Machine Learning

Current and future applications demand ultra-low latency and consistent throughput, yet frequently traverse 5G cellular networks, so cope with volatile packet dynamics, as 5G base station schedulers dynamically react to user workloads and wireless channel conditions. The task of evaluating network algorithms in these environments is hamstrung by current tools: record-and-replay emulators sever the feedback interaction that exists between application end points and a commercial operator's proprietary 5G scheduler, while full-stack simulators rely on overly simplistic scheduling logic. To bridge this reality gap, we present NeuralEmu, a high-fidelity, machine learning-based emulation framework that learns complex 5G scheduler resource allocation behaviors directly from extremely high-resolution network telemetry tools. The first emulator to handle multiple clients, NeuralEmu utilizes machine learning to dynamically predict resource block allocations and modulation schemes based on instantaneous user buffer occupancy and channel states. To capture realistic cross-user contention, a traffic reconstruction model inverts cellular network scheduling results to recover the underlying traffic patterns of uncontrolled background users. Implemented as an high-performance Linux middlebox emulator, NeuralEmu reduces emulation error relative to the state of the art for various network applications including but not limited to 55% for web-page load time, 57% for WebRTC encoder bit rate, and 51% for cloud gaming packet one-way delay, providing an accurate, standardized testing ground for tomorrow's real-time interactive network protocols and applications.

The quality of training data is critical to the performance of machine learning models. In this paper, the Error Sensitivity Profile (ESP) is proposed. It quantifies the sensitivity of model performance to errors in a single feature or in multiple features. By leveraging ESP, data-cleaning efforts can be prioritized based on error types and features most likely to affect model performance. To support the computation of this metric, an integrated suite of tools, called \dirty, is created. We conduct an extensive experimental study on two widely used datasets using 14 classification models, revealing that performance degradation is not always predictable from simple correlations with the target variable.

In phishing detection, machine learning classifiers act as a first line of defense, but the false positives they produce are triaged by human analysts. The excessive false alarms cause alert fatigue that erodes human oversight. We propose CoGReV, a hybrid framework that augments standard machine learning classifiers with a post-hoc non-monotonic reasoning layer implemented in Answer Set Programming. The layer applies a confidence-gated defeasible rule that revises a phishing prediction toward legitimate only when website metadata is present and the classifier's decision is low-confidence, deferring uncertain predictions to the reasoning layer while leaving out confident decisions to the classifiers. This gating acts as a function-allocation mechanism between the classifier and the reasoning layer. Unlike an ungated rule, which reduces false positives only by discarding genuine detections and degrades phishing recall by about nine percentage points, the proposed gated rule keeps recall within 0.7 percentage points of the no-revision baseline for all classifiers while revising only 0.27 percent of decisions. By lowering false alarms, without sacrificing detection, CoGReV reduces analysts alert fatigue and integrates new domain knowledge into the reasoning layer in $\mathcal{O}(n)$ time.

Sentiment analysis of product reviews on e-commerce platforms plays a critical role in automatically understanding customer satisfaction and providing actionable insights for sellers seeking to improve product quality. This paper presents a comprehensive benchmarking study comparing a Machine Learning (ML) approach via the PyCaret AutoML framework against a Deep Learning (DL) approach based on a Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BiLSTM) architecture with an Attention mechanism for binary sentiment classification on Indonesian product reviews. The dataset comprises 19,728 samples balanced equally between positive and negative reviews. For the ML approach, three prominent algorithms were evaluated via 10-fold stratified cross-validation: Logistic Regression (LR), Support Vector Machine (SVM) with a linear kernel, and Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM). Logistic Regression achieved the best ML performance with an accuracy of 97.26% and an F1-score of 97.26%. The BiLSTM with Attention model, evaluated on 3,946 held-out test samples, achieved an accuracy of 97.24% and an F1-score of 97.24%. These comparative results demonstrate that traditional ML algorithms with proper preprocessing and feature extraction can compete closely with, and even marginally outperform, more complex sequential DL architectures on high-dimensional datasets, while simultaneously offering greater computational efficiency.

This paper benchmarks a classical machine learning approach based on PyCaret AutoML against a deep learning approach based on IndoBERT fine-tuning for binary sentiment analysis of Indonesian-language Twitter comments related to Ibu Kota Nusantara (IKN). The dataset contains 1,472 manually labeled samples, consisting of 780 negative and 692 positive comments. In the machine learning setting, Logistic Regression, Naive Bayes, and Support Vector Machine were evaluated using 10-fold cross-validation, with Logistic Regression achieving the best performance among the classical models at 77.57% accuracy and 77.17% F1-score. In the deep learning setting, the indobenchmark/indobert-base-p1 model was fine-tuned for five epochs and achieved 89.59% test accuracy and 89.37% F1-score. The results show that IndoBERT substantially outperforms the machine learning baselines, highlighting the effectiveness of Transformer-based contextual representations for informal Indonesian social media text.

Forecasting when AI systems will become capable of meaningfully accelerating AI research is a central challenge for AI safety. Existing benchmarks measure broad capability growth, but may not provide ample early warning signals for recursive self-improvement. We propose measuring AI's capability to autonomously implement end-to-end machine learning pipelines from past AI research breakthroughs, given a minimal task description. By providing a concise task description instead of the full prior work as reference, we hope to better elicit emerging AI research taste. We introduce a proof-of-concept benchmark in which frontier coding agents autonomously implement an AlphaZero-style machine learning pipeline for Connect Four on consumer hardware within a three-hour budget, and we evaluate the resulting game AIs in a round-robin tournament anchored to the Pascal Pons Connect Four solver. Across four agents with eight trials each, we find substantial differentiation: Claude Opus 4.7 won as first-mover against Pons in seven of eight trials, statistically significantly better than the other agents tested, none of which exceeded two of eight. The task, which no frontier agent could reliably complete when we began development in January of 2026, is now near-saturation. Our evaluation also surfaced anomalous behavior in GPT-5.4, which consistently used far less of its allocated time budget than other agents. A follow-up 16-trial probe using shorter, less evaluation-coded prompts substantially increased GPT-5.4's time-budget usage, consistent with but not diagnostic of sandbagging; Bradley-Terry ratings across probe conditions showed only directional differences, despite significant differences in time-budget usage. We release our data, code, and prompts to support reproduction and extension.

Inertial microfluidic devices (IMDs) offer low-cost, high-throughput alternative techniques for many traditional particle- (or cell-) manipulation tasks, but simulating them requires being able to predict particle migration, and thus particle lift forces, under a variety of possible channel geometries. Recent work has demonstrated that machine learning models can be used to drastically speed up these numerical simulations, but doing so required training individual models for every unique channel cross-section type (e.g., rectangular, triangular) -- shifting the burden from the simulation step to the training step. In this paper, we develop a novel approach for predicting particle lift forces that contains no explicit geometric parameters. We train a neural network model using a new parameter set and show that while it performs comparably to existing models on channel geometries in the training set, it is able to generalize to unseen channel geometries far more effectively. We show that the lift force model developed herein can be easily transferred to particle tracing simulation software, where it is capable of predicting particle migration patterns consistent with the literature across a variety of channel designs.

This article philosophically examines how shifts in assumptions regarding the existence and non-existence of the true target (TT) give rise to new perspectives and insights for machine learning (ML)-based predictive modeling and, correspondingly, proposes a knowledge system for evaluation and learning under Democratic Supervision. By systematically analysing the existence assumption of the TT in current mainstream ML paradigms, we explicitly adopt a negative ontology perspective, positing that the TT does not objectively exist in the real world, and, grounded in this non-existence assumption, define Democratic Supervision for ML. We further present Multiple Inaccurate True Targets (MIATTs) as an instance-level realization of Democratic Supervision. Building upon MIATTs, we derive principles, for the logic-driven generation and assessment of MIATTs, a logical assessment formulation for evaluation with MIATTs, and undefinable true target learning for learning with MIATTs. Based on these components, we establish the evaluation and learning with MIATTs (EL-MIATTs) framework for ML-based predictive modelling. A real-world application demonstrates the potential of the proposed EL-MIATTs framework in supporting education and professional development for individuals, aligning with prior discussions of Democratic Supervision in the fields of education and professional development.

Curriculum learning helps language models tackle complex reasoning by gradually increasing task difficulty. However, it often fails to generate consistent step-by-step reasoning, especially in multilingual and low-resource settings where cross-lingual transfer from English to Indian languages remains limited. We propose IRIS: Interleaved Reinforcement with Incremental Staged Curriculum, a two-axis framework that combines Supervised Fine-Tuning on progressively harder problems (vertical axis) with Reverse Curriculum Reinforcement Learning to reduce reliance on step-by-step guidance (horizontal axis). We design a composite reward combining correctness, step-wise alignment, continuity, and numeric incentives, optimized via Group Relative Policy Optimization (GRPO). We release CL-Math, a dataset of 29k problems with step-level annotations in English, Hindi, and Marathi. Across standard benchmarks and curated multilingual test sets, IRIS consistently improves performance, with strong results on math reasoning tasks and substantial gains in low-resource and bilingual settings, alongside modest improvements in high-resource languages.

Modern Deep Learning Recommendation Models (DLRMs) follow scaling laws with sequence length, driving the frontier toward ultra-long User Interaction History (UIH). However, the industry-standard "Fat Row" paradigm, which pre-materializes these sequences into every training example, creates a storage and I/O wall where data infrastructure usage exceeds GPU training capacity due to data redundancy that is amplified in multi-tenant environments where models with vastly different sequence length requirements share a union dataset. We present a \emph{versioned late materialization} paradigm that eliminates this redundancy by storing UIH once in a normalized, immutable tier and reconstructing sequences just-in-time during training via lightweight versioned pointers. The system ensures Online-to-Offline (O2O) consistency through a bifurcated protocol that prevents future leakage across both streaming and batch training, while a read-optimized immutable storage layer provides multi-dimensional projection pushdown for heterogeneous model tenants. Disaggregated data preprocessing with pipelined I/O prefetching and data-affinity optimizations masks the latency of training-time sequence reconstruction, keeping training throughput compute-bound by GPUs. Deployed on production DLRMs, the system reduces training data infrastructure resource usage while enabling aggressive sequence length scaling that delivers significant model quality gains, serving as the foundational data infrastructure for modern recommendation model architectures, including HSTU and ULTRA-HSTU.

Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning (AI/ML) models used in clinical settings are increasingly deployed to support clinical decision-making. However, when training data become stale due to changes in demographics, environment, or patient behaviors, model performance can degrade substantially. While updating models with new training data is necessary, such updates may also introduce new risks. We evaluated the proposed monitoring framework on four publicly available U.S.-based Type 1 Diabetes datasets containing high-resolution continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) data, comprising approximately 11,300 weekly observations from 496 participants under 20 years of age. All datasets included structured sociodemographic information. Using the prediction of severe hyperglycemia events in children with type 1 diabetes as a case study, we examine how different model update strategies can adversely affect model stability (e.g., by causing predictions to "flip" for a large number of cases after an update), increase arbitrariness in predictions, or worsen accuracy equity and the balance of error rates across subpopulations. We propose multiple dimensions for continuous monitoring to detect these issues and argue that such monitoring is essential for the development of trustworthy clinical decision support systems.

Short term electricity price forecast is essential in competitive power markets, yet electricity price series exhibit high volatility, irregularity, and non-stationarity. This phenomenon is pronounced in the South Australian region of the National Electricity Market, where high renewable penetration drives price volatility and frequent negative price intervals, while structural changes such as the transition to five-minute settlement further complicate forecast. To address these challenges, this study develops a unified benchmark framework. Under identical data preprocessing, feature engineering with lag features, rolling statistics, cyclic temporal encodings, and so on, and an 85% to 15% chronological train test split, six algorithms are systematically compared, including AWMLSTM, CatBoost, GBRT, LSTM, LightGBM, and SVR. The results show that for price prediction, tree-based models, especially GBRT with an R squared value of 0.88, generally outperform LSTM and SVR. However, all models achieve a mean absolute percentage error above 90%, and more than 65% of GBRT predictions have relative errors above 10%, which highlights the inherent difficulty of price forecast. For demand prediction, all models perform substantially better than in price prediction. AWMLSTM and GBRT achieve an R2 value of 0.96 with mean absolute percentage error below 32%, and GBRT has 74.37% of samples within 5% error, while LSTM and SVR perform less accurately in both tasks. Future improvements should focus on hybrid models such as tree plus transformers, data augmentation for extreme events, and error correction to better capture price spikes.

Deploying machine learning models across diverse well portfolios requires generalisation to wells with design parameters outside the training distribution. Current data-driven approaches to virtual flow metering (VFM) and bottomhole estimation typically treat each well independently or ignore the influence of well design on operational behaviour. We present WISE (Well Intelligence and Systems Engineering Foundation Model), a design-aware, physics-informed multi-task model that integrates three complementary mechanisms: Feature-wise Linear Modulation (FiLM) and cross-modal attention to condition operational embeddings on well design parameters; multi-task learning for simultaneous prediction of flow rates, bottomhole conditions, and flow regime classification; and structural mass conservation with soft physics constraints derived from well engineering principles. Evaluation on the ManyWells benchmark (2000 simulated wells, $10^6$ data points) demonstrates that design-aware models reduce VFM prediction error by up to $13\times$ compared to design-unaware baselines, and that physics constraints reduce negative flow predictions by 65%. Flow regime classification achieves 97.7% bottomhole accuracy, providing continuous well integrity monitoring without additional sensors. The methodology transfers to real operational data from five Equinor Volve producers (oil rate $R^2 = 0.89$, bottomhole pressure $R^2 = 0.98$, water rate $R^2 = 0.97$). The trained model additionally serves as a fast surrogate for integrity-aware well design optimisation over a 24-dimensional design space, with more than $1000\times$ speedup over drift-flux simulations. These results demonstrate that design awareness, physics enforcement, and multi-task learning are essential and complementary ingredients for foundation models intended to operate across large well portfolios.

Single-arm trials accelerate study timelines by reducing the number of patients that must be recruited for a concurrent control group. However, these designs require an alternative comparator to estimate treatment effects. One approach is to construct a virtual control arm using a machine learning (ML) model trained on external control data to predict the counterfactual outcomes of the treatment arm. Our aim in this study was to leverage virtual controls by developing and evaluating ML-based counterfactual outcome models trained on IFX-treated patients to predict 1-year steroid-free clinical remission (SFCR ) and a composite of C-reactive protein remission plus steroid-free clinical remission (CRP-SFCR) for ADA-treated pediatric Crohn's disease patients, and to compare the resulting IFX-versus-ADA treatment effect estimates with those obtained using propensity score matching to external controls. Five ML models were used to train counterfactual models on the observed IFX cohort data. The resulting models were used to predict the counterfactual outcomes for the ADA arm patients. LGBM yields the best OR closest to the propensity score matched reference, and all 95% CI results align with the conclusion from the reference study that no statistical difference in the primary and secondary outcomes has been observed between the patients treated with ADA or IFX. Our study supports virtual controls as a viable and effective substitute for expensive, lengthy or unethical patient recruitment in an inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) trial. The developed gradient boosted prediction model can be used as a pretrained model to generate IFX counterfactual predictions in future studies, pending external validation and assessment of transportability.

Active learning algorithms automatically identify the most informative samples from large amounts of unlabeled data and tremendously reduce human annotation effort in inducing a machine learning model. In a conventional active learning setup, the labeling oracles are assumed to be infallible, that is, they always provide correct answers (in terms of class labels) to the queried unlabeled instances, which cannot be guaranteed in real-world applications. To this end, a body of research has focused on the development of active learning algorithms in the presence of imperfect / noisy oracles. Existing research on active learning with noisy oracles typically simulate the oracles using machine learning models; however, real-world situations are much more challenging, and using ML models to simulate the annotation patterns may not appropriately capture the nuances of real-world annotation challenges. In this research, we first collect annotations of text samples (from 3 benchmark text classification datasets) from crowd-sourced workers through a crowd-sourcing platform. We then conduct extensive empirical studies of 8 commonly used active learning techniques (in conjunction with deep neural networks) using the obtained annotations. Our analyses sheds light on the performance of these techniques under real-world challenges, where annotators can provide incorrect labels, and can also refuse to provide labels. We hope this research will provide valuable insights that will be useful for the deployment of deep active learning systems in real-world applications. The obtained annotations can be accessed at https://github.com/varuntotakura/al_rcta/.

The use of Machine Learning (ML) for data-driven decision-making often relies on access to sensitive datasets, which introduces privacy challenges. Traditional encryption methods protect data at rest or in transit but fail to secure it during processing, exposing it to unauthorized access. Homomorphic encryption emerges as a transformative solution, enabling computations on encrypted data without decryption, thus preserving confidentiality throughout the ML pipeline. This paper addresses the challenge of training ML models on encrypted data while maintaining accuracy and efficiency by proposing a proof-of-concept for a privacy-preserving framework that leverages Cheon-Kim-Kim-Song (CKKS) for approximate real-number arithmetic. Also, it demonstrates the feasibility of training K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN) and linear regression models on encrypted data, and evaluates encrypted inference for a basic Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) architecture. Experimental results show that models trained under Homomorphic encryption achieve performance metrics comparable to plaintext-trained models, validating the approach. However, challenges such as computational overhead, noise management, and limited support for non-polynomial operations persist. This work lays the groundwork for broader adoption of privacy-preserving ML in real-world applications, balancing security with computational feasibility.

Android malware detectors built with machine learning often suffer from temporal bias: models are trained and evaluated without respecting apps' actual release times, inflating accuracy and weakening real-world robustness. We address this by constructing a time-stamped dataset of benign and malicious Android apps and introducing a timestamp-verification procedure to ensure temporal accuracy. We then propose a detection framework that uses Bootstrap Your Own Latent (BYOL) for self-supervised pre-training to learn obfuscation-resilient representations, followed by supervised classification. Under time-aware evaluation, the method attains 98% accuracy and 89% F1. We further characterize malware behavior by analyzing true positives and false negatives using VirusTotal and the MITRE ATT&CK framework. To support reproducibility and further innovation, we release our dataset and source code.

This paper presents a complete, end-to-end on-device vision machine learning pipeline, comprising data acquisition, two-layer CNN training with Adam optimization, and real-time inference, executing entirely on a microcontroller-class device costing $15-40 USD. Unlike cloud-based workflows that require external infrastructure and conceal the computational pipeline from the practitioner, this system implements every step of the core ML lifecycle in approximately 1,750 lines of readable C++ that compiles in under one minute using the Arduino IDE, with no external ML dependencies. Running on the Seeed Studio ESP32-S3 XIAO ML Kit (8 MB PSRAM), the firmware achieves three-class 64x64 image classification in approximately 9 minutes per training run, with real-time inference at 6.3 FPS. Key contributions include: correct batch-level gradient accumulation; pre-computed resize lookup tables for inference; dual-format weight export for SD-free baked-in deployment; a three-tier weight priority system (SD binary > baked-in header > He-initialization) resolved automatically at boot; a single-constant network reconfiguration interface; and PSRAM-aware memory management suited to microcontroller constraints. All source code and reference datasets are released under the MIT License at https://github.com/webmcu-ai/on-device-vision-ai

Driven by the transition towards a climate-neutral energy system, accurate energy time series forecasting is critical for planning and operation. Yet, it remains largely a dataset-specific task, requiring comprehensive training data, limiting scalability, and resulting in high model development and maintenance effort. Recently, foundation models that aim to learn generalizable patterns via extensive pretraining have shown superior performance in multiple prediction tasks. Despite their success and strong potential to address challenges in energy forecasting, their application in this domain remains largely unexplored. We address this gap by presenting the Foundation Models in Energy Time Series Forecasting (FETS) benchmark. We (1) provide a structured overview of energy forecasting use cases along three main dimensions: stakeholders, attributes, and data categories; (2) collect and analyze 54 datasets across 9 data categories, guided by typical stakeholder interests; (3) benchmark foundation models against classical machine learning approaches across different forecasting settings. Foundation models consistently outperform dataset-specific optimized machine learning approaches across all settings and data categories, despite the latter having seen the full historic target data during training. In particular, covariate-informed foundation models achieve the strongest performance. Further analysis reveals a strong correlation between predictive performance and spectral entropy, performance saturation beyond a certain context length, and improved performance at higher aggregation levels such as national load, district heating, and power grid data. Overall, our findings highlight the strong potential of foundation models as scalable and generalizable forecasting solutions for the energy domain, particularly in data-constrained and privacy-sensitive settings.

Benchmark hacking refers to tuning a machine learning model to score highly on certain evaluation criteria without improving true generalization or faithfully solving the intended problem. We study this phenomenon in a generic machine learning contest, where each contestant chooses two types of effort: creative effort that improves model capability as desired by the contest host, and mechanistic effort that only improves the model's fitness to the particular task in contest without contributing to true generalization. We establish the existence of a symmetric monotone pure strategy equilibrium in this competition game. It also provides a natural definition of benchmark hacking in this strategic context by comparing a player's equilibrium effort allocation to that of a single-agent baseline scenario. Under our definition, contestants with types below certain threshold (low types) always engage in benchmark hacking, whereas those above the threshold do not. Furthermore, we show that more skewed reward structures (favoring top-ranked contestants) can elicit more desirable contest outcomes. We also provide empirical evidence to support our theoretical predictions.

Optimization over the Stiefel manifold $\mathrm{St}(p,d)$, the set of $p \times d$ column-orthonormal matrices, is fundamental in statistics, machine learning, and scientific computing, yet remains challenging in the presence of non-convex, non-smooth, or black-box objectives. Existing methods largely rely on either convex relaxations or gradient-based Riemannian optimization, limiting applicability in derivative-free and highly multimodal settings. We propose \textsc{BOOOM} (Black-box Optimization Over Orthonormal Manifolds), a general-purpose framework for loss-function-agnostic optimization on $\mathrm{St}(p,d)$. The key idea is a global Givens rotation-based parametrization that maps the manifold to an unconstrained Euclidean angle space while preserving feasibility exactly. Building on this representation, BOOOM employs a structured, parallelizable, derivative-free search based on Recursive Modified Pattern Search, enabling systematic exploration through plane-wise rotations without requiring gradient information and facilitating escape from poor local optima. We establish a unified theoretical framework showing equivalence between angle-space and manifold optimization, transfer of stationarity, and global convergence in probability under mild conditions. Empirical results across diverse problems, including heterogeneous quadratic optimization, low-rank and sparse matrix decomposition, independent component analysis, and orthogonal joint diagonalization, among other widely studied settings, demonstrate strong performance relative to state-of-the-art methods, particularly in non-smooth and highly multimodal regimes. We further illustrate its practical utility through a novel supervised PCA formulation applied to metabolomics data in colorectal cancer.

Prior work evaluates code generation bias primarily through simple conditional statements, which represent only a narrow slice of real-world programming and reveal solely overt, explicitly encoded bias. We demonstrate that this approach dramatically underestimates bias in practice by examining a more realistic task: generating machine learning (ML) pipelines. Testing both code-specialized and general-instruction large language models, we find that generated pipelines exhibit significant bias during feature selection. Sensitive attributes appear in 87.7% of cases on average, despite models demonstrably excluding irrelevant features (e.g., including "race" while dropping "favorite color" for credit scoring). This bias is substantially more prevalent than that captured by conditional statements, where sensitive attributes appear in only 59.2% of cases. These findings are robust across prompt mitigation strategies, varying numbers of attributes, and different pipeline difficulty levels. Our results challenge simple conditionals as valid proxies for bias evaluation and suggest current benchmarks underestimate bias risk in practical deployments.

Fair machine learning (ML) methods help identify and mitigate the risk that algorithms encode or automate social injustices. Algorithmic approaches alone cannot resolve structural inequalities, but they can support socio-technical decision systems by surfacing discriminatory biases, clarifying trade-offs, and enabling governance. Although fairness is well studied in supervised learning, many real ML applications are online and sequential, with prior decisions informing future ones. Each decision is taken under uncertainty due to unobserved counterfactuals and finite samples, with dire consequences for under-represented groups, systematically under-observed due to historical exclusion and selective feedback. A bank cannot know whether a denied loan would have been repaid, and may have less data on marginalized populations. This paper introduces a taxonomy of uncertainty in sequential decision-making -- model, feedback, and prediction uncertainty -- providing shared vocabulary for assessing systems where uncertainty is unevenly distributed across groups. We formalize model and feedback uncertainty via counterfactual logic and reinforcement learning, and illustrate harms to decision makers (unrealized gains/losses) and subjects (compounding exclusion, reduced access) of policies that ignore the unobserved space. Algorithmic examples show it is possible to reduce outcome variance for disadvantaged groups while preserving institutional objectives (e.g. expected utility). Experiments on data simulated with varying bias show how unequal uncertainty and selective feedback produce disparities, and how uncertainty-aware exploration alters fairness metrics. The framework equips practitioners to diagnose, audit, and govern fairness risks. Where uncertainty drives unfairness rather than incidental noise, accounting for it is essential to fair and effective decision-making.

Toward the goal of using Scientific Machine Learning (SciML) emulators to improve the numerical representation of aerosol processes in global atmospheric models, we explore the emulation of aerosol microphysics processes under cloud-free conditions in the 4-mode Modal Aerosol Module (MAM4) within the Energy Exascale Earth System Model version 2 (E3SMv2). To develop an in-depth understanding of the challenges and opportunities in applying SciML to aerosol processes, we begin with a simple feedforward neural network architecture that has been used in earlier studies, but we systematically examine key emulator design choices, including architecture complexity and variable normalization, while closely monitoring training convergence behavior. Our results show that optimization convergence, scaling strategy, and network complexity strongly influence emulation accuracy. When effective scaling is applied and convergence is achieved, the relatively simple architecture, used together with a moderate network size, can reproduce key features of the microphysics-induced aerosol concentration changes with promising accuracy. These findings provide practical clues for the next stages of emulator development; they also provide general insights that are likely applicable to the emulation of other aerosol processes, as well as other atmospheric physics involving multi-scale variability.

This study investigates Machine Learning (ML) in the prediction of emojis in Arabic tweets employing the (state-of-the-art) MARBERT model. A corpus of 11379 CA tweets representing multiple Arabic colloquial dialects was collected from X.com via Python. A net dataset includes 8695 tweets, which were utilized for the analysis. These tweets were then classified into 14 categories, which were numerically encoded and used as labels. A preprocessing pipeline was designed as an interpretable baseline, allowing us to examine the relationship between lexical features and emoji categories. MARBERT was finetuned to predict emoji use from textual input. We evaluated the model performance in terms of precision, recall and F1-scores. Findings reveal that the model performed quite well with an overall accuracy 0.75. The study concludes that although the findings are promising, there is still a need for improving machine learning models including MARBERT, specifically for low-resource and multidialectal languages like Arabic.

The field of machine learning is subject to an increasing interest in models that are not only accurate but also interpretable and robust, thus allowing their end users to understand and trust AI systems. This paper presents a novel method for learning a set of optimal quantile regression trees. The advantages of this method are that (1) it provides predictions about the complete conditional distribution of a target variable without prior assumptions on this distribution; (2) it provides predictions that are interpretable; (3) it learns a set of optimal quantile regression trees without compromising algorithmic efficiency compared to learning a single tree.

In machine learning, privacy requirements at inference or deployment time often evolve due to changing policies, regulations, or user preferences. In this work, we aim to construct a magnitude of models to satisfy any target differential privacy (DP) requirement without additional training, given a set of existing models trained on the same dataset with different privacy/utility tradeoffs. We propose two post-processing techniques, namely random selection and linear combination, to generate final private models satisfying any target privacy parameter. We provide privacy accounting of these approaches from the lens of R'enyi DP and privacy loss distributions on general problems, as well as on private mean estimation, where we precisely characterize the privacy/utility tradeoffs and compare the two mechanisms. Empirically, we demonstrate the effectiveness of our approaches and validate our analyses on several models and both synthetic and real-world datasets.

We present pAI/MSc, an open-source, customizable, modular multi-agent system for academic research workflows. Our goal is not autonomous scientific ideation, nor fully automated research. It is narrower and more practical: to reduce by orders of magnitude the human steering required to turn a specified hypothesis into a literature-grounded, mathematically established, experimentally supported, submission-oriented manuscript draft. pAI/MSc is built with a current emphasis on machine learning theory and adjacent quantitative fields.

Self-play fine-tuning enables large language models to improve beyond supervised fine-tuning without additional human annotations by contrasting annotated responses with self-generated ones. Many existing methods rely on a fixed divergence regime. SPIN is closely related to a KL-based regime, SPACE to a Jensen-Shannon-style objective via noise contrastive estimation, and SPIF to $χ^2$-regularized self-play. Since these divergences exhibit different strengths depending on the distributional gap between model and target, no single choice appears to provide favorable learning dynamics across training stages. We propose IRIS (Interpolative Rényi Iterative Self-play), a Rényi-based self-play fine-tuning framework with a continuously adjustable objective. IRIS decomposes into two independent tilted risk terms over annotated and synthetic data, with exponential importance weights controlled by the order parameter $α$. We show that several self-play objectives can be interpreted as limiting or representative regimes at particular values of $α$, providing a unified theoretical perspective on these methods. An adaptive order schedule further adjusts $α$ to the distributional gap, shifting from sharper importance weighting early in training to smoother refinement near convergence. Theoretically, we establish the fixed-point property of IRIS and analyze how $α$ controls gradient concentration. Experiments on Zephyr-7B and Qwen2.5-3B across ten benchmarks show that IRIS improves upon baselines, reaching 44.57% average score with gains across iterations. In our setting, IRIS with only 26$k$ annotated samples surpasses standard supervised fine-tuning trained on the full 200$k$ dataset.

We introduce and study the problem of calibrating conditional risk, which involves estimating the expected loss of a prediction model conditional on input features. We analyze this problem in both classification and regression settings and show that it is fundamentally equivalent to a standard regression task. For classification settings, we further establish a connection between conditional risk calibration and individual/conditional probability calibration, and develop theoretical insights for the performance metric. This reveals that while conditional risk calibration is related to existing uncertainty quantification problems, it remains a distinct and standalone machine learning problem. Empirically, we validate our theoretical findings and demonstrate the practical implications of conditional risk calibration in the learning to defer (L2D) framework. Our systematic experiments provide both qualitative and quantitative assessments, offering guidance for future research in uncertainty-aware decision-making.

Cloud data warehouses bill compute based on slot-time consumed. In shared multi-tenant environments, query cost is highly variable and hard to estimate before execution, causing budget overruns and degraded scheduling. Static query-planner heuristics fail to capture complex SQL structure, data skew, and workload contention. We present a feature-scoped machine learning approach that predicts BigQuery slot-time before execution using only pre-execution observable signals: a structured query complexity score derived from SQL operator costs, data volume features from planner estimates and workload metadata, and textual features from query text. We deliberately exclude runtime factors (slot-pool utilization, cache state, realized skew) unknowable at submission. The model uses a HistGradientBoostingRegressor trained on log-transformed slot-time, with a TF-IDF + TruncatedSVD-512 text pipeline fused with numeric and categorical features. Trained on 749 queries across seven deployment environments and evaluated out-of-distribution on 746 queries from two held-out environments, the model achieves MAE 1.17 slot-minutes, RMSE 4.71, and 74% explained variance on the full workload. On cost-significant queries (slot-time >= 0.01 min, N=282) the model achieves MAE 3.10 versus 4.95 for a predict-mean baseline and 4.54 for predict-median, a 30-37% reduction. On long-tail queries (>= 20 min, N=22) the model does not outperform trivial baselines, consistent with the hypothesis that long-tail queries are dominated by unobserved runtime factors outside the current feature scope. A complexity-routed dual-model architecture is described as a practical refinement, and directions for closing the long-tail gap are identified as future work.

This is our fourth work in the series on machine learning (ML) moment closure models for the radiative transfer equation (RTE). In the first three papers of this series, we considered the RTE in slab geometry in 1D1V (i.e. one dimension in physical space and one dimension in angular space), and introduced a gradient-based ML moment closure [1], then enforced the hyperbolicity through a symmetrizer [2], or together with physical characteristic speeds by learning the eigenvalues of the Jacobian matrix [3]. Here, we extend our framework to the RTE in 2D2V (i.e. two dimensions in physical space and two dimensions in angular space). The main idea is to preserve the leading part of the classical $P_N$ model and modify only the highest-order block row. By analyzing the structural properties of the $P_N$ model, we show that its coefficient matrices are symmetric and admit a block-tridiagonal structure. Then we use this property to introduce a block-diagonal symmetrizer for the ML moment model and derive explicit algebraic conditions on the closure blocks which guarantee the symmetrizable hyperbolicity of the resulting ML system. These conditions lead to a natural parametrization of the closure in terms of a symmetric positive definite matrix together with symmetric closure blocks, which can be learned from data while automatically enforcing symmetrizable hyperbolicity by construction. The numerical results show that the proposed framework improves upon the classical $P_N$ model while maintaining hyperbolicity.

The rise of IoT devices and the uptake of cloud computing have informed a new era of data-driven intelligence. Traditional centralized machine learning models that require a large volume of data to be stored in a single location have therefore become more susceptible to data breaches, privacy violations, and regulatory non-compliance. This report presents a thorough examination of the merging of Federated Learning (FL) and blockchain technology in a cloud-edge setting, demonstrating it as an effective solution to the stated concerns. We are proposing a detailed four-dimensional architectural categorization that meticulously assesses coordination frameworks, consensus algorithms, data storage practices, and trust models that are significant to these integrated systems. The manuscript presents a comprehensive comparative examination of two cutting-edge frameworks: the Multi-Objectives Reinforcement Federated Learning Blockchain (MORFLB), which is designed for intelligent transportation systems, and the Federated Blockchain-IoT Framework for Sustainable Healthcare Systems (FBCI-SHS), elucidating their distinctive contributions and inherent limitations. Lastly, we engage in a thorough evaluation of the literature that integrates a comparative perspective on current frameworks to discern the singular nature of this research within existing knowledge systems. The manuscript culminates in delineating the principal challenges and offering a strategic framework for prospective research trajectories, emphasizing the advancement of adaptive, resilient, and standardized BCFL systems across diverse application domains.

Cement production is among the largest contributors to industrial air pollution, emitting ~3 Mt NOx/year. The industry-standard mitigation approach, selective non-catalytic reduction (SNCR), exhibits low NH3 utilization efficiency, resulting in operational inefficiencies and increased reagent costs. Here, we develop a data-driven framework for emission control using large-scale operational data from four cement plants worldwide. Benchmarking nine machine learning architectures, we observe that prediction error varies ~3-5x across plants due to variation in data richness. Incorporating short-term process history nearly triples NOx prediction accuracy, revealing that NOx formation carries substantial process memory, a timescale dependence that is absent in CO and CO2. Further, we develop models that forecast NOx overshoots as early as nine minutes, providing a buffer for operational adjustments. The developed framework controls NOx formation at the source, reducing NH3 consumption in downstream SNCR. Surrogate model projections estimate a ~34-64% reduction in NOx while preserving clinker quality, corresponding to a reduction of ~290 t NOx/year and ~58,000 USD/year in NH3 savings. This work establishes a generalizable framework for data-driven emission control, offering a pathway toward low-emission operation without structural modifications or additional hardware, with potential applicability to other hard-to-abate industries such as steel, glass, and lime.

The goal of machine learning is to find models that minimize prediction error on data that has not yet been seen. Its operational paradigm assumes access to a dataset $S$ and articulates a scheme for evaluating how well a given model performs on an arbitrary sample. The sample can be $S$ (in which case we speak of in-sample'' performance) or some entirely new $S'$ (in which case we speak of out-of-sample'' performance). Traditional analysis of generalization assumes that both in- and out-of-sample data are i.i.d.\ draws from an infinite population. However, these probabilistic assumptions cannot be verified even in principle. This paper presents an alternative view of generalization through the lens of sensitivity analysis of solutions of optimization problems to perturbations in the problem data. Under this framework, generalization bounds are obtained by purely deterministic means and take the form of variational principles that relate in-sample and out-of-sample evaluations through an error term that quantifies how close out-of-sample data are to in-sample data. Statistical assumptions can then be used \textit{ex post} to characterize the situations when this error term is small (either on average or with high probability).

Decentralized optimization enables multiple devices to learn a global machine learning model while each individual device only has access to its local dataset. By avoiding the need for training data to leave individual users' devices, it enhances privacy and scalability compared to conventional centralized learning, where all data has to be aggregated to a central server. However, decentralized optimization has traditionally been viewed as a necessary compromise, used only when centralized processing is impractical due to communication constraints or data privacy concerns. In this study, we show that decentralization can paradoxically accelerate convergence, outperforming centralized methods in the number of iterations needed to reach optimal solutions. Through examples in logistic regression and neural network training, we demonstrate that distributing data and computation across multiple agents can lead to faster learning than centralized approaches, even when each iteration is assumed to take the same amount of time, whether performed centrally on the full dataset or decentrally on local subsets. This finding challenges longstanding assumptions and reveals decentralization as a strategic advantage, offering new opportunities for more efficient optimization and machine learning.

The emergence of sixth-generation (6G) technologies has introduced new challenges and opportunities for machine learning (ML) applications in Internet of Things (IoT) networks, particularly concerning energy efficiency. As model training and data transmission contribute significantly to energy consumption, optimizing these processes has become critical for sustainable system design. This study first conduct analysis on the energy consumption model for both centralized and decentralized architecture and then presents a testbed deployed within the German railway infrastructure, leveraging sensor data for ML-based predictive maintenance. A comparative analysis of distributed versus Centralized Learning (CL) architectures reveals that distributed models maintain competitive predictive accuracy (~90%) while reducing overall electricity consumption by up to 70%. These findings underscore the potential of distributed ML to improve energy efficiency in real-world IoT deployments, particularly by mitigating transmission-related energy costs.

The evaluation of machine learning models typically relies mainly on performance metrics based on loss functions, which risk to overlook changes in performance in relevant subgroups. Auditing tools such as SliceFinder and SliceLine were proposed to detect such groups, but usually have conceptual disadvantages, such as the inability to directly address continuous covariates. In this paper, we introduce FairTree, a novel algorithm adapted from psychometric invariance testing. Unlike SliceFinder and related algorithms, FairTree directly handles continuous, categorical, and ordinal features without discretization. It further decomposes performance disparities into systematic bias and variance, allowing a categorization of changes in algorithm performance. We propose and evaluate two variations of the algorithm: a permutation-based approach, which is conceptually closer to SliceFinder, and a fluctuation test. Through simulation studies that include a direct comparison with SliceLine, we demonstrate that both approaches have a satisfactory rate of false-positive results, but that the fluctuation approach has relatively higher power. We further illustrate the method on the UCI Adult Census dataset. The proposed algorithms provide a flexible framework for the statistical evaluation of the performance and aspects of fairness of machine learning models in a wide range of applications even in relatively small data.

This study aims to develop and improve machine learning-based post-processing models for precipitation, temperature, and wind speed predictions using the Mesoscale Model (MSM) dataset provided by the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) for 18 locations across Japan, including plains, mountainous regions, and islands. By incorporating meteorological variables from grid points surrounding the target locations as input features and applying feature selection based on correlation analysis, we found that, in our experimental setting, the LightGBM-based models achieved lower RMSE than the specific neural-network baselines tested in this study, including a reproduced CNN baseline, and also generally achieved lower RMSE than both the raw MSM forecasts and the JMA post-processing product, MSM Guidance (MSMG), across many locations and forecast lead times. Because precipitation has a highly skewed distribution with many zero cases, we additionally examined Tweedie-based loss functions and event-weighted training strategies for precipitation forecasting. These improved event-oriented performance relative to the original LightGBM model, especially at higher rainfall thresholds, although the gains were site dependent and overall performance remained slightly below MSMG.

Owing to the recent advancements in wearable devices for health care, the importance of BP estimation without cuffs increases. Cuff technologies are inappropriate for continuous BP measurement due to their inconvenient usage, invasive character, necessity of calibration, large size, and inability to perform long-term monitoring. Normally, the algorithm used for cuffless BP prediction employs machine learning models that operate according to the data-driven approach. However, although they show high numerical accuracy, ML models do not provide any interpretability, resulting in poor physiological validity and clinical applicability. We propose a combination of Windkessel and ML models that incorporates the physical aspects into the latter one. It is performed by reformulating Windkessel into a form that will allow employing ML models. The result is a system of ODEs which can be used in the neural network. Thus, the inclusion of physical constraints improves the data-driven approach by making models consistent with physics, understandable, and robust. For illustration, we apply the described technique using a publicly available MIMIC-II database that we obtain from the UCI Machine Learning Repository.

In this paper, we introduce a new concept called Artificial Special Intelligence by which Machine Learning models for the classification problem can be trained error-free, thus acquiring the capability of not making repeated mistakes. The method is applied to 18 MedMNIST biomedical datasets. Except for three datasets, which suffer from the double-labeling problem, all are trained to perfection.

Bug reports, encompassing a wide range of bug types, are crucial for maintaining software quality. However, the increasing complexity and volume of bug reports pose a significant challenge in sole manual identification and assignment to the appropriate teams for resolution, as dealing with all the reports is time-consuming and resource-intensive. In this paper, we introduce a cross-project framework, dubbed Mutualistic Neural Active Learning (MNAL), designed for automated and more effective identification of bug reports from GitHub repositories boosted by human-machine collaboration. MNAL utilizes a neural language model that learns and generalizes reports across different projects, coupled with active learning to form neural active learning. A distinctive feature of MNAL is the purposely crafted mutualistic relation between the machine learners (neural language model) and human labelers (developers) when enriching the knowledge learned. That is, the most informative human-labeled reports and their corresponding pseudo-labeled ones are used to update the model while those reports that need to be labeled by developers are more readable and identifiable, thereby enhancing the human-machine teaming therein. We evaluate MNAL using a large scale dataset against the SOTA approaches, baselines, and different variants. The results indicate that MNAL achieves up to 95.8% and 196.0% effort reduction in terms of readability and identifiability during human labeling, respectively, while resulting in a better performance in bug report identification. Additionally, our MNAL is model-agnostic since it is capable of improving the model performance with various underlying neural language models. To further verify the efficacy of our approach, we conducted a qualitative case study involving 10 human participants, who rate MNAL as being more effective while saving more time and monetary resources.

Alzheimer disease (AD) is a neurodegenerative disease that lacks specific treatment options. Natural drugs have displayed neuroprotective effects; however, their high-throughput discovery is challenging because of the expense of experimental testing.The study proposed a machine learning approach to identify the anti-dementia activity of natural compounds based on molecular descriptors obtained from cheminformatics. The study used a set of active and inactive compounds obtained from public databases like ChEMBL and PubChem. Various molecular descriptors, including molecular weight, lipophilicity (LogP), topological polar surface area (TPSA), and hydrogen bonding descriptors, were calculated with RDKit. Data preprocessing and feature selection were applied, followed by the development of several classification models (Random Forest, XGBoost, Support Vector Machines, Logistic Regression) and their evaluation based on accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score and ROC-AUC. The outcome suggests that ensemble techniques, such as Random Forest, delivered the best predictive accuracy and ROC-AUC values. This study also highlights that critical physicochemical descriptors in particular lipophilicity, molecular weight and polarity are important in driving neuroprotective activity as identified by feature importance analysis. The integrated machine learning approach shows the potential of combining natural product research and machine learning in early drug discovery for dementia. They provide a means of rapidly exploring large datasets and selecting candidates for experimental confirmation, thus minimising costs and time in the development of drugs for neurodegenerative diseases.

Deep learning (DL) has become a cornerstone of modern machine learning (ML) praxis. We introduce the R package mlr3torch, which is an extensible DL framework for the mlr3 ecosystem. It is built upon the torch package, and simplifies the definition, training, and evaluation of neural networks for both tabular data and generic tensors (e.g., images) for classification and regression. The package implements predefined architectures, and torch models can easily be converted to mlr3 learners. It also allows users to define neural networks as graphs. This representation is based on the graph language defined in mlr3pipelines and allows users to define the entire modeling workflow, including preprocessing, data augmentation, and network architecture, in a single graph. Through its integration into the mlr3 ecosystem, the package allows for convenient resampling, benchmarking, preprocessing, and more. We explain the package's design and features and show how to customize and extend it to new problems. Furthermore, we demonstrate the package's capabilities using three use cases, namely hyperparameter tuning, fine-tuning, and defining architectures for multimodal data. Finally, we present some runtime benchmarks.

Data scarcity remains a fundamental bottleneck in applying deep learning to wireless communication problems, particularly in scenarios where collecting labeled Radio Frequency (RF) data is expensive, time-consuming, or operationally constrained. This paper proposes LLM-AUG, a data augmentation framework that leverages in-context learning in large language models (LLMs) to generate synthetic training samples directly in a learned embedding space. Unlike conventional generative approaches that require training task-specific models, LLM-AUG performs data generation through structured prompting, enabling rapid adaptation in low-shot regimes. We evaluate LLM-AUG on two representative tasks: modulation classification and interference classification using the RadioML 2016.10A dataset, and the Interference Classification (IC) dataset respectively. Results show that LLM-AUG consistently outperforms traditional augmentation and deep generative baselines across low-shot settings and reaches near oracle performance using only 15% labeled data. LLM-AUG further demonstrates improved robustness under distribution shifts, yielding a 29.4% relative gain over diffusion-based augmentation at a lower SNR value. On the RadioML and IC datasets, LLM-AUG yields a relative gain of 67.6% and 35.7% over the diffusion-based baseline. The t-SNE visualizations further validate that synthetic samples generated by better preserve class structure in the embedding space, leading to more consistent and informative augmentations. These results demonstrate that LLMs can serve as effective and practical data augmenters for wireless machine learning, enabling robust and data-efficient learning in evolving wireless environments.

Predictions from machine learning algorithms can vary across random seeds, inducing instability in downstream debiased machine learning estimators. We formalize random seed stability via a concentration condition and prove that subbagging guarantees stability for any bounded-outcome regression algorithm. We introduce a new cross-fitting procedure, adaptive cross-bagging, which simultaneously eliminates seed dependence from both nuisance estimation and sample splitting in debiased machine learning. Numerical experiments confirm that the method achieves the targeted level of stability whereas alternatives do not. Our method incurs a small computational penalty relative to standard practice whereas alternative methods incur large penalties.

Credit risk default prediction remains a cornerstone of risk management in the financial industry. The task involves estimating the likelihood that a borrower will fail to meet debt obligations, an objective critical for lending decisions, portfolio optimization, and regulatory compliance. Traditional machine learning models such as logistic regression and tree-based ensembles are widely adopted for their interpretability and strong empirical performance. However, modern credit datasets are high-dimensional, heterogeneous, and noisy, increasing overfitting risk in monolithic models and reducing robustness under distributional shift. We introduce STRIKE (Stacking via Targeted Representations of Isolated Knowledge Extractors), a feature-group-aware stacking framework for structured tabular credit risk data. Rather than training a single monolithic model on the complete dataset, STRIKE partitions the feature space into semantically coherent groups and trains independent learners within each group. This decomposition is motivated by an additive perspective on risk modeling, where distinct feature sources contribute complementary evidence that can be combined through a structured aggregation. The resulting group-specific predictions are integrated through a meta-learner that aggregates signals while maintaining robustness and modularity. We evaluate STRIKE on three real-world datasets spanning corporate bankruptcy and consumer lending scenarios. Across all settings, STRIKE consistently outperforms strong tree-based baselines and conventional stacking approaches in terms of AUC-ROC. Ablation studies confirm that performance gains stem from meaningful feature decomposition rather than increased model complexity. Our findings demonstrate that STRIKE is a stable, scalable, and interpretable framework for credit risk default prediction tasks.

Despite their substantial successes, AI agents continue to face fundamental challenges in terms of trustworthiness. Consider deep research agents, tasked with searching for information relevant to a given topic-while AI agents can perform effective information retrieval, there is little guarantee regarding the completeness of this information. Gaps in retrieved information can leave biases that mislead users even if the information they are given is correct and relevant. We introduce SeekerGym, a benchmark designed to evaluate the completeness of information retrieved by AI agents. In addition, SeekerGym also measures how well agents quantify their uncertainty in the completeness of their information; if an agent fails to retrieve all relevant information, it is useful for it to at least quantify how much might be missing. At a high level, each task in SeekerGym is a document (e.g., a Wikipedia article), and the AI agent must issue queries to retrieve passages from that document. Intuitively, the document comprehensively covers a topic, so the ability to retrieve its sections directly measures completeness of information retrieval. In addition to Wikipedia, we also consider machine learning survey papers, where the goal is to retrieve relevant sections of a survey paper. We benchmark several models and algorithms; the best approaches retrieve 42.5% of passages on Wikipedia and 29.2% on ML Surveys, leaving substantial room for improvement.

The plasma environment around Mars is highly variable because it is strongly influenced by the solar wind. Accurate identification of plasma regions around Mars is important for the community studying solar wind-Mars interactions, region-specific plasma processes, and atmospheric escape. In this study, we develop a machine-learning-based classifier to automatically identify three key plasma regions--solar wind, magnetosheath, and induced magnetosphere--using only ion omnidirectional energy spectra measured by the MAVEN Solar Wind Ion Analyzer (SWIA). Two neural network architectures are evaluated: a multilayer perceptron (MLP) and a convolutional neural network (CNN) that incorporates short temporal sequences. Our results show that the CNN can reliably distinguish the three plasma regions, whereas the MLP struggles to separate the solar wind and magnetosheath. Therefore, the CNN-based approach provides an efficient and accurate framework for large-scale plasma region identification at Mars and can be readily applied to future planetary missions.

The present study aims to investigate a cluster cleaning algorithm that is both computationally simple and capable of solving the PU classification when the SCAR condition is unsatisfied. A secondary objective of this study is to determine the robustness of the LassoJoint method to perturbations of the SCAR condition. In the first step of our algorithm, we obtain cleaning labels from 2-means clustering. Subsequently, we perform logistic regression on the cleaned data, assigning positive labels from the cleaning algorithm with additional true positive observations. The remaining observations are assigned the negative label. The proposed algorithm is evaluated by comparing 11 real data sets from machine learning repositories and a synthetic set. The findings obtained from this study demonstrate the efficacy of the clustering algorithm in scenarios where the SCAR condition is violated and further underscore the moderate robustness of the LassoJoint algorithm in this context.

This thesis develops numerical and theoretical approaches for understanding and analyzing singularity formation in Partial Differential Equations (PDEs). The singularity formation in the Navier-Stokes Equation (NSE) is famously challenging as one of the seven Clay Prize problems. Unlike simpler equations such as the Nonlinear Heat (NLH) or Keller-Segel (KS) equations, where formal asymptotics near blowup are better understood, the intrinsic complexity of NSE makes quantitative analytical treatment difficult, if not impossible, without numerical guidance. Building on numerical insights, we introduce a robust analytical framework to simplify and systematize pen-and-paper proofs for simpler singular PDEs. We present a novel approach based on enforcing vanishing modulation conditions for perturbations around approximate blowup profiles, complemented by singularly weighted energy estimates. We demonstrate the efficacy of our method on PDEs with complicated asymptotics, such as NLH and the Complex Ginzburg-Landau (CGL) equation, and address the open problem of singularity formation in the 3D KS equation with logistic damping. We develop and refine numerical approaches that facilitate deeper insights into singularity formation. We demonstrate that machine learning methods significantly enhance our capability to identify and characterize potential blowup solutions with high precision. We improve on existing Physics-Informed Neural Network (PINN) and Neural Operator (NO) frameworks. Moreover, we present a novel machine learning paradigm, the Kolmogorov-Arnold Network (KAN) architecture, whose interpretability and excellent scaling properties are achieved through learnable nonlinearities.

Machine learning models often inherit biases from historical data, raising critical concerns about fairness and accountability. Conventional fairness interventions typically require access to sensitive attributes like gender or race, but privacy and legal restrictions frequently limit their use. To address this challenge, we propose a framework that infers sensitive attributes from auxiliary features and integrates fairness constraints into model training. Our approach mitigates bias while preserving predictive accuracy, offering a practical solution for fairness-aware learning. Empirical evaluations validate its effectiveness, contributing to the advancement of more equitable algorithmic decision-making.

As AI systems are increasingly used to conduct research autonomously, misaligned systems could introduce subtle flaws that produce misleading results while evading detection. We introduce Auditing Sabotage Bench, a benchmark for evaluating the ability of auditors to detect and fix sabotage in ML research codebases. Our benchmark consists of 9 ML research codebases with sabotaged variants that produce qualitatively different experimental results. Each sabotage modifies implementation details, such as hyperparameters, training data, or evaluation code, while preserving the high-level methodology described in the paper. We evaluated frontier LLMs and LLM-assisted human auditors on our benchmark and found that both struggled to reliably detect and fix sabotage: the best performance was an AUROC of 0.77 and a top-1 fix rate of 42%, achieved by Gemini 3.1 Pro. We also tested LLMs as red teamers and found that LLM-generated sabotages were weaker than human-generated ones but still sometimes evaded same-capability LLM auditors. We release the benchmark to support research on monitoring and auditing techniques for AI-conducted research.

Explaining Machine Learning (ML) results in a transparent and user-friendly manner remains a challenging task of Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI). In this paper, we present a method to enhance the interpretability of ML models by using a Knowledge Graph (KG). We store domain-specific data along with ML results and their corresponding explanations, establishing a structured connection between domain knowledge and ML insights. To make these insights accessible to users, we designed a selective retrieval method in which relevant triplets are extracted from the KG and processed by a Large Language Model (LLM) to generate user-friendly explanations of ML results. We evaluated our method in a manufacturing environment using the XAI Question Bank. Beyond standard questions, we introduce more complex, tailored questions that highlight the strengths of our approach. We evaluated 33 questions, analyzing responses using quantitative metrics such as accuracy and consistency, as well as qualitative ones such as clarity and usefulness. Our contribution is both theoretical and practical: from a theoretical perspective, we present a novel approach for effectively enabling LLMs to dynamically access a KG in order to improve the explainability of ML results. From a practical perspective, we provide empirical evidence showing that such explanations can be successfully applied in real-world manufacturing environments, supporting better decision-making in manufacturing processes.

For around a decade, non-symbolic methods have been the option of choice when explaining complex machine learning (ML) models. Unfortunately, such methods lack rigor and can mislead human decision-makers. In high-stakes uses of ML, the lack of rigor is especially problematic. One prime example of provable lack of rigor is the adoption of Shapley values in explainable artificial intelligence (XAI), with the tool SHAP being a ubiquitous example. This paper overviews the ongoing efforts towards using rigorous symbolic methods of XAI as an alternative to non-rigorous non-symbolic approaches, concretely for assigning relative feature importance.

Automated classification of electrocardiogram (ECG) signals is a useful tool for diagnosing and monitoring cardiovascular diseases. This study compares three traditional machine learning algorithms (Decision Tree Classifier, Random Forest Classifier, and Logistic Regression) and three deep learning models (Simple Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), and Complex CNN (ECGLens)) for the classification of ECG signals from the PTB-XL dataset, which contains 12-lead recordings from normal patients and patients with various cardiac conditions. The DL models were trained on raw ECG signals, allowing them to automatically extract discriminative features. Data augmentation using the Stationary Wavelet Transform (SWT) was applied to enhance model performance, increase the diversity of training samples, and preserve the essential characteristics of the ECG signals. The models were evaluated using multiple metrics, including accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score, and ROC-AUC. The ECG-Lens model achieved the highest performance, with 80% classification accuracy and a 90% ROC-AUC. These findings demonstrate that deep learning architectures, particularly complex CNNs substantially outperform traditional ML methods on raw 12-lead ECG data, and provide a practical benchmark for selecting automated ECG classification models and identifying directions for condition-specific model development.

Left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) assessment depends on echocardiography, limiting access in primary care and resource-constrained settings. We developed a multimodal machine-learning framework that combines engineered 12-lead ECG timeseries features with structured EHR variables to classify LVEF into four clinically used strata: normal (>50%), mildly reduced (40-50%), moderately reduced (30-40%), and severely reduced (<30%). To support model explainability, we identified the most influential ECG and EHR features via SHAP attributions. Using retrospective data from Hartford HealthCare, we trained XGBoost models on 36,784 ECG-echocardiogram pairs from 30,952 outpatients and evaluated temporal generalizability on 19,966 ECGs from a subsequent period. The multimodal model achieved one-vs-rest AUROCs of 0.95 (severe), 0.92 (moderate), 0.82 (mild), and 0.91 (normal), outperforming ECG-only and EHR-only baselines, and maintained performance under temporal validation. This work supports ECG-based, multimodal LVEF stratification as a practical screening and triage aid to prioritize confirmatory imaging where resources are limited.

Predicting the relative value of any given chess piece in a position remains an open challenge, as a piece's contribution depends on its spatial relationships with every other piece on the board. We demonstrate that incorporating the state of the full chess board via latent position representations derived using a CNN-based autoencoder significantly improves accuracy for MLP-based piece value prediction architectures. Using a dataset of over 12 million piece-value pairs gathered from Grandmaster-level games, with ground-truth labels generated by Stockfish 17, our enhanced piece value predictor significantly outperforms context-independent MLP-based systems, reducing validation mean absolute error by 16% and predicting relative piece value within approximately 0.65 pawns. More generally, our findings suggest that encoding the full problem state as context provides useful inductive bias for predicting the contribution of any individual component.

Machine learning components are now central to AI-infused software systems, from recommendations and code assistants to clinical decision support. As regulations and governance frameworks increasingly require deleting sensitive data from deployed models, machine unlearning is emerging as a practical alternative to full retraining. However, unlearning introduces a software quality-assurance challenge: under realistic deployment constraints and imperfect oracles, how can we test that a model no longer relies on targeted information? This paper frames unlearning testing as a first-class software engineering problem. We argue that practical unlearning tests must provide (i) thorough coverage over proxy and mediated influence pathways, (ii) debuggable diagnostics that localize where leakage persists, (iii) cost-effective regression-style execution under query budgets, and (iv) black-box applicability for API-deployed models. We outline a causal, pathway-centric perspective, causal fuzzing, that generates budgeted interventions to estimate residual direct and indirect effects and produce actionable "leakage reports". Proof-of-concept results illustrate that standard attribution checks can miss residual influence due to proxy pathways, cancellation effects, and subgroup masking, motivating causal testing as a promising direction for unlearning testing.

The evaluation of fairness in machine learning systems has become a central concern in high-stakes applications, including biometric recognition, healthcare decision-making, and automated risk assessment. Existing approaches typically rely on a small number of fairness metrics to assess model behaviour across group partitions, implicitly assuming that these metrics provide consistent and reliable conclusions. However, different fairness metrics capture distinct statistical properties of model performance and may therefore produce conflicting assessments when applied to the same system. In this work, we investigate the consistency of fairness evaluation by conducting a systematic multi-metric analysis of demographic bias in machine learning models. Using face recognition as a controlled experimental setting, we evaluate model performance across multiple group partitions under a range of commonly used fairness metrics, including error-rate disparities and performance-based measures. Our results demonstrate that fairness assessments can vary significantly depending on the choice of metrics, leading to contradictory conclusions regarding model bias. To quantify this phenomenon, we introduce the Fairness Disagreement Index (FDI), a measure designed to capture the degree of inconsistency across fairness metrics. We further show that disagreement remains high across thresholds and model configurations. These findings highlight a critical limitation in current fairness evaluation practices and suggest that single-metric reporting is insufficient for reliable bias assessment.