Supply Chain Optimization

Online truckload bid acceptance is a closed-loop stochastic decision problem in which a carrier or broker must, in real time, accept or reject a tendered load subject to operational feasibility, fleet repositioning costs, and opportunity cost against future demand. Public, reproducible benchmarks for this problem are scarce: existing routing benchmarks are static, while dynamic-fleet studies typically rely on private operator data. We introduce FreightBidBench, a public-calibrated, dependency-free, closed-loop benchmark in which feasibility (pickup reach, appointment windows, simplified hours-of-service, stochastic yard delays) and economics (service-failure penalty, terminal fleet value, daily price-premium window) are explicit, versioned, and reproducible from public Freight Analysis Framework and U.S. Department of Agriculture truck rate data. We develop two full-horizon hindsight ceilings: a simple LP style relaxation and a tighter Lagrangian-per-truck information relaxation that retains per-truck hours-of-service and sequencing structure and is 20.7% tighter than the LP relaxation on a tight-capacity scenario and 39.3% tighter on a scarce-capacity scenario. We introduce a parametric surrogate-rollout cascade with boundary-band and scarcity-pressure escalation triggers. On ten-seed tight and scarce scenarios, the best simple policy retains 91.0% and 86.5% of rollout profit and the standard-library surrogate 94.2% and 89.3%; a cascade at a single escalation band recovers roughly 98% on both at 40-56% of rollout's mean decision latency, and on the tight scenario is statistically indistinguishable from the rollout teacher (paired-bootstrap 95% CI on the profit delta spans zero).

Battery charging of Autonomous Mobile Robots (AMRs) in warehouses is a critical operational challenge that heavily impacts both order processing times and throughput. In this study, we address the dynamic AMR charging problem under stochastic order arrivals, where robots must learn optimal charging decisions. Traditional fixed-rule heuristics often prove suboptimal in dynamic environments and fail to account for multi-AMR coordination, leading to severe resource inefficiencies. To overcome these limitations, we propose a Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO)-based Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) framework designed for multi-block warehouses with fixed charging stations. Our model dynamically learns two key decisions: charging station selection and optimal charging duration, explicitly accounting for anticipated queuing times at the stations. Extensive numerical experiments benchmark the proposed model against state-of-the-art DRL and traditional heuristic approaches. Results demonstrate that our PPO framework increases order-completion rates by up to 6% compared to the strongest baseline, while significantly reducing the total time dedicated to recharging operations. Furthermore, we validate the model's robustness across diverse warehouse configurations and stochastic arrival rates. Finally, we interpret the learned DRL policy, offering valuable operational insights into its superiority over standard benchmarks.

Research dissemination, turning a paper into a poster, a talk video, and a blog post, is still a manual last mile. Prior automation treats each artifact in isolation that each re-extract the paper from scratch, usually ship one-way renders the author cannot reopen in PowerPoint or Word, and gates quality on soft VLM-preference scores that plateau while load-bearing sections still read as empty. We argue this last mile is best built as a composition of skills: thin agent-readable contracts that share one upstream extractor and wrap deterministic primitives in a measured-fill loop whose exits are hard pass/fail render gates. We instantiate this as ResearchStudio-Reel, five Claude Code and Codex skills organized into one shared extractor (Paper2Assets), three editable generators (Paper2Poster, Paper2Video, Paper2Blog), and one interactive convergence layer (Paper2Reel). Paper2Assets extracts each paper once into a shared bundle that can be reused by every downstream skill; The three generators produce a print-ready poster, a synchronized talk video, and a bilingual blog that stay factually consistent and round-trip through PowerPoint or Word; Paper2Reel then binds all three into a self-contained HTML viewer whose section-level clicks jump the video, slides, captions, and blog to matching content. On the Paper2Poster benchmark, our posters lead every aesthetic and information sub-criterion against both prior automated systems and single-shot frontier LLMs, surpassing the authors' own on aesthetics under two held-out VLM judges and winning overall on 84% to 93% of papers; capability audits further show that, by uniquely pairing narration-aligned on-slide highlights with a bilingual blog gated by layout-aware DOCX repair, ResearchStudio-Reel is the only pipeline to ship all three editable artifacts. Project is available at https://aka.ms/ResearchStudio

Modern supply chains span diverse operational environments, ranging from e-commerce distribution networks to customized production-to-order manufacturing lines. Across these settings, operational efficiency depends on coordinating two highly interdependent stages: order preparation and downstream delivery. Although these stages are traditionally managed in isolation, real-world fulfillment systems must satisfy stringent delivery expectations under dynamic stochastic order arrivals. To bridge this gap, we introduce the Dynamic Order Fulfillment Problem (DOFP), a new problem class unifying logistical challenges previously studied separately. We model DOFP as a Markov decision process whose state and decision spaces are partitioned into preparation and delivery sub-spaces, linked by synchronization constraints. While recent approaches attempt to optimize both fulfillment stages simultaneously over myopic rolling horizons, our framework isolates and optimizes the downstream delivery policy, treating preparation strictly as a state-level constraint filter. To solve this, we develop the Decomposition-Driven Framework with Value Function Approximation (DDF-VFA), which utilizes a novel policy-level decomposition. This design partitions the search into a delivery-stage master problem and a preparation-stage compatibility subproblem, iteratively refined via feedback loops. DDF-VFA executes this strategy by combining a large-neighborhood search over partial delivery decisions with a neural-network value function approximation for the cost-to-go. Numerical illustrations on two example variants using real-world datasets show that DDF-VFA consistently outperforms benchmarks that optimize the two stages independently or jointly without decomposition. Finally, the framework naturally scales to accommodate additional real-world complexities such as batched or multi-stage preparation.

While traditional hub capacity planning models optimize effectively for quantitative inputs, they often fail to digest qualitative business context. We propose a novel framework where a large language model (LLM) agent iteratively proposes hub capacity decisions guided by natural-language business context descriptions. The key mechanism is a chain-of-thought reasoning protocol: the LLM constructs a structured decision table that maps each contextual item to specific capacity adjustments based on the implied direction and magnitude of changes. The new capacity decision is then validated through a feedback loop with an optimization model, which provides routing-based performance metrics to guide the agent's selection. On a real-world 13-hub freight network in the southeastern US, our framework achieves a 2.8% optimality gap relative to the hidden ground-truth, a significant improvement over the 11.0% gap produced by the traditional optimization model without textual business inputs. This demonstrates that LLMs can serve as a contextual bridge, integrating qualitative business insights into Operations Research workflows.

This paper introduces SupplyNetPy, an open-source, well-documented Python library for modeling and discrete-event simulation of supply chain networks with arbitrary multi-echelon structures. It supports multiple replenishment policies, perishable inventory, node disruptions, and stochastic demand and lead times. All components are extensible via inheritance. Users describe a supply chain as a graph with node and link attributes, while the library handles simulation, providing logs and extensive node and network level performance reports. This paper presents the motivation, design, key features, and architecture of SupplyNetPy, along with detailed validation results (against analytical benchmarks, a commercial tool, and a published case study). A key motivation behind SupplyNetPy's development is programmatic generation and simulation of complex models, enabling design-space exploration, what-if analysis, training data generation, and supply chain digital twins.

Agent skills package reusable operational knowledge for Large Language Model (LLM) agents, yet as they grow in scope, they become dependency-bearing artifacts whose identities, versions, and provenance remain implicit. This opacity already causes duplicated dependencies and inconsistent installations, exposing a gap that dependency management has yet to close. We introduce Agent Skill Supply Chains (ASSCs) to characterize mixed skill-package-service dependency graphs and help close this gap. Borrowing from Software Bill of Materials (SBOMs), we design SkillDepAnalyzer to capture natural-language dependency evidence and model skills as dependency-bearing artifacts. On the SKILL-DEP benchmark, SkillDepAnalyzer recovers skill metadata and dependency graphs accurately and comprehensively, substantially outperforming an LLM-based baseline and package-centric SBOM tools. Applying SkillDepAnalyzer to over 1.43 million skills, we obtain ASSCs and explore their structural diversity and security signals. We find four structural patterns: skill metadata is activation-ready but governance-poor; dependency graphs span skill, package, and service dependencies with concentrated reuse; recursive skill reuse expands dependency graphs and creates hidden package inventory; and skill dependency clusters form around related workflows. We also find that inspecting a skill alone misses security-relevant signals hiding in its dependencies. By analyzing ASSCs, we identify and report known malicious skills persisting in ASSCs to their developers. Based on these findings, we recommend typed dependency manifests, first-class dependency-cluster management, risk-warning audit commands for skill infrastructure maintainers, and lockfile-like records for skill developers.

The wave of AI-native applications is moving shopping beyond page- and feed-based browsing toward intent-driven experiences orchestrated by LLM agents. A common design wraps an LLM around existing search and recommendation pipelines, forcing complex intents through low-bandwidth retrieval or ranking interfaces and leaving a gap between language understanding and item-space fulfillment. Generative recommendation gives LLMs a direct item-space interface through semantic IDs (SIDs), but existing models mainly generate candidates for retrieval rather than translate flexible intents into item-space outcomes. We propose ShopX to address this bottleneck by unifying intent understanding, execution planning, and flexible SID-native item-space operations into a single foundation model. We deploy ShopX in agentic shopping workflows through a model-native item-fulfillment framework with a serving harness that defines a model-facing action protocol and exposes support surfaces for context access, catalog grounding, and state management. Within this framework, ShopX plans and composes SID-based item-space operations such as SID beam-search retrieval, listwise ranking, or product bundling. This model-centric design reduces lossy hand-offs between agent orchestration and item-space execution. To build ShopX, we design semantically recoverable, LLM-operable SIDs and a training recipe that equips a general LLM for flexible multi-turn item-space fulfillment while retaining the knowledge and instruction-following abilities needed by a shopping agent. We evaluate the ShopX framework against tool-mediated agentic systems on single- and multi-turn fulfillment tasks derived from anonymized Taobao production logs, showing that model-native fulfillment improves overall framework behavior, especially on complex or ambiguous requests.

In two-sided marketplaces with heterogeneous products, it is important to understand the causal relationship between additional supply and marketplace outcomes, such as the total quantity transacted or transaction value in the marketplace. This paper studies a causal machine learning approach to estimating this relationship across product segments. We use the Airbnb marketplace as an example, focusing on the impact of additional listing supply on total bookings, but the methodology applies to other two-sided marketplaces. Our approach combines double/debiased machine learning with a hierarchical Bayesian framework that leverages pre-existing knowledge as priors. We construct tractable and informative features for the model by leveraging measures of product segment similarity from the geospatial literature. We find that such a model provides plausible estimates of the marketplace returns to additional supply and strong out of sample performance.

Claw-like AI agents (e.g., OpenClaw) are always-on processes with persistent access to credentials, files, tools, and external services. They take on system-level responsibilities -- installing packages, maintaining state, scheduling subtasks, and mediating I/O -- making security failures far more severe than in other agents. Yet existing benchmarks focus on model responses and tool calls, leaving cross-component failure modes largely unmeasured. We adopt a computer-system analogy: treating a Claw-like agent as an agentic computer system whose gateway runtime plays an OS-like mediation role, whose Skills resemble user-installed applications, and whose Plugins resemble loadable extensions with runtime privileges. Each component has a classical counterpart whose protection mechanisms -- refined over decades of cybersecurity research -- are absent on the agent side. From this perspective, we develop SafeClawArena, a benchmark of 406 adversarial tasks across four attack surfaces (Skill Supply-Chain Integrity, Persistent State Exploitation, Cross-Boundary Data Flow, and Indirect Prompt Injection), executed in containerized replicas of real agent platforms with canary-marked credentials and evaluated via automated taint tracking across nine output channels. We evaluate three platforms (OpenClaw, NemoClaw, SeClaw) and five frontier LLMs. The highest attack success rate reaches 70%; malicious Plugins succeed in 100% of cases regardless of the LLM. SeClaw cuts GPT-5.4's attack success rate from 70% to 22%, partly through utility-security tradeoffs rather than active defenses, while Claude-Opus-4.6 already sits near a 22% floor on every platform. These results expose the inadequacy of current defenses and suggest directions for future hardening. Code and data: https://github.com/sunblaze-ucb/SafeClawArena.

Balance-oriented multi-warehouse inventory allocation is a recurring decision problem in large-scale e-commerce supply chains, in which a fixed replenishment quantity is distributed across warehouses to balance post-allocation inventory coverage while accounting for demand forecasts and heterogeneous allocation constraints. In practice, allocation requirements are often scenario-dependent and expressed in semi-structured or natural-language form rather than as ready-to-solve operations research (OR) formulations. We propose an OR-guided Large Language Model (LLM) for Allocation (ORLA) that uses solver feedback to generate, verify, and select OR formulations. ORLA integrates automatic "Problem-Model-Code (PMC)" generation, learning-based formulation selection, and feasibility restoration. We develop three complementary mixed-integer programming formulation families based on deviation minimization, soft band compliance, and knapsack-inspired allocation, together with solver-ready mixed-integer linear programming reformulations, modular constraint extensions, and a penalty-based relaxation mechanism for infeasible cases. The LLM component generates candidate formulations and executable solver code from textual or semi-structured specifications, while the solver provides verification signals for executability, feasibility, and solution quality. To address instance heterogeneity, ORLA estimates the expected quality of candidate formulations, selects promising candidates, and combines their outputs through score-aware aggregation. Experimental results on 29 production evaluation batches from JD.com show that the best single OR formulation improves allocation accuracy by 3.4 percentage points over the incumbent approach, while the full ORLA framework achieves a 4.5 percentage-point overall improvement and improves allocation accuracy in 26 of the 29 evaluation batches.

Vegetable prices in Sri Lanka are highly volatile because the market is largely import-isolated, so supply disruptions quickly drive prices up. This study develops a machine learning framework to forecast such volatility by incorporating supply-chain-aware features and explicitly modelling the country's two cultivation seasons, Maha (October-April) and Yala (May-September). An integrated dataset was constructed by combining retail and farmer-gate prices with origin-aligned weather variables, diesel costs, and exchange rates across 12 vegetable varieties and 14 market centres from 2013 to 2019. A gradient-boosted ensemble model (XGBoost and LightGBM) was trained and optimised using Optuna, and unified and season-specific configurations were compared. Results show that season-specific models improve within-season fit, with the Yala-specific model achieving the highest R2 of 0.9420 (95% CI [0.690, 1.000]), while the unified model delivers the best overall predictive accuracy of 90.84% (95% CI [88.34%, 91.52%]) and an R2 of 0.9281 (95% CI [0.760, 1.000]). Notably, the unified model maintains 85.96% accuracy on a completely unseen 2024 hyperinflationary period without retraining, successfully tracking major price surges. These findings suggest that agricultural price movements in import-constrained markets are meaningfully predictable when models capture supply-chain dynamics, offering practical value for early warning and decision making by farmers, traders, and policymakers. Existing studies on Sri Lankan vegetable prices are confined to Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) and Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) applied to single markets, with no supply-chain features, seasonal segmentation, or cross-regime validation.

Truck-drone delivery is an emerging last-mile logistics mode combining the long-haul capacity of trucks with the flexible service capability of drones. In locker-based operations, smart lockers serve not only as temporary parcel storage facilities but also as automated drone docking and service nodes. These automated nodes support drone takeoff, landing, parcel handover, and battery replacement, thereby significantly extending the service range and operational flexibility of drone-assisted delivery networks. However, practical locker-based delivery systems face complex real-world challenges, requiring the integrated coordination of not only parcel delivery, return pickup, battery-constrained and load-dependent drone flights, but also necessary detours around restricted airspace. To address this practical and multifaceted challenge, this paper introduces a locker-based truck-drone routing problem with integrated considerations of pickups, deliveries, and no-fly zones (LTDRP-PDNF), with the objective of minimizing the total operational cost of a fleet of drone-equipped trucks. We formulate the route construction process as a Markov Decision Process and develop a two-stage deep reinforcement learning-based neural heuristic. The first stage utilizes an attention-based encoder and a Bidirectional Gated Recurrent Unit decoder to solve the truck-only routing problem, formulated as a capacitated vehicle routing problem. The second stage combines a policy-transfer strategy with a hybrid dispatch assignment heuristic to construct fully coordinated truck and drone routes for LTDRP-PDNF. Experiments on instances of different scales demonstrate that the proposed method outperforms metaheuristic and neural heuristic baselines in most cases while maintaining exceptionally short computation times, offering an effective, scalable solution framework under practical operational constraints.

Order fulfillment in manual picker-to-goods warehouses involves interconnected decisions such as item assignment, order batching, and picker routing. While integrated models capture interactions between these decisions, practical warehouse systems often require decomposed approaches due to organizational boundaries, differing responsibilities, or limited data availability. Existing studies primarily evaluate algorithms for isolated subproblems or fixed subproblem combinations for specific warehouse settings, but lack a general mechanism to determine applicable algorithm configurations, compose them into valid solution pipelines, and assess their performance. With Context-Aware Synthesis of Optimization Pipelines (CASOP), we propose a framework for constructing and evaluating context-specific optimization pipelines and apply these to order fulfillment. The framework comprises: (1) a modular repository of algorithms for common order fulfillment problems; (2) semantic data and algorithm cards to describe warehouse context and algorithm requirements; (3) a taxonomy that structures order fulfillment problems into relevant subproblems; (4) a pipeline synthesizer that identifies applicable algorithms for a given warehouse context and composes all valid optimization pipelines; and (5) a pipeline evaluator that assesses all resulting pipelines. We demonstrate the framework on 7 benchmark instance sets covering four problem classes, resulting in 1,063,044 valid pipelines. The framework supports researchers and practitioners in designing, automatically synthesizing, and selecting valid, high-performing algorithmic pipelines for warehouse operations. The software is open-source and available at https://github.com/kit-dsm/ware_ops_pipes and https://github.com/kit-dsm/ware_ops_algos. Keywords: Warehouse optimization, Algorithm selection, Pipeline synthesis, Order fulfillment

Sequential contextual stochastic programs model real-time decision systems in which each time epoch commits to an action under uncertainty whose consequences propagate into future decisions. In many practical contexts, these programs require obtaining solutions rapidly as new information becomes available. These problems can be represented through scenario approximations to be solved by off-the-shelf optimization solvers, which achieve high decision quality offline but typically run in seconds to minutes per instance, falling short of the sub-second responses that peak periods of planning require. This paper develops a learning-based optimization proxy: a scenario-embedded neural network trained offline on solver-generated labels, paired online with a decoder that enforces feasibility, replacing the per-epoch solve with a single forward pass. The framework is specialized to omnichannel order fulfillment, where each arriving order requires a sub-second assignment of products to distribution centers and carrier services under stochastic delivery times and future demand. A two-stage contextual stochastic program is introduced to formulate this problem, and its contextual sample average approximation (C-SAA) supplies the offline labels, while a composite training loss combines label imitation, a constraint-violation penalty, and self-supervised cost alignment. In a calibrated simulator built from JD.com transactional records, a detailed computational study is provided. The proxy reduces decision latency by roughly 2800x relative to the online finite-sample C-SAA reference and improves over it by 3.3% in realized fulfillment cost. Relative to established fulfillment policies, the proxy lowers total realized cost by at least 10.7% and roughly halves the late-delivery rate.

Human-robot collaboration (HRC) often requires robot intentions and internal states to be conveyed to users for task efficiency and safety. Recently, augmented reality (AR) situated analytics provide such real-time robot feedback in HRC contexts. However, AR situated analytics can obstruct important real-world elements, posing safety and usability risks, especially when content is dynamically positioned relative to movements of mobile robots in a warehouse HRC scenario. In this paper, we introduce the Augmented Reality Technique Of Obstruction Deterrence while Aiding Robotic Teaming for Users (ARTOO-DARTU), an AR system tailored specifically for warehouse HRC that enables real-time robot situated analytics and control while preserving visibility of the real world through an obstruction detection and mitigation pipeline (ODM) that is uniquely suited for AR-HRC. To evaluate ARTOO-DARTU, we developed Pocket MonstARs, a controlled gamified abstraction of HRC warehouse inventory picking in which virtual monsters serve as proxies for pick targets, while labeled and object-marked boxes preserve the real-world identification demands of the picking task. In a 34-participant user study, we found that our designed AR situated analytics yielded a 46% increase in efficiency on the overall HRC task, but only when the ODM was active. Participants with the ODM active were also 61% faster on subtasks requiring visibility of the real world. Our findings demonstrate that, when paired with our developed ODM to prevent real-world obstructions, the situated analytics in ARTOO-DARTU can significantly enhance efficiency and user experience in AR-HRC warehouse scenarios.

Autonomous mobile robots operating in intralogistics environments rely on geometric maps for localization and navigation, but lack semantic understanding of objects and their contextual properties. We present a contextual semantic mapping pipeline that combines SLAM-based geometric mapping, SAM-based instance segmentation, instance clustering, and VLM multi-view reasoning to produce a contextual semantic map representation encoding geometric structure, object class, and object movability. By aggregating observations across multiple viewpoints and querying a VLM in a zero-shot, open-vocabulary setting, the pipeline infers contextual object properties--here demonstrated through movability--without requiring task-specific training or predefined object categories. We evaluate three VLMs under two prompting strategies and conduct a component-wise analysis of the pipeline. The proposed pipeline achieves 98.93 % mIoU for semantic classification and 89.17 % mAcc for object movability estimation. Component analysis identifies VLM reasoning as the primary bottleneck for contextual understanding and instance clustering as the main limitation for panoptic performance. The resulting semantic map supports context-aware filtering and robust navigation in dynamic intralogistics environments.

Efficient sorter diversion control of automated material handling systems (MHS) is critical for optimizing operational efficiency in large-scale warehouse environments. In this study, we use an inbound receiving sorter at a high-volume e-commerce warehouse as our primary use case, where the sorter diversion system relies on cost functions with static weight configurations that fail to adapt to highly dynamic system contexts, such as volume mode, congestion level, equipment physical status, and upstream/downstream dependencies. To address this real-time sorter diversion optimization challenge, we conducted a comparative study of three candidate hybrid machine learning frameworks: Linear Regression with Gradient Descent Optimization (LR+GDO), XGBoost with Bayesian Optimization (XGB+BO), and Bayesian Contextual Bandits (BCB). Model training and evaluation were enabled by leveraging a high-fidelity physics-aware emulator to overcome the cold-start problem and allow a safe transition from offline to online learning. We performed comprehensive evaluations including reward model predictive accuracy, contextual sensitivity, action distribution, and projected reward uplift. Our results demonstrate that while tree-based reward models offer slightly better predictive power, the BCB framework achieved overall higher performance with 2.03% reward uplift over the heuristic baseline. Furthermore, BCB exhibits several superior characteristics, such as its decisive time-optimal policy backed by Bang-Bang control theory, continuous online learning capability, strategic balance between exploration and exploitation, and significantly shorter inference latency. These results demonstrate the potential of the BCB framework for real-time control optimization in large-scale warehouse environments, motivating further investigation toward operational deployment.

Meta-reinforcement learning is a promising approach to multi-objective optimisation because it enables rapid policy adaptation across changing environments and preference settings. However, conventional few-shot methods usually fine-tune from a single shared meta-policy, which can reduce solution diversity and limit exploration of the Pareto front, especially in high-dimensional combinatorial problems such as supply chain optimisation. We propose a population-based Meta-reinforcement learning framework that combines decomposition with evolutionary search in scalarisation weight space. The framework maintains a population of weight vectors, each associated with a distinct meta-policy trained through gradient-based meta-learning, and iteratively refines this population through elitist selection, crossover, and mutation guided by hypervolume and entropy contributions. We evaluate the method in a multi-objective supply chain setting with conflicting economic, environmental, and social goals, and further test its generality on standard reinforcement learning problems. The results show that the proposed approach yields more diverse, better distributed Pareto front approximations, improves cross-task adaptation, increases hypervolume by up to 32% over Meta-multi-objective reinforcement learning in the complex case, and attains the lowest average Hausdorff distance among all compared methods.

Large-scale optimization problems are often solved repeatedly under similar structural conditions, leading to substantial computational overhead. This occurs in applications such as power systems, transportation, and supply chain networks, where the underlying structure is fixed while parameters frequently vary under perturbations. This paper proposes a Learning to Optimize (LTO) framework that accelerates the solution of large-scale general mixed-integer problems by leveraging the concept of a backdoor, i.e., a subset of variables that drive most of the computational complexity. The proposed BIPC framework consists of three phases. Phase I is an identification procedure that discovers a backdoor for a set of instances in the distribution. Phase II uses supervised learning to develop machine learning models that, given an instance, predict values for bounded-domain backdoor variables and intervals for wide-domain backdoor variables. These predictions define a reduced optimization problem where the predictions constrain the backdoor variables, while the other variables remain free. Phase III optimizes this reduced problem and, if necessary, applies a correction step to restore feasibility or the optimality guarantees. Experiments on real-world, large-scale problems show substantial reductions in solution time with only a limited loss in solution quality. The framework enables organizations to solve large-scale optimization problems efficiently in the presence of frequent perturbations, such as unexpected events, demand fluctuations, or operational changes. Because these changes affect parameters rather than the problem structure, BIPC can quickly provide high-quality, feasible solutions, offering a practical approach to integrating machine learning into existing optimization pipelines.

Understanding the complex topology and hierarchy of urban power grid is crucial for energy prognosis, power flow management, and system resilience analysis. However, detailed grid information remains largely proprietary. This creates significant barriers for research and innovation, especially when analyzing the last-mile distribution networks connecting individual buildings. This paper addresses this challenge by developing an open-data-driven framework for the complete identification of urban power grid topology, from high-voltage transmission down to individual building connections. Particularly, we fuse public infrastructure data (power-lines, substations, transformers, poles) to map the high and medium-voltage skeleton using graph-based algorithms. We then leverage geospatial machine learning on OpenStreetMap building data to group power demand clusters, and infer the physical topology of the final distribution lines linking the clustered buildings. We apply the developed framework to the district of Alna in Oslo, Norway, and we reconstruct the complete grid topology that connects 7,330 buildings and all major electricity infrastructure assets. With the research in this work, we provide a critical tool that facilitates power system analysis, e.g., power flow optimization, cascading failure simulation, and grid resilience against the penetration of distributed renewable generation.

Industry automation is witnessing an evolution in robotics driven by both technological breakthroughs and societal changes: progress towards generalist robots, embodied and physical artificial intelligence (AI), and increasing labor shortage in manufacturing.An intelligent autonomous robot needs to not only act according to planned motions but also react to any unexpected events. In this study, we focus on such unexpected events in warehouses where robots are used for material handling. Specifically, we refer to any unexpected events as failures and develop methods to detect robot operations related failures. Rule-based detection methods may break since the form of failures could change due to the dynamic nature of both environments and tasks. We propose 'Fail-RAG', a Retrieval Augmented Generation (RAG)-based failure detection framework where failure images and context information are embedded and queried against a failure database by calculating their similarities. Vision-Language Models (VLMs) are further used to analyze failures and provide details by following our instruction template. We evaluated the performance of Fail-RAG by conducting both simulation and physical experiments using fixed robot arms and a mobile manipulator for multiple tasks that are common in warehouse automation. Fail-RAG achieved 25 percentage point higher failure detection accuracy on average across five types of robot operations compared to using off-the-shelf VLMs, indicating its effectiveness for real-world failure detection.

In skill-constrained production-inventory systems, the qualified human capacity available tomorrow depends on training decisions made today: production requires certified workers, certifications decay unless maintained, and training consumes the same scarce worker hours that production needs now. We study a closed-loop skill-constrained model predictive controller that, at every shift, solves a finite-horizon mixed-integer program over production, inventory, backlog, and training, with binary predicted certification, hard production eligibility, and an interpretable terminal value that prices certified-capacity gaps at the horizon boundary; only the first-period action is applied before replanning. On synthetic, seed-controlled SkillChain-Gym scenarios - announced and surprise new-skill shocks, demand shocks, absenteeism, forecast- and availability-quality modes, capacity-boundary and training-rate sweeps, and negative controls - we evaluate the controller against production-only and maintenance-only ablations, static cross-training insurance plans, and a strong reactive heuristic, under an ex-ante locked configuration and paired statistics. The result is regime dependence, not superiority: no policy class dominates. Predictive control helps when skill or labor bottlenecks are forecastable early enough for training to complete; lean static insurance remains hard to beat under surprise shocks, near the demand-capacity boundary, and wherever pre-shock slack makes insurance cheap. Attribution ablations separate certification maintenance, re-acquisition of lapsed certifications, and greenfield skill acquisition. Forecastability, not adaptivity per se, decides when predictive control pays.

Production planning increasingly has to treat workforce capability as a decision variable: certifications lapse when skills are not maintained, new products require skills the current workforce does not hold, and reskilling competes for the same worker hours needed for production. Existing operations benchmarks usually treat labor as exogenous, while workforce-planning models with skills and learning are rarely released as reusable testbeds. We introduce SkillChain-Gym, a benchmark specification for reskilling-aware production-inventory control: a single-site environment with stylized worker skill-state dynamics, hard threshold certification, forgetting, and capacity-consuming training actions constrained by the same per-worker time budget as production. The benchmark includes seed-controlled disruption scenarios, three feasibility modes with projection diagnostics, deterministic replay, and metrics covering operations, resilience, capability growth, and training-access distribution. We evaluate production-only, reactive adaptive, water-filling adaptive, and static-insurance policies with budget variants over 60-shift horizons with paired statistical tests. The results are regime-dependent rather than a ranking. Training-capable policies dominate the production-only baseline, and maintenance training is necessary under forgetting even without disruptions. Among training-capable classes, adaptive training helps when bottlenecks are visible in the forecast, while a lean static cross-training plan, a deliberately favorable comparator whose structure encodes relevant skill contingencies, acts as strong insurance under surprise shocks and absenteeism. Capacity slack and the forgetting rate govern the boundary between these regimes. No policy class dominates across regimes, motivating forecast-driven controllers that decide when to buy skill insurance and when to react.

The rapid proliferation of machine learning model reuse has transformed the AI ecosystem into a highly interconnected supply chain. Traditional compliance tools and static reports struggle to navigate these massive, multi-hop dependency networks. To address this, we present AI Supply Chain Galaxy (AISCG), an interactive 3D visual analytics system for model provenance and compliance auditing. AISCG maps models into a 3D spatial layout, integrating explicit structural dependencies with a rule-based compliance engine. It supports multi-scale exploration, from global community detection to localized, path-aware lineage tracing. We demonstrate its efficacy through an ecosystem-scale empirical analysis of 908,449 models from Hugging Face. Our findings reveal a concerning landscape: 55.46% of models exhibit compliance risks or metadata conflicts/omissions. We also identified distinct risk patterns, including a 56.67% license omission rate in adapter derivations and an 8.05% "license drift" rate in fine-tuning. Through a case study on the complex Llama model family, we show how AISCG empowers analysts to intuitively trace inherited restrictive terms and identify root causes across deep topological networks, significantly reducing the cognitive load of compliance auditing.

Online inventory optimization (OIO) is online convex optimization with physical memory: inventory carryover makes the feasible action set depend on the past. A natural principle, used in stochastic inventory learning and recently in OIO under a single linear capacity constraint, is to maintain a hidden target chosen by an online learner and implement its projection onto the currently feasible order-up-to set. We prove that this simple principle is optimal for OIO on arbitrary bounded convex capacity sets. With online gradient descent as the base learner, the method improves the best known regret guarantee for OIO on general convex sets from inverse to inverse-square-root dependence on the common-demand probability, and we prove a matching lower bound. The same principle gives the first polylogarithmic regret guarantee for strongly convex losses and the first dynamic regret guarantee adapting to Euclidean path variation on general convex capacity sets. The analysis introduces a norm alignment principle: the right state variable is the distance from the hidden target to the feasible set, measured in the same norm as the projection. Under norm alignment, this distance evolves pathwise as a scalar queue, with target movement as arrival and common demand as service. This reduction to one-dimensional queue control resolves the state dependence and extends the guarantees to general convex capacity sets, beyond the reach of prior productwise approaches. Experiments on synthetic and real-world inventory data corroborate the theory.

Dispatch in three-sided marketplaces provides a natural setting for reinforcement learning from world feedback: decisions are evaluated by delayed operational outcomes such as delivery speed, courier utilization, and merchant congestion. We present a deployed reinforcement learning system at DoorDash that adapts dispatch objective weights in a large-scale food-delivery marketplace using delayed signals. Rather than replacing the combinatorial assignment optimizer, a store-level policy learned from logged marketplace data selects a discrete multiplier that shifts the dispatch optimizer's tradeoff between delivery quality and batching efficiency. This interface enables offline policy learning under noisy, delayed, and coupled feedback while preserving production feasibility constraints and operational safeguards. We train a shared value function using centralized offline data and decentralized store-level execution, with Double Q-learning targets and a conservative regularizer to reduce out-of-distribution value overestimation. In a production switchback experiment, the offline-trained policy increases batching and reduces courier-side time costs without degrading customer-facing delivery quality. Results illustrate how world feedback from a live economic and logistics system can be used to safely adapt decision policies online.

AI inference services -- API subscriptions, enterprise chat tools, and SaaS products with embedded AI features -- fall unambiguously within Scope 3 Category 1 under the Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive (CSRD), which requires disclosure for fiscal years starting January 2024. Yet no standardised methodology exists for including them in corporate GHG inventories. Current practice either omits the category entirely or applies a generic economic input-output (EEIO) factor calibrated to the ICT sector as a whole, overestimating AI inference emissions by 10-40x relative to physically derived alternatives. We propose a four-tier framework that matches estimation precision to the data organisations can realistically obtain, progressing from direct token-based physical estimation -- using GPU energy benchmarks and regional grid carbon intensities -- down to a spend-based EEIO fallback for services where no usage data exists. Emission factors are derived from peer-reviewed GPU energy benchmarks (ML.ENERGY Leaderboard v3), confirmed grid carbon intensities (EPA eGRID 2023; Ember 2023), and published water use effectiveness data (Li et al., 2025). Applied to a 200-person European firm, the framework yields a total below 1 tCO2e, illustrating that the compliance challenge is methodological rather than magnitude-driven. We further document a water-carbon trade-off that current ESG tools do not surface: Sweden's hydro-dominated grid delivers the lowest carbon intensity in our dataset but the highest water footprint, with direct implications for data centre location strategy.

AI agents in supply chains face a fundamental epistemic gap: large language models (LLMs) interpret policies but lack physical grounding, while reinforcement learning (RL) optimizes flows but is semantically blind to unstructured constraints. We introduce REFLECTICHAIN, bridging this gap through a Generative Supply Chain World Model (SC-WM) - encoding heterogeneous supply networks into a 6-dim graph-latent space with physical conservation - and Double-Loop Learning that separates epistemic uncertainty (KL-trust-region-bounded policy adaptation) from aleatoric uncertainty (stochastic latent rollouts). On Semi-Sim, a 10-node semiconductor benchmark with SIR risk propagation, 6 perturbation types, and 10 policy constraint templates, REFLECTICHAIN improves Rationale Consistency Score by 33.0% (p < 0.0001, d = 2.78), maintains 82.3% operability under adversarial shocks, and exhibits anti-fragile behavior (+40.2% gain under moderate pressure). We identify three operational epistemic mechanisms - uncertainty separation, knowledge-boundary detection, and empirical Bayesian policy updating - and discuss five limitation categories.

Large-scale retail and industrial forecasting systems contain many heterogeneous time series whose lifecycle, sparsity, volatility, seasonality, spectral patterns, and contextual sensitivity differ substantially. A single forecasting model rarely performs well across all regimes, while dense ensembles increase inference cost and provide limited insight into expert suitability. This paper studies forecastability-aware expert routing: learning how data characteristics determine the suitability of forecasting experts. We propose \method{}, a sparse mixture-of-experts framework that represents each series with a multidimensional forecastability fingerprint, mines expert-suitability targets from validation performance, and trains a cost-aware sparse router to activate a small budgeted set of experts for each series. Using a production-scale vending-machine sales dataset from Shandong New Beiyang (SNBC), where the forecasting component has been integrated into the replenishment-planning pipeline, together with public retail benchmarks, we show that expert suitability varies systematically across data regimes. On the industrial dataset with 5,000+ machines and 60M+ transactions, \method{} Top-2 reduces MSE by 12.4% over the strongest single expert, LightGBM, while executing 1.92 experts per series on average. The deployed component produces demand forecasts, while inventory-oriented gains are estimated by an offline replay simulator under a fixed replenishment policy rather than by online intervention. The framework turns heterogeneous sales forecasting from heuristic model selection into data mining of forecastability patterns and expert specialization. Code is available at https://github.com/hit636/FAME

The coffee supply chain is one of the most complex agri-food networks, marked by geographically dispersed production, multi-tier coordination, and high sensitivity to quality and freshness. While sustainability and digitalization have gained attention, demand forecasting, optimization, and traceability are often treated separately. This study presents a two-phase integrated framework. First, a hybrid CNN-LSTM model is used for demand forecasting. On the public Coffee Chain Sales dataset with chronological 70/15/15 splitting, the model achieves MAE of 22.87 and R^2 of 0.90, outperforming the best deep learning benchmark by ~12% and classical methods by over 30%. In the second phase, the forecasted demand feeds a tri-objective mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) model that jointly minimizes cost, minimizes carbon emissions, and maximizes product freshness in a multi-period, multimodal, closed-loop supply chain with circular recovery. Freshness is modeled via exponential decay based on inventory age. Using the epsilon-constraint method, 25 Pareto solutions are obtained. Sensitivity and policy analyses show that balanced sustainability policies can reduce emissions by 22.4% with only a 9.9% cost increase while maintaining near-optimal freshness. Keywords: Coffee supply chain; Deep learning; Demand forecasting; Multi-objective optimization; Circular economy; CNN-LSTM; Mixed-integer linear programming.

Supply Chain Finance (SCF) and LendTech platforms need credit scoring systems that respond to evolving transaction behavior, repayment delays, and active exposure. We propose TRUST-SCF, a transformer-based framework for transaction-level risk prediction and dynamic credit scoring. Each user history is represented as a sequence of transaction tokens containing utilization, repayment delay and transaction position. The main contributions are: (1) a financially aligned attention bias that combines utilization similarity and recency, enabling the model to compare repayment behavior under comparable exposure conditions; (2) continuous repayment-delay prediction in a log-transformed target space, reducing the influence of extreme delays while improving sensitivity to short-delay behavior and (3) a label-efficient credit-scoring pipeline in which the final credit score is not trained using any explicit external credit-score label, but is instead derived from predicted delay, potential risk over simulated utilization, actual unpaid exposure, and nonlinear calibration. Experiments on real transaction data from more than 300,000 transactions show that TRUST-SCF improves delay prediction over sequential baselines and produces scores that are strongly associated with future repayment behavior. These results suggest that TRUST-SCF is a practical framework for adaptive credit scoring and transaction-level risk mitigation in SCF and LendTech environments.

Off-board control of mobile robots from cameras embedded in the environment offers a practical path to scalable autonomy, moving sensing and compute off the robots. We extend this idea from the single-robot case to coordinated fleets in a real warehouse, driving multiple robots with only a distributed CCTV network and edge compute. The system operates entirely in image space over an uncalibrated, pixel-wise topological camera graph, enabling wide-area operation with flexible camera placement. A hierarchical planner selects a camera sequence per robot and plans its image-space motion through each view, coordinating robots with a prioritised-then-joint strategy and treating overlapping camera regions as shared resources held by one robot at a time to prevent collisions and deadlocks. We validate the approach in a real warehouse with four robots and 30 cameras across six 27 m aisles, reporting mission times and coordination statistics. To our knowledge, this is the first field demonstration of multi-robot planning and coordination using only an external camera network and off-board compute, with robots carrying no task-specific navigation hardware.

In modern online advertising platforms, Guaranteed Delivery (GD) contracts coexist and bid with Real-Time Bidding (RTB) auctions. Recent approaches either decouple GD and RTB optimization or rely on heuristic priority rules, and thus fail to effectively balance short-term revenue maximization with long-term contract delivery under complex multi-slot delivery and impression constraints. To address these challenges, we propose HMAF (Hierarchical Multi-Slot Allocation Framework), a unified framework designed to optimize impression allocation in GD--RTB advertising platforms. HMAF employs the Plan--Calibrate--Execute paradigm as its core structure, and integrates offline constraint optimization with online decision-making, balancing offline GD resource planning, dynamically calibrating GD--RTB competitiveness, and making real-time listwise rank decisions across multi-slot environments. HMAF has been implemented in multiple marketing scenarios at Meituan, one of the world's largest online food delivery platforms, leading to a 3.72% increase in GD delivery rate and a 1.59% increase in total advertisement revenue.

Pharmaceutical supply chains (PSCs) struggle with inventory management (IM) due to unpredictable demand patterns and variable lead times associated with restocking. This complexity is further compounded by the finite shelf lives of pharmaceutical products, which necessitate a delicate balance between adequate stock and minimal waste. These intertwined factors create a complex optimization problem that requires sophisticated inventory strategies to ensure both product availability and PSC efficiency. This study aims to develop an optimal inventory replenishment policy for pharmaceutical products that can handle the stochasticity arising from uncertain demand and variable PSC conditions. The objective is to maximize the profitability of the PSC while maintaining a high patient service level. We formulate the problem as a Markov decision process and propose a deep reinforcement learning (DRL) approach, specifically, a hybrid asynchronous advantage actor critic distributed proximal policy optimization (A3C DPPO)algorithm. The A3C DPPO algorithm is tailored to handle the continuous action space inherent in IM. The numerical results demonstrate that the proposed algorithm adaptively updates the inventory replenishment strategy under dynamic scenarios, resulting in lower inventory costs compared to various benchmarks. We also conduct numerical validation using real-world pharmaceutical inventory data to confirm the practical feasibility of the proposed algorithm.

Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) fails systematically on queries requiring structural reasoning over interconnected entities. We compare eight retrieval architectures for aerospace supply chain intelligence, progressing from text retrieval through graph traversal to graph computation. Using a 46-node knowledge graph with 64 typed edges, we evaluate 23 queries across 10 intent categories and demonstrate that five query classes are structurally unreachable for vector retrieval. Our central finding is the operator vocabulary thesis: the barrier to LLM-based graph reasoning is not model intelligence but the computational operators available as tools. An LLM Query Planner with 9 typed traversal primitives outperforms bespoke handlers (F1 = 0.632 vs. 0.472) while generalizing to unseen queries. Adding 6 graph computation tools, the LLM selectively adopts them for exactly the query categories where traversal fails. We also identify a measurement gap: entity-level F1 systematically underscores structural queries where comprehensive answers are correct.

Embodied intelligence is moving from laboratory demonstrations toward industrial deployment, with the logistics industry serving as a key application scenario. Learning-based policies offer a promising path beyond traditional perception-planning-control pipelines, but their scalability depends on how embodied data can be collected, organized, and reused. This research studies a data-centric framework for industrial embodied intelligence by constructing a logistics data flywheel. Our framework converts daily operations into reusable data assets, uses World Models to generate reliable supervision for long-tail parcel manipulation, and feeds deployment feedback back into policy improvement. As an initial result, \textit{WM-DAgger} introduces a World-Model-based data aggregation framework that synthesizes out-of-distribution recovery data for robust imitation learning. Building on this result, ongoing work explores how large-scale in-the-wild multimodal data, including labeled human demonstrations, unlabeled operational videos, and system-level robot logs, can be aligned for policy learning and transformed into feedback for continual system improvement.

The rights to rectification and erasure, as established under the General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR), are central to protecting individuals' privacy. However, their effective enforcement in machine learning (ML) systems remains challenging. Existing work has largely addressed these rights from either a legal or a technical perspective in isolation and disregards the fact that models are produced in complex supply chains involving multiple actors across development, distribution, and deployment. This paper presents a holistic survey of challenges in implementing the rights to rectification and erasure in ML models. Drawing on academic literature and guidance from data protection authorities, we find that many GDPR requirements cannot yet be technically met in practice. Our findings further suggest that issues arising in ML supply chains are insufficiently addressed in research. To tackle this gap, we introduce the notion of models in the dark -- derived models created further downstream in an ML chain without sufficient transparency or traceability -- and analyse the urgent challenges posed by this phenomenon. By adopting an interdisciplinary perspective, this work contributes to bridging the gap between legal requirements and the technical implementation of data subject rights in ML, ultimately supporting the development of trustworthy artificial intelligence.

Multi-Agent Path Finding (MAPF) algorithms are increasingly used to plan motion for robot teams in industrial warehouses and robotic shared workspaces, but standard MAPF algorithm evaluation metrics, such as Sum of Costs (SoC), makespan, and planner runtime, can obscure how planner choices translate into realistic execution performance. We present CADENCE (Coordination and Action-Driven Estimation for Networked Continuous Execution), a hardware study of this evaluation gap on a fixed 7 by 7 workcell with seven differential drive robots, asking which features available before execution can best predict final wall-clock completion time. We compare SoC, total planned travel cost, primitive motion burden (how much basic motion the plan requires, such as makespan, turns, consecutive moves, and start-stop transitions), and interaction aware coordination structure (how much inter-robot coordination the plan induces, such as dependency links, interacting robot pairs, dependency depth, and crowding exposure). To test this, we generate 120 plans across 15 scenarios -- 5 Empty, 5 Medium Random, and 5 Bottleneck and execute each plan four times, yielding a 480 trial hardware corpus. Using both a scenario-held -- out ridge model and a trial-level mixed-effects model, we find that SoC alone is informative but incomplete, while primitive motion burden gives the strongest improvement, reducing held out error by about 48.6%-59.8% in MAE and 44.2%-61.4% in RMSE relative to SoC-only models. Interaction-aware coordination features add smaller, less uniform gains, most clearly in the mixed-effects analysis. Across both models and uncertainty checks, primitive motion burden is the most reliable additional signal beyond SoC, suggesting that much of the execution time gap is already visible in the offline plan before any robot starts moving.

Time series forecasting has advanced rapidly, especially with the emergence of foundation models that show strong zero-shot performance on numerical extrapolation. However, in real-world forecasting settings, a statistically plausible baseline is rarely the final forecast used in practice. Before a forecast becomes decision-ready, it often needs to be revised using weakly structured business context such as holiday effects, campaign plans, external events, historical analogs, and expert feedback. This practical stage remains underexplored in the forecasting literature. In this paper, we formulate this stage as the \textbf{last-mile forecasting} problem and present an LLM-agent framework that sits on top of a forecasting backbone. Our system maintains a unified forecast workspace, invokes tools to retrieve contextual evidence, and converts reasoning trajectories into explicit forecast revision actions under structural safety constraints. It also supports long-horizon forecasting through map-reduce-style decomposition and post-hoc reflection through a memory bank. The resulting system is designed to be controllable and auditable. Through real-world case studies, we show how LLM agents can bridge the gap between statistical prediction and business-ready forecasting.

Accurate Estimated Time of Arrival (ETA) prediction on checkout page is crucial in instant logistics for enhancing user satisfaction, optimizing dispatching, and controlling operational costs. In international on-demand delivery platforms, where ETA data originates from diverse countries or regions with different patterns, multi-domain modeling is of great importance and has been widely adopted. However, existing methods still face three critical challenges in real-world deployment. First, current multi-domain models struggle to generalize to completely unseen domains, failing to achieve zero-shot prediction during the initial cold-start phase. Second, cross-domain feature spaces are often assumed to be consistent, whereas new domains commonly suffer from structural missingness of offline (statistical) features due to the lack of historical data. Third, such feature missingness often compels industrial systems to model mature and cold-start domains separately, hindering knowledge transfer and increasing maintenance overhead. To address these challenges, we propose \textbf{UME}, a \textbf{U}nified \textbf{M}eta-generalization framework for \textbf{E}TA. Specifically, UME integrates a unified dual-branch architecture with a novel meta-learning mechanism that employs a hypernetwork-based meta learner. By leveraging domain-level knowledge and instance-level context, the meta learner empowers three meta modules to dynamically modulate feature gating, expert attention, and final prediction, capturing cross-domain correlations and facilitating intra-domain adaptation. A knowledge distillation strategy is further introduce to enhance performance. UME has now been deployed in Meituan-keeta delivery platform (the largest international food delivery platform in China). Extensive offline experiments and online A/B tests demonstrate that UME significantly outperforms existing baselines.

In fulfillment centers, diverse objects move continuously from inbound to outbound operations and can become jammed due to excessive conveyor friction, incorrect orientation, or mechanical failures. Traditional jam detection approaches rely on object detection models to identify objects, followed by tracking algorithms (such as IoU overlap and Kalman filtering) to monitor motion over time. This pipeline requires thousands of manual annotations, consuming approximately two weeks of effort, and is limited to annotated object classes. We present a training-free, object-agnostic jam detection method that eliminates the need for labeled data. Our approach uniformly samples reference points within the monitoring region when no objects are present. As objects occlude these points, we detect motion. When a sufficient fraction remains occluded beyond a temporal threshold, we classify the event as a jam. Unlike conventional point tracking--which treats occlusion as a failure case--our approach repurposes occlusion as a detection signal, monitoring whether reference points remain persistently occluded rather than tracking where they move. Our experimental evaluation on 1,069 videos demonstrates that AllTracker achieves 100.00% precision and 93.33% F1 score, significantly outperforming classical sparse tracking methods while maintaining training-free deployment. This approach offers three key advantages: (1) no training data or manual annotations, (2) object-agnostic generalization to arbitrary object types, and (3) significantly reduced development time.

Deploying computer vision models in Warehouse Facilities traditionally requires extensive resources for camera mounting, image collection, annotation, training, and deployment - a process often needing repetition in each new environment due to camera mounting constraints and environmental variability. This paper explores an innovative approach to streamline this process by conducting the standard procedure solely in a laboratory setting, focusing on vertical material handling systems and anomaly detection in forks of the systems. Through extensive experimentation, we have found that combining optimal camera placement, strategic image triggering, careful model selection and model ensemble enables effective generalization from laboratory conditions to diverse warehouse facilities environments, potentially transforming warehouse automation implementation by simplifying warehouse facilities deployment to just camera mounting, image collection, and model deployment, thereby saving significant resources and time typically spent on image annotation and model retraining. This is an experimental research study and not a production deployment.

LLM-powered coding agents increasingly participate in software development workflows by generating code, selecting dependencies, and producing package installation commands. This creates a new software supply chain risk: when an agent hallucinates a non-existent package, an attacker may register the hallucinated name and later compromise users who install it. Existing package hallucination attacks and defenses primarily focus on naturally occurring hallucinations, targeted dependency steering, or post-hoc package validation. In this paper, we introduce \emph{Neutral Prompting Attack} (NPA), a highly stealthy attack paradigm in which semantically benign instructions, such as encouraging imagination and exhaustiveness, increase package hallucination propensity without containing explicit malicious intent. Unlike targeted dependency steering, NPA does not specify an attacker-chosen package. Instead, it shifts the model's dependency generation behavior toward more speculative package names. We evaluate NPA across multiple coding-oriented LLMs and package hallucination benchmarks. Our results show that NPA increases both \emph{Hallucination ASR} and \emph{Pip Install ASR}, changes the distribution of hallucinated package names, and evades existing static-analysis, LLM-based, and agent-based Skill defenses. These findings reveal that harmless-looking prompts can covertly manipulate hallucination behavior and create downstream software supply chain risks.

Financial and economic research often relies on structured supply-chain disclosures and commercial databases. In China, supplier--customer disclosure is typically limited to major partners of listed firms, leaving unlisted firms and long-tail inter-firm links poorly captured in structured data. Public web evidence can partly complement this gap through corporate, government, and trade-media disclosures; however, full-text web mining at scale is costly because pages are often inaccessible or expensive to process with large language models (LLMs). We propose a snippet-driven method for constructing a supply chain knowledge graph (SCKG), with firms as nodes and inter-firm relationships as edges. Web search snippets are query-biased summaries returned with search results. We use them as a scalable first-pass evidence layer for LLM-based relationship extraction. We evaluate the pipeline in terms of extraction efficiency and coverage. For extraction efficiency, exhaustive full-text chunking discovers 19.8$\times$ more unique relationships than snippets, but requires 251.2$\times$ more input tokens and yields higher redundancy. For coverage, we use 130,685 Chinese firms as search seeds, covering Shanghai/Shenzhen-listed firms and large unlisted firms as of 2024. In the listed-firm subset, the resulting SCKG covers 7.2$\times$ more firms and 9.3$\times$ more relationships than the CSMAR disclosure-based benchmark, while revealing heavy-tailed degree patterns. Retained provenance metadata make the SCKG an auditable complement to disclosure-based databases.

LLM-based multi-agent systems have been widely adopted for knowledge retrieval and report generation, synthesizing known information through web search and textual reasoning. However, many critical information tasks in supply chains are not simple one-shot queries: they are structural inference problems requiring multi-hop reasoning across complex, fragmented web resources. Questions such as \textit{``Which Tesla components use lithium from Australian mines?''} have no answer in any single document; answers must be computationally synthesized through the autonomous construction and analysis of dynamic knowledge graphs assembled from fragmented, heterogeneous sources. Moreover, such discovery processes must be uncertainty-aware: decisions depend not only on answers but on calibrated confidence in their reliability, traceable to source quality and reasoning consistency. To address this capability gap, we propose \textit{Helicase}, an autonomous multi-agent LLM system for uncertainty-guided supply chain knowledge graph construction. \textit{Helicase} decomposes high-level supply-chain queries into executable investigation plans, coordinates specialized web-search, reasoning, and coding agents through iterative verification loops, and incrementally constructs query-specific supply chain knowledge graphs with per-fact uncertainty annotations. Its three-layer uncertainty framework tracks uncertainty at the action, trajectory, and memory layers, enabling both structural inference and calibrated confidence assessment. To evaluate autonomous reasoning across the full complexity spectrum, we introduce SCQA (Supply Chain Query Assessment), a benchmark of 80 supply chain queries organized into four quadrants spanning single-hop to multi-hop inference under both high and low data visibility.

Synthetic data offers a promising solution to two persistent barriers in supply chain analytics: data scarcity and data privacy. However, for synthetic data to support operational simulation and decision-making, it must do more than reproduce the statistical distributions of real records, and also preserve the \emph{operational logic} that governs supply chain processes, including the temporal orderings, mathematical dependencies, hierarchical taxonomies, and conditional rules that make a record operationally plausible. We consider this logic as the ``physics'' of supply chain data. Existing tabular generative models are primarily optimized for distributional fidelity and downstream predictive utility, and therefore often generate records that appear statistically realistic but violate fundamental operational constraints. This paper introduces \textbf{\textit{TabKG}}, a knowledge-graph-guided framework for logically consistent synthetic supply chain tabular data generation. TabKG constructs a \textbf{\textit{Column Relationship Knowledge Graph (CR-KG)}} to represent data operational dependencies. It uses a multi-LLM ensemble with majority voting to propose candidate relationships from column metadata, validates these relationships against real data to remove hallucinated or unsupported edges, and then uses the validated CR-KG to guide generation. Specifically, TabKG compresses the original table into independent columns, generates these columns using a latent diffusion model, and deterministically reconstructs dependent columns according to the validated relationships, enforcing logical consistency by construction with respect to the discovered operational rules.

We study how an e-commerce firm should make real-time fulfillment decisions in a two-layer distribution network when multi-item customer orders arrive sequentially and future demand is unknown. The central managerial tension is whether to use scarce front distribution center (FDC) inventory to save current fulfillment cost or preserve that inventory for future orders that may be more valuable to serve locally. We formulate an adversarial online model with multiple FDCs, one regional distribution center (RDC), multi-unit multi-item orders, and item-specific and time-varying variable costs. Our theoretical objective is to characterize when simple, interpretable, and implementable fulfillment rules can perform nearly as well as an optimal clairvoyant planner. We develop a family of Gated Priority-based Greedy policies, derive competitive-ratio guarantees under both time-varying and time-invariant cost structures, and establish matching or near-matching lower bounds for any online algorithm. Numerical experiments show that the proposed policies perform strongly relative to generalized myopic and forecast-based benchmarks. The analysis yields managerial guidance on when local inventory should be protected, when splitting orders is worth the fixed-cost burden, and how the relative magnitudes of fixed and variable costs determine the value of more sophisticated optimization.

The rapid evolution of large language model (LLM)-driven autonomous agents has given rise to OpenClaw, a new class of open-source agent frameworks that operate as continuously running, skill-augmented systems with persistent memory, multi-channel interaction, and high degrees of autonomy. Such capabilities enable OpenClaw agents to autonomously execute complex, multi-step tasks and interact seamlessly with external applications, but simultaneously introduce a substantially enlarged attack surface. In particular, the combination of high-privilege operations and persistent memory exposes OpenClaw agents to various emerging threats, including skill poisoning, cognitive manipulation, multi-agent cascading failures, and supply-chain vulnerabilities. In this survey, we present a comprehensive study of the security landscape of OpenClaw agents. We first examine the general architecture and key characteristics that distinguish OpenClaw agents from traditional AI agent systems. We categorize existing security and privacy threats into a layered framework and analyze how vulnerabilities arise during agent reasoning, action execution, and external interaction. Representative defense mechanisms are also reviewed to draw the current defense landscape. Finally, several unresolved issues related to the reliability and trustworthiness of OpenClaw ecosystems are discussed.

Ethical constraints on open-weight AI models are both a reflection of societal concerns and a foundation for AI governance policy. They are expected to propagate to downstream derivatives while implemented as voluntary metadata disclosures that must be restated at each generation of reuse. We audit 2,142,823 model repositories on Hugging Face Hub to test whether this disclosure-based governance infrastructure can sustain traceability across deep model lineages. Restriction evidence decays with a half-life of 1.31 derivation steps ($R^2$=0.98), and beyond seven downstream generations at least 80% of descendant models lack sufficient public evidence for a governance determination, a depth boundary we formalize as the governance horizon. Platform-level interventions to restore missing licence metadata reveal that policy design (not enforcement alone) is the binding factor: inheritance-only designs require near-complete enforcement to move the horizon, whereas a mandatory-declaration design that explicitly resolves orphan lineage components shifts the horizon already at moderate enforcement. The structural bottleneck is lineages with no inheritable upstream intent: such orphan components remain undecidable under any inheritance-only policy regardless of enforcement rate, and unresolved upstream nodes additionally create direct downstream undecidability bottlenecks that inheritance rules alone cannot recover. Comparison with PyPI, where governance signals are carried by explicit machine-readable declarations, corroborates that the collapse is topology-specific to open-weight derivation rather than inherent to open ecosystems. These results establish that disclosure-based governance has a shallow, structurally determined reach in open-weight AI, and that achieving deep supply-chain accountability requires provenance mechanisms propagating governance signals through derivation itself.

Human Activity Recognition (HAR) has shown remarkable effectiveness in various applications, such as smart healthcare and intelligent manufacturing. However, a major challenge faced by HAR is the distribution shift across different sensor data domains, which often leads to decreased performance when deployed for real-world applications. To address this issue, this paper introduces GenHAR, a novel framework designed to mitigate the domain gap by learning domain-invariant sensor representations. GenHAR aims to enhance the generalization capabilities of HAR on target domains purely with data from the source domain. The key novelty of GenHAR lies in two aspects. Firstly, GenHAR tokenizes sensor data and learns correlations among frequency sensor channel dimensions to improve the robustness of HAR models. Secondly, GenHAR improves the efficiency via selective masking and an efficient attention mechanism. We conduct a systematic analysis of GenHAR by comparing it with state-of-the-art HAR methods on real-world human activity datasets. Results show that GenHAR outperforms state-of-the-art methods by 9.97% in accuracy, and reduces Floating Point Operations by 6.4 times. Moreover, we deploy GenHAR at a leading logistics company in 4 cities, and have detected 2.15 billion real-time activities. We release our code at: https://github.com/Sensor-FoundationModel/GenHAR.

Optimization models developed by operations research (OR) experts are often deployed as decision-support systems in industrial settings. However, real-world environments are dynamic, with evolving business rules and unforeseen perturbations. In such contexts, end users should ideally re-optimize models to recover feasible and implementable solutions, often without access to the original model developers. This paper introduces an agentic re-optimization framework in which a large language model (LLM) acts as an OR expert, dynamically supporting end users through natural-language interaction. The LLM translates user prompts into structured updates of the underlying optimization model, selects suitable re-optimization techniques from an optimization toolbox, and solves the resulting instance to return implementable solutions. The toolbox leverages primal information, including historical solutions, valid inequalities, solver configurations, and metaheuristics, to accelerate re-optimization while preserving solution quality. The proposed framework enables interactive and continuous adaptation of deployed optimization models, reducing dependence on OR experts, and improving the sustainability of decision-support systems. Extensive experiments on two complementary large-scale real-world case studies demonstrate the effectiveness and scalability of the proposed framework. The first considers online supply chain re-optimization, where solutions must be generated rapidly while remaining close to the deployed plan, whereas the second focuses on offline university exam scheduling, where solution quality is prioritized over runtime. Results show that the toolbox-driven architecture significantly improves computational efficiency through primal-based and solver-aware re-optimization techniques, while the structured patch-based updates improve interpretability and traceability of model modifications.

In sales and marketing, customer segmentation is an important tool for formulating strategies for customer treatment and supply chain management. Most segmentation implementations rely on limited criteria, such as recency, frequency, and monetary (RFM) modeling, which often fail to capture complex business interactions. In this work, we design and evaluate a dynamic multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) method in a business-to-business (B2B) manufacturing context by 1) extending RFM to dimensions of stability and growth, 2) integrating an adaptive and analytical hierarchical process to match business objectives, and 3) evaluating multivariate time-series clustering models. We then measure customer stability, tracking between-segment transitions, and volatility over time, and apply a graph-based consensus model to further strengthen the analysis. We test the efficacy of the proposed method using a real-world manufacturing company dataset to segment more than 3,000 B2B customers, showing strong robustness to temporal shifts. The implementation enables domain experts with preferential analytics to devise their strategies, providing effective decision support for B2B customer segmentation.

This paper studies the performance and reliability of autonomous generative AI agents in multi-echelon supply chains using the MIT Beer Game. We examine how model choice, operational guardrails, centralized data sharing, and prompt design affect system performance. In our best-performing configuration, GenAI agents reduce total supply-chain costs by up to 80% relative to human teams. Despite strong average performance, autonomous agents can exhibit substantial run-to-run instability, generating volatile procurement decisions and large tail costs. We characterize this phenomenon as agent bullwhip, the amplification of decision instability in autonomous multi-agent systems. We show that this instability can propagate across echelons and compound over time, even when the underlying demand path is held fixed. We then evaluate two approaches for improving reliability: reinforcement-learning post-training and operational guardrails. Both reduce tail events and mitigate agent bullwhip, but they operate through different mechanisms and require different levels of information and model access. Reinforcement-learning post-training delivers the largest gains in reliability and system performance when system-level feedback is available, while guardrails provide a simple training-free alternative for constraining extreme decisions.

Multi-robot systems are integral to modern logistics, but their capabilities are often limited to tasks executable by individual agents. This paper addresses a critical gap in existing frameworks like Multi-Agent Path Finding (MAPF) and Task Allocation and Path Finding (TAPF), which lack true cooperation for transporting large items that require multiple agents. To this end, we formalise the Cooperative Transportation Task Allocation and Path Finding (CT-TAPF) problem, which integrates team formation, task assignment, and collision-free pathfinding. We present an optimal solver, Cooperative Transportation Task Conflict-Based Search (CT-TCBS), which features a novel Incremental Expansion strategy to tackle the combinatorial explosion inherent in team formation. Recognising the computational cost of optimality, we also develop a family of sub-optimal solvers that employ a global, task-centric perspective, selecting the next task to assign based on a global difficulty metric (Best Task or Worst Task). Our comprehensive empirical evaluation demonstrates three key findings: (1) the incremental expansion strategy significantly outperforms the naive combinatorial approach by successfully pruning the dominant task-allocation search space; (2) we identify a task-conflict expansion dilemma, where sophisticated conflict resolvers effective for large-agent pathfinding subproblems can be detrimental in the integrated CT-TAPF setting; and (3) our proposed sub-optimal solvers establish a new, more efficient frontier on the solution quality-runtime spectrum compared to "nn-" agent-centric baselines. This work provides a foundational framework and a set of effective algorithms for a new, practical class of cooperative multi-agent problems.

Accurate multi-step port-of-call sequence prediction is vital for tactical resource orchestration and logistical efficiency. However, existing methods struggle with unreliable voyage schedules and the inability of AIS data to provide visibility beyond the immediate next port. To address this, this study proposes a Connectivity-Constrained and Retrieval-Enhanced (CCRE) deep learning framework. Inspired by Retrieval-Augmented Generation, CCRE introduces a retrieval-enhanced historical encoder that queries a global maritime database for contextually similar navigational precedents. Transforming these scenarios into candidate-level semantic representations compensates for data sparsity in long-tail routes and resolves routing ambiguities. Integrating this with a Transformer-based trajectory encoder, the architecture executes adaptive "middle fusion" via cross-attention. This dynamically shifts predictive reliance from real-time kinematics for short-term accuracy to historical context for long-term strategic stability. To ensure sequence-level coherence, forecasting is formulated as a joint sequence generation problem using an autoregressive Transformer decoder enriched with Scheduled Sampling and Gumbel-Softmax relaxation. This mitigates error accumulation, while topology masks strictly enforce maritime network reachability to eliminate operationally infeasible routes. Evaluated on a global dataset, CCRE achieves a 72.3% first-destination accuracy and a 61.4% average three-step accuracy, outperforming baselines like CatBoost and LSTM by average margins of 12.6% and 11.3%, respectively. Case studies further corroborate the model's scalability and ability to capture complex routing patterns across diverse international trade lanes.

Multi-agent pathfinding (MAPF) under one-shot planning is a core component of warehouse automation, yet classical formulations typically assume four-connected 2D grids with unit-time moves in four directions. To fill reality gaps while still being trackable with discrete combinatorial search, this work proposes a more practical counterpart tailored to differential-drive AGVs. We term this multi-agent warehouse pathfinding (MAWPF), featured with four constraints: (i) agent actions are restricted to straight motion and in-place rotation; (ii) rotations require multi-step costs; (iii) acceleration and deceleration are considered, and; (iv) follower collisions are prohibited to prevent rear-end crashes. To solve MAWPF efficiently, we adapt representative suboptimal MAPF algorithms-PP, LNS2, PIBT, and LaCAM-and conduct comprehensive benchmarking. Our experiments reveal that PP and LNS2 struggle to solve instances with many agents, while PIBT-based approaches achieve preferable scalability with increased solution cost. We believe that these constitute an important step toward adapting classical gridworld MAPF to operational warehouse setups.

Recently, diffusion-based material transfer methods rely on image fine-tuning or complex architectures with auxiliary networks but face challenges such as text dependency, additional computational costs, and feature misalignment. To address these limitations, we propose \textbf{DealMaTe}, using \underline{\textbf{de}}pth, norm\underline{\textbf{a}}l, and \underline{\textbf{l}}ighting images for \underline{\textbf{ma}}terial \underline{\textbf{t}}ransf\underline{\textbf{e}}r. DealMaTe is a simplified diffusion framework that eliminates text guidance and reference networks. We design a lightweight 3D information injection method, Multi-Dim 3D Shader LoRA, which, without modifying the base model weights, enables compatible control conditions and achieves harmonious and stable results. Additionally, we optimize the attention mechanism with Shader Causal Mutual Attention and key-value (KV) caching to reduce inference latency caused by multiple conditions, improve computational efficiency, and achieve high-quality material transfer results with low architectural complexity. Extensive experiments covering a wide variety of objects and lighting conditions consistently demonstrate that DealMaTe achieves remarkable high-fidelity material transfer under arbitrary input materials. The code is available at https://github.com/haha-lisa/DealMaTe.

Recent diffusion-based methods for material transfer rely on image fine-tuning or complex architectures with assistive networks, but face challenges including text dependency, extra computational costs, and feature misalignment. To address these limitations, we propose MaTe, a streamlined diffusion framework that eliminates textual guidance and reference networks. MaTe integrates input images at the token level, enabling unified processing via multi-modal attention in a shared latent space. This design removes the need for additional adapters, ControlNet, inversion sampling, or model fine-tuning. Extensive experiments demonstrate that MaTe achieves high-quality material generation under a zero-shot, training-free paradigm. It outperforms state-of-the-art methods in both visual quality and efficiency while preserving precise detail alignment, significantly simplifying inference prerequisites.

We study inventory control with decision-dependent censoring, focusing on the censored or repeated newsvendor (R-NV), where each order quantity determines whether demand is fully observed or censored by sales. Existing approaches based on parametric Thompson sampling (TS) can be brittle under prior mismatch, while offline imputation methods need not transfer to online learning. Motivated by the predictive view of decision making, we combine these ideas by taking oracle actions on learned completions of latent demand. We propose in-context generative posterior sampling (ICGPS), which uses modern generative models that are meta-trained offline and deployed online by in-context autoregressive generation. Theoretically, we show that the Bayesian regret of ICGPS with a learned completion kernel is bounded by the Bayesian regret of a TS benchmark with the ideal completion kernel plus a deployment penalty scaling as $\sqrt{T}$ times the square root of the completion mismatch. This yields a plug-in template for operational problems with known TS regret bounds. For R-NV, we derive sublinear Bayesian regret by reducing censored feedback to bandit convex optimization feedback. We also show that, under reasonable coverage and stability assumptions, the online completion mismatch is controlled by the offline censored predictive mismatch, so offline predictive quality transfers to online performance. Practically, we instantiate ICGPS with ChronosFlow, which combines a frozen time-series transformer backbone with a trainable conditional normalizing-flow head for fast censoring-consistent sampling. In benchmark experiments, ChronosFlow-ICGPS matches correctly specified TS, outperforms myopic and UCB-style baselines, and is robust to prior mismatch and distribution shift. ChronosFlow-ICGPS also performs well for the real-world SuperStore dataset, especially under heavy censoring.