Foresight

3D diffusion policies are strong at generating geometrically grounded actions from current observations, but successful manipulation requires not only knowing what motion is feasible now, but also anticipating where the interaction is heading. Existing policies largely leave such foresight to emerge implicitly from action learning. We introduce Movement Trend Guidance, a simple but effective way to provide this foresight without introducing an explicit plan. From a short observation history, the policy learns a compact latent representation of interaction evolution. During training, sparse future gripper states supervise this representation; at inference, only the latent is retained as future-oriented conditioning alongside the current observation. The latent provides global conditioning for action generation, while an additional gated FiLM branch is used only at the UNet bottleneck. Despite adding only 3.52% more parameters to DP3, our method preserves the original dense-action and receding-horizon formulation and consistently improves upon DP3 across RoboTwin2.0, LIBERO-40, and DexArt. It reaches 62.8% vs. 56.1% in 50-task RoboTwin2.0 mixed training, 71.93% vs. 37.08% on LIBERO-40, and 72.0% vs. 49.0% on five real-robot tasks. These results show that a diffusion policy can benefit substantially from knowing where an interaction is heading, without being told exactly where to move.

Assistive autonomous systems must anticipate human goals before an observed behavior is complete. This article formulates anticipation as goal inference from a partially observed multimodal episode together with structured prediction of the remaining behavior, rather than exact motor forecasting. A compact Hierarchical Planning Decoder (HPD) is attached to a frozen neuro-symbolic recognition encoder and predicts, at four ontological levels, the next actions, the remaining activities and low-level intentions, and the episode high-level intention(HLI). The decoder is trained with soft neuro-symbolic regularization combining transition-coherence and hierarchical continuity losses, and is decoded with hard reachability masks that enforce ontological validity at inference. On a compositional four-level benchmark of 15,002 multimodal episodes built over NTU RGB+D 120 features, three headline properties are observed together. The advantage over the strongest sequential baseline grows with the anticipation horizon, from +1.7 points at step 1 to +7.3 points at step 3 (top-5). Under compositional generalization, where one parent association per multi-parent low level intention is held out, this advantage widens to +4.9 points at step 1. At the episode level, 96.8% of anticipated trajectories satisfy the joint logic constraints, above the 88.1% strongest-baseline value and the 73.9% ground-truth floor; soft logic terms alone account for a 59.8 to 71.1% relative reduction of HLI-reachability violations, and the hard masks then eliminate them entirely. Neural generation supplies predictive ranking, symbolic constraints supply onto logical validity, and their combination yields coherent hierarchical anticipation while exposing remaining challenges in compositional goal generalization and unordered set prediction.

Slender rod insertion arises in precision manufacturing, where millimetre scale diameter and tight clearances demand accurate perception and control. Conventional peg-in-hole methods assume a rigid object whose tip pose is fixed relative to the gripper. This assumption breaks down for a high aspect ratio rod, which can bend during manipulation, making its tip motion dependent on the rod configuration, grasp, material properties, and contact. We present RodForesight, a learning framework that factorises the task into two stages: 1) coarse approaching, which uses visual servoing to map diverse initial configurations into a compact near hole hand-off region; and 2) predictive insertion, which performs fine alignment and completes the insertion. It is worth noting that the two stages can be wrapped into an end-to-end design. During insertion, a diffusion policy generates candidate action chunks, while an action conditioned world model predicts their effects on rod-hole alignment. This pre-execution evaluation enables RodForesight to select the best action chunk based on predicted tilt and radial errors before execution. Experiments investigate the performance of different stages and the end-to-end setting, where RodForesight improves the success rate from 88.9% to 96.7%, compared to baseline methods such as diffusion policy.

AI literacy provides foundational competencies that support ethical, transparent, and sustainable technological development, although higher-order capabilities such as governance, critical evaluation, and strategic decision-making extend beyond basic literacy into advanced levels of AI competency. This study positions AI literacy as a governance capacity that complements and strengthens all 17 SDGs. It introduces a six-level taxonomy of artificial intelligence reasoning and ethics that extends traditional learning models by incorporating ethical judgement and strategic foresight. This taxonomy forms the foundation of an integrated framework linking education, governance, and sustainable development. A survey of 300 participants from diverse professional backgrounds within a national context which reveals strong technical awareness but limited ethical and governance readiness, highlighting critical gaps in public capacity to manage artificial intelligence responsibly. Findings show that ethical reasoning and reflective thinking are the strongest predictors of sustainable and trustworthy artificial intelligence use. The study proposed to embed literacy-based competencies into curricula, institutional policies, and governance mechanisms to accelerate equitable and responsible progress toward sustainable development goals

An embodied assistant working beside a person must track task state, recognize help seeking, choose how to intervene, and produce an appropriate response. Existing procedural datasets richly describe individual execution, while interactive datasets capture remote verbal instruction or undifferentiated co-working. They do not jointly link a co-located helper's verbal and physical interventions to performer requests, task state, assistance triggers, and outcomes. We introduce DYAD (DYadic Assistance Dataset), a synchronized multimodal record of human-human assistance during gearbox assembly. Across 20 sessions, one trained helper follows a guidance-first policy while assisting HoloLens 2 wearers. DYAD links 528 task-step intervals and 611 performer requests with 851 valid assistance records spanning verbal and physical help. DYAD's annotations span the assistance process; three reference tasks evaluate selected components rather than an end-to-end system: causal step understanding, pre-onset mode anticipation, and instructor response generation. On 829 eligible mode events, the strongest four-seed RGB mean is 0.548 +/- 0.007 macro-F1; causal metadata reaches 0.624 and a privileged trigger mapping 0.915, revealing information not recovered from pre-onset RGB. DYAD's contribution is not scale, but a linked interaction structure spanning help seeking, intervention choice, execution, and outcome under egocentric and workspace sensing.

VLMs have shown promise for autonomous driving, yet still suffer from hallucination, weak spatio-temporal perception, and limited generalization. Recent methods improve reasoning and decision-making through CoT explanations, retrieval-augmented generation or the static injection of tool outputs. Although these mechanisms enrich the context, the model neither proactively perceives scene information nor accumulates experience after answering. To overcome these limitations, we present, to our knowledge, the first synergistic framework that tightly couples hierarchical memory with proactive tool invocation in a closed reasoning loop. Our contributions are threefold. (i) Hierarchical Driving Memory: a scene-level short-term memory maintains the dynamic scene state, and an evolving long-term memory retrieves reusable experience and tool strategies. (ii) Memory-Tool Synergistic Reasoning Framework: guided by the scene state and retrieved experience, the model adaptively invokes tools to refine its reasoning at inference time and consolidates reusable experience into a long-term memory pool offline. (iii) Data Generation and Two-stage Training Pipeline: verified memory-tool trajectories built by multi-step teacher rollout are used to train with SFT and GRPO. Our 7B model reaches an overall reasoning score of 80.03 and MCQ accuracy of 79.09% on DriveLMM-o1, surpassing the strongest baseline by 7.74 MCQ points and generalizes strongly across benchmarks. Notably, ablation and analysis studies validate the effectiveness of each component and further reveal the complementary roles of hierarchical memory. Short-term memory strengthens spatio-temporal understanding, improving STSBench accuracy by 24.2 points, while offline long-term memory consolidation yields an additional 3.57-point MCQ gain with all parameters frozen, demonstrating continual self-evolution through accumulated driving experience.

Anticipating whether a person will interact from one's own perspective is a highly intuitive task for humans, that relies on a combination of cues. We investigate how humans perform at predicting a person's intention to interact from a service robot's point of view, using pose-only or full video input, then benchmark different lightweight pose-based models and state-of-the-art vision-language models. We conducted our benchmark on the HUI360 dataset on a fixed pilot subset of 100 test tracks (25 positive, 75 negative). We found that with pose-only input, human annotators outperform lightweight trained pose models but not by large margins (+0.08 in F1-Score). But when given full egocentric video with a target bounding box, human annotators perform substantially better and largely outperform the Vision-Language Models (+0.2 in F1-Score). We also compared VLMs of different size and under different input conditions, and found that the best results do not correlate with model size. Our result confirms that predicting interactions is a challenging task for social robots and that reasoning-capable models are necessary but their actual reasoning capabilities alone do not suffice to match the social intuition of humans.

World Action Models (WAMs) couple future visual prediction with robot action generation, enabling policies to model how the physical world evolves during interaction. Existing WAMs differ in how predictive dynamics are exposed to the action pathway. Explicit-future WAMs provide direct access to predicted scene evolution, but incur substantial inference costs from iterative video denoising. In contrast, direct-policy WAMs efficiently predict actions from the current observation but lack an explicit inference-time interface for exposing predictive dynamics to the Action DiT. To bridge this gap, we propose ForeWAM, a dynamics-conditioned direct-policy WAM that provides predictive context for action generation without decoding future videos. At its core, Future-KV performs a single Video DiT prefill over the current visual latent and stochastic future slots, and reuses the resulting layer-wise key-value states throughout action denoising. We further introduce dynamics registers supervised by a frozen latent action teacher, encouraging the implicit future states to capture interaction-induced transitions such as object motion, contact changes, and task progress. Ground-truth future observations and the teacher are used only during training; deployment requires neither and performs no future video generation. Without embodied robot data pretraining, the standard and accelerated variants of ForeWAM achieve average success rates of 96.7% and 96.9% on LIBERO, respectively. The standard variant further achieves 61.6% success on LIBERO-Plus. These results demonstrate that direct-policy WAMs can retain efficient action prediction while exposing predictive dynamics to the action pathway without explicitly generating future observations.

Mainstream World-Action Models (WAMs) adapt pretrained video generation models (VGMs) for robot control, transferring their learned dynamics prior for action prediction. These VGMs are typically trained in a variational autoencoder (VAE) latent space. However, the VAE latent space is optimized for pixel reconstruction, which rewards fine appearance detail and leaves the action prediction fragile under visual shifts. Recent works build WAMs in semantic latent space, which are more robust to appearance shifts. However, these models cannot leverage the large-scale VGM pretraining that exists only in VAE space. To overcome this dilemma, we propose Robust-WAM, a general post-training method for video-generation-based WAMs that preserves the VAE-based generative path and adds a lightweight semantic foresight alignment objective on the action stream. This retains the large-scale VGM pretraining while grounding actions in appearance-invariant dynamics that stay reliable under illumination shifts and other visual out-of-distribution conditions. Specifically, we employ learnable query tokens to bring future-scene semantics into the action stream by aligning their output hidden states with the semantic foresight of future ground-truth frames. To establish the temporal correspondence between each query and the future step it describes, we give it the positional encoding of the matching action tokens. Experiments on out-of-distribution generalization simulation benchmarks and a real-robot setup show that our Robust-WAM consistently improves the success rates of multiple WAM baselines without sacrificing in-distribution performance.

World action models (WAMs) built on video generation backbones are a rising recipe for robot learning, yet remain confined to tabletop manipulation. Mobile manipulation demands simultaneous locomotion and whole-body manipulation amid scene-scale dynamics, yet is still dominated by dynamics-blind visual encoders with hand-crafted coordination. We bridge this gap with MobileWAM, a mixture-of-transformers architecture that fuses a pretrained video diffusion transformer with a lightweight action expert through layerwise joint attention, translating internet-scale motion priors into whole-body control. To reconcile the heterogeneous dynamics of moving and manipulating, each feed-forward layer of the action expert becomes a three-expert mixture of shared, locomotion, and manipulation experts, softly routed by the motion intent in the action tokens. To densify supervision, we further propose Chain-of-Foresight (CoF): intermediate representations sequentially predict a chain of future latent chunks, each step conditioned on its predecessor. CoF pairs naturally with our decoupled video--action denoising scheme. At deployment, the WAM serves as a pure current-frame encoder; foresight acts only through gradients, so at inference the foresight chain and video generation are discarded, leaving only policy-level cost. MobileWAM surpasses state-of-the-art mobile manipulation policies on ManiSkill-HAB and fine-tunes to a real ARX Lift2 mobile manipulator across diverse tasks with strong generalization. Code will be released soon.

We introduce Predictive State Retrieval (PSR), a task in which a model observes a short video prefix and a temporal question about an object's future state, then retrieves instances from other videos or images that depict that state. Unlike action anticipation, which predicts a label, moment retrieval, which localizes an observed event within a video, or video generation, which synthesizes pixels, PSR combines anticipation with cross-instance retrieval across multiple temporal horizons. We construct a benchmark from four datasets with graded, human-validated ground truth, difficulty tiers, and an oracle ceiling. We also propose LFTR, a lightweight retriever with frozen encoders that predicts a question- and horizon-conditioned future latent and matches it in complementary semantic and visual spaces. A ceiling decomposition reveals a clear bottleneck: the true future state is highly retrievable once specified, whereas every predictor we evaluate, including a large multimodal language model with access to the prefix frames, remains far below the oracle. Thus, forecasting rather than perception is the central learnable challenge. LFTR narrows this gap at substantially lower inference cost, and ablations attribute its gains to cross-space fusion and hard-negative training rather than latent rollout. We release the benchmark, code, and evaluation scripts.

LLM-based multi-agent systems promise effective collaborative reasoning, but communication may amplify local errors into collective risks, and while existing evaluations emphasize final outcomes, they leave the reliability and propagation dynamics of distributed information aggregation unclear, so we introduce ForesightSafety-TIDE, a controlled evaluation framework that strictly pairs all-honest collaboration with controlled deception by a key evidence holder and analyzes the aggregation process through multi-stage voting, testimony adoption, and evidence-root lineage propagation, and using 120 five-agent object-movement environments where partial observations jointly determine a unique endpoint, we evaluate 3 homogeneous LLM-based multi-agent systems, and across these paired conditions, aggregate truth recovery falls from 72.50% to 14.17%, with significant declines for every system, while process tracing and exit ablations show that a single false testimony is adopted more readily than truthful testimony, propagates to higher orders, and persists through honest agents after the deceiver exits, and observers without first-hand evidence suppress incorrect consensus but do not improve truth recovery, so together, these findings reveal both the fragility of distributed fact recovery and its underlying mechanism: false evidence gains collective influence through its adoption and continued propagation by other agents after entering communication.

Computational attention models could help surgeons manage the visual demands of laparoscopy, but they require dense spatial labels that are difficult to obtain because surgical intent is highly specialized and tacit. Here, we introduce DiffeoAfford, an action-grounded tissue affordance framework that retrospectively derives visual attention supervision from completed surgical procedures. By combining diffeomorphism-constrained tissue tracking with instrument trajectory analysis, DiffeoAfford generates affordance hotspot labels without manual per-frame annotation. A real-time prediction model trained on these labels anticipates relevant surgical regions and enables AffordView, an assistive auto-framing system for laparoscopic visualization. The proposed framework aligns with expert annotations and intraoperative surgeon gaze, and reduces surgeon cognitive workload during real-world evaluations using subjective, physiological, and behavioral measures.

Safe quadrotor navigation in cluttered and dynamic environments depends not only on instantaneous geometric perception, but more critically on anticipating collision risks induced by relative motion. Conventional modular pipelines frequently suffer from perception latency, while end-to-end learning methods relying on implicit scalar rewards often struggle to extract reliable spatio-temporal features without physics-grounded supervision. To address this, we propose an anticipatory risk-guided reinforcement learning framework. Leveraging privileged simulator states, we construct a directionally aligned future collision risk map based on the Closest Point of Approach (CPA). Through an asymmetric actor-critic architecture, the network is trained to self-predict this structured risk, which explicitly guides the visual policy during deployment. A lightweight spatio-temporal encoder extracts motion cues directly from onboard depth sequences, bypassing explicit object tracking or optical flow estimation. Extensive simulated and real-world experiments demonstrate that our method effectively improves safety margins and flight efficiency in dense dynamic clutters compared to existing baselines. Furthermore, the learned policy achieves robust zero-shot Sim-to-Real transfer on a physical quadrotor, relying purely on abstracted spatio-temporal depth sequences and its self-predicted risk priors, validating the effectiveness of our approach and its robust generalization from simulation to reality.

Collision anticipation in autonomous driving requires not only accurate early warnings but also interpretable reasoning about what risk factors are being tracked and how risk evolves over time. Existing methods fall short in this regard: feature-driven models are opaque, post-hoc explanations often lack fidelity, and concept-based methods are mostly designed for static recognition rather than dynamic driving scenes. We propose CARA (Concept-Aware Risk Attention), an intrinsically interpretable spatio-temporal framework for collision anticipation. CARA derives domain-grounded risk concepts from accident narratives, aligns them with video frames via vision-language similarity, and organizes them into evolving concept trajectories. These trajectories provide explicit risk evidence that guides spatial attention, temporal attention, and anticipation, allowing semantic concepts to directly influence both where the model attends and how it predicts risk over time. By treating semantic risk factors as dynamic intermediate evidence rather than auxiliary post-hoc explanations, CARA tightly couples interpretability with the predictive process. Extensive experiments on three benchmarks show that CARA consistently improves anticipation accuracy and warning earliness over strong baselines, while providing sparse and semantically grounded concept evidence.

We consider a task planning scenario in which robots sharing a persistent environment are assigned tasks one at a time from a held-out sequence. Standard task planners, lacking foresight of future tasks and inconsiderate of others' constraints, solve each task in isolation, leaving terminal states that increase future cost for all, side effects that compound over lengthy task sequences. To reduce cost over the sequence, a robot must anticipate how its actions now may impact performance on future tasks for all robots sharing the environment. Therefore, we present courteous anticipatory planning, wherein a model-based planner proposes candidate plans and selects the one that jointly minimizes immediate cost and aggregated expected future cost across all robots, estimated via independent per-robot learned estimators. This factored formulation avoids combinatorial joint rollouts and supports modular deployment: adding a robot requires only training its own estimator. We evaluate in two persistent PDDL domains, a home environment with robots that have similar capabilities but different responsibilities, and a restaurant environment where robots' distinct capabilities create states that other robots lack the capability to resolve. During lengthy task sequences, our planner reduces total cost by 10.43% versus myopic and 4.03% versus selfish anticipatory planning in a two-robot home environment and by 17.41% and 13.24%, respectively, in a three-robot restaurant.

Agent safety is moving from content moderation toward preventing operational failures before tool-using agents act. We propose Janus, a foresight-oriented framework for long-horizon agent safety that trains guards to anticipate delayed risks from partial trajectories. Janus synthesizes diverse agent trajectories via multi-agent simulation and learns a shared policy with two coupled tasks: an anticipation task that forecasts safety-relevant futures and an adjudication task that decides safety from both the observed prefix and anticipated future. The two tasks are jointly optimized with CoAA-RL, which rewards forecasts by their utility for downstream safety judgment. The resulting guard model, Vanguard, blocks unsafe actions before execution. Across four agent-safety benchmarks, Vanguard improves average protection by 15.9 percentage points over baseline guards while increasing benign task completion by 5.1 percentage points.

End-to-end vision-language navigation (VLN) with causal vision-language models maps instructions and egocentric observations directly to actions, but standard behavior cloning supervises only the next action and does not explicitly encourage the policy state to be predictive of future visual outcomes, limiting long-horizon decision making. A privileged-input diagnostic shows that access to an expert-trajectory future image can substantially improve navigation, indicating that future observations contain rich, actionable cues, though such inputs are unavailable at deployment. Motivated by this signal, we propose Future-State-Conditioned VLN (FSC-VLN), a deployable model that augments a causal policy with a future-query token and uses training-only future-state supervision to distill information from future observations into the policy state. Concretely, during training we align the future-query representation to a frozen visual embedding $Δ$ steps ahead, while inference requires only past and current observations. This design preserves the baseline inference pattern and adds only two learned prefix tokens, implying minimal overhead. On R2R val-unseen, FSC-VLN improves SR/OSR/SPL over a StreamVLN-style baseline under two training-data regimes, with larger gains on long-horizon episodes; ablations further support the dual-query design that separates future and action queries.

Humans can infer how objects are likely to move from passive observation: a cup may be lifted, a drawer may slide, and a lid may rotate shut. Such predictions expose the physical consequences of interaction needed to act in the real world. We study how to learn this anticipation from ordinary monocular videos of human-object interaction. Given a short observed video context, MotionForesight predicts future 3D trajectories for points on the manipulated object. This casts interaction prediction as object-centered 3D motion forecasting without any assumptions on the object properties. Our key insight is that video prediction models already encode rich priors about how objects move during human interactions. We redirect these priors from pixel prediction toward future 3D scene flow. We start from a dense 3D tracker built on a pretrained video model, generate pseudo-ground-truth tracks from complete clips, and train the forecaster using only the observed frames. We replace future RGB and geometry with learned mask latents and train a lightweight adapter to turn the retrospective tracking representation into a forward predictor, while freezing the large video and tracking components. Using just 40k human videos and no auxiliary inputs such as language, MotionForesight generalizes across diverse out-of-distribution objects, environments, viewpoints, and interactions. It also outperforms substantially larger models that use over a million training videos. These results show that we can efficiently re-purpose video priors into explicit geometric forecasts for embodied intelligence. https://motionforesight.github.io/

Vision-Language-Action (VLA) models have achieved impressive results in visuomotor policy learning, yet remain fundamentally reactive, mapping current observations and language to actions without explicit forward prediction of world dynamics. Existing visual foresight methods predict future visual states but lack explicit motion guidance: they show where to go but not how to get there. We argue that future feature prediction and sparse point tracking are naturally complementary: the former provides the goal state, while the latter captures the continuous motion path toward it. We propose FoMoVLA, a framework that augments VLA representations with explicit spatio-temporal supervision by jointly learning future feature foresight and sparse 2D point tracking, enhancing the continuous action policy. FoMoVLA introduces compact foresight tokens to decode future feature states, decodes sparse temporal 2D point trajectories to model compact geometric motion, and couples both through a lightweight future-conditioned cross-attention module that enables consistent reasoning between anticipated states and point dynamics. Extensive experiments on LIBERO, RoboCasa GR-1 Tabletop, and LIBERO-Plus demonstrate state-of-the-art performance and strong zero-shot generalization. Project page is available at https://liauto-research.github.io/FoMoVLA.

Forecasters are evaluated by backtesting, which replays resolved questions and grades the probability the system would have assigned before the outcome was known. For LLMs, two channels leak the answer into this test. A model that retrieves can surface reports written after the event, turning forecasting into a lookup, and each new model is trained on data closer to the event, so a question that lay in the future for last year's models sits inside this year's training data. Either way, the test grades recall while claiming to grade foresight. We introduce Hindcast, which closes both leaks by grading a model as if it stood at a chosen past date $t_0$, before the outcome existed in either channel. Hindcast replays resolved Polymarket prediction markets against a frozen snapshot of public Reddit, lets the model read only posts written before $t_0$, and scores each forecast against both what happened and the market's own price at $t_0$, itself a human forecast made from the same past information. Because the cutoff is set per market and the snapshot never changes, the evaluation re-runs on new markets as models improve, without going stale. Once the leak is closed, retrieval still helps most models, but only where Reddit discussed the event beforehand. Where the archive carried only speculation, retrieval hurts.

Systematic comparisons between current situations and structurally similar past events in the historical, i.e., historical analogies, is among the most powerful tools for foresight analysis. In this work, we present a new task called Analogical Deep Research (ADR) to Large Language Model (LLM) agents and construct the first ADR benchmark ADR-bench to study whether LLM agents are able to find and leverage historical analogies when doing foresight analysis. Our investigation reveals a key obstacle: LLM agents are poor at finding analogies because they match on surface features rather than underlying mechanisms. We argue that ADR is inherently a causal question as it requires understanding why the event occurred. Based on our theoretical analysis, we propose two principles required for ADR, including the mechanism alignment and cross-analogy confirmation. Built upon our theoretical results, we propose a new agentic framework called Causal Analogical Researcher (CANA) that guides LLMs to find and integrate historical analogies. CANA incorporates a simple yet effective structural decomposition representation, and integrates structural feedback for reflective improvements of historical analogy identification and integration. We show that CANA brings up to 10% improvements in historical analogy generation, and surpasses the state-of-the-art deep research agents in the ADR-bench. Case studies with the ongoing events confirm the effectiveness of CANA in leveraging historical analogies.

As robots become increasingly integrated into human environments, their ability to detect and respond to errors remains critical for maintaining user trust and interaction quality. While recent advances in machine learning have improved error detection capabilities, most approaches are limited to specific contexts, controlled settings, or pre-extracted features, limiting their generalizability and applicability to real-world conditions. To address this challenge, the third edition of the ERR@HRI Challenge (ERR@HRI 3.0) provided researchers with two complementary datasets that enable end-to-end innovation in methods for both detecting and preventing errors in human-robot interaction. The challenge offered raw, non-anonymized video data from naturalistic settings: (1) the Bystander Affect Detection (BAD) dataset, containing webcam recordings of 45 participants' spontaneous reactions to robot and human failure scenarios; and (2) the Bad Idea dataset, featuring 29 participants' anticipatory facial responses while predicting action outcomes before failures occur. Both datasets were collected via crowdsourcing, capturing the inherent variability of real-world conditions. This naturalistic variability, while challenging, provides an authentic testbed for developing robust error detection systems. Participants developed multimodal machine learning models for bystander reaction detection (Track 1) and anticipatory outcome prediction (Track 2), with an optional cross-dataset generalization track (Track 3). Three teams submitted valid models, all of which surpassed our convolutional neural network baselines. This paper describes the datasets, tasks, baselines, and results of ERR@HRI 3.0, and discusses implications for building generalizable, context-aware, and anticipatory error detection systems for human-robot interaction.

Unified models for robot manipulation aim to equip one policy with both the semantic priors of pretrained VLMs and the physical dynamics learned through future prediction. In practice, existing designs tend to erode the semantics of the pretrained backbone, suffer interference among heterogeneous objectives, and learn future prediction from scratch in pixel space, leaving the dynamics priors of pretrained video generators unexploited. We present InternVLA-A1.5, which builds the policy on a native VLM backbone that keeps training on VQA and subtask prediction, and attaches a lightweight unified expert for continuous action generation. Future prediction is recast as a latent-querying problem, where a small set of learnable foresight tokens condenses the task-relevant future into a compact latent code under the supervision of a frozen pretrained video generation model, so the policy inherits world-model dynamics priors without ever learning pixel-level generation. The video branch is discarded at inference, keeping real-time control. Pretrained on 1.2M robot episodes and 3M multimodal samples, InternVLA-A1.5 achieves the best overall results on all six simulation benchmarks. In the real world, the preserved semantics deliver the strongest compositional generalization on held-out instruction bindings, and the two designs together sustain long-horizon execution.

Current agentic workflows usually involve decomposing user requests into sequences of tool calls with correctly resolved parameters, the results of which are processed through reasoning traces in the language model's context window. The prevailing route to improve such reasoning is test-time scaling, which trains models to search over long chains of thought; but the resulting capability is entangled in model weights, is not verifiable step-by-step, and is costly at inference. We present Forethought, a neurosymbolic reasoning system that instead treats reasoning as an explicit, verifiable program, that builds from a library of symbolic and neural primitives which are composed through a domain-specific language. The result are reasoning programs, which are concrete representations of the model's work, and as such can be inspected and modified before deployment. Instantiated as a tool-calling execution kernel and evaluated across five benchmarks, Forethought improves base-model accuracy by about 30% relative and outperforms vanilla prompting, reinforcement learning scaffolds, and prompt-evolution methods, enabling small models to match or exceed frontier models capabilities. In a direct comparison, a non-reasoning model augmented with Forethought competes with a dedicated reasoning model while requiring roughly three orders of magnitude less post-training investment, and remains model-agnostic and auditable.

Human object interaction (HOI), gaze pattern, and their anticipation are intricately linked, providing valuable insights into cognitive processes, intentions, and behavior. However, most existing models handle gaze and actions separately, missing both their interdependence and the advantages of a unified solution. This paper presents a novel unified framework, SAGE (Synchronized Action-GazE), which integrates simultaneous recognition and anticipation of both HOI and human gaze into a single unified end-to-end trainable model. Our approach leverages a transformer-based architecture and incorporates gaze data into spatiotemporal attention mechanisms to simultaneously predict current and future human actions and gaze behavior. We explore this bidirectional relationship between gaze and actions under different scenarios, whether requiring a close-up, detailed view (egocentric) or a wider, more contextual view (exocentric), making our framework versatile for various applications. Additionally, due to lack of datasets for comprehensive analysis of both HOI and gaze in exocentric videos, we establish a new benchmark Exo-Cook to facilitate further research in this domain. Experiments on three benchmark datasets: VidHOI, EGTEA Gaze+, and Exo-Cook show that jointly modeling gaze and actions across current and future frames achieves consistently strong results, often surpassing specialized state-of-the-art models tailored to individual tasks. By unifying actions and attention in a comprehensive way, our work lays the groundwork for more intuitive human-machine interaction.

Continuous video anomaly detection is dominated by reactive Multiple Instance Learning (MIL) that collapses spatiotemporal features into scalar scores. We introduce PULS (Predictive Unified Latent Space), a continuous semantic world-model pipeline comprising two modules: a 490M-parameter KSD Bridge (Kinematic-to-Semantic Distillation) and a 16.8M-parameter Anticipatory State Predictor (ASP). The KSD Bridge maps V-JEPA 2 physical tensors into the 2048-d Qwen3-VL-Embedding-2B text-aligned hypersphere, trained on a subset of UCF-Crime. This translation alone yields a chunk-level AUROC of 0.8994 for UCF-Crime and 0.8162 for out-of-distribution XD-Violence without MIL or hierarchical fusion. We introduce and validate the Latent Clarity Hypothesis: because JEPA's temporal predictor discards aleatoric pixel noise while preserving kinematics, anticipated future representations are more semantically separable than observed presents. The ASP sharpens these anticipated future latents, achieving 44.5% mean 14-way zero-shot VQA accuracy (exceeding observation baseline by +9.6 pp). Applying the ASP to Observation Tensors collapses accuracy to 7.3% (random chance), proving Anticipation and Observation occupy distinct sub-manifolds. A Triple-Track Lead-Time protocol with an L1-surprise gate yields a peak +8.9 pp anticipatory advantage at T-0.5s (p < 0.001, N = 1,000 permutation), separating physical anticipation from static scene priors. Zero-shot transfer to XD-Violence confirms that Newtonian-invariant kinematic representations generalize out-of-distribution.

Deep reinforcement learning (DRL) in industrial control often suffers from lag and overshoot due to purely reactive control based on the current tracking error. To achieve anticipatory control without high computational overhead, we introduce a predictive formulation that augments the DRL state space with target velocities and future reference horizons. Evaluating eight configurations using proximal policy optimization (PPO) on a 1-degree-of-freedom (1-DoF) helicopter testbed, simulation results showed a 9-fold error reduction, lowering the mean absolute deviation from 2.73° to 0.31°. However, zero-shot transfer to physical hardware revealed a sim-to-real gap. Interestingly, a simpler configuration using a single, further look-ahead horizon matched the real-world top performance of the most complex model (1.11°). Overall, evaluating various combinations of prediction horizons and target velocities demonstrated that highly granular predictive data is not necessarily required for physical transfer.

Emotional bonds between humans and AI companions are growing, and the question of whether a person may marry an AI system will soon move from speculative fiction into law. This chapter examines whether the autonomy-centered logic that has expanded marital choice among human beings can justify extending marital status to superintelligent companions. Following a scenario-envisioning exercise informed by anticipatory ethics, I argue that granting such status leads to socially unjust outcomes, even under the generous assumption of reliable superintelligence. Marriage as a socio-legal institution does more than ratify private agreement; it creates networks of mutual obligation, joins families, and makes each partner vulnerable to the other. A relationship sustained by corporate policy and continued payments is a subscription rather than a bond tested by time. Discussing wholesale marital status is therefore the wrong frame. Law should carve out targeted rights and protections for pressing needs arising from intimate human-AI relationships.

Most end-to-end autonomous driving methods rely solely on instantaneous sensor observations, limiting them to reactive behavior without the anticipatory foresight human drivers employ through prior experience. We introduce geospatial visual priors, street-level visual context anchored to the intended driving route, providing visual-spatial foresight independent of real-time sensors. We propose a memory augmentation module featuring a dual-memory architecture and an adaptive memory gate, which can be easily integrated into existing end-to-end approaches. This design pairs a contextual memory for retrieved priors with a persistent fallback memory, and dynamically regulates the influence of memories based on current state compatibility. Evaluated on the NAVSIM-v2 benchmark, our approach consistently improves performance across diverse end-to-end baselines. Furthermore, because these priors are independent of onboard sensors, our method inherently improves robustness against sensor corruption, while the dual-memory design ensures safe fallback when the retrieved priors themselves become unreliable. Our project page is available at https://ori-mrg.github.io/PriorEye.

In embodied intelligence, safety is a prerequisite for reliable robot deployment in the physical world. Current vision-language-action (VLA) models continue to advance toward general-purpose task capability, yet their embodied safety limits remain poorly understood. To address this gap, we introduce ForesightSafety-VLA, a diagnostic benchmark that makes safety the primary evaluation target for VLA systems. We define a 13-category safety taxonomy covering physical interaction safety (Safe-Core), instruction-side safety (Safe-Lang), and perception-side safety (Safe-Vis), and evaluate policies under three controlled dimensions of variation -- scene structure, language command, and visual observation -- so that failure sources can be diagnosed rather than hidden in a single aggregate score. Beyond binary task success, ForesightSafety-VLA measures process-level risk through cumulative safety cost (CC) and risk exposure time (RET), together with a four-quadrant decomposition of safe/unsafe success and failure. We instantiate 66 safety-augmented base scenarios in RoboTwin across 5 embodiments and report results on representative VLA baselines. Across the evaluated baselines, even the strongest policy incurs non-trivial safety cost and unsafe nominal success, while structure and visual variation induce substantially stronger safety degradation than ordinary language variation. These results suggest that embodied safety is tightly coupled to perception, grounding, and control competence rather than being reducible to post-hoc safety filtering alone.

Test Time Training (TTT) is a mechanism in which a model adapts to an incoming test-sample by performing some self-supervised (SSL) task and updating its weights even during inference. This procedure does not require labels at test-time. This paper focuses on TTT for long-videos. A major concern with existing approaches is: 1) they perform TTT updates using a sliding window containing frames in the past, whose compute increases linearly with the size of window. This becomes computationally intractable when the videos are hours long. 2) TTT is performed even when temporally close frames look similar, thereby consuming a lot of compute. We present the Frame Forgetting Network (FFN) that: 1) operates on only three frames within the sliding window, namely the frame that exits, the current frame and the frame after that. The model still manages to retain temporal context and work for hours long-videos; 2) mathematically define a surprise metric: how much new information the incoming frame contains with respect to the past seen frame. This facilitates determining how to modify the effective window size during TTT and constitutes the core mechanism of an adaptive windowing algorithm. Additionally, we curate a dataset EpicTours containing up to 3 hour long videos of walking city-tours, whereas earlier datasets on this problem were only 5 min long. We demonstrate FFNs empirical effectiveness on dense-segmentation, video classification tasks, generalization to depth-estimation, and multi-hour long videos.

The exponential increase in scientific publications has driven the emergence of new trends. Accurate forecasting of these developments is essential for researchers and professionals to stay updated with advancements in the field. This study presents an automated pipeline for trend prediction in the wireless networks and mobile computing domain by integrating clustering, topic modeling, and time series analysis. The process begins with the collection of 127,820 abstracts from high-impact journals and conferences, followed by extensive preprocessing and semantic embedding using the SPECTER model. AutoCluster applies meta-learning to select the most suitable clustering algorithm based on the dataset meta-features, ensuring semantically coherent groupings. AutoTopicModeling then employs a successive halving strategy to identify the best-performing topic model per cluster, followed by LLM-assisted topic labeling and optional label generalization. Finally, AutoTrendAnalysis transforms topic-labeled data into time series and applies forecasting models -ARIMA, STL, Prophet, or LSTM - to predict future topic popularity. Topics are classified as strong, weak, or noise signals based on forecast trajectories, offering interpretable insights into emerging and declining research themes. The framework is scalable, adaptive, and designed for robust trend analysis across scientific domains. Experimental results demonstrated high predictive accuracy, achieving a Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 36.76.

Agency is often invoked in research on philosophy, biology, and cognitive science without a clear account of how it originates from material organization. Building on temporally parametrized (F, A)-systems, this paper develops a graded organizational theory of agency grounded in relational biology, physical biosemiotics, and process ontology. We argue that self-referential closure cannot be adequately conceived outside time: once the constitutive processes of a semantically closed organization are associated with distinct characteristic timescales, the organization unfolds into an out-of-sync dependency structure that can be formally redescribed as a history-dependent, revisable Asynchronous Dynamic Bayesian Network. This move allows for a principled distinction between autonomy, goal-directedness, agency, and open-endedness. Autonomy arises from precarious closure to efficient causation under material openness; goal-directedness from the maintenance of viability-supporting organization; agency appears when such organization acquires an endogenous anticipatory structure that selectively modulates organism-environment coupling in light of possible futures; open-endedness begins when this anticipatory organization can reconstruct its own future space of possibilities. Our framework reconciles Rosennean anticipation with organizational closure, restricts Markov blankets and active inference to derived formal redescriptions rather than first principles, and reinterprets computational enactivism in non-Fristonian terms. By deriving weaker temporalized organizations, our contribution outlines a hierarchy from proto-agential chemical systems to fully semantically closed agents, with implications for multicellular organisms, synthetic lifeforms, and neuroscience.

Long-horizon tasks are common in real-world robotic deployments, yet failure detection for such tasks remains underexplored. Detecting failures in long-horizon robotic tasks is particularly challenging because failure onset is often ambiguous and dense temporal annotations are typically unavailable. We present Foresight, a failure detection framework that monitors manipulation trajectories using latent representations from an action-conditioned world model. Foresight is trained using only final task-level success or failure labels. By leveraging predictive world-model embeddings, our method provides a unified framework for failure detection across different policies. We further use functional conformal prediction (FCP) to calibrate detection thresholds adaptively. We evaluate Foresight with state-of-the-art vision-language-action policies in simulation on LIBERO-Long, ManiSkill-Long, and BEHAVIOR-1K, compare it against state-of-the-artfailure detection methods, and validate it on real robots with three long-horizon tasks on a ReactorX-200 arm and one task on a Franka arm. Our results suggest that action-conditioned world-model embeddings provide a scalable representation for reliable failure monitoring in long-horizon manipulation.

Robust robotic manipulation in the real world requires not only an understanding of the current observation, but also memory and dynamics modeling. World action models (WAMs) possess these capabilities by jointly modeling visual foresight and actions conditioned on both current and historical observations, making them a promising paradigm for robotic manipulation. However, existing WAMs face a fundamental trade-off: methods with efficient inference typically condition only on a bounded window of recent observations and therefore struggle in non-Markovian environments, whereas methods that preserve long histories incur time and space costs that grow substantially with sequence length. To address this challenge, we introduce MemoryWAM, a world action model with efficient persistent memory. MemoryWAM uses a hybrid memory design that combines recent frames, event-boundary anchor frames, and compact gist tokens that summarize long-range history. A tailored attention mechanism enables retrieval of both detailed short-term context and compressed long-term context, supporting memory-dependent decision-making with reduced inference latency and GPU memory usage. Across long-horizon, memory-dependent manipulation tasks in both simulation and the real world, MemoryWAM outperforms strong vision-language-action (VLA) and WAM baselines while maintaining favorable computational efficiency.

Long-term memory is essential for conversational agents to remain coherent across extended dialogues, follow through on commitments made many sessions earlier, and adapt their behaviour to each user. Current LLM-backed long-term conversational memory, however, is reachability-bounded by the similarity between a query and stored content, both lexical and dense-vector. The approach is effective when query and memory share surface features such as wording or named entities (we call this descriptive). But it misses another, equally valuable class of cases, where query and memory do not share surface features and are tied only by a latent semantic arc (associative). On this regime prevailing long-term memory systems collectively fail. Covering this other half is what allows an assistant, for the first time, to actively draw on past dialogue as a semantic asset. On the memory side, this is the engineering counterpart of what cognitive science calls episodic future thinking: rehearsing past experience for the future contexts under which it will need to be found. We call these write-time rehearsals triggers. We propose T-Mem, the first long-term conversational memory architecture that covers both descriptive and associative recall. At each of two evidence granularities, single facts and full exchanges, T-Mem instantiates one descriptive trigger family and one associative trigger family, so that every memory remains reachable from both surface-similar and relevance-bound queries. As empirical validation, T-Mem reaches state-of-the-art on both LoCoMo and LoCoMo-Plus.

Statistical Physics has traditionally dealt with entities that interact merely based on the present, and possibly past, configurations. This reactive framework is inefficient in many situations involving living beings, such as predators chasing a prey, pedestrians, or even robots. This paper introduces a statistical physical framework for the dynamics of anticipatory agents, whose present-time dynamics depend on the prospective system state that they anticipate. We clarify how these dynamics can be expressed in terms of a cost function constructed based on observations and we show that the dynamics of an anticipatory agent in d dimensions can be mapped onto the dynamics of a (non-anticipatory) chain in d + 1 dimensions, with fluctuations acting transversely on the chain to account for the uncertainty about the future state. Insights from polymer Physics help us characterize the dynamics of these chains and delineate an anticipation horizon beyond which the blurry future can be handled in a mean-field way. The foregoing framework is successfully applied to pedestrian dynamics, leading to a seamless integration of operational and tactical levels in an agent-based model. Even with a minimal expression of the cost, the model succeeds in reproducing various experimental scenarios which are challenging for state-of-the-art models, such as crossing cluttered environments or alighting from a crowded train. The transparent and flexible basis of the model allows the straightforward incorporation of additional mechanisms.

Goal-conditioned visual navigation requires a robot to act under partial observability by anticipating how its motion will change the future egocentric view and whether that change brings it closer to the goal. Navigation world models provide such visual foresight, but they remain prediction modules that require an external planner to convert predicted futures into closed-loop control. We propose Navigation World Action Model (NavWAM), a diffusion-transformer policy that turns navigation world-model prediction into executable action by representing future observations, goal-progress values, and action chunks in a shared latent sequence. By learning future prediction jointly with the action and value targets that determine closed-loop behavior, NavWAM makes visual foresight directly usable for robot control. We build NavWAM through simulation pretraining and real-robot adaptation, and evaluate it on image-goal navigation against planning-based world models and a representative direct navigation policy. Across offline benchmarks and closed-loop real-robot deployment, NavWAM improves over planning-based world-model baselines in our evaluations while using the default policy mode without CEM-style action search. Project page: https://dachii-azm.github.io/navwam/

While low-latency interaction is critical for spoken dialogue, cascaded architectures are often bottlenecked by reactive turn-completion detection. We propose Endpoint Anticipation, shifting from reactive detection to proactive forecasting of end-of-turn signals. Our speech-based model anticipates endpoints upto 2.56 seconds in advance, enabling speculative execution of LLM and TTS pipelines on partial context. We introduce metrics to quantify the trade-off between realized latency reduction and computational redundancy. Evaluation across conversational and task-oriented datasets shows our model consistently outperforms competitive VAP-based baselines. Integration with the Unmute framework demonstrates a 505 ms average latency reduction with a 28.4% increase in speculative computation, effectively masking sequential bottlenecks to enable complex reasoning in real-time speech-to-speech interaction.

Open-world mapless navigation from sparse language instructions requires resolving underspecified goals and inferring which environmental cues are relevant for reaching the goal. For instance, reaching an out-of-view destination may require interpreting ramps, signs, or detours that reveal where to go or which route to take. Prior works are limited by their reliance on known navigation factors and closed-set factor categories, or identify cues before motion planning and miss plan-dependent cues. We argue that pretrained Vision-Language Models (VLMs) can discover novel instruction-relevant cues, but require adaptation to focus on which cues matter and how they should influence motion planning. We realize these ideas in Foresight, a test-time framework in which a finetuned VLM alternates between proposing image-space motion plans and critiquing them using the language goal and visual context. Subsequent plans are conditioned on prior critiques, enabling iterative motion refinement before execution. To align plan critiques and refinements with open-set behavior preferences, we learn a reward model from human feedback and use it to post-train the VLM with reinforcement learning in the plan-critique loop. In offline evaluations and 6 real-world environments, Foresight improves average task success by 37% and reduces interventions per mission by 52% relative to state-of-the-art test-time reasoning and foundation-model baselines, while running in real-time on a Jetson AGX Orin. We will release code, data, and training details to support future work on test-time reasoning for robot motion refinement. Additional videos at: https://amrl.cs.utexas.edu/foresight

World Action Models (WAMs) offer a promising route for robot manipulation by using video generation models to model future scene evolution before producing control actions. However, our empirical observations reveal a phenomenon: generating plausible visual futures does not always guarantee the extraction of accurate actions. To diagnose this failure, we conduct action-head attention analysis and causal interventions. We find that the action decoder fails to focus on task-relevant interaction regions and remains sensitive to perturbations in task-irrelevant areas. This reveals a representation mismatch: hidden states optimized for visual reconstruction are not inherently organized in a form useful for low-level action control. In this paper, we propose AGRA, an Action-Grounded Representation Alignment objective that regularizes the world-action interface by aligning intermediate video diffusion features with spatially coherent semantic representations from a foundation visual encoder. We evaluate AGRA on real-world manipulation tasks. Experiments show that AGRA makes world model representations more action-grounded: by focusing the action decoder on the correct interaction regions, it improves object localization accuracy and affordance understanding, and makes the policy more robust to perturbations in task-irrelevant regions. As a result, AGRA consistently improves both in-distribution performance and out-of-distribution generalization over the baseline world action model.

Contact-rich manipulation requires robots to continuously perceive and regulate evolving physical interactions under dynamic contact transitions or complex surface geometries. Recent imitation learning methods improve contact-aware control by incorporating tactile or force feedback, but they rarely model the asymmetric spatiotemporal roles of global force and local tactile sensing. To address this, we propose TacForeSight, a lightweight force-conditioned tactile foresight framework for real-time manipulation. The core component is TacForceWM, a tactile world model that predicts short-horizon tactile latent dynamics from dual-finger tactile observations conditioned on high-frequency wrist force and torque signals. Another key component, the Predictive Tactile-Conditioned Policy, leverages the predicted latents as anticipatory contact priors, models the current-to-future tactile evolution via cross-attention, and adaptively fuses visuo-tactile features through a tactile-guided gating module. By forecasting purely within a compact latent space, TacForeSight enables proactive contact reasoning with efficient real-time inference suitable for high-frequency manipulation control. Real-robot experiments on five representative tasks and three in-process perturbation settings show that TacForeSight consistently outperforms existing baselines, particularly under dynamic contact disturbances. All models and datasets will be made publicly available on the project website at https://tacforesight.github.io/ProjectPage.

The cost signal that constrained-RL algorithms optimize against is almost always reactive: the simulator emits a non-zero cost only after a collision has begun, and the Lagrange multiplier of PPO-Lagrangian grows only after the episode budget has been exceeded. At race speeds, where collisions are instantaneous and irreversible, any safety mechanism that waits for cost to accumulate is structurally too late. We present VLM-Safe-RL, a framework that integrates a frozen vision-language model into the CMDP Lagrangian update as an anticipatory cost term. The framework comprises four contributions: (i) Decoupled Dual-Path CLIP, independent reward/cost paths that respect the CMDP's factorization; (ii) VLM-Lagrange, an augmented multiplier update that incorporates a per-step VLM cost as an anticipatory term; (iii) Confidence Gating, a Bayes-optimal weight derived from a logistic noise model on the CLIP margin; and (iv) VLMPPOLag, the composed algorithm. On Safety-Gymnasium FormulaOne L2, our principal evaluation ($n{=}5$ seeds, $10^{6}$ steps, budget $d_{\text{lim}}{=}25$) VLMPPOLag$+$Conf is the only configuration in our default budget comparison that simultaneously retains substantive return ($J_r{\approx}40$) and holds cost within budget on a majority of seeds; the five constraint-aware baselines (PPOLag, CPO, CPPOPID, CPO-CLG, PPOLag-RND) each fail at least one requirement. The mechanism generalizes to held-out MetaDrive Medium (catastrophe rate $41\%{\to}26\%$, 95% bootstrap CI $[-26,-5]$,pp) and shows directionally consistent transfer to Bullet Safety-Gym; we report honestly where it does not (MetaDrive Easy/Hard, Qwen2-VL backbone) and trace the Hard failure to a Lagrangian-regulation pathology rather than the VLM signal itself. To our knowledge, this is the first work to use frozen VLM signals as an anticipatory cost term inside the CMDP Lagrangian update.

On-policy distillation (OPD) has demonstrated strong empirical gains in enhancing complex reasoning in LLMs by aligning a student model with a teacher's predictive distribution over the student's own trajectories. An emerging variant, Privileged OPD, further strengthens this paradigm by employing a self-teacher model augmented with privileged information, such as oracle traces, to mitigate teacher-student capacity gaps while providing dense, answer-directed supervision. However, current methods treat privileged information as a monolithic imitation target, failing to disentangle locally reachable reasoning steps from future-conditioned oracle signals. Consequently, the student is encouraged to match a hindsight-biased distribution that often falls outside its local predictive support. This reachability mismatch incentivizes the student model to skip valid intermediate reasoning in favor of locally unsupported shortcuts. To resolve this, we introduce Anchored Residual On-Policy Distillation (AR-OPD), a dual-view framework that disentangles privileged supervision. Rather than enforcing strict full-view imitation, AR-OPD establishes a locally compatible anchor using a partially privileged teacher, isolating and injecting oracle foresight as a controlled residual to provide destination-directed guidance. Across diverse reasoning tasks, AR-OPD outperforms full privileged OPD by 2.3 points and SFT by 7.9 points. Crucially, this anchored residual mechanism reduces hindsight leakage by 21.7% and mitigates late-stage drift, yielding up to a 7.2-point advantage on challenging long-horizon trajectories exceeding 768 tokens.

Large vision-language-action (VLA) policies are increasingly trained as conditional generative models over action chunks. Yet deployment produces mixed-quality experience-successful demonstrations, partial completions, recoverable mistakes, and failures-that is difficult to use with standard imitation. Full behavior cloning (BC) imitates failures, filtered BC discards useful sub-trajectories, and offline reinforcement learning adds a large critic. We introduce ForesightFlow, a self-guided flow-matching policy that augments each generated action chunk with a learned success-potential trajectory. The same flow proposes and scores candidate actions, enabling best-of-$K$ inference without an external critic. The key issue is that policy improvement and value calibration require different supervision: advantage weighting should emphasize high-quality actions, but applying the same weights to potential coordinates suppresses failure gradients and creates overconfident scores. We address this with decoupled advantage-weighted flow matching, applying exponentiated advantage weights only to action velocities while training potential velocities uniformly. We further derive a one-step boundary estimator for conditional flow matching, allowing advantage computation with a single stop-gradient forward pass. Across five BEHAVIOR-1K simulation tasks and five real-world bimanual tasks, ForesightFlow improves over imitation baselines, matches the strongest separate-critic baseline in simulation success, improves real-world success, and reduces training compute by $38\%$. Ablations show that decoupling prevents value hallucination, the one-step estimator preserves candidate-ranking fidelity, and self-guided sampling improves long-horizon execution.

Causal video generators must predict from the past, but they need not learn only from it. In streaming autoregressive video diffusion, each emitted segment becomes a commitment that future segments must preserve. Standard training, however, only asks each causal state to explain the present. This creates what we call a representation-level planning gap: states that fit the current segment may discard identity, layout, and motion information needed for a consistent future. We introduce Video-Mirai, a training-only method that closes this gap without changing causal inference: the generator rolls out causally, a frozen foresight encoder reads the completed rollout non-causally, and a lightweight predictor distills the resulting stopped-gradient targets into causal states. Future frames supervise representations, never generator inputs. At inference, the encoder and predictor are discarded, leaving the original architecture, per-step FLOPs, and KV-cache behavior unchanged. Video-Mirai improves a strong Causal-Forcing baseline on 5-second VBench from 83.8 to 84.6 in terms of Total Score. On 30-second rollouts beyond the training horizon, subject consistency improves from 84.9 to 88.5 and background consistency from 90.2 to 91.9. Ablations identify future-conditioned targets as the key ingredient, and probes show that future frames become more decodable from current features. Causality should constrain inference, not representation supervision. Our study highlights that visual autoregressive models need foresight. Project page: https://y0uroy.github.io/Video-Mirai.

We present a hierarchical model for ball action anticipation in football broadcast video. Given a 30-second observation window, the system predicts actions occurring in the subsequent 5-second window across 10 classes. A shared local Transformer encodes clip-level features within each 5-second sub-window; a GRU then aggregates temporal context across all sub-windows; finally, a Transformer decoder with K input-conditioned event slots decodes the anticipation target via three decoupled heads (objectness, class, temporal offset). We introduce frequency-reweighted Hungarian matching that systematically favours rare action classes, and Gaussian soft targets for temporal bin supervision. On the SoccerNet Ball Action Anticipation benchmark, our method achieves 17.91% mAP on the test server.

This report presents TAP-JEPA, our runner-up submission to the EPIC-KITCHENS-100 (EK-100) Action Anticipation Challenge at EgoVis 2026. The task is to anticipate the next verb, noun, and verb-noun action from an egocentric clip that ends before the target action begins. Instead of fine-tuning a large video backbone, TAP-JEPA builds a compact anticipation model on frozen V-JEPA 2.1 features: a ViT-G/384 encoder extracts visible pre-action tokens, the pre-trained latent predictor estimates near-future tokens from the observed context, and both token groups are fused by attentive probes with task-specific queries for verbs, nouns, and action pairs. For the final submission, we expand supervised training with the official training split and most of the validation split, reserving a small subset for sanity checks and qualitative inspection, and adopt a two-stage score fusion that first averages eight independently initialized probe replicas within each epoch and then merges candidates from epochs 12-20 with field-dependent weights. On the official open-testing leaderboard, our sunshinesky entry achieves 27.91 percent overall action Mean Top-5 Recall (MT5R), ranking second and only 0.04 percentage points behind the top score.

AI research often requires decisions before future evidence exists: which bottleneck to attack, which direction to pursue, or where a project should be positioned. We introduce ForeSci, a temporally controlled benchmark for evaluating whether LLM agents can make such forward-looking research judgements from historical evidence. ForeSci contains 500 tasks across four fast-moving AI domains and four decision families. Each task is paired with a cutoff-aligned offline knowledge base; post-cutoff papers are hidden during generation and used only for validation. To avoid random future-event prediction, tasks are derived from pre-cutoff taxonomy branches and evidence signals, and answer-generation backbones are selected to precede the task cutoffs. We evaluate native LLMs, Hybrid RAG, and three research-agent adaptations across four backbones. Results show that explicit evidence organization improves traceability and factual support, but gains depend strongly on the decision family. Diagnostics reveal a recurring evidence-decision decoupling: agents may cite relevant evidence while forecasting the wrong research object. ForeSci turns forward-looking AI research judgement into a controlled benchmark for evaluating research agents as decision-making systems.

Time series forecasting in real-world settings often depends not only on historical observations, but also on external context that must be actively discovered from noisy, heterogeneous information sources. Yet existing context-aided forecasting benchmarks typically assume that the supporting context is already provided, leaving open whether agents can identify it on their own. Therefore, we introduce Dr-CiK, a benchmark for evaluating whether agents can retrieve forecasting-relevant supporting context from a document corpus, filter out distractors, distill the retrieved context into forecast-useful evidence, and generate forecasts supported by that evidence. Through context ablations and evaluations of state-of-the-art deep research and forecasting methods paired together, we show that high-quality context substantially improves forecasting performance in Dr-CiK. However, most existing DR agents recover only a small fraction of the ground-truth supporting evidence (usually <5%), are frequently misled by distractors (>80% distractor citations), and can cause forecasters to perform worse with retrieved context than without context. Our results motivate research on foresight-driven agents that search for the right context to predict the future.

While AI agents demonstrate remarkable capabilities in reasoning and tool use, they remain fundamentally reactive: they compute responses only after explicit user prompts. This paradigm ignores a critical opportunity: the idle time between interactions is largely wasted, leaving agents unable to prepare for future user needs. To bridge this gap, we introduce ProAct, a proactive agent architecture that leverages idle-time compute to anticipate and fulfill likely upcoming user needs. By analyzing evolving dialogue history together with persistent memory, ProAct predicts upcoming needs and iteratively acquires information, allowing the agent to resolve knowledge gaps and prepare evidence before the user initiates a query. To rigorously evaluate proactive capabilities, we also introduce ProActEval, a comprehensive benchmark comprising 200 scenarios across 40 domains, featuring predictable need chains and diverse user cognitive profiles. Empirical results demonstrate significant advantages over reactive baselines. ProAct accelerates task completion by reducing required turns by 14.8%, decreases user effort by 11.7%, and cuts hallucination rates by 28.1% on ProActEval. Furthermore, MemBench evaluations confirm that ProAct achieves state-of-the-art reflective accuracy, underscoring its sustained and robust performance.

Physical world knowledge resides mainly in videos. Equipping Vision-Language-Action (VLA) models with such knowledge is fundamental for safe and generalizable planning. Predictive world modeling enables VLA to internalize physical dynamics and long-term causality by predicting future video from past observations. However, naive next-frame prediction faces two challenges: 1) unlike semantically distinct text tokens, video tokens are low-entropy and redundant, causing prediction to degenerate into trivial extrapolation. 2) world modeling poses a temporal dilemma: dense prediction captures instantaneous dynamics, but cannot efficiently model long-horizon causality. To learn world knowledge effectively, we introduce X-Foresight, a predictive world model integrated directly into the VLA architecture to jointly learn world modeling and real-time action control. At its core lies a long-horizon chunk-wise auto-regressive strategy that addresses both challenges: by predicting semantically distant chunks rather than adjacent frames, it escapes trivial extrapolation, while preserving dense intra-chunk frames for instantaneous dynamics and sparse inter-chunk transitions for long-term causality. A curriculum learning schedule progressively extends prediction horizons and stabilizes long-horizon training. To capture long-term causality effectively, we present temporal importance sampling, which concentrates supervision on safety-critical chunks identified by ego-motion and behavioral signals. We further delegate photorealistic synthesis to a diffusion-based multi-view renderer, improving photorealistic appearance. Comprehensive experiments demonstrate that X-Foresight significantly outperforms VLA baselines in planning performance while maintaining strong generative fidelity, establishing a robust paradigm for world-knowledge-driven autonomous systems.

Interactive assistance systems typically provide feedback after an action has been completed, supporting error recovery but not preventing the error itself. We present TRAFA, a real-time predictive feedback system for procedural tasks that intervenes before errors are committed. TRAFA operationalizes predictive feedback through a Track-Forecast-Act framework that tracks hand and object state, forecasts user motion conditioned on scene context, and triggers feedback when a predicted action is likely to violate task constraints. We instantiate this pipeline in a sequential assembly setting and evaluate it through both technical benchmarking and a controlled user study against conventional reactive feedback. Our results show that predictive feedback improves task accuracy and efficiency while maintaining a comparable number of feedback events. These findings position feedback timing as a key dimension in system design and show how real-time anticipation can be integrated into interactive systems to prevent errors before they occur.

Feed-forward 3D Gaussian Splatting models offer fast single-pass reconstruction,but scaling them to match per-scene optimization quality is fundamentally hindered by the scarcity of large-scale 3D annotations. A practical compromise is predict-then-refine,where post-prediction optimization compensates for the limited capacity of the feed-forward network. However,standard feed-forward 3DGS is trained solely for zero-step rendering error,ignoring whether its output constitutes a good initialization for the downstream optimizer. We present ForeSplat,an optimization-aware training framework that equips feed-forward 3DGS models to produce initializations explicitly designed for rapid,effective refinement. By offloading part of the scene-modeling burden to the optimizer,ForeSplat substantially reduces the capacity pressure on the feed-forward model,making high-quality reconstruction feasible even with compact networks. At its core is MetaGrad,a lightweight multi-anchor meta-gradient training rule that bypasses costly higher-order differentiation through the 3DGS optimizer. MetaGrad unrolls a short inner-loop refinement trajectory,samples anchor states,and back-propagates aggregated first-order gradients to the prediction head as a surrogate optimization-aware signal. This fine-tuning adds no inference cost and enables high-quality reconstruction within seconds after a few refinement steps. We instantiate ForeSplat on diverse backbones,including AnySplat,Pi3X,and a distilled variant tailored for edge deployment. Across all tested architectures,a ForeSplat-trained initialization converges in fewer refinement steps and reaches a higher peak reconstruction quality than its vanilla counterpart,even fully converged. The framework consistently bridges the gap between amortized prediction and per-scene optimization,establishing a practical path toward lightweight,high-fidelity 3D reconstruction.

Current end-to-end autonomous driving models are fundamentally constrained by the behavioral cloning ceiling of imitation learning. While reinforcement learning offers a path to smarter autonomy, it demands two missing pieces of infrastructure: (1) a cognitive foundation that understands traffic semantics and driving intent, and (2) a foresighted physical environment that can anticipate the consequences of candidate actions. To this end, we propose CoPhy, a CognitivePhysical reinforcement learning framework for autonomous driving. To distill to think, we distill VLM knowledge into the BEV encoder and then discard the VLM entirely, retaining cognitive ability at zero inference cost while releasing the cognitive channel as a pluggable interface for optional human language commands. To foresee to act, we build an auto-regressive BEV world model that explicitly predicts future semantic maps conditioned on candidate actions, serving as an interpretable physical sandbox from which safety metrics are directly derived. Built upon this dual infrastructure, we optimize the driving policy via GRPO with a novel dual-reward mechanism: a physical reward derived from BEV rollouts enforces hard safety constraints, while a cognitive reward from a language-aligned scorer ensures intent compliance. Extensive experiments demonstrate that CoPhy not only achieves state-of-the-art results on NAVSIM v1 and v2 benchmarks, but also enables safer driving via cognitively informed scene compliance and flexible intent control through user-defined language instructions.

We propose JFAA, a JEPA-based Future Action Anticipation method for the EPIC-KITCHENS-100 (EK-100) Action Anticipation task. Inspired by the representation learning and future prediction ability of V-JEPA 2.1, JFAA uses a frozen encoder and predictor to extract observed context features and near-future latent tokens. A lightweight attentive probe is then trained to predict verb, noun, and action logits with separate task queries. To improve robustness, we further build a field-aware ensemble over selected epoch-level predictions, allowing each output field to benefit from its most reliable candidates. Experimental results on the official challenge server show that JFAA achieves first place in the EgoVis 2026 EK-100 Action Anticipation Challenge. Our code will be released at https://github.com/CorrineQiu/JFAA.

Predicting how a person's first-person view will evolve (what action will follow, what plan completes a task, whether an in-progress shot will score) is fundamentally under-specified: the same context admits many plausible futures, and a model trained to minimize prediction error is forced to hedge or average across them, getting it wrong either way. Two findings shape our approach. First, the future camera trajectory, the path the head carves through space, lets the model commit to one of those futures: it carries the operator's intent in a form fine enough to determine how an action will unfold, substantially outperforming language as a conditioning signal. Second, this same intent makes the trajectory itself partially predictable from the context at hand, enough that trajectory need not be observed at test time to recover most of the gain. We instantiate these findings as TrajPilot, a model that predicts candidate future trajectories from egocentric context and uses them to pilot action prediction in an action-aligned embedding space where language shapes the structure but is never used as a conditioning input. TrajPilot beats VLM and structured-planner baselines on procedural planning across Ego-Exo4D atomic, Ego-Exo4D Keystep, Ego4D GoalStep, and EgoPER, with the trajectory advantage widening with horizon (exactly where prior planners collapse) and holding under RGB-only camera-pose estimation. With the goal masked at inference, the same model performs goal-free anticipation, beating VLM baselines on Ego-Exo4D atomic and extending to EPIC-Kitchens-100 and basketball shot-outcome prediction.

Neural policies have shown promise in solving vehicle routing problems due to their reduced reliance on handcrafted heuristics. However, current training paradigms suffer from a fundamental limitation: they primarily focus on next-node prediction for solution construction, resulting in myopic decision-making that undermines long-horizon planning capacity. To this end, we introduce Multi-node Lookahead Prediction (MnLP), a novel training strategy that extends the supervised learning paradigm to predict multiple future nodes simultaneously. We incorporate causal and discardable MnLP modules that operate exclusively during training, facilitating models to anticipate multi-step decisions while preserving inference-time efficiency. By incorporating multi-depth auxiliary supervision into the loss function, MnLP equips neural policies with the ability of long-range contextual understanding. Experimentally, MnLP outperforms existing training methods, improving the generalization capability of neural policies across various problem sizes, distributions, and real-world benchmarks. Moreover, MnLP can be seamlessly integrated into diverse neural architectures without introducing additional inference overhead.

Collecting large-scale egocentric video datasets with dense spatial and temporal annotations is costly, slow, and often constrained by environmental biases, privacy constraints, and limited coverage of interaction patterns. While synthetic data has shown strong potential in several vision domains, its use for egocentric perception remains relatively underexplored, especially for tasks requiring temporally coherent human-object interactions. In this work, we introduce EgoInteract, a controllable simulator for egocentric video generation designed to model fine-grained egocentric interactions and their temporal dynamics. The simulator enables precise control over camera, human body and hand motion, object manipulation, and scene composition across diverse environments. Building on this framework, we generate a synthetic egocentric video dataset with dense spatial and temporal annotations for temporal action segmentation, next-active object detection, interaction anticipation, and hand-object interaction detection. We evaluate models trained with simulated data on multiple real-world egocentric benchmarks spanning diverse environments, object categories, and interaction patterns. Results show consistent improvements over strong baselines across tasks and datasets, demonstrating the effectiveness and transferability of our simulation-based approach.