Traffic

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Period ending 2026-09-21

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165 papers

Latest in Traffic

May 12, 2026cs.LG

More Than Meets the Eye: A Semantics-Aware Traffic Augmentation Framework for Generalizable Website Fingerprinting

Deep learning-based website fingerprinting has emerged as an effective technique for inferring the websites users visit. Although existing methods achieve strong performance on closed-world datasets, they often fail to generalize to real-world environments, especially under geographic and temporal shifts. This limitation fundamentally stems from the coupled effects of two key challenges: application-layer resource composition variability and observable feature instability induced by cross-layer encapsulation. Intertwined, these factors induce systematic shifts between underlying application semantics and observable traffic features. To address the above challenges, we propose SATA , a semantics-aware traffic augmentation framework. Specifically, SATA first performs application-layer semantic augmentation based on protocol rules, expanding the resource composition patterns within each flow and frame sequence patterns under protocol constraints. Based on these augmented frame sequences, we further introduce a cross-layer feature alignment mechanism via knowledge distillation. It aligns frame sequence with packet-length sequence features, enabling cross-layer feature alignment between enhanced semantics and observable sequences. Extensive experiments show that SATA successfully generates traffic patterns that are absent from the training set but genuinely exist in the test set, and significantly improves the performance of mainstream models across diverse and complex scenarios. In particular, in open-world settings, SATA improves ACC by 90.81% and AUROC by 48.37%. The source code of the prototype system is available at https://anonymous.4open.science/r/SATA-B6C2/.
Youquan Xian, Xueying Zeng, Lingjia Meng +6
May 11, 2026cs.LG

Physics-Informed Teacher-Student Ensemble Learning for Traffic State Estimation with a Varying Speed Limit Scenario

Physics-informed deep learning (PIDL) neural networks have shown their capability as a useful instrument for transportation practitioners in utilizing the underlying relationship between the state variables for traffic state estimation (TSE). Another efficient traffic management approach is implementing varying speed limits (VSLs) on transportation corridors to control traffic and mitigate congestion. However, the existing training architecture of PIDL in the literature cannot accommodate the changing traffic characteristics on a freeway with VSL. To tackle this challenge, we propose a novel framework integrating teacher-student ensemble training with PIDL neural networks for TSE under VSL scenarios. The physics of flow conservation law is encoded locally in the teacher models by PIDL, and the student model uses a multi-layer perceptron classifier (MLP) to identify traffic characteristics and selects the ensemble member of PIDL neural networks for TSE. This integrated framework provides a natural solution for capturing the heterogeneity of VSL and accurately addressing the TSE problem. The case study results validate the proposed ensemble approach, demonstrating its superior performance in TSE compared to other popular baseline methods, as indicated by relative L2 error.
Archie J. Huang, Dongdong Wang, Shaurya Agarwal +3
May 11, 2026cs.LG

Unlocking air traffic flow prediction through microscopic aircraft-state modeling

Short-term air traffic flow prediction in terminal airspace is essential for proactive air traffic management. Existing approaches predominantly model traffic flow as aggregated time series. However, traffic dynamics are governed by aircraft states and their interactions in continuous airspace. Such aggregation obscures fine-grained information, including aircraft kinematics, boundary interactions, and control intent. Here we present AeroSense, a state-to-flow modeling paradigm that predicts future traffic flow directly from instantaneous airspace situations represented as dynamic sets of aircraft states derived from ADS-B trajectories. By establishing an end-to-end mapping from microscopic aircraft states to future regional traffic flow, AeroSense preserves aircraft-level dynamics while naturally accommodating varying traffic density without relying on historical look-back windows. Experiments on a large-scale real-world dataset show that AeroSense exhibits admirable predictive accuracy and robustness over aggregation-based forecasting approaches, particularly during high-density traffic periods. These findings suggest that aircraft-state situation modeling provides a promising alternative to conventional time-series forecasting in air traffic flow management.
Bin Wang, Anqi Liu, Jiangtao Zhao +8
May 9, 2026cs.LG

TSNN: A Non-parametric and Interpretable Framework for Traffic Time Series Forecasting

Although many complex models were proposed to analyze time series data, some studies have demonstrated remarkable performance with simpler structures. A recent study proposed a non-parametric framework for 3D point cloud classification, which has the potential to be adapted for time series forecasting and enable interpretability. Inspired by the previous works, we present TSNN, a non-parametric and interpretable framework for traffic time series forecasting. TSNN consists of multiple layers that decouple the time series by matching the entries in a memory bank, where the memory bank is constructed using a similar matching process within the training set. It leverages the periodicity in traffic data to enhance forecasting accuracy while maintaining a simple model architecture. The proposed model operates without trainable parameters, preserving its inherent interpretability. In the experiments, TSNN achieves competitive performance compared to the typical deep learning models in four real-world traffic flow datasets. We also visualize the decoupling process to show the effectiveness of the components. Finally, we demonstrate the interpretability of the model and illustrate the contribution of each time step within the memory bank.
Bowen Liu, Haijian Lai, Chan-Tong Lam +4
May 9, 2026cs.RO

Beyond Self-Play: Hierarchical Reasoning for Continuous Motion in Closed-Loop Traffic Simulation

Closed-loop traffic simulation requires agents that are both scalable and behaviorally realistic. Recent self-play reinforcement learning approaches demonstrate strong scalability, but their equilibrium strategies fail to capture the socially aware behaviors of real human drivers. We propose a hierarchical architecture that goes beyond self-play by combining high-level multi-agent interaction reasoning with low-level continuous trajectory realization. Specifically, a Stackelberg-style Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning (MARL) module generates interaction-aware intention commands. These commands condition a low-level continuous motion module, translating the strategic intent into physically consistent, scene-responsive control sequences. To mitigate distribution shift in closed-loop deployment, we introduce a hybrid co-training scheme combining MARL with auxiliary recovery supervision. Experiments on a SUMO-based urban network demonstrate that the proposed framework achieves superior control smoothness and safety compared to self-play and passive imitation baselines, while maintaining competitive traffic efficiency.
Weifan Zhang, Xiaofeng Zhao, Adel Bazzi +3
May 9, 2026cs.AI

Value-Decomposed Reinforcement Learning Framework for Taxiway Routing with Hierarchical Conflict-Aware Observations

Taxiway routing and on-surface conflict avoidance are coupled safety-critical decision problems in airport surface operations. Existing planning and optimization methods are often limited by online computational cost, while reinforcement learning methods may struggle to represent downstream traffic conflicts and balance multiple objectives. This paper presents Conflict-aware Taxiway Routing (CaTR), a reinforcement learning framework for real-time multi-aircraft taxiway routing. CaTR constructs a grid-based airport surface environment with action masking, introduces a hierarchical foresight traffic representation to encode current and downstream conflict-related traffic conditions, and adopts a value-decomposed reinforcement learning strategy to prioritize sparse but safety-critical objectives. Experiments are conducted on a realistic environment based on Changsha Huanghua International Airport under multiple traffic density levels. Results show that CaTR achieves better safety--efficiency trade-offs than representative planning, optimization, and reinforcement learning baselines while maintaining practical runtime.
Shizhong Zhou, Haifeng Liu, Zheng Zhang +3
May 8, 2026cs.LG

Practical Wi-Fi-based Motion Recognition Under Variable Traffic Patterns

Wi-Fi sensing detects human motions and activities by analysing the channel state information (CSI) derived from Wi-Fi transmissions. However, the impact of variable transmission traffic, which dictates the effective sampling rate and interval, is often overlooked. Existing Wi-Fi sensing systems are trained with fixed input size and sampling rate, which suffer from poor sampling rate generalisation. This paper proposes a novel Wi-Fi sensing approach for motion recognition applications, e.g., gesture and activity recognition, under variable traffic patterns. A sampling rate versatile neural network (SRV-NN) based on the transformer is proposed to efficiently handle variable input-sized sensing signals. A dynamic sampling rate augmentation is employed for variable sampling rates and intervals. To validate our approach, we have carried out extensive experimental evaluation, using two self-collected datasets, namely SRV activity and SRV gesture, as well as two publicly available datasets. Our method demonstrated exceptional performance and stability under variable sampling rates, with substantial improvements in average accuracy compared to baseline models without augmentation. The proposed approach significantly enhances stability by greatly reducing accuracy variance across different sampling rates.
Guolin Yin, Junqing Zhang, Guanxiong Shen +1
May 8, 2026cs.LG

Efficient Prompt Learning for Traffic Forecasting

Accurate traffic prediction is essential for optimizing transportation systems, enhancing resource allocation, and improving overall urban administration. Spatio-temporal graph neural networks (GNNs) have achieved state-of-the-art performance and have been widely used in various spatio-temporal prediction scenarios. However, these prediction methods often exhibit low generalization ability, struggling with distribution shifts caused by spatio-temporal dynamics. To address this challenge, we propose an approach to enhance the generalization and adaptation of spatio-temporal GNNs through efficient prompting. Specifically, we introduce a lightweight and model-agnostic prompt tuning framework for spatio-temporal GNNs, named SimpleST. It facilitates adapting pre-trained spatio-temporal GNNs to novel distributions while keeping the model parameters fixed. This prompt mechanism reduces the overhead and complexity of adaptation, enabling efficient utilization of pre-trained models for out-of-distribution generalization. Extensive experiments conducted on five real-world urban spatio-temporal datasets demonstrate the superiority of our approach in terms of prediction accuracy and computational efficiency.
Qianru Zhang, Xinyi Gao, Alexander Zhou +3
May 7, 2026cs.MA

Generalising Travel Time Prediction To Varying Route Choices In Urban Networks

Previous methods that predict system-wide travel time, predominantly grounded in graph neural networks, remain limited to typical and recurring demand patterns. While they successfully predict future congestion following daily commute, they inherently approximate a single demand realisation and fail to capture varying route choices. In this work, we propose a Generalised Travel Time Predictor (GenTTP) that successfully differentiates route choices and offers accurate flow and travel time predictions. Our framework learns to uncover complex spatiotemporal traffic patterns and microscopic relationships between route choices and the resulting travel times. This addresses a critical gap: the lack of travel time prediction models that generalise across varying route assignments, where the same demand can produce substantially different network-wide outcomes depending on how travellers are distributed over available paths.
Łukasz Gorczyca, Kacper Drozd, Michał Bujak +1
May 7, 2026cs.LG

Tyche: One Step Flow for Efficient Probabilistic Weather Forecasting

Probabilistic weather forecasting requires not only accurate trajectories, but calibrated distributions over plausible atmospheric futures. Recent data-driven systems have achieved remarkable deterministic skill, and diffusion-based ensemble forecasters have substantially improved sample realism and uncertainty quantification. However, their inference cost scales with forecast horizon, ensemble size, and the number of denoising steps required for each transition, making large operational ensembles expensive. To address this, we present Tyche, a one-step conditional flow model for efficient probabilistic weather forecasting. Tyche models the conditional forecast distribution with a destination-aware average-velocity flow that maps Gaussian noise directly to future weather states in a single function evaluation (1-NFE). To make this one-step transport learnable in high-dimensional geophysical fields, we derive a JVP-regularized rectification objective that enforces temporal self-consistency across source and destination flow timesteps without explicitly forming Jacobians. The transport field is parameterized by an isotropic Swin-style transformer that preserves fine-scale spatial structure while remaining scalable on global grids. To improve ensemble reliability under autoregressive forecasting, we further introduce a rollout-based finetuning stage with curriculum CRPS calibration supervision. Experiments on ERA5 at 1.5^\circ and 6-hour resolution show that our Tyche, using merely a single NFE, matches or exceeds the forecast skill and calibration of state-of-the-art multi-step generative baselines and the operational ECMWF IFS ensemble.
Fan Xu, Yuan Gao, Kun Wang +4
May 7, 2026cs.LG

CoMemNet: Contrastive Sampling with Memory Replay Network for Continual Traffic Prediction

In recent years, the integration of non-topological space modeling with temporal learning methods has emerged as an effective approach for capturing spatio-temporal information in non-Euclidean graphs. However, most existing methods rely on static underlying graph structures, which are inadequate for capturing the continuously expanding and evolving patterns in streaming traffic networks. To address this challenge, we propose a simple yet efficient dual-branch continual learning framework for traffic prediction, named CoMemNet. The fast-converging Online branch undertakes the primary prediction tasks, while the momentum-updated Target branch extracts historical information using Wasserstein Distance features to create a Dynamic Contrastive Sampler (DC Sampler). This sampler selects a node set with significant dynamic network feature changes for training, effectively mitigating the issue of catastrophic forgetting. Additionally, the backbone incorporates a lightweight Node-Adaptive Temporal Memory Buffer (TMRB-N) to consolidate old knowledge through memory replay and address the risk of memory explosion. Finally, we provide two newly curated open-source datasets. Experimental results demonstrate that CoMemNet achieves state-of-the-art (SOTA) performance across all three large-scale real-world datasets. The code is available at: https://github.com/meiwu5/CoMemNet.
Mei Wu, Wenchao Weng, Wenxin Su +2
May 5, 2026cs.LG

Road Risk Monitor: A Deployable U.S. Road Incident Forecasting System with Live Weather and Road-Level Tiles

Nationwide road-incident forecasting is a systems problem before it is a modeling problem. A usable service must connect historical incident archives, historicalandliveweather,nationalroadgeometry, offline model training, tile generation, web serving and runtime handoff. This paper presents Road Risk Monitor, a U.S.-wide road-safety stack that combines a nationwide H3 baseline trained on FARS fatal-crash data with a road-segment forecasting pipeline trained from TIGER/Line geometry and US-Accidents events, then serves predictions through live APIs, raster tiles, JSON road tiles, and a public web application.
Anton Ivchenko
May 5, 2026cs.LG

Local Truncation Error-Guided Neural ODEs for Large Scale Traffic Forecasting

Spatiotemporal forecasting in physical systems, such as large-scale traffic networks, requires modeling a dual dynamic: continuous macroscopic rhythms and discrete, unpredictable microscopic shocks. While Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs) excel at capturing smooth evolution, their inherent Lipschitz continuity constraints inevitably cause severe over-smoothing when confronting abrupt anomalies. Recent physics-informed methods attempt to bypass this by penalizing numerical integration errors to enforce manifold smoothness. However, we mathematically reveal that such rigid regularization inherently triggers gradient conflicts and ``attention collapse,'' stripping the model of its sensitivity to anomalies. To resolve this continuity-shock dilemma, we propose Local Truncation Error-Guided Neural ODEs (LTE-ODE). Rather than treating numerical error as a nuisance to be eliminated, we innovatively repurpose the Local Truncation Error (LTE) as an unsupervised forward inductive bias. By mapping the LTE into a dynamic spatial attention mask, our architecture gracefully preserves high-precision continuous ODE evolution in stable regions, while adaptively triggering a discrete compensation branch exclusively at shock points. Trained purely end-to-end without manifold penalties, LTE-ODE achieves state-of-the-art performance on multiple large-scale benchmarks, exhibiting exceptional robustness against highly non-linear fluctuations. Furthermore, our ablation on integration steps demonstrates high deployment flexibility, allowing the model to seamlessly adapt to varying hardware memory constraints in real-world applications.
Xiao Zhang, Yafei Li, Ruixiang Wang +3
May 4, 2026cs.MA

Enwar 3.0: An Agentic Multi-Modal LLM Orchestrator for Situation-Aware Beamforming, Blockage Prediction, and Handover Management

Maintaining robust millimeter-wave (mmWave) connectivity in vehicular networks requires real-time adaptation to environmental dynamics, sensor degradation, and link variability. This paper presents Enwar 3.0, an environment-aware reasoning framework that unifies multi-modal sensing, agentic large language models (LLMs), and context-driven model selection for predictive beamforming, blockage detection, and handover management. Building upon prior iterations of Enwar, the proposed architecture integrates a classifier-driven assessment of sensor health with a primed LLM that orchestrates multiple specialized agents through structured, task-aware prompting. A novel synthetic degradation pipeline enables the training of a sensor degradation classifier that detects real-time impairments across camera, radar, LiDAR, and GPS inputs, achieving over 99% accuracy. The LLM, trained via chain-of-thought (CoT) priming and human-in-the-loop feedback, coordinates agent calls for beam selection, blockage forecasting, and environment perception while dynamically loading sensor-specific models based on environmental context. Extensive evaluations across 15 sensor combinations demonstrate that Enwar 3.0 delivers state-of-the-art performance in both predictive accuracy and interpretability, with beam selection accuracy exceeding 88%, blockage F1-scores surpassing 98%, and reasoning correctness reaching 87% on complex decision prompts. This work establishes a scalable foundation for LLM-integrated wireless systems that reason, perceive, and adapt in real-time.
Ahmad M. Nazar, Abdulkadir Celik, Asmaa Abdallah +3
May 3, 2026cs.CV

Behavior-Grounded Lane Representation Learning for Multi-Task Traffic Digital Twins

Traffic digital twins are powerful tools for advanced traffic management, and most systems are built on static geometric representations. However, these representations fail to capture the dynamic functional semantics required for behavior-aware reasoning, such as how a lane operates under complex traffic conditions. To address this gap, we introduce GeoLaneRep, a behavior-grounded lane representation learning framework for traffic digital twins. GeoLaneRep jointly encodes static lane geometry, observed vehicle trajectories, and operational descriptors into a shared, cross-camera semantic embedding. The encoder is trained with a joint objective combining contrastive cross-camera alignment, auxiliary role supervision, and temporal anomaly detection. Across 16 roadside cameras and 132 lanes, the learned embeddings achieve a 0.0040.004 lateral-rank error and an edge-role F1 of 1.0001.000 in zero-shot cross-camera matching, and an AUROC of 0.9910.991 for window-level anomaly detection. We further show that the same behavioral embeddings can condition a diffusion-based generator to synthesize lane geometries that satisfy targeted operational specifications, with 87.9%87.9\% overall specification accuracy across 38 lane groups. GeoLaneRep thus provides a semantic interface between roadside observations and downstream digital twin tasks, supporting cross-camera transfer, behavior-aware monitoring, and goal-directed lane synthesis. The framework is openly available at https://github.com/raynbowy23/GeoLaneRep.
Rei Tamaru, Pei Li, Bin Ran
May 3, 2026cs.CR

Decompose to Understand, Fuse to Detect: Frequency-Decoupled Anomaly Detection for Encrypted Network Traffic

Network traffic anomaly detection represents a critical cybersecurity task, yet widespread encryption makes this task increasingly challenging. In response, image-based methods that model traffic as visual patterns have emerged as the dominant approach. However, this work pioneers the identification of a pervasive full-frequency'' characteristic and an associated limitation termed spectral mismatch'' within this paradigm. Specifically, while encrypted traffic exhibits prominent high-frequency components, mainstream reconstruction methods demonstrate an inherent bias toward learning low-frequency information. This fundamental mismatch results in incomplete representations that consequently degrade anomaly detection performance. To address this challenge, we propose FreeUp, a novel frequency-decoupled framework designed explicitly for encrypted traffic analysis. FreeUp decomposes traffic data into distinct low- and high-frequency bands, processing them through separate, dedicated branches along with a customized training strategy that ensures stable and independent frequency-specific learning. Furthermore, recognizing that simple reconstruction error proves inadequate for evaluating dual-branch architectures, we introduce an uncertainty-inspired fusion scoring mechanism. This mechanism quantifies the reconstruction uncertainty of the frequency-specific branches and dynamically integrates their outputs, yielding a more comprehensive and reliable anomaly score. Extensive experiments across multiple benchmarks demonstrate that FreeUp consistently outperforms state-of-the-art baselines. The code is available at https://github.com/ikun0124/FreeUp.
Xinglin Lian, Chengtai Cao, Ting Zhong +3
Apr 30, 2026cs.LG

Comparative Analysis of Polygon-Based and Global Machine Learning Models for Bus Occupancy Prediction

Accurate forecasting of bus ridership (passengers numbers) is crucial for efficient management and optimization of public transport systems. Traditional forecasting models often fail to capture the unique and localized dynamics of different urban areas by treating the entire city as a single, homogeneous region. This paper introduces a novel framework that enhances bus ridership prediction by integrating a spatial clustering methodology with multi-dimensional feature analysis. The proposed framework utilizes a diverse set of data, including bus ridership data (by route number, time, and bus stop) complemented by a variety of open source data, such as spatial features (e.g., attractive destinations), meteorological conditions (e.g., temperature, rainfall), and temporal patterns (e.g., time of day, day of week). By clustering the urban area into distinct regions, based on the principle that bus stops in close proximity share similar ridership characteristics, a separate local forecasting model is trained for each of these clusters. This localized approach demonstrates an accuracy comparable to that of global models. The findings suggest that a spatially-aware, localized modeling strategy is effective for public transport prediction, paving the way for more targeted and efficient service improvements.
Daniel Azenkot, Michael Fire, Eran Ben Elia
Apr 27, 2026cs.CR

CAN-QA: A Question-Answering Benchmark for Reasoning over In-Vehicle CAN Traffic

The Controller Area Network (CAN) is a safety-critical in-vehicle communication protocol that lacks built-in security mechanisms, making intrusion detection essential. Existing approaches predominantly formulate CAN intrusion detection as a classification task, mapping complex traffic patterns to attack labels. However, this formulation abstracts away the temporal and relational structure of CAN traffic and misaligns with real-world forensic workflows, which require systematic reasoning about traffic behavior. To address this gap, we introduce CAN-QA, the first benchmark that reformulates CAN traffic analysis as a question-answering (QA) task. CAN-QA converts raw CAN logs into temporally segmented windows and applies deterministic rule-based templates to generate natural-language questions paired with automatically derived ground-truth answers. The resulting dataset comprises 33,128 QA pairs across 10 categories, each targeting distinct semantic and temporal properties of CAN traffic. Using CAN-QA, we evaluate large language models across both True/False and multiple-choice formats. Our results indicate that, although these models capture superficial statistical regularities, they struggle with temporal reasoning, multi-condition inference, and higher-level behavioral interpretation. Our code is available at https://github.com/Kriiiiss/CAN-QA.
Jing Chen, Abhijay Deevi, Onat Gungor +1
Apr 26, 2026cs.AI

LLM-Augmented Traffic Signal Control with LSTM-Based Traffic State Prediction and Safety-Constrained Decision Support

Traffic signal control is a critical task in intelligent transportation systems, yet conventional fixed-time and rule-based methods often struggle to adapt to dynamic traffic demand and provide limited decision interpretability. This study proposes an LLM-augmented traffic signal control framework that integrates LSTM-based short-term traffic state prediction, predictive phase selection, structured large language model reasoning, and safety-constrained action filtering. The LSTM module forecasts future queue length, waiting time, vehicle count, and lane occupancy based on recent intersection-level observations. A predictive controller then generates candidate signal actions, while the LLM module evaluates these actions using structured traffic-state inputs and produces congestion diagnoses, phase adjustment recommendations, and natural-language explanations. To ensure operational reliability, all LLM-generated recommendations are validated by a safety filter before execution. Simulation-based experiments in SUMO compare the proposed method with fixed-time control, rule-based control, and an LSTM-based predictive baseline under balanced demand, directional peak demand, and sudden surge scenarios. The results indicate that the proposed framework improves traffic efficiency, especially under dynamic and non-recurrent traffic conditions, while maintaining zero constraint violations after safety filtering. Overall, this study demonstrates that LLMs can enhance traffic signal control when used as constrained reasoning and decision-support modules rather than direct low-level controllers. Keywords: Intelligent Transportation Systems; Traffic Signal Control; Large Language Models; LSTM; Traffic State Prediction; Decision Support; Safety-Constrained Control; SUMO Simulation.
Jiazhao Shi
Apr 26, 2026cs.RO

Large Language Model based Interactive Decision-Making for Autonomous Driving

In high-conflict mixed-traffic scenarios involving human-driven and autonomous vehicles, most existing autonomous driving systems default to overly conservative behaviors, lack proactive interaction, and consequently suffer from limited public acceptance. To mitigate intent misunderstandings and decision failures, we present a Large Language Model based interactive decision-making framework that augments scene understanding and intent-aware interaction to jointly improve safety and efficiency. The approach uses Object-Process Methodology to semantically model complex multi-vehicle scenes, abstracting low-level perceptual data into objects, processes, and relations, thereby streamlining reasoning over latent causal structure. Building on this representation, the Large Language Model parses both explicit and implicit intents of surrounding agents and, under jointly enforced safety and efficiency constraints, selects candidate maneuvers. We further generate perturbed trajectory candidates via Monte Carlo sampling and evaluate them to obtain an optimized executable trajectory. To foster transparency and coordination with nearby road users, the final decision is translated by the Large Language Model into concise natural-language messages and broadcast through an external Human-Machine Interface, completing a closed loop from scene understanding to action to language. Experiments in a cluster driving simulator demonstrate that the proposed method outperforms traditional baselines across safety, comfort, and efficiency metrics, while a Turing-test-style evaluation indicates a high degree of human-likeness in decision making. Besides, these results suggest that coupling semantic scene abstraction with Large Language Model mediated intent reasoning and language-based eHMI communication offers a practical pathway toward interactive, trustworthy autonomous driving in dense mixed traffic.
Xinwei Dong, Jiyang Li, Jiabin Xie +5
Apr 24, 2026cs.LG

Collocation-based Robust Physics Informed Neural Networks for time-dependent simulations of pollution propagation under thermal inversion conditions on Spitsbergen

In this paper, we propose a Physics-Informed Neural Network framework for time-dependent simulations of pollution propagation originating from moving emission sources. We formulate a robust variational framework for the time-dependent advection-diffusion problem and establish the boundedness and inf-sup stability of the corresponding discrete weak formulation. Based on this mathematical foundation, we construct a robust loss function that is directly related to the true approximation error, defined as the difference between the neural network approximation and the (unknown) exact solution. Additionally, a collocation-based strategy is introduced to speed up neural network training. As a case study, we investigate pollution propagation caused by snowmobile traffic in Longyearbyen, Spitsbergen, supported by detailed in-field measurements collected using dedicated sensors. The proposed framework is applied to analyze the effects of thermal inversion on pollutant accumulation. Our results demonstrate that thermal inversion traps dense and humid air masses near the ground, significantly enhancing particulate matter (PM) concentration and worsening local air quality.
Leszek Siwik, Maciej Sikora, Natalia Leszczyńska +7
Apr 23, 2026cs.LG

Temporal Taskification in Streaming Continual Learning: A Source of Evaluation Instability

Streaming Continual Learning (CL) typically converts a continuous stream into a sequence of discrete tasks through temporal partitioning. We argue that this temporal taskification step is not a neutral preprocessing choice, but a structural component of evaluation: different valid splits of the same stream can induce different CL regimes and therefore different benchmark conclusions. To study this effect, we introduce a taskification-level framework based on plasticity and stability profiles, a profile distance between taskifications, and Boundary-Profile Sensitivity (BPS), which diagnoses how strongly small boundary perturbations alter the induced regime before any CL model is trained. We evaluate continual finetuning, Experience Replay, Elastic Weight Consolidation, and Learning without Forgetting on network traffic forecasting with CESNET-Timeseries24, keeping the stream, model, and training budget fixed while varying only the temporal taskification. Across 9-, 30-, and 44-day splits, we observe substantial changes in forecasting error, forgetting, and backward transfer, showing that taskification alone can materially affect CL evaluation. We further find that shorter taskifications induce noisier distribution-level patterns, larger structural distances, and higher BPS, indicating greater sensitivity to boundary perturbations. These results show that benchmark conclusions in streaming CL depend not only on the learner and the data stream, but also on how that stream is taskified, motivating temporal taskification as a first-class evaluation variable.
Nicolae Filat, Ahmed Hussain, Konstantinos Kalogiannis +1
Apr 23, 2026cs.CV

Frozen LLMs as Map-Aware Spatio-Temporal Reasoners for Vehicle Trajectory Prediction

Large language models (LLMs) have recently demonstrated strong reasoning capabilities and attracted increasing research attention in the field of autonomous driving (AD). However, safe application of LLMs on AD perception and prediction still requires a thorough understanding of both the dynamic traffic agents and the static road infrastructure. To this end, this study introduces a framework to evaluate the capability of LLMs in understanding the behaviors of dynamic traffic agents and the topology of road networks. The framework leverages frozen LLMs as the reasoning engine, employing a traffic encoder to extract spatial-level scene features from observed trajectories of agents, while a lightweight Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) encodes the local high-definition (HD) maps. To assess the intrinsic reasoning ability of LLMs, the extracted scene features are then transformed into LLM-compatible tokens via a reprogramming adapter. By residing the prediction burden with the LLMs, a simpler linear decoder is applied to output future trajectories. The framework enables a quantitative analysis of the influence of multi-modal information, especially the impact of map semantics on trajectory prediction accuracy, and allows seamless integration of frozen LLMs with minimal adaptation, thereby demonstrating strong generalizability across diverse LLM architectures and providing a unified platform for model evaluation.
Yanjiao Liu, Jiawei Liu, Xun Gong +1
Apr 22, 2026cs.NI

Forecasting Individual NetFlows using a Predictive Masked Graph Autoencoder

In this paper, we propose a proof-of-concept Graph Neural Network model that can successfully predict network flow-level traffic (NetFlow) by accurately modelling the graph structure and the connection features. We use sliding-windows to split the network traffic in equal-sized heterogeneous bidirectional graphs containing IP, Port, and Connection nodes. We then use the GNN to model the evolution of the graph structure and the connection features. Our approach shows superior results when identifying the Port and IP to which connections attach, while feature reconstruction remains competitive with strong forecasting baselines. Overall, our work showcases the use of GNNs for per-flow NetFlow prediction.
Georgios Anyfantis, Pere Barlet-Ros
Apr 22, 2026cs.CV

CCTVBench: Contrastive Consistency Traffic VideoQA Benchmark for Multimodal LLMs

Safety-critical traffic reasoning requires contrastive consistency: models must detect true hazards when an accident occurs, and reliably reject plausible-but-false hypotheses under near-identical counterfactual scenes. We present CCTVBench, a Contrastive Consistency Traffic VideoQA Benchmark built on paired real accident videos and world-model-generated counterfactual counterparts, together with minimally different, mutually exclusive hypothesis questions. CCTVBench enforces a single structured decision pattern over each video question quadruple and provides actionable diagnostics that decompose failures into positive omission, positive swap, negative hallucination, and mutual-exclusivity violation, while separating video versus question consistency. Experiments across open-source and proprietary video LLMs reveal a large and persistent gap between standard per-instance QA metrics and quadruple-level contrastive consistency, with unreliable none-of-the-above rejection as a key bottleneck. Finally, we introduce C-TCD, a contrastive decoding approach leveraging a semantically exclusive counterpart video as the contrast input at inference time, improving both instance-level QA and contrastive consistency.
Xingcheng Zhou, Hao Guo, Rui Song +5
Apr 19, 2026cs.AI

TrafficClaw: A Generalizable LLM Agent in the Unified Physical Environment for Urban Traffic Control

Large language model (LLM) agents have shown strong capabilities in long-horizon reasoning, tool use, and decision-making in digital environments, yet extending them to physically grounded systems remains challenging. Unlike web, code, or game environments, where objectives are often weakly coupled, physical systems evolve through tightly coupled dynamics in which local interventions propagate across interacting subsystems over time. Urban traffic control exemplifies this challenge, as traffic signals, freeways, public transit, and taxi systems continuously interact through shared spatial infrastructure and temporal mobility demand. Existing optimization, reinforcement learning (RL), and LLM-based approaches are largely designed for isolated subsystems, limiting coordinated reasoning and system-level optimization. We propose TrafficClaw, a LLM-based generalizable traffic control agent for physical urban systems. TrafficClaw operates within a unified traffic environment that exposes coupled urban dynamics and feedback, performs executable spatiotemporal reasoning with persistent memory for long-horizon adaptation, and leverages multi-stage agentic RL for coordinated system-level optimization. Experiments across three metropolitan regions and six traffic-control tasks demonstrate strong generalization, robustness, and cross-subsystem coordination. Our project is available at https://github.com/usail-hkust/TrafficClaw.
Siqi Lai, Pan Zhang, Yuping Zhou +3
Apr 18, 2026cs.AI

GAMMA-Net: Adaptive Long-Horizon Traffic Spatio-Temporal Forecasting Model based on Interleaved Graph Attention and Multi-Axis Mamba

Accurate traffic forecasting is crucial for intelligent transportation systems, supporting effective traffic management, congestion reduction, and informed urban planning. However, traditional models often fail to adequately capture the intricate spatio-temporal dependencies present in traffic data. To overcome these limitations, we introduce GAMMA-Net, a novel approach that integrates Graph Attention Networks (GAT) with multi-axis Selective State Space Models (Mamba). The GAT component uses a self-attention mechanism to dynamically adjust the influence of nodes within the traffic network, enabling adaptive spatial dependency modeling based on real-time conditions. Simultaneously, the Mamba module efficiently models long-term temporal and spatial dynamics without the heavy computational cost of conventional recurrent architectures. Extensive experiments on several benchmark traffic datasets, including METR-LA, PEMS-BAY, PEMS03, PEMS04, PEMS07, and PEMS08, show that GAMMA-Net consistently outperforms existing state-of-the-art models across different prediction horizons, achieving up to a 16.25% reduction in Mean Absolute Error (MAE) compared to baseline models. Ablation studies highlight the critical contributions of both the spatial and temporal components, emphasizing their complementary role in improving prediction accuracy. In conclusion, the GAMMA-Net model sets a new standard in traffic forecasting, offering a powerful tool for next-generation traffic management and urban planning. The code for this study is available at https://github.com/hdy6438/GAMMA-Net
Dongyi He, Yuanquan Gao, Bin Jiang +1
Apr 17, 2026cs.LG

FedLLM: A Privacy-Preserving Federated Large Language Model for Explainable Traffic Flow Prediction

Traffic prediction plays a central role in intelligent transportation systems (ITS) by supporting real-time decision-making, congestion management, and long-term planning. However, many existing approaches face practical limitations. Most spatio-temporal models are trained on centralized data, rely on numerical representations, and offer limited explainability. Recent Large Language Model (LLM) methods improve reasoning capabilities but typically assume centralized data availability and do not fully capture the distributed and heterogeneous nature of real-world traffic systems. To address these challenges, this study proposes FedLLM (Federated LLM), a privacy-preserving and distributed framework for explainable multi-horizon short-term traffic flow prediction (15-60 minutes). The framework introduces four key contributions: 1) a Composite Selection Score (CSS) for data-driven freeway selection that captures structural diversity across traffic regions 2) a domain-adapted LLM fine-tuned on structured traffic prompts encoding spatial, temporal, and statistical context 3) FedLLM framework, that enables collaborative training across heterogeneous clients while exchanging only lightweight LoRA adapter parameters, 4) a structured prompt representation that supports contextual reasoning and cross-region generalization. The FedLLM design allows each client to learn from local traffic patterns while contributing to a shared global model through efficient parameter exchange, reducing communication overhead and keeping data private. This setup supports learning under non-IID traffic distributions. Experimental results show that FedLLM achieves improved predictive performance over centralized baselines, while producing structured and explainable outputs. These findings highlight the potential of combining FL with domain-adapted LLMs for scalable, privacy-aware, and explainable traffic prediction.
Seerat Kaur, Sukhjit Singh Sehra, Dariush Ebrahimi
Apr 17, 2026cs.LG

Unveiling Stochasticity: Universal Multi-modal Probabilistic Modeling for Traffic Forecasting

Traffic forecasting is a challenging spatio-temporal modeling task and a critical component of urban transportation management. Current studies mainly focus on deterministic predictions, with limited considerations on the uncertainty and stochasticity in traffic dynamics. Therefore, this paper proposes an elegant yet universal approach that transforms existing models into probabilistic predictors by replacing only the final output layer with a novel Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) layer. The modified model requires no changes to the training pipeline and can be trained using only the Negative Log-Likelihood (NLL) loss, without any auxiliary or regularization terms. Experiments on multiple traffic datasets show that our approach generalizes from classic to modern model architectures while preserving deterministic performance. Furthermore, we propose a systematic evaluation procedure based on cumulative distributions and confidence intervals, and demonstrate that our approach is considerably more accurate and informative than unimodal or deterministic baselines. Finally, a more detailed study on a real-world dense urban traffic network is presented to examine the impact of data quality on uncertainty quantification and to show the robustness of our approach under imperfect data conditions. Code available at https://github.com/Weijiang-Xiong/OpenSkyTraffic
Weijiang Xiong, Robert Fonod, Nikolas Geroliminis
Apr 17, 2026cs.LG

Fusing Cellular Network Data and Tollbooth Counts for Urban Traffic Flow Estimation

Traffic simulations, essential for planning urban transit infrastructure interventions, require vehicle-category-specific origin-destination (OD) data. Existing data sources are imperfect: sparse tollbooth sensors provide accurate vehicle counts by category, while extensive mobility data from cellular network activity captures aggregated crowd movement, but lack modal disaggregation and have systematic biases. This study develops a machine learning framework to correct and disaggregate cellular network data using sparse tollbooth counts as ground truth. The model uses temporal and spatial features to learn the complex relationship between aggregated mobility data and vehicular data. The framework infers destinations from transit routes and implements routing logic to distribute corrected flows between OD pairs. This approach is applied to a bus depot expansion in Trondheim, Norway, generating hourly OD matrices by vehicle length category. The results show how limited but accurate sensor measurements can correct extensive but aggregated mobility data to produce grounded estimates of background vehicular traffic flows. These macro-scale estimates can be refined for micro-scale analysis at desired locations. The framework provides a generalisable approach for generating origin-destination data from cellular network data. This enables downstream tasks, like detailed traffic simulations for infrastructure planning in data-scarce contexts, supporting urban planners in making informed decisions.
Oluwaleke Yusuf, Shaira Tabassum
Apr 3, 2026cs.LG

Towards Near-Real-Time Telemetry-Aware Routing with Neural Routing Algorithms

Routing algorithms are crucial for efficient computer network operations, and in many settings they must be able to react to traffic bursts within milliseconds. Live telemetry data can provide informative signals to routing algorithms, and recent work has trained neural networks to exploit such signals for traffic-aware routing. Yet, aggregating network-wide information is subject to communication delays, and existing neural approaches either assume unrealistic delay-free global states, or restrict routers to purely local telemetry. This leaves their deployability in real-world environments unclear. We cast telemetry-aware routing as a delay-aware closed-loop control problem and introduce a framework that trains and evaluates neural routing algorithms, while explicitly modeling communication and inference delays. On top of this framework, we propose LOGGIA, a scalable graph neural routing algorithm that predicts log-space link weights from attributed topology-and-telemetry graphs. It utilizes a data-driven pre-training stage, followed by on-policy Reinforcement Learning. Across synthetic and real network topologies, and unseen mixed TCP/UDP traffic sequences, LOGGIA consistently outperforms shortest-path baselines, whereas neural baselines fail once realistic delays are enforced. Our experiments further suggest that neural routing algorithms like LOGGIA perform best when deployed fully locally, i.e., observing network states and inferring actions at every router individually, as opposed to centralized decision making.
Andreas Boltres, Niklas Freymuth, Benjamin Schichtholz +2
Mar 12, 2026cs.LG

Deep Learning Network-Temporal Models For Traffic Prediction

Accurate prediction of multivariate time series is essential for emerging network intelligent control, observability, and management functions. Existing statistical-based and shallow machine learning models have shown limited prediction capabilities on multivariate time series. They prioritize improvements in average prediction accuracy, while overlooking heterogeneous dependency structures and performance variability across individual time series. Recent advances in large language models have introduced new directions for multivariate time series forecasting; however, their application in conjunction with explicit structural dependency modeling remains relatively underexplored, especially in networked environments. In this paper, we present a topology-aware learning framework for large-scale network traffic prediction that explicitly models both temporal dynamics and structural dependencies in multivariate network time series. We first investigate a graph attention model designed to capture topology-induced correlations among network traffic time series. We then evaluate a fine-tuned large language model-based representations for improved generalization across heterogeneous traffic patterns. To further address the diversity of cross-correlations in high-dimensional traffic data, we introduce a clustering-based preprocessing stage that groups traffic flows with similar dependency characteristics prior to model training, reducing input complexity and improving learning stability. Experiments on real backbone traffic data show consistent improvements over statistical and recurrent neural network baselines. In addition to average accuracy, we evaluate performance across individual time series and observe reduced variability in prediction quality.
Yufeng Xin, Ethan Fan
Mar 7, 2026cs.LG

AI-Driven Predictive Maintenance with Environmental Context Integration for Connected Vehicles: Simulation, Benchmarking, and Field Validation

Predictive maintenance for connected vehicles offers the potential to reduce unexpected breakdowns and improve fleet reliability, but most existing systems rely exclusively on internal diagnostic signals and are validated on simulated or industrial benchmark data. This paper presents a contextual data fusion framework integrating vehicle-internal sensor streams with external environmental signals -- road quality, weather, traffic density, and driver behaviour -- acquired via V2X communication and third-party APIs, with inference at the vehicle edge. The framework is evaluated across four layers. A feature group ablation study on a physics-informed synthetic dataset shows contextual features contribute a 2.6-point F1 improvement; removing all context reduces macro F1 from 0.855 to 0.807. On the AI4I 2020 benchmark (10,000 samples), LightGBM achieves AUC-ROC 0.973 under 5-fold stratified cross-validation with SMOTE confined to training folds. A noise sensitivity analysis shows macro F1 remains above 0.88 at low noise and degrades to 0.74 at high noise. Most critically, the pipeline is validated on real-world telemetry from five vehicles across three countries (India, Germany, Brazil), comprising 992 trips and 11 evaluable service events identified from component wear resets in the trip logs. Across six wear-driven events spanning four vehicles, the model achieves 100% detection with mean MAE of 12.2 days. A fine-tuning ablation shows the base synthetic model already achieves 6/6 binary detection; per-vehicle adaptation reduces wear-driven MAE from 25.9 to 12.2 days. SHAP analysis confirms contextual and interaction features rank among the top 15 predictors. Edge-based inference reduces estimated latency from 3.5 seconds to under 1.0 second relative to cloud-only processing.
Kushal Khemani, Anjum Nazir Qureshi
Jan 23, 2026cs.CV

Spatiotemporal Semantic V2X Framework for Cooperative Collision Prediction

Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS) demand real-time collision prediction to ensure road safety and reduce accident severity. Conventional approaches rely on transmitting raw video or high-dimensional sensory data from roadside units (RSUs) to vehicles, which is impractical under vehicular communication bandwidth and latency constraints. In this work, we propose a semantic V2X framework in which RSU-mounted cameras generate spatiotemporal semantic embeddings of future frames using the Video Joint Embedding Predictive Architecture (V-JEPA). To evaluate the system, we construct a digital twin of an urban traffic environment enabling the generation of d verse traffic scenarios with both safe and collision events. These embeddings of the future frame, extracted from V-JEPA, capture task-relevant traffic dynamics and are transmitted via V2X links to vehicles, where a lightweight attentive probe and classifier decode them to predict imminent collisions. By transmitting only semantic embeddings instead of raw frames, the proposed system significantly reduces communication overhead while maintaining predictive accuracy. Experimental results demonstrate that the framework with an appropriate processing method achieves a 10% F1-score improvement for collision prediction while reducing transmission requirements by four orders of magnitude compared to raw video. This validates the potential of semantic V2X communication to enable cooperative, real-time collision prediction in ITS.
Murat Arda Onsu, Poonam Lohan, Burak Kantarci +3
Jan 4, 2026stat.ML

Modeling Information Blackouts in Missing Not-At-Random Time Series Data

Traffic forecasting systems rely on fixed sensor networks that frequently exhibit contiguous blackouts. Such outages are usually treated as ignorable missingness, although dropout can depend on unobserved traffic conditions. We study this possibility with an MNAR-aware latent state-space model that combines linear traffic dynamics with a Bernoulli missingness channel whose probability depends on the latent state. Inference uses an Extended Kalman Filter (EKF) followed by Rauch-Tung-Striebel (RTS) smoothing, and parameters are learned by approximate EM. We evaluate Seattle using a leakage-free, month-balanced set of 300 unique all-horizon-aligned blackout windows. On this benchmark, MAR-LDS attains 4.264 mph pooled imputation RMSE and MNAR-LDS improves it to 4.177 (difference -0.086); the detector-cluster bootstrap 95% interval is [-0.182,-0.002]. A causal one-step predicted latent representation raises missingness ROC-AUC from 0.685 using observed-only features to 0.784. We further test whether this compact probabilistic model remains competitive with substantially larger neural time-series architectures under the identical masked-imputation protocol. MNAR-LDS ranks second in pooled RMSE and outperforms 8 of 9 evaluated neural architectures; it is within 1.22% of the best neural result, with no statistically resolved difference under detector-cluster bootstrap, while achieving lower P95 error, lower long-blackout RMSE, and orders of magnitude fewer stored scalar entries. MNAR roughly doubles end-to-end training time relative to MAR and increases EKF+RTS inference time by 41%, making the accuracy-complexity-cost tradeoff explicit. Controlled state-dependent blackouts further show larger gains when dropout is genuinely informative, including a 6.34% reduction in 30-minute forecast RMSE relative to MAR.
Aman Sunesh, Allan Ma, Siddarth Nilol
Nov 26, 2025cs.LG

HieraMix: A Hierarchical MLP-Mixer for Large-Scale Traffic Forecasting

Traffic forecasting task is significant to modern urban management. Recently, there is growing attention on large-scale forecasting, as it better reflects the complexity of real-world traffic networks. However, existing models often exhibit quadratic computational complexity, making them impractical for large-scale real-world scenarios. In this paper, we propose a novel framework, Spatio-Temporal Hierarchical Mixer (HieraMix), which leverages an all-MLP architecture for efficient and effective large-scale traffic forecasting. HieraMix employs a hierarchical spatiotemporal mixing block to extract multi-resolution features through bottom-up aggregation and top-down propagation. Furthermore, an adaptive region mixer generates transformation matrices based on regional semantics, enabling our model to dynamically capture evolving spatiotemporal patterns for different regions. Extensive experiments conducted on four large-scale real-world datasets demonstrate that the proposed method not only achieves state-of-the-art performance but also exhibits competitive computational efficiency.
Yongyao Wang, Xie Yu, Jingyuan Wang +2
Nov 21, 2025cs.CV

Benchmarking Nighttime Traffic Sign Recognition with Illumination-Adaptive Detection and Semantic Attribute Reasoning

Traffic signboards are vital for road safety and intelligent transportation systems. Yet, recognizing traffic signs at night remains underexplored due to the scarcity of real-world public datasets capturing low-light degradations and distractor classes. Existing benchmarks are predominantly daytime and do not reflect challenges such as headlight glare, motion blur, sensor noise, and vandalized or ambiguous signage. To address these gaps, we introduce INTSD, a large-scale nighttime traffic sign dataset collected across diverse regions of India. INTSD contains street-level images spanning 41 traffic signboard classes, multiple distractor categories, and varied lighting and weather conditions, designed to support both detection and fine-grained classification under nighttime scenarios. To benchmark INTSD, we conduct extensive evaluations using state-of-the-art detection and classification models under standardized protocols. Additionally, we present LENS-Net, a strong baseline that integrates an end-to-end adaptive illumination-aware detector with a multimodal classifier that fuses vision-language representations with soft semantic attribute reasoning over learnable shape and color embeddings. Experiments demonstrate that models trained exclusively on daytime data fail substantially under real nighttime conditions - a gap that is recovered once INTSD is introduced in training, even when controlling for data volume. These results validate INTSD as a complementary nighttime training resource and establish competitive baselines for future research. The code and dataset are publicly available.
Aditya Mishra, Akshay Agarwal, Haroon Lone
Nov 9, 2025cs.LG

Deep Reinforcement Learning for Dynamic Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation in Microscopic Traffic Simulations Considering Credit Assignment

This paper focuses on dynamic origin-destination matrix estimation (DODE), a crucial calibration process necessary for the effective application of microscopic traffic simulations. The fundamental challenge of the DODE problem in microscopic simulations stems from the complex temporal dynamics and inherent uncertainty of individual vehicle dynamics. This makes it highly challenging to precisely determine which vehicle traverses which link at any given moment, resulting in intricate and often ambiguous relationships between origin-destination (OD) matrices and their contributions to resultant link flows. This phenomenon constitutes the credit assignment problem, a central challenge addressed in this study. We formulate the DODE problem as a Markov Decision Process (MDP) and propose a novel framework that applies model-free deep reinforcement learning (DRL). Within our proposed framework, the agent learns an optimal policy to sequentially generate OD matrices, refining its strategy through direct interaction with the simulation environment. This approach was evaluated through a toy experiment on the Nguyen-Dupuis network and a case study utilizing an actual highway subnetwork spanning Santa Clara and San Jose. Experimental results show that the proposed method consistently improves calibration performance relative to the strongest conventional baseline, reducing link-flow MSE by 23.7% in the toy experiment and by 59.2-88.3% in the real-world case study. By reframing DODE as a sequential decision-making problem, our approach addresses the credit assignment challenge through a learned policy and provides a novel framework for calibration of microscopic traffic simulations.
Donggyu Min, Seongjin Choi, Dong-Kyu Kim
Sep 30, 2025cs.RO

Learn2Drive: A neural network-based framework for socially compliant automated vehicle control

This study introduces a novel control framework for adaptive cruise control (ACC) in automated driving, leveraging neural networks and physics-informed constraints. As automated vehicles (AVs) adopt advanced features like ACC, transportation systems are becoming increasingly intelligent and efficient. However, existing AV control strategies primarily focus on optimizing the performance of individual vehicles or platoons, often neglecting their interactions with human-driven vehicles (HVs) and the broader impact on traffic flow. This oversight can exacerbate congestion and reduce overall system efficiency. To address this critical research gap, we propose a neural network-based, socially compliant AV control framework that incorporates social value orientation (SVO). This framework enables AVs to account for their influence on HVs and traffic dynamics. By leveraging AVs as mobile traffic regulators, the proposed approach promotes adaptive driving behaviors that reduce congestion, improve traffic efficiency, and lower energy consumption. Numerical results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method in adapting to varying traffic conditions, thereby enhancing system-wide efficiency. Specifically, when the AV's control mode shifts from prioritizing its own energy conservation to optimizing collective traffic flow efficiency, the controlled AV proactively adapts its acceleration profile. This prosocial behavior yields at least a 38.39% improvement in the average speed of downstream vehicles and effectively dampens traffic oscillations, demonstrating significant enhancements in system-wide dynamics. The implementation code is available https://github.com/lilab2024/Learn2Drive-SVO_v1.git.
Yuhui Liu, Samannita Halder, Shian Wang +1
Jun 30, 2025math.OC

Flow-Through Tensors: A Unified Computational Graph Architecture for Multi-Layer Transportation Network Optimization

Modern transportation network modeling increasingly involves the integration of diverse methodologies including sensor-based forecasting, reinforcement learning, classical flow optimization, and demand modeling that have traditionally been developed in isolation. This paper introduces Flow Through Tensors (FTT), a unified computational graph architecture that connects origin destination flows, path probabilities, and link travel times as interconnected tensors. Our framework makes three key contributions: first, it establishes a consistent mathematical structure that enables gradient-based optimization across previously separate modeling elements; second, it supports multidimensional analysis of traffic patterns over time, space, and user groups with precise quantification of system efficiency; third, it implements tensor decomposition techniques that maintain computational tractability for large scale applications. These innovations collectively enable real time control strategies, efficient coordination between multiple transportation modes and operators, and rigorous enforcement of physical network constraints. The FTT framework bridges the gap between theoretical transportation models and practical deployment needs, providing a foundation for next generation integrated mobility systems.
Xuesong Zhou, Taehooie Kim, Mostafa Ameli +3
Apr 10, 2025cs.CV

Efficient Traffic State Prediction With Dynamic Joint Spatio-Temporal Relation Inference

Traffic prediction is difficult due to the complex interplay of temporal evolution, spatial interactions, and delayed spatio-temporal propagation over road networks. Existing methods either model spatial and temporal dependencies separately or employ unified spatio-temporal structures, but they often insufficiently characterize how neighboring sensors at historical timestamps influence a target node, while complex joint models may incur high computation. This paper proposes STEI-PCN, an efficient pure convolutional network based on spatio-temporal encoding and relation inference. It first builds a local causal joint spatio-temporal graph to restrict candidate interactions, then uses absolute position and relative distance encodings to infer dynamic edge weights. A single-layer graph convolution with a position-aware gated activation unit captures local joint dependencies, and temporal dilated causal convolutions complement long-range temporal patterns. A multi-view prediction module fuses raw, local propagation, and long-range temporal representations for direct multi-step forecasting. Experiments on PeMS03, PeMS04, PeMS07, PeMS08, and PeMS-Bay under multiple horizons show that STEI-PCN achieves competitive accuracy with moderate parameters and low training and inference costs. Ablation and fluctuation analyses further verify the contributions of the main components and empirically analyze the effects of the training-stage constraints under sharp speed changes. Our code is available at a GitHub link https://github.com/Jessez2/STEI-PCN.
Zhifeng Hao, Kai Hu, Juncai Zhang +2
Mar 31, 2025cs.NI

Traffic Engineering in Large-scale Networks with Generalizable Graph Neural Networks

Traffic Engineering (TE) in large-scale networks like cloud Wide Area Networks (WANs) and Low Earth Orbit (LEO) satellite constellations is a critical challenge. Although learning-based approaches have been proposed to address the scalability of traditional TE algorithms, their practical application is often hindered by a lack of generalization, high training overhead, and a failure to respect link capacities. This paper proposes TELGEN, a novel TE algorithm that learns to solve TE problems efficiently in large-scale network scenarios, while achieving superior generalizability across diverse network conditions. TELGEN is based on the novel idea of transforming the problem of "predicting the optimal TE solution" into "predicting the optimal TE algorithm", which enables TELGEN to learn and efficiently approximate the end-to-end solving process of classical optimal TE algorithms. The learned algorithm is agnostic to the exact underlying network topology or traffic patterns, and is able to very efficiently solve TE problems given arbitrary inputs and generalize well to unseen topologies and demands. We train and evaluate TELGEN with random and real-world topologies, with networks of up to 5000 nodes and 3.6x10^6 links in testing. TELGEN shows less than 3% optimality gap while ensuring feasibility in all testing scenarios, even when the test network has 2-20x more nodes than the largest training network. It also saves up to 84% TE solving time than traditional interior-point method, and reduces up to 79.6% training time per epoch than the state-of-the-art learning-based algorithm.
Fangtong Zhou, Xiaorui Liu, Ruozhou Yu +1
Aug 28, 2024cs.AI

TrafficGamer: Reliable and Flexible Traffic Simulation for Safety-Critical Scenarios with Game-Theoretic Oracles

While modern Autonomous Vehicle (AV) systems can develop reliable driving policies under regular traffic conditions, they frequently struggle with safety-critical traffic scenarios. This difficulty primarily arises from the rarity of such scenarios in driving datasets and the complexities associated with predictive modeling of multiple vehicles. Effectively simulating safety-critical traffic situations is therefore a crucial challenge. In this paper, we introduce TrafficGamer, which facilitates game-theoretic traffic simulation by viewing common road driving as a multi-agent game. When we evaluate the empirical performance across various real-world datasets, TrafficGamer ensures both the fidelity, exploitability, and diversity of the simulated scenarios, guaranteeing that they not only statically align with real-world traffic distribution but also efficiently capture equilibria for representing safety-critical scenarios involving multiple agents compared with other methods. Additionally, the results demonstrate that TrafficGamer provides highly flexible simulations across various contexts. Specifically, we demonstrate that the generated scenarios can dynamically adapt to equilibria of varying tightness by configuring risk-sensitive constraints during optimization. We have provided a demo webpage at: https://anonymous.4open.science/api/repo/trafficgamer-demo-1EE0/file/index.html.
Guanren Qiao, Guorui Quan, Jiawei Yu +2
Date pendingeess.SY

An Empirical Markov Chain Car-Following (MC-CF) Model

Car-following behavior is fundamental to traffic flow theory, yet traditional models often fail to capture the stochasticity of naturalistic driving. This paper proposes an empirical probabilistic sampling approach to car-following modeling that bypasses conventional parametric assumptions. Under this approach, we introduce the Markov Chain Car-Following (MC-CF) model, which represents state transitions as a Markov process and predicts behavior by randomly sampling accelerations from empirical distributions within discretized state bins. Evaluation on the Waymo Open Motion Dataset (WOMD) demonstrates that MC-CF variants significantly outperform all physics-based baselines (IDM, Gipps, FVDM, and SIDM) across both one-step and open-loop trajectory prediction metrics, and remain competitive with modern data-driven baselines including neural network and Gaussian mixture model approaches. Zero-shot generalization on the Naturalistic Phoenix (PHX) dataset further confirms cross-domain transferability. Finally, microscopic ring road simulations validate the framework's scalability: by incrementally integrating unconstrained free-flow trajectories and high-speed freeway data (TGSIM) alongside a conservative inference strategy, the model substantially reduces collisions across most tested scenarios and successfully reproduces naturalistic and stochastic shockwave propagation, though crashes persist under severe shockwave conditions. Overall, the proposed MC-CF model provides a robust and scalable foundation for simulating population-level stochastic traffic behavior that requires no behavioral parameter calibration, making it well-suited for the data-rich future of intelligent transportation.
Sungyong Chung, Yanlin Zhang, Nachuan Li +2
Date pendingcs.AI

SimSkill: A Self-Evolving LLM Agent for Skill and Knowledge Accumulation in Traffic Simulation

Cumulative culture enables humans to preserve, reuse, and extend knowledge and skills across experiences and generations. Inspired by this principle, we introduce \textit{SimSkill}, a self-evolving agent built around the Simulation of Urban MObility (SUMO) traffic simulator. SimSkill continually identifies capability gaps, generates and solves environment-grounded tasks, verifies solutions through an action--critic loop, and consolidates experience into episodic, procedural, and semantic memory. Through autonomous exploration, it builds a library of reusable skills and knowledge spanning major stages of the traffic-simulation workflow. We evaluate SimSkill on two held-out benchmarks across three backbone LLMs, with each result independently verified. It improves verified success by up to 25 percentage points, and ablations show complementary contributions from procedural and semantic memory. Its benefits remain backbone- and budget-dependent, as memory does not improve every model or uniformly reduce inference cost. More broadly, SimSkill illustrates a natural-language-centered design paradigm for LLM-based agent systems. Its high-level control logic, operating principles, and accumulated knowledge are expressed in natural language, while an LLM integrates them with executable tools and code to realize precise and reproducible execution. All code and experimental data are publicly available at https://github.com/qiliuchn/SimSkill-V1.
Qi Liu, Qinzheng Wang, Can Li +2