Trajectory

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693 papers

Latest in Trajectory

Sep 8, 2026cs.SE

AttnCompress: Dynamic Attention-Guided Trajectory Compression for Software Engineering Agents

The transition from human-centric assistance to Autonomous Software Engineering (ASE) agents has enabled the resolution of complex real-world SE tasks. However, the trial-and-error nature of these agents generates lengthy interaction trajectories, creating severe bottlenecks in terms of context window limits and cost. While context compression offers a potential remedy, prior approaches suffer from static pruning strategies and granularity mismatches, often failing to preserve the semantic dependencies and syntactic details crucial for SE tasks. To strictly preserve critical task evidence while reducing context length, we introduce AttnCompress, a dynamic attention-guided trajectory compression framework. Unlike existing approaches, AttnCompress bridges the gap between semantic integrity and dynamic adaptability through three key mechanisms: (1) structure-aware segmentation via perplexity (PPL) spikes to preserve the syntactic structure of code and logs; (2) relevance estimation using proxy attention weights to quantify the precise relevance of historical blocks to the agent's current reasoning; and (3) a dynamic rolling window to re-evaluate and recall historical context as the task evolves. Extensive evaluation on SWE-Bench-Verified and Multi-SWE-Bench demonstrates that AttnCompress achieves a pass rate of 53.17%, outperforming prior state-of-the-art baselines while reducing token consumption by 21.6% and total costs by 33.6%. The framework proves to be model-agnostic and generalizes effectively across diverse programming languages.
Zhengran Zeng, Yixin Li, Rui Xie +2
Sep 7, 2026cs.CV

MamMA: A Mamba-Based Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction Algorithm Considering Occupancy Map and Pedestrian Awareness States

Many pedestrian trajectory prediction algorithms have been proposed to improve the safety of navigation for mobile robots working in human-robot coexistence environments. Some pedestrian trajectory prediction algorithms extract information about obstacles near pedestrians from top-down view images to improve the accuracy of trajectory prediction. However, mobile robots typically create local occupancy maps using LiDAR, rather than top-down view images. Meanwhile, the vision sensors on board robots provide egocentric view images, which contain fine-grained behavioral information about the pedestrians near the robot. To better use the information collected by LiDAR and on-board vision sensors, we propose MamMA, a Mamba-based pedestrian trajectory prediction algorithm considering occupancy maps and pedestrian awareness states. MamMA divides the occupancy map by patches and extracts obstacle features from each patch to create map features. Pedestrian awareness states are divided and considered, as some studies show that awareness states affect the perception and speed of pedestrians. Furthermore, a Mamba-based model is proposed to predict the future trajectories of pedestrians based on different types of features. Experiments on the STCrowd, SiT, JRDB, ETH, and UCY datasets show that MamMA achieves better average displacement error and final displacement error than the state-of-the-art algorithms.
Juncen Long, Xiaofeng Jin, Gianluca Bardaro +2
Sep 7, 2026cs.CV

CrowdTraj: A Benchmark for Dense Crowd Trajectory Prediction in Realistic Crowded Environments

In real-world applications, pedestrian trajectory prediction models rely on inputs from detection and tracking systems. Prior trajectory prediction benchmarks either contain relatively sparse pedestrian interactions, assume perfect tracking inputs, or rely on overhead viewpoints that minimize occlusion and perspective distortion, limiting evaluation in realistic dense-crowd scenarios. We present CrowdTraj, a benchmark for pedestrian trajectory prediction in natural dense crowd scenes. Unlike previous datasets, CrowdTraj supports end-to-end evaluation from detection through tracking to trajectory prediction under severe occlusion in CCTV views. It also captures diverse, natural pedestrian behaviours, including abrupt directional changes rarely observed in existing benchmarks. CrowdTraj includes five diverse scenes, with an average of 1,146 unique pedestrians per scene, maximum frame-level densities ranging from 114 to 372 pedestrians, and over 3.2 million annotated head bounding boxes. CrowdTraj provides pixel and real-world coordinates via per-scene homography matrices for physically meaningful analysis. Our experimental results show that tracking accuracy (IDF1) drops to 0.68 to 0.70 in the densest scenes, compared with approximately 0.90 in less crowded scenes. Trajectory prediction training also becomes substantially more computationally expensive in dense scenes, with training times increasing by up to 8 times. These findings show that CrowdTraj exposes limitations in current trajectory prediction pipelines that remain hidden on existing sparse-crowd benchmarks, particularly in robustness to tracking noise and computational scalability.
Antonius Bima Murti Wijaya, Paul Henderson, Marwa Mahmoud
Sep 7, 2026cs.CL

Vishing-Tactics-Bench: Forecasting Exploitation Trajectories in Voice Phishing Calls

Voice phishing (vishing) unfolds in real time; by the time a call has ended and post-hoc classification is possible, the harm has already been done. The more actionable question is which concrete harm (Information Gathering or Financial Exploitation) an ongoing call is tactically progressing toward. We present Vishing-Tactics-Bench, a benchmark grounded in Endsley's situation-awareness (SA) framework that recasts vishing defense from after-the-fact fraud classification to harm projection: predicting at each turn whether the call will reach either terminal harm. We adapt MITRE ATT&CK to vishing as a 6-tactic taxonomy (Vishing-Tactics) and label 35,340 scammer utterances across 5,645 synthetic Chinese calls. We define Exploitation Trajectory Forecasting, a survival-style protocol over the two terminal harms with three metrics: AP@k, C-index, and divergence error. Baselines ranging from a Markov heuristic to fine-tuned LLMs show that the tactical trajectory serves as an interpretable representation of the call's tactical state, supporting harm-specific forecasting, which can then be used for the downstream application of intervention selection; a stratified lead-time analysis at a tight false-alarm budget further identifies at what point in a call the trajectory signal yields early warning.
Jeongmin Lee, Dongmyung Sul, Seung Yun +1
Sep 3, 2026cs.AI

Terminal-Universe: Turning Agent Trajectories into Scalable Terminal Environments

As terminal-based code agents become prevalent, agent trajectories have accumulated at scale, while realistic, executable environments remain scarce. However, environments are what agent post-training actually requires: each can be re-queried into many verifiable tasks and provides execution feedback, whereas a trajectory is a single frozen demonstration. Rather than generating environments from scratch, we observe that the tool-execution history in existing trajectories exposes the structure and contents of the environments in which they ran, making it possible to reconstruct those environments from the trajectories themselves. Thus, we introduce Terminal-Universe, a framework which turns each trajectory into a reusable environment and explores it for synthesizing new tasks and continued interactions. Specifically, Terminal-Universe replays the file operations recorded in a trajectory to restore each file before the agent modified it, yielding a partial workspace; a completion agent then supplies the missing files and dependencies. On this recovered workspace, we both reconstruct the original intent task and synthesize entirely new ones. Besides, we also scale the tasks along two complementary axes: breadth and depth. For breadth, we mine directional dependency relations between related environments and synthesize cross-workspace queries spanning multiple codebases, as developers routinely do in real-world development. For depth, we extend the initial single-turn query into a multi-round session that captures iterative user feedback and requirement refinement via a user agent. Applied to public terminal agent trajectories, Terminal-Universe produces 37.3k task-sufficient environments. Supervised fine-tuning of Qwen3.5-27B on this corpus improves single-round performance on Terminal-Bench 2.1 by 11.9 points and multi-round performance on EvoCode-Bench v2 MT@4 by 13.8 points.
Jie Wu, Zhenru Zhang, Beichen Zhang +11
Sep 3, 2026cs.AI

Interface-Induced Trajectory Censoring

Agent evaluations report a tool-call rate read off the serving stack. That number can be zero while the model is emitting well-formed calls: the interface censors the trajectory before anything downstream sees it. On BFCL v4's own data, executor and scorer, holding weights, cases, decoding and seeds fixed and changing only the serving adapter, the same model scores 0.00 or 0.96 / 0.19. A 2x2 over chat template and parser locates the effect exactly: both main effects are exactly zero and all of it sits in the interaction -- no component is defective, and repairing one side of the contract buys precisely nothing. On tau-bench's 115 interactive retail tasks the same swap moves server-parsed calls from 0 to 636 and tasks reaching any tool execution from 0 to 103. Our probe reproduces the funnel across a 21x scale range of Qwen2.5-Coder: the server parses 0/100 at every size while well-formed emitted calls rise to 80/100 at 32B (~72 after calibration against an adjudicated gold standard). Under a matched envelope, across a comparable scale span, the silent fraction stays at 0-2, a prediction committed to the repository before the run. Llama-3.1-8B's 23% rate of calling the task function itself as a tool falls to 0 under one strict:true flag. The mismatch reaches inside the training loop, and its consequence is scale-dependent: in verl's AgentLoop at 7B, 45 of 115 generations carry a complete call; 0 are accepted, 0 execute, 0 return an observation. At 1.5B the same zero is over-determined, so we report the two scales separately. At evaluation time, repairing the adapter restores the mechanism but not a significant outcome gain: parsing 0->84, rescues 0->9, pass rate 53->62 (n.s.). We release a 98-line preflight check that catches every silent failure here. The observed tool-call rate is not a property of the model alone; it is a property of the model-interface stack that measures it.
Wenbo Wang
Sep 3, 2026cs.AI

DNative-Twin: Decision Graphs and Digital Twins for Reconstructable Agentic Decisions

AI agents increasingly gather evidence, invoke tools, apply constraints, and produce decisions that people or software may commit to action. A final output alone cannot show which evidence, tool state, rule, authorization, or action path produced it. We present DNative-Twin, a graph-native digital twin that records a committed agentic decision as a typed trajectory and re-executes its decision mechanism under declared conditions. The graph links the state observed by the agent, the path it followed, and the authority behind the resulting action. The twin synchronizes this information, replays the mechanism in isolation, and compares it under controlled changes. We instantiate the framework in enterprise decision processes using three public process logs and controlled replay suites. The experiments identify a specific failure: graph structure localizes represented changes but cannot determine the consequence of an unobserved tool state. In a three-condition controlled experiment with 300 injected instances, unresolved-divergence recall increased from 0 to 0.667 when replay-contract state was added and to 1.0 when verification results were also available; the held-out set contained no critical-class instance. Across 500--5,000 BPI 2020 cases, median end-to-end time increased from 0.794 to 8.889 seconds on the reported platform. These results separate the roles of graph structure, replay context, and verification evidence in reviewing a decision mechanism.
Junjie Pang, Zhenzhen Xie, Haoke Han +3
Sep 3, 2026cs.LG

FlowBalance: Verifier-Grounded Self-Improvement from On-Policy Reasoning Experience

A reasoning model can improve from its own on-policy experience, but this inner loop is fragile: terminal verifiers provide reliable yet sparse supervision, while dense same-model guidance can reinforce false confidence or overconcentrate learning on a narrow solution mode. We introduce FlowBalance, a verifier-grounded self-improvement method that learns a normalized distribution over complete responses. For each on-policy trajectory, a frozen training-time view of the same policy uses privileged context to produce token-level log-probability gains, which are aggregated into a trajectory-level self-guidance score. FlowBalance calibrates this score with the verifier-derived group advantage: guidance is retained on positive-advantage trajectories, reversed on negative-advantage trajectories, and disabled when the rollout group provides no outcome preference. The resulting energy exponentially reweights a reference policy, and profiled trajectory balance fits the normalized target with one log-partition estimate per rollout group. This realizes outcome-calibrated self-guidance via trajectory balance, without a separate token-level imitation loss. Our analysis establishes within-group contrast preservation, a minimum-change reverse-KL characterization, monotonic verifier control of target reward, and an exact correction against false-positive self-guidance on rejected responses. On mathematical reasoning, FlowBalance improves average performance over FlowRL on both Qwen3-4B and Qwen3-8B, while also improving training speed and stability, avoiding direct OPSD's response-length collapse, and exhibiting higher correct-strategy diversity in a controlled AIME24 diagnostic.
Zixun Huang, Kishan Panaganti, Haitao Mi +1
Sep 2, 2026cs.RO

GPU-Accelerated Astrodynamics World Models for Spacecraft Rendezvous and Proximity Operations

World models are an emerging paradigm in representation learning in which an agent jointly learns state-action dynamics and observation models from offline trajectory data, enabling multi-step planning and trajectory prediction with uncertainty estimates. They have shown strong results in robotics and game environments, but, to the best of our knowledge, have not previously been applied to the space domain. This paper introduces a world model-based approach to cooperative and non-cooperative spacecraft rendezvous and proximity operations. First, we introduce an open-source, JAX-based International Space Station (ISS) docking environment supporting parallel GPU simulation of spacecraft orbit and attitude dynamics, generating the thousands of state-action transitions that world model training requires. Second, we introduce Out-of-this-World-Model, a transformer-based world model that encodes relative kinematic states and body-fixed camera imagery into a latent state and predicts its evolution under commanded thrusts and torques using one-step flow matching. It produces a distribution over future observations, capturing stochastic dynamics and per-timestep uncertainty, and outperforms DreamerV3-style posterior-correction baselines with fewer trainable parameters and hyperparameters. Third, we apply the approach to a capsule autonomously docking with the ISS under keep-out-zone constraints, demonstrating improved sample efficiency and task performance over reinforcement learning baselines (53% versus 29% docking success across ports), better out-of-distribution generalization (on held-out ports the world model more than doubles baseline success, 40% versus 17%), and detection of anomalous objects encountered during approach with 98% classification accuracy. We open-source the simulation environment and model architecture to enable further study of this paradigm.
Duncan Eddy, Isaac R. Ward, Grace Ra Kim +1
Sep 1, 2026cs.RO

Designing Versatile Samples for Learned Trajectory Scoring

Many current end-to-end driving policies emit a pool of candidate trajectories and select one, which makes selection a separable component: a scorer can be retrained while the planner, its backbone, and its trajectory generator all stay frozen. However, many strong planners concentrate their proposals around safe mode, providing limited supervision near decision boundaries. In this work, we design a training dataset that provides more informative supervision for the scorer. In particular, we construct two generators that perturb the logged human trajectory along the two axes a vehicle can be displaced: laterally toward the drivable boundary and longitudinally toward a leading vehicle. The designed dataset produces more informative positive and negative samples than the base planner's proposal pool. We attach a transformer-based scorer to two frozen generative planners, DiffusionDrive and MeanFuser, and train it on the NAVSIM navtrain dataset. The results of the experiments show that we achieve 90.1 EPDMS on DiffusionDrive and 90.4 EPDMS on MeanFuser when using ResNet-34, with 0.4 and 0.3 EPDMS respectively, from the designed training dataset.
Yaguang Li, Jiaru Zhang, Chuheng Wei +2
Sep 1, 2026cs.CV

Residual Kalman Dynamics for Event-Based UAV Forecasting

We study short- and mid-horizon UAV bounding-box forecasting on the FRED event-camera dataset. We use a constant-velocity Kalman filter over a full center-size box state as a strong physical baseline, and train a residual model to predict acceleration-like corrections from recent box history, filtered state features, and local event representations. This simple residual formulation consistently improves over the Kalman baseline, with event-conditioned models giving the strongest results among the evaluated methods. We further show that part of the residual target is predictable from anchor position and velocity alone, indicating that canonical FRED results can reflect both visual evidence and dataset-specific motion priors. To analyze this effect, we introduce decorrelated subsets as a diagnostic stress test, showing that event-conditioned residual models retain useful predictive signal even when measured position- and velocity-based shortcuts are weakened.
Per Nyblom, Hannes Ovrén, David Gustafsson
Sep 1, 2026cs.LG

HarnessEvolve: Learning from Reference Trajectories for Reliable Agent Self-Evolution

Self-evolving agents advance toward autonomy by optimizing their harness---prompts, skills, tools, and execution logic---based on environmental feedback. This paradigm, however, is hampered by three challenges: \textit{credit assignment failure}, where terminal success/failure feedback makes it ambiguous which step caused the error; \textit{shortcut learning}, where agents memorize task-specific patterns rather than acquire generalizable capabilities; and \textit{catastrophic forgetting}, where unguarded updates degrade previously acquired competence. In this paper, we introduce HarnessEvolve, a self-evolving framework that learns from reference trajectories to achieve reliable agent self-evolution. HarnessEvolve decouples the execution agent from the evolutionary pipeline, assigning execution, evaluation, optimization, and gating to independent agent modules, enabling generalizable and stable harness improvements. Specifically, HarnessEvolve overcomes credit assignment failure by generating reference trajectories (execution paths produced when given the ground-truth answers) and aligning failed executions against them to extract error signals, which are clustered to reveal systematic failure patterns. To prevent shortcut learning and catastrophic forgetting, candidate harness updates must pass two gates: a quality gate that filters data leakage and prompt bloat, and a performance gate that accepts each update if it improves on the current batch without degrading recent batches, with epoch-end validation on a held-out set selecting the best-performing accepted agent snapshot. We conduct extensive experiments on several benchmarks spanning open-domain and enterprise scenarios, using different models and agent frameworks. Results demonstrate that HarnessEvolve consistently outperforms state-of-the-art baselines across all benchmarks and settings, confirming reliability across task domains.
Wen Jiang, Mingmin Chu, Yimeng Tian +6
Sep 1, 2026cs.CV

Efficient and Robust Absolute Pose Estimation via Gravity-Prior-Driven Transformation Decoupling and Pose Refinement

Estimation of the absolute pose of an object is an essential task for various robotic applications. Recently, incorporating gravity direction as prior information has emerged as a popular approach to simplify absolute pose estimation. However, developing a robust and efficient algorithm to solve this challenging problem remains a difficult question due to large amounts of mismatches. In addition, obtaining an accurate pose solution from selected inlier correspondences with gravity prior is still a research gap. In this paper, we propose a novel transformation strategy that exploits geometric relations derived from the gravity prior. Through transformation decoupling, the original 6 degrees of freedom (DoF) absolute pose estimation problem is simplified into a 4-DoFs problem: 1-DoF for the rotation angle and 3-DoFs for translation, significantly improving the efficiency. For the 1-DoF rotation angle, we apply a one-dimensional global voting algorithm for optimal estimation. Once the optimal rotation is obtained, the mismatched correspondences are preliminarily filtered, and translation estimation, a linear problem, can be easily solved. Furthermore, to obtain accurate pose results, we introduce a novel pose refinement algorithm to enhance the accuracy of both rotation and translation. Extensive experiments on synthetic data and three publicly available real-world datasets (TUM RGB-D, ETH3D, and RobotCar) demonstrate that the proposed method achieves stronger performance compared to existing state-of-the-art (SOTA) approaches. To further validate our method, we integrated it into ORB-SLAM2. The results on the KITTI dataset show it effectively reduces drift and improves trajectory alignment during relocalization. The source code will be released upon acceptance.
Hu Cao, Qianyi Yang, Xinyi Li +3
Aug 31, 2026cs.AI

Reconciling Process Supervision with Outcome-Based Credit in Agentic Policy Optimization

Outcome-based reinforcement learning provides verified feedback for language-model agents, but assigns trajectory-level advantage uniformly to all decisions, yielding coarse credit over long-horizon interactions. On-policy self-distillation offers finer supervision by re-evaluating sampled behavior with privileged information (PI) available only during training. However, fine-grained supervision is not necessarily fine-grained credit: PI-induced likelihood changes describe how additional information alters policy preference, but do not directly determine how an executable action should inherit the verified task outcome. This creates a supervision-credit gap. Privileged signals may be irrelevant to the current interaction state, operate at a token granularity misaligned with executable decisions, and lack the outcome semantics required for reinforcement. We introduce TASPO, which converts privileged supervision into outcome-grounded action credit. TASPO constructs decision-applicable PI from verified successful experience, aggregates PI-induced likelihood shifts at the executable-action level, and converts relative action support into positive, bounded, mean-preserving weights on the original trajectory advantage. Thus, the verified outcome determines the update direction and average scale, while PI only redistributes credit across actions. Across three agentic benchmarks, TASPO improves over GRPO by 10.6% and generalizes better to unseen tasks. Further analysis indicates that TASPO reduces supervision mismatch and that action-level assignment stabilizes the policy optimization process. These findings offer the community another interesting perspective.
Jingxiao Yang, Wangjie Gan, Yingxuan Zhuang +3
Aug 31, 2026cs.CV

Driving on Memory

End-to-end autonomous driving models plan future trajectories from raw sensor input. While earlier driving benchmarks often measured deviation from the human trajectory, current benchmarks such as NAVSIM and Bench2Drive evaluate models with richer simulation-based metrics intended to capture safe and compliant driving. A high benchmark score should reflect that a model can understand the scene in front of it and act accordingly. But how much of that score specifically comes from reacting to the dynamic part of that scene? To probe this, we remove a model's camera input and replace it with memories from prior drives at the same location. The retrieved memories can provide persistent scene information, including road layout and location-conditioned regularities, but not the current traffic state. Surprisingly, memory is nearly sufficient on NAVSIM, reaching or even exceeding the performance of leading end-to-end methods without actually observing the evaluated scene. Our results suggest that a high NAVSIM score does not require a planner to react to the current traffic scene and should be treated with caution. This effect is benchmark-dependent: driving from memory causes substantially larger performance drops on Bench2Drive and RealEngine. We provide our code at https://github.com/boschresearch/MemoryDrivoR .
Christian Löwens, Thorben Funke, Alexandru Paul Condurache
Aug 31, 2026cs.CV

Uncertainty-Aware Trajectory Forecasting from Imperfect Tracking

Most trajectory forecasting models are trained on clean annotated histories, and are often evaluated under the same idealized assumption, although practical deployments rely on trajectories produced by imperfect multi-object trackers. The real-world observations exhibit localization jitter, missed or unstable detections, and data-association ambiguity, which are usually either ignored or removed through denoising. This paper instead treats tracking-derived reliability cues as an informative signal to be propagated to the predictor. We propose a plug-in uncertainty-aware formulation in which each observed state is encoded as an uncertain state representation, modeled by a Gaussian distribution whose covariance combines detection-level localization uncertainty and association-level ambiguity through the law of total variance. Existing backbones are adapted with minimal architectural changes: input trajectories are represented as Gaussian observations, and predicted trajectories are produced as Gaussian forecasts rather than deterministic coordinates. To train predictors that remain robust under structured observation noise, we combine temporally correlated Ornstein-Uhlenbeck perturbations with response-based knowledge distillation from a teacher trained on clean trajectories. Experiments on Oxford Town Centre and VIRAT using real tracker outputs, together with a complementary ETH/UCY pseudo-detection protocol, show that the proposed formulation improves displacement accuracy and the reliability-sharpness trade-off of probabilistic forecasts.
Stephane Da Silva Martins, Victor Petrovic, Emanuel Aldea +1
Aug 31, 2026cs.CL

From Final Artifacts to Trajectories: Retrospective Process Supervision for Evidence-Grounded Long-Form Generation

Trajectory data is getting more vital for training large language models for boosting the agentic abilities. Unlike the verifiable domains such as coding or mathematics, scaling trajectory data for open-ended tasks is much more difficult because these tasks lack singular ground truth and are costly to annotate or verify. In this paper, we propose RetroGen, a self-improving framework of retrospective process supervision. Our key observation is that although expert trajectories are scarce, high-quality final artifacts such as literature reviews, analyst reports and legal judgments, are abundant in pre-training data and can be viewed as compressed traces of the evidence-seeking processes that produced them. RetroGen reconstructs candidate latent trajectories from expert artifacts, verifies them against both the artifact and supporting evidence, and trains models on their own successful reconstruction data, without requiring trajectory data from stronger models. Experiments show that RetroGen improves grounding, faithful synthesis, and long-form evidence-seeking agent tasks.
Junjie Huang, Jiarui Qin, Di Yin +4
Aug 31, 2026cs.CL

Sequential Trajectories and Simultaneous Blending: Multi-Emotion Modeling for Instruction-Following TTS

Natural-language instructions enable flexible control of synthesized speech, yet emotional TTS systems primarily model a single utterance-level affect, leaving multi-emotion control underexplored. We study two complementary multi-emotion TTS tasks: emotion trajectory, which spans several ordered affective stages, and emotion blending, in which multiple emotions coexist throughout an utterance. These tasks expose a supervision mismatch: supervised fine-tuning (SFT) does not explicitly evaluate emotion features, while single-emotion rewards provide neither structure-aware feedback for trajectory completion nor pair-aware feedback for blending. We introduce HybridEmo, a post-training framework that initializes both tasks with SFT and then aligns the speech-token policy through Group Relative Policy Optimization using a sample-aware hybrid reward. For trajectory samples, segment-aligned consistency combines average and weakest-stage evidence to preserve the correctness and completeness of prescribed stages. For blending samples, a GMM-based reward combines frame-level support from the union of target-emotion anchors in an offline emotion space with an utterance-level weaker-target margin. Both branches share an ASR reward and are routed within a unified policy. On MultiEmo-Test, HybridEmo significantly improves trajectory correctness and blending intensity, without a noticeable degradation in speaker similarity. Human evaluation prefers HybridEmo to CosyVoice 3 and EmoVoice-0.5B, with nearly balanced preferences against Qwen3-TTS.
Yan Zhou, Yun Hong, Yang Feng
Aug 30, 2026cs.RO

Sampling-based Certified Planning with Graphs of Convex Sets

Planners on graphs of convex sets return trajectories that are collision-free by construction, provided the convex regions are collision-free. The region generator only promises that property probabilistically, and no planner in the family verifies it. We report the first measurement of what the gap costs. On a scaled 14-DOF bimanual library, 3.2%3.2\% of interface samples are in collision, and a search-based GCS planner (\gcsstar) turns that volume error into a 62%62\% answer error: 1818 of 2929 pick-and-place queries return trajectories that drive the arms through the shelves, up to 9191,mm deep, reported as successes. Repairing the library does not work; a ten times stricter acceptance contract, sums-of-squares certified regions, and uniform margins each destroy the connectivity planning needs before they deliver soundness. We instead build a planner that certifies its answers. It samples the overlaps and shared faces of the decomposition, prunes with an admissible informed bound, and verifies the one candidate each search round proposes, continuously, by a chain of clearance certificate balls with no resolution parameter; failures are repaired with local in-region detours, and the convex polish is re-verified. Head-to-head on all 2929 task queries it delivers zero invalid answers against 2121 for the reference, reaches its first certified answer in 0.110.11,s against 1.591.59,s for the reference's unverified one, and reproduces the reference optimum exactly on every query whose reference answer is physically valid.
Peng Xie, Amr Alanwar
Aug 30, 2026stat.ML

Neural ODE enhanced linear mixed effect models for estimating complex association patterns of time-varying covariates with the marker trajectory

Longitudinal cohort studies produce repeated data that enable the assessment of time-varying association patterns between exposures and health outcomes. Classical linear mixed-effects models (LMMs) can accommodate a large variety of association patterns while accounting for the irregularly spaced, partially observed measurement. But they require the analyst to pre-specify the functional form linking the exposure history to the outcome. We propose the Neural ODE-LMM, which embeds a Neural Ordinary Differential Equation (Neural ODE) within the linear mixed-effects framework: a learned vector field encodes covariate trajectories into a continuous-time latent state that drives both the fixed- and random-effect design, while preserving the standard LMM observation model. This retains classical likelihood-based inference while learning complex, potentially cumulative, covariate effects flexibly. All parameters are estimated by maximising a penalised marginal likelihood. To quantify covariate effects, we introduce contrasts of counterfactual predictions that compare the expected outcome under alternative covariate trajectories with variance estimated via the delta method. In simulations, the model recovers both instantaneous and cumulative-burden effects without prior specification of the functional form. Applied to the Trois-Cités (3C) cohort, a population-based study of 7{,}324 participants, the method reveals trajectory-dependent associations of BMI and fasting glucose with cognitive decline.
Zhe Aurore Li, Quentin Clairon, Cécilia Samieri +3
Aug 15, 2026cs.RO

Accelerating Optimization over Graphs of Convex Sets via Neural Network Approximations

Motion planning problems such as collision-free navigation and contact-rich manipulation can be naturally formulated as optimization problems that couple discrete decisions with continuous trajectories. The Graphs of Convex Sets (GCS) framework offers a practical solution to these problems. It represents discrete decisions as nodes of a graph and encodes continuous trajectories in the edges connecting them. However, the resulting optimization subproblems can become computationally prohibitive for online replanning. In this work, we propose a learning-based strategy to mitigate this limitation. Specifically, we replace the costly convex relaxation step required by nominal GCS with a single forward pass through a Graph Attention Network that predicts a set of highly probable candidate paths through the graph. A lightweight ranking network then orders these candidates by their estimated trajectory cost. Evaluating them in this order, we terminate our search early while still recovering a near-optimal motion plan. We validate the resulting pipeline across diverse robotic tasks, including collision-free motion planning for a 3D quadrotor and a 7-DoF manipulator, and planning through contact for planar pushing. Across both convex and non-convex cost and constraint settings, our approach yields up to two orders of magnitude speedup over nominal GCS while maintaining a 100% success rate, at the cost of some suboptimality in the recovered solutions. Code implementations and video demonstrations can be found at https://neural-gcs.github.io/.
Ananya Trivedi, Sarvesh Prajapati, Zhexin Xu +3
Aug 14, 2026cs.LG

Non-Parametric Spatiotemporal Trajectory Prediction via State-Conditioned Transition Sampling

We present a training-free method for multi-modal trajectory prediction that achieves comparable accuracy to a 57M-parameter transformer while requiring no GPU and zero learned parameters. The method builds a transition table of historical state-to-next position pairs and retrieves neighbors using a product kernel over spatial proximity, bearing, speed, and temporal context. Two inference modes operate over this shared representation: diversity-penalized sampling produces trajectories covering distinct plausible routes, while beam search finds the highest-likelihood path. On the TrAISformer benchmark (Danish Maritime AIS), our method achieves competitive accuracy at full data availability and dramatically outperforms the transformer in data-scarce regimes---remaining stable down to 10% of training data where TrAISformer degrades catastrophically. This enables deployment in new geographic regions from an order of magnitude less historical data.
Michael Fore, Akshay Jain, Justin Downes +2
Aug 13, 2026cs.LG

History-informed Lagrangian Neural Networks

Forecasting the long-horizon evolution of mechanical systems from position-only observations is a pivotal yet difficult task, as hidden velocities and trajectory-specific physical properties must be inferred simultaneously. Although physics-guided neural networks like Lagrangian Neural Networks (LNNs) guarantee physical plausibility, they generally require complete state inputs and lack adaptability to changing system parameters. To break these limitations, we introduce History-informed Lagrangian Neural Networks (HiLNN). Grounded in the insight that temporal position sequences implicitly encode underlying dynamics, HiLNN employs a recurrent encoder to extract a latent context from history. This context not only reconstructs the unobserved initial velocity but also adaptively modulates the mass matrix, potential energy, and damping coefficients of a structured Lagrangian system. By leveraging a differentiable RK4 rollout scheme, the entire pipeline is optimized end-to-end under multi-step trajectory supervision and energy-consistency regularization. Empirical evaluations across conservative, dissipative, and heterogeneous variable-parameter systems show that HiLNN delivers superior long-term prediction accuracy and maintains precise energy profiles compared to state-of-the-art baselines. The source code is publicly available at https://github.com/yingtian22/History-informed-LNN.
Tianshuo Zhang, Xianglei Xing, Wenzhe Zhai +2
Aug 13, 2026cs.AI

Beyond Retrieval: Query-Conditioned Reuse of Long-Horizon Agent Trajectories

Retrieval can identify a past trajectory that may matter, yet it does not specify how an acting agent should use that trajectory after users, entities, constraints, or environment state have changed. We identify this post-retrieval reuse step as a distinct bottleneck for long-horizon trajectory memory and formulate an evaluation framework that holds candidate retrieval, target state, model, decoding, and tool budget fixed while varying the support delivered to the agent. We instantiate the framework with query-conditioned reuse (QCR), a deliberately simple target-bound note that records a reusable procedure, bindings to recover, applicability conditions, and verification requirements. QCR serves to test the reuse hypothesis rather than to claim a universally preferred memory format. Across 2,391 target instances in WebArena, WorkArena, and AppWorld, QCR reaches 62.3% average Success, 10.7 points above Full Trajectory, while using 48.9% fewer online tokens. Summary reranking selects a reusable memory for 94.8% of targets, placing end-task Success within 1.8 points of an oracle reusable selector. Analyses by trajectory length and source--target binding shift show that direct trajectory injection loses much of its utility as traces grow longer or source-specific values change, whereas target-bound support preserves a larger share of the measured gain. The resulting framework separates retrieval quality from the problem of turning retrieved experience into safe, useful support for a new task.
Yifei Li, Heng Wang, Lingling Zhang +5
Aug 13, 2026cs.LG

Beyond Outcome Rewards: Step-Level Self-Distilled Policy Optimization for Deep Search Agents

Deep search agents operate over trajectories spanning dozens of steps, yet standard reinforcement learning provides only a single outcome reward per trajectory, which is far too sparse for effective credit assignment. On-policy self-distillation (OPSD) addresses this by using the model's own logits as dense token-level teachers, but extending it to search agents introduces a fundamental tension: the teacher, having access to privileged information such as the correct answer, produces a distribution that differs systematically from the student's exploration-based reasoning, and naive distillation causes the student to inherit this information asymmetry rather than learn better search strategies. We resolve this tension through two contributions. First, we construct Evidence Anchors, which are concise, step-level evidence snippets extracted from the web, as privileged information that captures key reasoning steps without revealing the entire answer path. Second, we propose Step-Level Self-Distilled Policy Optimization (SSPO), which converts teacher-student disagreement into step-level advantage weights within GRPO, applied exclusively to incorrect trajectories. This design decouples what to update from how much to update: the outcome reward determines the direction of policy change, while the teacher modulates its magnitude at each step. Correct trajectories are left untouched, preserving their diversity. On Qwen3-8B, SSPO consistently outperforms GRPO across BrowseComp, GAIA, and FRAMES, surpassing or matching GRPO trained with twice as many gradient steps while adding only about 5 percent overhead per step from a single additional forward pass.
Haoze Wu, Chuqiao Kuang, Tianyi Zhuang +1
Aug 12, 2026cs.AI

ExRole: From Team Trajectories to Executable Roles in Multi-Agent Language Models

Roles provide an interpretable interface for organizing language-model agents, yet most multi-agent systems treat them as hand-written prompt labels disconnected from learned behavior and parameter updates. We argue that a useful role should instead be an executable control variable: it should summarize behavior predictive of future utility, guide subsequent interaction, and identify the trainable capacity responsible for that behavior. We introduce ExRole, a trajectory-to-role framework that learns future-aware role prototypes from prefix-local team traces, resolves them into readable instructions and token-aligned role markers, and optionally routes shared LoRA rank slots with turn-aligned credit. Across MuSiQue and 2WikiMultiHopQA, ExRole improves over single-agent search by 15.0/14.4 and 13.5/16.1 EM/F1 points, respectively. Against the strongest non-ExRole controls, the corresponding gains remain 11.5/11.6 and 7.7/9.7 points. Across both benchmarks, the controlled results consistently favor trajectory-induced role conditioning over role-free, manual, random, and shuffled alternatives. Role-Agent-Turn interventions further show that the induced roles capture transferable behavioral specialization beyond fixed agent identities or turn positions.
Zhou Liu, Chaoyang Han, Zewei Pan +2
Aug 12, 2026cs.RO

ContactIPM: A Structure-Exploiting Interior-Point Solver for Contact-Implicit Trajectory Optimization

Contact-implicit trajectory optimization avoids prescribing contact sequences, but yields mathematical programs with complementarity constraints (MPCCs) whose degeneracy challenges conventional primal--dual solvers. Existing contact-specific methods improve robustness to this degeneracy but do not leverage a stagewise optimal-control factorization and primal--dual consistency, while structure-exploiting optimal-control solvers are not designed for complementarity constraints. We show that these capabilities can be combined in a single primal--dual method. ContactIPM identifies complementary inequality pairs, embeds them through a barrier-coupled elastic interior relaxation, eliminates slack and dual variables stagewise, and solves the reduced Newton system using a Riccati recursion. A fixed multi-phase MPCC recovery schedule provides four continuation and restart attempts from naive initializations, while termination is gated by the unrelaxed physical complementarity residual. We compare ContactIPM with two contact-specific MPCC solvers, CRISP and IMPACT, using matched benchmark conditions and common post-solve acceptance criteria. On four fixed CRISP benchmark cases, ContactIPM is 2.172.17--8.87×8.87\times faster over 20 paired timing repetitions per case and achieves higher success on the Push Box and Push-T robustness suites. Against IMPACT, ContactIPM is 2.96×2.96\times faster on Push T and 4.91×4.91\times faster on Cart Transport, but 4.46×4.46\times slower on Push Box. In 50 closed-loop Push Box rollouts spanning model mismatch, measurement noise, initial-pose errors, and state resets,
Yucheng Chen
Aug 12, 2026cs.CL

Beyond Single-Turn Confidence: Trajectory-Adapted Uncertainty Quantification for LLM Agents

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods for language models are typically evaluated on single-turn outputs, where uncertainty is attached to one generated answer. For LLM agents, however, the unit of observation is an interactive trajectory, where the model can ask clarifying questions, call tools, update state, and make intermediate decisions whose errors propagate to the final outcome. We study whether three common families of single-turn UQ methods transfer to this setting. Across five LLMs and four multi-turn tool-use datasets from BFCL-v4 and τ2τ^2-bench, we evaluate white-box scorers based on action-token probabilities, black-box consistency scorers based on resampled trajectories, and reflexive scorers based on model self-assessment of the trajectory. We find that transfer is often useful but uneven. Token-probability scores are highly sensitive to the choice of aggregator used across turns, reflexive scores provide the strongest low-cost baseline in most evaluated settings, and black-box self-consistency is often the strongest UQ family, with trajectory-equivalence and action-set consistency typically ranking highest among its variants. These results suggest that UQ methods developed for single generations should be revalidated at the trajectory level, with careful attention to the consistency measurement, aggregator choice, and computational budget.
Dylan Bouchard, Mohit Singh Chauhan
Aug 11, 2026eess.SY

Forward Trajectory Steering for Hamilton-Jacobi Reachability Analysis

Hamilton-Jacobi (HJ) reachability provides a mathematically rigorous framework for safe control of dynamical systems, but its practical application is bottlenecked by the computational complexity of solving Hamilton-Jacobi-Isaacs variational inequality PDEs in high dimensions. Physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) have recently emerged as a promising alternative to classical mesh-based solvers, yet their performance is highly sensitive to the choice of collocation sampling. In order to learn accurate safety value functions, existing PINNs-based HJ reachability solvers must rely on complex training pipelines and auxiliary supervision. In this work, we propose STEER2REACH (S2R), a PINNs-based HJ reachability solver that requires minimal modification on top of standard PINNs training. S2R's key contribution is a lightweight, low-overhead adaptive collocation sampling distribution constructed by steering forward trajectories using a combination of the optimal control and disturbance signals induced by the current value function, with injected stochastic exploration noise. We demonstrate that despite its simplicity, S2R achieves competitive--and in some cases improved--performance on safety metrics while reducing relative L2 error across a range of reachability benchmarks compared with SoTA MPC-guided HJ reachability solvers, all without requiring multi-stage training or MPC-based supervision.
Sungje Park, Stephen Tu
Aug 11, 2026cs.RO

Top-down Traffic Scenario Generation via Joint Initial-Goal Diffusion and Trajectory Infilling

Robust traffic simulators are crucial for developing and testing autonomous vehicles to reduce the costly, labor-intensive real-world data collection process and the need for physical presence on the road. However, existing simulators require agents' initial states to generate trajectories, which limits scalability and diversity due to restrictions on the given initial states. While data-driven agent initialization has been widely studied, the generated initial states are not interpretable in terms of why the agents are initialized at those specific locations. Given known initial states, trajectory generation is also a challenging problem, as the model must learn the variability of the destination and how agents should reach it over time. In this paper, we propose TrafficDiffuser, a top-down traffic scenario generation framework that generates high-level traffic scenarios, defined by initial and goal state pairs, by jointly modeling them. The high-level scenario generation makes initial states better interpretable and reduces trajectory generation into as simple as an infilling problem. We demonstrate how the generated high-level traffic scenarios can be used, including constraining based on different trajectory modes and integrating them with existing trajectory generation models. We conduct extensive experiments on the Argoverse 2 motion prediction dataset to evaluate how well the generated outputs capture real-world distributions. In addition to generating goal states, TrafficDiffuser outperforms the next-best approach for agent initialization, reducing speed distribution distance by 55.3% and the off-road rate by 2.8%.
Da Saem Lee, Yash Vardhan Pant, Sebastian Fischmeister
Aug 11, 2026cs.RO

Risk-Aware Kinodynamic Motion Planning Under Uncertainty For Safe Navigation on Planetary Environments

For autonomous space exploration, robotic agents need to perform motion planning in which environmental interactions may be unknown. Learning these interactions, such as terrain mechanics for wheeled robots, can introduce uncertainties that lead to risky motion plans and potentially hazardous operations or mission failures. Moreover, uncertainties induced by perception-based systems can exacerbate the problem of safe motion planning. In this letter, we address the problem of performing cost-optimal kinodynamic motion planning with risk awareness. We approach this in two steps. First, a sampling-based planner (AO-RRT) generates a dynamically feasible, risk-aware, and asymptotically cost-optimal trajectory. Second, we formulate motion planning as a nonlinear optimization problem and solve it using sequential convex programming (SCP), using the AO-RRT trajectory as an initial solution. By quantifying risk using conditional value-at-risk (CVaR), we demonstrate a reduction in risk by over ∼\sim97% across trajectories in simulation and hardware experiments.
Sachin Sunil Kelkar, Tanmay Dokania, Yashwanth Kumar Nakka
Aug 11, 2026cs.LG

Long-Time Trajectory Approximation via SA-NODEs: Model Predictive and Floquet Strategies

We study the approximation of dynamical systems by semi-autonomous neural ordinary differential equations (SA-NODEs) over long time horizons. For a single network trained on the whole horizon, the available error bound deteriorates double exponentially in the horizon length. We develop two training strategies that avoid this barrier, each built on a reset of the state. The model predictive strategy partitions the horizon adaptively and restarts every window from observed data: when training meets a prescribed tolerance on every window, the composite model meets it uniformly in time, with a parameter budget linear in the horizon for targets with a bounded, uniformly regular reachable tube. The Floquet strategy addresses autonomous targets with a stable limit cycle and uses no data at deployment: a certified contraction of the learned return map confines the error to linear growth in the number of elapsed periods. For the time-periodic architecture we deploy, the scalar certificate degenerates; we prove instead a uniform-in-time orbital guarantee whose hypotheses are measured on the trained model, and an obstruction showing that, for an exactly periodic learned field, small one-period error and a contracting stroboscopic map cannot hold at once. Numerical experiments on four benchmarks confirm the predicted error laws and measure the hypotheses of every guarantee.
Ziqian Li, Nikolaos M. Matzakos
Aug 11, 2026cs.MA

ASCon: A Direction-Aware Reciprocal Agent--Step Contextualization Model for Failure Attribution in Multi-Agent Systems

Failure attribution in LLM-based multi-agent systems (MAS) aims to answer who caused failures, when they occurred, and why by identifying responsible targets including faulty agents, erroneous steps, and failure modes. Existing methods have primarily focused on developing dedicated models for specific attribution targets, with limited attention to the evidential dependencies among them. Despite these attribution targets are different, they rely on common diagnostic evidence from MAS trajectories, including task constraints, agent roles, behavioral histories and inter-agent interactions. This commonality motivates us to develop a unified representation model that aggregates the trajectory evidence into individual agent and step representations, which can subsequently be adapted to different attribution targets. Accordingly, we propose ASCon, a direction-aware reciprocal \textbf{A}gent--\textbf{S}tep \textbf{Con}textualization model for multiple failure attribution targets. ASCon introduces direction-aware graph attention to model execution context, masked step-to-agent attention to construct behavior-aware agent representations, and agent-conditioned step contextualization to incorporate agent context back into step representations. The resulting contextualized representations enable different attribution targets through lightweight target-specific heads. Experiments show that ASCon can improve faulty-agent detection by 5.83%+ in micro-accuracy, faulty-step detection by 10.63%+ in micro-accuracy, and failure-mode detection by 14.73%+ in Macro-F1. Meanwhile, it can also substantially enhance the LLM-based methods' attribution capabilities in out-of-domain scenarios.
Shuyu Jiang, Yue Ran, Kaiyu Xu +5
Aug 11, 2026cs.CR

Agent Safety Should Be a Runtime Contract

The dominant paradigm treats AI safety as a property to be instilled during model training via RLHF, DPO, or Constitutional AI. We argue this is structurally insufficient for autonomous agents that execute code, mutate files, send messages, and modify databases. Agent safety should be a runtime contract enforced by the harness, and the contract has two complementary faces. The preventive face blocks dangerous actions before they happen via sandboxes, permission gates, output filters, and trajectory monitors. The evidential face requires verifiable proof that good actions actually happened, gating task submission on hard evidence such as test runs, log captures, file diffs, and citation grounding. We ground the position in four lines of public evidence, with row-level protocols and data released in the supplementary JSON files: a survey of 52 documented AI-agent and LLM safety incidents, a false-completion audit with 31 non-contested core cases plus one disputed illustrative case, a trajectory-schema audit of 12 public agent systems and harnesses, and a title-level audit of all 28,560 papers accepted at NeurIPS, ICML, and ICLR 2023-2025 showing a pooled 8-12x imbalance between training-time and deployment-time publication. Two prior communities that needed to enforce safety, computer security and the experimental sciences, converged on runtime contracts with both preventive and evidential elements; agentic AI is now under the same pressure. We formalize an Agent Trajectory Schema and Evidence Chain, state a compositional gating proposition based on standard monitor composition, and outline a research agenda. The right unit of safety in agentic AI is the trajectory-with-checkable-evidence, not the model.
Albus W. Ng, Yi Han, Jusheng Zhang +1
Aug 10, 2026cs.LG

CRHT: A Continuous Regression Hybrid Transformer for Vessel Trajectory Prediction with Online Cluster Sampling

Accurate vessel trajectory prediction is critical for maritime safety and anomaly detection, yet existing models often struggle with geographic bias and navigational realism. We propose the Continuous Regression Hybrid Transformer (CRHT), a deep learning framework designed to forecast vessel motion using Automatic Identification System (AIS) data. To mitigate spatial data imbalance, we introduce an online K-means cluster sampling strategy that ensures diverse exposure to rare maneuvers during training. Our hybrid architecture integrates 1D convolutional layers for local kinematic feature extraction with a multi-head attention mechanism for global temporal context. CRHT demonstrates superior performance in short-term forecasting, achieving the lowest errors at the 1-hour horizon. The results demonstrate that while discrete models provide high navigational stability over long horizons, CRHT offers an optimal balance of precision and maneuver tracking for real-time maritime surveillance.
Alexander Schiøtz, Bertram Hage, Christian Rand +2
Aug 10, 2026cs.LG

STCAD: Scalable Trajectory Clustering and Anomaly Detection on Terabyte-Scale AIS Data

We present a scalable framework for unsupervised clustering of maritime trajectories derived from terabyte-scale Automatic Identification System (AIS) archives. Variable-length trajectories are encoded with a custom BERT-based model trained via masked token modeling and clustered using CURE hierarchical clustering, producing physically interpretable trajectory groups without requiring a predefined number of clusters. An intrinsic unsupervised anomaly detection method based on reconstruction loss and clustering noise assignment identifies irregular navigation patterns. The framework is demonstrated on a national-scale AIS dataset comprising billions of messages spanning one year, yielding stable trajectory clusters and a clear separation between nominal and anomalous vessel behavior.
Bertram Hage, Alexander Schiøtz, Felix Thomsen +2
Aug 10, 2026cs.CV

4D-WAM: 4D Consistent World Modeling for Autonomous Driving

Emerging World-Action Models (WAMs) have demonstrated promising performance in autonomous driving by jointly modeling future driving scene evolution and trajectory planning. However, existing WAMs are typically trained with video data, which is only 2D projections of the underlying 4D driving scene. Consequently, WAMs fail to understand and capture the structure of 4D scenes and thus generate visually plausible yet 4D inconsistent future predictions that mislead downstream planning. To alleviate this issue, we present 4D-WAM, a model that leverages geometric foundation models for training-time supervision to enable 4D consistent world modeling. Specifically, we feed WAM-predicted future frames into a geometric foundation model, and use 4D-aware responses to define a 4D consistency loss. This loss encourages the model to understand, represent, and predict physically consistent 4D scenes during training, without additional inference cost. Moreover, we identify an early-decision phenomenon in WAMs and propose a decision-oriented timestep sampling strategy that emphasizes supervision at early, high-noise stages, where driving decisions are primarily formed. By propagating 4D supervision to this critical decision-formation phase, the proposed strategy further improves trajectory planning. Extensive experiments demonstrate that 4D-WAM effectively models 4D consistent scene evolution and achieves state-of-the-art performance on challenging NAVSIM-v1 and NAVSIM-v2 benchmarks.
Jiacheng Fu, Yibo Yuan, Meng Tian +8
Aug 10, 2026cs.RO

Entanglement-Free Trajectory Planning for Tethered Mobile Robots with a Slack Tether

In motion planning algorithms for tethered mobile robots, the entanglement state of the tether is a critical aspect to consider during the planning phase. This is particularly important in case of a slack tether, where the shape of the tether is not determined solely by the geometry of the environment and the location of the obstacles, but also by the dynamics of the tether, by the trajectory followed by the robot, and possibly by exogenous forces. In this scenario, preventing entanglement requires planning a robot trajectory that accounts for the entanglement definition and for the dynamics of the robot and of the tether. In this work, we propose a motion planning algorithm for tethered mobile robots with a slack tether that computes dynamically feasible entanglement-free trajectories to navigate through an environment with static obstacles. By considering the entanglement state during all the stages of the planning pipeline, we are able to compute safer trajectories that avoid entanglement during the motion of the robot. We achieve this through a three-step pipeline, which includes (i) the construction of a topological model of the entanglement-free configuration space of the tethered robot, (ii) the generation of a set of candidate paths using this model, and (iii) the computation of a dynamically feasible entanglement-free trajectory by solving a homotopy-constrained trajectory generation problem. The resulting trajectory can then be executed to lead the robot to its target location, while maintaining the tether in an entanglement-free configuration. We demonstrate the benefits of this algorithm in simulations, where we show how the planning algorithm avoids violations of the entanglement constraints, resulting in safer and more reliable trajectories.
Gianpietro Battocletti, Dimitris Boskos, Bart De Schutter
Aug 10, 2026cs.LG

Satellite Trajectory Optimization via Proximal Policy Optimization for Space Debris Avoidance

Collision avoidance systems are commonly used to avoid fragmentation events occurring in Low-Earth Orbit (LEO) and Geosynchronous Equatorial Orbit (GEO). However, these events have been growing in frequency as orbital congestion worsens with the launch of megaconstellations. Consequently, conjunction alerts and collision risks are becoming increasingly common. Current practices, which are commonly manual or rule-based, have difficulty scaling to these worsening dynamic environments. To address this intensifying situation, we propose a reinforcement-learning policy for autonomous collision avoidance, trained via Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO) along with an open-source, high-fidelity astrodynamics simulator for training and evaluation. In 1,000 deterministic GEO episodes, our agent achieves a 97.5% collision avoidance success rate, outperforming traditional controllers such as a rule-based baseline (20.7% success) and an impulsive delta-v planner baseline (27.5% success). To achieve these results, we designed a simulator to train and evaluate our agent, using real-world and simulated debris. We simulate Newtonian two-body dynamics using Sun/Moon third-body perturbations, fuel-dependent thrust, and configurable debris fields. The agent is trained with curriculum learning and shaped rewards oriented toward encouraging survival, adequate projected miss distance, and delta-v conservation. Finally, our evaluation consisted of a fully deterministic pipeline, including shared seeds, per-episode logs, and telemetry exports. Our work is a publicly available framework at https://purl.org/sat-trajectory-avoidance
Logan Luna, Juan Ortiz Couder, Raul Alejandro Vargas-Acosta
Aug 10, 2026cs.AI

TRACE: TRajectory Attribution for Automated Context Engineering

Production AI agents fail when their context sources -- system prompts, knowledge bases, tool descriptions, and procedural skills -- contain errors or gaps. Current maintenance relies on manual log review and ad-hoc debugging, creating a scalability bottleneck as interaction volume grows. We present TRACE (TRajectory Attribution for Automated Context Engineering), an automated feedback loop that mines historical agent trajectories to diagnose and remediate context failures. Our key insight is that trajectories are rich with implicit dissatisfaction signals -- user corrections, rephrasing, abandonment cues -- that reveal precisely where context sources failed, without explicit feedback collection. Unlike model fine-tuning, TRACE operates on the context layer, enabling rapid iteration without retraining. We make four contributions: (1) a trajectory mining framework that systematically extracts diagnostic information from historical agent executions; (2) multi-component causal attribution that extends textual gradients from monolithic prompt optimization to heterogeneous context sources (skills, knowledge bases, tools, prompts); (3) exploratory verification, where agents actively read context sources to distinguish content gaps requiring CREATE from stale content requiring UPDATE, achieving 96% operation accuracy; and (4) a reusable simulation methodology and verifiable benchmark addressing the absence of open datasets for context debugging, with a six-category fault taxonomy, ground truth annotations, and a cross-layer verification protocol. On 60 dissatisfaction traces spanning three complexity tiers (up to 16 execution nodes), TRACE achieves 72.7% root cause attribution and 82% end-to-end fix effectiveness, showing that over 80% of context-layer failures can be automatically diagnosed and remediated by mining historical trajectories, an overlooked resource in production systems.
Yikai Zhao, Pradeep Kumar Misra, Saurabh Pandey
Aug 9, 2026cs.LG

PAST: Privileged Adaptation from Complete Student Trajectories for On-Policy Self-Distillation

On-policy self-distillation (OPSD) uses a privileged teacher to supervise a reasoning model on prefixes sampled from its own rollouts. Yet each rollout also reveals how the student's response unfolds and whether it succeeds, student-specific hindsight that standard OPSD does not use to form the teacher. We introduce Privileged Adaptation from Student Trajectories (PAST), which treats each completed student trajectory as additional privileged information for the OPSD teacher while leaving the student's distillation prefixes unchanged. PAST preserves the student's next-token distribution on correct trajectories and uses failed trajectories to adapt the teacher toward verified success under student-proximity regularization. We characterize what such a trajectory-conditioned teacher can transfer to a prefix-only student. Forward-KL distillation projects the teacher distributions to their conditional arithmetic mean given the prefix. This projection separates trajectory-specific variation that remains privileged from the mean policy shift available to the student. For correct trajectories, the unclipped population objective also has the frozen student as an ideal distributional fixed point. Across three mathematical reasoning benchmarks, PAST improves the Avg@12 macro average over Vanilla OPSD by 5.6 percentage points. A 2×22\times2 factorial study shows gains from both complete-trajectory access and teacher adaptation, while trajectory removal and shuffling confirm that the adapted teacher uses the matching hindsight context.
Yangyang Feng, Zhuoyan Feng, Junlan Chen
Aug 9, 2026cs.LG

Multi-Relational Knowledge Graph Enhanced Embedding for Trajectory-User Linking

Trajectory-User Linking (TUL) aims to identify the owner of an anonymous trajectory from a set of candidate users, providing a basis for user mobility analysis and personalized location-aware services. Existing methods often learn Point of Interest (POI), temporal, and semantic features independently, make limited use of structural knowledge shared across trajectories, and compress structural and sequential information before classification. To address these issues, we propose Multi-Relational Knowledge Graph Enhanced Embedding for Trajectory-User Linking (MakeTUL), which, to the best of our knowledge, is the first attempt to introduce knowledge graph representation learning into TUL. MakeTUL organizes visit-time, POI-category, and transfer-speed information as typed relations in a multi-relational mobility knowledge graph, allowing heterogeneous mobility semantics to jointly constrain the learned embeddings. The resulting POI representations are further enriched with high-order co-occurrence patterns extracted from the trajectory collection, providing structural prior knowledge for sparse and overlapping trajectories. By integrating these prior-enhanced representations with temporal, category, and transfer information, the trajectory sequence learning module captures ordered mobility patterns, while a dual-branch classification layer preserves and combines global structural evidence and sequential evidence at the decision level.
Zhifeng Chu, Bin Wang
Aug 9, 2026cs.LG

Trajectory Design and Budgeted Querying for Digital Twin Calibration

Digital-twin calibration requires interaction data that is expensive to collect. We study two acquisition decisions: which trajectories to generate, and when to spend a limited budget on privileged parameter measurements. Our framework couples an excitation-oriented reinforcement learning controller, a recurrent parameter estimator with predictive uncertainty, and a budgeted query policy. In Pendulum, a Random Forest diagnostic recovers gravity only weakly from task-oriented trajectories and does not recover mass or length, while a GRU trained on excitation-oriented trajectories reaches a mean absolute error of 0.0066 with no queries. We then withdraw continuous oracle access partway through an episode, so that the twin must run on the estimator's output for the remainder. The estimator-plus-policy pipeline achieves a terminal error of 0.0092 under a three-query budget, against 0.2031 for an uncalibrated twin. In partially observable Waterworld, five controllers produce different observed error profiles across three hidden parameters, and an estimator trained on a five-controller mixture reaches online normalized errors of roughly 4-5%. These exploratory case studies are not controlled ablations, but they motivate treating trajectory design and query allocation as explicit design variables in data-scarce calibration.
Vladyslava Spitkovska, Dmytro Kuzmenko
Aug 9, 2026cs.RO

Vid2WAM: Distilling Video Diffusion Priors into World Action Models

World Action Models (WAMs) improve robot policy learning by jointly modeling future visual dynamics and actions. However, their scalability and generalization remain constrained by their reliance on costly expert demonstrations. We challenge this by asking whether future supervision for WAMs must originate from target-task expert trajectories. In this paper, we propose Vid2WAM, an offline distillation framework that transfers visual diffusion priors from a large video foundation model into a compact WAM student. Given an observation and language instruction, Vid2WAM distills supervision through two complementary channels: task-conditioned future rollouts directly supervise the student's future prediction branch, while an inverse dynamics model recovers embodiment-specific pseudo-actions for action learning. To robustly integrate synthetic and real supervision, we introduce source-aware residual action adaptation that learns source-specific corrections around a shared action backbone and mitigates interference from noisy pseudo-actions. During inference, both the video teacher and inverse dynamics model are discarded, leaving only the WAM student for efficient deployment. Simulation and real-world experiments demonstrate that Vid2WAM improves novel-task generalization and data efficiency under limited expert demonstrations while preserving low-latency inference.
Chenhao Qiu, Ruixiang Wang, Runyi Zhao +7
Aug 9, 2026cs.CL

OpenVisTool: An Open Recipe for Synthesizing Instructive Visual Tool-Use Trajectories

Visual tool use has emerged as a fundamental capability for multimodal agents to actively acquire evidence beyond a fixed image encoding. The prevailing recipe learns this capability from teacher-generated trajectories filtered for answer correctness, implicitly assuming that every successful demonstration provides effective supervision. We argue this assumption is flawed: a strong teacher often reaches the correct answer without needing its tool calls, and imitating such trajectories teaches a student that tool calls accompany correct answers, not that tool observations ground them. We present OpenVisTool, an open framework for constructing instructive visual tool-use trajectories that provide effective supervision for tool learning. The key insight is that a trajectory should be retained only if its answer is correct (outcome validity) and its tool observations causally contribute to that answer (causal utility). The framework operates in three stages: difficulty screening to select queries that are not reliably answerable without tools, domain-specific trajectory synthesis to elicit coherent tool-use trajectories, and supervision verification to jointly test both conditions. Rather than encouraging models to imitate tool calls, the resulting supervision teaches when and how visual evidence should be acquired. Using this framework, we construct OpenVisTool-42K, a dataset spanning five visual reasoning domains, together with OpenVisTool-Bench, a benchmark covering the same domains. Across four backbones (4B-27B), fine-tuning on OpenVisTool-42K consistently improves visual tool-use performance and yields gains on two out-of-distribution benchmarks; the larger models approach leading closed-source systems. The evidence suggests that effective visual tool use is learned from causally grounded supervision rather than tool-calling patterns.
Changhao Xiang, Shilin Zhang, Zheng Ma +8
Aug 8, 2026cs.AI

Query-Only Backdoor Attacks on Self-Evolving Skills via Trajectory Poisoning

Agentic skills improve large language model (LLM) agents by encoding reusable procedures for complex tasks. However, manually authored skills often adapt poorly to long-horizon tasks and changing environments. To address the limitation, self-evolving skill systems have been developed to automatically construct and update skills from execution trajectories, shifting skill acquisition from external marketplaces to a trusted evolution pipeline. By replacing external skill acquisition with trusted internal construction, self-evolving skill systems reduce exposure to skill injection attacks that rely on direct skill manipulation. However, this skill evolution pipeline may introduce a new attack surface in which an attacker can indirectly steer skill evolution by inducing compromised trajectories through agent interactions. To demonstrate the threat, we propose Trajectory Backdoor Attack (TBA), a query-only attack that steers a trusted skill-evolution pipeline toward producing a backdoored skill. Specifically, we craft attacker-submitted queries to lead the agent to perform the target action and explicitly state the corresponding activation condition in the trajectory. We repeat the same condition-action pattern across diverse triggered tasks, while leaving clean queries unchanged, encouraging the evolver to consolidate the pattern as a reusable trigger-dependent rule into the evolved skill. Experiments on three benchmarks across two skill-evolution systems using four open- and closed-source backbone models demonstrate that TBA reliably implants conditional backdoors while preserving clean-task utility, matching or even surpassing direct skill injection. The results reveal a critical vulnerability in trajectory-driven skill evolution.
Yuyang Luo, Haoran Wang, Kai Shu
Aug 8, 2026cs.RO

SurgWMBench: A Vision-Based Benchmark for World-Modeling Surgical Instrument Motion Planning

Reliable surgical planning requires models that move beyond recognizing the current surgical step or imitating expert demonstrations, and instead anticipate how instrument motion reshapes subsequent operative states. Most surgical video understanding methods focus on recognizing phases, actions, or workflow states, while providing limited support for explicitly modeling instrument motion. Conversely, existing tool motion prediction methods can forecast instrument trajectories, but they generally do not capture the coupled evolution of future surgical video states. World models offer a natural framework for jointly modeling visual state transitions and instrument motion dynamics. However, existing surgical world model studies remain largely centered on visual generation quality, relying on generation-oriented metrics such as FVD and CD-FVD. These metrics are poorly aligned with instrument motion planning, as they do not directly measure whether predicted trajectories are geometrically accurate, temporally coherent, or actionable for downstream planning. This limitation is partly structural, since the field lacks public datasets and standardized evaluation protocols that provide the benchmarking infrastructure needed to assess motion-centric capabilities in surgical world models. In this paper, we introduce SurgWMBench, a vision-based benchmark for short-horizon surgical motion planning and dynamics prediction. Given intraoperative image sequences and historical instrument trajectory, SurgWMBench evaluates both near-future instrument motion prediction and stability under continuous rollout or input perturbations.
Huanrong Liu, Weiliang Huang, Bob Zhang +3
Aug 8, 2026cs.RO

4D-WAM: Infusing Spatiotemporal Awareness into World Action Models through Trajectory Fields

Building on recent advances in world models, World Action Models (WAMs) jointly model video prediction and action generation. However, they typically represent videos in 2D pixel space, creating a representation gap with 3D space in which robotic actions are executed. Recent 3D approaches introduce 3D information, but fail to fully exploit the dynamics of 3D structures. In this work, we propose 4D-WAM, a model-agnostic training strategy that injects spatiotemporal knowledge from 3D trajectory fields into WAMs through representation alignment. To this end, we introduce two complementary objectives: 1) motion alignment, which aligns temporal feature variations across adjacent frames and encourages the model to build local 4D awareness during training, and 2) destination alignment, which guides the model to infer the final destination from the source frame by minimizing the gap between their attention-like similarity distributions. Together, these objectives provide both local motion supervision and long-horizon goal guidance, enabling WAMs to learn trajectory-level spatiotemporal representations. Extensive in-distribution and out-of-distribution experiments across different base models demonstrate the model's improvements in spatial understanding, execution precision, robustness, generalization, and versatility.
Lishan Yang, Wenxuan Song, Xi Wang +14
Aug 8, 2026cs.RO

Auditing Instruction-Trajectory Mismatches in Multimodal Robot Demonstrations

Robot demonstration datasets used to train vision-language-action policies can contain a subtle but harmful failure mode: trajectories that are behaviorally correct but paired with the wrong language instruction. We study post-hoc auditing of these Instruction-Trajectory Mismatches (ITMs). Unlike failed rollouts, ITMs often look plausible, and can corrupt the language-behavior mapping learned by the policy. We propose Multimodal Probabilistic Fusion (MMPF), a training-free auditing framework that treats each modality as an expert, estimates a task-label distribution from local neighborhood agreement and global prototype similarity, and then fuses modalities with predictive-entropy weighting in a product of experts. Across LIBERO benchmarks with injected instruction mismatches and noisy real-robot data, MMPF achieves the strongest overall ITM detection and label correction accuracy. We also show that auditing improves most downstream policy learning in settings where language is needed to disambiguate the task. We demonstrate in real robot experiments that our method can achieve improved policy performance and show the trade-off of filtering demonstrations compared to relabeling.
Simon Holk, Ryosuke Takanami, Tatsuya Matsushima +4
Aug 7, 2026cs.CV

SimWAM: A Simple World Action Model for End-to-End Autonomous Driving

World-Action Models (WAMs) improve end-to-end autonomous driving by transferring video dynamics priors to action prediction, but existing methods incur costly test-time future imagination. We present SimWAM, a simple yet effective WAM that leverages future-video prediction as a training-time supervision signal. It co-trains a pretrained video expert and a lightweight action expert with joint flow matching. An isolated attention mask keeps action prediction independent of future frames, allowing trajectory prediction without explicit future-frame generation at inference. Since the two experts share no parameters and interact only through a unified attention interface, the video backbone could be replaced and the action expert scaled independently without modifying the learning objective or inference pipeline. We further apply reinforcement learning to optimize a compositional driving reward beyond trajectory imitation. Our SimWAM achieves 91.5 PDMS on NAVSIM, surpasses state-of-the-art WAM-based planners with substantially lower latency, and transfers zero-shot to nuScenes. These results position SimWAM as a simple yet solid baseline that could readily benefit from advances in video generation for efficient autonomous driving. The code and model weights are available at https://github.com/H-EmbodVis/SimWAM/.
Zongchuang Zhao, Xin Zhou, Tianyang Xu +5
Aug 7, 2026cs.RO

Decoupling Intention from Trajectory: A Representational Deduction Framework for World Action Models

World Action Models (WAMs) aim to construct a unified architecture capable of understanding world state evolution and guiding to generative motion planning. However, existing visual branches focus on predicting static visual observation, rather than reflecting potential transition information that captures the evolution of world states under motion interactions. This leads to representational entanglement between high-level physical condition evolution and low-level action trajectory generation within the Action Model, creating a structural bottleneck while weakening the predictive capability of world evolution modeling for action generation. We propose PILOT (Physical Inference for Latent Optimized Trajectories), whose core Representational Deduction (RD) bridges this gap by integrating motion thought-of-chain (CoT) guidance as a native model capability. Specifically, RD aims to encourage the action branch to explicitly model potential state transition tokens, which are retained as CoT in the reasoning space to guide fine-grained motion trajectory. Experiments demonstrate that RD not only significantly improves the success rate and generalization ability of WAMs in complex robotic manipulation tasks but also enhances the model's physical interpretability by decoupling high-level motion semantics from low-level trajectory details. Furthermore, the abundant state transition supervision signals introduced by RD effectively alleviate the sparse supervision in action generation, enabling it to serve as an efficient few-shot real-robot fine-tuning strategy and demonstrating superior scalability for migration to mainstream WAM architectures.
Xiangkai Ma, Yue Ma, Junjie Wang +6
Aug 7, 2026cs.SE

Coupling Planning with Episodic Memory in LLM Agents for Software Issue Resolution

Resolving a real software issue with a large language model (LLM) agent is a long repair episode, often tens to hundreds of steps spanning exploration, hypothesis, implementation, and verification. Success depends on both the base model's local reasoning and the agent's ability to maintain an evolving plan and remember observations across phases. Existing repository-level agents typically strengthen planning or memory in isolation, leaving long trajectories vulnerable to stale evidence, repeated failed edits, and verification inferred from the agent's own claims instead of execution evidence. We present PMCoder, an issue-resolution agent that couples a hierarchical phase planner with episodic memory. The coupling is bidirectional: the current plan phase conditions memory retrieval, while memory-derived trajectory statistics inform stuck detection and replanning. When available, issue-reproduction verdicts ground verification progress in execution evidence rather than self-reported completion. On SWE-bench Verified, PMCoder resolves an average of 2525 more cases (+5.0+5.0pp) than a harness-matched baseline, with gains persisting even where the reproduction gate never fires. Further Verified-500 evaluations show the same positive direction across Claude Haiku 4.5, DeepSeek-V4-Flash, and an OpenHands port, with at least 1414 additional resolved cases (+2.8+2.8pp). Separately, evaluation on TerminalWorld's official sample suggests that the plan-memory substrate transfers beyond issue reports. Ablation and trajectory analyses show where the gains come from: coupling planning and memory outperforms either component alone and reduces repeated failed actions, empty-patch exits, and context-window exhaustion.
Jiahao Zhang, Yifan Zhang, Yu Huang
Aug 6, 2026cs.RO

Plan-and-Avoid: Real-Time Aircraft Trajectory Coordination in a Multi-Agent Environment

This paper presents a real-time Plan-and-Avoid (PAA framework for coordinating cooperative multi-agent airspace operations around a declared priority trajectory. The priority trajectory represents an aircraft flight plan that must be preserved because of constrained maneuverability, an emergency, a mission-critical task, or assigned operational priority. The framework predicts uncertainty-aware, well-clear separation violations with surrounding traffic and, when the priority plan alone cannot maintain separation, generates vehicle-constrained unilateral advisories that modify nearby aircraft trajectories to maintain well-clear separation for all traffic. The approach is applicable to any declared priority trajectory. This paper demonstrates the Plan component using a contingency landing planner to generate candidate priority trajectories. PAA then identifies nearby aircraft passing too close to this priority trajectory and issues Avoid resolution advisories to these aircraft. The framework is tested using real-world Automatic Dependent Surveillance-Broadcast (ADS-B) traffic from the Washington, D.C., airspace across more than 900 forced-landing cases, totaling over 140 hours of simulated flight. The PAA framework generates feasible cooperative advisories for all 575 unique conflict encounters, with a worst-case end-to-end response time of 5.7 s on a personal computer, including priority trajectory planning, advisory generation, and 1 s two-way datalink delay. In total, 93.5% of generated advisories satisfy the 35 s RTCA DO-365 Detect-and-Avoid temporal threshold. These results demonstrate low-latency coordination for preserving priority trajectories while maintaining well-clear separation through real-time automated advisory generation. Future work will quantify advisory-induced delays and their operational impacts.
Huseyin Emre Tekaslan, Ella M. Atkins, Natasha Neogi
Aug 6, 2026cs.RO

Adaptive-WAM: Quality-Guided Early-Exit Planning from Intermediate Video-Diffusion Features

Large video diffusion models provide rich spatiotemporal priors for autonomous driving, but existing world-action models often inherit the cost of iterative future-video generation even though deployment only requires an ego trajectory. We ask a more basic question: how much of a video diffusion model must be executed to make a reliable driving decision? Through a controlled study of video denoising timesteps and Diffusion Transformer (DiT) depth, we find that planning performance is largely insensitive to the tested video-noise levels, whereas strong trajectories can already be decoded from intermediate layers. Based on this observation, we introduce Adaptive-WAM, a quality-aware multi-exit planner built on a Wan2.2-5B backbone. Trajectory diffusion heads are attached to selected DiT blocks, and a lightweight trajectory-quality scorer terminates inference once the best trajectory decoded so far satisfies a quality threshold; otherwise, computation continues from the cached hidden state to a deeper exit. The deployed planner therefore avoids the iterative classifier-free denoising loop and VAE decoding required for future-video synthesis, while dynamically allocating backbone depth according to trajectory quality. On NAVSIM, the adaptive single-trajectory planner achieves 90.8 PDMS; a separate fixed-exit variant reaches 92.6 PDMS with 64 proposals. It further obtains 89.9 EPDMS on NAVSIM v2, yielding the best reported results among the compared front-view video world-model planners. Without target-domain fine-tuning, Adaptive-WAM transfers to nuScenes with 0.88 m average L2 error and a 0.08% collision rate. On an A100, adaptive routing improves PDMS from 90.62 to 90.79 while averaging 170 ms end-to-end planning latency, approximately 10% below the 190 ms fixed block-15 planner and 47% below the 320 ms fixed full-depth planner. Code will be released.
Sining Ang, Yuguang Yang, Yan Wang
Aug 6, 2026cs.AI

A Unified Framework for Trajectory Prediction with Explicit Planning and Reaction Decomposition

Trajectory prediction has shifted toward structured formulations with explicit social modeling. However, existing methods inadequately distinguish the functional roles of social influence in trajectory planning. Observing that agents typically form motion plans by anticipating others' future behaviors before making local reactive adjustments, we identify social interactions as playing staged roles, namely planning precedes reaction. We propose INTraJ, a unified framework that decomposes social influence into two stages: a planning stage constructs reference trajectories using future social information, and a reaction stage recovers local adjustments from the residual between full-context prediction and the reference. INTraJ supports both multi-target and single-target paradigms. Extensive experiments on four standard benchmarks, including Argoverse 2, Argoverse 2-ped, ETH/UCY, and SDD, demonstrate consistent improvements, particularly in FDE and long-horizon consistency, with state-of-the-art performance achieved in several settings. INTraJ reframes trajectory prediction as a planning-driven two-stage process, validating that staged social modeling is critical for stable predictions. The code is publicly available at https://github.com/11isnotavailable/INTraJ.
Jiaheng Chen, Jiaxing Li, Tinghe Zhang +1
Aug 6, 2026cs.LG

Reasoning Errors Have a Region and a Direction in the Residual-Stream Trajectory of LLMs

As language models are increasingly used for tasks that require verifiable reasoning, reliably distinguishing sound reasoning from flawed reasoning has become an important practical problem. Recent trajectory-based methods seek this signal in layerwise residual-stream displacements, which capture how representations change while attenuating some stable, token-specific information. However, displacement omits the state from which an update originates, whereas restoring the full state risks reintroducing shortcut-prone information. We identify this trade-off and propose a three-stream detector that combines motion with two restricted views of location. A coarse region reader based on vector quantization and a fine direction reader over normalized multi-layer states. This design restores enough state context to interpret the motion without returning to full-state probing. On reasoning benchmarks unseen during training, our method improves selection accuracy by up to 12% over the displacement-only state of the art and 21% over single-layer probing baselines. Although trained only on reasoning benchmarks, it also reads factual completion and fact verification, ahead of every detector we compare against, which places the signal on correctness rather than on a kind of reasoning. Ablations further show that motion, region, and direction provide complementary signals. These results suggest that reasoning validity is better read from state-conditioned motion than from either static states or decontextualized trajectories alone.
Hamed Damirchi, Ignacio Meza De la Jara, Damith Ranasinghe +2
Aug 6, 2026cs.CV

Uncertainty-Aware World Model for Aerial Image-Goal Navigation

Aerial image-goal navigation requires an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) to reach a target location specified by a goal image. Existing world-model-based methods rank candidate trajectories using predicted futures, but typically rely on only one or a few point predictions, which is inadequate for large-scale outdoor environments with substantial future-state uncertainty. To address this limitation, we propose the Uncertainty-Aware Navigation World Model (UA-NWM), an efficient latent world model for aerial image-goal navigation, which formulates trajectory scoring as conditional out-of-distribution detection. UA-NWM represents plausible futures with an uncertainty subspace and decomposes the prediction--goal discrepancy into uncertainty-explainable and unexplainable components. Only the unexplainable residual is used for scoring, enabling robust selection without multiple future samples. Extensive experiments demonstrate that UA-NWM consistently outperforms existing navigation world models while maintaining low inference latency. Real-world UAV experiments further validate its practical applicability. Project page: https://duryi.github.io/UA-NWM-Project-Page
Deyi Zhu, Haoyu Fan, Yinan Zhu +4
Aug 6, 2026nlin.CD

Equation-Free Period-Aware Forecast-Error Contraction for Estimating Negative Largest Lyapunov Exponents from Short Trajectory Ensembles

Estimating positive largest Lyapunov exponents from data is comparatively natural because neighboring trajectories separate, whereas stable dynamics require resolving contraction before measurement noise or finite precision erases the signal. We introduce a period-aware forecast-error contraction procedure for estimating a dominant negative Lyapunov exponent from ensembles of short scalar trajectories without using governing equations or an analytical Jacobian. A k-nearest-neighbor predictor is trained on trajectory histories, the geometric-mean absolute forecast error is evaluated at phase-consistent horizons, and the exponent is obtained from the slope of the logarithmic error profile. Unlike data-driven approaches that reconstruct local evolution matrices or differentiate a learned surrogate, the proposed method extracts the contraction rate directly from out-of-sample forecast errors. Two adaptations are essential: the forecast step is synchronized with the detected orbit period, and candidate slopes are accepted only when they form a stable consensus across several transient lengths. On the logistic map, the method recovers 92 of 112 negative-exponent parameter values with a mean absolute error of 0.0253 and R2=0.886R^2=0.886. On a two-dimensional map without fixed points, independent scalar pipelines based on the three observables xnx_n, yny_n, and znz_n give mean absolute errors of 0.00879--0.01145 and R2=0.983R^2=0.983--0.9860.986. Because the estimation stage uses only observed trajectories, the framework provides a basis for repeated-relaxation experiments in which short sensor responses are available but the governing equations and analytical Jacobian are unknown. Experimental validation remains a subject of future work.
Andrei Velichko, N'Gbo N'Gbo, Viet-Thanh Pham
Aug 5, 2026cs.CL

Chained Recursive Language Models for Multi-Iteration Reasoning

Long context reasoning in large language models (LLMs) is usually constrained by the fact that a single inference trajectory has to simultaneously explore the context, store intermediate state, verify evidence, and produce the final answer. This becomes particularly difficult in tasks that require extraction, counting, ordering, or multi-hop reasoning, where an early mistake can propagate until the final response. In this work, we propose Chained Recursive Language Models (Chained RLM), an inference-time architecture, in which the same underlying model is called repeatedly as a sequence of fresh reasoning roots. Each root receives the original problem and context, but does not inherit the full conversational history. Instead, it receives a compact plain-text summary, a plain-text blackboard, and some durable task-specific artifacts written by predecessor roots. The motivation is to manage the context by chopping into partial tasks rather than one large inference response; in each staged computation, intermediate artifacts can be inspected, corrected, and extended by a later fresh inference by the same model. We describe the system model, handoff mechanism, artifact workspace, and evaluation protocol for this system. We study when fresh-context artifact continuation gives a measurable gain in accuracy over direct LLM answering even with recursive tool-calling.
Purbesh Mitra, Sennur Ulukus
Aug 5, 2026cs.LG

Multimodal Spatiotemporal Atmospheric Data Assimilation with Latent Video Flow-matching

Data assimilation (DA) uses Bayesian inference to update the state of a numerical forecast model with observed data. In this study, we propose a fundamentally different, unified approach to atmospheric data assimilation. We use latent video flow-matching to sample temporally consistent trajectories from a prior trained using ERA5 reanalysis (69 variables over an 8-day window). We also use posterior sampling to assimilate real observation sources, such as those from the NOAA Integrated Global Radiosonde Archive and the Integrated Surface Database. Because the prior generates a continuous trajectory, it naturally propagates information between observed and unobserved frames. Therefore, we can perform various DA tasks, such as filtering and smoothing, simply by changing the observed frames. Moreover, we generate full-state ensemble forecasts directly from sparse observations, achieving performance competitive with state-of-the-art observation-to-forecast models.
Dibyajyoti Chakraborty, Romit Maulik