Trajectory

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693 papers

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May 29, 2026cs.CL

LongTraceRL: Learning Long-Context Reasoning from Search Agent Trajectories with Rubric Rewards

Long-context reasoning remains a central challenge for large language models, which often fail to locate and integrate key information in extensive distracting content. Reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards (RLVR) has shown promise for this task, yet existing methods are limited by low-confusability distractors and sparse, outcome-only reward signals that cannot supervise intermediate reasoning steps. To address these issues, we introduce \textsc{LongTraceRL}. For data construction, we generate multi-hop questions via knowledge graph random walks and leverage search agent trajectories to build \emph{tiered distractors}: documents the agent read but did not cite (high confusability) and documents that appeared in search results but were never opened (low confusability), producing training contexts that are far more challenging than those built by random sampling or one-shot search. For reward design, we propose a \emph{rubric reward} that uses the gold entities along each reasoning chain as fine-grained, entity-level process supervision. This rubric reward is applied only to responses with correct final answers (positive-only strategy), distinguishing the reasoning quality among correct responses and preventing reward hacking. Experiments on three reasoning LLMs (4B--30B) across five long-context benchmarks demonstrate that \textsc{LongTraceRL} consistently outperforms strong baselines and encourages comprehensive, evidence-grounded reasoning. Codes, datasets and models are available at \href{https://github.com/THU-KEG/LongTraceRL}{https://github.com/THU-KEG/LongTraceRL}.
Nianyi Lin, Jiajie Zhang, Lei Hou +1
May 29, 2026cs.CL

What Gets Unmasked First? Trajectory Analysis of Diffusion Models for Graph-to-Text Generation

We present the first systematic study of masked diffusion language models (MDLMs) for graph-to-text generation. We analyze MDLM generation trajectories -- the order in which tokens are unmasked during iterative decoding -- and find that, unlike autoregressive LLMs which generate text linearly, MDLMs naturally prioritize entities first, followed by relational and function words, with structural tokens resolved last. We further identify a previously undocumented failure mode of supervised fine-tuning: SFT disrupts this strategy by prematurely anchoring structural sentence-ending tokens early in the decoding trajectory, effectively fixing the output length which can lead to omitted or hallucinated information. To address this, we propose lambda-scaled structural decoding, a training-free inference-time modification that downweights structural token confidence and recovers +9.4 BLEU-4. Finally, we introduce Graph-LLaDA, which integrates a Graph Transformer encoder into LLaDA's decoding process to explicitly incorporate relational graph structure. Cross-dataset evaluation on LAGRANGE reveals that previous baselines overfit to dataset-specific patterns, while LLM- and MDLM-based approaches generalize significantly better.
Qing Wang, Jacob Devasier, Chengkai Li
May 29, 2026cs.RO

IDOL: Inverse-Dynamics-Guided Future Prediction for End-to-End Autonomous Driving

End-to-end autonomous driving has emerged as a compelling paradigm for learning planning directly from sensor observations, while recent world-model-based approaches further enrich this paradigm by enabling explicit reasoning about how the scene may evolve in the future. Yet future prediction alone does not guarantee better planning unless the predicted evolution can be converted into planning-relevant trajectory updates. Many current methods still forecast future scene states without explicitly decoding the motion implications hidden in state transitions. As a result, future reasoning often remains descriptively useful but only weakly coupled to executable motion generation. To address this limitation, we propose \mathbf{IDOL}, an inverse-dynamics-guided future prediction framework for world-model-based end-to-end planning in latent BEV space, where inverse dynamics serves as the key bridge between future prediction and trajectory optimization. IDOL first predicts multiple future latent scene states with a BEV world model, then applies an inverse dynamics model to adjacent latent futures to decode transition-aware trajectory features and recover planning-relevant motion deltas that explain how the latent world evolves over time. These inverse-dynamics-derived signals are used to optimize the planned trajectory, turning future forecasting from passive scene anticipation into actionable planning guidance. A lightweight closed-loop refinement module further improves long-horizon consistency by reusing the optimized trajectory for another round of future-aware reasoning. By introducing inverse dynamics into latent future reasoning, IDOL tightens the coupling between world modeling and planning. Extensive experiments on the NAVSIM v1 and NAVSIM v2 benchmarks show that IDOL achieves state-of-the-art performance among comparable methods.
Chenghao Zhang, Timin Li, Dongmei Li
May 29, 2026cs.AI

TraceGraph: Shared Decision Landscapes for Diagnosing and Improving Agent Trajectories

Agent benchmarks increasingly record rich interaction trajectories, yet evaluation often reduces each rollout to a pass rate or reward score. We introduce TraceGraph, a graph-based framework that turns released multi-model agent trajectories into shared decision landscapes. For each task, TraceGraph builds a graph over observable action-observation states from pooled rollouts before model identity is introduced. It then overlays outcome-informed productive cores and trap regions, and summarizes each rollout with three events: Access, Trap exposure, and Repair. Across trajectories spanning five benchmark splits, TraceGraph profiles reveal navigation differences hidden by aggregate scores and show that splits differ in whether they reward avoiding traps or recovering from them. The same TraceGraph landscape also motivates a trap-aware recovery pipeline for SWE-bench: aruntime detector fires on states matching historical trap regions, then lightweight continuation policies are evaluated from the same prefix. On fired states, the best pooled single-factor policy raises official resolved rate from 40.4% to 43.5% on the per-provider fired subset and from 41.0% to 44.8% on common-fired instances, with provider-specific active components. Overall, TraceGraph provides a process vocabulary for asking what agent benchmarks test, where models diverge on a shared landscape, and how failure regions can guide downstream improvement.
Junjie Nian, Kang Chen, Ge Zhang +2
May 29, 2026cs.LG

The Shape of Addition: Geometric Structures of Arithmetic in Large Language Models

Large Language Models exhibit paradoxical fragility in fundamental arithmetic, implying a disconnect between internal computation and discrete output. By analyzing the residual stream geometry during multi-operand addition, we identify the Iso-Raw-Sum Trajectory (IRST), a geometric structure where representations are anchored by semantic digits and modulated by continuous carry fibers. We propose the Noisy Quantization Model to explain this geometry, framing arithmetic errors as Geometric Slippages caused by internal neural noise pushing a continuous, latent Carry Potential across quantization thresholds. This geometric framework further elucidates Probe Versatility, explaining how lightweight probes can disentangle coexisting latent signals (such as ground truth versus hallucination) from a single activation vector. Finally, we validate these insights through a geometric consistency check method that effectively detects and corrects these quantization failures during inference. Our code is available at https://github.com/RL-MIND/Shape-of-Addition.
Liuyuan Wen, Xun Zhu, Lihao Huang +2
May 29, 2026cs.LG

DARTS: Distribution-Aware Active Rollout Trajectory Shaping for Accelerating LLM Reinforcement Learning

Reinforcement Learning (RL) has become pivotal for improving model capabilities yet suffers from rollout efficiency bottlenecks due to the long-tail response length distribution. While existing works mitigate the impact of long tails via prompt-level tail scheduling, we focus on the root source of inefficiency: the distribution itself. Specifically, we characterize the long-tail distribution at a finer granularity, identifying intra-prompt long tails, and revealing that they frequently consist of ineffective verbosity. To address this, we propose a novel paradigm of active distribution shaping to shape the rollout distribution towards conciseness and certainty, thereby fundamentally resolving tail-induced overheads. We achieve this through a distribution-aware trajectory sampling mechanism, which selects trajectories from a redundant exploration space for each prompt, and an adaptive redundancy allocation scheme to maximize both shaping effectiveness and system efficiency. Experiments demonstrate significant acceleration over state-of-the-art systems by up to 1.77x without compromising model performance.
Yujie Wang, Siwei Chen, Longzan Luo +4
May 29, 2026cs.RO

Hide-and-Seek in Trajectories: Discovering Failure Signals for VLA Runtime Monitoring

Vision-Language-Action (VLA) models enable robots to follow natural language instructions and generalize across diverse tasks, but they remain vulnerable to execution failures that compromise reliability in real-world deployment. Detecting such failures during execution is therefore critical for the robust deployment of embodied systems. Existing failure detection methods either rely on expensive action resampling or external models, while alternatives propagate trajectory-level labels uniformly across every timestep, obscuring localized failure signals. In this paper, we propose \textbf{Hide-and-Seek}, a framework that formulates VLA failure detection as a coarsely supervised learning problem. By combining inter-trajectory and intra-trajectory contrastive objectives, Hide-and-Seek localizes failure-indicative actions and induces temporally structured failure signals from trajectory-level supervision alone, without any step-level annotation. We evaluate Hide-and-Seek on LIBERO, VLABench, and a real-world robotic platform across three representative VLA policies: OpenVLA, π0π_0, and π0.5π_{0.5}.Our method achieves state-of-the-art multi-task failure detection performance with a practical accuracy--timeliness trade-off under conformal prediction, and generalizes well to both seen and unseen tasks.
Seongheon Park, Wendi Li, Changdae Oh +4
May 29, 2026cs.RO

Closed-Loop Object-Informed Control for Non-Prehensile Robot Manipulation

Non-prehensile robot manipulation is challenging due to discontinuous, long-horizon interactions between the robot and the objects it manipulates. Sampling-based model predictive control methods are effective with discontinuous contact but face challenges with finding promising trajectories in long-horizon planning. We propose a closed-loop object-informed (CLOI) method that splits the problem into object-level planning to find long-horizon object poses that lead the object to its goal, and robot-level planning to select robot actions that follow those poses. We use model predictive path integral (MPPI) control to solve the subproblems and couple their solutions through consensus on the object poses using the alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM). The object plan is revised toward robot-realizable object trajectories, while the robot plan is aligned with the object poses the task requires. In planar pushing tasks with obstacles using an xArm6 manipulator, CLOI increases the success rate by 35% in simulation and 43% on hardware, compared to standard MPPI given the same computational budget.
Nikola Raicevic, Hyomuk Kim, Shahid Mulla +5
May 28, 2026cs.LG

LARK: Learnability-Grounded Trajectory Selection for Efficient Reasoning Distillation

We study trajectory selection for reasoning distillation, where teacher-generated reasoning trajectories are selectively used as supervision for a student model. Existing methods rely on heuristics such as trajectory quality or model confidence, but they often overlook whether a trajectory is learnable by the student. In this paper, we present LARK, a learnability-grounded method for reasoning trajectory selection. LARK selects trajectories that the student can learn efficiently while preserving the generalization of the full training distribution. At the core of LARK is a learnability factor ρρ, which characterizes the rate at which the student's training loss decreases. To estimate this rate efficiently and maintain generalization, we introduce a learnability proxy and a χ2χ^2-regularized selection policy that balances learnability and distributional coverage, both with strong theoretical guarantees on their estimation error. Empirically, LARK consistently outperforms data selection baselines across multiple base models and reasoning tasks. Diagnostic analyses show that the LARK score predicts downstream training utility and that LARK-selected trajectories induce faster supervised fine-tuning loss reduction. Our code is available at https://github.com/Tianrun-Yu/LARK.
Tianrun Yu, Kaixiang Zhao, Chih-Chun Chen +5
May 28, 2026cs.LG

CellBRIDGE: Learning Cellular Trajectories via Interaction-Aware Alignment

Inferring dynamics from population snapshots is a fundamental challenge in machine learning and biology. In scRNA-sequencing (scRNA-seq), destructive measurements preclude direct tracking of individual cells across time, making trajectory inference underdetermined. Optimal Transport (OT) provides a principled framework for snapshot alignment, but a long-standing modeling question is which cost functions yield biologically meaningful couplings. Standard OT approaches rely on gene-expression distances, implicitly treating cells as independent points and neglecting structured cell-cell communication mediated by ligand-receptor signaling. We introduce CellBRIDGE (Cell-Based Regularized Interaction-Driven Gene Expression), which augments feature-based OT with a directed, typed interaction cost derived from ligand-receptor activity. By explicitly modeling cell-cell communication, CellBRIDGE improves cross-snapshot couplings and downstream trajectory estimates across synthetic and real scRNA-seq datasets relative to feature-only baselines. Notably, CellBRIDGE enables mechanistically interpretable in silico perturbations: on lung cancer data, silencing specific ligand-receptor pairs induces trajectory shifts that recapitulate expected effects of targeted pathway inhibition.
Silas Ruhrberg Estévez, Nicolas Huynh, Tennison Liu +4
May 28, 2026cs.LG

Active Timepoint Selection for Learning Measure-Valued Trajectories

Inferring continuous probability paths from sparse snapshots is a fundamental challenge in domains like single-cell biology, where high-fidelity data acquisition is often destructive and constrained by prohibitive sequencing costs. This motivates the need for active learning strategies to strategically select optimal measurement times. However, designing active learning policies for this setting remains an open problem: the target objects reside on the infinite dimensional Wasserstein space where standard Euclidean metrics are ill-defined, and current interpolation methods lack epistemic uncertainty quantification. We introduce a framework which extends active experimentation to the space of measures. By leveraging Linearized Optimal Transport (LOT), we map distributional snapshots into a tangent space amenable to Gaussian Process modeling, allowing us to construct a tractable probabilistic surrogate for the underlying probability path. This yields an acquisition policy that iteratively selects measurement times to minimize uncertainty. Empirical results demonstrate that our strategy outperforms uncertainty-agnostic baselines on both synthetic and real-world datasets.
Nicolas Huynh, Mihaela van der Schaar
May 28, 2026cs.RO

Qwen-VLA: Unifying Vision-Language-Action Modeling across Tasks, Environments, and Robot Embodiments

Embodied intelligence is often studied through specialized models for individual tasks such as manipulation or navigation, resulting in fragmented capabilities and limited generalization across tasks, environments, and robot embodiments. In this work, we study whether heterogeneous embodied decision-making problems can be unified within a single vision-language-action model. We present Qwen-VLA, a unified embodied foundation model that extends Qwen's vision-language modeling stack from perception, understanding, and reasoning to continuous action and trajectory generation through a DiT-based action decoder. Qwen-VLA is trained with a large-scale joint pretraining recipe over diverse data sources, including robotics manipulation trajectories, human egocentric demonstrations, synthetic simulation data, vision-and-language navigation data, trajectory-centric supervision, and auxiliary vision-language data. To support multiple robot platforms, we introduce embodiment-aware prompt conditioning, where robot-specific textual descriptions specify the current embodiment and control convention. We further cast manipulation, navigation, and trajectory prediction into a unified action-and-trajectory prediction framework, enabling transferable visual grounding, spatial reasoning, and continuous action generation across robot morphologies, task families, and environments. Experiments on manipulation, navigation, and trajectory-centric benchmarks show consistent multi-task performance and out-of-distribution generalization under variations in scene layout, background, lighting, object configuration, and robot embodiment. Qwen-VLA-Instruct achieves 97.9% on LIBERO, 73.7% on Simpler-WidowX, 86.1%/87.2% on RoboTwin-Easy/Hard, 69.0% OSR on R2R, 59.6% SR on RxR, 76.9% average OOD success in real-world ALOHA experiments, and 26.6% zero-shot success on DOMINO dynamic manipulation.
Qiuyue Wang, Mingsheng Li, Jian Guan +37
May 28, 2026cs.AI

Double-Edged Sword or Sharp Tool? Designing and Evaluating Triadic LLM-Teacher Collaboration for K-12 Writing at Scale

The double-edged sword of integrating Large Language Models (LLMs) requires an effective triadic collaboration mechanism among LLMs, teachers and students, especially for K-12 education. By developing a triadic collaboration system to support K-12 writing learning, a multidimensional evaluation framework grounded in Systemic Functional Linguistics and the suggestion trajectory tracing pipeline, this paper contributes a large-scale empirical dataset involving 57,95457,954 essays from 10,19510,195 students across 120120 schools over two years. Our findings confirm the efficacy of this system in improving writing quality through a strategic labor division: the LLM serves as a generative engine to mitigate teacher burnout, and the teacher acts as a pedagogical gatekeeper and bridge to guarantee feedback quality. While both LLM and teacher are critical for skill improvement, we uncover a ceiling effect where excessive linguistic expansion yields diminishing marginal utility. These suggest a dynamically adaptive LLM-teacher collaboration as student proficiency increases.
Canran Wang, Yuwen Yang, Zhen Wang +5
May 28, 2026cs.AI

Redundant or Necessary? A Benchmark for Detecting Redundant Steps in Agent Trajectories

LLM-based agents have demonstrated strong capabilities in solving complex tasks through multi-step reasoning and tool use. However, existing evaluation protocols primarily focus on task success, overlooking a critical aspect of agent behavior: execution efficiency. In practice, agent trajectories often contain redundant steps that consume substantial resources while contributing little to task completion. In this work, we propose and formulate a new research area: \textbf{redundant step detection} for agent trajectories. To support this initiative, we introduce \textbf{RedundancyBench}, a new benchmark that contains diverse tasks with carefully annotated trajectories, where each step is labeled according to its contribution to task completion. Using RedundancyBench, we develop and evaluate 3 representative methods to answer whether a step within trajectory is redundant or necessary. Our results show that even the best-performing method achieves only 24.88% score in detecting redundant steps, while some methods perform worse than random guessing. These results highlight the task's complexity and the need for further research in this area. \footnote{Code and dataset in this paper are both available in \href{https://anonymous.4open.science/r/RedundancyBench}{https://anonymous.4open.science/r/RedundancyBench}.}
Minyang Hu, Bo Yang, Zhinuo Zhou +4
May 28, 2026cs.AI

BitTP: The Lightweight Trajectory Prediction Model with BitLLM for Edge-Devices

Trajectory prediction is a fundamental task for autonomous systems, requiring complex reasoning about multi-agent interactions and intents. Large language models (LLMs) have recently been adopted for this task, as they provide strong contextual reasoning and interpretable, language-based trajectory representations. However, these LLM-based predictors are extremely memory- and compute-intensive, making them difficult to deploy on resource-constrained edge devices such as on-board computers in autonomous robots. To bridge this gap, we propose BitTP, which converts an LLM-based trajectory predictor into a lightweight bitlinear architecture. We demonstrate that weight-only quantization to 1.58-bit (BitTP-Weight) is optimal. Crucially, activations must remain in full precision, as quantizing them leads to severe degradation and instability in spatio-temporal reasoning. Empirically, BitTP-Weight not only preserves but improves prediction quality over the full-precision (BF16) LLM baseline, reducing ADE by 14.29% and FDE by 20.97% on average, while simultaneously reducing memory usage and inference latency relative to other quantization methods. These results demonstrate that carefully designed quantization acts as an effective regularizer, enabling the practical deployment of sophisticated LLM-based reasoning on edge devices. Code is available at: https://github.com/MintCat98/BitTP.
Mincheol Kang, Hyunjin Lim, Bomin Kang +1
May 28, 2026cs.CV

Recovering Policy-Induced Errors: Benchmarking and Trajectory Synthesis for Robust GUI Agents

While GUI agents have advanced rapidly, they often lack the robustness to recover from their own errors, hindering real-world deployment. To bridge this gap at both the evaluation and data levels, we introduce GUI-RobustEval and propose Robustness-driven Trajectory Synthesis. GUI-RobustEval contains 1,2161,216 executable test cases that systematically measure error recovery capabilities across a broad and realistic spectrum of error modes. At the data level, RoTS is a scalable synthesis framework that creates 800k800k high-quality data via a tree-based pipeline that proactively discovers diverse error modes and synthesizes corresponding recovery steps. Our two models, RoTS-7B and RoTS-32B, fine-tuned on our dataset, both demonstrate significant gains on GUI-RobustEval and traditional GUI benchmarks. Notably, RoTS-32B achieves state-of-the-art performance on OSWorld, with a 47.4%47.4\% success rate and a 33.8%33.8\% All-Pass@4 score, suggesting that improved long-horizon error recovery ability contributes to both robustness and overall performance. Our code is available at https://github.com/AlibabaResearch/RoTS.
Tianpeng Bu, Xin Liu, Qihua Chen +7
May 28, 2026cs.AI

OpenClawBench: Benchmarking Process-side Anomalies in Real-world Agent Execution Trajectories

Task success can hide process anomalies in real-world agent executions. An agent may pass the final task oracle while still accumulating unresolved ambiguity, unsafe external writes, ignored errors, weakly grounded commitments, or capability-boundary overcommitment. We study this mismatch as the Outcome-Process Gap and introduce OpenClawBench, a large-scale dataset for measuring and supervising process-side anomalies in real agent execution processes. OpenClawBench is built from BFCL-driven OpenClaw sessions produced by 6 source models and contains 31,264 annotated trajectories. It aligns task-oracle outcomes with structured process evidence. FullTax converts the aligned trajectories into structured anomaly supervision: binary labels, supporting evidence, onset/span localization, severity, recoverability, and a 5-class anomaly taxonomy. Using OpenClawBench, we make the Outcome-Process Gap measurable. Among 31,135 oracle-passing executions, 2,904 are still labeled process-anomalous under FullTax. These results show that success-only evaluation misses a concrete class of process-side failures in real agent executions. A LoRA-fine-tuned Gemma 3 12B detector trained on the high-confidence FullTax supervised pool reaches binary F1=0.729 on the cleaner-labels held-out test split. Together, OpenClawBench turns real agent execution logs into auditable and reusable supervision for studying, diagnosing, and operationally monitoring runtime agent reliability.
Yibing Liu, Yangze Liu, Xiaolong Yin +4
May 27, 2026cs.CV

Trajectory Constraints for Imaging Inverse Problems

Diffusion-based and iterative methods have become effective tools for solving imaging inverse problems. Their reconstruction process naturally forms a trajectory of intermediate estimates. Although these intermediate estimates define a reconstruction trajectory, most methods do not explicitly regularize the transitions between consecutive states. To address this limitation, we introduce TRACE, a training-free TRAjectory-Constrained rEconstruction framework that stabilizes the reconstruction path by coupling adjacent states along the trajectory. This gives a trajectory-level model that can be interpreted as a sequence of proximal updates. Since the exact proximal update is generally intractable, we approximate it with a neural mapping. This yields a diffusion-like reconstruction process with an explicit coupling between neighboring states. We provide a stability analysis showing that temporal coupling bounds trajectory variation and that this control is preserved under untrained network updates. Experiments on linear and nonlinear image reconstruction tasks show that TRACE improves reconstruction quality. Trajectory-level analyses and ablations confirm that temporal coupling directly affects state transitions along the reconstruction path.
Chaoyan Huang, Haijie Yuan, Saiprasad Ravishankar
May 27, 2026cs.RO

PrimitiveVLA: Learning Reusable Motion Primitives for Efficient and Generalizable Robotic Manipulation

Vision-Language-Action (VLA) models offer a promising paradigm for generalist robotic policies, yet their adaptation is hindered by data inefficiency and poor generalization. We argue that these bottlenecks stem from the prevailing Direct Instruction-to-Control Mapping, which forces models to memorize monolithic trajectories rather than reusable motion patterns, i.e., primitives. We propose PrimitiveVLA, a framework that shifts this paradigm toward a Primitive-Centric Disassemble & Assemble paradigm. Supported by a shared Multimodal Canonical Representation (MCR), PrimitiveVLA unifies two phases: (1) Fine-tuning-phase Disassembly, which uses an automated pipeline to disassemble demonstrations into reusable primitives; and (2) Inference-phase Assembly, which employs a VLM-based planner and an LLM-generated switch module for robust closed-loop execution. By disassembling tasks into reusable primitives, PrimitiveVLA enables VLA models to learn invariant motion patterns instead of task-specific trajectories. Extensive experiments show that our framework improves data efficiency and achieves superior zero-shot generalization across unseen and long-horizon tasks.
Yutai Li, Shaohui Peng, Jiaming Guo +8
May 27, 2026cs.RO

Learning a Kinodynamic Trajectory Manifold for Impact-Aware Compliant Catching of Fast-Moving Objects

Fast catching of free-flying objects is difficult because of short reaction time, impact uncertainty, and kinodynamic constraints. We use reinforcement learning in simulation to collect successful catching trajectories and learn a low-dimensional kinodynamic trajectory manifold. At run time, the estimated object initial state is mapped directly to a reference catching trajectory without online nonlinear optimization. The trajectory is tracked with compliant control near contact for improved impact absorption and capture stability.
Guorui Pei, Mengshi Zhang, Xi Chen +3
May 27, 2026cs.AI

Geometry of Human Perceptual Domains Emerges Transiently in LLM Representations

While large language models (LLMs) are trained purely on textual data, prior work has shown that their internal representations can exhibit rich geometric structure in embedding space. Building on this line of work, we investigate whether such structure is similar to human perceptual organisation across different domains (e.g., color, pitch, emotion, and taste). Specifically, we study the layer-wise emergence of intrinsic geometrical structure corresponding to perceptual modalities within the residual streams of multiple open-weight transformer architectures. Our results reveal three key findings. First, we observe the emergence of layer-wise geometric structure across multiple perceptual domains, despite the absence of any direct perceptual supervision during training. Second, these perceptual domains exhibit distinct emergence profiles, with both geometric structure and its alignment with human baselines following domain- and model-specific trajectories across depth. Third, this emergence follows a consistent representational trajectory: geometry is weak or diffuse in early layers, becomes progressively organised in intermediate layers, and is attenuated in later layers, suggesting that perceptual geometry arises transiently as part of the model's internal transformation pipeline. This provides new insight into how and where human-like perceptual geometry arises in LLMs, offering a principled pathway for mechanistic analysis of internal representations.
Simardeep Singh, Paras Chopra
May 26, 2026cs.RO

AURA: Asymptotically Optimal Uncertainty-Robust Replanning Algorithm for Kinodynamic Systems

Sampling-based motion planners offer a practical and scalable approach to kinodynamic motion planning, notably for high-dimensional, underactuated, or non-holonomic systems. However, these planners are typically used offline, requiring execution to begin only after the trajectory has been computed. In addition, the planned trajectory may not be accurately tracked in the presence of motion uncertainty, leading to deviations from the nominal solution. In this work, these limitations were addressed within a unified framework, \method, an asymptotically-optimal meta-planner framework that improves both path quality and tracking performance during execution. In addition to the main execution thread, this framework comprises a replanning method that continuously explores the state space and refines the trajectory during execution, and an optimization process that refines future control inputs to reduce tracking error. Together, these components enable \method to leverage asymptotically optimal planning online while improving execution accuracy under uncertainty. The proposed approach is evaluated in both simulation and real-world environments across multiple systems, demonstrating consistent improvements in trajectory quality, tracking accuracy, and overall performance compared with baseline methods.
Seyedali Golestaneh, Zhuoyun Zhong, Donghyung Lee +1
May 26, 2026cs.CL

Learning When to Think While Listening in Large Audio-Language Models

Recent advances in Large Audio-Language Models (LALMs) have made real-time, streaming spoken interaction increasingly practical. In this setting, reasoning quality and responsiveness are tightly coupled: delaying reasoning until the speech endpoint can improve answer quality but moves deliberation into user-visible response delay, while answering too early risks committing before decisive evidence arrives. We introduce a learnable wait-think-answer control formulation for LALMs. Motivated by the incremental nature of human conversation, the controller decides under partial audio evidence when to wait, when to externalize a compact reasoning update, and when to answer. Using Qwen2.5-Omni-7B as the base model, we construct aligned wait-think-answer traces from spoken reasoning data, train the controller with supervised fine-tuning (SFT), and then apply Decoupled Clip and Dynamic Sampling Policy Optimization (DAPO). The reward combines answer correctness, action validity, update timing, latency synchronization, reasoning quality, and chain consistency, optimizing the complete wait-think-answer trajectory and not the final answer alone. On a six-task synthetic spoken reasoning question answering (SRQA) benchmark, the six-reward DAPO controller improves the row-weighted accuracy from 67.6% to 70.3% while reducing post-endpoint final-think length by 14% under the same Qwen deployment harness. On a 186-item human-recorded Real Audio Bench, a transfer check beyond text-to-speech (TTS)-rendered speech, the controller family remains functional: SFT achieves the strongest accuracy, while the six-reward DAPO controller is the only learned variant whose final-think length falls below the base. These results suggest that a streaming model should learn when to make intermediate reasoning explicit during the audio stream.
Zhiyuan Song, Weici Zhao, Yang Xiao +3
May 26, 2026cs.CV

Model discovery for dynamical systems with complex-valued product units

Discovering the governing equations of a dynamical system from observed trajectories provides deeper insight into its structure than mere prediction of future states. We present a data-driven approach to model discovery based on complex-valued product-unit networks, in which each unit represents a complex monomial and the network output is a sparse linear combination of such monomials. In contrast to established library-based methods such as SINDy, our approach does not require a predefined set of candidate functions: the relevant monomials, including those with fractional or negative exponents, are learned directly from data. Across four chaotic benchmark systems (Lorenz63, Lorenz84, the Four-Wing attractor, and a fractional variant of Lorenz63), we recover the exact governing equations in 90% of trials for the first three systems, and in 70-90% of trials for the fractional case, using at least 3000 training points. Applied to real-world human-gait accelerometer signals, the model produced stable trajectories with bounded prediction errors, corresponding to an RMSE of approximately 12-14% of the signal amplitude range over a test horizon three times longer than the training interval, demonstrating its potential for high-dimensional systems in which analytic equations are unavailable.
Martin Brückmann, Babette Dellen, Uwe Jaekel
May 26, 2026cs.AI

BatteryMFormer: Multi-level Learning for Battery Degradation Trajectory Forecasting

Early battery degradation trajectory forecasting (BDTF), which predicts the full-life state-of-health trajectory from early operational data, is critical for battery optimization, manufacturing, and deployment. Battery degradation data exhibit two key characteristics. First, degradation data present a multi-level structure, including regularities shared within aging conditions and trajectory patterns shared across batteries. Second, degradation-related variations in voltage-current profiles are often localized to specific state of charge (SOC) intervals. Existing approaches often fail to explicitly model these characteristics. To bridge this gap, we propose BatteryMFormer, a multi-level Transformer for early BDTF. BatteryMFormer integrates (1) an aging-condition-aware decoder that injects aging-condition priors via aging-condition-informed queries and aging-condition-aware attention, (2) a meta degradation pattern memory that learns and retrieves trajectory prototypes to guide long-horizon forecasting, and (3) a dual-view encoder that jointly captures temporal dynamics and SOC-localized variations from voltage and current time series. Extensive experiments on four battery domains show that BatteryMFormer consistently outperforms state-of-the-art baselines, marking a significant step toward reliable BDTF. Our code is available at https://github.com/Ruifeng-Tan/BatteryMFormer.
Ruifeng Tan, Jintao Dong, Weixiang Hong +3
May 26, 2026cs.RO

TPS-Drive: Task-Guided Representation Purification for VLM-based Autonomous Driving

Vision-Language Models (VLMs) provide a promising foundation for autonomous driving planning, yet bridging semantic reasoning and precise 3D spatial forecasting remains a critical challenge. Existing representation strategies generally follow two paths: text-aligned methods flatten continuous spatial states into symbols, which compromises geometric structure and induces "spatial hallucinations"; dense visual methods preserve spatial topology but overwhelm standard tokenizers with redundant background textures, leading to "representation interference". To address these limitations, we introduce TPS-Drive, a novel framework centered on Task-Guided Representation Purification that empowers VLMs to Think in Purified Space. At its core, an Agent-Centric Tokenizer utilizes a task-guided vector quantization mechanism supervised by a frozen 3D detection head, which explicitly reallocates limited codebook capacity from pervasive static backgrounds to critical dynamic agents and effectively isolates spatial redundancy. Leveraging this purified spatial vocabulary, TPS-Drive employs a decoupled reasoning pipeline that sequentially performs scene understanding, future forecasting, and action generation. The framework is optimized via a progressive three-stage training paradigm, culminating in reward-driven refinement that surpasses pure imitation learning. Extensive experiments validate our approach: TPS-Drive achieves accurate agent spatial state forecasting and reduces collision rates in open-loop nuScenes evaluations, while establishing new safety records on the rigorous closed-loop NAVSIMv1 and NAVSIMv2 benchmarks.
Jiaxiang Li, Yumao Liu, Ke Ma
May 26, 2026cs.LG

Pretrained Approximators for Low-Thrust Trajectory Cost and Reachability

Low-thrust trajectory design relies heavily on repeated evaluations of fuel consumption and transfer feasibility, which require expensive optimal control solutions. In this work, we show these quantities can be accurately approximated by machine learning surrogates, enabling fast and scalable evaluation across a wide range of scenarios. By increasing both dataset size and model capacity, we observe that low-thrust trajectory optimization follows a scaling law, with performance improving linearly with the logarithm of training data and network parameters, and no evidence of saturation within the explored regime. Guided by this observation, we construct a large-scale dataset using the proposed homotopy-ray strategy tailored to mission design requirements. A key is the introduction of a self-similar transformation, which allows generalization across semi-major axes, inclinations, and central bodies avoiding retraining. As a result, the same neural approximator can be applied to diverse orbital environments and mission classes. The proposed models accurately predict optimal fuel consumption and minimum transfer time for single- and multi-revolution transfers. Their performance and generalization are demonstrated on a public dataset, a multi-asteroid flyby problem from the Global Trajectory Optimization Competition, and an asteroid rendezvous mission design. The models and datasets are released as open-source to support the space community.
Zhong Zhang, Giacomo Acciarini, Dario Izzo +2
May 26, 2026cs.CL

LATTE: Forecasting Peer Anchored Preference Trajectories for Personalized LLM Generation

Personalized generation with frozen large language models requires a conditioning signal that is both compact and current. Existing personalization methods typically retrieve or summarize user histories in text, or compress them into static latent profiles and soft prompts. These approaches are efficient, but they treat a user's past behavior as an aggregate profile and therefore mix stable identity, recent drift, and item content in the same representation. We propose LAtent Trajectory Tracking and Extrapolation (LATTE), a framework that represents personalization as forecasting a peer anchored relative preference state. For each historical session, LATTE subtracts a time masked baseline formed from comparable users who responded to the same item, producing a state that measures how the target user differs from peers under a shared item context. A lightweight sequence predictor then forecasts the next state in this trajectory, and a State to Token Bridge injects the forecast into a frozen instruction tuned LLM through a single anchored soft token. We provide a latent factor analysis showing when peer anchoring cancels shared item variation and why temporal forecasting trades off stale averages against noisy recent states. Experiments on Amazon Reviews 2023 and MemoryCD show that LATTE consistently outperforms retrieval, summary memory, static latent profiles, difference aware latent profiles, and soft prompt compression baselines. On Amazon Reviews 2023, LATTE improves average ROUGE-L from 0.219 for a static latent profile and 0.245 for the strongest added latent compression baseline to 0.259. Additional pairwise comparisons and diagnostic analyses suggest that the improvement is mainly due to forecasting user-specific trajectory information, rather than merely adding a soft prompt interface.
Jinze Li, Xiaoyan Yang, Shuo Yang +5
May 26, 2026cs.CV

CmIVTP: Cross-modal Interaction-based Vessel Trajectory Prediction for Maritime Intelligence

Maritime intelligent transportation systems (MITS) are essential for ensuring navigation safety and efficiency in busy waterways. However, accurate vessel trajectory prediction remains challenging due to the limitations of single-source data. Automatic identification system (AIS) data is often sparse or unavailable for small vessels, while closed-circuit television (CCTV) data alone cannot fully capture dynamic vessel behavior. To mitigate these challenges, we propose a cross-modal interaction-based vessel trajectory prediction (named CmIVTP) framework to model the intricate interactions between vessel dynamics and environmental constraints. Specifically, we introduce a target-aware scene encoder to extract scene semantic features, effectively capturing vessel-environment interactions and enhancing trajectory prediction accuracy. In addition, we propose a cross-modal interaction transformer, which integrates AIS-derived motion features, CCTV-based environmental features, and scene representations. It leverages cross-modal attention mechanisms to simultaneously capture intra-modal semantics and inter-modal interactions, ensuring dynamically consistent and environmentally feasible predictions. Furthermore, we construct a vessel group trajectory bank by clustering historical AIS trajectories into representative motion patterns, providing an efficient and scalable approach for candidate trajectory generation. Additionally, we introduce the maritime multimodal dataset plus (named Maritime-MmD+^+), a large-scale dataset that synchronizes AIS data and CCTV video data, providing robust support for multimodal trajectory prediction research. Extensive experiments demonstrate that CmIVTP achieves better performance on multimodal-driven vessel trajectory prediction benchmarks. The code resources for this work can be available at https://github.com/LouisYxLu/CmIVTP.
Yuxu Lu, Dong Yang, Xiaoyu Li +2
May 25, 2026cs.CV

A Pedestrian-Vehicle Interaction Benchmark and Annotation Framework for Unstructured Scenes via Uncalibrated Cameras

Predicting the interaction between pedestrian and vehicle is essential for autonomous driving safety in unstructured and semi-structured scenarios; however, this task is severely hindered by the scarcity of public datasets that feature dense pedestrian-vehicle interactions. Most current studies rely on structured road data, leaving the complex, heterogeneous interactions found in unstructured environments insufficiently represented and researched. In this paper, we propose a dataset annotation framework based on video data from uncalibrated surveillance cameras and present PINNS (Pedestrian-vehicle Interaction dataset from uNcalibrated cameras in uNstructured Scenes). The dataset covers multiple countries and regions, includes diverse typical traffic scenarios, and considers variations in seasons, lighting conditions, and weather. It focuses on complex scenes with dense pedestrian-vehicle interactions and is designed to be easily extensible. The dataset is constructed and annotated according to the standard issued by the Chinese Association of Automation, providing both trajectory data and corresponding scene-level information. Furthermore, this paper analyzes current challenges and research directions in heterogeneous agent trajectory prediction, shows the necessity and usefulness of the proposed dataset. We hope our framework and dataset will facilitate research on trajectory prediction and autonomous driving in complex mixed traffic scenarios. PINNS is publicly available at https://github.com/Songan-Lab.
Haoyang Peng, Qian Hu, Songan Zhang +1
May 25, 2026cs.RO

OASIS: Observation-Action Space Alignment via SE(3) Trajectory Prediction for Robotic Manipulation

Recent vision-language-action (VLA) models and world action models (WAMs) advance robotic manipulation by enriching intermediate representations with auxiliary spatial features or future visual-state prediction. However, these representations largely remain within the observation space and do not share the rigid-body geometry of the action space, forcing the action decoder to implicitly recover this geometry. We propose OASIS, a visuomotor policy that aligns the intermediate representation with the action space via SE(3)SE(3) end-effector trajectory prediction. OASIS couples a 3D-aware feature encoder that fuses vision-language and metric-depth features with an SE(3)SE(3) trajectory predictor that produces a camera-frame end-effector trajectory. Conditioned on the predictor's pose-supervised hidden states, the action decoder generates action chunks consistent with rigid-body motion. Across simulation and real-world experiments, OASIS outperforms VLA and WAM baselines in success rate and out-of-distribution generalization. Our project page is available at https://npuhandsome.github.io/OASIS_web.
Xinzhe Chen, Sihua Ren, Liqi Huang +5
May 25, 2026math.NA

Branched Signature Kernel Solvers for ODEs with rough Single-Trajectory signals

We develop a branched signature kernel solver for linear and nonlinear ordinary differential equations driven by a \emph{single observed trajectory} of a possibly rough forcing signal--a setting common within earthquake engineering, finance, biology, and structural health monitoring, where only one forcing realization is available, and the solver must respect the underlying physical law without an ensemble of realizations. We first introduce a count-sampling construction method to turn the single observation into a hierarchical family of N+1N+1 nested training paths on which the branched signature kernel can be evaluated; this allows the signature kernel machinery, originally designed for multi-realization regression problems, to operate on a single-trajectory observation. Then we build a kernel-collocation framework, which places the ansatz either on the highest-order derivative of the solution or on the solution itself. We prove a universal approximation theorem for the branched signature kernel, leveraging the Hairer--Kelly morphism to express branched signature evaluations through geometric signatures of time-extended paths. The offline solver is extended to a streaming Test/Train/Retrain protocol with optional closed-form online updates in both linear and nonlinear cases. Numerical experiments on six benchmarks show accurate, stable predictions across all regimes.
Munawar Ali, Qi Feng, Charlie Pyle +1
May 25, 2026cs.AI

Agent-Centric Social Trajectory Prediction: A Free Energy Principle Perspective

Trajectory prediction methods have demonstrated remarkable capabilities in capturing complex motion patterns. However, existing methods rely on global state assumptions, suffer from insufficient belief inference under partial observability, and lack cognitive behavioral constraints in prediction. These limitations severely compromise both deployment feasibility and physical plausibility in real-world settings. In this work, we propose FEP-Diff, an agent-centric trajectory prediction framework grounded in the Free Energy Principle, aimed at achieving cognitively plausible predictions under realistic constraints. Specifically, a dual-branch spatiotemporal encoder extracts ego-motion dynamics and social interaction cues from local observations. Building upon this, a goal-conditioned belief learner infers multimodal latent belief distributions optimized via a free-energy objective, with a social consistency constraint on the local neighborhood graph to promote cognitive alignment among neighboring agents. Finally, a residual diffusion trajectory generator is conditioned on the learned belief representations with token-level proxy conditioning, producing precise and diverse future predictions. Extensive experiments on five public benchmarks demonstrate that FEP-Diff consistently outperforms state-of-the-art methods under restricted observability. Code: https://anonymous.4open.science/r/FEP-Diff-8876.
Yanping Wu, Ji Zhang, Hao Chen +2
May 25, 2026cs.LG

ARBITER: Reasoning Trajectory Basins and Majority Vote Failures in Test-Time Sampling

When language models use test-time sampling, they generate multiple reasoning trajectories and select an answer by majority vote. We show that these trajectories are not independent: for a given question, they concentrate into a small number of clusters, or reasoning basins, each defined by a normalized final answer and the solutions that reach it. A majority vote therefore selects the most stable basin rather than the most accurate one, which creates wrong-majority failures where the correct answer is present but outvoted. We introduce ARBITER, a model-agnostic approach that models interactions between basins using only the base model's own sampled outputs, hidden states, and derived evidence. Most direct correction strategies fail; ARBITER instead uses conservative additive evidence on top of consensus. In its simplest parameter-free form, ARBITER-Δ adds same-model evidence to the majority prior, while ARBITER-Enc augments this with bounded residual signals from hidden states over complete solutions. On GSM8K with Qwen3-4B, consensus over K=24 samples achieves around the mid-94% range, while a same-pool top-2 oracle reaches around the mid-96% range. ARBITER recovers a subset of these cases using zero external information. Across three model families and three math benchmarks, it yields consistent gains with no net-negative cases; for example, on Llama-3.1-8B MMLU-HS-Math, it improves accuracy from the mid-78% range to the mid-82% range, recovering about 22% of the available oracle headroom, indicating that this headroom can be partially recovered from the sample pool itself.
Meng Cai, Lars Kulik, Farhana Choudhury
May 24, 2026cs.AI

RECTOR: Priority-Aware Rule-Based Reranking for Compliance-Aware Autonomous Driving Trajectory Selection

Autonomous driving stacks must pick one trajectory from a multi-modal candidate set; choosing by model confidence ignores safety, traffic-law, and comfort constraints. We present \textsc{RECTOR} (Rule-Enforced Constrained Trajectory Orchestrator), a post-generation reranking layer that scores candidates against a tiered rulebook (Safety~≻\succLegal≻\succRoad≻\succComfort) via differentiable proxies and a scene-conditioned applicability mechanism, then selects with a deterministic ε\varepsilon-lexicographic rule that preserves cross-tier priority by construction -- without retraining the predictor. On the Waymo Open Motion Dataset \texttt{validation_interactive} split (43{,}219 augmented instances, K=6K{=}6), under ProtocolB (28-rule proxy catalog, oracle applicability) rule-aware selection cuts Safety+Legal violations from 28.58% to 20.42% and Total from 40.32% to 32.41% versus confidence-only on the same candidates. A uniform-weight weighted-sum baseline matches binary compliance on this benchmark -- the empirical lift comes from rule-aware ranking, while the lexicographic guarantee is the structural differentiator no weight calibration can replicate. Under adversarial confidence corruption, confidence-only selection fails in 100% of scenarios while both rule-aware selectors reject the injected mode in ∼\sim96%. All figures are proxy-evaluator results (not a safety certificate), open-loop, 5,s horizon, U.S.\ rules, validation split.
Hadi Hajieghrary, Benedikt Walter, Chaitanya Shinde +2
May 24, 2026cs.DL

Catalyst Papers in Artificial Intelligence Research: A Landscape on ICLR from 2017 to 2025

A small number of methodological contributions, including word2vec, the Transformer, large-scale pre-training, and reinforcement learning from human feedback, have reshaped NLP and AI research over the past decade. OpenReview now makes numeric reviewer scores and accept/reject decisions public for every ICLR submission. Whether such review signals identify trajectory-changing papers at submission time, however, remains untested at corpus scale. We answer this question on 36,11336{,}113 papers from ICLR 2017--2025, identifying \emph{catalysts}: papers whose descendants measurably redirect future research. We compare four disruptiveness measures (the Consolidation/Destabilization (CD) index, node2vec, the direction-aware Embedding Disruptiveness Measure (EDM), and an LLM-based semantic rater) and define a five-type operational catalyst taxonomy (topic initiator, topic bridge, within-topic redirector, simultaneous, and recognition-misaligned). EDM leads at identifying highly cited ICLR papers (AUC 0.830.83 vs.\ 0.600.60 for CD, 0.490.49 for node2vec, and 0.420.42 for the LLM rater). Topic initiators precede a 7.55×7.55{\times} topic-share growth and topic bridges precede an 11.52×11.52{\times} growth in cross-topic citation flow versus year-matched controls. We found that the peer review scores are essentially orthogonal to future disruptiveness (∣ρ∣≤0.005|ρ|{\leq}0.005; accepted and rejected papers have indistinguishable mean EDM, p=0.11p{=}0.11).
Fan Huang
May 24, 2026cs.CV

Trajectory-Consistent Calibration for Cache-Accelerated Diffusion Models

Diffusion Transformers require repeated denoiser evaluations during iterative sampling, making inference computationally expensive. Cache-based acceleration reduces this cost by reusing intermediate representations across denoising steps, but can introduce representation deviations and degrade generation quality. In this paper, we analyze these deviations and show that effective calibration should consider both the direct mismatch caused by reuse and the subsequent trajectory shift induced by earlier corrections. To address this challenge, we propose Trajectory-Consistent Calibration (TCC), a training-free method that calibrates cached representations toward their full-computation counterparts. Specifically, rather than estimating all calibration priors from a single uncorrected cache trajectory, TCC uses an offline iterative procedure so that each prior accounts for the trajectory shift induced by preceding calibrations. Experiments on PixArt-alpha and DiT-XL/2 show that TCC consistently improves FID across representative cache-based acceleration methods while preserving their underlying reuse policies. Notably, in a representative PixArt-alpha cache-acceleration setting based on FORA, TCC reduces FID from 29.83 to 27.35, slightly surpassing the full-computation baseline.
Mingyu Liang, Dingkun Xu, Jingwei Xu
May 23, 2026cs.CV

Drift-Resistant Navigation World Model with Anchored Epipolar Guidance

We propose Drift-Resistant Navigation World Model, a generative model that mitigates both perceptual drift and geometric drift in conventional rollout-based navigation world models. Existing methods recursively feed generated content into subsequent steps, causing noise accumulation and degraded predictions, i.e., perceptual drift. Meanwhile, their predictions often deviate from the agent's motion, resulting in geometry drift. We address both types of drift by redesigning world-model prediction as an anchor-guided rollout. Instead of rolling out every frame sequentially, we first predict sparse future anchors that serve as stable long-range targets, and then generate intermediate frames within each chunk conditioned on both past context and future anchors. Importantly, these sparse anchors also provide geometric constraints, supported by bidirectional epipolar geometry, to localize where corresponding content should appear in the intermediate frames. Experiments on four benchmarks demonstrate consistent improvements over strong baselines in long-horizon visual quality, geometric consistency, and multi-view coherence. These gains further translate into improved downstream planning performance under the same planners, highlighting the importance of drift-resistant, geometry-aware prediction for reliable navigation world models.
Po-Chien Luan, Zimin Xia, Wuyang Li +2
May 23, 2026cs.CV

PEDESTRIANQA: A Benchmark for Vision-Language Models on Pedestrian Intention and Trajectory Prediction

Pedestrian intention and trajectory prediction are critical for the safe deployment of autonomous driving systems, directly influencing navigation decisions in complex traffic environments. Recent advances in large vision-language models offer a powerful new paradigm for these tasks by combining high-capacity visual understanding with flexible natural language reasoning. In this work, we introduce PedestrianQA, a large-scale video-based dataset that formulates pedestrian intention and trajectory prediction as question-answering tasks augmented with structured rationales. PedestrianQA expresses richly annotated pedestrian sequences, in natural language, enabling VLMs to learn from visual dynamics, contextual cues, and interactions among traffic agents while generating concise explanations of their predictions without needing specialized architectures tailored for each task. Empirical evaluations across PIE, JAAD, TITAN, and IDD-PeD show that finetuning state-of-the-art VLMs on PedestrianQA significantly improves intention classification, trajectory forecasting accuracy, and the quality of explanatory rationales, demonstrating the strong potential of VLMs as a unified and explainable framework for safety-critical pedestrian behavior modeling.
Naman Mishra, Shankar Gangisetty, C. V. Jawahar
May 23, 2026cs.CV

SparseWorld: Enhancing End-to-End Autonomous Driving via World Models with Sparse Scene Representation

Recently, world models have made significant progress in enhancing end-to-end driving systems through both future situation forecasting and improved scene understanding. However, existing driving world models are typically built upon dense scene representations, causing high computational costs and redundant information. In this paper, we present SparseWorld, a lightweight world model that focuses on predicting only the critical layout of the scene, enabling efficient future forecasting for end-to-end driving systems. SparseWorld first performs autoregressive rollout to forecast future map elements and surrounding agents, enabling the model to learn how driving scenarios evolve over time. It then leverages these predicted futures to refine downstream motion prediction and trajectory planning. Specifically, we propose a Sparse Dreamer that anticipates future instances in the latent space through joint temporal and spatial attention. By interacting with predicted future instances, the motion planner captures more accurate motion patterns and generates more informed and safety-aware trajectories. Extensive experiments demonstrate that SparseWorld significantly reduces collision risk and achieves state-of-the-art performance on the open-loop planning metrics of the nuScenes dataset with a collision rate of 0.05%. Moreover, it substantially outperforms the baseline method in closed-loop planning metrics on the Bench2Drive benchmark. Supplementary material is available at the project page: https://wryzju.github.io/SparseWorld/.
Ruoyu Wang, Jingke Wang, Yukai Ma +5
May 22, 2026cs.RO

Balancing Accuracy and Efficiency: Adaptive Dynamics Orchestration for Model Predictive Control

Model Predictive Control (MPC) for autonomous navigation faces a fundamental trade-off between model accuracy and real-time efficiency. High-fidelity dynamics models can accurately predict complex vehicle-terrain interactions during trajectory rollouts, but incur significant computational cost, increasing inference latency and reducing control frequency. Conversely, lightweight models enable fast updates and dense sampling, yet may produce erroneous predictions under safety-critical conditions, potentially leading to catastrophic failures such as vehicle rollover. To address this trade-off, we propose Adaptive Dynamics Orchestration (ADO), a framework that dynamically selects the most appropriate dynamics model for the current navigation context. ADO maintains a library of models spanning diverse accuracy-efficiency profiles and continuously refines terrain-conditioned performance estimates using residual errors from online counterfactual rollouts, where executed control actions are replayed across the model library to assess predictive discrepancy. These estimates guide model selection in real time, balancing computational efficiency and predictive accuracy. Real-world experiments on an off-road ground robot demonstrate that ADO significantly reduces modeling error compared to a fixed low-latency baseline, while approaching the accuracy of the highest-fidelity model without incurring its computational cost, resulting in more reliable and effective navigation in challenging terrain.
Francesco Cancelliere, Aniket Datar, Giovanni Muscato +1
May 22, 2026stat.ML

Detecting Metastable Basins in High Dimensions via Marginal Trajectory Distribution Discrimination

We study the problem of identifying dynamically distinct basins of attraction in high dimensional time-homogeneous Markov processes using only trajectory sampling. This problem is fundamental in the analysis of metastable dynamical systems, where the process rapidly mixes within basins while transitions between basins occur rarely on the timescale of interest, or even when the state space is reducible. Existing approaches typically rely on spatial discretization or spectral analysis of estimated transition operators, which can become unreliable in high dimensional settings or when the underlying basin geometry is highly nonlinear. We propose a discriminative approach to basin identification based on marginal trajectory distribution comparison. We prove a simple risk separation result: if two initial states belong to the same basin, the Bayes-optimal classifier distinguishing their marginal trajectory distributions achieves risk close to 1/2, whereas if they lie in distinct basins, the optimal risk is close to zero. This observation reduces basin detection to a two-sample discrimination problem between marginal trajectory distributions. Motivated by this principle, we develop a neural algorithm that receives a set of candidate basin representatives and iteratively merges them by estimating classification risk with a neural network that approximates the Bayes classifier. We evaluate the method on various metastable systems. These include synthetic systems constructed by embedding low-dimensional dynamics into high dimensional noisy ambient spaces. In these settings, standard spectral and clustering-based methods often fail, while our approach accurately recovers the underlying basin structure. These results display a shortcoming of existing methods and highlight trajectory discrimination as an effective tool for identifying dynamical basins in high dimensional stochastic systems.
Taj Jones-McCormick
May 22, 2026cs.LG

Learning Individual Dynamics from Sparse Cross-Sectional Snapshots

Predicting how a dynamical unit evolves over time - how an individual ages, an epidemic spreads, or a physical system degrades - typically requires dense longitudinal tracking. When only extremely sparse or entirely cross-sectional data is available, inferring individualized, continuous-time trajectories is fundamentally ill-posed. Existing methods force a strict compromise: sequence models (e.g. latent ODEs) require dense longitudinal data, while cross-sectional methods (e.g. optimal transport, flow matching-based) map aggregate populations, losing individual dynamics. In this paper, we demonstrate that this dichotomy can be broken. We introduce CADENCE, a principled probabilistic framework that recovers continuous individual trajectories from isolated snapshots by anchoring latent dynamics to static, individual-level contexts. We provide novel identifiability guarantees for single-timepoint trajectory inference. By combining a score-based spatial encoder (bijective Probability Flow ODE) to eliminate diffeomorphic ambiguities with a Soft Mixture-of-Experts (SMoE) router, we show that individual dynamical parameters and routing function are jointly identifiable. Across a suite of benchmarks spanning physical systems to real-world biological data, CADENCE, trained strictly on extremely sparse snapshots with context structure, matches or exceeds the performance of state-of-the-art sequential models trained on dense, full-trajectory data.
Christian Lagemann, Kai Lagemann, Steven L. Brunton +1
May 22, 2026cs.CV

ChainFlow-VLA: Causal Flow Planning with Vision-Language Models

Current end-to-end autonomous driving systems are fundamentally limited by a mismatch between temporal causal reasoning and global trajectory consistency. Autoregressive (AR) models capture interaction-aware temporal dependencies via causal factorization, but their step-wise decoding leads to error accumulation and suboptimal global structure. In contrast, diffusion models optimize trajectories globally but lack explicit causal constraints, making them unreliable in interactive and safety-critical scenarios. This dichotomy reveals a deeper issue: existing methods treat causal modeling and global optimization as separate paradigms, without a principled way to unify them within a single trajectory distribution. To address this, we propose ChainFlow-VLA, which unifies causal generation and global refinement within a unified probabilistic framework. We formulate planning as a mixture over AR-induced modes and learn Vision-Language Model (VLM)-conditioned residual distributions over these modes. An autoregressive generator (Chain) produces a discrete set of causal trajectory modes, followed by a diffusion-based refiner (Flow) that leverages VLM hidden states as semantic priors to perform mode-conditioned correction in residual space while preserving causal structure. This straightforward conditioning seamlessly injects high-level scene understanding into fine-grained trajectory adjustments. Experiments demonstrate that ChainFlow-VLA achieves robust planning in ambiguous and long-tail scenarios, achieving a state-of-the-art score of 94.85 on the NAVSIM v1 leaderboard, matching human-level performance (94.8). Code will be available at https://github.com/AFARI-Research/ChainFlow-VLA.
Xiyang Wang, Xinlin Wang, Tingguang Zhou +7
May 21, 2026cs.LG

From Snapshots to Trajectories: Learning Single-Cell Gene Expression Dynamics via Conditional Flow Matching

Single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-seq) provides high-dimensional profiles of cellular states, enabling data-driven modeling of cellular dynamics over time. In practice, time-resolved scRNA-seq is collected at only a few discrete time points as unpaired snapshot populations, leaving substantial temporal gaps. This motivates trajectory inference at unmeasured time points. Existing methods mainly follow two directions, optimal-transport (OT) alignment provides distribution-level matching between observed snapshots, while continuous-time generative models support forecasting via learned dynamics. However, two challenges remain: (i) unpaired snapshots render local transitions between adjacent time points ambiguous, leading to unstable supervision; and (ii) long-horizon prediction relies on repeated integration, where small modeling errors compound and cause distribution drift. To address these challenges, we propose single-cell Flow Matching (scFM), a latent generative framework based on coupling-conditioned flow matching. First, we compute entropically regularized OT couplings between adjacent snapshots and use them to construct soft, weighted flow-matching targets for learning time-dependent velocity fields. Second, we learn bidirectional velocity fields and leverage their consistency to refine couplings and improve temporal coherence under sparse supervision. Third, we introduce distribution-level alignment and latent dynamic regularization to anchor long rollouts and mitigate drift. Experiments on real-world time-series scRNA-seq datasets show that scFM consistently improves distributional prediction performance for both temporal interpolation and extrapolation. Moreover, scFM yields more accurate trajectory reconstruction and temporally coherent visualizations where intermediate time points are absent, indicating a more faithful recovery of underlying temporal gene expression dynamics.
Siyu Pu, Qingqing Long, Xiaohan Huang +7
May 21, 2026cs.RO

Imagine2Real: Towards Zero-shot Humanoid-Object Interaction via Video Generative Priors

Whole-body Humanoid-Object Interaction (HOI) is bottlenecked by the scarcity of high-fidelity 3D data. While video generative priors offer a promising alternative, existing methods suffer from \textit{Representation Misalignment} due to their reliance on geometric priors (e.g., explicit CAD models), and \textit{Retargeting Complexity} arising from intensive morphing and morphological mismatch. We propose Imagine2Real, a zero-shot HOI framework for flexible, geometry-free interaction. To resolve misalignment, we formulate robot and object motions as unified 4D point trajectories. To overcome retargeting complexity, our Keypoints Tracker tracks only sparse critical points (base, hands, and object), entirely bypassing the error-amplifying retargeting process. To maintain natural gaits despite these sparse signals, we utilize the latent space of a Behavior Foundation Model (BFM) as the tracker's search domain. Using a progressive training strategy, Imagine2Real learns robust behaviors with simple tracking rewards, enabling zero-shot physical deployment within a motion capture(mocap) system.
Jiahe Chen, ZiRui Wang, Feiyu Jia +7
May 21, 2026cs.SE

SWE-Mutation: Can LLMs Generate Reliable Test Suites in Software Engineering?

Evaluating software engineering capabilities has become a core component of modern large language models (LLMs); however, the key bottleneck hindering further scaling lies not in the scarcity of high-quality solutions, but in the lack of high-quality test suites. Test suites are indispensable both for synthesizing program repair trajectories and for providing precise feedback signals in reinforcement learning. Unfortunately, due to the high cost and difficulty of annotation, high-quality test suites have long been hard to obtain, while those automatically generated by LLMs tend to be superficial and lack sufficient discriminative power. As a first step toward constructing high-quality test suites, we introduce SWE-Mutation, a benchmark for evaluating LLM-generated test suites. The benchmark characterizes test suites by introducing systematically mutated solutions that attempt to ``fool'' the test suites and pass validation. We further propose an agentic, language-agnostic framework for automatically generating complex mutants. Our benchmark consists of 2,636 mutated variants derived from 800 original instances and includes a multilingual subset spanning nine programming languages. Experiments on seven LLMs reveal that even DeepSeek-V3.1 achieves only 10.20% verification and 36.15% detection rates, highlighting the inadequacy of current LLMs. Additionally, our agentic mutation strategy enhances realism, reducing average detection rates from 71.04% to 39.81% compared to conventional methods. These findings expose persistent deficiencies in the ability of current LLMs to generate reliable and discriminative test suites.
Yuxuan Sun, Yuze Zhao, Yufeng Wang +6
May 21, 2026cs.LG

World Model Control by Trajectory Reachability Metrics

Latent world models can learn representations that contain information needed for control, while the downstream controller may still rank candidate actions poorly when it relies on terminal latent distance alone. We study this failure in a fixed encoder and introduce trajectory reachability metrics (TRM), a small temporal pairwise cost trained from logged trajectories and used to rank predicted endpoints of a candidate action sequence against a goal. In the TwoRoom evaluation on 100 episodes from a high distance range, the original controller with LeWorldModel reaches 7.0% mean success. Temporal TRM trained after excluding all evaluation episodes reaches 96.7%, shuffled label controls stay at 0.0%, and TRM also improves PLDM from 32.7% to 84.0%. TopoNav, a separate pixel navigation task, shows the same link between repaired ranking and closed loop control. The selection audit with shared candidates (SASC) and rowspace interventions show that the gain comes from reweighting latent directions carrying the action decision. The XY rowspace contributes less than 1% of terminal latent MSE but carries most of the information needed for control. Coverage and boundary tests define the scope. Balanced doorway coverage restores a 0.0% coverage failure to 100.0% success, while an unseen wall orientation and contact rich PushT expose layout, dynamics, and recovery limits.
Liangyu Li, Shengzhi Wang, Libin Qiu +2
May 21, 2026cs.SD

RobustSpeechFlow: Learning Robust Text-to-Speech Trajectories via Augmentation-based Contrastive Flow Matching

While flow-matching text-to-speech (TTS) achieves strong zero-shot speaker similarity and naturalness, it remains susceptible to content fidelity issues, particularly skip and repeat errors from imperfect alignment. We propose RobustSpeechFlow, a training strategy that improves alignment robustness by extending contrastive flow matching with length-preserving repeat and skip latent augmentations. Requiring no external aligners or preference data, our method directly penalizes realistic failure modes and readily integrates into existing pipelines. On Seed-TTS-eval, it reduces the word error rate (WER) from 1.44 to 1.38 using only 0.06B parameters. On our ZERO500 benchmark, it delivers consistent intelligibility improvements across diverse speaker and prosody conditions; at NFE=24, it reduces English character error rate (CER) from 0.48% to 0.35% and Korean CER from 0.81% to 0.57%. Audio samples: https://robustspeechflow.github.io/
Jinhyeok Yang, Hyeongju Kim, Yechan Yu +3
May 21, 2026cs.SE

From Patches to Trajectories: Privileged Process Supervision for Software-Engineering Agents

Supervised fine-tuning (SFT) on long teacher trajectories is the dominant way to instill investigation and reasoning in open software-engineering (SWE) agents. Since every retained response becomes an imitation target, the student inherits the final outcome and intermediate flaws, including ungrounded leaps and redundant loops. High-quality training data must be effective(each step is grounded and narrows the agent's epistemic gap to the correct fix) and efficient(each step is information-bearing rather than redundant or looping). Existing recipes filter or relabel teacher rollouts using only a binary terminal verifier, which does not directly target these axes and provides no supervision on instances where the teacher fails. Most real issue includes a developer-authored reference patch, p⋆p^\star, revealing the file paths, runtime behaviors, and coding conventions presupposed by the correct fix, yet standard pipelines discard it. We propose Patches-to-Trajectories (P2T), which uses p⋆p^\star as privileged information during curation and formulates trajectory construction as bi-objective optimization over per-step effectiveness and trajectory length. A reverse phase distills p⋆p^\star into a latent process graph, G⋆G^\star, of contextual facts and solution milestones. A forward phase curates trajectories from blinded teacher continuations by scoring per-step progress against G⋆G^\star under a leakage-blocking groundedness check and retaining the shortest effective segments. Using only 1.8k curated SWE-Gym instances, P2T improves effectiveness and efficiency over outcome-filtered SFT and its tool-error-masking variant. On SWE-bench Verified, it raises Pass@1 by up to 10.8 points while reducing per-instance inference cost by ~15%, with consistent gains on SWE-bench Lite. Size-matched ablations and qualitative analysis further isolate trajectory quality from data scale.
Murong Ma, Tianyu Chen, Yun Lin +7
May 21, 2026cs.LG

Reasoning through Verifiable Forecast Actions: Consistency-Grounded RL for Financial LLMs

Financial markets are characterized by extreme non-stationarity, low signal-to-noise ratios, and strong dependence on external information such as news, company fundamentals, and macroeconomic signals. Yet, existing approaches either abstract time-series into text or decouple forecasting from language-based reasoning, leading to a fundamental mismatch between qualitative reasoning and quantitative outcomes. To address this, we introduce StockR1, a time-series-enhanced LLM that unifies stock forecasting and financial reasoning through a verifiable forecast action. Based on a tool-call design, the model first emits a forecast action, which is a structured and interpretable representation of its qualitative market outlook. It then invokes a time-series decoder conditioned on this action to generate distributional future trajectories, leading to more informed question answering and financial reasoning. We optimize the full pipeline with reinforcement learning, where rewards jointly reflect answer validity, forecast accuracy, and consistency between generated actions and observed time-series dynamics. In addition, rewards are reweighted by a sample-level uncertainty scalar, encouraging the model to accommodate varying uncertainty in market dynamics. We evaluate StockR1 on financial question answering and stock forecasting over a large-scale 10-year benchmark. Our method consistently outperforms time-series baselines and general-purpose LLMs, improving reasoning accuracy by 17.7% (4B) and 25.9% (8B). These findings demonstrate that structuring the forecast actions establishes a powerful synergy between language reasoning and temporal prediction, enabling LLMs to reason through verifiable, interpretable, and numerically grounded decisions.
Jialin Chen, Aosong Feng, Harshit Verma +7
May 21, 2026cs.CV

Bounding-Box Trajectories Matter for Video Anomaly Detection

Video anomaly detection is critical for public safety and security, yet remains highly challenging despite extensive research due to large variations in appearance, viewpoint, and scene dynamics. Among existing approaches, human pose-based methods have emerged as a major line of research, showing strong performance since many anomalies in public datasets involve humans and pose representations are robust to appearance changes while providing compact motion descriptions. However, these methods often overlook bounding-box trajectories, although such information is inherently available in pose-based pipelines. In this paper, we explicitly leverage these trajectories as a primary anomaly cue. We present TrajVAD, a framework that models multi-class bounding-box trajectories using normalizing flows to learn normal kinematic patterns. Its trajectory-only variant, TrajVAD-T, eliminates pose estimation, reaches 87.7 AP on ShanghaiTech, and achieves the best results on MSAD among compared methods. TrajVAD-P adds a reliability-gated pose branch and improves performance to 88.6 AUROC and 90.9 AP on ShanghaiTech, establishing bounding-box trajectories as an effective modality for video anomaly detection.
Inpyo Song, Jangwon Lee
May 21, 2026cs.CV

Guided Trajectory Optimization with Sparse Scaling for Test-Time Diffusion

The efficient Test-Time Scaling (TTS) paradigm offers a promising perspective for enhancing the generation performance of diffusion models. However, current solutions are limited to a static, pre-defined noise pool and suffer from inflexible noise exploration across the denoising trajectory. To bridge this gap, we propose RTS, a novel Reward-guided Trajectory Scaling method to fully unlock the generative potential of diffusion models. Unlike existing methods, RTS facilitates the synthesis of refined, high-fidelity images via two core innovations: 1) a reward-guided noise optimization strategy to actively direct the search towards promising regions; and 2) a sparse test-time scaling framework together with a PCA-driven curvature analysis scheme to prioritize key intermediate steps in the entire denoising space, effectively compressing the search space. Experiments show our approach outperforms baselines by 15.6% across GenEval Score, and a 60.4% enhancement in ImageReward score, setting a new SOTA while providing a practical guideline for more effective test-time scaling across diffusion-specific architectures.
Gang Dai, Yining Huang, Yiming Xia +2
May 20, 2026cs.LG

You Only Need Minimal RLVR Training: Extrapolating LLMs via Rank-1 Trajectories

Reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards (RLVR) has become a dominant paradigm for improving reasoning in large language models (LLMs), yet the underlying geometry of the resulting parameter trajectories remains underexplored. In this work, we demonstrate that RLVR weight trajectories are extremely low-rank and highly predictable. Specifically, we find that the majority of downstream performance gains are captured by a rank-1 approximation of the parameter deltas, where the magnitude of this projection evolves near-linearly with training steps. Motivated by this, we propose a simple and compute-efficient method RELEX (REinforcement Learning EXtrapolation), which estimates the rank-1 subspace from a short observation window and extrapolates future checkpoints via linear regression, with no learned model required. Across three models (i.e., Qwen2.5-Math-1.5B, Qwen3-4B-Base, and Qwen3-8B-Base), RELEX produces checkpoints that match or exceed RLVR performance on both in-domain and out-of-domain benchmarks, requiring as few as 15% steps of full RLVR training. Remarkably, RELEX is able to extrapolate far beyond the observation window at no training cost, predicting checkpoints up to 10-20×\times beyond the observed prefix with continued improvement (e.g., observe only the first 50 steps and extrapolate to 1000 steps). Our ablation analysis confirms the minimalist sufficiency of RELEX: neither increasing the subspace rank nor employing non-linear modeling yields further gains in extrapolation. Finally, we show that RELEX's success stems from a "denoising" effect: by projecting updates onto the rank-1 subspace, the model discards stochastic optimization noise that would otherwise degrade performance during extrapolation. Our code is available at https://github.com/weizhepei/RELEX.
Zhepei Wei, Xinyu Zhu, Wei-Lin Chen +3
May 20, 2026cs.CV

Grounding Driving VLA via Inverse Kinematics

Existing Driving VLAs predict trajectories while largely ignoring their visual tokens -- a phenomenon we trace not to insufficient training but to a structurally ill-posed task formulation. We show that trajectory recovery, when viewed through the lens of inverse kinematics, requires both a current and a future visual state as boundary conditions; existing VLAs supply only the former, which encourages the model to shortcut through ego status and text commands alone. To address this, we re-design Driving VLA in the style of an inverse kinematics solver. First, a next visual state prediction objective that requires the LLM to predict the future visual scene provides dense visual supervision and suppresses shortcut paths. Second, a separate Inverse Kinematics Network (a cross-attention-based conditional diffusion model) that takes only the current and future visual states as input is designed to suppress reliance on ego status and textual shortcuts during trajectory decoding. With this simple prescription alone, our 0.5B-scale model recovers visual grounding and reaches trajectory planning performance comparable to 7B--8B VLAs more than an order of magnitude larger, on both the closed-loop NAVSIM-v2 and the nuScenes benchmarks. Extensive analysis further shows that this improvement stems from a recovered ability to exploit visual features, with the effect being most pronounced in dynamic driving situations such as turning.
Junsung Park, Hyunjung Shim
May 19, 2026cs.LG

Reading Calibrated Uncertainty from Language Model Trajectories

The maximum softmax probability (MSP) represents a default approach when evaluating uncertainty quantification for language model generation with structured output. Although cheap, it is often miscalibrated. Methods that probe the model's internal activations feed raw hidden states into opaque classifiers, reading activations as static snapshots and leaving implicit the layer-wise trajectory by which a representation is formed. Yet, similar endpoints can arise from very different paths, and how evidence accumulates, reinforces, or reverses across depth might reveal uncertainty that final probabilities obscure. We extract eleven scale-invariant geometric features, tracing the cumulative path of per-layer MLP updates, and feed them to a sparse linear probe. The probe outperforms MSP under selective abstention, with gains scaling with baseline miscalibration up to 21 AURC points. Because every feature has a closed-form geometric meaning, the probe's coefficients trace how and where along depth errors take shape -- which layers commit prematurely, which contradict the running state, where trajectories drift away from their endpoint.
Aliai Eusebi, Alexander Herzog, Xiaoyu Liang +3
May 19, 2026cs.CV

How You Move Tells What You'll Do: Trajectory-Conditioned Egocentric Prediction

Predicting how a person's first-person view will evolve (what action will follow, what plan completes a task, whether an in-progress shot will score) is fundamentally under-specified: the same context admits many plausible futures, and a model trained to minimize prediction error is forced to hedge or average across them, getting it wrong either way. Two findings shape our approach. First, the future camera trajectory, the path the head carves through space, lets the model commit to one of those futures: it carries the operator's intent in a form fine enough to determine how an action will unfold, substantially outperforming language as a conditioning signal. Second, this same intent makes the trajectory itself partially predictable from the context at hand, enough that trajectory need not be observed at test time to recover most of the gain. We instantiate these findings as TrajPilot, a model that predicts candidate future trajectories from egocentric context and uses them to pilot action prediction in an action-aligned embedding space where language shapes the structure but is never used as a conditioning input. TrajPilot beats VLM and structured-planner baselines on procedural planning across Ego-Exo4D atomic, Ego-Exo4D Keystep, Ego4D GoalStep, and EgoPER, with the trajectory advantage widening with horizon (exactly where prior planners collapse) and holding under RGB-only camera-pose estimation. With the goal masked at inference, the same model performs goal-free anticipation, beating VLM baselines on Ego-Exo4D atomic and extending to EPIC-Kitchens-100 and basketball shot-outcome prediction.
Sejoon Jun, Hai Nguyen-Truong, Luigi Seminara +1
May 19, 2026q-fin.CP

Memory-Induced Supra-Competitive Outcomes Between Deep Reinforcement Learning Agents in Optimal Trade Execution

In this paper, we investigate whether deep reinforcement-learning agents interacting in a shared optimal-execution environment can sustain supra-competitive outcomes, in the sense of achieving lower implementation shortfalls than the relevant game-theoretical competitive benchmark. We study a two-agent Almgren-Chriss liquidation game and examine how learned behavior depends on intra-episode environment feedback, the ability to interpret the mid-price and the agent's knoledge of the past. We first use ex-ante schedule-learning agents to remove intra-episode feedback and isolate what can arise when agents commit to complete liquidation trajectories before execution begins. We then allow agents to condition on the evolving state using a variety of DDQN architectures. We find that, when agents are given access to intra-episode history, especially recent prices and own past actions, supra-competitive outcomes become substantially more frequent and more persistent. These findings indicate that supra-competitive behavior in this execution game is driven not by multi-agent learning or by current price observation alone, but by feedback, memory, and state-contingent interaction along the realized execution path.
Christos Spyridon Koulouris, Carlo Campajola
May 19, 2026cs.LG

TrajTok: Adaptive Spatial Tokenization for Trajectory Representation Learning

Learning generalizable trajectory representations from raw GPS traces remains difficult because the data is continuous, noisy, and irregularly sampled. Spatial tokenization is also challenging: fine grids yield sparse cells with weak embeddings, while coarse grids merge heterogeneous movement patterns into the same token. We present TrajTok, a trajectory encoder with a simple pretraining recipe for transferable trajectory embeddings. TrajTok first learns a multi-resolution hexagonal cell partition from the spatial distribution of GPS points, converting noisy GPS sequences into discrete cell tokens. To capture both geometry and kinematics, it uses a factorized transformer encoder with early per-modality self-attention blocks, cross-attention fusion layers, and spatiotemporal rotary position embeddings, ST-RoPE, to encode where and when each token occurs. TrajTok is pretrained with masked-token modeling that recovers both geometric structure and kinematic patterns from partial trajectory observations. On the Porto dataset, a frozen TrajTok encoder with lightweight task adapters achieves strong performance across trajectory similarity search, classification, estimated time of arrival, and full travel-time regression, outperforming multiple task-specific methods. The same frozen encoder supports both geometry-dominated and kinematics-dominated tasks, suggesting that TrajTok learns transferable trajectory structure rather than task-specific shortcuts. These results indicate that learned multi-resolution spatial tokenization combined with masked-token pretraining is a promising direction for general-purpose trajectory foundation models.
Zhen Xiong, Shang-Ling Hsu, Cyrus Shahabi
May 19, 2026cs.CV

Spatially Prompted Visual Trajectory Prediction for Egocentric Manipulation

Language instructions offer a flexible way to specify task semantics but can become ambiguous in cluttered scenes containing multiple visually similar objects and candidate targets. We study Spatially Prompted Visual Trajectory Prediction (SP-VTP), an open-loop setting in which points or bounding boxes in the first egocentric frame specify an object--target pair and condition the prediction of future 3D end-effector (EE) trajectory chunks. To support this setting, we introduce EgoSPT, a controlled dataset comprising 2,841 egocentric fork pick-and-place episodes with first-frame object and target annotations and reconstructed 3D EE trajectories. SP-VTP evaluates whether a static task specification remains informative as the viewpoint and scene configuration evolve throughout execution. We also introduce SPOT, a spatially prompted object--target trajectory predictor that integrates first-frame visual and coordinate prompts with current visual observations and motion history to generate future trajectories. Rather than relying on an explicit object tracker, SPOT maintains a fixed representation of the first-frame task specification. Across three training seeds, spatial prompting consistently reduces translation and endpoint errors relative to a no-prompt baseline, while controlled prompt interventions reveal distinct roles for object and target cues at different stages of execution. Together, EgoSPT and SPOT provide a dataset and baseline for spatially conditioned egocentric trajectory prediction in open-loop pick-and-place settings.
Yifan Li, Xinyu Zhou, Yunhao Ge +2