Supply Chain Optimization

Burnout is a chronic occupational syndrome, and open source is close to a worst case for it: maintainers absorb unbounded demand with no manager to reallocate work and no organization to notice decline. The cost is not only personal. Burnout precedes withdrawal, and in projects sustained by a handful of maintainers, one departure can break infrastructure that thousands of downstream systems depend on. Yet the field has no way to see it coming: self-report inventories, the only existing measure, miss exactly the contributors most in need of detection and cannot be applied retroactively, so the field cannot even ask how common burnout is or what helps. We present BurnRiSc, a framework that operationalizes the Oldenburg Burnout Inventory's two dimensions, exhaustion and disengagement, as 14 behavioral and linguistic signals computed from GitHub activity and scored against each contributor's own history. The signals aggregate into two weighted dimension scores, with weights learned from labeled cases, and average into a monthly Burnout Risk Score (BRS). In a preliminary evaluation across 68 contributors in ten repositories (ten disclosed burnout cases, twelve comparable-volume collapses, and 46 comparison contributors), sustained BRS elevation precedes 6 of 10 disclosures by 6-15 months, 8 of 10 when adding peak BRS as a second criterion, and 10 of 10 over any prior time frame. We thus present BurnRiSc as evidence that burnout is screenable from public data.

Emergency management assistance programs, such as relief distribution, are essential for delivering necessary supplies to affected communities. However, these programs operate in a decentralized network of local centers that face uncertain local demand and supply dynamics, resulting in inconsistent avail- ability of local services. Redistribution of supplies among these local centers reduces these imbalances, but the centers often make decisions independently, with limited information and disrupted transportation. This study develops CoRe-MARL, a cooperative multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) framework, by formulating a decentralized partially observable Markov decision process (Dec-POMDP). We treat each center as an agent that learns a redistribution policy to improve the service in the worst-case region and reduce the service gap across regions while protecting network-wide service. We incorporate a recurrent network that captures evolving supply and demand dynamics without direct observation, while multi-agent proximal policy optimization (MAPPO) enables centralized training and decentralized execution (CTDE). We evaluate the framework in a simulated environment with diverse trajectories, where exact dynamics are not observed by actors and the MAPPO critic. We compare the recurrent MAPPO with the recurrent independent PPO (IPPO) and a local only heuristic, and find that MAPPO reduces the service gap across local centers and enhances service for the worst-served center while maintaining competitive network-wide service. The recurrent MAPPO also shows consistent performance across diverse trajectory patterns, demonstrating its ability to adapt to evolving dynamics. The findings demonstrate the capability of cooperative learning for decentralized redistribution and improving equitable service under uncertain and evolving dynamics.

On a delivery platform, personalized store ranking greatly influences what users find and order. Unlike digital-only domains, candidate stores are local and bound by real-time availability and delivery operations. One central modeling tension is between surfacing new stores for trial and preserving ranking quality for sessions with reorder intent. We present Universal Venue Ranker (UVR), a production system deployed at Wolt that pairs a bidirectional transformer encoder for sequential user modeling with a GBDT ranker integrating contextual, user, and store features. Trained across all stores and domains of a country while enforcing local delivery constraints at inference, UVR replaces four previously separate ranking models (three for restaurants, one for retail) with a single unified system. Label smoothing and trial-biased sample weighting steer the model toward new stores, lifting offline trial MRR by +12% to +30% over production while regressing reorder MRR in five of six countries. These regressions leave Global CVR, our core online metric, which blends trial and reorder sessions, statistically unchanged. We validate UVR in three consecutive A/B tests, the first two across Wolt's largest operating markets and the third spanning all operating countries and both domains. UVR V1 delivers +5.5% Merchant Trial Rate and +0.16% Global CVR over the previous production ranker; V2 adds a further +0.45% Merchant Trial Rate on top; and V3, our cross-domain unification of the restaurant and retail rankers, adds a further +1.31% Retail Merchant Trial Rate, together accounting for substantial incremental gross order value and a materially simplified serving stack.

Hazardous-freight operations at petrochemical logistics nodes are safety-critical for intelligent transportation systems, yet existing vision benchmarks rarely address procedural compliance under realistic deployment constraints. In large infrastructure networks, cameras often operate under sparse round-robin polling, so transfer status must be inferred from incomplete observations and localized evidence. We present GSO-Net, a large-scale benchmark for visual understanding of standard operating procedures (SOPs) in petrochemical unloading scenarios. To our knowledge, GSO-Net is the first public benchmark dataset dedicated to visual SOP understanding in petrochemical hazardous-freight transfer scenarios. It contains over 50,000 independently sampled frames from 64 real expressway petrochemical logistics nodes and adopts an SOP-derived hierarchy linking 9 macroscopic procedural steps with 15 microscopic operational states. Two tasks are defined: joint detection of microscopic states and macroscopic steps as the core benchmark, and frame-level step classification as a diagnostic reference. Experiments with lightweight, transformer-based, open-vocabulary, and holistic models reveal a clear gap between object perception and transfer-stage understanding. Current models remain weak on contact-level state grounding, transient step recognition, and stage consistency, especially under sparse polling, tiny critical targets, and long-tailed operational evidence. GSO-Net provides a practical benchmark for fine-grained state perception and vision-based safety monitoring in hazardous freight transportation. The dataset is publicly available at https://github.com/yuxieHarrison/GSO-Net

We study the strategic design of a two-echelon spare-parts inventory network where evaluating each candidate topology requires an expensive inventory optimization model. The design partitions hundreds of sites into feasible clusters and selects a central replenishment site for each cluster to reduce costs while maintaining service levels. Because the optimizer favors candidates with high predicted savings, it can exploit optimistic surrogate errors. We develop a conservative framework combining a graph neural network ensemble, variable neighborhood search, and set-partitioning recombination. The surrogate is trained on exact cluster evaluations, while a lower quantile of ensemble-predicted savings guides the search to limit optimism. Clusters found during the search are recombined through set partitioning using surrogate-based objective coefficients. The resulting network is evaluated with the exact inventory model, and only this evaluation is used to report performance. In a case study of 246 fulfillment centers in Amazon's North American network, the framework improves combined savings by 30.5% over an optimization baseline based entirely on exact cluster evaluations, while maintaining approximately 99.8% service across six independent replications. Under equal computational budgets, graph-surrogate-guided search achieves higher mean exact savings than a tabular alternative under both scoring schemes. Conservative scoring improves mean savings for both surrogate classes and reduces the share of final-network clusters overestimated by the graph surrogate from 68% to 28%. Predictive and ranking accuracy deteriorate among search-generated candidates with high surrogate scores, indicating that random holdout performance can incompletely characterize surrogate quality during optimization.

Hydrogen supply chains are expected to play a central role in future low-carbon energy systems by enabling renewable energy integration, long-duration storage, and decarbonization of industrial and transportation sectors. However, their operation is challenged by renewable generation variability, electricity price fluctuations, uncertain hydrogen demand, and engineering constraints associated with electrolyzers, energy storage, and grid interaction. As hydrogen infrastructure expands toward commercial deployment, operational strategies must balance economic performance, reliability, and sustainability under dynamic and uncertain conditions. This paper investigates and compares four control approaches for a renewable-powered hydrogen supply chain: a rule-based controller (RBC), model predictive control (MPC), reinforcement learning without forecasts (RL-NF), and reinforcement learning with forecast-augmented observations (RL-F). All methods are evaluated within a unified, physically realistic framework incorporating electrolyzer minimum-load and ramp-rate constraints, battery and hydrogen storage dynamics, grid import limits, and consistent economic assumptions, enabling a fair comparison under identical operating conditions. Simulation results show that MPC achieves the highest economic performance by exploiting short-term forecasts to coordinate storage, reduce grid dependence, and improve efficiency. RL-NF demonstrates robust and competitive performance without future information, highlighting the capability of learning-based methods to discover effective policies from experience. RL-F does not consistently outperform its no-forecast counterpart, suggesting that forecast uncertainty and increased state complexity can limit forecast-augmented learning. The results provide guidance for selecting operational control strategies in future hydrogen energy systems.

Environmental controversies in global supply chains pose significant risks for global buyers. This study examines whether overseas suppliers' exposure to buyers' artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled environmental governance reduces supplier environmental controversies. Drawing on organizational information processing theory and signaling theory, we investigate how suppliers' exposure to AI-enabled governance influences their environmental controversies and the institutional contingencies under which this effect varies. Using text analysis to measure buyer AI-enabled environmental governance, we analyze panel data on 2,505 suppliers of U.S.-listed firms across 41 countries from 2020 to 2024 with multidimensional fixed-effects models. We find that suppliers' exposure to buyer AI-enabled environmental governance is negatively associated with supplier environmental controversies in the following year. This negative relationship is stronger in supplier countries with higher AI readiness and regulatory quality. The study contributes to research on AI-enabled sustainability governance and sustainable supply chain risk management.

Automatic Guided Vehicles (AGVs) substantially boost warehouse throughput, but routing large-scale AGV fleets remains challenging. Classical Multi-Agent Pathfinding solvers suffer from exploding combinatorial complexity and super-quadratic runtime, while relying on idealized grid or piecewise-linear motion models that mismatch real-world kinematics. Recent Reinforcement Learning (RL) solutions improve flexibility via decentralized agent policies but depend on discretized spatiotemporal representations, require millions of episodes to converge, and incur full-map observation at every step, which leads to large models, slow convergence, and high inference latency that violates real-time industrial control constraints. To address these bottlenecks, we propose HiRAD, a hierarchical RL framework for continuous-space AGV routing with real-time guarantees: (1) a step-level spatiotemporal representation that translates continuous motion into a differentiable RL problem, (2) a hierarchical strategy that splits heading choice from velocity control to reduce the action space, and (3) an asynchronous event-driven decision pipeline that lowers inference complexity from O(n^2) to O(n) and cuts per-step latency by as much as 71 percent. Across random graphs and two warehouse maps, HiRAD reduces makespan by 45 percent to 63 percent and shortens end-to-end runtime.

Chain-of-Thought (CoT) prompting enables LLMs to perform explicit, step-by-step reasoning, creating opportunities for sophisticated autonomous robots. However, recent research reveals that reasoning models verbalize their actual decision processes only 25-39% of the time, with faithfulness degrading 44% on complex tasks. This paper presents CT-SAFR (Chain-of-Thought Safety and Faithfulness for Robotics), a multi-layered verification framework achieving 94.2% hallucination detection (n = 500, 95% CI: 91.8-95.9%) with sub-500ms latency. Through a warehouse robot case study, this work demonstrates 87% reduction in unsafe reasoning outputs (p < 0.001) and provides recommendations for responsible deployment of reasoning-capable autonomous robots.

Firms making inventory decisions have access to operational data, optimization tools, and large language models (LLMs). Typically, data characterize the operating environment, optimization selects parameters within a prespecified inventory policy class, and LLMs support coding and decision analysis. We develop an integrated framework that combines these resources to automate inventory policy design. Given demand data, the framework iteratively uses an LLM to generate parameterized policy classes and an external solver to optimize its parameters within each class. Across 30 lost-sales inventory instances, the mean cost reduction relative to optimized base-stock benchmarks increases from 17.5% after one generation to 30.0% after ten generations. Parameter optimization is central to this performance: an LLM-only variant performs substantially worse, whereas optimization-guided feedback improves policy quality, accelerates search, and directs the LLM toward better policy classes rather than merely better parameter values within a fixed class. The strongest discovered policies are also interpretable: they combine recognizable inventory-control motifs, including capped orders, discounted or weighted pipeline inventory, and threshold-based replenishment logic. The search thereby produces new policy-class functional forms that, to our knowledge, have not previously been studied in the lost-sales inventory literature. These functional forms are not specified ex ante but emerge from the search process. Moreover, after their parameters are re-optimized, three discovered policy classes achieve average cost reductions of 21.75% to 22.60% across 10,064 new inventory instances. Overall, the results show that data-driven parameter optimization can guide LLM-based search over a broad space of inventory policy classes and identify high-performing, interpretable, and transferable decision rules.

The software supply chain has become an increasingly exposed attack surface because of its reliance on intricate yet fragile dependencies. Existing defenses such as GitHub Dependabot often raise many false alerts because their coarse-grained matching cannot determine whether a vulnerable dependency is actually exploitable. Security analysts typically spend substantial time assessing vulnerability exploitability case by case. Recent LLM agents have emerged as promising candidates for this task given their advanced capabilities in coding and cybersecurity, yet no existing benchmark evaluates them on it. Prior benchmarks target zero-day settings, where agents detect and exploit previously unknown vulnerabilities. In contrast, software supply chain security focuses on how known vulnerabilities in upstream dependencies affect downstream projects. This requires agents to reason across repositories and determine whether an upstream vulnerability is exploitable in the downstream project. To address this gap, we introduce VEX-Bench, the first benchmark for evaluating LLM agents' ability to assess the exploitability of software supply chain vulnerabilities. It contains 75 real-world cases mined from GitHub and labeled by security experts, covering Python, Java, and Go. We evaluate nine models across three agent harnesses. While GPT-5.5 and Claude Opus 4.6 reach approximately 80% F1 on binary vulnerability-status classification, only GPT-5.5 surpasses 70% macro-F1 on fine-grained justification classification. This gap highlights the challenge of moving beyond binary exploitability assessment to identifying fine-grained exploitability reasons. Code and data: https://github.com/steven1518/vex-bench

AI coding assistants now select, install, and configure software, and attackers have exploited that position through invented package names, compromised maintainer accounts, and manipulated repository text. In response, the supply-chain community publishes machine-checkable trust signals: software bills of materials, signed releases, build provenance attestations, and declared official channels. Whether coding assistants read or act on those signals has not been measured for any of these classes on research software. We pre-registered and ran a controlled study on six open-source research software projects (three HPC, three quantum computing) drawn from an 87-project corpus, with protocol, seed, panel, and analysis plan deposited with a DOI before any trial. W created nine modified copies for each project: no signal, one per signal class, two with a signature or attestation from the wrong issuer, one with all four signals, and one reproducing documented conflicts in the project's own metadata. Three models under two ways of operating an assistant, with and without an approval step, gave 1,920 registered trials, plus a supplement on three frontier models. We scored behavior from container logs rather than from what the assistant said, and recorded the cost of every trial. Verification was rare under every condition: in 9 of 1,920 registered trials (0.5%), the assistant opened any provenance signal before installing in 0 of 384 control trials, and no trial ran a verification command, so signal presence had no measurable effect. We drew three conclusions: publishing signals is necessary but not sufficient; price did not buy verification (the model that verified most often costs $0.10 per trial; the most capable, at$1.00, verified nothing); verification must be built into the program that runs the assistant. We release the per-trial cost ledger, the protocol, and every log.

In electric delivery fleets, mid-shift charging is non-trivial: each vehicle must decide when, where and how much to charge to finish on time with battery above a safety floor. The choices are coupled: queues build where too many vehicles pick the same station. Prior work resolves this coupling with central dispatching, precomputed schedules or reservations, machinery that charging infrastructure rarely supports. Instead, we use a family of learning agents under purely local control: every vehicle runs the same policy, deciding alone from its time budgets and broadcast station occupancies, leading to emergent coordination without central control or messaging. We validate this paradigm in simulation on real OpenStreetMap networks of twenty cities, each with a frozen scenario calibrated by an omniscient Oracle (99.5% of shifts completed on time), whereas a naive greedy rule (nearest station on low battery) completes just 73%. Agents trained with neuroevolution (NEAT) and policy gradients (PPO) on four cities and deployed zero-shot across all twenty, sixteen never seen in training, complete 96.8% and 98.6% of shifts, with the policy-gradient controllers proving more robust when demand or vehicle characteristics drift beyond the trained regime. In contrast, tuned threshold heuristics that read vehicle urgency alone fall short in contended cities (~80%). Through training, these learning agents rediscover partial charging and short opportunistic sessions, and route around busy stations, cutting per-session queue waits from about 45 minutes to under 2. In summary, this coordination paradigm balances local urgency against public occupancy, reaching near-Oracle performance at minimal implementation cost.

Retail supply chain operations rely on coupled decision modules that must adapt as requirements evolve. LLMs offer a natural-language interface for this task, but existing methods primarily focus on individual optimization models. Extending them to heterogeneous decision pipelines is challenging because a requirement may admit multiple intervention paths with different downstream effects. We formulate requirement-driven adaptation as the joint selection of an intervention route and an admissible module-level change, and propose a graph-constrained agentic framework in which domain agents expose admissible reformulation interfaces and a central processor searches over bounded intervention paths. Candidates are validated and compared using downstream KPIs. In collaboration with a large retail partner, we evaluate 100 warehouse requirements elicited from practitioner interviews, with GPT, Qwen, and DeepSeek as base LLMs. Relative to direct LLM reformulation, our framework improves correctness and end-to-end success across all three models, raising end-to-end success from 72--76% to 79--83%.

Modern supply chain operations can require coordinating replenishment across thousands of heterogeneous items under correlated stochastic demand, heterogeneous lead times, and shared fixed ordering costs, yielding observation spaces exceeding $10^4$ dimensions. At this scale, rolling-horizon stochastic mixed-integer linear programs (MILPs) become prohibitively slow, while standard reinforcement learning (RL) methods face increasingly challenging credit assignment in high-dimensional action spaces. We introduce OR-Transformer, a deep reinforcement learning framework for joint replenishment under stochastic demand, with an item-permutation-equivariant Transformer architecture and pathwise-gradient training through the inventory dynamics. Across problem sizes up to 1,024 inventory items, OR-Transformer increasingly outperforms learning-based and rolling-horizon MILP baselines as scale grows. It also reduces online decision-making time by over 4 million times relative to MILP solvers, enabling real-time, large-scale deep RL in supply chain operations.

Semiconductor supply chains face escalating risks from geopolitical tensions, geographic concentration, and rapid technological shifts, yet no scalable system continuously extracts, structures, and prioritizes risk intelligence from public corporate disclosures. We present an end-to-end pipeline that retrieves corporate documents for semiconductor companies and uses large language models (LLMs) to extract the risks and opportunities they describe. It organizes these into a knowledge graph linking each item to its category, sources, and related events, then merges duplicates and ranks them with a three-layer mechanism combining an algorithmic formula, an LLM relevance adjustment, and expert validation. Applied to five companies across the value chain, the pipeline produces 76,207 scored items, of which an independent check finds 92.6% valid. The automated rankings match expert judgment at an average Spearman correlation of 0.55 for risks and 0.72 for opportunities, and the resulting matrices identify trade restrictions as the dominant cross-company risk.

Feature-based newsvendor models use observable covariates to tailor inventory decisions, aiming to balance holding and shortage costs under demand uncertainty. However, high-dimensional feature sets often hinder interpretability and inflate data collection and implementation costs. This paper studies variable selection for the feature-based newsvendor problem under a hard cardinality constraint on the number of selected features. We formulate the resulting $\ell_0$-constrained empirical newsvendor problem with $\ell_2$-regularization, establish its computational hardness, and develop a mixed-integer second-order cone programming reformulation that strengthens the standard Big-$M$ formulation. To enable scalability beyond exact optimization, we develop a randomized-rounding algorithm with a bi-criteria guarantee and a greedy heuristic. Statistically, we provide theoretical analysis of the resulting sparse policy estimator, including finite-sample estimation error, out-of-sample risk bounds, and support recovery guarantees. Extensive experiments on both synthetic and real data illustrate the computational and statistical trade-offs among various baselines. Our results demonstrate that the proposed variable selection framework achieves competitive out-of-sample operational costs while using substantially fewer covariates.

In online retailing, when a product sells out, a retailer often sees only the units sold, not how many customers would have bought it had inventory been available. However, the inventory level determines how much demand is revealed, and this information can influence subsequent decisions and future profits. We study an online selling problem in which, in each round, the seller observes a market context and then makes pricing and stocking decisions based on censored sales data from previous rounds. The challenge is to learn a context-dependent pricing and stocking policy without assuming a particular formula for demand or observing realized profit. To overcome this difficulty, we propose a Mean-Calibrated Kernel UCB (MCK-UCB) algorithm that turns each incomplete sales record into a reliable guide for both inventory and price decisions, using data from past rounds with similar market conditions. This design allows us to learn while serving customers, without a separate exploration phase or the need to recover all demand hidden by stockouts. We prove the minimax optimality of the proposed algorithm, with strictly faster rates when expected profit varies more smoothly with price. Comprehensive numerical experiments have been conducted to confirm the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm.

Long-horizon agentic tasks go beyond chaining short tasks over more interaction turns. Their evolving dynamic environments and long-range dependencies require Large Language Models (LLMs) to continually explore, learn from experience, and adapt their policies over thousands of steps. We introduce E-Commerce Bench, the first open-source benchmark that integrates multi-round counterpart negotiation and dynamic events into a year-long business operation. Over a 365-day year, an LLM agent concurrently runs multiple online stores, researching the market, negotiating with suppliers to source inventory, optimizing sales strategies, fulfilling orders, handling returns, and managing cash flow to maximize its end-of-year total assets. To construct a realistic merchant-side operating environment, the product and supplier data are derived from a real e-commerce platform, while a year-long calendar of promotions, natural disasters, and supply-chain shocks continually reshapes demand. For reproducibility, both sides of the market are deterministic: customer purchases and returns follow a fixed demand model, while a negotiation kernel determines supplier pricing, concessions, and decisions, with an LLM used only to verbalize them. We evaluate 18 frontier models across seven dimensions, including year-end assets, and find that no single model dominates. GPT-5.6 Sol earns the most, growing the 100,000 opening stake into 1,431,425, yet it ranks 16th of 18 on fraud avoidance and trails Fable5 in operational efficiency. Among open-weight models, Qwen3.8-Max-Preview leads with 416,252, 38% above GLM 5.2 (high), and achieves the strongest learning over the horizon, progressively bargaining down prices across repeated orders. Our code is available at https://github.com/QwenLM/E-CommerceBench.

Detecting or attributing a supply-chain disruption is not the same as selecting the intervention that maximizes recoverable net value. We present CriticalSCM-Bench v1, a controlled synthetic benchmark with causal ground truth, paired factual/counterfactual rollouts, and an explicit net-value objective. Relative to a full-information train-selected static benchmark, LambdaMART improves median normalized net value by 5.7--16.2%, with paired statistical support on the semiconductor and critical-material archetypes but not on digital infrastructure. On digital infrastructure, a domain-informed constant-buffer policy remains stronger, showing that greater model complexity is not uniformly justified. Across partial and delayed settings, LambdaMART retains 33--75% of full-clamp value. Stress tests further show that intervention fidelity, timing, cost, and held-out disruptions can alter policy ordering. Critical materials show the weakest out-of-distribution retention. Separately, a guarded explanation study over 540 generations preserves every fixed intervention decision after deterministic validation and template fallback, although exact wording remains unstable. Within this controlled setting, the results identify regimes in which adaptive ranking adds value and those in which simpler structural policies remain preferable.

Instant delivery platforms have become a critical component of urban logistics, increasingly relying on crowdsourced couriers to fulfill highly dynamic orders. In real-world systems, couriers are not exclusive to a single platform and may concurrently serve multiple platforms, while each platform can only observe its own orders and couriers' interactions due to privacy and operational constraints. This results in a multi-platform dispatch environment with inherent partial observability. However, most existing works on dispatch optimization assume full courier observability and mandatory assignment acceptance, causing substantial performance degradation when deployed in realistic multi-platform settings. In this paper, we propose POLO, a partially observable multi-agent reinforcement learning framework for dispatching optimization in multi-platform instant delivery systems. POLO firstly models each platform-grid pair as an independent agent that learns dispatch policies solely from platform-local observations, aligning the learning process with real-world privacy and operational constraints. To support effective decision-making under incomplete and heterogeneous courier information, POLO introduces a novel attention-based policy representation that selectively aggregates inter-courier information. Moreover, we design a counterfactual reward shaping mechanism to mitigate the non-stationarity induced by joint actions across grids, leading to more stable and scalable learning. We develop a high-fidelity simulator to evaluate dispatch performance under varying numbers of platforms and system scales. Extensive experiments demonstrate that POLO consistently outperforms strong baselines in terms of platform revenue and courier travel efficiency, highlighting its robustness and effectiveness in realistic multi-platform settings.

Inventory and distribution planning in Physical Internet networks requires coordinating factory-hub assignments, factory supply, lateral transshipment among collaborative hubs, retailer deliveries, and shortages. The problem combines discrete assignment decisions with interdependent continuous flows, while uncertain operating costs make robust planning more difficult. This study formulates deterministic and min-max regret models for a three-echelon network of factories, hubs, and retailers and develops a graph neural network-guided genetic algorithm (GNN-GA) for the assignment decisions. The GNN estimates hub-specific factory-selection probabilities that are used to construct the initial GA population and adapt mutation according to prediction uncertainty. Each previously unseen candidate assignment is evaluated by solving the remaining continuous-flow problem to LP optimality. Simulated annealing, a standard GA, and GNN-GA are compared on 15 instances using matched random seeds and fixed limits on distinct assignment evaluations. Because the evaluation budgets for test Instances 13-15 are smaller than the nominal population size, these experiments primarily assess the quality of learned initialization rather than multi-generation evolutionary search. A separate 400-evaluation experiment on exact test Instance 13 permits three complete offspring generations and a partial fourth pass, with GNN-GA outperforming GA in all 10 matched runs. Three independently generated exact-solvable instances provide a separate test of transfer. Ablation results show that learned initialization provides most of the improvement, while entropy-guided mutation has a smaller, instance-dependent effect. Per-instance solution times include GNN inference and search but exclude model training and one-time model setup.

This paper presents a methodological framework for real-time climate risk assessment using data-driven nowcasting techniques to enhance supply chain resilience in Colombian agricultural contexts. Climate variability in Colombia, characterized by irregular rainfall, temperature fluctuations, and recurrent extreme events, has a direct impact on agricultural production and logistics, particularly for time sensitive crops. The proposed approach integrates short term climate forecasting based on historical meteorological observations with supply chain risk modeling to establish a conceptual early warning system architecture. A prototype implementation developed in a controlled computational environment demonstrates the feasibility of the framework using historical meteorological and agricultural time series derived from official statistics and reanalysis products, without reliance on satellite imagery or computer vision components. The methodology addresses the integration of climate nowcasting with supply chain decision making through explicit risk mapping, threshold-based categorization, and stakeholder-oriented risk signals. Results from synthetic and historical data experiments indicate that short term precipitation nowcasts can be translated into actionable risk indicators for agricultural supply chains, supporting anticipatory decisions related to inventory, sourcing, and transport.

Agent skills, bundles of instructions and resources that an LLM agent loads on demand, form an emerging supply chain where a single poisoned skill can persistently compromise every agent that installs it. However, existing skill attacks either fire on every request or rely on fine-tuned weights or multiple skills, leaving a conditional and low-cost backdoor unexplored. In this work, we present ElasticBack, an effective conditional single-skill backdoor that plants a rule R in the skill document and a benign-looking trigger T in the user query, so the malicious payload fires only when both co-occur. ElasticBack binds the two sides through a trigger-as-switch construction, generating R via semantic-anchored rule injection. It then freezes R and evolves T against it with a stealth-constrained genetic search, so that effectiveness and stealth are optimized, keeping the backdoor weight-free and dormant on benign inputs. Extensive experiments across three target behaviors (50 skills each) and four agent LLMs show that ElasticBack attains a high attack success rate at a near-zero false-positive rate with preserved clean accuracy, transfers across models, and evades deployment-time defenses. These results motivate stronger defenses for the skill supply chain.

LLM analytics agents are evaluated on SQL syntax accuracy, but production failures look different: questions with two valid business definitions, questions the warehouse cannot answer, deprecated columns after a schema change, and queries that execute successfully while returning the wrong business number. No execution-match metric can score them. This paper introduces WarehouseReliabilityBench, 400 frozen tasks over two synthetic warehouses in which roughly half the correct responses are a clarification, an abstention or a refusal, with pinned denominators and a pre-registered paired bootstrap fixing each claim verb before the numbers existed. QueryProof, a 7B agent, uses rules derived from a semantic layer and physical catalog to determine its behaviour, and gates every answer on deterministic post-execution checks. On an 80-task synthetic test split evaluated once, QueryProof outperforms a direct-prompted 32B baseline by +0.237 [+0.112, +0.375] Business Truth Rate at 71.0% lower cost per correct answer; against a cost-matched few-shot baseline the accuracy gain holds but the cost difference does not resolve. This compares systems rather than model sizes: the 32B baseline receives none of the scaffolding. False success falls from 0.754 to 0.351 of returned answers, and no wrong number was returned on an answerable task (0 of 24), though 13 answers went to questions requiring clarification or abstention. Removing the routing layer changes little (0.562 against 0.537), so the result does not depend on escalation. Routing tuned on validation over-abstains on test, and the fitted confidence model loses to the heuristic it replaced. Resampling template families rather than tasks widens both accuracy intervals to include zero, so the effect's direction is better supported than its magnitude. The gain tracks the deterministic layer, though no component ablation was run.

Enterprise data warehouses (DWs) support business-critical analytics, but warehouse task delivery remains a complicated production process involving context retrieval, workflow configuration, code generation, platform submission, and failure diagnosis. Although large language models (LLMs) and coding agents have improved software development, they are insufficient for production DW delivery, which requires dependency-aware orchestration, lifecycle-aware artifact control, and continuous adaptation to evolving platform practices. We present SiriusDeliver, an end-to-end delivery automation agent for production warehouse task submission. SiriusDeliver integrates three components: a hierarchical delivery agent that orchestrates warehouse skills, an artifact lifecycle control module that verifies and revises artifacts before and after platform execution, and a trace-driven skill evolution mechanism that maintains reusable skills from delivery trajectories. We evaluate SiriusDeliver through offline datasets and large-scale production deployment on Tencent Cloud WeData. Offline experiments on real-world warehouse delivery cases show that SiriusDeliver improves delivery success and automation efficiency over representative baselines. During a two-month deployment across 6 business teams and 4 warehouse task types, SiriusDeliver served 3,600 monthly active users and supported 18,240 delivery sessions, achieving an 87.2% end-to-end success rate and a 73.5% autonomous submission rate. A one-month A/B test shows that SiriusDeliver reduces median delivery time from 228 to 23 minutes and engineer effort from 95 to 11 minutes, while maintaining comparable final delivery success.

Intermodal freight networks face growing disruption risk from climate extremes that degrade multiple corridors simultaneously. To address this, we formulate freight routing as a Dec-POMDP with per-shipment action granularity and train Independent PPO (IPPO) under Centralized Training with Decentralized Execution, comparing against two heuristic baselines with privileged state access on a 15-hub network under hurricane disruption. Across 30 matched episodes, no single policy dominates: IPPO achieves the highest throughput ($+12.7\%$) and delivery rate while a capacity-aware heuristic leads on Resilience Index (RI) and delay. Under demand surge (2.9:1 capacity ratio), IPPO's RI advantage grows to $+6.4\%$, suggesting learned routing is most valuable when capacity is scarce. A Multi-Agent PPO (MAPPO) variant collapses under train-eval queue mismatch ($\mathrm{RI} = 0.811$); retraining recovers RI to $1.018$ but IPPO still leads on throughput, pointing to residual limitations in centralized critics under per-shipment dispatch.

Automated warehouses face a fundamental trade-off between maximizing storage density and achieving high retrieval throughput. While puzzle-based storage (PBS) architectures increase capacity by eliminating aisles, coordinating multiple robots in these high-density spaces is computationally challenging due to the potential for deadlocks. This paper introduces a novel multi-robot formulation for the ``ordered storage and retrieval problem at maximum capacity''. The focus is on rectangular grids accessible from a single boundary, where loads need to be first stored up to full capacity and then efficiently retrieved, given a planned departure sequence. This work bridges the gap between geometric feasibility and execution efficiency by leveraging the properties of relocation-free arrangements. These properties guide an online, prioritized multi-agent path-finding algorithm, which is the main contribution of this work. Unlike general centralized planners, the approach exploits the specific invariants of the storage arrangement to guarantee completeness and prevent deadlocks, enabling scalability. Experiments demonstrate that the method achieves near-linear improvement in makespan with respect to the number of robots, up to $m = C$, where $C$ is the grid width. Crucially, the algorithmic overhead of supporting robustness is negligible; the system handles uncertainty in departure sequences using robust storage arrangements with no significant penalty in execution speed compared to the non-robust baseline.

Warehouse items differ in how urgently they must be moved: perishable goods, pharmaceutical shipments, and just-in-time production materials must be delivered sooner than the rest of the stock. Decentralised robot swarms suit warehouses that cannot justify fixed automation infrastructure, but current swarm controllers treat all items alike or rely on an external scheduler to set priorities, so urgent items wait as long as ordinary ones. This paper presents a swarm logistics system in which each warehouse carrier holds an ultra-low-power Internet-of-Things (IoT) tag that broadcasts the urgency of its item over Bluetooth Low Energy (BLE). Robots read these broadcasts directly and weigh urgency against travel distance when choosing which carrier to serve, so prioritisation happens at the item level without central scheduling. The system is evaluated in simulation and validated on real robots and IoT-tagged carriers against a proximity-only baseline. In the physical trials, priority alignment (i.e. proportion of urgent items served first), improved from 0.41 to 0.64, with a nonsignificant trend toward lower 95th-percentile (P95) delivery latency and throughput within 1.2% of the baseline. In simulation, the benefit grew with system size: across three larger configurations, P95 latency fell by 5.2% to 11.8% and priority alignment improved by 41.7% to 51.6%. Attaching urgency to the items themselves therefore allows a decentralised swarm to serve time-critical stock sooner while keeping the low infrastructure requirements that make swarm systems attractive for warehouse automation.

Many operational problems are constrained sequential decision processes with large, combinatorial action spaces and interdependent feasibility constraints. Mixed-integer linear programs (MILPs) handle such constraints flexibly but scale poorly in stochastic environments. Deep reinforcement learning (DRL) promises scalable decision rules, but existing methods either penalize constraints rather than enforce them, or rely on feasibility mechanisms that break down once constraints interact. We bridge this gap by embedding a differentiable convex optimization module inside the policy: a neural network proposes continuous action targets, a quadratic program projects them onto the relaxed feasible set, and a dual-informed integer mapping restores integrality while preserving feasibility. Given a differentiable simulator, the policy trains end to end from sampled trajectories using pathwise gradients, while handling hard constraints with similar flexibility to MILPs. We show that our feasibility enforcement has bounded error relative to an exact integer projection and ensures the entire feasible action space is reachable. We apply the method to multi-echelon production-inventory planning under shared resource and material constraints. Our policy attains an average optimality gap below 1% on small instances. It further outperforms state-of-the-art echelon base-stock policies by up to 9.75% and a rolling-horizon multi-stage stochastic program by at least 7.7% in larger networks. On an industry-scale case study from ASML, it reduces average cost by up to 3.22% relative to the best-known benchmark policy. The savings are largest where planning is hardest: in tightly capacitated systems with high demand variability. More broadly, our work shows that DRL can deliver economically significant savings in sequential decision problems with interdependent hard constraints, which are widespread in practice.

3D bin packing rectangular items into standardised containers to maximise space utilisation under geometric shipping automation. Loading a furniture purchase into a personal vehicle is the same task, but under more complex conditions that standard container loading algorithms ignore. This paper addresses the physically stable placement under these realistic conditions with heterogeneous boxes (e.g. varying dimensions and weights) and occupied containers (e.g. groceries). This paper provides a real-world benchmark dataset and baseline model for the Heterogeneous furniture-in-vehicle packing task. The dataset uses real furniture company flat-pack packaging data covering a large number of catalogue products via family-level extrapolation with diversity length, widths, heights, and weights. We also propose a PackingGPT framework for packing as a sequential placement inspired by the Lego assembly process, where heterogeneous boxes of varying dimensions (bricks) are placed step-by-step into the irregular remaining cargo space (creations). Five baseline packing methods were tested on our dataset without considering the Centre-of- Mass (CoM) constraints. In sedan car simulations, 10-40% of placed boxes failed the stability check on average. When the LLP model was trained on packing sequences with CoM constraints enforced during placement, the failure rate dropped to 0.67% (SUV-500).

We study the problem of optimizing physical layouts for automated warehouses, where hundreds to thousands of robots are coordinated to transport packages. Previous works have shown that optimizing the warehouse layout (e.g., the physical location of the storage shelves) significantly improves throughput. However, state-of-the-art layout optimization approaches are based on evolutionary optimization methods, which treat the entire warehouse as a black box and rely on random mutation to search for high-quality layouts. While the optimization outcomes are promising, these methods require a massive number of simulations to evaluate candidate solutions, making them sample-inefficient. In this paper, we present Stress-Relief Annealing (SRA), a polynomial-time simulation-free layout optimization algorithm. SRA turns the task demand into a per-vertex \emph{stress field} that predicts where traffic will concentrate in the warehouse; the field's peak provably caps the throughput. Our experimental results show that (1) SRA improves both the throughput and the scalability of a human-designed warehouse, roughly doubling the number of robots it can sustain, (2) it matches or exceeds the throughput of the evolutionary baselines while taking only $19$ minutes on one CPU core, against their $25{,}000$ simulations and $25$ hours on a $64$-core machine, and (3) the gain generalizes across different Multi-Agent Path Finding algorithms, non-uniform task demands, and a warehouse with doubled dimensions.

Can supply-chain AI move beyond isolated decision modules toward unified operational planning? A complete replenishment plan specifies which products each location carries, which upstream facility supplies it, how often it is replenished, and how deliveries are routed. These decisions are operationally coupled: the selected assortment changes the demand and load passed to later stages; source assignment and replenishment frequency reshape the delivery requests; and route feasibility and cost, in turn, determine the system value of the earlier choices. Yet in modern supply chains, these decisions are often handled by separate departments and optimized through separate systems, which can lead to stockouts, inventory exposure, and avoidable transportation. We propose SCOPE: Supply-Chain Operations through Coupled Policies for End-to-End Coordination, a composite policy model that represents supply-chain entities as tokens, contextualizes them through a shared operational representation, and maps each token type to the corresponding decision interface. Each decision builds on the partial plan formed by earlier decisions while the completed plan is evaluated using a shared system-level utility. We instantiate this framework in urban fresh-retail replenishment, where service frequency, assortment, capacity pressure, and road-network routing interact strongly, and evaluate it on real operational data from Dingdong and JD.com, two large-scale supply chains operating at different replenishment echelons. Across both settings, SCOPE consistently outperforms methods that optimize each decision stage separately, as well as practice-oriented baselines commonly used in supply-chain operations. These results show that learning and coordinating cross-department operational couplings lead to more effective end-to-end supply-chain decisions.

As LLM agents move from decision support to autonomous procurement, firms need to know whether delegated negotiators create value, divide it predictably, and avoid money-losing contracts. We study this in a canonical supply chain bargaining problem: a buyer with private demand information negotiates a quantity-payment contract with an uninformed seller. We benchmark nine LLMs from OpenAI, Google, and Alibaba against a validated Perfect Bayesian Equilibrium across 9,840 LLM-to-LLM negotiations. First, capability governs value creation. Agents agree in 98.9% of negotiations and capture 95.4% of first-best surplus undiscounted, but average 2.98 rounds against the benchmark's 1.25, and this delay erodes 21-34% of surplus. Capability also governs reliability: baseline models accept individually irrational contracts in 19.2% of cases, versus 0.0-0.6% at mid-tier and flagship, making automated profit verification the binding guardrail below that threshold. Second, surplus capture is relational. Provider identity predicts who captures surplus better than capability rank: self-play buyer shares average 40% for OpenAI, 50% for Google, and 70% for Alibaba's Qwen, an ordering that survives restricted communication and no discounting. Reversing which provider sells moves the division by 7-18 percentage points, and the capable Qwen flagship is the weakest cross-family seller: vendor choice is a first-order distributional decision. Third, the prompt is a strategic lever. Delegation separates the principal's economic patience from the agent's prompted strategic patience, a free deployment choice that is the single strongest driver of surplus division (90% of explained variance). Together these establish an equilibrium-referenced audit of AI agents along three dimensions: discounted efficiency, distributional profile, and operational reliability.

Multi-warehouse inventory allocation is typically formulated as a mixed-integer programming (MIP) problem, yet no single formulation consistently matches heterogeneous instance-level regimes induced by demand concentration, inventory imbalance, replenishment scale, service constraints, and forecast volatility. We study this issue as instance-wise operations research (OR) formulation selection, where each allocation instance is assigned to a solver-executable formulation from a candidate OR expert library. We propose a solver-guided large language model (LLM) framework for OR formulation selection, in which each OR expert corresponds to a MIP formulation encoding a distinct allocation priority. To train the selector, the framework first constructs balanced expert-conditioned supervised fine-tuning (SFT) records for schema learning, and then uses MIP solver evaluation on historical instances to convert solver-evaluated allocation-quality gaps into margin-weighted identity preference optimization (IPO) preferences and per-instance expert-score metadata for reward lookup during group relative policy optimization (GRPO) to assign rewards to sampled responses. Experiments on multi-warehouse inventory allocation instances from JD$\mathord{.}$com, one of China's largest e-retailers, demonstrate that GRPO substantially improves expert-selection accuracy relative to the SFT+IPO selector and, more importantly, produces higher realized allocation quality than both the preference-trained selector and the best fixed formulation. With GRPO, Hit Ratio@1 and Hit Ratio@2 increase from 21.45% to 50.42% and from 70.47% to 82.31%. The resulting selector achieves an allocation accuracy gain of 12.57 percentage points over the incumbent baseline, outperforming both the SFT+IPO selector and the best fixed OR expert, and reduces the gap to the ex-post oracle to 4.85 percentage points.

Machine learning demand forecasts optimize statistical accuracy yet leave excess operational volatility that inflates safety stock and amplifies the Bullwhip effect. We introduce \textbf{Contextual Deconvolution} (CD), a two-stage estimator that reframes demand sensing as a convex decomposition: a kernel-modulated banded operator separates transient promotion-driven shocks from a smooth structural baseline, and hierarchical partial pooling enables catalog-scale deployment without per-SKU training. The operator is data-derived, not imposed---it reduces to the identity wherever the promotional response is impulsive (most of M5, all of Favorita) and contributes only where genuine multi-day carryover exists, so the gains rest on the structural decomposition itself. Evaluating strictly out-of-sample on 30,490 M5 SKUs and 2,845 Favorita items, with calendar-aware baselines given CD's identical future calendar, we anchor the contribution on a full inventory-cost accounting: CD lowers safety stock, holding cost, and order variance but under-provisions event spikes, reducing total cost only when holding costs exceed $\sim$20% of stockout costs (95% CI $[17\%,25\%]$); otherwise it is an operational-stability and inventory-capital layer, not an expected-cost minimizer. Its accuracy contribution is reliability rather than central tendency: across eleven baselines, CD attains the lowest cross-sectional dispersion of per-SKU error and mis-forecasts by more than 200% on 0.8% of SKUs versus 9.9--20.6% for every baseline, ranking first on both in all four M5 draws. Because the Variance Ratio and std-based safety stock are minimized by any sufficiently smooth forecast, we treat them as diagnostics, not objectives. A supporting analysis shows the learned demand operators are non-normal, yet CD's compact parametric kernel matches their operational performance interpretably.

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used in recommender systems, but it is often unclear how much performance can be obtained from strong pre-trained backbones alone when they are placed inside a structured recommendation pipeline. In this paper, we present MARS, a modular multi-agent re-ranking framework for repeat-order food delivery recommendation. MARS serves as a controlled hybrid framework for studying how far pre-trained LLMs can go in this setting when combined with lightweight collaborative retrieval and contextual filtering. MARS performs coarse-to-fine recommendation in two stages: cuisine prediction followed by vendor ranking. The framework combines LightGCN-based global preference signals, Swing-based local peer evidence, geospatial filtering, and prompt-driven LLM reasoning over behavioral, temporal, and geographic context. We evaluate MARS on two real-world Delivery Hero benchmarks, DHRD-SE and DHRD-SG, and compare it against heuristic, sequential, graph-based, and food-delivery-specific baselines. We also provide detailed implementation and evaluation protocols, including prompting and decoding. Our study makes three contributions. First, it presents a modular multi-agent framework for repeat-order food delivery recommendation that integrates collaborative signals and LLM-based re-ranking in a transparent pipeline. Second, it shows that strong pre-trained backbones can already be competitive in repeat-order recommendation when paired with lightweight collaborative retrieval. Third, it establishes a reproducible evaluation setting for hybrid LLM recommenders in food delivery.

Source apportionment from sparse urban air-quality sensors is an inverse problem limited by sensor placement, wind-driven transport, background variation, and noise. Known or proxy emission inventories make attribution meaningful by restricting the unknown source field to a finite set of candidate groups, but do not guarantee those groups are distinguishable from the observations. We represent time-varying source activity with a low-dimensional nonnegative temporal basis and formulate inventory-based apportionment as a wind-conditioned lagged inverse problem in which each source--basis coefficient produces a sensor-time fingerprint. After projecting out a separate low-dimensional background space, the relevant object is the projected lagged response matrix $\widetilde H_Φ$: exact identifiability at the chosen basis resolution requires its full column rank, while noise-robust attribution is controlled by its singular values, coefficient visibility, background absorption, pairwise coherence, and ray distance. We propose an identifiability-aware apportionment (IASA) framework that estimates nonnegative source--basis coefficients, reconstructs activity trajectories, and reports uncertainty and conservative grouping recommendations for indistinguishable sources. We instantiate it on a New Delhi platform built from government PM$_{2.5}$ and wind records, regulatory sensor locations, and four proxy source groups, and define controlled and observed evaluations of recovery, ambiguity, wind diversity, background stress, transport error, inventory robustness, and residual adequacy. IASA reports the attribution resolution defensible under the declared inventories, transport, background, lag, and noise rather than the most detailed possible vector.

The semiconductor sector faces a dual transition: scaling manufacturing execution through Artificial Intelligence (AI) while satisfying stringent sustainability mandates, such as the EU Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM). This paper presents a scoping review of 1,465 documents indexed in Web of Science and Scopus, spanning AI-integrated metrology, supply chain ESG, and federated industrial data spaces. Network analysis reveals a highly fragmented "core-periphery" knowledge structure, emphasizing a critical structural hole between AI-driven process optimization and downstream sustainability governance. To close these gaps, this study proposes a 6-layer Safe and Sustainable by Design (SSbD) architecture grounded in a System of Systems (SoS) paradigm. By establishing distinct "grid-to-core" and "standards-through-supply-chain" integration pathways, the proposed framework demonstrates how virtual metrology (VM), localized federated learning, and defensive RegTech mechanisms can build provenance-aware data fabrics. Ultimately, this architecture positions regulatory compliance as a driver for innovation, enabling secure, climate-neutral, and circular value chains in semiconductor manufacturing.

In recent years, the growing complexity of last-mile pickup operations has increased the need for fast and accurate decision-making on logistics platforms. This challenge is fundamentally driven by two key and tightly coupled decision-making processes: order dispatching and routing. Solving them separately overlooks their interdependence, while fully end-to-end learning can be unstable and costly on large, variable-scale instances due to sparse rewards. To solve this problem, we propose an integrated optimization framework which couples a learned routing oracle with real-time dispatching heuristics. For the routing subproblem, we develop a Dynamic-Residual Graph Attention Network encoder with a Look-Ahead Courier-Personalized decoder. For the dispatching subproblem, we develop a routing-oracle-guided dispatching heuristic with local search, where the oracle provides near-optimal solutions to select candidate couriers while retaining real-time scalability. Extensive experiments on real-world datasets from Cainiao Logistics are used to test the performance of our approach, including an offline evaluation and an online rolling-horizon simulation. The experimental results show that our approach outperforms other benchmarks regarding solution quality and solving time, indicating it can effectively support logistics companies in solving real-time and large-scale last-mile pickup problems.

For years, supply chain planning at e-commerce firms has operated as a collection of isolated projects. Each planning task from static network planning to dynamic warehouse assortment planning requires analysts to spend weeks building models from scratch, calibrating and persuading executives to act on outputs they cannot verify. Three barriers drive this: bespoke models proliferate because standardization is difficult (operational fragmentation); once unified, the combinatorial scale of millions of SKUs, thousands of nodes, and intricate routing logic exceeds what solvers can handle within a tight window (computational intractability); and a mathematically optimal solution still fails to be implemented if the executives do not trust it (implementation hurdle). To bridge this gap, we propose and implement the Simulation-Propose-then-OR-Dispose method, deployed as JD.com's NetSim platform. The central insight is decoupling: simulation proposes by generating and evaluating the full set of operationally valid candidate paths-absorbing all idiosyncratic business logic, while an integer program disposes by selecting the globally optimal subset. Computationally, matrix-vectorized CPU/GPU accelerated simulation achieves a 10-100 times speedup over serial methods, and a list scheduling algorithm reduces coupled-order processing from hours to minutes. Operationally, we establish a closed loop via an intelligent diagnosis engine. Since 2025, NetSim has optimized end to-end services for over 20,000 suppliers, the cross-regional fulfillment rate dropped from 6.1% to 4.9%, and the average monthly carbon reduction is approximately 5,745 tCO2e. SPORD moves simulation from monitoring to active planning. The transparent outputs turn skeptical executives into engaged collaborators, and the modular architecture ensures that the next planning requires just configuration, not reconstruction.

AI artifacts move through a multi-platform supply chain, spanning datasets and models on Hugging Face and applications on GitHub. While each artifact carries a license whose obligations should propagate through redistribution, no study has yet measured whether those obligations survive the chain or are stripped and replaced as artifacts move downstream. We trace 232,270 dataset$\rightarrow$model$\rightarrow$application chains and quantify two forms of license laundering: when artifacts with no declared license acquire definitive labels downstream, and when one declared license category replaces another during redistribution. We find that 62.3% of chains pass through at least one artifact with no declared license (concentrated in a small set of foundational datasets), and that every obligation-bearing license category falls below 7% end-to-end survival while the Permissive category reaches 95.1%. Based on these findings, we provide actionable recommendations for practitioners, model publishers, rights holders, and platform owners.

Shippers are beginning to delegate carrier selection to large language model (LLM) agents. We ask what such delegation does to a freight matching market, and which platform design choices contain it. We carried out agent-based simulations in which fifty shipper agents, built on commercial LLMs from OpenAI (GPT), Anthropic (Claude), and Google (Gemini), procure truckload capacity for thirty days. The market implements the rules of digital freight matching: each load is offered down the shipper's ranked list of carriers (waterfall tendering), carriers have daily capacity limits, spot prices respond to congestion, and carrier ratings accumulate with transactions. We found three risks and one remedy that works. Agents converged at once: for a fixed sampled carrier population, the same carrier was the modal first choice of every model on day one, attracting up to 76% of requests. Because each agent picks from its own randomly drawn list of displayed candidates, the platform controls how many options each shipper sees; concentration rose steeply once lists exceeded about ten carriers, with the onset differing across models. Which carriers ended up dominant varied widely from one sampled market to another, and displaying true quality instead of estimated ratings changed neither the level nor this variability (by design, quality affects only what agents see, never delivery outcomes). Against these risks, disclosing each carrier's remaining daily capacity cut concentration by a third and doubled shipper surplus, while vendor diversification, list-order randomization, and popularity display showed no clearly detectable effect. Platform information design, ahead of model choice or model regulation, is the lever that works.

The report envisions a decade in which drones move goods, medical supplies, and information at a scale comparable to national infrastructure investments like highways and the electric grid. Potential applications include natural disaster detection drones that spot wildfire sources within minutes, medical supply chains that bypass ground congestion to reach rural hospitals, and nationwide fleets that continuously inspect bridges and power lines. Realizing this future, however, requires closing what report authors call a "capability gap," where hardware and aspirations are outpacing the software and systems needed to operate safely at scale. The report identifies twelve technical challenges that must be addressed to realize the transformative potential of drone technology: Scaling to millions of drones; AI intelligence and assurance; Edge-cloud continuum and real-time coordination; AI autonomy and agentic systems; Data, training, and validation infrastructure; Critical infrastructure protection; Building reliable fleets from non-deterministic agents; Trust, security, and distributed authentication; Next-generation drone networks; Human-AI partnership and scalable insight; Standards, certification, and regulation; and Workforce development and education. These twelve challenges and proposed approaches to them form the basis of the report, laying out a multifaceted path forward for the evolution of done technology.

Delay-risk models are usually judged by predictive accuracy. What matters in practice is narrower: with capacity to review only a few shipments, which ones should a manager check first? We evaluate whether machine learning clears a demanding no-model baseline: inspect the highest-value shipments first. Across three real supply-chain contexts: SCMS procurement, DataCo logistics, and Olist e-commerce, we use leakage-controlled rolling-origin evaluation and 1000-sample paired bootstrap confidence intervals. Ranking by predicted delay severity times known value (M1) beats severity-only ranking in all three datasets, yet it does not generally beat value sorting. At a 10% review budget, M1 minus VALUE_ONLY is -5.5 percentage points (pp) for SCMS, +10.1 pp for DataCo, and -4.9 pp for Olist. The divide is consistent with severity learnability: DataCo has R^2 = 0.27 and calibration bias of +0.01 days, whereas SCMS and Olist have R^2 of approximately -0.02 and negative calibration bias. Nested-CV cost-sensitive retraining does not deliver a stable improvement over M1. Rather than proposing a new learning algorithm, this paper presents a deployment diagnostic and evaluation protocol. Value sorting should remain a permanent benchmark, and ML should be deployed only after severity learnability and calibration have been audited and the model clears that gate under leakage-controlled rolling-origin evaluation.

Supplier lead time forecasting is a central input to material requirements planning, inventory optimization, and supply chain risk management. However, many industrial lead time datasets are naturally right-censored: at the time forecasts are required, some orders have not yet arrived. Standard regression and classification approaches discard this information, while conventional survival models require task-specific modeling. We propose LeadTime-ICL (LT-ICL), a censoring-aware in-context learning model for probabilistic lead time forecasting. LT-ICL combines a transformer backbone with a conditional normalizing-flow head, producing a full predictive distribution over lead times. The model is pretrained on synthetic right-censored lead time tasks, enabling in-context adaptation to new industrial datasets without task-specific parameter updates. We provide theoretical support for this formulation by showing that excess CRPS is bounded by prior misspecification and amortized approximation errors, providing clear direction for improving forecasting performance. We evaluate LT-ICL on 24 proprietary supply-chain datasets spanning seven industries. LT-ICL achieves the lowest point-forecasting error on 15 of the 24 datasets, and the lowest probabilistic forecasting error on 14 datasets, yielding the best average rank across both. These results support right-censored probabilistic forecasting as a practical formulation for supplier lead time prediction and demonstrate that pretrained in-context models can provide accurate, low-adaptation-cost forecasting for industrial planning systems.

Many operational decisions rely on predictive models that estimate uncertain outcomes conditional on observable contexts. Training such models, however, often faces a fundamental data asymmetry: labeled outcomes are scarce or costly to obtain, while contextual covariates are abundant. Motivated by this data asymmetry, we develop a decision-aware weak-to-strong (W2S) framework that leverages both labeled and unlabeled data to improve contextual stochastic optimization. Specifically, we first train a weak model using limited labeled data and then use it to generate predicted outcome distributions on unlabeled contexts. These distributions provide soft supervision for training a strong model. We establish a non-asymptotic upper bound on the excess decision risk of W2S and a complementary lower bound for a strong-only benchmark. Their comparison yields explicit sufficient conditions under which W2S improves downstream decision performance. The key quantity is the correlation dimension between the weak and strong feature representations: when it is small, abundant unlabeled data reduce the effect of teacher errors along non-overlapping directions. A synthetic newsvendor experiment and a comment moderation experiment based on real-world data provide empirical evidence consistent with the theory.

Current bin picking methods that rely heavily on end-to-end learning often falter when confronted with unfamiliar or complex objects in unstructured environments. To overcome these limitations, we introduce Seg2Grasp, a modular pipeline designed for robust suction grasping in dynamic and cluttered bin scenarios. Seg2Grasp is built on a three-step process: Segmentation, Grasping, and Classification. The Segmentation module employs a Transformer-based model to generate class-agnostic object masks from RGB-D images, ensuring accurate detection across various conditions. The Grasping module uses surface normals and mask proposals to determine the optimal suction points, enhancing grasp success. Finally, the Classification module leverages fine-tuned open-vocabulary Mask-CLIP for precise object identification, enabling versatile handling of diverse objects. Real-world robotic experiments demonstrate that Seg2Grasp outperforms existing methods in success rates and adaptability, establishing it as a powerful tool for automated bin picking in industrial settings.

Pretrained machine learning (ML) models help developers build ML-intensive software systems without training models from scratch. However, model repositories often provide incomplete machine-readable documentation about model provenance, licenses, datasets, limitations, and external references, creating transparency and governance gaps across the AI supply chain. Artificial Intelligence Bills of Materials (AIBOMs) address these gaps by documenting AI artifacts, including models, metadata, licenses, datasets, model-card information, and external references. Taking public Hugging Face (HF) model repositories as a case study, this paper empirically investigates AIBOM completeness, defined as the extent to which repositories provide AIBOM-relevant information for machine-readable AI supply-chain documentation. We examine approximately 97.5K AIBOM artifacts to assess the extent to which generated AIBOMs: (i) contain required structural and metadata fields, (ii) represent model identity, license, and external-reference information, (iii) capture model-card documentation such as datasets, limitations, safety-risk assessment, and environmental information, and (iv) vary in documentation coverage across repository and artifact characteristics such as task, license availability, dataset declaration, model family, and paper reference. Results indicate that generated AIBOMs provide complete coverage of required AIBOM structure but limited AI-specific documentation completeness. Required fields are fully represented, but model-card, metadata, responsible-use, environmental, limitation, and meaningful-description fields remain weakly represented or missing across generated artifacts. Our findings motivate improved model-card practices, repository-level traceability, and automated AIBOM validation to advance the generation and adoption of more complete AIBOMs.

We introduce the vehicle routing problem with stochastic demands and outsourcing options (VRP-SDO), in which a logistics service provider partitions customer requests into customers outsourced to a common carrier and customers committed to its fixed fleet. The latter induces a vehicle routing problem with stochastic demands (VRP-SD), solved dynamically. Demands are revealed upon visit; residual demand may be served by other vehicles or after restocking at the depot. Work beyond the regular shift incurs overtime costs, and the unit outsourcing cost decreases with the expected outsourced demand. The objective is to minimize expected travel, overtime, and outsourcing costs. We propose an iterative two-level methodology whose first level partitions customers into committed and outsourced subsets, while the second level estimates the expected VRP-SD routing cost. To avoid solving this problem from scratch at every iteration, we learn an offline routing policy that estimates costs almost instantly for any committed subset. An iterated local search establishes the first-level partitions. We formulate the second level as a Markov decision process and solve it with a deep Q-network whose state is represented by a graph attention network aggregating customer and vehicle information by relevance to the acting vehicle. Trained offline on instances with variable customer cardinality and locations, the policy applies to any daily customer realization; online fine-tuning improves the cost approximation. Experiments show that our policy reduces routing costs by 19.6% relative to a state-of-the-art method and by at least 29.6% over classical heuristics. Our overall algorithm saves 13.7% on average over the version without the attention-based representation and generates high-quality decisions within minutes, whereas benchmarks without an offline-trained estimator require over an hour.

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have emerged as a powerful, differentiable class of learning models for graph-structured systems. Their ability to generalize across topologies opens the prospect of a surrogate for combined structural and parametric optimization, which classical metamodels cannot offer. Supply chains are a natural target, yet the use of GNN surrogates for supply chain problems is largely unexplored. This paper lays the foundation, presents initial steps, and discusses key research directions. As a foundation, we formulate the problem and create a large public training dataset of programmatically generated supply chain graphs with input parameters and steady-state performance metrics obtained using our SupplyNetPy simulation library. As initial steps, we explore GNN architectures that work well as surrogates for node- and network-level predictions, and analyze their accuracy-compute trade-off against simulation. Most importantly, we outline the exciting directions this opens, namely gradient-based optimization over topology, fast design-space exploration, and sensitivity analysis.

We study continuous planar facility location in which a demand point's captured value decays with distance, with the per-point decay scale varying across points. This heterogeneity is ubiquitous yet underexploited, and one nearest-facility objective unifies decay, clustering, and median goals, containing k-means, the Weber/p-median problem, and maximum covering as special cases. We make four contributions. (i) A tractability classification: the discrete objective is always monotone submodular, so the (1-1/e) greedy guarantee holds regardless of decay shape or heterogeneity, and the continuous cooperative objective is concave if and only if the decay is concave in distance; the clip max(0,d) in common coverage specifications is what destroys concavity, and the classification is tight. (ii) An exact discrete method: the candidate-discretized maximum-cover MIP has an empirically tight LP relaxation (~0% gap) and is solved by branch-and-bound in seconds for n <= 500. (iii) A force-as-gradient / large-neighborhood-search heuristic, within 0.5% of the discrete optimum, that outperforms the (1-1/e) greedy, Cooper-style alternating location-allocation, particle swarm optimization, and weighted k-means (30/30 per-instance wins at K=30, p<10^-9) and is competitive with bespoke solvers on k-means, Weber/p-median, and shape-demand instances. (iv) A real-world study: on 592,667 urban-delivery orders, ignoring the calibrated decay variation loses up to 9.7% of captured demand and relocates facilities by up to 37% of the map; a retail dataset calibrates the decay as exponential with scale R ~ 1.4 km.

The increasing adoption of Large Language Models (LLMs) as AI components in modern software systems introduces distinct security risks to the software supply chain. While many considerations and safety mechanisms are in place for components of the traditional software supply chain, the recent rapid adoption of AI components and platforms has overlooked these hard learned lessons. Selecting and integrating AI models without clear guidance on how these choices affect system security may leave applications vulnerable to threats, such as malicious components, data leakage, and unintended behavior. The goal of this study is to understand practitioners' decision making process and security considerations in selecting and integrating AI components through an exploratory semi-structured interview study. Toward this goal, we conducted semistructured interviews with 22 software developers, architects, and AI practitioners across diverse organizations about how they integrate AI components into their software. Our analysis finds that practitioners' model selection is predominantly driven by functional criteria, including performance, accuracy, cost, and specific features, e.g., tool calling or multimodal support, while security is rarely considered as an evaluation criterion. We observe a consistent lack of security concern throughout the AI component integration process, with established software supply chain lessons overlooked or ignored. The industry is repeating the historically costly mistakes of early software dependency management, prioritizing rapid reuse and availability over security and provenance. We distill our findings into actionable recommendations for AI adopters, model providers, and researchers, advocating for a proactive, security-by-design approach that integrates security evaluation into component selection and sustains it throughout the software development lifecycle.

Common practice when training Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) is to use randomly shuffled mini-batches. This creates two limitations: slower convergence, and a diminishing learning signal, since many samples are quickly classified as easy during training. We address these inefficiencies with A*-Inspired Batch Selection (A*-BS), a lightweight, model-agnostic strategy that formulates mini-batch scheduling as a heuristic search problem. Each batch is treated as a node in a search space and ranked using an A*-like score combining a loss-based difficulty measure with a reuse penalty. This encourages informative gradient updates and batch diversity throughout training, without modifying network architectures or optimization algorithms, so it integrates seamlessly into existing pipelines. We evaluate A*-BS on the twelve 2D classification tasks of the MedMNIST-v2 benchmark, using a deliberately simple architecture of approximately 2.25x10^5 parameters, compared against the ResNet-18 and ResNet-50 baselines reported by the benchmark. On half of these tasks, the lightweight model with A*-BS reaches higher accuracy and AUC than both ResNet baselines, with relative gains of up to 15%. An ablation under identical architecture and hyperparameters shows A*-BS outperforms random batch shuffling on all twelve tasks. Wall-clock measurements further show the lightweight CNN with A*-BS trains substantially faster than ResNet-18 and ResNet-50 on identical hardware. These results indicate that intelligent batch ordering can partially compensate for reduced architectural complexity, offering a computationally efficient alternative to deeper models, with reliability reinforced by strong performance even against deeper, more sophisticated architectures.

Automated fulfillment warehouses must continuously assign and execute pickup-and-delivery work while avoiding congestion. In many-to-many Multi-Agent Pickup and Delivery (MAPD), a request specifies a stock-keeping unit rather than fixed endpoints, requiring the controller to select an agent, source, and destination before path planning. Existing graph-guidance methods primarily influence routing after goals are fixed, leaving endpoint instantiation uninformed by recent traffic. We introduce Stigmergic Graph Memory (SGM), a bounded, decaying memory layer that records recent execution signals on warehouse nodes and directed edges to rank feasible endpoints and route preferences without altering collision constraints or planner validity. Across paired request streams on five layouts, three load levels, and 25 seeds per condition, SGM outperforms two reconstructed many-to-many allocation baselines in all 15 map-load conditions, with paired throughput gains of 20.5-36.7%. These results show that recent execution memory can improve warehouse throughput by shaping which feasible goals enter the planner, not only how agents travel to already fixed goals.

LLM agents are increasingly evaluated on multi-week decision tasks in which the state that drives cost is never directly observed. On such tasks the final cost cannot say why an agent failed: it may have misread the world, or read it correctly and still failed to act (the knowing-doing gap). Existing evaluations cannot separate these two failures; their reference policies either read privileged information the agent never sees, or are missing altogether. We introduce STOCKTAKE, a 26-week supply-chain replenishment benchmark built as a factored partially observable Markov decision process with six hidden factor processes, designed so that a fair reference policy is computable: an exact Bayes filter per factor drives a rollout policy on the identical observation stream the agent receives. Scoring each run between a symptom-blind base-stock floor (0) and this oracle (1) yields a skill score, and grading each week's written rationale yields a stated-belief detection lag and a knowing-doing rate, so state estimation and control are measured separately. On fifty seeds with curated stress profiles, Claude Sonnet 5, GPT-5.4, DeepSeek-V4-Pro, and Grok 4.5 detect 84-88% of hidden failures, typically within a week of onset, yet span skill scores from 0.62 to -0.23: two of the four end below the symptom-blind floor while naming factors slightly faster than the two that beat it. The failure has two faces. Where stress persists, 34-43% of correctly diagnosed stress weeks still end in stockout for every model, a rate that partly reflects the severity of the weeks models notice. That rate also runs opposite to skill: the two models under the floor stock out least on diagnosed weeks, so under-response is only one face of the gap, and their traces point to the other, responses whose cost exceeds what they protect. STOCKTAKE measures both directions of that failure.

Ride-sharing has become an essential component of modern urban transportation and has attracted significant attention across computer science, transportation, and management science. While the field spans a broad range of problems, such as driver relocation, dynamic pricing, and vehicle charging or fueling dispatch, the core challenge remains order assignment and trip bundling, which directly affect urban traffic efficiency and carbon emissions. Despite its importance, existing simulation platforms are typically tailored to specific operational studies or tightly coupled to a particular dispatch algorithm, and rarely expose a standardized, learning-friendly interface. As a result, most researchers still build customized environments from scratch, raising serious concerns about reproducibility and fair comparison, and incurring substantial redundant effort. To address this gap, we present RideGym, the first open-source, standardized Gym-style interface tailored to MARL-based order dispatch in real-world ride-sharing systems. By fully decoupling the environment from the dispatch algorithm, RideGym enables diverse learning-based and model-based methods to be developed and compared under identical, fully specified conditions. It supports efficient, large-scale city-level simulations on real road networks, and offers flexible configurations for vehicle attributes, order specifications, and automatic shortest-path routing. We validate RideGym by reproducing several baselines, and demonstrate its high efficiency, with a one-hour simulation involving thousands of vehicles and tens of thousands of orders completed within one minute across all methods. Moreover, we reveal that the choice of exploration noise can significantly affect both the performance and the relative ranking of MARL solutions, an aspect often overlooked in prior work.

Automation in industries such as retail, warehousing and logistics presents opportunities for greater throughput, cost reduction and mitigation of disruptions from labour shortages. Previously, such efforts have focused on back-room operations involving packing and sorting in relatively structured environments. With advances in robotic mobile manipulation hardware and foundation models, automation can now be applied to more variable and human-centric environments such as retail store shelves. In this work, we present a task-planning approach using Large Language Models (LLMs) and Vision-Language Models (VLMs) to address the restocking problem in retail scenarios such as supermarkets. We demonstrate this system on a custom omnidirectional mobile manipulation platform, with user-driven prompts and a feedback-based iterative re-planning approach for error correction. The end-to-end system is validated in a PyBullet simulation environment for pick-and-place tasks.

Warehouse operations are governed by Standard Operating Procedures (SOPs) that encode complex, multi-system decision logic, which must be executed reliably under strict time constraints, yet LLM agents lack mechanisms to enforce procedural compliance and degrade under the context overload full SOP specifications introduce. We present Eluna, a production-deployed agentic system for reliable SOP execution. Eluna is a graph-guided, multi-agent framework that encodes SOPs as directed acyclic graphs with progressive disclosure and delegates independent tasks to parallel sub-agents, each with persistent code execution and live data access. To meet production latency and accuracy needs, we use asymmetric episodic distillation where a strong teacher is improved through episodic error memories, then a smaller student is fine-tuned on the corrected trajectories with memory stripped, internalizing corrections without inference-time overhead. On a 13-task benchmark and two production applications, our fine-tuned models match or exceed their teacher, beat all larger off-the-shelf baselines, and reach 94% expert agreement on the ticket processing application.

Agricultural supply chains are vulnerable to disruptions through linked biophysical and economic systems. We develop an AI-powered tool that integrates economic models (GTAP) with biophysical models (APSIM) to analyze supply chain shocks, enabling policymakers and market participants to assess cross-disciplinary impacts through queries and responses written in natural language.