Measures

Momentum

21 papers in the last four weeks, up 40% on the four weeks before. 0.3% of all new papers.

Jul 6Week of Sep 21

Latest papers 128

Jul 1, 2026cs.LG

Gauging, Measuring, and Controlling Critic Complexity in Actor-Critic Reinforcement Learning

Actor-critic methods depend on learned critics, but critic quality is often evaluated only indirectly through return, temporal-difference error, or value loss. Critic complexity is introduced as an additional diagnostic and intervention dimension for actor-critic reinforcement learning. The analysis uses spectral effective-rank entropy, a rank-like summary of the singular-value distributions of critic weight matrices, to assess critic model complexity. Across TD3 and PPO experiments, critic complexity is tracked together with return and Monte Carlo value-estimation bias. The results show that critic complexity is measurable throughout training and is systematically associated with training behavior, while also making clear that the relationship is heterogeneous across algorithms, tasks, and hyperparameters. A direct complexity-control intervention is then evaluated by adding a spectral-entropy penalty to the critic loss. This intervention reliably changes the targeted spectral quantity, demonstrating that critic complexity can be controlled rather than only observed. Return effects are treated as task-dependent evidence rather than as a general performance claim, because overall complexity-control results vary.
Jun 30, 2026cs.AI

Who Determines the Meaning of an Emotion? Affective Sovereignty as an Epistemic Consequence of Measurement Limits

Emotion-sensing AI is rapidly becoming embedded in vehicles, home appliances, dialogue agents, and social infrastructure, giving rise to a sphere in which emotion is no longer confined to individual experience but is instead observed and computed at a societal scale, a domain we term the Affectosphere. Yet a central normative question in this domain has remained underexplored: who has the final authority to determine the meaning of one's own emotion? This study addresses the question from the epistemological side of measurement's structural limits. We define a meaning distribution as the distribution of labels assigned by annotators drawn from a population under a fixed annotation protocol, and decompose its uncertainty into reducible and irreducible components. We then demonstrate that, while emotion AI can assign high-confidence point labels and discriminate real differences at an aggregate level, the irreducible component of the meaning distribution for individual instances cannot be estimated with adequate coverage under realistic annotator counts, a systematic divergence we term the epistemic gap. The key finding is that high device confidence does not constitute evidence that irrecoverable meaning has been recovered. From this epistemic gap, together with an explicitly stated normative premise, namely that the output of a system which cannot recover a quantity in principle must not be treated as its authoritative determination, we derive the norm that the final interpretive authority over the meaning of one's emotion is procedurally reserved for the experiencing subject, the norm of affective sovereignty. These results suggest that the design, evaluation, and regulation of emotion AI should place explicit allocation of interpretive authority, rather than accuracy maximisation, at their core.
Jun 29, 2026cs.LG

Data-Driven Energy-Based Learning via Gibbs Measures on Hierarchical Structures

We introduce a data-driven probabilistic framework for learning systems based on Gibbs measures on hierarchical structures. Unlike standard empirical risk minimization, where a dataset is used to identify a single optimal parameter, our approach transforms the empirical loss function into an interaction potential defining an energy-based model. The resulting Gibbs distribution describes a family of equilibrium learning states generated by the data. We formulate the consistency conditions of the associated finite-volume distributions and derive nonlinear integral fixed-point equations whose solutions characterize the admissible learning states. These equations provide a rigorous connection between empirical loss landscapes and probabilistic inference on trees. For translation-invariant solutions, the problem reduces to the analysis of positive compact operators induced by data-dependent kernels, allowing us to establish existence and uniqueness conditions in the one-dimensional setting. Furthermore, we show that hierarchical learning systems may exhibit phase-transition phenomena: for certain empirical kernels on Cayley trees, multiple Gibbs measures emerge beyond a critical inverse temperature, corresponding to distinct equilibrium prediction regimes. Numerical experiments with non-separable kernels illustrate the appearance of multiple solution branches and demonstrate the coexistence of several data-induced learning states. Our results provide a new perspective on energy-based learning, where data do not merely determine an optimal model through minimization but define an entire probabilistic landscape of possible inference states.
Jun 28, 2026cs.LG

Deciphering Region-Level Signatures from Latency Measurements in LEO Satellite Internet

Low-Earth orbit (LEO) satellite Internet has become an indispensable infrastructure that provide growing coverage for global users. Despite extensive measurement efforts, the principles underlying region-level performance characteristics remain insufficiently understood, limiting the ability to identify region-specific latency signatures under dynamic network conditions. In this paper, we formulate the problem of region-level latency characterization using Starlink round-trip time (RTT) measurements from the public LENS dataset. We then propose a hierarchical analytical framework that transforms raw RTT sequences into multi-scale statistical features for cross-region comparison. Using data from five geographically representative regions, we demonstrate that latency differences are strongly associated with deployment factors, particularly infrastructure availability and Starlink dish-to-Point-of-Presence distance. Mutual information analysis identifies minimum RTT as the most discriminative feature, which is further supported by XGBoost-based feature importance. The proposed model well achieves 83% accuracy on short-term data. However, its performance degrades over longer periods, indicating limited temporal generalization and motivating the need for adaptive models and feature representations for long-term performance in the future.
Jun 27, 2026cs.LG

The Contagion Tensor: A Framework for Measuring Output-Distribution Coupling in Multi-Agent LLM Systems -- and Auditing the Claims It Enables

We introduce the Contagion Tensor, a measurement framework for quantifying how large language model (LLM) output distributions couple across modalities, agents, and time steps. From the tensor we derive the Coupling Amplification Factor (CAF), a family of ratio-based metrics sharing the form CAF = E[T_condition] / E[T_baseline], providing unitless, baseline-referenced measurement with bootstrap confidence intervals. We instantiate CAF in four variants and evaluate the strongest in a complete 2x2x2 block-orthogonal simulation design with modality-specific ablation. The ablation reveals that an apparent image-condition super-linear effect (CAF = 1.40) collapses to sub-linear (CAF = 0.87) when the image perturbation module is disabled, a shift of -0.53 with zero effect on text conditions. We supplement with real-API experiments across two model families: DeepSeek-Chat (R=30) and GPT-4o-mini (R=15, real vision). Under uniform personas, text-only communication produces CAF approx 1.0 in both models. Diverse personas drive convergence (CAF = 0.88). A within-model comparison on GPT-4o-mini reveals: C3 (text) CAF = 1.02 vs. C5 (real vision, R=30) CAF = 1.72 [1.700, 1.733], delta = +0.70, validating the simulation's super-linear image-condition prediction. Of 11 conditions, 5 have been tested on real APIs and 6 remain unverified. Our contribution is two-layered: (1) a measurement instrument that makes output-distribution coupling quantitatively falsifiable; and (2) a transferable ablation protocol that any modular multi-agent simulator can adopt to distinguish genuine coupling from design artifacts.
Jun 26, 2026cs.CL

Correct codes for the wrong reasons? validating LLMs as measurement instruments for theoretical constructs

When a large language model (LLM) codes a construct in text as a human annotator would, that agreement makes the LLM a reliable coder. Yet reliability leaves construct validity untouched. The instrument may be theory-naive, reaching the code through a correlate that meets none of the demands the construct's theory makes, and no current method tells that apart from genuine measurement. We propose grain calibration as a method that closes the gap. It decomposes a construct into clause-level components, tests each against the text with extractive evidence, and combines the results through an explicit, theory-derived rule. Because the rule is stated rather than lodged in one opaque pass, its structure is evidence about the process rather than the output. It shows which components settled a code, and, when the code is wrong, whether a component was missed or an adjacent construct mistaken for it. Validation shifts from scoring an instrument's outputs against an annotator to showing that the instrument runs on the construct its theory specifies.
Jun 25, 2026cs.LG

Productionized Fairness Measurement Under Privacy Constraints

Fairness measurements in the form of disaggregated evaluations often rely on demographic signals that are legally constrained or culturally sensitive. Race and ethnicity signals are among the more difficult signals to curate and use for this task. This paper presents Privacy-Preserving Probabilistic Race/Ethnicity Estimation (PPRE) as a method for enabling fairness measurements with respect to race/ethnicity for U.S.\ LinkedIn members in a privacy-preserving manner. PPRE applies privacy technologies (specifically: secure two-party computation, differential privacy, and additive homomorphic encryption) on top of two race/ethnicity demographic signal sources (the Bayesian Improved Surname Geocoding estimator and a sparse golden survey set of self-reported demographics) to power a fairness measurement solution with respect to US-based race/ethnicity demographics. We detail its privacy guarantees and demonstrate its application on candidate- and viewer-side fairness measurements. We close with a transferable framework for institutions seeking to implement similar privacy-preserving measurement infrastructure.
Jun 24, 2026eess.SP

Transformer-based Multisensor Data Fusion of Ultrasonic Guided Wave and FBG-based Strain Measurements for Multitask Aerospace Structural Health Monitoring

Structural health monitoring (SHM) has emerged as an essential tool for ensuring the integrity and reliability of critical engineering structures, particularly in aerospace applications. Since each sensing technology has its limitations, the fusion of different modalities enables capturing a more complete picture of inhomogeneous materials, like composites. However, effective multisensor data fusion in SHM is often hindered by heterogeneous sensing modalities that operate at disparate sampling frequencies and acquisition intervals. To address these challenges, this paper proposes a Transformer-based data fusion framework that integrates multisensor data streams from piezoelectric transducer (PZT) capturing ultrasonic guided wave signals and fiber Bragg grating (FBG) sensors for strain measurements. By incorporating an attention-mechanism visualization, the proposed framework enables transparent, multitask learning for both health indicator (HI) prediction and damage localization. The framework was experimentally validated using aircraft composite structures subjected to compression-compression fatigue cyclic loading. For HI prediction, the framework consistently achieved a mean absolute error (MAE) and root mean squared error (RMSE) below 0.1, representing a nearly 60% performance improvement over single-sensor approaches (PZT or FBG alone) and baseline deep learning models. For damage localization, the model demonstrated the highest accuracy, maintaining an MAE and RMSE below 0.0465 and 0.1571, respectively. These results demonstrate that the proposed Transformer-based data fusion framework significantly outperforms single-source models and state-of-the-art deep learning models in both HI prediction and damage localization accuracy.
Jun 24, 2026cs.CV

Evaluation Protocols and Validation for Cameras in Indoor Healthcare Monitoring

Camera-based monitoring systems are increasingly adopted in healthcare settings for the continuous assessment of patient movement and activities. However, their technical performance under real-world indoor conditions remains insufficiently characterised, preventing appropriate camera selection for clinical or home adoption and reproducibility. Existing validation studies typically assess either device metrological performance or algorithm accuracy in isolation, and often do not systematically account for practical deployment factors, such as lighting variability, occlusions, and camera positioning. We present two technical validation protocols: the first evaluates the metrological performance of RGB and RGB-D cameras, and the second assesses their use in supporting human pose estimation, validated using state-of-the-art pose estimators. The proposed protocols systematically assess five cameras, four RGB-D and one RGB, under controlled variations in lighting, camera height, viewing angle, and occlusion level within representative indoor scenarios. The experimental results show that metrological performance varies substantially across cameras, with depth bias at 5 m ranging from 50 mm to over 1400 mm depending on the device. For 2D pose estimation, all cameras achieve broadly comparable accuracy, with mean mAP between approximately 78% and 90% across cameras and estimators, whereas 3D reconstruction error differs markedly across devices, with MPJPE ranging from 104 mm to 365 mm, closely reflecting underlying depth-sensing quality. Environmental factors have a camera- and estimator-dependent effect on 3D performance, while camera mounting height has minimal influence within the evaluated range. This work provides evidence-based guidance for the selection and deployment of cameras in healthcare monitoring applications, addressing an important gap in current technical validation practice.
Jun 23, 2026cs.RO

Swazure: Swarm Measurement of Pose for Flying Light Specks

One may construct a 3D multimedia display using miniature drones configured with light sources, Flying Light Specks (FLSs). Swarms of FLSs localize to illuminate complex 3D shapes and animated sequences consistent with the coordinates of points in a point cloud. This requires FLSs to accurately measure their pose relative to one another using sensors such as cameras. Such sensors have a sweet range in which they provide the highest accuracy. A challenge is how an FLS tracks another FLS outside its sensor's sweet range, dictated by the point cloud data. We address this challenge by proposing a novel technique called Swazure that solves the missing sensor data using cooperation among FLSs. It implements physical data independence by abstracting the physical characteristics of the sensors, making point cloud data independent of the sensor hardware. The size of an FLS relative to the minimum distance between points of a point cloud is an important parameter. With medium-sized FLSs, Swazure is able to position 100% of the FLS's neighbors. Larger FLS sizes may result in potential obstructions that prevent Swazure from quantifying relative pose. We present two heuristics, Move Obstructing and Move Source, to address this limitation. Our experimental results show the superiority of the Move Obstructing heuristic which resolves approximately 30% of obstructions in the worst case scenario.
Jun 22, 2026cs.AI

AI Exposure Scores: what they measure, what they miss, and what comes next

A set of exposure scores calculated in 2023 has become a central empirical input to the future of work debate. Produced by Eloundou et al. (2023) and referred to here as the GPTs are GPTs scores, they define exposure as the share of occupational tasks a large language model can assist with. This work is a genuine methodological contribution, but as the scores travel from the time and place they were produced, the limitations the authors named do not always travel with them. Two gaps have widened as a result. The first is structural, between what static exposure scores measure and what policy questions actually require. Taking the diffusion of these scores as a case study, we show how their temporal, geographic, and ontological limitations compound in policy-facing analyses, and we survey five families of research responding to these limits: dynamic and benchmark-based measures, ensemble methods, task-framework extensions, worker-centered metrics, and adoption and usage data. The second gap is the one we argue needs more attention: the coordination between researchers and policymakers. The policy-relevant work which ask who is harmed, who benefits, how, and when, continues to reference the static GPTs are GPTs scores without engagement with the methodological updates that would let these questions be answered more reliably. We then ask what additional steps towards navigating uncertainty remain: ex-post frameworks and the deliberate, political work of reimagining what futures are worthy of building towards are. Closing the research-policy gap is a shared task: policymakers must widen their evidence base, engage workers as epistemic partners, and shift from prediction to preparedness; researchers must build data infrastructure, adopt participatory methods, and write with policymakers in mind. Better measurement matters, but it will not close the second gap alone.
Jun 22, 2026cs.CL

Measuring & Mitigating Over-Alignment for LLMs in Multilingual Criminal Law Courts

While the wider applicability of LLMs in the legal field is currently debated due to their reliability and the gravity of any errors, narrow uses with well-understood and mitigated risks have emerged. Notably the Swiss Federal Supreme Court uses small on-premises models for tentative translations and short-passage summarization across the four official languages. However, such usage is challenging in the context of Criminal Law. Since rulings and cases employees work on routinely can contain detailed descriptions of violent and sexual offenses, their legitimate work is compromised by refusals and disclaimers due to the activation of model guardrails (over-alignment). To measure this phenomenon, we introduce TF-RefusalBench, a multilingual benchmark for criminal-law translation and summarization derived from public Swiss Supreme Court rulings. TF-RefusalBench contains 5,200 total prompts across French, German, Italian, and English, corresponding to common task prompts and passages likely to trigger refusal. We then use TF-RefusalBench to show that over-alignment is a multifaceted phenomenon, influenced by the model and the prompt and text languages being processed, and that its impact cannot be evaluated solely from an over-refusal perspective, given the disclaimer's impact on task faithfulness. Finally, we evaluate approaches to enable on-premises LLMs for Criminal Law Tasks, demonstrating that while prompting can be effective, abliteration (refusal directions ablation) eliminates refusal with minimal impact on task performance.
Jun 21, 2026cs.CV

Curvature-aware 3D length estimation of greenhouse cucumbers using RGB-D imaging and cubic spline arc-length integration

Commercial greenhouse cucumber production is graded by fruit length, which drives harvest scheduling, labour allocation, and logistics. Manual measurement with thread or caliper is accurate but infeasible at commercial scale. This paper presents CucumberVision, a non-contact length estimation framework using an Intel RealSense D435 RGB-D camera. A YOLO26n instance segmentation model locates cucumbers, and SAM (ViT-B backbone) refines each detection to a pixel-precise mask. Five methods are evaluated under matched conditions: (M1) a dominant-axis skeleton scan-line baseline; (M2) PCA on the bounding-box depth point cloud; (M3) SAM mask with medial-axis skeletonisation; (M4) a hybrid keypoint-guided approach using a YOLO26-pose model predicting five anatomical landmarks (KP0--KP4) with piecewise 3D arc-length; and (M5) a novel medial arc spline method fitting a cubic spline through the 3D medial axis of the SAM mask and computing arc length by trapezoidal integration -- the first such application to elongated vegetable measurement. All methods share five-frame burst depth averaging, colour-stream intrinsic alignment, and adaptive method selection with cascading fallbacks ensuring 100% coverage. A benchmark of 48 captures across seven cucumbers in three size categories (small ~8 cm, medium ~13 cm, large ~25 cm) with thread-based ground truth establishes a significant accuracy hierarchy: M1 (MAPE 9.68%) > M2 (5.31%) > M4 (5.51%) > M3 (5.82%) > M5 (4.13%). M5 significantly outperforms all competitors at Bonferroni-corrected alpha=0.0125. A secondary contribution is identifying a 12--18% length underestimation caused by using depth-stream rather than colour-stream intrinsics after rs.align(rs.stream.color) -- an under-reported error source. The complete system is released open source and runs in real time on a single consumer-grade GPU.
Jun 20, 2026cs.LG

A Standard Processing Pipeline for High-accuracy Measurement of Few-shot Regression on Laser Induced Breakdown Spectroscopy

Laser-induced breakdown spectroscopy (LIBS) faces challenges in high-accuracy quantitative measurement under few-shot scenarios due to spectral noise and data scarcity. Traditional preprocessing methods often fail to preserve subtle spectral features or capture nonlinear correlations. This work proposes a standardized processing pipeline integrating diffusion-based denoising, attention-based autoencoder for dimensionality reduction, group shuffling data augmentation, and ordinary least squares regression. The diffusion module employs a 3D UNet architecture to remove spectral noise while preserving essential emission features. The attention-autoencoder captures nonlinear spectral correlations, effectively reducing high-dimensional spectral data to compact latent representations. Group shuffling data augmentation enhances model robustness by creating synthetic samples through feature group permutation. Experimental results on multiple elemental concentrations demonstrate that our Diffusion-DA-AE pipeline achieves superior performance with a mean RMAE of 0.2847, representing 37.7% and 37.6% improvements over baseline autoencoder and traditional PCA-PLS regression, respectively. The framework's effectiveness validates its generalizability and establishes a new benchmark for few-shot LIBS regression.
Jun 18, 2026cs.AI

Apparent Psychological Profiles of Large Language Models are Largely a Measurement Artifact

Psychological instruments designed for humans are increasingly used to assign large language models (LLMs) stable psychological profiles that affect their usability, safety assessment, and use as proxies for human participants in research. Using a formal psychometric framework, we show that these profiles are largely a measurement artifact. Administering a battery of personality and risk-preference instruments spanning self-reports and behavioral tasks to 56 instruction-tuned LLMs alongside large human reference samples, we report four findings. First, differences between models are driven not by the traits an instrument targets but by a directional response bias, a tendency to respond toward one end of the scale, or one labeled option, regardless of item content; a variance decomposition attributes 81-90% of between-model variation to this bias, against 9-16% in humans. Second, the bias declines with model capability but is not eliminated by it. Third, because bias rather than trait drives responding, an instrument's apparent reliability is almost entirely predicted by its response orthogonality, a term we coin for the proportion of items for which trait and bias point in opposite directions. Fourth, the profile a model appears to have shifts with the items used and can be manufactured through item selection. These results demonstrate that the apparent psychological profiles of LLMs are artifacts of the instrument used to measure them, not properties of the models themselves. As instruments borrowed from human psychology are rarely fully orthogonal and may inherently lack validity for LLMs, we call for dedicated assessments centered on response orthogonality.
Jun 17, 2026cs.LG

Trainable Photonic Measurement for Physics-Informed PDE Learning

Photonic quantum machine learning offers a route to trainable physical representations built from phase, interference and measurement. However, its role in scientific machine learning remains largely unexplored. Physics-informed neural fields provide a natural setting, because differential equations require trial spaces that preserve phase, frequency and derivative structure. Here we introduce a photonic quantum neural field in which coordinates become trainable optical phases, are mixed by multi-photon Fock-space interference and are decoded from photon-number measurements. The photonic circuit is optimized as the neural-field representation itself, not as a fixed feature map or hardware accelerator. Photonic measurement is therefore a trainable representation on which the physics-informed residual is minimized. Across seven elliptic, wave, nonlinear dispersive and inverse PDE benchmarks, we observe a phase-complexity transition: classical coordinate and Fourier-feature networks suffice in smooth regimes, whereas the photonic field is most accurate when residual derivatives amplify phase mismatch. In the hardest regimes it gives the lowest errors, with margins reaching an order of magnitude and about one quarter of the trainable parameters of classical baselines. Frozen and shuffled controls, together with noise stress tests, attribute this gain to learned interference and stable Fock-probability readout under compound perturbations. These results identify photonic quantum measurement as a representation-learning principle for scientific machine learning.
Jun 14, 2026cs.CL

Vernier: Probing Representational Misalignment Behind Lexical Gaps in Causal Reasoning

Instruction-tuned language models can answer the same causal-reasoning question differently after its English variable names are replaced by type-preserving placeholders, although the structural causal model and the gold answer are unchanged. We ask whether this lexical gap reflects information loss in the placeholder view or a misaligned read-out from a representation that still carries answer-relevant content. Vernier uses a paired-view weight update as an instrument and then inspects the mechanism left after the gap closes. In the working regimes, the evidence favours representational misalignment. A variable-name probe becomes more accurate on the placeholder view, and activation patching on Qwen-7B, Qwen-14B, and Llama-3.1-8B shows that the decision-token representation can transfer answer identity between views. The update that realigns the views is counterfactual augmentation over original and placeholder prompts, while the answer-subspace KL mainly sharpens intermediate answer-belief agreement. Success is bounded by model family, scale, and task. CRASS transfer is reliable across Qwen scales and Llama, e-CARE remains weak, and preliminary non-causal rename tasks show a similar qualitative pattern.
Jun 13, 2026cs.RO

Design and Fabrication of a Spin Coater with In-Situ Optical Measurement for Soft Thin Films

Spin coating is widely used for fabrication of thin polymer and elastomer films, yet reliable thickness verification of highly compliant materials remains challenging due to deformation from contact-based measurements and the cost and complexity of conventional optical metrology. Accurate thickness control is especially critical in soft elastomer applications such as dielectric elastomer actuators (DEAs), where mechanical and functional performance scales strongly with film thickness. This work presents a low-cost, primarily 3D-printed benchtop spin coater with an integrated, minimally deforming optical thickness measurement system for soft-film fabrication workflows. The system is designed to manufacture films between 50 and 300 microns thick with repeatability within 10 microns. Thickness is measured in-situ by tracking displacement of a reflected laser beam via quadrant photodetector, avoiding significant deformation. Optical geometry, sensor linearity constraints, and structural validation via finite element analysis are discussed. Experimental validation using calibrated metal shims demonstrated a thickness resolution of 3.6-3.7 microns and best-case measurement repeatability of 13 microns (95 percent confidence interval). The platform repeatably produced silicone films within 9 microns of target thickness, demonstrating that accessible optical metrology can be integrated into a low-cost spin coating system for practical, thickness-controlled fabrication of compliant thin films without specialized industrial instrumentation.
Jun 10, 2026cs.CV

Image Quality Assessment of Identity Cards Using Measures from Open Face Image Quality

This paper addresses the challenge of assessing image quality in ID cards in remote verification systems by applying capture-related quality measures from the Open Face Image Quality (OFIQ) standard to ID card images. Our preprocessing pipeline includes corner detection, perspective normalization, and comprehensive foreground masking to ensure accurate and unbiased quality measure computation. We evaluate the effectiveness of these measures by analyzing their correlation with the performance of three presentation attack detection (PAD) algorithms across four diverse ID card datasets, where two datasets contain bona fide, i.e. pristine, images and two contain printed mock ID cards. Our results suggest that quality assessment based on some OFIQ measures can significantly improve PAD performance.
Jun 8, 2026cs.CV

Leveraging Morphology for Historical Script Metrological Analysis

Advances in handwritten text recognition have enabled large-scale transcription of historical documents, but still provide limited access to interpretable visual measurements for paleography, the study of historical scripts. In this paper, our main insight is that morphological script analysis, in particular the capacity to learn character prototypes from line-level transcriptions, enables the definition of scalable, meaningful, and stable paleographic measurements. More precisely, we leverage a transformer-based detection architecture together with a prototype-based line reconstruction module to learn prototypical characters and their occurrence, deformation, and positioning. Our contributions are twofold. First, we introduce a deep architecture and learning methodology that enables efficient character modeling with only line-level transcription supervision, significantly improving over the Learnable Typewriter baseline and enabling accurate character bounding box prediction, unlocking its potential for paleographic measurements. Second, we introduce and demonstrate the paleographical relevance of automatic measurements enabled by our architecture for characters, bi-grams, and spaces between graphical units. For this demonstration, we extend the annotations of the codex Paris, BnF, fr. 2813, commissioned in the late fourteenth century by Charles V and copied by four hands, to 160 pages. We visualize our measurements over these pages, showing how they enable us not only to differentiate graphical profiles, but also to discover and analyze subtle variations. This case study outlines the scalability of our approach and its frugality in terms of required training data, since a single column of text is sufficient to compute our measurements on each of the 160 pages. Data and code are publicly available at: https://malamatenia.github.io/morphology4metrology-analysis.
Jun 3, 2026stat.ML

REGAIN: REconciliation GAIN-driven Auxiliary Direction Learning

Forecast reconciliation usually starts from a fixed measurement system and asks how forecasts should be projected onto a coherent space. We ask a different question: which additional linear measurements should be forecast and included in the reconciliation system? We propose REGAIN, a reconciliation-gain framework that learns normalized auxiliary directions, forecasts the induced series with a frozen forecasting oracle, and selects directions by their target-weighted loss reduction after augmented generalized least-squares reconciliation. Unlike variance-based components or predictability-based auxiliary selection, REGAIN optimizes the downstream effect of an auxiliary measurement on the final reconciled forecasts. We provide a statistical characterization showing that useful auxiliary directions must provide complementary information about unresolved target uncertainty, rather than merely being easy to forecast. The analysis also clarifies the covariance-risk reduction mechanism, the role of bias changes in realized quadratic risk, and the stability of estimated gain signals. A stagewise learning algorithm with held-out gain screening is developed, together with an optional joint refinement step. Experiments on Beijing PM2.5 and Australian Tourism data show that gain-selected measurements can improve both ordinary multivariate and hierarchical forecasts, especially when they reveal residual uncertainty not captured by the original measurement system.
Jun 2, 2026stat.ML

Privacy-Robust Incrementality Measurement for Advertising Systems under Signal Loss

Advertising platforms use randomized lift tests to measure incrementality, but privacy-preserving reporting systems degrade the observed signal through match-rate loss, linkability loss, attribution-window loss, aggregation-threshold suppression, randomized reporting noise, and segment-heterogeneous signal loss. This paper formulates privacy-constrained advertising measurement as a robust causal decision problem under the mentioned signal losses. Given a randomized experiment and an ambiguity set for privacy-induced degradation, the framework projects the observation-compatible fiber of clean/unfiltered experimental worlds onto the incrementality functional and returns certified, rejected, and unresolved decisions. The main result gives a sharp decision frontier. Reports outside the frontier support uniformly valid certification or rejection, whereas reports inside it contain too little information for any method to uniformly distinguish above-threshold incrementality from non-incrementality. Supporting results give finite-sample certification, sample-complexity guarantees, a minimax lower bound showing that signal loss reduces effective information, and a reporting-granularity tradeoff. On 2.0M Criteo Uplift rows and the 64K-row Hillstrom email experiment, clean conversion lift is positive in both datasets, with lifts 0.00112 and 0.00495, respectively. Population certification survives mild degradation in Criteo and severe degradation in Hillstrom, while all considered finite-sample stress settings in both datasets remain unresolved after simultaneous uncertainty and reporting noise are included. Overall, the research contributes a decision-theoretic layer for privacy-aware incrementality measurement whose output is the strongest causal-claim justified by degraded ads signals.
Jun 1, 2026cs.HC

Quantitative Movement Testing: Measuring Chronic Pain Patient Movements from a Single Smartphone Video

Chronic pain diminishes quality of life by decreasing functional ability, yet objectively measuring this functional impact remains challenging in real-world settings. While optical motion capture provides high precision for assessing altered movement quality, it is costly and restricted to laboratory environments. We aimed to develop and validate Quantitative Movement Testing (QMT), a computer vision pipeline extracting 3D kinematic biomarkers from standard monocular smartphone video, balancing clinical accessibility with biomechanical accuracy. We validated the QMT pipeline, utilising deep learning-based 3D pose-estimation, against gold-standard optical motion capture in healthy controls (N=13). Following leave-one-subject-out calibration to correct systematic bias, we deployed QMT in two prospective clinical cohorts to assess real-world utility: a pre- and post-intervention trial for fibromyalgia patients, and a 30-day longitudinal at-home monitoring study of chronic sciatica patients and healthy controls. In laboratory validation, QMT extracted clinical kinematic metrics with high agreement to optical motion capture, yielding strong correlations (r > 0.85) and low mean absolute errors. QMT demonstrated high test-retest reliability (r > 0.86) in fibromyalgia patients and successfully tracked day-to-day movement fluctuations in chronic sciatica. While real-world home settings introduced higher measurement variance than lab settings, QMT found group-level differences between healthy controls and sciatica patients based entirely on remote recordings. Monocular 3D pose estimation offers a scalable alternative to traditional assessments. QMT provides an objective, accessible biomarker for tracking disease progression and treatment response in clinical trials, though further research is needed to optimise reliability in home environments.
May 29, 2026cs.CL

Cognitive Fatigue in Autoregressive Transformers: Formalization and Measurement

Autoregressive language models frequently degrade during long-horizon generation, producing repetitive text, losing instruction adherence, and exhibiting unstable entropy. Despite the prevalence of these failures, practitioners lack online diagnostics to detect them in real-time as they occur. We formalize this degradation as cognitive fatigue, a measurable generation-time state characterized by decay in attention to the original prompt, representational drift, and entropy miscalibration. We introduce the Fatigue Index (FI), a lightweight, model-agnostic diagnostic that aggregates these three signals under explicit axioms (monotonicity, boundedness, interpretability) enabling reliable runtime monitoring. Across nine models (1B-13B parameters), FI trajectories exhibit structured temporal dynamics, predict task degradation (AUROC = 0.95) and repetition (Spearman rho = 0.94), and reveal non-monotonic scaling behavior: instruction-tuned models below 3B exhibit faster collapse than base models, with this trend reversing at 7B. Stress analyses further show that FI onset accelerates under longer contexts, middle-positioned evidence, and reduced numerical precision. These results establish cognitive fatigue as a coherent and measurable phenomenon, and position FI as a principled tool for runtime reliability monitoring in production LLM systems.
May 29, 2026cs.AI

PReMISE: Policy Rubrics as Measurement Specifications for LLM Judges

LLM judges are increasingly used to evaluate open-ended responses, but their scores depend strongly on the rubrics that condition them. A vague rubric asking for a response to be ``helpful and factual'' can reward polished answers that invent facts or violate user intent. We treat reusable rubrics as measurement specifications: changing the rubric changes the response quality measurement induced by a fixed judge. We introduce PReMISE, a framework that, given pairwise human-preference data, (i) discovers a policy-level rubric set, and (ii) audits any rubric set under LLM-judge use along four axes: structural adequacy, reliability, preference fit, and adversarial robustness. Across rubric sources no raw source is simultaneously reliable, preference-predictive, and adversarially robust; and high inter-rater agreement does not imply low exploitability. PReMISE is the only rubric source to score non-trivially on applicability, specificity, and effective dimensionality simultaneously. We contribute two audit-targeted repair operations: preference-rank selection raises judge accuracy on paired responses from 65.0%65.0\% to 68.6%68.6\%, competitive with the strongest rubric-discovery baselines and leading on two of three judges in our cross-judge sweep; reliability-constrained refinement reduces the rate at which exploit responses receive high scores from 46.4%46.4\% to 36.0%36.0\% with little change in inter-judge agreement (α=.531→.519α{=}.531\to.519).
May 28, 2026cs.LG

Measuring, Localizing, and Ablating Alignment Signatures in LLMs

Aligned language models often exhibit a recognizable AI-like style, yet its connection to post-training and internal representations remains poorly understood. In this work, we study whether post-training introduces or amplifies AI-like stylistic regularities and whether these regularities have a localized internal signature. To this end, we compare human text, base-model generations, and aligned-model generations under matched human-source prefixes. Aligned generations show lower human-corpus affinity and higher AI-detection rates than base generations, suggesting that post-training shifts generated text away from human-corpus style and toward detector-visible AI-like text. We then introduce PASTA (Post-training Alignment Signature Targeted Ablation), a training-free method that estimates a post-training alignment signature from aligned-base residual contrasts and ablates the corresponding direction during decoding. Across 11 aligned models and 6 AI detectors, PASTA lowers the detection rate for most aligned models; this effect transfers well across detectors and is not reproduced by random directions. Qualitative analysis suggests that PASTA generations remain relevant and coherent while exhibiting greater stylistic variation. Together, these results show that AI-like stylistic effects of post-training can be measured, localized, and causally tested through activation ablation.
May 27, 2026cs.LG

FormInv: A Measurement Protocol for Semantic Invariance in Mathematical Reasoning Benchmarks

A paraphrase-quality audit of MathCheck (ICLR 2025) detected 4 semantically incorrect paraphrases in 129 groups (3.1%); removing them drops GPT-4o from rank 2 to rank 4 and elevates Claude Haiku and DeepSeek V3 above it; these ranking changes are invisible to any single-model evaluation. Cross-model unanimity found these errors automatically (>= 3/4 models for MathCheck; >= 6/9 for our primary evaluation) for under $10; in our own dataset the same protocol found that 47% of auto-generated connective-variation paraphrases were semantically incorrect. That flaw compounds a deeper measurement gap: Claude Haiku 4.5 achieves 86% accuracy yet SCR=50%, meaning half its theorems are answered differently under semantically equivalent restatements, while aggregate accuracy across 9 models spans only 86-96% yet Semantic Consistency Rates (SCR) span 50-82% -- a 32-point gap invisible to standard benchmarks. Formally, for any target ranking over 9 frontier models there exists a weighting over paraphrase families that realizes it (No-Free-Benchmark corollary), because no model Pareto-dominates all families -- so benchmark designers who select families are implicitly choosing which model wins. FormInv supplies the audit protocol (replicated on external benchmarks at 100% recall), SCR and per-theorem Cochran's Q as primary invariance measures evaluated on 9 models across 366-811 items (on Lean4-verified theorems), and FormInvSelector for regime-aware model selection.
May 27, 2026cs.CL

Measuring Form and Function in Language Models

We introduce quantitative metrics for child language acquisition to evaluate language models. Our focus is on the formal syntactic and functional discourse properties of determiners in English, which young children acquire early and accurately. We propose Contextual Alternative Choice (CAC), a new prompting method which provides targeted tests for both syntactic and discourse knowledge of language. The method enables direct comparison of language models against children, and more importantly, against statistical benchmarks independently established in empirical research. No current model trained on a comparable amount of data simultaneously meet both formal and functional benchmarks like human children, but some very large models do. We present our results as methodological and technical contributions, with specific emphasis on cognitive status of language models.
May 27, 2026cs.LG

Measure-to-measure Regression with Transformers

Many learning problems require predicting how populations evolve under an unknown transformation. A natural representation for such populations is a probability measure, with point clouds as a key example. In this work, we study the measure-to-measure (M2M) regression problem, in which one seeks to learn a map between probability measures from a finite collection of observed input-output pairs. In contrast to classical regression, where individual samples are transformed independently, M2M regression treats entire distributions as the data points. This perspective is vital in certain scientific applications, for example, cellular and molecular biology, where cells are known to evolve not as independent data points but as a collection. However, few existing approaches address the problem of M2M regression with sufficient expressivity and scalability. We present a formalization of nonlinear M2M regression and introduce two easy-to-use, expressive, and scalable approaches to learn such operators: transformers as static M2M maps and transformers as dynamic M2M velocity fields. Our approach leverages the natural measure-dependent and mean-field structure of transformers to learn nonlinear M2M maps on the space of probability distributions. We illustrate the effectiveness of our proposed method to generalize to unseen measures on synthetic experiments, interacting particle systems, and a large-scale patient-derived organoid dataset for predicting treatment response in colorectal cancer.
May 27, 2026cs.CV

Automated Estimation of Impact Time, Impact Location, and Shuttlecock Speed in Badminton Smashes Using Event Cameras

Quantifying impact phenomena in badminton smashes is important for evaluating both athletic performance and equipment; however, conventional measurement systems involve trade-offs between temporal resolution, data efficiency, and preparation effort. This study proposes a measurement method using two synchronized event cameras to automatically estimate impact time, impact location on the racket face, and post-impact shuttlecock speed in an integrated manner within the same trial. The swing interval was detected from event rate statistics, impact time was estimated from the shuttlecock trajectory inflection in the lateral-view event data, impact location was determined by ellipse fitting to the racket face in the rear-view event image, and shuttlecock speed was calculated in the sagittal plane. To validate the proposed method, Bland-Altman analysis was performed against a high-speed camera-based reference method using 125 smash trials from five players. Impact time and shuttlecock speed were estimated in all 124 analyzable trials, and impact location was estimated in 93.5% (116/124). The bias (95% CI) for impact time, medio-lateral impact location, longitudinal impact location, and shuttlecock speed were 1.84 ms (1.45 to 2.23), 3.45 mm (2.18 to 4.72), -1.92 mm (-2.97 to -0.88), and -1.00 m/s (-2.46 to 0.46), respectively. No proportional bias was observed for any metric. These results suggest that the proposed method can serve as a useful tool for integrated assessment of badminton smash performance and equipment in practical settings.
May 26, 2026cs.CV

Comparative Study of Vision-Based Metric Measurement for Large-Scale Planar Scenes

Vision-based metric distance and area measurement remains challenging in large-scale outdoor environments due to long-range sensing, camera zoom, and unstable imaging conditions. This work studies planar metric measurement in a real-world reservoir monitoring scenario using PTZ cameras and compares three representative approaches: geometry-based monocular ranging, image stitching with birds-eye-view transformation, and stereo-based ranging using two jointly calibrated monocular cameras. For monocular ranging, planar localization models are derived from camera geometry and the effect of camera pitch angle is analyzed. Image stitching is investigated for large-area mapping, while a stereo-based scheme is developed for long-range measurement without dedicated stereo hardware. Experiments show clear trade-offs: monocular ranging achieves meter-level accuracy under sufficiently large pitch angles, stereo-based ranging achieves decimeter-level accuracy with reduced sensitivity to pitch variations, and image stitching is effective for small-scale scenes but degrades in stability and scalability as scene size increases.
May 25, 2026cs.CL

When Do LLM Agents Treat Surface Noise Differently from Semantic Noise? A 68-Cell Measurement Study with a Held-Out Trace-Level Validation

We document an empirical phenomenon in chain-of-thought and ReAct agents driven by ten large language models from seven architecture families: meaning-bearing perturbations (e.g., paraphrase, synonym) alter final answers more often than presentation perturbations (e.g., formatting, reordering) of comparable severity. Across 68 cells spanning GSM8K, MATH, and HotpotQA (1,530 originals and ∼\sim11,150 variants), the inconsistency gap averages +19.69 pp after severity matching (paired t=9.58t=9.58, p<0.0001p<0.0001), with 64/68 cells positive. The gap survives four severity-proxy audits and remains significant when excluding qwen models (+11.10 pp, p<0.0001p<0.0001). Several stress tests fail honestly: cluster-bootstrap significance disappears under stricter assumptions, tractability contrasts do not replicate, cross-architecture generator swaps break per-cell rankings, and a second LLM judge yields only moderate agreement (κ=0.50κ=0.50). We then validate the headline effect on a fully held-out 11th model (qwen2.5-14B-Instruct; 1,800 trajectories) and re-test a pre-registered capability×\timestractability partition, observing a small but positive held-out effect (3/4 cells positive; pooled Welch t=3.81t=3.81, p=9.6×10−4p=9.6\times10^{-4}). Using held-out trajectories, we probe four trace-level mechanism signals. Two prior mechanism claims fail to replicate and are explicitly retracted. Two new probes instead support a \emph{stealth-divergence} picture: semantic perturbations often preserve the first action but induce divergence in intermediate reasoning from later steps onward, accompanied by slightly deeper trajectories. We position this as a measurement contribution with held-out replication and a partial trace-level account of how semantic perturbations propagate through agent reasoning. Code, perturbation corpus, raw trajectories, and analysis scripts are released anonymously for review.
May 23, 2026cs.RO

Enhanced INS/GNSS State Estimation using GNSS-Based Acceleration Measurements

Accurate and reliable navigation is essential for autonomous ground vehicle operations. Standard INS/GNSS fusion relies on GNSS position updates, which provide limited observability of orientation and inertial sensor error states, particularly during low-dynamic motion. In this work, we propose utilizing past GNSS measurements alongside a motion model to extract meaningful vehicle acceleration information. This acceleration measurement is then integrated into the INS/GNSS filter to improve its robustness and accuracy. The proposed approach is evaluated on two real-world unmanned ground vehicle datasets collected from different mobile platforms and inertial sensor grades. Results demonstrate consistent positioning accuracy improvements relative to the standard position-aided filter, with mean position root mean square error improvements of 11.40 % and 20.74 % on the two datasets, respectively.
May 23, 2026cs.LG

Measuring Alignment-Induced Activation Shifts Correctly: A Template-Controlled Difference-in-Differences Protocol

Comparing a model's internal activations before and after alignment is a natural way to ask what safety training changes: one forms the matrix of paired aligned-minus-base activations on safety-relevant inputs and reads off its effective rank or top direction. We show the obvious way to form this matrix is confounded. The aligned model is evaluated under a chat template the base model never saw, so the naive difference conflates the alignment shift with chat formatting. We introduce a four-variant decomposition of the modification matrix (naive, template-controlled, within-aligned, and difference-in-differences, DiD) that separates the two effects. Template control alone removes a 2.0-3.9x inflation of the measured effective rank across Llama-3.1-8B, Gemma-2-9B, and Qwen-2.5-7B; the DiD contrast is what recovers the refusal direction of Arditi et al. (2024), lifting its cosine alignment from 0.18-0.39 to 0.50-0.86. Projection-ablation across the three families confirms the recovered subspace is behaviorally active and that singular-value order is not causal order. We validate the protocol on a controlled testbed and distill it into measurement recommendations for activation-difference studies of alignment.
May 21, 2026cs.CV

Millimeter-wave Imaging for Anthropometric Body Measurement

Body shape and circumferences are clinically informative biomarkers for risk stratification, including measures such as waist to hip ratio, limb and trunk girths, yet conventional tools such as manual tape measures and optical scanners often require undressing and sustained poses. These demands slow workflows, compromise dignity, and exclude many older adults and people with limited mobility. To make measurement fast and contactless, we leverage millimeter-wave (mmWave) radar, which preserves privacy and operates through typical clothing, enabling quick full-body acquisition. In this work, we present a new optimization-based framework to recover 3D human shape and extract a comprehensive set of anthropometric measurements from volumetric mmWave data. Our method introduces a weighted registration pipeline that fits a parametric body model (SMPL) directly to the noisy mmWave point cloud. The core of our contribution is a vertex-weighting strategy that modulates a Chamfer energy function for reliable surface alignment and noise elimination. We further stabilize the fit by incorporating a foot-ground plane constraint and pose priors, optimizing directly for the SMPL parameters. Together, these components enable a fast, privacy preserving workflow that delivers high fidelity body shape and measurements through clothing without cameras or disrobing and with minimal cooperation, supporting frequent risk oriented assessments in clinics and care facilities for patients of all ages and mobility levels.
May 21, 2026cs.SE

A measurement substrate for agentic Kubernetes operations: Methodology and a case study in retrieval-compounding falsification

Empirical claims about autonomous Kubernetes operations agents are largely unfalsifiable. Published work reports observational results without controlled comparisons against an agent-disabled baseline, selection bias is endemic, pre-registered decision matrices are absent, and samples are typically too small for the noise level of the underlying scoring system. The cause is the same gap that limits the agents themselves: code agents have a verification substrate that turns "did it work" into a fast, falsifiable, ground-truth signal, and operations has nothing equivalent. We present agent-breakage, a closed-loop measurement framework that injects faults into a target Kubernetes cluster, observes how an autonomous agent responds, scores the response on four axes against ground truth, and accumulates outcome-labeled (state, action, outcome) tuples. The framework distinguishes framework error from reasoning error, supports a true off-condition control via a deterministic-embedder mechanism, and enforces pre-registered decision matrices. We use it as a case study to test whether retrieval over past postmortems compounds an agent's capability. The methodological payload is three confounds the substrate caught during that case study, each of which would have produced a wrong published claim on a less instrumented version of the same work: a pgvector index bug, a +19% selection-bias artifact, and small-sample estimates that overstated effects by roughly 3x. The retrieval result itself is a partial falsification: 1 of 3 dense-corpus scenarios significant at p<0.05, pooled effect +3.9 percentage points, not significant at n=60. A within-scenario corpus-density sweep at 360 runs shows that mechanistic alignment of near-neighbors dominates raw count. The framework is released open source.
May 20, 2026cs.AI

Who Uses AI? Platform Selection and the Measurement of Occupational AI Exposure

Conversation logs from AI platforms are increasingly used to measure occupational exposure to artificial intelligence, but the users observed in these logs are not the workforce. We show that platform-derived exposure scores combine task-level AI applicability with the occupational composition of the platform's user base. Holding the empirical design fixed, changing only the platform input changes the post-ChatGPT employment coefficient by a factor of 1.9, and consumer and enterprise channels within the same vendor disagree in sign. We formalize the resulting non-classical measurement error, decompose it into between- and within-occupation selection, and construct workforce-reweighted partial-identification bounds. Reweighting to Bureau of Labor Statistics employment shares attenuates estimates by 42 to 93 percent. The bias captures augmentation among observed users more directly than substitution in the workforce.
May 20, 2026cs.LG

On the Regularity and Generalization of One-Step Wasserstein-guided Generative Models for PDE-Induced Measures

Despite the remarkable empirical success of generative models, the available theory on their statistical accuracy in scientific computing remains largely pessimistic. This paper develops a theoretical framework for understanding the regularity of transport maps and the generalization properties of one-step Wasserstein-guided generative models for PDE-induced probability measures. We consider normalized target densities associated with linear elliptic and parabolic equations on bounded domains, as well as diffusion and Fokker--Planck equations on the torus. Under standard structural assumptions, we prove that these target measures satisfy doubling conditions. By combining this fact with regularity theory for optimal transport between doubling measures, we show that the optimal transport map from a uniform source measure to the target measure is Hölder continuous. This regularity yields an approximation-theoretic justification for one-step generative models that learn PDE-induced distributions via a single pushforward map. As a representative instance, we study DeepParticle and derive excess-risk bounds characterizing the discrepancy between the learned map and the population-optimal map. We also establish a robustness estimate under target shift and illustrate the theory with experiments which support the derived rates.
May 20, 2026stat.ML

A Rigorous, Tractable Measure of Model Complexity

An accurate assessment of a model's complexity is crucial for topics such as interpretation, generalization, and model selection. However, most existing complexity measures either rely on heuristic assumptions or are computationally prohibitive. In this paper, we present a mathematically rigorous yet easy-to-compute measure of model complexity that is based on the similarities between the model gradients across inputs. It is thus well-defined for any parametric model, but also for kernel-based non-parametric models. We prove that our measure of complexity generalizes model-specific complexity measures such as polynomial degree (for polynomial regression), kernel length scale (for Matérn kernels), number of neighbors (for k-nearest neighbors), number of splits (for decision trees), and number of trees (for random forests). We also use our measure to obtain new insights into the double descent phenomenon for random Fourier features, random forests, neural networks, and gradient boosting.
May 17, 2026cs.CV

MSIQ: Moment-based Scale-Invariant Quality Measure for Single Image Super-Resolution

Assessing the quality of single image super-resolution (SISR) results remains an open methodological problem. Common full-reference metrics (PSNR, SSIM, LPIPS) do not explicitly evaluate the preservation of the geometric structure of images, which is critical for the correctness of scale-based reconstruction. In addition, they require the forced alignment of images to the same size (\textit{forced resizing}), which introduces an external interpolation error into the evaluation process. This paper proposes a diagnostic scale-invariant quality measure, MSIQ (\textit{Moment-based Scale-Invariant Quality}), based on the comparison of normalized central geometric moments of two images. MSIQ enables direct comparison of images with different spatial resolutions without resizing, is mathematically deterministic (\textit{model-free}), and has an analytical form. To provide a theoretical basis for the approach, we introduce a conceptual distinction between the ability of metrics to monotonically track degradation (\textit{tracking ability}) and their geometric selectivity (\textit{geometric specificity}). The experimental validation confirmed the stability of MSIQ under uniform scaling and, at the same time, revealed the high sensitivity of traditional metrics to the choice of interpolation method. The results show that MSIQ has pronounced geometric selectivity: the proposed measure effectively separates geometric deformations from non-geometric artifacts, in particular JPEG compression, unlike pixel-based and perceptual metrics. It is also shown that the response of MSIQ to structural perturbations remains stable across different classes of SR algorithms, including DNN models with different architectures. The proposed measure is a complementary diagnostic tool for domains where geometric fidelity has priority, in particular medical imaging and remote sensing.
May 15, 2026cs.CL

A Scalable Tool for Measuring Manner and Result Verbs in Developmental Language Research

Manner and result verbs encode different aspects of event structure and have been discussed in developmental work as a potentially informative distinction for studying early verb learning. However, this distinction remains difficult to measure at scale because large annotated resources for manner and result classification are not currently available. We present a computational approach for identifying manner and result verbs in sentence context. Using linguistically informed prompts, we generate sentence-level annotations with large language models over data drawn from MASC and InterCorp, extending coverage from previously annotated portions of VerbNet to 436 classes. We then train a RoBERTa-based classifier on these annotations and evaluate it on three held-out gold-standard datasets, including previously annotated items and a new expert-annotated set. Across these evaluations, the model shows promising performance, with average accuracy up to 89.6%. We present this work as a scalable measurement tool that can support future research on verb semantics in developmental and other language datasets, while noting that further validation is needed for borderline cases, mixed manner/result verbs, and downstream developmental applications.
May 12, 2026cs.AI

Assessing and Mitigating Miscalibration in LLM-Based Social Science Measurement

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used in social science as scalable measurement tools for converting unstructured text into variables that can enter standard empirical designs. Measurement validity demands more than high average accuracy, which requires well calibrated confidence that faithfully reflects the empirical probability of each measurement being correct. This paper studies the model miscalibration in LLM-based social science measurement. We begin with a case study on FOMC and show that confidence based filtering can change downstream regression estimates when LLM confidence is miscalibrated. We then audit calibration across 14 social science constructs covering both proprietary models, including GPT-5-mini, DeepSeek-V3.2, and open source models. Across tasks and model families, reported confidence is poorly aligned with tolerance-based correctness. As a simple mitigation, we propose a soft label distillation pipeline for calibrating Bert with LLM. The method converts an LLM score and its verbalized confidence into a soft target distribution, then trains a smaller discriminative classifier on encoder models for these targets. Averaged across datasets, this approach reduces ECE by 43.2% and Brier by 34.0%. These results suggest that LLM-based social science pipelines should treat calibration as part of measurement validity, rather than as an optional post-processing concern.
May 9, 2026stat.ML

Measuring and Decomposing Mode Separation via the Canonical Diffusion

Mode separation, namely how sharply a distribution fragments into barrier-separated clusters, is a fundamental geometric property of densities, difficult to quantify in high dimensions. It is structurally distinct from dispersion, yet existing tools fall short: differential entropy rises with spread regardless of fragmentation, PCA orders directions by variance regardless of barriers, and mutual information requires a mixture decomposition one usually does not have. We measure mode separation through a single stochastic process intrinsic to the density: a unique reversible diffusion with ff as its stationary distribution and constant scalar diffusion coefficient. We extract two readouts from its autocovariance matrix: SSA (Sum of Squared Autocorrelations), a scalar barrier-sensitive measure; and DA (Dominant Autocorrelation directions), linear projections ordered by metastability rather than variance. Under an isotropic-Gaussian null, we derive a closed-form spectrum for the empirical autocovariance that generalizes Marchenko--Pastur, with an analytic upper edge that selects the lag at which DA is read off. Both readouts use only samples and a score function, scaling to high dimensions through pretrained score-based generative models via Tweedie's identity. We apply our framework to three settings: (i) synthetic Gaussian mixtures, where SSA tracks mutual information; (ii) SDXL text-to-image generations, where SSA and DA capture structure that entropy and PCA miss; and (iii) molecular dynamics of alanine dipeptide, where DA recovers the known slow backbone dihedrals from static samples alone.
May 8, 2026stat.ML

Sinkhorn Treatment Effects: A Causal Optimal Transport Measure

We introduce the Sinkhorn treatment effect, an entropic optimal transport measure of divergence between counterfactual distributions. Unlike classical quantities such as the average treatment effect, this measure captures differences across entire distributions. We analyze this divergence as a statistical functional and show it can be written as a smooth transformation of counterfactual mean embeddings with an appropriate kernel. This characterization allows us to establish first-order pathwise differentiability in general, and second-order pathwise differentiability under the null hypothesis of equal counterfactual distributions. Leveraging this smoothness, we construct debiased estimators and use them to obtain asymptotically valid tests for distributional treatment effects with a fixed entropic regularization parameter. Because the power of the test depends on this unknown parameter, we further propose an aggregated test that combines evidence across a grid of regularization choices. Experiments on simulated and image data demonstrate the practical advantages of our estimator and testing procedure.
May 8, 2026cs.CL

Measuring and Mitigating the Distributional Gap Between Real and Simulated User Behaviors

As user simulators are increasingly used for interactive training and evaluation of AI assistants, it is essential that they represent the diverse behaviors of real users. While existing works train user simulators to generate human-like responses, whether they capture the broad and heterogeneous distribution of real user behaviors remains an open question. In this work, we introduce a method to measure the distributional gap between real and simulated user behaviors, validated through a human study and ablations. Given a dataset of real and simulated conversations, our method extracts representations of user behavior from each conversation, quantizes them into discrete distributions via clustering, then computes divergence metrics. We provide the first systematic evaluation of 24 LLM-based user simulators on coding and writing tasks, and reveal a large distributional gap from real users that varies across model families, scales, and behavioral facets. Pairwise comparisons show that most simulators behave similarly, while a few stand apart. Combining behaviorally complementary simulators brings the resulting distribution closer to real users compared to either simulator on its own. Finally, a TF-IDF analysis of the clusters surfaces interpretable patterns of behaviors that simulators capture, miss, and hallucinate.
May 7, 2026cs.LG

Measuring Learning Progress via Gradient-Momentum Coupling

Measuring learning progress is essential for curiosity-driven exploration in reinforcement learning, but widely used signals such as prediction error often fail to distinguish meaningful, learnable patterns from random noise. This paper proposes Gradient-Momentum Coupling (GMC), a signal derived from optimization dynamics that quantifies how useful each sample's gradient is for ongoing learning by measuring its per-parameter normalized absolute product with the momentum from previous gradients. By leveraging momentum's natural filtering of noise and oscillations, GMC identifies samples that contribute to ongoing parameter updates. Controlled experiments demonstrate noise robustness and emergent curriculum learning, with the signal prioritizing tasks by learning speed rather than difficulty. Experiments on MiniGrid suggest that replacing prediction error with GMC within existing curiosity-driven architectures can improve robustness to observation noise.
May 6, 2026cs.CV

Visual Text Compression as Measure Transport

Visual text compression (VTC) promises efficient long-context processing by rendering text into an image and re-encoding it with a vision-language model, often producing 33--20×20\times fewer decoder tokens than subword tokenization. Yet token savings do not translate predictably into downstream utility: on some tasks the visual path matches or exceeds the text path, on others it collapses, and the compression ratio itself does not predict which regime will occur. The missing quantity is therefore not another summary of efficiency, but a principled measure of task-relevant information loss induced by visual encoding. We address this problem by formulating VTC in the language of measure transport. Treating text and visual tokens as empirical probability measures, we show that the ViT patch encoder induces a push-forward map whose transport cost decomposes into a precision cost from within-patch aggregation and a coverage cost from cross-patch fragmentation. Both terms are estimable from downstream-label-free probes. This formulation yields two operational consequences: a downstream-label-free routing criterion that selects whether to use the visual path for a given input or benchmark instance, and a transport-informed foveation mechanism that re-encodes high-cost regions at higher resolution. Across 2424 NLP datasets at Qwen3-4B, our label-free rule matches the per-dataset oracle on 17/2417/24 datasets (70.8%70.8\%), and improves the average task score by +3.3%+3.3\% with −10.3%-10.3\% average tokens relative to a pure-LLM.
May 4, 2026cs.AI

Intervention Complexity as a Canonical Reward and a Measure of Intelligence

The Legg--Hutter universal intelligence measure provides a rigorous scalar assessment of general intelligence as expected reward across all computable environments, weighted by simplicity. However, the measure presupposes an externally specified reward function, raising the question of whether the reward primitive is inherently arbitrary or whether a canonical choice exists. We propose a new measure, called intervention complexity, that has five natural properties: environment-derivedness, universality, minimality, sensitivity, and achievement preference. Given a resource function rho encoding an inductive bias (such as program length, execution time, or energy), rho-intervention complexity is a universal reward. The result yields a family of canonical rewards indexed by resource bias, providing a principled completion of the Legg--Hutter framework that does not require external normative input. We further propose a two-dimensional characterisation of intelligence: agent competence (how well the agent performs relative to the oracle optimum) and learning efficiency (how quickly this competence improves with experience). A separation theorem establishes that the choice of resource bias determines the computability of the resulting measure: action-count IC is computable in polynomial time, while program-length IC without oracle access is uncomputable, with the gap between oracle and bare IC precisely quantifying the information-theoretic content of learning. We discuss implications for superintelligence and for pre-training universal agents.
May 2, 2026physics.app-ph

A skin-like conformal sensor for real-time shape mapping

Reliable real-time 3D shape sensing is essential for robust control and interpretation of deformable systems during motion. Existing vision-based approaches require line-of-sight and complex instrumentation, limiting operation in occluded and space-constrained settings. Here, we introduce a scalable, skin-like sensor that reconstructs its continuous 3D deformation in real time from distributed strain measurements. The device embeds a 2D array of mirror-stacked, printed oxidized eutectic gallium-indium (o-EGaIn) strain gauges within an elastomeric film to measure off-neutral-axis strains. Combined with a mechanics-informed observation model and a fast optimization routine, the system estimates local curvature, elongation, offset, and orientation under concurrent stretching, bending, and indentation, enabling reconstruction of complex surfaces. A 5-by-5 array with a 12 mm pitch achieves a mean surface reconstruction error of 0.62 mm with 0.1s latency across all tested scenarios. When conforming to complex surfaces, the sensor provides fast 3D shape mapping of the underlying geometry. Demonstrations involving palm gesturing, finger indentation, and contact-induced balloon deformation highlight utility for epidermal motion tracking, haptic interaction, and intraoperative monitoring.
Apr 29, 2026cs.CV

State Beyond Appearance: Diagnosing and Improving State Consistency in Dial-Based Measurement Reading

Multimodal large language models (MLLMs) have achieved impressive progress on general multimodal tasks, yet they remain brittle on dial-based measurement reading. In this paper, we study this problem through controlled benchmarks and feature-space probing, and show that current MLLMs not only achieve unsatisfactory accuracy on dial-based readout, but also suffer sharp performance drops under viewpoint and illumination changes even when the underlying dial state remains fixed. Our probing analysis further reveals that same-state samples under appearance variation are not consistently clustered, while neighboring states fail to preserve the local structure implied by continuous dial values. These findings suggest that existing MLLMs largely ignore the intrinsic state geometry of dial measurement tasks and instead rely on superficial appearance cues. Motivated by this diagnosis, we propose TriSCA, a tri-level state-consistent alignment framework for dial-based measurement reading. Specifically, TriSCA consists of state-distance-aware representation alignment, metadata-grounded observation-to-state supervision, and state-aware objective alignment. Extensive ablation studies and evaluation experiments on controlled clock and gauge benchmarks, together with evaluation on an external real-world benchmark, demonstrate the effectiveness of our method.
Apr 28, 2026cs.CL

Bye Bye Perspective API: Lessons for Building and Governing Measurement Infrastructure

Perspective API closes at the end of 2026, removing the de facto standard for toxicity measurement and exposing researchers' dependence on a tool they did not control. Drawing on this case, we argue that a research field must build and govern its own measurement infrastructure rather than borrow it. Surveying 241 papers that use or study Perspective, we show what depending on it cost the research community: claims reaching past what the tool could support, results that shifted when its model was silently retrained, and disparities researchers could measure but not explain. These failures were amplified throughout the LLM lifecycle, where Perspective supplied the labels, filtered the corpora, and graded the systems trained on each, rewarding errors rather than catching them. To keep the instrument open to study after shutdown, we release Perspective scores for 5.9 million text snippets from 77 datasets. We further specify ten requirements for measurement infrastructure a field owns, and argue that what blocks such infrastructure is not technical capability but the value the field places on infrastructure work.
Apr 27, 2026cs.LG

Null Measurability at the Symmetrization Interface in VC Learning

Recent work revisiting measurability in the fundamental theorem of statistical learning imposes Borel measurability of ghost-gap suprema. We show that, at the one-sided ghost-gap interface actually used by the standard symmetrization proof, this requirement is stronger than necessary. For any Borel-parameterized concept class on a Polish domain, the bad event "there exists a hypothesis whose ghost empirical error exceeds its training empirical error by at least ε/2" is analytic. By Choquet capacitability, it is therefore measurable in the completion of every finite Borel measure. We then construct a concept class whose bad event is null-measurable but not Borel, giving a strict separation from the Borel supremum condition. Finally, we prove closure under patching, fixed and countable interpolation, and fiber-product amalgamation, showing that the weaker regularity level is stable under natural concept-class constructors. In the realizable setting, where targets belong to the class and are measurable, these results weaken the measurability hypothesis needed by the symmetrization route from finite VC dimension to PAC learnability. The main results and the descriptive-set-theoretic infrastructure used by them are formalized in Lean 4.
Apr 26, 2026cs.AI

Non-Stationarity Breaks Permutation Surrogates in Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning: Diagnosis and Remedies

Reporting guidance for information-theoretic measures is rarely tested against ground truth. We test one guardrail in two multi-agent reinforcement learning games, a social dilemma and a coordination race, where directed influence between selected agent pairs is zero by construction, over 100 seeds. Omitting one precondition, exclusion of the non-stationary training transient, gives false-positive rates of 100.00% and 99.95%: agents annealing exploration independently, in runs that never met, are flagged as influencing one another. Excluding the transient reaches 3.0% in the social dilemma but 11.8% in the coordination game, which stationarity tests explain: 95.7% of social-dilemma series are stationary afterwards against 56.8% of coordination series. So the non-stationarity must be treated, and exclusion is neither the only way nor sufficient. What we recommend instead changes the null model rather than the data: permuting the source within blocks of training time reaches 5.25% and 5.50%, the only one of four constructions at the size of the test in both games, leaving series, statistic and estimand untouched. Titrating injected links of known strength in both games shows it is also the most sensitive of the three, detecting 89.0% in the coordination game where conditioning detects 61.0% on identical pairs, while the ablated test reports 100% with or without a link, so its apparent sensitivity is uninformative. The block count is not critical: every setting from 16 to 256 lands in the nominal region, and a partition derived from the stationarity test removes the parameter, though less sensitively. Code and data are released.
Apr 24, 2026cs.CL

Measuring and Mitigating Persona Distortions from AI Writing Assistance

Hundreds of millions of people use artificial intelligence (AI) for writing assistance. Here, we evaluated how AI writing assistance distorts writer personas - their perceived beliefs, personality, and identity. In three large-scale experiments, writers (N=2,939) wrote political opinion paragraphs with and without AI assistance. Separate groups of readers (N=11,091) blindly evaluated these paragraphs across 29 socially salient dimensions of reader perception, spanning political opinion, writing quality, writer personality, emotions, and demographics. AI writing assistance produced persona distortions across all dimensions: with AI, writers seemed more opinionated, competent, and positive, and their perceived demographic profile shifted towards more privileged groups. Writers objected to many of the observed distortions, yet continued to prefer AI-assisted text even when made aware of them. We successfully mitigated objectionable persona distortions at the model level by training reward models on our experimental data (10,008 paragraphs, 2,903,596 ratings) to steer AI outputs towards faithful representation of writer stance. However, this came at a cost to user acceptance, suggesting an entanglement between desirable and undesirable properties of AI writing assistance that may be difficult to resolve. In two follow-up studies (N=8,798), readers placed substantially more trust in AI-assisted writers and were more persuaded by AI writing when AI was more distortive. Together, our findings demonstrate that persona distortions from AI writing assistance are pervasive and persistent even under realistic conditions of human oversight, and that they are likely to have consequential effects on human behaviours and attitudes, which carries implications for public discourse, trust, and democratic deliberation that scale with AI adoption.
Apr 23, 2026cs.LG

Measure Twice, Click Once: Co-evolving Proposer and Visual Critic via Reinforcement Learning for GUI Grounding

Graphical User Interface (GUI) grounding requires mapping natural language instructions to precise pixel coordinates. However, due to visually homogeneous elements and dense layouts, models typically grasp semantic intent yet struggle with achieving precise localization. While scaling sampling attempts (Pass@k) reveals potential gains, static self-consistency strategies derived from geometric clustering often yield limited improvements, as the model's predictions tend to be spatially dispersed. In this paper, we propose replacing static consistency strategies with a learnable selection mechanism that selects the optimal target by critiquing its own proposals rendered on the screenshot. Given the significant disparity between the model's grounding and critiquing capabilities, we propose a co-evolving Propose-then-Critic framework. To jointly optimize these, we introduce a maturity-aware adaptive co-evolutionary reinforcement learning paradigm. This approach dynamically balances the training objectives of proposer and critic, where the diversity of the proposer's outputs enhances critic robustness, while the critic's maturing discrimination capability conversely unlocks the proposer's potential for extensive spatial exploration, fostering the mutual reinforcement and co-evolution of both capabilities, thereby ensuring generalizability to adapt to diverse and complex interface layouts. Extensive experiments over 6 benchmarks show that our method significantly enhances both grounding accuracy and critic reliability.
Apr 21, 2026cs.CL

The signal is the ceiling: Measurement limits of LLM-predicted experience ratings from open-ended survey text

An earlier paper (Hong, Potteiger, and Zapata 2026) established that an unoptimized GPT 4.1 prompt predicts fan-reported experience ratings within one point 67% of the time from open-ended survey text. This paper tests the relative impact of prompt design and model selection on that performance. We compared four configurations on approximately 10,000 post-game surveys from five MLB teams: the original baseline prompt and a moderately customized version, crossed with three GPT models (4.1, 4.1-mini, 5.2). Prompt customization added roughly two percentage points of within +/-1 agreement on GPT 4.1 (from 67% to 69%). Both model swaps from that best configuration degraded performance: GPT 5.2 returned to the baseline, and GPT 4.1-mini fell six percentage points below it. Both levers combined were dwarfed by the input itself: across capable configurations, accuracy varied more than an order of magnitude more by the linguistic character of the text than by the choice of prompt or model. The ceiling has two parts. One is a bias in how the model reads text, which prompt design can correct. The other is a difference between what fans write about and what they actually decide, which no engineering can close because the missing information is not in the text. Prompt customization moved the first part; model selection moved neither reliably. The result is not that "prompt engineering helps a little" but that prompt engineering helps in a specific and predictable way, on the part of the ceiling it can reach.
Apr 9, 2026eess.SY

Complementary Filtering on SO(3) for Attitude Estimation with Scalar Measurements

This paper proposes a complementary filter on SO(3) for attitude estimation from scalar measurements corresponding to projections of known inertial vectors onto body-frame sensing directions. The observer evolves directly on SO(3) and employs a constant-gain innovation tailored to the scalar-output structure. Under suitable persistence-of-excitation conditions, almost-global asymptotic stability is established when at least three inertial vectors are measured along a common body-frame direction. For configurations involving only two scalar measurements, sufficient conditions for asymptotic convergence are derived together with an explicit characterization of the region of attraction. Numerical simulations illustrate the proposed results.
Feb 16, 2026cs.CL

Measuring and Mitigating Post-hoc Rationalization in Reverse Chain-of-Thought Generation

Reverse Chain-of-Thought Generation (RCG) synthesizes reasoning traces from query-answer pairs, but it risks producing post-hoc rationalizations: when models can see the answer during generation, a systematic train-inference mismatch arises, because the visible answer shapes reasoning trajectories in ways that students cannot replicate without answer access during inference. We formalize this mismatch through a three-level measurement hierarchy: lexical, trajectory, and probabilistic anchoring, which capture surface token overlap, per-token generation dependence on the answer, and total information transmission from trace to answer, respectively. We analyze semantic suppression, the intuitive mitigation strategy that instructs models to ignore the answer, and find that it is counterproductive: while it reduces lexical overlap, it paradoxically increases trajectory anchoring--the per-token dependence of the generation process on the forbidden answer--consistent with ironic monitoring. We attribute this failure to active monitoring of the forbidden answer, which inadvertently deepens process-level dependence on it. To break this cycle, we propose Structural Skeleton-guided Reasoning (SSR), whose core contribution is to replace answer suppression with structural decoupling: SSR first generates a response-abstracted functional skeleton designed to limit direct answer encoding and then uses it as a structural target for full trace generation. Experiments across open-ended reasoning benchmarks show that SSR consistently mitigates anchoring, and that Distilled SSR (SSR-D), a distillation variant that internalizes skeleton-guided reasoning from teacher-generated traces, achieves up to 10% improvement over suppression baselines while mitigating out-of-distribution (OOD) degradation.
Feb 4, 2026quant-ph

Instance-optimal high-precision shadow tomography with few-copy measurements: A metrological approach

We study the sample complexity of shadow tomography in the high-precision regime under realistic measurement constraints. Given an unknown dd-dimensional quantum state ρρ and a known set of observables {Oi}i=1m\{O_i\}_{i=1}^m, the goal is to estimate expectation values {tr(Oiρ)}i=1m\{\mathrm{tr}(O_iρ)\}_{i=1}^m to accuracy εε in LpL_p-norm, using possibly adaptive measurements that act on O(polylog(d))O(\mathrm{polylog}(d)) number of copies of ρρ at a time. We focus on the regime where εε is below an instance-dependent threshold. Our main contribution is an instance-optimal characterization of the sample complexity as Θ~(Γp/ε2)\tildeΘ(Γ_p/ε^2), where ΓpΓ_p is a function of {Oi}i=1m\{O_i\}_{i=1}^m defined via an optimization formula involving the inverse Fisher information matrix. Previously, tight bounds were known only in special cases, e.g. Pauli shadow tomography with L∞L_\infty-norm error. Concretely, we first analyze a simpler oblivious variant where the goal is to estimate an observable of the form ∑i=1mαiOi\sum_{i=1}^m α_i O_i with ∥α∥q=1\|α\|_q = 1 (where qq is dual to pp) revealed after the measurement. For single-copy measurements, we obtain a sample complexity of Θ(Γpob/ε2)Θ(Γ^{\mathrm{ob}}_p/ε^2). We then show Θ~(Γp/ε2)\tildeΘ(Γ_p/ε^2) is necessary and sufficient for the original problem, with the lower bound applying to unbiased, bounded estimators. Our upper bounds rely on a two-step algorithm combining coarse tomography with local estimation. Notably, Γ∞ob=Γ∞Γ^{\mathrm{ob}}_\infty = Γ_\infty. In both cases, allowing cc-copy measurements improves the sample complexity by at most Ω(1/c)Ω(1/c). Our results establish a quantitative correspondence between quantum learning and metrology, unifying asymptotic metrological limits with finite-sample learning guarantees.
Feb 2, 2026stat.ML

PCA of probability measures: Sparse and Dense sampling regimes

A common approach to perform PCA on probability measures is to embed them into a Hilbert space where standard functional PCA techniques apply. While convergence rates for estimating the embedding of a single measure from mm samples are well understood, the literature has not addressed the setting involving multiple measures. In this paper, we study PCA in a double asymptotic regime where nn probability measures are observed, each through mm samples. We derive convergence rates of the form n−1/2+m−αn^{-1/2} + m^{-α} for the empirical covariance operator and the PCA excess risk, where α>0α>0 depends on the chosen embedding. This characterizes the relationship between the number nn of measures and the number mm of samples per measure, revealing a sparse (small mm) to dense (large mm) transition in the convergence behavior. Moreover, we prove that the dense-regime rate is minimax optimal for the empirical covariance error. Our numerical experiments validate these theoretical rates and demonstrate that appropriate subsampling preserves PCA accuracy while reducing computational cost.