Trajectory

Vessel trajectory prediction is important for intelligent shipping, maritime surveillance, and navigation safety. However, existing public maritime AIS resources are often limited by inconsistent forecasting protocols, uneven data quality, and the lack of benchmark-ready contextual annotations, which hinder fair comparison and context-aware modeling. To address this gap, we present EnvShip-Bench, a unified benchmark for short-term vessel trajectory prediction built from large-scale raw AIS data from the Danish Maritime Authority (DMA) and NOAA through a common processing pipeline. EnvShip-Bench adopts a standardized forecasting protocol with 10 minutes of observation, 10 minutes of prediction, and 20-second sampling in vessel-centric local metric coordinates. Beyond the large-scale core benchmark, it provides a quality-first compact subset for efficient and reproducible experimentation, together with synchronized environmental and nearby-vessel context extensions. As a result, EnvShip-Bench supports trajectory-only, environment-aware, and interaction-aware forecasting under a unified evaluation framework. Extensive benchmark statistics and analysis demonstrate that EnvShip-Bench offers a standardized, extensible, and context-aware foundation for maritime trajectory forecasting research.

Reliable trajectory planning under partial observability depends not only on computing a feasible geometric path, but also on whether the robot receives informative observations while executing that trajectory. Existing approaches usually keep the environment fixed and adapt the robot through belief-space planning, active localization, or added sensing, often incurring costly uncertainty propagation and brittle behavior in observation-poor regions. We flip this perspective and address the largely open problem of \emph{task-aware environment augmentation}: given a mapped environment, a planned task trajectory, and a small budget of visual fiducial markers, where should the environment be augmented so that the planned trajectory can be executed reliably under uncertainty? Our key observation is that useful marker layouts are defined by the localization support they provide along the task trajectory: a small number of well-timed observations can be sufficient to prevent uncertainty from accumulating in regions where state-estimation error would otherwise compromise control. Building on this observation, we present \tbp{SCoDA}, $\textbf{S}$hielded $\textbf{Co}$nditional $\textbf{D}$iffusion for Environment $\textbf{A}$ugmentation. \tbp{SCoDA} learns a conditional distribution over high-performing fiducial layouts from data, using the environment, planned trajectory, disturbance context, and desired execution profile as conditioning. Its shielded sampler reasons over where along the planned execution pose corrections should occur, and steers this distribution toward task-relevant, finite-budget augmentations. Across simulated benchmarks and hardware deployments, we show that \tbp{SCoDA} improves trajectory execution reliability and completion time over strong baselines. Code, models and dataset available at: \hyperlink{scoda-diffusion.github.io}{https://scoda-diffusion.github.io/}

Physics-grounded video generation requires controllable 3D object dynamics that remain physically consistent under contact, deformation, and external forcing. Existing trajectory-based methods often model isolated physical effects, making it difficult to compose conservative and non-conservative dynamics in contact-rich 3D scenes. We present NEXUS, a neural energy-field framework for contact-rich 3D object dynamics. NEXUS represents each object as a structural graph and constructs dynamic object-object and object-environment contact graphs. Inspired by Hamiltonian Neural Networks, NEXUS formulates motion through scalar energy and dissipation terms rather than directly predicting states or accelerations. Conservative effects, including gravity and elastic deformation, are composed as additive energy terms, while non-conservative effects such as damping and impact-induced energy loss are modeled with learned Rayleigh-style dissipation. Forces are derived by differentiating the energy and dissipation functions and rolled out with a multi-substep semi-implicit integrator. Across controlled trajectory benchmarks, NEXUS improves long-horizon accuracy over representative learned and physics-structured dynamics baselines under varying mechanical properties and physical-effect compositions. We further show that NEXUS trajectories provide effective guidance for contact-rich video generation, improving physical plausibility while maintaining competitive visual quality.

Autonomous driving systems rely on precise trajectory prediction to plan safe and efficient movement. Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have become a promising approach for modelling spatiotemporal interactions among road agents. However, designing GNN architectures for trajectory prediction remains non-standardized, with little guidance on which graph layers effectively capture spatial interactions and temporal dynamics. This paper offers a detailed comparative study of 19 graph layer types, focusing on their spatial and temporal processing capabilities to discover the most effective architectures for trajectory prediction. Within the explored hyperparameter setting, we highlight five standout layer combinations, with ARMA, Chebyshev, and topology-aware layers consistently performing better than others. Beyond performance metrics, our findings yield practical design principles: sum-based aggregation is more effective than mean-based methods, multi-head attention mechanisms enable richer interactions, and assigning different weights to different hop distances significantly improves prediction accuracy. These findings offer useful guidance for designing more interpretable and effective trajectory prediction models.

Robots under autonomous operation may require decisions based on evidence that is no longer visible. We study delayed-evidence tasks, where an early cue disappears before a later decision point, so visually similar observations can require different actions. In these settings, the current observation is not a sufficient state for control. We introduce TRAjectory-routed Causal Evidence (TRACE), a memory framework for visuomotor imitation policies. TRACE stores task-relevant visual and robot-state evidence, such as object identity, target choice, or route-dependent state, in a fixed-size latent memory that remains bounded over long episodes. Instead of indexing memory by raw time or manually provided task labels, TRACE uses path signatures: compact, order-sensitive features of the executed robot-state trajectory. These signatures do not store the visual cue itself; rather, they provide trajectory-conditioned keys for writing and retrieving the evidence stored when the cue was visible. When the robot later reaches an ambiguous observation, the policy conditions on TRACE memory to recover the missing context and choose the correct branch. TRACE attaches through lightweight adapters to policies, without changing the policy backbone, action head, or imitation objective. Across real-world long-horizon manipulation tasks with visually ambiguous branch points, TRACE improves branch selection and task success over alternative baselines, including short-history and recurrent memory. Project page: https://jeong-zju.github.io/trace

Object placement is a fundamental component of aerial manipulation tasks, yet existing systems typically require the desired placement position to be specified explicitly in metric coordinates. Such interfaces are not intuitive and require users to reason about coordinate frames and scene geometry, making them difficult to use in practical deployments. In contrast, humans often communicate spatial goals through a combination of language and pointing gestures. Inspired by this observation, we present AERMANI-PLACE, a framework for language-guided object placement with aerial manipulators. Given a scene image and a natural language instruction, an image editing model generates a modified version of the scene containing a visual marker that indicates where the object should be placed. This marker is then grounded into the physical environment using depth observations to recover a metric place point, after which a placement trajectory is generated and executed by the aerial manipulator. We evaluate the proposed approach on a test set of 100 language-guided placement tasks and demonstrate successful execution on a real aerial manipulation platform. Experimental results show that the proposed method reliably infers placement locations from language instructions with an average success rate of 87% on the test-set and transfers effectively to real-world aerial manipulation with an average success rate of 72%. Video: https://youtu.be/SgwwgLBsv0g

Recent advances in diffusion-based video generation have significantly improved visual quality and short-term temporal coherence. However, existing methods still struggle to produce videos with physically consistent and causally plausible dynamics, especially in scenarios involving long-horizon interactions. This limitation arises from the fact that video diffusion models primarily learn physical consistency implicitly, while vision-language models can directly model physical laws. Based on this idea, in this work, we propose \textbf{CausalMotion}, a training-free framework that injects explicit physical reasoning into video generation through structured intermediate representations. Our key idea is to decouple reasoning from generation by leveraging a vision-language model to decompose a text prompt into a sequence of causally consistent keyframes and object-centric motion trajectories. These representations are then aligned and integrated as soft constraints to guide a pretrained video diffusion model during inference. This design enables explicit modeling of object dynamics and causal transitions without requiring additional training or supervision. Extensive experiments show that our method consistently improves physical plausibility and temporal coherence, particularly in dynamics-intensive scenarios, while maintaining high perceptual video quality.

Agent skills are structured procedural packages that guide frozen LLM agents in specialized workflows. Skills rarely remain sufficient after deployment: edge cases, API changes, and deployment constraints become visible only through use, making skill evolution a practical necessity. Existing methods depend on privileged feedback such as held-out validation scores, hidden test outcomes, or environment rewards -- signals often unavailable when a practitioner has only a task description and workspace data. We introduce SkillAudit, a framework for evolving agent skills without ground-truth feedback. The key idea is paired trajectory auditing: at each iteration, the same task is executed with and without the candidate skill, isolating how the skill changes agent behavior without external labels. To turn behavioral differences into edit guidance, SkillAudit uses Process-Aligned Contrastive Evaluation (PACE), a cluster of evaluators that maps trajectory divergences to diagnostic signals linked to specific passages in the skill document. A structural verifier, compiled once from the task specification and then fixed, checks task constraints and rolls back harmful updates. SkillAudit routes edits through two pipelines: Refine removes noisy or irrelevant guidance from broadly useful skills, while Repair replaces passages that conflict with the task. Across 89 containerized tasks spanning 8 professional domains, SkillAudit achieves 73.9% average task reward, outperforming an agent without skills (40.9%) and the static expert skill (56.7%). These gains are obtained without accessing hidden tests, reference solutions, or external scoring functions during evolution.

Accurate and computationally efficient vehicle models are essential for motion planning of autonomous vehicles, where positional accuracy directly affects trajectory feasibility and safety. However, the positional accuracy has not been systematically evaluated against real measurements. Therefore, this paper compares the short-horizon positional accuracy of three single-track vehicle models against vehicle measurements across various driving maneuvers. Model parameters are identified through dedicated experiments with the instrumented test vehicle. Rather than identifying a single best model, this work aims to provide insight into the trade-offs between model complexity, parameterization quality, and positional accuracy for informed model selection in Model Predictive Control applications.

End-to-end autonomous parking has emerged as a critical task within the realm of autonomous driving. However, existing methods suffer from black-box characteristics, lacking high-level semantic understanding and interpretability, which impedes the realization of seamless long-distance autonomous parking from the road to the target spot. To address these limitations, we propose ParkingTransformer, a novel framework that leverages multi-view perception and the scene understanding capability of Large Language Models (LLMs). By combining trajectory queries with LLMs implicit state features, our method interacts directly with historical information and raw sensor data to output planning trajectories, eliminating the need for dense Bird's-View (BEV) representations. To compensate for the inadequate spatial reasoning ability of LLMs, we introduce 3D positional encoding to explicitly inject spatial geometric awareness. Furthermore, a fixed-window streaming mechanism is designed for historical information processing, significantly improving long-term temporal processing efficiency and inference speed. Additionally, a coarse-to-fine decoding strategy is employed to progressively enhance trajectory precision. Extensive closed-loop experiments are conducted on the CARLA simulator and real-world vehicle platforms. The results demonstrate that our method achieves a driving score of 61.32 in CARLA simulator and an average success rate of 88.70% in real-world experiments, validating the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed algorithms.

Autonomous surface vehicles offer an efficient solution for environmental cleanup as well as search and rescue operations in open waters. Targets in these settings drift continuously, so efficient search must balance exploration of unobserved regions with tracking of known targets. However, most target tracking and pursuit scenarios consider simple guidance behaviours and short-term predictions for decision-making. In this letter, we address the problem of search and capture of multiple drifting targets, such as litter, in dynamic environments, using a hybrid planning framework. A key aspect of our strategy is a spatiotemporal informative planning method based on model predictive path integral (MPPI) control, a sampling-based model predictive control approach. The planner directly generates kinematic-level commands by optimising continuous trajectories over long horizons. A multi-objective cost balances search and tracking objectives while ensuring safe, feasible trajectories. In the interception stage, we switch to a pure pursuit guidance controller for the physical capture of moving targets. Experiments show that our planner outperforms the chosen planning baselines. Finally, we validate our approach in field trials with an ASV.

Training interactive web agents through imitation learning from expert trajectories has emerged as a highly effective approach. However, determining the optimal timing for expert intervention presents a critical challenge in this context. Delayed intervention often leads to the accumulation of early-stage errors, pushing the page state into an irrecoverable regime. Conversely, premature or excessive intervention causes the agent to become overly reliant on expert policies, trapping the model in local optima characterized by a single, rigid trajectory. We propose Speculative Rollback Correction (SRC), a branch-level imitation framework for resettable agent environments. Instead of requesting teacher labels at every visited state or correcting only after a completed trajectory, SRC uses fixed-horizon branch review: the student executes a short speculative segment before teacher review, and the teacher localizes the first harmful deviation only when local progress breaks. Rollback preserves useful prefixes, while successful rollouts are filtered by a hard verifier and retained in a lightweight quality-diversity archive. The resulting data supports next-action supervised fine-tuning on both localized corrections and verifier-passing trajectories. On WebArena-Infinity, SRC collects 977 verifier-passing trajectories and 9,183 next-action examples; fixed-horizon review improves the recovery-versus-query tradeoff over step-level review while retaining verifier-passing solution variants. Code is available at https://github.com/LongkunHao/SRC_gui_agent.

To make clinically grounded decisions, medical AI agents are expected to go beyond simple recognition and be capable of tool retrieval, evidence acquisition, and integration. Existing benchmarks largely evaluate isolated perception or single-turn question answering, and therefore provide limited visibility into failures of planning, tool recruitment, and rollout reliability. We introduce MedCTA, a benchmark for evaluating medical tool agents on clinician-validated, step-implicit tasks grounded in realistic multimodal clinical inputs, including radiology images, pathology slides, and reports. MedCTA comprises 107 real-world clinical tasks with clinician-verified executable trajectories over 5 deployed tools, and supports process-aware evaluation of tool selection, argument validity, execution stability, trajectory fidelity, and outcome quality. We benchmark 18 open- and closed-source multimodal models and find that even frontier systems remain brittle in multi-step clinical tool use: autonomous rollouts are dominated by protocol failures, premature stopping, and incorrect tool recruitment, while gold-standard tool routing yields large but still incomplete gains. These results show that strong backbone perception does not translate into reliable agentic behavior in clinical settings. MedCTA provides a rigorous testbed for auditing, diagnosing, and advancing trustworthy medical AI agents. The dataset and evaluation suite are available at https://ivul-kaust.github.io/MedCTA/

This manuscript proposes an integral formulation of the newly defined quadratic embedding method for identifying nonlinear systems (QENDy). In the original algorithm, trajectory data points along with their time derivatives are used. Methods for calculating time derivatives make the algorithm sensitive to noise. Our integral formulation does not use the time derivatives. This results in a more robust method to learn the dynamics.

Most existing drone-based inspection systems require the drone to fly dangerously close to the target or follow complex flight paths to capture small details. In addition, drone flight is affected by disturbances and localization inaccuracies, which can cause the drone to lose sight of its supposed target when it has a narrow view. Furthermore, trajectory planning often requires prior information about the target's geometry, position, and orientation, which is not always available for non-structural targets such as trees, vehicles, or people. To address these challenges, this paper presents aerial_micro_inspection, a generic pipeline for aerial micro-inspection across different use cases. The pipeline assumes a PX4-powered drone equipped with two cameras: (i) a zoomed, gimbal-mounted inspection camera that captures fine details without requiring the drone to fly very close to the target, and (ii) a wide-field-of-view stereo navigation camera that acquires the target surface on site, estimates its range, and partitions it into smaller inspection regions. In addition, a vision-based feedback loop compensates for drone motion while the inspection camera visits small partitions of a larger surface. We evaluate the pipeline in simulation and real-world experiments, mainly in two use-case scenarios: tree inspection for detecting oak processionary caterpillars and their eggs, and greenhouse inspection of sticky traps for detecting whiteflies. The results show improved coverage robustness under drone disturbances in simulation, as well as effective detection of caterpillars and eggs and high-detail imaging of insects in real-world experiments. The pipeline is open-source, developed in ROS 2, and can be adapted to new applications by replacing the surface-segmentation and micro-target detection checkpoints. The code is available at: https://github.com/SaxionMechatronics/aerial_micro_inspection

We introduce First-Order Trajectory Matching (FTM), a surrogate-modeling method that learns the first-order local transport of probability mass from trajectories of stochastic systems. By matching the symmetric first-order motion of trajectories, FTM learns the probability current velocity, whose flow preserves time marginals to match ensemble averages, while also capturing current-like trajectory quantities such as fluxes, circulations, and barrier-crossing currents. FTM learns the current velocity directly from trajectories, avoiding drift, diffusion, and score estimation. Our stability analysis separates discretization error from sampling variance and shows that the one-step simulation-free FTM loss is stable when temporal resolution and sample size are properly balanced. Across stochastic dynamical systems and PDE examples, we empirically demonstrate that FTM provides trajectory-aware ensemble predictions at low, deterministic-rollout cost.

Aligning text-to-image flow matching models with human preferences via direct reward backpropagation is sample-efficient but hampered by two well-known pathologies: activations cannot be stored across the full sampling trajectory at modern model scale, and chained Jacobian products across steps inflate the reward gradient as it travels back to early indices. Connector-based methods, such as LeapAlign, address these issues by replacing the full backward trajectory with a short pinned path, highlighting a useful decoupling between sampling and optimization. However, the quality of the resulting gradient depends on how accurately this short path approximates the full rollout, especially over long intervals. We propose FlowBP, a unified surrogate-trajectory framework that treats the backward trajectory itself as the design object. FlowBP keeps a no-gradient cached rollout for sampling, then builds a lightweight backward surrogate from cached and selectively re-forwarded velocities. This view separates four choices: the reward-model input, active set, integration weights, and bridge coupling, and recovers prior direct-gradient methods as particular settings. Within this framework, we instantiate three variants: FlowBP-Sparse uses sparse Euler reconstruction, FlowBP-Bridge adds controlled bridge coupling, and FlowBP-Lagrange raises the order of leap quadrature. All three bound memory by the active-set size and limit gradient chaining to at most one Jacobian factor. Across SD3.5-M, FLUX.1-dev, and FLUX.2-Klein-base on preference, quality, and compositional metrics, the three variants improve over direct-gradient baselines on most metrics.

Learning-based motion planners, despite recent progress, often suffer from temporal inconsistency. Small perturbations across frames can accumulate into unstable trajectories, degrading comfort and safety in closed-loop driving. Several methods attempt to inject history as a static conditioning signal to stabilize outputs, only to induce the planner to copy historical patterns instead of adapting to environment contexts. To address this limitation, we propose Diffusion Forcing Planner (DFP), a diffusion-based planning framework driven by history-guided control. Specifically, DFP decomposes the full trajectory into history, current and future segments, and assign independent noise levels to each segment. The model jointly denoises the historical and the future segments, enforcing a heterogeneous joint diffusion process. At inference, classifier-free guidance (CFG) is applied to steer future sampling using annealed history in a controllable manner. Closed-loop evaluation and comprehensive ablations on nuPlan show that DFP achieves competitive performance while producing continuous, stable, and controllable motion plans in complex driving scenarios.

Trajectory data augmentation is a promising approach to mitigate data scarcity in machine learning applications, but its utility has been limited by the complexity of preserving spatio-temporal coherence. Although prior work demonstrated the viability of geometric perturbation, it relied on naive random selection, leaving a critical gap in understanding which trajectories should be augmented for maximal benefit. This thesis addresses this gap by developing a systematic and scalable framework to evaluate five systematic selection strategies: Outlierness, Diversity, Representativeness, Uncertainty, and Random selection. These strategies were rigorously tested across four datasets covering animal behavior (Foxes and Starkey), maritime traffic (AIS), and urban traffic (Car) using a suite of linear and non-linear machine learning models. As part of this evaluation, an Optuna-based hyperparameter optimization loop was integrated to empirically identify the best-performing augmentation parameters for each dataset within the explored search space. The results indicate that, while systematic selection is not a universal solution, it offers distinct advantages over the random baseline. Systematic strategies, particularly Outlierness and Uncertainty, demonstrated higher stability and were less prone to performance degradation observed with random sampling in dense datasets. However, the findings also reveal that the value of augmentation is strictly conditional. Visual analysis via UMAP demonstrates that while systematic augmentation successfully repairs topological fragmentation in sparse datasets, it can act as a corrupting noise signal in high-quality, dense datasets. Furthermore, the study identified physical limitations in high-velocity domains, where standard perturbation techniques lead to divergence in feature space...

Autonomous race cars, such as in Formula Student Driverless, operate close to their physical handling limits. The resulting highly nonlinear vehicle behavior increases the path tracking complexity, especially on narrow tracks. Model Predictive Control (MPC) is commonly used to address this issue, a method whose performance is closely tied to the accuracy of the underlying prediction model. This paper presents a novel, real-time capable prediction model for autonomous race cars that adjusts to changing conditions by combining information from past runs and the current driving situation. Our model is divided into three consecutive submodels: a nominal Kinematic Bicycle Model, an offline Bayesian Linear Regression (BLR) model, and an online Sparse Gaussian Process Regression (SGPR) model. The proposed approach enables efficient integration of all available data without significantly increasing computational cost, ensuring high prediction accuracy and a quantitative uncertainty assessment right from the start of the run. Compared to existing approaches, an improvement in prediction accuracy of up to 57% was achieved. Further, we successfully demonstrated the practical applicability of the model within an MPC-based path tracking controller on a real Formula Student race car.

We present NOVA, an autonomous symbolic regression framework that identifies interpretable car-following and lane-change structures from raw trajectory data with minimal behavioral priors. Applied to 4,765,788 active driving observations from the NGSIM I-80 and US-101 datasets, NOVA's deterministic Rust-powered search engine evaluates over 10,000 candidate algebraic structures and identifies a compact two-term acceleration model under a forward-shifted rolling-mean prediction target. Evaluated under two complementary preprocessing pipelines, NOVA achieves $RMSE = 1.376 m/s^2$ ($R^2 = 15.57\%$) on the intent-forecasting benchmark, outperforming the best recalibrated symbolic-regression baseline (SR-LLM, PNAS~2025) by 0.135 m/s$^2$ in RMSE under an identical evaluation protocol. Across eight independent experiments, a single dominant nonlinear term emerges as a robust backbone of human car-following; a residual-guided extension further links the selected structure to an established psychophysical theory of collision avoidance. The discovered feature operators transfer zero-shot between freeway sites with under 3 pp $R^2$ loss. Extended to lane-change modelling within a multinomial logit framework, NOVA achieves 67.4% balanced accuracy under strict vehicle-ID holdout on 502 unseen drivers, surpassing existing lane-changing baselines by +29.8 percentage points on a three-class problem.

Although the study of human trajectory anomalies is critical for advancing spatial data mining, empirical research remains severely hindered by a pervasive lack of ground-truth datasets. Despite the availability of several real-world and simulated human trajectory collections, these datasets exclusively capture normal mobility patterns and lack annotated anomalies. This specific scarcity is fundamentally driven by the inherent statistical rarity of anomalous events, precluding the feasibility of conventional observational methods. Compounding this challenge, the systematic acquisition of large-scale mobility data is strictly bottlenecked by prohibitive costs and stringent privacy regulations. To overcome these fundamental limitations and establish a reliable human trajectory anomalies dataset with annotated ground truth, we introduce a novel, end-to-end generative framework designed to synthesize realistic trajectory anomalies at scale. Our architecture bridges the gap between purely synthetic mobility data and complex real-world physical constraints by operating directly on baseline simulated trajectories. We employ Large Language Model (LLM) agents to systematically inject semantically meaningful behavioral anomalies such as irregular out-of-distribution check-ins and skipped routine visits. To ensure rigorous spatial validity, the system leverages map-constrained routing reconstruction to recalculate the physical transitions between these LLM agent-modified staypoints. Moreover, to narrow the simulation-to-reality gap, we augment the resulting trajectories with a context-aware spatial noise model, parameterized by environmental and location-specific variables, to accurately emulate heterogeneous GPS sensor degradation.

Perceptive bipedal locomotion over sparse terrain remains a difficult challenge: model-based methods are precise but brittle to uncertainty, while model-free methods are robust but struggle to discover the precise, constrained motions required for safety-critical locomotion where small errors can cause catastrophic failures. We propose a model-assisted reinforcement learning (RL) framework that combines both perspectives in three steps: (1) generate a safe reference trajectory using simplified models; (2) train a privileged teacher policy guided by a control Lyapunov function (CLF) reward built around the safe reference trajectory; and (3) distill the teacher into a vision-based student policy. We show that this model-assistance procedure produces physically grounded locomotion, improving sample efficiency, reducing the need for a complex learning curriculum, and achieving smoother locomotion behavior alongside stepping stone performance comparable to model-free baselines. We validate our approach in simulation and demonstrate successful deployment on a Unitree G1 humanoid robot navigating sparse footholds with lateral constraints.

Small-model agentic post-training is bottlenecked less by the algorithm than by the trajectory substrate it consumes. Leading recipes (RLVR, group-relative RL, rejection-sampled re-SFT) all need multi-turn traces carrying per-trajectory supervision, and the two existing sources fall short: frontier-synthesised data inherits the synthesizer's biases and collapses the long tail, while unfiltered production logs are unjudged and contaminated by shortcut behaviour. We argue that an incentive-aligned agent arena can be engineered to manufacture such trajectories, and demonstrate this on ORO Subnet 15 (SN15), a Bittensor deployment of the ShoppingBench agentic-commerce benchmark. SN15's race mechanism, LLM reasoning judge, and rotating leak-cluster-guarded problem suite yield a corpus with three properties: incentive-aligned diversity, per-trajectory judging, and anti-memorised held-out evaluation. We introduce a structural-quality filter that converts the raw firehose into a trainable corpus by keeping agentic trajectories (the model itself emits the tool calls) and rejecting sub-task trajectories (the model only classifies or narrates over a deterministic search loop), then post-train Qwen3-4B with a recipe matched to the published ShoppingBench SFT-then-GRPO pipeline. On a leak-cluster-guarded held-out partition scored production-strict, the model lifts from the published Qwen3-4B base of 18.0% ASR to 42.7%, within single-problem noise of the synthetic-data SFT-only baseline (43.6%), while training on a fraction of a single day of subnet output. The supervised stack leaves a large pass@8 to pass@1 gap (53.3% vs 34.8%); a per-step teacher-grounded Dr. GRPO reward converts that headroom into process improvement, and we identify the sub-task firehose as the primary lever for closing the gap to the 48.7% SFT+GRPO bar. We release the filter, the corpus splits, and the arena mechanics.

Offline reinforcement learning (RL) offers a path to policy improvement from logged data alone, using historical returns or other measurable outcomes as world feedback. A key difficulty is improving observed behavior without extrapolating beyond what the offline data supports. We propose \emph{counterfactual transport flows}, a source-conditioned trajectory refinement framework for offline decision-making guided by world feedback. Given a low-feedback candidate trajectory, we construct local preference pairs from offline data by retrieving nearby trajectories in latent trajectory space with higher task-specific feedback, and use them as weak supervision for conservative refinement. The framework learns instance-specific refinement directions: at inference time, a refinement strength parameter controls how far the candidate trajectory is transported, enabling a trade-off between preserving the original behavior and applying stronger improvement. Experiments on D4RL benchmarks, including AntMaze and MuJoCo tasks, show that our method improves behavior from historical returns as world feedback, while providing interpretable trajectory-level refinement paths.

Agent benchmarks score submissions with outcome verifiers that are typically hand-written and brittle, leaving them open to reward hacking. We audit 1,968 tasks across five terminal-agent benchmarks and find 323 (16%) hackable by frontier models given only the task description. This corrupts both leaderboard rankings and RL training signal, yet the standard response is manual and reactive. We introduce the hacker-fixer loop, a method for building exploit-resistant verifiers without per-task manual patching. The loop alternates three LLM agents: a hacker tries to pass the verifier without solving the task, a fixer patches the verifier to reject each discovered exploit, and a solver confirms the patched verifier still admits legitimate solutions. The loop iterates: each patch reshapes what the verifier rewards, surfacing the next exploit. We further add verifier access, and let patches transfer across tasks, to broaden the exploits the loop discovers. On KernelBench, the loop drives the attack success rate from 62% to 0% on a held-out corpus of publicly reported exploits. We also find that weaker agents in the loop can defend against much stronger hackers: Gemini 3 Flash's loop drives the stronger Gemini 3.1 Pro and Claude Opus 4.7's attack success rate from 76% and 61% to 0% on KernelBench, and Gemini 3.1 Pro's from 39% to 17% on Terminal Bench across 77 tasks. We release Terminal Wrench (323 hackable environments, 3,632 hack trajectories) as a snapshot of the current attack surface, our patched verifiers, the exploits the loop discovered, and our implementation as a basis for future work.

Long-horizon maritime trajectory prediction is important for shipping management, logistics planning, and maritime risk analysis, yet month-level forecasting remains insufficiently studied. Existing deep learning methods mainly focus on short- and mid-term coordinate extrapolation and often struggle to preserve route feasibility and destination correctness over extended horizons. This paper investigates joint long-horizon vessel trajectory and destination forecasting with reasoning-capable large language models, and develops a Maritime LLM post-training framework based on Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Reward (RLVR). An AIS-based benchmark is constructed with 60-day historical trajectories and 30-day forecasting horizons, where trajectories are converted into semantic textual representations for RL prompt construction. RLVR aligns LLMs with maritime forecasting objectives by enforcing physical validity, providing early-weighted trajectory supervision, and evaluating destination correctness through hierarchical matching and curriculum learning. Experimental results show that RLVR-trained LLMs substantially improve over zero-shot LLMs and representative deep learning baselines, especially on destination-related metrics. Among the evaluated RLVR-trained variants, 4B LLMs achieve the best overall performance, suggesting that reward-compatible optimization and task-specific capacity matching are more important than simply using larger 8B or 14B LLMs. The results also show that LSTM remains a strong deep learning baseline under limited fine-tuning data, while Transformer-style spatio-temporal models typically require larger datasets and richer structured inputs. Overall, this work advances semantic, verifier-aligned maritime forecasting for operational decision support.

Routine laboratory panels drawn during cancer treatment constitute longitudinal physiological recordings of organ function, yet their temporal structure is discarded by single-timepoint prognostic tools. A transformer trained on 2,777,595 laboratory measurements from 3,905 patients with multiple myeloma or ovarian cancer predicted the two-year onset of 162 treatment-associated complications, including therapy-related myelodysplastic syndromes, spanning eight clinical categories, achieving 1.5- to 6.1-fold enrichment above prevalence at the group level. It matched or outperformed non-sequential baselines across grouped endpoints (AUROC gains up to +0.11), demonstrating that longitudinal laboratory trajectories capture evolving complication-specific physiology inaccessible from isolated measurements. Predictions generalised across both cancers, divergence concentrating in disease-specific complications, and biomarker masking recovered signatures consistent with established pathophysiology. External validation on MIMIC-IV and MMRF CoMMpass confirmed transferability across independent healthcare systems (AUROC up to 0.85). Routine oncological laboratory data encode organ deterioration weeks to months before clinical onset, enabling complication-specific surveillance without additional testing infrastructure.

Understanding customer shopping trajectories is essential for enabling personalized shopping experiences. However, shopping records (i.e., customer's search, clicks, purchases, etc.) often span long time horizons over multiple years, resulting in extremely long trajectories that pose significant challenges for existing large language models (LLMs). Despite the importance of this problem, existing benchmarks are limited to short customer trajectories, while real-world trajectories from large e-commerce platforms are rarely accessible due to data privacy constraints. To address this gap, we introduce ShopTrajQA, a long-context evaluation benchmark constructed from real-world product information and simulated shopping trajectories. The dataset includes variants of up to 32k and 64k tokens, enabling systematic evaluation of model robustness under varying context lengths. Through comprehensive benchmarking of frontier LLMs, we identify critical performance gaps in reasoning over long shopping trajectory data. To address these challenges, we propose a Customer Agent Framework for ultra-long context management. Leveraging a Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards (RLVR) agentic training paradigm, our approach stores trajectories as external local files and trains the agent to autonomously retrieve and parse them through code-interpreter interactions (e.g., SQL queries), effectively bypassing the fixed in-context window constraints of LLMs. Experimental results demonstrate that our framework achieves strong performance for ShopTrajQA and shows generalization to other complex reasoning tasks.

LLM-based coding agents sometimes acknowledge a problem in their own reasoning and then proceed anyway. We call this pattern strained coherence: a safety-relevant failure mode in which an agent has information that should change its behavior, states that information, and still acts against it. The pattern overlaps with verbalized reward hacking, where an agent names a tension between a task proxy and the underlying goal yet optimizes the proxy anyway. We give an operational definition, build a Claude Sonnet 4.6 judge that reads full trajectories and flags spans where the pattern occurs, and evaluate it on 44 Terminal-bench-2 trajectories using a Qwen3.5-35B-A3B backbone. Flagged trajectories fail 94% of the time versus 46% for unflagged trajectories (47-point gap, Fisher's exact p = 0.003; 46 points after excluding three prompt-embedded examples, p = 0.006). At matched selectivity, the detector reaches 94% precision versus 88% for a lexical discourse-marker baseline; the 10-trajectory intersection of the two methods has a 100% failure rate (Clopper-Pearson 95% CI [69%, 100%]). We replicate on Gemma4-31B with 43 trajectories: the overall signal is directionally consistent but not significant (20-point gap, p = 0.31), with attenuation driven largely by 13 trajectories with zero think content, where the detector has no substrate to analyze. In the high-verbosity Gemma tertile, the gap is +30 points; in the mid- and high-verbosity Qwen tertiles, it is +40 points each. The first flag appears at a median of 83-84% of elapsed trajectory time across both models, and the binary flag survives paraphrases that soften explicit conflict markers (8/8 trajectories). Unlike univariate predictors, the detector emits interpretable span-level output -- quoted acknowledgment, quoted action, and typed conflict -- showing what the agent saw and ignored.

Alzheimer's disease is a progressive neurodegenerative disorder, and its progression varies substantially across patients. Existing work aims to forecast patients' future cognitive state, with minimal focus on reconstructing the state from past visits. Furthermore, in current research, quantifying predictive uncertainty remains underexplored and relies on costly modalities such as MRI, PET, and CSF, limiting their deployment in resource-limited settings. In this research, our primary objectives are: First, bidirectional prediction of cognitive scores from irregular visits to present the complete disease trajectory. Second, to enable interpolation and extrapolation capabilities to assist clinicians in informed prognostic decision making, and third, to provide a well-calibrated uncertainty estimate for all predictions, and finally, to achieve the objectives using the modalities available during routine visits. We propose a unified framework, GNOVA: A GRU-Neural ODE Variational Autoencoder. The architecture combines a Gated Recurrent Unit encoder and a Neural ODE decoder within a variational autoencoder framework. In our work, we forecast the CDR-SB and MMSE Scores. The GRU encoder allows for any number of inputs at any time point. The Neural-ODE decoder performs continuous estimation, allowing interpolation and extrapolation at any desired time point. The Variational autoencoder allows for uncertainty estimation in predictions. We worked with 1,727 patients from the ADNI dataset over 10 years; the model achieved mean absolute errors of 1.35 and 2.28 for CDR-SB and MMSE scores, respectively, without requiring any neuroimaging or biomarker data. Feature-ablation studies revealed that age, BMI, and APOE4 status were strong predictors. The proposed framework enables the reconstruction of incomplete patient histories and the anticipation of future cognitive states.

Detecting transient chaos from scalar observations without governing equations represents a fundamental challenge in nonlinear dynamics. We propose a geometry-guided machine learning framework that unifies predictive trajectory divergence with macroscopic attractor morphology to track abrupt regime shifts. The methodology extracts a local instability scale via out-of-sample k-nearest neighbor forecast errors to establish the ML-FTLE estimator, subsequently mapping this temporal divergence onto a structural closeness matrix derived from a minimal dictionary of Poincare occupancy grids. By employing partial least squares regression, we extract a latent geometric component calibrated directly to the empirical finite-time Lyapunov spectrum, yielding the Poincare-based geometric-guided FTLE. Validation against analytical QR-FTLE baselines confirms that fusing topological state spaces with predictive divergence systematically improves continuous transition tracking. The Structural Similarity Index optimally resolves gradual damping, while Hausdorff Distance exhibits extreme resilience during abrupt phase-space collapses. Furthermore, macroscopic spatial discretization acts as a robust topological regularizer against additive Gaussian noise, preserving deterministic signatures even at moderate signal thresholds. This equation-free framework provides a highly accurate, noise-resilient diagnostic for monitoring structural transitions in complex non-stationary systems.

End-to-end planners for autonomous driving typically generate a set of candidate trajectories, score each one, and return the highest-scoring candidate. However, the scorer is applied only after the proposals are generated and cannot influence the set of trajectories: a weak set of candidates limits planning performance regardless of the scorer's quality. We instead treat the scorer as a learned trajectory-level reward function and search for trajectories that maximize it. Our method, TOAD, runs the Cross-Entropy Method at test time, warm-started from the planner's proposals. It requires no retraining and is plug-and-play for existing planners. Across six base planners, TOAD improves results on NAVSIM-v1 (94.7 PDMS), NAVSIM-v2 (56.3 EPDMS), and the closed-loop HUGSIM benchmark. The code will be made publicly available via the project page: https://valeoai.github.io/TOAD/.

Real-time autonomous driving commonly relies on sampling-based trajectory planners that link candidate trajectories to target waypoints along the road centerline. The placement of these waypoints directly impacts both the existence and quality of feasible trajectories. Yet, its effect on planner performance remains largely unexplored. In this paper, we treat waypoint placement as a first-class design variable. We hold the trajectory primitive and candidate budget fixed, and systematically sweep three placement strategies (uniform spacing, an augmented Ramer-Douglas-Peucker variant (RDP*), and a novel curvature-conditioned allocation) across 449 configurations and five CommonRoad maps of increasing geometric complexity. Our results show that the nominal inter-waypoint spacing $d_s$ is the primary performance driver, with large differences in planner reliability attributed to placement alone. Uniform sampling at a well-tuned spacing matches or surpasses both RDP* and the centered curvature variant. The curvature variant offers a small but consistent advantage on geometrically complex roads under reliability-first and balanced weightings, while RDP* never outperforms uniform sampling. These findings suggest that $d_s$ should be treated as the dominant tuning parameter, with geometry-aware strategies reserved for curvature-rich corridors where feasibility is the limiting factor.

Vessel trajectory prediction from Automatic Identification System (AIS) data is essential for maritime situational awareness, yet it remains challenging due to irregular sampling, missing reports, and complex dynamics. Beyond accurate point forecasts, maritime applications also demand well-calibrated uncertainty estimates for reliable decision-making. Bayesian Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs) offer a principled framework for continuous-time trajectory modeling with uncertainty quantification by placing a prior over the neural vector field parameters. However, the commonly used isotropic Gaussian weight prior fails to encode informative structural properties of vessel dynamics, such as smoothness and locality. Existing function-space Bayesian neural network methods address this limitation for static mappings, but do not transfer directly to Neural ODEs, where the primary quantity of interest is the trajectory rather than the vector field itself. In principle, one could place a Gaussian process (GP) prior directly over ODE solutions, but this requires propagating distributions through a nonlinear ODE solver, which is analytically intractable. To address this challenge, we adopt a practical approach that imposes a GP-kernel-based prior directly on the vector field evaluated at a finite set of measurement points. Specifically, we augment the standard weight-space variational objective with a kernel-based regularizer that penalizes deviations of the vector field from the structure implied by a GP prior. To handle long and irregular AIS trajectories, we further combine this function-space regularization with probabilistic multiple shooting, which decouples inference across temporal segments while maintaining global consistency.

LLM agents increasingly rely on agent harness: the runtime infrastructure around the base model that defines execution environments, tool interfaces, context, lifecycle orchestration, observability, verification, and governance. Existing self-improving agents and automatic harness evolution methods mainly improve agents through runtime supervision, prompt optimization, workflow search, or harness modification based on final outcomes. However, they often fail to diagnose where the responsible evidence lies in failed trajectories and which harness implementation mechanism causes the unreliable behavior, resulting in broad, indirect, or poorly scoped changes. This paper proposes HarnessFix, a trace-grounded and diagnosis-driven framework for repairing agent harnesses. HarnessFix compiles raw execution traces and harness artifacts into a Harness-aware Trace Intermediate Representation (HTIR), which normalizes fragmented trajectory evidence, captures step-level data-flow and control-flow relations, and aligns runtime steps with the harness artifacts that shape their behavior. It then attributes failures to responsible steps and harness artifacts, and consolidates recurring diagnoses into repair-oriented flaw records. Finally, HarnessFix maps these records to scoped repair operators, generates patches under flaw-specific repair specifications, and accepts them through regression-aware validation. We evaluate HarnessFix on four popular benchmarks, and results show that it improves the performance over the initial harnesses by 6.3% to 18.4%, significantly outperforming human-designed and self-evolution baselines. HarnessFix highlights the value of treating failed trajectories not only as feedback signals, but also as structured evidence for diagnosing and repairing the harness mechanisms behind agent failures.

Humans often take longer to demonstrate a task than a robot would need to execute it. Rather than learning to replicate the demonstration at the same pace, many industrial and practical applications require robots to perform tasks as quickly as possible. In this paper, we investigate several hypotheses for learning policies that operate faster-than-demonstrations. Our experiments show that the most effective strategy is to downsample recorded demonstrations and train the robot's policy on this accelerated data. However, uniformly downsampling an entire trajectory can be problematic. Some parts of a task can be safely sped up (e.g., unconstrained motion), while others demand slower, more precise motion (e.g., object interactions or fine manipulation). To address this challenge, we introduce VOLT, a vision-and-language trajectory segmentation method that reasons over video demonstrations, and leverages contextual cues to determine when acceleration is appropriate and when careful precision is required. VOLT identifies segments where slow, deliberate motion is necessary, then selectively downsamples the remaining segments. The resulting reformatted trajectories can be used with standard imitation learning approaches, such as diffusion policies. Our results highlight that segmentation quality is critical -- baseline methods often misidentify when acceleration is possible, leading to overly cautious or unreliable policies. Compared to state-of-the-art alternatives, VOLT allows robots to execute tasks faster while maintaining strong performance.

Accurate vessel trajectory prediction is essential for safe and efficient maritime operations, enabling collision avoidance and supporting route optimization. Although memory-augmented neural networks have recently shown strong performance in pedestrian and road-vehicle trajectory prediction by selectively retrieving relevant information from an external memory, their potential for vessel trajectory prediction remains underexplored. This paper presents an empirical investigation of memory-based trajectory prediction using Automatic Identification System (AIS) data. Experiments on data from the Gulf of Mexico and the New York Bight demonstrate consistent and substantial performance gains over a range of deep learning baselines that do not incorporate an external memory.

Path sampling methods generate ensembles of reactive trajectories connecting metastable states, but extracting mechanistic insight from these data remains nontrivial. We introduce Flux Matching, a framework that learns two complementary objects directly from reactive trajectory data: a current velocity $u(z)$, whose streamlines trace the dominant reaction pathways, and a scalar potential $h(z)$, obtained from a weighted Helmholtz-Hodge decomposition of the reactive current, that serves as a data-driven reaction coordinate. Both minimize quadratic functionals over the reactive path ensemble, analogous to the flow matching loss in generative modeling, and require no knowledge of the underlying dynamics or stationary distribution. Unlike committor-based methods, $u$ and $h$ remain well-defined under projection onto non-Markovian collective variables, and their level sets in turn provide adaptive interfaces for improved sampling with enhanced sampling methods. Flux Matching is validated through the generation of current velocity trajectories and rate constant calculations on molecular systems.

Pretrained diffusion models demonstrate impressive potential in solving highly ill-posed 3D computed tomography (CT) inverse problems, while the inference process suffers from significant computational overhead. Furthermore, existing uniform timestep schedules fail to capture the non-uniform evolution of the reverse conditional diffusion stochastic differential equation, thereby introducing substantial truncation errors. To overcome this limitation, we propose Tracing the Oracle (TrO), a plug-and-play framework for improved timestep scheduling. Specifically, we treat densely sampled numerical integration trajectories on a few samples as the reference oracle. The optimized schedule is extracted by leveraging dynamic programming to globally minimize the cumulative error between the few-step approximation and the oracle. This mechanism precisely allocates the limited sampling steps to critical evolution stages that are highly susceptible to truncation errors. Our extensive experiments on the AAPM dataset across multiple 3D CT reconstruction tasks demonstrate that, when combined with the state-of-the-art 3D CT reconstruction method DDS, our optimized timesteps significantly improve reconstruction fidelity and computational efficiency compared to existing heuristic schedules, especially under a strict budget of no more than 10 sampling steps.

We introduce T2Mo, a feed-forward framework for controllable dynamic 3D shape generation conditioned on 3D trajectories and text. Due to the inherent ambiguity of language, generating precisely intended motions using text alone remains challenging. To address this, we adopt 3D trajectories as controllable spatial guidance, specifying the exact paths along which selected points should move. By combining both, T2Mo generates object motions that spatially adhere to the given trajectories while globally reflecting the text semantics. To robustly handle trajectory inputs with arbitrary configurations, ranging from dense to sparse and unevenly distributed, we further propose a shape-grounded trajectory embedding that maps an input trajectory set into a shape-aware token set covering the entire object. We conduct extensive comparisons against text-based baselines and cascaded video-based baselines that combine trajectory-guided video generation with video-to-dynamic mesh generation. Quantitative and qualitative evaluations, along with user studies, demonstrate that our approach produces motions that more faithfully follow the given prompts with higher expressiveness while preserving motion quality.

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed as autonomous agents capable of executing multi-step action trajectories toward a given objective. While existing safety research has focused on detecting unethical behavior from complete trajectories, this paradigm is fundamentally retrospective: it identifies harm only after it has already occurred. In this work, we study a critical yet overlooked safety task, which we term Predictive Monitoring: given only a partial action trajectory, can a model infer whether it will culminate in an unethical action before the overt action is executed? To support this task, we present PreActBench, a benchmark of 1,000 paired ethical and unethical action trajectories spanning five domains. We evaluate a range of LLMs, safety guardrail models, and latent probing methods across varying fractions of the action trajectory using our Prefix Foresight F1 metric. Results show that while humans achieve promising performance, predictive monitoring remains challenging even for strong models, highlighting the need for future-oriented risk reasoning in LLM safety.

Despite the importance of tactile sensing for reliable manipulation, most existing Vision-Language-Action (VLA) datasets remain vision-only, and those that do incorporate tactile information typically lack the joint combination of task diversity, language conditioning, and action trajectories. Furthermore, existing teleoperation pipelines rarely provide haptic feedback to the operator, despite its established role in demonstration quality and manipulation stability. In this work, we present HapTile, a contact-grounded visuotactile manipulation dataset that advances beyond vision-only trajectory datasets by embedding physical interaction sensing at two levels: fingertip tactile feedback at the robot end-effector, and haptic-informed demonstrations at the teleoperator side. The data collection platform integrates haptic feedback directly into the teleoperation controller, enabling the operator to perceive contact interactions in real time. It is built around a standard and reproducible robotic system equipped with custom-designed fingertip tactile sensors. The dataset comprises everyday manipulation tasks spanning a broad range of contact-rich skills, including pick-and-place, folding, pressing, stacking, and other routine activities. Each task is paired with language instructions that condition the policy on the manipulation objective, together with synchronized visuotactile observations and action trajectories. In addition, we provide a benchmarking study on contact-rich policy learning using two baseline models to evaluate the effectiveness of the proposed contact-grounded dataset. The dataset and additional details are available on our website: haptile-dataset.github.io.

Equipping Large Language Models (LLMs) to execute reliable multi-step workflows has become a central challenge in artificial intelligence. Despite recent advances in LLMs' agentic capabilities, most agent systems still lack formal methods for specifying, verifying, and debugging their workflow and execution trajectories. This challenge mirrors a long-standing problem in mathematics, where the ambiguity of natural languages (NLs) motivates the development of formal languages (FLs). Inspired by this paradigm, we propose Lean4Agent, to the best of our knowledge, the first framework that uses Lean4, a dependent-type FL to model and verify agent behavior. Lean4Agent launches FormalAgentLib, an extensible Lean4 library for formally modeling and verifying agent workflows' semantic consistency under explicit assumptions, and enabling localization of execution-time failures revealed by trajectories. Building on FormalAgentLib, we further develop LeanEvolve, which applies results in FormalAgentLib to revise workflows to enhance its capability. Extensive experiments on a hard problem subset of SWE-Bench-Verified and a subset of ELAIP-Bench across 5 leading LLMs indicate that the verification-passing workflows outperform the failing ones by an average of 11.94%, and LeanEvolve further improves SWE performance by 7.47% on average. Furthermore, Lean4Agent establishes a foundation for a new field of using expressive dependent-type FL to formally model and verify agent behavior.

Flow matching models learn to transport samples from a simple prior distribution to a complex data distribution. When prior-data pairs are coupled via optimal transport (OT), the learned trajectories are straight and non-crossing, enabling fast, even single-step, generation. However, computing the OT coupling in high dimensions is intractable, and existing methods attempt to solve the OT problem, at the cost of persistent bias or significant overhead. Rather than solving for the OT coupling, we reformulate the problem. Once the prior is treated as a design choice rather than a fixed input, the OT coupling between prior and data is no longer unique. Many priors admit an OT-optimal identity coupling to the data, leaving us free to choose one that is also tractable to sample. We identify low-frequency projection of natural images as such a choice. The identity coupling between data and its low-frequency representation is empirically OT-optimal, the prior is structured enough to be sampled by a lightweight model at inference, and the remaining flow-matching task reduces to synthesizing high-frequency detail. Interpolating the prior with Gaussian noise further improves generation quality while preserving the OT coupling. The approach requires no modifications to the flow model itself, and integrates naturally with latent-space models, classifier-free guidance, and one-step generation frameworks. Across all benchmarks, our method reduces trajectory curvature by more than $2\times$ compared to existing flow matching methods, yielding better generation quality in the few-step regime.

Modern action recognition models operate on memory- and compute-intensive dense RGB video volumes and frequently exploit appearance and background shortcuts, for example, predicting actions from objects or scenes instead of characteristic motion. We investigate an efficient alternative input modality that is largely free of such biases by construction: sparse point trajectories. To this end, we develop a simple transformer architecture for 2.5D trajectory-based recognition together with a masked-trajectory pretraining, which we show to substantially improve downstream action recognition accuracy. Despite using only a fraction of the dense RGB input, our method reaches 45% top-1 on Something-Something V2 and 54% on EPIC-Kitchens-100, and surpasses V-JEPA on time-reversal sensitivity. More importantly, we find trajectory features to be complementary to state-of-the-art appearance-based features. Fusing our pretrained model with DINOv2 and V-JEPA 2 improves top-1 accuracy on Something-Something V2 by 8.7 and 1.6 points, respectively. Code: https://github.com/ecker-lab/TrAction

Stronger code agents are commonly assumed to be superior teachers for post-training, yet this assumption remains poorly disentangled from task difficulty, harness design, and student capacity. We investigate this pedagogical link using Terminal-Lego, a scalable pipeline that transforms multi-domain real-world issues into environment-verified agentic tasks. Surprisingly, standalone performance does not dictate teaching efficacy: while Claude Opus 4.6 achieves higher scores on Terminal-Bench 2.0, students fine-tuned on trajectories from DeepSeek-V3.2, a lower-scoring agent, exhibit significantly stronger generalization. We attribute this "pedagogical paradox" to Environment-Grounded Supervision (EGS): trajectories that explicitly expose inspect-act-verify behaviors through harness-visible interactions allow students to internalize robust problem-solving routines rather than fragile action sequences. Scaling analysis reveals exceptional data efficiency: with only 15.3k Terminal-Lego trajectories, for example, Qwen3-32B achieves a 24.3% score on Terminal-Bench 2.0, rivaling previous SOTA performance established with over 30x the data volume. Our results suggest that the frontier of agent post-training lies beyond mere outcome-matching, shifting the focus toward "Harness Engineering", where the systematic design of environment-grounded interaction structures serves as the primary catalyst for reproducible and generalizable agentic intelligence.

Complex, dynamic, and interactive driving environments pose significant challenges for autonomous driving, primarily due to the pervasive uncertainty of surrounding traffic. A fundamental bottleneck in current systems is the disconnect between highly expressive uncertainty modeling and interpretable, safe motion planning. In this paper, we propose a novel sample-conditioned differentiable planning framework that bridges this gap by explicitly incorporating diffusion-generated future trajectories into the optimization process. Rather than compressing predictions into a single deterministic future or relying on black-box end-to-end architectures, our approach leverages a conditional diffusion model to generate a diverse set of plausible future scenarios. Crucially, these samples are directly fed into a differentiable planner, which explicitly mitigates predictive uncertainty via an empirical Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) tail-risk constraint. This allows the planner to optimize a physically interpretable trajectory that is robust to rare yet safety-critical interactions. Furthermore, we introduce a directed graph representation for scene context that yields substantial improvements in both predictive effectiveness and computational efficiency. Validated through extensive open-loop and closed-loop evaluations on the Waymo Open Motion and Argoverse 2 datasets, our framework significantly outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in safety, efficiency, and ride comfort.

Computer-Use Agents (CUAs) are increasingly deployed in dynamic interactive environments, creating a growing need for continual skill learning during interaction. Recent approaches address this challenge by learning reusable skills from successful trajectories. However, these skill learning methods largely assume static and safe environments, overlooking risks from adversarial interactions (e.g., prompt injections) and environmental dynamics (e.g., pop-ups). In dynamic settings, such assumptions can lead to risky skill learning and brittle execution, undermining the reliability of CUAs. This raises the question: how can CUAs learn and use skills safely in dynamic environments? To address this problem, we propose SkillHarness, a framework for safe skill harnessing in dynamic environments. SkillHarness moves beyond static skill abstractions by modeling skill learning and utilization as a safety-constrained interaction process. Specifically, we introduce the skill boundary that leverages multi-source supervision signals to identify safe skills from interaction trajectories, and construct self-improving safety constraints throughout the skill lifecycle. In addition, SkillHarness introduces selective skill reuse, where tasks are guided to decompose according to context and completed through the selective activation of skill subsets. Our experiments demonstrate that SkillHarness significantly reduces the unsafe rate of learned skills by 57.1% and consistently improves execution stability under dynamic environmental changes, outperforming existing baselines.

Multi-turn user-facing agents must infer user intent from incomplete requests, collect missing information through dialogue and tools, and execute valid actions. A training trajectory records this process as an interleaved sequence of user messages, agent responses, tool calls, etc. Synthesizing sufficiently complex trajectory has become a central route to train agents: existing pipelines often increase difficulty by composing multiple user requests into longer tasks, producing write-intensive trajectories that train sequential execution. We argue that a single write decision can itself be difficult when the agent must gather and compare substantial read-tool evidence before its arguments become identifiable, a challenge that write-intensive data alone cannot address. Guided by this insight, we propose WRIT (\uline{W}rite-\uline{R}ead \uline{I}ntensive \uline{T}rajectory Synthesis), a pipeline for synthesizing multi-turn agent training trajectories along two complexity axes: the number of write decisions in a task and the evidence burden of each individual decision. WRIT first generates write-intensive and read-heavy tasks. It then diversifies user behavior instructions to reflect realistic conversational variation, and finally simulates agent-user interactions in an executable environment to produce complete training trajectories. The resulting data trains agents not only for longer task execution, but also for robust, evidence-grounded decision making under high information load. With only 2K synthesized trajectories, a 4B model trained on WRIT outperforms GPT-5.1 no-think on $τ^2$-bench and substantially reduces inference-time token usage, showing that compact SFT data can convert part of expensive test-time reasoning into efficient agent behavior.

Text files such as skill files, memory files, and behavioral configuration files play a central role in defining how modern agents act. Through edits by humans or the agents themselves, these files may evolve over time, directly steering the agent's behavior in future interactions. We present a methodology and framework for measuring agent $traits$ by defining traits as directions in the embedding space of a text embedding model. We train a linear model on labeled "before" versus "after" skill file diffs to learn a trait vector, then score arbitrary skill edits by projecting their embedding diffs onto this vector. Evaluated on 68 labeled skill diff pairs for the trait of propensity to seek sensitive data, our method achieves 91.2% sign classification accuracy and a Spearman rank correlation of $ρ= 0.82$ under leave-one-out cross-validation. We build this trait evaluation into a broader agent-to-agent protocol that enables one agent to evaluate another's skill file updates through a trusted intermediary.

Deep-research agents solve tasks through long trajectories of search, tool use, evidence inspection, and answer synthesis. Evaluation based on final answers shows whether an agent succeeds, but not which parts of the trajectory make the answer unreliable. We study span-level error localization for deep-research agents. We collect 2,790 real trajectories from two agent frameworks, three backbone models, and three benchmarks, convert raw logs into semantic spans, and annotate harmful error spans through LLM-assisted expert review. From these annotations, we build TELBench, a 1,000-instance benchmark for identifying error spans among normal exploration, failed searches, tentative hypotheses, and harmless noise. We further propose DRIFT, a claim-centric auditing framework that tracks agent claims, checks their support in trajectory evidence, and marks spans where unsupported or conflicting claims affect the answer path. Experiments across model families and auditing frameworks show that DRIFT improves span-level error localization and first-error accuracy by up to 30 percentage points. Our work provides a process-level view of reliability in deep-research agents.

Modern vehicle platforms are equipped with a rich sensor suite, including LiDAR, calibrated multi-camera rigs, and accurate ego-motion, that in principle offers strong signal for re-rendering a driving scene from novel viewpoints. A growing line of recent work leverages video diffusion models for this task, using their generative priors to synthesize plausible novel views from sparse vehicle observations. In practice, however, existing methods exploit only a fragment of this signal, and their quality tends to degrade as the target trajectory departs from the recorded driving path. We argue that this is fundamentally a multi-sensor fusion problem: sparse LiDAR reprojections supply accurate but incomplete metric geometry, surround-view reference imagery supplies dense appearance but no metric depth, and camera poses tie the two together across views. We introduce StreetNVS, a video diffusion framework that jointly conditions on all three signals through a Reference-Enhanced Camera Attention module based on a relative ray-level positional encoding. We develop a two-stage curriculum training strategy that gradually exposes the model to increasingly sparse LiDAR. On the Waymo Open Dataset, StreetNVS substantially outperforms state-of-the-art baselines under sparse LiDAR conditioning, matches methods that rely on 10-100 times denser point clouds. We further show capabilities of synthesizing coherent videos along extreme out-of-trajectory paths such as elevation, lane-shift, pullback, and rotation. Our website: https://streetnvs.github.io

Observable performance is commonly used to characterize biological systems, yet aggregated outputs may remain insufficient for uniquely resolving observational conditions, and richer multivariate representations may retain substantial ambiguity. This article proposes a representational bootstrap framework for adaptive biological systems. Bootstrap is used in a methodological and epistemological sense, not as statistical resampling. New analytical levels emerge when the active representation becomes insufficient for the question under investigation. The framework comprises five successive levels: observable performance, conceptual dynamic organization, exploratory multivariate representation, observed longitudinal centroid displacement, and internal approximation of observed displacement. Three previously reported gait-occlusion studies are used as a methodological case sequence rather than as new experimental evidence. The revised first study showed persistent static representational non-identifiability: neither the scalar score nor the exploratory embedding uniquely resolved the occlusal probes. The second study shifted the question toward M1-M2 centroid displacement in a common PCA representation. The third examined whether that observed representation-dependent transformation could be internally approximated by a simplified supervised model. The contribution is not a new algorithm, clinical protocol, or dataset. It is the formalization of a bootstrap methodology in which persistent explanatory insufficiency motivates reformulation of the scientific question and the emergence of progressively more adequate representations.

Large language model (LLM) agents increasingly rely on reusable external skills to solve long-horizon interactive tasks. Existing training-free skill adaptation pipelines usually update skills from full trajectories or session-level feedback, which makes failure attribution coarse and often produces unstable or overly broad revisions. We propose SkillAdaptor, a training-free step-level skill adaptation framework with explicit failure attribution, and it can plug into OpenClaw-class agent harnesses. Given a failed trajectory, SkillAdaptor identifies a first actionable fault step, links responsibility to candidate skills, and applies targeted updates under explicit acceptance checks while keeping the backbone frozen. We evaluate on WebShop, PinchBench, and Claw-Eval with Kimi-K2.5, GLM-5, and GPT-5.2. SkillAdaptor improves over no-skill and skill-adaptation baselines on all three suites, with the largest single-metric improvements of +1.5 points on PinchBench Avg Score%, +1.8 on Claw-Eval Avg Score, and +1.7 on WebShop success rate. These results indicate that step-level attribution supports more stable and auditable training-free skill maintenance\footnote{The code will be released at https://github.com/zjunlp/SkillAdaptor.}.

Robotic manipulation requires the effective integration of heterogeneous inputs, including visual observations, language instructions, and trajectory representations, to generate accurate actions. Existing transformer-based policies typically process these heterogeneous modalities within a shared parameter space, which often leads to modality interference and inefficient representation learning, especially in data-scarce scenarios. While Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) offers a scalable solution through expert specialization, conventional routing mechanisms are often sensitive to such cross-modal representation discrepancies, resulting in unstable expert assignment and expert collapse. In this work, we propose MATE (Multi-ModAl TrajEctory Policies), a novel trajectory prediction framework built upon MoE. Specifically, we introduce a Multi-Modal MoE architecture to achieve fine-grained sub-token feature decoupling, and design a cross-modal cosine router for stable and scale-invariant expert assignment across heterogeneous modalities. We further employ temperature-controlled routing and stochastic noise injection to improve expert balance and prevent premature routing collapse under scarce demonstrations. Experiments on the LIBERO benchmark show that our MATE consistently outperforms prior work under data scarcity. It achieves a 4.75% improvement in average success rate over the trajectory-guided counterpart. Real-world experiments on robotic ping-pong also suggest that the predicted trajectories can provide useful guidance for downstream robotic execution, further indicating the practical feasibility of our algorithm.

Accurate and reliable vehicle trajectory prediction is essential for safe autonomous driving. Recent studies have incorporated safety risk into trajectory prediction to quantify dangers posed by surrounding agents. However, most risk-aware approaches use past risk information as a secondary signal to help guide decisions, overlooking its future evolution and uncertainty. In this paper, we propose a risk horizon profiling (RHP) module that incorporates a continuous, learnable potential field model for risk-aware trajectory prediction. The RHP module calculates the spatial-temporal proximity of surrounding objects to profile risk distributions across future horizons, which supports better trajectory prediction by adaptively identifying what human drivers perceive as critical moments. We evaluate our method on two datasets from different driving settings, highD for highway corridors and SHRP2 for urban streets, which cover diverse risk scenarios including safe, near-crash, and crash events. Compared to the baseline methods, our framework achieves a 25.0% reduction in 5s RMSE on the highD dataset and a 29.1% reduction in 5s minFDE on SHRP2. These results indicate strong performance for both short and long horizon prediction and robust generalization across highway and urban scenarios. The proposed method enables more realistic AV path planning and strategic selection, thereby supporting safer autonomous driving and more advanced driver-assistance systems. The source code for this work is available at: https://github.com/bilab-nyu/RHP

Agentic AI systems can plan over multiple steps, use tools, and execute tasks over time. When such systems cause harm, tort law struggles to allocate responsibility because the harmful path may be neither fully chosen by the user nor specifically foreseen by the developer. This paper proposes an interaction-based framework for agentic torts, drawing on Michael Bratman's planning theory and on the common law's treatment of human-human concerted action. We distinguish three interaction types: autonomous drift, pure tool use, and collaborative planning. Pure tool cases remain governed by ordinary product-defect and warning doctrines; collaborative planning cases map onto the independent contractor control test, professional malpractice, and negligent misrepresentation; autonomous drift maps onto frolic and detour under respondeat superior and strict product liability. The framework treats the stateful interaction log as the primary evidentiary trace, allowing courts to infer where the human-AI trajectory departed from the authorized undertaking and where liability should attach. We resolve four incident-anchored cases, situate the account alongside strict-liability and insurance-based proposals, note its relationship to regulatory oversight, and propose a ``Reasonable Agent'' standard built around constraint verification, epistemic transparency, runtime grounding, and forensic logging.

Accurate pedestrian trajectory prediction is essential for safe navigation in autonomous driving and intelligent transportation systems. Despite substantial progress made by recent methods, most existing approaches are limited in fully exploiting diverse observations and often overlook the scale dependency of future motion, treating multiscale features uniformly regardless of underlying motion dynamics. This limits their robustness across diverse pedestrian behaviors. To address these challenges, we propose a Predicted-MUltiSCale-Aware Network (MUSCLE-NET) for Pedestrian Trajectory Forecasting that integrates complementary multimodal cues with scale-adaptive prediction mechanisms. The proposed framework is built upon a Multiscale Multimodal Feature Extraction (MMFE) module, which combines multiscale representation, modality-aware recalibration, and directional cross-modal fusion to construct semantically aligned representations from bounding boxes, velocities, and pose information. Building on these features, a Multiscale Enhanced Hierarchical Prediction (MEHP) module performs prediction-aware future-motion refinement via a probabilistic coarse predictor, scale-aligned fusion, and progressive refinement, adaptively selecting scale-relevant cues to mitigate spatial drift. Extensive experiments on the JAAD and PIE benchmarks demonstrate that the proposed MUSCLE-Net achieves competitive performance and consistent gains compared with state-of-the-art trajectory prediction methods.

On-Policy Distillation (OPD) improves large language model reasoning by training a student model on trajectories sampled from its own policy under teacher supervision. Although OPD operates on trajectories, its learning signal remains token-level: it identifies deviations through high-loss tokens and repairs them through local reverse-KL correction. We show that this "trajectory-sampled but token-learned" mechanism cannot reliably bridge student trajectories toward teacher trajectories. About 30% of high-loss tokens fall into the low-divergence regime, indicating that many are surface-form mismatches rather than real reasoning forks. Moreover, even truly divergent tokens are difficult to repair with isolated token-level supervision, since reasoning failures often unfold as short-horizon distributional drift. We propose Trajectory-aware OPD (TOPD), which uses near-future trajectory information to identify real divergent states and distribute guidance across multiple future tokens. Experiments show that suppressing non-divergent high-loss tokens improves standard OPD from 47.8% to 48.2% average accuracy, while TOPD further improves performance to 52.2%, with gains on AIME24 from 60.0% to 63.3% and AIME25 from 46.7% to 53.3%.