected online gradient descent on the pinball loss, we derive simultaneous coverage and efficiency guarantees for arbitrary monotone Lipschitz efficiency objectives, with no distributional or {\it convexity} assumptions. In the stochastic setting with full-score feedback, we propose a sliding-window quantile tracker and establish a matching minimax lower bound showing our algorithm is rate-optimal. In the covariate-dependent stochastic setting, we develop a partitioned ACI algorithm that tracks a function-valued oracle threshold, and derive simultaneous coverage and efficiency guarantees.

Distributed constraint optimization problems (DCOPs) provide a popular framework for distributed decision making under limited communication, but many real-world instances are too large to solve monolithically. We address this challenge from two complementary directions. We revisit the connection between DCOPs and potential games, and adapt modern online learning algorithms for equilibrium finding to DCOPs. We show that these algorithms are competitive with representative incomplete DCOP algorithms. We then turn to decomposition frameworks for large-scale DCOPs, motivated by large-scale decentralized satellite scheduling. We propose a new framework that separates a DCOP into two interacting subproblems: a high-level meta-DCOP for task allocation, and independent local optimization problems for scheduling. To couple the two levels, we develop a novel iterative pricing method that updates the meta-level utilities using feedback from the local optimizers. Combining our online learning methods with our iterative pricing framework, we obtain near-optimal performance on real-world decentralized satellite scheduling problem instances, fulfilling over 99% of observation requests compared with 87% for state-of-the-art baselines.

We study an integrated pickup-and-delivery problem on sparse, non-Euclidean networks that jointly optimizes cyclic routing, cargo flow allocation, and cross-cycle service. The tight coupling of these operational constraints creates a complex discrete-continuous decision space with highly restricted feasible regions. To overcome these computational challenges, we propose Double-Channel Graph Attention (DCGA), an end-to-end reinforcement learning framework. DCGA isolates network reachability and demand-service logic into separate graph channels and constructs valid routes using a simulator-coupled, constraint-informed decoder. Experiments on LinerLib benchmarks demonstrate that DCGA achieves seconds-level inference and delivers state-of-the-art solution quality on instances beyond a specific scale, with its advantage over existing baselines widening significantly as problem size increases. Supported by extensive stability and ablation analyses, our results demonstrate that this structure-aware learning approach provides an effective, low-latency engine for realistic routing-and-flow optimization.

Most educational technology for children is built around visual interfaces, which excludes the many children worldwide who live with visual impairment -- an estimated 1.4 million children are blind and many more have low vision. We present Kutti AI, a voice-first learning companion designed so that audio is the primary and sufficient interface: children learn curriculum concepts through spoken conversation, respond by speaking, and receive spoken feedback, with no reliance on visual elements. The system contributes three practical mechanisms for accessible, adaptive learning on commodity mobile hardware: (1) a multi-signal struggle-detection engine that combines response-latency analysis, wrong-attempt tracking, and keyword-based hesitation detection to decide, in real time, when to offer hints or simplify a question; (2) a multi-layered cross-language answer-matching pipeline that combines language-aware translation/transliteration, Levenshtein-based fuzzy matching, and text normalization so that children are not penalized for code-switching or pronunciation variation; and (3) an offline-first speech pipeline using an on-device automatic speech recognition (ASR) model, enabling use in low-connectivity settings common in underserved communities. We describe the architecture, the interaction flow, and the design decisions that prioritize accessibility, and we report qualitative observations from a hackathon prototype supporting English and Tamil. We discuss lessons learned and outline a path toward formal evaluation with target users. Kutti AI illustrates how a small, carefully-engineered voice-first system can lower both accessibility and financial barriers to early education.

Learning-enabled decision systems often use offline data or computation to reduce online compute cost. Despite the empirical success of such approaches, there is limited general understanding of how much offline information is needed to achieve a desired accuracy under a fixed online computation budget. We study this question through the lens of amortized parametric optimization: an offline phase stores a finite memory of solved problem instances, and an online phase produces a solution to a new instance by retrieving a warm start and applying $K$ steps of projected gradient descent. We analyze this setup for smooth convex parametric optimization over a compact domain, using a nonparametric predictor built from the stored offline solutions. For $μ$-strongly convex objectives, we establish matching upper and lower bounds on the memory required to guarantee $\varepsilon$-accuracy under a fixed online iteration budget $K$. For convex objectives satisfying a $β$-growth condition ($β>2$), we obtain near-matching bounds and identify a phase transition in $K$ beyond which additional memory provides no benefit. We further provide a general proof framework that (i) explicitly quantifies the memory cost of acceleration---how much offline memory is required to achieve a prescribed speedup over the unaided online optimizer---and (ii) identifies two key quantities driving this cost: the convergence rate of the online optimizer and the Lipschitz sensitivity of the solution map to the problem parameter. Experiments on parameterized ridge regression confirm the predicted memory--computation--accuracy tradeoffs.

Bayesian online learning promises uncertainty-aware prediction on data streams, but its performance hinges on inferential choices, including learning rates, prior distributions and variational families, which are usually fixed before seeing the stream. We address this by treating Bayesian update rules as experts and aggregating the Bayesian experts according to sequential predictive losses. We prove that the resulting aggregate competes with the best expert in hindsight at an aggregation cost determined by how each expert's per-round performance is evaluated. We instantiate the framework in online conformal inference and Gaussian process regression. The conformal inference application yields a smoothed Bayesian counterpart of adaptive conformal inference with long-run randomized coverage, while the Gaussian process application gives an oracle inequality in cumulative predictive Kullback-Leibler risk and adaptation to unknown Hölder smoothness up to logarithmic factors. Experiments show that the aggregate tracks strong experts without oracle expert selection.

We study the problem of recalibrating an online predictor [KE17, OKS24]: given an arbitrary "hint" sequence of forecasts, the learner must output new predictions that are calibrated while incurring small excess error relative to the original forecasts, under a proper loss. We give an online algorithm that achieves $(\varepsilon, \varepsilon^2)$-recalibration for Lipschitz proper losses in $T \approx \varepsilon^{-3}$ rounds, using an imbalanced extension of the recent simultaneous Blackwell approachability reduction framework of [HTY26]. We show that this tradeoff is optimal by proving a matching lower bound for recalibrating against the squared loss. We also prove a companion $\mathcal{K}_2$-recalibration theorem that obtains the same tradeoffs up to a logarithmic factor. As our main application, we show how our recalibration algorithms can be combined with the online refinement method of [FH23] to obtain simultaneous $\varepsilon$-calibration and $\varepsilon^2$-calibeating for smooth proper losses at the same asymptotic rate, improving upon prior works that achieved these properties separately or with a worse $\varepsilon$ dependence. In particular, the $\mathcal{K}_2$ variant answers a question of [CHJL26] on simultaneously achieving near-optimal calibeating and calibration rates. We also derive extensions to settings with multiple hint sequences. Finally, we empirically evaluate our algorithms on a classification dataset undergoing distribution shift.

Mobile network operators monitor aggregated traffic volumes to assess the operational health of core network infrastructure. Reliable failure detection is challenging due to strong temporal structure, non-stationarity, measurement artefacts, and extreme class imbalance, which limit static threshold-based monitoring. This paper proposes a two-stage online learning framework for traffic-based failure detection in mobile core networks. Stage I incrementally models normal traffic dynamics using lightweight regression with time-aware features. Stage II analyses prediction residuals together with contextual indicators to detect genuine service-affecting network failures. The framework operates fully online under a prequential evaluation protocol, enabling continuous adaptation with low computational overhead. Across linear and non-linear models, the proposed two-stage architecture achieves the best precision-recall trade-off, attaining the highest recall, F1-score, and AUC at acceptable false positive rates. These results demonstrate the importance of explicit residual decomposition for reliable failure detection in streaming mobile core network data.

Retail demand forecasting remains difficult when demand shifts faster than static forecasting models can be retrained, especially in early demand cycles where newly observed labels are sparse. To address this, this study aims to improve adaptive retail forecasting by proposing a predict-then-correct (PtC) framework that retains a first-stage machine learning (ML) forecast and applies a few-shot continuous contextual bandit correction policy with similar-SKUs augmentation and top-p masked updating. Across Walmart retail data and an exclusive beverage dataset, PtC delivers statistically significant reductions in MAPE, MAE, and RMSE across stable & high volume, stable & low volume, and erratic & intermittent demand patterns, improves average RMSE by 9.52% over the ML-only baseline in the ablation study, and yields lower inventory costs than base-stock, proximal policy optimization, and soft actor-critic policies under the tested lead-time settings. These findings show that online forecast correction can bridge offline demand learning and real-time retail decision-making by adapting to sparse feedback without fully retraining the base forecasting model.

We study the problem of efficient online proportional sampling from a high-dimensional domain under a $σ$-smoothed adversary, where the sampling distribution is induced by a dynamically evolving weight function defined over a sequence of piecewise-structured partitions. This setting captures a broad range of applications, including principal-agent games (e.g., pricing and contract design), and algorithm configuration and parameter tuning. The central challenge is maintaining an efficient data structure as the induced partition grows increasingly complex over time -- naively, the number of subregions can grow as $O(t^d)$ by round $t$ in $d$ dimensions. We design a data structure that supports efficient updates and proportional sampling while avoiding the cost of explicitly maintaining this exponential growth, where the discontinuities are structured from axis-parallel hyperplanes. Under a $σ$-smoothed adaptive adversary, we prove a tight $O(\sqrt{σT})$ bound on the depth of our data structure, and an $O(\log T)$ bound under a random-order adversary -- to our knowledge, the first such results for this class of problems. We apply this framework to online learning with piecewise-structured rewards, obtaining efficient no-regret algorithms under both full-information and bandit feedback, with provable sublinear regret guarantees.

Motivated by the challenge of stabilizing a general unknown linear dynamical system (LDS) from observations, we study the natural prerequisite of online prediction. Our goal is to achieve sublinear regret with a memory footprint that adapts to the intrinsic complexity of the dynamics rather than the full hidden-state dimension. We focus on the practically central regime of systems with low instability complexity -- eigenvalues outside the real stable interval that do not decay rapidly, together with non-semisimple modes -- potentially embedded in an otherwise stable real spectrum of much higher dimension; we write $k$ for this count. This regime is the primary setting in which stabilization is plausible: we show that many systems with high instability complexity cannot be stabilized without exponentially large controls. Thus, prediction is meaningful for stabilization precisely when the instability complexity is small. Within this regime, we introduce a unified online algorithm that handles every LDS (including non-diagonalizable systems with complex or exploding modes) with a learnable parameter count of $\widetilde{O}(k)$. Finally, we prove a lower bound showing that $k$ is a valid complexity measure: any filter-based predictor needs at least $k$ filters. Experiments corroborate our theory: on a high-dimensional system, our predictor sharply outperforms prior methods at an equal parameter budget.

We address the problem of online multi-human multi-robot teaming through the lens of a linear matching bandit framework, where a learner assigns robots with unknown features from a fixed pool to distinct sets of human agents over multiple rounds. To solve this problem, we propose LinMatch, an online learning algorithm that updates the confidence intervals of the unknown features and makes the optimistic matching under uncertainty. The contributions and novelty of this work are twofold. First, we recast the optimistic matching problem in each round as a linear program of maximum weighted matching, efficiently solvable by the celebrated Hungarian algorithm. Second, we provide novel bounds for matching with linear feature problems, showing an upper bound of $\tilde{O}(d\sqrt{MKT})$ and a minimax lower bound of $Ω(d\sqrt{MKT})$, establishing a tight optimal regret rate of $\tildeΘ(d\sqrt{MKT})$. This demonstrates that LinMatch achieves strictly optimal achievable regret with respect to the total number of rounds $T$, the feature dimension $d$, and the matching parameters $M$ and $K$. The proposed algorithm and bounds apply to a wide range of matching problems with applications beyond human-robot matching, such as housing allocation, recommendation systems, and more.

Online high-dimensional regression requires algorithms that can update sequentially while preserving structural sparsity. We propose \textit{Adaptive Iterative Hard Thresholding (AIHT)}, an online sparse-regression framework that alternates stochastic subgradient updates with adaptively scheduled hard-thresholding steps. The key idea is to separate support discovery from local refinement: early in the learning process, AIHT delays thresholding so that weak but informative coordinates have time to accumulate signal, while later it increases the projection frequency to stabilize the sparse estimator and exploit local curvature. We develop the theory for high-dimensional online quantile regression, a challenging setting in which the loss is nonsmooth and the data may exhibit heterogeneity or heavy-tailed noise. Under restricted curvature and gradient-leakage conditions, AIHT remains in an inflated sparse cone, exhibits a two-phase convergence behavior, and attains logarithmic regret for the sliding-window objective. Simulations for online quantile regression, together with threshold-scheduling ablations, support the proposed mechanism and illustrate its advantage over standard online sparse-learning baselines.

This paper addresses the problem of robust formation control by introducing Topological Online Learning for Displacement-based (TOLD) formation control, a real-time edge-level adaptation framework. Unlike conventional node-level robust controllers that regulate individual robot inputs without modifying the interaction topology, TOLD updates the interaction topology weights online to directly minimize formation distortion. Two strategies are proposed under the TOLD formation control framework: Online Gradient Flow (OGF) with unconstrained weights and Online Exponential Gradient Flow (OExpGF) with non-negative convex weights. Theoretical analysis establishes that, for single-integrator agents over directed graphs, OExpGF guarantees asymptotic consensus, while OGF ensures bounded formation distortion. Simulations with twelve robots under intermittent disturbances show 1.2%-33.14% median cumulative Root Mean Distortion Error reduction when augmenting TOLD with node-level controllers. Hardware experiments with Crazyflie 2.0 quadrotors demonstrate over 62% (OGF) and 31.4% (OExpGF) reduction in median formation distortion compared to fixed-weight consensus.

Online learning is crucial for handling complex data streams in big data applications. Recent research has begun to focus on dynamic scenarios, i.e., non-stationary environments. However, a crucial yet often overlooked aspect is label latency, where new data may not receive labels in time due to the slow and expensive labeling process, thus hindering rapid adaptation to dynamic environments. To resolve this impasse, we propose Dual-Track Geometry Online Learning (DT-GOL), a novel framework that shifts from temporal compensation to spatial reasoning to bridge the supervised latency gap. By modeling the delay challenge as a semi-supervised task, we leverage real-time topological evolution of features as a reliable geometric surrogate for unobservable conceptual changes to achieve proactive supervised adaptation within the delay window. Unlike rigid self-training, we introduce a dynamic evidence calibration mechanism that distills geometric information into soft labels that perceive uncertainty, effectively mitigating the confirmation bias inherent in hard pseudo-labels. Furthermore, to resolve the stability-plasticity dilemma, we design a decoupled dual-track architecture in which a master learner serves as a stable anchor, updated strictly from delayed ground truth, while a transient branch leverages soft geometric knowledge for low-risk forward adaptation. Extensive experiments on real and synthetic datasets demonstrate that DT-GOL significantly outperforms existing state-of-the-art baseline methods, especially in scenarios with concept drift.

This paper studies learning-augmented online weighted vertex cover with advice and a parameter $λ\in (0,1)$. We consider two graph cases: bipartite graphs and general graphs. In both settings, the online algorithm must maintain a feasible vertex cover under irrevocable decisions. We show that these problems admit the same robustness--consistency tradeoffs as learning-augmented ski rental. For the bipartite graph model, we give a randomized algorithm that is $\frac{1}{1-e^{-λ}}$-robust and $\fracλ{1-e^{-λ}}$-consistent. For the general graph model, we give a deterministic algorithm that is $(1+\frac{1}λ)$-robust and $(1+λ)$-consistent. We prove that the tradeoffs above are optimal in both settings. We also validate the proposed algorithms through experiments on synthetic and real-world datasets.

NeuroEvolution of Augmenting Topologies (NEAT) is a widely used neuroevolution algorithm for learning neural network architectures and weights for control tasks. However, standard offline optimisation searches for connection strengths directly, which can scale poorly in high-dimensional weight spaces and more difficult continuous control problems. Hybrid methods that combine neuroevolution with online learning can address this challenge, but their theoretical properties remain underexplored. This paper gives the first regret analysis for a general NeuroEvolutionary Online Learning (NEOL) framework, which decouples learning into two timescales: an outer loop for architecture search and an inner loop for online weight adaptation via rewardmodulated plasticity. Under mild conditions, we prove that NEOL achieves sublinear regret. Empirically, under fixed interaction budgets on four standard control benchmarks, a NEAT-based NEOL implementation achieves higher final fitness and lower variance than pure NEAT, and is competitive with strong reinforcement learning (RL) baselines on several tasks. The results are supported byWilcoxon rank-sum tests and ablation studies. Overall, the findings show that online plasticity can improve the sample efficiency and robustness of two-timescale neuroevolution. Code is available at https://github.com/boobaa2001/NeuroEvolution Online Learning NEOL.

In challenging real-world reinforcement learning applications, communication delays or sensor failures often cause frame dropping, in which the agent cannot receive the dropped states and associated rewards. To address the performance degradation caused by frame dropping, the Decision Transformer under Random Frame Dropping (DeFog) was developed by incorporating additional mechanisms into the decision transformer to tackle frame dropping. Although DeFog can mitigate performance degradation in frame-dropping environments, since DeFog is an offline learning method, it struggles to effectively generalize to novel states not adequately represented in the training dataset. In this study, we propose OnDeFog, which integrates the mechanisms in DeFog with the online decision transformer (ODT), an online reinforcement learning method that learns policies through direct environmental interaction. Comprehensive experimental evaluation demonstrates that our proposed OnDeFog achieves superior performance compared to ODT in environments characterized by high dropping frame rate and outperforms DeFog on datasets containing a large amount of low-reward data.

We study online reward-punishment learning when the environment provides no scalar reward or evaluative label. At each step the agent receives only a fixed-channel perceptual packet, and quantities such as pain, energy, contact, damage, or cognitive error are treated as perceptual dimensions whose valence must be inferred from transition consequences. OHIRL separates four roles: M_psi learns next-packet prediction, D_omega models residual dynamics, C_eta is a fixed internal post-transition trajectory evaluator, and B_xi learns to use the resulting value evidence for later policy updates and action scoring. C_eta uses a recovery-positive and persistence/growth-negative residual-regulation orientation; a coefficient-origin audit shows that equal-unit, raw-equal, and random monotone variants preserve more than 92% of the released top-action rankings, while sign inversion preserves 0%. The reward-free protocol exposes observation transitions while withholding environment rewards, delayed external evaluators, success labels, and action-goodness labels. A conditional error decomposition separates B_xi evidence-estimation error from residual policy-optimization error. In a 2x2-XOR packet task, medicine and chili acquire opposite value under visual XOR contexts, and the same pain or spice increase can be positive or negative depending on consequence structure; B_xi reaches 0.952 balanced reward-sign accuracy. In a full online-interleaved audit, M_psi reaches holdout R2=0.907, B_xi reaches 0.940 sign accuracy, and the policy reaches 0.979 optimal-action accuracy, while immediate packet scores, prediction-error rewards, shuffled targets, zero reward, and error-reduction controls collapse. Hidden-reward CartPole and Taxi controls, public-context no-leakage audits, and module-role ablations further test information boundaries and component necessity.

The field of learning-augmented algorithms has demonstrated that machine-learned predictions can bypass worst-case lower bounds across a wide range of problems. So far, however, the focus has been almost exclusively on polynomial-time algorithms, where predictions improve competitive ratios, approximation guarantees, or running times. In this paper, we raise the question of whether predictions can push the frontier of exact exponential-time algorithms for NP-hard problems. We answer this question affirmatively by proposing a general approach that augments an entire family of state-of-the-art exact algorithms for a variety of subset selection problems. We show that a noisy predictor that is only marginally better than random guessing suffices to provably reduce the search space, and that the resulting runtime speedup scales smoothly with the prediction quality. Importantly, our algorithms require only pairwise independence of predictions or, alternatively, do not require the knowledge of the predictor's accuracy - both strictly weaker and more realistic settings than typically assumed.

Empirical risk minimization on massive datasets naturally exhibits a nested double finite-sum structure, where $N=nm$ total samples are logically or physically partitioned into $n$ blocks of size $m$ (e.g., in pooled data silos, out-of-core learning, or deliberate stratification). While variance-reduced methods achieve optimal oracle complexities for nonconvex objectives, they suffer from severe scaling bottlenecks in this centralized regime. Recursive estimators, such as PAGE, require periodic global full-gradient refreshes over all $nm$ samples, which are computationally expensive. Conversely, single-loop methods, such as SILVER, avoid such refreshes but require an impractical $\mathcal{O}(nm)$ memory footprint to store a control variate for every sample. In this paper, we propose SILAGE, a variance-reduced algorithm that addresses this trade-off. By actively exploiting the double-sum structure, SILAGE eliminates periodic global full-gradient refreshes over all $nm$ components (evaluating at most one local group gradient per iteration) while requiring only $\mathcal{O}(n)$ memory. Furthermore, we provide a tight convergence analysis that avoids pessimistic worst-case Lipschitz constants. Instead, SILAGE's complexity natively adapts to the underlying data geometry via nested functional similarities: across-group ($δ_1$) and within-group ($δ_2$) heterogeneity. Our results improve existing state-of-the-art bounds in several practically relevant regimes.

Recently, Antoniadis et al. (ICLR 2025) proposed a framework for incorporating predictions to approximate NP-hard selection problems. Despite its simplicity, this approach tightly matches theoretical lower bounds, making its generalization highly compelling. We address an open question raised in the work of Antoniadis et al., concerning the extension of this approach to other important problems outside the class of selection problems, such as scheduling. We develop a learning-augmented algorithm for the makespan minimization problem on unrelated machines, denoted by $R\|C_{\max}$. By using predictions of heavy job assignments, we achieve a polynomial-time $(1+\varepsilon)$-approximation for accurate predictions that smoothly degrades to a worst-case 2-approximation as the error increases. We conclude our work with an empirical analysis of our method.

We study online estimation for high-dimensional generalized linear models with streaming data. First, for the non-distributed setting, we propose a gradient-enhanced surrogate loss that approximates the cumulative loss using only historical summaries, which modifies and improves upon the existing renewable estimation approach for the same model in the high-dimensional setting, and removes the batch-number constraint in previous studies. We then extend the method to distributed streaming data under the master-client architecture, where batches are partitioned across sites and only summaries (gradient vectors) are exchanged. Instead of directing applying the popular method of Jordan et al. (2019) to the surrogate quadratic loss, our adjusted approach does not require the clients to compute the full surrogate loss. We derive non-asymptotic error bounds under the high-dimensional scaling, without the stringent constraint on the number of batches in the previous studies. Simulation results under linear and logistic models, together with a real-data application, show improved accuracy over existing renewable estimators.

We introduce a spoofing countermeasure architecture conditioned on speaker-reference recordings, but observe that it converges to a solution that effectively ignores the reference during inference. Surprisingly, training with a reference channel induces invariance that improves deepfake detection, even when the reference is absent or mismatched during inference. Based on this observation, we propose a Reference-Augmented Training (RAT) strategy. RAT yields improved detection performance compared to single-utterance baselines, even when the reference recording is replaced with a zero vector at inference. Through rigorous analysis, we demonstrate that the optimization process rapidly diminishes the reference contributions, leading to inference largely independent of the reference channel. Using RAT, we achieve state-of-the-art 2.57% EER and 0.074 minDCF on the ASVspoof 5 benchmark with a single detector, surpassing even large ensemble systems.

Deployed large language model agents must adapt to distribution shift in dynamic environments. Ideally, adaptation can be performed from accumulated agent experiences and retain prior capabilities while transferring to future tasks. However, agent actions and environmental transitions can only be sampled once per scenario, as real-world environments cannot be trivially reset. To this end, we investigate an experiential and online continual learning setting in which agents learn from a stream of scenarios. We propose continual learning as-a-service (CLaaS), a system which enables agents to improve during deployment, abstracted behind a chat API. To increase sample efficiency, CLaaS stores rollouts in an experience replay buffer for gradient reuse during asynchronous training. We evaluate CLaaS on an adversarial task, demonstrating that parametric updates lead to superior forward transfer and less forgetting than in-context learning, with replay being a critical choice for sample efficiency.

We present learning-augmented algorithms for two general classes of online minimization problems: metrical task systems and laminar set cover. Both algorithms achieve improved theoretical guarantees using machine-learned predictions of an optimal solution to the dual linear program. Unlike optimal primal solutions, which can change drastically under tiny instance perturbations, these dual solutions are much more stable, which ensures the existence of good (and learnable) predictions for families of similar instances. While previous work has used dual predictions in offline settings and for online maximization problems, our algorithms are, to the best of our knowledge, the first demonstration that such dual predictions can be effective for online minimization. Our theoretical results are complemented by experiments on the $k$-server problem and the parking permit problem.

This paper investigates non-stationary online learning using the metric of interval regret, which requires an online algorithm to perform well over every time interval. We propose the first online learning algorithm that achieves an interval regret bound scaling with gradient variation, a fundamental measure of the cumulative change in online function gradients, which relates to various problem-dependent quantities and is closely connected to stochastic optimization and other problems. Our method employs a simple and efficient two-layer online ensemble structure that achieves strong theoretical guarantees. Specifically, it enjoys a regret bound that simultaneously adapts to various problem-dependent quantities while also preserving the minimax-optimal rate in the worst case. Moreover, recognizing the challenge of hyperparameter tuning, we introduce a Lipschitz- and smoothness-agnostic variant that automatically adapts to these potentially unknown constants. This is primarily enabled by a novel Lipschitz-adaptive meta algorithm, which may be of independent interest. Beyond interval regret, our method also yields broader implications: it provides versatile bounds for interval dynamic regret, a stronger measure that competes with changing comparators over any interval, and yields the first piecewise characterization for stochastic extended adversarial optimization. Theoretical findings are validated by experiments.

Learning-augmented paging has been extensively studied in recent years. A key advantage over naive ML-based approaches is \emph{bounded robustness}, which guarantees worst-case performance even when predictions are inaccurate, making these algorithms valuable for real-world systems. Prior work achieves robustness bounds of $2H_k + O(1)$ in the randomized setting, leaving a gap to the optimal competitive ratio $H_k$. In this paper, we study how to close this gap. We begin by reviewing online optimality and proving a new property of the latest $H_k$-competitive algorithm, which facilitates our analysis in the learning-augmented setting. Then, we review existing learning-augmented paging algorithms and introduce a unifying primitive, the \emph{relative prediction budget}, which captures the essence of establishing robustness and reveals that prior algorithms either overuse or underutilize predictions. Guided by the above analysis, we develop a new framework that achieves the best-possible robustness up to an additive constant for learning-augmented paging: $H_k + O(1)$. Experiments further demonstrate strong practical performance.

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is critical for the deployment of machine learning predictors in real-world scenarios where the data distribution may shift over time (i.e., data may not be exchangeable). Online conformal prediction (OCP) methods address this issue at the expense of either (i) group-wise error control or (ii) learning-rate independent implementation. Group-conditional coverage is essential for fairness across different collections of data points and for providing finer UQ guarantees. Parameter-free optimization is crucial for robustness to adversarial and unknown data shifts. We propose a parameter-free algorithm for group-conditional OCP and demonstrate that it achieves the best group-conditional coverage guarantees. We evaluate our algorithm on synthetic and real-world data, demonstrating that our method not only improves the reliability of existing parameter-free OCP methods but also provides prediction intervals that are comparable in size to well-tuned group-conditional approaches. By unifying group-conditional coverage with parameter-free online algorithms, our work lays a foundation for fair and robust uncertainty quantification in shifting environments.

InfoNCE is the standard contrastive learning objective, but its softmax form is not only a computational convenience: it also encodes a statistical assumption about how the top-scoring example is selected. Using extreme value theory, we show that this assumption is often misaligned with the normalized embedding setting used in modern contrastive learning. Motivated by this mismatch, we propose \textsc{WEINCE}, a simple modification of InfoNCE that uses anchor-wise online batch statistics to blend the usual softmax logits with an endpoint shortfall correction, adding no trainable parameters. Across five vision benchmarks, \textsc{WEINCE} yields consistent improvements in frozen-feature evaluation. These results show that a more faithful statistical treatment of hard negatives can improve contrastive objectives.

Bagging-based ensembles, most notably Adaptive Random Forests, are among the strongest performers for learning from data streams. A common denominator across these methods is their reliance on Hoeffding Trees as base learners, which grow decision trees incrementally by testing whether a candidate split is significantly better than its alternatives using concentration inequalities. Despite their empirical success, existing variants lack valid statistical guarantees. Current analyses rely on fixed-sample concentration bounds, while split decisions are made using data-dependent stopping rules, which invalidates their guarantees and can drive the probabilty of incorrect splits to one. We introduce a principled alternative based on anytime-valid inference. Our method provides: (i) anytime-valid control of false splits under arbitrary data streams, including non-stationary settings; (ii) finite commitment time under a predictive advantage; and (iii) under stationary i.i.d. data, risk is monotone decreasing and strictly improves at every split. Empirically, we evaluate both standalone trees and their use within Adaptive Random Forests on non-stationary streams. Our method improves performance while producing substantially smaller trees.

We study stochastic decision-theoretic online learning with full information and event-level pure differential privacy. A COLT open problem of Hu and Mehta asks to determine the optimal gap-dependent regret rate for stochastic decision-theoretic online learning under pure event-level differential privacy. For $K$ actions, losses in $[0,1]$, and a unique best action separated from the second-best action by gap $Δ_{\min}$, the known lower bound is of order $\frac{\log K}{\min\{Δ_{\min},\varepsilon\}},$ or equivalently, up to universal constants, of order $$\frac{\log K}{Δ_{\min}}+\frac{\log K}{\varepsilon}.$$ We give a horizon-free pure-DP algorithm and prove the explicit regret bound $$\operatorname{Reg}_T \le 1000 \cdot \left(\frac{\log K}{Δ_{\min}}+\frac{\log K}{\varepsilon}\right)$$ for every horizon $T$. The numerical constant is not optimized. The algorithm partitions time into blocks of exponentially increasing size, plays a single action throughout each block, and chooses the next action by an exponential mechanism applied to a data-independent random prefix of the previous block. The random prefix converts block regret into a sum, over all prefix lengths, of softmax selection errors. A single entropy-potential argument controls all privacy-dominated large-gap actions at cost $\log K/\varepsilon$.

Irregular multivariate time series forecasting is critical in many real-world applications, where time series are irregularly sampled and exhibit dynamically evolving missingness patterns. Although existing methods perform well in offline settings, they often suffer from significant performance degradation when deployed online due to dynamic shifts in data distribution. Maintaining forecasting capability in such dynamic scenarios typically necessitates online adaptation techniques. Since irregular sampling fundamentally undermines temporal continuity and periodicity, we cannot leverage these widely studied characteristics from regular MTS for online learning. To this end, we study the problem of online IMTS forecasting and propose Under-Cali, an uncertainty-driven dual-expert calibration framework consisting of three core components: an uncertainty estimator, a dual-expert calibration module, and an adaptive routing module. We design an uncertainty estimator that serves as the core control signal to jointly manage inference and adaptation processes. In our framework, the uncertainty estimator first assesses uncertainty for each incoming batch. The adaptive routing module then directs samples with high uncertainty to the unreliable expert for calibration, while low uncertainty samples remain with the reliable expert. Subsequently, the system updates the reliable expert and the uncertainty estimator using well-calibrated reliable samples, and updates the unreliable expert with challenging samples, enabling stable and efficient online learning. Under-Cali keeps the source forecasting model frozen and performs adaptation only through a lightweight, model-agnostic calibration module, enabling efficient adaptation. Extensive experiments on IMTS benchmarks demonstrate consistent improvements with low computational cost. Our code is available at https://github.com/HaonanWen/Under-Cali.

We study decentralized online convex optimization when agents communicate over a graph and messages may be compressed. Classical decentralized online methods typically require learning-rate choices that depend on the horizon, comparator scale, or other problem parameters, while compressed communication introduces additional disagreement that must be controlled. We propose DECO-EF (DEcentralized COin-betting with Error Feedback), a decentralized parameter-free online learning algorithm that combines coin-betting predictions with compressed difference-based gossip. Each agent maintains a clean accumulated state and a compressed tracker, and communicates only compressed state differences during gossip steps. The method is parameter-free in the online-learning sense: it does not tune to the horizon, the comparator norm, or the learning rate. We prove expected comparator-adaptive network-regret bounds for DECO-EF under compressed communication. To the best of our knowledge, this gives the first expected sublinear network-regret guarantees for parameter-free decentralized online learning under compressed communication.

Learning-augmented algorithms have received significant attention in recent years, particularly in the context of online optimization. Motivated by the high computational cost of generating predictions, a growing line of work studies the tradeoff between performance guarantees and the number of predictions used in learning-augmented algorithms for problems such as caching and metrical task systems. In this paper, we extend this line of research to online metric matching by developing parsimonious learning-augmented algorithms and establishing lower bounds on their performance. Our approach extends the Follow-the-Prediction framework to the parsimonious setting by filling in a virtual prediction in the absence of an actual prediction, using an online metric matching algorithm that maintains good intermediate matchings throughout its execution. We complement our theoretical results with an empirical evaluation, demonstrating the practical effectiveness of our approach.

Distribution shift in imitation learning refers to the problem that the agent cannot plan proper actions for a state that has not been visited during the training. This problem can be largely attributed to the inherently narrow state-action coverage provided by expert demonstrations over the full environment. In this paper, we propose a robust offline to adaptive online imitation learning framework that handles the distribution shift problem in a lifelong, multi-phase scheme. In the offline learning phase, we leverage supplementary demonstrations to broaden the state-action coverage of the policy by utilizing a discriminator to effectively train the policy with supplementary demonstrations, thereby enhancing the robustness of the policy to distribution shift. In the subsequent online inference phase, our framework detects the occurrence of distribution shift and conducts self-supervised imitation learning from online experiences to adapt the policy to the online environments. Through extensive evaluations in MuJoCo environments, we demonstrate that our method exhibits better robustness to distribution shift and better adaptation performance to online environments than the baseline algorithms, which indicates superior performance of our framework against the distribution shift.

Recent advances in learning-based model predictive control (MPC) have leveraged neural networks for online model learning, achieving strong performance when nonstationary system dynamics deviate from nominal models. However, existing approaches primarily address specific or relatively structured forms of dynamical variation, leaving more general, unknown, and unpredictable time-varying dynamics insufficiently handled. To tackle this challenge, we propose T2S-MPC, a framework that adaptively learns a residual dynamics model online and integrates it with the nominal model within the MPC framework to enable fast-evolving online planning. To make the model time-aware, we explicitly encode temporal information through a structured time embedding and employ a two-timescale update scheme, allowing the controller to capture nonstationary dynamics while balancing rapid adaptation with stable learning. We evaluate the proposed method on a 2D quadrotor across stabilization and trajectory tracking tasks under diverse time-varying disturbances, including linear drifting and periodic perturbations. Experimental results show that T2S-MPC consistently outperforms classical MPC, neural MPC, and ablated variants in control performance, while also demonstrating strong robustness across a wide range of disturbance conditions without additional tuning. The source code is publicly available at https://github.com/Zeyuu0920/T2S_MPC

Dynamic pricing in short-term rental (STR) markets presents a distinctive challenge for online learning algorithms: pricing decisions carry significant financial risk, operators require explainability, and market feedback is sparse (one booking outcome per listed night). We introduce the Human-in-the-Loop Gated Bandit (HITL-GB) framework, in which a contextual bandit algorithm generates price recommendations but a human agent retains authority to accept, modify, or reject each recommendation before it is applied. We show that under this approval constraint, historical pricing data -- collected under a prior deterministic policy -- is structurally equivalent to on-policy warm-up data for initialising the bandit's posterior, bypassing the weeks-to-months cold-start period that renders pure online bandit learning impractical in sparse-feedback markets. We formalise the approval-gated reward signal, derive a regularised ridge-regression warm-up procedure from historical episodes, and validate the approach on real STR production data (anonymised urban market, 2 rooms, April 2022 -- April 2026, 1,461 nightly pricing episodes). Our warm-up procedure compresses effective cold-start from ~150 episodes to ~30 episodes when initialising agents from the Hierarchical Factored Thompson Sampling (HF-TS) family. We further argue that the structural equivalence result is domain-agnostic: any high-stakes domain where human approval is legally or operationally required -- including clinical drug dosing, credit origination, content moderation, and radiological diagnosis -- satisfies the same conditions and benefits from the same warm-up strategy. In regulated industries, mandatory human oversight is thus a statistical asset rather than a deployment constraint.

Learning-augmented algorithms have emerged as a powerful paradigm to surpass traditional worst-case lower bounds by integrating potentially noisy predictions. While this framework has seen success in online scheduling, existing work primarily optimizes job latency while relying on frequent, ``blind'' preemptions. This ignores the fundamental trade-off between algorithmic performance and preemption complexity. We provide the first systematic study of learning-augmented scheduling that curbs preemption while optimizing latency. We establish that the gap between theoretical latency bounds and preemption overhead can be bridged with solid analytical foundations. Our results include $O(1)$-competitive algorithms for single and unrelated parallel machines with only $O(1)$ preemptions per job under accurate predictions, with overhead scaling logarithmically with the prediction error. By providing the first bounded-preemption guarantees for unrelated and malleable machines, we extend the theoretical reach of the learning-augmented framework to more constrained and realistic settings. Finally, our algorithms are validated through experiments.

In learning-augmented online algorithms, predictions are usually valued for what they say: a value estimate, a solution, or an algorithmic recommendation. This paper shows that predictions can also be valuable solely due to their arrival time. We study the fundamental secretary problem augmented with a stochastic precursor: a content-free signal that is guaranteed to arrive no later than the best item, but is otherwise stochastically timed. The signal does not carry any additional information; nevertheless, its timing alone changes the structure of optimal stopping. We characterize optimal policies in the random-order and adversarial-order models. In random order, a single uniformly timed precursor already gives success probability at least $\frac12$, improving on the classic $\frac1e$ benchmark. With increasingly late precursors, the success probability approaches $1$. In adversarial order, for which traditional models do not admit strong guarantees, sufficiently concentrated precursors recover constant success guarantees. Our results show that such novel forms of asynchronous temporal information are a distinct and powerful form of advice in online decision making and may also be effective for other problems.

We study constrained online convex optimization with adversarial time-varying constraints. At each round the learner acts before observing the loss and constraint, and is compared with the best fixed action satisfying all constraints in hindsight. The goal is to obtain minimax-optimal regret while controlling cumulative constraint violation (CCV). Prior algorithms achieved $O(\log T)$ regret with $O(\sqrt{T\log T})$ CCV for strongly convex losses, and $O(\sqrt{T})$ regret with $O(\sqrt{T}\log T)$ CCV for convex losses. We propose NP-OGD, an iterated nested-projection algorithm. For strongly convex losses it achieves $O(\log T)$ regret and $O(\log T)$ CCV; for convex losses it achieves $O(\sqrt{T})$ regret and $O(\sqrt{T})$ CCV. The analysis relies on a geometric movement bound: after lifting the nested projected-gradient trajectory to one higher dimension, the lifted path is self-contracted under a nonstandard norm, so a finite-length theorem for self-contracted curves controls the total projection movement. We also prove complementary lower bounds using layered sphere packings. For strongly convex losses, any online algorithm with polynomially sublinear regret can incur CCV at least $Ω((\log T)^{(d-1)/(d+1)}/\log\log T)$. For convex losses, we prove CCV lower bounds $Ω(T^{(d-1)/(2(d+3))})$ for weakly adaptive algorithms and $Ω(T^{(d-1)/(2d)})$ for NP-OGD. Finally, for the constrained experts special case over $N$ experts, an active Hedge algorithm attains $O(\sqrt{T\log N})$ regret and $O(N)$ CCV, with a matching minimax CCV lower bound for sufficiently large horizons.

Modern artificial intelligence systems require calibrated uncertainty estimates that remain reliable in sequential and non-stationary environments. Online conformal prediction (OCP) addresses this challenge through adaptively updated prediction sets that provide deterministic long-run miscoverage guarantees. These guarantees, however, hinge on the assumption of perfect feedback about the coverage of past prediction sets. In practice, the observed miscoverage indicator may be corrupted by noise, communication failures, or adversarial manipulation, which can severely degrade OCP's calibration guarantees. In this paper, we study OCP under corrupted feedback. We first model feedback corruption as an arbitrary binary flip sequence, and analyze how feedback corruption affects and degrades the miscoverage performance of standard OCP. We then propose two robust schemes: robust OCP via filtering, which leverages the structural properties of the predicted threshold to filter corrupted feedback, and robust OCP via active compensation, which incorporates an active compensation mechanism to mitigate the effect of corrupted feedback. For both methods, we establish explicit miscoverage guarantees, which are further specialized for an independent stochastic flip model and for an arbitrary error model with memory bounds. Experiments on real-world datasets validate the proposed approach, showing markedly improved calibration and significantly smaller prediction sets compared with baseline OCP methods under corrupted feedback.

Offline reinforcement learning struggles with distributional shift and constrained performance due to static dataset limitations, while online RL demands prohibitive environment interactions. The recent advent of hybrid offline-to-online methods bridges these domains but suffers from distribution drift during transitions and catastrophic forgetting of offline knowledge. We introduce COOPO (Cyclic Offline-Online Policy Optimization), a generalized framework that repeatedly cycles between constrained offline training and online fine-tuning. Each cycle first anchors the policy to the dataset via KL-regularized advantage-weighted offline updates to minimize distributional shift and then fine-tunes it online using any policy optimization for stable exploration. Crucially, periodically returning to offline training eliminates forgetting and drift while maximizing dataset reuse. The cyclic behavior also helps reduce the online environment interactions. Theoretically, COOPO achieves better online sample efficiency, surpassing pure online RL, with guaranteed monotonic improvement under standard coverage assumptions. Extensive D4RL benchmarks demonstrate COOPO reduces online interactions versus state-of-the-art hybrids while improving final returns, maintaining robustness across diverse offline algorithms and online optimizers. This looped synergy sets new efficiency and performance standards for adaptive RL.