Scaling Laws

Test-time scaling improves the reasoning performance of large language models but often results in token-inefficient overthinking, where models continue reasoning beyond what is necessary for a correct answer. Existing dynamic early-exit methods typically rely on single-step confidence signals, which are often unreliable for detecting reasoning convergence in multi-step settings. To mitigate this limitation, we propose TRACE, a training-free framework for efficient test-time scaling that determines when to terminate reasoning based on temporal aggregation of multi-step evidence rather than instantaneous signals. TRACE detects reasoning convergence over time by aggregating two complementary signals across recent reasoning steps: answer consistency, capturing the persistence of predicted answers, and confidence trajectory, modeling the temporal evolution of model confidence. Benefiting from these two factors, TRACE can accurately determine whether the reasoning process has converged, thereby promptly halting inference and effectively avoiding redundant reasoning steps. Extensive experiments on multiple challenging benchmarks show that TRACE reduces reasoning token usage by 25-30% on average while maintaining accuracy within 1-2% of full-length reasoning, consistently outperforming existing dynamic reasoning methods.

RTL program repair remains a critical bottleneck in hardware design and verification. Traditional automatic program repair (APR) methods rely on predefined templates and synthesis, limiting their bug coverage. Large language models (LLMs) and coding agents based on them offer flexibility but suffer from randomness and context corruption when handling long RTL code and waveforms. We present Clover, a neural-symbolic agentic harness that orchestrates RTL repair as a structured search over code manipulations to explore a validated solution for the bug. Recognizing that different repair operations favor distinct strategies, Clover dynamically dispatches tasks to specialized LLM agents or symbolic solvers. At its core, Clover introduces stochastic tree-of-thoughts, a test-time scaling mechanism that manages the main agent's context as a search tree, balancing exploration and exploitation for reliable outcomes. An RTL-specific toolbox further empowers agents to interact with the debugging environment. Evaluated on the RTL-repair benchmark, Clover fixes 96.8% of bugs within a fixed time limit, covering 94% and 63% more bugs than both pure traditional and LLM-based baselines, respectively, while achieving an average pass@1 rate of 87.5%, demonstrating high reliability and effectiveness.

In this work, we present FRIGID, a framework with a novel diffusion language model that generates molecular structures conditioned on mass spectra via intermediate fingerprint representations and determined chemical formulae, training at the scale of hundreds of millions of unlabeled structures. We then demonstrate how forward fragmentation models enable inference-time scaling by identifying spectrum-inconsistent fragments and refining them through targeted remasking and denoising. While FRIGID already achieves strong performance with its diffusion base, inference-time scaling significantly improves its accuracy, surpassing 18% Top-1 accuracy on the challenging MassSpecGym benchmark and tripling the Top-1 accuracy of the leading methods on NPLIB1. Further empirical analyses show that FRIGID exhibits log-linear performance scaling with increasing inference-time compute, opening a promising new direction for continued improvements in de novo structural elucidation. FRIGID code is publicly available at https://github.com/coleygroup/FRIGID

Verifiers have been demonstrated to enhance LLM reasoning via test-time scaling (TTS). Yet, they face significant challenges in complex domains. Error propagation from incorrect intermediate reasoning can lead to false positives for seemingly plausible solutions, while lacking external grounding makes verifiers unreliable on computation or knowledge-intensive tasks. To address these challenges, we propose Agentic Verifier, a framework that transforms reward modeling into a multi-turn, tool-augmented deliberative process. We introduce complementary forward and backward agents: one traces solutions from premises to conclusions, while the other re-checks conclusions against their underlying premises. This bidirectional process enables a comprehensive, reliable, and interpretable assessment of solutions. To facilitate practical deployment, we propose AgentV-RL. Through proactive exploration and reinforcement learning, the verifier autonomously interleaves tool-use with internal reasoning. Extensive experiments show that Agentic Verifier yields consistent performance gains under both parallel and sequential TTS. Notably, our 4B variant surpasses state-of-the-art ORMs by 25.2%, positioning it as a promising paradigm for agentic reward modeling.

Existing research on large language models (LLMs) for automated code compliance has primarily focused on performance, treating the models as black boxes and overlooking how training decisions affect their interpretive behavior. This paper addresses this gap by employing a perturbation-based attribution analysis to compare the interpretive behaviors of LLMs across different fine-tuning strategies such as full fine-tuning (FFT), low-rank adaptation (LoRA) and quantized LoRA fine-tuning, as well as the impact of model scales which include varying LLM parameter sizes. Our results show that FFT produces attribution patterns that are statistically different and more focused than those from parameter-efficient fine-tuning methods. Furthermore, we found that as model scale increases, LLMs develop specific interpretive strategies such as prioritizing numerical constraints and rule identifiers in the building text, albeit with performance gains in semantic similarity of the generated and reference computer-processable rules plateauing for models larger than 7B. This paper provides crucial insights into the explainability of these models, taking a step toward building more transparent LLMs for critical, regulation-based tasks in the Architecture, Engineering, and Construction industry.

Test-time scaling (TTS) improves large language models (LLMs) by allocating additional compute at inference time. In practice, TTS is often achieved through parallel scaling: generating multiple candidate responses and selecting the best via a Best-of-N (BoN) strategy. Its effectiveness therefore hinges on the scoring function. Learned scorers such as process reward models (PRMs) can be strong, but they are expensive to train and run. Lightweight confidence heuristics based on token log-probabilities are much cheaper, yet we find that they often perform substantially worse. To improve on lightweight confidence heuristics without incurring the full cost of stronger learned scorers, we introduce SCATR, a simple and efficient BoN ranking method that learns a lightweight scorer from a small calibration set using hidden representations from the base model. Across coding and mathematical reasoning benchmarks, SCATR improves over prior confidence-based baselines by up to 9%. Relative to LoRA fine-tuning on the same calibration data, it achieves comparable accuracy with up to 8000x fewer trainable parameters and much lower compute, reducing training and inference latency by up to 150x and 1000x, respectively. SCATR is also competitive with strong PRM baselines, and in several settings improves accuracy by up to 7.8% on math and 4.2% on coding while enabling up to 1000x faster inference. Overall, SCATR offers a strong accuracy-efficiency trade-off for scalable test-time selection.

Test-time scaling has become a powerful way to improve large language models. However, existing methods are best suited to short, bounded outputs that can be directly compared, ranked or refined. Long-horizon coding agents violate this premise: each attempt produces an extended trajectory of actions, observations, errors, and partial progress taken by the agent. In this setting, the main challenge is no longer generating more attempts, but representing prior experience in a form that can be effectively selected from and reused. We propose a test-time scaling framework for agentic coding based on compact representations of rollout trajectories. Our framework converts each rollout into a structured summary that preserves its salient hypotheses, progress, and failure modes while discarding low-signal trace details. This representation enables two complementary forms of inference-time scaling. For parallel scaling, we introduce Recursive Tournament Voting (RTV), which recursively narrows a population of rollout summaries through small-group comparisons. For sequential scaling, we adapt Parallel-Distill-Refine (PDR) to the agentic setting by conditioning new rollouts on summaries distilled from prior attempts. Our method consistently improves the performance of frontier coding agents across SWE-Bench Verified and Terminal-Bench v2.0. For example, by using our method Claude-4.5-Opus improves from 70.9% to 77.6% on SWE-Bench Verified (mini-SWE-agent) and 46.9% to 59.1% on Terminal-Bench v2.0 (Terminus 1). Our results suggest that test-time scaling for long-horizon agents is fundamentally a problem of representation, selection, and reuse.

Looped transformers promise test-time compute scaling by spending more iterations on harder problems, but it remains unclear which architectural choices let them extrapolate to harder problems at test time rather than memorize training-specific solutions. We introduce a fixed-point based framework for analyzing looped architectures along three axes of stability -- reachability, input-dependence, and geometry -- and use it to characterize when fixed-point iteration yields meaningful predictions. Theoretically, we prove that looped networks without recall have countable fixed points and cannot achieve strong input-dependence at any spectral regime, while recall combined with outer normalization reliably produces a regime in which fixed points are simultaneously reachable, locally smooth in the input, and supported by stable backpropagation. Empirically, we train single-layer looped transformers on chess, sudoku, and prefix-sums and find that downstream performance tracks the framework's predictions across tasks and architectural configurations. We additionally introduce internal recall, a novel recall placement variant, and show that it becomes competitive with -- and on sudoku, substantially better than -- standard recall placement once outer normalization is applied.

Test-time compute scaling, the practice of spending extra computation during inference via repeated sampling, search, or extended reasoning, has become a powerful lever for improving large language model performance. Yet deploying these techniques under finite inference budgets requires a decision that current systems largely ignore: which inputs deserve more compute, and which can be answered cheaply? We formalize this as a constrained optimization problem (maximize expected accuracy subject to an average compute budget) and solve it with a two-stage Solve-then-Learn pipeline. In the solve stage, Lagrangian relaxation decomposes the global constraint into per-instance sub-problems, each admitting a closed-form oracle action that optimally prices accuracy against cost. We prove that the induced cost is monotone in the dual variable, enabling exact budget targeting via binary search. In the learn stage, a lightweight classifier is trained to predict oracle actions from cheap input features, amortizing the allocation rule for real-time deployment. We establish that the task-level regret of the learned policy is bounded by its imitation error times the worst-case per-instance gap, yielding a clean reduction from constrained inference to supervised classification. Experiments on MATH and GSM8K with three LLMs (DeepSeek-V3, GPT-4o-mini, Qwen2.5-7B) show that our method consistently outperforms uniform and heuristic allocation baselines, achieving up to 12.8% relative accuracy improvement on MATH under matched budget constraints, while closely tracking the Lagrangian oracle upper bound with over 91% imitation accuracy.

Accurate inter-vehicle distance estimation is a cornerstone of Advanced Driver Assistance Systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving. While LiDAR and radar provide high precision, their high cost prohibits widespread adoption in mass-market vehicles. Monocular camera-based estimation offers a low-cost alternative but suffers from fundamental scale ambiguity. Recent deep learning methods for monocular depth achieve impressive results yet require expensive supervised training, suffer from domain shift, and produce predictions that are difficult to certify for safety-critical deployment. This paper presents a framework that exploits the standardized typography of United States license plates as passive fiducial markers for metric ranging, resolving scale ambiguity through explicit geometric priors without any training data or active illumination. First, a four-method parallel plate detector achieves robust plate reading across the full automotive lighting range. Second, a three-stage state identification engine fusing optical character recognition text matching, multi-design color scoring, and a lightweight neural network classifier provides robust identification across all ambient conditions. Third, hybrid depth fusion with inverse-variance weighting and online scale alignment, combined with a one-dimensional constant-velocity Kalman filter, delivers smoothed distance, relative velocity, and time-to-collision for collision warning. Baseline validation on a controlled static dataset reproduces a 2.3% coefficient of variation in character height measurements and a 36% reduction in distance-estimate variance compared with plate-width methods from prior work.

We localize the policy routing mechanism in alignment-trained language models. An intermediate-layer attention gate reads detected content and triggers deeper amplifier heads that boost the signal toward refusal. In smaller models the gate and amplifier are single heads; at larger scale they become bands of heads across adjacent layers. The gate contributes under 1% of output DLA, yet interchange testing (p < 0.001) and knockout cascade confirm it is causally necessary. Interchange screening at n >= 120 detects the same motif in twelve models from six labs (2B to 72B), though specific heads differ by lab. Per-head ablation weakens up to 58x at 72B and misses gates that interchange identifies; at scale, interchange is the only reliable audit. Modulating the detection-layer signal continuously controls policy from hard refusal through evasion to factual answering. On safety prompts the same intervention turns refusal into harmful guidance, showing that the safety-trained capability is gated by routing, not removed. Thresholds vary by topic and by input language, and the circuit relocates across generations within a family even while behavioral benchmarks register no change. Routing is early-commitment: the gate fires at its own layer before deeper layers finish processing the input. An in-context substitution cipher collapses gate interchange necessity by 70 to 99% across three models, and the model switches to puzzle-solving rather than refusal. Injecting the plaintext gate activation into the cipher forward pass restores 48% of refusals in Phi-4-mini, localizing the bypass to the routing interface. A second method, cipher contrast analysis, uses plain/cipher DLA differences to map the full cipher-sensitive routing circuit in O(3n) forward passes. Any encoding that defeats detection-layer pattern matching bypasses the policy regardless of whether deeper layers reconstruct the content.

Recent Artificial Intelligence (AI) models have matched or exceeded human experts in several benchmarks of biomedical task performance, but surgical benchmarks in particular are often missing from prominent medical benchmark suites. Since surgery requires integrating disparate tasks, generally-capable AI models could be particularly attractive as a collaborative tool if performance could be improved. On the one hand, the canonical approach of scaling architecture size and training data is attractive, especially since there are millions of hours of surgical video data generated per year. On the other hand, preparing surgical data for AI training requires significantly higher levels of professional expertise, and training on that data requires expensive computational resources. These trade-offs paint an uncertain picture of whether and to-what-extent modern AI could aid surgical practice. In this paper, we explore this question through a case study of surgical tool detection using state-of-the-art AI methods available in 2026. We demonstrate that even with multi-billion parameter models and extensive training, current Vision Language Models fall short in the seemingly simple task of tool detection in neurosurgery. Additionally, we show scaling experiments indicating that increasing model size and training time only leads to diminishing improvements in relevant performance metrics. Thus, our experiments suggest that current models could still face significant obstacles in surgical use cases. Moreover, some obstacles cannot be simply ``scaled away'' with additional compute and persist across diverse model architectures, raising the question of whether data and label availability are the only limiting factors. We discuss the main contributors to these constraints and advance potential solutions.

Penetration testing, the practice of simulating cyberattacks to identify vulnerabilities, is a complex sequential decision-making task that is inherently partially observable and features large action spaces. Training reinforcement learning (RL) policies for this domain faces a fundamental bottleneck: existing simulators are too slow to train on realistic network scenarios at scale, resulting in policies that fail to generalize. We present NASimJax, a complete JAX-based reimplementation of the Network Attack Simulator (NASim), achieving up to 100x higher environment throughput than the original simulator. By running the entire training pipeline on hardware accelerators, NASimJax enables experimentation on larger networks under fixed compute budgets that were previously infeasible. We formulate automated penetration testing as a Contextual POMDP and introduce a network generation pipeline that produces structurally diverse and guaranteed-solvable scenarios. Together, these provide a principled basis for studying zero-shot policy generalization. We use the framework to investigate action-space scaling and generalization across networks of up to 40 hosts. We find that Prioritized Level Replay better handles dense training distributions than Domain Randomization, particularly at larger scales, and that training on sparser topologies yields an implicit curriculum that improves out-of-distribution generalization, even on topologies denser than those seen during training. To handle linearly growing action spaces, we propose a two-stage action decomposition (2SAS) that substantially outperforms flat action masking at scale. Finally, we identify a failure mode arising from the interaction between Prioritized Level Replay's episode-reset behaviour and 2SAS's credit assignment structure. NASimJax thus provides a fast, flexible, and realistic platform for advancing RL-based penetration testing.

The recent success of inference-time scaling in large language models has inspired similar explorations in video diffusion. In particular, motivated by the existence of "golden noise" that enhances video quality, prior work has attempted to improve inference by optimising or searching for better initial noise. However, these approaches have notable limitations: they either rely on priors imposed at the beginning of noise sampling or on rewards evaluated only on the denoised and decoded videos. This leads to error accumulation, delayed and sparse reward signals, and prohibitive computational cost, which prevents the use of stronger search algorithms. Crucially, stronger search algorithms are precisely what could unlock substantial gains in controllability, sample efficiency and generation quality for video diffusion, provided their computational cost can be reduced. To fill in this gap, we enable efficient inference-time scaling for video diffusion through latent reward guidance, which provides intermediate, informative and efficient feedback along the denoising trajectory. We introduce a latent reward model that scores partially denoised latents at arbitrary timesteps with respect to visual quality, motion quality, and text alignment. Building on this model, we propose LatSearch, a novel inference-time search mechanism that performs Reward-Guided Resampling and Pruning (RGRP). In the resampling stage, candidates are sampled according to reward-normalised probabilities to reduce over-reliance on the reward model. In the pruning stage, applied at the final scheduled step, only the candidate with the highest cumulative reward is retained, improving both quality and efficiency. We evaluate LatSearch on the VBench-2.0 benchmark and demonstrate that it consistently improves video generation across multiple evaluation dimensions compared to the baseline Wan2.1 model.

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used to assist scientists across diverse workflows. A key challenge is generating high-quality figures from textual descriptions, often represented as TikZ programs that can be rendered as scientific images. Prior research has proposed a variety of datasets and modeling approaches for this task. However, existing datasets for Text-to-TikZ are too small and noisy to capture the complexity of TikZ, causing mismatches between text and rendered figures. Moreover, prior approaches rely solely on supervised fine-tuning (SFT), which does not expose the model to the rendered semantics of the figure, often resulting in errors such as looping, irrelevant content, and incorrect spatial relations. To address these issues, we construct DaTikZ-V4, a dataset more than four times larger and substantially higher in quality than DaTikZ-V3, enriched with LLM-generated figure descriptions. Using this dataset, we train TikZilla, a family of small open-source Qwen models (3B and 8B) with a two-stage pipeline of SFT followed by reinforcement learning (RL). For RL, we leverage an image encoder trained via inverse graphics to provide semantically faithful reward signals. Extensive human evaluations with over 1,000 judgments show that TikZilla improves by 1.5-2 points over its base models on a 5-point scale, surpasses GPT-4o by 0.5 points, and matches GPT-5 in the image-based evaluation, while operating at much smaller model sizes.

We study scaling laws of signSGD under a power-law random features (PLRF) model that accounts for both feature and target decay. We analyze the population risk of a linear model trained with one-pass signSGD on Gaussian-sketched features. We express the risk as a function of model size, training steps, learning rate, and the feature and target decay parameters. Comparing against the SGD risk analyzed by Paquette et al. (2024), we identify a drift-normalization effect and a noise-reshaping effect unique to signSGD. We then obtain compute-optimal scaling laws under the optimal choice of learning rate. Our analysis shows that the noise-reshaping effect can make the compute-optimal slope of signSGD steeper than that of SGD in regimes where noise is dominant. Finally, we observe that the widely used warmup-stable-decay (WSD) schedule further reduces the noise term and sharpens the compute-optimal slope, when feature decay is fast but target decay is slow.

Polysomnography (PSG) provides the gold standard for sleep assessment but suffers from substantial heterogeneity across recording devices and cohorts. There have been growing efforts to build general-purpose foundation models (FMs) for sleep physiology, but lack an in-depth understanding of the pre-training process and scaling patterns that lead to more generalizable sleep FMs. To fill this gap, we curate a massive corpus of 166,500 hours of sleep recordings from nine public sources and establish SleepBench, a comprehensive, fully open-source benchmark. Leveraging SleepBench, we systematically evaluate four families of self-supervised pre-training objectives and uncover three critical findings: (1) existing FMs fail to generalize to missing channels at inference; (2) channel-invariant feature learning is essential for pre-training; and (3) scaling sample size, model capacity, and multi-source data mixture consistently improves downstream performance.With an enhanced pre-training and scaling recipe, we introduce OSF, a family of sleep FMs that achieves state-of-the-art performance across nine datasets on diverse sleep and disease prediction tasks. Further analysis of OSF also reveals intriguing properties in sample efficiency, hierarchical aggregation, and cross-dataset scaling.

We present Xray-Visual, a unified vision model architecture for large-scale image and video understanding trained on industry-scale social media data. Our model leverages over 15 billion curated image-text pairs and 10 billion video-hashtag pairs from Facebook and Instagram, employing robust data curation pipelines that incorporate balancing and noise suppression strategies to maximize semantic diversity while minimizing label noise. We introduce a three-stage training pipeline that combines self-supervised MAE, semi-supervised hashtag classification, and CLIP-style contrastive learning to jointly optimize image and video modalities. Our architecture builds on a Vision Transformer backbone enhanced with efficient token reorganization (EViT) for improved computational efficiency. Extensive experiments demonstrate that Xray-Visual achieves state-of-the-art performance across diverse benchmarks, including ImageNet for image classification, Kinetics and HMDB51 for video understanding, and MSCOCO for cross-modal retrieval. The model exhibits strong robustness to domain shift and adversarial perturbations. We further demonstrate that integrating large language models as text encoders (LLM2CLIP) significantly enhances retrieval performance and generalization capabilities, particularly in real-world environments. Xray-Visual establishes new benchmarks for scalable, multimodal vision models, while maintaining superior accuracy and computational efficiency.

Geospatial applications such as urban planning, epidemic forecasting, and transportation demand modeling depend on individual mobility data, but such data are costly to collect, uneven in coverage, and privacy-sensitive. Human mobility simulation offers a scalable alternative. A recent line of work treats large language models (LLMs) as human agents, modeling individual cognitive processes to generate realistic trajectories. Yet because each agent is simulated in isolation, these methods provide no population-level coordination mechanism, and the collective regularities of real mobility - how trip distances, visited locations, and flows distribute across a population - fail to emerge. We close this gap with COMPASS, which turns empirical mobility scaling laws into a feedback signal that guides prompt construction. COMPASS starts from coarse, population-level adjustments driven by these scaling laws and progressively refines them into individual prompts, jointly satisfying multiple aggregate objectives while keeping individual trajectories realistic. Across two public datasets, COMPASS outperforms state-of-the-art LLM-based simulators.

Despite the fact that experimental neural scaling laws have substantially guided empirical progress in large-scale machine learning, no existing theory can quantitatively predict the exponents of these important laws for any modern LLM trained on any natural language dataset. We provide the first such theory in the case of data-limited scaling laws. We isolate two key statistical properties of language that alone can predict neural scaling exponents: (i) the decay of pairwise token correlations with time separation between token pairs, and (ii) the decay of the next-token conditional entropy with the length of the conditioning context. We further derive a simple formula in terms of these statistics that predicts data-limited neural scaling exponents from first principles without any free parameters or synthetic data models. Our theory exhibits a remarkable match with experimentally measured neural scaling laws obtained from training GPT-2 and LLaMA style models from scratch on two qualitatively different benchmarks, TinyStories and WikiText.

We study optimal learning rate (LR) schedules under the functional scaling law (FSL) framework (Li et al., 2025), which decomposes training dynamics into signal learning and noise forgetting. In power-law kernel regression, these two components are governed by a source exponent $s>0$ and a capacity exponent $q>1$, respectively, with smaller $s$ corresponding to harder tasks. For a fixed training horizon $N$, we characterize the schedules that minimize the final-step loss under a stability constraint and reveal a sharp phase transition. In the easy-task regime $s>1-1/q$, the optimal schedule follows power decay from the beginning of training; in the hard-task regime $s<1-1/q$, it becomes warmup-stable-decay (WSD)-like (Hu et al., 2024), staying at the largest admissible LR for most of training before a final decay. In both regimes, the decay exponent is $2q-1$: task difficulty determines when to decay, while model capacity determines how to decay. Beyond the exact optimum, we study fractional schedules, whose shape is defined over relative training progress. We show that precise tuning of the decay shape is often unnecessary: a broad class of profiles attains the optimal convergence rate, while overly slow terminal decay leads to schedule-induced capacity saturation. Finally, for one-pass SGD in kernel regression, FSL-motivated power-decay schedules achieve optimal last-iterate rates. Experiments support the theoretical predictions and the task-dependent transition between early and delayed decay.

Despite recent successes, test-time scaling -- i.e., dynamically expanding the token budget during inference as needed -- remains brittle for vision-language models (VLMs). Unstructured visual reasoning chains entangle perception and reasoning, leading to long, disorganized contexts where small perceptual mistakes may cascade into completely wrong answers. Reasoning also requires expensive reinforcement learning with hand-crafted rewards. Here, we introduce SPARC (Separating Perception And Reasoning Circuits), a modular framework that explicitly decouples visual perception from reasoning. Inspired by sequential sensory-to-cognitive processing in the brain, SPARC implements a two-stage pipeline where the model first performs explicit visual search to localize question-relevant regions, then conditions its reasoning on those regions to produce the final answer. This separation enables independent test-time scaling with asymmetric compute allocation (e.g., prioritizing perceptual processing under distribution shift), and supports selective optimization (e.g., improving the perceptual stage alone when it is the bottleneck for end-to-end performance). It also accommodates compressed contexts by running global search at lower image resolutions and allocating high-resolution processing only to selected regions, thereby reducing visual token count and compute. SPARC outperforms monolithic baselines and strong visual-grounding approaches across challenging visual reasoning tasks, such as improving Qwen3VL 4B on the $V^*$ VQA benchmark by 6.7 points and surpassing "thinking with images" by 4.6 points in an OOD setting with a $200\times$ lower token budget.

We develop a general mathematical framework to analyze scaling regimes and derive explicit analytic solutions for gradient flow (GF) in large learning problems. Our key innovation is a formal power series expansion of the loss evolution, with coefficients encoded by diagrams akin to Feynman diagrams. We show that this expansion has a well-defined large-size limit that can be used to reveal different learning phases and, in some cases, to obtain explicit solutions of the nonlinear GF. We focus on learning Canonical Polyadic (CP) decompositions of high-order tensors, and show that this model has several distinct extreme lazy and rich GF regimes such as free evolution, NTK and under- and over-parameterized mean-field. We show that these regimes depend on the parameter scaling, tensor order, and symmetry of the model in a specific and subtle way. Moreover, we propose a general approach to summing the formal loss expansion by reducing it to a PDE; in a wide range of scenarios, it turns out to be first-order and solvable by the method of characteristics. We observe a very good agreement of our theoretical predictions with experimental results.

Relational Foundation Models (RFMs) facilitate data-driven decision-making by learning from complex multi-table databases. However, the diverse relational databases needed to train such models are rarely public due to privacy constraints. While there are methods to generate synthetic tabular data of arbitrary size, incorporating schema structure and primary-foreign key connectivity for multi-table generation remains challenging. Here we introduce PLUREL, a framework to synthesize multi-tabular relational databases from scratch. In a step-by-step fashion, PLUREL models (1) schemas with directed graphs, (2) inter-table primary-foreign key connectivity with bipartite graphs, and, (3) feature distributions in tables via conditional causal mechanisms. The design space across these stages supports the synthesis of a wide range of diverse databases, while being computationally lightweight. Using PLUREL, we observe for the first time that (1) RFM pretraining loss exhibits power-law scaling with the number of synthetic databases and total pretraining tokens, (2) scaling the number of synthetic databases improves generalization to real databases, and (3) synthetic pretraining yields strong base models for continued pretraining on real databases. Overall, our framework and results position synthetic data scaling as a promising paradigm for RFMs.

A growing number of neural architectures have been proposed to enforce geometric constraints, including projection-based networks, exponential-map updates, constrained output layers, and manifold neural ODEs. We provide a unified framework for these geometry-preserving architectures by organizing them according to where and how constraints are enforced, either throughout the intermediate layers or only at the final output. This perspective reveals several gaps in the existing theory. To address these gaps, we prove high-level approximation theorems for projected neural ODEs, intermediate augmented architectures, and final augmented architectures on prox-regular constraint sets, including smooth manifolds with boundary. Numerical experiments on synthetic dynamics over S^2, the disk, SO(3), together with real-world protein backbone data on SE(3), demonstrate exact feasibility for analytic updates and show that the final augmentation have simpler architecture and outperform in most tasks considered. When the constraint set is unknown, we learn projections via small-time heat-kernel limits, showing diffusion/flow-matching can be used as data-based projections. Moreover, we also the demonstrate the usefulness of the architectures that enforce non-convex constraints for path planning on manifolds with boundary.

Shampoo is one of the leading approximate second-order optimizers: a variant of it has won the MLCommons AlgoPerf competition, and it has been shown to produce models with lower activation outliers that are easier to compress. Yet, applying Shampoo currently comes at the cost of significant computational slowdown, due to its expensive internal operations. In this paper, we take a significant step to address this shortcoming by proposing \method (for \textbf{D}istributed \textbf{A}ccelerated \textbf{SH}ampoo), a faster implementation of Distributed Shampoo based on two main new techniques: First, we show that preconditioner blocks can be stacked into 3D tensors to significantly improve GPU utilization; second, we introduce the Newton-DB iteration and the Chebyshev polynomial approximations as novel and faster approaches for computing the inverse matrix roots required by Shampoo. Along with these algorithmic contributions, we provide a first in-depth analysis of how matrix scaling critically affects Shampoo convergence. On the practical side, our GPU-aware implementation achieves up to $5.6\times$ faster optimizer steps compared to the well-optimized Distributed Shampoo, while Newton-DB attains the lowest validation perplexity per iteration among all tested methods. Our code is available at https://github.com/IST-DASLab/DASH.

Test-time compute scaling allocates inference computation uniformly, uses fixed sampling strategies, and applies verification only for reranking. In contrast, we propose a verifier-guided adaptive framework treating reasoning as iterative trajectory generation and selection. For each problem, the agent runs multiple inference iterations. In each iteration, it optionally produces a high-level plan, selects a set of reasoning tools and a compute strategy together with an exploration parameter, and then generates a candidate reasoning trajectory. A process reward model (PRM) serves as a unified control signal: within each iteration, step-level PRM scores are aggregated to guide pruning and expansion during generation, and across iterations, aggregated trajectory rewards are used to select the final response. Across datasets, our dynamic, PRM-guided approach consistently outperforms direct test-time scaling, yielding large gains on MATH-500 and several-fold improvements on harder benchmarks such as AIME24 and AMO-Bench. We characterize efficiency using theoretical FLOPs and a compute intensity metric penalizing wasted generation and tool overhead, demonstrating that verification-guided allocation concentrates computation on high-utility reasoning paths.

Maximum likelihood estimators (MLE) and control variate estimators (CVE) have been used in conjunction with known information across sketching algorithms and applications in machine learning. We prove that under certain conditions in an exponential family, an optimal CVE will achieve the same asymptotic variance as the MLE, giving a fixed point algorithm for the MLE. Experiments show the fixed point algorithm is faster and numerically stable compared to other root finding algorithms for the MLE for the bivariate Normal distribution, and we expect this to hold across distributions satisfying these conditions. We show how this algorithm leads to reproducibility for algorithms using MLE / CVE, and demonstrate how the algorithm leads to finding the MLE when the CV weights are known.

Scaling has powered recent advances in vision foundation models, yet extending this paradigm to metric depth estimation remains challenging due to heterogeneous sensor noise, camera-dependent biases, and metric ambiguity in noisy cross-source 3D data. We introduce Metric Anything, a simple and scalable pretraining framework that learns metric depth from noisy, diverse 3D sources without manually engineered prompts, camera-specific modeling, or task-specific architectures. Central to our approach is the Sparse Metric Prompt, created by randomly masking depth maps, which serves as a universal interface that decouples spatial reasoning from sensor and camera biases. Using about 20M image-depth pairs spanning reconstructed, captured, and rendered 3D data across 10000 camera models, we demonstrate-for the first time-a clear scaling trend in the metric depth track. The pretrained model excels at prompt-driven tasks such as depth completion, super-resolution and Radar-camera fusion, while its distilled prompt-free student achieves state-of-the-art results on monocular depth estimation, camera intrinsics recovery, single/multi-view metric 3D reconstruction, and VLA planning. We also show that using pretrained ViT of Metric Anything as a visual encoder significantly boosts Multimodal Large Language Model capabilities in spatial intelligence. These results show that metric depth estimation can benefit from the same scaling laws that drive modern foundation models, establishing a new path toward scalable and efficient real-world metric perception. We open-source MetricAnything at http://metric-anything.github.io/metric-anything-io/ to support community research.

The performance of large language models (LLMs) on verifiable tasks is usually measured by pass@k, the probability of answering a question correctly at least once in k trials. At a fixed budget, a more suitable metric is coverage@cost, the average number of unique questions answered as a function of the total number of attempts. We connect the two metrics and show that the empirically-observed power-law behavior in pass@k leads to a sublinear growth of the coverage@cost (diminishing returns). To solve this problem, we propose Reset-and-Discard (ReD), a query method of LLMs that increases coverage@cost for a given budget, regardless of the pass@k form. Moreover, given a pass@k, we can quantitatively predict the savings in the total number of attempts using ReD. If pass@k is not available for the model, ReD can infer its power-law exponent. Experiments on three LLMs across coding (HumanEval), math (GSM8K), and reasoning (MMLU-Pro) benchmarks demonstrate that ReD substantially reduces the required attempts, tokens, and USD cost to reach a desired coverage, while also offering an efficient way to measure inference power-laws. ReD's advantage is maintained for imperfect verifiers and outperforms the tested allocation baselines.

While Large Vision-Language Models (LVLMs) have significantly advanced GUI agents' capabilities in parsing textual instructions, interpreting screen content, and executing tasks, a critical challenge persists: the irreversibility of agent operations-where a single erroneous action can trigger catastrophic deviations. To address this, we propose the \textbf{G}UI \textbf{A}ction Cr\textbf{i}tic's Dat\textbf{a} Flywheel System (GAIA), a training framework that enables the models to have iterative critic capabilities, which are used to improve the Test-Time Scaling (TTS) of basic GUI agents' performance. Specifically, we train an \textbf{Intuitive Critic Model} (ICM) using positive and negative action examples from a base agent first. This critic evaluates the immediate correctness of the agent's intended actions, thereby selecting operations with higher success probability. Then, the initial critic guides agent actions to collect refined positive/negative samples, initiating the self-improving cycle. The augmented data then trains a second-round critic with enhanced discernment capability. We conduct experiments on various datasets and demonstrate that the proposed ICM can improve the test-time performance of various closed-source and open-source models, and the performance can be gradually improved as the data is recycled. The code, dataset, and accompanying datasheet will be publicly released at https://github.com/SeerRay-Lab/GAIA.

Large language models (LLMs) exhibit complementary strengths arising from differences in pretraining data, model architectures, and decoding behaviors. Inference-time ensembling provides a practical way to combine these capabilities without retraining. However, existing ensemble approaches suffer from fundamental limitations. Most rely on fixed fusion granularity, which lacks the flexibility required for mid-generation adaptation and fails to adapt to different generation characteristics across tasks. To address these challenges, we propose AdaFuse, an adaptive ensemble decoding framework that dynamically selects semantically appropriate fusion units during generation. Rather than committing to a fixed granularity, AdaFuse adjusts fusion behavior on the fly based on the decoding context, with words serving as basic building blocks for alignment. To be specific, we introduce an uncertainty-based criterion to decide whether to apply ensembling at each decoding step. Under confident decoding states, the model continues generation directly. In less certain states, AdaFuse invokes a diversity-aware scaling strategy to explore alternative candidate continuations and inform ensemble decisions. This design establishes a synergistic interaction between adaptive ensembling and test-time scaling, where ensemble decisions guide targeted exploration, and the resulting diversity in turn strengthens ensemble quality. Experiments on open-domain question answering, arithmetic reasoning, and machine translation demonstrate that AdaFuse consistently outperforms strong ensemble baselines, achieving an average relative improvement of 6.88%. The code is available at https://github.com/CCM0111/AdaFuse.

In diffusion and flow-matching generative models, guidance techniques are widely used to improve sample quality and consistency. Classifier-free guidance (CFG) is the de facto choice in modern systems and achieves this by contrasting conditional and unconditional samples. Recent work explores contrasting negative samples at inference using a weaker model, via strong/weak model pairs, attention-based masking, stochastic block dropping, or perturbations to the self-attention energy landscape. While these strategies refine the generation quality, they still lack a reliable control over the granularity or difficulty of the negative samples, and target-layer selection is often fixed. We propose Exponential Moving Average Guidance (EMAG), a training-free mechanism that modifies attention at inference time in diffusion transformers, with a statistics-based, adaptive layer-selection rule. Unlike prior methods, EMAG produces harder, semantically faithful negatives (fine-grained degradations), surfacing difficult failure modes, enabling the denoiser to refine subtle artifacts, boosting the quality and human preference score (HPS) by +0.54 over CFG. We further demonstrate that EMAG naturally composes with advanced orthogonal guidance techniques, such as APG and CADS, further improving HPS.

We inspect the deductive connection between the neural scaling law and Zipf's law -- two statements discussed in machine learning and quantitative linguistics. The neural scaling law describes how the cross entropy rate of a foundation model -- such as a large language model -- changes with respect to the amount of training tokens, parameters, and compute. By contrast, Zipf's law posits that the distribution of tokens exhibits a power law tail. Whereas similar claims have been made in more specific settings, we show that the neural scaling law is a consequence of Zipf's law under certain broad assumptions that we reveal systematically. The derivation steps are as follows: We derive Heaps' law on the vocabulary growth from Zipf's law, Hilberg's hypothesis on the entropy scaling from Heaps' law, and the neural scaling from Hilberg's hypothesis. We illustrate these inference steps by a toy example of the Santa Fe process that satisfies all four statistical laws.

Training process reward models (PRMs) requires step-level correctness labels, obtained either through expensive human annotation or by relying on ground-truth answers, limiting the ability to scale process-level supervision. We propose ScalePRM, which scales verification compute as an alternative: given a problem and a candidate solution, we generate multiple independent verifications of each reasoning step and aggregate their judgments to produce synthetic step-level labels without ground truth. We explore two representative inference-time scaling strategies, parallel scaling through self-consistency and sequential scaling through meta-critique, and train generative PRMs on the resulting synthetic data. On ProcessBench, a benchmark for identifying erroneous steps in mathematical reasoning, PRMs trained on step-level self-consistency data achieve 67.5 F1, surpassing reference-guided training with ground-truth access (66.4 F1) and GPT-4o as a critic (61.9 F1). When deployed as reward signals in RL training with Qwen2.5-Math-7B, our best PRM achieves 47.4% average accuracy across six mathematical reasoning benchmarks, outperforming ground-truth-based RLVR (43.9%). We also identify and address reward exploitation patterns unique to generative PRM-based RL. Our results demonstrate that scaling verification compute is a viable alternative to ground-truth supervision for training process reward models.

Modern LLMs are trained to "think" primarily via explicit text generation, such as chain-of-thought (CoT), which defers reasoning to post-training and under-leverages pre-training data. We present and open-source Ouro, named after the recursive Ouroboros, a family of pre-trained Looped Language Models (LoopLM) that instead build reasoning into the pre-training phase through (i) iterative computation in latent space, (ii) an entropy-regularized objective for learned depth allocation, and (iii) scaling to 7.7T tokens. Ouro 1.4B and 2.6B models enjoy superior performance that match the results of up to 12B SOTA LLMs across a wide range of benchmarks. Through controlled experiments, we show this advantage stems not from increased knowledge capacity, but from superior knowledge manipulation capabilities. We also show that LoopLM yields reasoning traces more aligned with final outputs than explicit CoT. We hope our results show the potential of LoopLM as a novel scaling direction in the reasoning era. Our model is available here: http://ouro-llm.github.io.

The reliability of large language models (LLMs) during test-time scaling is often assessed with \emph{external verifiers} or \emph{reward models} that distinguish correct reasoning from flawed logic. Prior work has studied both outcome reward models (ORMs), which assess only the final answer, and process reward models (PRMs), which score intermediate reasoning steps. Although PRMs are often viewed as advantageous due to their finer-grained supervision, much of the supporting evidence comes from math-adjacent settings, and their relative benefits across broader domains remain unclear. We present the first unified evaluation of four reward model variants, discriminative ORM and PRM (dORM, dPRM) and generative ORM and PRM (gORM, gPRM), across 14 diverse domains. Contrary to conventional wisdom, we find that (i) dORM performs on par with dPRM, (ii) gPRM is not competitive, and (iii) overall, gORM is the most robust, yielding significant and consistent gains across every tested domain. We attribute the worse performance of gPRM to the stepwise scoring process, which inherits label noise from LLM-based automatic labeling, leading to difficulties in evaluating long reasoning trajectories, including those involving self-correcting reasoning. Both our theoretical analysis and empirical observations indicate that stepwise aggregation compounds errors as reasoning length increases. These findings challenge the common assumption that fine-grained supervision is always better and support generative outcome verification for multi-domain deployment. Our \href{https://github.com/db-Lee/Multi-RM}{\underline{code}} is publicly available to facilitate future research in multi-domain settings.

Test-time strategies have shown remarkable success in improving large language models, but their application to next-token prediction (NTP) autoregressive (AR) image generation remains largely underexplored. Existing test-time scaling (TTS) methods for visual autoregressive models (VAR) rely on frequent partial decoding and external reward models, which are inefficient and often ineffective for NTP-based image generation due to the inherent instability of intermediate decoding results. To address these limitations, we propose ScalingAR, a novel test-time scaling framework tailored for NTP-based AR image generation. ScalingAR introduces token entropy as a confidence signal and operates at two complementary levels: (i) Profile Level, integrates intrinsic uncertainty and conditional utilization into a unified confidence state, and (ii) Policy Level, leverages this state for adaptive trajectory pruning and dynamic guidance scheduling. Without requiring early decoding or auxiliary rewards, ScalingAR achieves significant improvements across diverse benchmarks. Experiments show that ScalingAR (I) improves base models by $12.5\%$ on GenEval and $15.2\%$ on TIIF-Bench, (II) reduces visual token consumption by $62.0\%$ while outperforming baselines, and (III) enhances robustness, mitigating performance degradation by $26.0\%$ in challenging scenarios. These results establish ScalingAR as a robust and efficient test-time scaling solution for autoregressive image generation.

Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are the leading cause of death worldwide, accounting for approximately 17.9 million deaths each year. Early detection is critical, creating a demand for accurate and inexpensive pre-screening methods. Deep learning has recently been applied to classify abnormal heart sounds indicative of CVDs using synchronised phonocardiogram (PCG) and electrocardiogram (ECG) signals, as well as multichannel PCG (mPCG). However, state-of-the-art architectures remain underutilised due to the limited availability of synchronised and multichannel datasets. Augmented datasets and pre-trained models provide a pathway to overcome these limitations, enabling transformer-based architectures to be trained effectively. This work combines traditional signal processing with denoising diffusion models, WaveGrad and DiffWave, to create an augmented dataset to fine-tune a Wav2Vec 2.0-based classifier on multimodal and multichannel heart sound datasets. The approach achieves state-of-the-art performance. On the Computing in Cardiology (CinC) 2016 dataset of single channel PCG, accuracy, unweighted average recall (UAR), sensitivity, specificity and Matthew's correlation coefficient (MCC) reach 92.48%, 93.05%, 93.63%, 92.48%, 94.93% and 0.8283, respectively. Using the synchronised PCG and ECG signals of the training-a dataset from CinC, 93.14%, 92.21%, 94.35%, 90.10%, 95.12% and 0.8380 are achieved for accuracy, UAR, sensitivity, specificity and MCC, respectively. Using a wearable vest dataset consisting of mPCG data, the model achieves 77.13% accuracy, 74.25% UAR, 86.47% sensitivity, 62.04% specificity, and 0.5082 MCC. These results demonstrate the effectiveness of transformer-based models for CVD detection when supported by augmented datasets, highlighting their potential to advance multimodal and multichannel heart sound classification.

Large language models (LLMs) demonstrate remarkable reasoning capabilities in tasks such as algorithmic coding and mathematical problem-solving. Recent methods have improved reasoning through expanded corpus and multistage training combining reinforcement learning and supervised fine-tuning. Although some methods suggest that small but targeted dataset can incentivize reasoning via only distillation, a reasoning scaling laws is still taking shape, increasing computational costs. To address this, we propose a data-efficient distillation framework (DED) that optimizes the Pareto frontier of reasoning distillation. Inspired by the on-policy learning and diverse roll-out strategies of reinforcement learning, the key idea of our approach is threefold: (1) We identify that benchmark scores alone do not determine an effective teacher model. Through comprehensive comparisons of leading reasoning LLMs, we develop a method to select an optimal teacher model. (2) While scaling distillation can enhance reasoning, it often degrades out-of-domain performance. A carefully curated, smaller corpus achieves a balanced trade-off between in-domain and out-of-domain capabilities. (3) Diverse reasoning trajectories encourage the student model to develop robust reasoning skills. We validate our method through evaluations on mathematical reasoning (AIME 2024/2025, MATH-500) and code generation (LiveCodeBench), achieving state-of-the-art results with only 0.8k carefully curated examples, bypassing the need for extensive scaling. Our systematic analysis demonstrates that DED outperforms existing methods by considering factors beyond superficial hardness, token length, or teacher model capability. This work offers a practical and efficient pathway to advanced reasoning while preserving general capabilities.

Tensorizing a neural network involves reshaping some or all of its dense weight matrices into higher-order tensors and approximating them using low-rank tensor network decompositions. This technique has shown promise as a model compression strategy for large-scale neural networks. However, despite encouraging empirical results, tensorized neural networks (TNNs) remain underutilized in mainstream deep learning. In this position paper, we offer a perspective on both the potential and current limitations of TNNs. We argue that TNNs represent a powerful yet underexplored framework for deep learning--one that deserves greater attention from both engineering and theoretical communities. Beyond compression, we highlight the value of TNNs as a flexible class of architectures with distinctive scaling properties and increased interpretability. A central feature of TNNs is the presence of bond indices, which introduce new latent spaces not found in conventional networks. These internal representations may provide deeper insight into the evolution of features across layers, potentially advancing the goals of mechanistic interpretability. We conclude by outlining several key research directions aimed at overcoming the practical barriers to scaling and adopting TNNs in modern deep learning workflows.

Scientific discovery is driven by scientists generating novel hypotheses for complex problems that undergo rigorous experimental validation. To augment this process, we introduce Co-Scientist, a multi-agent AI system built on Gemini for structured scientific thinking and hypothesis generation. Co-Scientist aims to help scientists discover new original knowledge. Conditioned on their research objectives and prior scientific evidence, it formulates demonstrably novel research hypotheses for experimental verification. The system's design involves agents continuously generating, critiquing and refining hypotheses accelerated by scaling test-time compute. Key contributions include: (1) a multi-agent architecture with an asynchronous task execution framework for flexible compute scaling; (2) a tournament evolution process for self-improving hypotheses generation. Automated evaluations show continued benefits of test-time compute scaling, improving hypothesis quality over time. While general purpose, we focus the validation in three biomedical applications: drug repurposing, novel target discovery, and explaining mechanisms of anti-microbial resistance. Specifically, Co-Scientist helped identify new drug repurposing candidates and synergistic combination therapies for acute myeloid leukemia, which were validated through in vitro experiments. These real-world validations demonstrate the potential of Co-Scientist to accelerate scientific discovery and usher in an era of AI empowered scientists.

We study the fundamental problem of calibrating a linear binary classifier of the form $σ(\hat{w}^\top x)$, where the feature vector $x$ is Gaussian, $σ$ is a link function, and $\hat{w}$ is an estimator of the true linear weight $w^\star$. By interpolating with a noninformative $\textit{chance classifier}$, we construct a well-calibrated predictor whose interpolation weight depends on the angle $\angle(\hat{w}, w_\star)$ between the estimator $\hat{w}$ and the true linear weight $w_\star$. We establish that this angular calibration approach is provably well-calibrated in a high-dimensional regime where the number of samples and features both diverge, at a comparable rate. The angle $\angle(\hat{w}, w_\star)$ can be consistently estimated. Furthermore, the resulting predictor is uniquely $\textit{Bregman-optimal}$, minimizing the Bregman divergence to the true label distribution within a suitable class of calibrated predictors. Our work is the first to provide a calibration strategy that satisfies both calibration and optimality properties provably in high dimensions. Additionally, we identify conditions under which a classical Platt-scaling predictor converges to our Bregman-optimal calibrated solution. Thus, Platt-scaling also inherits these desirable properties provably in high dimensions.

In the span of four decades, quantum computation has evolved from an intellectual curiosity to a potentially realizable technology. Today, small-scale demonstrations have become possible for quantum algorithmic primitives on hundreds of physical qubits. Nevertheless, there are significant outstanding challenges in quantum hardware, fabrication, software architecture, and algorithms on the path towards a full-stack scalable quantum computing technology. Here, we provide a comprehensive review of these scaling challenges. We show how to facilitate scaling by adopting existing semiconductor technology to build much higher-quality qubits, employing systems engineering approaches, and performing distributed heterogeneous quantum-classical computing. We provide a detailed resource and sensitivity analysis for quantum applications on surface-code error-corrected quantum computers given current, target, and desired hardware specifications based on superconducting qubits, accounting for a realistic distribution of errors. We provide comprehensive resource estimates for several utility-scale applications including quantum chemistry calculations, catalyst design, NMR spectroscopy, and Fermi-Hubbard simulation. We show that orders of magnitude enhancement in performance could be obtained by a combination of hardware improvements and tight quantum-HPC integration. Furthermore, we introduce high-performance architectures for quantum-probabilistic computing with custom-designed accelerators to tackle today's industry-scale classical optimization, machine learning, and quantum simulation tasks in a cost-effective manner.

Data scaling has revolutionized fields like natural language processing and computer vision, providing models with remarkable generalization capabilities. In this paper, we investigate whether similar data scaling laws exist in robotics, particularly in robotic manipulation, and whether appropriate data scaling can yield single-task robot policies that can be deployed zero-shot for any object within the same category in any environment. To this end, we conduct a comprehensive empirical study on data scaling in imitation learning. By collecting data across numerous environments and objects, we study how a policy's generalization performance changes with the number of training environments, objects, and demonstrations. Throughout our research, we collect over 40,000 demonstrations and execute more than 15,000 real-world robot rollouts under a rigorous evaluation protocol. Our findings reveal several intriguing results: the generalization performance of the policy follows a roughly power-law relationship with the number of environments and objects. The diversity of environments and objects is far more important than the absolute number of demonstrations; once the number of demonstrations per environment or object reaches a certain threshold, additional demonstrations have minimal effect. Based on these insights, we propose an efficient data collection strategy. With four data collectors working for one afternoon, we collect sufficient data to enable the policies for two tasks to achieve approximately 90% success rates in novel environments with unseen objects.

Scaling factors in residual branches have emerged as a prevalent method for boosting neural network performance, especially in normalization-free architectures. While prior work has primarily examined scaling effects from an optimization perspective, this paper investigates their role in residual architectures through the lens of generalization theory. Specifically, we establish that wide residual networks (ResNets) with constant scaling factors become asymptotically unlearnable as depth increases. In contrast, when the scaling factor exhibits rapid depth-wise decay combined with early stopping, over-parameterized ResNets achieve minimax-optimal generalization rates. To establish this, we demonstrate that the generalization capability of wide ResNets can be approximated by kernel regression associated with the Neural Tangent Kernel (NTK). Our theoretical findings are validated through experiments on synthetic data and real-world classification tasks, including MNIST and CIFAR-100.

The motions of mechanisms can be described in terms of screw coordinates by means of an exponential mapping. The product of exponentials (POE) describes the configuration of a chain of bodies connected by lower pair joints. The kinematics is thus given in terms of joint screws. The POE serves to express loop constraints for mechanisms as well as the forward kinematics of serial manipulators. Besides the compact formulations, the POE gives rise to purely algebraic relations for derivatives wrt. joint variables. It is known that the partial derivatives of the instantaneous joint screws (columns of the geometric Jacobian) are determined by Lie brackets the joint screws. Lesser-known is that derivative of arbitrary order can be compactly expressed by Lie brackets. This has significance for higher-order forward/inverse kinematics and dynamics of robots and multibody systems. Various relations were reported but are scattered in the literature and insufficiently recognized. This paper aims to provide a comprehensive overview of the relevant relations. Its original contributions are closed form and recursive relations for higher-order derivatives and Taylor expansions of various kinematic relations. Their application to kinematic control and dynamics of robotic manipulators and multibody systems is discussed.

Several explicit stochastic processes are known to satisfy Hilberg's law, a power-law growth of block entropy conjectured for natural language and recently connected to the neural scaling law. Existing examples either possess a positive Shannon entropy rate, are non-ergodic, or require comparatively involved constructions. We introduce multiperiodic processes, a new class of stationary ergodic processes over the natural numbers generated by random shifts of deterministic multiperiodic sequences. Under mild conditions, multiperiodic processes have vanishing Shannon entropy rate and, under a suitable parameterization, they satisfy both Zipf's law for symbol frequencies and Hilberg's law for block entropy. Since multiperiodic processes are not mixing, we identify the open problem of constructing an elementary strongly mixing source with vanishing entropy rate and Hilberg's law.

Despite their widespread use, the principles governing the organisation of syntactic dependency trees remain poorly understood. I analyse dependency trees from 124 typologically, genetically, and geographically diverse languages. Their topology departs systematically from randomness. Relative to uniformly sampled random trees, dependency trees exhibit greater structural robustness and lower branching heterogeneity. I propose that these universal regularities emerge naturally from incremental grammatical encoding. I model this process using sublinear preferential attachment. The model accurately reproduces the observed topology. More generally, the results demonstrate how a universal statistical property of syntax can emerge from a simple, cognitively motivated generative process. They further illustrate a broader principle of efficiency by construction: communicatively efficient syntactic structures can emerge without direct optimisation for communication.

Looped Transformers increase effective depth by iterating a shared block of layers, but most evaluations compare at fixed model size, conflating architectural advantage with extra FLOPs. We study looping on Mixture-of-Experts Transformers while closely matching per-token FLOPs, total non-embedding parameters, and KV cache. Through a series of ablations, we arrive at a recipe we call SMELT (Sparse MoE Transformer, middle layers Loop Twice), which loops the middle half of layers twice while matching the unlooped Baseline on all three budgets. We scale SMELT across four sizes up to 54B non-embedding parameters and fit a separate Chinchilla-style scaling law for each architecture. SMELT's loss drops faster with compute, saving 6.8--18.0% of training FLOPs on the compute-optimal frontier. The advantage transfers to downstream benchmarks beyond what validation loss predicts, is largest on Code, and grows with sample length and the number of in-context examples. Mechanistic analysis shows that the second visit reduces the attention sink and redirects mass toward content-relevant tokens, an inductive bias that may underlie the observed performance gains. These results show that looping can improve Transformers even under budget matching, offering a practical recipe that turns depth reuse into measurable gains.

Metric questions about video require vision-language models to use supplied real-world references to convert visual measurements into physical units. Yet we find that current models use this scale information only partially. When every world-space quantity in a prompt is rescaled by a common factor, the video remains equally valid and the correct answer changes by exactly that factor, but model predictions move only part of the way and accuracy remains concentrated near the familiar scale of the depicted objects. Across eight vision-language models, this under-response persists over four orders of magnitude. The same models recover the correct closed-form scaling laws when the identical physics is asked in a scale-free form, indicating that the main deficit lies in metric grounding rather than physical mechanism knowledge. We use this exact scaling relation as supervision without requiring metric annotations. Under a common rescaling of the supplied world-space quantities, the correct metric answer must change by the same factor. EquiSD exploits this constraint by projecting a model's own prediction onto the scale-equivariant family and fine-tuning the model on the resulting targets. It requires no ground-truth answers and only one model query per training video. On held-out simulated videos, EquiSD increases a 3B model's median response slope from 0.66 to 0.94 and improves mean relative accuracy by 9.2 points across scales. The learned relation generalizes to unseen world scales and transfers without adaptation to real QuantiPhy videos, where accuracy increases by 6.4 points. These results show that an exact physical symmetry can provide label-free supervision for improving metric grounding in vision-language models.