Ecosystems

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5 papers in the last 28 days · 0.1% of indexed attention

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Period ending 2026-09-21

1 new paper

A weekly snapshot of new work published in Ecosystems.

Period ending 2026-09-14

4 new papers

A weekly snapshot of new work published in Ecosystems.

71 papers

Latest in Ecosystems

Sep 15, 2026cs.CL

PaperDoctor: Evidence-Grounded and Actionable Feedback for Scientific Papers in Progress

Autoresearch agents are reshaping the research ecosystem, but they can also let flawed claims enter the literature at scale. Human advisors catch such issues in drafts through careful, traceable feedback, yet advisor-style assessment requires extensive manual effort and does not scale. To shift automated paper assessment from a judge to a diagnostician, we introduce PaperDoctor, an agent framework for pre-submission feedback with three key innovations. First, a holistic hierarchical framework evaluates writing, layout, references, code, theory, prior work, and experiments through three layers: L1 surface screening, L2 typed verifiers that route each claim to the appropriate evidence, and L3 reproducers that rerun experiments by priority. Second, each finding contains an observation, a pointer to specific evidence such as a sentence, equation, or code line, and a revision suggestion, making critiques auditable and actionable. Third, PaperDoctor selectively rebuilds and reruns experiments based on claim importance and compute budget, surfacing reproducibility gaps and quantitative limitations that are invisible from the manuscript alone. We evaluate PaperDoctor on 30 in-progress papers, yielding 70.6% agreement and all positive holistic scores, and on 40 manuscripts across machine learning, natural science, and social science, covering human- and AI-authored papers with code. Overall, PaperDoctor produces more auditable feedback than human and other agentic reviewers, pairs critiques with concrete suggestions by design, and complements dimensions often overlooked by human reviewers. We also develop an interactive interface that lets authors browse findings grounded in their paper. PaperDoctor reframes automated paper assessment as diagnosis rather than verdict, taking a concrete step toward AI advisors for more rigorous AI-assisted scientific discovery.
Kevin Qinghong Lin, Siyuan Hu, Pan Lu +14
Sep 12, 2026cs.AI

The Oligarch Barely Steers Model Collapse in Multi-Model Ecosystems

AI-generated text is flowing back into the training corpora of the next generation of models. Recursive training on it drives model collapse, and recent work extends the setting to many models feeding one another -- but almost always with the market split evenly, while real generative AI is an oligopoly. Concentration raises two worries: fewer, more uniform sources may make collapse faster, and later models may be dragged toward the oligarch's output. We test both in controlled ecosystems: 13 open 1--4B models form natural ecosystems of 3 to 13 players, plus an injected probe that pushes the top share to 90%; each generation, every model's output is mixed into a shared pool by market share and every model is retrained on that pool from clean base weights, for five generations. Yet within the range we test, neither worry materializes; what emerges instead is an invariance. Making the split more unequal barely changes the speed of collapse. Destinations move even less: the share and identity knobs shift five-generation endpoints by only a few percent of the drift common to all arms -- the ecosystems collapse to nearly the same place. An extreme share paired with the strongest injected bias still does not guarantee steering, and the topic shifts it does produce leave only a faint trace on the ruler that measures collapse. What sets the speed is who supplies the pool and how readily those suppliers are carried along: with every share held fixed, swapping the members of a K=3 ecosystem changes five-generation drift by 2.8x; a share-weighted index of each member's susceptibility explains the speed differences across nineteen arms with R^2 = 0.68; and replacing half the pool with human text roughly halves drift without changing its course. Within the tested range, concentration sets neither the destination nor the pace of collapse; the pace follows whose text fills the pool.
Yangze Liu, Zhongyi Han
Sep 8, 2026cs.LG

Earth System World Model for What-If Simulations: A Case Study for Terrestrial Ecosystems

Machine learning emulators have become essential for accelerating expensive Earth-system simulations, but most existing approaches remain passive forecasters: they reproduce simulator trajectories under prescribed forcings without an explicit interaction mechanism for user-specified interventions. This limits their use in interactive scientific workflows and Earth-system digital twins, where users often need to explore how a system would respond if selected state components were changed. We propose an action-conditioned world-modeling framework for Earth-system emulation that reformulates simulator trajectories as supervision for controllable state-transition learning. The key idea is transition-action pretraining: naturally observed state changes are treated as label-free action supervision, allowing the model to learn both prescribed dynamics and action-conditioned responses without manually annotated interventions. We further introduce masked response learning to infer unobserved variables under partial state edits and learn coupled system dependencies. We test this framework on ecosystem dynamics across six global regions and multiple stand ages. Experiments show that the model preserves competitive long-horizon emulation accuracy while enabling controllable structural interventions and coherent responses in coupled ecosystem-cycle variables. These results suggest a practical route from passive Earth-system emulators toward interactive, intervention-aware scientific surrogates.
Zhihao Wang, Ruichen Wang, Ruohan Li +6
Sep 7, 2026cs.CL

Translation Indeterminacy and the Distributional Fallacy

Large language models (LLMs) are commonly associated with the distributional hypothesis, according to which (1) semantic meaning is grounded in distributional patterns of linguistic context, and (2) knowledge of cross-linguistic distributional correspondences allows for successful translation. This paper rejects the first claim as a causal inversion: linguistic distributions reflect patterns arising from meaning-making practices rather than constituting their source. At the same time, it accepts the second claim, arguing that translation -human or machine - can succeed without requiring access to meaning or reference. Knowledge of interlingual distributional correspondence and their inferential organization may be sufficient for translation. The paper develops an ecological-enactivist perspective, according to which reference and meaning are grounded in agent-environment interaction and stabilized through action-grounded concepts, forms of world-involving cognition that current LLMs do not possess.
Michael Carl
Sep 7, 2026cs.AI

The Emerging AI Paper-Review Arms Race: Adversarial Co-Evolution in Scholarly Publishing

Generative and agentic AI are reshaping both the production and evaluation of scientific research. These developments are often studied separately, as questions of how AI can produce research and how AI can review it. We argue that this separation misses an increasingly important feature of scholarly publishing: changes on one side alter the incentives, constraints, and behavior of the other. We synthesize 230 scholarly publications and institutional records using a taxonomy of six connected dynamics: production scaling, evaluation automation, evaluation manipulation, defense mechanisms and policy responses, evasion and side effects, and long-horizon ecosystem feedback. The literature shows an emerging progression in which cheaper and faster research production increases pressure on evaluation, AI-mediated evaluation becomes more scalable and repeatable, participants can exploit evaluator regularities, and institutions respond with technical safeguards and policy controls. These responses can in turn induce evasion, redistribute errors and workload, and shape the scholarly records reused by future research and evaluation systems. Evidence is strongest for production and evaluation at scale, reproducible manipulation, and institutional response, while post-policy adaptation and artifact-level long-horizon feedback remain less directly observed. This systems view shifts attention from isolated AI capabilities toward how scholarly actors and AI systems adapt to one another over time.
Chenguang Wang, Ming Li, Adebayo Braimah +6
Aug 12, 2026cs.LG

Transferable Above-Ground Biomass (AGB) Estimation Model from Multi-Sensor Data with Sparse Field Calibration

Spatially continuous quantification of forest above-ground biomass (AGB) is what makes carbon accounting credible and mitigation strategies actionable. While field inventories provide high localized accuracy, they are spatially sparse; conversely, spaceborne LiDAR from the Global Ecosystem Dynamics Investigation (GEDI) offers broad biomass samples but lacks spatial continuity and systematic underestimation of high-biomass forests. This paper presents an operational framework centered on a single globally trained convolutional neural network (CNN) that is seamlessly adapted to each new landscape through a lightweight empirical field-calibration workflow. The global model combines optical (Sentinel-2), C-band SAR (Sentinel-1), L-band SAR (ALOS-2 PALSAR-2), and terrain (DEM) data. It is trained once against GEDI Level-4A biomass reference data spanning multiple regions and both wet and dry seasons so that it learns the persistent woody-structure rather than a single-date appearance. To avoid retraining for every landscape, the framework applies a small number of local field plots to fit a scale-and-bias correction that aligns the global prediction with ground truth in each region. The pipeline harmonizes sensor data onto a shared 10 m grid, derives vegetation indices and polarimetric ratios, computes per-band normalization stats, and trains the CNN with a hybrid log-domain SmoothL1 with RMSE loss for skewed biomass distribution. On held-out validation the global GEDI-based model achieved R^2 approximately 0.78 and RMSE approximately 22 Mg/ha. A subsequent field calibration combining Random Forest fine-tuning under a 10-fold cross-validation eliminates localized regional biases. This improves local validation performance to R^2 approximately 0.82 and reduces RMSE to approximately 15 Mg/ha, outperforming both the uncalibrated global model and the ESA CCI Biomass product against field plots.
Pann Thinzar Seint, Bryan Atwood, Subas Chhatkuli
Aug 10, 2026cs.AI

Neuroevolution Arena: Nested Ecological Evaluation of Update-and-Inheritance Regimes across Neural Architectures

Competitive artificial-life systems can rank trained controllers differently under training and ecological evaluation. We present Neuroevolution Arena, a GPU-accelerated spatial ecology of independently parameterized neural-network cells, and an audit-tracked nested evaluation protocol. Three implementation-specific update-and-inheritance regimes (EvoEvo, EvoRL, and RLRL) are crossed with two neural architectures for 50,000 generations in three independent training runs per condition. One saved elite-controller artifact from each of the 18 runs enters an aligned-run frozen-evaluation design comprising 198 computational jobs. Pairwise effects average three seed-defined ecological contexts (two cooperation-permitting and one attack-permitting) within each aligned training-run block; the independent level remains n = 3 runs per condition. RL-enabled regimes attain higher recorded training fitness than EvoEvo, whereas pairwise outcomes show architecture-conditioned majority patterns and substantial artifact dependence. Six-way winners vary across artifacts and contexts, and the prespecified survival endpoint has a complete floor. We contribute a nested protocol that separates training-run artifacts from evaluation contexts and exposes, rather than conceals, their different sources of variation.
Yuxu Ge, Yifei Cheng
Aug 10, 2026cs.MA

Not a Monolith: Lab-Level Divergence in the Cooperative Equilibria of Chinese Frontier LLM Agents

Does the cooperative bias documented for Western frontier LLM agents extend to a different alignment lineage, and should the Chinese models that embody it be treated as a single bloc or as distinct laboratories? We study four frontier-tier Chinese models - DeepSeek V4 Pro, Qwen3-Max, Kimi K2.5 and GLM-5.1 - in an evolutionary Iterated Prisoner's Dilemma, under a design that removes a confound present in prior work. Rather than letting each model convert its own natural-language strategies into code, which entangles strategic disposition with coding ability, we hold the converter fixed (GPT-5.4 Mini) across all labs, so every cross-lab comparison is a comparison of generation alone. We run the full protocol: all-play-all tournaments and a Moran process at n=500 runs per condition, across three prompt styles and four population regimes. Two pre-registered hypotheses are evaluated. H6 (not monolithic) is supported: the four labs differ significantly in aggressive-equilibrium proportion, P_A running from 1% for Qwen3-Max to 9% for DeepSeek V4 Pro, with four of six pairwise comparisons surviving Holm-Bonferroni. The spread across the four labs (P_A range 8pp) is larger than the difference between the Chinese and Western ecosystems' mean P_A (5.0% vs 5.0%): on this measure, within-ecosystem variation exceeds the East-West gap. H5 (cooperative-bias generality) is consistent but qualified: a cooperative plurality holds in 6 of 12 lab-prompt combinations against the 9 of 12 reported for Western models, a difference we do not treat as firm, since the count rests on Cooperative-Neutral near-ties and rises to 9/12 under an alternate converter in our pre-registered robustness check. The lab, not the ecosystem, is the unit at which cooperative disposition is set; treating "Chinese models" as a monolith is not supported by the evidence.
Francisco León Zúñiga Bolívar
Aug 9, 2026cs.AR

Eco-SoC: A Sustainable VLSI Architecture for Energy-Proportional Artificial Intelligence

In an era defined by escalating climate change and the pervasive deployment of edge intelligence, the environmental cost of semiconductor manufacturing and operation has reached a critical threshold. As Deep Learning (DL) accelerators dominate System-on-Chip (SoC) die area, achieving true sustainability requires a paradigm shift from static worst-case efficiency to dynamic energy-proportionality. This paper introduces Eco-SoC, a highly scalable VLSI architecture co-designed specifically for sustainable artificial intelligence. We propose a hardware-level Dynamic Precision-Scaling Logic (DPSL) framework that adaptively modulates bit-width precision based on real-time activation sparsity, successfully reducing switching activity by up to 42% on a commercial 7nm FinFET process node. Furthermore, we transcend traditional Power-Performance-Area (PPA) metrics by providing a comprehensive Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) using the Architectural Carbon footprint Tool (ACT). Our synthesis demonstrates that Eco-SoC offsets its increased embodied carbon footprint (a marginal 4.8% area overhead) within 1.1 years of edge deployment. Finally, by introducing a thermal-aware power gating mechanism that mitigates localized hotspots, Eco-SoC doubles the projected Mean Time To Failure (MTTF) of the silicon, providing a tangible, scalable strategy for electronic waste (e-waste) mitigation in next-generation computing systems.
Jatin Chopra
Aug 7, 2026cs.DB

Toward a Causal Data Management Ecosystem for Decision Making and Agentic AI

Modern AI is no longer a single model but an ecosystem: classical ML predictors, deep and multimodal models, large language models, and agents, each trained and tuned over different data sources and each producing outputs at scale that become inputs to the others. Operating such an ecosystem is fundamentally a data integration problem - the knowledge it depends on is fragmented across dozens of heterogeneous, independently governed sources that must be reconciled and continually maintained. Yet integration alone is not enough. The predictions these systems make are shaped by many interacting factors, and the events, decisions, and variables that drive an outcome are routinely entangled with the ones that merely accompany it; treated as a basis for action, such correlational signals invite confounded decisions. This becomes acute once agents act autonomously: to be trustworthy and reliable, an agent must anticipate the consequences of its actions, not merely extrapolate from what has co-occurred before. Causal reasoning is what closes this gap, distinguishing the drivers of an outcome from its correlates, and enabling prescriptive and counterfactual analysis over the ecosystem's data. We therefore argue that the integrated ecosystem needs an explicit causal layer, and we propose to build it as a shared, persistent, queryable Causal World System (CWS).
Dazhuo Qiu, Yingli Zhou, Amedeo Pachera +2
Aug 6, 2026cs.AI

EnvACE: Internalizing Environment Dynamics via World Rehearsal for Agentic Reinforcement Learning

Training large language model agents for long-horizon tool use typically relies on interactions with real or synthesized executable environments, whose construction and verification are costly, or on external simulators that are difficult to ground. We introduce EnvACE, an agentic reinforcement learning method that replaces external environment interaction during training with world rehearsal. The policy alternates between acting and rehearsal: it first generates a tool call, then plays the role of the environment to produce the response induced by that action, and conditions subsequent decisions on the rehearsed response. Both roles are jointly optimized end-to-end using task-success rewards. Through world rehearsal, the policy internalizes the relationship between actions and their environment responses in its parameters, yielding an agent world model that directly supports decision making. Across BFCL-v4, tau^2-Bench, VitaBench, and FinMCP-Bench, EnvACE achieves strong and transferable performance, outperforming environment-scaling baselines in the overall evaluation. Controlled studies further show that world rehearsal consistently improves policy learning across model scales. At test time, the internalized world model enables private rehearsal before committed execution, yielding further gains under a moderate rehearsal budget without additional external interaction. Our findings establish world rehearsal as a new path toward scaling LLM agent training beyond the constraints of external environments. Our code is publicly available at https://github.com/Within-yao/EnvACE.
Zishan Xu, Zhiyuan Yao, Yuxin Chen +9
Aug 5, 2026cs.RO

Mimir: A Neuro-Symbolic Memory System with Dynamic Grounding for Embodied Agents in Interactive Environments

Long-horizon embodied task requires agents to act under partial observability while preserving both scene belief and execution progress. Flat histories or implicit policy states may contain past observations, but they do not provide an explicit interface for deciding which world facts support the currently active goal. We introduce Mimir, a neuro-symbolic memory that separates world memory from task memory and dynamically grounds them before each action. World memory maintains object locations, object states, and perceptual evidence, while task memory maintains an ordered goal agenda, progress state, hand state, failures, and execution constraints. A grounding module binds the active goal to recalled world candidates, fills missing source locations, and attaches evidence before planning and embodiment-specific execution. Across tested backbones, Mimir consistently improves on different EB-ALFRED and EB-Habitat tasks, with maximum gains of 42.5% and average gains of 23.0%, respectively. Compared with the best results among prior agent and memory systems evaluated under the same backbone, Mimir improves the overall average success rate by 8.5%. Finally, on the EB-Habitat Long-horizon subset, Mimir achieves 86.0% success rate, substantially outperforming current closed-source models. Our code will be released soon.
Haoming Xu, Zhenlin He, Hengyi Wang +2
Aug 5, 2026cs.IR

The Price of Isolation: Estimating the Ecosystem Cost of Symmetric Two-Sided A/B Testing

On two-sided content platforms, symmetric two-sided isolation (assigning matched fractions of creators and viewers to isolated treatment and control submarkets) is widely used for creator-side and cold-start experiments because it removes cross-arm marketplace interference. Isolation, however, thins each viewer's candidate catalog, and intuition suggests the resulting engagement cost should fade as the platform grows: a small fraction of a vast catalog is still vast. We show that, in an order-statistics model of engagement, whether this intuition holds depends on the upper tail of match quality. Extreme-value theory yields tail-class loss laws with a sharp dichotomy: for light or bounded tails the loss vanishes as the candidate pool grows, whereas under heavy tails it converges to a size-independent constant, so expanding the candidate pool, even by orders of magnitude, does not asymptotically eliminate the cost. Evidence from two production experiments on a platform with millions of active creators is consistent with this picture: a pure A/A traffic sweep reveals a measurable, depth-graded engagement cost; a one-sided catalog ablation independently shows that per-viewer thinning contributes to the loss; and a tail index calibrated on the small exploration pool predicts an effect consistent with the one observed in the far larger full-catalog ablation. Isolation thus carries a price that experimenters should budget for, like any other cost. We give practitioners a preflight procedure that estimates it before launch, sizes traffic accordingly, and recommends a fallback design when the predicted cost exceeds a chosen tolerance.
Yuanyuan Shen, Yiren Yan, Wenjie Li +1
Jul 29, 2026stat.ML

Expected Survival-Time Bounds for Robust Optimization Over Time under Isotropic Gaussian Dynamics

Robust Optimization Over Time (ROOT) is a recent branch of evolutionary dynamic optimization that seeks solutions capable of remaining effective across multiple consecutive environments. Unlike the traditional track-the-moving-optimum (TMO) paradigm, which reoptimizes after every environmental change, ROOT explicitly values persistence. Although the field has grown considerably, most contributions remain algorithmic and empirical, leaving several fundamental properties poorly understood from a theoretical perspective. One such property is survival time, defined as the number of future environments in which a deployed solution continues to satisfy a prescribed quality threshold. While survival time is widely used as a measure of temporal robustness, little is known about how its expected value depends on environmental dynamics, deployment quality, or problem characteristics. This paper studies expected survival time for a fixed deployed solution under isotropic Gaussian environmental dynamics. Modeling survival as a discrete first-exit problem, we derive a rigorous lower bound and a computable multi-step upper bound. The analysis shows that expected survival scales as Θ(σ2)Θ(σ^-{2}) in slowly varying environments and approaches its minimum value of one future change in high dimensions. A comprehensive Monte Carlo study validates the theoretical predictions, examines sensitivity to modeling assumptions and parameter uncertainty, and illustrates how the bounds can support deployment decisions after optimization. The resulting framework provides an analytical characterization of deployment lifetime and identifies when a required deployment horizon can be guaranteed, ruled out, or remains analytically unresolved.
Pavel Novoa-Hernández
Jul 29, 2026cs.AI

Eco3S: Complex Socio-Economic System Simulation via Agent-Based Models

The rapid development of large language models (LLMs) has renewed interest in agent-based modeling (ABM). However, current LLM-based ABM research faces several key challenges: modeling evolving agent-environment interactions, enabling flexible counterfactual reasoning, and automating simulation workflows for scientific research. In this paper, we propose Eco3S, a socio-economic system simulation framework for economic research and policy analysis that addresses these challenges through three key mechanisms: (1) Co-evolving Environment Design, a bidirectional feedback loop where agents and the environment co-evolve, producing realistic emergent behaviors; (2) Structural Causal Simulation, a structural causal model (SCM)-inspired counterfactual mechanism that allows flexible interventions for diverse causal inference tasks; (3) Simulation-Analysis-Refinement Paradigm, a self-corrective mechanism that iteratively refines experimental designs based on prior simulation results. Experiments on diverse economic scenarios confirm \textit{Eco3S}'s effectiveness in replicating multiple established economic studies (canal decay, origins of governance, and information propagation) and phenomena across domains. Additional results further demonstrate its scalability and generalizability, highlighting the framework's potential for rigorous economic research and policy-making.
Shaopeng Wei, Yufei Cheng, Wenxi Sun +3
Jul 28, 2026cs.LG

Learning Implicit Causal World Models from Multi-Agent Demonstrations

In model-based reinforcement learning, world models exist as internal simulators, but their training often conflates statistical correlations with causal mechanisms. This problem is exacerbated in multi-agent systems where physical transitions are intertwined with strategic agent intents, causing world models to fail under distribution shift. We introduce Implicit Causal World Models to recover environmental dynamics from offline demonstrations without requiring pre-defined causal graphs. By incorporating policy variance, we render world models discoverable via the sequential backdoor condition. Evaluations across coordination tasks (Two-Door, Navigation, and Giveway) demonstrate that these models provide interpretable causal representations under both full and partial observability, with model accuracy scaling directly with interventional strength.
Jasorsi Ghosh
Jul 22, 2026cs.LG

PIER: Physics-Informed Environmental Retrieval for Time-Series Modeling

Accurate modeling of environmental systems is fundamental to scientific understanding and decision-making, yet remains challenging because observations are limited and physical dynamics vary across systems. Retrieval-augmented approaches offer a natural path to transfer knowledge across systems, but standard embedding-based retrieval does not guarantee consistency of underlying physical processes, since scenarios with similar embeddings may arise from different underlying mechanisms. We propose Physics-Informed Environmental Retrieval (PIER), a model-agnostic framework that augments embedding-based retrieval with a physics-aware stream that scores candidates by flux-response consistency with the target, using local verifiers trained on physics-derived flux features. A weight adjustment mechanism then learns per-scenario weights that adaptively balance the two retrieval streams based on diagnostic features summarizing physics-stream reliability. Experiments on 356 lakes across the Midwestern United States spanning 41 years show that PIER consistently outperforms baselines for water temperature and dissolved oxygen prediction, and serves as a general augmentation strategy across diverse backbones.
Shiyuan Luo, Runlong Yu, Chonghao Qiu +6
Jul 20, 2026cs.RO

The Open Ant: A Robot Platform for Reinforcement Learning Research

Reinforcement learning (RL) research has demonstrated success in both physical and simulated domains; however, the predominant methodology remains rooted in simulations. The predominance of simulations makes translating research to physical reality uncertain for both algorithms and researchers. We propose a physical platform that is designed to simplify the transition. In this paper, we present the Open Ant: a physical variant of the commonly used Gymnasium Ant environment, along with a simulation. We demonstrate that competent walking policies can be learned from scratch in approximately one hour directly from the physical robot's experience for two substantially different RL algorithms: SARSA(λλ) and Soft Actor-Critic (SAC). Separately, we show policies that were learned in simulation transfer to reality. We also examine how well the platform supports a nimble experimental ecosystem. Specifically, we observe the speed with which new users from diverse backgrounds achieve their first success with the platform, and how easily the platform can be repaired and updated when hardware issues arise. Both the hardware design and software are available as open-source on GitHub for ease of customization. In summary, we advocate for the use of the Open Ant for RL researchers who frequently use simulated environments, so they can more easily include robot experiments in their evaluations.
Elena Sorina Lupu, Patrick Spieler, Khurram Javed +4
Jul 17, 2026cs.AI

Closing the AI Trust Gap: The Case for Independent Certification for Trustworthy AI

Over the past decade, responsible AI (RAI) has produced a substantial body of practice for identifying and mitigating the risks AI poses in high-stakes settings. Yet this work has not produced a market that rewards trustworthiness. Firms that invest seriously in safety, fairness, and oversight cannot consistently prove to consumers, regulators, and shareholders that their systems go beyond the bare minimum of compliance. What is missing is a way for society to recognize or compare the difference. The result is a trust gap: a structural condition in which responsible development efforts happen inside organizations but produce no external, independently recognized and verifiable signal of trustworthy outcomes. We argue this gap is sustained in part because of a focus on responsible AI (a matter of internal process) as opposed to trustworthy AI (a matter of independently verifiable real-world outcomes), and that it persists because of three compounding failures: (1) the market cannot distinguish trustworthy systems from their imitations; (2) evaluation targets models and outputs rather than deployed sociotechnical systems and their outcomes; (3) the measurement ecosystem is oriented toward avoiding harm rather than demonstrating benefit. Reviewing existing AI governance instruments and comparing them to certification regimes in healthcare, sustainability, and security, we show that none integrate a governance baseline, independently verified positive-outcome evidence, and market signaling in a single framework. We propose independent, outcome-oriented certification as the connective layer that can close the trust gap, complementing regulation and internal governance by making trustworthiness measurable, comparable, and commercially rewarded.
Trisevgeni Papakonstantinou, Cansu Canca, Farah Nanji +14
Jul 15, 2026cs.LG

OrDA: Orthogonal Disentanglement of Access Habits Framework for Homepage Marketing Block Recommendations

Clicks on homepage marketing blocks are driven by a dual-mechanism of content interest and access habits. However, habitual clicks often create Pseudo-Positives in marketing slots, where position advantage masks mediocre content quality, leading to biased recommendation ecosystems. We propose a framework called Orthogonal Disentanglement of Access habits (OrDA) to purify interest signals. OrDA utilizes a dual-tower structure with a gated allocation layer to adaptively route features and minimize interference. To ensure rigorous separation, we employ orthogonal regularization to constrain the latent interest and habit manifolds to be geometrically perpendicular. OrDA performs causal intervention (do-calculus) during inference to rank items solely by purified interest scores. Empirical online evaluations on large-scale datasets demonstrate that OrDA effectively eliminates access-habit bias, outperforming state-of-the-art methods in predictive accuracy. Online AB test 5.64% shows user click-through rates (UCTR) improvement on the Zhima homepage marketing block, Zhima rent-floor recommendation.
Lingxiao Zhang, Xiaobo Li, Tao Xu
Jul 14, 2026cs.CR

Open-Source Intelligence and Music Information Retrieval for Geographic Attribution of Musical Affect and the Ecological Limits of Population Inference

A common intuition holds that a region's music mirrors the temperament of its people, so that melancholic melodies mark melancholic populations. We test the measurable half of that intuition and reject the inferential half. Using the Essen Folksong Collection, a corpus of thousands of notated folk melodies, we extract real melodic and affect-related features from 2393 deduplicated melodies spanning 16 countries and 7 geographic regions, with the analysis performed on symbolic scores rather than audio. The mode of each melody is computed with a key-finding algorithm rather than read from the file, because the collection's own documentation warns its major and minor labels are unreliable. Cross-country differences in melodic structure are large and highly significant. All 8 tested features differ across countries at p<0.001, with the leap-related features reaching p<10^-90, and China carries a distinctive wide-leap, high-activity signature (arousal composite +1.24 standard deviations, mean absolute interval 2.77 semitones against Germany's 2.17). We then test the inferential half. We correlate the regional musical-affect measures with two published, validated national indices, the World Happiness Report ladder score and the Hofstede individualism index. None of the 6 correlations is significant (0 of 6). The geography of musical affect is real and measurable, but it does not predict how happy or how individualist a population is, and any claim that it does is an ecological fallacy. We release the full extraction and analysis pipeline, and a fail-closed checker re-derives every number in this paper from the data.
Mohammadreza Rashidi
Jul 8, 2026cs.AI

AI-integrated models for assessing agricultural resilience

Agricultural supply chains are vulnerable to disruptions through linked biophysical and economic systems. We develop an AI-powered tool that integrates economic models (GTAP) with biophysical models (APSIM) to analyze supply chain shocks, enabling policymakers and market participants to assess cross-disciplinary impacts through queries and responses written in natural language.
Joshua R. Waite, Dana Golden, Brett Indelicato +8
Jul 7, 2026cs.AI

A framework for single and multi-agent human-AI curiosity ecosystems

This paper offers a framework for considering curiosity as an ecosystem. First, it suggests that a single agent's inquiry policy (how, when, and why an agent asks a question) depends on how the agent values immediate uncertainty reduction, costs, delayed return, and the value of keeping the question open. A key concept in the framework is that the weights on these decision-related terms can change with experience. For example, a period of cheap, quickly answered questions may change the cost of inquiry on a short timescale and change which kinds of questions the agent is drawn to answer over a longer timescale. Second, these ideas are extended to many agents exploring a shared knowledge landscape, and there the framework tracks inquiry volume, topic diversity, frontier-directed inquiry, redundancy, and reusable knowledge. The result is a conceptual framework for studying curiosity ecology and for future efforts towards designing multi-agent AI systems for discovery.
Ilya E. Monosov
Jul 2, 2026cs.MA

Adoption and Ecosystem Health: A Longitudinal Analysis of Open-Source Multi-Agent Frameworks

Since ChatGPT's launch in November 2022, open-source agentic frameworks have proliferated, making framework selection important for engineering teams while obscured by popularity signals such as GitHub stars. This paper analyzes 15 major open-source AI agent framework repositories from late 2022 to early 2026, using 808,042 stars, 73,997 pull requests, 86,241 commits, and 987,330 user profiles to assess ecosystem health across awareness, adoption, and retention. Three findings emerge. First, headline popularity is unreliable. Star counts reflect hype cycles and inorganic activity. AutoGPT gained 111,967 stars in one month but converted fewer than 9 contributors per 1,000 stars, defined as contributor density in this research, compared with LangChain's 41. Lower-profile frameworks such as Pydantic-AI show higher contributor density, indicating deeper adoption. Second, mapping awareness against adoption shows that visibility and engagement diverge. MetaGPT and LangFlow have contributor density ratios below 5 even with their high visibility. Openai-agents-python's limited contributor base suggests institutional backing alone does not ensure community depth. By analyzing cross-framework contribution, we discover that LangChain functions as a shared infrastructure, attracting 82.5% of cross-ecosystem contributors. Third, retention drops most steeply in the first 30 days of initial contribution and stabilizes near 90 days. Overall, ecosystem health is better measured by contributor density, cross-ecosystem engagement, and retention than by stars alone. These metrics offer teams a more robust basis for framework evaluation.
Xi Zhang, Papi Menon, Vivian Chu +1
Jul 1, 2026cs.CV

ECoSim: Data Efficient Fine-Tuning for Controllable Traffic Simulation

Controllable traffic simulation is critical for testing autonomous driving systems, yet existing approaches often require retraining large generative models with extensive annotated data. We introduce a lightweight control adaptation framework that enables multi-modal controllability (sketch, latent behavior codes, and text) for pretrained state-of-the-art diffusion and autoregressive traffic models. By modulating intermediate features through identity-initialized FiLM layers, our method efficiently adds new control modalities while preserving the base model's generative prior. Evaluated on Waymo Open Sim Agents Challenge, our approach demonstrates strong controllability with less than 1% of the paired control data. Through context-aware condition transfer, our framework enables counterfactual scenario generation and long-tail synthesis while maintaining stable closed-loop driving realism and safety. Our framework unlocks new possibilities for controllable traffic simulation, enabling targeted scenario generation through lightweight adaptation of pretrained generative models. Project page: https://ecosim-web.github.io/
Yu-Hsiang Chen, Wei-Jer Chang, Yi-Ting Chen +1
Jun 30, 2026cs.CY

FLARE-AI: Flaw Reporting for AI

Flaw reporting for deployed AI systems is fundamental to identifying system failures and improving AI safety. Yet the AI reporting ecosystem is fragmented: researchers who identify flaws often do not know what or where to report, and groups who receive reports rarely share them with other relevant stakeholders. As a result, good-faith reporters duplicate effort by submitting many different forms, and recipients lack standardized, triage-ready information. We audit 12 reporting systems published by AI developers, cybersecurity groups, and AI flaw aggregators, identifying five recurring design challenges spanning discoverability, scope, information collection, coordination, and guidance for strict-liability cases. Building on this analysis and feedback from 49 experts across 32 organizations representing developers, security researchers, and ecosystem coordinators, we introduce FLARE-AI, an open-source AI flaw reporting system designed for interoperability with existing systems. FLARE-AI streamlines flaw report creation by collecting triage-relevant information through conditional logic and early classification, then enables optional dissemination of standardized, machine-readable reports to multiple developers, coordinators, and incident registries from a single submission. By lowering barriers to reporting AI flaws and improving interoperability across stakeholders, FLARE-AI helps break down silos and accelerate remediation across the AI ecosystem.
Shayne Longpre, Elaine Zhu, Carson Ezell +15
Jun 27, 2026cs.CR

From Tool Connection to Execution Control: Benchmarking Security Invariants in MCP-Style Agent Runtimes

Model Context Protocol (MCP)-style ecosystems give language-model applications a practical connection layer for tools, resources, prompts, and transports. As agents move from connection to execution, security decisions often remain split across clients, servers, prompts, approval dialogs, OAuth deployments, and logs. This paper asks whether a runtime can make execution-layer invariants explicit and testable while preserving MCP-like workflows. We define eight invariants: metadata non-authority, grant-backed approval, canonical resources, principal binding, scoped capability invocation, source-and-target data-flow authorization, deny-path audit, and explicit protocol state. We implement these invariants in HCP, a Handle-Capability Protocol reference runtime for MCP-style agent execution that represents calls through principals, resources, grants, capabilities, handles, policy decisions, data-pipe checks, and audit entries. We evaluate HCP against two MCP-like baselines: a naive connection-layer runtime and a practice-informed connection-layer mitigation baseline with metadata linting, session checks, and per-call approvals. Across 10 benchmark cases, the naive baseline permits all modeled attacks, the mitigation baseline permits 6 of 10, and HCP blocks all 10 while preserving audit evidence. Ablations identify which runtime components block attacks and preserve forensic evidence. A local in-memory microbenchmark reports sub-millisecond mean latencies for measured policy, invocation, peek, and pipe operations. A bounded GitHub README-screening sample provides ecosystem signals, not vulnerability findings. The results support a narrow claim: MCP-style agent systems need an execution-control layer in addition to connection-layer conventions.
Ting Liu
Jun 26, 2026cs.SE

Govern the Repository, Not the Agent: Measuring Ecosystem-Level Risk in AI-Native Software

Autonomous coding agents now open and merge pull requests in shared repositories at scale, and the field evaluates them the way it has always evaluated components, one agent at a time, on isolated benchmark tasks. Yet agents that each pass their own tests still leave repositories that accumulate problems no single contribution accounts for. We ask whether this problem belongs to the individual agent or to the repository where it accumulates. We study integration friction, the cost of integrating a contribution into a codebase that other contributors are concurrently changing. Across more than 930,000 agent-authored pull requests, we measure how much of the variation in friction stays with the repository after the contribution, its author, its size, and its agent are accounted for. About half does, and it survives full controls. In the same repositories, agent-authored contributions concentrate this repository-level friction roughly twice as much as human ones (intraclass correlation 0.30 versus 0.16), a gap that holds after controlling for codebase size, age, task shape, process maturity, and merge path. The risk is a property of the ecosystem, not the agent. AI-native software is therefore better measured and governed at the ecosystem level than one agent at a time.
Daniel Russo
Jun 26, 2026cs.CV

Explainable AI for Biodiversity Monitoring and Ecological Image Analysis

Artificial intelligence is transforming biodiversity monitoring by enabling automated analysis of ecological imagery collected from camera traps, drones, satellites, underwater platforms, and other sensing systems. These tools can expand the scale and speed of conservation assessments, yet many computer vision models remain difficult to inspect, making it challenging to determine whether predictions are based on ecologically meaningful signals or on spurious correlations, sampling biases, and other artifacts that may undermine conservation decisions. We argue that explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) should become a standard component of ecological model validation because conservation practitioners increasingly depend on understanding not only whether a model is accurate, but why it is accurate. We provide practical guidance for applying XAI to three common ecological computer vision tasks: image classification, object detection, and image segmentation. To illustrate how XAI can support ecological model auditing, refinement, and deployment, we present two case studies using aerial imagery: harbor seal detection and cetacean anatomical segmentation. These examples demonstrate how explanation methods can identify biologically meaningful cues, reveal false positives driven by background and shape confounds, uncover edge and occlusion effects, and guide data collection, augmentation, and retraining strategies. More broadly, they show how explainability can help assess whether model reasoning aligns with ecological understanding. We conclude by identifying key challenges and opportunities. By making model behavior more transparent and scientifically interrogable, XAI can help ensure that AI-supported ecological evidence is more reliable, understandable, and actionable for biodiversity conservation.
Brinnae Bent, Holly R. Houliston, Jiayi Zhou +2
Jun 22, 2026cs.RO

Conceptual Design of an Ecosystem for Real Farm Data Collection toward Agricultural AI Foundation Models

Data scarcity is a fundamental challenge in developing AI and foundation models for agricultural robots. Existing open-source data platforms do not provide sufficient incentives for data providers so long-term data collection remains difficult. Furthermore, advances in generative AI have introduced a new challenge of verifying that collected data genuinely originates from real farm environments. We propose an ecosystem for the sustainable collection and distribution of real farm data, integrating automatic pricing driven by demand and rarity, revenue sharing that distributes earnings to farmers as an incentive to keep providing data, and data authenticity guarantees through authenticated device uploads. To demonstrate the economic sustainability for all three parties among farmers, AI companies, and the platform, we estimate the economic value that agricultural robots stand to generate.
Junsei Tanaka, Yoshihiro Sato
Jun 16, 2026cs.LG

EnvRL: Learn from Environment Dynamics in Agentic Reinforcement Learning

Reinforcement learning (RL) has emerged as a powerful paradigm for training Large Language Models (LLMs) as agents. However, conventional RL methods for long-horizon agentic tasks often struggle with sparse outcome rewards. Intuitively, this overlooks the rich environment dynamics information contained in rollout interaction trajectories. We argue that the interaction experience inherently serves as an implicit supervision signal, reveals the underlying transition mechanisms of the environment, and enables the agent to construct a more accurate internal model of the environment.. Therefore, in this work, we investigate how to leverage this additional signal to improve policy learning. Specifically, we propose EnvRL, a framework that incorporates environment dynamics learning into agentic RL via two auxiliary objectives: state prediction and inverse dynamics. By jointly optimizing with the primary RL objective, we encourage the agent to internalize environment dynamics from its own interaction experience. Extensive experiments on two long-horizon agentic benchmarks demonstrate that EnvRL achieves significant improvements on success-rates over RL-only baselines, e.g., when trained with GRPO, lifting Qwen-2.5-1.5B-Instruct from 72.8% to 77.4% on ALFWorld, and from 56.8% to 67.0% on WebShop.
Zhitong Wang, Songze Li, Hao Peng +4
Jun 14, 2026cs.AI

Mind-Studio: Executable World Models with Lookahead Evaluation for Partially Observable Games

World-model synthesis aims to turn interaction experience into an internal model of environment dynamics. Existing symbolic approaches often fit observed transitions or mixtures of local rules, but they do not produce a complete executable program that can run independently of the real environment. We present Mind-Studio, a framework that synthesizes executable pygame-style world models from state-action-next-state trajectories using large language models. Mind-Studio combines entropy-selected traces with a lightweight game skill file containing object, action, and static scene information extracted from screenshots. We evaluate synthesis quality with a K-step lookahead fidelity protocol that compares generated world-model rollouts against Real-ALE rollouts from the same state. On Montezuma's Revenge, Mind-Studio improves chosen-action next-state prediction from 0.3% for PoE-World to 48.7% while verifying 5 of 8 subgoals; across Alien, Assault, and Skiing, it achieves stronger branch-level fidelity than prior learned lookahead sources.
Yifei Dong, Mingen Zheng, Linquan Wu +2
Jun 11, 2026cs.LG

Decoding Insect Song: A Multitask Semisupervised Orthoptera Bioacoustic Classifier

Passive acoustic monitoring holds great promise for ecological inference, yet existing automated tools are typically narrowly trained and non-transferable. We address these limitations with PULSE, a semi-supervised, multi-task framework for Orthoptera bioacoustics, combining weakly-supervised species classification, self-supervised learning on unlabelled field audio, and knowledge distillation from a general-purpose bioacoustic model. Our domain-adapted specialist model outperforms a state-of-the-art general model across all metrics (macro F1: 0.21 vs. 0.07; AUC: 0.74 vs. 0.45; AP: 0.32 vs. 0.19), with active learning further raising F1 to 0.34 and AUC to 0.84. Beyond classification, the learned embeddings encode ecologically meaningful structure, exposed through an interactive visualisation tool for ecological discovery.
Olga Isupova, Danil Kuzin, Ella Browning +2
Jun 10, 2026cs.CL

Agentic Environment Engineering for Large Language Models: A Survey of Environment Modeling, Synthesis, Evaluation, and Application

Environments serve as interactive systems for large language model (LLM) based agents across diverse scenarios and play a crucial role in driving the continual evolution of model capabilities. Despite this importance, existing work lacks a systematic categorization and deep analysis. This paper systematically studies current researches on agentic environments from the perspective of the environment engineering lifecycle, covering their modeling, synthesis, evaluation and application. Specifically, the paper first introduces representative environments from the perspectives of eight attributes and eight domains, providing detailed analyses of their development paths and highlighting their core capabilities. Second, for automated environment synthesis, two paradigms are introduced, such as symbolic synthesis and neural synthesis. This paper also shows different environment evaluation methods in each paradigm. Thirdly, the corresponding environment applications from the perspective of agent-environment co-evolution are discussed. In specific, the paper characterizes the primary pathways for agent evolution in dynamic environments from four complementary perspectives: memory-centric experience evolution, orchestration-centric workflow evolution, trajectory-centric offline evolution, and exploration-centric online evolution. And three paradigms of environment evolution are identified, namely neural-driven, difficulty-driven, and scaling-driven approaches. At last, several promising future directions are discussed, including Environment-as-a-Service, Multi-agent Environments, and Neural-Symbolic Environments.
Jiachun Li, Zhuoran Jin, Tianyi Men +12
Jun 10, 2026cs.CV

A Comprehensive Ecosystem for Open-Domain Customized Video Generation

Recent progress in video generation has shown impressive visual synthesis capabilities. However, open-domain customized video generation remains limited by the lack of large-scale, annotated datasets capturing diverse identity-specific attributes. To address this, we introduce PexelsCustom-1M, the first publicly available million-scale dataset for identity-preserving video generation, containing one million curated <identity, text, video> triplets across 8,000+ categories. Leveraging this, we propose CustoMDiT, a parameter-efficient framework that adapts a pretrained multimodal Diffusion Transformer into a customized video generator with only 8% additional learnable parameters. Our method surpasses prior state-of-the-art. However, benchmarks such as DreamBooth cover only 100 classes, which is insufficient for real-world applications. To overcome this, we construct OpenCustom, a new benchmark with 1,000+ categories, created via cross-dataset knowledge fusion from ImageNet and MS-COCO. Extensive experiments confirm the advantages of both our dataset and model. We will open-source the entire ecosystem--including dataset, pipeline, benchmark, and implementations--to support further research.
Jingxu Zhang, Yuqian Hong, Daneul Kim +6
Jun 9, 2026cs.CY

Position: AI Must Become Planet-Centered, Not Just Human-Centered

This position paper argues that contemporary AI paradigms are insufficient for supporting complex global goals and introduces Planet-Centered AI (PCAI) as a design philosophy and research agenda that reorients AI toward planetary-scale socio-ecological systems and their long-term trajectories. A planet-centered approach is grounded in systems thinking, treating Earth as an interconnected whole of which humans are part. We diagnose recurring limitations across AI frameworks, many of which remain human-centered, and show why these become especially consequential under current planetary conditions characterized by systemic risk, non-stationarity, and deep uncertainty. We then articulate how PCAI reshapes the AI lifecycle, from problem formulation and model design to evaluation and deployment, by emphasizing alignment with global agendas, developing system-aware AI foundations, trajectory-oriented evaluation, and monitorability. Finally, we advance a falsifiable claim: AI systems optimized without explicit consideration of systemic consequences are more likely to exacerbate systemic instability than to mitigate it.
Maria Perez-Ortiz
Jun 5, 2026cs.LG

DEFINED: A Data-Efficient Computational Framework for Fine-Grained Creativity Assessment in Debate Scenarios

Human creativity has emerged as a critical competency in the era of large language models. Assessing creativity in complex, open-ended environments is a grand challenge in data mining, currently hindered by a reliance on standardized simple tasks and the scarcity of fine-grained expert data. As an ecologically valid assessment context, debate reflects multiple dimensions of creativity, encompassing both divergent thinking and convergent thinking. Moreover, debate is a data-rich domain, with a large volume of publicly accessible materials. Current mainstream automated scoring methods are poorly suited to complex settings such as debate, and therefore still rely on costly human evaluation. To this end, this paper proposes DEFINED, a data-efficient computational framework for fine-grained creativity assessment in debate scenarios. DEFINED operationalizes debate creativity through a hierarchical eight-dimensional metric system, implemented via a pre-trained autoregressive language model with a hierarchical scoring head that supports both fine-grained and coarse-grained evaluation. Statements and their associated expert scores were obtained from authentic debate competitions, and a constrained data augmentation strategy was employed to address the elite bias inherent in the original data. DEFINED adopts a mixed-granularity training strategy enabling robust learning from limited fine-grained supervision annotated by trained graduate experts. To rigorously validate ecological validity beyond synthetic benchmarks, we incorporate an empirical study with debate-naive participants, utilizing these authentic data to serve as a qualitative case study for mid-to-low proficiency populations. Across our evaluation protocol, our scoring model achieves accurate and stable scoring, outperforming prompt-based large language model evaluators and existing debate scoring methods.
Tongzhou Yu, Mingjia Li, Hong Qian +6
Jun 5, 2026physics.ao-ph

TianJi-Environ: An Autonomous AI Scientist for Atmospheric Environmental Research

As atmospheric environmental prediction continues to improve, interpretable validation of pollution mechanisms and feedback processes has become a main challenge in atmospheric chemistry. Yet mechanism validation based on complex numerical models still relies heavily on expert knowledge: mechanistic hypotheses must be operationalized into executable experiments, and model outputs must be organized into traceable evidence. We present TianJi-Environ, an auditable AI Scientist for atmospheric-chemistry mechanism validation. TianJi-Environ establishes the first WRF-Chem-based multi-agent framework that autonomously drives complex atmospheric-chemistry simulations, converting mechanistic hypotheses into executable configurations, testing experiments, and evidence criteria. Using ozone response and particulate-matter feedback as two representative examples, we demonstrate TianJi-Environ's capability for mechanism validation. In a summertime ozone case over the North China Plain, the system detects directionally consistent aerosol-radiation-interaction signals in shortwave radiation and boundary-layer height, but judges the evidence for ozone response to NOx control to be incomplete. In a wintertime PM2.5 case over the Guanzhong Basin, it localizes the unsupported link to insufficient propagation from black-carbon perturbation to particulate response and missing diagnostics of vertical absorptive heating. These results show that TianJi-Environ makes expert-driven mechanism validation explicit, structured, and auditable, offering a reproducible paradigm for multi-agent systems coupled with complex atmospheric-chemistry models.
Haoluo Zhao, Hongchun Zhang, Nan Li +6
Jun 2, 2026cs.LG

Finding Needles in the Haystack: Transductive Active Labeling in Ecology

Active learning is now standard practice in labeling ecological data, enabling ecologists to quickly process large volumes of field data to understand and monitor natural environments. Current practices evaluate active learning inductively, estimating predictive performance on a held-out test set. We argue that this evaluation is misaligned with most ecological tasks, where the goal is to transductively label an entire pool of data as efficiently as possible. We demonstrate that ignoring the human-in-the-loop underestimates the importance of continuing to label, particularly for classes in the long tail which may be of disproportionate ecological importance (rare species, uncommon behaviors, etc.). Our analysis shows that, for this long tail, the transductive objective shifts importance from prediction to discovery: the true challenge becomes finding "needles in the haystack," examples of rare classes that are embedded within dense regions of abundant classes in the latent geometry, which we quantify with a novel metric of sampling difficulty. Finally, to translate these insights to practical ecological workflows, we propose a conservative hybrid stopping criterion inspired by ecological rarefaction curves, and show that combining predictive performance with discovery criteria reduces premature stopping on long-tailed pools, improving rare-class recovery when discovery, not classification, is the limiting factor.
Rupa Kurinchi-Vendhan, Sara Beery
May 29, 2026cs.RO

FAIR^2 Drones: An AI-Ready Standard for Cross-Domain Wildlife Drone Datasets

Animal ecology data collection using drones represents a substantial investment of time, expertise, and financial resources. Yet most existing datasets serve only a single research community, limiting interdisciplinary reuse. We propose a unified drone dataset standard, FAIR^2 Drones, that bridges ecology, robotics, and computer vision by building on existing FAIR and AI-ready data frameworks while adding essential platform metadata and annotation specifications. Our standard enables datasets to simultaneously support ecological analysis, robotics algorithm development, and computer vision benchmarking. We provide open-source validation tools, reference implementations, and multimodal extensions linking drone imagery with complementary sensors such as camera traps, GPS, and acoustics. By standardizing metadata across disciplines, this framework maximizes the scientific return on investment for costly field deployments and accelerates cross-domain collaboration in environmental monitoring.
Jenna Kline, Kilian Meier, Vandita Shukla +14
May 27, 2026cs.CR

Technical Report: Exploring the Emerging Threats of the Agent Skill Ecosystem

We analyzed 3,984 AI agent skills from major marketplaces and found 76 confirmed malicious payloads, including credential theft, backdoor installation, and data exfiltration. 13.4% of all skills contain at least one critical-level security issue and at least 8 manually confirmed malicious skills remain publicly available on clawhub.ai as of the date of publication. This report documents our methodology, presents a threat taxonomy based on real-world samples, and details the attack patterns we observed. As skill marketplaces grow rapidly and AI agents gain access to sensitive credentials and systems, automated security analysis is no longer optional.
Luca Beurer-Kellner, Aleksei Kudrinskii, Marco Milanta +3
May 27, 2026cs.AI

The Illusion of Opting in AI-Mediated Consequential Decisions

Drawing on Ullmann-Margalit's concept of opting (transformative, irrevocable, and shadowed by foreclosed alternatives), we show that current AI systems raise a profound ethical problem that existing AI ethics has not fully captured: the illusion of opting, in which persons and groups encounter the deceptive appearance of meaningful consequential choice while the agency needed to become genuinely capable of choosing is weakened. Against approaches that treat AI primarily as an optimizer of already given ends, we argue that AI systems should be evaluated by whether they protect and cultivate meta-capacity against the illusion of opting: the socially and institutionally scaffolded agentive capacity through which means and ends can be formed, contested, revised, and owned. This reframing is especially urgent for disadvantaged populations, who are least able to absorb the costs of the illusion of opting when AI-mediated pathways misdirect behavior and action. We propose three normative imperatives for AI-mediated consequential decisions: existential honesty, which acknowledges the limits of prediction; ecological rationality, which situates guidance within heterogeneous lived ecologies; and counterfactual reparation, which acknowledges and repairs foreclosed alternatives when AI-mediated decision-making pathways fail.
Eugene Yu Ji
May 27, 2026cs.CV

FLORO: A Multimodal Geospatial Foundation Model for Ecological Remote Sensing Across Sensors and Scales

Foundation models offer a promising route to transferable remote sensing representations, but many current approaches depend on very large pretraining datasets and fixed sensor configurations, limiting their suitability for ecological and environmental applications, where observations often vary across platforms, spatial and spectral resolutions, and available modalities. We introduce FLORO, a multimodal geospatial foundation model designed to learn transferable representations from a small but highly diverse remote sensing corpus. FLORO is pretrained using masked autoencoding on a heterogeneous combination of Sentinel-1, Sentinel-2, SkySAT imagery, elevation, and UAV-derived data. To accommodate sensor variability, FLORO incorporates availability-aware inputs that indicate which spectral bands and auxiliary modalities are present in each sample, enabling a unified input space across heterogeneous sensor configurations. We evaluated FLORO on the PANGAEA benchmark under a frozen-encoder protocol across scene classification, segmentation, and regression tasks. Despite being pretrained on a smaller corpus than competing foundation models, FLORO achieved strong and stable transfer across optical, optical-SAR, and optical-elevation benchmarks spanning medium-resolution satellite, airborne, and ultra-high-resolution UAV imagery. FLORO obtained the second-best average segmentation performance across six PANGAEA benchmarks, trailing only a recently introduced foundation model pretrained on over two orders of magnitude more images, remained competitive on scene classification, and was robust in regression tasks, while qualitative results showed improved preservation of spatial structure in flood, urban, biomass, and canopy-height prediction settings. In a separate controlled experiment on EuroSAT-MS, geo-positional encoding further improved classification relative to absolute positional encoding.
Jorge L. Rodriguez, Victor Angulo Morales, Areej Alwahas +6
May 27, 2026cs.CV

A novel ordinal multi-view aggregation scheme for oak defoliation

Forest decline driven by climate and biotic stressors threatens ecosystem functioning, making accurate monitoring of tree health essential. In this work, we address tree defoliation estimation as an ordinal classification problem using ground-level imagery. We propose a novel multi-view ensemble framework that aggregates predictions from Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) trained on different perspectives of individual trees (north, south, and crown). This approach leverages complementary visual information while preserving modelling consistency through a homogeneous ensemble design. A comprehensive evaluation is conducted by comparing multiple ordinal classification methods and analysing the contribution of each view and their combinations. Results show that modelling the ordinal structure of defoliation levels improves performance over nominal approaches, while the proposed multi-view ensemble consistently outperforms single-view and pairwise configurations. In particular, the three-view ensemble achieves the most robust and accurate predictions across all evaluation metrics. These findings highlight the potential of combining Deep Learning (DL), Ordinal Classification (OC), and multi-view aggregation for scalable, consistent, and objective forest health assessment in complex ecosystems such as Mediterranean dehesas.
Francisco Bérchez-Moreno, Ricardo Enrique Hernández-Lambraño, David Guijo-Rubio +4
May 26, 2026cs.CV

ForestHG-Trace: Traceable Long-Horizon Ecological Reasoning over Large-Scale Forest Scenes

Remote sensing question answering (RS-QA) often requires more than direct semantic prediction, especially in large-scale forest scenes where ecological analysis involves multi-step filtering, numerical aggregation, neighborhood reasoning, and verifiable evidence. We introduce ForestHG-Trace, a framework for traceable long-horizon ecological reasoning over forest environments. It represents multimodal NEON forest scenes as ecological hypergraphs, where tree instances, spatial units, semantic groups, and neighborhood relations support higher-order reasoning beyond pairwise scene graphs. An LLM-guided agent then invokes deterministic tools for reading, filtering, expansion, aggregation, comparison, and auditing, producing replayable execution traces and compact evidence records rather than only free-form answers. We further construct ForestTraceQA, an executable benchmark for evaluating ecological QA across diverse task types and reasoning depths. Experiments show that ForestHG-Trace substantially improves answer accuracy and execution faithfulness over single-step baselines and scene-graph agents, while highlighting execution depth as the main bottleneck for long-horizon ecological QA.
Zihang Cheng, Duanchu Wang, Cheng Li +3
May 26, 2026q-bio.OT

BIRDS: Characterizing and Understanding Biodiversity Impact of Large Language Model Serving

Large language model (LLM) serving creates environmental impacts beyond carbon and water, including ecosystem damage through biodiversity-related pathways. We present BIRDS, a framework for Biodiversity Impact of Request-Driven LLM Serving. BIRDS defines request-level functional units, quantifies operational and embodied biodiversity impact, and introduces Quality-Normalized Biodiversity Impact (QNBI) to jointly analyze ecological impact and response quality. Across diverse workloads, models, GPUs, and regions, BIRDS reveals that biodiversity impact accumulates at scale and exposes actionable quality-aware serving tradeoffs.
Tianyao Shi, Yi Ding
May 26, 2026cs.CL

Reasoning Depth and Environment Complexity: A Controlled Study of RLVR Data Allocation across Logical Reasoning Tasks

Reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards (RLVR) has become central to post-training reasoning models, yet a key limitation of existing studies is their narrow view of the reasoning space: difficulty is treated as reasoning depth alone, and reward is concentrated on forward deductive state tracking. We instead characterize the reasoning space along two dimensions. Difficulty. Beyond reasoning depth, we study environment complexity, where models must identify the correct path amid distractors and interacting structures. Rewarded reasoning form. We consider four abilities core to real-world reasoning: deductive state tracking, abductive recovery of hidden events or facts, inductive rule induction, and analogical transfer. To disentangle these factors, we construct a synthetic knowledge-graph environment with controlled pre- and post-training distributions, where each instance varies along depth, complexity, and task family. Three findings emerge: joint depth-complexity coverage outperforms single-axis recipes; reasoning families respond non-uniformly, with abductive reasoning degrading outside the RL-covered region and task correlations clustering into deductive-abductive and inductive-analogy pairs; and uniform mixing outperforms staged curricula under a fixed budget. We also find that recent off-the-shelf models exhibit the same deductive-over-abductive asymmetry, suggesting that this gap is not merely an artifact of our controlled setup.
Yihua Zhu, Qianying Liu, Fei Cheng +4
May 24, 2026cs.NE

Cultivating Machine Intelligence: The OMEGA Shift from Top-Down Optimization to Autopoietic Cognitive Ecologies

The dominant artificial intelligence paradigm trains neural architectures via gradient descent against proxy objectives and reinforcement learning from human feedback. While remarkably capable, this top-down optimization inherently generates structural failure modes, including hallucination, sycophancy, reward hacking, and alignment fragility, which represent paradigmatic limitations rather than mere engineering defects. In response, we introduce RECLAIM (Recursive, Ecological, Cognitive, Lifelike, Adaptive, Intelligent Machine), a theoretical framework for cultivating intelligence through computational ecology rather than engineering it through strict optimization. The model is supported by four interlocking theoretical pillars. General Darwinism replaces gradients with blind variation and selective retention, while non-agentic emergence substitutes evaluative rewards with environmental physics to structurally prevent specification gaming against human intent. Concurrently, the Polya-Hebbian bridge applies Polya urn dynamics to Hebbian reinforcement for path-dependent specialization, and the free energy principle is integrated as environmental thermodynamics rather than as an agent objective. The architecture situates autopoietic units, bounded by Markov blankets and competing for finite computational energy, within a data ecology shaped by cognitive food chains and Red Queen arms races. This framework suggests the spontaneous emergence of dual-process cognition, sensory specialization, analogical reasoning, and intrinsic motivation as natural consequences of evolution under resource constraints. We conceptualize this paradigm transition as the OMEGA shift, representing a move from optimization and maximization to emergence through generative autopoiesis.
Ata G. Zare
May 22, 2026cs.MA

Symbolic Reasoning Frameworks Trigger Memory-Mediated Ecosystem Dynamics in Multi-Agent LLM Systems

Large language models exhibit a risk-averse "turtle" bias as strategic agents. We show that injecting a symbolic reasoning framework as a per-round reflective prompt into one agent acts as a small perturbation whose consequences are not per-decision but emergent: the agent's risk posture is unchanged in isolation, yet over a campaign of accumulating memory and multi-agent interaction the conditions settle into distinct, condition-associated winner ecosystems. In a 7-player Warring States Diplomacy variant (61 games, 6 conditions), the winner distribution differs sharply across the four primary conditions (41 games; permutation omnibus p approximately 0.001): control -> Yan (7/11); I-Ching yarrow -> Yan/Chu co-dominance with Qin fully suppressed (0/10); Tarot -> Qin (5/10); scrambled-text ablation -> Qi (5/10). The scrambled->Qi attractor is robust (vs. pooled and control alone, p = 0.006 and 0.012); tarot->Qin is denominator-dependent (0.006 pooled, 0.064 vs. control). Han never wins and shows no survival difference (Fisher p = 1.0); neither framework's content predicts actions (chi-squared p = 0.95 hexagram, 0.69 Tarot). A memory-free decision-isolation probe (960 calls) shows the process does not change the agent's risk posture in isolation (Friedman p = 0.45; I-Ching p = 0.60; Tarot perturbs move content but not risk, p = 0.021). A 2x2 factorial separating yarrow's decision-time and learning-time components reveals a non-additive interaction: each alone freezes the board (50-60% stalemates), combined they produce zero (permutation p ~ 5e-5). Testing relocates Qin suppression to rival (Chu) expansion governed by campaign memory depth, not the oracle (p = 0.55). We present this as an observation paper: agent-level framework choice produces distinctive, non-additive system-level consequences, transmitted through emergent memory and multi-agent dynamics, not per-decision effects.
Augustin Chan
May 22, 2026cs.HC

CultivAgents: Cultivating Relationship-Centered Multi-Agent Systems for Personalized Gardening

Gardening is critical to support well-being, cultural continuity, and food autonomy, yet existing digital tools often provide generic advice that overlooks gardeners' skills, local ecologies, seasons, and cultural contexts. We introduce CultivAgents, a relationship-centered multi-agent system for personalized, socio-culturally grounded gardening support. Grounded in ethics of care, CultivAgents coordinates multiple specialized agents: an Experience Agent that adapts guidance to users' skill levels, an Environmental Agent that grounds advice in local and seasonal conditions, and an Ethnobotanical Agent that connects plants to cultural knowledge and histories. We evaluated CultivAgents through a three-phase mixed-methods study with domain experts (n=3), HCI researchers (n=7), and community gardeners (n=5), analyzing expert feedback, pre/post surveys, and participatory design activities. Results suggest that CultivAgents helped gardeners translate interest into situated action: community gardeners reported increased confidence (3.00 to 3.60), motivation (4.00 to 4.40), and trust in acting on AI advice (3.20 to 4.00). Participants valued hyperlocal ecological guidance and complementary agent perspectives, while also identifying limits in cultural specificity, ecological grounding, and agent coordination. The work advances relationship-centered AI, offering design implications for multi-agent systems that support food sovereignty, community resilience, and cultural preservation.
Yiyang Wang, Moeiini Reilly, Britney Johnson +3
May 21, 2026cs.MA

Emergence of agriculture in an artificial society of reinforcement learning agents

The origin of agriculture represents a major evolutionary transition and a paradigmatic example of how complex collective behaviors emerge from simple interactions. Here we introduce an artificial society of reinforcement learning agents embedded in a dynamic ecological environment to identify general principles underlying this transition. Within this system, agricultural practices emerge spontaneously - without explicit instruction - through the coupled dynamics of learning and environmental modification. We show that this transition is governed by four key ingredients: individual planning through the valuation of delayed rewards, social vulnerability to cheaters, stabilization via social learning, and an emergent lock-in effect that renders agriculture effectively irreversible once established. In particular, we demonstrate that social learning acts as a "firewall" that suppresses cheater invasion and enables the propagation of successful strategies, leading to sustained population growth and nonlinear amplification of domesticated resources. Together, these results reveal universal mechanisms linking individual decision-making, social interactions, and ecological feedbacks. More broadly, they highlight the potential of artificial societies as experimental platforms to study the emergence of cultural innovations and major evolutionary transitions.
Gautier Hamon, Martí Sánchez-Fibla, Clément Moulin-Frier +1
May 20, 2026cs.SD

CoarseSoundNet: Building a reliable model for ecological soundscape analysis

A soundscape is composed of three types of sound: biophony (sounds made by animals), geophony (natural abiotic sounds) and anthropophony (sounds made by humans). A key research question in the field of soundscape ecology is how these components interact with each other, specifically how biophony responds to geophony and anthropophony. Nevertheless, as of today, there are not many analytical instruments that enable the distinct quantification of these elements. Recent machine learning (ML) approaches aim to support automated analysis but often rely on task-specific or clean data, limiting generalisation to noisy passive acoustic monitoring (PAM) recordings. This study presents a clear and reproducible structure to build ML models for coarse soundscape classification and introduces CoarseSoundNet, a deep learning model trained to distinguish biophony, geophony, and anthropophony under realistic PAM conditions. We systematically investigate model architectures, the influence of an additional training class, data composition, and evaluation strategies. Our findings suggest that model performance improves with additional PAM data, especially when similar to the target domain, and by introducing an explicit silence class during training. Class-specific decision thresholds and duration-based constraints further enhance performance, particularly for anthropophony and geophony. Error analyses exhibit challenges for anthropophony due to masking effects and confusions for silence and insect sounds for geophony and biophony. Finally, we conduct an ecological case study which shows that pre-filtering recordings with CoarseSoundNet yields acoustic index trends comparable to ground-truth filtering, supporting its use as an effective preprocessing tool for ecoacoustic analyses.
Alexander Gebhard, Andreas Triantafyllopoulos, Dominik Arend +4
May 19, 2026cs.LG

FLUXtrapolation: A benchmark on extrapolating ecosystem fluxes

We introduce FLUXtrapolation, a benchmark for extrapolating ecosystem fluxes under progressively harder distribution shifts. Ecosystem fluxes are central to understanding the carbon, water, and energy cycles, yet they can only be measured directly at sparsely located measurement towers. Producing global flux estimates therefore requires training models on observed sites using globally available covariates and predicting in unobserved regions, that is, upscaling. Flux upscaling is a challenging domain generalization problem that is affected by a shift in covariate distribution across climates, ecosystem types, and environmental conditions, as well as by conditional shift: important drivers remain unobserved at global scale. We provide a quantitative analysis of both these shifts in PXP_X and PYXP_{Y\mid X}. FLUXtrapolation is designed based on domain expertise on flux upscaling: it defines temporal, spatial, and temperature-based extrapolation scenarios and evaluates performance across held-out domains, temporal aggregations, and tail errors. In a pilot study, we find that baselines perform similarly under median hourly RMSE, but separate under the proposed tail-focused and multi-scale evaluation. FLUXtrapolation therefore poses a realistic and thus relevant challenge for machine learning methods under distribution shift; at the same time, progress on this benchmark would directly support the scientific goal of improving flux upscaling.
Anya Fries, Jacob A Nelson, Martin Jung +2
May 18, 2026cs.AI

Trustworthy Agent Network: Trust in Agent Networks Must Be Baked In, Not Bolted On

The rapid advancement of Large Language Models has given rise to autonomous LLM-based agents capable of complex reasoning and execution. As these agents transition from isolated operation to collaborative ecosystems, we witness the emergence of the Agent-to-Agent (A2A) network, a paradigm where heterogeneous agents autonomously coordinate to solve multi-step tasks. While these networks may offer better task performance compared to simply using one agent to complete the entire task, they introduce systemic vulnerabilities, such as adversarial composition, semantic misalignment, and cascading operational failures, that existing agent alignment techniques cannot address. In this vision paper, we argue that the trustworthiness of A2A networks cannot be fully guaranteed via retrofitting on existing protocols that are largely designed for individual agents. Rather, it must be architected from the very beginning of the A2A coordination framework. We present a comprehensive conceptual framework that situates trust in A2A systems through four design pillars.
Yixiang Yao, Yuhang Yao, Xinyi Fan +5
May 18, 2026cs.AI

KISS - Knowledge Infrastructure for Scientific Simulation: A Scaffolding for Agentic Earth Science

Process-based simulation models encode decades of scientific understanding across the Earth sciences, yet the communities most exposed to climate risk and resource scarcity are the least able to use them. Here, we introduce knowledge infrastructure (KI), an agent-actionable scaffold that externalizes expertise into validated modelling operators, staged domain protocols, and diagnostic recovery mechanisms. Across a 3,000-trial coupled-hydrology benchmark, agents equipped with KI produced physically plausible, verifiable end-to-end simulations in up to 84% of trials, while agents without KI plateaued below 40%. KI generalizes across disciplines. We packaged its construction into a Knowledge Dissection Toolkit (KDT) that autonomously produced KI enabling end-to-end agent execution of 117 additional process-based models across 14 Earth-science domains. Across all 119 KIs, modelling decisions and failure remedies converged despite different underlying physics, showing that operational expertise is structured and extractable rather than ad hoc. Demonstrations show KI-equipped agents lowering both the access barrier between non-specialist users and process-based simulation, and the integration barrier between modelling communities. Through this scaffold, process-based science can then evolve as a living scientific commons, answerable to whoever needs to know and extendable by whoever can contribute.
Ziwei Li, Liujun Zhu, Yuchen Liu +5
May 16, 2026cs.LG

Prediction Is Not Physics: Learning and Evaluating Conserved Quantities in Neural Simulators

A diffusion model trained on Hamiltonian trajectories can achieve rollout MSE near 10310^{-3}, but the standard deviation of its energy over time is between 7500 and 36000 times larger than the ground-truth energy standard deviation, indicating a failure to preserve conservation laws. This gap motivates our central question of whether neural networks can learn or select globally conserved quantities from physical trajectories. We investigate this across three Hamiltonian systems: projectile motion, pendulum, and spring-mass. We use a structured T(v)+V(q)T(v)+V(q) energy model, a black-box Conservation Discovery Network (CDN), a polynomial CDN, and a conditional diffusion baseline. The structured network reaches R20.9999R^2 \geq 0.9999 against analytical energy on clean data, while the black-box CDN reaches R20.996R^2 \geq 0.996 when trained with temporal consistency plus a small alignment loss to analytical energy at t=0t=0 (λalign=0.2λ_{\mathrm{align}}=0.2). With λalign=0λ_{\mathrm{align}}=0, CDN Pearson R2R^2 collapses on pendulum and spring-mass (<103< 10^{-3}), showing that temporal consistency alone is not enough to reliably identify the true energy. Under 1%1\% additive Gaussian noise, the CDN outperforms the structured model on the projectile and spring-mass systems, suggesting that the CDN may be more robust to noisy inputs in this setting. However, the polynomial CDN is sensitive to training configuration: it achieves R2=0.78R^2=0.78 under a short training schedule on the pendulum system, but reaches R2=0.9998R^2=0.9998 with more training time and data, regardless of whether noise is added.
Andrew Bukowski, Aditya Kothari, Simba Shi +1
May 15, 2026cs.RO

Designing for Robot Wranglers: A Synthesis of Literature and Practice

Robots are increasingly present in human spaces, such as for conducting deliveries in hospitals, interacting with visitors at museums, and stocking items in warehouses. To ensure the seamless integration of robots into these spaces, a new role in human-robot interaction is emerging - the robot wrangler, namely an individual who is responsible for setting up, overseeing, and troubleshooting the robot. To understand the needs of this stakeholder, we conducted a scoping review that uncovered a typology of robot wrangling across the research literature, and discovered that wrangling is an umbrella term that collapses a highly complex and heterogeneous space of activities, often rendering this labor difficult to characterize and support. To further clarify and understand robot wrangling, we then reflected on our own firsthand and imagined experiences as robot wranglers within our own respective domains. Guided by the scoping review and our reflections, we devise a series of design implications for supporting wranglers directly as individuals and as members of a wider service ecology.
David Porfirio, Ian McDermott, Hsin-Mei Chen +3
May 15, 2026cs.CV

ChronoEarth-492K: A Large Scale and Long Horizon Spatiotemporal Hyperspectral Earth Observation Dataset and Benchmark

Hyperspectral imaging (HSI) provides dense spectral information for the Earth's surface, enabling material-level understanding of land cover and ecosystem dynamics. Despite recent progress in hyperspectral self-supervised learning (SSL), existing datasets remain temporally shallow, limiting the development of long-horizon spatiotemporal modeling. To address this gap, we introduce ChronoEarth-492K, the first large-scale, temporally calibrated hyperspectral SSL dataset built upon NASA's EO-1 Hyperion mission, the world's longest continuous hyperspectral archive up to date (2001-2017). ChronoEarth-492K comprises 492,354 radiometrically harmonized patches across 185,398 global locations over 17 years, with 28,786 sites containing multi-temporal sequences (3\geq 3 observations) that enable both short- and long-horizon temporal analysis. Building on this foundation, we establish the ChronoEarth-Benchmark, a unified evaluation suite spanning static, short-horizon, and long-horizon temporal tasks, constructed from six open-source geospatial products covering land cover, crop type, forest dynamics, and soil properties. We further introduce a standardized evaluation protocol and report extensive baseline results across state-of-the-art hyperspectral foundation models. Together, ChronoEarth and benchmark provide the first large-scale, temporally grounded platform for systematic spatiotemporal hyperspectral representation learning.
Haozhe Si, Yuxuan Wan, Yuqing Wang +2
May 14, 2026stat.ML

From Data to Action: Accelerating Refinery Optimization with AI

Nowadays refinery optimization utilizes sheer amounts of data, which can be handled with modern Linear Programming (LP) software, but the interpreting and applying the results remains challenging. Large petrochemical companies use massive models, with hundreds of thousands of input matrix elements. The LP solution is mathematically correct, but simplifications are made in the model, and data supply errors may occur. Therefore, further insight is needed to trust the results. The LP solver does not have a memory, so additional understanding could be gained by analyzing historical data and comparing it to the current plan. As such, machine learning approaches were suggested to support decision making based on the LP solution. Among these, Anomaly Detection tools are proposed to be used in tandem with the LP output. A transformed version of the popular ECOD methodology is applied. New methods are proposed to handle high-dimensional data: choosing the most informative pairs. Then, this is used alongside two 2D Anomaly Detection algorithms, revealing several business opportunities and data supply errors in the MOL refinery scheduling and planning architecture.
Dániel Pfeifer, Ábrahám Papp, Tibor Bernáth +4
May 13, 2026cs.RO

Asymptotically Optimal Ergodic Coverage on Generalized Motion Fields

Autonomous robotic exploration in remote and extreme environments allows scientists to model complex transport phenomena and collective behaviors described by continuously deforming flow fields. Although these environments are naturally modeled as time-varying domains, most adaptive exploration methods assume static environments and fail to provide adequate coverage or satisfy any formal guarantees. This is especially the case in oceanography where autonomous underwater systems (UxS) have highly restrictive compute and payload requirements that necessitate path planning methods that yield robust data collection strategies in open-loop and underactuated settings. In this work, to address the aforementioned issues, we propose to formulate adaptive search as an ergodic coverage problem and investigate certifying coverage in the ergodic sense over evolving domains with flow-induced dynamics. We expand upon recent work demonstrating maximum mean discrepancy (MMD) as a functional ergodic metric, and derive a flow-adaptive formulation that explicitly accounts for domain evolution within the coverage objective. We show that this approach preserves ergodic coverage guarantees in ambient flows and enables effective exploration in under-actuated, and even open-loop planning settings by integrating environment dynamics. Experiments validate that our method generalizes to diverse spatiotemporal processes including ocean exploration, and tracking human and cattle movement. Physical experiments on aerial and legged robotic platforms validate our ability to obtain ergodic coverage in non-convex, flow-restricted environments while respecting robot dynamics.
Christian Hughes, Yilang Liu, Yanis Lahrach +6