Spatiotemporal

Micro-gesture online recognition aims to temporally localize and classify subtle gestures in untrimmed videos. Owing to their extremely short duration, low motion amplitude, and ambiguous visual cues, capturing discriminative spatiotemporal representations remains highly challenging. Existing parameter-efficient adapters typically employ a single branch to model spatial and temporal cues jointly, which may fail to capture the fine-grained patterns of micro-gestures. To address this limitation, we propose a Spatial-Temporal Decoupled Adapter that decomposes video adaptation into independent temporal and spatial branches via lightweight depthwise convolutions. In addition, to address the long-tail distribution problem in the benchmark dataset, we introduce Adaptive Soft Balanced Augmentation, which dynamically allocates augmentation intensity based on class rarity and learning difficulty, without manual thresholds. Our method achieves an F1 score of 0.43808, ranking 1st in Track 2 of the 4th EI-MiGA-IJCAI Challenge.

Accurate monitoring of forest disturbances is essential for understanding carbon dynamics and land management, yet traditional approaches typically rely on pixel-wise analysis of satellite time-series, ignoring spatial context. We present a deep learning framework that maps 38 years (1984-2022) of forest disturbance across the contiguous United States by modeling temporal trajectories and spatial neighborhoods simultaneously. By leveraging a vision transformer architecture, our approach effectively filters noise from weak supervision signals to produce spatially coherent disturbance maps. We perform exhaustive evaluations across multiple satellites (Landsat, Sentinel-1, Sentinel-2) and temporal windows (38 years and the more recent 6 years), validating performance against a novel, manually annotated validation dataset (n=300) and independent fire perimeter dataset (n=706). The results highlight the complexity of the task: while our spatio-temporal model demonstrates high precision (up to 98.2% for +-1 year detection on MTBS and up to 71.3% on the CONUS validation datasets, with F1-scores up to 75.8% and 47.3%, respectively) and effectively reduces spatial artifacts, it exhibits performance trade-offs across different disturbance regimes compared to pixel-wise baselines. Our method offers a promising foundation for consistent forest monitoring.

Multi-Modality Spatio-Temporal Forecasting (MoSTF) extends traditional spatio-temporal forecasting by incorporating diverse traffic modalities. Despite significant recent strides in spatio-temporal modeling, existing approaches often fail to explicitly model the coupling relationships between different modality variables. Accurate MoSTF is challenging, as it requires modeling (1) temporal dynamic heterogeneity under exogenous influences and (2) heterogeneous spatial dependencies alongside complex cross-variable couplings. To address these challenges, we propose the Dual-Domain Spectral Filtering Network (DSFNet). Our framework employs dual-domain spectral filtering to capture heterogeneous spatial patterns and explicitly model the relationships between variables. Unlike graph-based message passing or dense attention over node-modality pairs, DSFNet factorizes space-modality interactions into feature-domain and spatial-domain spectral operators, enabling scalable modeling of nonlocal dependencies and cross-modality couplings. Furthermore, we introduce an external gating mechanism to adaptively regulate temporal dynamics under external influences. We validate our method through extensive experiments on five representative real-world traffic datasets. Compared with the second-best baselines, DSFNet reduces MAE by 3.21%-10.16% across these datasets. The results demonstrate that DSFNet significantly outperforms existing state-of-the-art baselines in accuracy while exhibiting efficiency and robustness.

Generating realistic synthetic sequential data is critical in real-world applications across operations research, finance, healthcare, energy systems, and scientific computing, where time-indexed observations are used for prediction, simulation, risk assessment, and data-driven decision-making. While diffusion models have achieved remarkable success in generating static data, their direct extensions to sequential settings often fail to capture temporal dependence and information structure. Designing diffusion models that can simulate sequential data in an adapted manner, and hence without anticipation of future information, therefore remains an open challenge. In this work, we propose a sequential forward-backward diffusion framework for adapted time series generation. Our approach progressively injects and removes noise along the sequence, conditioning on the previously generated history to ensure adaptiveness. A novel score-matching objective is introduced for efficient parallel training. We derive rigorous statistical guarantees under a generic framework, then establish score approximation, score estimation, and distribution estimation results with ReLU networks serving as a concrete instance. Empirically, we validate our method on synthetic data, including ARMA models and Gaussian processes, and demonstrate its effectiveness in constructing mean-variance optimal portfolios.

Flow matching (FM) has emerged as a powerful framework for learning dynamic transport maps between two empirical distributions. However, less explored is the setting with intermediate observed marginals that can help constrain the flows between the endpoints. This "multimarginal" regime is central to modeling temporal evolution in dynamical systems in many scientific domains that can sample sequential distributions. We tackle this problem with a novel approach that leverages the connection between FM and dynamic optimal transport (OT), softly steering the flow towards the intermediate marginals through potential terms in the dynamic OT action. By extending the conditional FM learning target to incorporate these potentials, we derive an efficient, simulation-free algorithm for multimarginal FM that offers considerable flexibility in the spatiotemporal dynamics of the learned flows. We demonstrate state-of-the-art performance and training efficiency of OT-potential FM (OTP-FM) on diverse single-cell RNA sequencing, oceanographic, and meteorological datasets. Our code is available at https://github.com/Bexorg-Inc/OTP-FM.

Continuous-time dynamic graphs (CTDGs) provide a richer framework to capture fine-grained temporal patterns in evolving relational data. Long-range information propagation is a key challenge while learning representations, wherein it is important to retain and update information over long temporal horizons. Existing approaches restrict models to capture one-hop or local temporal neighborhoods and fail to capture multi-hop or global structural patterns. To mitigate this, we derive a parameter-efficient state-space modeling framework for continuous-time dynamic graphs (CTDG-SSM) from first principles. We first introduce continuous-time Topology-Aware higher order polynomial projection operator (CTT-HiPPO), a novel memory-based reformulation of HiPPO to jointly encode temporal dynamics and graph structure. The solution from CTT-HiPPO is obtained by projecting the classical HiPPO solution through a polynomial of the Laplacian matrix, yielding topology-aware memory updates that admit an equivalent state-space formulation for CTDGs (CTDG-SSM). Then a computationally efficient discrete formulation is obtained using the zero-order hold approach for model implementation. Across benchmarks on dynamic link prediction, dynamic node classification, and sequence classification, CTDG-SSM achieves state-of-the-art performance. Notably, it achieves large performance gains on datasets that require long range temporal (LRT) and spatial reasoning.

Optimizing urban layouts for climate adaptation requires balancing building density with cold-air ventilation. Because physics-based climate simulations are computationally expensive, planners typically evaluate fewer than ten manual designs. \gls{qd} algorithms offer a way to systematically illuminate the design space, but they require surrogate models to be practical. In this paper, we replace a slow, regulatory physics simulator with a spatial deep-learning surrogate (U-Net) inside an offline MAP-Elites loop. We systematically compare this spatial approach with a traditional \gls{gp} surrogate across different training-data strategies (quasi-random Sobol sampling vs.\ active \gls{qd} bootstrapping). Our results reveal that scalar \gls{gp} surrogates fail catastrophically when trained on random samples, requiring expensive, actively generated \gls{qd} archives to generalize. In contrast, the spatial inductive bias of the U-Net allows it to learn the underlying physics mapping robustly ($R^2 = 0.996$), completely independent of the training data source. This allows offline \gls{qd} optimization to achieve highly accurate fitness rankings ($ρ= 0.994$) using only a one-time batch of random training samples. The resulting pipeline, deployed in the open-source OpenSKIZZE tool, generates thousands of diverse, climate-evaluated building layouts in under ten minutes.

Traffic forecasting is a fundamental component of intelligent transportation systems, yet remains challenging in real-world settings due to irregular sensor distributions and the high computational cost of modeling large-scale spatiotemporal dependencies. In practical traffic networks, sensors are unevenly distributed across regions, leading to non-uniform spatial structures that limit the effectiveness and scalability of existing graph-based and attention-based models. To address these challenges, we propose PatchSTG, a patch-based spatiotemporal graph Transformer designed for efficient forecasting on irregular sensor networks. The key idea is to introduce a hierarchical spatial representation that partitions sensors into balanced, locality-preserving patches based on geographic information. On top of this structure, a dual attention encoder alternates between intra-patch attention for capturing local interactions and inter-patch attention for modeling global dependencies, reducing computational complexity from quadratic to near-linear scaling. We evaluate PatchSTG on real-world traffic data from Rhode Island and additional large-scale datasets. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed model achieves stable and competitive forecasting performance across multiple horizons, while significantly improving computational efficiency. Ablation studies further validate the effectiveness of spatial partitioning and dual attention in capturing both local and long-range traffic dynamics. These results suggest that patch-based spatiotemporal modeling provides a scalable and effective framework for traffic forecasting under irregular spatial settings.

Causal discovery with instantaneous effects in multivariate time series is challenging, as the instantaneous structure must be acyclic. Prior methods enforce this by either separating instantaneous and lagged estimation into multi-stage pipelines or imposing algebraic acyclicity constraints via complex augmented Lagrangian optimization, both of which incur high computational cost. In this work, we propose a different approach: we learn a differentiable permutation of variables using the Gumbel--Sinkhorn operator and triangularize the instantaneous coefficient matrix of a Structural Vector Autoregressive (SVAR) model in the learned order. This converts acyclicity from a hard constraint into a parameterization and keeps it valid throughout optimization. In doing so, our method enables unified, continuous optimization with gradient-based learning, leading to improved efficiency in time--series causal discovery. Across three real-world benchmarks, our method achieves the best overall performance compared with 12 baselines in both discovery accuracy and efficiency. On the large-scale benchmark, it further demonstrates strong scalability, achieving more than a 6x speedup over competing methods.

Recognizing human actions from point cloud sequences is critical for 3D perception driven applications such as autonomous driving and human-computer interaction. However, the irregular structure and temporal inconsistency of point clouds pose unique challenges for spatio-temporal representation learning, especially in capturing both global motion context and fine-grained temporal dynamics. We propose SRENet, a spectral-aware framework designed to explicitly learn both global context and fine-grained temporal dynamics of motion from a frequency perspective for action recognition. SRENet introduces a Spectral Decomposition Block (SDeBlock) that performs wavelet-based analysis along temporal and spatial axes, disentangling features into low- and high-frequency components with frequency-specific attention. To recover residual dynamics and re-align temporal frequency structures distorted during semantic fusion, a Spectral Re-entry Block (SReBlock) performs secondary temporal decomposition. Furthermore, a spectral-aware learning strategy is devised to enhance discriminability in both frequency subspaces via contrastive loss and a curriculum schedule that gradually shifts focus from low- to high-frequency spaces in line with coarse to detailed motion patterns. Extensive experiments on MSR-Action3D, NTU-RGBD and NTU-RGBD120 demonstrate that SRENet achieves state-of-the-art performance, validating the effectiveness of frequency modeling in point cloud-based action understanding.

We present a hierarchical model for ball action anticipation in football broadcast video. Given a 30-second observation window, the system predicts actions occurring in the subsequent 5-second window across 10 classes. A shared local Transformer encodes clip-level features within each 5-second sub-window; a GRU then aggregates temporal context across all sub-windows; finally, a Transformer decoder with K input-conditioned event slots decodes the anticipation target via three decoupled heads (objectness, class, temporal offset). We introduce frequency-reweighted Hungarian matching that systematically favours rare action classes, and Gaussian soft targets for temporal bin supervision. On the SoccerNet Ball Action Anticipation benchmark, our method achieves 17.91% mAP on the test server.

Audio-visual speaker tracking aims to localize and track active speakers by leveraging auditory and visual cues, enabling fine-grained, human-centric scene understanding. This capability is essential for real-world applications such as intelligent video editing, surveillance, and human-computer interaction. However, existing datasets are largely limited to simple or homogeneous audio-visual scenes with coarse annotations. Such oversimplified settings bias evaluation toward static audio-visual co-occurrence, rather than rigorously assessing robust spatiotemporal modeling and cross-modal reasoning in complex, dynamic scenes. To address these limitations, we introduce AVTrack, a human-centric audio-visual instance segmentation (AVIS) dataset designed for dynamic real-world scenarios. AVTrack features diverse and challenging conditions, including camera motion, visual occlusions, and position changes. Evaluations of representative AVIS methods on AVTrack reveal substantial performance degradation, establishing AVTrack as a challenging benchmark for robust human-centric audio-visual scene understanding in complex environments. We further provide a simple yet effective baseline to facilitate future research. Project website: https://FudanCVL.github.io/AVTrack/

World models enable intelligent agents to predict the consequences of their actions on the environment. In this paper, we propose Multi Rigid Object Gaussian World Model (MRO-GWM), a novel model that learns action-conditional dynamics of rigid objects in 3D. By representing the scene by object-centric Gaussians, we can represent arbitrary object shapes and multi-object scenes. We develop a novel spatio-temporal transformer architecture that predicts future rigid body motion from a history of object Gaussians and future actions. Objects are represented by their Gaussians in a canonical frame, which allows for describing object motion as rigid body transformation. Our model is trained on reconstructions from multiple viewpoints, which requires the model to handle partial observations of objects due to occlusions. We analyze prediction performance of our approach on synthetic datasets composed of typical household objects with multi-object dynamics and interactions by a robot end effector. We also evaluate our model in model-predictive control for non-prehensile manipulation in simulation.

Investigating spatial-temporal correlations, specifically how spatial points vary over time, is crucial for understanding point cloud videos. Traditional methods, particularly flow-based techniques, struggle with these correlations due to the unordered spatial arrangement of sequential point cloud data. To address this challenge, we propose a novel approach that regularizes spatial-temporal correlation learning by formulating the problem as a solvable Partial Differential Equation (PDE). While PDEs have long been effective in the physical domain, their application to novel sequential data like point cloud video remains underexplored. Inspired by fluid analysis, we construct a simplified PDE, and the process of solving PDE is guided and refined by a contrastive learning structure between the temporal embeddings and the spatial embeddings. With this extra supervision, our method, named MotionPDE, serves as an effective, plug-and-play enhancement module for existing backbone models, adding minimal computational overhead and parameters. Capitalizing on the contrastive learning process, we delve deeper into the self-supervised capabilities of MotionPDE, yielding promising results that underscore its utility and adaptability in point cloud video data interpretation. The code repo with trained checkpoints will be available at https://github.com/zhh6425/motionpde.git for facilitating future research.

Pairwise dependence measures such as correlation and causality are fundamental to temporal data mining, yet there is still no principled and robust way to quantify dependence between heterogeneous data types, especially between continuous time series and discrete temporal event sequences. Existing approaches rely on ad hoc transformations or mutual-information estimators that are highly sensitive to quantization, repeated values, and event redundancy, leading to biased or unstable results in practice. We propose a nonparametric mutual information estimator that directly measures the dependence between time series and event sequences without data transformation, learning, or ad hoc discretization. Our method models the continuous-discrete duality of real-world time series to handle quantization and repeated-value artifacts and introduces a latent event clustering strategy to mitigate bias from event co-occurrence and redundancy. Together, these yield a robust and unified framework that bridges discrete and continuous mutual information. We evaluate the proposed estimator on four representative tasks: discrete-continuous time-delayed mutual information for causality analysis, global and local temporal repetition discovery, discrete covariate selection for time series forecasting, and continuous feature selection for classification. Experiments on synthetic and real-world datasets show consistent improvements over existing methods in accuracy, robustness, and interpretability, positioning our approach as a general-purpose dependence operator for heterogeneous temporal data, similar to Pearson correlation for homogeneous time series. Code available at: https://github.com/HaojiHu/Multimodal-Temporal-Data-Quantification

In multi-robot systems, maintaining persistent communication graph connectivity is often overly restrictive, especially when robots have limited communication ranges but operate in large environments. Instead, allowing robots to temporarily disconnect and later reconnect is often more desirable for efficient task execution while still ensuring timely information sharing across the team. In this paper, we propose an adaptive prescribed-time control barrier function (adaptive PT-CBF) framework that enables robots to temporarily disconnect and re-enter the communication range within an adjustable and feasible prescribed time. Moreover, we introduce a reconnection triggering mechanism that jointly considers task execution and reconnection urgency, thereby providing a principled way to decide when reconnection should occur. Theoretical analysis justifies convergence to the satisfying reconnection within a prescribed finite time. Experimental results validate the performance of our proposed adaptive PT-CBF with improved task efficiency and satisfying reconnections.

While Transformer-based architectures have established themselves as a dominant paradigm in Multivariate Time Series Forecasting (MTSF), their core self-attention mechanism inherently functions as a low-pass filter, systematically smoothing out high-frequency signals vital for sharp local changes. Recent advancements have increasingly incorporated frequency-domain operations to address this bias, however, most existing designs rely on fixed spectral bases and apply sequence-wise (uniform) modulation, implicitly assuming a time-invariant frequency response. This overlooks a key property of real-world series that their spectral characteristics often evolve over time, making uniform modulation insufficient for capturing fine-grained temporal dynamics. To tackle these limitations, we propose FAiT, a Frequency-Aware inverted Transformer. Specifically, FAiT rectifies the spectral bias internally through Inverted Attention, which interprets the attention map as a learnable low-pass operator and constructs a dedicated complementary high-pass branch by inverting the attention matrix to recover attenuated transient signals. Furthermore, FAiT introduces Dynamic Temporal-Frequency Modulation (DTFM), which synthesizes instance-conditioned weights to adaptively re-calibrate the energy of spectral sub-bands, enabling fine-grained control over evolving multi-scale patterns. Extensive experiments on widely used benchmarks demonstrate that FAiT consistently outperforms state-of-the-art Transformer-based and frequency-enhanced baselines, while maintaining computational efficiency.

Modeling spatial dependencies is central to spatiotemporal data analysis using Graph Neural Networks (GNNs). Traditional methods rely on distance-based kernels with predefined parameters, which restricts model capacity. Although generic adaptive mechanisms (e.g., Graph Attention Networks) offer flexibility, they often fail to capture the underlying geometric structure, performing worse than distance-based models in data-sparse scenarios. Addressing this, we revisit the kernel parameterization problem and theoretically prove that misspecified kernel parameters introduce unavoidable approximation errors in GNNs. To overcome this, we propose AdaKernel, a simple yet effective approach that learns adaptive kernel parameters within the neural network. Unlike methods that learn graph structures from scratch, AdaKernel adopts a structure-preserving strategy that optimizes the scale of physical interactions rather than discarding them. Extensive experiments on Kriging, Imputation, and Forecasting demonstrate that AdaKernel consistently improves various GNN architectures and outperforms model-agnostic adaptive baselines, validating that accurately learned kernel parameters are superior to both fixed priors and fully latent graph structures.

Spatio-temporal point processes (STPPs) provide a principled framework for modeling asynchronous events in continuous time and space. Recent diffusion-based approaches offer a flexible alternative to deterministic prediction by modeling complex conditional distributions, but their application to STPPs remains challenging: reverse sampling from pure noise is costly, and weak structural constraints in sparse spatial domains can lead to poorly localized probability mass. We propose \textbf{GLIDE} (Graph-guided Leap Inference for Diffusion Estimation), a conditional diffusion framework for next-event modeling in STPPs. GLIDE organizes historical events into a multi-scale historical graph and encodes temporal evolution and spatial topology through a dual-stream architecture, yielding a structured conditioning context for a dual-branch diffusion denoiser. It further introduces a prior-guided leap inference mechanism, in which a lightweight mean predictor provides a deterministic anchor and the reverse process starts from an intermediate diffusion step instead of from pure Gaussian noise. Experiments on multiple real-world datasets show that GLIDE improves both distribution fitting and next-event prediction, with the largest gains appearing on the spatial side. The results also indicate that prior-guided leap inference substantially reduces reverse-sampling cost while preserving the stochastic generation capability of diffusion models.

Video Moment Retrieval (MR) and Highlight Detection (HD) are crucial tasks in video analysis that aim to localize specific moments and estimate clip-wise relevance based on a given text query. Recent approaches treat them as similar video grounding tasks and use the same architecture to solve them. These tasks require both fine-grained comprehension at the image level and high-level temporal understanding across the entire video. Existing approaches have primarily focused on temporal modeling using frame-level features, often neglecting the rich visual information related to the text query within individual frames. This oversight leads to inaccurate grounding results. To address this limitation, we propose a Comprehensive Spatial-Temporal Representation Learning Framework (CoSTL), which captures both fine-grained image-level information and temporal dynamics. Specifically, CoSTL incorporates a text-driven progressive fine-grained image encoder, performing a two-step text-driven knowledge extraction process to learn fine-grained spatial representations. Furthermore, a multi-scale temporal perception module captures comprehensive spatial-temporal representations, enhancing the model's ability to process temporal dynamics. We demonstrate state-of-the-art performance on four public benchmarks: QVHighlights, Charades-STA, TACoS, and TVSum.

The development of Large Language Models (LLMs) has significantly improved travel planning applications, yet evaluating such models is limited by existing benchmarks' limitations: 1) overemphasis on constraint compliance, neglecting multi-dimensional qualities like spatio-temporal cost; 2) datasets lacking real-world authenticity and coverage in key areas (e.g., lodging, transport); and 3) isolated daily plan assessments that miss critical details (e.g., the impact of daily accommodation and visit pacing) needed for entire plan's evaluation. To address this gap, we introduce TravelEval, a realistic and comprehensive benchmark. TravelEval features 1) a novel six-dimensional evaluation framework to holistically assess plans across accuracy, compliance, temporality, spatiality, economy, and utility dimensions; 2) a highly realistic data sandbox with precise accommodation pricing and authentic intercity transportation data; and 3) a simulation-based global evaluation method that emulates complete travel plans with API-integrated geographic information and fine-grained queuing time. Evaluating 12 mainstream approaches with TravelEval reveals several valuable insights, such that LLMs struggle with globally-optimized multi-dimensional planning (especially in spatio-temporal reasoning and budget compliance), and agentic reasoning strategies offer no consistent improvement. Concisely, TravelEval facilitates travel plan evaluation via grounded spatio-temporal emulation and comprehensive metrics, providing a robust foundation for advancing LLM-powered travel planning research and applications.

Energy consumption prediction is essential for efficient grid management, demand-side optimization, and sustainable energy planning. Although advanced machine learning methods have been employed for better prediction performance, existing works have two key limitations: (1) they usually formulate this task as a purely time-series prediction problem without explicitly modeling the spatial dependencies among different regions, and (2) they fail to provide reliable predictions with uncertainty estimates under abnormal situations such as extreme weather events. To advance existing research, we propose EnergyMamba, an uncertainty-aware spatiotemporal learning framework for accurate and reliable energy consumption prediction, which comprises two key components: (i) a novel Graph-Enhanced Selective State Space Model (GE-Mamba) that injects spatial context learned from the grid topology into the temporal dynamics, enabling coupled spatiotemporal modeling, and (ii) an Adaptive Sequential Conformalized Quantile Regression (AS-CQR) module, which includes locally adaptive normalization and an online feedback mechanism to dynamically calibrate prediction intervals under potential distribution shifts. We evaluate EnergyMamba on four large-scale real-world datasets from Florida, New York, and California. Results show EnergyMamba achieves around 5% improvement in prediction accuracy and 6% improvement in uncertainty quantification over 15 state-of-the-art baselines.

Human Activity Recognition (HAR) from ambient sensors enables smart-home applications such as health monitoring and assisted living. In realistic deployments, however, sensor events arrive as a continuous stream and activity boundaries are unknown. Sliding-window inference therefore produces many windows that straddle transitions and contain mixed activities, creating boundary contamination that violates the pre-segmented instance assumption used by most benchmarks and models. Moreover, many pipelines under-use spatial context by treating sensor IDs as independent tokens. We present LastAct, a trajectory-centric framework for streaming smart-home HAR that targets the most recent activity under mixed windows while explicitly modeling spatial structure. LastAct projects sensor events onto the home floorplan to form a layout-aligned trajectory image sequence that preserves spatial continuity. A lightweight gate identifies contaminated windows, and a boundary localizer estimates the last transition to enable boundary-guided masking that emphasizes post-boundary evidence and suppresses stale context. For efficiency, we reuse a precomputed layout-aligned template cache to avoid repeated rendering. Empirically, across four public smart-home datasets under near-realistic mixed-activity protocols, LastAct achieves competitive or superior performance on pure windows and yields substantial Macro-F1 gains on cross/mixed windows, demonstrating improved robustness under near-realistic sliding-window regimes.

Measuring statistical dependency between high-dimensional random variables is a fundamental task in data science and machine learning. Neural mutual information (MI) estimators offer a promising avenue, but they typically require costly iterative optimization for each new dataset, making them impractical for real-time applications. We present InfoAtlas, a foundation model-like architecture that eliminates this bottleneck by directly inferring MI in a single forward pass. Pretrained on large-scale synthetic data with rich dependence patterns, InfoAtlas learns to identify diverse dependence structures and predict MI directly from the dataset. Comprehensive experiments demonstrate that InfoAtlas matches state-of-the-art neural estimators in accuracy while achieving $100\times$ speedup, can flexibly handle varying dimensions and sample sizes through a single unified model, and generalizes effectively to complex, real-world scenarios. By reformulating MI estimation as an inference task, InfoAtlas establishes a foundation for real-time dependency analysis.

Spatio-temporal graph-based models have typically been used to forecast new cases of infectious diseases such as COVID-19 and chickenpox outbreaks. However, the use of stochastic modelling into their learning process has been surprisingly under-investigated and rarely considered entire data sets of large countries. As a result, it is unknown whether these models would provide accurate forecasts in real-world disease spread scenarios. In this work, we propose a spatio-temporal stochastic graph-based architecture that integrates a stochastic formulation and uncertainty approximation process to forecast new infectious disease cases. We find that our approach can adapt to encode large and small population geographical networks within a single model architecture. Using two real-world data sets, COVID-19 in the US and chickenpox in Hungary, we report an enhanced effect of the proposed architecture across predictions of the 2022 first wave for COVID-19 in the US and comparative results of chickenpox waves during 2012-2014 in Hungary. By benchmarking with four spatio-temporal graph-based models, quantitative results show competitive overall weekly performance of the proposed approach on forecasting new cases for all 3,218 US counties and all 20 Hungary counties. The proposed approach can represent overall epidemic progression relative to baselines, though with a one-step delay; while exhibiting a reduced sensitivity to high-frequency and low-amplitude variability.

Predicting a complete spatially correlated field from sparse observations is a fundamental challenge in spatial statistics and environmental modelling. Classical interpolation methods such as Kriging rely on Gaussian process assumptions and variography, which can limit their effectiveness in non-stationary settings and require substantial domain expertise. In this work, we leverage an architecture based on convolutional neural networks (CNNs) for spatial interpolation that is trained and applied on a single partially observed field, without access to external data or prior fields. The model is supervised directly on the observed locations and learns to predict values at unobserved points on the user defined grid. Unlike Kriging, our method does not require explicit covariance modelling or variogram estimation, and it can flexibly capture local spatial patterns in a data-driven manner. This work demonstrates the potential of CNNs for single-instance spatial interpolation under sparse supervision, offering a practical alternative to classical geostatistical methods, and extending the use of CNNs to a new problem domain.

Tourist mobility poses a distinct challenge for urban transportation planning. Unlike resident commuting, tourist travel is largely non-routine, attraction driven, and highly sensitive to trip purpose, travel season, and trip member composition. Existing approaches either measure aggregate tourist spatial patterns without generating individual schedules, or synthesize mobility without tourist specific structure such as trip duration conditioning, month varying attraction demand, and household co-travel rules. To address these challenges, we propose a four stage simulation framework combining month conditioned spatial priors derived from GPS and survey data, trip extent prediction from tourist demographics, distance feasible ward sequence assignment, and LLM-based activity chain generation under household and spatial constraints. GPS data are used only in privacy preserving aggregated form as month conditioned spatial priors, with no individual traces retained or exposed. Experiments on tourism in Tokyo demonstrate that the GPS based tourist cohort extraction recovers spatial visitation signatures consistent with survey references, and our framework produces demographically aligned synthetic schedules whose ward-level visitation shares align closely with both survey distributions and staypoint derived monthly visitation patterns. The results demonstrate the framework's effectiveness as a geographically grounded, demographically aware approach to tourist mobility modeling.

Recent physics foundation models claim general spatiotemporal forecasting ability, yet their evaluations often collapse performance into a single average score under a fixed training distribution. This makes it difficult to determine whether a model has learned generalizable physical dynamics or only performs well under particular settings. We construct a benchmark with 8 physical dynamics, 3 training-data mixtures, and 25 test regimes induced by dynamic-scale and initial-condition complexity shifts, covering in-distribution, distribution-shift, and out-of-distribution settings. We evaluate five physics foundation model architectures and four model variants per architecture (scratch and three pretrained sizes), resulting in 60,000 measurements. Our results show that current physics foundation models behave as conditional rather than universal generalists: their generality depends on the physical regime, temporal scale, initial-condition setting, pretraining, model size, and architecture. Improving the training data distribution only partially mitigates this limitation. Pretraining and scaling are also unable to reliably remove their ability biases. We argue that improving physics foundation models requires moving beyond scaling models or expanding data, toward learning mechanisms that better capture transferable physical knowledge across regimes, temporal scales, and distribution shifts.

This paper addresses the problem of identifying parsimonious explicit piece-wise polynomial relationships that might involve a relatively large number of raw features. The algorithm leverages a recently proposed identification algorithm that yields parsimonious implicit relationships enabling to derive normality characterization in the context of anomaly detection and localization. The algorithm proposed in this paper goes a step further by deriving explicit piece-wise representations that are built using the set of polynomials involved in the implicit representations. The framework is illustrated on the problem of identifying parsimonious explicit representations of the inverse model of a 6-axis manipulator robot. Moreover, further experiments on a 4-axis robot are also shown which are designed to investigate the generalization capability of parsimonious models compared to state-of-the-art DNNs structures, when models face unseen contexts of use.

Real-world user behavior rarely consists of isolated actions; instead, it often forms intent flows governed by spatiotemporal dependencies. To provide integrated service recommendations, we focus on the task of Generative Spatiotemporal Intent Sequence Recommendation (GSISR), which aims to generate intent sequences that are logically coherent and physically executable within complex spatiotemporal contexts. While LLMs offer strong reasoning potential for GSISR, direct industrial deployment is limited by high inference latency and context-mismatched or physically infeasible plans. To address these challenges, we propose a generative framework, GPlan, that internalizes LLM reasoning into lightweight models through two components. First, to enable reasoning under strict latency constraints, we introduce Progressive Implicit CoT Distillation, which compresses explicit reasoning processes into reserved latent tokens, allowing small models to inherit complex planning logic without generating long reasoning text. Second, to address the disconnect between general knowledge and real-world constraints, we design Spatiotemporal Counterfactual DPO. By aligning the model with counterfactual context-plan pairs, we improve sensitivity to spatiotemporal context and reduce context-mismatched plans. Offline experiments and online A/B testing demonstrate that our approach improves sequence coherence and context responsiveness. Our implementation and the anonymized GSISR dataset are available at https://github.com/alibaba/GPlan.

Achieving robust generalization from limited data is a central challenge in embodied intelligence. Prevailing methods fail by regressing absolute coordinates, which violates the principle of general covariance. Fundamentally, this conflates the intrinsic task geometry with rigid execution patterns, binding policies to specific motion styles and fixed speeds. To resolve this, we propose the Generalized Action Manifold (GAM) framework that enforces general covariance through structural disentanglement. Specifically, GAM realizes the manifold by enforcing invariance across two orthogonal dimensions: (1) Temporal Invariance, utilizing an Arc-Length Parameterizer to orthogonalize the spatial path geometry from temporal dynamics, ensuring robustness to velocity variations; (2) Geometric Invariance, where a Schema-Affine-Factorization mechanism maps trajectories to canonical ``world lines'' in a pose-normalized coordinate frame. This distinguishes invariant geometric schemas from affine modulations, ensuring spatial generalizability. By integrating GAM within a structured Vision-Language-Action (VLA) architecture, we enable sparse demonstrations to densely populate a continuous, valid action manifold. Empirical results demonstrate that GAM enables superior transfer and robustness capabilities, outperforming geometry-agnostic baselines.

City-wide traffic forecasting is important for congestion management, route guidance, and intelligent transportation systems, but accurate prediction remains challenging when future traffic must be generated as spatial maps over an entire urban network. Existing traffic movie prediction methods have improved frame-level accuracy, yet many still treat forecasting mainly as image reconstruction. This can produce traffic maps that are numerically close to the ground truth but weakly constrained by road layout, connectivity, travel direction, and congestion propagation, especially in cross-city settings where both traffic behavior and road structure change. To address this limitation, this study proposes RCSNet, a road-conditioned spatiotemporal network that reformulates traffic movie prediction as topology-guided future-state generation. RCSNet extracts road-aware representations from static road maps, models multi-horizon traffic dynamics from historical observations, aligns directional traffic features with local road structure, and progressively generates future traffic maps for improved temporal consistency. A structure-consistent learning objective further encourages predictions to remain accurate, road-aligned, and spatially stable. Experiments across multiple cities show that RCSNet improves both forecasting accuracy and structural consistency. In same-city forecasting on Berlin, Antwerp, and Moscow, RCSNet reduces average MAE, MSE, and RMSE by 11.5%, 10.0%, and 5.1%, respectively, compared with the closest baseline. In cross-city testing on unseen Chicago and Bangkok, it reduces RMSE by 10.6% and 10.5% without target-city fine-tuning. Additional horizon-wise, road-structure, explainability, statistical, and efficiency analyses show that RCSNet produces more accurate, transferable, road-aligned, and computationally efficient traffic forecasts.

Vision-Language Models (VLMs) provide a promising foundation for autonomous driving planning, yet bridging semantic reasoning and precise 3D spatial forecasting remains a critical challenge. Existing representation strategies generally follow two paths: text-aligned methods flatten continuous spatial states into symbols, which compromises geometric structure and induces "spatial hallucinations"; dense visual methods preserve spatial topology but overwhelm standard tokenizers with redundant background textures, leading to "representation interference". To address these limitations, we introduce TPS-Drive, a novel framework centered on Task-Guided Representation Purification that empowers VLMs to Think in Purified Space. At its core, an Agent-Centric Tokenizer utilizes a task-guided vector quantization mechanism supervised by a frozen 3D detection head, which explicitly reallocates limited codebook capacity from pervasive static backgrounds to critical dynamic agents and effectively isolates spatial redundancy. Leveraging this purified spatial vocabulary, TPS-Drive employs a decoupled reasoning pipeline that sequentially performs scene understanding, future forecasting, and action generation. The framework is optimized via a progressive three-stage training paradigm, culminating in reward-driven refinement that surpasses pure imitation learning. Extensive experiments validate our approach: TPS-Drive achieves accurate agent spatial state forecasting and reduces collision rates in open-loop nuScenes evaluations, while establishing new safety records on the rigorous closed-loop NAVSIMv1 and NAVSIMv2 benchmarks.

Chain-of-Thought (CoT) reasoning has advanced large language models (LLMs), but outcome-based supervision leads to pervasive post-hoc rationalization, producing plausible yet unfaithful reasoning chains. Most prior faithfulness assessment methods are either unscalable, expensive, or unreliable. We propose GeoFaith, a spatio-temporal framework that leverages latent geometric structure and entropy dynamics to diagnose and enforce faithful reasoning. We develop a scalable bootstrapping pipeline expanding step-level annotations from 1k to 20k samples across four domains, train an 8B faithfulness detector outperforming GPT-5 on standard benchmarks, and design a faithfulness-aware reinforcement learning framework jointly optimizing outcome correctness, process faithfulness, and trajectory consistency. Experiments show the proposed method achieves superior performance on both faithfulness detection and downstream reasoning, producing shorter, more interpretable chains without sacrificing accuracy. Our code will be made available publicly.

Learning an energy-based model from data samples is a central problem in machine learning. Many recent and popular methods, such as denoising score matching for training energy-based diffusion models, use stochastic interpolants to corrupt data samples at different noise levels indexed by a time variable. This defines a joint density over both the data space and time, and most methods learn its energy through either spatial or temporal differences. We identify distinct failure modes for both of these approaches. To solve them, we propose Spatiotemporal Noise-Contrastive Estimation (stNCE), a framework for learning the energy through joint spatiotemporal differences. stNCE unifies many existing methods and leads to new training objectives. Experiments on images and molecules demonstrate performance competitive with state-of-the-art density estimation methods.

Causal discovery from time series is critical for many real-world applications, such as tracing the root causes of anomalies. Existing approaches typically rely on dataset-specific optimization, making it difficult to transfer their causal discovery capabilities to new time series governed by diverse causal mechanisms. In this paper, we propose \textbf{PTCD}, a novel \textbf{P}retraining framework for \textbf{T}ime-series \textbf{C}ausal \textbf{D}iscovery, which improves cross-task generalization through context-conditioned modeling and transferable causal augmentation. To model complex temporal causal dependencies, PTCD employs a dual-scale iterative attention mechanism to capture window-level causal relationships, and a Gaussian mixture with a context-level routing mechanism to handle heterogeneous exogenous distributions. To further address distribution shifts across causal graphs, PTCD adopts a pretraining paradigm on synthetic datasets that integrates intervention-based learning and a causal mixup strategy, promoting stable causal discovery and stronger generalization. Extensive experiments on multiple real-world out-of-distribution (OOD) datasets demonstrate that PTCD excels in both causal discovery and root cause identification.

Generative models have emerged as a powerful paradigm for solving physics systems and modeling complex spatiotemporal dynamics. However, achieving high physical accuracy without incurring high computational cost remains a fundamental challenge, as existing approaches face a critical speed-fidelity trade-off. In this work, we introduce Recursive Flow Matching (RecFM), a generative framework for forecasting complex spatiotemporal dynamics. RecFM enforces self-consistency to align trajectories across discretization scales, reducing discretization errors and improving performance across metrics for physics-based tasks. To our knowledge, this is the first method to achieve high-fidelity one- and few-step (2-4 step) dynamic generation for scientific systems with performance comparable to state-of-the-art multi-step solvers. Across challenging scientific benchmarks, RecFM achieves up to a 20$\times$ speedup over leading diffusion-based emulators while improving predictive accuracy. Furthermore, RecFM reduces mean squared error by over 15% compared to vanilla flow matching, offering a scalable and efficient solution for real-time scientific emulation.

Generating high-fidelity and controllable synthetic data is critical for advancing end-to-end autonomous driving, particularly for addressing the long tail of rare safety-critical scenarios. Existing occupancy-guided methods typically rely on shallow conditioning mechanisms and reference-frame-dependent video synthesis, which limits fine-grained controllability from arbitrary BEV layouts and restricts their applicability for scalable simulation. In this paper, we propose AnyScene, a unified occupancy-centric framework for driving scene generation. AnyScene generates semantic occupancy sequences from BEV layouts through a Spatial-Temporal Occupancy Diffusion Transformer that jointly tokenizes BEV and occupancy features in an autoregressive manner. This design enables precise controllability from cross-dataset and user-defined BEV inputs while naturally supporting long-horizon generation. Building upon the generated occupancy, a Geometry-Grounded View Expansion module treats occupancy as the canonical spatial representation and synthesizes temporally consistent multi-view driving videos in a reference-free and autoregressive fashion, supporting flexible camera configurations at inference time. Extensive experiments demonstrate that AnyScene achieves state-of-the-art performance in both occupancy and video generation. It exhibits strong generalization to unseen and customized layouts, and provides measurable benefits for downstream tasks such as sparse-view 3D reconstruction.

As a core task in intelligent transportation systems, traffic forecasting plays a critical role in urban traffic management. Accurate traffic forecasting relies on modeling complex spatiotemporal dependencies, which is inherently challenging due to spatial heterogeneity in traffic systems.Despite significant progress, most existing methods are still limited to pairwise spatial dependency modeling, making it difficult to capture dynamic high-order interactions among nodes with similar traffic patterns. To address this issue, we propose PHGNet, a novel spatiotemporal forecasting framework based on prototype-guided hypergraph construction. At the core of PHGNet, a prototype learning mechanism is designed to adaptively assign pattern-similar nodes to hyperedges, thereby capturing high-order interactions with time-varying structures. To improve the reliability of dynamic hypergraph construction, we further develop a global-local node representation module to extract time-consistent features. For forecasting, iterative residual refinement and Temporal Query Attention are introduced to improve forecasting accuracy while supporting efficient parallel decoding. Extensive experiments on multiple real-world datasets demonstrate that PHGNet achieves superior predictive performance compared with state-of-the-art methods.

Video-text retrieval has witnessed remarkable progress driven by large-scale vision-language pretraining, yet most existing approaches inherit an implicit assumption from image-text retrieval: that visual semantics can be captured frame-by-frame. This assumption overlooks the temporal dynamics of egocentric videos. The EPIC-KITCHENS-100 Multi-Instance Retrieval (MIR) challenge further raises the bar by providing soft-label relevance matrices rather than binary labels, demanding models that can resolve graded semantic correspondences across modalities. In this report, we present our solution, termed TempRet, to the CVPR 2026 EPIC-KITCHENS-100 MIR challenge. Our approach builds upon a CLIP-based dual-encoder backbone and introduces two key components to address the temporal and cross-modal challenges. First, a temporal transformer operates exclusively on the video side, modeling inter-frame dependencies through learnable positional encodings and multi-head self-attention over frame-level CLIP features. Second, a two-stage reranking pipeline first retrieves Top-K candidates via the dual-encoder, then refines their scores using a cross-encoder equipped with an Image-Text Matching (ITM) head. The entire system is trained with Symmetric Multi-Similarity Loss to exploit the soft-label relevance matrices provided by the challenge. Our method achieves 67.97% average mAP and 82.92% average nDCG on the EK-100 MIR benchmark, demonstrating the effectiveness of temporal modeling and cross-modal refinement for egocentric video retrieval.

Behavioral phenotyping of genetic animal models currently requires labor-intensive manual feature engineering that limits reproducibility and scalability. We present GEESE, an end-to-end deep learning framework that learns behavioral representations directly from 3D pose dynamics without hand-crafted features. Using a pretrained time series foundation model, we encode movement sequences into a behavioral manifold that supports both behavior classification and genotype prediction. Evaluated across three autism-associated genetic models (CNTNAP2, CHD8, FMR1), our deep learning approach surpasses hand-crafted feature baselines in both tasks, revealing that learned representations capture genotype-specific behavioral signatures. The framework generalizes across genetic backgrounds, and an all-cohort model identifies both genetic background and genotype from movement patterns alone. We further provide HONK, an interactive intelligent tool enabling researchers without programming expertise to perform behavioral phenotyping from pose data through natural language interaction.

Temporal Action Localization (TAL) has been extensively studied in generic video understanding, while fine-grained sports scenarios, such as professional badminton, remain underexplored due to their complex and subtle spatio-temporal dynamics. In this paper, we focus on fine-grained TAL in professional badminton videos and introduce a new benchmark dataset, Fine-Badminton, which consists of 31 matches with 29 fine-grained stroke categories, covering 2104 rallies and 27597 annotated actions. To effectively capture the intricate motion patterns in such scenarios, we propose a Decoupling Spatio-Temporal Adapter (DSTA), which enables efficient modeling of spatio-temporal features within a parameter-efficient framework. Specifically, DSTA decomposes motion representation into three parallel branches, capturing temporal dynamics as well as vertical and horizontal spatial variations. The design allows the model to better distinguish subtle differences among fine-grained actions. Extensive experiments on both the Fine-Badminton dataset and the ShuttleSet benchmark demonstrate that the proposed method achieves state-of-the-art performance while introducing only a marginal increase in computational and parameter cost. These results validate the effectiveness and efficiency of the proposed approach for fine-grained temporal action localization.

Occlusion-aware prediction remains a critical challenge in autonomous driving due to the inherent uncertainty of unobserved regions. Existing approaches either overestimate risk based on reachable states or struggle to predict accurate trajectories under high occlusion uncertainty. To address these limitations, we propose a unified risk map modeling and learning framework for partially observable environments. Our method integrates traffic flow risk and collision risk through spatiotemporal modeling, enabling fine-grained assessment of occlusion-induced hazards. To address the scarcity of scenarios involving occluded interactions, we introduce a diffusion-based scenario generation framework that produces realistic yet adversarial scenarios. We integrate the modeling and learning of a unified risk map into a framework that supports risk-aware planning under partial observability. Experiments on the Waymo Open Motion Dataset show that our method significantly outperforms the state-of-the-art occlusion-aware baseline, improving minimum time-to-collision by 0.78 times and average time-to-collision by 1.67 times. The proposed framework offers a comprehensive and practical solution for risk-aware planning in partially observable environments.

We present a framework for detecting transient gamma-ray phenomena in a controlled environment by combining end-to-end simulations of the Fermi-LAT sky with self-supervised spatio-temporal deep learning. We generate a ten-year synthetic Universe with gtobssim and process the simulated events into daily all-sky maps of counts and exposure, obtaining a time-ordered sequence that mirrors the structure of Fermi-LAT observations. To model the nominal evolution of the sky, we employ a Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory (ConvLSTM) network that operates directly on map sequences, preserving spatial locality while learning temporal dependencies. The model is trained to reconstruct expected emission, and departures from the learned baseline are quantified through pixel-wise mean-squared residual maps. We then define statistically motivated anomaly criteria by estimating per-pixel thresholds from the residual distribution on the training set, and we enforce spatial coherence via local filtering to suppress isolated fluctuations. The ConvLSTM is then deployed as trained predictor on Fermi-LAT daily maps, where the sky can depart from the nominal behavior because of genuine astrophysical variability and instrumental non-stationarities. The resulting pipeline flags localized, time-dependent excesses consistent with high-variable sources or transient events (e.g., flares or GRBs) and provides a benchmark for evaluating anomaly-detection strategies on long-duration, Fermi-LAT-like datasets.

Multivariate time series (MTS) classification is foundational to pervasive computing and financial analysis, yet existing multi-scale paradigms are often constrained by suboptimal representation fidelity. We identify two critical bottlenecks: temporal non-causality in standard encoders that induces temporal confounding in non-stationary dynamics, and the absence of explicit channel saliency mechanisms that allows noise to contaminate the latent space. To address these challenges, we propose the Causal Attention and Spatio-temporal Encoder Network (CASE-NET), an architecture designed for structural manifold pre-conditioning. CASE-NET synergizes a Causal Temporal Encoder, which enforces physical arrow-of-time constraints via masked self-attention and causal convolutions, with an Adaptive Channel Recalibration module functioning as an information bottleneck to suppress detrimental noise. Comprehensive evaluations across six heterogeneous domains demonstrate that CASE-NET establishes new state-of-the-art benchmarks on four tasks, achieving a peak accuracy of 98.6% on the AWR dataset and superior robustness in non-stationary regimes.

The emergence of Large Vision-Language Models (LVLMs) has significantly advanced video understanding capabilities. However, existing benchmarks focus predominantly on coarse-grained tasks such as action segmentation, classification, captioning, and retrieval. Furthermore, these benchmarks often rely on entities that can be easily identified verbally, like household objects, animals, human subjects, etc., limiting their applicability to complex, in-the-wild video scenarios. But, many applications such as furniture assembly, cooking, etc., require step-by-step fine-grained spatio-temporal understanding of the video, which is not sufficiently evaluated in current benchmarks. To address this gap, we introduce Flat-Pack Bench, a novel benchmark centered on furniture assembly tasks. Our benchmark evaluates LVLMs on nuanced tasks, including temporal ordering of assembly actions, temporal localization of assembly state, understanding part mating, and tracking, using multiple-choice questions paired with visual prompts highlighting relevant parts as references for fine-grained questions. Our experiments reveal that state-of-the-art LVLMs struggle significantly with fine-grained spatio-temporal reasoning, highlighting their limitations in effectively leveraging temporal information from videos, limited tracking ability, and understanding of spatial interactions like physical contact.

This work explores a dynamics-informed Temporal Fusion Transformer (TFT) as a data-driven surrogate for computationally intensive Earth system simulations. Focusing on multivariate time series describing global ocean transport, we demonstrate the surrogate's ability to forecast tip events across thousands of time steps. The data involve up to 21 non-stationary time series in addition to static covariates describing free parameters and initial conditions. Modifications to the architecture and objective function yield a surrogate that anticipates the timing of Atlantic and Pacific collapses to high fidelity and captures the stochastic uncertainty in transition timing across ensemble predictions. The learned surrogate achieves a 465x computational speedup over the numerical simulator while maintaining differentiability with respect to parameters and initial conditions.

Hyperspectral imagery encodes rich material properties that can improve tracking robustness under appearance ambiguity, illumination change, and background clutter. However, due to the limited availability of hyperspectral video data, many existing methods adapt pretrained RGB trackers via spatial or channel fusion strategies, largely neglecting the intrinsic material information in hyperspectral imagery. Moreover, the few material-aware approaches typically rely on external spectral unmixing pipelines that are decoupled from the tracking objective, limiting effective optimization of material representations for target localization. To address these limitations, we formulate hyperspectral object tracking as a joint optimization problem of material decomposition and target localization, coupling the two tasks via a weighted target-oriented unmixing loss that explicitly aligns material representations with localization accuracy. Specifically, we propose a material representation decomposition module for deep learning-based spectral unmixing with adaptive frequency decomposition. Building on the decomposed material representations, we further introduce a dual-branch wavelet-enhanced material prompt module that learns low- and high-frequency material prompts through efficient spatial-material interactions in the frequency domain. The framework is model-agnostic and can be seamlessly generalized to different unmixing backbones. Extensive experiments on standard hyperspectral tracking benchmarks demonstrate state-of-the-art performance and validate the effectiveness of the proposed end-to-end material-aware tracking framework. Code is available at https://github.com/han030927/E2EMPT.

Functional MRI data exhibit high-dimensional spatiotemporal structure, making both prediction and decoding challenging. In this work, we investigate neural integral-operator-based models for encoding and decoding tasks in fMRI, with particular emphasis on the role of nonlocal spatiotemporal context. We implement a latent neural integral operator framework that performs fixed point iterations in an auxiliary space from which classification and stimuli prediction is performed via a decoder. We evaluate our model on two open-source fMRI datasets. Our experiments examine both decoding of stimuli from fMRI recordings and encoding of fMRI dynamics from stimulus representations. A main focus is the effect of spatiotemporal context: we systematically compare short and long temporal windows, as well as the use of visual cortex vs whole brain recordings, and analyze their influence on performance and latent-space geometry. Across tasks and datasets, larger temporal windows generally improve results and produce more structured learned representations. In decoding experiments, the learned latent space often provides clearer class separation than the raw data. In encoding experiments, although absolute performance remains moderate due to the difficulty of the task, longer temporal windows still yield consistent gains. These findings suggest that neural integral operators provide a promising framework for modeling fMRI dynamics and that broader spatiotemporal context can be beneficial for both prediction and representation learning. More broadly, the results indicate that exploiting distributed nonlocal structure in brain dynamics requires model architectures specifically designed to capture such dependencies.

In complex multivariate systems, interactions among variables are defined by dependency structures, often encoded as directed acyclic graphs ($\text{DAGs}$). However, dependency structures can vary across subjects, and ignoring this structural heterogeneity introduces bias and obscures subpopulation-specific dependencies. To address this, we propose Directed Acyclic Graph-based Dependency Clustering via Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers (DAG-DC-ADMM), a unified framework built upon Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) that jointly learns cluster assignments and cluster-specific dependency structures. We encode acyclicity via a smooth constraint and integrate a groupwise truncated Lasso fusion penalty (gTLP) to cluster subjects based on their structural similarity. This yields a nonconvex optimization problem that incorporates sparsity, acyclicity, and structural consensus constraints. We address the nonconvexity by using the augmented Lagrangian method and solve it with an adapted version of the Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers (ADMM) for difference-of-convex programs. For certain graph structures, such as upper triangular adjacency matrices, our algorithm is guaranteed to converge to a Karush-Kuhn-Tucker (KKT) point. Experiments demonstrate that our method recovers cluster-specific causal dependency structures with a high true positive rate and a low false discovery rate. This capability enables the robust discovery of heterogeneous dependencies across subjects where the subpopulation label is unknown.

Forecasting urban delivery demand becomes substantially more challenging when newly added service regions lack historical records. Existing spatiotemporal forecasters effectively model spatial dependence once sufficient node histories are available. Still, they remain parametric and therefore struggle to recover short-term operational dynamics in cold-start regions. Geospatial embeddings help identify where a region is and what function it serves, yet they do not directly reveal how a similar region behaves under a comparable temporal context. We propose Bridge, a retrieval-augmented spatiotemporal graph framework that combines an inductive contextual graph backbone with a time-aware memory of region-time windows. For each target region, Bridge retrieves future demand patterns from the memory using both regional context and recent dynamics, and refines the backbone forecast through a gated fusion mechanism. To align retrieval with forecasting utility, we further train the retriever with a future-aware objective that favors entries whose future trajectories best match the target. Experiments on four real-world delivery datasets show that Bridge consistently improves over competitive spatiotemporal baselines in both within-city cold-start and cross-city transfer with partial observations. The results show that retrieval augmentation provides a useful operational memory for cold-start urban demand forecasting when parametric graph generalization alone is insufficient.

Real-world time series come with text: metadata, descriptions, news, reports. Yet time series foundation models process numerical sequences in isolation, and the multimodal text-and-time-series models that attempt to bridge the two all adapt a pretrained language model post hoc, inheriting representations shaped without ever seeing temporal data. These models are also evaluated almost exclusively against other multimodal baselines, not against the strongest unimodal foundation models in either domain, leaving open whether joint training is needed at all. We present Chronicle, a compact 324M-parameter decoder-only transformer trained from scratch on natural language and time series within a single unified architecture. Both modalities share the same transformer blocks, attention mechanism, and residual stream; the bulk of pretraining uses unimodal batches so cross-modal capability emerges purely from shared parameters, with a short alignment stage that interleaves the two. To our knowledge, Chronicle is the first model jointly pretrained on text and time series from scratch, and the first multimodal model evaluated against dedicated foundation models in both domains. It matches Gemma-3-270M-PT on 19 NLU tasks, sets a new bar for frozen-embedding time series classification on 24 UCR/UEA datasets, and produces multimodal forecasts on Time-MMD that beat every supervised fusion baseline, all from a single backbone.

Large language models (LLMs) deployed in real-world agentic applications must be capable of replanning and adapting when mid-task disruptions invalidate their prior decisions. Existing dynamic benchmarks primarily measure whether LLMs can detect temporal changes in a timely manner, leaving the complementary challenge of adaptive replanning under spatio-temporal dynamics largely unexplored. We introduce STT-Arena (Spatio-Temporal Tool-Use Arena), a benchmark of 227 high-quality interactive tasks spanning nine spatio-temporal conflict types and four solvability levels. Each task is grounded in a realistic, executable environment equipped with injected spatio-temporal triggers that can abruptly invalidate an ongoing plan, forcing the model to detect the state shift and construct a revised execution strategy. Extensive evaluation of frontier LLMs reveals that even the SOTA proprietary models, including Claude-4.6-Opus, achieves less than 40% overall accuracies, highlighting the fundamental difficulty of spatio-temporal dynamic reasoning. Systematic analysis of failure trajectories uncovers three recurring error modes of existing models: Stale-State Execution, Misdiagnosis of Dynamic Triggers, and Missing Post-Adaptation Verification. Guided by these findings, we propose an iterative trajectory refinement technique that eliminates these failure patterns from training data, and combine it with online RL to produce STT-Agent-4B which outperforms frontier LLMs on STT-Arena.

Multivariate time-series analysis involves extracting informative representations from sequences of multiple interdependent variables, supporting tasks such as forecasting, imputation, and anomaly detection. In real-world scenarios, these variables are typically collected from a shared context or underlying phenomenon, suggesting the presence of latent dependencies across time and channels that can be leveraged to improve performance. However, recent findings show that channel-independent (CI) models, which assume no inter-variable dependencies, often outperform channel-dependent (CD) models that explicitly model such relationships. This surprising result indicates that current CD models may not fully exploit their potential due to limitations in how dependencies are captured. Recent studies have revisited channel dependence modeling with various approaches; however, these methods often employ indirect modeling strategies, which can lead to meaningful dependencies being overlooked. To address this issue, we introduce XCTFormer, a transformer-based channel-dependent (CD) model that explicitly captures cross-temporal and cross-channel dependencies via an enhanced attention mechanism. The model operates in a token-to-token fashion, modeling pairwise dependencies between every pair of tokens across time and channels. The architecture comprises (i) a data processing module, (ii) a novel Cross-Relational Attention Block (CRAB) that increases capacity and expressiveness, and (iii) an optional Dependency Compression Plugin (DeCoP) that improves scalability. Through extensive experiments on three time-series benchmarks, we show that XCTFormer achieves strong results compared to widely recognized baselines; in particular, it attains state-of-the-art performance on the imputation task, outperforming the second-best method by an average of 20.8% in MSE and 15.3% in MAE.

Existing Multivariate Time Series Anomaly Detection (MTSAD) frameworks increasingly rely on integrating Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) with sequence models to capture complex spatio-temporal dependencies. However, less attention is paid to the spatial over-generalization problem, where unconstrained structural modeling indiscriminately reconstructs anomalies, inevitably degrading detection recall. To tackle this problem, we propose a novel framework that unifies spatio-temporal modeling through a joint prior-observation adversarial learning paradigm. In the spatial dimension, the model alternately learns adjacency matrices as structural prior and models the association discrepancy between prior and data-driven observation in a minimax manner during training. Such adversarial optimization not only improves the model sensitivity for time-wise detection, but also enables the model to localize anomalies to specific channels. To systematically evaluate this anomaly localization capability, we further construct a synthetic benchmark equipped with precise channel-wise annotations. Extensive experiments across public datasets and our dedicated benchmark demonstrate that the proposed framework establishes a new state-of-the-art in both time-wise detection and spatial localization tasks. Our code, pre-trained models, and benchmark are publicly available at https://github.com/anocodetest1/POST.

We propose a new method for compressing physics foundation models (PFMs) which is a new trend in AI for Science. While model compression is essential for reducing memory use and accelerating inference in large foundation models, it remains under-explored for PFMs, where preserving physical fidelity is crucial. The challenge lies in the functional nature of physics data, where partial derivatives encode spatiotemporal dynamics and exhibit high sensitivity to compression. Conventional compression methods ignore this structure, often causing severe performance degradation or failure. To address this, we introduce a sensitivity-aware fidelity-enforcing compression framework that explicitly models loss-aware layer sensitivity in the output function space during compression. This provides a new route to compressing scientific foundation models while preserving accuracy and physical fidelity. Experiments show substantial gains over existing methods across multiple models and datasets, achieving significantly higher compression ratios while maintaining accuracy, in some cases by orders of magnitude. More broadly, the work potentially leads to a new subfield of efficient, deployable, and sustainable scientific foundation models in AI for Science.

Multi-class event streams arise in numerous real-world applications, where uncovering structured, interpretable inter-event relationships, together with accurate prediction, remains a central challenge. Existing neural point process models are highly expressive but encode event interactions in a black-box manner, preventing explicit discovery of structured dependencies. In this paper, we propose a structured neural marked point process (SNMPP) that achieves high modeling flexibility while enabling explicit event-wise and class-wise relationship discovery from data. Our model constructs a product-form neural influence kernel composed of a signed interaction network over event types and a delay-aware monotonic temporal network. This design enables explicit characterization of inter-class influence topology -- including excitation, inhibition, and neutrality -- while flexibly capturing diverse temporal decay patterns and potential influence delays. For efficient learning, we develop a stratified Monte Carlo estimator for stochastic training. Extensive experiments on synthetic and real-world benchmark datasets validate the ability of our approach to uncover structured relationships and deliver strong predictive performance.

Visual Geometry Grounded Transformers (VGGT) have set new benchmarks in high-fidelity 3D scene reconstruction. However, as the sequence length increases, these models suffer from catastrophic geometric forgetting and accumulation drift, primarily due to the quadratic complexity of global attention which necessitates truncated temporal windows. To overcome the resulting geometric drift, we present Mamba-VGGT, an enhanced VGGT framework capable of persistent long-range reasoning. Our key contribution is a Sliding Window Mamba (SWM) memory module that maintains an explicit external memory token across temporal windows. This module leverages selective state-space modeling to distill and propagate global geometric priors, effectively bypassing the memory constraints of traditional transformers. To integrate these long-term temporal cues without disrupting the highly optimized spatial features of the pre-trained VGGT, we propose a Zero-Init Spatial Memory Injector. Utilizing zero-convolutional layers, this injector adaptively fuses persistent memory into the patch token stream, ensuring structural stability and seamless feature alignment. Extensive experiments demonstrate that our approach significantly outperforms existing VGGT-based methods in maintaining spatial consistency and reducing trajectory accumulation errors. Our work provides a scalable, linear-complexity solution for geometry-grounded world modeling in extensive 3D environments.

This paper describes a novel paradigm that formalizes automatic piano transcription (APT) as an optimal transport (OT) problem, not as a frame-level multi-label binary classification problem. Our method learns to minimize the cost of transporting a predicted distribution of note events to the ground-truth distribution over time and frequency. The OT loss can thus accommodate temporal misalignment, leading to perceptually relevant optimization. We also propose a convolutional recurrent neural network (CRNN) with a harmonics-aware attention mechanism to capture the spectro-temporal dependencies inherent in music.Our experiments using the MAESTRO dataset showed that our method attained a state-of-the-art performance in onset detection. We confirmed the versatility of the OT loss in application to existing models.

Post-disaster damage assessment requires rapid and accurate semantic segmentation of 3D point clouds to identify critical infrastructure such as damaged buildings and roads. Early Point Transformers (e.g., PTv1, PTv2) relied on computationally expensive neighbor searching (k-NN) and Farthest Point Sampling (FPS). To improve efficiency, recent architectures like Point Transformer V3 (PTv3) adopted static serialization methods, such as Hilbert curves or Z-order, to organize unstructured points for window-based attention. However, these fixed orderings are not optimal for capturing the complex geometry of disaster scenes. In this paper, we propose OPTNet (Ordering Point Transformer Network), which introduces a learnable Point Sorter module. OPTNet utilizes a self-supervised ordering loss to dynamically predict an optimal permutation that maximizes the locality of the attention mechanism. We evaluate our method on the 3DAeroRelief dataset, significantly outperforming state-of-the-art baselines.