Spatiotemporal

Electroencephalography (EEG) is a widely adopted technique for monitoring brain activity, offering valuable insights into neurological states due to its high temporal resolution and cost-effectiveness. To enhance the analysis of complex EEG data, we propose EEG-TransNet, an architecture designed to capture temporal, regional, and synchronous features of EEG signals. EEG-TransNet introduces three key modules: 1) a preprocessing and feature extraction module leveraging ResNet and wavelet-based denoising, 2) a Local Self-Attention Block for regional feature learning, and 3) a Fuzzy-Attention Synchronous Transformer (FAST) to model spatiotemporal dependencies. Through extensive experiments on three EEG datasets (BETA, SEED, and DepEEG), the proposed model consistently outperforms other methods in terms of classification accuracy and robustness across varying signal lengths. Ablation studies confirm the contribution of the Local Self-Attention Block in improving performance, and the inclusion of depthwise separable convolutions in the decoder reduces computational complexity while maintaining high accuracy. EEG-TransNet's ability to generalize across subjects with minimal performance variation highlights its potential as a robust tool for EEG-based brain activity classification and emotion recognition tasks.

The recent receptance weighted key value (RWKV) model combines RNN-style recurrence, offering a linear-complexity alternative to Transformers' quadratic self-attention for modeling global dependencies. However, when directly applied to point clouds, RWKV, originally developed for sequential text, struggles to capture local geometric structures and model spatial dependencies effectively. To address this, we propose the \textbf{P-RWKV} block, which bridges the gap between sequence modeling and irregular 3D geometry while preserving the efficiency advantages of RWKV. It consists of a Local Perception Expansion (LPE) component to expand contextual perception along the spatio-temporal sequence and a Spatial Context Enhancement (SCE) component to strengthen spatial awareness. To validate the effectiveness of P-RWKV for point cloud understanding, we construct PointER, a single-modality self-supervised representation learning framework whose encoder is composed of stacked P-RWKV blocks. Furthermore, we extend P-RWKV to a cross-modality setting and integrate the proposed core sub-modules into multiple architectures, demonstrating strong plug-and-play flexibility and architectural generality. Extensive experiments show that the P-RWKV block and its key sub-modules achieve competitive performance across various tasks with lower computational cost and inference latency. Code will be released upon acceptance.

Efficient acquisition, storage, and utilization of traffic data are critical challenges in spatio-temporal data management. Most traffic data systems collect and store observations at fixed, coarse-grained temporal intervals to reduce storage and computation costs. However, such coarse-grained data severely limits downstream applications that require predictions at a finer temporal granularity. Collecting and maintaining fine-grained traffic data across all locations and time periods would impose a substantial burden on database storage and preprocessing pipelines. To address this temporal granularity mismatch, we formulate a novel problem: predicting fine-grained future traffic using coarse-grained sampled data. We propose the Spatial-Temporal Refinement Predictor (STRP), a granularity-aware framework for spatio-temporal data systems. STRP integrates two components: Tree Convolution for efficient and interpretable spatial dependency modeling, and Inverse Dilated Convolution for progressive temporal extrapolation. STRP supports two practical prediction settings: window-based and duration-based, to handle different forms of granularity mismatch. Experiments on six benchmark datasets show that STRP significantly outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in both accuracy and efficiency. Our work offers a practical and interpretable approach to managing granularity mismatches in spatio-temporal traffic data systems.

With the growing demand for realistic virtual humans, parametric body models have become a cornerstone of modern medicine, sports, and entertainment applications. However, most of these models are inherently limited: they only capture the 3D surface of the skin, offering no insight into the complex bio-mechanical structures that generate motion. As more applications expand towards biomechanics, the need for virtual human models that go beyond the skin has become increasingly evident. Traditional soft-tissue simulations, such as FEM, are accurate but non-scalable and too computationally expensive for most common applications. Alternatively, existing biomechanical tools can simulate muscular forces and activations, but do not model changes in external shape, restricting how activations correlate with actual observable anatomy. This motivates a novel inverse research problem: recovering muscle deformations directly from visible surface observations - i.e., from the skin, and thus the pose. In this work, we present SOMA (from Surface Observations to Muscle Anatomy), a person-specific model that infers spatio-temporal muscle behavior from surface signals obtained using RGB cameras, and SKIM, a subject-specific soft-tissue deformation dataset. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first method that attempts to recover muscle deformations from multi-view RGB data. We show how our method provides anatomically grounded animations without the complexity of traditional simulations, leading to a scalable and cost-effective solution. Data and code are available.

Accurate oceanic forecasting is critical for climate monitoring and disaster early warning. However, ocean spatiotemporal forecasting encounters the double challenges of modeling complex dynamical systems and ensuring computational efficiency. We present Koopman Fourier Time-Differentiable (KFTD) Network, a time continuous twostage paradigm that decouples interpolation from prediction to achieve efficient and scalable spatiotemporal modeling. We map complex nonlinear dynamics into the Koopman linear space and exploit Fourier analysis to enable continuous time interpolation at arbitrary sub-steps. A lightweight residual network consumes the high fidelity intermediate states to yield the final forecast. Unlike diffusion models, KFTD eliminates multi step noise sampling and directly evolves the system in continuous time, yielding a 4 computational speedup. We further introduce a DPP Loss that supports arbitrary PDE constraints in an endtoend manner, breaking the physical consistency bottleneck of pure data-driven approaches. Empirical results on four ocean datasets confirm that our continuous time framework reduces MSE by an average of 5.6% (up to 12.7% for SST) and improves efficiency over MCVD by 76.25%.

Flow matching (FM) has emerged as a powerful framework for learning dynamic transport maps between two empirical distributions. However, less explored is the setting with intermediate observed marginals that can help constrain the flows between the endpoints. This "multimarginal" regime is central to modeling temporal evolution in dynamical systems in many scientific domains that can sample sequential distributions. We tackle this problem with a novel approach that leverages the connection between FM and dynamic optimal transport (OT), softly steering the flow towards the intermediate marginals through potential terms in the dynamic OT action. By extending the conditional FM learning target to incorporate these potentials, we derive an efficient, simulation-free algorithm for multimarginal FM that offers considerable flexibility in the spatiotemporal dynamics of the learned flows. We demonstrate state-of-the-art performance and training efficiency of OT-potential FM (OTP-FM) on diverse single-cell RNA sequencing, oceanographic, and meteorological datasets. Our code is available at https://github.com/Bexorg-Inc/OTP-FM.

Traffic forecasting is a fundamental component of intelligent transportation systems, yet remains challenging in real-world settings due to irregular sensor distributions and the high computational cost of modeling large-scale spatiotemporal dependencies. In practical traffic networks, sensors are unevenly distributed across regions, leading to non-uniform spatial structures that limit the effectiveness and scalability of existing graph-based and attention-based models. To address these challenges, we propose PatchSTG, a patch-based spatiotemporal graph Transformer designed for efficient forecasting on irregular sensor networks. The key idea is to introduce a hierarchical spatial representation that partitions sensors into balanced, locality-preserving patches based on geographic information. On top of this structure, a dual attention encoder alternates between intra-patch attention for capturing local interactions and inter-patch attention for modeling global dependencies, reducing computational complexity from quadratic to near-linear scaling. We evaluate PatchSTG on real-world traffic data from Rhode Island and additional large-scale datasets. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed model achieves stable and competitive forecasting performance across multiple horizons, while significantly improving computational efficiency. Ablation studies further validate the effectiveness of spatial partitioning and dual attention in capturing both local and long-range traffic dynamics. These results suggest that patch-based spatiotemporal modeling provides a scalable and effective framework for traffic forecasting under irregular spatial settings.

Audio-visual speaker tracking aims to localize and track active speakers by leveraging auditory and visual cues, enabling fine-grained, human-centric scene understanding. This capability is essential for real-world applications such as intelligent video editing, surveillance, and human-computer interaction. However, existing datasets are largely limited to simple or homogeneous audio-visual scenes with coarse annotations. Such oversimplified settings bias evaluation toward static audio-visual co-occurrence, rather than rigorously assessing robust spatiotemporal modeling and cross-modal reasoning in complex, dynamic scenes. To address these limitations, we introduce AVTrack, a human-centric audio-visual instance segmentation (AVIS) dataset designed for dynamic real-world scenarios. AVTrack features diverse and challenging conditions, including camera motion, visual occlusions, and position changes. Evaluations of representative AVIS methods on AVTrack reveal substantial performance degradation, establishing AVTrack as a challenging benchmark for robust human-centric audio-visual scene understanding in complex environments. We further provide a simple yet effective baseline to facilitate future research. Project website: https://FudanCVL.github.io/AVTrack/

In multi-robot systems, maintaining persistent communication graph connectivity is often overly restrictive, especially when robots have limited communication ranges but operate in large environments. Instead, allowing robots to temporarily disconnect and later reconnect is often more desirable for efficient task execution while still ensuring timely information sharing across the team. In this paper, we propose an adaptive prescribed-time control barrier function (adaptive PT-CBF) framework that enables robots to temporarily disconnect and re-enter the communication range within an adjustable and feasible prescribed time. Moreover, we introduce a reconnection triggering mechanism that jointly considers task execution and reconnection urgency, thereby providing a principled way to decide when reconnection should occur. Theoretical analysis justifies convergence to the satisfying reconnection within a prescribed finite time. Experimental results validate the performance of our proposed adaptive PT-CBF with improved task efficiency and satisfying reconnections.

Modeling spatial dependencies is central to spatiotemporal data analysis using Graph Neural Networks (GNNs). Traditional methods rely on distance-based kernels with predefined parameters, which restricts model capacity. Although generic adaptive mechanisms (e.g., Graph Attention Networks) offer flexibility, they often fail to capture the underlying geometric structure, performing worse than distance-based models in data-sparse scenarios. Addressing this, we revisit the kernel parameterization problem and theoretically prove that misspecified kernel parameters introduce unavoidable approximation errors in GNNs. To overcome this, we propose AdaKernel, a simple yet effective approach that learns adaptive kernel parameters within the neural network. Unlike methods that learn graph structures from scratch, AdaKernel adopts a structure-preserving strategy that optimizes the scale of physical interactions rather than discarding them. Extensive experiments on Kriging, Imputation, and Forecasting demonstrate that AdaKernel consistently improves various GNN architectures and outperforms model-agnostic adaptive baselines, validating that accurately learned kernel parameters are superior to both fixed priors and fully latent graph structures.

Spatio-temporal point processes (STPPs) provide a principled framework for modeling asynchronous events in continuous time and space. Recent diffusion-based approaches offer a flexible alternative to deterministic prediction by modeling complex conditional distributions, but their application to STPPs remains challenging: reverse sampling from pure noise is costly, and weak structural constraints in sparse spatial domains can lead to poorly localized probability mass. We propose \textbf{GLIDE} (Graph-guided Leap Inference for Diffusion Estimation), a conditional diffusion framework for next-event modeling in STPPs. GLIDE organizes historical events into a multi-scale historical graph and encodes temporal evolution and spatial topology through a dual-stream architecture, yielding a structured conditioning context for a dual-branch diffusion denoiser. It further introduces a prior-guided leap inference mechanism, in which a lightweight mean predictor provides a deterministic anchor and the reverse process starts from an intermediate diffusion step instead of from pure Gaussian noise. Experiments on multiple real-world datasets show that GLIDE improves both distribution fitting and next-event prediction, with the largest gains appearing on the spatial side. The results also indicate that prior-guided leap inference substantially reduces reverse-sampling cost while preserving the stochastic generation capability of diffusion models.

The development of Large Language Models (LLMs) has significantly improved travel planning applications, yet evaluating such models is limited by existing benchmarks' limitations: 1) overemphasis on constraint compliance, neglecting multi-dimensional qualities like spatio-temporal cost; 2) datasets lacking real-world authenticity and coverage in key areas (e.g., lodging, transport); and 3) isolated daily plan assessments that miss critical details (e.g., the impact of daily accommodation and visit pacing) needed for entire plan's evaluation. To address this gap, we introduce TravelEval, a realistic and comprehensive benchmark. TravelEval features 1) a novel six-dimensional evaluation framework to holistically assess plans across accuracy, compliance, temporality, spatiality, economy, and utility dimensions; 2) a highly realistic data sandbox with precise accommodation pricing and authentic intercity transportation data; and 3) a simulation-based global evaluation method that emulates complete travel plans with API-integrated geographic information and fine-grained queuing time. Evaluating 12 mainstream approaches with TravelEval reveals several valuable insights, such that LLMs struggle with globally-optimized multi-dimensional planning (especially in spatio-temporal reasoning and budget compliance), and agentic reasoning strategies offer no consistent improvement. Concisely, TravelEval facilitates travel plan evaluation via grounded spatio-temporal emulation and comprehensive metrics, providing a robust foundation for advancing LLM-powered travel planning research and applications.

Energy consumption prediction is essential for efficient grid management, demand-side optimization, and sustainable energy planning. Although advanced machine learning methods have been employed for better prediction performance, existing works have two key limitations: (1) they usually formulate this task as a purely time-series prediction problem without explicitly modeling the spatial dependencies among different regions, and (2) they fail to provide reliable predictions with uncertainty estimates under abnormal situations such as extreme weather events. To advance existing research, we propose EnergyMamba, an uncertainty-aware spatiotemporal learning framework for accurate and reliable energy consumption prediction, which comprises two key components: (i) a novel Graph-Enhanced Selective State Space Model (GE-Mamba) that injects spatial context learned from the grid topology into the temporal dynamics, enabling coupled spatiotemporal modeling, and (ii) an Adaptive Sequential Conformalized Quantile Regression (AS-CQR) module, which includes locally adaptive normalization and an online feedback mechanism to dynamically calibrate prediction intervals under potential distribution shifts. We evaluate EnergyMamba on four large-scale real-world datasets from Florida, New York, and California. Results show EnergyMamba achieves around 5% improvement in prediction accuracy and 6% improvement in uncertainty quantification over 15 state-of-the-art baselines.

Spatio-temporal graph-based models have typically been used to forecast new cases of infectious diseases such as COVID-19 and chickenpox outbreaks. However, the use of stochastic modelling into their learning process has been surprisingly under-investigated and rarely considered entire data sets of large countries. As a result, it is unknown whether these models would provide accurate forecasts in real-world disease spread scenarios. In this work, we propose a spatio-temporal stochastic graph-based architecture that integrates a stochastic formulation and uncertainty approximation process to forecast new infectious disease cases. We find that our approach can adapt to encode large and small population geographical networks within a single model architecture. Using two real-world data sets, COVID-19 in the US and chickenpox in Hungary, we report an enhanced effect of the proposed architecture across predictions of the 2022 first wave for COVID-19 in the US and comparative results of chickenpox waves during 2012-2014 in Hungary. By benchmarking with four spatio-temporal graph-based models, quantitative results show competitive overall weekly performance of the proposed approach on forecasting new cases for all 3,218 US counties and all 20 Hungary counties. The proposed approach can represent overall epidemic progression relative to baselines, though with a one-step delay; while exhibiting a reduced sensitivity to high-frequency and low-amplitude variability.

Tourist mobility poses a distinct challenge for urban transportation planning. Unlike resident commuting, tourist travel is largely non-routine, attraction driven, and highly sensitive to trip purpose, travel season, and trip member composition. Existing approaches either measure aggregate tourist spatial patterns without generating individual schedules, or synthesize mobility without tourist specific structure such as trip duration conditioning, month varying attraction demand, and household co-travel rules. To address these challenges, we propose a four stage simulation framework combining month conditioned spatial priors derived from GPS and survey data, trip extent prediction from tourist demographics, distance feasible ward sequence assignment, and LLM-based activity chain generation under household and spatial constraints. GPS data are used only in privacy preserving aggregated form as month conditioned spatial priors, with no individual traces retained or exposed. Experiments on tourism in Tokyo demonstrate that the GPS based tourist cohort extraction recovers spatial visitation signatures consistent with survey references, and our framework produces demographically aligned synthetic schedules whose ward-level visitation shares align closely with both survey distributions and staypoint derived monthly visitation patterns. The results demonstrate the framework's effectiveness as a geographically grounded, demographically aware approach to tourist mobility modeling.

Achieving robust generalization from limited data is a central challenge in embodied intelligence. Prevailing methods fail by regressing absolute coordinates, which violates the principle of general covariance. Fundamentally, this conflates the intrinsic task geometry with rigid execution patterns, binding policies to specific motion styles and fixed speeds. To resolve this, we propose the Generalized Action Manifold (GAM) framework that enforces general covariance through structural disentanglement. Specifically, GAM realizes the manifold by enforcing invariance across two orthogonal dimensions: (1) Temporal Invariance, utilizing an Arc-Length Parameterizer to orthogonalize the spatial path geometry from temporal dynamics, ensuring robustness to velocity variations; (2) Geometric Invariance, where a Schema-Affine-Factorization mechanism maps trajectories to canonical ``world lines'' in a pose-normalized coordinate frame. This distinguishes invariant geometric schemas from affine modulations, ensuring spatial generalizability. By integrating GAM within a structured Vision-Language-Action (VLA) architecture, we enable sparse demonstrations to densely populate a continuous, valid action manifold. Empirical results demonstrate that GAM enables superior transfer and robustness capabilities, outperforming geometry-agnostic baselines.

City-wide traffic forecasting is important for congestion management, route guidance, and intelligent transportation systems, but accurate prediction remains challenging when future traffic must be generated as spatial maps over an entire urban network. Existing traffic movie prediction methods have improved frame-level accuracy, yet many still treat forecasting mainly as image reconstruction. This can produce traffic maps that are numerically close to the ground truth but weakly constrained by road layout, connectivity, travel direction, and congestion propagation, especially in cross-city settings where both traffic behavior and road structure change. To address this limitation, this study proposes RCSNet, a road-conditioned spatiotemporal network that reformulates traffic movie prediction as topology-guided future-state generation. RCSNet extracts road-aware representations from static road maps, models multi-horizon traffic dynamics from historical observations, aligns directional traffic features with local road structure, and progressively generates future traffic maps for improved temporal consistency. A structure-consistent learning objective further encourages predictions to remain accurate, road-aligned, and spatially stable. Experiments across multiple cities show that RCSNet improves both forecasting accuracy and structural consistency. In same-city forecasting on Berlin, Antwerp, and Moscow, RCSNet reduces average MAE, MSE, and RMSE by 11.5%, 10.0%, and 5.1%, respectively, compared with the closest baseline. In cross-city testing on unseen Chicago and Bangkok, it reduces RMSE by 10.6% and 10.5% without target-city fine-tuning. Additional horizon-wise, road-structure, explainability, statistical, and efficiency analyses show that RCSNet produces more accurate, transferable, road-aligned, and computationally efficient traffic forecasts.

Chain-of-Thought (CoT) reasoning has advanced large language models (LLMs), but outcome-based supervision leads to pervasive post-hoc rationalization, producing plausible yet unfaithful reasoning chains. Most prior faithfulness assessment methods are either unscalable, expensive, or unreliable. We propose GeoFaith, a spatio-temporal framework that leverages latent geometric structure and entropy dynamics to diagnose and enforce faithful reasoning. We develop a scalable bootstrapping pipeline expanding step-level annotations from 1k to 20k samples across four domains, train an 8B faithfulness detector outperforming GPT-5 on standard benchmarks, and design a faithfulness-aware reinforcement learning framework jointly optimizing outcome correctness, process faithfulness, and trajectory consistency. Experiments show the proposed method achieves superior performance on both faithfulness detection and downstream reasoning, producing shorter, more interpretable chains without sacrificing accuracy. Our code will be made available publicly.

Learning an energy-based model from data samples is a central problem in machine learning. Many recent and popular methods, such as denoising score matching for training energy-based diffusion models, use stochastic interpolants to corrupt data samples at different noise levels indexed by a time variable. This defines a joint density over both the data space and time, and most methods learn its energy through either spatial or temporal differences. We identify distinct failure modes for both of these approaches. To solve them, we propose Spatiotemporal Noise-Contrastive Estimation (stNCE), a framework for learning the energy through joint spatiotemporal differences. stNCE unifies many existing methods and leads to new training objectives. Experiments on images and molecules demonstrate performance competitive with state-of-the-art density estimation methods.

Generative models have emerged as a powerful paradigm for solving physics systems and modeling complex spatiotemporal dynamics. However, achieving high physical accuracy without incurring high computational cost remains a fundamental challenge, as existing approaches face a critical speed-fidelity trade-off. In this work, we introduce Recursive Flow Matching (RecFM), a generative framework for forecasting complex spatiotemporal dynamics. RecFM enforces self-consistency to align trajectories across discretization scales, reducing discretization errors and improving performance across metrics for physics-based tasks. To our knowledge, this is the first method to achieve high-fidelity one- and few-step (2-4 step) dynamic generation for scientific systems with performance comparable to state-of-the-art multi-step solvers. Across challenging scientific benchmarks, RecFM achieves up to a 20$\times$ speedup over leading diffusion-based emulators while improving predictive accuracy. Furthermore, RecFM reduces mean squared error by over 15% compared to vanilla flow matching, offering a scalable and efficient solution for real-time scientific emulation.

Behavioral phenotyping of genetic animal models currently requires labor-intensive manual feature engineering that limits reproducibility and scalability. We present GEESE, an end-to-end deep learning framework that learns behavioral representations directly from 3D pose dynamics without hand-crafted features. Using a pretrained time series foundation model, we encode movement sequences into a behavioral manifold that supports both behavior classification and genotype prediction. Evaluated across three autism-associated genetic models (CNTNAP2, CHD8, FMR1), our deep learning approach surpasses hand-crafted feature baselines in both tasks, revealing that learned representations capture genotype-specific behavioral signatures. The framework generalizes across genetic backgrounds, and an all-cohort model identifies both genetic background and genotype from movement patterns alone. We further provide HONK, an interactive intelligent tool enabling researchers without programming expertise to perform behavioral phenotyping from pose data through natural language interaction.

Temporal Action Localization (TAL) has been extensively studied in generic video understanding, while fine-grained sports scenarios, such as professional badminton, remain underexplored due to their complex and subtle spatio-temporal dynamics. In this paper, we focus on fine-grained TAL in professional badminton videos and introduce a new benchmark dataset, Fine-Badminton, which consists of 31 matches with 29 fine-grained stroke categories, covering 2104 rallies and 27597 annotated actions. To effectively capture the intricate motion patterns in such scenarios, we propose a Decoupling Spatio-Temporal Adapter (DSTA), which enables efficient modeling of spatio-temporal features within a parameter-efficient framework. Specifically, DSTA decomposes motion representation into three parallel branches, capturing temporal dynamics as well as vertical and horizontal spatial variations. The design allows the model to better distinguish subtle differences among fine-grained actions. Extensive experiments on both the Fine-Badminton dataset and the ShuttleSet benchmark demonstrate that the proposed method achieves state-of-the-art performance while introducing only a marginal increase in computational and parameter cost. These results validate the effectiveness and efficiency of the proposed approach for fine-grained temporal action localization.

Occlusion-aware prediction remains a critical challenge in autonomous driving due to the inherent uncertainty of unobserved regions. Existing approaches either overestimate risk based on reachable states or struggle to predict accurate trajectories under high occlusion uncertainty. To address these limitations, we propose a unified risk map modeling and learning framework for partially observable environments. Our method integrates traffic flow risk and collision risk through spatiotemporal modeling, enabling fine-grained assessment of occlusion-induced hazards. To address the scarcity of scenarios involving occluded interactions, we introduce a diffusion-based scenario generation framework that produces realistic yet adversarial scenarios. We integrate the modeling and learning of a unified risk map into a framework that supports risk-aware planning under partial observability. Experiments on the Waymo Open Motion Dataset show that our method significantly outperforms the state-of-the-art occlusion-aware baseline, improving minimum time-to-collision by 0.78 times and average time-to-collision by 1.67 times. The proposed framework offers a comprehensive and practical solution for risk-aware planning in partially observable environments.

The emergence of Large Vision-Language Models (LVLMs) has significantly advanced video understanding capabilities. However, existing benchmarks focus predominantly on coarse-grained tasks such as action segmentation, classification, captioning, and retrieval. Furthermore, these benchmarks often rely on entities that can be easily identified verbally, like household objects, animals, human subjects, etc., limiting their applicability to complex, in-the-wild video scenarios. But, many applications such as furniture assembly, cooking, etc., require step-by-step fine-grained spatio-temporal understanding of the video, which is not sufficiently evaluated in current benchmarks. To address this gap, we introduce Flat-Pack Bench, a novel benchmark centered on furniture assembly tasks. Our benchmark evaluates LVLMs on nuanced tasks, including temporal ordering of assembly actions, temporal localization of assembly state, understanding part mating, and tracking, using multiple-choice questions paired with visual prompts highlighting relevant parts as references for fine-grained questions. Our experiments reveal that state-of-the-art LVLMs struggle significantly with fine-grained spatio-temporal reasoning, highlighting their limitations in effectively leveraging temporal information from videos, limited tracking ability, and understanding of spatial interactions like physical contact.

Functional MRI data exhibit high-dimensional spatiotemporal structure, making both prediction and decoding challenging. In this work, we investigate neural integral-operator-based models for encoding and decoding tasks in fMRI, with particular emphasis on the role of nonlocal spatiotemporal context. We implement a latent neural integral operator framework that performs fixed point iterations in an auxiliary space from which classification and stimuli prediction is performed via a decoder. We evaluate our model on two open-source fMRI datasets. Our experiments examine both decoding of stimuli from fMRI recordings and encoding of fMRI dynamics from stimulus representations. A main focus is the effect of spatiotemporal context: we systematically compare short and long temporal windows, as well as the use of visual cortex vs whole brain recordings, and analyze their influence on performance and latent-space geometry. Across tasks and datasets, larger temporal windows generally improve results and produce more structured learned representations. In decoding experiments, the learned latent space often provides clearer class separation than the raw data. In encoding experiments, although absolute performance remains moderate due to the difficulty of the task, longer temporal windows still yield consistent gains. These findings suggest that neural integral operators provide a promising framework for modeling fMRI dynamics and that broader spatiotemporal context can be beneficial for both prediction and representation learning. More broadly, the results indicate that exploiting distributed nonlocal structure in brain dynamics requires model architectures specifically designed to capture such dependencies.

Forecasting urban delivery demand becomes substantially more challenging when newly added service regions lack historical records. Existing spatiotemporal forecasters effectively model spatial dependence once sufficient node histories are available. Still, they remain parametric and therefore struggle to recover short-term operational dynamics in cold-start regions. Geospatial embeddings help identify where a region is and what function it serves, yet they do not directly reveal how a similar region behaves under a comparable temporal context. We propose Bridge, a retrieval-augmented spatiotemporal graph framework that combines an inductive contextual graph backbone with a time-aware memory of region-time windows. For each target region, Bridge retrieves future demand patterns from the memory using both regional context and recent dynamics, and refines the backbone forecast through a gated fusion mechanism. To align retrieval with forecasting utility, we further train the retriever with a future-aware objective that favors entries whose future trajectories best match the target. Experiments on four real-world delivery datasets show that Bridge consistently improves over competitive spatiotemporal baselines in both within-city cold-start and cross-city transfer with partial observations. The results show that retrieval augmentation provides a useful operational memory for cold-start urban demand forecasting when parametric graph generalization alone is insufficient.

Large language models (LLMs) deployed in real-world agentic applications must be capable of replanning and adapting when mid-task disruptions invalidate their prior decisions. Existing dynamic benchmarks primarily measure whether LLMs can detect temporal changes in a timely manner, leaving the complementary challenge of adaptive replanning under spatio-temporal dynamics largely unexplored. We introduce STT-Arena (Spatio-Temporal Tool-Use Arena), a benchmark of 227 high-quality interactive tasks spanning nine spatio-temporal conflict types and four solvability levels. Each task is grounded in a realistic, executable environment equipped with injected spatio-temporal triggers that can abruptly invalidate an ongoing plan, forcing the model to detect the state shift and construct a revised execution strategy. Extensive evaluation of frontier LLMs reveals that even the SOTA proprietary models, including Claude-4.6-Opus, achieves less than 40% overall accuracies, highlighting the fundamental difficulty of spatio-temporal dynamic reasoning. Systematic analysis of failure trajectories uncovers three recurring error modes of existing models: Stale-State Execution, Misdiagnosis of Dynamic Triggers, and Missing Post-Adaptation Verification. Guided by these findings, we propose an iterative trajectory refinement technique that eliminates these failure patterns from training data, and combine it with online RL to produce STT-Agent-4B which outperforms frontier LLMs on STT-Arena.

Existing Multivariate Time Series Anomaly Detection (MTSAD) frameworks increasingly rely on integrating Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) with sequence models to capture complex spatio-temporal dependencies. However, less attention is paid to the spatial over-generalization problem, where unconstrained structural modeling indiscriminately reconstructs anomalies, inevitably degrading detection recall. To tackle this problem, we propose a novel framework that unifies spatio-temporal modeling through a joint prior-observation adversarial learning paradigm. In the spatial dimension, the model alternately learns adjacency matrices as structural prior and models the association discrepancy between prior and data-driven observation in a minimax manner during training. Such adversarial optimization not only improves the model sensitivity for time-wise detection, but also enables the model to localize anomalies to specific channels. To systematically evaluate this anomaly localization capability, we further construct a synthetic benchmark equipped with precise channel-wise annotations. Extensive experiments across public datasets and our dedicated benchmark demonstrate that the proposed framework establishes a new state-of-the-art in both time-wise detection and spatial localization tasks. Our code, pre-trained models, and benchmark are publicly available at https://github.com/anocodetest1/POST.

We propose a new method for compressing physics foundation models (PFMs) which is a new trend in AI for Science. While model compression is essential for reducing memory use and accelerating inference in large foundation models, it remains under-explored for PFMs, where preserving physical fidelity is crucial. The challenge lies in the functional nature of physics data, where partial derivatives encode spatiotemporal dynamics and exhibit high sensitivity to compression. Conventional compression methods ignore this structure, often causing severe performance degradation or failure. To address this, we introduce a sensitivity-aware fidelity-enforcing compression framework that explicitly models loss-aware layer sensitivity in the output function space during compression. This provides a new route to compressing scientific foundation models while preserving accuracy and physical fidelity. Experiments show substantial gains over existing methods across multiple models and datasets, achieving significantly higher compression ratios while maintaining accuracy, in some cases by orders of magnitude. More broadly, the work potentially leads to a new subfield of efficient, deployable, and sustainable scientific foundation models in AI for Science.

Heatwaves are an important problem in cities, and climate change makes this problem more difficult. In this paper, we present a GPU-based deep learning framework for next-day prediction of urban thermal conditions and for heat risk assessment. The study was carried out in Sarajevo by using MODIS land surface temperature data and Open-Meteo forecast data. We tested several models, including convolutional models and spatiotemporal models. Among them, ConvLSTM with a mixed loss function gave the best results. The obtained values were MAE = 0.2293, RMSE = 0.3089, and R2 = 0.8877. The experiments also showed that results can be improved by using longer temporal series and additional meteorological variables. Since the framework was implemented on a GPU and trained with mixed precision, the execution time was reduced. Based on the predicted temperature fields, it was also possible to combine hazard information with exposure and vulnerability data in order to generate city heat risk maps. The proposed framework can be used as a practical basis for city heat analysis.

We introduce SMART-HC-VQA, a Sentinel-2-based visual question answering dataset derived from the IARPA SMART Heavy Construction dataset, designed for spatiotemporal analysis of human activity. The dataset transforms construction-site annotations, construction-type labels, temporal-phase labels, geographic metadata, and observation relationships into natural language question-answer triplets. This approach redefines the existing dataset as a temporally extended automatic target recognition and visual question answering (VQA) challenge, considering a fixed geospatial site as a target whose attributes and activity states evolve across sparse satellite observations. Currently, SMART-HC-VQA comprises 21,837 accessible Sentinel-2 image chips, 65,511 single-image VQA examples, and approximately 2.3 million two-image temporal comparison examples generated via our novel Image-Pairwise Combinatorial Augmentation. We detail the workflow for retrieving and processing Sentinel-2 imagery, segmenting large satellite tiles into site-centered images, maintaining traceability to SMART-HC annotations, and analyzing the distributions of site size, observation count, temporal coverage, construction type, and phase labels. Additionally, we describe an implemented multi-image MLLM training framework based on LLaVA-NeXT Mistral-7B, adapted to accept multiple dated image inputs and train on metadata-derived VQA examples. This work offers a reproducible foundation for understanding language-guided remote sensing activities, aiming not only to detect change but also to reason about the ongoing processes, their progression, and potential future developments.

Accurate spatiotemporal pattern analysis is critical in fields such as urban traffic, meteorology, and public health monitoring. However, existing methods face performance bottlenecks, typically yielding only incremental gains and often exhibiting limited cross-domain transferability. We analyze this bottleneck through spatial and temporal entropy measures, which are used as diagnostic indicators of spatiotemporal complexity mismatch rather than as guarantees that entropy alignment alone yields better forecasting. Empirically, larger mismatch is often accompanied by higher prediction uncertainty, especially under a fixed model-capacity budget. Guided by this diagnostic, we propose a scalable, adaptive framework that harmonizes spatial and temporal feature representations. Spatial dimensionality is compressed via low-rank matrix embedding to preserve essential structure, while an extended temporal horizon captures long-range dependencies and mitigates cumulative errors arising from temporal heterogeneity. Extensive experiments on urban traffic, meteorological, and epidemic datasets demonstrate substantial accuracy gains and broad applicability across the evaluated domains, suggesting that the framework is promising for a wide range of spatiotemporal tasks beyond the current study. The code is available on GitHub at https://github.com/ST-Balance/ST-Balance.

Sub-footprint target mixing within a laser footprint significantly increases LiDAR intensity uncertainty, especially in complex environments where heterogeneous materials inside one footprint cause nonlinear distortions that impair intensity-based applications. However, the forward mixing inherent to the single-pixel detection mode of LiDAR systems blurs sub-footprint contributions, making sub-footprint effects difficult to address effectively in existing studies. To address this issue, we introduce a novel, physics-based framework that explicitly resolves sub-footprint intensity correction in full-waveform LiDAR (FW-LiDAR) point clouds. The key innovation is to make the otherwise implicit intra-footprint mixing process explicit: we first develop a spatiotemporal laser-beam distribution model to physically characterize within-footprint forward mixing of multi-target returns. Building on this formulation, we incorporate ancillary information including waveform parameters and surface geometry as constraints to pose a well-defined inverse unmixing problem and decompose each footprint into fractional contributions from multiple sub-targets. We then recover sub-footprint-corrected intensities by inverting the observed mixtures through a unified combination of parametric and model-driven approaches. To the best of our knowledge, few prior studies explicitly establish sub-footprint inversion and correction within a single laser footprint, and our framework offers a principled, physics-grounded solution. Experiments on both controlled and real-world LiDAR datasets demonstrate that the proposed method significantly enhances semantic separability across heterogeneous targets and intensity consistency across homogeneous targets.

Millimeter-wave (mmWave) radar provides privacy-preserving sensing and is valuable for human action recognition (HAR). Existing mmWave point cloud datasets are limited in scale and mostly collected under homogeneous single-source settings, preventing current methods from handling real-world distribution shifts caused by heterogeneous radar sources, such as different devices and frequency bands. To address this, we introduce UniMM-HAR, the largest and first mmWave point cloud HAR dataset for heterogeneous multi-source scenarios, standardizing three distinct radar configurations to realistically evaluate cross-source generalization. We further propose the Doppler-aware Point Cloud Network (DAP-Net) to tackle heterogeneity challenges. DAP-Net enhances intra-modal representations and performs cross-modal alignment to learn source-invariant action semantics. Leveraging action-consistent spatio-temporal Doppler patterns as anchors, the Dual-space Doppler Reparameterization (D2R) module performs sample-adaptive geometric densification and Doppler-guided feature recalibration, while the Text Alignment Module (TAM) provides stable semantic anchors via a pretrained textual space. Experiments show that DAP-Net significantly outperforms existing methods under heterogeneous radar settings, achieving state-of-the-art accuracy and strong cross-source robustness.

World models, which simulate environmental dynamics and generate sensor observations, are gaining increasing attention in autonomous driving. However, progress in LiDAR-based world models has lagged behind those built on camera videos or occupancy data, primarily due to two core challenges: the inherent disorder of LiDAR point clouds and the difficulty of distinguishing dynamic objects from static structures. To address these issues, we propose GEM: a Generative LiDAR world model that leverages deformable mamba architecture, significantly improving fidelity and imaginative capability. Specifically, leveraging the structural similarity between sequential laser scanning and Mamba's processing mechanism, we first tokenize LiDAR sweeps into compact representations via a custom LiDAR scene tokenizer. After unsupervised disentanglement of tokenized features via a dynamic-static separator, a tri-path deformable Mamba is introduced to perform selective scanning and adaptive gating fusion over the disentangled features, leading to enhanced spatial-temporal understanding of the world evolution. Optionally, a planner and a BEV layout controller can be integrated to explore the model's capability for autonomous rollout and its potential to generate ``what-if" scenarios. Extensive experiments show that GEM achieves state-of-the-art performances across diverse benchmarks and evaluation settings, demonstrating its superiority and effectiveness. Project page: https://github.com/wuyang98/GEM.

Subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) temperature forecasts, spanning several weeks to a few months, are critically needed in agriculture practice, energy planning, and extreme-weather induced risk management, yet their reliability varies substantially across seasons and regions. Forecast skill is often attributed primarily to lead time, but this perspective does not fully explain the spatiotemporal patterns of predictability. Here we show that S2S predictability is organized across interacting temporal components, spatial heterogeneity, and large-scale pattern coherence, and that this structure can be explicitly characterized and exploited. We develop a dual-scale learning framework that separates calendar-aligned historical climate context from lead-time matched recent weather evolution, combining them through spatially adaptive fusion to enable stable temperature forecasts across the 30 to 90-day window. The learned fusion weights reveal that the balance between these two temporal scales shifts systematically with season and geography: during winter, interannual context dominates over high latitudes and complex terrain where forecast is the most difficult, while summer predictions reflect a more balanced temporal contribution across the domain. This spatially explicit reorganization of predictability, rather than simple lead-time decay, emerges as the primary determinant of forecast skill within the subseasonal window. Topology-aware structural constraints further improve spatial coherence of predicted temperature fields, stabilizing large-scale pattern organization particularly over complex terrain. These results reframe S2S predictability as a structured, multi-scale phenomenon, providing a more interpretable foundation for improving forecast systems and informing their use in practice.

Signal Temporal Logic (STL) is an expressive formal language for specifying spatio-temporal requirements over real-valued, real-time signals. It has been widely used for the verification and synthesis of autonomous systems and cyber-physical systems. In practice, however, users often express their requirements in natural language rather than in structured STL formulas, making natural-language-to-STL translation a critical yet challenging task. Manual specification requires temporal-logic expertise and cannot scale, while prompting commercial LLM APIs incurs substantial token costs and may expose sensitive system requirements to third-party services, raising privacy concerns for industrial deployment. To address these challenges, we present \textsc{ReasonSTL}, a tool-augmented framework that adapts local open-source language models for natural-language-to-STL generation. \textsc{ReasonSTL} decomposes the translation process into explicit reasoning, deterministic tool calls, and structured formula construction. We further introduce process-rewarded training to supervise both tool-use trajectories and final formulas, together with \textsc{STL-Bench}, a bilingual, computation-aware benchmark grounded in real-world signals. Experiments show that a 4B model trained with \textsc{ReasonSTL} achieves state-of-the-art performance in both automatic metrics and human evaluations, demonstrating that \textsc{ReasonSTL} provides a transparent, low-cost, and privacy-preserving alternative for formal specification drafting.

Regionalization aims to partition a spatial domain into contiguous regions that share similar characteristics, enabling more effective spatial analysis, policy making, and resource management. Existing approaches for spatial regionalization typically rely on static spatial snapshots rather than evolving time series. Meanwhile, most time series clustering methods ignore spatial structure or enforce spatial continuity through ad hoc regularization, constraining the number of inferred regions a priori either explicitly or implicitly. Utilizing the minimum description length principle from information theory, here we propose an efficient and fully nonparametric framework for the regionalization of spatial time series. Our method jointly infers a spatial partition along with a set of representative time series archetypes ("drivers") that best compress a spatiotemporal dataset, with a runtime log-linear in the number of time series. We demonstrate that this method can accurately recover planted regional structure and drivers in synthetic time series, and can extract meaningful structural regularities in large-scale empirical air quality and vegetation index records. Our method provides a principled and scalable framework for spatially contiguous partitioning, allowing interpretable temporal patterns and homogeneous regions to emerge directly from the data itself.

Reconstructing PDE-governed fields from sparse and irregular measurements is challenging due to their ill-posed nature. Deterministic surrogates are trained on dense fields that struggle with limited measurements and uncertainty quantification. Generative models, by learning distributions over spatiotemporal fields, can better handle sparsity and uncertainty. However, existing generative approaches enforce data consistency and PDE constraints simultaneously via sampling-time gradient guidance, resulting in slow and unstable inference. To this end, we propose PerFlow, a Physics-embedded rectified Flow for efficient sparse reconstruction and uncertainty quantification of spatiotemporal dynamics. PerFlow decouples observation conditioning from physics enforcement, performing guidance-free conditioning by feeding observations into rectified-flow dynamics while embedding hard physics via a constraint-preserving projection (e.g., incompressibility or conservation). Theoretically, we establish invariance guarantees to ensure that trajectories remain on the physics-consistent manifold throughout sampling. Experiments on various PDE systems demonstrate competitive reconstruction accuracy with sound physics consistency, while enabling efficient conditional sampling (e.g., 50 steps) and up to 320x faster inference than 2000-step guided diffusion baselines.

Large reasoning models (LRMs) generate extended solutions, yet it remains unclear whether these traces reflect substantive internal computation or merely verbosity and overthinking. Although recent hidden-state analyses suggest that internal representations carry correctness-related signals, their coarse aggregations may obscure the token and layer structure underlying reasoning computation. We investigate hidden-state transitions across decoding steps and layers, and identify a distinct spatiotemporal pattern in LRMs: successful trajectories exhibit broad temporal dynamics with localized layer-wise concentration, while this structure is weaker in non-reasoning models and knowledge-heavy domains. We formalize this characteristic as Spatiotemporal Amplitude of Latent Transition (StALT), a training-free trajectory statistic that summarizes temporal changes between adjacent tokens weighted by within-token layer saliency. Across diverse models and benchmarks, StALT reliably separates correct from incorrect trajectories in reasoning-intensive regimes, providing a competitive label-free correctness signal alongside strong output-space and length-based baselines. Intervention analyses further show that this spatiotemporal amplitude responds systematically to manipulations that increase or reduce the demand for internal reasoning, supporting its association with latent reasoning dynamics in LRMs. These findings provide empirical evidence that LRMs exhibit measurable hidden-state dynamics and offer a practical probe for understanding internal computation beyond output-based evaluation.

Visual query localization (VQL) aims to predict the spatio-temporal response of the most recent occurrence in a sequence given a query. Currently, most research focuses on visual query localization in 2D videos, while its counterpart in 3D space has received little attention. In this paper, we make the first attempt to address visual query localization in the 3D world by introducing a novel benchmark, dubbed 3DVQL. Specifically, 3DVQL contains 2,002 sequences with around 170,000 frames and 6.4K response track segments from 38 object categories. Each sequence in 3DVQL is provided with multiple modalities, including point clouds, RGB images, and depth images, to support flexible research. To ensure high-quality annotations, each sequence is manually annotated with multiple rounds of verification and refinement. To the best of our knowledge, 3DVQL is the first benchmark for 3D multimodal visual query localization. To facilitate comparison in subsequent research, we implement a series of representative 3D multimodal VQL baselines using point clouds and RGB images. The experimental results show that existing methods exhibit significant performance variations across different fusion modules. To encourage future research, we propose a lift-and-attention fusion algorithm named LaF, which significantly outperforms existing baseline models. Our benchmark and model will be publicly released at https://github.com/wuhengliangliang/3DVQL.

Spatio-temporal signals arising from event-driven biological processes, such as surface electromyography (sEMG), exhibit asynchronous and highly structured activation patterns that are challenging to model using conventional discrete or purely real-valued representations. In this work, we propose a continuous temporal modeling framework based on interference-based wave representations. The approach maps event-like input signals into a complex-valued latent wave field, where temporal structure is encoded through phase modulation and interactions between latent components. By projecting the resulting wave field onto an energy domain, the model induces structured activation patterns that capture both temporal localization and relational dependencies within finite observation windows, without relying on explicit recurrence or causal state propagation. The proposed formulation is particularly suited for event-driven biosignals, where continuous representations enable efficient gradient-based optimization and robust feature extraction. In particular, the method is designed to support learning from sEMG data for downstream control tasks in biomechanical systems, such as prosthetic devices and exoskeletons. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed interference-based wave model provides improved representation quality compared to purely real-valued representations, while maintaining computational efficiency suitable for practical deployment.

Events in spatiotemporal systems are ubiquitous, yet modeling their complex distributions remains challenging. Existing point process models often rely on strong structural assumptions and are typically limited to autoregressive, event-by-event prediction. As a result, they struggle to support broader inference tasks such as inverse inference, trajectory reconstruction, and recovery of missing event locations. We introduce Arbitrarily Conditioned Hierarchical Flows (ARCH), a hierarchical flow matching framework for spatiotemporal event modeling. ARCH is expressive enough to capture complex event distributions while enabling tractable and accurate computation of conditional intensities, which quantify instantaneous event risk. Built on a history-encoder-generative-decoder architecture, ARCH introduces a hybrid masking strategy for flexible conditioning on arbitrary observed events. This enables a unified treatment of forecasting, inverse inference, and partial trajectory recovery within a single framework. Experiments on synthetic and real-world datasets show that ARCH consistently outperforms existing baselines across both prediction and conditional inference tasks.

Online conformal prediction must balance fast adaptation to distribution shift against stable coverage: feedback-driven methods react quickly but become volatile, while strongly discounted Bayesian methods lag and inflate intervals at tight coverage. We introduce \textbf{State-Adaptive Bayesian Conformal Prediction (SA-BCP)}, which forms the predictive quantile as a gated convex combination of long-term temporal inertia and local spatial evidence from a kernel density estimate, controlled by a single interpretable evidence threshold $K$. We establish three results: (i) asymptotic marginal validity of the resulting intervals up to a gate-controlled bias that vanishes as spatial evidence accumulates (exact under recurrent states); (ii) a closed-form expression for the MSE-optimal threshold, $K^*_{\mathrm{MSE}}=α(1-α)/M^{\mathcal{T}}$, trading the coverage-indicator (Bernoulli) variance against the temporal structural bias $M^{\mathcal{T}}$; and (iii) a rolling-origin procedure for selecting $K$ online -- consistent under stationarity, with $O(\sqrt{T\log N})$ regret against the best fixed $K$ and, for a segmented variant, a sublinear dynamic-regret bound under sublinearly many ($B_T=o(T)$) threshold shifts. Across four financial-volatility and weather datasets, three target coverage levels, and eight baselines, SA-BCP attains at-or-above-nominal coverage in most settings while producing substantially sharper intervals -- up to roughly $3\times$ lower Winkler score than discounted Bayesian CP at the tightest coverage -- and a coverage-matched audit confirms these efficiency gains are not an artifact of under-coverage. We disclose our principal limitation: a volatility-specialized CF-GARCH competitor remains more efficient on its home volatility-base series, though it does not transfer across domains.

Reconstructing realistic underwater scenes from underwater video remains a meaningful yet challenging task in the multimedia domain. The inherent spatiotemporal degradations in underwater imaging, including caustics, flickering, attenuation, and backscattering, frequently result in inaccurate geometry and appearance in existing 3D reconstruction methods. While a few recent works have explored underwater degradation-aware reconstruction, they often address either spatial or temporal degradation alone, falling short in more real-world underwater scenarios where both types of degradation occur. We propose MarineSTD-GS, a novel 3D Gaussian Splatting-based framework that explicitly models both temporal and spatial degradations for realistic underwater scene reconstruction. Specifically, we introduce two paired Gaussian primitives: Intrinsic Gaussians represent the true scene, while Degraded Gaussians render the degraded observations. The color of each Degraded Gaussian is physically derived from its paired Intrinsic Gaussian via a Spatiotemporal Degradation Modeling (SDM) module, enabling self-supervised disentanglement of realistic appearance from degraded images. To ensure stable training and accurate geometry, we further propose a Depth-Guided Geometry Loss and a Multi-Stage Optimization strategy. We also construct a simulated benchmark with diverse spatial and temporal degradations and ground-truth appearances for comprehensive evaluation. Experiments on both simulated and real-world datasets show that MarineSTD-GS robustly handles spatiotemporal degradations and outperforms existing methods in novel view synthesis with realistic, water-free scene appearances.

Accurate forecasting of electric vehicle (EV) charging demand is critical for grid management and infrastructure planning. Yet the field continues to rely on legacy benchmarks; such as the Palo Alto (2020) dataset; that fail to reflect the scale and behavioral diversity of modern charging networks. To address this, we introduce a novel large-scale longitudinal dataset collected across Scotland (2022 2025), which release it as an open benchmark for the community. Building on this dataset, we formulate EV charging demand as a spatio-temporal latent Gaussian field and perform approximate Bayesian inference via Integrated Nested Laplace Approximation (INLA). The resulting model jointly captures spatial dependence, temporal dynamics, and covariate effects within a unified proba bilistic framework. On station-level forecasting tasks, our approach achieves competitive predictive accuracy against machine learning baselines, while additionally providing principled uncertainty quan tification and interpretable spatial and temporal decompositions properties that are essential for risk-aware infrastructure planning.

World models, generative AI systems that simulate how environments evolve, are transforming autonomous driving, yet all existing approaches adopt an ego-vehicle perspective, leaving the infrastructure viewpoint unexplored. We argue that infrastructure-centric world models offer a fundamentally complementary capability: the bird's-eye, multi-sensor, persistent viewpoint that roadside systems uniquely possess. Central to our thesis is a spatio-temporal complementarity: fixed roadside sensors excel at temporal depth, accumulating long-term behavioral distributions including rare safety-critical events, while vehicle-borne sensors excel at spatial breadth, sampling diverse scenes across large road networks. This paper presents a vision for Infrastructure-centric World Models (I-WM) in three phases: (I) generative scene understanding with quality-aware uncertainty propagation, (II) physics-informed predictive dynamics with multi-agent counterfactual reasoning, and (III) collaborative world models for V2X communication via latent space alignment. We propose a dual-layer architecture, annotation-free perception as a multi-modal data engine feeding end-to-end generative world models, with a phased sensor strategy from LiDAR through 4D radar and signal phase data to event cameras. We establish a taxonomy of driving world model paradigms, position I-WM relative to LeCun's JEPA, Li Fei-Fei's spatial intelligence, and VLA architectures, and introduce Infrastructure VLA (I-VLA) as a novel unification of roadside perception, language commands, and traffic control actions. Our vision builds upon existing multi-LiDAR pipelines and identifies open-source foundations for each phase, providing a path toward infrastructure that understands and anticipates traffic.

Traffic forecasting is a challenging spatio-temporal modeling task and a critical component of urban transportation management. Current studies mainly focus on deterministic predictions, with limited considerations on the uncertainty and stochasticity in traffic dynamics. Therefore, this paper proposes an elegant yet universal approach that transforms existing models into probabilistic predictors by replacing only the final output layer with a novel Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) layer. The modified model requires no changes to the training pipeline and can be trained using only the Negative Log-Likelihood (NLL) loss, without any auxiliary or regularization terms. Experiments on multiple traffic datasets show that our approach generalizes from classic to modern model architectures while preserving deterministic performance. Furthermore, we propose a systematic evaluation procedure based on cumulative distributions and confidence intervals, and demonstrate that our approach is considerably more accurate and informative than unimodal or deterministic baselines. Finally, a more detailed study on a real-world dense urban traffic network is presented to examine the impact of data quality on uncertainty quantification and to show the robustness of our approach under imperfect data conditions. Code available at https://github.com/Weijiang-Xiong/OpenSkyTraffic

Spatiotemporal modeling has evolved beyond simple time series analysis to become fundamental in structural time series analysis. While current research extensively employs graph neural networks (GNNs) for spatial feature extraction with notable success, these networks are limited to capturing only pairwise relationships, despite real-world networks containing richer topological relationships. Additionally, GNN-based models face computational challenges that scale with graph complexity, limiting their applicability to large networks. To address these limitations, we present Modern Structure-Aware Simplicial SpatioTemporal neural network (ModernSASST), the first approach to leverage simplicial complex structures for spatiotemporal modeling. Our method employs spatiotemporal random walks on high-dimensional simplicial complexes and integrates parallelizable Temporal Convolutional Networks to capture high-order topological structures while maintaining computational efficiency. Our source code is publicly available on GitHub\footnote{Code is available at: https://github.com/ComplexNetTSP/ST_RUM.

Physics-aware recurrent convolutional networks (PARC) have demonstrated strong performance in predicting nonlinear spatiotemporal dynamics by embedding differential operators directly into the computational graph of a neural network. However, pixel-based convolutions are restricted to static, uniform Cartesian grids, making them ill-suited to following evolving localized structures in an efficient manner. Graph neural networks (GNNs) naturally handle irregular spatial discretizations, but existing graph-based physics-aware deep learning (PADL) methods have difficulty handling extreme nonlinear regimes. To address these limitations, we propose Graph PARC (G-PARC), which uses moving least squares (MLS) kernels to approximate spatial derivatives on unstructured graphs, and embeds the derivatives of governing partial differential equations into the network's computational graph. G-PARC achieves better accuracy with 2-3x fewer parameters than MeshGraphNet, MeshGraphKAN, and GraphSAGE, replacing the traditional encoder-processor-decoder framework with analytically computed differential operators. We demonstrate that G-PARC (1) generalizes across nonuniform spatial and temporal discretizations; (2) handles moving meshes required for structural deformation; and (3) outperforms existing graph-based PADL methods on nonlinear benchmarks including fluvial hydrology, planar shock waves, and elastoplastic dynamics. By embedding explicit physical operators within the flexibility of GNNs, G-PARC enables accurate modeling of extreme nonlinear phenomena on complex computational domains, moving PADLbeyond idealized Cartesian grids.

Game engines hold what video models struggle to learn: a complete, explicit world state behind every frame. We turn one into a data instrument. GEST-Engine, our production-grade open-source system, deterministically executes Graphs of Events in Space and Time (GESTs), whether procedurally generated or derived from text, into videos of synchronized multi-actor scenarios, recording ground truth as it renders: 3D entity and camera state, pairwise spatial relations, event-to-frame mappings, instance segmentation, and long descriptions, at zero marginal annotation cost. With it we release GTASA, a 938-video sample of what the system can generate at arbitrary scale, carrying, to our knowledge, the densest spatial-relation coverage of any video dataset: a complete entity-pair relation graph at every frame, ~84x denser than the state of the art, frame-for-frame. We validate GTASA both qualitatively, through human evaluation of physical validity and semantic alignment where frontier neural generators, given the same prompts, largely fail, and quantitatively, with GTASA pretraining improving VLM video captioning. Probing six frozen video encoders across 11 spatio-temporal tasks enabled by GTASA's exact 3D ground truth, a previously untestable inter-entity relational probe of frozen video features, reveals that who-is-near-whom barely rises above chance for all of them. We release the engine, the corpus, and the benchmark, making this gap a measurable, trainable target.

Surgical video understanding is a crucial prerequisite for advancing Computer-Assisted Surgery. While vision-language models (VLMs) have recently been applied to the surgical domain, existing surgical vision-language datasets lack in capturing and evaluating complex, interleaved spatial-temporal dynamics. Creating large scale datasets that accurately represent fine-grained spatial-temporal relationships in surgical videos is challenging due to costly manual annotations or error-prone generation using large language models. To address this gap, we introduce the SurgSTU-Pipeline, a deterministic generation pipeline featuring temporal and spatial continuity filtering to reliably create surgical datasets for fine-grained spatial-temporal multimodal understanding. Applying this pipeline to publicly available surgical datasets, we create the SurgSTU dataset, comprising 6711 video clips densely extended with 150k fine-grained spatial-temporal question-answer samples. Our comprehensive evaluation shows that while state-of-the-art generalist VLMs struggle in zero-shot settings, their spatial-temporal capabilities can be improved through in-context learning. A fine-tuned VLM on the SurgSTU training dataset achieves highest performance among all spatial-temporal tasks, validating the dataset's efficacy to improve spatial-temporal understanding of VLMs in surgical videos. The project is available here: https://lennart-maack.github.io/SurgSTU-project

Accurate and reliable forecasting of epidemic incidences is critical for public health preparedness, yet it remains a challenging task due to complex nonlinear temporal dependencies and heterogeneous spatial interactions. Often, point forecasts generated by spatiotemporal models are unreliable in assigning uncertainty to future epidemic events. Probabilistic forecasting of epidemics is therefore crucial for providing the best or worst-case scenarios rather than a simple, often inaccurate, point estimate. We present deep spatiotemporal engression methods to generate accurate and reliable probabilistic forecasts on low-frequency epidemic datasets. The proposed methods act as distributional lenses, and out-of-sample probabilistic forecasts are generated by sampling from the trained models. Our frameworks encapsulate lightweight deep generative architectures, wherein uncertainty is quantified endogenously, driven by a pre-additive noise component during model construction. We establish geometric ergodicity and asymptotic stationarity of the spatiotemporal engression processes under mild assumptions on the network weights and pre-additive noise process. Comprehensive evaluations across six epidemiological datasets over three forecast horizons demonstrate that the proposal consistently outperforms several temporal and spatiotemporal benchmarks in both point and probabilistic forecasting. Additionally, we explore the explainability of the proposal to enhance the models' practical application for informed, timely public health interventions.

Multivariate time series forecasting is fundamental to numerous domains such as energy, finance, and environmental monitoring, where complex temporal dependencies and cross-variable interactions pose enduring challenges. Existing Transformer-based methods capture temporal correlations through attention mechanisms but suffer from quadratic computational cost, while state-space models like Mamba achieve efficient long-context modeling yet lack explicit temporal pattern recognition. Therefore we introduce UniMamba, a unified spatial-temporal forecasting framework that integrates efficient state-space dynamics with attention-based dependency learning. UniMamba employs a Mamba Variate-Channel Encoding Layer enhanced with FFT-Laplace Transform and TCN to capture global temporal dependencies, and a Spatial Temporal Attention Layer to jointly model inter-variate correlations and temporal evolution. A Feedforward Temporal Dynamics Layer further fuses continuous and discrete contexts for accurate forecasting. Comprehensive experiments on eight public benchmark datasets demonstrate that UniMamba consistently outperforms state-of-the-art forecasting models in both forecasting accuracy and computational efficiency, establishing a scalable and robust solution for long-sequence multivariate time-series prediction.

Next Point-of-Interest (POI) recommendation ranks a user's likely next location based on check-in history. Most recent rankers compress the trajectory into a single user vector and score every candidate through the same representation, ignoring that every candidate carries geographic coordinates and that the relevance of a past visit depends on where the candidate is located. Target attention from click-through-rate prediction conditions the user representation on the scored item, but its operator was developed for web items without geometry. This paper proposes CaST-POI, a candidate-conditioned POI ranker that keeps a standard target-attention reader and adds two bucketised biases to the attention logits: one for the recency of each past visit and another for its distance to the candidate being scored. Different candidates therefore read the same trajectory with different attention weights, grounded in real geographic distance rather than inferred from item embeddings. Comparing against seven sequential recommenders trained with the same split on three datasets NYC, TKY and CA under per-user leave-one-out with full-vocabulary ranking, CaST-POI improves MRR over the strongest baseline by 5.1%, 7.6% and 14.5%. Holm-corrected paired tests confirm the gains on TKY and CA. Ablation study locates the gain in the explicit revisit gate and the candidate-relative spatial bias, whereas the candidate-independent temporal bias has no measurable effect on all datasets. Code is available at https://github.com/YuZhenyuLindy/CaST-POI.

Fine-grained spatio-temporal understanding is essential for video reasoning and embodied AI. Yet, while Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs) master static semantics, their grasp of temporal dynamics remains brittle. We present TimeBlind, a diagnostic benchmark for compositional spatio-temporal understanding. Inspired by cognitive science, TimeBlind categorizes fine-grained temporal understanding into three levels: recognizing atomic events, characterizing event properties, and reasoning about event interdependencies. Unlike benchmarks that conflate recognition with temporal reasoning, TimeBlind leverages a minimal-pairs paradigm: video pairs share identical static visual content but differ solely in temporal structure, utilizing complementary questions to neutralize language priors. Evaluating over 20 state-of-the-art MLLMs (e.g., GPT-5, Gemini 3 Pro) on 600 curated instances (2400 video-question pairs), reveals that the Instance Accuracy (correctly distinguishing both videos in a pair) of the best performing MLLM is only 48.2%, far below the human performance (98.2%). These results demonstrate that even frontier models rely heavily on static visual shortcuts rather than genuine temporal logic, positioning TimeBlind as a vital diagnostic tool for next-generation video understanding. Dataset and code are available at https://baiqi-li.github.io/timeblind_project/ .

Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS) demand real-time collision prediction to ensure road safety and reduce accident severity. Conventional approaches rely on transmitting raw video or high-dimensional sensory data from roadside units (RSUs) to vehicles, which is impractical under vehicular communication bandwidth and latency constraints. In this work, we propose a semantic V2X framework in which RSU-mounted cameras generate spatiotemporal semantic embeddings of future frames using the Video Joint Embedding Predictive Architecture (V-JEPA). To evaluate the system, we construct a digital twin of an urban traffic environment enabling the generation of d verse traffic scenarios with both safe and collision events. These embeddings of the future frame, extracted from V-JEPA, capture task-relevant traffic dynamics and are transmitted via V2X links to vehicles, where a lightweight attentive probe and classifier decode them to predict imminent collisions. By transmitting only semantic embeddings instead of raw frames, the proposed system significantly reduces communication overhead while maintaining predictive accuracy. Experimental results demonstrate that the framework with an appropriate processing method achieves a 10% F1-score improvement for collision prediction while reducing transmission requirements by four orders of magnitude compared to raw video. This validates the potential of semantic V2X communication to enable cooperative, real-time collision prediction in ITS.

Image transmission and processing systems in resource-critical applications face significant challenges from adversarial perturbations that compromise mission-specific object classification. Current robustness testing methods require excessive computational resources through exhaustive frame-by-frame processing and full-image perturbations, proving impractical for large-scale deployments where massive image streams demand immediate processing. This paper presents DDSA (Dual-Domain Strategic Attack), a resource-efficient adversarial robustness testing framework that optimizes testing through temporal selectivity and spatial precision. We introduce a scenario-aware trigger function that identifies critical frames requiring robustness evaluation based on class priority and model uncertainty, and employ explainable AI techniques to locate influential pixel regions for targeted perturbation. Our dual-domain approach achieves substantial temporal-spatial resource conservation while maintaining attack effectiveness. The framework enables practical deployment of comprehensive adversarial robustness testing in resource-constrained real-time applications where computational efficiency directly impacts mission success.

Traffic prediction is difficult due to the complex interplay of temporal evolution, spatial interactions, and delayed spatio-temporal propagation over road networks. Existing methods either model spatial and temporal dependencies separately or employ unified spatio-temporal structures, but they often insufficiently characterize how neighboring sensors at historical timestamps influence a target node, while complex joint models may incur high computation. This paper proposes STEI-PCN, an efficient pure convolutional network based on spatio-temporal encoding and relation inference. It first builds a local causal joint spatio-temporal graph to restrict candidate interactions, then uses absolute position and relative distance encodings to infer dynamic edge weights. A single-layer graph convolution with a position-aware gated activation unit captures local joint dependencies, and temporal dilated causal convolutions complement long-range temporal patterns. A multi-view prediction module fuses raw, local propagation, and long-range temporal representations for direct multi-step forecasting. Experiments on PeMS03, PeMS04, PeMS07, PeMS08, and PeMS-Bay under multiple horizons show that STEI-PCN achieves competitive accuracy with moderate parameters and low training and inference costs. Ablation and fluctuation analyses further verify the contributions of the main components and empirically analyze the effects of the training-stage constraints under sharp speed changes. Our code is available at a GitHub link https://github.com/Jessez2/STEI-PCN.

The storage, management, and application of massive spatio-temporal data are widely used in practical scenarios, including public safety. However, due to the unique spatio-temporal distribution characteristics of real-world data, existing methods still face limitations in preserving spatio-temporal proximity and achieving load balancing in distributed storage. This paper proposes an efficient partitioning method for large-scale public safety spatio-temporal data based on information loss constraints, named IFL-LSTP. The model combines a spatio-temporal partitioning module (STPM) and a graph partitioning module (GPM). STPM reduces the scale of data under a predefined information-loss threshold, while GPM uses graph representation learning to obtain balanced graph partitions. Experiments on multiple real-world datasets show that IFL-LSTP can reduce data scale, shorten graph model training time, preserve spatio-temporal proximity, and improve load-balancing effectiveness.