Ensemble

Tsetlin Machine (TM) is a rule-based machine-learning algorithm comprising collectives of two-action Tsetlin Automata (TAs) that cooperatively form conjunctive logical clauses from Boolean inputs through stochastic feedback. Although few recent studies have examined TM Federated Learning, the broader area of distributed and decentralized TM learning has not received much attention in the existing literature and warrants further exploration. In this work, we propose a paradigm for decentralized collaborative learning under a vertical feature-partitioning setting among an ensemble of Tsetlin Machines using consensus-based inference. Within this decentralized paradigm, each agent maintains its own private TM model, and there is no exchange of raw data among agents. Inference combines individual agents model predictions into a global consensus. The paradigm accommodates heterogeneous TM-based agents with differing data acquisition means, local data distributions, or computational resources, thereby facilitating the integration and fusion of information in settings such as multi-modal sensing environments. Experiments conducted using two-dimensional grid and connected graph network topologies demonstrate that the classification accuracies achieved are comparable to those of centralized models.

Adversarial robustness is commonly evaluated with predefined attack ensembles, such as AutoAttack, at a single perturbation budget $\varepsilon$ and on a selective choice of perturbation norms. We argue this formulation is fundamentally limited. First, robustness--perturbation curves may intersect or decay at different rates across models, making single-$\varepsilon$ rankings unstable. Second, current ensembles provide no evidence of optimality, leaving an unknown gap to worst-case performance. Third, fixed attack configurations provide no systematic control over the trade-off between attack strength and evaluation cost. To address these limitations, we introduce a unified evaluation framework based on a comprehensive pool of minimum-norm attacks and robustness--perturbation curves across $\ell_0$, $\ell_1$, $\ell_2$ and $\ell_\infty$ norms. We define the attack frontier as the worst-case robustness estimate the attack pool produces against a model. We then formalize evaluation as a frontier-approximation problem, constructing minimum-norm attack ensembles, optimized subsets of the comprehensive pool, that approach the frontier under a controllable query budget, with larger budgets monotonically tightening the estimate. Furthermore, we define the defense frontier as the maximum robustness across the model set at each perturbation size. We finally propose the Defense Optimality Index to rank defenses by their gap to the defense frontier, providing a ranking without selecting a reference $\varepsilon$. On CIFAR-10 and ImageNet, our ensembles match or exceed AutoAttack on most defenses at every budget tier, at fixed and controllable query cost, offering practitioners a query-controlled, curve-based alternative to fixed-$\varepsilon$ evaluation.

In this work we investigate reinforcement learning (RL) as a framework for the robust control of parametrized dynamical systems in presence of measurements and model uncertainties. High-dimensional state spaces, expensive numerical solvers, the partial knowledge of the governing equations, and the dependence on physical parameters that may be uncertain or difficult to estimate accurately, make the use of standard RL approaches computationally unfeasible. Indeed, lack of robustness and poor generalization across parameter variations are further amplified in presence of noisy or incomplete measurements, ultimately hampering control performance. To address these challenges, we introduce HypEMBER, a novel RL framework based on the combination of hypernetworks and ensemble learning. In the proposed approach, both the policy and value functions are represented through hypernetworks that generate the weights of the underlying models conditioned on the physical parameters of the system, thereby enabling parametric generalization across different dynamical regimes. In addition, an ensemble of policy and value approximators is employed to quantify epistemic uncertainty, leading to improved exploration strategies and enhanced robustness during and after training. The performance of the proposed framework is assessed on two representative parametrized control problems: (i) the one-dimensional Kuramoto-Sivashinsky equation and (ii) a particle-navigation task in a two-dimensional time-dependent gyre flow, focusing on robustness with respect to measurement noise and parameter misspecification. Numerical results demonstrate that HypEMBER consistently improves training stability and sample efficiency, while achieving superior robustness to uncertainties affecting both the system dynamics and the available observations, in comparison with state-of-the-art RL methods.

This paper provides an experimentally verified formal law for calculating the uplift that diversity of thought provides in Large Language Model (LLM) ensembles. From first principles, we derive an exact decomposition of LLM ensemble lift into rescue and damage masses, which yields a compact heuristic for calculating uplift. From this we extract the metrics which predict ensemble performance: an accuracy-adjusted correctness correlation, $φ_{\mathrm{adj}}$, together with the accuracy gap and collective accuracy of the pair. We test the law on 767,520 inferences from ten open-weight models over two graduate-level science benchmarks, together with a novel agentic cybersecurity benchmark in which each model conducts digital-forensics investigations by multi-turn tool use in a network-isolated sandbox (23,520 graded trials including abstentions); all votes are released openly. Calibrated once on SuperGPQA at a 40:60 vote split, the heuristic predicts lift on the calibration set with Spearman's $ρ=0.84$ and, with its coefficients frozen, transfers to two datasets never used in calibration ($ρ=0.51$ on GPQA Diamond and $0.84$ on the forensic tasks), whilst the measured swap mass tracks realised lift with $R^2\ge 0.96$ throughout. Raw $φ$ has almost no predictive power ($R^2\le 0.09$ throughout); the accuracy-adjusted $φ_{\mathrm{adj}}$ is markedly superior ($R^2=0.67$ on SuperGPQA), and the heuristic combining these metrics is the most stable pre-pooling predictor across the three datasets.

This paper describes our submission to the ICME 2026 ESDD2 challenge on environment-aware speech and sound deepfake detection. The task requires five-class classification of audio clips in which speech, environmental sound, both components, or neither component may be spoofed. We propose a component-level ensemble system based on four publicly available pre-trained anti-spoofing models: XLSR-Mamba, DF-Arena, SLS, and TCM-ADD. Each model is fine-tuned on the official CompSpoofV2 development data using three binary heads for original, speech, and environmental sound detection. We further train RawBoost-augmented variants and combine selected checkpoints using margin-space score fusion. A component-wise fusion strategy with lightweight head- and class-bias calibration yields our best configuration, reaching 0.7715 macro-F1 on the evaluation set and 0.7828 macro-F1 on the test set, ranking 5th out of 31 teams in the final ranking phase and substantially outperforming the official baseline.

We propose and evaluate three hierarchical ensemble setups for zebrafish phenotype classification from embryo images. In all setups, stage 1 uses a single four-class classifier to assign images to one of the exclusive phenotypes: Normal, Chorion, Dead, or Other. Images classified as Other are then processed in stage 2, where the ensemble design differs across setups: a single multi-label classifier, two specialized multi-label classifiers, or an ensemble of binary classifiers. We compare these setups using three backbone architectures: ResNet18, ViT, and ConvNeXt. Overall, ConvNeXt achieves the best performance across setups, while the specialized hierarchical ensemble in setup 2 provides the best balance in terms of F1-score. The results show that the proposed specialised hierarchical ensembles are effective for zebrafish phenotype recognition, and suggest that ConvNeXt is particularly useful backbone model.

Ambivalence and hesitancy (A/H) undermine digital behaviour-change interventions, and recognizing them automatically from video is the goal of the ABAW A/H challenge on the BAH dataset. We describe our system for the 11th edition of the challenge: a calibrated, equal-weight ensemble of three fusion models over frozen face, audio, text, and pose embeddings, which reaches 0.7358 macro-F1 on the public test set. This year's private test, released on a disjoint set of 30 new participants, is scored on five allowed submissions; we report the configuration and rationale of each of our five submissions, and, where already available, the private-test score obtained. Our first submission, an exact replica of the calibrated ensemble tuned only on public validation, scored 0.7361 macro-F1 on the private test, matching our public-test estimate almost exactly and confirming the pipeline generalizes to unseen participants without leakage.

Background: Deep learning models can classify thyroid nodules on ultrasound, but reliable clinical decision support also requires calibrated probabilities, uncertainty estimation, and selective referral, particularly under dataset shift. Methods: We developed a calibrated deterministic five-member deep ensemble for ROI-based thyroid nodule classification and selective image-based triage. TN5000 was used for model development, five-fold cross-validation, member-wise vector-scaling calibration, and fold-specific threshold selection. TN3K served as an independent external dataset-shift evaluation. The framework used ConvNeXt-Tiny with squeeze-and-excitation attention, ensemble-mean malignancy probability, and mutual information (MI) as an ensemble-disagreement score. A three-tier policy assigned images to No-FNA suggestion, FNA recommendation, or radiologist review. Results: On pooled out-of-fold TN5000 predictions, the ensemble achieved AUC-ROC 0.9395, AP 0.9715, ECE 0.0088, and Brier score 0.0813. At 50% nominal MI retention, 7.2% of cases received a No-FNA suggestion, 39.9% an FNA recommendation, and 52.9% radiologist review, with 98.3% No-FNA NPV and 99.83% malignancy capture. On TN3K, AUC-ROC decreased to 0.7870, AP to 0.7254, ECE increased to 0.1899, and Brier score to 0.2281. The frozen TN5000 policy assigned 83.7% to review, 1.0% to No-FNA, and 15.3% to FNA recommendation. No malignant image entered the No-FNA pathway, but FNA-recommendation PPV fell to 76.6%. Conclusion: The framework showed strong internal discrimination and calibration, but limited external threshold transportability. Selective prediction may help identify images unsuitable for automated triage, but local recalibration, threshold validation, and prospective clinical evaluation are required before deployment.

Tabular learning is still dominated by gradient-boosted decision trees (GBDTs), while recent deep learning approaches have become increasingly competitive. However, applying deep tabular models to large-scale datasets remains challenging, as large sample sizes, high feature dimensionality, or many target classes can introduce substantial computational cost. We propose TabLoRA, a parameter-efficient trainable neural ensemble for large-scale tabular learning. Instead of using fully independent ensemble backbones, TabLoRA shares a common backbone across predictors and introduces predictor-specific low-rank adaptations, enabling ensemble-style prediction without full parameter duplication. Across benchmarks, TabLoRA achieves a favorable balance between predictive performance and practical efficiency compared with GBDT methods and recent deep learning baselines under the same resource constraints. Memory analysis and ablation studies further show that the proposed design improves the feasibility of neural ensemble learning while preserving much of the benefit of full ensembles.

Cervical cytology classification models are typically evaluated on curated, class-balanced benchmarks, but real-world liquid-based cytology (LBC) collections are often small and class-imbalanced. This paper presents a class-imbalance-aware and calibration-aware ensemble classification study on the Mendeley LBC dataset, using its native four-class Bethesda taxonomy (NILM, LSIL, HSIL, SCC) rather than a collapsed binary formulation. Three lightweight architectures (Swin-Tiny, TinyViT-5M, DenseNet121) are trained directly on Mendeley LBC using weighted random sampling to counteract class imbalance, and compared against two soft-voting ensembles (Hybrid-2, Hybrid-3). Post-hoc temperature scaling is fit on a held-out calibration subset carved out of the training portion of each cross-validation fold, distinct from both the training data used to fit model weights and the evaluation fold used for final metrics, avoiding the optimistic calibration estimates that result when the same data is used for both purposes. Calibration substantially reduces expected calibration error, Brier score, and negative log-likelihood for every model and ensemble configuration tested, while discrimination metrics (accuracy, macro-F1, macro-AUROC) remain essentially unchanged. Ensemble size shows no consistent additional reliability benefit over the best individual model once all configurations are properly calibrated. Confusion matrices show that all classification errors, across every configuration, are confined to the boundary between high-grade lesions (HSIL) and carcinoma (SCC); no errors involve the negative (NILM) or low-grade (LSIL) categories. These results suggest that, for this dataset, calibration is the dominant lever for reliability, not ensemble size, though this conclusion should be read in light of the dataset's modest size.

The rapid growth of image data has produced large-scale datasets, raising concerns about the time and memory costs of model training. Selecting representative training subsets, however, remains challenging: individual sample contributions are unclear, and model behavior varies across datasets and runs. We address these challenges with a framework that combines coreset selection with an ensemble aggregation over multiple runs. For coreset selection, we propose SCOre-Stratified Selection (SCOSS), which partitions the training data into intervals based on a chosen score and samples from each interval. The ensemble combines predictions from multiple runs, each performed on an independently sampled training subset. As baselines, we use moderate and random selection, each in original and class-balanced versions. We assess the framework with Simple Graph Convolution (SGC) and Support Vector Machine (SVM) classifiers under different sampling ratios. Experiments show that SCOSS is competitive with baselines, often the best choice for SGC, and enables favorable trade-offs between accuracy and efficiency. On the fine-grained dataset, SGC with SCOSS outperforms SVMs when using fewer labeled samples. The code and supplementary materials are publicly available at http://scoss.lucasvalem.com.

We describe our entry to the ICIP 2026 Grand Challenge on Extreme In-the-Wild License Plate Super-Resolution (XLPSR), which scored 9.73 wECR on the public validation leaderboard. The system pairs a Hybrid Attention Transformer super-resolution (HAT) front-end with an ensemble of two scene-text recognisers (PARSeq-S and CLIP4STR-B) and a confidence-weighted character-voting scheme that abstains on uncertain positions. We treat XLPSR as a recognition task gated by image legibility: the SR step exists to lift characters out of sub-pixel territory, and the asymmetric scoring rule (+2 / -1 / 0) is exploited explicitly through abstention. Our pipeline runs in 1.7 s per sequence on RTX 3090 (max 2.7 s, p99 2.4 s), well under the 60 s/sequence Docker budget.

Subjective NLP tasks often exhibit systematic annotator disagreement, requiring models that represent uncertainty rather than collapse it. We introduce Ensemble Diversity Optimization (EDO), a prediction-space framework that jointly optimizes ensemble weights, effective cardinality, and calibration through a unified differentiable objective. EDO learns ensemble composition and size end-to-end via Gumbel-Softmax relaxation and incorporates a signed diversity regularizer, tuned on validation data, to steer optimization toward either preserving or suppressing disagreement. This regularization prevents ensemble collapse and enables controlled navigation of the utility-calibration trade-off. The framework integrates a soft F1 surrogate, class-weighted cross-entropy to address imbalance, and reliability-weighted diversity to regulate intra-ensemble variability. Experiments on four subjective text-classification benchmarks (ArMIS, ConvAbuse, HS-Brexit, MD-Agreement) show that EDO substantially improves probabilistic calibration, reducing cross-entropy (40-78% depending on baseline) and lowering Brier scores relative to Soft-CE, Soft-MD, Top-5 Voting, and WEL, while maintaining competitive F1 and better alignment with annotator distributions. These results demonstrate that jointly optimizing ensemble structure with a signed diversity regularizer provides an efficient, model-agnostic approach for modeling human subjectivity in supervised learning.

Determining agricultural potential is fundamental to sustainable land management and agricultural planning. Remote sensing data is increasingly valuable as an avenue for agricultural potential due to the cost of traditional methods (surveys, in-situ measurements, soil testing, etc). ImageCLEF AI4Agri 2026: Subtask 1 is concerned with the prediction of viticulture potential in Southern France. The DS@GT ARC's submission for Subtask 1 introduces an ensemble of U-Net and a Geospatial Foundation Model (Prithvi-2.0). Our best model achieved a $\pm$1 accuracy of 68.32 on the leaderboard, ranking 2nd among 7 teams. The implementation for this work is publicly available at https://github.com/dsgt-arc/imageclef-ai4agri-2026 .

The increasing accessibility of artificial intelligence has led to a rapid rise in AI-generated videos, making it more difficult to distinguish between real and manipulated content. Many existing detection methods rely on a single model and often struggle to generalize across different types of deepfakes. In this work, we developed a multimodal deepfake detection system that combines both audio and visual analysis using an ensemble of models. The system includes AASIST for audio-based detection, and EfficientNet, XceptionNet, and MesoNet for analyzing visual features in video frames. The pipeline takes a video as input, separates the audio, and extracts face frames using MTCNN. Each model produces a score indicating the likelihood of the input being fake. These scores are then combined using ensemble strategies, including mean averaging and stacking. Mean fusion provides a simple and stable baseline, while stacking uses a trained meta-model to learn how to combine predictions more effectively. Results show that while individual models perform well on the datasets they were trained on, their performance drops when tested on more diverse datasets. The ensemble approach helps improve overall robustness by combining predictions from multiple models, leading to more consistent performance across different types of deepfakes. This suggests that using both audio and visual information together is a more reliable approach for deepfake detection. Our results highlight generalization to unseen manipulations as the central open challenge, with average accuracy around 70%.

We introduce an efficient Bayesian deep ensemble method for predictive regression designed to enhance interpretability while maintaining competitive predictive performance and computational efficiency. Our method combines the statistical rigor of Bayesian inference with the scalability of deep ensembles, providing calibrated uncertainty estimates that enable its use not only for standalone prediction but also as a component within broader learning systems. To achieve these goals, our work relies on three key design components: (i) low-dimensional ensemble representation: predictions are expressed as a combination of a small number of trained neural predictors, enabling scalable inference whose cost depends on ensemble size rather than dataset size; (ii) closed-form Bayesian aggregation: ensemble predictions are combined using Bayesian linear regression, yielding interpretable posterior weights and calibrated uncertainty without approximate inference; and (iii) Independent ensemble training: multiple neural networks are trained separately, producing diverse predictive representations that improve robustness and uncertainty calibration. Empirical results on standard regression benchmarks demonstrate that the proposed approach achieves competitive predictive performance while maintaining reliable uncertainty estimates across settings.

In deep learning for tabular data, efficient ensembles of multilayer perceptrons (MLPs) have recently emerged as effective and practical architectures. Existing methods of this kind use the same hyperparameters for all underlying MLPs, which requires hyperparameter tuning for achieving the best performance. In this work, we introduce TabPack, an efficient MLP ensemble with strong out-of-the-box performance and reduced reliance on traditional tuning. In a single run, TabPack samples and trains many MLPs with different hyperparameters efficiently in parallel and selects ensemble members on the fly during training. Thus, TabPack only requires specifying ranges from which to sample MLP hyperparameter rather than exact hyperparameter values, which naturally demands less precision for good performance. In experiments on medium-to-large public datasets, TabPack with default settings performs on par with extensively tuned prior methods, thus substantially reducing effort and compute resources needed to achieve competitive results on tabular tasks. Notably, running the default TabPack configuration on a modern MacBook took less time than tuning some baselines on an industry-grade GPU.

Parallel ensemble methods were compared on $56$ small-to-medium tabular classification tasks drawn from OpenML CC18. A set of ``best practice'' recommendations on the use of ensemble methods was derived from these observations. It was later validated on 28 additional tasks using TabArena's precomputed data, where the recommendation set significantly outperformed Single Best and matched or exceeded individual ensemble methods. Two key observations were made. First, Blending and Stacking are inconsistent, but their inconsistencies are independent and happen on different tasks. Second, while Hard Voting's probabilistic classification is rather weak, a consequence of using vote proportions as posterior estimates, Robust Soft Voting's probabilistic classification is particularly successful, especially in the multiclass case.

In multimodal classification, late-fusion approaches classify concatenated modality-specific features extracted by unimodal neural networks. When modality imbalance is pronounced, various regularization techniques have been proposed to balance the learning process and overcome the inferior performance of late-fusion networks. In contrast, this work demonstrates that multimodal data can be effectively classified without any explicit modality fusion, using deep ensembles of unimodal networks. We systematically compare deep ensembles to late-fusion networks at equal parameter count and show that ensembles consistently outperform state-of-the-art late-fusion methods designed to address modality imbalance. This advantage also holds over intermediate-fusion techniques we evaluated and over hybrid methods that combine unimodal and multimodal predictions. We propose and empirically validate a method for selecting the number of models per modality in an ensemble, avoiding computationally expensive exhaustive search. Under extreme modality imbalance and small ensemble sizes, the heuristic indicates that ensembles of unimodal models trained solely on the stronger modality are preferable; as the ensemble scales up, incorporating models from the weaker modality becomes beneficial. Both predictions align with our empirical findings. To systematically explore the challenges of optimizing multimodal models, we propose a synthetic multimodal framework that allows control over both the number of modalities and their predictive strength; our findings are consistent across synthetic and real-world datasets. Finally, by fitting scaling laws to bimodal datasets, we estimate the asymptotic performance of ensembles.

Automated chest X-ray classification remains challenging due to severe class imbalance, co-occurring pathologies, and the loss of localized features in conventional architectures. To address these, we propose an explainable hierarchical multi-view ensemble framework for the robust classification of 14 thoracic pathologies. The framework employs view-specific training by independently modeling frontal and lateral radiographs using an ensemble of five complementary convolutional neural networks. Replacing global average pooling, a multi-scale feature fusion strategy augmented with Convolutional Block Attention Modules (CBAM) preserves fine-grained intermediate representations while emphasizing high-level pathology-specific semantic features. To mitigate positive-negative imbalance and varying inter-class difficulty, models are optimized using a novel hybrid objective combining Asymmetric Loss with Adaptive Focal Loss. Beyond simple probability averaging, the framework incorporates a hierarchical meta-learning strategy where test-time augmentation (TTA) predictions and cross-model uncertainty measures are integrated into Level-1 gradient-boosting meta-learners (XGBoost, LightGBM, and CatBoost), followed by Level-2 stacking with optimized alpha blending. Evaluated on a large-scale CheXpert-style dataset, the framework achieves state-of-the-art macro-average AUROC scores of 0.9319 for frontal and 0.9154 for lateral radiographs. Furthermore, comprehensive explainability analysis using seven post-hoc attribution techniques demonstrates strong anatomical consistency and clinically meaningful decision localization. By integrating architectural diversity, multi-scale attention, hierarchical meta-learning, and rigorous explainability, the proposed framework provides a transparent, highly accurate, and clinically practical computer-aided diagnosis system for thoracic disease classification.

Uncertainty quantification of hydrological predictions is necessary to inform operational decisions. Recent generative machine-learning methods have advanced probabilistic streamflow prediction, but have remained confined to lumped models that predict a basin outlet directly. At the same time, deterministic LSTM runoff models are increasingly applied at grid or catchment scale and routed through river networks to produce spatially continuous, physically consistent discharge fields. This technical note argues that moving probabilistic prediction from lumped to distributed models introduces a specific new requirement: the joint distribution of upstream runoff generation must be sampled jointly. In lumped inference, the model predicts the outlet distribution directly and can modulate spread from basin attributes. In distributed inference, downstream discharge is obtained by routing many upstream runoff predictions, so independent local sampling averages uncertainty away. Using Japan as a case study, we train two probabilistic basin-scale runoff LSTMs and route their runoff through a Hayami routing scheme. Randomly matching upstream ensemble members produces severely under-dispersed downstream ensembles, whereas a simple quantile matching strategy restores much of the spread of the direct basin-scale reference. The shift from lumped to distributed probabilistic hydrology therefore requires explicit attention to the spatial joint structure of runoff uncertainty.

Glaucoma is a progressive eye disease that can lead to irreversible vision loss if not detected at an early stage. Conventional diagnostic procedures are often time-consuming and rely heavily on expert interpretation, limiting their scalability for large-scale screening. In this study, glaucoma detection is investigated under two evaluation settings: sample-wise, where individual samples are analyzed independently, and patient-wise, where data from each patient are aggregated for final prediction. An automated multimodal framework is proposed that integrates fundus images with clinical data. Under the sample-wise setting, detection is performed using fundus images and clinical features individually, as well as through their multimodal combination. Under the patient-wise setting, predictions are obtained by aggregating multiple fundus image representations with corresponding clinical information for each patient. Deep visual features are extracted using a Vision Transformer (ViT) architecture and classified using classical machine-learning models, with a stacking-based ensemble of the three best-performing classifiers employed to optimize performance. Experiments conducted on the publicly available PAPILA dataset demonstrate strong diagnostic performance, achieving 97.47% accuracy and a 97.50% F1-score for sample-wise multimodal classification, and 98.97% accuracy and F1-score for subject-wise detection. The proposed framework is further deployed as an end-to-end web-based platform to support automated glaucoma screening and clinical decision support.

We present DroneIQA-VLE, our solution to the ICME 2026 Drone-IQA Grand Challenge on Target-aware Image Quality Assessment for Low-altitude UAV Images. The framework jointly predicts global, target, and background quality scores by ensembling two complementary pipelines: (1) SigLIP2 vision encoders with multi-task regression heads, and (2) a LoRA-adapted Qwen3.5-9B multimodal large language model for quality score regression. The final global quality prediction is obtained by arithmetically averaging the outputs of both pipelines. Our method achieves 2nd place in the challenge, demonstrating its effectiveness. The code is available at https://github.com/sunwei925/DroneIQA-VLE.

Real-world robot learning increasingly relies on heterogeneous data, but demonstrations and rollouts often mix useful progress with stalls, corrections, and suboptimal behavior. Effective policy learning therefore requires frame-level advantages that distinguish reliable local progress from failures and regressions. We propose Self-supervised Temporal Ensemble Advantage Modeling (STEAM), a label-free method that learns such advantages from expert demonstrations. STEAM trains an ensemble of temporal-offset predictors on frame pairs within expert trajectories, using the normalized temporal offset between two frames as a self-supervised signal. Each predictor maps a frame pair to a distribution over temporal offsets, which is converted into a scalar advantage. STEAM then takes the minimum advantage across the ensemble to score mixed-quality rollout data conservatively. Across real-world bimanual towel folding, chip checkout, cola restocking, and single-arm pick-and-place tasks, STEAM identifies stalls, failures, and recoveries. When combined with CFGRL, STEAM further improves policy success rate by 59%, 54.3%, 23% and 16.2% over baselines, respectively.

Modern LLM deployments often combine quantization with higher sampling temperatures to reduce cost, latency, or repetition, yet safety evaluations usually treat these as fixed implementation details. We test whether models that are safe at FP16 with greedy decoding remain safe after quantization and stochastic sampling, or whether the two factors amplify each other. We evaluate 8 instruction-tuned models from five families across 3 precisions and 6 temperatures, covering 144 configurations on 7 harmfulness benchmarks and generating about 2.0 million responses, which are scored by a six-judge safety ensemble. Contrary to concerns that low-bit deployment erodes alignment, we find that standard quantization is approximately safety-neutral: for 7 of 8 models, AWQ INT4 keeps attack success within about 1.6 percentage points of FP16 or lowers it, with clear degradation only for SmolLM3-3B (34.5% to 44.1%). However, the larger risk comes from sampling: higher temperatures sharply increase decision instability, with DFR reaching 41.9% at T = 1.0, even when average ASR changes only modestly. The two factors do not compound: our Compound Degradation Index remains sub-additive (-0.071 to +0.018), indicating that quantization partially offsets rather than amplifies temperature-induced degradation. Finally, a per-benchmark breakdown shows that single-benchmark evaluation badly understates risk: several models scoring 0% on AdvBench exceed 80% on ManyHarm. Standard INT4/INT8 quantization can therefore be reasonable for well-aligned models, but safety claims should report multi-sample stability across multiple benchmarks rather than rely on a single benchmark at greedy decoding.

Hepatitis C is a liver infection caused by a virus, which results in mild to severe inflammation of the liver. Over many years, hepatitis C gradually damages the liver, often leading to permanent scarring, known as cirrhosis. Patients sometimes have moderate or no symptoms of liver illness for decades before developing cirrhosis. Cirrhosis typically worsens to the point of liver failure. Patients with cirrhosis may also experience brain and nerve system damage, as well as gastrointestinal hemorrhage. Treatment for cirrhosis focuses on preventing further progression of the disease. Detecting cirrhosis earlier is therefore crucial for avoiding complications. Machine learning (ML) has been shown to be effective at providing precise and accurate information for use in diagnosing several diseases. Despite this, no studies have so far used ML to detect cirrhosis in patients with hepatitis C. This study obtained a dataset consisting of 28 attributes of 2038 Egyptian patients from the ML Repository of the University of California at Irvine. Four ML algorithms were trained on the dataset to diagnose cirrhosis in hepatitis C patients: a Random Forest, a Gradient Boosting Machine, an Extreme Gradient Boosting, and an Extra Trees model. The Extra Trees model outperformed the other models achieving an accuracy of 96.92%, a recall of 94.00%, a precision of 99.81%, and an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 96% using only 16 of the 28 features.

We present our submission to the SoccerNet 2026 Player-Centric Ball Action Spotting challenge, which uses a two-stage pipeline: a Track-Aware Action Detector (TAAD) produces per-player action logits from broadcast video, and a Denoising Sequence Transduction (DST) transformer converts game-state features and TAAD logits into structured event sequences. We improve the TAAD with a temporal transformer that adds cross-frame context, alongside several training fixes. For the DST stage, we introduce a two-stage per-player attention mechanism operating on game-state features, and show that a spatial-first attention ordering (cross-player attention before temporal attention) improves validation Macro-F1 by 1.87%. To exploit architectural diversity, we train four model variants and combine them with a Weighted Event Fusion ensemble that applies agreement filtering to suppress single-model false positives while preserving recall, plus a dedicated exception for the rare tackle class. Our final system improves the challenge Macro-F1 from a baseline of 48.6 to 58.94.

Test-time adaptation (TTA) can mitigate domain shift without source data, but it is highly brittle under adversarially contaminated test streams, where corrupted inputs also destabilize online updates. We study robust test-time adaptation (RTTA) in the adversarial-stream setting, which remains comparatively underexplored relative to standard TTA, and propose SAFER (Stochastic Augmentation Framework for Enhanced Robustness), a training-free reliability-guided augmentation wrapper for RTTA. SAFER preserves the wrapped TTA objective while replacing brittle single-view predictions with a reliability-guided pooled predictor. For each test sample, SAFER generates stochastic augmentations and aggregates their predictions through correlation-weighted pooling with outlier detection. We further study an adaptive-mixing extension that improves clean-performance retention by adjusting original-versus-augmentation weighting using feature disagreement signals. We evaluate on PACS, VLCS, and OfficeHome under PGD attacks at various attack rates. Across benchmarks, SAFER improves resilience of TTA methods to adversarial attacks while maintaining competitive clean performance.

Selective ensemble for modern machine learning systems requires choosing promising model candidates under limited evaluation budgets, while downstream tasks often specify only partial preferences over capabilities such as accuracy, robustness, and reasoning. This setting naturally gives rise to a sequential decision problem under partially specified linear preferences. We formalize it as preference-directed multi-objective bandits (PDMOB), where admissible trade-offs are represented by a polyhedral preference cone. Based on this formulation, we introduce Pareto $C$-optimality, which recovers standard Pareto optimality and single-weight scalarization as special cases. We then propose the preference-directed upper confidence bound (PrefUCB) algorithm, which maintains directional confidence intervals to guide exploration. We analyze both indicator-based and gap-weighted regret, and establish instance-dependent logarithmic bounds for both criteria, recovering the optimal logarithmic dependence on the horizon $T$ in classical special cases. Experiments on large pre-trained model selective ensemble tasks and online asset allocation under institutional mandates validate the efficacy of our method.

Characterizing non-Gaussian posterior distributions in partially observed high-dimensional nonlinear systems remains a fundamental challenge in data assimilation. Ensemble Kalman filters rely on Gaussian approximations that can be inaccurate for strongly non-Gaussian posteriors, whereas particle filters suffer from severe scalability limitations. Recent score-based generative approaches improve posterior characterization but typically require supervised training with ground-truth posterior samples, which are unavailable in most practical applications. We introduce $Ω$ (Operator-based Mixture Ensemble for Generative Assimilation), a scalable framework that integrates conditional Gaussian surrogate modeling, unsupervised score learning, and generative sampling. The conditional Gaussian surrogate provides a nonlinear non-Gaussian baseline approximation while admitting closed-form conditional posterior distributions for the unresolved variables. First, $Ω$ exploits these closed-form conditional distributions to analytically recover the high-dimensional unobserved component, reducing computational cost and mitigating the curse of dimensionality. Second, $Ω$ learns only the residual discrepancy beyond an analytical baseline through denoising score matching using ensemble trajectories alone, eliminating the need for ground-truth posterior samples and substantially reducing the learning burden. Third, $Ω$ reconstructs the full non-Gaussian posterior distribution of both observed and unobserved variables via a Gaussian mixture representation, capturing multimodal, skewed, and heavy-tailed statistics. Finally, $Ω$ employs annealed Langevin sampling to iteratively refine ensemble members from the baseline toward the target posterior. $Ω$ is validated on several turbulent models with intermittency and extreme events, consistently improving posterior accuracy.

Optimal Reinforcement Learning (RL) algorithms typically rely on carefully constructed count-based uncertainty estimates to drive exploration. Although theoretically sound, such estimates are hard to compute in practical settings and therefore offer limited insight for designing exploration heuristics. Meanwhile, ensembling has emerged as a practical approach, but remains without theoretical justification. Building on a recent ensemble-based method for Multi-Armed Bandits, we propose a quantile-based ensemble method for finite-horizon Markov Decision Processes (MDPs). Our simple count-free approach achieves optimal variance-dependent regret bounds, providing theoretical grounding for ensemble-based exploration in RL.

The proliferation of large-scale, decentralized systems of autonomous agents, such as swarms of robots and networked cyber-physical systems, presents a formidable challenge to traditional formal methods. The Software Component Ensemble Language (SCEL) offers a formal model for such systems, but its operational semantics is not ideal for reasoning about global, structural, and emergent properties. This report proposes a new, multi-layered mathematical model for SCEL using category theory and sheaf theory. We argue that a society of robots described in SCEL can be formally modeled as a sheaf on a topological space, where components are points, ensembles are open sets, and distributed knowledge forms the sheaf's data. In this framework, computational processes like information sharing become equivalent to the sheaf-theoretic operation of "gluing" local data. System failures can then be understood and quantified as topological obstructions, measurable by sheaf cohomology. This approach transforms the verification of a complex distributed system into the analysis of the geometry of a mathematical object, providing deep, structural insights for the design of robust autonomic systems.

While sequential residual fitting is the bedrock of standard boosting frameworks, it inherently breeds learner redundancy by repeatedly revisiting correlated error components. To address this bottleneck, we propose a shift from residual fitting to \textit{residual orthogonalization} and introduce SCBoost. Our framework tackles redundancy through two complementary mechanisms: Spectral Residual Projection (SRP) and Covariance-Regularized Weighting (CRW). During training, SRP projects each residual target onto the orthogonal complement of the historical prediction subspace, forcing successive learners to capture only novel empirical innovations. During aggregation, CRW optimizes ensemble weights on a validation set with an explicit covariance penalty to mitigate remaining correlations. Theoretically, we provide a finite-sample geometric characterization proving that SRP yields an exact additive residual-energy decomposition. Furthermore, under an isotropic-noise assumption, we rigorously establish the conditions under which this projection improves the effective Signal-to-Noise Ratio. Extensive experiments across ten benchmark datasets demonstrate that SCBoost delivers strong out-of-the-box performance, particularly in accuracy and F1 score. This work reinterprets boosting through a geometric lens, suggesting that explicit redundancy control is a principled and necessary step toward more efficient ensemble architectures.

One-class classification (OCC) is a classification problem in which the training data contains only one class. The one-class support vector machine (OCSVM) is one of the most competitive OCC algorithms. However, OCSVM has scalability issues with large-scale datasets. This paper proposes the acceleration strategy of OCSVM. The idea is to decompose the dataset into samples and train OCSVM models for single data points. Subsequently, ensemble learning is applied to combine all models to compute the OCSVM model for the dataset. In addition, further acceleration is achieved through a data-reduction strategy with an OCSVM model trained on the average of the training samples. The experiment compared the proposal and traditional OCSVM using the Python package. The proposed strategy is faster than traditional OCSVM, while achieving similar classification results. Moreover, the proposed strategy can create one-to-one correspondence between samples and models. Source code is uploaded at https://github.com/ToshiHayashi/ODSVM

Narrative question answering (NQA) is a challenging task in natural language processing that requires models to understand long textual contexts, capture relationships across events, and generate coherent responses. Despite recent advances in pretrained language models, most existing approaches rely on a single decoding output during inference, making them sensitive to generation variability and often resulting in incomplete or inconsistent answers .To address this limitation, we propose a self-ensemble Self-Consistency-Based reranking framework for narrative question answering. The proposed method generates multiple candidate answers for each story-question pair and selects the final answer based on semantic agreement among the generated responses. This allows the model to explore diverse answer formulations while improving robustness through consensus-based selection without requiring modifications to the underlying architecture .The framework combines pretrained and fine-tuned language generation with multi-answer inference and similarity-based reranking. We evaluate the proposed approach on the NarrativeQA dataset using multiple models, including FLAN-T5 (Base and Small) and Pegasus-Large, under both baseline and fine-tuned settings .Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method consistently improves performance across all models. In particular, FLAN-T5-Base achieves the best overall performance, improving from 82.32% to 86.66% (+4.34%) when combined with self-ensemble inference. Additionally, the largest improvement is observed with Pegasus-Large, which increases from 72.50% to 87.07% (+14.57%), highlighting the effectiveness of the proposed strategy.

The rapid advancement of generative AI models is leading to more realistic deepfake media, encompassing the manipulation of audio, video, or both. This raises severe privacy and societal concerns. Numerous studies in this area have yielded promising intra-domain results; however, these models frequently exhibit decreased efficacy when faced with data from dissimilar domains. Consequently, recent deepfake detection approaches focus on enhancing the generalization ability through multiple techniques that incorporate all input modalities, including audio, images, and their interactions. In this regard, we propose the EAV-DFD method, a generalized deep ensemble audio-visual model (EAV-DFD) combined with a domain adaptation mechanism utilizing a teacher-student framework to enhance the model's ability to perform and generalize effectively across unseen domains. To evaluate the model's performance, we used the FakeAVCeleb dataset as the primary domain and the DFDC, Deepfake_TIMIT, and PolyGlotFake datasets as an unseen domain. Our experimental results demonstrate that the proposed framework is efficient in domain adaptation, improving AUC performance of the model by 4.09%, 17.94%, and 0.5% on three unseen datasets, using only a small portion of them to train the student model. This leads to a novel deepfake detection model capable of adapting to new domains and interpreting which modality has been manipulated, highlighting the potential of our approach for real-world applications.

Physiological stress and emotion recognition are important for health monitoring and affective computing. In this work, we present a comprehensive evaluation of deep learning models such as Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Temporal Convolutional Networks (TCN), and Transformer on the WESAD dataset for multimodal affect recognition using wrist and chest sensor signals. We perform ablation studies to assess the individual contributions of each modality by training models on wrist-only and chest-only inputs. In addition, we implement a late-fusion ensemble strategy that combines predictions from all three architectures trained on multimodal input. We also employ early fusion at the sensor level by concatenating wrist and chest signals before feeding them into each model. Our results show that Transformer models consistently achieve the highest accuracy in multimodal settings, while TCN models perform best in the wrist-only configuration. The ensemble method yields the highest overall accuracy (98.91 +/- 0.13%) and macro-F1 score (98.56 +/- 0.17%). These findings demonstrate the effectiveness of sensor fusion and ensemble-based fusion in developing robust systems for physiological emotion recognition.

Early detection of plant diseases is crucial to plants and for the farmers. Plant diseases reduce fruit yield and quality, and plants are more susceptible to other stresses when they are infected. The lemon leaf disease dataset contains 1354 images. The dataset has 9 classes. Among the 9 classes only one class is for healthy leaf, and the other 8 classes are leaf diseases. The dataset was split into training (70%), testing (15%) and validation (15%) sets after comprehensive preprocessing. Two pretrained models (InceptionV3 and MobileNetV2) were applied and then combined these models using an ensemble technique to boost robustness. Ensemble models showed a promising performance of 99.27% accuracy. Adversarial Training is applied to improve models' ability and ensure reliable predictions under noisy data. Grad-CAM visualization highlights the important regions of leaf images that validate the model prediction with confidence level.

Evolutionary optimization of spiking neural networks (SNNs) becomes increasingly difficult as task complexity grows because they must search a combined topology--parameter space that grows super-exponentially with network size. We address this scaling challenge through a co-evolutionary ensemble framework in which a population of candidate SNNs is evolved with fitness defined by each network's marginal contribution to group performance. Grounded in cooperative game theory and difference evaluation functions from multiagent systems, this credit assignment rewards networks that consistently improve ensemble performance and penalizes redundancy, encouraging complementary specialization during evolution rather than relying on post-hoc combination of independently trained networks. We evaluate the approach on classification, regression, and control tasks under $μ$Caspian neuromorphic hardware constraints. Co-evolved ensembles achieve statistically significant improvements over both single-network evolution and post-hoc ensembles across all tasks, with the most pronounced gains in control, where standard evolution fails to discover effective policies and co-evolution enables a qualitative transition to near-optimal performance.

We present Simplex-Constrained Sparse Bagging (SCSB), a mathematically rigorous framework for post-training compression and probability calibration of bootstrap-based bagging ensembles. Standard bagging ensembles (such as Random Forests, Bagged SVMs, and Bagged Neural Networks) assign uniform voting power to all constituent estimators. However, this naive uniform prior ignores the varying local competence of base estimators and contributes to model overconfidence. We formulate ensemble pruning and calibration as a joint optimization problem over the probability simplex by minimizing the Out-Of-Bag (OOB) loss. To induce sparsity, we address the theoretical "L1-simplex paradox" - the mathematical reality that the L1 norm is constant on the simplex and fails to prune - by introducing a concave quadratic penalty. SCSB is model-agnostic and achieves up to 96% ensemble compression, yielding linear inference speedups and superior probability calibration (lowered Expected Calibration Error) while preserving or enhancing generalization accuracy.

Two dominant approaches have emerged for generating probabilistic forecasts of physical systems: generative models, such as diffusion or flow matching; and ensembles of deterministic models with stochasticity injected, trained using the continuous ranked probability score (CRPS) loss. While both approaches have demonstrated strong predictive accuracy, the reliability of their uncertainties has not been systematically assessed. We address this gap by developing a framework to evaluate both approaches across diverse 2D spatiotemporal physical systems, under matched model size and computational budget. We assess the reliability of probabilistic emulation by inspecting the empirical coverage of predictive intervals, while also considering accuracy and computational efficiency metrics. CRPS-trained ensembles typically achieve more reliable uncertainties on both single-step prediction and autoregressive rollouts, demonstrating better coverage than the standard alternative of training generative models in a latent space. Moreover, the CRPS approach offers significantly faster inference. When generative models are trained in ambient rather than a compressed latent space, which is often infeasible for high-dimensional problems, they exhibit comparable coverage to CRPS-trained ensembles, though with substantially larger inference latency. In contrast, when CRPS-trained ensembles are trained in latent space they do not show a marked degradation in coverage with respect to ambient space. Both generative models and CRPS-trained ensembles demonstrate good predictive accuracy. To facilitate future research and application, we release AutoCast, a modular framework implementing both generative models and CRPS-trained ensembles, alongside AutoSim, a flexible dataset generation package for rapid prototyping.

We introduce First-Order Trajectory Matching (FTM), a surrogate-modeling method that learns the first-order local transport of probability mass from trajectories of stochastic systems. By matching the symmetric first-order motion of trajectories, FTM learns the probability current velocity, whose flow preserves time marginals to match ensemble averages, while also capturing current-like trajectory quantities such as fluxes, circulations, and barrier-crossing currents. FTM learns the current velocity directly from trajectories, avoiding drift, diffusion, and score estimation. Our stability analysis separates discretization error from sampling variance and shows that the one-step simulation-free FTM loss is stable when temporal resolution and sample size are properly balanced. Across stochastic dynamical systems and PDE examples, we empirically demonstrate that FTM provides trajectory-aware ensemble predictions at low, deterministic-rollout cost.

The analysis of internet memes in the Nepali language is complicated by frequent code-mixing and a lack of established baseline resources. While memes inherently combine visual and textual elements, this study focuses on a text-centric approach by extracting embedded text using an OCR layer and modeling it with Transformer-based architectures. We evaluate six distinct models and investigate the comparative effectiveness of Hard and Soft Voting ensemble strategies across two tasks: binary hate speech detection and three-class sentiment analysis. Experimental results show that a standalone decoder-only model achieved the highest performance for binary classification, whereas the Soft Voting ensemble performed best for the multi-class sentiment task, yielding a 15.8% relative improvement in Macro F1-score over the strongest standalone baseline. These findings suggest that ensemble strategies behave differently across binary and multi-class tasks, highlighting the importance of selecting aggregation methods suited to the classification objective.

Adversarial attacks pose a serious and growing threat to Machine Learning (ML)-based Intrusion Detection Systems (IDS), where imperceptible perturbations to network flow features can systematically mislead classifiers into accepting malicious traffic as benign. The IDS-Anta framework partially addresses this through Z-score normalization, Singular Value Decomposition (SVD), and Multi-Armed Bandit (MAB) classifier selection with Thompson Sampling, yet its classifier pool lacks sufficient structural diversity for robust adversarial resistance. This work introduces IDS-Anta++, which incorporates XGBoost and LightGBM gradient boosting models into the ensemble and wraps the extended pool in a three-layer black-box defense: Isolation Forest anomaly screening, median feature smoothing, and six-way majority voting. Experiments conducted on CIC-IDS-2017, CEC-CIC-IDS-2018, and CIC-DDoS-2019 under both Fast Gradient Sign Method (FGSM) and Zeroth Order Optimization (ZOO) attacks confirm detection accuracy above 99% on clean data, with measurable robustness gains under adversarial conditions relative to the baseline IDS-Anta configuration.

Diagnosing 802.11 packet captures requires expert protocol knowledge, is slow, inconsistent across engineers, and unscalable. LLM-based approaches sound plausible but fabricate protocol events absent from captures (especially truncated traces), produce uncalibrated confidence scores, and suffer evaluation bias when golden references are co-produced by the model under test. We introduce PROBE (Protocol Reasoning Over evidence-Based Ensembles), a multi-stage pipeline addressing all three failures. It integrates (i) deterministic PCAP-to-text normalization with frame-level verifiability, (ii) multi-run, multi-candidate ensembles with optional cross-model second opinion and progressive obfuscation, (iii) a verdict-aware evidence framework treating absence of failure evidence as contributing evidence, and (iv) a fully deterministic composite reliability score from evidence validity, run-to-run stability, and cross-model agreement without LLM self-assessment. On 87 enterprise Wi-Fi captures (104 capture-reviewer pairs), single-pass LLM analysis raises weighted evidence F1 from 0.871 (expert baseline) to 0.912 but misses critical frames in 35% of cases. Naive ensemble voting drops below baseline (0.842) as majority voting amplifies conservative verdicts: 50% of confirmed failures are misclassified as 'no issue' or 'insufficient evidence.' Adding evidence-grounded reconciliation achieves 0.957 F1, a 96% auto-accept rate, and a worst-case floor above 0.70. LLM self-reported confidence clusters at 0.95 regardless of difficulty (71% report exactly 0.95), confirming it is uninformative. We also introduce a model-agnostic evaluation framework using per-field assertion matching, eliminating circular bias from model-co-produced golden references.

Leveraging multiple specialized LLMs can combine complementary strengths, but existing approaches trade adaptability for stability: routing commits prematurely, heuristic ensembling depends on fragile proxies, and parameter merging introduces interference. We propose DLLG (Dynamic Logit-Level Gating), a dynamic logit-level ensembling framework that learns token-level expert fusion from sparse response-level supervision. A lightweight gating module predicts step-wise fusion weights, linking trajectory-level correctness to generation without token-level labels or expert retraining. Across diverse reasoning and code benchmarks, DLLG consistently outperforms strong routing, heuristic ensembling, and parameter-merging baselines across model scales, highlighting learned logit-level fusion as a robust and scalable paradigm for integrating specialized experts.

Causal discovery from observational data remains challenging due to the fundamental limitations of purely statistical methods, such as statistical distinguishability within equivalence classes and sensitivity to finite sample sizes. While large language models (LLMs) offer a promising source of domain knowledge to complement statistical inference, existing LLM-augmented methods are vulnerable to LLM errors and incur high token costs. Moreover, reliance on a single data-centric algorithm can make results sensitive to algorithm-specific biases. To address these limitations, we propose CauTion, a framework that reliably integrates LLM domain knowledge into an ensemble of statistical causal discovery algorithms through consensus filtering and LLM reliability estimation. CauTion proceeds in three stages. First, an algorithm ensemble utilizes a consensus voting to resolve up to 96% of edges on which algorithms agree, achieving near-perfect accuracy on the filtered consensus edges. Second, a trust-calibrated arbitration mechanism estimates the relative reliability of the LLM and the algorithms via an annotation-free trust calibration procedure, which is then utilized to govern a trust-weighted voting process that restricts LLM arbitration exclusively to edges with unreliable algorithmic evidence. Third, a cycle repair step is applied to guarantee the final causal graph is validly acyclic. Experiments on six datasets demonstrate that CauTion consistently outperforms both data-centric and LLM-augmented baselines, with larger gains on larger graphs and strong robustness to LLM errors. Code is available at https://github.com/OpenCausaLab/CauTion.

Human Activity Recognition (HAR) using WiFi signals has emerged as a transformative technology for smart homes, healthcare monitoring, security systems, and ambient assisted living. Unlike traditional camera-based systems that raise significant privacy concerns and fail in low-light conditions, or wearable sensors that require user compliance, WiFi-based HAR is non-intrusive, privacy-preserving, cost-effective, and works seamlessly in any lighting condition. This paper presents a comprehensive approach to recognize three distinct human activities: "No Presence" (empty room), "Walking", and "Walking + Arm-waving" using the Wallhack1.8k WiFi spectrogram dataset. We propose three key improvements to address the main challenges in WiFi-based HAR. First, to address high performance variance, we implement ensemble learning with five different CNN architectures (Deep CNN, Wide CNN, MobileNetV2, ResNet50V2, and EfficientNetB0). Second, to address the small dataset size limitation, we apply aggressive data augmentation techniques including time-warping, frequency masking, and noise addition. Third, to evaluate real-world generalization capability, we perform cross-scenario evaluation (training on Line-of-Sight and testing on Non-Line-of-Sight) and cross-antenna evaluation (training on Biquad antenna and testing on PIFA antenna). Our ensemble model achieved a test accuracy of 94.87% on the LOS scenario with Biquad antenna, outperforming the best individual model by 0.66%. Data augmentation improved Random Forest performance from 60% to 95%. Cross-scenario evaluation showed minimal accuracy drops of only 1.37% and 2.07%, demonstrating strong generalization capabilities. The results indicate that the proposed approach is robust, reliable, and suitable for real-world deployment in diverse environments with different hardware configurations.

The coordination of heterogeneous autonomous agents in dynamic, adversarial environments requires simultaneous satisfaction of geometric constraints, logical consistency, temporal reasoning, and strategic optimization. Existing sheaf- and topos-theoretic frameworks provide powerful tools for geometric consensus, knowledge alignment, and causal planning, but lack explicit models for value, reward, and strategic choice. This report presents a unified categorical framework that integrates event calculus, SCEL-like ensemble formation, and game-theoretic reward structures into a single Grothendieck topos of time-space histories. We introduce the notion of a \emph{game sheaf} whose stalks contain utility functions and policy distributions, and restriction maps encode both parallel transport and best-response dynamics. We prove that Nash equilibria correspond to global sections of a derived best-response correspondence sheaf, while cohomological obstructions classify failures of strategic consistency. A detailed case study of an immunological ``bastion defense'' scenario -- heterogeneous agents forming attack/defense ensembles under resource constraints -- demonstrates the framework's expressiveness. This synthesis provides a rigorous foundation for verifiable, autonomic, and economically rational multi-agent systems.

Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) are highly susceptible to adversarial perturbations, leading to extensive research on robustness for safety-critical applications. State-of-the-art empirical defense mechanisms improve the robustness of DNNs through the training phase, but still struggle against adaptive white-box attacks. On the other hand, certified defenses offer provable guarantees of robustness within a specified perturbation bound. These guarantees hold regardless of the level of perturbations, even if the attacker is given full knowledge of the model. In this paper, we propose CEAR, an ensemble-based robust method that utilizes a hybrid of empirical and certified defense mechanisms. CEAR trains each network within the ensemble using varying Gaussian noise and temperatures to obfuscate gradients and logits, making the model more resistant to stronger gradient-based attacks. We then use noisy logits and propose two different voting mechanisms to further improve robustness. Furthermore, we extend randomized smoothing to verify the robustness of ensemble-based classifiers. Our experimental evaluations on MNIST, CIFAR10, and TinyImageNet datasets demonstrate superior certified accuracy on average, increased robustness radius, and decreased transferability compared to baseline methods.

Visual grounding aims to locate image regions that correspond to natural language descriptions and is a key component of interpretable vision systems. In remote sensing imagery, grounding is particularly challenging due to complex scenes, small objects, and large variations in scale. Relying on a single model is often insufficient to address these diverse challenges. In this work, we propose two grounding pipelines, Sequential Grounding Refinement (SGR) and Cluster-Aware Grounding Refinement (CGR), that combine the complementary strengths of RemoteSAM, a visual grounding model specialized for remote sensing, and SAM3, a powerful general-purpose segmentation model. Our approach first uses RemoteSAM to obtain an initial estimate of object location, which is then refined using SAM3 to produce more accurate and spatially consistent segmentations. Additionally, we explore an ensemble strategy based on majority voting across six diverse grounding pipelines, each with distinct capabilities. This multi-model framework improves robustness and significantly enhances localization accuracy. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed pipelines and ensemble approach outperform individual models, leading to more reliable and precise visual grounding predictions.

Existing training approaches for large language models learn a single set of parameters, based on large volumes of data, which is typically heterogeneous, conflicting and often outright contradictory. As a result, the model is forced to compress conflicting goals, and inherent uncertainties into a single, averaged pattern of behaviour. We propose an $α$-Rényi variational framework for learning distributions over post-training parameters, offering an uncertainty-aware alternative to deep ensemble approaches. The resulting variational objective interpolates between classical variational Bayes and predictively oriented posterior learning, balancing between globally plausible individual models against systems of complementary specialists. We identify local stability criteria, demonstrating how model misspecification can make non-degenerate posterior spread locally favourable, manifesting contradictory or conflicting data as epistemic uncertainty. We apply our framework to LLM post-training, learning an ensemble of LoRA adapters attached to a shared, frozen base model, providing a scalable training procedure for both supervised fine-tuning and preference optimisation. Our approach enables training examples to be softly routed across ensemble members, promoting model specialisation and providing actionable uncertainty estimates across different tasks.

Electricity expense management presents significant challenges, as this resource is susceptible to various influencing factors. In universities, the demand for this resource is rapidly growing with institutional expansion and has a significant environmental impact. In this study, the machine learning models long short-term memory (LSTM), random forest (RF), support vector regression (SVR), and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) were trained with historical consumption data from the Federal Institute of Paraná (IFPR) over the last seven years and climatic variables to forecast electricity consumption 12 months ahead. Datasets from two campuses were adopted. To improve model performance, feature selection was performed using Shapley additive explanations (SHAP), and hyperparameter optimization was carried out using genetic algorithm (GA) and particle swarm optimization (PSO). The results indicate that the proposed cooperative ensemble learning approach named Weaker Separator Booster (WSB) exhibited the best performance for datasets. Specifically, it achieved an sMAPE of 13.90% and MAE of 1990.87 kWh for the IFPR-Palmas Campus and an sMAPE of 18.72% and MAE of 465.02 kWh for the Coronel Vivida Campus. The SHAP analysis revealed distinct feature importance patterns across the two IFPR campuses. A commonality that emerged was the strong influence of lagged time-series values and a minimal influence of climatic variables.

Gradient-boosted trees achieve strong performance on tabular data, yet often leave a long tail of poorly predicted instances. We introduce a Trajectory-based Difficulty Score (TDS), an instance-level difficulty estimator for boosted ensembles derived from per-tree cumulative prediction trajectories. For each instance, we compute interpretable trajectory descriptors (e.g., variance, oscillation peaks, sign switches, and tail stability) and train a lightweight regression model to predict held-out loss. An empirical CDF calibrates the resulting signal into a score in $[0,1]$ that supports ranking hard cases. Across diverse tabular benchmarks and ensemble sizes, TDS exhibits strong rank correlation with error and outperforms established instance-hardness and uncertainty baselines on classification, while remaining competitive on regression. We then show how a single difficulty signal improves multiple data mining workflows: difficulty-driven active learning for label-efficient training, difficulty-thresholded selective prediction for improved risk-coverage trade-offs, and TDS-stratified (Mondrian) conformal prediction for more uniform conditional coverage. Finally, clustering high-TDS instances using SHAP attributions reveals coherent failure modes characterized by compact feature-value ranges, supporting error analysis and targeted data acquisition.

Federated learning is used in medical imaging where privacy prohibits centralizing data. Standard federated algorithms assume homogeneous hardware, identical architectures, and centralized aggregation, which fails when hospitals have unequal compute resources. We propose capacity-aware coordination: measure each hospital's throughput, assign capacity-appropriate architectures (MobileNetV3-Small, EfficientNet-B0, ResNet-50), and combine predictions via weighted ensemble. Weak and strong hospitals can participate without forcing uniform architectures. We separate on-chain policy from off-chain learning. A Solidity contract stores hospital registration, benchmark hashes, metrics, and weights. Hospitals train locally and submit only hashes and scalars (not parameters). Weighted ensemble inference is computed off-chain. Experiments on PneumoniaMNIST and DermaMNIST (5 seeds, 3 non-IID levels) show our method achieves lower or equal calibration error versus equal-weight ensemble and competitive accuracy versus FedAvg, FedProx, and FedMD. Communication overhead is 224 bytes per round, a reduction of over 912,000x compared to FedAvg.

Multi-AI collaboration, such as ensembling or debating large language models (LLMs), is a promising paradigm for aggregating information and boosting performance. A foundational step in these pipelines is to feed the responses of several proposer LLMs into a summarizer LLM, which synthesizes a better answer. However, choosing which proposers to include is non-trivial. Existing approaches primarily focus either on accuracy (picking the strongest models) or diversity (ensuring variety), and often overlook the interactions among proposers and with the summarizer. We reframe proposer selection as a combinatorial selection problem akin to feature selection, where the value of an LLM lies in its complementarity with others. However, directly applying standard feature-selection algorithms is impractical in the LLM setting due to prohibitive time complexity. Motivated by this limitation, we explore an extensive range of computationally feasible, greedy-style selection algorithms that assess complementarity using a small labeled set. Our experiments validate complementarity as a guiding principle for proposer selection and identify methods that achieve the best performance-cost trade-offs in practice.

We investigate how internal representations emerge across hierarchical processing systems by introducing a neuroscience-inspired framework for analyzing deep spiking neural networks (SNN) through the lens of functional connectivity. Drawing on concepts from systems neuroscience and information theory, we form the first-order functionally-connected (1FC) group of a neuron based on its statistically significant pairwise correlations with neurons from the previous layer of a trained SNN architecture. We then track its response properties during inference under various conditions. Our analysis shows that several principles of functional connectivity previously observed in biological cortex are preserved in spiking ResNet architectures. These 1FC ensembles display interesting properties: their aggregate cofiring reliably predicts downstream neuronal responses through a robust, ReLU-like input-output relationship, whose gain scales systematically with ensemble size. Reliable encoding of the presented class emerges only during high 1FC cofiring events, which themselves occur infrequently, indicating that informative representations are concentrated in rare but highly coordinated activity patterns. Under uniform random noise or adversarial perturbations, these response profiles are disrupted, particularly in early and intermediate layers. This enables a targeted high-resolution interrogation at specific nodes and pathways. We showed that the functional connectivity structure is shaped by learning and this structure breaks under weight permutation. These establish 1FC ensembles as a functionally meaningful substrate for input encoding and information transfer, with potential implications in designing targeted fine-grained diagnostics on the information flow.

While deep ensembles are widely considered to be the default method for uncertainty quantification in deep learning, their effectiveness for graph-structured data is often simply assumed based on successes in domains like computer vision. We investigate standard deep ensembles specifically for message-passing graph neural networks. Benchmarking across seven datasets representing varied tasks and complexities, we reveal that ensembles provide surprisingly little improvement over a single model. Instead, the observed marginal gains stem primarily from stabilizing optimization noise in point predictions rather than yielding meaningfully better uncertainty estimates. Through an aleatoric-epistemic decomposition, we identify epistemic collapse: independently trained networks consistently converge to overly similar predictions. Because disagreement is the fundamental mechanism through which ensembles capture epistemic uncertainty, this lack of diversity neutralizes their key advantage. Analyzing this phenomenon further, we suggest this collapse is driven by functional rather than weight-space convexity, where distinct parameter solutions induce almost identical behavior. Our results suggest that deep ensemble success does not seamlessly transfer to graph machine learning.

Ensembles of neural networks typically outperform individual networks but incur large computational costs, whereas weight aggregation produces less costly, yet also less accurate, aggregate models. We introduce partial fusion of networks, which interpolates between ensembles and weight aggregation and thus allows for a flexible tradeoff between computational cost and performance. A direct way to achieve this is to extend existing weight aggregation methods based on neuron-level similarity between different networks, where partial fusion then only aggregates weights of neurons which are most similar. We showcase one particular method to jointly identify which neurons are most similar and match them via partial optimal transport. Further, we consider the more general perspective of weight aggregation and partial fusion as generalized pruning of ensemble models, where neurons cannot just be deleted, but also linearly combined. Finally, we show that generalized pruning applied to a single network yields similar benefits as partial fusion by allowing for a tradeoff between isolating, deleting, and linearly combining neurons based on similarity. Our code is available at https://github.com/Fabian-Mor/partial_fusion_nn.

The proliferation of large language models (LLMs) and modular skills has endowed autonomous agents with increasingly powerful capabilities. Existing frameworks typically rely on monolithic LLMs and fixed logic to interface with these skills. This gives rise to a critical bottleneck: different LLMs offer distinct advantages across diverse domains, yet current frameworks fail to exploit the complementary strengths of models and skills, thereby limiting their performance on downstream tasks. In this paper, we present Maestro (Multimodal Agent for Expert-Skill Targeted Reinforced Orchestration), a Reinforcement Learning (RL)-driven orchestration framework that reframes heterogeneous multimodal tasks as a sequential decision-making process over a hierarchical model-skill registry. Rather than consolidating all knowledge into a single model, Maestro trains a lightweight policy to dynamically compose ensembles of frozen expert models and a two-tier skill library, deciding at each step whether to invoke an external expert, which model-skill pair to select, and when to terminate. The policy is optimized via outcome-based RL, requiring no step-level supervision. We evaluate Maestro across ten representative multimodal benchmarks spanning mathematical reasoning, chart understanding, high-resolution perception, and domain-specific analysis. With only a 4B orchestrator, Maestro achieves an average accuracy of 70.1%, surpassing both GPT-5 (69.3%) and Gemini-2.5-Pro (68.7%). Crucially, the learned coordination policy generalizes to unseen models and skills without retraining: augmenting the registry with out-of-domain experts yields a 59.5% average on four challenging benchmarks, outperforming all closed-source baselines. Maestro further maintains high computational efficiency with low latency. The source code is available at https://github.com/jinyangwu/Maestro.