Traffic

A local-to-global context mismatch arises when autoregressive traffic simulators trained on ego-centric driving logs are deployed in globally observable closed-loop environments. In such logs, the ego vehicle has rich local observations, while surrounding agents are only partially observed due to perception limits and occlusions. As a result, simulators may learn incomplete context--action mappings that remain hidden in log-based training but emerge during closed-loop rollouts, leading to unrealistic behaviors such as abnormal stops, unsafe interactions, and rule violations. We propose CRAFT, a Contextual pReference Alignment Framework for Traffic Simulation, to mitigate this mismatch via self-supervised failure discovery and preference-guided test-time alignment. CRAFT treats the base simulator as a globally observable sandbox, generating diverse what-if rollouts from logged initial states to expose context-induced failures. These failures are grounded with human-aligned driving priors and converted into preference supervision for training a Contextual Preference Evaluator (CPE). At inference time, CPE acts as a plug-in alignment module that scores candidate actions under complete scene context and reweights autoregressive decoding toward globally coherent behaviors. CRAFT mitigates this local-to-global contextual bias, reducing collisions by 31.2% and traffic violations by 33.2% without retraining the base simulator.

Interactive traffic simulation is a vital world model for autonomous driving. A central challenge in long-horizon simulation is modeling sustained multi-agent interactions, which is further exacerbated by dynamic token cardinality as agents continuously enter and exit the scene. In this work, we propose that the solution lies in the synergy between the architectural inductive biases and statistical priors of large-scale sequence models, e.g., Large Language Models (LLMs). Our probing experiments reveal that the transferability of attention mechanisms and the distributional consistency between motion tokens and natural language enable small-scale, heavily frozen LLMs to rapidly adapt to traffic modeling. Building on this insight, we introduce RosettaSim, a unified framework that projects scene topology, agent states, and spawning intents into a structured autoregressive stream with variable length, achieving both strong short-term accuracy and stable long-horizon simulation fidelity. Furthermore, evaluating extended rollouts presents yet another hurdle, as one-to-one agent correspondence inevitably fades over time. To address this, we introduce Retrieval-based Traffic Evaluation (RTE), which retrieves semantically similar real-world scenarios as context-aware reference anchors. Experiments on the Waymo Open Sim Agent Challenge (WOSAC) demonstrate that RosettaSim achieves state-of-the-art performance in both short- and long-term simulation. Furthermore, RTE exhibits a stronger correlation with standard metrics ($r=0.83$) than existing approaches ($r=0.74$), indicating improved alignment with long-horizon simulation fidelity.

High benchmark accuracy does not guarantee genuine use of visual evidence. We study this problem in traffic accident Video Question Answering (VideoQA), where correct answers should depend on scene-specific visual evidence but may instead be inferred from textual shortcuts. Through an audit of four public benchmarks, we find that several recent open-weight Vision-Language Models (VLMs) perform competitively, and sometimes better, without video input. On the MM-AU benchmark, removing video consistently improves accuracy, and adding more frames further degrades performance. To quantify visual dependence, we introduce two dataset-level diagnostics: Blind Gap, measuring above-chance text-only performance, and Visual Gain, measuring the marginal benefit of adding video. We further propose an instance-level Shortcut Score that combines text-only confidence with visual necessity signals, enabling continuous, training-free filtering of shortcut-prone questions. The resulting subsets reduce shortcut bias and improve visual grounding. Our findings reveal large differences in grounding quality across benchmarks and show that visually grounded evaluation, not just high accuracy, is essential in safety-critical VideoQA.

Encrypted traffic classification has achieved strong performance, but its decision process remains difficult to interpret. Existing methods usually combine flow statistics, packet sequences, and byte-level representations into opaque latent features, making it unclear which type of evidence actually drives the prediction. In this paper, we propose Traffic-CBM, a structurally interpretable multimodal framework for encrypted traffic classification. Instead of directly fusing heterogeneous traffic signals into a black-box representation, Traffic-CBM organizes them into a unified hierarchical concept space. These concepts are not manually annotated semantic attributes; rather, they are scalar evidence summaries constrained by predefined traffic evidence groups. More specifically, grouped flow statistics are mapped to statistical concepts, dedicated temporal encoders learn temporal concepts from disjoint feature subspaces, and byte-level evidence is further organized into packet-level and cross-packet concepts. This design turns heterogeneous traffic evidence into an explicit concept representation and makes different levels of traffic evidence easier to analyze. We evaluate Traffic-CBM on multiple encrypted traffic benchmarks. Results show that it achieves competitive and balanced classification performance while providing a clearer structural interpretation interface than conventional end-to-end fusion models. Further analyses suggest that the learned concept space is actively used in the prediction process and provides a clearer structural explanation of multimodal traffic evidence.

Recent research has investigated the use of large language models (LLMs) to generate traffic scenarios for autonomous driving. However, pretrained LLMs often fail to align with real-world traffic distributions. In this work, we present TrafficAlign, an automated framework that synthesizes traffic scenarios based on real-world driving videos, performs data validation, and aligns LLMs with the synthesized scenarios. The evaluation shows that traffic scenarios generated by TrafficAlign are highly effective, revealing up to 10.8% more collisions on average across three autonomous driving models than state-of-the-art methods. Furthermore, fine-tuning these driving models with TrafficAlign-generated scenarios significantly reduced collision rates by 36.1% compared with the original models. A qualitative study using traffic datasets from six geographically diverse regions shows that TrafficAlign-generated scenarios exhibit strong alignment with corresponding traffic distributions in these regions.

Accurate network traffic prediction is a critical element for efficient resource allocation in dynamic urban cellular networks. However, prediction remains challenging because network demand is influenced by complex mobility patterns, congestion dynamics, and heterogeneous user behavior. This paper introduces the Parameter-Efficient Hybrid Transformer (PEHT), a network traffic prediction framework that integrates urban mobility and congestion information into a Transformer-based architecture. PEHT separates primary network communication features from secondary urban mobility features and incorporates Low-Rank Adaptation (LoRA) into the Transformer encoder to reduce the number of trainable parameters while maintaining high predictive accuracy. A multimodal fusion strategy then injects external mobility and congestion features into the decoder to improve traffic forecasting. Experiments on the Telecom Italia Milan dataset and multiple synthetic congestion scenarios show that PEHT outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in terms of RMSE, MAE, and $R^2$. The implementation is available in the GitHub repository.

Traffic matrices (TMs) capture network-wide origin-destination demand and are central to traffic engineering, yet accurate whole-matrix forecasting remains challenging when prediction must be performed under the memory, update, and training-budget constraints of online network control. This paper investigates whether compact quantum-inspired recurrent models can provide effective TM forecasts without relying on dedicated graph, transformer, or diffusion modules. We adapt gated quantum-inspired Kolmogorov-Arnold network fast-weight programmers (QKAN-FWPs) to direct multi-step Abilene TM forecasting, where each model predicts the next 20 five-minute frames of a 144-channel origin-destination (OD) matrix from a two-hour history. We benchmark three QKAN placement variants against a matched-size long short-term memory (LSTM) network, a larger LSTM, and a classical gated fast-weight programmer under a shared fixed-budget training protocol. Among the evaluated recurrent models, G-QKANFWP achieves the best pooled root-mean-square error (RMSE), while using only 22.4% of the larger LSTM. It also outperforms both the matched-size LSTM and the classical G-FWP baseline, indicating that the gain is not due to gated fast-weight framework alone. Convergence and channel-wise analyses further show that the quantum-inspired variants obtain lower validation-loss area under the learning curve (AULC) than matched-size recurrent baselines, while G-QKANFWP and GQKAN-FWP achieve substantially more OD-channel wins. These results identify a classical slow programmer with a quantum-inspired fast programmer as a promising accuracy-efficiency design for resource-conscious network traffic-matrix forecasting.

Vehicle license plate recognition is an integral component of intelligent transportation systems. In this work, we present an embedded real-time license plate recognition system customized for developing countries. We address the challenge of handling complex, unstructured traffic scenes with diverse vehicle types while implementing the system on an embedded platform for low-cost deployment. Our method consists of license plate detection on a multi-vehicle image, followed by character recognition on the detected license plates. Both steps use lightweight convolutional neural networks to balance accuracy and efficiency. We also introduce the SL-LPR dataset of Sri Lankan road images, which contains a variety of vehicle types and traffic conditions typically seen in developing countries. On this dataset, the license plate detection and character recognition models achieved 93.6% mAP and 87.88% accuracy, respectively, and were competitive against larger models on several public datasets. To achieve real-time performance in a resource-constrained embedded environment, we applied low-bitwidth quantization using the Brevitas library and implemented FPGA acceleration for the models using the FINN framework. The end-to-end system can operate at 11.5~FPS when implemented on the Xilinx Kria KV260 platform. These results demonstrate that our system is effective for real-time license plate recognition on an embedded device, even in complex traffic scenarios. The SL-LPR dataset is available for research use at: https://github.com/sl-lpr-uom/SL-LPR.git.

Closed-loop traffic simulation remains challenging because it must generate interactive multi-agent behaviors that are scene-consistent and controllable throughout rollout. Prior diffusion-based approaches achieve strong realism, but their computational cost can hinder deployment in time-constrained replanning loops for autonomous vehicle planning and simulation. We present a diffusion-based scenario generation framework conditioned on instance-centric scene context and multimodal proposal priors, with optional test-time guidance for shaping safety-critical behaviors. A compact action-latent representation and proposal-based initialization improve sampling efficiency and reduce per-step runtime without retraining. Experiments on the Waymo Open Motion Dataset demonstrate a favorable balance among realism, safety, and controllability across diverse interactive scenarios, while showing that test-time guidance enables systematic trade-offs among competing objectives.

Mobile cellular load forecasting is native to network resource optimization and delivery of services with reliability, latency and quality guarantees. The mainstream of machine learning research in the area is focused primarily on developing powerful learning structures for improved prediction accuracy. The data used for forecasting traditionally belong to the cellular domain and at most contain exogenous information about the surroundings of the base stations. We approach the prediction task from the perspective of data as a vital component of any data learning process. We hypothesize that substantial improvements could be achieved when the data inform on the processes that create the cellular load. Specifically, we propose to characterize the population dynamics -- the potential number of cellular traffic sources and their mobility -- in addition to employing historical time series of mobile data traffic. We validate our hypothesis for the rarely examined highway scenario. Comprehensive experiments show forecasting improvements on the order of $60\%$ due to the use of these data alone.

The use of dedicated corridors for Advanced Air Mobility (AAM) traffic is one of the most commonly proposed pathways to integrating them into existing airspace operations. Most prior research has focused on the design of networks of AAM corridors and conflict resolution for aircraft within corridors. It is also generally believed that while attractive from an implementation perspective, corridor-based operations may be inefficient, especially in the absence of centralized traffic management. In this paper, we show that contrary to this belief, it is possible for autonomous aircraft to learn to self-organize into corridor flows in decentralized settings. We illustrate our approach using scenarios in which fixed-wing aircraft need to safely and efficiently traverse (1) a single corridor with metering after the exit, (2) a sequence of two consecutive corridors, and (3) a corridor that splits into two. We find that in decentralized settings with only local information, the aircraft are able to conform to the corridor boundaries more than 94% of the time and reach their goal in a relatively efficient manner. Furthermore, tactical interventions to handle violations of the separation minimum are needed only infrequently in low- and medium-density settings. However, such tactical interventions become more frequently necessary only when traffic density is high.

Traffic microsimulators rely on hand-crafted behavior models that reproduce aggregate flow but miss the heterogeneous interactions between vehicles at signalized intersections. Learned trajectory predictors capture richer interactions but are short-horizon and tend to be unstable when run in closed loop. We present Enactor, an actor-centric generative model for closed-loop intersection microsimulation. The model focuses on vehicles; pedestrians are included as context that can influence vehicle decisions but not predicted. Dynamic actors and lane polylines are encoded in polar coordinates referenced to the intersection center. A transformer with separate spatial and temporal attention blocks predicts a distribution over each actor's next-step motion ($s$, $α$). Training uses a closed-loop curriculum so the model is exposed to its own predictions. We evaluate Enactor in two regimes. In a 4000-second simulation-in-the-loop test at two intersection geometries, Enactor controls every dynamic vehicle against a continuously refreshing actor set rather than the fixed cohort that learned trajectory predictors are usually evaluated against. It recovers the SUMO data generator's speed and travel-time distributions with KL divergence over an order of magnitude lower than a recent transformer baseline on travel time, and substantially lower on speed (roughly $5\times$ lower at Site 1), and reduces red-light violations relative to the same baseline by more than an order of magnitude. An ablation isolates the leader rear-bumper feature as the change with the largest effect on intersection-aware safety metrics. We also evaluate on real-world field data and apply the same architecture to naturalistic vehicle trajectories from a fish-eye camera at a signalized intersection and evaluate it on multi-horizon predictive tasks. Enactor outperforms a constant-velocity baseline at every horizon evaluated.

We propose a method for estimating time-varying traffic flow patterns from sparse aggregated vehicle counts. The method partitions the study area into spatial regions, constructs a set of feasible region-to-region routes, and solves a weighted least-squares optimization problem to determine the number of vehicles to allocate on each route. A weighted contribution matrix encodes sensor coverage, steering the optimizer toward flow configurations that are directly observable by sensors. Edge-level trajectories are then derived by scoring candidate routes against the temporal and volumetric profiles of aggregated regional sensor counts. The method is evaluated on the Brussels road network using real and synthetic traffic data. Results show that the proposed approach reproduces the daily traffic profile in the input data and outperforms the baseline methods at a fraction of the computational cost.

Identifying complex and safety-critical driving scenarios in large unlabelled datasets is an important but expensive problem. Existing approaches rely on human annotators, supervised classifiers, or carefully engineered rule sets, all of which require substantial prior knowledge about what constitutes a difficult scenario. We ask whether a model can discover scenario complexity on its own, with no labels at any stage. We train a minimal Joint Embedding Predictive Architecture (JEPA) on structured agent state data from the nuPlan mini dataset and use the temporal prediction error as a zero-shot complexity score. Without access to any ground-truth labels during training or evaluation setup, the model assigns significantly higher scores to scenarios involving unprotected turns, crosswalk interactions, and pedestrian proximity, and significantly lower scores to lane-following and stationary-traffic scenarios. We validate this finding through four ablation experiments that isolate the source of the signal, and through a downstream anomaly detection evaluation that achieves Average Precision of 0.512 against a 0.436 chance baseline. The results show that temporal prediction error in a self-supervised latent world model is a practical proxy for driving scenario complexity.

Urban traffic congestion remains a persistent challenge in car-dependent cities, imposing significant economic and societal costs. Traffic signal systems are increasingly deployed as networked cyber-physical components within smart-city infrastructures, where distributed sensing and edge intelligence enable adaptive traffic management. This paper investigates reinforcement learning (RL) as an edge-intelligent approach for adaptive traffic signal operation at a signalized urban intersection in Kuwait. A Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO)-based controller is developed to dynamically allocate green-phase durations using locally observed traffic states, without relying on future demand information or centralized coordination. The controller is evaluated in a realistic simulation environment informed by real-world hourly traffic volume data from Kuwait, and is compared against both conventional fixed-time control and a vehicle-actuated controller representing the current state of practice, using average vehicle delay, queue length, and emissions as performance metrics. Under nominal conditions, the proposed controller reduces average vehicle delay by 46% relative to fixed-time control and 34% relative to actuated control, while also lowering per-vehicle CO2 emissions by approximately 23%. These performance gains persist under demand perturbations of +/-15%, generalize from weekday to weekend traffic patterns, and are corroborated by a reward function ablation; low variance across five random seeds confirms their statistical reliability. These findings demonstrate the practicality of learning-based edge traffic signal control as a building block for IoT-enabled smart-city transportation systems, and as a deployable precursor toward fully connected, Internet of Vehicles (IoV)-based urban mobility.

Traffic prediction is a core task in intelligent transportation systems and urban-scale decision making. Despite the effectiveness of mainstream neural-network based methods, their deployment in real-world settings with thousands of traffic sensors is jeopardized severely by their poor computational scalability. To address this, the community has attempted to incorporate spatial database partitioning techniques (e.g., Grid, Quadtree, and K-D Tree) to improve model scalability. However, these approaches rely on handcrafted geometric heuristics and often produce irregular or imbalanced data partitions, leading to boundary fragmentation, excessive padding overheads, and degraded model accuracy. In this paper, we propose SqLinear, an efficient and effective architecture for large-scale traffic prediction. First, we design Square Partition, a geometry-adaptive algorithm that partitions massive traffic sensors into balanced, non-overlapping, and near-square spatial regions. Unlike existing heuristic-based designs, Square Partition is theoretically grounded and provides provable guarantees on aspect ratio, balance, and partition utilization, establishing a high-quality foundation for downstream spatiotemporal modeling. Next, we propose a Hierarchical Linear Interaction (HLI) module that abandons the costly attention mechanisms commonly used in Transformer-based spatio-temporal models. HLI efficiently captures both local intra-region dynamics and global inter-region dependencies through a lightweight linear interaction scheme, enabling effective spatiotemporal modeling with linear computational complexity. Extensive experiments on four large-scale traffic datasets and 10 baselines show that SqLinear reduces MAE by 2.30% on average under standard setting and by 5.81% under extreme scalability settings, while reducing training runtime by 13.27%--30.84% in spatial- and horizon-scaling scenarios.

Origin-Destination (OD) demand prediction is fundamental to intelligent transportation systems, yet real-world OD flows are often dynamically sparse, long-tailed, and characterized by heterogeneous zero-flow patterns. These properties make it difficult to distinguish whether an OD connection is active from how much demand it generates once activated. Many existing methods primarily treat OD prediction as a single flow regression task, which limits their ability to model low-frequency, intermittent, and long-tailed OD interactions. To address these challenges, we propose SAGMTL, a Structure-Aware Graph Multi-Task Learning framework for dynamic sparse OD demand prediction. SAGMTL decomposes OD prediction into structural state modeling and flow intensity estimation, jointly learning regional activity states, OD connection activity, and edge-level flow intensity within a unified framework. Specifically, a node-edge collaborative representation module captures regional semantics, temporal dynamics, and spatial priors through interactive node-edge updates, producing structure-aware representations for dynamic OD interactions. Based on these representations, SAGMTL estimates OD flows by jointly modeling stable demand patterns and short-term fluctuations. A multi-constraint objective further improves sparsity awareness and structural consistency. Experiments on three real-world urban mobility datasets from Beijing, Chengdu, and Nanjing show that SAGMTL achieves superior overall performance compared with state-of-the-art baselines. Further analysis demonstrates that explicitly modeling regional activity, connection states, and flow intensity improves the robustness of dynamic sparse OD demand prediction.

Standard benchmarks evaluate time series foundation models (TSFMs) using aggregate metrics, but these can mask severe failures in critical operating regimes. We introduce regime-stratified evaluation and apply it to three TSFMs on two standard traffic speed benchmarks. Traffic exhibits abrupt regime switching between free-flow and congested states, producing bimodal speed distributions during transitions. When we stratify by traffic regime, both accuracy and prediction-interval coverage degrade sharply during transitions: transition-regime MAE reaches 11 mph (versus 3 mph overall), and empirical coverage of 90% prediction intervals drops as low as 55%. These failures are invisible in aggregate metrics because free-flow observations dominate the sample. A simple historical conditional baseline (sampling from per-sensor training distributions) achieves better transition coverage than any TSFM, but has far worse overall accuracy. We propose bimodal mixture augmentation (BMA), a post-hoc method that combines TSFM forecasts with historical distributional knowledge, approaching the historical baseline's transition coverage while preserving the TSFM's accuracy. Our results suggest that TSFM benchmarks should incorporate regime-aware evaluation to surface failures that aggregate metrics hide.

Traffic state prediction is a fundamental task in intelligent transportation systems. In practical applications, some regions suffer from limited traffic observations due to insufficient sensing infrastructure, making cross-domain knowledge transfer an important solution for data-scarce traffic prediction. However, existing cross-domain traffic prediction methods still face several limitations, including coarse-grained source-target adaptation, limited capability in handling unseen target-domain patterns, and insufficient modeling of continuous traffic dynamics under irregular or heterogeneous temporal conditions. To address these issues, this paper proposes a continuous cross-domain traffic prediction framework, termed Memory-Augmented Graph Liquid Time-Constant Network (MA-GLTC). Specifically, we first construct spatio-temporal units (STUs) to decompose traffic networks into transferable local units, enabling fine-grained knowledge alignment across domains. Then, a graph liquid time-constant network (GLTC) is developed to model graph-coupled traffic evolution in continuous time. Different from generic graph neural ODE-based models, GLTC introduces graph-coupled recurrent conductance into liquid time-constant dynamics, allowing node states to evolve with leakage, adaptive time constants, and neighborhood-aware feedback. Furthermore, a Memory-based Transfer Storage (MTS) mechanism is designed to preserve source-domain knowledge, retrieve matched traffic patterns, and update reliable target-domain patterns when unseen states emerge. Experiments on five public traffic datasets demonstrate that MA-GLTC consistently outperforms representative innerdomain and cross-domain baselines in both short-term and longterm prediction tasks. Compared with the second-best method, MA-GLTC reduces the average prediction errors by 3.02%, 0.33%, 8.92%, 10.09%, and 2.11%, respectively.

Traffic scene understanding requires models to reason beyond object recognition, including lane topology, multi-view geometry, temporal evolution, and signal-phase semantics. However, existing traffic-oriented multimodal benchmarks largely emphasize passive visual recognition or isolated video understanding, offering limited support for evaluating structure-aware traffic reasoning under controlled conditions. We introduce OmniTraffic, a controllable generation pipeline and benchmark for spatio-temporal traffic reasoning. Built around 12 real-world intersections reconstructed into editable 3D traffic environments and complemented by surveillance footage from two countries, OmniTraffic supports both controlled and natural-condition evaluation. It defines a three-level task hierarchy spanning scene perception, multi-view and temporal reasoning, and decision support. Using structured traffic metadata, OmniTraffic generates synchronized multi-view VQA samples covering vehicle states, lane functions, view--BEV correspondence, temporal dynamics, and signal-phase analysis, resulting in 8M VQA samples and a 3K human-verified test set. Evaluation of eleven frontier MLLMs reveals a large human--model gap, with the most pronounced failures in topology-grounded and spatio-temporal reasoning tasks. Fine-tuning a lightweight MLLM on simulated OmniTraffic data further improves performance on real-world traffic scenes, demonstrating the value of simulation-generated supervision for traffic-specific multimodal reasoning. Beyond a fixed dataset, OmniTraffic provides an extensible pipeline with configurable intersections, camera views, traffic demands, signal phases, visual conditions, and rare events.

Accurate traffic flow prediction remains challenging in cross-city, data-scarce scenarios where limited historical data hinders model generalisation. The chaotic nature of traffic dynamics, complex spatio-temporal dependencies, and heterogeneous urban networks complicate few-shot learning across cities. Existing deep learning approaches either treat traffic as purely deterministic or lack mechanisms to model wave-like interference patterns essential for cross-regime traffic dynamics. To address these limitations, this paper proposes CIWI-CKT, a novel Chaos-Informed Wave Interference Feature Fusion framework with Cross-City Knowledge Transfer. Our framework introduces three core innovations: chaos-informed wave generation that extracts measurable chaos invariants and models traffic as adaptive wave components; meta-interference processing that captures wave interactions between support and query regimes while producing a predictability score for confidence estimation; and chaos-aware meta-learning that enables efficient cross-city knowledge transfer while preserving chaotic characteristics. We establish theoretical guarantees including chaos-to-wave stability, wave-induced dimension reduction, and meta-learning generalisation bounds. Extensive experiments on four real-world traffic datasets demonstrate that CIWI-CKT significantly outperforms state-of-the-art spatio-temporal graph learning, transfer learning, prompt-based, and few-shot methods, improving prediction accuracy while substantially reducing required training data.

This paper presents an implemented CARLA-VISSIM co-simulation framework for an urban corridor comprising approximately fifteen connected intersections centered on Martin Luther King Jr. Boulevard in Chattanooga, Tennessee. The system integrates CARLA 0.10.0 Unreal Engine 5 with PTV VISSIM 2026 through a bidirectional, step-synchronized interface that couples VISSIM's microscopic vehicle, pedestrian, and signal-controller logic with CARLA's high-fidelity 3D rendering. A LiDAR-derived elevation model and RoadRunner-based High Definition (HD) map provide terrain-accurate road geometry deployed consistently across both simulators. The framework incorporates explicit actor ownership, mirrored lifecycle management, coordinate reconciliation, and a latest-state-per-actor update policy, enabling stable interaction between VISSIM-controlled traffic and a CARLA-controlled ego vehicle. A corridor-scale case study demonstrates consistent traffic-signal mirroring, synchronized vehicle-pedestrian interactions, and stable mixed-authority operation under peak loads of approximately 100 vehicles and 100 pedestrians. The deployment captures the interaction of the five signalized intersections along MLK Street and their connecting upstream and downstream intersections, revealing synchronization challenges unique to multi-intersection corridors. Results indicate that this MLK-centered corridor provides an effective testbed for verifying cross-simulator consistency and that the proposed architecture supports reliable, perception-ready co-simulation for corridor-level traffic studies.

Traffic microsimulation combined with surrogate safety measures has increasingly been used as a proactive alternative to historical crash data for predicting crash frequency for current or planned road infrastructure designs. However, existing microsimulation-based safety studies have adopted simplified rule-based behaviour models, which reproduce traffic flow reasonably well but often fail to generate realistic conflict dynamics, limiting crash prediction accuracy. Recent advances in machine learning (ML)-based behaviour models offer a promising opportunity to potentially improve microsimulation realism and crash frequency predictions by learning human driving behaviour directly from large-scale trajectory datasets. To investigate this possibility, traffic microsimulation was conducted for five real-world signalised intersections in Leeds, UK, using both a standard rule-based model and a state-of-the-art ML model. Simulated vehicle trajectories were analysed using a two-dimensional Time-to-Collision metric to identify simulated conflicts, which were then modelled using Extreme Value Theory to predict crash frequency. Results show that conflicts from the ML model yielded crash predictions in line with the real-world crash data, whereas the rule-based model did not permit meaningful predictions, presumably due to a lack of model calibration to the specific simulated intersections. Directly using ML-generated simulated crashes to predict real-world crash frequency also yielded poor results, suggesting that while current ML models can realistically reproduce conflicts, they are not yet able to generate realistic crashes. Overall, the findings demonstrate that ML-based behaviour models are promising for improving crash prediction from simulated conflicts, without a need for location-specific model calibration, and suggest clear future directions for ML-based traffic microsimulation.

In modern vehicular systems, robust performance under harsh conditions has become a critical problem of autonomous driving. Our study delivers a comprehensive evaluation of the newest iteration of the YOLO series, which is YOLOv11 Nano architecture benchmarked against the widely adopted YOLOv8 Nano as a baseline on a custom fused dataset that combines the Indian Driving Dataset (IDD) [1] and Berkeley Deep Drive Dataset (BDD100K) [2]. We have analyzed the trade-offs among detection accuracy, inference speed, and computational efficiency in high-entropy scenarios involving dense mixed traffic, rain, and low-light conditions. Specifically, YOLOv11n achieves a mean Average Precision (mAP@50) of 46.6%, with a notable 3.2% improvement in Precision over the baseline, effectively reducing false positives in cluttered scenes. Furthermore, the proposed model exhibits enhanced energy efficiency, requiring 22% fewer FLOPs (6.3G vs. 8.1G) while maintaining real-time inference speed of 70.9 FPS on a Tesla T4 GPU, offering an optimal trade-off for safety-critical edge deployment.

Reducing real-world trial and error has long been a central goal of decision making, and generative simulators advance this goal by modeling the evolution of future states. An even more challenging yet meaningful task is simulating how disturbance events (e.g., accidents) propagate their impacts across real-world networks. The existing approaches fall short of modeling both structured attributes and unstructured semantics of events, and capturing topological structures in simulating network event evolution. Therefore, we are motivated to propose Net-Ev$^2$ ($\underline{\textbf{Net}}$work $\underline{\textbf{Ev}}$ent $\underline{\textbf{Ev}}$olution), a novel generative simulator that jointly leverages event cues while preserving network topology in simulations. Specifically, the framework consists of two stages, namely structure-guided masked pre-training and topology-aware diffusion process, which is achieved by U-Net-like graph downsampling and upsampling during denoising. At inference time, Net-Ev$^2$ can generate simulations using natural-language event input only, with greater flexibility for practical usage. Furthermore, we introduce Net-Ev$^2$-6.5M, a multimodal benchmark of aligned event and network traffic data across four large-scale road networks, as well as a new topology-aware metric, namely JL-MMD, to evaluate topological fidelity in generated network dynamics. Extensive experiments demonstrate the state-of-the-art performance and strong generalization ability of Net-Ev$^2$. Code is made available at https://github.com/Guangyu4/Net-Ev-2.

Airport surface operations increasingly constrain performance at high-throughput hubs. This study examines arrival taxi-in decisions at Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport (KATL) and proposes a two-stage, data-driven decision aid that mirrors controller workflow. Stage I predicts the runway exit selected by an arriving aircraft. Stage II predicts whether, given that exit, the aircraft will cross the active departure runway at a designated point or use the end-around taxiway. Models are trained using ASDE-X surface trajectories, aircraft characteristics, ramp destinations, short-horizon traffic rates, and weather across multiple look-back windows. We benchmark nine classifiers, including Random Forest, XGBoost, LightGBM, and CatBoost, and evaluate accuracy, macro-F1, precision-recall behavior, confusion matrices, Brier score, and Expected Calibration Error. Across east and west flows, XGBoost and LightGBM outperform Random Forest. Stage I achieves 0.86-0.89 accuracy with macro-F1 scores of 0.40-0.50, while Stage II achieves 0.70-0.74 accuracy with macro-F1 scores of 0.28-0.55. Feature-importance analysis shows that approach speed is the main driver of exit choice. Departure rate, crossing rate, ramp destination, and, for west flow, the selected exit are the strongest predictors of crossing versus end-around routing. Minority classes remain harder to predict because of feature-space overlap, as shown by t-SNE and UMAP analyses. The proposed framework supports controller situational awareness through calibrated, explainable predictions while preserving human responsibility for final routing decisions.

Traffic prediction is fundamental to intelligent transportation systems and urban computing, yet many cities continue to suffer from traffic data scarcity due to limited sensor deployment and uneven urban development. Cross-city knowledge transfer has thus attracted increasing attention, enabling data-rich cities to assist data-scarce ones. However, centralized approaches raise privacy concerns, while existing federated methods struggle with pronounced spatiotemporal heterogeneity across cities. To address these challenges, we propose MoE-FedTP, a personalized federated cross-city spatiotemporal prediction framework based on lightweight Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) networks. MoE-FedTP first employs spatiotemporal neural networks to extract features from both source and target cities, then introduces a set of expert networks derived from different source cities through partial parameter sharing. A gating mechanism dynamically fuses the experts to capture diverse traffic dynamics, achieving fine-grained modeling of urban heterogeneity while preserving privacy. Experiments on four real-world traffic datasets show that MoE-FedTP consistently outperforms state-of-the-art cross-city and federated learning baselines, demonstrating its effectiveness in enhancing prediction accuracy for data-scarce cities.

Traffic accident anticipation -- predicting the likelihood of an imminent collision at every frame of a dashcam video -- is safety-critical yet difficult to scale, because collecting in-domain annotated accident footage for every deployment scenario is prohibitively expensive. We study this task under a zero-shot setting where no target-domain training data is available: the model must learn exclusively from a publicly available binary-labelled driving-accident dataset and generalise to unseen dashcam footage. We propose a framework that bridges the gap between the frame-level temporal risk estimation task and coarsely labelled binary accident datasets by coupling a VideoMAE-v2 backbone with a per-frame prediction head under a sliding-window protocol. Our method achieves 2nd place in the 2026 CVPR@AUTOPILOT Zero-Shot Accident Anticipation competition. Code is available at https://github.com/TimeSouth/zero-shot-taa-solution.

Spatio-temporal graph neural networks (STGNNs) have become the dominant approach for traffic prediction, yet their computational requirements pose challenges for practical deployment in intelligent transportation systems (ITS). While recent work has proposed efficient alternatives to STGNNs, a fundamental question remains unexplored: are these architectures themselves over-parameterised? We examine this question using the Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Network (STGCN), one of the most widely adopted models in this domain. Through systematic experiments across four diverse traffic datasets, we compare 1-block, 2-block (standard), and 3-block STGCN variants. Our findings reveal that the single-block architecture achieves optimal performance for short-term prediction (10 mins) on three of four datasets, while incurring only marginal degradation ($\leq$1.8% relative error) at longer horizons. Crucially, the 2-block variant incurs 61% higher CPU inference latency and 37% lower throughput relative to 1-block -- substantial overhead for resource-constrained ITS deployment. The 3-block architecture offers no favourable tradeoff, more than doubling computational cost for $<$0.5% relative improvement. These results suggest that the default 2-block STGCN may be over-parameterised for many applications, with implications for both practitioners deploying traffic prediction systems and researchers benchmarking efficiency-focused methods.

Efficient acquisition, storage, and utilization of traffic data are critical challenges in spatio-temporal data management. Most traffic data systems collect and store observations at fixed, coarse-grained temporal intervals to reduce storage and computation costs. However, such coarse-grained data severely limits downstream applications that require predictions at a finer temporal granularity. Collecting and maintaining fine-grained traffic data across all locations and time periods would impose a substantial burden on database storage and preprocessing pipelines. To address this temporal granularity mismatch, we formulate a novel problem: predicting fine-grained future traffic using coarse-grained sampled data. We propose the Spatial-Temporal Refinement Predictor (STRP), a granularity-aware framework for spatio-temporal data systems. STRP integrates two components: Tree Convolution for efficient and interpretable spatial dependency modeling, and Inverse Dilated Convolution for progressive temporal extrapolation. STRP supports two practical prediction settings: window-based and duration-based, to handle different forms of granularity mismatch. Experiments on six benchmark datasets show that STRP significantly outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in both accuracy and efficiency. Our work offers a practical and interpretable approach to managing granularity mismatches in spatio-temporal traffic data systems.

In mixed-traffic environments where autonomous and human-driven vehicles may co-exist, motion planning for autonomous vehicles requires anticipating the future behaviors of surrounding human drivers. Existing reinforcement learning-based methods generally directly incorporate the predicted human intents into the observation to enable a proactive planning. However, human intent is inherently uncertain due to the behavioral diversity, perception noise, and partial observability. Treating predicted intends as deterministic states can result in unsafe decisions for autonomous vehicles. To address this problem, we propose Uncertainty-Aware Motion Planning (UAMP), which incorporates uncertainty in human intent prediction for AV decision-making. Specifically, UAMP first introduces a proximity-aware uncertainty estimator to quantify the interaction-conditioned intent uncertainty and constructs an uncertainty-guided joint intent distribution over surrounding human-driven vehicles. Within this uncertainty set, UAMP further introduces Uncertainty-Calibrated Value Learning (UCVL) to correct value function learning biases arising from directly incorporating uncertain human intent predictions into the observation. Extensive experiments in various mixed-traffic scenarios show that UAMP significantly improves safety and driving comfort, while maintaining traffic efficiency compared with existing approaches. The code is released at https://anonymous.4open.science/r/UAMP-5638.

Mesoscopic traffic flow models combines the merits of both macroscopic and microscopic models by capturing individual vehicle behavior in great detail and remaining the computational efficiency. At the time of this study, the mesoscopic model proposed by Eissfeldt (2004) is used in Simulation of Urban MObility (SUMO). The movement of vehicles is governed by dynamic headways between edges. However, the model does not fully comply with the principle of the Lighthill-Whitham-Richards (LWR) model. Several problems are identified, including the incomplete consideration of queue dynamics and the limited implementation of backward traveling spaces. Two case study scenarios demonstrate that the problems lead to unrealistic onset and recovery pattern of congestion. The magnitude of congestion is generally underestimated with this model. To address these drawbacks, a proper mesoscopic discrete-time implementation of link transmission model, which follows the LWR principle, is proposed. By explicitly incorporating backward traveling spaces to capture queue spillback phenomena, the proposed model provides a more precise representation of congestion dynamics. The link density outputs are consistent with the kinematic wave theory and the microscopic traffic simulation in SUMO, thus verifying its theoretical accuracy.

Accurate vessel traffic flow prediction is crucial for smart port operations and navigational safety. However, maritime traffic flow data are often highly sparse with intermittent bursts, making robust forecasting challenging. Under such conditions, conventional spatio-temporal graph neural networks (ST-GNNs) can degrade toward conservative near-zero predictions and fail to capture non-zero activity. Although zero-inflated negative binomial (ZINB) models partially address excess zeros, their two-part formulation can still remain conservative around abrupt transitions. To address these issues, we propose a model-agnostic learnable Tweedie head that can be attached as a plug-and-play output module to arbitrary ST-GNN backbones. Instead of likelihood-based Tweedie training, which typically requires surrogate objectives, our approach optimizes the closed-form Tweedie unit deviance and predicts the mean for point forecasting while learning a node-level variance power to capture heterogeneous variability across port areas. Experiments on a maritime traffic graph constructed from real-world AIS data in the Port of Los Angeles and Long Beach show that the proposed head consistently improves RMSE across multiple ST-GNN backbones, especially on non-zero events, leading to more reliable forecasts for practical maritime traffic control.

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed through hosted APIs, making model extraction a practical threat to model ownership and service security. However, individual extraction queries often resemble benign requests, and existing evaluations often focus on single-query anomaly scoring or pure benign-versus-attacker user settings. We formulate model extraction monitoring as benign-calibrated traffic-window distribution testing and show that an embarrassingly simple detector is effective: embed incoming queries into a semantic space and test whether their aggregate distribution deviates from historical benign traffic. We instantiate the detector with maximum mean discrepancy (MMD), using only benign-vs-benign comparisons to set the decision threshold. We evaluate on fourteen attacker-normal query pairs from four extraction scenarios and compare with adapted PRADA, SEAT, CAP, DATE, and marginal Mahalanobis baselines. Across three random seeds, MMD achieves 0.3% benign FPR, 100.0% pure-attacker TPR, 90.5% average TPR over attacker fractions, and 95.1% balanced accuracy. These results show that benign-calibrated distribution testing is a strong empirical baseline for model extraction detection in both user-level and mixed multi-user LLM API traffic. Code is released at: https://github.com/LabRAI/mmd-llm-mea-detection.

Train delay prediction is an important problem for both passengers and railway operators, yet progress in the field remains difficult to assess due to the lack of standardized datasets, prediction targets, and evaluation protocols. To address this gap, we introduce RIDE, an open dataset and benchmark for train delay prediction built at nationwide scale over the Belgian railway network. RIDE covers 94.5M train events, 3.6M journeys, and 35.7M weather records from 2023 to 2025. It is organized as a layered data pipeline from raw railway and weather sources to two public releases: a reusable intermediate relational dataset and model-ready benchmark datasets. The benchmark standardizes the prediction task and the training and testing data. It also provides a unified evaluation protocol that supports direct comparison across models. Using this framework, we provide the first comprehensive comparative evaluation of non-learning, statistical learning, and deep learning models. We show that learning-based methods clearly outperform non-learning models, with graph neural networks achieving the best mean performance, while the strongest learning-based models remain relatively close to one another. Beyond aggregate mean absolute error (MAE) and root mean squared error (RMSE), the framework also provides breakdowns by prediction horizon and delay change, enabling more detailed analysis of model behavior across forecasting regimes.

Urban traffic simulation is a critical tool for infrastructure planning, including the placement of electric vehicle charging stations. However, realistic traffic simulation across many cities is hindered by two fundamental data limitations: detailed real-world traffic measurements are available for only a small fraction of road segments in most cities, and employment distribution data critical for modeling commuter traffic is rarely available at the resolution needed for simulation. This paper presents a genetic algorithm-based framework that directly addresses both limitations, calibrating urban traffic simulations from sparse road observations without requiring detailed job location data. Using the SUMO traffic simulation platform for Greensboro, North Carolina, our approach optimizes job distributions and gate-traffic parameters to align simulated traffic with a small sample of roads with known traffic-flow rates. We demonstrate that this approach produces simulated traffic that correlates well with real-world measurements, generalizes to road segments withheld from training, and produces job distributions that show promising qualitative agreement with census employment data despite never directly training on that employment data. This work demonstrates that realistic urban traffic simulation can be achieved from minimal real-world observations, offering a scalable and data-light approach to simulation calibration that reduces the barrier to deploying traffic models across diverse cities.

Traffic forecasting is a fundamental component of intelligent transportation systems, yet remains challenging in real-world settings due to irregular sensor distributions and the high computational cost of modeling large-scale spatiotemporal dependencies. In practical traffic networks, sensors are unevenly distributed across regions, leading to non-uniform spatial structures that limit the effectiveness and scalability of existing graph-based and attention-based models. To address these challenges, we propose PatchSTG, a patch-based spatiotemporal graph Transformer designed for efficient forecasting on irregular sensor networks. The key idea is to introduce a hierarchical spatial representation that partitions sensors into balanced, locality-preserving patches based on geographic information. On top of this structure, a dual attention encoder alternates between intra-patch attention for capturing local interactions and inter-patch attention for modeling global dependencies, reducing computational complexity from quadratic to near-linear scaling. We evaluate PatchSTG on real-world traffic data from Rhode Island and additional large-scale datasets. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed model achieves stable and competitive forecasting performance across multiple horizons, while significantly improving computational efficiency. Ablation studies further validate the effectiveness of spatial partitioning and dual attention in capturing both local and long-range traffic dynamics. These results suggest that patch-based spatiotemporal modeling provides a scalable and effective framework for traffic forecasting under irregular spatial settings.

Traffic accident liability analysis is a critical yet challenging task in intelligent transportation and legal assistance. Existing methods often suffer from low efficiency, subjective judgment, and inconsistent analysis results. Meanwhile, large language models are constrained by noisy video inputs and insufficient legal domain knowledge. To address these issues, this work presents TrafficRAG, a multimodal retrieval-augmented framework for automated traffic accident analysis and report generation. Specifically, the proposed framework first adopts a vision-language model to produce structured textual descriptions of accident scenarios, which serve as accurate retrieval queries. Based on these textual queries, a hybrid retrieval strategy integrating BM25 sparse retrieval and dense embedding retrieval is employed to fetch relevant traffic regulations and similar historical cases. Finally, the large language model incorporates retrieved legal knowledge and multimodal accident evidence for comprehensive reasoning, and generates standardized, legally grounded liability analysis reports. Extensive experiments show that TrafficRAG consistently outperforms baseline methods, achieving 77.32% Legal Norm Adaptation Accuracy, 81.71% Factual Faithfulness, and a Liability Ratio MAE of 5.48%. The results validate that integrating multimodal factual evidence with legal clauses via retrieval augmentation can effectively improve the reliability and accuracy of traffic accident liability determination.

Passenger count data from public transit systems reveals urban mobility patterns and is essential for planning, operation, and optimisation. However, non-linear spatiotemporal interdependencies across stops and lines make modelling and prediction challenging. Existing approaches often rely on fixed temporal, spatial, or stop-level formulations, limiting their ability to capture within-trip evolution and network context. This study proposes SMT-GraphFormer, a spatiotemporal multi-task graph transformer that frames trip-level transit prediction as sequence-to-sequence modelling. Given a line's stop sequence and trip-level context, the model predicts successive boarding and alighting counts, with delay and dwell time treated as encoder-side surrogate tasks. Key components include graph embeddings for multi-relational stop similarity, a context encoder for weather and temporal information, and a multi-gate mixture-of-experts module that produces task-specific decoder representations for boarding and alighting predictions. Evaluation on public bus transit data from Trondheim, Norway, shows that SMT-GraphFormer outperforms stop-level tabular benchmarks, with ablation studies examining each component's contribution. The sequential formulation yields substantial gains on alighting prediction ($+$0.24 in $R^2$) and consistent improvements on boarding, delay, and dwell, confirming the value of explicit trip-level sequential bias and inter-target dependencies. These findings demonstrate the potential of transformer-based sequence modelling for capturing complex spatiotemporal dynamics in public transit and underscore the value of architectures tailored to transit data rather than off-the-shelf tabular models. The proposed framework provides a horizon-agnostic basis for scenario analysis in digital twin environments, supporting informed decision-making by planners and transit operators.

Crowd movement simulation is essential for pedestrian safety management and facility layout optimization. Data-driven models enhance trajectory prediction accuracy under Euclidean metrics, yet they suffer from excessively high collision rates, especially in bidirectional and multidirectional flows. In this paper, we establish a novel data-driven crowd simulation model that incorporates the pedestrian collision mechanism into the loss function to reduce collisions. A new lateral-acceleration-based collision loss function and a Voronoi-based motion feature extraction approach are proposed. The model is based on a Generative Adversarial Network (GAN) architecture and is termed CPGAN (Collision-Penalized GAN). We evaluate CPGAN in bidirectional flow scenarios, which involve frequent collision avoidance behaviors. Results show that the proposed lateral-acceleration-based collision loss significantly reduces opposite-direction pedestrian collision rates to levels comparable with controlled experiments. CPGAN effectively simulates bidirectional flow, reproducing lane formation and N-t curves. The research outcomes can provide inspiration for integrating pedestrian dynamics mechanisms into loss functions in data-driven crowd simulation.

Spatio-temporal forecasting on sensor graphs is commonly tackled with a single backbone architecture applied uniformly across all nodes, although graph regions can exhibit different dynamics. Road segments differ in functional class, structure, and traffic behavior, suggesting that node-wise expert specialization can be useful. We propose GC-MoE, a graph-conditioned mixture of experts framework that assigns each node a personalized combination of frozen forecasting experts based on graph topology and the recent traffic input window. GC-MoE combines frozen pretrained spatio-temporal GNN experts with an input-aware, spatially contextualized router while training only a lightweight routing module. We also study a bounded graph-conditioned output refinement layer as an optional extension and include node-adaptive ST-LoRA adapters only as an ablation diagnostic. Across four standard benchmarks (PEMS04, PEMS07, METR-LA, and PEMS-BAY), GC-MoE improves MAE over a zero-parameter ensemble baseline, with competitive RMSE and MAPE, while training only ~17K parameters on top of 1.5M frozen expert weights. The implementation is available at https://github.com/Ahghaffari/gc_moe.

Existing traffic forecasting benchmarks assume a fixed sensor set, but real road-sensor networks grow continuously as the road network changes year by year. We introduce the XXLTraffic dataset family, which spans up to 27 years of California PeMS and Transport for NSW data. The fixed-sensor subsets of XXLTraffic support extremely long forecasting with multi-year gaps and standard hourly / daily long-horizon forecasting. We extend it to EvoXXLTraffic, a sensor-evolving reorganization that exposes per-year active sensors, yearly traffic-flow matrices, and yearly graph snapshots across nine PeMS districts, with growth ratios ranging from +305% to over +10,000%. We define a yearly streaming forecasting protocol on EvoXXLTraffic in which each calendar year is a continual task, and benchmark a wide range of representative baselines drawn from static spatio-temporal GNNs, naïve online schemes, evolving-graph continual methods, and retrieval / test-time methods. We find that our ultra-large evolutionary dataset better reflects the real world, and many state-of-the-art (SOTA) results no longer work. Our dataset complements existing benchmarks by enabling more realistic forecasting under ultra-long evolutionary road networks. Our code and baselines are available at github repo: https://github.com/cruiseresearchgroup/TSAS26-EvoXXLTraffic

Pilot readback of Air Traffic Control (ATC) voice instructions is a primary safeguard against miscommunication in air transportation. However, readback anomalies remain implicated in approximately 80% of aviation incidents. This vulnerability is further exacerbated by rising traffic volume and elevated cognitive workload, thereby motivating automated readback monitoring by machine. Traditional rule-based and machine learning approaches struggle to generalize across the highly variable and evolving phraseology of air traffic controller-pilot communications. While Large Language Models (LLMs) have opened a new avenue through their strong reasoning and generalization capabilities, existing approaches still face deployment and computational barriers in practice. In this work, we propose Semantic reasoning for Communication via Open-set Plug-in with Examples (SCOPE), a novel lightweight-training LLM framework that advances both the efficiency and accuracy of machine-based ATC readback monitoring. The core idea is to couple a plug-in open-set classifier with a carefully designed in-context learning mechanism on top of a frozen LLM. Extensive experiments on the semi-synthetic communication dataset show that SCOPE attains superior accuracy while delivering the low-latency response required for operational environments. Under a few-shot setting, SCOPE achieves 91.05% accuracy in open-set detection and corrects 96.63% of anomalous readbacks, thereby outperforming the strongest available baselines while providing explanations for its decisions. These findings demonstrate the potential of our framework as a practical pathway toward interpretable and controllable ATC readback monitoring.

City-wide traffic forecasting is important for congestion management, route guidance, and intelligent transportation systems, but accurate prediction remains challenging when future traffic must be generated as spatial maps over an entire urban network. Existing traffic movie prediction methods have improved frame-level accuracy, yet many still treat forecasting mainly as image reconstruction. This can produce traffic maps that are numerically close to the ground truth but weakly constrained by road layout, connectivity, travel direction, and congestion propagation, especially in cross-city settings where both traffic behavior and road structure change. To address this limitation, this study proposes RCSNet, a road-conditioned spatiotemporal network that reformulates traffic movie prediction as topology-guided future-state generation. RCSNet extracts road-aware representations from static road maps, models multi-horizon traffic dynamics from historical observations, aligns directional traffic features with local road structure, and progressively generates future traffic maps for improved temporal consistency. A structure-consistent learning objective further encourages predictions to remain accurate, road-aligned, and spatially stable. Experiments across multiple cities show that RCSNet improves both forecasting accuracy and structural consistency. In same-city forecasting on Berlin, Antwerp, and Moscow, RCSNet reduces average MAE, MSE, and RMSE by 11.5%, 10.0%, and 5.1%, respectively, compared with the closest baseline. In cross-city testing on unseen Chicago and Bangkok, it reduces RMSE by 10.6% and 10.5% without target-city fine-tuning. Additional horizon-wise, road-structure, explainability, statistical, and efficiency analyses show that RCSNet produces more accurate, transferable, road-aligned, and computationally efficient traffic forecasts.

The integration of Large Language Models (LLMs) with microscopic traffic simulation offers a promising path toward autonomous urban planning and intelligent transportation analysis. However, existing monolithic agent architectures often struggle with the complexity of end-to-end simulation workflows, leading to reasoning failures, parameter inconsistency, and a lack of systematic state management. This paper proposes a novel multi-agent collaborative framework designed to automate the entire lifecycle of traffic simulation in SUMO (Simulation of Urban Mobility). Our approach decouples the simulation pipeline into specialized roles, including Planner, Builder, Demand, Runner, and Analyst, coordinated by a high-level reasoning engine. We introduce a state-persistent Orchestrator leveraging the Model Context Protocol (MCP) to ensure seamless data handover and environmental consistency across distributed agent actions. This architecture enables a robust closed-loop refinement process, where simulation outcomes are iteratively analyzed and optimized to satisfy user-defined Key Performance Indicators (KPIs). Experimental results through role ablation studies demonstrate that the proposed multi-agent framework significantly enhances task success rates and parameter accuracy compared to single-agent baselines. Furthermore, case studies on real-world network extraction and traffic optimization highlight the system's capability to bridge the gap between high-level natural language intent and low-level simulation execution.

Software-Defined Networking (SDN) provides flexible and programmable network management; however, its centralized control architecture remains highly vulnerable to Distributed Denial-of-Service (DDoS) attacks, particularly Carpet-Bombing DDoS attacks that distribute malicious traffic across multiple targets to evade conventional detection mechanisms. In this paper, a Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG)-based framework is proposed for real-time detection and mitigation of Carpet-Bombing DDoS attacks in SDN environments. The proposed framework combines interface-level traffic features representation, semantic embedding generation, FAISS-based similarity retrieval, and Large Language Model (LLM)-driven contextual inference to classify traffic behavior without requiring conventional supervised model training or retraining. To evaluate the effectiveness of the proposed framework, extensive experiments were conducted under multiple Carpet-Bombing DDoS attack scenarios with different attack intensities. In addition, two traffic representation strategies, namely structured JSON-based representation and natural language-based representation (NLR), were investigated using multiple state-of-the-art LLMs. The experimental results demonstrate that the proposed framework achieved highly accurate and stable attack detection performance, while the framework configuration utilizing the Gemma-4-31B-IT model achieved the strongest overall detection results. Furthermore, real-time experiments confirmed the capability of the proposed framework to rapidly detect and mitigate Carpet-Bombing DDoS attacks while maintaining stable SDN network operation. The obtained results highlight the effectiveness of integrating RAG mechanisms with LLM for intelligent and adaptive SDN security analysis.

As a core task in intelligent transportation systems, traffic forecasting plays a critical role in urban traffic management. Accurate traffic forecasting relies on modeling complex spatiotemporal dependencies, which is inherently challenging due to spatial heterogeneity in traffic systems.Despite significant progress, most existing methods are still limited to pairwise spatial dependency modeling, making it difficult to capture dynamic high-order interactions among nodes with similar traffic patterns. To address this issue, we propose PHGNet, a novel spatiotemporal forecasting framework based on prototype-guided hypergraph construction. At the core of PHGNet, a prototype learning mechanism is designed to adaptively assign pattern-similar nodes to hyperedges, thereby capturing high-order interactions with time-varying structures. To improve the reliability of dynamic hypergraph construction, we further develop a global-local node representation module to extract time-consistent features. For forecasting, iterative residual refinement and Temporal Query Attention are introduced to improve forecasting accuracy while supporting efficient parallel decoding. Extensive experiments on multiple real-world datasets demonstrate that PHGNet achieves superior predictive performance compared with state-of-the-art methods.

Accurate traffic forecasting is essential for intelligent transportation systems, supporting a wide range of real-world applications. However, it remains challenging due to two key factors:(1) Traffic series contain heterogeneous temporal patterns, where stable periodic regularities coexist with event-driven fluctuations. Existing methods often treat them within a unified representation, limiting their ability to capture fine-grained temporal dynamics.(2)Spatial dependencies among nodes are inherently dynamic and sparse, while dense all-pairs attention often introduces redundant interactions and amplifies noise. To address these issues, we propose ADMFormer, an Adaptive-Decomposition Transformer with Time-Varying Masked Spatial Attention. Specifically, ADMFormer first employs a time-node adaptive gating mechanism to decouple traffic signals into dominant regularities and residual fluctuations that vary across time and nodes. A dual-branch temporal module is then designed to separately capture global periodic dependencies and high-frequency irregular variations from these two decomposed components. Furthermore, ADMFormer introduces a time-varying masked spatial attention that sparsifies spatial interactions based on real-time traffic states, thereby effectively preserving dynamic and informative dependencies. Extensive experiments on four real-world datasets demonstrate that ADMFormer achieves state-of-the-art performance.

Accurate measurement of traffic volumes and flows is vital for modern intelligent transportation. However, despite recent technological advances in sensor devices, it is still expensive to install and maintain fixed traffic counters. Therefore, it is restricted to a small portion of location points where the counters can be installed, which severely limits the possibility of grasping and predicting the total traffic volume at a city-wide level. By contrast, devices with location history such as smartphones and connected vehicles are now widely used and provide much wider spatial coverage. However, the data from these devices are usually partial and noisy, so they are not enough to directly estimate total traffic volumes and flows. In this paper, we use the information from these widely available devices to help decide where to place additional traffic counters, and we study how selecting new measurement locations can improve city-wide traffic estimation performance. To achieve this, we propose an algorithm that chooses additional counter locations to increase the diversity of observed traffic signal patterns, rather than simply spreading counters evenly over space. The goal is to capture traffic-pattern types that are rare in the current counter set and to make the collected observations more representative for later estimation and forecasting. We also present a real-world evaluation; in a target city, we select new locations expected to improve traffic prediction, and we then commissioned new field measurements at those locations at our expense. The resulting data led to an improvement in traffic volume estimation accuracy across different fidelities.

The 3GPP V2X resource allocation framework defines two entity classes -- the base station and the vehicle UE -- and four modes across LTE and NR generations. We demonstrate that this binary taxonomy is structurally incomplete. Base station-led scheduling saturates at high-density traffic nodes, producing latency-tail failures that persist even when mean packet delivery ratios approach the service-class target. UE autonomy is categorically incapable of pre-emergence warning for occluded traffic participants and insufficient for large-scope cascading environmental hazards. We propose Mode 0, a new 3GPP V2X category whose defining entity is the Roadside Computing Unit (RCU) -- an infrastructure ensemble integrating elevated sensing (Seeing), sidelink communication (Speaking), and local computational evaluation (Thinking), owned by traffic management authorities. Mode 0 defines a subfamily spectrum from Mode 0a (all-passive UEs, the guaranteed minimum) through Mode 0c (all-active UEs, the optimal target). Convergent deployment evidence from Chinese national standards (DB11/T 2329.1-2024, T/ITS 0224.1-2025), China Unicom RS-MEC infrastructure, and European and US C-V2X programs confirms that both institutional sides are converging on the roadside traffic node without a coordination standard. A fifteen-run Multi-Agent Proximal Policy Optimization (MAPPO) simulation validates the architectural family: Mode 0a in shared-pool baseline sits at the analytical symmetric-Nash coordination floor; Mode 0c with demand separation achieves strict Pareto improvement for both traffic classes (M0 PDR 0.999, M1 PDR 0.998 at $ρ_{\rm pool} \leq 1$) and lifts the worst-TTI delivery ratio from near-zero to 0.601 -- the only configuration satisfying the latency safety requirement structurally. We call for a 3GPP study item on Mode 0 within the NR-V2X sidelink enhancement work programme.

Effectively managing Air Traffic Control Officer (ATCO) workload is crucial in maintaining operational safety. Group supervisors use tools that estimate upcoming traffic load to aid decision-making. However, industry-standard models can fail to capture the nuances of upcoming air traffic complexity. This study presents a probabilistic approach to forecast the complexity of an airspace sector using the number of relevant aircraft pairs, i.e., those that require monitoring or deconfliction by a controller, as a proxy measure for ATCO workload. We adapted an existing filter algorithm to make it suitable for use in London Middle Sector (LMS), a complex airspace sector with multiple flows of traffic above some of the busiest airports in Europe. Through iterative feedback with ATCOs, the algorithm was refined and extended to handle specific geometric and operational considerations. The updated algorithm outperformed the original, with an F1-score of 0.84 compared to 0.69 on a labelled set of 50 traffic scenarios. To produce forecasts of future numbers of relevant aircraft pairs in the sector, a graph representation of the LMS route network was constructed, standardising the spatial fidelity of route legs. The forecasting method accounts for uncertainty in aircraft arrival times by modelling the probability of each aircraft occupying route segments at future query times. When combined with historic distributions of relevant interactions and a live operational data stream, predictions of upcoming ATCO workload could be made up to 45 minutes in advance. The proposed method to forecast upcoming workload showed a significantly stronger correlation with actual relevant interactions (Spearman's $ρ= 0.68$) than a standard traffic volume prediction ($ρ= 0.55$). The resulting data-driven tool shows promise for use by group supervisors to inform sector configuration and ATCO rostering decisions.

Active traffic management (ATM) is frequently hindered by traditional macroscopic models and rigid empirical thresholds that fail to capture metastable phase precursors, resulting in delayed, reactive interventions. To address this, we propose SpinFlow, a physics-informed spin-field framework unifying Kerner's three-phase theory with statistical physics for continuous macroscopic traffic phase inference. Inspired by the Heisenberg model, SpinFlow parametrizes spatially varying phase weights via a latent spin vector and a competitive-equilibrium mapping, allowing synchronized flow to emerge naturally. A physics-regularized Expectation-Maximization algorithm inverts this latent structure from high-resolution trajectories, jointly optimizing the spin field while softly enforcing mass conservation and spatial smoothness. We introduce the Phase Equilibrium Degree (PED) to quantify structural alignment and topologically localize phase-transition points. Across four real-world trajectory datasets, SpinFlow achieves $R_{q}^{2}$ up to 0.940, PED drops of 94.9-100%, and interpretable phase maps that outperform three heterogeneous baselines on forward accuracy, physics consistency, and bottleneck localization. SpinFlow pinpoints congestion nucleation without prior network topology, yielding a data-driven, physics-consistent trigger for ATM.

The imminent integration of autonomous vehicles and mobile robots in urban settings presents a critical safety challenge for future intelligent transportation systems. This paper addresses the complex problem of coordinating heterogeneous agents with disparate dynamics at unregulated intersections. We introduce a novel framework, differentiable model predictive safety (DMPS), which embeds the foresight of model-predictive control into a data-driven, end-to-end reinforcement learning architecture. DMPS agents learn a latent dynamics model to predict future trajectories contingent on their actions. A learned, differentiable safety critic then evaluates the risk of these trajectories. Crucially, by leveraging backpropagation through the entire unrolled predictive model, agents can efficiently compute the gradient of future safety with respect to their current action, enabling a minimal and precise online safety correction. Integrated into a multi-agent training scheme, DMPS virtually eliminates collisions to less than 5.6% in high-density, mixed vehicle-robot traffic simulations, demonstrating state-of-the-art safety without compromising energy and traffic efficiency.

Supervised open-loop training has been widely adopted for training traffic simulation models; however, it fails to capture the inherently dynamic, multi-agent interactions common in complex driving scenarios. We introduce RLFTSim, a reinforcement-learning-based fine-tuning framework that enhances scenario realism by aligning simulator rollouts with real-world data distributions and provides a method for distilling goal-conditioned controllability in scenario generation. We instantiate RLFTSim on top of a pre-trained simulation model, design a reward that balances fidelity and controllability, and perform comprehensive experiments on the Waymo Open Motion Dataset. Our results show improvements in realism, achieving state-of-the-art performance. Compared with other heuristic search-based fine-tuning methods, RLFTSim requires significantly fewer samples due to a proposed low-variance and dense reward signal, and it directly addresses the realism alignment issue by design. We also demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach for distilling traffic simulation controllability through goal conditioning. The project page is available at https://ehsan-ami.github.io/rlftsim.

Understanding customer movement within retail spaces is essential for optimizing store layouts. Real-world trajectory data can provide highly accurate insights, but collecting it is costly and often infeasible for many retailers. Heuristics such as Travelling Salesman Problem (TSP) and Probabilistic Nearest Neighbours (PNN) are commonly used as inexpensive approximations, but actual customer trajectories deviate by an average of 28% from shortest paths, highlighting a tradeoff between accuracy and practicality. We propose an agent-based modelling framework that casts customer trajectory prediction as a maximum entropy reinforcement learning (RL) problem, balancing reward maximization with stochasticity to better reflect customers with bounded rationality. Using real-world trajectory data from a convenience store, we show that RL-generated trajectories align more closely with customer behaviour than TSP and PNN, providing more accurate estimates of impulse purchase rates and shelf traffic densities. Furthermore, only RL-based predictions yield repositioning decisions for impulse products that align with those derived from actual trajectory data, resulting in comparable estimated profit gains. Our work demonstrates that RL provides a practical, behaviourally grounded alternative that bridges the gap between oversimplified heuristics and data-intensive approaches, making accurate layout optimization more accessible. To encourage further research, the source code is available on GitHub.

Traffic forecasting is a significant part of intelligent transportation systems. One of the critical challenges of traffic forecasting is to find spatio-temporal correlations. In recent years, graph convolutional networks and graph attention networks have replaced traditional statistical models to predict future traffic. However, it is complicated for both of them to allow vertices to have far different characters. To address this, we propose the Global-Local Graph Attention Network (GLGAT) with pairwise encoding and the event-based adjacency matrix. The GLGAT allows vertices to have a global attention matrix set for the whole graph and assigns local attention matrix sets to each vertex. Experiments on two real-world traffic datasets show that GLGAT can effectively capture spatio-temporal correlations and has competitive performance against other state-of-the-art baselines.

We present a flow-matching planner for autonomous driving that directly outputs actionable control trajectories defined by acceleration and curvature profiles. The model is conditioned on a bird's-eye-view (BEV) raster of the surrounding scene and generates control sequences in a small number of Ordinary Differential Equations (ODE) integration steps, enabling low-latency inference suitable for real-time closed-loop re-planning. We train exclusively on urban scenarios (real urban city streets, intersections and roundabouts of the city of Parma, Italy) collected from a 2D traffic simulator with reactive agents, and evaluate in closed-loop on both in-distribution and markedly out-of-distribution environments, including multi-lane highways and unseen urban scenarios. Our results show that the model generalizes reliably to these unseen conditions, maintaining stable closed-loop control and successfully completing scenarios that differ substantially from the training distribution. We attribute this to the BEV representation, which provides a geometry-centric view of the scene that is inherently less sensitive to distributional shifts, and to the flow-matching formulation, which learns a smooth vector field that degrades gracefully under distribution shift. We provide video demonstrations of closed-loop behavior at https://marcelloceresini.github.io/DirectControlFlowMatching.

Safety in reinforcement learning is often specified through cumulative cost constraints, but these trajectory-level guarantees do not directly prevent unsafe individual decisions, especially under nonstationarity. In continual and nonstationary settings, the difficulty is amplified because the risk associated with the same action can vary across contexts, while a fixed state-level threshold may be either too conservative or too weak. We propose Constraint Projection Safety Shield (CPSS), a runtime mechanism that converts a cumulative safety budget into adaptive state-level control constraints during execution. CPSS tracks the remaining safety budget, projects it into a time-varying admissible risk threshold, and filters policy actions whose predicted safety cost exceeds the active threshold. The threshold is adjusted online using contextual signals so that enforcement becomes stricter in more demanding or rapidly changing regimes and less restrictive when the available safety budget is sufficient. We analyze the resulting shielded policy and show that the mechanism guarantees per-state threshold satisfaction for executed actions, induces finite-horizon cumulative cost bounds, and yields a performance degradation bound in terms of intervention frequency and per-step reward distortion. We evaluate CPSS in nonstationary highway merging scenarios using highway-env. Across multiple seeds, CPSS substantially reduces proximity-based safety violations and increases separation margins while intervening selectively rather than dominating the learned policy. These results support adaptive budget-to-threshold projection as a practical way to transform cumulative safety specifications into effective local safety control for continual reinforcement learning systems.

Collisions at non-line-of-sight (NLOS) intersections remain a major safety concern because drivers have limited visibility of approaching traffic. V2X based warnings can reduce these risks, yet many vehicles are not equipped with V2X and drivers may ignore in vehicle alerts. Collective perception (CP) can compensate for low V2X penetration by extending the awareness of connected vehicles, but it cannot influence unconnected vehicles. To fill this gap, our work introduces a complementary concept that adds a cooperative humanoid robot as an active traffic moderator capable of physically stopping a vehicle that attempts to merge into an unseen traffic stream. The system operates on two parallel perception pathways. A dual camera infrastructure unit detects the position, speed and motion of approaching vehicles and transmits this information to the robot as a collective perception message (CPM). The robot also receives cooperative awareness messages (CAM) from connected vehicles through its onboard V2X unit and can act as a relay for decentralized environmental notification messages (DENM) when safety events originate elsewhere along the road. A fusion module combines these streams to maintain a robust real time view of the main road. A Zone of Danger (ZoD) is defined and used to predict whether an approaching vehicle creates a collision risk for a merging road user. When such a risk is detected, the robot issues a human-like STOP gesture and blocks the merging path until the hazard disappears. The full system was deployed at the Future Mobility Park (FMP) in Rotterdam. Experiments show that the combined vision and V2X perception allows the robot to detect approaching vehicles early, predict hazards reliably and prevent unsafe merges in real world NLOS conditions.

Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) can provide flexible traffic surveillance where fixed roadside cameras are unavailable, costly, or impractical. However, raw UAV video is difficult to use for traffic analytics because vehicle motion is observed in perspective image coordinates rather than in a stable metric road coordinate system. This paper presents a lightweight pipeline for converting monocular oblique UAV traffic video into a local metric bird's-eye-view (BEV) representation. Visible road geometry, including lane markings, road borders, and crosswalks, is used to estimate a road-plane homography from image coordinates to metric ground-plane coordinates. Vehicle observations from dataset annotations or detectors are then projected to BEV using estimated ground contact points. The resulting trajectories support estimation of vehicle direction, speed, heading, and dynamic 3D cuboids on the road plane. We evaluate the pipeline on UAVDT using ground-truth annotations to isolate calibration and geometric reconstruction from detector and tracker errors. For sequence M1401, 40 sampled frames from img000001-img000196 produce 632 metric cuboid instances across 23 tracks. Results show that road-geometry calibration can transform monocular UAV footage into interpretable traffic-camera-style analytics, including BEV tracks and synchronized 3D cuboid visualizations. They also reveal key limitations: far-field vehicles are sensitive to homography errors, manual validation is currently more reliable than fully automatic calibration, and the single-plane assumption limits performance in non-planar or ambiguous road regions. The proposed pipeline provides a practical foundation for deployable UAV traffic cameras and future real-time traffic digital-twin systems.